2003-04 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Ferencvaros

44 points · 28th Title

Last Title: 2000-01

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ferencvaros

7.31 points above expected

44 points · 36.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zalaegerszeg

6.07 points below expected

20 points · 26.07 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Ferencvaros Champion	22	12	8	2	44	29	15	+14	36.69	+7.31
2	Balaton	22	12	5	5	41	24	11	+13	33.82	+7.18
3	Debrecen VSC	22	11	6	5	39	34	17	+17	36.81	+2.19
4	MTK Budapest	22	10	8	4	38	35	21	+14	37.32	+0.68
5	Ujpest	22	9	8	5	35	32	22	+10	32.33	+2.67
6	Sopron	22	8	7	7	31	35	28	+7	28.51	+2.49
7	Pecsi MFC	22	6	9	7	27	19	21	-2	28.52	-1.52
8	Videoton	22	5	8	9	23	27	37	-10	28.76	-5.76
9	Zalaegerszeg	22	5	5	12	20	24	35	-11	26.07	-6.07
10	Gyor	22	5	5	12	20	23	38	-15	24.34	-4.34
11	Bekescsaba	22	4	7	11	19	23	34	-11	22.14	-3.14
12	Szombathelyi Haladas	22	3	8	11	17	12	38	-26	21.75	-4.75

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Ujpest	10	6	3	1	21	16	7	+9	—	—
2	Zalaegerszeg	10	6	1	3	19	21	12	+9	—	—
3	Videoton	10	5	2	3	17	28	14	+14	—	—
4	Sopron	10	5	2	3	17	18	14	+4	—	—
5	Debrecen VSC	10	5	2	3	17	17	15	+2	—	—
6	Gyor	10	5	1	4	16	13	16	-3	—	—
7	Pecsi MFC	10	3	4	3	13	17	16	+1	—	—
8	Ferencvaros	10	4	1	5	13	15	15	0	—	—
9	Bekescsaba	10	4	1	5	13	13	16	-3	—	—
10	Balaton	10	2	3	5	9	10	13	-3	—	—
11	MTK Budapest	10	1	3	6	6	7	19	-12	—	—
12	Szombathelyi Haladas	10	1	3	6	6	7	25	-18	—	—

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ferencvaros	44	36.69	+7.31
2	Balaton	41	33.82	+7.18
3	Ujpest	35	32.33	+2.67
4	Sopron	31	28.51	+2.49
5	Debrecen VSC	39	36.81	+2.19

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Zalaegerszeg	20	26.07	-6.07
2	Videoton	23	28.76	-5.76
3	Szombathelyi Haladas	17	21.75	-4.75
4	Gyor	20	24.34	-4.34
5	Bekescsaba	19	22.14	-3.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Balaton	6	Oct 25 – Nov 28	1 in 546
2	Ujpest	4	Mar 24 – Apr 7	1 in 47
3	Zalaegerszeg	2	Oct 4 – Oct 19	1 in 14
4	Pecsi MFC	2	Aug 3 – Aug 9	1 in 13
5	Gyor	2	Sep 20 – Sep 28	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zalaegerszeg	8	Jul 26 – Sep 28	1 in 995
2	Videoton	4	Nov 22 – Mar 13	1 in 133
3	Bekescsaba	4	Sep 28 – Nov 1	1 in 15
4	MTK Budapest	2	Aug 9 – Aug 23	1 in 15
5	Balaton	2	Oct 4 – Oct 19	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bekescsaba	5	Nov 22 – Mar 13	1 in 23
2	Zalaegerszeg	6	Mar 6 – Apr 7	1 in 21
3	Videoton	7	Aug 31 – Oct 25	1 in 18
4	Ujpest	6	Oct 19 – Nov 22	1 in 17
5	Ferencvaros	10	Nov 8 – Apr 7	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Videoton	12	Oct 25 – Apr 7	1 in 176
2	Szombathelyi Haladas	10	Aug 31 – Nov 15	1 in 21
3	Ujpest	6	Aug 24 – Oct 4	1 in 21
4	Bekescsaba	10	Aug 3 – Nov 1	1 in 19
5	Pecsi MFC	6	Mar 6 – Apr 7	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Ferencvaros	1696	57	+41	10	5.9	+4.1
Ujpest	1756	56	+46	11	7.5	+3.5
Debrecen VSC	1733	56	-29	6	7.7	-1.7
Balaton	1664	50	-36	3	7.1	-4.1
Sopron	1679	48	+48	11	6.2	+4.8
MTK Budapest	1619	44	-70	1	6.2	-5.2
Videoton	1586	40	+54	10	8.2	+1.8
Pecsi MFC	1548	40	+28	8	6.9	+1.1
Zalaegerszeg	1563	39	-48	7	8.9	-1.9
Gyor	1469	36	-34	6	6.4	-0.4
Bekescsaba	1489	32	+0	6	6.3	-0.3
Szombathelyi Haladas	1343	23	+1	5	4.0	+1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BAL	BEK	DV	FER	GYO	MB	PM	SOP	SH	UJP	VID	ZAL
Balaton	—	1-1-0 3.76	2-0-0 2.37	1-1-0 2.23	1-1-0 3.33	0-0-2 2.43	2-0-0 3.12	0-1-1 3.20	2-0-0 3.65	2-0-0 2.82	1-0-1 3.19	0-1-1 3.45
Bekescsaba	0-1-1 1.68	—	0-0-2 1.59	0-1-1 1.63	1-0-1 2.52	0-0-2 1.40	1-0-1 2.24	0-2-0 2.05	0-2-0 2.76	0-0-2 1.85	1-1-0 2.06	1-0-1 2.11
Debrecen VSC	0-0-2 3.03	2-0-0 3.88	—	1-1-0 2.59	2-0-0 4.08	0-1-1 2.67	1-1-0 3.43	1-1-0 3.42	1-1-0 3.92	0-1-1 3.17	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 3.69
Ferencvaros	0-1-1 3.18	1-1-0 3.84	0-1-1 2.81	—	2-0-0 3.85	1-1-0 2.57	2-0-0 3.48	1-1-0 3.45	2-0-0 4.27	1-1-0 3.12	1-1-0 3.15	1-1-0 3.88
Gyor	0-1-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.87	0-0-2 1.41	0-0-2 1.62	—	0-1-1 1.56	0-1-1 2.30	2-0-0 2.27	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 1.92	0-1-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.78
MTK Budapest	2-0-0 2.98	2-0-0 4.09	1-1-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.84	1-1-0 3.90	—	0-1-1 3.65	1-0-1 3.62	1-1-0 3.94	0-1-1 3.38	0-2-0 3.55	2-0-0 3.46
Pecsi MFC	0-0-2 2.31	1-0-1 3.17	0-1-1 1.99	0-0-2 1.95	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 1.79	—	1-0-1 2.65	0-2-0 3.48	0-2-0 2.42	1-1-0 2.27	1-1-0 3.14
Sopron	1-1-0 2.23	0-2-0 3.37	0-1-1 2.00	0-1-1 1.97	0-0-2 3.16	1-0-1 1.81	1-0-1 2.75	—	1-1-0 3.20	1-1-0 2.36	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 2.86
Szombathelyi Haladas	0-0-2 1.78	0-2-0 2.64	0-1-1 1.54	0-0-2 1.24	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 1.56	0-2-0 1.98	0-1-1 2.24	—	0-1-1 1.81	2-0-0 1.87	0-0-2 2.33
Ujpest	0-0-2 2.58	2-0-0 3.60	1-1-0 2.25	0-1-1 2.29	1-1-0 3.50	1-1-0 2.04	0-2-0 2.99	0-1-1 3.07	1-1-0 3.62	—	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 3.05
Videoton	1-0-1 2.24	0-1-1 3.36	1-0-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.27	1-1-0 3.21	0-2-0 1.90	0-1-1 3.14	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 3.58	1-0-1 2.40	—	0-2-0 2.83
Zalaegerszeg	1-1-0 1.97	1-0-1 3.31	0-0-2 1.75	0-1-1 1.59	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 1.98	0-1-1 2.28	0-0-2 2.55	2-0-0 3.07	0-0-2 2.36	0-2-0 2.56	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.42	+9.0
Allowed	0.87	-9.3
Differential	0.91	+6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.07%	8.59%	2.86%	1.56%	1.56%	30.99%
1	8.07%	13.02%	5.73%	3.65%	1.04%	0.78%	32.29%
2	8.59%	5.73%	5.21%	1.56%	—	—	21.09%
3	2.86%	3.65%	1.56%	2.08%	0.26%	—	10.42%
4	1.56%	1.04%	—	0.26%	—	—	2.86%
5+	1.56%	0.78%	—	—	—	—	2.34%
Total	30.99%	32.29%	21.09%	10.42%	2.86%	2.34%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.30	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.94
CV	0.97	0.97	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	12.50%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
1	21.88%	15.62%	6.25%	—	—	—	43.75%
2	15.62%	—	—	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.12%	28.12%	9.38%	9.38%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	0.75	+0.31
SD	1.05	0.98	1.65
CV	0.98	1.31	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	9.38%	9.38%	12.50%	—	—	34.38%
1	3.12%	9.38%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
2	12.50%	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
3	—	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	28.12%	31.25%	21.88%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.56	-0.44
SD	1.01	1.05	1.61
CV	0.90	0.67	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
1	15.62%	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	28.12%
2	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	15.62%
3	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	46.88%	18.75%	21.88%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.00	+0.59
SD	1.48	1.11	1.90
CV	0.93	1.11	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	3.12%	3.12%	31.25%
1	9.38%	9.38%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
2	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	34.38%
3	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.75%	37.50%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	0.94	+0.44
SD	1.16	1.22	1.81
CV	0.84	1.30	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	12.50%	15.62%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
1	6.25%	6.25%	—	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	28.12%
2	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
3	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	25.00%	28.12%	21.88%	6.25%	15.62%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.69	-0.56
SD	1.43	1.49	2.21
CV	1.27	0.88	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	15.62%
1	6.25%	21.88%	12.50%	—	3.12%	3.12%	46.88%
2	15.62%	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	—	31.25%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	40.62%	28.12%	—	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.25	+0.06
SD	0.90	1.14	1.56
CV	0.68	0.91	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	9.38%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	34.38%
1	6.25%	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
2	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
3	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.12%	43.75%	12.50%	15.62%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.16	-0.03
SD	1.10	1.02	1.53
CV	0.98	0.88	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	—	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
1	3.12%	6.25%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
2	—	15.62%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
3	3.12%	9.38%	—	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	25.00%	34.38%	25.00%	15.62%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.31	+0.34
SD	1.43	1.03	1.93
CV	0.86	0.78	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.62%	6.25%	21.88%	3.12%	6.25%	9.38%	62.50%
1	—	15.62%	—	—	—	3.12%	18.75%
2	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
3	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.88%	28.12%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.59	1.97	-1.38
SD	0.87	1.91	2.28
CV	1.47	0.97	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	15.62%
1	15.62%	25.00%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	50.00%
2	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
3	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	34.38%	46.88%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	0.91	+0.59
SD	1.22	0.86	1.41
CV	0.81	0.94	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	—	3.12%	21.88%
1	—	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
2	12.50%	6.25%	15.62%	—	—	—	34.38%
3	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
4	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	28.12%	34.38%	15.62%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	1.59	+0.12
SD	1.49	1.16	2.21
CV	0.86	0.73	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	9.38%	6.25%	—	3.12%	3.12%	28.12%
1	9.38%	9.38%	9.38%	9.38%	—	—	37.50%
2	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
3	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	12.50%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	31.25%	25.00%	21.88%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.47	-0.06
SD	1.50	1.39	2.27
CV	1.07	0.95	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Ujpest	1756	35	32.33	+2.67	78.0%	18	24	30	32	35	40	47
Debrecen VSC	1733	39	36.81	+2.19	65.0%	19	25	33	37	41	46	51
Ferencvaros	1696	44	36.69	+7.31	93.0%	23	26	34	36	41	46	52
Sopron	1679	31	28.51	+2.49	69.0%	18	19	24	28	33	38	45
Balaton	1664	41	33.82	+7.18	87.0%	17	22	30	34	38	43	50
MTK Budapest	1619	38	37.32	+0.68	55.0%	19	28	33	38	42	47	50
Videoton	1586	23	28.76	-5.76	21.0%	10	17	24	29	32	41	46
Zalaegerszeg	1563	20	26.07	-6.07	17.0%	11	17	21	26	30	35	37
Pecsi MFC	1548	27	28.52	-1.52	47.0%	15	20	24	28	31	39	42
Bekescsaba	1489	19	22.14	-3.14	36.0%	8	11	18	21	27	32	35
Gyor	1469	20	24.34	-4.34	24.0%	6	16	21	24	28	34	39
Szombathelyi Haladas	1343	17	21.75	-4.75	18.0%	12	13	19	21	26	30	38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+20.31%

