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2016-17 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Honved

65 points · 14th Title

Last Title: 1992-93

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Honved

15.97 points above expected

65 points · 49.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gyirmot

12.88 points below expected

24 points · 36.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Honved Champion 33 20 5 8 65 55 30 +25 49.03 +15.97
2 Videoton 33 18 8 7 62 65 28 +37 59.57 +2.43
3 Ferencvaros 33 14 10 9 52 54 44 +10 53.77 -1.77
4 Vasas 33 15 7 11 52 50 40 +10 46.74 +5.26
5 Paks 33 11 12 10 45 41 37 +4 43.44 +1.56
6 Szombathelyi Haladas 33 12 7 14 43 42 46 -4 42.24 +0.76
7 Ujpest 33 10 12 11 42 47 51 -4 45.98 -3.98
8 Debrecen VSC 33 11 8 14 41 42 46 -4 47.01 -6.01
9 Mezokovesd 33 10 10 13 40 39 54 -15 38.99 +1.01
10 MTK Budapest 33 8 13 12 37 26 36 -10 38.98 -1.98
11 Diosgyor 33 10 7 16 37 39 58 -19 36.30 +0.70
12 Gyirmot 33 5 9 19 24 21 51 -30 36.88 -12.88

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Honved 65 49.03 +15.97
2 Vasas 52 46.74 +5.26
3 Videoton 62 59.57 +2.43
4 Paks 45 43.44 +1.56
5 Mezokovesd 40 38.99 +1.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gyirmot 24 36.88 -12.88
2 Debrecen VSC 41 47.01 -6.01
3 Ujpest 42 45.98 -3.98
4 MTK Budapest 37 38.98 -1.98
5 Ferencvaros 52 53.77 -1.77

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Szombathelyi Haladas 4 Aug 7 – Aug 21 1 in 87
2 Vasas 3 Jul 17 – Jul 31 1 in 59
3 Ujpest 4 Jul 30 – Aug 17 1 in 58
4 Honved 5 Nov 26 – Feb 25 1 in 38
5 Mezokovesd 3 Oct 15 – Oct 29 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gyirmot 8 Oct 15 – Dec 10 1 in 1,508
2 Vasas 3 Mar 11 – Apr 1 1 in 73
3 Paks 3 Apr 15 – Apr 29 1 in 36
4 Diosgyor 4 Jul 30 – Aug 17 1 in 28
5 Ujpest 3 Apr 29 – May 13 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ujpest 10 Sep 21 – Dec 10 1 in 70
2 Mezokovesd 7 Oct 15 – Dec 3 1 in 62
3 Paks 9 Dec 3 – Apr 12 1 in 55
4 MTK Budapest 5 Apr 8 – Apr 29 1 in 17
5 Diosgyor 5 Apr 22 – May 20 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gyirmot 12 Oct 15 – Mar 11 1 in 74
2 Ujpest 9 Aug 21 – Nov 5 1 in 66
3 Diosgyor 9 Jul 30 – Sep 24 1 in 26
4 Debrecen VSC 7 Nov 5 – Feb 25 1 in 17
5 Ferencvaros 4 Dec 3 – Feb 25 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Honved 1486 65 +51 15 8.7 +6.3
Videoton 1539 62 +31 12 9.2 +2.8
Ferencvaros 1436 52 +17 10 8.0 +2.0
Vasas 1368 52 -33 5 7.9 -2.9
Paks 1402 45 +12 7 8.1 -1.1
Szombathelyi Haladas 1326 43 -10 4 6.6 -2.6
Ujpest 1349 42 -40 3 6.6 -3.6
Debrecen VSC 1367 41 +5 7 5.6 +1.4
Mezokovesd 1279 40 -14 5 4.5 +0.5
Diosgyor 1293 37 -5 6 6.8 -0.8
MTK Budapest 1318 37 -5 5 5.3 -0.3
Gyirmot 1247 24 -10 4 4.6 -0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DV DIO FER GYI HON MB MEZ PAK SH UJP VAS VID
Debrecen VSC —
3-0-0
4.58
0-2-1
3.05
3-0-0
4.60
0-0-3
3.56
0-3-0
5.02
1-1-1
4.55
0-2-1
4.49
1-0-2
4.74
2-0-1
4.17
1-0-2
3.94
0-0-3
2.88
Diosgyor
0-0-3
3.58
—
0-1-2
2.47
1-1-1
4.04
1-0-2
3.28
0-1-2
3.66
0-2-1
4.18
2-0-1
3.17
1-0-2
3.41
2-1-0
3.59
1-1-1
3.37
2-0-1
2.23
Ferencvaros
1-2-0
5.12
2-1-0
5.76
—
3-0-0
5.36
2-0-1
4.38
1-1-1
5.14
1-1-1
5.67
0-1-2
4.86
2-0-1
5.50
2-1-0
5.01
0-1-2
5.08
0-2-1
3.20
Gyirmot
0-0-3
3.56
1-1-1
4.11
0-0-3
2.83
—
0-1-2
2.70
1-1-1
4.45
0-2-1
4.23
0-2-1
3.11
2-0-1
3.23
0-1-2
3.21
1-1-1
3.32
0-0-3
3.02
Honved
3-0-0
4.61
2-0-1
4.90
1-0-2
3.77
2-1-0
5.51
—
3-0-0
5.37
2-0-1
5.00
2-1-0
4.74
2-1-0
4.55
1-2-0
4.06
1-0-2
4.24
1-0-2
3.60
MTK Budapest
0-3-0
3.16
2-1-0
4.49
1-1-1
3.04
1-1-1
3.70
0-0-3
2.82
—
1-0-2
4.38
0-2-1
3.20
0-2-1
4.24
1-2-0
3.14
1-0-2
3.85
1-1-1
2.68
Mezokovesd
1-1-1
3.60
1-2-0
3.98
1-1-1
2.56
1-2-0
3.94
1-0-2
3.17
2-0-1
3.77
—
1-0-2
3.82
1-1-1
3.51
0-1-2
3.71
0-1-2
3.13
1-1-1
2.38
Paks
1-2-0
3.66
1-0-2
5.02
2-1-0
3.32
1-2-0
5.08
0-1-2
3.41
1-2-0
4.97
2-0-1
4.32
—
1-0-2
3.93
0-2-1
3.87
2-0-1
3.37
0-2-1
3.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
2-0-1
3.42
2-0-1
4.74
1-0-2
2.71
1-0-2
4.94
0-1-2
3.60
1-2-0
3.91
1-1-1
4.63
2-0-1
4.21
—
0-1-2
3.62
2-1-0
3.92
0-1-2
2.54
Ujpest
1-0-2
3.98
0-1-2
4.58
0-1-2
3.17
2-1-0
4.97
0-2-1
4.09
0-2-1
5.03
2-1-0
4.44
1-2-0
4.26
2-1-0
4.52
—
2-1-0
3.65
0-0-3
3.09
Vasas
2-0-1
4.21
1-1-1
4.79
2-1-0
3.11
1-1-1
4.86
2-0-1
3.89
2-0-1
4.31
2-1-0
5.04
1-0-2
4.78
0-1-2
4.24
0-1-2
4.50
—
2-1-0
2.91
Videoton
3-0-0
5.32
1-0-2
6.05
1-2-0
4.97
3-0-0
5.20
2-0-1
4.55
1-1-1
5.53
1-1-1
5.87
1-2-0
4.85
2-1-0
5.68
3-0-0
5.09
0-1-2
5.29
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +8.5
Allowed 0.53 -8.8
Differential 0.93 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%8.84%5.81%2.53%1.26%0.51%26.52%
18.84%15.15%7.83%4.55%0.25%1.01%37.63%
25.81%7.83%3.54%2.53%0.51%0.51%20.71%
32.53%4.55%2.53%0.51%0.25%—10.35%
41.26%0.25%0.51%0.25%0.51%—2.78%
5+0.51%1.01%0.51%———2.02%
Total26.52%37.63%20.71%10.35%2.78%2.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.69
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%3.03%———30.30%
16.06%12.12%6.06%9.09%—3.03%36.36%
2—9.09%—3.03%—3.03%15.15%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total24.24%42.42%15.15%12.12%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.39 -0.12
SD 1.21 1.32 1.69
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%9.09%12.12%——30.30%
16.06%12.12%3.03%9.09%——30.30%
29.09%12.12%3.03%6.06%—3.03%33.33%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4————3.03%—3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%33.33%15.15%27.27%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.76 -0.58
SD 1.01 1.39 1.70
CV 0.86 0.79 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%—6.06%———18.18%
19.09%9.09%15.15%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
26.06%—6.06%———12.12%
3—15.15%9.09%3.03%——27.27%
4———————
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total27.27%24.24%39.39%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.33 +0.30
SD 1.34 1.05 1.51
CV 0.82 0.79 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%3.03%3.03%12.12%—48.48%
112.12%9.09%15.15%3.03%——39.39%
2—3.03%6.06%3.03%——12.12%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%30.30%24.24%9.09%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.55 -0.91
SD 0.70 1.30 1.49
CV 1.10 0.84 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
118.18%12.12%3.03%3.03%——36.36%
29.09%15.15%—3.03%——27.27%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
