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2021-22 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Ferencvaros

71 points · 33rd Title

Last Title: 2020-21

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kisvarda

8.80 points above expected

59 points · 50.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fehervar

7.32 points below expected

48 points · 55.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ferencvaros Champion 33 22 5 6 71 60 31 +29 64.62 +6.38
2 Kisvarda 33 16 11 6 59 50 34 +16 50.20 +8.80
3 Puskas 33 14 12 7 54 43 34 +9 49.74 +4.26
4 Fehervar 33 13 9 11 48 48 43 +5 55.32 -7.32
5 Ujpest 33 12 8 13 44 50 48 +2 41.00 +3.00
6 Paks 33 12 7 14 43 75 63 +12 49.27 -6.27
7 Debrecen VSC 33 10 9 14 39 45 52 -7 39.94 -0.94
8 Zalaegerszeg 33 10 9 14 39 44 58 -14 43.46 -4.46
9 Honved 33 10 8 15 38 48 51 -3 41.95 -3.95
10 Mezokovesd 33 10 8 15 38 37 49 -12 42.13 -4.13
11 MTK Budapest 33 9 9 15 36 28 50 -22 36.98 -0.98
12 Gyirmot 33 7 11 15 32 34 49 -15 27.58 +4.42

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kisvarda 59 50.20 +8.80
2 Ferencvaros 71 64.62 +6.38
3 Gyirmot 32 27.58 +4.42
4 Puskas 54 49.74 +4.26
5 Ujpest 44 41.00 +3.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fehervar 48 55.32 -7.32
2 Paks 43 49.27 -6.27
3 Zalaegerszeg 39 43.46 -4.46
4 Mezokovesd 38 42.13 -4.13
5 Honved 38 41.95 -3.95

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ujpest 4 Feb 20 – Mar 12 1 in 136
2 Gyirmot 3 Jan 29 – Feb 12 1 in 110
3 Puskas 5 Oct 2 – Nov 6 1 in 56
4 Ferencvaros 6 Aug 14 – Oct 3 1 in 53
5 MTK Budapest 2 May 7 – May 15 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fehervar 7 Jan 30 – Mar 13 1 in 5,771
2 Zalaegerszeg 6 Apr 16 – May 15 1 in 481
3 Honved 4 Oct 16 – Nov 6 1 in 35
4 Puskas 2 Feb 12 – Feb 20 1 in 24
5 MTK Budapest 3 Nov 5 – Nov 27 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kisvarda 10 Nov 20 – Feb 26 1 in 37
2 Puskas 9 Mar 11 – May 7 1 in 31
3 MTK Budapest 4 May 1 – May 15 1 in 26
4 Zalaegerszeg 7 Feb 19 – Apr 8 1 in 23
5 Gyirmot 4 Dec 19 – Feb 12 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fehervar 7 Jan 30 – Mar 13 1 in 55
2 Ujpest 9 Aug 1 – Oct 17 1 in 49
3 Honved 7 Apr 2 – May 7 1 in 16
4 MTK Budapest 7 Oct 3 – Nov 27 1 in 16
5 Zalaegerszeg 6 Apr 16 – May 15 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ferencvaros 1648 71 -9 12 10.4 +1.6
Kisvarda 1544 59 +13 13 7.7 +5.3
Puskas 1545 54 -1 6 8.1 -2.1
Fehervar 1574 48 +13 9 8.1 +0.9
Ujpest 1498 44 -2 5 6.3 -1.3
Paks 1540 43 -4 5 7.0 -2.0
Debrecen VSC 1456 39 -18 4 5.9 -1.9
Zalaegerszeg 1473 39 -18 0 6.6 -6.6
Honved 1482 38 -1 6 6.4 -0.4
Mezokovesd 1472 38 +0 4 6.7 -2.7
MTK Budapest 1431 36 +22 10 4.8 +5.2
Gyirmot 1374 32 +5 6 4.1 +1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DV FEH FER GYI HON KIS MB MEZ PAK PUS UJP ZAL
Debrecen VSC —
1-1-1
2.99
1-0-2
2.20
2-1-0
5.36
2-0-1
3.81
0-1-2
3.34
1-1-1
4.40
1-0-2
3.88
1-2-0
3.20
1-1-1
3.27
0-1-2
4.15
0-1-2
3.92
Fehervar
1-1-1
5.22
—
0-0-3
3.41
2-1-0
6.17
2-0-1
5.29
2-0-1
4.77
2-1-0
5.56
2-1-0
5.11
1-1-1
4.63
0-2-1
4.64
0-1-2
5.23
1-1-1
5.01
Ferencvaros
2-0-1
6.13
3-0-0
4.76
—
2-1-0
6.77
3-0-0
5.81
2-0-1
5.50
0-2-1
6.49
3-0-0
5.89
2-0-1
5.31
0-2-1
5.32
3-0-0
6.03
2-0-1