Slight Edge

45.83%28.65%25.52%

Elo Value

Home Edge

146 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

071.57400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.62 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.49+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.7

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

25%

Ferencvaros, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Tight Race

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.74 * Some Luck: 4.74 to 7.12 * Lucky: 7.12 to 9.49 * Wild Swing: 9.49 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.7 * Close: 1.7 to 2.55 * Off: 2.55 to 3.4 * Way Off: 3.4 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.53 points

As Expected

05.9315

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

02.125

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.00%

Ferencvaros

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

17.00%

Zalaegerszeg

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Top-Heavy

00.150.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 112.21

1.61

Moderate Separation

11.61.852.152.75

Interquartile Edge

75%

Clear Edge

50%65.5%75.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Even

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Occasional

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.59

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.80

Near-Lock

00.450.590.721

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.28

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.00

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.043

Well Within Noise

00.1170.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Ferencvaros	25.00%	16.00%	21.00%	12.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Balaton	12.00%	19.00%	10.00%	15.00%	14.00%	3.00%	9.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Debrecen VSC	27.00%	20.00%	18.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
MTK Budapest	24.00%	18.00%	18.00%	15.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%
Ujpest	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	24.00%	13.00%	14.00%	8.00%	9.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—
Sopron	2.00%	7.00%	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	17.00%	9.00%	11.00%	12.00%	6.00%	12.00%	5.00%
Pecsi MFC	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	13.00%	9.00%	21.00%	8.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Videoton	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	12.00%	11.00%	16.00%	10.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Zalaegerszeg	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	11.00%	10.00%	13.00%	15.00%	9.00%	13.00%	14.00%	11.00%
Gyor	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	14.00%	20.00%	15.00%	14.00%
Bekescsaba	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	15.00%	9.00%	12.00%	19.00%	28.00%
Szombathelyi Haladas	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	—	1.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	18.00%	22.00%	29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff
Balaton	100%	—
Debrecen VSC	100%	—
Ferencvaros	100%	—
MTK Budapest	100%	—
Ujpest	99.00%	1.00%
Pecsi MFC	97.00%	3.00%
Sopron	97.00%	3.00%
Videoton	96.00%	4.00%
Zalaegerszeg	93.00%	7.00%
Gyor	85.00%	15.00%
Bekescsaba	82.00%	18.00%
Szombathelyi Haladas	51.00%	49.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2003-07-25	Sopron	W 2-1	57.8	1674	1554	58.63%	26.29%	15.08%	+1.31	+5.1	3
2003-07-25	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-2	57.8	1554	1674	15.08%	26.29%	58.63%	-1.31	-5.1	0
2003-07-26	Ferencvaros	D 1-1	69.2	1599	1669	35.04%	30.38%	34.57%	+0.01	-0.0	1
2003-07-26	@ Balaton	D 1-1	69.2	1669	1599	34.57%	30.38%	35.04%	-0.01	+0.0	1
2003-07-26	Gyor	W 2-0	48.4	1528	1532	44.18%	29.83%	26.00%	+0.46	+16.6	3
2003-07-26	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	L 0-2	48.4	1532	1528	26.00%	29.83%	44.18%	-0.46	-16.5	0
2003-07-26	Pecsi MFC	D 1-1	67.3	1597	1563	48.90%	29.07%	22.03%	+0.72	-1.7	1
2003-07-26	@ Videoton	D 1-1	67.3	1563	1597	22.03%	29.07%	48.90%	-0.72	+1.6	1
2003-07-26	Zalaegerszeg	W 3-1	60.7	1529	1616	32.54%	30.35%	37.10%	-0.11	+18.6	3
2003-07-26	@ Bekescsaba	L 1-3	60.7	1616	1529	37.10%	30.35%	32.54%	+0.11	-18.6	0
2003-07-28	Debrecen VSC	W 3-1	61.9	1619	1666	38.29%	30.31%	31.40%	+0.17	+16.5	3
2003-07-28	@ Ujpest	L 1-3	61.9	1666	1619	31.40%	30.31%	38.29%	-0.17	-16.5	0
2003-08-01	Balaton	D 0-0	60.4	1516	1599	33.19%	30.37%	36.44%	-0.08	+0.2	1
2003-08-01	@ Gyor	D 0-0	60.4	1599	1516	36.44%	30.37%	33.19%	+0.08	-0.2	2
2003-08-02	Videoton	D 2-2	76.0	1669	1595	53.59%	27.95%	18.46%	+0.99	-1.7	2
2003-08-02	@ Ferencvaros	D 2-2	76.0	1595	1669	18.46%	27.95%	53.59%	-0.99	+1.7	2
2003-08-02	MTK Budapest	L 1-3	62.4	1598	1679	33.47%	30.37%	36.16%	-0.06	-17.3	0
2003-08-02	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 3-1	62.4	1679	1598	36.16%	30.37%	33.47%	+0.06	+17.3	6
2003-08-02	Sopron	L 1-3	66.3	1635	1549	55.06%	27.51%	17.43%	+1.08	-25.3	3
2003-08-02	@ Ujpest	W 3-1	66.3	1549	1635	17.43%	27.51%	55.06%	-1.08	+25.3	3
2003-08-02	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 3-0	47.1	1649	1545	56.98%	26.89%	16.13%	+1.20	+15.9	3
2003-08-02	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-3	47.1	1545	1649	16.13%	26.89%	56.98%	-1.20	-15.9	3
2003-08-03	Bekescsaba	W 3-0	47.9	1565	1547	46.88%	29.44%	23.68%	+0.61	+22.3	4
2003-08-03	@ Pecsi MFC	L 0-3	47.9	1547	1565	23.68%	29.44%	46.88%	-0.61	-22.3	3
2003-08-08	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 2-0	47.9	1598	1529	53.11%	28.08%	18.81%	+0.96	+12.6	5
2003-08-08	@ Balaton	L 0-2	47.9	1529	1598	18.81%	28.08%	53.11%	-0.96	-12.6	3
2003-08-09	Ferencvaros	D 0-0	62.7	1525	1667	25.73%	29.79%	44.48%	-0.48	+1.2	4
2003-08-09	@ Bekescsaba	D 0-0	62.7	1667	1525	44.48%	29.79%	25.73%	+0.48	-1.2	3
2003-08-09	Gyor	W 2-0	47.1	1597	1516	54.43%	27.70%	17.87%	+1.04	+12.0	5
2003-08-09	@ Videoton	L 0-2	47.1	1516	1597	17.87%	27.70%	54.43%	-1.04	-12.0	1
2003-08-09	Pecsi MFC	L 1-2	71.6	1696	1587	57.48%	26.71%	15.81%	+1.23	-15.2	6
2003-08-09	@ MTK Budapest	W 2-1	71.6	1587	1696	15.81%	26.71%	57.48%	-1.23	+15.2	7
2003-08-09	Sopron	D 0-0	64.4	1665	1574	55.56%	27.35%	17.08%	+1.11	-2.8	4
2003-08-09	@ Debrecen VSC	D 0-0	64.4	1574	1665	17.08%	27.35%	55.56%	-1.11	+2.8	4
2003-08-09	Zalaegerszeg	W 2-0	51.0	1610	1581	48.38%	29.17%	22.45%	+0.69	+14.7	6
2003-08-09	@ Ujpest	L 0-2	51.0	1581	1610	22.45%	29.17%	48.38%	-0.69	-14.7	0
