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2015-16 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Ferencvaros

76 points · 29th Title

Last Title: 2003-04

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Szombathelyi Haladas

15.16 points above expected

50 points · 34.84 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bekescsaba

8.70 points below expected

27 points · 35.70 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ferencvaros Champion 33 24 4 5 76 69 23 +46 68.15 +7.85
2 Videoton 33 17 4 12 55 42 29 +13 58.90 -3.90
3 Debrecen VSC 33 14 11 8 53 48 34 +14 54.95 -1.95
4 MTK Budapest 33 14 9 10 51 39 37 +2 50.79 +0.21
5 Szombathelyi Haladas 33 13 11 9 50 33 37 -4 34.84 +15.16
6 Ujpest 33 11 13 9 46 42 37 +5 48.71 -2.71
7 Paks 33 12 7 14 43 41 40 +1 49.09 -6.09
8 Honved 33 12 7 14 43 40 39 +1 38.59 +4.41
9 Diosgyor 33 10 8 15 38 37 47 -10 42.52 -4.52
10 Vasas 33 9 5 19 32 32 54 -22 30.57 +1.43
11 Puskas 33 7 10 16 31 35 51 -16 34.82 -3.82
12 Bekescsaba 33 6 9 18 27 25 55 -30 35.70 -8.70

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Szombathelyi Haladas 50 34.84 +15.16
2 Ferencvaros 76 68.15 +7.85
3 Honved 43 38.59 +4.41
4 Vasas 32 30.57 +1.43
5 MTK Budapest 51 50.79 +0.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bekescsaba 27 35.70 -8.70
2 Paks 43 49.09 -6.09
3 Diosgyor 38 42.52 -4.52
4 Videoton 55 58.90 -3.90
5 Puskas 31 34.82 -3.82

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ferencvaros 9 Jul 19 – Sep 19 1 in 359
2 Honved 3 Mar 12 – Apr 2 1 in 49
3 Videoton 4 Apr 16 – Apr 30 1 in 43
4 Ujpest 4 Oct 24 – Nov 28 1 in 32
5 Paks 5 Oct 3 – Nov 21 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MTK Budapest 3 Apr 20 – Apr 30 1 in 88
2 Vasas 6 Oct 3 – Nov 28 1 in 56
3 Bekescsaba 4 Jul 19 – Aug 8 1 in 47
4 Videoton 3 Aug 8 – Aug 23 1 in 40
5 Paks 4 Apr 6 – Apr 16 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Szombathelyi Haladas 10 Jul 25 – Oct 3 1 in 1,680
2 Ujpest 10 Oct 24 – Feb 27 1 in 81
3 Bekescsaba 3 Feb 20 – Mar 5 1 in 30
4 Ferencvaros 14 Jul 19 – Oct 31 1 in 26
5 Paks 10 Sep 12 – Dec 2 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ujpest 9 Aug 8 – Oct 17 1 in 121
2 Videoton 4 Mar 9 – Apr 2 1 in 20
3 Debrecen VSC 3 Jul 26 – Aug 9 1 in 18
4 Ferencvaros 3 Apr 16 – Apr 23 1 in 17
5 Puskas 9 Aug 29 – Nov 21 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ferencvaros 1584 76 -5 8 10.4 -2.4
Videoton 1506 55 +42 13 8.2 +4.8
Debrecen VSC 1458 53 +14 11 8.5 +2.5
MTK Budapest 1382 51 -36 4 7.6 -3.6
Szombathelyi Haladas 1310 50 +17 10 5.3 +4.7
Ujpest 1401 46 -21 3 7.0 -4.0
Honved 1351 43 -5 6 6.6 -0.6
Paks 1381 43 -3 4 6.2 -2.2
Diosgyor 1344 38 -15 4 6.5 -2.5
Vasas 1268 32 +16 8 4.9 +3.1
Puskas 1280 31 +4 7 5.5 +1.5
Bekescsaba 1282 27 +0 5 5.7 -0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BEK DV DIO FER HON MB PAK PUS SH UJP VAS VID
Bekescsaba —
0-1-2
3.00
0-2-1
3.79
0-0-3
1.73
0-0-3
3.56
0-2-1
2.66
1-0-2
2.75
3-0-0
3.80
0-1-2
3.74
1-0-2
3.36
0-1-2
5.04
1-2-0
2.10
Debrecen VSC
2-1-0
5.28
—
3-0-0
5.51
1-0-2
3.30
0-2-1
5.97
2-0-1
4.79
2-1-0
4.31
1-2-0
6.19
0-2-1
5.60
1-2-0
4.94
2-1-0
5.85
0-0-3
3.63
Diosgyor
1-2-0
4.46
0-0-3
2.80
—
0-1-2
2.09
1-0-2
4.74
0-2-1
3.29
0-2-1
3.85
2-0-1
5.14
1-1-1
4.98
1-0-2
3.14
3-0-0
4.88
1-0-2
3.17
Ferencvaros
3-0-0
6.72
2-0-1
4.96
2-1-0
6.30
—
2-0-1
6.80
1-1-1
5.99
3-0-0
6.02
2-1-0
7.03
3-0-0
6.37
1-1-1
6.13
3-0-0
6.70
2-0-1
4.67
Honved
3-0-0
4.72
1-2-0
2.38
2-0-1
3.51
1-0-2
1.67
—
1-0-2
2.91
1-1-1
3.52
1-1-1
4.24
0-1-2
4.85
0-1-2
3.05
0-1-2
5.19
2-0-1
2.86
MTK Budapest
1-2-0
5.68
1-0-2
3.47
1-2-0
4.97
1-1-1
2.36
2-0-1
5.38
—
1-1-1
4.04
2-0-1
5.65
1-1-1
5.64
1-2-0
3.72
2-0-1
5.92
1-0-2
3.15
Paks
2-0-1
5.55
0-1-2
3.94
1-2-0
4.40
0-0-3
2.35
1-1-1
4.74
1-1-1
4.20
—
1-0-2
5.11
1-0-2
5.60
1-2-0
3.83
3-0-0
5.86
1-0-2
3.66
Puskas
0-0-3
4.44
0-2-1
2.19
1-0-2
3.13
0-1-2
1.50
1-1-1
3.99
1-0-2
2.68
2-0-1
3.16
—
0-2-1
4.42
0-3-0
2.64
2-0-1
4.14
0-1-2
2.57
Szombathelyi Haladas
2-1-0
4.51
1-2-0
2.72
1-1-1
3.28
0-0-3
2.03
2-1-0
3.42
1-1-1
2.67
2-0-1
2.70
1-2-0
3.82
—
0-2-1
3.27
1-1-1
4.84
2-0-1
2.09
Ujpest
2-0-1
4.89
0-2-1
3.32
2-0-1
5.15
1-1-1
2.24
2-1-0
5.23
0-2-1
4.52
0-2-1
4.44
0-3-0
5.68
1-2-0
4.99
—
2-0-1
5.31
1-0-2
3.75
Vasas
2-1-0
3.23
0-1-2
2.48
0-0-3
3.38
0-0-3
1.76
2-1-0
3.08
1-0-2
2.43
0-0-3
2.47
1-0-2
4.10
1-1-1
3.41
1-0-2
2.97
—
1-1-1
1.92
Videoton
0-2-1
6.31
3-0-0
4.62
2-0-1
5.09
1-0-2
3.59
1-0-2
5.43
2-0-1
5.12
2-0-1
4.58
2-1-0
5.74
1-0-2
6.31
2-0-1
4.50
1-1-1
6.50
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +10.9
Allowed 0.92 -12.9
Differential 0.94 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%12.12%5.56%2.78%1.01%1.01%30.05%
112.12%11.62%8.59%2.53%0.76%0.25%35.86%
25.56%8.59%5.05%2.02%0.76%0.25%22.22%
32.78%2.53%2.02%0.51%——7.83%
41.01%0.76%0.76%———2.53%
5+1.01%0.25%0.25%———1.52%
Total30.05%35.86%22.22%7.83%2.53%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.15 1.15 1.70
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%9.09%3.03%6.06%3.03%45.45%
16.06%18.18%3.03%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
26.06%6.06%—9.09%——21.21%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%39.39%12.12%15.15%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.67 -0.91
SD 0.79 1.57 1.84
CV 1.05 0.94 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%—9.09%——30.30%
115.15%15.15%3.03%———33.33%
26.06%3.03%6.06%———15.15%
3—6.06%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total36.36%36.36%15.15%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.03 +0.42
SD 1.56 1.02 1.92
CV 1.07 0.99 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%9.09%——3.03%27.27%
13.03%15.15%18.18%6.06%——42.42%
23.03%15.15%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%42.42%33.33%6.06%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.42 -0.30
SD 0.93 1.03 1.53
CV 0.83 0.72 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%————12.12%
115.15%—6.06%———21.21%
218.18%9.09%9.09%———36.36%
36.06%9.09%————15.15%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
Total48.48%33.33%18.18%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 0.70 +1.39
SD 1.40 0.77 1.56
CV 0.67 1.10 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%——33.33%
13.03%3.03%21.21%3.03%——30.30%
23.03%18.18%————21.21%
36.06%—3.03%3.03%——12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.18 +0.03