5.94
Gyirmot
0-1-2
2.86
0-1-2
2.18
0-1-2
1.69
—
1-1-1
2.83
0-1-2
2.49
1-2-0
3.25
0-1-2
2.75
2-1-0
2.37
0-1-2
2.42
2-1-0
2.75
1-0-2
2.73
Honved
1-0-2
4.35
1-0-2
2.92
0-0-3
2.47
1-1-1
5.40
—
1-1-1
3.60
1-0-2
4.40
0-2-1
4.17
2-1-0
3.51
1-1-1
3.24
1-1-1
4.01
1-1-1
3.88
Kisvarda
2-1-0
4.83
1-0-2
3.40
1-0-2
2.74
2-1-0
5.79
1-1-1
4.57
—
2-1-0
4.88
2-0-1
4.62
1-2-0
3.89
1-2-0
3.82
1-2-0
4.86
2-1-0
4.71
MTK Budapest
1-1-1
3.77
0-1-2
2.69
1-2-0
1.92
0-2-1
4.94
2-0-1
3.76
0-1-2
3.31
—
1-1-1
3.58
0-0-3
2.98
1-1-1
2.87
2-0-1
3.55
1-0-2
3.34
Mezokovesd
2-0-1
4.28
0-1-2
3.09
0-0-3
2.41
2-1-0
5.48
1-2-0
3.98
1-0-2
3.54
1-1-1
4.59
—
2-0-1
3.50
0-0-3
3.31
0-1-2
4.27
1-2-0
4.11
Paks
0-2-1
4.99
1-1-1
3.53
1-0-2
2.91
0-1-2
5.93
0-1-2
4.65
0-2-1
4.26
3-0-0
5.23
1-0-2
4.67
—
2-0-1
3.85
1-0-2
4.85
3-0-0
4.53
Puskas
1-1-1
4.91
1-2-0
3.53
1-2-0
2.90
2-1-0
5.87
1-1-1
4.94
0-2-1
4.33
1-1-1
5.36
3-0-0
4.87
1-0-2
4.30
—
2-0-1
4.78
1-2-0
4.50
Ujpest
2-1-0
4.00
2-1-0
2.98
0-0-3
2.29
0-1-2
5.49
1-1-1
4.14
0-2-1
3.31
1-0-2
4.62
2-1-0
3.88
2-0-1
3.32
1-0-2
3.39
—
1-1-1
3.99
Zalaegerszeg
2-1-0
4.23
1-1-1
3.18
1-0-2
2.36
2-0-1
5.51
1-1-1
4.27
0-1-2
3.46
2-0-1
4.84
0-2-1
4.04
0-0-3
3.63
0-2-1
3.66
1-1-1
4.16
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.23 +4.4
Allowed 0.62 -9.1
Differential 0.82 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%7.07%4.29%3.03%1.26%0.76%25.51%
17.07%11.11%9.60%3.79%1.26%0.25%33.08%
24.29%9.60%5.05%3.28%0.76%0.25%23.23%
33.03%3.79%3.28%1.52%0.25%0.76%12.63%
41.26%1.26%0.76%0.25%——3.54%
5+0.76%0.25%0.25%0.76%——2.02%
Total25.51%33.08%23.23%12.63%3.54%2.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.70
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%—12.12%——27.27%
19.09%12.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
26.06%3.03%3.03%—6.06%—18.18%
3—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%——3.03%——6.06%
Total27.27%27.27%15.15%21.21%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.58 -0.21
SD 1.37 1.35 1.90
CV 1.00 0.85 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
13.03%15.15%9.09%3.03%——30.30%
29.09%15.15%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total21.21%39.39%27.27%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.30 +0.15
SD 1.12 0.95 1.46
CV 0.77 0.73 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%3.03%6.06%——18.18%
115.15%6.06%6.06%———27.27%
26.06%15.15%3.03%———24.24%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total39.39%36.36%15.15%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.94 +0.88
SD 1.36 0.97 1.67
CV 0.75 1.03 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%6.06%3.03%—3.03%33.33%
19.09%21.21%9.09%3.03%——42.42%
2—3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—12.12%
33.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%42.42%21.21%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.48 -0.45
SD 0.98 1.20 1.48
CV 0.95 0.81 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%3.03%———27.27%
1—12.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%—30.30%
23.03%6.06%3.03%6.06%——18.18%
33.03%9.09%3.03%——3.03%18.18%
4——6.06%———6.06%
5+———————
Total15.15%42.42%24.24%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.55 -0.09
SD 1.25 1.18 1.49