2003-08-23	Bekescsaba	W 1-0	50.9	1504	1526	41.65%	30.09%	28.25%	+0.33	+9.4	4
2003-08-23	@ Gyor	L 0-1	50.9	1526	1504	28.25%	30.09%	41.65%	-0.33	-9.3	4
2003-08-23	Debrecen VSC	W 1-0	58.7	1611	1662	37.67%	30.33%	32.00%	+0.14	+10.2	8
2003-08-23	@ Balaton	L 0-1	58.7	1662	1611	32.00%	30.33%	37.67%	-0.14	-10.2	4
2003-08-23	Videoton	W 3-0	52.8	1516	1609	31.91%	30.33%	37.76%	-0.14	+31.6	6
2003-08-23	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	L 0-3	52.8	1609	1516	37.76%	30.33%	31.91%	+0.14	-31.6	5
2003-08-23	MTK Budapest	W 2-1	64.3	1666	1681	42.63%	30.00%	27.37%	+0.38	+8.6	6
2003-08-23	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-2	64.3	1681	1666	27.37%	30.00%	42.63%	-0.38	-8.6	6
2003-08-23	Sopron	L 1-3	62.4	1566	1577	43.24%	29.94%	26.82%	+0.42	-20.8	0
2003-08-23	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 3-1	62.4	1577	1566	26.82%	29.94%	43.24%	-0.42	+20.8	7
2003-08-24	Ujpest	D 1-1	68.6	1602	1625	41.69%	30.09%	28.22%	+0.34	-0.8	8
2003-08-24	@ Pecsi MFC	D 1-1	68.6	1625	1602	28.22%	30.09%	41.69%	-0.34	+0.8	7
2003-08-31	Gyor	W 4-1	50.2	1672	1513	62.56%	24.68%	12.76%	+1.58	+10.5	9
2003-08-31	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-4	50.2	1513	1672	12.76%	24.68%	62.56%	-1.58	-10.5	4
2003-08-31	Pecsi MFC	W 3-1	58.6	1598	1601	44.15%	29.83%	26.02%	+0.46	+14.4	10
2003-08-31	@ Sopron	L 1-3	58.6	1601	1598	26.02%	29.83%	44.15%	-0.46	-14.3	8
2003-08-31	Balaton	W 2-1	63.2	1577	1621	38.72%	30.29%	30.99%	+0.19	+9.4	8
2003-08-31	@ Videoton	L 1-2	63.2	1621	1577	30.99%	30.29%	38.72%	-0.19	-9.4	8
2003-08-31	Szombathelyi Haladas	D 2-2	70.1	1517	1548	40.52%	30.18%	29.30%	+0.28	-0.5	5
2003-08-31	@ Bekescsaba	D 2-2	70.1	1548	1517	29.30%	30.18%	40.52%	-0.28	+0.5	7
2003-08-31	Zalaegerszeg	W 4-0	46.9	1652	1545	57.27%	26.79%	15.94%	+1.22	+20.5	7
2003-08-31	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-4	46.9	1545	1652	15.94%	26.79%	57.27%	-1.22	-20.5	0
2003-09-01	Ferencvaros	D 1-1	69.7	1625	1674	38.05%	30.32%	31.63%	+0.16	-0.4	8
2003-09-01	@ Ujpest	D 1-1	69.7	1674	1625	31.63%	30.32%	38.05%	-0.16	+0.4	7
2003-09-12	Bekescsaba	W 2-0	47.1	1612	1517	56.00%	27.21%	16.79%	+1.14	+11.3	11
2003-09-12	@ Balaton	L 0-2	47.1	1517	1612	16.79%	27.21%	56.00%	-1.14	-11.3	5
2003-09-13	Debrecen VSC	W 2-0	57.1	1587	1673	32.76%	30.36%	36.88%	-0.10	+21.4	11
2003-09-13	@ Videoton	L 0-2	57.1	1673	1587	36.88%	30.36%	32.76%	+0.10	-21.4	7
2003-09-13	MTK Budapest	D 1-1	68.7	1548	1683	26.58%	29.90%	43.52%	-0.43	+1.0	8
2003-09-13	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	D 1-1	68.7	1683	1548	43.52%	29.90%	26.58%	+0.43	-1.0	10
2003-09-13	Ujpest	D 0-0	60.9	1503	1625	28.00%	30.07%	41.93%	-0.35	+0.9	5
2003-09-13	@ Gyor	D 0-0	60.9	1625	1503	41.93%	30.07%	28.00%	+0.35	-0.9	9
2003-09-13	Zalaegerszeg	W 1-0	50.6	1587	1525	52.34%	28.28%	19.38%	+0.92	+6.9	11
2003-09-13	@ Pecsi MFC	L 0-1	50.6	1525	1587	19.38%	28.28%	52.34%	-0.92	-6.9	0
2003-09-14	Sopron	W 2-0	51.6	1675	1612	52.36%	28.28%	19.36%	+0.92	+13.0	10
2003-09-14	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	51.6	1612	1675	19.36%	28.28%	52.36%	-0.92	-13.0	10
2003-09-19	Pecsi MFC	W 1-0	54.0	1651	1594	51.74%	28.44%	19.83%	+0.88	+7.0	10
2003-09-19	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-1	54.0	1594	1651	19.83%	28.44%	51.74%	-0.88	-7.0	11
2003-09-20	Videoton	D 2-2	71.7	1505	1608	30.50%	30.26%	39.23%	-0.21	+0.4	6
2003-09-20	@ Bekescsaba	D 2-2	71.7	1608	1505	39.23%	30.26%	30.50%	+0.21	-0.4	12
2003-09-20	Ferencvaros	L 1-2	60.6	1518	1688	22.72%	29.23%	48.05%	-0.67	-7.4	0
2003-09-20	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 2-1	60.6	1688	1518	48.05%	29.23%	22.72%	+0.67	+7.4	13
2003-09-20	Gyor	L 1-2	67.1	1599	1503	56.02%	27.21%	16.77%	+1.14	-14.8	10
2003-09-20	@ Sopron	W 2-1	67.1	1503	1599	16.77%	27.21%	56.02%	-1.14	+14.8	8
2003-09-20	Balaton	W 1-0	54.9	1682	1623	51.91%	28.39%	19.70%	+0.89	+7.0	13
2003-09-20	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-1	54.9	1623	1682	19.70%	28.39%	51.91%	-0.89	-7.0	11
2003-09-20	Szombathelyi Haladas	D 0-0	62.8	1624	1550	53.72%	27.91%	18.37%	+1.00	-2.5	10
2003-09-20	@ Ujpest	D 0-0	62.8	1550	1624	18.37%	27.91%	53.72%	-1.00	+2.5	9
2003-09-27	Ujpest	W 1-0	56.2	1616	1622	43.94%	29.86%	26.21%	+0.45	+8.8	14
2003-09-27	@ Balaton	L 0-1	56.2	1622	1616	26.21%	29.86%	43.94%	-0.45	-8.8	10
2003-09-28	Debrecen VSC	L 1-2	60.2	1506	1658	24.50%	29.59%	45.91%	-0.55	-7.9	6
2003-09-28	@ Bekescsaba	W 2-1	60.2	1658	1506	45.91%	29.59%	24.50%	+0.55	+7.9	13
2003-09-28	MTK Budapest	D 1-1	69.6	1608	1689	33.43%	30.37%	36.20%	-0.07	+0.2	13
2003-09-28	@ Videoton	D 1-1	69.6	1689	1608	36.20%	30.37%	33.43%	+0.07	-0.2	14
2003-09-28	Pecsi MFC	W 3-0	48.6	1695	1587	57.37%	26.75%	15.88%	+1.23	+15.6	16
2003-09-28	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-3	48.6	1587	1695	15.88%	26.75%	57.37%	-1.23	-15.6	11
2003-09-28	Sopron	D 0-0	61.1	1552	1584	40.37%	30.19%	29.44%	+0.27	-0.7	10
2003-09-28	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	D 0-0	61.1	1584	1552	29.44%	30.19%	40.37%	-0.27	+0.7	11
2003-09-28	Zalaegerszeg	W 4-3	63.0	1518	1510	45.70%	29.62%	24.68%	+0.54	+7.4	11
2003-09-28	@ Gyor	L 3-4	63.0	1510	1518	24.68%	29.62%	45.70%	-0.54	-7.4	0
2003-10-03	Bekescsaba	W 2-0	45.8	1689	1498	65.55%	23.28%	11.17%	+1.79	+7.4	17
2003-10-03	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-2	45.8	1498	1689	11.17%	23.28%	65.55%	-1.79	-7.4	6
2003-10-04	Videoton	L 1-2	67.8	1613	1608	45.32%	29.68%	25.01%	+0.52	-12.5	10
2003-10-04	@ Ujpest	W 2-1	67.8	1608	1613	25.01%	29.68%	45.32%	-0.52	+12.5	16
2003-10-04	Gyor	W 1-0	50.7	1571	1526	50.36%	28.76%	20.88%	+0.80	+7.3	14
2003-10-04	@ Pecsi MFC	L 0-1	50.7	1526	1571	20.88%	28.76%	50.36%	-0.80	-7.3	11
2003-10-04	Balaton	W 2-1	63.3	1585	1625	39.25%	30.26%	30.49%	+0.21	+9.3	14
2003-10-04	@ Sopron	L 1-2	63.3	1625	1585	30.49%	30.26%	39.25%	-0.21	-9.3	14
2003-10-04	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 4-0	48.4	1503	1551	38.11%	30.32%	31.57%	+0.16	+36.3	3
2003-10-04	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-4	48.4	1551	1503	31.57%	30.32%	38.11%	-0.16	-36.3	10
2003-10-05	Ferencvaros	W 5-0	55.6	1666	1711	38.67%	30.29%	31.04%	+0.19	+44.2	16
2003-10-05	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-5	55.6	1711	1666	31.04%	30.29%	38.67%	-0.19	-44.2	16
2003-10-19	Debrecen VSC	W 2-0	55.7	1696	1710	42.78%	29.99%	27.24%	+0.39	+17.2	20
2003-10-19	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-2	55.7	1710	1696	27.24%	29.99%	42.78%	-0.39	-17.2	16
2003-10-19	Ferencvaros	L 0-1	54.7	1518	1666	25.02%	29.68%	45.30%	-0.52	-8.5	11