SD 1.14 0.95 1.45
CV 0.94 0.80 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%——3.03%30.30%
121.21%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total36.36%33.33%21.21%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.12 +0.06
SD 1.16 1.22 1.77
CV 0.98 1.09 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%12.12%——3.03%42.42%
13.03%12.12%3.03%———18.18%
212.12%3.03%—3.03%—3.03%21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+———————
Total30.30%39.39%21.21%3.03%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.21 +0.03
SD 1.35 1.27 1.93
CV 1.08 1.05 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
112.12%15.15%12.12%———39.39%
2—6.06%6.06%9.09%6.06%—27.27%
3———————
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%33.33%24.24%12.12%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.55 -0.48
SD 0.93 1.23 1.25
CV 0.88 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%6.06%——24.24%
127.27%18.18%3.03%6.06%——54.55%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%21.21%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.12 -0.12
SD 0.75 1.02 1.24
CV 0.75 0.91 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%—6.06%——21.21%
19.09%21.21%9.09%———39.39%
29.09%6.06%12.12%3.03%——30.30%
33.03%6.06%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%42.42%21.21%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.12 +0.15
SD 0.91 0.93 1.35
CV 0.72 0.83 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
19.09%6.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%39.39%
26.06%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—18.18%
3——3.03%———3.03%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%24.24%30.30%9.09%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.64 -0.67
SD 0.98 1.37 1.78
CV 1.01 0.83 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%18.18%6.06%———27.27%
121.21%6.06%9.09%3.03%——39.39%
23.03%12.12%3.03%———18.18%
39.09%—3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total39.39%36.36%21.21%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.88 +0.39
SD 1.18 0.86 1.62
CV 0.93 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ferencvaros 1584 76 68.15 +7.85 91.0% 50 55 63 69 73 77 83
Videoton 1506 55 58.90 -3.90 34.0% 38 45 54 59 64 70 80
Debrecen VSC 1458 53 54.95 -1.95 42.0% 36 40 50 55 60 67 72
Ujpest 1401 46 48.71 -2.71 41.0% 31 37 43 48 54 59 67
MTK Budapest 1382 51 50.79 +0.21 57.0% 34 39 46 50 55 63 68
Paks 1381 43 49.09 -6.09 24.0% 38 39 44 48 54 61 65
Honved 1351 43 38.59 +4.41 71.0% 16 26 33 38 45 51 60
Diosgyor 1344 38 42.52 -4.52 27.0% 25 30 38 43 47 52 57
Szombathelyi Haladas 1310 50 34.84 +15.16 99.0% 21 25 30 35 39 44 59
Bekescsaba 1282 27 35.70 -8.70 11.0% 16 23 32 36 40 46 55
Puskas 1280 31 34.82 -3.82 32.0% 19 23 29 35 39 46 56
Vasas 1268 32 30.57 +1.43 63.0% 14 21 26 31 35 40 44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.74%
Clear Edge
49.49%24.75%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
218 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
084.08600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
70%
Ferencvaros, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.64/gm
Runaway
00.241/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.67 * Some Luck: 5.67 to 8.51 * Lucky: 8.51 to 11.35 * Wild Swing: 11.35 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.18 * Close: 1.18 to 1.78 * Off: 1.78 to 2.37 * Way Off: 2.37 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.37 points
Some Luck
07.0918
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.483
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Szombathelyi Haladas
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
11.00%
Bekescsaba
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 96.86
1.75
Moderate Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Even
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.90
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.67
Strong Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.83
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.126
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ferencvaros70.00%19.00%6.00%5.00%————————
Videoton16.00%35.00%25.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%———
Debrecen VSC9.00%21.00%17.00%18.00%15.00%12.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%——
MTK Budapest3.00%8.00%18.00%19.00%22.00%14.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%
Szombathelyi Haladas——1.00%—3.00%2.00%8.00%15.00%20.00%15.00%17.00%19.00%
Ujpest2.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%22.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%—1.00%
Paks—9.00%13.00%13.00%18.00%17.00%16.00%10.00%4.00%———
Honved——1.00%6.00%5.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%19.00%12.00%9.00%
Diosgyor—1.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%14.00%24.00%14.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%
Vasas—————1.00%3.00%6.00%13.00%20.00%19.00%38.00%
Puskas——1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%17.00%15.00%19.00%22.00%16.00%
Bekescsaba——1.00%1.00%—8.00%5.00%14.00%19.00%15.00%23.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Debrecen VSC 100% —
Ferencvaros 100% —
Paks 100% —
Videoton 100% —
MTK Budapest 99.00% 1.00%
Ujpest 99.00% 1.00%
Diosgyor 91.00% 9.00%
Honved 79.00% 21.00%
Szombathelyi Haladas 64.00% 36.00%
Bekescsaba 63.00% 37.00%
Puskas 62.00% 38.00%
Vasas 43.00% 57.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2015-07-18 Videoton W 1-049.1 1305 1504 23.16% 24.37% 52.47%-0.52 +7.5 3
2015-07-18 @ Honved L 0-149.1 1504 1305 52.47% 24.37% 23.16%+0.52 -7.5 0
2015-07-18 Paks D 0-051.7 1389 1404 46.59% 25.54% 27.88%+0.32 -0.6 1
2015-07-18 @ Ujpest D 0-051.7 1404 1389 27.88% 25.54% 46.59%-0.32 +0.7 1
2015-07-18 Puskas W 1-036.4 1391 1306 59.16% 22.35% 18.48%+0.78 +3.1 3
2015-07-18 @ MTK Budapest L 0-136.4 1306 1391 18.48% 22.35% 59.16%-0.78 -3.1 0
2015-07-18 Vasas W 2-141.3 1384 1276 61.75% 21.38% 16.86%+0.88 +2.7 3
2015-07-18 @ Diosgyor L 1-241.3 1276 1384 16.86% 21.38% 61.75%-0.88 -2.7 0
2015-07-19 Debrecen VSC L 2-356.1 1364 1458 35.53% 26.23% 38.23%-0.04 -5.0 0
2015-07-19 @ Bekescsaba W 3-256.1 1458 1364 38.23% 26.23% 35.53%+0.04 +5.0 3
2015-07-19 Ferencvaros L 0-235.2 1273 1494 21.08% 23.60% 55.32%-0.63 -6.7 0