CV 0.86 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%———3.03%—21.21%
112.12%9.09%12.12%———33.33%
26.06%21.21%3.03%———30.30%
3——3.03%3.03%—3.03%9.09%
4———————
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total42.42%30.30%18.18%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.03 +0.48
SD 1.28 1.24 1.64
CV 0.84 1.20 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%12.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%45.45%
19.09%15.15%6.06%—3.03%—33.33%
2—9.09%—3.03%——12.12%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%30.30%21.21%9.09%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.52 -0.67
SD 0.97 1.39 1.90
CV 1.15 0.92 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
19.09%6.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%—30.30%
2—6.06%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
3——9.09%———9.09%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total24.24%27.27%30.30%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.48 -0.36
SD 1.22 1.18 1.67
CV 1.09 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
1—6.06%12.12%9.09%——27.27%
2—3.03%6.06%9.09%——18.18%
33.03%—12.12%9.09%3.03%—27.27%
46.06%6.06%————12.12%
5+—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
Total9.09%24.24%36.36%27.27%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.91 +0.36
SD 1.46 1.01 1.93
CV 0.64 0.53 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%3.03%———21.21%
112.12%15.15%9.09%—3.03%3.03%42.42%
26.06%9.09%6.06%———21.21%
36.06%9.09%————15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%36.36%18.18%—3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.03 +0.27
SD 0.98 1.29 1.63
CV 0.75 1.25 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
13.03%6.06%21.21%6.06%——36.36%
23.03%12.12%12.12%———27.27%
3—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
43.03%——3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total15.15%33.33%42.42%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.45 +0.06
SD 1.12 0.87 1.41
CV 0.74 0.60 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%—3.03%3.03%3.03%24.24%
13.03%9.09%3.03%9.09%——24.24%
212.12%12.12%6.06%12.12%—3.03%45.45%
3—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%9.09%24.24%3.03%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.76 -0.42
SD 0.92 1.60 1.77
CV 0.69 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ferencvaros 1648 71 64.62 +6.38 87.0% 49 54 60 64 68 75 83
Fehervar 1574 48 55.32 -7.32 15.0% 37 43 51 55 59 65 74
Puskas 1545 54 49.74 +4.26 76.0% 31 38 44 49 54 62 72
Kisvarda 1544 59 50.20 +8.80 88.0% 33 40 45 49 56 61 64
Paks 1540 43 49.27 -6.27 22.0% 33 37 44 49 54 61 69
Ujpest 1498 44 41.00 +3.00 66.0% 24 28 36 41 46 51 61
Honved 1482 38 41.95 -3.95 29.0% 24 27 37 41 47 55 67
Zalaegerszeg 1473 39 43.46 -4.46 26.0% 24 31 39 43 47 55 61
Mezokovesd 1472 38 42.13 -4.13 30.0% 26 31 38 41 47 54 62
Debrecen VSC 1456 39 39.94 -0.94 50.0% 19 28 36 39 45 52 58
MTK Budapest 1431 36 36.98 -0.98 45.0% 22 24 32 37 41 47 50
Gyirmot 1374 32 27.58 +4.42 77.0% 11 16 22 28 32 38 51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.57%
No Edge
39.90%26.77%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 22.84 Elo pts.
