‹ ›

2020-21 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Ferencvaros

78 points · 32nd Title

Last Title: 2019-20

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ferencvaros

10.05 points above expected

78 points · 67.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Budafoki

14.42 points below expected

27 points · 41.42 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ferencvaros Champion 33 23 9 1 78 69 22 +47 67.95 +10.05
2 Puskas 33 18 4 11 58 52 42 +10 48.38 +9.62
3 Fehervar 33 16 8 9 56 68 38 +30 59.63 -3.63
4 Paks 33 14 8 11 50 76 64 +12 44.80 +5.20
5 Kisvarda 33 12 10 11 46 30 36 -6 42.27 +3.73
6 MTK Budapest 33 11 9 13 42 44 49 -5 37.51 +4.49
7 Mezokovesd 33 11 9 13 42 40 46 -6 44.53 -2.53
8 Ujpest 33 12 6 15 42 46 64 -18 38.06 +3.94
9 Zalaegerszeg 33 10 7 16 37 58 58 0 44.38 -7.38
10 Honved 33 9 10 14 37 46 48 -2 40.62 -3.62
11 Diosgyor 33 9 6 18 33 31 53 -22 37.45 -4.45
12 Budafoki 33 7 6 20 27 34 74 -40 41.42 -14.42

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ferencvaros 78 67.95 +10.05
2 Puskas 58 48.38 +9.62
3 Paks 50 44.80 +5.20
4 MTK Budapest 42 37.51 +4.49
5 Ujpest 42 38.06 +3.94

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Budafoki 27 41.42 -14.42
2 Zalaegerszeg 37 44.38 -7.38
3 Diosgyor 33 37.45 -4.45
4 Fehervar 56 59.63 -3.63
5 Honved 37 40.62 -3.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MTK Budapest 3 Nov 1 – Nov 21 1 in 77
2 Puskas 5 Jan 30 – Feb 21 1 in 64
3 Diosgyor 3 Apr 16 – Apr 24 1 in 59
4 Ferencvaros 7 Nov 8 – Dec 19 1 in 25
5 Mezokovesd 3 Dec 13 – Dec 20 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Puskas 4 Oct 4 – Oct 31 1 in 108
2 Fehervar 3 Feb 7 – Feb 20 1 in 84
3 Budafoki 5 Apr 16 – May 9 1 in 57
4 Diosgyor 6 Nov 22 – Dec 19 1 in 50
5 Mezokovesd 4 Sep 25 – Oct 25 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mezokovesd 13 Dec 13 – Mar 14 1 in 719
2 MTK Budapest 5 Oct 17 – Nov 21 1 in 49
3 Ferencvaros 18 Jan 23 – May 8 1 in 28
4 Kisvarda 8 Oct 24 – Dec 15 1 in 21
5 Puskas 6 Jan 23 – Feb 21 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fehervar 6 Jan 27 – Feb 20 1 in 156
2 Budafoki 11 Nov 1 – Jan 31 1 in 132
3 Kisvarda 6 Nov 28 – Jan 23 1 in 26
4 Mezokovesd 7 Sep 25 – Nov 21 1 in 21
5 Zalaegerszeg 6 Dec 23 – Feb 13 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ferencvaros 1755 78 +12 13 10.5 +2.5
Puskas 1580 58 -9 6 8.9 -2.9
Fehervar 1665 56 +23 12 8.6 +3.4
Paks 1557 50 +14 10 8.1 +1.9
Kisvarda 1512 46 +21 8 5.9 +2.1
Ujpest 1493 42 +5 7 6.2 +0.8
Mezokovesd 1519 42 -10 4 5.8 -1.8
MTK Budapest 1466 42 -25 3 5.5 -2.5
Zalaegerszeg 1529 37 +32 8 6.8 +1.2
Honved 1495 37 -9 4 5.7 -1.7
Diosgyor 1439 30 +10 10 5.2 +4.8
Budafoki 1403 27 -62 0 5.8 -5.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BUD DIO FEH FER HON KIS MB MEZ PAK PUS UJP ZAL
Budafoki —
1-1-1
4.92
0-0-3
2.93
0-0-3
1.99
1-0-2
3.96
2-1-0
4.05
1-2-0
4.41
0-0-3
3.72
0-0-3
3.83
0-0-3
3.33
0-2-1
4.22
2-0-1
3.66
Diosgyor
1-1-1
3.36
—
1-0-2
2.09
1-0-2
1.59
0-1-2
3.91
2-0-1
3.17
0-2-1
4.18
1-1-1
3.43
0-0-3
3.43
2-0-1
2.90
1-1-1
3.90
0-0-3
3.15
Fehervar
3-0-0
5.37
2-0-1
6.31
—
0-1-2
3.47
1-1-1
5.73
1-1-1
5.54
1-0-2
5.95
2-1-0
5.48
0-2-1
5.56
1-1-1
5.17
3-0-0
5.80
2-1-0
5.20
Ferencvaros
3-0-0
6.42
2-0-1
6.91
2-1-0
4.80
—
3-0-0
6.44
1-2-0
6.07
1-2-0
6.44
2-1-0
6.37
3-0-0
6.19
1-2-0
5.87
3-0-0
6.48
2-1-0
5.92
Honved
2-0-1
4.30
2-1-0
4.36
1-1-1
2.60
0-0-3
1.98
—
0-1-2
3.90
1-1-1
4.63
0-2-1
3.99
0-2-1
3.69
1-0-2
3.45
0-1-2
4.21
2-1-0
3.58
Kisvarda
0-1-2
4.21
1-0-2
5.12
1-1-1
2.77
0-2-1
2.30
2-1-0
4.37
—
1-1-1
4.69
2-1-0
3.80
2-0-1
3.89
0-1-2
3.94
1-1-1
4.27
2-1-0
3.83
MTK Budapest
0-2-1
3.86
1-2-0
4.08
2-0-1
2.40
0-2-1
1.97
1-1-1
3.64
1-1-1
3.58
—
1-1-1
3.53
1-0-2
3.44
1-0-2
2.91
2-0-1
3.72
1-0-2
3.61
Mezokovesd
3-0-0
4.56
1-1-1
4.84
0-1-2
2.83
0-1-2
2.04
1-2-0
4.27
0-1-2
4.48
1-1-1
4.74
—
2-1-0
4.03
1-0-2
3.69
1-0-2
4.45
1-1-1
4.34
Paks
3-0-0
4.44
3-0-0
4.85
1-2-0
2.75
0-0-3
2.19
1-2-0
4.58
1-0-2
4.37
2-0-1
4.83
0-1-2
4.22
—
2-0-1
4.15
0-1-2
4.67
1-2-0
4.26
Puskas
3-0-0
4.96
1-0-2
5.40
1-1-1
3.12
0-2-1
2.47
2-0-1
4.82
2-1-0
4.32
2-0-1
5.41
2-0-1
4.57
1-0-2
4.11
—
3-0-0
4.86
1-0-2
4.66
Ujpest
1-2-0
4.04
1-1-1
4.37
0-0-3
2.53
0-0-3
1.94
2-1-0
4.05
1-1-1
4.00
1-0-2
4.56
2-0-1
3.82
2-1-0
3.60
0-0-3
3.42
—
2-0-1
3.71
Zalaegerszeg
1-0-2
4.60
3-0-0
5.14
0-1-2
3.09
0-1-2
2.44
0-1-2
4.69
0-1-2
4.43
2-0-1
4.66
1-1-1
3.92
0-2-1
4.01
2-0-1
3.61
1-0-2
4.55
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.43 +5.8
Allowed 0.59 -7.3
Differential 0.84 +5.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.07%6.31%4.29%4.55%1.52%1.01%24.75%
16.31%9.09%9.09%4.80%1.26%1.01%31.57%
24.29%9.09%6.06%2.02%1.01%0.76%23.23%
34.55%4.80%2.02%0.51%0.25%—12.12%
41.52%1.26%1.01%0.25%0.51%0.25%4.80%
5+1.01%1.01%0.76%—0.25%0.51%3.54%
Total24.75%31.57%23.23%12.12%4.80%3.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.49 1.49 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.34 1.98
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 9 9 +7
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%3.03%9.09%3.03%6.06%36.36%
1—9.09%15.15%—9.09%—33.33%
23.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%—3.03%21.21%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%33.33%24.24%12.12%12.12%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 2.24 -1.21
SD 0.98 1.84 2.16
CV 0.95 0.82 —
Max 3 9 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
16.06%6.06%12.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%39.39%
23.03%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—18.18%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total21.21%30.30%21.21%12.12%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.58 -0.67
SD 0.95 1.44 1.67
CV 1.04 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
1—9.09%12.12%6.06%——27.27%
26.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
36.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
46.06%6.06%————12.12%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total27.27%39.39%24.24%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 1.15 +0.91
SD 1.48 0.94 1.96
CV 0.72 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%————6.06%
19.09%15.15%————24.24%
215.15%18.18%9.09%———42.42%
39.09%6.06%————15.15%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+3.03%—3.03%———6.06%
Total45.45%42.42%12.12%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 0.67 +1.42
SD 1.21 0.69 1.41
CV 0.58 1.04 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%3.03%———27.27%
16.06%6.06%15.15%3.03%——30.30%
2—9.09%15.15%6.06%——30.30%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4——6.06%———6.06%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total15.15%33.33%42.42%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.45 -0.06
SD 1.27 0.87 1.25
CV 0.91 0.60 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%6.06%12.12%12.12%——51.52%
112.12%9.09%3.03%———24.24%
2—15.15%————15.15%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total33.33%36.36%18.18%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.09 -0.18
SD 1.26 1.01 1.65
CV 1.38 0.93 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%—30.30%
16.06%9.09%3.03%9.09%—3.03%30.30%
23.03%3.03%9.09%3.03%——18.18%
36.06%12.12%————18.18%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%30.30%18.18%18.18%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.48 -0.15
SD 1.19 1.33 2.02
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%3.03%9.09%——33.33%
19.09%6.06%12.12%3.03%——30.30%
23.03%12.12%12.12%———27.27%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total21.21%33.33%30.30%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.39 -0.18
SD 1.22 1.00 1.49
CV 1.01 0.72 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%————3.03%6.06%
13.03%12.12%6.06%12.12%—3.03%36.36%
23.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%—3.03%21.21%
33.03%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—15.15%
43.03%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—15.15%
5+——6.06%———6.06%
Total15.15%30.30%24.24%15.15%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.30 1.94 +0.36
SD 1.83 1.48 2.46
CV 0.79 0.76 —
Max 9 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%—6.06%——12.12%
118.18%9.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
26.06%9.09%——3.03%3.03%21.21%
312.12%—6.06%———18.18%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total42.42%21.21%18.18%9.09%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.27 +0.30
SD 1.12 1.51 2.04
CV 0.71 1.18 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%—3.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%24.24%
16.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%—3.03%30.30%
23.03%9.09%3.03%6.06%3.03%—24.24%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
4———————
5+————3.03%3.03%6.06%
Total18.18%27.27%15.15%15.15%15.15%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.91 -0.55
SD 1.27 1.63 2.17
CV 0.93 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%12.12%3.03%——21.21%
1—6.06%12.12%9.09%——27.27%
26.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%—21.21%
39.09%6.06%—3.03%——18.18%
4—3.03%——3.03%3.03%9.09%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total21.21%21.21%30.30%18.18%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.76 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.32 1.98
CV 0.79 0.75 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ferencvaros 1755 78 67.95 +10.05 96.0% 49 57 64 68 72 78 83
Fehervar 1665 56 59.63 -3.63 31.0% 35 47 55 60 64 70 79
Puskas 1580 58 48.38 +9.62 90.0% 34 37 42 48 53 60 66
Paks 1557 50 44.80 +5.20 80.0% 28 33 40 44 49 58 67
Zalaegerszeg 1529 37 44.38 -7.38 14.0% 25 32 40 44 49 56 64
Mezokovesd 1519 42 44.53 -2.53 40.0% 24 32 39 46 49 55 65
Kisvarda 1512 46 42.27 +3.73 70.0% 26 29 38 43 47 53 56
Honved 1495 37 40.62 -3.62 36.0% 25 28 36 39 45 52 60
Ujpest 1493 42 38.06 +3.94 69.0% 22 27 32 37 43 51 58
MTK Budapest 1466 42 37.51 +4.49 76.0% 24 27 32 38 42 48 53
Diosgyor 1439 33 37.45 -4.45 34.0% 22 27 32 36 42 49 57
Budafoki 1403 27 41.42 -14.42 1.0% 24 29 37 40 46 55 63

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.09%
No Edge
42.93%23.23%33.84%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.90 Elo pts.