2015-07-19 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-035.2 1494 1273 55.32% 23.60% 21.08%+0.63 +6.7 3
2015-07-25 Bekescsaba W 4-033.8 1405 1359 54.34% 23.88% 21.78%+0.59 +13.1 4
2015-07-25 @ Paks L 0-433.8 1359 1405 21.78% 23.88% 54.34%-0.59 -13.2 0
2015-07-25 MTK Budapest W 2-149.2 1313 1394 37.24% 26.25% 36.51%+0.01 +5.3 6
2015-07-25 @ Honved L 1-249.2 1394 1313 36.51% 26.25% 37.24%-0.01 -5.3 3
2015-07-25 Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-152.0 1496 1266 74.08% 15.61% 10.31%+1.44 -9.8 0
2015-07-25 @ Videoton W 1-052.0 1266 1496 10.31% 15.61% 74.08%-1.44 +9.8 3
2015-07-25 Ujpest L 1-344.0 1273 1389 32.53% 26.10% 41.38%-0.14 -8.5 0
2015-07-25 @ Vasas W 3-144.0 1389 1273 41.38% 26.10% 32.53%+0.14 +8.5 4
2015-07-26 Diosgyor W 3-142.2 1501 1386 62.45% 21.11% 16.44%+0.91 +4.5 6
2015-07-26 @ Ferencvaros L 1-342.2 1386 1501 16.44% 21.11% 62.45%-0.91 -4.5 3
2015-07-26 Puskas D 1-158.3 1463 1303 67.35% 18.97% 13.68%+1.12 -1.8 4
2015-07-26 @ Debrecen VSC D 1-158.3 1303 1463 13.68% 18.97% 67.35%-1.12 +1.8 1
2015-08-01 Bekescsaba W 2-034.9 1397 1346 55.02% 23.69% 21.29%+0.62 +6.8 7
2015-08-01 @ Ujpest L 0-234.9 1346 1397 21.29% 23.69% 55.02%-0.62 -6.8 0
2015-08-01 Videoton L 1-251.9 1382 1486 34.03% 26.18% 39.79%-0.09 -5.1 3
2015-08-01 @ Diosgyor W 2-151.9 1486 1382 39.79% 26.18% 34.03%+0.09 +5.1 3
2015-08-01 Ferencvaros L 0-234.6 1264 1505 19.46% 22.86% 57.68%-0.72 -6.2 0
2015-08-01 @ Vasas W 2-034.6 1505 1264 57.68% 22.86% 19.46%+0.72 +6.2 9
2015-08-01 MTK Budapest D 2-260.8 1276 1389 32.87% 26.12% 41.01%-0.13 +0.2 4
2015-08-01 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 2-260.8 1389 1276 41.01% 26.12% 32.87%+0.13 -0.2 4
2015-08-01 Paks W 1-044.6 1304 1418 32.83% 26.12% 41.05%-0.13 +6.2 4
2015-08-01 @ Puskas L 0-144.6 1418 1304 41.05% 26.12% 32.83%+0.13 -6.2 4
2015-08-02 Debrecen VSC D 3-366.1 1318 1461 29.10% 25.73% 45.17%-0.27 +0.3 7
2015-08-02 @ Honved D 3-366.1 1461 1318 45.17% 25.73% 29.10%+0.27 -0.3 5
2015-08-08 Diosgyor W 5-035.8 1389 1377 50.12% 24.91% 24.98%+0.44 +18.4 7
2015-08-08 @ MTK Budapest L 0-535.8 1377 1389 24.98% 24.91% 50.12%-0.44 -18.4 3
2015-08-08 Ferencvaros L 1-356.5 1491 1512 45.85% 25.64% 28.51%+0.29 -11.0 3
2015-08-08 @ Videoton W 3-156.5 1512 1491 28.51% 25.64% 45.85%-0.29 +11.0 12
2015-08-08 Honved W 3-139.3 1412 1318 60.05% 22.03% 17.92%+0.81 +4.9 7
2015-08-08 @ Paks L 1-339.3 1318 1412 17.92% 22.03% 60.05%-0.81 -4.9 7
2015-08-08 Puskas D 2-262.6 1404 1311 60.06% 22.03% 17.91%+0.81 -1.0 8
2015-08-08 @ Ujpest D 2-262.6 1311 1404 17.91% 22.03% 60.06%-0.81 +1.0 5
2015-08-08 Vasas L 0-244.1 1340 1258 58.67% 22.53% 18.80%+0.76 -15.5 0
2015-08-08 @ Bekescsaba W 2-044.1 1258 1340 18.80% 22.53% 58.67%-0.76 +15.5 3
2015-08-09 Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-151.0 1461 1276 69.80% 17.80% 12.40%+1.23 -9.4 5
2015-08-09 @ Debrecen VSC W 1-051.0 1276 1461 12.40% 17.80% 69.80%-1.23 +9.4 7
2015-08-15 Bekescsaba L 1-251.4 1312 1324 46.91% 25.49% 27.60%+0.33 -6.5 5
2015-08-15 @ Puskas W 2-151.4 1324 1312 27.60% 25.49% 46.91%-0.33 +6.5 3
2015-08-15 Debrecen VSC L 0-241.3 1359 1451 35.62% 26.23% 38.14%-0.04 -10.5 3
2015-08-15 @ Diosgyor W 2-041.3 1451 1359 38.14% 26.23% 35.62%+0.04 +10.5 8
2015-08-15 Videoton W 2-154.4 1274 1480 22.39% 24.11% 53.50%-0.56 +7.2 6
2015-08-15 @ Vasas L 1-254.4 1480 1274 53.50% 24.11% 22.39%+0.56 -7.2 3
2015-08-15 Honved D 1-156.5 1403 1314 59.61% 22.20% 18.20%+0.79 -1.4 9
2015-08-15 @ Ujpest D 1-156.5 1314 1403 18.20% 22.20% 59.61%-0.79 +1.4 8
2015-08-15 MTK Budapest W 2-037.5 1523 1407 62.56% 21.06% 16.38%+0.91 +5.2 15
2015-08-15 @ Ferencvaros L 0-237.5 1407 1523 16.38% 21.06% 62.56%-0.91 -5.2 7
2015-08-15 Paks W 1-045.0 1286 1417 30.56% 25.92% 43.52%-0.21 +6.5 10
2015-08-15 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-145.0 1417 1286 43.52% 25.92% 30.56%+0.21 -6.5 7
2015-08-22 Diosgyor D 1-156.8 1410 1348 56.39% 23.28% 20.33%+0.67 -1.2 8
2015-08-22 @ Paks D 1-156.8 1348 1410 20.33% 23.28% 56.39%-0.67 +1.2 4
2015-08-22 Ferencvaros L 0-346.5 1462 1528 39.47% 26.20% 34.33%+0.08 -16.4 8
2015-08-22 @ Debrecen VSC W 3-046.5 1528 1462 34.33% 26.20% 39.47%-0.08 +16.4 18
2015-08-22 Honved L 1-446.1 1330 1315 50.59% 24.81% 24.60%+0.46 -16.9 3
2015-08-22 @ Bekescsaba W 4-146.1 1315 1330 24.60% 24.81% 50.59%-0.46 +16.9 11
2015-08-22 Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-051.3 1402 1292 61.90% 21.33% 16.77%+0.89 -1.7 10
2015-08-22 @ Ujpest D 0-051.3 1292 1402 16.77% 21.33% 61.90%-0.89 +1.7 11
2015-08-22 Vasas W 1-037.6 1305 1281 51.70% 24.56% 23.75%+0.50 +4.0 8
2015-08-22 @ Puskas L 0-137.6 1281 1305 23.75% 24.56% 51.70%-0.50 -4.0 6
2015-08-23 Videoton W 1-046.3 1402 1473 38.73% 26.22% 35.05%+0.06 +5.5 10
2015-08-23 @ MTK Budapest L 0-146.3 1473 1402 35.05% 26.22% 38.73%-0.06 -5.5 3
2015-08-29 MTK Budapest L 0-140.9 1277 1408 30.62% 25.92% 43.45%-0.21 -5.0 6
2015-08-29 @ Vasas W 1-040.9 1408 1277 43.45% 25.92% 30.62%+0.21 +5.0 13
2015-08-29 Paks W 2-037.7 1544 1409 64.74% 20.15% 15.11%+1.00 +4.8 21
2015-08-29 @ Ferencvaros L 0-237.7 1409 1544 15.11% 20.15% 64.74%-1.00 -4.7 8
2015-08-29 Puskas D 0-049.7 1332 1309 51.49% 24.61% 23.90%+0.49 -1.0 12
2015-08-29 @ Honved D 0-049.7 1309 1332 23.90% 24.61% 51.49%-0.49 +1.0 9
2015-08-29 Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-146.0 1314 1294 51.15% 24.68% 24.16%+0.48 -7.4 3
2015-08-29 @ Bekescsaba W 1-046.0 1294 1314 24.16% 24.68% 51.15%-0.48 +7.4 14
2015-08-29 Ujpest W 2-148.6 1349 1400 41.64% 26.08% 32.28%+0.15 +4.9 7
2015-08-29 @ Diosgyor L 1-248.6 1400 1349 32.28% 26.08% 41.64%-0.15 -4.9 10
2015-08-30 Debrecen VSC W 1-043.7 1468 1445 51.45% 24.62% 23.93%+0.49 +4.0 6
2015-08-30 @ Videoton L 0-143.7 1445 1468 23.93% 24.62% 51.45%-0.49 -4.0 8
2015-09-12 Diosgyor D 1-154.6 1306 1354 42.03% 26.05% 31.92%+0.17 -0.3 4
2015-09-12 @ Bekescsaba D 1-154.6 1354 1306 31.92% 26.05% 42.03%-0.17 +0.3 8
2015-09-12 Videoton W 2-042.7 1404 1472 39.24% 26.21% 34.56%+0.08 +10.2 11
2015-09-12 @ Paks L 0-242.7 1472 1404 34.56% 26.21% 39.24%-0.08 -10.2 6
2015-09-12 Ferencvaros L 1-252.3 1395 1549 27.80% 25.52% 46.68%-0.32 -4.3 10
2015-09-12 @ Ujpest W 2-152.3 1549 1395 46.68% 25.52% 27.80%+0.32 +4.3 24
2015-09-12 MTK Budapest W 1-041.6 1441 1413 52.30% 24.41% 23.28%+0.52 +3.9 11
2015-09-12 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-141.6 1413 1441 23.28% 24.41% 52.30%-0.52 -3.9 13