241 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.14 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
76%
Ferencvaros, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.6 * Lucky: 8.6 to 11.46 * Wild Swing: 11.46 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.44 * Close: 1.44 to 2.17 * Off: 2.17 to 2.89 * Way Off: 2.89 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.10 points
As Expected
07.1618
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.814
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
88.00%
Kisvarda
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
15.00%
Fehervar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 72.18
1.50
Coin-Flip Parity
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.53
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.71
Strong Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.36
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.82
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.085
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ferencvaros76.00%20.00%3.00%——1.00%——————
Kisvarda1.00%18.00%18.00%17.00%13.00%10.00%5.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%—
Puskas5.00%11.00%12.00%24.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%—
Fehervar13.00%28.00%27.00%12.00%10.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Ujpest—2.00%5.00%2.00%6.00%17.00%15.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%
Paks3.00%12.00%19.00%12.00%19.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%—
Debrecen VSC—1.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%5.00%17.00%10.00%12.00%18.00%14.00%6.00%
Zalaegerszeg1.00%3.00%3.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%20.00%15.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%
Honved1.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%14.00%16.00%11.00%3.00%
Mezokovesd—2.00%3.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%14.00%20.00%5.00%4.00%
MTK Budapest———1.00%1.00%10.00%6.00%16.00%14.00%12.00%26.00%14.00%
Gyirmot———1.00%——1.00%1.00%3.00%7.00%23.00%64.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fehervar 100% —
Ferencvaros 100% —
Kisvarda 99.00% 1.00%
Paks 98.00% 2.00%
Puskas 98.00% 2.00%
Mezokovesd 91.00% 9.00%
Zalaegerszeg 90.00% 10.00%
Honved 86.00% 14.00%
Ujpest 85.00% 15.00%
Debrecen VSC 80.00% 20.00%
MTK Budapest 60.00% 40.00%
Gyirmot 13.00% 87.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-07-30 Mezokovesd L 2-364.0 1520 1499 42.17% 27.98% 29.84%+0.19 -3.9 0
2021-07-30 @ Paks W 3-264.0 1499 1520 29.84% 27.98% 42.17%-0.19 +3.9 3
2021-07-30 MTK Budapest D 1-156.6 1369 1470 26.06% 27.18% 46.77%-0.32 +0.4 1
2021-07-30 @ Gyirmot D 1-156.6 1470 1369 46.77% 27.18% 26.06%+0.32 -0.4 1
2021-07-31 Debrecen VSC L 1-450.1 1486 1465 42.09% 27.99% 29.91%+0.18 -10.0 0
2021-07-31 @ Honved W 4-150.1 1465 1486 29.91% 27.99% 42.09%-0.18 +10.0 3
2021-07-31 Kisvarda L 1-265.7 1627 1494 56.93% 23.92% 19.15%+0.65 -5.1 0