149 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.26 goals
Neutral
-2+0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.5
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
81%
Ferencvaros, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.61/gm
Runaway
00.270.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.6 * Lucky: 8.6 to 11.47 * Wild Swing: 11.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.69 * Close: 1.69 to 2.54 * Off: 2.54 to 3.39 * Way Off: 3.39 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.98 points
Some Luck
07.1718
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
02.125
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Ferencvaros
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Budafoki
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 96.98
1.77
Moderate Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Even
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.95
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.057
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ferencvaros81.00%14.00%4.00%1.00%————————
Puskas1.00%7.00%25.00%16.00%10.00%14.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%1.00%—
Fehervar14.00%58.00%16.00%7.00%2.00%—1.00%—1.00%1.00%——
Paks2.00%2.00%13.00%12.00%14.00%14.00%14.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%3.00%
Kisvarda—1.00%7.00%13.00%13.00%8.00%14.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%9.00%
MTK Budapest—1.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%9.00%14.00%20.00%14.00%
Mezokovesd1.00%6.00%6.00%18.00%18.00%7.00%4.00%17.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%
Ujpest—2.00%4.00%—8.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%11.00%15.00%16.00%21.00%
Zalaegerszeg1.00%3.00%7.00%14.00%16.00%11.00%13.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%2.00%
Honved—1.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%13.00%17.00%9.00%10.00%
Diosgyor—1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%12.00%9.00%21.00%26.00%
Budafoki—4.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fehervar 100% —
Ferencvaros 100% —
Puskas 99.00% 1.00%
Zalaegerszeg 91.00% 9.00%
Mezokovesd 90.00% 10.00%
Paks 89.00% 11.00%
Kisvarda 87.00% 13.00%
Budafoki 81.00% 19.00%
Honved 81.00% 19.00%
MTK Budapest 66.00% 34.00%
Ujpest 63.00% 37.00%
Diosgyor 53.00% 47.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2020-08-14 Ferencvaros D 1-166.9 1428 1655 16.96% 20.48% 62.56%-1.33 +1.5 1
2020-08-14 @ MTK Budapest D 1-166.9 1655 1428 62.56% 20.48% 16.96%+1.33 -1.5 1
2020-08-15 Fehervar D 3-377.4 1535 1618 30.73% 24.43% 44.84%-0.36 +0.3 1
2020-08-15 @ Zalaegerszeg D 3-377.4 1618 1535 44.84% 24.43% 30.73%+0.36 -0.3 1
2020-08-15 Ujpest L 1-258.7 1512 1525 40.33% 24.72% 34.95%+0.11 -5.6 0
2020-08-15 @ Paks W 2-158.7 1525 1512 34.95% 24.72% 40.33%-0.11 +5.6 3
2020-08-16 Mezokovesd W 2-158.8 1474 1545 32.32% 24.57% 43.11%-0.27 +5.9 3
2020-08-16 @ Diosgyor L 1-258.8 1545 1474 43.11% 24.57% 32.32%+0.27 -5.9 0
2020-08-17 Kisvarda W 2-157.7 1535 1535 42.09% 24.64% 33.28%+0.20 +4.9 3
2020-08-17 @ Budafoki L 1-257.7 1535 1535 33.28% 24.64% 42.09%-0.20 -4.9 0
2020-08-21 Honved W 3-152.2 1430 1496 32.87% 24.61% 42.51%-0.25 +10.1 4
2020-08-21 @ MTK Budapest L 1-352.2 1496 1430 42.51% 24.61% 32.87%+0.25 -10.1 0
2020-08-21 Zalaegerszeg D 1-165.3 1539 1535 42.72% 24.60% 32.68%+0.23 -0.3 1
2020-08-21 @ Mezokovesd D 1-165.3 1535 1539 32.68% 24.60% 42.72%-0.23 +0.3 2
2020-08-22 Paks D 1-167.7 1618 1506 56.66% 22.32% 21.02%+0.95 -1.1 2
2020-08-22 @ Fehervar D 1-167.7 1506 1618 21.02% 22.32% 56.66%-0.95 +1.1 1
2020-08-23 Budafoki D 1-165.2 1531 1540 40.90% 24.70% 34.40%+0.14 -0.2 4
2020-08-23 @ Ujpest D 1-165.2 1540 1531 34.40% 24.70% 40.90%-0.14 +0.2 4
2020-08-28 MTK Budapest D 1-159.9 1480 1440 47.66% 24.11% 28.23%+0.47 -0.6 4
2020-08-28 @ Diosgyor D 1-159.9 1440 1480 28.23% 24.11% 47.66%-0.47 +0.6 5
2020-08-29 Mezokovesd L 1-258.2 1508 1539 37.76% 24.76% 37.47%-0.01 -5.3 1
2020-08-29 @ Paks W 2-158.2 1539 1508 37.47% 24.76% 37.76%+0.01 +5.3 4
2020-08-30 Fehervar L 1-454.3 1540 1616 31.56% 24.51% 43.93%-0.31 -11.4 4
2020-08-30 @ Budafoki W 4-154.3 1616 1540 43.93% 24.51% 31.56%+0.31 +11.4 5
2020-08-30 Ferencvaros L 1-259.0 1535 1654 26.58% 23.83% 49.60%-0.60 -4.0 2
2020-08-30 @ Zalaegerszeg W 2-159.0 1654 1535 49.60% 23.83% 26.58%+0.60 +4.0 4
2020-08-30 Kisvarda L 1-256.6 1486 1531 35.84% 24.74% 39.41%-0.10 -5.1 0
2020-08-30 @ Honved W 2-156.6 1531 1486 39.41% 24.74% 35.84%+0.10 +5.1 3
2020-08-30 Ujpest W 3-262.3 1553 1530 45.29% 24.39% 30.32%+0.35 +4.3 3
2020-08-30 @ Puskas L 2-362.3 1530 1553 30.32% 24.39% 45.29%-0.35 -4.3 4
2020-09-04 Puskas L 0-349.6 1536 1557 39.12% 24.75% 36.13%+0.06 -15.9 3
2020-09-04 @ Kisvarda W 3-049.6 1557 1536 36.13% 24.75% 39.12%-0.06 +15.9 6
2020-09-11 Paks W 5-043.8 1658 1502 61.76% 20.76% 17.48%+1.25 +12.6 7
2020-09-11 @ Ferencvaros L 0-543.8 1502 1658 17.48% 20.76% 61.76%-1.25 -12.6 1
2020-09-12 Budafoki W 1-052.1 1544 1528 44.31% 24.48% 31.21%+0.30 +4.9 7
2020-09-12 @ Mezokovesd L 0-152.1 1528 1544 31.21% 24.48% 44.31%-0.30 -4.9 4
2020-09-12 Honved L 2-457.4 1479 1481 41.95% 24.65% 33.41%+0.19 -9.0 4
2020-09-12 @ Diosgyor W 4-257.4 1481 1479 33.41% 24.65% 41.95%-0.19 +9.0 3
2020-09-12 Puskas W 3-156.3 1628 1573 49.59% 23.83% 26.58%+0.57 +7.0 8
2020-09-12 @ Fehervar L 1-356.3 1573 1628 26.58% 23.83% 49.59%-0.57 -7.0 6
2020-09-13 Kisvarda L 2-460.9 1526 1520 43.07% 24.58% 32.35%+0.24 -9.2 4
2020-09-13 @ Ujpest W 4-260.9 1520 1526 32.35% 24.58% 43.07%-0.24 +9.2 6
2020-09-13 Zalaegerszeg L 0-342.3 1441 1531 29.81% 24.33% 45.86%-0.41 -12.9 5
2020-09-13 @ MTK Budapest W 3-042.3 1531 1441 45.86% 24.33% 29.81%+0.41 +12.9 5