Total39.39%39.39%12.12%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.91 +0.76
SD 1.43 0.95 1.84
CV 0.86 1.04 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%12.12%6.06%——3.03%39.39%
112.12%21.21%9.09%3.03%——45.45%
23.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%39.39%18.18%6.06%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.09 -0.30
SD 0.78 1.13 1.29
CV 0.99 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%12.12%—3.03%3.03%27.27%
19.09%18.18%—9.09%—3.03%39.39%
23.03%6.06%9.09%—3.03%—21.21%
36.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%33.33%24.24%9.09%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.64 -0.45
SD 0.98 1.41 1.91
CV 0.83 0.86 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%9.09%———33.33%
13.03%21.21%—6.06%—3.03%33.33%
2—12.12%—3.03%——15.15%
36.06%9.09%————15.15%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total27.27%51.52%9.09%9.09%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.12 +0.12
SD 1.25 1.11 1.76
CV 1.01 0.99 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%6.06%——21.21%
19.09%15.15%15.15%6.06%——45.45%
212.12%3.03%3.03%—3.03%—21.21%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%30.30%30.30%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.39 -0.12
SD 1.01 1.09 1.56
CV 0.79 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
16.06%21.21%9.09%3.03%—3.03%42.42%
29.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
3—6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%—15.15%
4————3.03%—3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%39.39%24.24%9.09%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.55 -0.12
SD 1.06 1.25 1.45
CV 0.75 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.15%—3.03%——18.18%
19.09%12.12%6.06%———27.27%
26.06%18.18%9.09%9.09%——42.42%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%48.48%18.18%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.21 +0.30
SD 1.00 0.93 1.40
CV 0.66 0.77 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
16.06%18.18%12.12%———36.36%
212.12%3.03%————15.15%
39.09%—3.03%———12.12%
46.06%3.03%—3.03%——12.12%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total39.39%39.39%18.18%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.85 +1.12
SD 1.57 0.83 1.82
CV 0.80 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Videoton 1539 62 59.57 +2.43 60.0% 41 45 55 59 64 70 75
Honved 1486 65 49.03 +15.97 98.0% 24 35 44 48 55 61 67
Ferencvaros 1436 52 53.77 -1.77 45.0% 37 42 50 53 58 64 70
Paks 1402 45 43.44 +1.56 64.0% 23 31 38 43 48 57 63
Vasas 1368 52 46.74 +5.26 78.0% 28 36 42 46 51 59 64
Debrecen VSC 1367 41 47.01 -6.01 24.0% 31 36 42 46 51 61 67
Ujpest 1349 42 45.98 -3.98 29.0% 24 34 41 47 51 58 62
Szombathelyi Haladas 1326 43 42.24 +0.76 57.0% 19 28 37 42 47 55 68
MTK Budapest 1318 37 38.98 -1.98 40.0% 20 28 34 40 44 49 56
Diosgyor 1293 37 36.30 +0.70 55.0% 19 27 31 36 41 47 55
Mezokovesd 1279 40 38.99 +1.01 58.0% 24 27 34 38 44 51 52
Gyirmot 1247 24 36.88 -12.88 1.0% 23 27 34 36 40 47 55

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.16%
Slight Edge
44.44%27.27%28.28%
Elo Value
Home Edge
177 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
056.65500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.41 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
10%
Honved, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.77 * Some Luck: 5.77 to 8.66 * Lucky: 8.66 to 11.55 * Wild Swing: 11.55 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.72 * Close: 1.72 to 2.58 * Off: 2.58 to 3.44 * Way Off: 3.44 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.57 points
Some Luck
07.2218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.155
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Honved
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Gyirmot
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 86.01
1.52
Coin-Flip Parity
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
64%
Even
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.90
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
-0.02
Weak Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
1.00
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.74
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Honved10.00%15.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%
Videoton54.00%20.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%————
Ferencvaros18.00%27.00%25.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%——
Vasas6.00%5.00%10.00%17.00%17.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%3.00%7.00%1.00%3.00%
Paks1.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%6.00%15.00%10.00%17.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%
Szombathelyi Haladas3.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%
Ujpest1.00%12.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%15.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%
Debrecen VSC7.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%16.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%—
Mezokovesd——4.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%14.00%17.00%
MTK Budapest—1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%17.00%10.00%12.00%15.00%16.00%11.00%
Diosgyor—1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%20.00%29.00%
Gyirmot——1.00%3.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%20.00%22.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Ferencvaros 100% —
Videoton 100% —
Honved 96.00% 4.00%
Vasas 96.00% 4.00%
Debrecen VSC 95.00% 5.00%
Ujpest 93.00% 7.00%
Paks 88.00% 12.00%
Szombathelyi Haladas 84.00% 16.00%
MTK Budapest 73.00% 27.00%
Mezokovesd 69.00% 31.00%
Gyirmot 55.00% 45.00%
Diosgyor 51.00% 49.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2016-07-16 Gyirmot D 2-260.5 1330 1416 31.81% 28.83% 39.35%-0.16 +0.2 1
2016-07-16 @ Mezokovesd D 2-260.5 1416 1330 39.35% 28.83% 31.81%+0.16 -0.2 1
2016-07-16 Honved L 0-242.8 1368 1347 46.47% 28.10% 25.42%+0.44 -19.9 0
2016-07-16 @ Ujpest W 2-042.8 1347 1368 25.42% 28.10% 46.47%-0.44 +19.9 3
2016-07-16 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-140.0 1441 1329 57.50% 25.35% 17.16%+0.95 +7.6 3
2016-07-16 @ Ferencvaros L 1-340.0 1329 1441 17.16% 25.35% 57.50%-0.95 -7.6 0
2016-07-17 Diosgyor L 1-254.4 1412 1344 52.38% 26.89% 20.74%+0.70 -10.9 0