2021-07-31 @ Ferencvaros W 2-165.7 1494 1627 19.15% 23.92% 56.93%-0.65 +5.1 3
2021-08-01 Fehervar D 1-165.2 1505 1586 28.29% 27.71% 44.00%-0.24 +0.3 1
2021-08-01 @ Zalaegerszeg D 1-165.2 1586 1505 44.00% 27.71% 28.29%+0.24 -0.3 1
2021-08-01 Puskas L 1-256.0 1484 1531 32.50% 28.28% 39.22%-0.10 -3.4 0
2021-08-01 @ Ujpest W 2-156.0 1531 1484 39.22% 28.28% 32.50%+0.10 +3.4 3
2021-08-06 Gyirmot W 2-145.7 1500 1370 56.55% 24.07% 19.38%+0.63 +2.1 6
2021-08-06 @ Kisvarda L 1-245.7 1370 1500 19.38% 24.07% 56.55%-0.63 -2.1 1
2021-08-07 Honved W 1-048.4 1470 1476 38.18% 28.34% 33.48%+0.07 +3.6 4
2021-08-07 @ MTK Budapest L 0-148.4 1476 1470 33.48% 28.34% 38.18%-0.07 -3.7 0
2021-08-07 Zalaegerszeg W 3-261.0 1502 1506 38.61% 28.32% 33.07%+0.08 +3.2 6
2021-08-07 @ Mezokovesd L 2-361.0 1506 1502 33.07% 28.32% 38.61%-0.08 -3.2 1
2021-08-08 Paks L 1-652.2 1534 1517 41.57% 28.06% 30.37%+0.17 -15.6 3
2021-08-08 @ Puskas W 6-152.2 1517 1534 30.37% 28.06% 41.57%-0.17 +15.6 3
2021-08-08 Ujpest D 2-265.6 1475 1481 38.19% 28.34% 33.47%+0.07 -0.1 4
2021-08-08 @ Debrecen VSC D 2-265.6 1481 1475 33.47% 28.34% 38.19%-0.07 +0.1 1
2021-08-13 Kisvarda L 1-255.3 1473 1502 35.01% 28.39% 36.60%-0.02 -3.5 4
2021-08-13 @ MTK Budapest W 2-155.3 1502 1473 36.60% 28.39% 35.01%+0.02 +3.5 9
2021-08-14 Debrecen VSC D 3-371.9 1532 1474 47.14% 27.09% 25.77%+0.33 -0.3 4
2021-08-14 @ Paks D 3-371.9 1474 1532 25.77% 27.09% 47.14%-0.33 +0.3 5
2021-08-14 Fehervar D 1-161.9 1368 1586 16.49% 21.77% 61.75%-0.81 +1.0 2
2021-08-14 @ Gyirmot D 1-161.9 1586 1368 61.75% 21.77% 16.49%+0.81 -1.0 2
2021-08-14 Mezokovesd W 4-148.9 1622 1506 54.86% 24.73% 20.41%+0.58 +5.5 3
2021-08-14 @ Ferencvaros L 1-448.9 1506 1622 20.41% 24.73% 54.86%-0.58 -5.5 6
2021-08-15 Honved D 1-160.0 1481 1472 40.30% 28.19% 31.51%+0.13 -0.2 2
2021-08-15 @ Ujpest D 1-160.0 1472 1481 31.51% 28.19% 40.30%-0.13 +0.2 1
2021-08-18 Puskas L 1-353.9 1503 1519 36.78% 28.38% 34.84%+0.03 -6.4 1
2021-08-18 @ Zalaegerszeg W 3-153.9 1519 1503 34.84% 28.38% 36.78%-0.03 +6.4 6
2021-08-21 Kisvarda W 2-155.4 1585 1505 50.06% 26.33% 23.61%+0.42 +2.6 5
2021-08-21 @ Fehervar L 1-255.4 1505 1585 23.61% 26.33% 50.06%-0.42 -2.6 9
2021-08-21 Paks W 3-154.5 1472 1532 30.84% 28.12% 41.04%-0.15 +6.9 4
2021-08-21 @ Honved L 1-354.5 1532 1472 41.04% 28.12% 30.84%+0.15 -6.9 4
2021-08-21 Zalaegerszeg L 1-255.4 1475 1496 36.01% 28.39% 35.59%+0.01 -3.6 5
2021-08-21 @ Debrecen VSC W 2-155.4 1496 1475 35.59% 28.39% 36.01%-0.01 +3.6 4
2021-08-22 Gyirmot D 0-054.1 1500 1369 56.78% 23.98% 19.24%+0.64 -0.9 7
2021-08-22 @ Mezokovesd D 0-054.1 1369 1500 19.24% 23.98% 56.78%-0.64 +0.9 3
2021-08-22 MTK Budapest L 1-256.0 1481 1470 40.63% 28.16% 31.21%+0.14 -4.0 2
2021-08-22 @ Ujpest W 2-156.0 1470 1481 31.21% 28.16% 40.63%-0.14 +4.0 7
2021-08-27 Honved L 1-353.8 1500 1479 41.97% 28.01% 30.02%+0.18 -7.0 4
2021-08-27 @ Zalaegerszeg W 3-153.8 1479 1500 30.02% 28.01% 41.97%-0.18 +7.0 7