2020-09-25 Mezokovesd W 1-053.4 1566 1549 44.60% 24.45% 30.94%+0.32 +4.8 9
2020-09-25 @ Puskas L 0-153.4 1549 1566 30.94% 24.45% 44.60%-0.32 -4.9 7
2020-09-26 Diosgyor W 3-149.7 1544 1470 52.05% 23.39% 24.56%+0.70 +6.5 8
2020-09-26 @ Zalaegerszeg L 1-349.7 1470 1544 24.56% 23.39% 52.05%-0.70 -6.5 4
2020-09-26 MTK Budapest W 4-038.3 1490 1428 50.54% 23.67% 25.79%+0.62 +14.9 4
2020-09-26 @ Paks L 0-438.3 1428 1490 25.79% 23.67% 50.54%-0.62 -14.9 5
2020-09-27 Ujpest L 1-257.0 1490 1517 38.32% 24.76% 36.92%+0.02 -5.4 3
2020-09-27 @ Honved W 2-157.0 1517 1490 36.92% 24.76% 38.32%-0.02 +5.4 7
2020-10-02 Budafoki L 1-250.9 1413 1524 27.45% 23.99% 48.57%-0.54 -4.1 5
2020-10-02 @ MTK Budapest W 2-150.9 1524 1413 48.57% 23.99% 27.45%+0.54 +4.1 7
2020-10-03 Kisvarda L 1-261.1 1544 1529 44.25% 24.48% 31.26%+0.30 -6.0 7
2020-10-03 @ Mezokovesd W 2-161.1 1529 1544 31.26% 24.48% 44.25%-0.30 +6.0 9
2020-10-03 Paks L 1-254.9 1464 1504 36.40% 24.75% 38.85%-0.07 -5.2 4
2020-10-03 @ Diosgyor W 2-154.9 1504 1464 38.85% 24.75% 36.40%+0.07 +5.2 7
2020-10-04 Honved L 2-462.6 1551 1485 51.07% 23.58% 25.35%+0.65 -10.5 8
2020-10-04 @ Zalaegerszeg W 4-262.6 1485 1551 25.35% 23.58% 51.07%-0.65 +10.5 6
2020-10-04 Puskas W 2-158.4 1671 1571 55.25% 22.68% 22.07%+0.87 +3.4 10
2020-10-04 @ Ferencvaros L 1-258.4 1571 1671 22.07% 22.68% 55.25%-0.87 -3.4 9
2020-10-04 Ujpest W 5-148.9 1635 1522 56.79% 22.28% 20.92%+0.96 +10.2 11
2020-10-04 @ Fehervar L 1-548.9 1522 1635 20.92% 22.28% 56.79%-0.96 -10.2 7
2020-10-16 Ferencvaros L 0-250.2 1535 1674 24.44% 23.36% 52.21%-0.73 -7.5 9
2020-10-16 @ Kisvarda W 2-050.2 1674 1535 52.21% 23.36% 24.44%+0.73 +7.5 13
2020-10-17 Diosgyor W 2-151.8 1528 1459 51.45% 23.50% 25.04%+0.67 +3.8 10
2020-10-17 @ Budafoki L 1-251.8 1459 1528 25.04% 23.50% 51.45%-0.67 -3.8 4
2020-10-17 Mezokovesd W 1-053.0 1512 1538 38.54% 24.76% 36.71%+0.03 +5.5 10
2020-10-17 @ Ujpest L 0-153.0 1538 1512 36.71% 24.76% 38.54%-0.03 -5.5 7
2020-10-17 MTK Budapest L 0-351.1 1568 1409 62.12% 20.63% 17.24%+1.27 -23.2 9
2020-10-17 @ Puskas W 3-051.1 1409 1568 17.24% 20.63% 62.12%-1.27 +23.2 8
2020-10-18 Fehervar D 2-273.4 1495 1645 23.34% 23.07% 53.59%-0.81 +0.7 7
2020-10-18 @ Honved D 2-273.4 1645 1495 53.59% 23.07% 23.34%+0.81 -0.7 12
2020-10-18 Zalaegerszeg W 3-155.3 1510 1540 37.84% 24.76% 37.39%+0.00 +9.2 10
2020-10-18 @ Paks L 1-355.3 1540 1510 37.39% 24.76% 37.84%+0.00 -9.2 8
2020-10-24 Honved D 0-059.1 1519 1496 45.37% 24.38% 30.25%+0.36 -0.5 11
2020-10-24 @ Paks D 0-059.1 1496 1519 30.25% 24.38% 45.37%-0.36 +0.5 8
2020-10-24 Kisvarda D 1-161.2 1432 1528 29.21% 24.25% 46.54%-0.44 +0.5 9
2020-10-24 @ MTK Budapest D 1-161.2 1528 1432 46.54% 24.25% 29.21%+0.44 -0.5 10
2020-10-24 Ujpest W 2-046.9 1681 1518 62.63% 20.46% 16.92%+1.30 +5.2 16
2020-10-24 @ Ferencvaros L 0-246.9 1518 1681 16.92% 20.46% 62.63%-1.30 -5.2 10
2020-10-25 Budafoki L 1-357.1 1531 1532 42.08% 24.64% 33.28%+0.20 -10.1 8
2020-10-25 @ Zalaegerszeg W 3-157.1 1532 1531 33.28% 24.64% 42.08%-0.20 +10.1 13
2020-10-25 Fehervar L 1-258.9 1532 1644 27.31% 23.96% 48.72%-0.55 -4.1 7
2020-10-25 @ Mezokovesd W 2-158.9 1644 1532 48.72% 23.96% 27.31%+0.55 +4.1 15
2020-10-25 Puskas W 3-048.1 1455 1544 29.94% 24.34% 45.71%-0.40 +18.0 7
2020-10-25 @ Diosgyor L 0-348.1 1544 1455 45.71% 24.34% 29.94%+0.40 -18.0 9
2020-10-31 Ferencvaros D 1-171.1 1648 1687 36.73% 24.76% 38.51%-0.06 +0.0 16
2020-10-31 @ Fehervar D 1-171.1 1687 1648 38.51% 24.76% 36.73%+0.06 -0.0 17
2020-10-31 Mezokovesd D 1-163.5 1496 1528 37.63% 24.76% 37.60%-0.01 +0.0 9
2020-10-31 @ Honved D 1-163.5 1528 1496 37.60% 24.76% 37.63%+0.01 +0.0 8
2020-10-31 Zalaegerszeg L 1-259.8 1526 1521 42.96% 24.58% 32.46%+0.24 -5.9 9
2020-10-31 @ Puskas W 2-159.8 1521 1526 32.46% 24.58% 42.96%-0.24 +5.9 11
2020-11-01 Diosgyor W 1-047.8 1527 1473 49.52% 23.84% 26.64%+0.56 +4.3 13
2020-11-01 @ Kisvarda L 0-147.8 1473 1527 26.64% 23.84% 49.52%-0.56 -4.3 7
2020-11-01 MTK Budapest L 0-447.3 1513 1432 52.86% 23.22% 23.91%+0.74 -26.5 10
2020-11-01 @ Ujpest W 4-047.3 1432 1513 23.91% 23.22% 52.86%-0.74 +26.5 12
2020-11-01 Paks L 2-366.0 1542 1518 45.40% 24.38% 30.22%+0.36 -5.9 13
2020-11-01 @ Budafoki W 3-266.0 1518 1542 30.22% 24.38% 45.40%-0.36 +5.9 14
2020-11-04 Honved W 1-049.7 1521 1496 45.53% 24.36% 30.11%+0.36 +4.7 12
2020-11-04 @ Puskas L 0-149.7 1496 1521 30.11% 24.36% 45.53%-0.36 -4.7 9
2020-11-06 Ujpest FW54.8 1469 1486 39.71% 24.74% 35.56%+0.08 +0.0 10
2020-11-06 @ Diosgyor FL54.8 1486 1469 35.56% 24.74% 39.71%-0.08 +0.0 10
2020-11-07 Fehervar W 3-162.7 1459 1649 19.80% 21.85% 58.35%-1.07 +13.1 15
2020-11-07 @ MTK Budapest L 1-362.7 1649 1459 58.35% 21.85% 19.80%+1.07 -13.1 16
2020-11-07 Puskas W 6-251.9 1524 1525 42.02% 24.64% 33.34%+0.19 +13.0 17
2020-11-07 @ Paks L 2-651.9 1525 1524 33.34% 24.64% 42.02%-0.19 -13.0 12
2020-11-08 Kisvarda L 1-259.8 1527 1531 41.53% 24.67% 33.80%+0.17 -5.8 11
2020-11-08 @ Zalaegerszeg W 2-159.8 1531 1527 33.80% 24.67% 41.53%-0.17 +5.8 16
2020-11-08 Mezokovesd W 3-045.2 1687 1528 62.05% 20.66% 17.29%+1.27 +7.8 20
2020-11-08 @ Ferencvaros L 0-345.2 1528 1687 17.29% 20.66% 62.05%-1.27 -7.8 8
2020-11-20 Paks W 3-154.9 1537 1537 42.15% 24.63% 33.22%+0.20 +8.4 19
2020-11-20 @ Kisvarda L 1-354.9 1537 1537 33.22% 24.63% 42.15%-0.20 -8.4 17
2020-11-21 Budafoki W 3-047.3 1512 1536 38.84% 24.75% 36.41%+0.04 +15.1 15
2020-11-21 @ Puskas L 0-347.3 1536 1512 36.41% 24.75% 38.84%-0.04 -15.1 13
2020-11-21 Ferencvaros L 0-150.8 1492 1694 18.75% 21.38% 59.87%-1.16 -3.1 9
2020-11-21 @ Honved W 1-050.8 1694 1492 59.87% 21.38% 18.75%+1.16 +3.1 23
2020-11-21 MTK Budapest L 0-154.2 1520 1472 48.77% 23.96% 27.28%+0.53 -6.9 8