2015-09-12 Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-154.5 1310 1301 49.75% 24.98% 25.27%+0.43 -0.8 10
2015-09-12 @ Puskas D 1-154.5 1301 1310 25.27% 24.98% 49.75%-0.43 +0.8 15
2015-09-12 Vasas L 0-147.0 1331 1272 55.99% 23.40% 20.61%+0.65 -7.9 12
2015-09-12 @ Honved W 1-047.0 1272 1331 20.61% 23.40% 55.99%-0.65 +7.9 9
2015-09-19 Bekescsaba W 1-034.7 1553 1306 75.62% 14.79% 9.59%+1.52 +1.5 27
2015-09-19 @ Ferencvaros L 0-134.7 1306 1553 9.59% 14.79% 75.62%-1.52 -1.5 4
2015-09-19 Debrecen VSC L 0-140.0 1280 1445 26.54% 25.28% 48.18%-0.37 -4.4 9
2015-09-19 @ Vasas W 1-040.0 1445 1280 48.18% 25.28% 26.54%+0.37 +4.4 14
2015-09-19 Honved D 0-049.3 1302 1323 45.73% 25.66% 28.61%+0.29 -0.6 16
2015-09-19 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-049.3 1323 1302 28.61% 25.66% 45.73%-0.29 +0.6 13
2015-09-19 MTK Budapest D 0-052.5 1414 1409 49.32% 25.07% 25.61%+0.41 -0.8 12
2015-09-19 @ Paks D 0-052.5 1409 1414 25.61% 25.07% 49.32%-0.41 +0.8 14
2015-09-19 Puskas W 3-248.6 1354 1309 54.31% 23.89% 21.80%+0.59 +3.3 11
2015-09-19 @ Diosgyor L 2-348.6 1309 1354 21.80% 23.89% 54.31%-0.59 -3.3 10
2015-09-19 Ujpest W 3-034.9 1462 1391 57.45% 22.94% 19.61%+0.71 +9.1 9
2015-09-19 @ Videoton L 0-334.9 1391 1462 19.61% 22.94% 57.45%-0.71 -9.1 10
2015-09-26 Debrecen VSC D 1-158.5 1414 1450 43.66% 25.90% 30.44%+0.22 -0.4 13
2015-09-26 @ Paks D 1-158.5 1450 1414 30.44% 25.90% 43.66%-0.22 +0.4 15
2015-09-26 Diosgyor W 2-146.9 1323 1358 43.92% 25.88% 30.20%+0.23 +4.6 16
2015-09-26 @ Honved L 1-246.9 1358 1323 30.20% 25.88% 43.92%-0.23 -4.6 11
2015-09-26 Videoton W 2-044.0 1304 1471 26.46% 25.26% 48.28%-0.38 +13.2 7
2015-09-26 @ Bekescsaba L 0-244.0 1471 1304 48.28% 25.26% 26.46%+0.38 -13.3 9
2015-09-26 Ferencvaros D 0-054.3 1306 1555 18.85% 22.55% 58.59%-0.75 +1.5 11
2015-09-26 @ Puskas D 0-054.3 1555 1306 58.59% 22.55% 18.85%+0.75 -1.4 28
2015-09-26 MTK Budapest D 2-262.8 1382 1409 44.80% 25.78% 29.42%+0.26 -0.3 11
2015-09-26 @ Ujpest D 2-262.8 1409 1382 29.42% 25.78% 44.80%-0.26 +0.4 15
2015-09-26 Vasas D 1-154.5 1301 1276 51.88% 24.52% 23.60%+0.50 -0.9 17
2015-09-26 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-154.5 1276 1301 23.60% 24.52% 51.88%-0.50 +0.9 10
2015-10-03 Honved W 2-142.1 1553 1328 73.65% 15.84% 10.51%+1.42 +1.5 31
2015-10-03 @ Ferencvaros L 1-242.1 1328 1553 10.51% 15.84% 73.65%-1.42 -1.5 16
2015-10-03 MTK Budapest D 1-155.4 1318 1410 35.74% 26.24% 38.02%-0.04 +0.1 8
2015-10-03 @ Bekescsaba D 1-155.4 1410 1318 38.02% 26.24% 35.74%+0.04 -0.1 16
2015-10-03 Paks L 1-246.9 1277 1413 29.86% 25.83% 44.30%-0.24 -4.6 10
2015-10-03 @ Vasas W 2-146.9 1413 1277 44.30% 25.83% 29.86%+0.24 +4.6 16
2015-10-03 Puskas W 3-246.5 1457 1308 66.26% 19.47% 14.27%+1.07 +2.1 12
2015-10-03 @ Videoton L 2-346.5 1308 1457 14.27% 19.47% 66.26%-1.07 -2.1 11
2015-10-03 Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-155.3 1353 1300 55.26% 23.62% 21.12%+0.63 -1.1 12
2015-10-03 @ Diosgyor D 1-155.3 1300 1353 21.12% 23.62% 55.26%-0.63 +1.1 18
2015-10-03 Ujpest D 1-158.5 1450 1381 57.22% 23.01% 19.76%+0.70 -1.2 16
2015-10-03 @ Debrecen VSC D 1-158.5 1381 1450 19.76% 23.01% 57.22%-0.70 +1.2 12
2015-10-17 Bekescsaba W 7-032.9 1449 1318 64.28% 20.35% 15.37%+0.99 +15.5 19
2015-10-17 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-732.9 1318 1449 15.37% 20.35% 64.28%-0.99 -15.5 8
2015-10-17 Diosgyor L 0-142.5 1272 1352 37.46% 26.24% 36.30%+0.02 -5.8 10
2015-10-17 @ Vasas W 1-042.5 1352 1272 36.30% 26.24% 37.46%-0.02 +5.8 15
2015-10-17 Honved W 3-031.2 1459 1327 64.47% 20.26% 15.26%+0.99 +7.0 15
2015-10-17 @ Videoton L 0-331.2 1327 1459 15.26% 20.26% 64.47%-0.99 -7.0 16
2015-10-17 MTK Budapest L 2-353.6 1305 1410 34.05% 26.18% 39.76%-0.09 -4.8 11
2015-10-17 @ Puskas W 3-253.6 1410 1305 39.76% 26.18% 34.05%+0.09 +4.8 19
2015-10-17 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-137.2 1555 1301 76.14% 14.51% 9.35%+1.55 +2.3 34
2015-10-17 @ Ferencvaros L 1-337.2 1301 1555 9.35% 14.51% 76.14%-1.55 -2.3 18
2015-10-17 Ujpest W 1-040.0 1418 1382 53.11% 24.21% 22.68%+0.55 +3.8 19
2015-10-17 @ Paks L 0-140.0 1382 1418 22.68% 24.21% 53.11%-0.55 -3.8 12
2015-10-24 Debrecen VSC D 1-156.4 1301 1465 26.70% 25.31% 47.98%-0.37 +0.7 12
2015-10-24 @ Puskas D 1-156.4 1465 1301 47.98% 25.31% 26.70%+0.37 -0.7 20
2015-10-24 Videoton W 1-047.3 1299 1466 26.33% 25.23% 48.44%-0.38 +7.1 21
2015-10-24 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-147.3 1466 1299 48.44% 25.23% 26.33%+0.38 -7.0 15
2015-10-24 Ferencvaros L 0-240.0 1358 1557 23.05% 24.34% 52.61%-0.53 -7.3 15
2015-10-24 @ Diosgyor W 2-040.0 1557 1358 52.61% 24.34% 23.05%+0.53 +7.3 37
2015-10-24 Honved W 2-142.7 1415 1320 60.26% 21.96% 17.78%+0.82 +2.8 22
2015-10-24 @ MTK Budapest L 1-242.7 1320 1415 17.78% 21.96% 60.26%-0.82 -2.8 16
2015-10-24 Paks L 2-353.1 1302 1422 32.05% 26.06% 41.89%-0.16 -4.6 8
2015-10-24 @ Bekescsaba W 3-253.1 1422 1302 41.89% 26.06% 32.05%+0.16 +4.6 22
2015-10-24 Vasas W 2-031.5 1379 1266 62.23% 21.20% 16.57%+0.90 +5.2 15
2015-10-24 @ Ujpest L 0-231.5 1266 1379 16.57% 21.20% 62.23%-0.90 -5.2 10
2015-10-31 Diosgyor W 2-143.7 1459 1350 61.84% 21.35% 16.81%+0.88 +2.7 18
2015-10-31 @ Videoton L 1-243.7 1350 1459 16.81% 21.35% 61.84%-0.88 -2.7 15
2015-10-31 Honved D 0-053.2 1464 1317 65.98% 19.60% 14.42%+1.06 -1.9 21
2015-10-31 @ Debrecen VSC D 0-053.2 1317 1464 14.42% 19.60% 65.98%-1.06 +1.9 17
2015-10-31 Puskas W 4-241.7 1426 1301 63.60% 20.64% 15.77%+0.96 +3.8 25
2015-10-31 @ Paks L 2-441.7 1301 1426 15.77% 20.64% 63.60%-0.96 -3.8 12
2015-10-31 Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-149.5 1417 1306 62.09% 21.25% 16.66%+0.89 -8.6 22
2015-10-31 @ MTK Budapest W 1-049.5 1306 1417 16.66% 21.25% 62.09%-0.89 +8.6 24
2015-10-31 Ujpest L 1-345.5 1298 1384 36.57% 26.25% 37.18%-0.01 -9.3 8
2015-10-31 @ Bekescsaba W 3-145.5 1384 1298 37.18% 26.25% 36.57%+0.01 +9.3 18
2015-10-31 Vasas W 5-130.9 1565 1261 80.19% 12.26% 7.54%+1.77 +3.3 40
2015-10-31 @ Ferencvaros L 1-530.9 1261 1565 7.54% 12.26% 80.19%-1.77 -3.3 10
2015-11-21 Diosgyor W 1-037.4 1462 1348 62.42% 21.12% 16.46%+0.91 +2.8 24
2015-11-21 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-137.4 1348 1462 16.46% 21.12% 62.42%-0.91 -2.8 15
2015-11-21 Ferencvaros W 1-053.2 1409 1568 27.23% 25.42% 47.36%-0.34 +6.9 25
2015-11-21 @ MTK Budapest L 0-153.2 1568 1409 47.36% 25.42% 27.23%+0.34 -6.9 40