2021-08-28 Debrecen VSC W 4-253.1 1627 1471 59.84% 22.66% 17.51%+0.74 +2.9 6
2021-08-28 @ Ferencvaros L 2-453.1 1471 1627 17.51% 22.66% 59.84%-0.74 -2.9 5
2021-08-28 Mezokovesd W 2-046.2 1503 1499 39.55% 28.25% 32.20%+0.11 +6.7 12
2021-08-28 @ Kisvarda L 0-246.2 1499 1503 32.20% 28.25% 39.55%-0.11 -6.7 7
2021-08-28 MTK Budapest W 2-153.1 1587 1474 54.51% 24.86% 20.63%+0.57 +2.3 8
2021-08-28 @ Fehervar L 1-253.1 1474 1587 20.63% 24.86% 54.51%-0.57 -2.3 7
2021-08-29 Puskas L 0-141.9 1370 1525 20.95% 25.05% 54.00%-0.55 -2.4 3
2021-08-29 @ Gyirmot W 1-041.9 1525 1370 54.00% 25.05% 20.95%+0.55 +2.4 9
2021-08-29 Ujpest W 2-153.5 1525 1477 45.86% 27.37% 26.77%+0.30 +2.9 7
2021-08-29 @ Paks L 1-253.5 1477 1525 26.77% 27.37% 45.86%-0.30 -2.9 2
2021-09-10 Gyirmot W 5-035.3 1468 1367 52.89% 25.44% 21.67%+0.51 +11.1 8
2021-09-10 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-535.3 1367 1468 21.67% 25.44% 52.89%-0.51 -11.1 3
2021-09-11 Fehervar D 2-270.6 1493 1589 26.47% 27.29% 46.24%-0.31 +0.3 8
2021-09-11 @ Mezokovesd D 2-270.6 1589 1493 46.24% 27.29% 26.47%+0.31 -0.3 9
2021-09-11 Ferencvaros L 0-150.2 1486 1630 21.90% 25.56% 52.55%-0.50 -2.6 7
2021-09-11 @ Honved W 1-050.2 1630 1486 52.55% 25.56% 21.90%+0.50 +2.5 9
2021-09-11 MTK Budapest W 3-258.1 1528 1471 46.97% 27.13% 25.90%+0.33 +2.7 10
2021-09-11 @ Paks L 2-358.1 1471 1528 25.90% 27.13% 46.97%-0.33 -2.7 7
2021-09-12 Kisvarda L 0-154.1 1527 1509 41.64% 28.05% 30.31%+0.17 -4.3 9
2021-09-12 @ Puskas W 1-054.1 1509 1527 30.31% 28.05% 41.64%-0.17 +4.3 15
2021-09-13 Zalaegerszeg D 2-266.0 1474 1493 36.37% 28.39% 35.24%+0.02 -0.0 3
2021-09-13 @ Ujpest D 2-266.0 1493 1474 35.24% 28.39% 36.37%-0.02 +0.0 5
2021-09-22 Ferencvaros L 0-157.1 1589 1633 32.89% 28.30% 38.80%-0.09 -3.6 9
2021-09-22 @ Fehervar W 1-057.1 1633 1589 38.80% 28.30% 32.89%+0.09 +3.6 12
2021-09-24 Paks L 2-553.2 1493 1531 33.70% 28.35% 37.95%-0.06 -7.3 5
2021-09-24 @ Zalaegerszeg W 5-253.2 1531 1493 37.95% 28.35% 33.70%+0.06 +7.3 13
2021-09-25 Honved L 2-447.0 1356 1484 23.36% 26.23% 50.41%-0.44 -4.0 3
2021-09-25 @ Gyirmot W 4-247.0 1484 1356 50.41% 26.23% 23.36%+0.44 +4.0 10
2021-09-25 Mezokovesd W 1-049.8 1469 1493 35.61% 28.39% 35.99%-0.01 +3.8 10
2021-09-25 @ MTK Budapest L 0-149.8 1493 1469 35.99% 28.39% 35.61%+0.01 -3.8 8
2021-09-25 Puskas D 0-061.6 1586 1523 47.79% 26.94% 25.28%+0.35 -0.5 10
2021-09-25 @ Fehervar D 0-061.6 1523 1586 25.28% 26.94% 47.79%-0.35 +0.5 10
2021-09-26 Debrecen VSC W 2-153.7 1514 1479 43.91% 27.73% 28.36%+0.24 +3.0 18
2021-09-26 @ Kisvarda L 1-253.7 1479 1514 28.36% 27.73% 43.91%-0.24 -3.0 8
2021-09-26 Ujpest W 3-149.3 1637 1474 60.61% 22.30% 17.09%+0.77 +3.2 15
2021-09-26 @ Ferencvaros L 1-349.3 1474 1637 17.09% 22.30% 60.61%-0.77 -3.2 3
2021-10-01 Kisvarda W 2-156.9 1488 1517 34.95% 28.39% 36.66%-0.02 +3.7 13
2021-10-01 @ Honved L 1-256.9 1517 1488 36.66% 28.39% 34.95%+0.02 -3.7 18
2021-10-02 Fehervar D 1-164.4 1476 1585 25.22% 26.92% 47.87%-0.36 +0.5 9