2016-07-17 @ Videoton W 2-154.4 1344 1412 20.74% 26.89% 52.38%-0.70 +10.9 3
2016-07-17 Paks D 1-155.0 1392 1359 48.07% 27.83% 24.09%+0.51 -1.1 1
2016-07-17 @ Debrecen VSC D 1-155.0 1359 1392 24.09% 27.83% 48.07%-0.51 +1.2 1
2016-07-17 Vasas L 0-146.8 1359 1314 49.48% 27.56% 22.96%+0.57 -11.1 0
2016-07-17 @ MTK Budapest W 1-046.8 1314 1359 22.96% 27.56% 49.48%-0.57 +11.1 3
2016-07-23 Ferencvaros L 0-144.4 1367 1449 32.33% 28.86% 38.81%-0.14 -8.0 3
2016-07-23 @ Honved W 1-044.4 1449 1367 38.81% 28.86% 32.33%+0.14 +8.0 6
2016-07-23 Mezokovesd D 1-153.4 1321 1331 42.42% 28.61% 28.97%+0.26 -0.6 1
2016-07-23 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-153.4 1331 1321 28.97% 28.61% 42.42%-0.26 +0.6 2
2016-07-23 Ujpest W 2-146.4 1355 1348 44.71% 28.35% 26.93%+0.36 +6.6 6
2016-07-23 @ Diosgyor L 1-246.4 1348 1355 26.93% 28.35% 44.71%-0.36 -6.6 0
2016-07-24 Debrecen VSC W 3-146.0 1326 1391 34.61% 28.92% 36.47%-0.05 +14.3 6
2016-07-24 @ Vasas L 1-346.0 1391 1326 36.47% 28.92% 34.61%+0.05 -14.3 1
2016-07-24 Videoton D 1-154.8 1360 1401 38.07% 28.89% 33.05%+0.09 -0.2 2
2016-07-24 @ Paks D 1-154.8 1401 1360 33.05% 28.89% 38.07%-0.09 +0.2 1
2016-07-24 MTK Budapest D 0-050.7 1416 1348 52.40% 26.88% 20.72%+0.70 -1.7 2
2016-07-24 @ Gyirmot D 0-050.7 1348 1416 20.72% 26.88% 52.40%-0.70 +1.7 1
2016-07-30 Diosgyor W 6-239.1 1457 1362 55.54% 25.99% 18.47%+0.86 +12.7 9
2016-07-30 @ Ferencvaros L 2-639.1 1362 1457 18.47% 25.99% 55.54%-0.86 -12.7 6
2016-07-30 Honved D 1-153.6 1320 1359 38.43% 28.87% 32.70%+0.10 -0.3 2
2016-07-30 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-153.6 1359 1320 32.70% 28.87% 38.43%-0.10 +0.3 4
2016-07-30 Paks W 1-041.6 1341 1360 41.20% 28.72% 30.08%+0.21 +7.6 3
2016-07-30 @ Ujpest L 0-141.6 1360 1341 30.08% 28.72% 41.20%-0.21 -7.6 2
2016-07-31 Gyirmot W 4-038.3 1376 1414 38.56% 28.87% 32.57%+0.11 +28.9 4
2016-07-31 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-438.3 1414 1376 32.57% 28.87% 38.56%-0.11 -28.9 2
2016-07-31 Mezokovesd L 0-146.0 1349 1331 46.14% 28.15% 25.70%+0.42 -10.5 1
2016-07-31 @ MTK Budapest W 1-046.0 1331 1349 25.70% 28.15% 46.14%-0.42 +10.5 5
2016-07-31 Vasas L 1-253.9 1401 1340 51.59% 27.08% 21.33%+0.67 -10.8 1
2016-07-31 @ Videoton W 2-153.9 1340 1401 21.33% 27.08% 51.59%-0.67 +10.8 9
2016-08-06 Ferencvaros D 0-051.5 1352 1469 27.83% 28.48% 43.69%-0.34 +0.8 3
2016-08-06 @ Paks D 0-051.5 1469 1352 43.69% 28.48% 27.83%+0.34 -0.8 10
2016-08-06 Honved L 0-339.7 1349 1359 42.37% 28.62% 29.02%+0.26 -26.8 6
2016-08-06 @ Diosgyor W 3-039.7 1359 1349 29.02% 28.62% 42.37%-0.26 +26.8 7
2016-08-06 Ujpest L 0-145.7 1351 1349 44.00% 28.44% 27.56%+0.33 -10.1 9
2016-08-06 @ Vasas W 1-045.7 1349 1351 27.56% 28.44% 44.00%-0.33 +10.1 6
2016-08-07 Debrecen VSC L 0-143.8 1342 1405 34.83% 28.93% 36.24%-0.04 -8.5 5
2016-08-07 @ Mezokovesd W 1-043.8 1405 1342 36.24% 28.93% 34.83%+0.04 +8.5 7
2016-08-07 Videoton L 0-441.0 1385 1390 43.02% 28.55% 28.43%+0.29 -35.5 2
2016-08-07 @ Gyirmot W 4-041.0 1390 1385 28.43% 28.55% 43.02%-0.29 +35.5 4
2016-08-07 Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-242.1 1339 1320 46.24% 28.14% 25.62%+0.43 -19.8 1
2016-08-07 @ MTK Budapest W 2-042.1 1320 1339 25.62% 28.14% 46.24%-0.43 +19.8 5
2016-08-13 Diosgyor W 3-141.9 1340 1322 46.10% 28.16% 25.74%+0.42 +11.0 8
2016-08-13 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-341.9 1322 1340 25.74% 28.16% 46.10%-0.42 -11.0 6
2016-08-13 Gyirmot W 3-142.7 1359 1350 44.97% 28.32% 26.71%+0.37 +11.3 9
2016-08-13 @ Ujpest L 1-342.7 1350 1359 26.71% 28.32% 44.97%-0.37 -11.3 2
2016-08-13 Mezokovesd W 2-034.6 1426 1333 55.28% 26.07% 18.65%+0.84 +9.6 7
2016-08-13 @ Videoton L 0-234.6 1333 1426 18.65% 26.07% 55.28%-0.84 -9.6 5
2016-08-13 MTK Budapest D 1-155.2 1414 1319 55.52% 26.00% 18.49%+0.85 -1.8 8
2016-08-13 @ Debrecen VSC D 1-155.2 1319 1414 18.49% 26.00% 55.52%-0.85 +1.9 2
2016-08-13 Paks W 3-142.3 1386 1353 48.05% 27.84% 24.12%+0.50 +10.4 10
2016-08-13 @ Honved L 1-342.3 1353 1386 24.12% 27.84% 48.05%-0.50 -10.4 3
2016-08-13 Vasas L 1-256.9 1468 1341 59.20% 24.73% 16.07%+1.04 -12.1 10
2016-08-13 @ Ferencvaros W 2-156.9 1341 1468 16.07% 24.73% 59.20%-1.04 +12.1 12
2016-08-16 Videoton W 1-046.4 1321 1435 28.14% 28.52% 43.34%-0.33 +10.0 5
2016-08-16 @ MTK Budapest L 0-146.4 1435 1321 43.34% 28.52% 28.14%+0.33 -10.0 7
2016-08-17 Diosgyor W 2-144.8 1343 1311 47.87% 27.87% 24.26%+0.50 +6.0 6
2016-08-17 @ Paks L 1-244.8 1311 1343 24.26% 27.87% 47.87%-0.50 -6.0 6
2016-08-17 Ferencvaros L 0-142.5 1338 1456 27.72% 28.46% 43.82%-0.35 -7.1 2
2016-08-17 @ Gyirmot W 1-042.5 1456 1338 43.82% 28.46% 27.72%+0.35 +7.2 13
2016-08-17 Honved W 2-039.7 1353 1396 37.70% 28.90% 33.40%+0.07 +15.5 15
2016-08-17 @ Vasas L 0-239.7 1396 1353 33.40% 28.90% 37.70%-0.07 -15.5 10
2016-08-17 Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-148.6 1412 1351 51.57% 27.09% 21.34%+0.66 -11.5 8
2016-08-17 @ Debrecen VSC W 1-048.6 1351 1412 21.34% 27.09% 51.57%-0.66 +11.5 11
2016-08-17 Ujpest L 0-240.0 1324 1370 37.29% 28.91% 33.80%+0.06 -16.8 5
2016-08-17 @ Mezokovesd W 2-040.0 1370 1324 33.80% 28.91% 37.29%-0.06 +16.8 12
2016-08-21 Debrecen VSC W 5-140.3 1426 1401 47.03% 28.01% 24.96%+0.46 +19.6 10
2016-08-21 @ Videoton L 1-540.3 1401 1426 24.96% 28.01% 47.03%-0.46 -19.6 8
2016-08-21 Gyirmot D 0-049.7 1381 1331 50.15% 27.41% 22.43%+0.60 -1.5 11
2016-08-21 @ Honved D 0-049.7 1331 1381 22.43% 27.41% 50.15%-0.60 +1.5 3
2016-08-21 Mezokovesd D 2-262.5 1464 1307 62.22% 23.52% 14.26%+1.20 -1.8 14
2016-08-21 @ Ferencvaros D 2-262.5 1307 1464 14.26% 23.52% 62.22%-1.20 +1.8 6
2016-08-21 MTK Budapest D 0-049.9 1387 1331 50.94% 27.24% 21.82%+0.64 -1.6 13
2016-08-21 @ Ujpest D 0-049.9 1331 1387 21.82% 27.24% 50.94%-0.64 +1.6 6
2016-08-21 Paks W 3-142.6 1362 1349 45.56% 28.24% 26.20%+0.40 +11.2 14
2016-08-21 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-342.6 1349 1362 26.20% 28.24% 45.56%-0.40 -11.2 6
2016-08-21 Vasas D 1-153.6 1305 1368 34.90% 28.93% 36.18%-0.04 +0.1 7
2016-08-21 @ Diosgyor D 1-153.6 1368 1305 36.18% 28.93% 34.90%+0.04 -0.1 16
2016-09-10 Diosgyor W 1-039.1 1333 1305 47.37% 27.96% 24.68%+0.48 +6.5 6
2016-09-10 @ Gyirmot L 0-139.1 1305 1333 24.68% 27.96% 47.37%-0.48 -6.5 7
2016-09-10 Ferencvaros W 2-153.4 1333 1462 26.43% 28.28% 45.29%-0.41 +9.7 9
2016-09-10 @ MTK Budapest L 1-253.4 1462 1333 45.29% 28.28% 26.43%+0.41 -9.7 14
2016-09-10 Honved W 3-145.8 1309 1379 33.86% 28.91% 37.23%-0.08 +14.5 9