2003-10-19	@ Gyor	W 1-0	54.7	1666	1518	45.30%	29.68%	25.02%	+0.52	+8.5	19
2003-10-19	Pecsi MFC	D 0-0	59.7	1515	1579	35.93%	30.38%	33.69%	+0.05	-0.1	11
2003-10-19	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	D 0-0	59.7	1579	1515	33.69%	30.38%	35.93%	-0.05	+0.1	15
2003-10-19	Sopron	W 2-0	51.7	1620	1594	47.98%	29.24%	22.78%	+0.67	+14.9	19
2003-10-19	@ Videoton	L 0-2	51.7	1594	1620	22.78%	29.24%	47.98%	-0.67	-14.9	14
2003-10-19	Ujpest	L 0-1	53.5	1490	1600	29.56%	30.20%	40.24%	-0.26	-9.7	6
2003-10-19	@ Bekescsaba	W 1-0	53.5	1600	1490	40.24%	30.20%	29.56%	+0.26	+9.7	13
2003-10-19	Zalaegerszeg	L 0-1	62.1	1616	1539	53.92%	27.85%	18.23%	+1.01	-15.2	14
2003-10-19	@ Balaton	W 1-0	62.1	1539	1616	18.23%	27.85%	53.92%	-1.01	+15.2	6
2003-10-25	Videoton	D 1-1	67.7	1554	1635	33.52%	30.37%	36.11%	-0.06	+0.1	7
2003-10-25	@ Zalaegerszeg	D 1-1	67.7	1635	1554	36.11%	30.37%	33.52%	+0.06	-0.2	20
2003-10-25	Gyor	W 1-0	49.3	1693	1510	64.84%	23.62%	11.53%	+1.74	+4.1	19
2003-10-25	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-1	49.3	1510	1693	11.53%	23.62%	64.84%	-1.74	-4.1	11
2003-10-25	MTK Budapest	D 1-1	70.0	1610	1713	30.44%	30.26%	39.29%	-0.22	+0.5	14
2003-10-25	@ Ujpest	D 1-1	70.0	1713	1610	39.29%	30.26%	30.44%	+0.22	-0.5	21
2003-10-25	Balaton	L 0-2	56.9	1579	1600	41.80%	30.08%	28.12%	+0.34	-23.4	15
2003-10-25	@ Pecsi MFC	W 2-0	56.9	1600	1579	28.12%	30.08%	41.80%	-0.34	+23.4	17
2003-10-25	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 2-0	46.8	1675	1515	62.63%	24.65%	12.72%	+1.58	+8.5	22
2003-10-25	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	46.8	1515	1675	12.72%	24.65%	62.63%	-1.58	-8.6	11
2003-10-31	Ujpest	D 3-3	80.2	1697	1611	55.08%	27.51%	17.41%	+1.08	-1.5	20
2003-10-31	@ Debrecen VSC	D 3-3	80.2	1611	1697	17.41%	27.51%	55.08%	-1.08	+1.5	15
2003-11-01	Bekescsaba	W 2-1	53.7	1555	1481	53.66%	27.93%	18.42%	+0.99	+6.2	10
2003-11-01	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 1-2	53.7	1481	1555	18.42%	27.93%	53.66%	-0.99	-6.2	6
2003-11-01	Videoton	W 3-1	61.6	1555	1635	33.66%	30.38%	35.96%	-0.05	+18.2	18
2003-11-01	@ Pecsi MFC	L 1-3	61.6	1635	1555	35.96%	30.38%	33.66%	+0.05	-18.2	20
2003-11-01	Balaton	L 0-1	64.6	1683	1624	52.00%	28.37%	19.63%	+0.90	-14.8	22
2003-11-01	@ Ferencvaros	W 1-0	64.6	1624	1683	19.63%	28.37%	52.00%	-0.90	+14.8	20
2003-11-01	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 6-0	46.0	1506	1506	44.59%	29.77%	25.64%	+0.49	+45.5	14
2003-11-01	@ Gyor	L 0-6	46.0	1506	1506	25.64%	29.77%	44.59%	-0.49	-45.5	11
2003-11-02	MTK Budapest	W 2-1	68.5	1579	1713	26.68%	29.92%	43.40%	-0.42	+12.1	17
2003-11-02	@ Sopron	L 1-2	68.5	1713	1579	43.40%	29.92%	26.68%	+0.42	-12.1	21
2003-11-08	Ferencvaros	L 1-2	66.8	1617	1669	37.62%	30.34%	32.05%	+0.13	-10.8	20
2003-11-08	@ Videoton	W 2-1	66.8	1669	1617	32.05%	30.34%	37.62%	-0.13	+10.8	25
2003-11-08	Gyor	W 1-0	51.9	1639	1551	55.15%	27.49%	17.37%	+1.09	+6.2	23
2003-11-08	@ Balaton	L 0-1	51.9	1551	1639	17.37%	27.49%	55.15%	-1.09	-6.2	14
2003-11-08	Pecsi MFC	W 1-0	54.8	1474	1574	30.98%	30.29%	38.73%	-0.19	+11.7	9
2003-11-08	@ Bekescsaba	L 0-1	54.8	1574	1474	38.73%	30.29%	30.98%	+0.19	-11.7	18
2003-11-08	Ujpest	D 1-1	68.1	1591	1612	41.91%	30.07%	28.02%	+0.35	-0.8	18
2003-11-08	@ Sopron	D 1-1	68.1	1612	1591	28.02%	30.07%	41.91%	-0.35	+0.8	16
2003-11-08	Zalaegerszeg	W 2-0	48.8	1701	1561	60.65%	25.50%	13.85%	+1.44	+9.4	24
2003-11-08	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-2	48.8	1561	1701	13.85%	25.50%	60.65%	-1.44	-9.4	10
2003-11-09	Debrecen VSC	D 0-0	62.5	1461	1696	17.03%	27.33%	55.64%	-1.12	+2.8	12
2003-11-09	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	D 0-0	62.5	1696	1461	55.64%	27.33%	17.03%	+1.12	-2.8	21
2003-11-14	Videoton	D 2-2	72.8	1545	1606	36.32%	30.37%	33.31%	+0.07	-0.1	15
2003-11-14	@ Gyor	D 2-2	72.8	1606	1545	33.31%	30.37%	36.32%	-0.07	+0.1	21
2003-11-15	Bekescsaba	W 2-0	45.2	1680	1486	65.76%	23.18%	11.06%	+1.81	+7.3	28
2003-11-15	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	45.2	1486	1680	11.06%	23.18%	65.76%	-1.81	-7.3	9
2003-11-15	Debrecen VSC	L 1-3	61.6	1590	1693	30.53%	30.27%	39.21%	-0.21	-16.2	18
2003-11-15	@ Sopron	W 3-1	61.6	1693	1590	39.21%	30.27%	30.53%	+0.21	+16.2	24
2003-11-15	MTK Budapest	D 1-1	69.5	1562	1710	25.00%	29.67%	45.33%	-0.52	+1.2	19
2003-11-15	@ Pecsi MFC	D 1-1	69.5	1710	1562	45.33%	29.67%	25.00%	+0.52	-1.2	25
2003-11-15	Balaton	L 0-4	46.9	1464	1645	21.59%	28.96%	49.46%	-0.75	-27.0	12
2003-11-15	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	W 4-0	46.9	1645	1464	49.46%	28.96%	21.59%	+0.75	+27.0	26
2003-11-15	Ujpest	L 2-3	69.0	1551	1613	36.27%	30.37%	33.36%	+0.07	-10.0	10
2003-11-15	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 3-2	69.0	1613	1551	33.36%	30.37%	36.27%	-0.07	+10.0	19
2003-11-22	Ferencvaros	D 1-1	70.9	1709	1687	47.47%	29.34%	23.19%	+0.64	-1.5	26
2003-11-22	@ MTK Budapest	D 1-1	70.9	1687	1709	23.19%	29.34%	47.47%	-0.64	+1.5	29
2003-11-22	Gyor	W 2-0	49.6	1479	1545	35.60%	30.38%	34.02%	+0.04	+20.2	12
2003-11-22	@ Bekescsaba	L 0-2	49.6	1545	1479	34.02%	30.38%	35.60%	-0.04	-20.2	15
2003-11-22	Pecsi MFC	D 1-1	68.2	1623	1563	52.02%	28.36%	19.61%	+0.90	-2.0	20
2003-11-22	@ Ujpest	D 1-1	68.2	1563	1623	19.61%	28.36%	52.02%	-0.90	+2.0	20
2003-11-22	Balaton	L 0-1	64.7	1709	1672	49.37%	28.97%	21.66%	+0.74	-14.2	24
2003-11-22	@ Debrecen VSC	W 1-0	64.7	1672	1709	21.66%	28.97%	49.37%	-0.74	+14.2	29
2003-11-22	Szombathelyi Haladas	L 1-2	66.4	1606	1437	63.54%	24.24%	12.22%	+1.65	-16.4	21
2003-11-22	@ Videoton	W 2-1	66.4	1437	1606	12.22%	24.24%	63.54%	-1.65	+16.4	15
2003-11-22	Zalaegerszeg	W 2-1	58.0	1574	1541	48.81%	29.09%	22.10%	+0.71	+7.3	21
2003-11-22	@ Sopron	L 1-2	58.0	1541	1574	22.10%	29.09%	48.81%	-0.71	-7.3	10
2003-11-28	Videoton	W 1-0	53.2	1686	1590	56.12%	27.18%	16.71%	+1.15	+6.0	32
2003-11-28	@ Balaton	L 0-1	53.2	1590	1686	16.71%	27.18%	56.12%	-1.15	-6.0	21
2003-11-29	Bekescsaba	D 1-1	59.8	1453	1499	38.44%	30.30%	31.26%	+0.17	-0.4	16
2003-11-29	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	D 1-1	59.8	1499	1453	31.26%	30.30%	38.44%	-0.17	+0.4	13
2003-11-29	MTK Budapest	D 1-1	69.0	1525	1707	21.45%	28.92%	49.63%	-0.76	+1.7	16
2003-11-29	@ Gyor	D 1-1	69.0	1707	1525	49.63%	28.92%	21.45%	+0.76	-1.7	27
2003-11-29	Sopron	W 2-0	51.7	1565	1582	42.48%	30.02%	27.50%	+0.38	+17.3	23
2003-11-29	@ Pecsi MFC	L 0-2	51.7	1582	1565	27.50%	30.02%	42.48%	-0.38	-17.3	21
2003-11-29	Ujpest	W 2-1	60.8	1688	1621	52.91%	28.13%	18.96%	+0.95	+6.4	32