2021-10-02 @ Debrecen VSC D 1-164.4 1585 1476 47.87% 26.92% 25.22%+0.36 -0.5 11
2021-10-02 Gyirmot L 1-351.7 1471 1352 55.13% 24.63% 20.24%+0.59 -8.7 3
2021-10-02 @ Ujpest W 3-151.7 1352 1471 20.24% 24.63% 55.13%-0.59 +8.7 6
2021-10-02 Mezokovesd W 2-045.2 1524 1489 43.95% 27.72% 28.33%+0.24 +6.0 13
2021-10-02 @ Puskas L 0-245.2 1489 1524 28.33% 27.72% 43.95%-0.24 -6.0 8
2021-10-03 Ferencvaros L 1-355.3 1538 1640 25.93% 27.14% 46.93%-0.33 -4.9 13
2021-10-03 @ Paks W 3-155.3 1640 1538 46.93% 27.14% 25.93%+0.33 +4.8 18
2021-10-03 MTK Budapest W 2-044.1 1485 1473 40.90% 28.13% 30.97%+0.15 +6.5 8
2021-10-03 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-244.1 1473 1485 30.97% 28.13% 40.90%-0.15 -6.5 10
2021-10-15 Puskas L 0-149.2 1466 1530 30.34% 28.05% 41.61%-0.17 -3.4 10
2021-10-15 @ MTK Budapest W 1-049.2 1530 1466 41.61% 28.05% 30.34%+0.17 +3.4 16
2021-10-16 Honved W 2-154.4 1585 1491 51.87% 25.78% 22.35%+0.48 +2.5 14
2021-10-16 @ Fehervar L 1-254.4 1491 1585 22.35% 25.78% 51.87%-0.48 -2.5 13
2021-10-16 Paks W 2-157.5 1361 1533 19.62% 24.23% 56.16%-0.62 +5.1 9
2021-10-16 @ Gyirmot L 1-257.5 1533 1361 56.16% 24.23% 19.62%+0.62 -5.1 13
2021-10-16 Zalaegerszeg L 1-266.6 1645 1492 59.40% 22.85% 17.75%+0.73 -5.3 18
2021-10-16 @ Ferencvaros W 2-166.6 1492 1645 17.75% 22.85% 59.40%-0.73 +5.3 11
2021-10-17 Debrecen VSC W 1-048.4 1483 1477 39.98% 28.22% 31.80%+0.12 +3.5 11
2021-10-17 @ Mezokovesd L 0-148.4 1477 1483 31.80% 28.22% 39.98%-0.12 -3.5 9
2021-10-17 Ujpest D 0-056.7 1513 1462 46.22% 27.29% 26.48%+0.31 -0.5 19
2021-10-17 @ Kisvarda D 0-056.7 1462 1513 26.48% 27.29% 46.22%-0.31 +0.5 4
2021-10-22 Fehervar W 1-056.6 1462 1587 23.66% 26.35% 49.99%-0.42 +4.9 7
2021-10-22 @ Ujpest L 0-156.6 1587 1462 49.99% 26.35% 23.66%+0.42 -4.9 14
2021-10-22 Gyirmot W 2-145.4 1497 1366 56.76% 23.99% 19.26%+0.64 +2.1 14
2021-10-22 @ Zalaegerszeg L 1-245.4 1366 1497 19.26% 23.99% 56.76%-0.64 -2.1 9
2021-10-22 Kisvarda D 2-268.8 1528 1512 41.28% 28.09% 30.63%+0.16 -0.2 14
2021-10-22 @ Paks D 2-268.8 1512 1528 30.63% 28.09% 41.28%-0.16 +0.2 20
2021-10-24 Mezokovesd L 2-361.6 1489 1487 39.42% 28.26% 32.31%+0.10 -3.7 13
2021-10-24 @ Honved W 3-261.6 1487 1489 32.31% 28.26% 39.42%-0.10 +3.7 14
2021-10-24 MTK Budapest D 0-063.0 1639 1463 62.26% 21.52% 16.22%+0.83 -1.1 19
2021-10-24 @ Ferencvaros D 0-063.0 1463 1639 16.22% 21.52% 62.26%-0.83 +1.1 11
2021-10-24 Puskas L 0-343.8 1473 1533 30.80% 28.11% 41.08%-0.15 -9.4 9
2021-10-24 @ Debrecen VSC W 3-043.8 1533 1473 41.08% 28.11% 30.80%+0.15 +9.4 19
2021-10-29 Paks W 2-157.1 1582 1528 46.67% 27.20% 26.13%+0.32 +2.8 17
2021-10-29 @ Fehervar L 1-257.1 1528 1582 26.13% 27.20% 46.67%-0.32 -2.8 14
2021-10-30 Debrecen VSC D 1-159.0 1464 1464 39.08% 28.29% 32.63%+0.09 -0.1 12
2021-10-30 @ MTK Budapest D 1-159.0 1464 1464 32.63% 28.29% 39.08%-0.09 +0.1 10
2021-10-30 Ferencvaros L 0-237.6 1364 1638 13.34% 18.47% 68.19%-1.04 -2.8 9