2016-09-10 @ Mezokovesd L 1-345.8 1379 1309 37.23% 28.91% 33.86%+0.08 -14.5 11
2016-09-10 Paks W 1-039.7 1368 1337 47.77% 27.89% 24.35%+0.49 +6.4 19
2016-09-10 @ Vasas L 0-139.7 1337 1368 24.35% 27.89% 47.77%-0.49 -6.4 6
2016-09-10 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-034.7 1445 1373 52.83% 26.77% 20.40%+0.72 +15.1 13
2016-09-10 @ Videoton L 0-334.7 1373 1445 20.40% 26.77% 52.83%-0.72 -15.1 14
2016-09-10 Ujpest W 2-147.8 1381 1385 43.14% 28.54% 28.32%+0.29 +6.9 11
2016-09-10 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-247.8 1385 1381 28.32% 28.54% 43.14%-0.29 -6.9 13
2016-09-17 Debrecen VSC W 3-143.3 1452 1388 51.92% 27.00% 21.08%+0.68 +9.3 17
2016-09-17 @ Ferencvaros L 1-343.3 1388 1452 21.08% 27.00% 51.92%-0.68 -9.3 11
2016-09-17 Videoton L 3-458.4 1379 1460 32.34% 28.86% 38.80%-0.14 -7.0 13
2016-09-17 @ Ujpest W 4-358.4 1460 1379 38.80% 28.86% 32.34%+0.14 +7.0 16
2016-09-17 Gyirmot D 0-048.9 1331 1339 42.64% 28.59% 28.77%+0.27 -0.7 7
2016-09-17 @ Paks D 0-048.9 1339 1331 28.77% 28.59% 42.64%-0.27 +0.7 7
2016-09-17 Mezokovesd D 1-153.1 1299 1323 40.36% 28.78% 30.87%+0.18 -0.4 8
2016-09-17 @ Diosgyor D 1-153.1 1323 1299 30.87% 28.78% 40.36%-0.18 +0.4 10
2016-09-17 MTK Budapest W 5-035.2 1365 1342 46.71% 28.07% 25.23%+0.45 +29.2 14
2016-09-17 @ Honved L 0-535.2 1342 1365 25.23% 28.07% 46.71%-0.45 -29.2 9
2016-09-17 Vasas W 1-042.0 1358 1375 41.53% 28.69% 29.78%+0.23 +7.6 17
2016-09-17 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-142.0 1375 1358 29.78% 28.69% 41.53%-0.23 -7.6 19
2016-09-20 Honved L 0-146.3 1379 1394 41.64% 28.68% 29.68%+0.23 -9.7 11
2016-09-20 @ Debrecen VSC W 1-046.3 1394 1379 29.68% 28.68% 41.64%-0.23 +9.7 17
2016-09-21 Diosgyor W 1-039.4 1313 1298 45.72% 28.22% 26.06%+0.40 +6.8 12
2016-09-21 @ MTK Budapest L 0-139.4 1298 1313 26.06% 28.22% 45.72%-0.40 -6.8 8
2016-09-21 Ferencvaros D 1-159.5 1467 1461 44.54% 28.38% 27.08%+0.35 -0.8 17
2016-09-21 @ Videoton D 1-159.5 1461 1467 27.08% 28.38% 44.54%-0.35 +0.8 18
2016-09-21 Paks L 1-347.0 1324 1330 42.85% 28.57% 28.58%+0.28 -16.1 10
2016-09-21 @ Mezokovesd W 3-147.0 1330 1324 28.58% 28.57% 42.85%-0.28 +16.1 10
2016-09-21 Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-154.6 1372 1366 44.49% 28.38% 27.12%+0.35 -0.8 14
2016-09-21 @ Ujpest D 1-154.6 1366 1372 27.12% 28.38% 44.49%-0.35 +0.8 18
2016-09-21 Vasas W 1-042.1 1340 1367 40.02% 28.80% 31.19%+0.17 +7.8 10
2016-09-21 @ Gyirmot L 0-142.1 1367 1340 31.19% 28.80% 40.02%-0.17 -7.8 19
2016-09-24 Debrecen VSC L 1-344.2 1291 1369 32.89% 28.88% 38.22%-0.12 -13.3 8
2016-09-24 @ Diosgyor W 3-144.2 1369 1291 38.22% 28.88% 32.89%+0.12 +13.3 14
2016-09-24 Videoton L 1-252.5 1404 1466 34.96% 28.93% 36.11%-0.03 -8.0 17
2016-09-24 @ Honved W 2-152.5 1466 1404 36.11% 28.93% 34.96%+0.03 +8.0 20
2016-09-24 Gyirmot L 0-146.5 1367 1348 46.26% 28.14% 25.60%+0.43 -10.5 18
2016-09-24 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 1-046.5 1348 1367 25.60% 28.14% 46.26%-0.43 +10.5 13
2016-09-24 Mezokovesd W 4-032.8 1359 1308 50.40% 27.36% 22.24%+0.61 +21.3 22
2016-09-24 @ Vasas L 0-432.8 1308 1359 22.24% 27.36% 50.40%-0.61 -21.3 10
2016-09-24 MTK Budapest D 0-049.0 1346 1320 47.24% 27.98% 24.78%+0.47 -1.2 11
2016-09-24 @ Paks D 0-049.0 1320 1346 24.78% 27.98% 47.24%-0.47 +1.2 13
2016-09-24 Ujpest D 3-366.9 1462 1371 55.13% 26.12% 18.76%+0.83 -1.1 19
2016-09-24 @ Ferencvaros D 3-366.9 1371 1462 18.76% 26.12% 55.13%-0.83 +1.1 15
2016-10-15 Debrecen VSC D 1-154.3 1345 1382 38.64% 28.87% 32.49%+0.11 -0.3 12
2016-10-15 @ Paks D 1-154.3 1382 1345 32.49% 28.87% 38.64%-0.11 +0.3 15
2016-10-15 Videoton W 2-045.1 1278 1474 19.78% 26.54% 53.69%-0.79 +22.3 11
2016-10-15 @ Diosgyor L 0-245.1 1474 1278 53.69% 26.54% 19.78%+0.79 -22.3 20
2016-10-15 Ferencvaros W 2-043.6 1356 1461 29.35% 28.65% 42.00%-0.27 +18.4 21
2016-10-15 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-243.6 1461 1356 42.00% 28.65% 29.35%+0.27 -18.4 19
2016-10-15 Mezokovesd L 0-147.3 1358 1286 52.86% 26.76% 20.38%+0.73 -11.7 13
2016-10-15 @ Gyirmot W 1-047.3 1286 1358 20.38% 26.76% 52.86%-0.73 +11.7 13
2016-10-15 MTK Budapest W 3-249.4 1381 1321 51.36% 27.14% 21.50%+0.66 +5.2 25
2016-10-15 @ Vasas L 2-349.4 1321 1381 21.50% 27.14% 51.36%-0.66 -5.2 13
2016-10-15 Ujpest D 1-155.2 1396 1372 46.88% 28.04% 25.08%+0.45 -1.0 18
2016-10-15 @ Honved D 1-155.2 1372 1396 25.08% 28.04% 46.88%-0.45 +1.0 16
2016-10-22 Diosgyor D 4-465.4 1373 1300 52.93% 26.74% 20.33%+0.73 -0.9 17
2016-10-22 @ Ujpest D 4-465.4 1300 1373 20.33% 26.74% 52.93%-0.73 +0.9 12
2016-10-22 Gyirmot W 1-041.7 1316 1346 39.53% 28.82% 31.64%+0.15 +7.9 16
2016-10-22 @ MTK Budapest L 0-141.7 1346 1316 31.64% 28.82% 39.53%-0.15 -7.9 13
2016-10-22 Honved W 3-252.5 1443 1395 49.95% 27.46% 22.60%+0.59 +5.4 22
2016-10-22 @ Ferencvaros L 2-352.5 1395 1443 22.60% 27.46% 49.95%-0.59 -5.4 18
2016-10-22 Paks W 5-136.7 1452 1345 56.92% 25.54% 17.54%+0.92 +14.2 23
2016-10-22 @ Videoton L 1-536.7 1345 1452 17.54% 25.54% 56.92%-0.92 -14.3 12
2016-10-22 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-038.1 1298 1375 33.02% 28.89% 38.09%-0.11 +24.8 16
2016-10-22 @ Mezokovesd L 0-338.1 1375 1298 38.09% 28.89% 33.02%+0.11 -24.8 21
2016-10-22 Vasas L 1-252.4 1382 1386 43.30% 28.52% 28.18%+0.30 -9.4 15
2016-10-22 @ Debrecen VSC W 2-152.4 1386 1382 28.18% 28.52% 43.30%-0.30 +9.4 28
2016-10-29 Debrecen VSC L 1-250.2 1339 1373 38.99% 28.85% 32.16%+0.13 -8.7 13
2016-10-29 @ Gyirmot W 2-150.2 1373 1339 32.16% 28.85% 38.99%-0.13 +8.7 18
2016-10-29 Videoton D 1-157.2 1395 1466 33.76% 28.91% 37.33%-0.08 +0.2 29
2016-10-29 @ Vasas D 1-157.2 1466 1395 37.33% 28.91% 33.76%+0.08 -0.2 24
2016-10-29 Ferencvaros L 2-351.3 1301 1448 24.50% 27.92% 47.58%-0.51 -5.8 12
2016-10-29 @ Diosgyor W 3-251.3 1448 1301 47.58% 27.92% 24.50%+0.51 +5.8 25
2016-10-29 MTK Budapest W 1-040.3 1323 1324 43.59% 28.49% 27.92%+0.31 +7.2 19
2016-10-29 @ Mezokovesd L 0-140.3 1324 1323 27.92% 28.49% 43.59%-0.31 -7.2 16
2016-10-29 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-145.6 1389 1350 48.87% 27.68% 23.45%+0.54 +5.9 21
2016-10-29 @ Honved L 1-245.6 1350 1389 23.45% 27.68% 48.87%-0.54 -5.9 21
2016-10-29 Ujpest D 1-153.9 1331 1372 38.03% 28.89% 33.08%+0.09 -0.2 13
2016-10-29 @ Paks D 1-153.9 1372 1331 33.08% 28.89% 38.03%-0.09 +0.2 18
2016-11-05 Diosgyor W 2-033.3 1395 1295 56.08% 25.82% 18.11%+0.88 +9.3 24
2016-11-05 @ Honved L 0-233.3 1295 1395 18.11% 25.82% 56.08%-0.88 -9.3 12