2015-11-21 Puskas W 2-145.1 1288 1297 47.35% 25.42% 27.23%+0.34 +4.2 11
2015-11-21 @ Bekescsaba L 1-245.1 1297 1288 27.23% 25.42% 47.35%-0.34 -4.2 12
2015-11-21 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-032.6 1430 1315 62.54% 21.07% 16.39%+0.91 +5.2 28
2015-11-21 @ Paks L 0-232.6 1315 1430 16.39% 21.07% 62.54%-0.91 -5.2 24
2015-11-21 Ujpest L 1-249.8 1319 1393 38.25% 26.23% 35.51%+0.04 -5.5 17
2015-11-21 @ Honved W 2-149.8 1393 1319 35.51% 26.23% 38.25%-0.04 +5.5 21
2015-11-21 Vasas W 2-029.5 1462 1258 71.71% 16.85% 11.45%+1.32 +3.4 21
2015-11-21 @ Videoton L 0-229.5 1258 1462 11.45% 16.85% 71.71%-1.32 -3.4 10
2015-11-28 Bekescsaba W 3-249.1 1313 1293 51.22% 24.67% 24.11%+0.48 +3.6 20
2015-11-28 @ Honved L 2-349.1 1293 1313 24.11% 24.67% 51.22%-0.48 -3.6 11
2015-11-28 Debrecen VSC W 3-040.0 1561 1465 60.41% 21.90% 17.69%+0.83 +8.2 43
2015-11-28 @ Ferencvaros L 0-340.0 1465 1561 17.69% 21.90% 60.41%-0.83 -8.2 24
2015-11-28 MTK Budapest W 1-041.6 1465 1416 54.91% 23.72% 21.37%+0.61 +3.6 24
2015-11-28 @ Videoton L 0-141.6 1416 1465 21.37% 23.72% 54.91%-0.61 -3.6 25
2015-11-28 Paks D 1-156.4 1345 1435 36.00% 26.24% 37.76%-0.03 +0.0 16
2015-11-28 @ Diosgyor D 1-156.4 1435 1345 37.76% 26.24% 36.00%+0.03 -0.0 29
2015-11-28 Puskas L 2-449.9 1254 1293 43.26% 25.94% 30.80%+0.21 -9.4 10
2015-11-28 @ Vasas W 4-249.9 1293 1254 30.80% 25.94% 43.26%-0.21 +9.4 15
2015-11-28 Ujpest L 0-337.9 1310 1399 36.16% 26.24% 37.59%-0.02 -15.4 24
2015-11-28 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-037.9 1399 1310 37.59% 26.24% 36.16%+0.02 +15.4 24
2015-12-01 Ujpest D 1-155.3 1303 1414 33.09% 26.13% 40.78%-0.13 +0.2 16
2015-12-01 @ Puskas D 1-155.3 1414 1303 40.78% 26.13% 33.09%+0.13 -0.2 25
2015-12-02 Bekescsaba W 4-035.0 1245 1289 42.53% 26.01% 31.46%+0.18 +18.1 13
2015-12-02 @ Vasas L 0-435.0 1289 1245 31.46% 26.01% 42.53%-0.18 -18.1 11
2015-12-02 Debrecen VSC D 2-262.2 1294 1457 26.87% 25.35% 47.78%-0.36 +0.5 25
2015-12-02 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 2-262.2 1457 1294 47.78% 25.35% 26.87%+0.36 -0.5 25
2015-12-02 Videoton W 1-045.4 1569 1469 60.84% 21.74% 17.42%+0.84 +2.9 46
2015-12-02 @ Ferencvaros L 0-145.4 1469 1569 17.42% 21.74% 60.84%-0.84 -2.9 24
2015-12-02 MTK Budapest D 1-155.9 1345 1412 39.32% 26.20% 34.47%+0.08 -0.1 17
2015-12-02 @ Diosgyor D 1-155.9 1412 1345 34.47% 26.20% 39.32%-0.08 +0.2 26
2015-12-02 Paks D 0-050.7 1317 1435 32.16% 26.07% 41.77%-0.16 +0.3 21
2015-12-02 @ Honved D 0-050.7 1435 1317 41.77% 26.07% 32.16%+0.16 -0.3 30
2015-12-05 Bekescsaba D 1-154.4 1295 1271 51.64% 24.57% 23.79%+0.49 -0.9 26
2015-12-05 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-154.4 1271 1295 23.79% 24.57% 51.64%-0.49 +0.9 12
2015-12-05 Diosgyor W 2-144.1 1414 1345 57.22% 23.02% 19.77%+0.70 +3.2 28
2015-12-05 @ Ujpest L 1-244.1 1345 1414 19.77% 23.02% 57.22%-0.70 -3.2 17
2015-12-05 Videoton L 1-257.4 1456 1466 47.21% 25.44% 27.35%+0.34 -6.5 25
2015-12-05 @ Debrecen VSC W 2-157.4 1466 1456 27.35% 25.44% 47.21%-0.34 +6.5 27
2015-12-05 Ferencvaros L 0-544.9 1435 1572 29.79% 25.83% 44.38%-0.24 -21.3 30
2015-12-05 @ Paks W 5-044.9 1572 1435 44.38% 25.83% 29.79%+0.24 +21.4 49
2015-12-05 Honved L 0-339.9 1303 1317 46.66% 25.52% 27.82%+0.32 -18.7 16
2015-12-05 @ Puskas W 3-039.9 1317 1303 27.82% 25.52% 46.66%-0.32 +18.7 24
2015-12-05 Vasas W 2-140.2 1412 1263 66.21% 19.50% 14.29%+1.07 +2.2 29
2015-12-05 @ MTK Budapest L 1-240.2 1263 1412 14.29% 19.50% 66.21%-1.07 -2.2 13
2015-12-12 Bekescsaba W 2-032.7 1342 1272 57.34% 22.98% 19.69%+0.70 +6.3 20
2015-12-12 @ Diosgyor L 0-232.7 1272 1342 19.69% 22.98% 57.34%-0.70 -6.3 12
2015-12-12 Honved W 2-147.9 1261 1336 38.16% 26.23% 35.61%+0.04 +5.2 16
2015-12-12 @ Vasas L 1-247.9 1336 1261 35.61% 26.23% 38.16%-0.04 -5.2 24
2015-12-12 MTK Budapest W 3-144.3 1450 1414 53.08% 24.22% 22.70%+0.55 +6.2 28
2015-12-12 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-344.3 1414 1450 22.70% 24.22% 53.08%-0.55 -6.2 29
2015-12-12 Paks W 1-041.4 1473 1414 56.05% 23.39% 20.57%+0.66 +3.5 30
2015-12-12 @ Videoton L 0-141.4 1414 1473 20.57% 23.39% 56.05%-0.66 -3.5 30
2015-12-12 Puskas W 2-144.3 1294 1284 49.82% 24.97% 25.21%+0.43 +4.0 29
2015-12-12 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-244.3 1284 1294 25.21% 24.97% 49.82%-0.43 -4.0 16
2015-12-12 Ujpest L 0-158.8 1593 1417 68.98% 18.20% 12.82%+1.19 -9.3 49
2015-12-12 @ Ferencvaros W 1-058.8 1417 1593 12.82% 18.20% 68.98%-1.19 +9.3 31
2016-02-13 Diosgyor W 1-041.6 1280 1348 39.20% 26.21% 34.59%+0.07 +5.4 19
2016-02-13 @ Puskas L 0-141.6 1348 1280 34.59% 26.21% 39.20%-0.07 -5.4 20
2016-02-13 Videoton W 1-046.2 1426 1476 41.75% 26.07% 32.18%+0.16 +5.2 34
2016-02-13 @ Ujpest L 0-146.2 1476 1426 32.18% 26.07% 41.75%-0.16 -5.1 30
2016-02-13 Ferencvaros L 0-137.2 1266 1584 14.23% 19.45% 66.32%-1.07 -2.3 12
2016-02-13 @ Bekescsaba W 1-037.2 1584 1266 66.32% 19.45% 14.23%+1.07 +2.4 52
2016-02-13 Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-146.5 1331 1298 52.79% 24.29% 22.92%+0.53 -7.6 24
2016-02-13 @ Honved W 1-046.5 1298 1331 22.92% 24.29% 52.79%-0.53 +7.6 32
2016-02-13 Vasas W 4-028.3 1456 1266 70.31% 17.55% 12.14%+1.25 +7.0 31
2016-02-13 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-428.3 1266 1456 12.14% 17.55% 70.31%-1.25 -7.0 16
2016-02-20 Bekescsaba D 1-158.4 1471 1263 72.03% 16.68% 11.29%+1.34 -2.0 31
2016-02-20 @ Videoton D 1-158.4 1263 1471 11.29% 16.68% 72.03%-1.34 +2.0 13
2016-02-20 Honved W 2-144.6 1343 1323 51.11% 24.69% 24.20%+0.47 +3.8 23
2016-02-20 @ Diosgyor L 1-244.6 1323 1343 24.20% 24.69% 51.11%-0.47 -3.8 24
2016-02-20 MTK Budapest D 1-158.3 1431 1408 51.58% 24.59% 23.83%+0.49 -0.9 35
2016-02-20 @ Ujpest D 1-158.3 1408 1431 23.83% 24.59% 51.58%-0.49 +0.9 30
2016-02-20 Paks W 2-037.8 1463 1410 55.26% 23.62% 21.12%+0.63 +6.7 34
2016-02-20 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-237.8 1410 1463 21.12% 23.62% 55.26%-0.63 -6.7 30
2016-02-20 Puskas W 2-030.4 1586 1286 79.98% 12.39% 7.64%+1.76 +2.1 55
2016-02-20 @ Ferencvaros L 0-230.4 1286 1586 7.64% 12.39% 79.98%-1.76 -2.1 19
2016-02-20 Szombathelyi Haladas W 1-040.3 1259 1305 42.23% 26.03% 31.74%+0.17 +5.1 19
2016-02-20 @ Vasas L 0-140.3 1305 1259 31.74% 26.03% 42.23%-0.17 -5.1 32
2016-02-27 Bekescsaba D 0-051.5 1409 1265 65.63% 19.75% 14.61%+1.04 -1.9 31
2016-02-27 @ MTK Budapest D 0-051.5 1265 1409 14.61% 19.75% 65.63%-1.04 +1.9 14