2020-11-21 @ Mezokovesd W 1-054.2 1472 1520 27.28% 23.96% 48.77%-0.53 +6.9 18
2020-11-22 Diosgyor W 3-041.9 1635 1469 62.96% 20.33% 16.70%+1.32 +7.5 19
2020-11-22 @ Fehervar L 0-341.9 1469 1635 16.70% 20.33% 62.96%-1.32 -7.5 10
2020-11-27 Paks D 1-163.1 1486 1529 36.09% 24.75% 39.16%-0.09 +0.1 11
2020-11-27 @ Ujpest D 1-163.1 1529 1486 39.16% 24.75% 36.09%+0.09 -0.1 18
2020-11-28 Budafoki D 0-061.0 1545 1521 45.60% 24.36% 30.05%+0.37 -0.5 20
2020-11-28 @ Kisvarda D 0-061.0 1521 1545 30.05% 24.36% 45.60%-0.37 +0.5 14
2020-11-28 MTK Budapest W 2-044.7 1697 1479 68.29% 18.21% 13.49%+1.67 +4.1 26
2020-11-28 @ Ferencvaros L 0-244.7 1479 1697 13.49% 18.21% 68.29%-1.67 -4.1 18
2020-11-28 Zalaegerszeg W 2-047.4 1643 1521 57.91% 21.97% 20.11%+1.02 +6.2 22
2020-11-28 @ Fehervar L 0-247.4 1521 1643 20.11% 21.97% 57.91%-1.02 -6.2 11
2020-11-29 Diosgyor W 2-152.0 1514 1461 49.29% 23.88% 26.83%+0.55 +4.1 11
2020-11-29 @ Mezokovesd L 1-252.0 1461 1514 26.83% 23.88% 49.29%-0.55 -4.1 10
2020-11-29 Puskas L 0-151.7 1488 1527 36.63% 24.76% 38.61%-0.06 -5.5 9
2020-11-29 @ Honved W 1-051.7 1527 1488 38.61% 24.76% 36.63%+0.06 +5.5 18
2020-12-04 Ujpest D 1-163.0 1521 1486 47.00% 24.20% 28.81%+0.44 -0.6 15
2020-12-04 @ Budafoki D 1-163.0 1486 1521 28.81% 24.20% 47.00%-0.44 +0.6 12
2020-12-05 Ferencvaros L 1-350.8 1457 1702 15.79% 19.79% 64.42%-1.44 -4.2 10
2020-12-05 @ Diosgyor W 3-150.8 1702 1457 64.42% 19.79% 15.79%+1.44 +4.2 29
2020-12-05 Kisvarda D 0-061.3 1533 1545 40.48% 24.71% 34.81%+0.12 -0.2 19
2020-12-05 @ Puskas D 0-061.3 1545 1533 34.81% 24.71% 40.48%-0.12 +0.2 21
2020-12-05 Mezokovesd W 3-045.8 1515 1518 41.78% 24.66% 33.57%+0.18 +14.2 14
2020-12-05 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-345.8 1518 1515 33.57% 24.66% 41.78%-0.18 -14.2 11
2020-12-06 Fehervar W 1-060.6 1529 1649 26.39% 23.79% 49.81%-0.61 +7.1 21
2020-12-06 @ Paks L 0-160.6 1649 1529 49.81% 23.79% 26.39%+0.61 -7.1 22
2020-12-06 MTK Budapest D 2-266.5 1483 1475 43.29% 24.56% 32.15%+0.25 -0.2 10
2020-12-06 @ Honved D 2-266.5 1475 1483 32.15% 24.56% 43.29%-0.25 +0.2 19
2020-12-11 Puskas L 1-256.6 1487 1533 35.63% 24.74% 39.63%-0.11 -5.1 12
2020-12-11 @ Ujpest W 2-156.6 1533 1487 39.63% 24.74% 35.63%+0.11 +5.1 22
2020-12-12 Budafoki W 4-150.3 1642 1521 57.86% 21.99% 20.16%+1.02 +7.6 25
2020-12-12 @ Fehervar L 1-450.3 1521 1642 20.16% 21.99% 57.86%-1.02 -7.6 15
2020-12-12 Honved D 0-059.8 1545 1483 50.60% 23.66% 25.74%+0.62 -0.9 22
2020-12-12 @ Kisvarda D 0-059.8 1483 1545 25.74% 23.66% 50.60%-0.62 +0.9 11
2020-12-12 Zalaegerszeg W 2-047.2 1706 1529 64.03% 19.94% 16.03%+1.39 +4.9 32
2020-12-12 @ Ferencvaros L 0-247.2 1529 1706 16.03% 19.94% 64.03%-1.39 -4.9 14
2020-12-13 Diosgyor W 1-046.5 1475 1453 45.26% 24.39% 30.35%+0.35 +4.8 22
2020-12-13 @ MTK Budapest L 0-146.5 1453 1475 30.35% 24.39% 45.26%-0.35 -4.8 10
2020-12-13 Paks W 4-366.1 1503 1536 37.56% 24.76% 37.68%-0.02 +4.9 14
2020-12-13 @ Mezokovesd L 3-466.1 1536 1503 37.68% 24.76% 37.56%+0.02 -4.9 21
2020-12-15 Puskas D 1-169.4 1650 1538 56.73% 22.30% 20.97%+0.95 -1.1 26
2020-12-15 @ Fehervar D 1-169.4 1538 1650 20.97% 22.30% 56.73%-0.95 +1.1 23
2020-12-15 Ujpest D 1-163.9 1544 1482 50.63% 23.65% 25.72%+0.62 -0.8 23
2020-12-15 @ Kisvarda D 1-163.9 1482 1544 25.72% 23.65% 50.63%-0.62 +0.8 13
2020-12-16 Diosgyor W 5-144.0 1484 1448 47.04% 24.19% 28.76%+0.44 +13.6 14
2020-12-16 @ Honved L 1-544.0 1448 1484 28.76% 24.19% 47.04%-0.44 -13.6 10
2020-12-16 Ferencvaros L 1-354.8 1531 1711 20.63% 22.17% 57.20%-1.01 -5.5 21
2020-12-16 @ Paks W 3-154.8 1711 1531 57.20% 22.17% 20.63%+1.01 +5.5 35
2020-12-16 Mezokovesd L 0-153.7 1513 1508 42.83% 24.59% 32.58%+0.23 -6.2 15
2020-12-16 @ Budafoki W 1-053.7 1508 1513 32.58% 24.59% 42.83%-0.23 +6.2 17
2020-12-16 MTK Budapest W 2-045.0 1524 1480 48.20% 24.04% 27.76%+0.50 +8.4 17
2020-12-16 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-245.0 1480 1524 27.76% 24.04% 48.20%-0.50 -8.4 22
2020-12-18 Kisvarda W 3-046.5 1649 1543 55.92% 22.51% 21.57%+0.91 +9.7 29
2020-12-18 @ Fehervar L 0-346.5 1543 1649 21.57% 22.51% 55.92%-0.91 -9.7 23
2020-12-19 Budafoki W 2-154.4 1716 1507 67.40% 18.60% 14.01%+1.61 +2.1 38
2020-12-19 @ Ferencvaros L 1-254.4 1507 1716 14.01% 18.60% 67.40%-1.61 -2.1 15
2020-12-19 Paks W 3-154.3 1472 1525 34.57% 24.70% 40.72%-0.16 +9.8 25
2020-12-19 @ MTK Budapest L 1-354.3 1525 1472 40.72% 24.70% 34.57%+0.16 -9.8 21
2020-12-19 Zalaegerszeg L 1-349.5 1434 1532 28.94% 24.22% 46.84%-0.46 -7.5 10
2020-12-19 @ Diosgyor W 3-149.5 1532 1434 46.84% 24.22% 28.94%+0.46 +7.5 20
2020-12-20 Honved W 2-155.0 1482 1497 40.08% 24.73% 35.20%+0.10 +5.1 16
2020-12-20 @ Ujpest L 1-255.0 1497 1482 35.20% 24.73% 40.08%-0.10 -5.1 14
2020-12-20 Puskas W 1-053.1 1515 1539 38.71% 24.76% 36.54%+0.04 +5.5 20
2020-12-20 @ Mezokovesd L 0-153.1 1539 1515 36.54% 24.76% 38.71%-0.04 -5.5 23
2020-12-23 Honved L 1-258.2 1505 1492 43.92% 24.51% 31.57%+0.29 -6.0 15
2020-12-23 @ Budafoki W 2-158.2 1492 1505 31.57% 24.51% 43.92%-0.29 +6.0 17
2020-12-23 Zalaegerszeg W 3-263.4 1487 1540 34.75% 24.71% 40.54%-0.15 +5.4 19
2020-12-23 @ Ujpest L 2-363.4 1540 1487 40.54% 24.71% 34.75%+0.15 -5.4 20
2021-01-20 Diosgyor L 0-164.7 1718 1427 74.98% 15.07% 9.95%+2.16 -9.8 38
2021-01-20 @ Ferencvaros W 1-064.7 1427 1718 9.95% 15.07% 74.98%-2.16 +9.8 13
2021-01-23 Fehervar L 0-545.4 1493 1658 21.90% 22.62% 55.48%-0.91 -15.8 19
2021-01-23 @ Ujpest W 5-045.4 1658 1493 55.48% 22.62% 21.90%+0.91 +15.8 32
2021-01-23 Ferencvaros D 1-170.5 1533 1709 21.03% 22.32% 56.64%-0.98 +1.1 24
2021-01-23 @ Puskas D 1-170.5 1709 1533 56.64% 22.32% 21.03%+0.98 -1.1 39
2021-01-23 Mezokovesd D 0-060.5 1534 1520 44.08% 24.50% 31.42%+0.29 -0.4 24