2016-11-05 Gyirmot W 4-031.9 1466 1330 60.10% 24.39% 15.52%+1.09 +15.1 27
2016-11-05 @ Videoton L 0-431.9 1330 1466 15.52% 24.39% 60.10%-1.09 -15.1 13
2016-11-05 Mezokovesd D 0-049.8 1382 1330 50.43% 27.35% 22.22%+0.61 -1.5 19
2016-11-05 @ Debrecen VSC D 0-049.8 1330 1382 22.22% 27.35% 50.43%-0.61 +1.5 20
2016-11-05 MTK Budapest D 1-153.7 1344 1317 47.34% 27.96% 24.70%+0.47 -1.1 22
2016-11-05 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-153.7 1317 1344 24.70% 27.96% 47.34%-0.47 +1.1 17
2016-11-05 Paks L 1-256.2 1454 1330 58.70% 24.92% 16.38%+1.01 -12.0 25
2016-11-05 @ Ferencvaros W 2-156.2 1330 1454 16.38% 24.92% 58.70%-1.01 +12.0 16
2016-11-05 Vasas D 2-260.9 1372 1395 40.59% 28.76% 30.65%+0.19 -0.3 19
2016-11-05 @ Ujpest D 2-260.9 1395 1372 30.65% 28.76% 40.59%-0.19 +0.3 30
2016-11-19 Debrecen VSC D 1-153.9 1318 1380 34.99% 28.93% 36.08%-0.03 +0.0 18
2016-11-19 @ MTK Budapest D 1-153.9 1380 1318 36.08% 28.93% 34.99%+0.03 -0.0 20
2016-11-19 Videoton W 2-154.5 1331 1481 24.17% 27.85% 47.99%-0.53 +10.2 23
2016-11-19 @ Mezokovesd L 1-254.5 1481 1331 47.99% 27.85% 24.17%+0.53 -10.2 27
2016-11-19 Ferencvaros D 2-262.4 1396 1442 37.34% 28.91% 33.75%+0.06 -0.1 31
2016-11-19 @ Vasas D 2-262.4 1442 1396 33.75% 28.91% 37.34%-0.06 +0.1 26
2016-11-19 Honved D 1-154.6 1342 1404 35.09% 28.93% 35.99%-0.03 +0.0 17
2016-11-19 @ Paks D 1-154.6 1404 1342 35.99% 28.93% 35.09%+0.03 -0.0 25
2016-11-19 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-148.2 1286 1343 35.83% 28.93% 35.24%+0.00 +8.1 15
2016-11-19 @ Diosgyor L 1-248.2 1343 1286 35.24% 28.93% 35.83%+0.00 -8.1 22
2016-11-19 Ujpest L 1-249.0 1315 1372 35.77% 28.93% 35.30%+0.00 -8.1 13
2016-11-19 @ Gyirmot W 2-149.0 1372 1315 35.30% 28.93% 35.77%+0.00 +8.1 22
2016-11-26 Debrecen VSC W 1-043.0 1335 1380 37.45% 28.91% 33.65%+0.06 +8.3 25
2016-11-26 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-143.0 1380 1335 33.65% 28.91% 37.45%-0.06 -8.3 20
2016-11-26 Gyirmot W 2-033.0 1442 1307 59.98% 24.43% 15.58%+1.08 +8.0 29
2016-11-26 @ Ferencvaros L 0-233.0 1307 1442 15.58% 24.43% 59.98%-1.08 -8.0 13
2016-11-26 Mezokovesd D 1-154.6 1380 1342 48.75% 27.70% 23.55%+0.54 -1.2 23
2016-11-26 @ Ujpest D 1-154.6 1342 1380 23.55% 27.70% 48.75%-0.54 +1.2 24
2016-11-26 MTK Budapest W 2-033.2 1471 1318 61.89% 23.66% 14.45%+1.18 +7.4 30
2016-11-26 @ Videoton L 0-233.2 1318 1471 14.45% 23.66% 61.89%-1.18 -7.4 18
2016-11-26 Paks W 2-038.5 1294 1343 37.03% 28.92% 34.06%+0.05 +15.7 18
2016-11-26 @ Diosgyor L 0-238.5 1343 1294 34.06% 28.92% 37.03%-0.05 -15.7 17
2016-11-26 Vasas W 2-148.0 1404 1395 44.92% 28.33% 26.75%+0.37 +6.6 28
2016-11-26 @ Honved L 1-248.0 1395 1404 26.75% 28.33% 44.92%-0.37 -6.5 31
2016-12-03 Diosgyor W 3-032.2 1389 1310 53.69% 26.54% 19.77%+0.76 +14.7 34
2016-12-03 @ Vasas L 0-332.2 1310 1389 19.77% 26.54% 53.69%-0.76 -14.7 18
2016-12-03 Videoton L 0-144.3 1372 1478 29.11% 28.63% 42.27%-0.28 -7.4 20
2016-12-03 @ Debrecen VSC W 1-044.3 1478 1372 42.27% 28.63% 29.11%+0.28 +7.4 33
2016-12-03 Ferencvaros W 2-043.1 1343 1450 29.06% 28.62% 42.32%-0.28 +18.5 27
2016-12-03 @ Mezokovesd L 0-243.1 1450 1343 42.32% 28.62% 29.06%+0.28 -18.5 29
2016-12-03 Honved L 0-435.5 1299 1411 28.42% 28.55% 43.03%-0.31 -26.1 13
2016-12-03 @ Gyirmot W 4-035.5 1411 1299 43.03% 28.55% 28.42%+0.31 +26.1 31
2016-12-03 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-146.9 1327 1343 41.53% 28.69% 29.78%+0.23 +7.1 20
2016-12-03 @ Paks L 1-246.9 1343 1327 29.78% 28.69% 41.53%-0.23 -7.1 25
2016-12-03 Ujpest D 1-153.8 1310 1379 34.15% 28.92% 36.93%-0.07 +0.1 19
2016-12-03 @ MTK Budapest D 1-153.8 1379 1310 36.93% 28.92% 34.15%+0.07 -0.1 24
2016-12-10 Debrecen VSC W 2-037.2 1379 1364 45.63% 28.23% 26.14%+0.40 +12.9 27
2016-12-10 @ Ujpest L 0-237.2 1364 1379 26.14% 28.23% 45.63%-0.40 -12.9 20
2016-12-10 Videoton D 1-156.5 1336 1486 24.16% 27.84% 48.00%-0.53 +1.1 26
2016-12-10 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-156.5 1486 1336 48.00% 27.84% 24.16%+0.53 -1.1 34
2016-12-10 Gyirmot W 1-038.8 1295 1273 46.74% 28.06% 25.20%+0.45 +6.6 21
2016-12-10 @ Diosgyor L 0-138.8 1273 1295 25.20% 28.06% 46.74%-0.45 -6.6 13
2016-12-10 Mezokovesd W 1-039.7 1437 1361 53.30% 26.64% 20.05%+0.75 +5.4 34
2016-12-10 @ Honved L 0-139.7 1361 1437 20.05% 26.64% 53.30%-0.75 -5.4 27
2016-12-10 MTK Budapest D 1-155.7 1431 1310 58.45% 25.01% 16.55%+1.00 -2.1 30
2016-12-10 @ Ferencvaros D 1-155.7 1310 1431 16.55% 25.01% 58.45%-1.00 +2.1 20
2016-12-10 Vasas W 1-044.3 1334 1404 33.98% 28.91% 37.10%-0.07 +8.9 23
2016-12-10 @ Paks L 0-144.3 1404 1334 37.10% 28.91% 33.98%+0.07 -8.9 34
2017-02-18 Diosgyor W 3-032.6 1356 1302 50.69% 27.30% 22.02%+0.62 +16.2 30
2017-02-18 @ Mezokovesd L 0-332.6 1302 1356 22.02% 27.30% 50.69%-0.62 -16.2 21
2017-02-18 Ferencvaros D 0-050.5 1352 1429 32.88% 28.88% 38.24%-0.12 +0.3 21
2017-02-18 @ Debrecen VSC D 0-050.5 1429 1352 38.24% 28.88% 32.88%+0.12 -0.3 31
2017-02-18 Honved L 1-247.0 1313 1442 26.35% 28.26% 45.38%-0.41 -6.5 20
2017-02-18 @ MTK Budapest W 2-147.0 1442 1313 45.38% 28.26% 26.35%+0.41 +6.5 37
2017-02-18 Paks D 0-048.2 1266 1343 32.99% 28.89% 38.12%-0.11 +0.3 14
2017-02-18 @ Gyirmot D 0-048.2 1343 1266 38.12% 28.89% 32.99%+0.11 -0.3 24
2017-02-18 Ujpest W 5-139.3 1485 1392 55.35% 26.05% 18.61%+0.85 +15.1 37
2017-02-18 @ Videoton L 1-539.3 1392 1485 18.61% 26.05% 55.35%-0.85 -15.1 27
2017-02-25 Debrecen VSC W 1-039.0 1449 1352 55.78% 25.91% 18.31%+0.87 +5.0 40
2017-02-25 @ Honved L 0-139.0 1352 1449 18.31% 25.91% 55.78%-0.87 -5.0 21
2017-02-25 Videoton D 0-054.6 1429 1500 33.82% 28.91% 37.27%-0.08 +0.2 32
2017-02-25 @ Ferencvaros D 0-054.6 1500 1429 37.27% 28.91% 33.82%+0.08 -0.2 38
2017-02-25 Gyirmot D 1-154.7 1395 1266 59.27% 24.70% 16.03%+1.04 -2.2 35
2017-02-25 @ Vasas D 1-154.7 1266 1395 16.03% 24.70% 59.27%-1.04 +2.2 15
2017-02-25 Mezokovesd W 5-037.5 1343 1372 39.69% 28.82% 31.49%+0.15 +34.8 27
2017-02-25 @ Paks L 0-537.5 1372 1343 31.49% 28.82% 39.69%-0.15 -34.8 30
2017-02-25 MTK Budapest L 2-354.7 1286 1306 40.96% 28.73% 30.31%+0.20 -8.5 21
2017-02-25 @ Diosgyor W 3-254.7 1306 1286 30.31% 28.73% 40.96%-0.20 +8.5 23
2017-02-25 Ujpest L 0-240.6 1337 1376 38.30% 28.88% 32.82%+0.10 -17.1 26
2017-02-25 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-040.6 1376 1337 32.82% 28.88% 38.30%-0.10 +17.1 30
2017-03-04 Diosgyor W 3-031.8 1347 1277 52.59% 26.83% 20.57%+0.71 +15.2 24