2016-02-27 Debrecen VSC D 1-159.6 1431 1469 43.28% 25.94% 30.78%+0.21 -0.4 36
2016-02-27 @ Ujpest D 1-159.6 1469 1431 30.78% 25.94% 43.28%-0.21 +0.4 35
2016-02-27 Diosgyor W 2-147.1 1300 1346 42.26% 26.03% 31.71%+0.17 +4.8 35
2016-02-27 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-247.1 1346 1300 31.71% 26.03% 42.26%-0.17 -4.8 23
2016-02-27 Videoton L 0-139.7 1283 1469 24.43% 24.76% 50.82%-0.46 -4.1 19
2016-02-27 @ Puskas W 1-039.7 1469 1283 50.82% 24.76% 24.43%+0.46 +4.1 34
2016-02-27 Ferencvaros W 2-159.9 1319 1589 17.34% 21.69% 60.97%-0.85 +8.0 27
2016-02-27 @ Honved L 1-259.9 1589 1319 60.97% 21.69% 17.34%+0.85 -8.0 55
2016-02-27 Vasas W 3-029.1 1403 1264 65.15% 19.97% 14.88%+1.02 +6.8 33
2016-02-27 @ Paks L 0-329.1 1264 1403 14.88% 19.97% 65.15%-1.02 -6.8 19
2016-03-05 Bekescsaba L 0-246.1 1410 1267 65.54% 19.80% 14.66%+1.04 -16.9 33
2016-03-05 @ Paks W 2-046.1 1267 1410 14.66% 19.80% 65.54%-1.04 +16.9 17
2016-03-05 Diosgyor D 2-269.7 1581 1342 74.87% 15.19% 9.93%+1.48 -1.6 56
2016-03-05 @ Ferencvaros D 2-269.7 1342 1581 9.93% 15.19% 74.87%-1.48 +1.6 24
2016-03-05 Puskas W 4-240.0 1470 1279 70.37% 17.52% 12.11%+1.26 +2.8 38
2016-03-05 @ Debrecen VSC L 2-440.0 1279 1470 12.11% 17.52% 70.37%-1.26 -2.9 19
2016-03-05 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-141.2 1473 1305 68.14% 18.60% 13.26%+1.15 +2.0 37
2016-03-05 @ Videoton L 1-241.2 1305 1473 13.26% 18.60% 68.14%-1.15 -2.0 35
2016-03-05 Ujpest W 2-149.3 1407 1430 45.46% 25.69% 28.85%+0.28 +4.4 34
2016-03-05 @ MTK Budapest L 1-249.3 1430 1407 28.85% 25.69% 45.46%-0.28 -4.5 36
2016-03-05 Vasas D 0-049.8 1327 1257 57.34% 22.98% 19.68%+0.71 -1.4 28
2016-03-05 @ Honved D 0-049.8 1257 1327 19.68% 22.98% 57.34%-0.71 +1.4 20
2016-03-08 Debrecen VSC D 0-051.0 1259 1473 21.71% 23.86% 54.43%-0.60 +1.2 21
2016-03-08 @ Vasas D 0-051.0 1473 1259 54.43% 23.86% 21.71%+0.60 -1.2 39
2016-03-09 Videoton W 2-153.4 1343 1475 30.45% 25.91% 43.64%-0.22 +6.1 27
2016-03-09 @ Diosgyor L 1-253.4 1475 1343 43.64% 25.91% 30.45%+0.22 -6.1 37
2016-03-09 Ferencvaros L 0-138.4 1284 1579 15.65% 20.55% 63.80%-0.96 -2.6 17
2016-03-09 @ Bekescsaba W 1-038.4 1579 1284 63.80% 20.55% 15.65%+0.96 +2.6 59
2016-03-09 Honved W 1-036.9 1412 1326 59.20% 22.34% 18.46%+0.78 +3.1 37
2016-03-09 @ MTK Budapest L 0-136.9 1326 1412 18.46% 22.34% 59.20%-0.78 -3.1 28
2016-03-09 Paks W 2-150.2 1277 1393 32.41% 26.09% 41.50%-0.15 +5.9 22
2016-03-09 @ Puskas L 1-250.2 1393 1277 41.50% 26.09% 32.41%+0.15 -5.9 33
2016-03-09 Ujpest D 1-155.5 1303 1426 31.60% 26.02% 42.38%-0.18 +0.3 36
2016-03-09 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-155.5 1426 1303 42.38% 26.02% 31.60%+0.18 -0.3 37
2016-03-12 Bekescsaba D 1-158.4 1469 1281 70.08% 17.66% 12.26%+1.24 -1.9 38
2016-03-12 @ Videoton D 1-158.4 1281 1469 12.26% 17.66% 70.08%-1.24 +1.9 18
2016-03-12 Diosgyor W 1-037.9 1425 1349 58.07% 22.74% 19.20%+0.73 +3.2 40
2016-03-12 @ Ujpest L 0-137.9 1349 1425 19.20% 22.74% 58.07%-0.73 -3.2 27
2016-03-12 Honved L 0-346.4 1472 1323 66.16% 19.52% 14.32%+1.07 -24.8 39
2016-03-12 @ Debrecen VSC W 3-046.4 1323 1472 14.32% 19.52% 66.16%-1.07 +24.8 31
2016-03-12 Puskas W 4-028.5 1582 1282 79.85% 12.46% 7.69%+1.75 +4.0 62
2016-03-12 @ Ferencvaros L 0-428.5 1282 1582 7.69% 12.46% 79.85%-1.75 -4.0 22
2016-03-12 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-138.5 1415 1303 62.12% 21.24% 16.64%+0.89 +4.6 40
2016-03-12 @ MTK Budapest L 1-338.5 1303 1415 16.64% 21.24% 62.12%-0.89 -4.6 36
2016-03-12 Vasas W 2-031.0 1387 1260 63.88% 20.52% 15.60%+0.97 +4.9 36
2016-03-12 @ Paks L 0-231.0 1260 1387 15.60% 20.52% 63.88%-0.97 -4.9 21
2016-03-19 Videoton D 0-051.0 1278 1467 24.11% 24.67% 51.23%-0.48 +1.0 23
2016-03-19 @ Puskas D 0-051.0 1467 1278 51.23% 24.67% 24.11%+0.48 -1.0 39
2016-03-19 Ferencvaros L 1-436.5 1255 1586 13.55% 18.86% 67.59%-1.13 -5.1 21
2016-03-19 @ Vasas W 4-136.5 1586 1255 67.59% 18.86% 13.55%+1.13 +5.1 65
2016-03-19 Paks W 2-038.6 1347 1392 42.47% 26.01% 31.51%+0.18 +9.5 34
2016-03-19 @ Honved L 0-238.6 1392 1347 31.51% 26.01% 42.47%-0.18 -9.6 36
2016-03-19 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-032.1 1346 1299 54.60% 23.81% 21.59%+0.60 +10.0 30
2016-03-19 @ Diosgyor L 0-332.1 1299 1346 21.59% 23.81% 54.60%-0.60 -10.0 36
2016-03-19 Ujpest W 1-045.7 1283 1429 28.82% 25.69% 45.49%-0.28 +6.7 21
2016-03-19 @ Bekescsaba L 0-145.7 1429 1283 45.49% 25.69% 28.82%+0.28 -6.7 40
2016-03-20 Debrecen VSC W 1-044.1 1419 1447 44.86% 25.77% 29.37%+0.26 +4.8 43
2016-03-20 @ MTK Budapest L 0-144.1 1447 1419 29.37% 25.77% 44.86%-0.26 -4.8 39
2016-04-02 Diosgyor D 0-049.3 1290 1356 39.47% 26.20% 34.34%+0.08 -0.2 22
2016-04-02 @ Bekescsaba D 0-049.3 1356 1290 34.34% 26.20% 39.47%-0.08 +0.2 31
2016-04-02 Videoton W 2-152.6 1357 1466 33.40% 26.15% 40.45%-0.11 +5.8 37
2016-04-02 @ Honved L 1-252.6 1466 1357 40.45% 26.15% 33.40%+0.11 -5.8 39
2016-04-02 Ferencvaros W 2-161.1 1442 1591 28.42% 25.63% 45.96%-0.30 +6.4 42
2016-04-02 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-261.1 1591 1442 45.96% 25.63% 28.42%+0.30 -6.4 65
2016-04-02 MTK Budapest W 4-143.1 1383 1424 42.92% 25.98% 31.11%+0.19 +11.6 39
2016-04-02 @ Paks L 1-443.1 1424 1383 31.11% 25.98% 42.92%-0.19 -11.6 43
2016-04-02 Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-154.1 1279 1289 47.30% 25.42% 27.27%+0.34 -0.6 24
2016-04-02 @ Puskas D 1-154.1 1289 1279 27.27% 25.42% 47.30%-0.34 +0.6 37
2016-04-02 Ujpest W 3-257.3 1250 1422 25.80% 25.11% 49.09%-0.40 +6.4 24
2016-04-02 @ Vasas L 2-357.3 1422 1250 49.09% 25.11% 25.80%+0.40 -6.4 40
2016-04-05 Debrecen VSC W 1-043.9 1460 1448 50.13% 24.90% 24.97%+0.44 +4.2 42
2016-04-05 @ Videoton L 0-143.9 1448 1460 24.97% 24.90% 50.13%-0.44 -4.2 42
2016-04-06 Bekescsaba W 3-030.1 1413 1290 63.35% 20.74% 15.91%+0.95 +7.3 46
2016-04-06 @ MTK Budapest L 0-330.1 1290 1413 15.91% 20.74% 63.35%-0.95 -7.3 22
2016-04-06 Honved W 2-035.4 1416 1363 55.28% 23.62% 21.11%+0.63 +6.7 43
2016-04-06 @ Ujpest L 0-235.4 1363 1416 21.11% 23.62% 55.28%-0.63 -6.7 37
2016-04-06 Paks W 5-242.5 1584 1394 70.34% 17.53% 12.13%+1.26 +3.9 68
2016-04-06 @ Ferencvaros L 2-542.5 1394 1584 12.13% 17.53% 70.34%-1.26 -3.9 39
2016-04-06 Puskas W 2-142.2 1356 1279 58.24% 22.68% 19.09%+0.74 +3.0 34
2016-04-06 @ Diosgyor L 1-242.2 1279 1356 19.09% 22.68% 58.24%-0.74 -3.0 24