2021-01-23 @ Kisvarda D 0-060.5 1520 1534 31.42% 24.50% 44.08%-0.29 +0.4 21
2021-01-24 Diosgyor W 2-150.2 1516 1437 52.68% 23.26% 24.05%+0.73 +3.7 24
2021-01-24 @ Paks L 1-250.2 1437 1516 24.05% 23.26% 52.68%-0.73 -3.7 13
2021-01-24 MTK Budapest D 2-267.4 1499 1481 44.57% 24.46% 30.98%+0.32 -0.3 16
2021-01-24 @ Budafoki D 2-267.4 1481 1499 30.98% 24.46% 44.57%-0.32 +0.3 26
2021-01-24 Zalaegerszeg D 2-269.2 1498 1535 36.98% 24.76% 38.25%-0.04 +0.0 18
2021-01-24 @ Honved D 2-269.2 1535 1498 38.25% 24.76% 36.98%+0.04 -0.0 21
2021-01-27 Fehervar W 2-167.0 1533 1674 24.27% 23.32% 52.42%-0.74 +6.9 27
2021-01-27 @ Kisvarda L 1-267.0 1674 1533 52.42% 23.32% 24.27%+0.74 -7.0 32
2021-01-27 Ferencvaros L 0-345.4 1498 1707 18.27% 21.16% 60.57%-1.20 -8.2 16
2021-01-27 @ Budafoki W 3-045.4 1707 1498 60.57% 21.16% 18.27%+1.20 +8.2 42
2021-01-30 Honved L 1-268.3 1667 1498 63.19% 20.25% 16.56%+1.34 -8.1 32
2021-01-30 @ Fehervar W 2-168.3 1498 1667 16.56% 20.25% 63.19%-1.34 +8.1 21
2021-01-30 Kisvarda D 1-171.4 1716 1540 63.88% 20.00% 16.13%+1.38 -1.6 43
2021-01-30 @ Ferencvaros D 1-171.4 1540 1716 16.13% 20.00% 63.88%-1.38 +1.6 28
2021-01-30 Puskas L 0-151.1 1482 1535 34.69% 24.71% 40.60%-0.15 -5.3 26
2021-01-30 @ MTK Budapest W 1-051.1 1535 1482 40.60% 24.71% 34.69%+0.15 +5.3 27
2021-01-30 Ujpest W 3-258.3 1521 1477 48.13% 24.05% 27.82%+0.49 +4.0 24
2021-01-30 @ Mezokovesd L 2-358.3 1477 1521 27.82% 24.05% 48.13%-0.49 -4.0 19
2021-01-31 Budafoki D 1-159.8 1433 1490 34.13% 24.68% 41.19%-0.18 +0.2 14
2021-01-31 @ Diosgyor D 1-159.8 1490 1433 41.19% 24.68% 34.13%+0.18 -0.2 17
2021-01-31 Paks D 4-476.3 1534 1519 44.30% 24.48% 31.22%+0.30 -0.2 22
2021-01-31 @ Zalaegerszeg D 4-476.3 1519 1534 31.22% 24.48% 44.30%-0.30 +0.2 25
2021-02-02 Mezokovesd D 0-065.4 1659 1524 59.37% 21.54% 19.09%+1.11 -1.5 33
2021-02-02 @ Fehervar D 0-065.4 1524 1659 19.09% 21.54% 59.37%-1.11 +1.5 25
2021-02-02 MTK Budapest L 0-252.4 1542 1476 50.99% 23.59% 25.42%+0.64 -13.6 28
2021-02-02 @ Kisvarda W 2-052.4 1476 1542 25.42% 23.59% 50.99%-0.64 +13.6 29
2021-02-03 Diosgyor W 2-041.5 1540 1433 56.11% 22.46% 21.43%+0.92 +6.6 30
2021-02-03 @ Puskas L 0-241.5 1433 1540 21.43% 22.46% 56.11%-0.92 -6.6 14
2021-02-03 Ferencvaros L 0-443.3 1473 1714 16.01% 19.93% 64.06%-1.42 -9.3 19
2021-02-03 @ Ujpest W 4-043.3 1714 1473 64.06% 19.93% 16.01%+1.42 +9.3 46
2021-02-03 Paks D 1-163.5 1506 1519 40.31% 24.72% 34.97%+0.11 -0.2 22
2021-02-03 @ Honved D 1-163.5 1519 1506 34.97% 24.72% 40.31%-0.11 +0.2 26
2021-02-03 Zalaegerszeg W 3-154.9 1490 1534 35.86% 24.74% 39.39%-0.10 +9.6 20
2021-02-03 @ Budafoki L 1-354.9 1534 1490 39.39% 24.74% 35.86%+0.10 -9.6 22
2021-02-06 Honved W 2-155.5 1526 1506 44.93% 24.42% 30.65%+0.33 +4.5 28
2021-02-06 @ Mezokovesd L 1-255.5 1506 1526 30.65% 24.42% 44.93%-0.33 -4.5 22
2021-02-06 Kisvarda W 2-049.1 1427 1528 28.51% 24.16% 47.34%-0.48 +12.8 17
2021-02-06 @ Diosgyor L 0-249.1 1528 1427 47.34% 24.16% 28.51%+0.48 -12.8 28
2021-02-06 Ujpest L 1-354.1 1490 1464 45.81% 24.33% 29.86%+0.38 -10.8 29
2021-02-06 @ MTK Budapest W 3-154.1 1464 1490 29.86% 24.33% 45.81%-0.38 +10.8 22
2021-02-07 Budafoki W 4-149.4 1520 1499 44.96% 24.42% 30.62%+0.34 +11.1 29
2021-02-07 @ Paks L 1-449.4 1499 1520 30.62% 24.42% 44.96%-0.34 -11.1 20
2021-02-07 Fehervar W 2-052.9 1723 1657 51.05% 23.58% 25.37%+0.64 +7.7 49
2021-02-07 @ Ferencvaros L 0-252.9 1657 1723 25.37% 23.58% 51.05%-0.64 -7.7 33
2021-02-07 Puskas L 1-259.5 1525 1547 39.08% 24.75% 36.17%+0.05 -5.5 22
2021-02-07 @ Zalaegerszeg W 2-159.5 1547 1525 36.17% 24.75% 39.08%-0.05 +5.5 33
2021-02-12 Diosgyor W 1-045.5 1474 1439 46.98% 24.20% 28.82%+0.44 +4.6 25
2021-02-12 @ Ujpest L 0-145.5 1439 1474 28.82% 24.20% 46.98%-0.44 -4.6 17
2021-02-13 Budafoki L 2-363.0 1502 1488 44.01% 24.50% 31.49%+0.29 -5.7 22
2021-02-13 @ Honved W 3-263.0 1488 1502 31.49% 24.50% 44.01%-0.29 +5.7 23
2021-02-13 Paks W 3-262.3 1552 1531 45.13% 24.40% 30.47%+0.34 +4.3 36
2021-02-13 @ Puskas L 2-362.3 1531 1552 30.47% 24.40% 45.13%-0.34 -4.3 29
2021-02-13 Zalaegerszeg W 2-156.6 1516 1519 41.65% 24.66% 33.69%+0.18 +4.9 31
2021-02-13 @ Kisvarda L 1-256.6 1519 1516 33.69% 24.66% 41.65%-0.18 -4.9 22
2021-02-14 Ferencvaros D 2-276.6 1530 1731 18.92% 21.46% 59.62%-1.15 +1.0 29
2021-02-14 @ Mezokovesd D 2-276.6 1731 1530 59.62% 21.46% 18.92%+1.15 -1.0 50
2021-02-14 MTK Budapest L 1-267.3 1650 1479 63.37% 20.19% 16.45%+1.35 -8.1 33
2021-02-14 @ Fehervar W 2-167.3 1479 1650 16.45% 20.19% 63.37%-1.35 +8.1 32
2021-02-19 Mezokovesd D 0-059.2 1487 1531 35.90% 24.74% 39.36%-0.10 +0.1 33
2021-02-19 @ MTK Budapest D 0-059.2 1531 1487 39.36% 24.74% 35.90%+0.10 -0.1 30
2021-02-20 Diosgyor L 1-363.3 1642 1435 67.13% 18.71% 14.16%+1.59 -14.7 33
2021-02-20 @ Fehervar W 3-163.3 1435 1642 14.16% 18.71% 67.13%-1.59 +14.7 20
2021-02-20 Honved W 1-048.6 1730 1496 69.83% 17.54% 12.64%+1.78 +2.0 53
2021-02-20 @ Ferencvaros L 0-148.6 1496 1730 12.64% 17.54% 69.83%-1.78 -2.0 22
2021-02-20 Ujpest W 3-042.8 1514 1479 47.03% 24.19% 28.77%+0.44 +12.5 25
2021-02-20 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-342.8 1479 1514 28.77% 24.19% 47.03%-0.44 -12.5 25
2021-02-21 Kisvarda W 3-046.0 1526 1520 43.01% 24.58% 32.41%+0.24 +13.8 32
2021-02-21 @ Paks L 0-346.0 1520 1526 32.41% 24.58% 43.01%-0.24 -13.8 31
2021-02-21 Puskas L 0-346.4 1494 1556 33.43% 24.65% 41.92%-0.22 -14.1 23
2021-02-21 @ Budafoki W 3-046.4 1556 1494 41.92% 24.65% 33.43%+0.22 +14.1 39
2021-02-26 Mezokovesd D 2-267.4 1450 1531 30.91% 24.45% 44.64%-0.35 +0.3 21
2021-02-26 @ Diosgyor D 2-267.4 1531 1450 44.64% 24.45% 30.91%+0.35 -0.3 31
2021-02-27 Ferencvaros D 2-276.3 1487 1732 15.77% 19.78% 64.45%-1.44 +1.2 34