2017-03-04 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-331.8 1277 1347 20.57% 26.83% 52.59%-0.71 -15.2 21
2017-03-04 Ferencvaros L 0-146.6 1394 1429 38.83% 28.86% 32.31%+0.12 -9.2 30
2017-03-04 @ Ujpest W 1-046.6 1429 1394 32.31% 28.86% 38.83%-0.12 +9.2 35
2017-03-04 Honved W 3-039.8 1500 1454 49.68% 27.51% 22.80%+0.58 +16.7 41
2017-03-04 @ Videoton L 0-339.8 1454 1500 22.80% 27.51% 49.68%-0.58 -16.7 40
2017-03-04 Paks L 1-248.8 1315 1377 34.98% 28.93% 36.10%-0.03 -8.0 23
2017-03-04 @ MTK Budapest W 2-148.8 1377 1315 36.10% 28.93% 34.98%+0.03 +8.0 30
2017-03-04 Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-248.3 1268 1320 36.57% 28.92% 34.51%+0.03 -8.3 15
2017-03-04 @ Gyirmot W 2-148.3 1320 1268 34.51% 28.92% 36.57%-0.03 +8.3 29
2017-03-04 Vasas L 0-240.2 1337 1393 36.04% 28.93% 35.04%+0.01 -16.4 30
2017-03-04 @ Mezokovesd W 2-040.2 1393 1337 35.04% 28.93% 36.04%-0.01 +16.4 38
2017-03-11 Diosgyor W 2-030.1 1516 1262 71.50% 18.96% 9.54%+1.75 +4.6 44
2017-03-11 @ Videoton L 0-230.1 1262 1516 9.54% 18.96% 71.50%-1.75 -4.6 21
2017-03-11 Gyirmot D 1-153.4 1321 1260 51.52% 27.10% 21.38%+0.66 -1.5 31
2017-03-11 @ Mezokovesd D 1-153.4 1260 1321 21.38% 27.10% 51.52%-0.66 +1.5 16
2017-03-11 Honved D 1-156.1 1384 1437 36.39% 28.93% 34.68%+0.02 -0.1 31
2017-03-11 @ Ujpest D 1-156.1 1437 1384 34.68% 28.93% 36.39%-0.02 +0.1 41
2017-03-11 Paks L 1-347.6 1362 1385 40.57% 28.76% 30.67%+0.19 -15.5 24
2017-03-11 @ Debrecen VSC W 3-147.6 1385 1362 30.67% 28.76% 40.57%-0.19 +15.5 33
2017-03-11 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-140.0 1438 1328 57.26% 25.43% 17.32%+0.94 +7.7 38
2017-03-11 @ Ferencvaros L 1-340.0 1328 1438 17.32% 25.43% 57.26%-0.94 -7.7 29
2017-03-11 Vasas W 1-045.3 1307 1409 29.65% 28.68% 41.67%-0.26 +9.7 26
2017-03-11 @ MTK Budapest L 0-145.3 1409 1307 41.67% 28.68% 29.65%+0.26 -9.7 38
2017-03-16 Szombathelyi Haladas L 2-359.1 1399 1320 53.66% 26.54% 19.79%+0.76 -10.6 38
2017-03-16 @ Vasas W 3-259.1 1320 1399 19.79% 26.54% 53.66%-0.76 +10.6 32
2017-04-01 Debrecen VSC L 2-358.4 1389 1347 49.20% 27.61% 23.18%+0.56 -9.9 38
2017-04-01 @ Vasas W 3-258.4 1347 1389 23.18% 27.61% 49.20%-0.56 +9.9 27
2017-04-01 Videoton D 0-054.5 1401 1521 27.47% 28.43% 44.10%-0.36 +0.9 34
2017-04-01 @ Paks D 0-054.5 1521 1401 44.10% 28.43% 27.47%+0.36 -0.9 45
2017-04-01 Ferencvaros W 2-150.9 1437 1446 42.54% 28.60% 28.86%+0.27 +7.0 44
2017-04-01 @ Honved L 1-250.9 1446 1437 28.86% 28.60% 42.54%-0.27 -7.0 38
2017-04-01 Mezokovesd W 4-245.8 1331 1319 45.30% 28.28% 26.43%+0.39 +10.1 35
2017-04-01 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 2-445.8 1319 1331 26.43% 28.28% 45.30%-0.39 -10.1 31
2017-04-01 MTK Budapest W 1-042.1 1262 1316 36.11% 28.93% 34.96%+0.01 +8.5 19
2017-04-01 @ Gyirmot L 0-142.1 1316 1262 34.96% 28.93% 36.11%-0.01 -8.5 26
2017-04-01 Ujpest W 3-147.5 1257 1384 26.68% 28.32% 45.01%-0.40 +16.8 24
2017-04-01 @ Diosgyor L 1-347.5 1384 1257 45.01% 28.32% 26.68%+0.40 -16.8 31
2017-04-08 Diosgyor D 1-155.8 1439 1274 63.08% 23.15% 13.77%+1.25 -2.5 39
2017-04-08 @ Ferencvaros D 1-155.8 1274 1439 13.77% 23.15% 63.08%-1.25 +2.5 25
2017-04-08 Gyirmot W 2-142.6 1356 1270 54.56% 26.29% 19.15%+0.81 +4.9 30
2017-04-08 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-242.6 1270 1356 19.15% 26.29% 54.56%-0.81 -4.9 19
2017-04-08 Honved L 0-142.9 1341 1444 29.55% 28.67% 41.78%-0.26 -7.5 35
2017-04-08 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 1-042.9 1444 1341 41.78% 28.67% 29.55%+0.26 +7.5 47
2017-04-08 Mezokovesd W 2-036.4 1308 1309 43.53% 28.50% 27.98%+0.31 +13.6 29
2017-04-08 @ MTK Budapest L 0-236.4 1309 1308 27.98% 28.50% 43.53%-0.31 -13.6 31
2017-04-08 Paks D 1-155.0 1368 1402 39.05% 28.85% 32.10%+0.13 -0.3 32
2017-04-08 @ Ujpest D 1-155.0 1402 1368 32.10% 28.85% 39.05%-0.13 +0.3 35
2017-04-08 Vasas L 1-259.6 1520 1379 60.63% 24.18% 15.19%+1.12 -12.3 45
2017-04-08 @ Videoton W 2-159.6 1379 1520 15.19% 24.18% 60.63%-1.12 +12.3 41
2017-04-11 Honved W 2-044.1 1277 1452 21.68% 27.19% 51.13%-0.67 +21.5 28
2017-04-11 @ Diosgyor L 0-244.1 1452 1277 51.13% 27.19% 21.68%+0.67 -21.5 47
2017-04-11 Ujpest L 2-358.2 1391 1367 46.89% 28.04% 25.08%+0.45 -9.5 41
2017-04-11 @ Vasas W 3-258.2 1367 1391 25.08% 28.04% 46.89%-0.45 +9.5 35
2017-04-12 Debrecen VSC W 2-148.9 1296 1361 34.56% 28.92% 36.52%-0.05 +8.3 34
2017-04-12 @ Mezokovesd L 1-248.9 1361 1296 36.52% 28.92% 34.56%+0.05 -8.3 30
2017-04-12 Videoton L 0-137.5 1265 1508 16.26% 24.84% 58.90%-1.05 -4.4 19
2017-04-12 @ Gyirmot W 1-037.5 1508 1265 58.90% 24.84% 16.26%+1.05 +4.4 48
2017-04-12 Ferencvaros W 3-147.1 1402 1437 38.97% 28.85% 32.18%+0.12 +13.1 38
2017-04-12 @ Paks L 1-347.1 1437 1402 32.18% 28.85% 38.97%-0.12 -13.1 39
2017-04-12 Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-048.7 1321 1334 42.07% 28.64% 29.28%+0.25 -0.7 30
2017-04-12 @ MTK Budapest D 0-048.7 1334 1321 29.28% 28.64% 42.07%-0.25 +0.7 36
2017-04-15 Diosgyor W 2-035.0 1334 1298 48.47% 27.76% 23.77%+0.52 +11.9 39
2017-04-15 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-235.0 1298 1334 23.77% 27.76% 48.47%-0.52 -11.9 28
2017-04-15 Gyirmot D 2-260.2 1377 1261 57.90% 25.20% 16.89%+0.97 -1.5 36
2017-04-15 @ Ujpest D 2-260.2 1261 1377 16.89% 25.20% 57.90%-0.97 +1.5 20
2017-04-15 Mezokovesd D 1-158.3 1512 1304 67.30% 21.16% 11.54%+1.49 -2.9 49
2017-04-15 @ Videoton D 1-158.3 1304 1512 11.54% 21.16% 67.30%-1.49 +2.9 35
2017-04-15 MTK Budapest D 0-049.1 1353 1321 47.99% 27.85% 24.17%+0.50 -1.3 31
2017-04-15 @ Debrecen VSC D 0-049.1 1321 1353 24.17% 27.85% 47.99%-0.50 +1.3 31
2017-04-15 Paks W 2-039.4 1430 1415 45.76% 28.21% 26.03%+0.41 +12.8 50
2017-04-15 @ Honved L 0-239.4 1415 1430 26.03% 28.21% 45.76%-0.41 -12.8 38
2017-04-15 Vasas L 1-254.6 1424 1382 49.19% 27.62% 23.19%+0.56 -10.4 39
2017-04-15 @ Ferencvaros W 2-154.6 1382 1424 23.19% 27.62% 49.19%-0.56 +10.4 44
2017-04-22 Diosgyor L 0-148.8 1402 1286 57.91% 25.20% 16.89%+0.97 -12.6 38
2017-04-22 @ Paks W 1-048.8 1286 1402 16.89% 25.20% 57.91%-0.97 +12.6 31
2017-04-22 Videoton D 1-157.0 1322 1509 20.56% 26.83% 52.61%-0.74 +1.6 32
2017-04-22 @ MTK Budapest D 1-157.0 1509 1322 52.61% 26.83% 20.56%+0.74 -1.6 50
2017-04-22 Ferencvaros L 2-350.1 1262 1413 24.07% 27.82% 48.11%-0.53 -5.7 20
2017-04-22 @ Gyirmot W 3-250.1 1413 1262 48.11% 27.82% 24.07%+0.53 +5.7 42
2017-04-22 Honved W 1-045.6 1392 1443 36.64% 28.92% 34.44%+0.03 +8.4 47