2016-04-06 Vasas W 2-143.2 1289 1256 52.85% 24.28% 22.87%+0.54 +3.6 40
2016-04-06 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-243.2 1256 1289 22.87% 24.28% 52.85%-0.54 -3.6 24
2016-04-09 Bekescsaba W 1-038.1 1293 1283 49.92% 24.95% 25.13%+0.43 +4.2 43
2016-04-09 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-138.1 1283 1293 25.13% 24.95% 49.92%-0.43 -4.2 22
2016-04-09 Debrecen VSC L 0-146.9 1390 1444 41.18% 26.11% 32.71%+0.14 -6.2 39
2016-04-09 @ Paks W 1-046.9 1444 1390 32.71% 26.11% 41.18%-0.14 +6.2 45
2016-04-09 Diosgyor D 0-052.0 1420 1359 56.21% 23.34% 20.46%+0.66 -1.3 47
2016-04-09 @ MTK Budapest D 0-052.0 1359 1420 20.46% 23.34% 56.21%-0.66 +1.3 35
2016-04-09 Puskas D 2-263.1 1422 1276 65.93% 19.62% 14.45%+1.06 -1.3 44
2016-04-09 @ Ujpest D 2-263.1 1276 1422 14.45% 19.62% 65.93%-1.06 +1.3 25
2016-04-09 Vasas D 2-264.3 1464 1252 72.43% 16.48% 11.10%+1.36 -1.5 43
2016-04-09 @ Videoton D 2-264.3 1252 1464 11.10% 16.48% 72.43%-1.36 +1.5 25
2016-04-10 Honved W 2-144.1 1588 1356 74.28% 15.51% 10.21%+1.45 +1.5 71
2016-04-10 @ Ferencvaros L 1-244.1 1356 1588 10.21% 15.51% 74.28%-1.45 -1.5 37
2016-04-12 Paks W 1-040.0 1419 1384 53.00% 24.24% 22.76%+0.54 +3.8 50
2016-04-12 @ MTK Budapest L 0-140.0 1384 1419 22.76% 24.24% 53.00%-0.54 -3.8 39
2016-04-16 Bekescsaba L 0-145.0 1277 1278 48.36% 25.25% 26.39%+0.38 -7.0 25
2016-04-16 @ Puskas W 1-045.0 1278 1277 26.39% 25.25% 48.36%-0.38 +7.0 25
2016-04-16 Diosgyor L 1-344.0 1254 1361 33.73% 26.17% 40.10%-0.10 -8.7 25
2016-04-16 @ Vasas W 3-144.0 1361 1254 40.10% 26.17% 33.73%+0.10 +8.7 38
2016-04-16 Videoton L 0-146.0 1380 1463 37.07% 26.25% 36.68%+0.01 -5.7 39
2016-04-16 @ Paks W 1-046.0 1463 1380 36.68% 26.25% 37.07%-0.01 +5.7 46
2016-04-16 MTK Budapest D 2-272.0 1590 1422 68.08% 18.63% 13.29%+1.15 -1.4 72
2016-04-16 @ Ferencvaros D 2-272.0 1422 1590 13.29% 18.63% 68.08%-1.15 +1.4 51
2016-04-16 Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-147.4 1355 1297 55.83% 23.45% 20.72%+0.65 -7.9 37
2016-04-16 @ Honved W 1-047.4 1297 1355 20.72% 23.45% 55.83%-0.65 +7.9 46
2016-04-16 Ujpest W 1-042.1 1450 1421 52.35% 24.40% 23.25%+0.52 +3.9 48
2016-04-16 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-142.1 1421 1450 23.25% 24.40% 52.35%-0.52 -3.9 44
2016-04-19 Vasas D 1-154.4 1285 1245 53.72% 24.05% 22.23%+0.57 -1.0 26
2016-04-19 @ Bekescsaba D 1-154.4 1245 1285 22.23% 24.05% 53.72%-0.57 +1.0 26
2016-04-20 Debrecen VSC D 2-262.3 1305 1454 28.37% 25.62% 46.01%-0.30 +0.4 47
2016-04-20 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 2-262.3 1454 1305 46.01% 25.62% 28.37%+0.30 -0.4 49
2016-04-20 Ferencvaros W 1-054.7 1469 1588 32.00% 26.06% 41.95%-0.16 +6.3 49
2016-04-20 @ Videoton L 0-154.7 1588 1469 41.95% 26.06% 32.00%+0.16 -6.3 72
2016-04-20 Honved L 1-253.4 1369 1347 51.50% 24.60% 23.89%+0.49 -7.0 38
2016-04-20 @ Diosgyor W 2-153.4 1347 1369 23.89% 24.60% 51.50%-0.49 +7.0 40
2016-04-20 Paks D 1-157.3 1417 1375 54.02% 23.97% 22.01%+0.58 -1.0 45
2016-04-20 @ Ujpest D 1-157.3 1375 1417 22.01% 23.97% 54.02%-0.58 +1.0 40
2016-04-20 Puskas L 0-149.9 1424 1270 66.68% 19.28% 14.04%+1.09 -9.1 51
2016-04-20 @ MTK Budapest W 1-049.9 1270 1424 14.04% 19.28% 66.68%-1.09 +9.1 28
2016-04-23 Bekescsaba W 2-142.5 1354 1284 57.25% 23.01% 19.75%+0.70 +3.2 43
2016-04-23 @ Honved L 1-242.5 1284 1354 19.75% 23.01% 57.25%-0.70 -3.2 26
2016-04-23 Diosgyor W 3-141.0 1454 1362 59.87% 22.10% 18.03%+0.80 +5.0 52
2016-04-23 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-341.0 1362 1454 18.03% 22.10% 59.87%-0.80 -5.0 38
2016-04-23 MTK Budapest W 5-037.1 1475 1415 56.19% 23.34% 20.47%+0.66 +15.3 52
2016-04-23 @ Videoton L 0-537.1 1415 1475 20.47% 23.34% 56.19%-0.66 -15.3 51
2016-04-23 Puskas W 1-039.6 1246 1279 44.13% 25.85% 30.02%+0.23 +4.9 29
2016-04-23 @ Vasas L 0-139.6 1279 1246 30.02% 25.85% 44.13%-0.23 -4.9 28
2016-04-23 Szombathelyi Haladas L 2-359.2 1376 1306 57.35% 22.97% 19.68%+0.71 -7.2 40
2016-04-23 @ Paks W 3-259.2 1306 1376 19.68% 22.97% 57.35%-0.71 +7.2 50
2016-04-23 Ujpest D 2-271.4 1582 1416 67.93% 18.70% 13.37%+1.14 -1.4 73
2016-04-23 @ Ferencvaros D 2-271.4 1416 1582 13.37% 18.70% 67.93%-1.14 +1.4 46
2016-04-30 Debrecen VSC D 0-050.8 1281 1459 25.24% 24.97% 49.79%-0.43 +0.9 27
2016-04-30 @ Bekescsaba D 0-050.8 1459 1281 49.79% 24.97% 25.24%+0.43 -0.9 53
2016-04-30 Videoton L 0-343.2 1417 1490 38.50% 26.23% 35.28%+0.05 -16.1 46
2016-04-30 @ Ujpest W 3-043.2 1490 1417 35.28% 26.23% 38.50%-0.05 +16.1 55
2016-04-30 Ferencvaros L 0-140.2 1313 1581 17.44% 21.75% 60.82%-0.84 -2.9 50
2016-04-30 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 1-040.2 1581 1313 60.82% 21.75% 17.44%+0.84 +2.9 76
2016-04-30 Honved W 2-148.5 1274 1357 37.09% 26.25% 36.67%+0.01 +5.4 31
2016-04-30 @ Puskas L 1-248.5 1357 1274 36.67% 26.25% 37.09%-0.01 -5.4 43
2016-04-30 Paks L 0-242.9 1357 1368 47.09% 25.46% 27.45%+0.33 -13.0 38
2016-04-30 @ Diosgyor W 2-042.9 1368 1357 27.45% 25.46% 47.09%-0.33 +13.0 43
2016-04-30 Vasas L 0-245.9 1399 1251 66.09% 19.55% 14.36%+1.06 -17.0 51
2016-04-30 @ MTK Budapest W 2-045.9 1251 1399 14.36% 19.55% 66.09%-1.06 +17.0 32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-07-25 10.31% Szombathelyi Haladas 1266 1 @ Videoton 1496 0
2 2015-08-09 12.40% Szombathelyi Haladas 1276 1 @ Debrecen VSC 1461 0
3 2015-12-12 12.82% Ujpest 1417 1 @ Ferencvaros 1593 0
4 2016-04-20 14.04% Puskas 1270 1 @ MTK Budapest 1424 0
5 2016-03-12 14.32% Honved 1323 3 @ Debrecen VSC 1472 0
6 2016-04-30 14.36% Vasas 1251 2 @ MTK Budapest 1399 0
7 2016-03-05 14.66% Bekescsaba 1267 2 @ Paks 1410 0
8 2015-10-31 16.66% Szombathelyi Haladas 1306 1 @ MTK Budapest 1417 0
9 2016-02-27 17.34% @ Honved 1319 2 Ferencvaros 1589 1
10 2015-08-08 18.80% Vasas 1258 2 @ Bekescsaba 1340 0
11 2016-04-23 19.68% Szombathelyi Haladas 1306 3 @ Paks 1376 2
12 2015-09-12 20.61% Vasas 1272 1 @ Honved 1331 0
13 2016-04-16 20.72% Szombathelyi Haladas 1297 1 @ Honved 1355 0
14 2015-08-15 22.39% @ Vasas 1274 2 Videoton 1480 1
15 2016-02-13 22.92% Szombathelyi Haladas 1298 1 @ Honved 1331 0
16 2015-07-18 23.16% @ Honved 1305 1 Videoton 1504 0
17 2016-04-20 23.89% Honved 1347 2 @ Diosgyor 1369 1
18 2015-08-29 24.16% Szombathelyi Haladas 1294 1 @ Bekescsaba 1314 0
19 2015-08-22 24.60% Honved 1315 4 @ Bekescsaba 1330 1
20 2016-04-02 25.80% @ Vasas 1250 3 Ujpest 1422 2
21 2015-10-24 26.33% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1299 1 Videoton 1466 0