2003-11-29	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-2	60.8	1621	1688	18.96%	28.13%	52.91%	-0.95	-6.3	20
2003-11-30	Debrecen VSC	L 0-1	55.2	1534	1695	23.63%	29.43%	46.94%	-0.61	-8.1	10
2003-11-30	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 1-0	55.2	1695	1534	46.94%	29.43%	23.63%	+0.61	+8.1	27
2003-12-06	Bekescsaba	D 2-2	70.7	1564	1499	52.61%	28.21%	19.18%	+0.93	-1.6	22
2003-12-06	@ Sopron	D 2-2	70.7	1499	1564	19.18%	28.21%	52.61%	-0.93	+1.6	14
2004-03-06	Pecsi MFC	D 0-0	60.2	1526	1582	36.99%	30.36%	32.66%	+0.10	-0.3	11
2004-03-06	@ Zalaegerszeg	D 0-0	60.2	1582	1526	32.66%	30.36%	36.99%	-0.10	+0.3	24
2004-03-06	Balaton	D 1-1	68.3	1501	1692	20.67%	28.70%	50.63%	-0.82	+1.9	15
2004-03-06	@ Bekescsaba	D 1-1	68.3	1692	1501	50.63%	28.70%	20.67%	+0.82	-1.9	33
2004-03-06	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 2-0	43.5	1706	1453	70.95%	20.41%	8.64%	+2.22	+5.5	30
2004-03-06	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-2	43.5	1453	1706	8.64%	20.41%	70.95%	-2.22	-5.5	16
2004-03-07	Videoton	W 2-0	49.8	1703	1584	58.58%	26.31%	15.11%	+1.31	+10.2	30
2004-03-07	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-2	49.8	1584	1703	15.11%	26.31%	58.58%	-1.31	-10.2	21
2004-03-07	Ferencvaros	D 0-0	63.9	1563	1695	26.87%	29.94%	43.19%	-0.41	+1.1	23
2004-03-07	@ Sopron	D 0-0	63.9	1695	1563	43.19%	29.94%	26.87%	+0.41	-1.1	33
2004-03-13	Bekescsaba	L 1-2	65.7	1573	1503	53.27%	28.03%	18.69%	+0.97	-14.2	21
2004-03-13	@ Videoton	W 2-1	65.7	1503	1573	18.69%	28.03%	53.27%	-0.97	+14.2	18
2004-03-13	Debrecen VSC	D 0-0	64.5	1583	1714	27.00%	29.96%	43.05%	-0.41	+1.1	25
2004-03-13	@ Pecsi MFC	D 0-0	64.5	1714	1583	43.05%	29.96%	27.00%	+0.41	-1.1	31
2004-03-13	Sopron	W 3-1	56.9	1526	1564	39.64%	30.24%	30.12%	+0.23	+16.0	19
2004-03-13	@ Gyor	L 1-3	56.9	1564	1526	30.12%	30.24%	39.64%	-0.23	-16.0	23
2004-03-13	Zalaegerszeg	D 0-0	64.9	1694	1526	63.37%	24.32%	12.31%	+1.64	-3.8	34
2004-03-13	@ Ferencvaros	D 0-0	64.9	1526	1694	12.31%	24.32%	63.37%	-1.64	+3.8	12
2004-03-14	MTK Budapest	L 0-2	60.1	1690	1711	41.88%	30.07%	28.05%	+0.35	-23.5	33
2004-03-14	@ Balaton	W 2-0	60.1	1711	1690	28.05%	30.07%	41.88%	-0.35	+23.5	33
2004-03-16	Ujpest	L 0-2	47.4	1447	1614	22.96%	29.29%	47.75%	-0.65	-15.0	16
2004-03-16	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	W 2-0	47.4	1614	1447	47.75%	29.29%	22.96%	+0.65	+15.0	23
2004-03-20	Bekescsaba	W 1-0	49.5	1712	1517	65.94%	23.09%	10.97%	+1.82	+3.8	34
2004-03-20	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-1	49.5	1517	1712	10.97%	23.09%	65.94%	-1.82	-3.8	18
2004-03-20	Videoton	D 2-2	77.6	1735	1559	64.09%	23.99%	11.93%	+1.69	-2.6	34
2004-03-20	@ MTK Budapest	D 2-2	77.6	1559	1735	11.93%	23.99%	64.09%	-1.69	+2.6	22
2004-03-20	Ferencvaros	L 0-1	58.1	1584	1690	30.07%	30.24%	39.69%	-0.24	-9.8	25
2004-03-20	@ Pecsi MFC	W 1-0	58.1	1690	1584	39.69%	30.24%	30.07%	+0.24	+9.8	37
2004-03-20	Gyor	W 2-0	49.2	1530	1542	42.96%	29.97%	27.07%	+0.40	+17.1	15
2004-03-20	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-2	49.2	1542	1530	27.07%	29.97%	42.96%	-0.40	-17.1	19
2004-03-20	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 5-0	40.1	1548	1432	58.18%	26.46%	15.36%	+1.28	+24.4	26
2004-03-20	@ Sopron	L 0-5	40.1	1432	1548	15.36%	26.46%	58.18%	-1.28	-24.3	16
2004-03-21	Balaton	L 0-1	61.3	1629	1667	39.66%	30.24%	30.10%	+0.23	-11.9	23
2004-03-21	@ Ujpest	W 1-0	61.3	1667	1629	30.10%	30.24%	39.66%	-0.23	+12.0	36
2004-03-24	Gyor	W 4-1	51.1	1618	1525	55.67%	27.32%	17.01%	+1.12	+14.1	26
2004-03-24	@ Ujpest	L 1-4	51.1	1525	1618	17.01%	27.32%	55.67%	-1.12	-14.1	19
2004-03-27	Debrecen VSC	D 0-0	65.6	1700	1716	42.46%	30.02%	27.52%	+0.38	-1.0	38
2004-03-27	@ Ferencvaros	D 0-0	65.6	1716	1700	27.52%	30.02%	42.46%	-0.38	+1.0	35
2004-03-27	MTK Budapest	L 1-2	59.6	1513	1732	18.28%	27.87%	53.85%	-1.01	-6.2	18
2004-03-27	@ Bekescsaba	W 2-1	59.6	1732	1513	53.85%	27.87%	18.28%	+1.01	+6.2	37
2004-03-27	Pecsi MFC	D 1-1	64.7	1511	1574	36.09%	30.37%	33.54%	+0.06	-0.1	20
2004-03-27	@ Gyor	D 1-1	64.7	1574	1511	33.54%	30.37%	36.09%	-0.06	+0.1	26
2004-03-27	Sopron	D 0-0	64.7	1679	1572	57.21%	26.81%	15.98%	+1.22	-3.0	37
2004-03-27	@ Balaton	D 0-0	64.7	1572	1679	15.98%	26.81%	57.21%	-1.22	+3.0	27
2004-03-27	Ujpest	L 0-2	55.3	1562	1632	35.06%	30.38%	34.56%	+0.01	-20.6	22
2004-03-27	@ Videoton	W 2-0	55.3	1632	1562	34.56%	30.38%	35.06%	-0.01	+20.6	29
2004-03-28	Zalaegerszeg	L 0-1	47.4	1408	1547	26.06%	29.84%	44.10%	-0.46	-8.8	16
2004-03-28	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	W 1-0	47.4	1547	1408	44.10%	29.84%	26.06%	+0.46	+8.8	18
2004-04-03	Bekescsaba	W 3-1	52.5	1652	1507	61.17%	25.28%	13.54%	+1.48	+7.9	32
2004-04-03	@ Ujpest	L 1-3	52.5	1507	1652	13.54%	25.28%	61.17%	-1.48	-7.9	18
2004-04-03	Videoton	W 5-0	47.8	1575	1541	48.94%	29.06%	22.00%	+0.72	+33.8	30
2004-04-03	@ Sopron	L 0-5	47.8	1541	1575	22.00%	29.06%	48.94%	-0.72	-33.8	22
2004-04-03	MTK Budapest	D 2-2	77.1	1717	1738	41.88%	30.07%	28.04%	+0.35	-0.6	36
2004-04-03	@ Debrecen VSC	D 2-2	77.1	1738	1717	28.04%	30.07%	41.88%	-0.35	+0.6	38
2004-04-03	Balaton	D 1-1	68.6	1555	1676	28.28%	30.09%	41.63%	-0.33	+0.8	19
2004-04-03	@ Zalaegerszeg	D 1-1	68.6	1676	1555	41.63%	30.09%	28.28%	+0.33	-0.8	38
2004-04-03	Szombathelyi Haladas	D 1-1	62.5	1574	1399	64.06%	24.00%	11.94%	+1.69	-3.4	27
2004-04-03	@ Pecsi MFC	D 1-1	62.5	1399	1574	11.94%	24.00%	64.06%	-1.69	+3.4	17
2004-04-04	Gyor	W 4-0	44.8	1699	1511	65.22%	23.44%	11.34%	+1.77	+14.3	41
2004-04-04	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-4	44.8	1511	1699	11.34%	23.44%	65.22%	-1.77	-14.3	20
2004-04-07	Debrecen VSC	L 1-5	51.8	1497	1717	18.20%	27.84%	53.95%	-1.01	-19.4	20
2004-04-07	@ Gyor	W 5-1	51.8	1717	1497	53.95%	27.84%	18.20%	+1.01	+19.4	39
2004-04-07	Ferencvaros	L 0-1	47.4	1402	1713	12.33%	24.33%	63.34%	-1.63	-4.4	17
2004-04-07	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	W 1-0	47.4	1713	1402	63.34%	24.33%	12.33%	+1.63	+4.4	44
2004-04-07	Pecsi MFC	W 2-0	49.6	1675	1571	56.97%	26.89%	16.14%	+1.20	+10.9	41
2004-04-07	@ Balaton	L 0-2	49.6	1571	1675	16.14%	26.89%	56.97%	-1.20	-10.9	27
2004-04-07	Sopron	D 3-3	75.0	1499	1609	29.60%	30.21%	40.20%	-0.26	+0.4	19
2004-04-07	@ Bekescsaba	D 3-3	75.0	1609	1499	40.20%	30.21%	29.60%	+0.26	-0.4	31
2004-04-07	Ujpest	L 0-1	65.9	1739	1660	54.17%	27.78%	18.05%	+1.03	-15.3	38
2004-04-07	@ MTK Budapest	W 1-0	65.9	1660	1739	18.05%	27.78%	54.17%	-1.03	+15.3	35
2004-04-07	Zalaegerszeg	D 2-2	70.0	1507	1556	38.04%	30.32%	31.64%	+0.16	-0.3	23
2004-04-07	@ Videoton	D 2-2	70.0	1556	1507	31.64%	30.32%	38.04%	-0.16	+0.3	20