2021-02-27 @ MTK Budapest D 2-276.3 1732 1487 64.45% 19.78% 15.77%+1.44 -1.2 54
2021-02-27 Honved L 1-262.8 1570 1494 52.41% 23.32% 24.27%+0.72 -6.9 39
2021-02-27 @ Puskas W 2-162.8 1494 1570 24.27% 23.32% 52.41%-0.72 +7.0 25
2021-02-27 Kisvarda W 2-047.3 1480 1507 38.38% 24.76% 36.86%+0.02 +10.5 26
2021-02-27 @ Budafoki L 0-247.3 1507 1480 36.86% 24.76% 38.38%-0.02 -10.5 31
2021-02-28 Fehervar L 0-250.4 1527 1627 28.69% 24.18% 47.12%-0.47 -8.6 25
2021-02-28 @ Zalaegerszeg W 2-050.4 1627 1527 47.12% 24.18% 28.69%+0.47 +8.6 36
2021-02-28 Ujpest L 1-357.7 1540 1466 52.05% 23.39% 24.56%+0.70 -12.0 32
2021-02-28 @ Paks W 3-157.7 1466 1540 24.56% 23.39% 52.05%-0.70 +12.0 28
2021-03-02 Diosgyor W 1-046.4 1731 1450 74.10% 15.52% 10.39%+2.09 +1.6 57
2021-03-02 @ Ferencvaros L 0-146.4 1450 1731 10.39% 15.52% 74.10%-2.09 -1.6 21
2021-03-02 MTK Budapest W 3-259.3 1501 1489 43.86% 24.52% 31.62%+0.28 +4.4 28
2021-03-02 @ Honved L 2-359.3 1489 1501 31.62% 24.52% 43.86%-0.28 -4.4 34
2021-03-02 Puskas L 0-152.1 1496 1563 32.75% 24.60% 42.64%-0.25 -5.1 31
2021-03-02 @ Kisvarda W 1-052.1 1563 1496 42.64% 24.60% 32.75%+0.25 +5.1 42
2021-03-03 Budafoki W 2-046.0 1478 1490 40.48% 24.71% 34.81%+0.12 +10.0 31
2021-03-03 @ Ujpest L 0-246.0 1490 1478 34.81% 24.71% 40.48%-0.12 -10.0 26
2021-03-03 Paks D 2-274.2 1635 1528 56.18% 22.44% 21.37%+0.92 -0.8 37
2021-03-03 @ Fehervar D 2-274.2 1528 1635 21.37% 22.44% 56.18%-0.92 +0.8 33
2021-03-03 Zalaegerszeg W 2-048.0 1531 1518 43.95% 24.51% 31.54%+0.29 +9.3 34
2021-03-03 @ Mezokovesd L 0-248.0 1518 1531 31.54% 24.51% 43.95%-0.29 -9.3 25
2021-03-05 MTK Budapest D 0-056.0 1448 1484 37.06% 24.76% 38.18%-0.04 +0.0 22
2021-03-05 @ Diosgyor D 0-056.0 1484 1448 38.18% 24.76% 37.06%+0.04 -0.0 35
2021-03-06 Mezokovesd D 2-270.6 1529 1540 40.58% 24.71% 34.71%+0.13 -0.1 34
2021-03-06 @ Paks D 2-270.6 1540 1529 34.71% 24.71% 40.58%-0.13 +0.1 35
2021-03-06 Ujpest W 2-154.0 1569 1488 52.85% 23.23% 23.92%+0.74 +3.7 45
2021-03-06 @ Puskas L 1-254.0 1488 1569 23.92% 23.23% 52.85%-0.74 -3.7 31
2021-03-07 Fehervar L 1-255.6 1480 1635 22.93% 22.95% 54.12%-0.84 -3.5 26
2021-03-07 @ Budafoki W 2-155.6 1635 1480 54.12% 22.95% 22.93%+0.84 +3.5 40
2021-03-07 Ferencvaros D 2-276.5 1509 1733 17.21% 20.61% 62.18%-1.30 +1.1 26
2021-03-07 @ Zalaegerszeg D 2-276.5 1733 1509 62.18% 20.61% 17.21%+1.30 -1.1 58
2021-03-07 Kisvarda L 0-153.1 1505 1491 44.14% 24.49% 31.36%+0.30 -6.4 28
2021-03-07 @ Honved W 1-053.1 1491 1505 31.36% 24.49% 44.14%-0.30 +6.4 34
2021-03-13 Honved D 0-056.5 1448 1499 35.02% 24.72% 40.26%-0.14 +0.2 23
2021-03-13 @ Diosgyor D 0-056.5 1499 1448 40.26% 24.72% 35.02%+0.14 -0.2 29
2021-03-13 Kisvarda W 3-044.3 1485 1497 40.39% 24.72% 34.89%+0.12 +14.6 34
2021-03-13 @ Ujpest L 0-344.3 1497 1485 34.89% 24.72% 40.39%-0.12 -14.6 34
2021-03-13 Zalaegerszeg W 3-045.4 1484 1510 38.50% 24.76% 36.75%+0.03 +15.2 38
2021-03-13 @ MTK Budapest L 0-345.4 1510 1484 36.75% 24.76% 38.50%-0.03 -15.2 26
2021-03-14 Budafoki W 2-153.2 1540 1477 50.76% 23.63% 25.61%+0.63 +3.9 38
2021-03-14 @ Mezokovesd L 1-253.2 1477 1540 25.61% 23.63% 50.76%-0.63 -3.9 26
2021-03-14 Fehervar W 1-059.4 1572 1638 32.94% 24.62% 42.45%-0.24 +6.2 48
2021-03-14 @ Puskas L 0-159.4 1638 1572 42.45% 24.62% 32.94%+0.24 -6.2 40
2021-03-14 Paks W 5-252.7 1731 1529 66.70% 18.89% 14.41%+1.56 +4.7 61
2021-03-14 @ Ferencvaros L 2-552.7 1529 1731 14.41% 18.89% 66.70%-1.56 -4.7 34
2021-04-03 Diosgyor W 2-042.7 1495 1449 48.50% 24.00% 27.50%+0.51 +8.3 29
2021-04-03 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-242.7 1449 1495 27.50% 24.00% 48.50%-0.51 -8.3 23
2021-04-03 MTK Budapest W 3-152.0 1524 1499 45.62% 24.35% 30.03%+0.37 +7.7 37
2021-04-03 @ Paks L 1-352.0 1499 1524 30.03% 24.35% 45.62%-0.37 -7.7 38
2021-04-03 Ujpest D 2-268.0 1499 1499 42.06% 24.64% 33.30%+0.20 -0.2 30
2021-04-03 @ Honved D 2-268.0 1499 1499 33.30% 24.64% 42.06%-0.20 +0.2 35
2021-04-04 Fehervar D 0-063.0 1483 1632 23.42% 23.09% 53.48%-0.80 +1.1 35
2021-04-04 @ Kisvarda D 0-063.0 1632 1483 53.48% 23.09% 23.42%+0.80 -1.1 41
2021-04-04 Ferencvaros L 0-443.1 1473 1736 14.61% 19.03% 66.36%-1.57 -8.5 26
2021-04-04 @ Budafoki W 4-043.1 1736 1473 66.36% 19.03% 14.61%+1.57 +8.5 64
2021-04-04 Mezokovesd W 2-049.6 1578 1544 46.86% 24.21% 28.93%+0.43 +8.6 51
2021-04-04 @ Puskas L 0-249.6 1544 1578 28.93% 24.21% 46.86%-0.43 -8.6 38
2021-04-09 Kisvarda L 0-155.4 1536 1484 49.22% 23.89% 26.89%+0.55 -7.0 38
2021-04-09 @ Mezokovesd W 1-055.4 1484 1536 26.89% 23.89% 49.22%-0.55 +7.0 38
2021-04-10 Budafoki D 0-057.0 1492 1464 45.92% 24.32% 29.75%+0.38 -0.6 39
2021-04-10 @ MTK Budapest D 0-057.0 1464 1492 29.75% 24.32% 45.92%-0.38 +0.5 27
2021-04-10 Puskas D 1-172.3 1745 1587 61.95% 20.69% 17.36%+1.26 -1.5 65
2021-04-10 @ Ferencvaros D 1-172.3 1587 1745 17.36% 20.69% 61.95%-1.26 +1.5 52
2021-04-10 Ujpest W 4-043.3 1631 1500 59.01% 21.65% 19.34%+1.08 +11.4 44
2021-04-10 @ Fehervar L 0-443.3 1500 1631 19.34% 21.65% 59.01%-1.08 -11.4 35
2021-04-11 Honved L 0-153.0 1503 1498 42.83% 24.59% 32.57%+0.23 -6.2 29
2021-04-11 @ Zalaegerszeg W 1-053.0 1498 1503 32.57% 24.59% 42.83%-0.23 +6.2 33
2021-04-11 Paks L 1-447.4 1440 1532 29.67% 24.31% 46.01%-0.42 -10.8 23
2021-04-11 @ Diosgyor W 4-147.4 1532 1440 46.01% 24.31% 29.67%+0.42 +10.8 40
2021-04-16 Diosgyor L 1-255.4 1465 1429 47.07% 24.19% 28.74%+0.44 -6.4 27
2021-04-16 @ Budafoki W 2-155.4 1429 1465 28.74% 24.19% 47.07%-0.44 +6.3 26
2021-04-17 Ferencvaros D 0-067.1 1491 1743 15.29% 19.48% 65.24%-1.50 +1.8 39
2021-04-17 @ Kisvarda D 0-067.1 1743 1491 65.24% 19.48% 15.29%+1.50 -1.8 66
2021-04-17 Mezokovesd W 3-046.8 1488 1529 36.41% 24.75% 38.83%-0.07 +15.8 38
2021-04-17 @ Ujpest L 0-346.8 1529 1488 38.83% 24.75% 36.41%+0.07 -15.9 38