22 2016-04-16 26.39% Bekescsaba 1278 1 @ Puskas 1277 0
23 2015-09-26 26.46% @ Bekescsaba 1304 2 Videoton 1471 0
24 2015-11-21 27.23% @ MTK Budapest 1409 1 Ferencvaros 1568 0
25 2015-12-05 27.35% Videoton 1466 2 @ Debrecen VSC 1456 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-03-12 24.78 Honved 3 1323 14.32% @ Debrecen VSC 0 1472 66.16% 19.52%
2 2015-12-05 21.35 Ferencvaros 5 1572 44.38% @ Paks 0 1435 29.79% 25.83%
3 2015-12-05 18.74 Honved 3 1317 27.82% @ Puskas 0 1303 46.66% 25.52%
4 2015-08-08 18.38 @ MTK Budapest 5 1389 50.12% Diosgyor 0 1377 24.98% 24.91%
5 2015-12-02 18.09 @ Vasas 4 1245 42.53% Bekescsaba 0 1289 31.46% 26.01%
6 2016-04-30 17.05 Vasas 2 1251 14.36% @ MTK Budapest 0 1399 66.09% 19.55%
7 2016-03-05 16.94 Bekescsaba 2 1267 14.66% @ Paks 0 1410 65.54% 19.80%
8 2015-08-22 16.87 Honved 4 1315 24.60% @ Bekescsaba 1 1330 50.59% 24.81%
9 2015-08-22 16.44 Ferencvaros 3 1528 34.33% @ Debrecen VSC 0 1462 39.47% 26.20%
10 2016-04-30 16.14 Videoton 3 1490 35.28% @ Ujpest 0 1417 38.50% 26.23%
11 2015-10-17 15.54 @ Debrecen VSC 7 1449 64.28% Bekescsaba 0 1318 15.37% 20.35%
12 2015-08-08 15.53 Vasas 2 1258 18.80% @ Bekescsaba 0 1340 58.67% 22.53%
13 2015-11-28 15.41 Ujpest 3 1399 37.59% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1310 36.16% 26.24%
14 2016-04-23 15.27 @ Videoton 5 1475 56.19% MTK Budapest 0 1415 20.47% 23.34%
15 2015-09-26 13.26 @ Bekescsaba 2 1304 26.46% Videoton 0 1471 48.28% 25.26%
16 2015-07-25 13.15 @ Paks 4 1405 54.34% Bekescsaba 0 1359 21.78% 23.88%
17 2016-04-30 12.99 Paks 2 1368 27.45% @ Diosgyor 0 1357 47.09% 25.46%
18 2016-04-02 11.58 @ Paks 4 1383 42.92% MTK Budapest 1 1424 31.11% 25.98%
19 2015-08-08 11.02 Ferencvaros 3 1512 28.51% @ Videoton 1 1491 45.85% 25.64%
20 2015-08-15 10.49 Debrecen VSC 2 1451 38.14% @ Diosgyor 0 1359 35.62% 26.23%
21 2015-09-12 10.25 @ Paks 2 1404 39.24% Videoton 0 1472 34.56% 26.21%
22 2016-03-19 9.98 @ Diosgyor 3 1346 54.60% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1299 21.59% 23.81%
23 2015-07-25 9.81 Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1266 10.31% @ Videoton 0 1496 74.08% 15.61%
24 2016-03-19 9.55 @ Honved 2 1347 42.47% Paks 0 1392 31.51% 26.01%
25 2015-11-28 9.41 Puskas 4 1293 30.80% @ Vasas 2 1254 43.26% 25.94%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-04-16 72.0 @ Ferencvaros 2 1590 68.08% MTK Budapest 2 1422 13.29% 18.63%
2 2016-04-23 71.4 @ Ferencvaros 2 1582 67.93% Ujpest 2 1416 13.37% 18.70%
3 2016-03-05 69.7 @ Ferencvaros 2 1581 74.87% Diosgyor 2 1342 9.93% 15.19%
4 2015-08-02 66.1 @ Honved 3 1318 29.10% Debrecen VSC 3 1461 45.17% 25.73%
5 2016-04-09 64.3 @ Videoton 2 1464 72.43% Vasas 2 1252 11.10% 16.48%
6 2016-04-09 63.1 @ Ujpest 2 1422 65.93% Puskas 2 1276 14.45% 19.62%
7 2015-09-26 62.8 @ Ujpest 2 1382 44.80% MTK Budapest 2 1409 29.42% 25.78%
8 2015-08-08 62.6 @ Ujpest 2 1404 60.06% Puskas 2 1311 17.91% 22.03%
9 2016-04-20 62.3 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1305 28.37% Debrecen VSC 2 1454 46.01% 25.62%
10 2015-12-02 62.2 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1294 26.87% Debrecen VSC 2 1457 47.78% 25.35%
11 2016-04-02 61.1 @ Debrecen VSC 2 1442 28.42% Ferencvaros 1 1591 45.96% 25.63%
12 2015-08-01 60.8 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1276 32.87% MTK Budapest 2 1389 41.01% 26.12%
13 2016-02-27 59.9 @ Honved 2 1319 17.34% Ferencvaros 1 1589 60.97% 21.69%
14 2016-02-27 59.6 @ Ujpest 1 1431 43.28% Debrecen VSC 1 1469 30.78% 25.94%
15 2016-04-23 59.2 Szombathelyi Haladas 3 1306 19.68% @ Paks 2 1376 57.35% 22.97%
16 2015-12-12 58.8 Ujpest 1 1417 12.82% @ Ferencvaros 0 1593 68.98% 18.20%
17 2015-09-26 58.5 @ Paks 1 1414 43.66% Debrecen VSC 1 1450 30.44% 25.90%
18 2015-10-03 58.5 @ Debrecen VSC 1 1450 57.22% Ujpest 1 1381 19.76% 23.01%
19 2016-02-20 58.4 @ Videoton 1 1471 72.03% Bekescsaba 1 1263 11.29% 16.68%
20 2016-03-12 58.4 @ Videoton 1 1469 70.08% Bekescsaba 1 1281 12.26% 17.66%
21 2015-07-26 58.3 @ Debrecen VSC 1 1463 67.35% Puskas 1 1303 13.68% 18.97%
22 2016-02-20 58.3 @ Ujpest 1 1431 51.58% MTK Budapest 1 1408 23.83% 24.59%
23 2015-12-05 57.4 Videoton 2 1466 27.35% @ Debrecen VSC 1 1456 47.21% 25.44%
24 2016-04-02 57.3 @ Vasas 3 1250 25.80% Ujpest 2 1422 49.09% 25.11%
25 2016-04-20 57.3 @ Ujpest 1 1417 54.02% Paks 1 1375 22.01% 23.97%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-02-13 28.3 @ Debrecen VSC 4 1456 70.31% Vasas 0 1266 12.14% 17.55%
2 2016-03-12 28.5 @ Ferencvaros 4 1582 79.85% Puskas 0 1282 7.69% 12.46%
3 2016-02-27 29.1 @ Paks 3 1403 65.15% Vasas 0 1264 14.88% 19.97%
4 2015-11-21 29.5 @ Videoton 2 1462 71.71% Vasas 0 1258 11.45% 16.85%
5 2016-04-06 30.1 @ MTK Budapest 3 1413 63.35% Bekescsaba 0 1290 15.91% 20.74%
6 2016-02-20 30.4 @ Ferencvaros 2 1586 79.98% Puskas 0 1286 7.64% 12.39%
7 2015-10-31 30.9 @ Ferencvaros 5 1565 80.19% Vasas 1 1261 7.54% 12.26%
8 2016-03-12 31.0 @ Paks 2 1387 63.88% Vasas 0 1260 15.60% 20.52%
9 2015-10-17 31.2 @ Videoton 3 1459 64.47% Honved 0 1327 15.26% 20.26%
10 2015-10-24 31.5 @ Ujpest 2 1379 62.23% Vasas 0 1266 16.57% 21.20%
11 2016-03-19 32.1 @ Diosgyor 3 1346 54.60% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1299 21.59% 23.81%
12 2015-11-21 32.6 @ Paks 2 1430 62.54% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1315 16.39% 21.07%
13 2015-12-12 32.7 @ Diosgyor 2 1342 57.34% Bekescsaba 0 1272 19.69% 22.98%
14 2015-10-17 32.9 @ Debrecen VSC 7 1449 64.28% Bekescsaba 0 1318 15.37% 20.35%
15 2015-07-25 33.8 @ Paks 4 1405 54.34% Bekescsaba 0 1359 21.78% 23.88%
16 2015-08-01 34.6 Ferencvaros 2 1505 57.68% @ Vasas 0 1264 19.46% 22.86%
17 2015-09-19 34.7 @ Ferencvaros 1 1553 75.62% Bekescsaba 0 1306 9.59% 14.79%
18 2015-08-01 34.9 @ Ujpest 2 1397 55.02% Bekescsaba 0 1346 21.29% 23.69%
19 2015-09-19 34.9 @ Videoton 3 1462 57.45% Ujpest 0 1391 19.61% 22.94%
20 2015-12-02 35.0 @ Vasas 4 1245 42.53% Bekescsaba 0 1289 31.46% 26.01%
21 2015-07-19 35.2 Ferencvaros 2 1494 55.32% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1273 21.08% 23.60%
22 2016-04-06 35.4 @ Ujpest 2 1416 55.28% Honved 0 1363 21.11% 23.62%
23 2015-08-08 35.8 @ MTK Budapest 5 1389 50.12% Diosgyor 0 1377 24.98% 24.91%
24 2015-07-18 36.4 @ MTK Budapest 1 1391 59.16% Puskas 0 1306 18.48% 22.35%
25 2016-03-19 36.5 Ferencvaros 4 1586 67.59% @ Vasas 1 1255 13.55% 18.86%