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2004-04-10	Videoton	L 0-4	48.5	1477	1507	40.70%	30.17%	29.13%	+0.29	-43.6	0
2004-04-10	@ Gyor	W 4-0	48.5	1507	1477	29.13%	30.17%	40.70%	-0.29	+43.6	3
2004-04-10	MTK Budapest	D 0-0	65.5	1686	1724	39.60%	30.24%	30.16%	+0.23	-0.6	1
2004-04-10	@ Balaton	D 0-0	65.5	1724	1686	30.16%	30.24%	39.60%	-0.23	+0.6	1
2004-04-10	Sopron	W 3-0	49.1	1717	1609	57.45%	26.72%	15.83%	+1.23	+15.6	3
2004-04-10	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-3	49.1	1609	1717	15.83%	26.72%	57.45%	-1.23	-15.6	0
2004-04-10	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 2-0	38.8	1499	1398	56.68%	26.99%	16.33%	+1.18	+11.1	3
2004-04-10	@ Bekescsaba	L 0-2	38.8	1398	1499	16.33%	26.99%	56.68%	-1.18	-11.1	0
2004-04-10	Zalaegerszeg	L 1-3	62.1	1560	1556	45.08%	29.71%	25.21%	+0.51	-21.5	0
2004-04-10	@ Pecsi MFC	W 3-1	62.1	1556	1560	25.21%	29.71%	45.08%	-0.51	+21.5	3
2004-04-11	Ujpest	W 2-0	52.9	1736	1675	52.11%	28.34%	19.54%	+0.90	+13.1	3
2004-04-11	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-2	52.9	1675	1736	19.54%	28.34%	52.11%	-0.90	-13.1	0
2004-04-17	Bekescsaba	W 3-0	45.3	1578	1511	52.90%	28.13%	18.96%	+0.95	+18.5	6
2004-04-17	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-3	45.3	1511	1578	18.96%	28.13%	52.90%	-0.95	-18.5	3
2004-04-17	Debrecen VSC	L 2-3	68.2	1593	1749	24.14%	29.52%	46.33%	-0.58	-7.4	0
2004-04-17	@ Sopron	W 3-2	68.2	1749	1593	46.33%	29.52%	24.14%	+0.58	+7.4	6
2004-04-17	Gyor	D 0-0	50.5	1387	1434	38.30%	30.31%	31.39%	+0.17	-0.4	1
2004-04-17	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	D 0-0	50.5	1434	1387	31.39%	30.31%	38.30%	-0.17	+0.4	1
2004-04-17	Pecsi MFC	D 3-3	74.6	1551	1538	46.27%	29.53%	24.20%	+0.57	-0.8	4
2004-04-17	@ Videoton	D 3-3	74.6	1538	1551	24.20%	29.53%	46.27%	-0.57	+0.8	1
2004-04-17	Balaton	D 1-1	70.3	1662	1685	41.63%	30.09%	28.28%	+0.33	-0.8	1
2004-04-17	@ Ujpest	D 1-1	70.3	1685	1662	28.28%	30.09%	41.63%	-0.33	+0.8	2
2004-04-18	Ferencvaros	W 1-0	58.6	1724	1733	43.51%	29.91%	26.59%	+0.43	+8.9	4
2004-04-18	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-1	58.6	1733	1724	26.59%	29.91%	43.51%	-0.43	-8.9	3
2004-04-21	Bekescsaba	W 3-0	44.2	1434	1492	36.78%	30.36%	32.86%	+0.09	+28.6	4
2004-04-21	@ Gyor	L 0-3	44.2	1492	1434	32.86%	30.36%	36.78%	-0.09	-28.6	3
2004-04-21	Videoton	W 1-0	52.2	1596	1550	50.47%	28.74%	20.79%	+0.81	+7.3	9
2004-04-21	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-1	52.2	1550	1596	20.79%	28.74%	50.47%	-0.81	-7.3	4
2004-04-21	MTK Budapest	D 2-2	77.5	1757	1733	47.65%	29.30%	23.05%	+0.65	-1.1	7
2004-04-21	@ Debrecen VSC	D 2-2	77.5	1733	1757	23.05%	29.30%	47.65%	-0.65	+1.1	5
2004-04-21	Balaton	L 0-4	60.5	1724	1686	49.43%	28.96%	21.61%	+0.75	-50.8	3
2004-04-21	@ Ferencvaros	W 4-0	60.5	1686	1724	21.61%	28.96%	49.43%	-0.75	+50.8	5
2004-04-21	Sopron	W 2-1	59.6	1662	1586	53.88%	27.86%	18.26%	+1.01	+6.1	4
2004-04-21	@ Ujpest	L 1-2	59.6	1586	1662	18.26%	27.86%	53.88%	-1.01	-6.1	0
2004-04-21	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 2-0	38.1	1539	1386	61.89%	24.98%	13.13%	+1.53	+8.8	4
2004-04-21	@ Pecsi MFC	L 0-2	38.1	1386	1539	13.13%	24.98%	61.89%	-1.53	-8.9	1
2004-05-01	Debrecen VSC	D 1-1	71.2	1737	1755	42.20%	30.04%	27.76%	+0.36	-0.8	6
2004-05-01	@ Balaton	D 1-1	71.2	1755	1737	27.76%	30.04%	42.20%	-0.36	+0.8	8
2004-05-01	Videoton	L 0-2	42.3	1378	1543	23.22%	29.34%	47.44%	-0.64	-15.1	1
2004-05-01	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	W 2-0	42.3	1543	1378	47.44%	29.34%	23.22%	+0.64	+15.1	7
2004-05-01	Pecsi MFC	D 1-1	62.0	1463	1548	33.00%	30.36%	36.64%	-0.09	+0.2	4
2004-05-01	@ Bekescsaba	D 1-1	62.0	1548	1463	36.64%	30.36%	33.00%	+0.09	-0.2	5
2004-05-01	Sopron	L 1-2	72.9	1734	1579	62.11%	24.88%	13.01%	+1.55	-16.1	5
2004-05-01	@ MTK Budapest	W 2-1	72.9	1579	1734	13.01%	24.88%	62.11%	-1.55	+16.1	3
2004-05-01	Zalaegerszeg	W 2-1	63.2	1463	1604	25.84%	29.80%	44.36%	-0.47	+12.3	7
2004-05-01	@ Gyor	L 1-2	63.2	1604	1463	44.36%	29.80%	25.84%	+0.47	-12.3	9
2004-05-02	Ujpest	L 0-1	63.4	1673	1668	45.37%	29.67%	24.97%	+0.53	-13.2	3
2004-05-02	@ Ferencvaros	W 1-0	63.4	1668	1673	24.97%	29.67%	45.37%	-0.53	+13.2	7
2004-05-08	Bekescsaba	L 1-3	61.3	1558	1464	55.86%	27.26%	16.88%	+1.13	-25.6	7
2004-05-08	@ Videoton	W 3-1	61.3	1464	1558	16.88%	27.26%	55.86%	-1.13	+25.6	7
2004-05-08	Gyor	L 0-2	54.7	1548	1475	53.47%	27.98%	18.55%	+0.98	-28.6	5
2004-05-08	@ Pecsi MFC	W 2-0	54.7	1475	1548	18.55%	27.98%	53.47%	-0.98	+28.6	10
2004-05-08	MTK Budapest	W 5-1	58.4	1681	1718	39.68%	30.24%	30.08%	+0.24	+29.2	10
2004-05-08	@ Ujpest	L 1-5	58.4	1718	1681	30.08%	30.24%	39.68%	-0.24	-29.2	5
2004-05-08	Balaton	W 3-0	58.6	1596	1736	25.89%	29.81%	44.30%	-0.47	+35.6	6
2004-05-08	@ Sopron	L 0-3	58.6	1736	1596	44.30%	29.81%	25.89%	+0.47	-35.6	6
2004-05-08	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 7-0	37.0	1591	1362	68.92%	21.54%	9.55%	+2.05	+19.8	12
2004-05-08	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-7	37.0	1362	1591	9.55%	21.54%	68.92%	-2.05	-19.8	1
2004-05-09	Ferencvaros	W 3-2	65.8	1756	1660	56.11%	27.18%	16.71%	+1.15	+5.4	11
2004-05-09	@ Debrecen VSC	L 2-3	65.8	1660	1756	16.71%	27.18%	56.11%	-1.15	-5.4	3
2004-05-12	Bekescsaba	W 2-1	55.4	1343	1489	25.18%	29.70%	45.12%	-0.51	+12.4	4
2004-05-12	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	L 1-2	55.4	1489	1343	45.12%	29.70%	25.18%	+0.51	-12.4	7
2004-05-12	Debrecen VSC	W 3-0	56.1	1710	1762	37.68%	30.33%	31.98%	+0.14	+28.1	13
2004-05-12	@ Ujpest	L 0-3	56.1	1762	1710	31.98%	30.33%	37.68%	-0.14	-28.1	11
2004-05-12	Ferencvaros	D 2-2	75.6	1631	1655	41.55%	30.10%	28.35%	+0.33	-0.6	7
2004-05-12	@ Sopron	D 2-2	75.6	1655	1631	28.35%	30.10%	41.55%	-0.33	+0.6	4
2004-05-12	Gyor	W 4-1	49.8	1532	1504	48.25%	29.19%	22.56%	+0.68	+18.1	10
2004-05-12	@ Videoton	L 1-4	49.8	1504	1532	22.56%	29.19%	48.25%	-0.68	-18.1	10
2004-05-12	Pecsi MFC	W 2-0	47.3	1611	1519	55.67%	27.32%	17.01%	+1.12	+11.5	15
2004-05-12	@ Zalaegerszeg	L 0-2	47.3	1519	1611	17.01%	27.32%	55.67%	-1.12	-11.5	5
2004-05-12	Balaton	L 0-2	60.3	1689	1700	43.15%	29.95%	26.91%	+0.41	-24.0	5