2017-04-22 @ Vasas L 0-145.6 1443 1392 34.44% 28.92% 36.64%-0.03 -8.4 50
2017-04-22 Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-246.5 1352 1346 44.50% 28.38% 27.12%+0.35 +10.3 34
2017-04-22 @ Debrecen VSC L 2-446.5 1346 1352 27.12% 28.38% 44.50%-0.35 -10.3 39
2017-04-22 Ujpest L 1-344.8 1307 1375 34.18% 28.92% 36.90%-0.07 -13.7 35
2017-04-22 @ Mezokovesd W 3-144.8 1375 1307 36.90% 28.92% 34.18%+0.07 +13.7 39
2017-04-29 Debrecen VSC W 3-250.0 1508 1362 61.09% 23.99% 14.92%+1.14 +3.6 53
2017-04-29 @ Videoton L 2-350.0 1362 1508 14.92% 23.99% 61.09%-1.14 -3.6 34
2017-04-29 Gyirmot W 1-034.6 1435 1257 64.39% 22.56% 13.05%+1.32 +3.5 53
2017-04-29 @ Honved L 0-134.6 1257 1435 13.05% 22.56% 64.39%-1.32 -3.5 20
2017-04-29 Mezokovesd W 3-138.6 1419 1293 58.95% 24.82% 16.23%+1.03 +7.2 45
2017-04-29 @ Ferencvaros L 1-338.6 1293 1419 16.23% 24.82% 58.95%-1.03 -7.2 35
2017-04-29 MTK Budapest L 1-253.6 1389 1324 52.07% 26.97% 20.97%+0.69 -10.9 39
2017-04-29 @ Ujpest W 2-153.6 1324 1389 20.97% 26.97% 52.07%-0.69 +10.9 35
2017-04-29 Paks W 2-039.7 1336 1390 36.26% 28.93% 34.81%+0.02 +16.0 42
2017-04-29 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-239.7 1390 1336 34.81% 28.93% 36.26%-0.02 -16.0 38
2017-04-29 Vasas W 2-150.8 1299 1400 29.73% 28.69% 41.58%-0.25 +9.1 34
2017-04-29 @ Diosgyor L 1-250.8 1400 1299 41.58% 28.69% 29.73%+0.25 -9.1 47
2017-05-06 Diosgyor D 1-152.7 1253 1308 36.10% 28.93% 34.98%+0.01 -0.0 21
2017-05-06 @ Gyirmot D 1-152.7 1308 1253 34.98% 28.93% 36.10%-0.01 +0.0 35
2017-05-06 Ferencvaros L 1-345.0 1334 1426 31.02% 28.79% 40.20%-0.20 -12.7 35
2017-05-06 @ MTK Budapest W 3-145.0 1426 1334 40.20% 28.79% 31.02%+0.20 +12.7 48
2017-05-06 Honved L 1-538.0 1286 1438 23.94% 27.79% 48.27%-0.54 -18.9 35
2017-05-06 @ Mezokovesd W 5-138.0 1438 1286 48.27% 27.79% 23.94%+0.54 +18.9 56
2017-05-06 Paks L 0-341.6 1391 1374 46.08% 28.16% 25.75%+0.42 -28.7 47
2017-05-06 @ Vasas W 3-041.6 1374 1391 25.75% 28.16% 46.08%-0.42 +28.7 41
2017-05-06 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-034.9 1511 1352 62.52% 23.39% 14.09%+1.22 +7.2 56
2017-05-06 @ Videoton L 0-234.9 1352 1511 14.09% 23.39% 62.52%-1.22 -7.2 42
2017-05-06 Ujpest W 1-042.2 1358 1378 41.08% 28.72% 30.19%+0.21 +7.6 37
2017-05-06 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-142.2 1378 1358 30.19% 28.72% 41.08%-0.21 -7.6 39
2017-05-13 Debrecen VSC D 0-051.6 1439 1366 52.95% 26.74% 20.32%+0.73 -1.8 49
2017-05-13 @ Ferencvaros D 0-051.6 1366 1439 20.32% 26.74% 52.95%-0.73 +1.8 38
2017-05-13 Videoton L 0-338.2 1370 1519 24.34% 27.88% 47.77%-0.52 -17.6 39
2017-05-13 @ Ujpest W 3-038.2 1519 1370 47.77% 27.88% 24.34%+0.52 +17.6 59
2017-05-13 Gyirmot W 3-029.4 1402 1253 61.46% 23.84% 14.70%+1.16 +10.9 44
2017-05-13 @ Paks L 0-329.4 1253 1402 14.70% 23.84% 61.46%-1.16 -10.9 21
2017-05-13 Mezokovesd D 2-259.0 1308 1267 49.05% 27.64% 23.30%+0.55 -0.9 36
2017-05-13 @ Diosgyor D 2-259.0 1267 1308 23.30% 27.64% 49.05%-0.55 +0.9 36
2017-05-13 MTK Budapest W 2-143.0 1457 1322 60.00% 24.42% 15.58%+1.08 +4.0 59
2017-05-13 @ Honved L 1-243.0 1322 1457 15.58% 24.42% 60.00%-1.08 -4.0 35
2017-05-13 Vasas D 2-259.9 1345 1363 41.30% 28.71% 29.99%+0.22 -0.4 43
2017-05-13 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 2-259.9 1363 1345 29.99% 28.71% 41.30%-0.22 +0.4 48
2017-05-20 Diosgyor D 0-048.5 1318 1307 45.16% 28.29% 26.54%+0.38 -1.0 36
2017-05-20 @ MTK Budapest D 0-048.5 1307 1318 26.54% 28.29% 45.16%-0.38 +1.0 37
2017-05-20 Ferencvaros W 4-143.7 1536 1437 56.03% 25.83% 18.14%+0.88 +11.4 62
2017-05-20 @ Videoton L 1-443.7 1437 1536 18.14% 25.83% 56.03%-0.88 -11.4 49
2017-05-20 Honved L 2-546.2 1368 1461 30.82% 28.77% 40.41%-0.21 -15.5 38
2017-05-20 @ Debrecen VSC W 5-246.2 1461 1368 40.41% 28.77% 30.82%+0.21 +15.5 62
2017-05-20 Paks W 3-257.2 1268 1413 24.66% 27.95% 47.38%-0.50 +9.6 39
2017-05-20 @ Mezokovesd L 2-357.2 1413 1268 47.38% 27.95% 24.66%+0.50 -9.6 44
2017-05-20 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-146.2 1353 1344 44.86% 28.34% 26.81%+0.37 +6.6 42
2017-05-20 @ Ujpest L 1-246.2 1344 1353 26.81% 28.34% 44.86%-0.37 -6.6 43
2017-05-20 Vasas L 1-245.5 1242 1363 27.38% 28.42% 44.20%-0.36 -6.7 21
2017-05-20 @ Gyirmot W 2-145.5 1363 1242 44.20% 28.42% 27.38%+0.36 +6.7 51
2017-05-27 Debrecen VSC L 1-345.6 1308 1352 37.59% 28.90% 33.51%+0.07 -14.6 37
2017-05-27 @ Diosgyor W 3-145.6 1352 1308 33.51% 28.90% 37.59%-0.07 +14.6 41
2017-05-27 Videoton W 1-052.8 1477 1548 33.80% 28.91% 37.29%-0.08 +8.9 65
2017-05-27 @ Honved L 0-152.8 1548 1477 37.29% 28.91% 33.80%+0.08 -8.9 62
2017-05-27 Gyirmot L 1-253.2 1338 1235 56.38% 25.72% 17.90%+0.90 -11.6 43
2017-05-27 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-153.2 1235 1338 17.90% 25.72% 56.38%-0.90 +11.6 24
2017-05-27 Mezokovesd D 1-154.2 1370 1278 55.22% 26.09% 18.69%+0.84 -1.8 52
2017-05-27 @ Vasas D 1-154.2 1278 1370 18.69% 26.09% 55.22%-0.84 +1.8 40
2017-05-27 MTK Budapest D 1-155.0 1404 1317 54.62% 26.27% 19.11%+0.81 -1.8 45
2017-05-27 @ Paks D 1-155.0 1317 1404 19.11% 26.27% 54.62%-0.81 +1.8 37
2017-05-27 Ujpest W 2-036.0 1426 1359 52.18% 26.94% 20.88%+0.69 +10.6 52
2017-05-27 @ Ferencvaros L 0-236.0 1359 1426 20.88% 26.94% 52.18%-0.69 -10.6 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-04-08 15.19% Vasas 1379 2 @ Videoton 1520 1
2 2016-08-13 16.07% Vasas 1341 2 @ Ferencvaros 1468 1
3 2016-11-05 16.38% Paks 1330 2 @ Ferencvaros 1454 1
4 2017-04-22 16.89% Diosgyor 1286 1 @ Paks 1402 0
5 2017-05-27 17.90% Gyirmot 1235 2 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1338 1
6 2016-10-15 19.78% @ Diosgyor 1278 2 Videoton 1474 0
7 2017-03-16 19.79% Szombathelyi Haladas 1320 3 @ Vasas 1399 2
8 2016-10-15 20.38% Mezokovesd 1286 1 @ Gyirmot 1358 0
9 2016-07-17 20.74% Diosgyor 1344 2 @ Videoton 1412 1
10 2017-04-29 20.97% MTK Budapest 1324 2 @ Ujpest 1389 1
11 2016-07-31 21.33% Vasas 1340 2 @ Videoton 1401 1
12 2016-08-17 21.34% Szombathelyi Haladas 1351 1 @ Debrecen VSC 1412 0
13 2017-04-11 21.68% @ Diosgyor 1277 2 Honved 1452 0
14 2016-07-17 22.96% Vasas 1314 1 @ MTK Budapest 1359 0
15 2017-04-01 23.18% Debrecen VSC 1347 3 @ Vasas 1389 2
16 2017-04-15 23.19% Vasas 1382 2 @ Ferencvaros 1424 1
17 2016-11-19 24.17% @ Mezokovesd 1331 2 Videoton 1481 1
18 2017-05-20 24.66% @ Mezokovesd 1268 3 Paks 1413 2
19 2017-04-11 25.08% Ujpest 1367 3 @ Vasas 1391 2
20 2016-07-16 25.42% Honved 1347 2 @ Ujpest 1368 0