2021-04-17 Zalaegerszeg D 1-164.3 1543 1497 48.45% 24.00% 27.55%+0.51 -0.6 41
2021-04-17 @ Paks D 1-164.3 1497 1543 27.55% 24.00% 48.45%-0.51 +0.6 30
2021-04-18 Fehervar L 2-362.3 1505 1642 24.57% 23.39% 52.03%-0.72 -3.6 33
2021-04-18 @ Honved W 3-262.3 1642 1505 52.03% 23.39% 24.57%+0.72 +3.6 47
2021-04-18 MTK Budapest W 3-043.5 1589 1491 55.00% 22.74% 22.26%+0.86 +10.0 55
2021-04-18 @ Puskas L 0-343.5 1491 1589 22.26% 22.74% 55.00%-0.86 -10.0 39
2021-04-20 Budafoki W 5-041.1 1498 1459 47.50% 24.13% 28.36%+0.46 +19.9 33
2021-04-20 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-541.1 1459 1498 28.36% 24.13% 47.50%-0.46 -19.9 27
2021-04-20 Ujpest W 3-043.4 1741 1504 70.10% 17.41% 12.49%+1.80 +5.4 69
2021-04-20 @ Ferencvaros L 0-343.4 1504 1741 12.49% 17.41% 70.10%-1.80 -5.4 38
2021-04-21 Fehervar L 1-354.7 1513 1646 25.05% 23.51% 51.44%-0.69 -6.6 38
2021-04-21 @ Mezokovesd W 3-154.7 1646 1513 51.44% 23.51% 25.05%+0.69 +6.6 50
2021-04-21 Honved W 2-046.6 1542 1501 47.80% 24.09% 28.10%+0.48 +8.5 44
2021-04-21 @ Paks L 0-246.6 1501 1542 28.10% 24.09% 47.80%-0.48 -8.4 33
2021-04-21 Kisvarda L 0-151.3 1481 1493 40.54% 24.71% 34.75%+0.12 -6.0 39
2021-04-21 @ MTK Budapest W 1-051.3 1493 1481 34.75% 24.71% 40.54%-0.12 +6.0 42
2021-04-21 Puskas W 2-162.4 1436 1598 22.14% 22.70% 55.16%-0.89 +7.2 29
2021-04-21 @ Diosgyor L 1-262.4 1598 1436 55.16% 22.70% 22.14%+0.89 -7.2 55
2021-04-24 Diosgyor L 0-152.6 1499 1443 49.73% 23.81% 26.46%+0.58 -7.0 42
2021-04-24 @ Kisvarda W 1-052.6 1443 1499 26.46% 23.81% 49.73%-0.58 +7.0 32
2021-04-24 MTK Budapest L 1-354.8 1499 1475 45.43% 24.37% 30.19%+0.36 -10.7 38
2021-04-24 @ Ujpest W 3-154.8 1475 1499 30.19% 24.37% 45.43%-0.36 +10.7 42
2021-04-24 Zalaegerszeg L 1-458.7 1591 1517 52.06% 23.39% 24.56%+0.70 -16.9 55
2021-04-24 @ Puskas W 4-158.7 1517 1591 24.56% 23.39% 52.06%-0.70 +16.9 36
2021-04-25 Ferencvaros L 1-262.9 1652 1747 29.38% 24.28% 46.34%-0.43 -4.4 50
2021-04-25 @ Fehervar W 2-162.9 1747 1652 46.34% 24.28% 29.38%+0.43 +4.4 72
2021-04-25 Mezokovesd D 2-268.0 1493 1506 40.25% 24.72% 35.03%+0.11 -0.1 34
2021-04-25 @ Honved D 2-268.0 1506 1493 35.03% 24.72% 40.25%-0.11 +0.1 39
2021-04-25 Paks L 2-945.2 1439 1551 27.33% 23.97% 48.70%-0.55 -17.9 27
2021-04-25 @ Budafoki W 9-245.2 1551 1439 48.70% 23.97% 27.33%+0.55 +17.9 47
2021-04-29 Fehervar L 1-352.9 1486 1648 22.19% 22.72% 55.10%-0.89 -5.9 42
2021-04-29 @ MTK Budapest W 3-152.9 1648 1486 55.10% 22.72% 22.19%+0.89 +5.9 53
2021-04-29 Ujpest D 0-056.2 1450 1488 36.76% 24.76% 38.48%-0.05 +0.0 33
2021-04-29 @ Diosgyor D 0-056.2 1488 1450 38.48% 24.76% 36.76%+0.05 -0.1 39
2021-04-30 Puskas W 4-261.4 1569 1574 41.36% 24.68% 33.96%+0.16 +7.6 50
2021-04-30 @ Paks L 2-461.4 1574 1569 33.96% 24.68% 41.36%-0.16 -7.6 55
2021-05-01 Kisvarda D 0-059.6 1534 1492 48.02% 24.06% 27.92%+0.49 -0.7 37
2021-05-01 @ Zalaegerszeg D 0-059.6 1492 1534 27.92% 24.06% 48.02%-0.49 +0.7 43
2021-05-01 Mezokovesd W 2-154.0 1751 1506 70.82% 17.09% 12.10%+1.85 +1.8 75
2021-05-01 @ Ferencvaros L 1-254.0 1506 1751 12.10% 17.09% 70.82%-1.85 -1.8 39
2021-05-02 Honved L 0-146.6 1421 1493 32.19% 24.56% 43.25%-0.28 -5.0 27
2021-05-02 @ Budafoki W 1-046.6 1493 1421 43.25% 24.56% 32.19%+0.28 +5.0 37
2021-05-07 MTK Budapest W 5-146.4 1505 1480 45.58% 24.36% 30.06%+0.37 +14.1 42
2021-05-07 @ Mezokovesd L 1-546.4 1480 1505 30.06% 24.36% 45.58%-0.37 -14.1 42
2021-05-08 Ferencvaros L 1-255.4 1498 1753 15.09% 19.35% 65.56%-1.52 -2.3 37
2021-05-08 @ Honved W 2-155.4 1753 1498 65.56% 19.35% 15.09%+1.52 +2.3 78
2021-05-08 Zalaegerszeg W 5-467.2 1488 1534 35.68% 24.74% 39.59%-0.11 +5.1 42
2021-05-08 @ Ujpest L 4-567.2 1534 1488 39.59% 24.74% 35.68%+0.11 -5.1 37
2021-05-09 Budafoki W 5-037.9 1567 1416 61.22% 20.94% 17.84%+1.22 +12.9 58
2021-05-09 @ Puskas L 0-537.9 1416 1567 17.84% 20.94% 61.22%-1.22 -12.9 27
2021-05-09 Fehervar L 0-442.2 1450 1654 18.67% 21.34% 59.99%-1.17 -11.0 33
2021-05-09 @ Diosgyor W 4-042.2 1654 1450 59.99% 21.34% 18.67%+1.17 +11.0 56
2021-05-09 Paks W 5-154.0 1492 1576 30.64% 24.42% 44.93%-0.36 +19.4 46
2021-05-09 @ Kisvarda L 1-554.0 1576 1492 44.93% 24.42% 30.64%+0.36 -19.3 50

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-01-20 9.95% Diosgyor 1427 1 @ Ferencvaros 1718 0
2 2021-02-20 14.16% Diosgyor 1435 3 @ Fehervar 1642 1
3 2021-02-14 16.45% MTK Budapest 1479 2 @ Fehervar 1650 1
4 2021-01-30 16.56% Honved 1498 2 @ Fehervar 1667 1
5 2020-10-17 17.24% MTK Budapest 1409 3 @ Puskas 1568 0
6 2020-11-07 19.80% @ MTK Budapest 1459 3 Fehervar 1649 1
7 2021-04-21 22.14% @ Diosgyor 1436 2 Puskas 1598 1
8 2020-11-01 23.91% MTK Budapest 1432 4 @ Ujpest 1513 0
9 2021-01-27 24.27% @ Kisvarda 1533 2 Fehervar 1674 1
10 2021-02-27 24.27% Honved 1494 2 @ Puskas 1570 1
11 2021-02-28 24.56% Ujpest 1466 3 @ Paks 1540 1
12 2021-04-24 24.56% Zalaegerszeg 1517 4 @ Puskas 1591 1
13 2020-10-04 25.35% Honved 1485 4 @ Zalaegerszeg 1551 2
14 2021-02-02 25.42% MTK Budapest 1476 2 @ Kisvarda 1542 0
15 2020-12-06 26.39% @ Paks 1529 1 Fehervar 1649 0
16 2021-04-24 26.46% Diosgyor 1443 1 @ Kisvarda 1499 0
17 2021-04-09 26.89% Kisvarda 1484 1 @ Mezokovesd 1536 0
18 2020-11-21 27.28% MTK Budapest 1472 1 @ Mezokovesd 1520 0
19 2021-02-06 28.51% @ Diosgyor 1427 2 Kisvarda 1528 0
20 2021-04-16 28.74% Diosgyor 1429 2 @ Budafoki 1465 1
21 2021-02-06 29.86% Ujpest 1464 3 @ MTK Budapest 1490 1
22 2020-10-25 29.94% @ Diosgyor 1455 3 Puskas 1544 0
23 2021-04-24 30.19% MTK Budapest 1475 3 @ Ujpest 1499 1
24 2020-11-01 30.22% Paks 1518 3 @ Budafoki 1542 2
25 2021-05-09 30.64% @ Kisvarda 1492 5 Paks 1576 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-11-01 26.53 MTK Budapest 4 1432 23.91% @ Ujpest 0 1513 52.86% 23.22%