2004-05-12	@ MTK Budapest	W 2-0	60.3	1700	1689	26.91%	29.95%	43.15%	-0.41	+24.0	9
2004-05-15	Videoton	D 3-3	73.3	1508	1550	38.92%	30.28%	30.80%	+0.20	-0.3	6
2004-05-15	@ Pecsi MFC	D 3-3	73.3	1550	1508	30.80%	30.28%	38.92%	-0.20	+0.3	11
2004-05-15	Sopron	L 1-2	72.4	1734	1631	56.83%	26.94%	16.23%	+1.19	-15.0	11
2004-05-15	@ Debrecen VSC	W 2-1	72.4	1631	1734	16.23%	26.94%	56.83%	-1.19	+15.0	10
2004-05-15	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 3-2	50.2	1486	1355	59.71%	25.88%	14.41%	+1.38	+4.6	13
2004-05-15	@ Gyor	L 2-3	50.2	1355	1486	14.41%	25.88%	59.71%	-1.38	-4.6	4
2004-05-15	Ujpest	L 0-1	63.5	1724	1738	42.83%	29.98%	27.19%	+0.39	-12.7	9
2004-05-15	@ Balaton	W 1-0	63.5	1738	1724	27.19%	29.98%	42.83%	-0.39	+12.7	16
2004-05-15	Zalaegerszeg	L 2-3	63.5	1477	1623	25.26%	29.72%	45.02%	-0.51	-7.7	7
2004-05-15	@ Bekescsaba	W 3-2	63.5	1623	1477	45.02%	29.72%	25.26%	+0.51	+7.7	18
2004-05-16	MTK Budapest	W 2-0	54.7	1655	1665	43.39%	29.92%	26.69%	+0.42	+16.9	7
2004-05-16	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	54.7	1665	1655	26.69%	29.92%	43.39%	-0.42	-16.9	5
2004-05-19	Debrecen VSC	L 0-1	60.7	1648	1719	34.95%	30.38%	34.67%	+0.01	-10.9	5
2004-05-19	@ MTK Budapest	W 1-0	60.7	1719	1648	34.67%	30.38%	34.95%	-0.01	+10.9	14
2004-05-19	Ferencvaros	L 2-3	76.0	1712	1672	49.63%	28.92%	21.45%	+0.76	-12.7	9
2004-05-19	@ Balaton	W 3-2	76.0	1672	1712	21.45%	28.92%	49.63%	-0.76	+12.7	10
2004-05-19	Gyor	W 2-0	45.4	1469	1490	41.87%	30.07%	28.06%	+0.34	+17.5	10
2004-05-19	@ Bekescsaba	L 0-2	45.4	1490	1469	28.06%	30.07%	41.87%	-0.34	-17.5	13
2004-05-19	Pecsi MFC	D 1-1	56.9	1350	1507	24.07%	29.51%	46.42%	-0.58	+1.4	5
2004-05-19	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	D 1-1	56.9	1507	1350	46.42%	29.51%	24.07%	+0.58	-1.4	7
2004-05-19	Ujpest	D 1-1	70.6	1646	1751	30.18%	30.24%	39.58%	-0.23	+0.5	11
2004-05-19	@ Sopron	D 1-1	70.6	1751	1646	39.58%	30.24%	30.18%	+0.23	-0.5	17
2004-05-19	Zalaegerszeg	W 5-0	54.2	1550	1631	33.59%	30.38%	36.03%	-0.06	+49.1	14
2004-05-19	@ Videoton	L 0-5	54.2	1631	1550	36.03%	30.38%	33.59%	+0.06	-49.1	18
2004-05-22	Bekescsaba	W 3-0	43.5	1506	1487	47.11%	29.40%	23.49%	+0.62	+22.2	10
2004-05-22	@ Pecsi MFC	L 0-3	43.5	1487	1506	23.49%	29.40%	47.11%	-0.62	-22.2	10
2004-05-22	Gyor	L 0-1	59.5	1581	1473	57.43%	26.73%	15.84%	+1.23	-16.1	18
2004-05-22	@ Zalaegerszeg	W 1-0	59.5	1473	1581	15.84%	26.73%	57.43%	-1.23	+16.1	16
2004-05-22	MTK Budapest	W 4-1	57.0	1646	1637	45.84%	29.60%	24.56%	+0.55	+19.4	14
2004-05-22	@ Sopron	L 1-4	57.0	1637	1646	24.56%	29.60%	45.84%	-0.55	-19.4	5
2004-05-22	Balaton	W 3-0	52.6	1729	1699	48.52%	29.14%	22.34%	+0.70	+21.3	17
2004-05-22	@ Debrecen VSC	L 0-3	52.6	1699	1729	22.34%	29.14%	48.52%	-0.70	-21.3	9
2004-05-22	Szombathelyi Haladas	W 6-1	37.5	1600	1352	70.51%	20.66%	8.83%	+2.18	+10.9	17
2004-05-22	@ Videoton	L 1-6	37.5	1352	1600	8.83%	20.66%	70.51%	-2.18	-10.9	5
2004-05-23	Ferencvaros	W 1-0	55.8	1750	1685	52.69%	28.19%	19.12%	+0.94	+6.8	20
2004-05-23	@ Ujpest	L 0-1	55.8	1685	1750	19.12%	28.19%	52.69%	-0.94	-6.8	10
2004-05-26	Videoton	W 2-0	54.6	1465	1610	25.27%	29.72%	45.01%	-0.51	+24.8	13
2004-05-26	@ Bekescsaba	L 0-2	54.6	1610	1465	45.01%	29.72%	25.27%	+0.51	-24.8	17
2004-05-26	Pecsi MFC	L 1-3	57.0	1489	1528	39.37%	30.26%	30.37%	+0.22	-19.4	16
2004-05-26	@ Gyor	W 3-1	57.0	1528	1489	30.37%	30.26%	39.37%	-0.22	+19.4	13
2004-05-26	Zalaegerszeg	D 1-1	59.0	1341	1565	17.84%	27.69%	54.47%	-1.04	+2.3	6
2004-05-26	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	D 1-1	59.0	1565	1341	54.47%	27.69%	17.84%	+1.04	-2.3	19
2004-05-27	Debrecen VSC	W 3-1	64.4	1678	1751	34.64%	30.38%	34.97%	-0.01	+17.8	13
2004-05-27	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-3	64.4	1751	1678	34.97%	30.38%	34.64%	+0.01	-17.8	17
2004-05-27	Sopron	L 0-1	63.6	1678	1666	46.22%	29.54%	24.23%	+0.57	-13.5	9
2004-05-27	@ Balaton	W 1-0	63.6	1666	1678	24.23%	29.54%	46.22%	-0.57	+13.4	17
2004-05-27	Ujpest	D 1-1	70.6	1618	1757	25.98%	29.82%	44.19%	-0.46	+1.1	6
2004-05-27	@ MTK Budapest	D 1-1	70.6	1757	1618	44.19%	29.82%	25.98%	+0.46	-1.1	21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2003-11-22	12.22%	Szombathelyi Haladas	1437	2	@ Videoton	1606	1
2	2004-05-01	13.01%	Sopron	1579	2	@ MTK Budapest	1734	1
3	2003-08-09	15.81%	Pecsi MFC	1587	2	@ MTK Budapest	1696	1
4	2004-05-22	15.84%	Gyor	1473	1	@ Zalaegerszeg	1581	0
5	2004-05-15	16.23%	Sopron	1631	2	@ Debrecen VSC	1734	1
6	2003-09-20	16.77%	Gyor	1503	2	@ Sopron	1599	1
7	2004-05-08	16.88%	Bekescsaba	1464	3	@ Videoton	1558	1
8	2003-08-02	17.43%	Sopron	1549	3	@ Ujpest	1635	1
9	2004-04-07	18.05%	Ujpest	1660	1	@ MTK Budapest	1739	0
10	2003-10-19	18.23%	Zalaegerszeg	1539	1	@ Balaton	1616	0
11	2004-05-08	18.55%	Gyor	1475	2	@ Pecsi MFC	1548	0
12	2004-03-13	18.69%	Bekescsaba	1503	2	@ Videoton	1573	1
13	2003-11-01	19.63%	Balaton	1624	1	@ Ferencvaros	1683	0
14	2004-05-19	21.45%	Ferencvaros	1672	3	@ Balaton	1712	2
15	2004-04-21	21.61%	Balaton	1686	4	@ Ferencvaros	1724	0
16	2003-11-22	21.66%	Balaton	1672	1	@ Debrecen VSC	1709	0
17	2004-05-27	24.23%	Sopron	1666	1	@ Balaton	1678	0
18	2004-05-02	24.97%	Ujpest	1668	1	@ Ferencvaros	1673	0
19	2003-10-04	25.01%	Videoton	1608	2	@ Ujpest	1613	1
20	2004-05-12	25.18%	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	1343	2	Bekescsaba	1489	1
21	2004-04-10	25.21%	Zalaegerszeg	1556	3	@ Pecsi MFC	1560	1
22	2004-05-26	25.27%	@ Bekescsaba	1465	2	Videoton	1610	0
23	2004-05-01	25.84%	@ Gyor	1463	2	Zalaegerszeg	1604	1
24	2004-05-08	25.89%	@ Sopron	1596	3	Balaton	1736	0
25	2003-11-02	26.68%	@ Sopron	1579	2	MTK Budapest	1713	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-04-21	50.79	Balaton	4	1686	21.61%	@ Ferencvaros	0	1724	49.43%	28.96%
2	2004-05-19	49.13	@ Videoton	5	1550	33.59%	Zalaegerszeg	0	1631	36.03%	30.38%
3	2003-11-01	45.48	@ Gyor	6	1506	44.59%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1506	25.64%	29.77%
4	2003-10-05	44.21	@ Debrecen VSC	5	1666	38.67%	Ferencvaros	0	1711	31.04%	30.29%
5	2004-04-10	43.58	Videoton	4	1507	29.13%	@ Gyor	0	1477	40.70%	30.17%