21 2016-09-24 25.60% Gyirmot 1348 1 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1367 0
22 2016-08-07 25.62% Szombathelyi Haladas 1320 2 @ MTK Budapest 1339 0
23 2016-07-31 25.70% Mezokovesd 1331 1 @ MTK Budapest 1349 0
24 2017-05-06 25.75% Paks 1374 3 @ Vasas 1391 0
25 2016-09-10 26.43% @ MTK Budapest 1333 2 Ferencvaros 1462 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-08-07 35.48 Videoton 4 1390 28.43% @ Gyirmot 0 1385 43.02% 28.55%
2 2017-02-25 34.76 @ Paks 5 1343 39.69% Mezokovesd 0 1372 31.49% 28.82%
3 2016-09-17 29.23 @ Honved 5 1365 46.71% MTK Budapest 0 1342 25.23% 28.07%
4 2016-07-31 28.91 @ Debrecen VSC 4 1376 38.56% Gyirmot 0 1414 32.57% 28.87%
5 2017-05-06 28.67 Paks 3 1374 25.75% @ Vasas 0 1391 46.08% 28.16%
6 2016-08-06 26.83 Honved 3 1359 29.02% @ Diosgyor 0 1349 42.37% 28.62%
7 2016-12-03 26.08 Honved 4 1411 43.03% @ Gyirmot 0 1299 28.42% 28.55%
8 2016-10-22 24.78 @ Mezokovesd 3 1298 33.02% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1375 38.09% 28.89%
9 2016-10-15 22.33 @ Diosgyor 2 1278 19.78% Videoton 0 1474 53.69% 26.54%
10 2017-04-11 21.46 @ Diosgyor 2 1277 21.68% Honved 0 1452 51.13% 27.19%
11 2016-09-24 21.32 @ Vasas 4 1359 50.40% Mezokovesd 0 1308 22.24% 27.36%
12 2016-07-16 19.87 Honved 2 1347 25.42% @ Ujpest 0 1368 46.47% 28.10%
13 2016-08-07 19.79 Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1320 25.62% @ MTK Budapest 0 1339 46.24% 28.14%
14 2016-08-21 19.59 @ Videoton 5 1426 47.03% Debrecen VSC 1 1401 24.96% 28.01%
15 2017-05-06 18.92 Honved 5 1438 48.27% @ Mezokovesd 1 1286 23.94% 27.79%
16 2016-12-03 18.47 @ Mezokovesd 2 1343 29.06% Ferencvaros 0 1450 42.32% 28.62%
17 2016-10-15 18.36 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1356 29.35% Ferencvaros 0 1461 42.00% 28.65%
18 2017-05-13 17.63 Videoton 3 1519 47.77% @ Ujpest 0 1370 24.34% 27.88%
19 2017-02-25 17.13 Ujpest 2 1376 32.82% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1337 38.30% 28.88%
20 2016-08-17 16.79 Ujpest 2 1370 33.80% @ Mezokovesd 0 1324 37.29% 28.91%
21 2017-04-01 16.78 @ Diosgyor 3 1257 26.68% Ujpest 1 1384 45.01% 28.32%
22 2017-03-04 16.67 @ Videoton 3 1500 49.68% Honved 0 1454 22.80% 27.51%
23 2017-03-04 16.39 Vasas 2 1393 35.04% @ Mezokovesd 0 1337 36.04% 28.93%
24 2017-02-18 16.18 @ Mezokovesd 3 1356 50.69% Diosgyor 0 1302 22.02% 27.30%
25 2016-09-21 16.14 Paks 3 1330 28.58% @ Mezokovesd 1 1324 42.85% 28.57%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-09-24 66.9 @ Ferencvaros 3 1462 55.13% Ujpest 3 1371 18.76% 26.12%
2 2016-10-22 65.4 @ Ujpest 4 1373 52.93% Diosgyor 4 1300 20.33% 26.74%
3 2016-08-21 62.5 @ Ferencvaros 2 1464 62.22% Mezokovesd 2 1307 14.26% 23.52%
4 2016-11-19 62.4 @ Vasas 2 1396 37.34% Ferencvaros 2 1442 33.75% 28.91%
5 2016-11-05 60.9 @ Ujpest 2 1372 40.59% Vasas 2 1395 30.65% 28.76%
6 2016-07-16 60.5 @ Mezokovesd 2 1330 31.81% Gyirmot 2 1416 39.35% 28.83%
7 2017-04-15 60.2 @ Ujpest 2 1377 57.90% Gyirmot 2 1261 16.89% 25.20%
8 2017-05-13 59.9 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1345 41.30% Vasas 2 1363 29.99% 28.71%
9 2017-04-08 59.6 Vasas 2 1379 15.19% @ Videoton 1 1520 60.63% 24.18%
10 2016-09-21 59.5 @ Videoton 1 1467 44.54% Ferencvaros 1 1461 27.08% 28.38%
11 2017-03-16 59.1 Szombathelyi Haladas 3 1320 19.79% @ Vasas 2 1399 53.66% 26.54%
12 2017-05-13 59.0 @ Diosgyor 2 1308 49.05% Mezokovesd 2 1267 23.30% 27.64%
13 2016-09-17 58.4 Videoton 4 1460 38.80% @ Ujpest 3 1379 32.34% 28.86%
14 2017-04-01 58.4 Debrecen VSC 3 1347 23.18% @ Vasas 2 1389 49.20% 27.61%
15 2017-04-15 58.3 @ Videoton 1 1512 67.30% Mezokovesd 1 1304 11.54% 21.16%
16 2017-04-11 58.2 Ujpest 3 1367 25.08% @ Vasas 2 1391 46.89% 28.04%
17 2016-10-29 57.2 @ Vasas 1 1395 33.76% Videoton 1 1466 37.33% 28.91%
18 2017-05-20 57.2 @ Mezokovesd 3 1268 24.66% Paks 2 1413 47.38% 27.95%
19 2017-04-22 57.0 @ MTK Budapest 1 1322 20.56% Videoton 1 1509 52.61% 26.83%
20 2016-08-13 56.9 Vasas 2 1341 16.07% @ Ferencvaros 1 1468 59.20% 24.73%
21 2016-12-10 56.5 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1336 24.16% Videoton 1 1486 48.00% 27.84%
22 2016-11-05 56.2 Paks 2 1330 16.38% @ Ferencvaros 1 1454 58.70% 24.92%
23 2017-03-11 56.1 @ Ujpest 1 1384 36.39% Honved 1 1437 34.68% 28.93%
24 2017-04-08 55.8 @ Ferencvaros 1 1439 63.08% Diosgyor 1 1274 13.77% 23.15%
25 2016-12-10 55.7 @ Ferencvaros 1 1431 58.45% MTK Budapest 1 1310 16.55% 25.01%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-05-13 29.4 @ Paks 3 1402 61.46% Gyirmot 0 1253 14.70% 23.84%
2 2017-03-11 30.1 @ Videoton 2 1516 71.50% Diosgyor 0 1262 9.54% 18.96%
3 2017-03-04 31.8 @ Debrecen VSC 3 1347 52.59% Diosgyor 0 1277 20.57% 26.83%
4 2016-11-05 31.9 @ Videoton 4 1466 60.10% Gyirmot 0 1330 15.52% 24.39%
5 2016-12-03 32.2 @ Vasas 3 1389 53.69% Diosgyor 0 1310 19.77% 26.54%
6 2017-02-18 32.6 @ Mezokovesd 3 1356 50.69% Diosgyor 0 1302 22.02% 27.30%
7 2016-09-24 32.8 @ Vasas 4 1359 50.40% Mezokovesd 0 1308 22.24% 27.36%
8 2016-11-26 33.0 @ Ferencvaros 2 1442 59.98% Gyirmot 0 1307 15.58% 24.43%
9 2016-11-26 33.2 @ Videoton 2 1471 61.89% MTK Budapest 0 1318 14.45% 23.66%
10 2016-11-05 33.3 @ Honved 2 1395 56.08% Diosgyor 0 1295 18.11% 25.82%
11 2016-08-13 34.6 @ Videoton 2 1426 55.28% Mezokovesd 0 1333 18.65% 26.07%
12 2017-04-29 34.6 @ Honved 1 1435 64.39% Gyirmot 0 1257 13.05% 22.56%
13 2016-09-10 34.7 @ Videoton 3 1445 52.83% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1373 20.40% 26.77%
14 2017-05-06 34.9 @ Videoton 2 1511 62.52% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1352 14.09% 23.39%
15 2017-04-15 35.0 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1334 48.47% Diosgyor 0 1298 23.77% 27.76%
16 2016-09-17 35.2 @ Honved 5 1365 46.71% MTK Budapest 0 1342 25.23% 28.07%
17 2016-12-03 35.5 Honved 4 1411 43.03% @ Gyirmot 0 1299 28.42% 28.55%
18 2017-05-27 36.0 @ Ferencvaros 2 1426 52.18% Ujpest 0 1359 20.88% 26.94%
19 2017-04-08 36.4 @ MTK Budapest 2 1308 43.53% Mezokovesd 0 1309 27.98% 28.50%
20 2016-10-22 36.7 @ Videoton 5 1452 56.92% Paks 1 1345 17.54% 25.54%
21 2016-12-10 37.2 @ Ujpest 2 1379 45.63% Debrecen VSC 0 1364 26.14% 28.23%
22 2017-02-25 37.5 @ Paks 5 1343 39.69% Mezokovesd 0 1372 31.49% 28.82%
23 2017-04-12 37.5 Videoton 1 1508 58.90% @ Gyirmot 0 1265 16.26% 24.84%
24 2017-05-06 38.0 Honved 5 1438 48.27% @ Mezokovesd 1 1286 23.94% 27.79%
25 2016-10-22 38.1 @ Mezokovesd 3 1298 33.02% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1375 38.09% 28.89%