2 2020-10-17 23.23 MTK Budapest 3 1409 17.24% @ Puskas 0 1568 62.12% 20.63%
3 2021-04-20 19.91 @ Zalaegerszeg 5 1498 47.50% Budafoki 0 1459 28.36% 24.13%
4 2021-05-09 19.35 @ Kisvarda 5 1492 30.64% Paks 1 1576 44.93% 24.42%
5 2020-10-25 18.02 @ Diosgyor 3 1455 29.94% Puskas 0 1544 45.71% 24.34%
6 2021-04-25 17.93 Paks 9 1551 48.70% @ Budafoki 2 1439 27.33% 23.97%
7 2021-04-24 16.91 Zalaegerszeg 4 1517 24.56% @ Puskas 1 1591 52.06% 23.39%
8 2020-09-04 15.94 Puskas 3 1557 36.13% @ Kisvarda 0 1536 39.12% 24.75%
9 2021-04-17 15.86 @ Ujpest 3 1488 36.41% Mezokovesd 0 1529 38.83% 24.75%
10 2021-01-23 15.80 Fehervar 5 1658 55.48% @ Ujpest 0 1493 21.90% 22.62%
11 2021-03-13 15.21 @ MTK Budapest 3 1484 38.50% Zalaegerszeg 0 1510 36.75% 24.76%
12 2020-11-21 15.10 @ Puskas 3 1512 38.84% Budafoki 0 1536 36.41% 24.75%
13 2020-09-26 14.89 @ Paks 4 1490 50.54% MTK Budapest 0 1428 25.79% 23.67%
14 2021-02-20 14.73 Diosgyor 3 1435 14.16% @ Fehervar 1 1642 67.13% 18.71%
15 2021-03-13 14.62 @ Ujpest 3 1485 40.39% Kisvarda 0 1497 34.89% 24.72%
16 2020-12-05 14.19 @ Zalaegerszeg 3 1515 41.78% Mezokovesd 0 1518 33.57% 24.66%
17 2021-02-21 14.14 Puskas 3 1556 41.92% @ Budafoki 0 1494 33.43% 24.65%
18 2021-05-07 14.13 @ Mezokovesd 5 1505 45.58% MTK Budapest 1 1480 30.06% 24.36%
19 2021-02-21 13.80 @ Paks 3 1526 43.01% Kisvarda 0 1520 32.41% 24.58%
20 2020-12-16 13.62 @ Honved 5 1484 47.04% Diosgyor 1 1448 28.76% 24.19%
21 2021-02-02 13.57 MTK Budapest 2 1476 25.42% @ Kisvarda 0 1542 50.99% 23.59%
22 2020-11-07 13.15 @ MTK Budapest 3 1459 19.80% Fehervar 1 1649 58.35% 21.85%
23 2020-11-07 13.03 @ Paks 6 1524 42.02% Puskas 2 1525 33.34% 24.64%
24 2021-05-09 12.90 @ Puskas 5 1567 61.22% Budafoki 0 1416 17.84% 20.94%
25 2020-09-13 12.89 Zalaegerszeg 3 1531 45.86% @ MTK Budapest 0 1441 29.81% 24.33%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-08-15 77.4 @ Zalaegerszeg 3 1535 30.73% Fehervar 3 1618 44.84% 24.43%
2 2021-02-14 76.6 @ Mezokovesd 2 1530 18.92% Ferencvaros 2 1731 59.62% 21.46%
3 2021-03-07 76.5 @ Zalaegerszeg 2 1509 17.21% Ferencvaros 2 1733 62.18% 20.61%
4 2021-01-31 76.3 @ Zalaegerszeg 4 1534 44.30% Paks 4 1519 31.22% 24.48%
5 2021-02-27 76.3 @ MTK Budapest 2 1487 15.77% Ferencvaros 2 1732 64.45% 19.78%
6 2021-03-03 74.2 @ Fehervar 2 1635 56.18% Paks 2 1528 21.37% 22.44%
7 2020-10-18 73.4 @ Honved 2 1495 23.34% Fehervar 2 1645 53.59% 23.07%
8 2021-04-10 72.3 @ Ferencvaros 1 1745 61.95% Puskas 1 1587 17.36% 20.69%
9 2021-01-30 71.4 @ Ferencvaros 1 1716 63.88% Kisvarda 1 1540 16.13% 20.00%
10 2020-10-31 71.1 @ Fehervar 1 1648 36.73% Ferencvaros 1 1687 38.51% 24.76%
11 2021-03-06 70.6 @ Paks 2 1529 40.58% Mezokovesd 2 1540 34.71% 24.71%
12 2021-01-23 70.5 @ Puskas 1 1533 21.03% Ferencvaros 1 1709 56.64% 22.32%
13 2020-12-15 69.4 @ Fehervar 1 1650 56.73% Puskas 1 1538 20.97% 22.30%
14 2021-01-24 69.2 @ Honved 2 1498 36.98% Zalaegerszeg 2 1535 38.25% 24.76%
15 2021-01-30 68.3 Honved 2 1498 16.56% @ Fehervar 1 1667 63.19% 20.25%
16 2021-04-03 68.0 @ Honved 2 1499 42.06% Ujpest 2 1499 33.30% 24.64%
17 2021-04-25 68.0 @ Honved 2 1493 40.25% Mezokovesd 2 1506 35.03% 24.72%
18 2020-08-22 67.7 @ Fehervar 1 1618 56.66% Paks 1 1506 21.02% 22.32%
19 2021-01-24 67.4 @ Budafoki 2 1499 44.57% MTK Budapest 2 1481 30.98% 24.46%
20 2021-02-26 67.4 @ Diosgyor 2 1450 30.91% Mezokovesd 2 1531 44.64% 24.45%
21 2021-02-14 67.3 MTK Budapest 2 1479 16.45% @ Fehervar 1 1650 63.37% 20.19%
22 2021-05-08 67.2 @ Ujpest 5 1488 35.68% Zalaegerszeg 4 1534 39.59% 24.74%
23 2021-04-17 67.1 @ Kisvarda 0 1491 15.29% Ferencvaros 0 1743 65.24% 19.48%
24 2021-01-27 67.0 @ Kisvarda 2 1533 24.27% Fehervar 1 1674 52.42% 23.32%
25 2020-08-14 66.9 @ MTK Budapest 1 1428 16.96% Ferencvaros 1 1655 62.56% 20.48%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-05-09 37.9 @ Puskas 5 1567 61.22% Budafoki 0 1416 17.84% 20.94%
2 2020-09-26 38.3 @ Paks 4 1490 50.54% MTK Budapest 0 1428 25.79% 23.67%
3 2021-04-20 41.1 @ Zalaegerszeg 5 1498 47.50% Budafoki 0 1459 28.36% 24.13%
4 2021-02-03 41.5 @ Puskas 2 1540 56.11% Diosgyor 0 1433 21.43% 22.46%
5 2020-11-22 41.9 @ Fehervar 3 1635 62.96% Diosgyor 0 1469 16.70% 20.33%
6 2021-05-09 42.2 Fehervar 4 1654 59.99% @ Diosgyor 0 1450 18.67% 21.34%
7 2020-09-13 42.3 Zalaegerszeg 3 1531 45.86% @ MTK Budapest 0 1441 29.81% 24.33%
8 2021-04-03 42.7 @ Zalaegerszeg 2 1495 48.50% Diosgyor 0 1449 27.50% 24.00%
9 2021-02-20 42.8 @ Zalaegerszeg 3 1514 47.03% Ujpest 0 1479 28.77% 24.19%
10 2021-04-04 43.1 Ferencvaros 4 1736 66.36% @ Budafoki 0 1473 14.61% 19.03%
11 2021-02-03 43.3 Ferencvaros 4 1714 64.06% @ Ujpest 0 1473 16.01% 19.93%
12 2021-04-10 43.3 @ Fehervar 4 1631 59.01% Ujpest 0 1500 19.34% 21.65%
13 2021-04-20 43.4 @ Ferencvaros 3 1741 70.10% Ujpest 0 1504 12.49% 17.41%
14 2021-04-18 43.5 @ Puskas 3 1589 55.00% MTK Budapest 0 1491 22.26% 22.74%
15 2020-09-11 43.8 @ Ferencvaros 5 1658 61.76% Paks 0 1502 17.48% 20.76%
16 2020-12-16 44.0 @ Honved 5 1484 47.04% Diosgyor 1 1448 28.76% 24.19%
17 2021-03-13 44.3 @ Ujpest 3 1485 40.39% Kisvarda 0 1497 34.89% 24.72%
18 2020-11-28 44.7 @ Ferencvaros 2 1697 68.29% MTK Budapest 0 1479 13.49% 18.21%
19 2020-12-16 45.0 @ Zalaegerszeg 2 1524 48.20% MTK Budapest 0 1480 27.76% 24.04%
20 2020-11-08 45.2 @ Ferencvaros 3 1687 62.05% Mezokovesd 0 1528 17.29% 20.66%
21 2021-04-25 45.2 Paks 9 1551 48.70% @ Budafoki 2 1439 27.33% 23.97%
22 2021-01-23 45.4 Fehervar 5 1658 55.48% @ Ujpest 0 1493 21.90% 22.62%
23 2021-01-27 45.4 Ferencvaros 3 1707 60.57% @ Budafoki 0 1498 18.27% 21.16%
24 2021-03-13 45.4 @ MTK Budapest 3 1484 38.50% Zalaegerszeg 0 1510 36.75% 24.76%
25 2021-02-12 45.5 @ Ujpest 1 1474 46.98% Diosgyor 0 1439 28.82% 24.20%