6	2003-10-04	36.32	@ Zalaegerszeg	4	1503	38.11%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1551	31.57%	30.32%
7	2004-05-08	35.61	@ Sopron	3	1596	25.89%	Balaton	0	1736	44.30%	29.81%
8	2004-04-03	33.83	@ Sopron	5	1575	48.94%	Videoton	0	1541	22.00%	29.06%
9	2003-08-23	31.56	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	3	1516	31.91%	Videoton	0	1609	37.76%	30.33%
10	2004-05-08	29.22	@ Ujpest	5	1681	39.68%	MTK Budapest	1	1718	30.08%	30.24%
11	2004-04-21	28.61	@ Gyor	3	1434	36.78%	Bekescsaba	0	1492	32.86%	30.36%
12	2004-05-08	28.56	Gyor	2	1475	18.55%	@ Pecsi MFC	0	1548	53.47%	27.98%
13	2004-05-12	28.06	@ Ujpest	3	1710	37.68%	Debrecen VSC	0	1762	31.98%	30.33%
14	2003-11-15	27.01	Balaton	4	1645	49.46%	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1464	21.59%	28.96%
15	2004-05-08	25.64	Bekescsaba	3	1464	16.88%	@ Videoton	1	1558	55.86%	27.26%
16	2003-08-02	25.33	Sopron	3	1549	17.43%	@ Ujpest	1	1635	55.06%	27.51%
17	2004-05-26	24.83	@ Bekescsaba	2	1465	25.27%	Videoton	0	1610	45.01%	29.72%
18	2004-03-20	24.35	@ Sopron	5	1548	58.18%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1432	15.36%	26.46%
19	2004-05-12	24.02	Balaton	2	1700	26.91%	@ MTK Budapest	0	1689	43.15%	29.95%
20	2004-03-14	23.48	MTK Budapest	2	1711	28.05%	@ Balaton	0	1690	41.88%	30.07%
21	2003-10-25	23.44	Balaton	2	1600	28.12%	@ Pecsi MFC	0	1579	41.80%	30.08%
22	2003-08-03	22.32	@ Pecsi MFC	3	1565	46.88%	Bekescsaba	0	1547	23.68%	29.44%
23	2004-05-22	22.18	@ Pecsi MFC	3	1506	47.11%	Bekescsaba	0	1487	23.49%	29.40%
24	2004-04-10	21.53	Zalaegerszeg	3	1556	25.21%	@ Pecsi MFC	1	1560	45.08%	29.71%
25	2003-09-13	21.37	@ Videoton	2	1587	32.76%	Debrecen VSC	0	1673	36.88%	30.36%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-10-31	80.2	@ Debrecen VSC	3	1697	55.08%	Ujpest	3	1611	17.41%	27.51%
2	2004-03-20	77.6	@ MTK Budapest	2	1735	64.09%	Videoton	2	1559	11.93%	23.99%
3	2004-04-21	77.5	@ Debrecen VSC	2	1757	47.65%	MTK Budapest	2	1733	23.05%	29.30%
4	2004-04-03	77.1	@ Debrecen VSC	2	1717	41.88%	MTK Budapest	2	1738	28.04%	30.07%
5	2003-08-02	76.0	@ Ferencvaros	2	1669	53.59%	Videoton	2	1595	18.46%	27.95%
6	2004-05-19	76.0	Ferencvaros	3	1672	21.45%	@ Balaton	2	1712	49.63%	28.92%
7	2004-05-12	75.6	@ Sopron	2	1631	41.55%	Ferencvaros	2	1655	28.35%	30.10%
8	2004-04-07	75.0	@ Bekescsaba	3	1499	29.60%	Sopron	3	1609	40.20%	30.21%
9	2004-04-17	74.6	@ Videoton	3	1551	46.27%	Pecsi MFC	3	1538	24.20%	29.53%
10	2004-05-15	73.3	@ Pecsi MFC	3	1508	38.92%	Videoton	3	1550	30.80%	30.28%
11	2004-05-01	72.9	Sopron	2	1579	13.01%	@ MTK Budapest	1	1734	62.11%	24.88%
12	2003-11-14	72.8	@ Gyor	2	1545	36.32%	Videoton	2	1606	33.31%	30.37%
13	2004-05-15	72.4	Sopron	2	1631	16.23%	@ Debrecen VSC	1	1734	56.83%	26.94%
14	2003-09-20	71.7	@ Bekescsaba	2	1505	30.50%	Videoton	2	1608	39.23%	30.26%
15	2003-08-09	71.6	Pecsi MFC	2	1587	15.81%	@ MTK Budapest	1	1696	57.48%	26.71%
16	2004-05-01	71.2	@ Balaton	1	1737	42.20%	Debrecen VSC	1	1755	27.76%	30.04%
17	2003-11-22	70.9	@ MTK Budapest	1	1709	47.47%	Ferencvaros	1	1687	23.19%	29.34%
18	2003-12-06	70.7	@ Sopron	2	1564	52.61%	Bekescsaba	2	1499	19.18%	28.21%
19	2004-05-19	70.6	@ Sopron	1	1646	30.18%	Ujpest	1	1751	39.58%	30.24%
20	2004-05-27	70.6	@ MTK Budapest	1	1618	25.98%	Ujpest	1	1757	44.19%	29.82%
21	2004-04-17	70.3	@ Ujpest	1	1662	41.63%	Balaton	1	1685	28.28%	30.09%
22	2003-08-31	70.1	@ Bekescsaba	2	1517	40.52%	Szombathelyi Haladas	2	1548	29.30%	30.18%
23	2003-10-25	70.0	@ Ujpest	1	1610	30.44%	MTK Budapest	1	1713	39.29%	30.26%
24	2004-04-07	70.0	@ Videoton	2	1507	38.04%	Zalaegerszeg	2	1556	31.64%	30.32%
25	2003-09-01	69.7	@ Ujpest	1	1625	38.05%	Ferencvaros	1	1674	31.63%	30.32%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-05-08	37.0	@ Zalaegerszeg	7	1591	68.92%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1362	9.55%	21.54%
2	2004-05-22	37.5	@ Videoton	6	1600	70.51%	Szombathelyi Haladas	1	1352	8.83%	20.66%
3	2004-04-21	38.1	@ Pecsi MFC	2	1539	61.89%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1386	13.13%	24.98%
4	2004-04-10	38.8	@ Bekescsaba	2	1499	56.68%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1398	16.33%	26.99%
5	2004-03-20	40.1	@ Sopron	5	1548	58.18%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1432	15.36%	26.46%
6	2004-05-01	42.3	Videoton	2	1543	47.44%	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1378	23.22%	29.34%
7	2004-03-06	43.5	@ MTK Budapest	2	1706	70.95%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1453	8.64%	20.41%
8	2004-05-22	43.5	@ Pecsi MFC	3	1506	47.11%	Bekescsaba	0	1487	23.49%	29.40%
9	2004-04-21	44.2	@ Gyor	3	1434	36.78%	Bekescsaba	0	1492	32.86%	30.36%
10	2004-04-04	44.8	@ Ferencvaros	4	1699	65.22%	Gyor	0	1511	11.34%	23.44%
11	2003-11-15	45.2	@ Ferencvaros	2	1680	65.76%	Bekescsaba	0	1486	11.06%	23.18%
12	2004-04-17	45.3	@ Zalaegerszeg	3	1578	52.90%	Bekescsaba	0	1511	18.96%	28.13%
13	2004-05-19	45.4	@ Bekescsaba	2	1469	41.87%	Gyor	0	1490	28.06%	30.07%
14	2003-10-03	45.8	@ MTK Budapest	2	1689	65.55%	Bekescsaba	0	1498	11.17%	23.28%
15	2003-11-01	46.0	@ Gyor	6	1506	44.59%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1506	25.64%	29.77%
16	2003-10-25	46.8	@ Ferencvaros	2	1675	62.63%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1515	12.72%	24.65%
17	2003-08-31	46.9	@ Debrecen VSC	4	1652	57.27%	Zalaegerszeg	0	1545	15.94%	26.79%
18	2003-11-15	46.9	Balaton	4	1645	49.46%	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1464	21.59%	28.96%
19	2003-08-02	47.1	@ Debrecen VSC	3	1649	56.98%	Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1545	16.13%	26.89%
20	2003-08-09	47.1	@ Videoton	2	1597	54.43%	Gyor	0	1516	17.87%	27.70%
21	2003-09-12	47.1	@ Balaton	2	1612	56.00%	Bekescsaba	0	1517	16.79%	27.21%
22	2004-05-12	47.3	@ Zalaegerszeg	2	1611	55.67%	Pecsi MFC	0	1519	17.01%	27.32%
23	2004-03-16	47.4	Ujpest	2	1614	47.75%	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1447	22.96%	29.29%
24	2004-03-28	47.4	Zalaegerszeg	1	1547	44.10%	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1408	26.06%	29.84%
25	2004-04-07	47.4	Ferencvaros	1	1713	63.34%	@ Szombathelyi Haladas	0	1402	12.33%	24.33%