2021-10-30 @ Gyirmot W 2-037.6 1638 1364 68.19% 18.47% 13.34%+1.04 +2.8 22
2021-10-30 Ujpest D 2-265.8 1490 1467 42.33% 27.96% 29.71%+0.19 -0.2 15
2021-10-30 @ Mezokovesd D 2-265.8 1467 1490 29.71% 27.96% 42.33%-0.19 +0.2 8
2021-10-31 Honved W 3-150.5 1542 1485 47.05% 27.11% 25.84%+0.33 +4.8 22
2021-10-31 @ Puskas L 1-350.5 1485 1542 25.84% 27.11% 47.05%-0.33 -4.8 13
2021-10-31 Zalaegerszeg W 5-044.8 1513 1499 40.97% 28.12% 30.90%+0.15 +15.1 23
2021-10-31 @ Kisvarda L 0-544.8 1499 1513 30.90% 28.12% 40.97%-0.15 -15.1 14
2021-11-05 Gyirmot L 0-343.6 1464 1361 53.12% 25.36% 21.52%+0.52 -14.1 12
2021-11-05 @ MTK Budapest W 3-043.6 1361 1464 21.52% 25.36% 53.12%-0.52 +14.1 12
2021-11-06 Honved W 5-356.3 1464 1481 36.72% 28.39% 34.90%+0.03 +5.2 13
2021-11-06 @ Debrecen VSC L 3-556.3 1481 1464 34.90% 28.39% 36.72%-0.03 -5.2 13
2021-11-06 Paks W 2-157.5 1490 1525 34.10% 28.36% 37.54%-0.05 +3.7 18
2021-11-06 @ Mezokovesd L 1-257.5 1525 1490 37.54% 28.36% 34.10%+0.05 -3.7 14
2021-11-06 Ujpest W 2-152.7 1547 1468 50.10% 26.32% 23.58%+0.43 +2.6 25
2021-11-06 @ Puskas L 1-252.7 1468 1547 23.58% 26.32% 50.10%-0.43 -2.6 8
2021-11-07 Ferencvaros L 0-446.8 1528 1641 24.77% 26.77% 48.46%-0.37 -10.2 23
2021-11-07 @ Kisvarda W 4-046.8 1641 1528 48.46% 26.77% 24.77%+0.37 +10.2 25
2021-11-07 Zalaegerszeg W 3-042.5 1585 1484 52.86% 25.45% 21.69%+0.51 +6.9 20
2021-11-07 @ Fehervar L 0-342.5 1484 1585 21.69% 25.45% 52.86%-0.51 -6.9 14
2021-11-19 Mezokovesd D 1-160.6 1477 1494 36.71% 28.39% 34.90%+0.03 -0.0 15
2021-11-19 @ Zalaegerszeg D 1-160.6 1494 1477 34.90% 28.39% 36.71%-0.03 +0.0 19
2021-11-20 Debrecen VSC W 3-149.6 1465 1469 38.47% 28.32% 33.21%+0.08 +5.9 11
2021-11-20 @ Ujpest L 1-349.6 1469 1465 33.21% 28.32% 38.47%-0.08 -5.9 13
2021-11-20 Kisvarda D 1-158.7 1375 1518 22.04% 25.63% 52.34%-0.50 +0.6 13
2021-11-20 @ Gyirmot D 1-158.7 1518 1375 52.34% 25.63% 22.04%+0.50 -0.6 24
2021-11-20 Puskas W 4-153.0 1521 1550 34.98% 28.39% 36.63%-0.02 +9.0 17
2021-11-20 @ Paks L 1-453.0 1550 1521 36.63% 28.39% 34.98%+0.02 -9.0 25
2021-11-21 Fehervar W 3-048.9 1651 1592 47.36% 27.04% 25.60%+0.34 +8.1 28
2021-11-21 @ Ferencvaros L 0-348.9 1592 1651 25.60% 27.04% 47.36%-0.34 -8.0 20
2021-11-21 MTK Budapest W 3-040.3 1475 1450 42.71% 27.91% 29.38%+0.20 +9.0 16
2021-11-21 @ Honved L 0-340.3 1450 1475 29.38% 27.91% 42.71%-0.20 -9.0 12
2021-11-27 Gyirmot W 3-251.0 1584 1376 65.89% 19.69% 14.42%+0.96 +1.4 23
2021-11-27 @ Fehervar L 2-351.0 1376 1584 14.42% 19.69% 65.89%-0.96 -1.4 13
2021-11-27 MTK Budapest W 5-040.1 1517 1441 49.64% 26.45% 23.91%+0.41 +12.2 27
2021-11-27 @ Kisvarda L 0-540.1 1441 1517 23.91% 26.45% 49.64%-0.41 -12.2 12
2021-11-27 Ujpest L 1-256.3 1484 1471 40.99% 28.12% 30.88%+0.15 -4.0 16
2021-11-27 @ Honved W 2-156.3 1471 1484 30.88% 28.12% 40.99%-0.15 +4.0 14
2021-11-28 Ferencvaros L 0-344.4 1494 1659 20.14% 24.57% 55.29%-0.59 -6.4 19
2021-11-28 @ Mezokovesd W 3-044.4 1659 1494 55.29% 24.57% 20.14%+0.59 +6.4 31
2021-11-28 Paks D 1-161.5 1463 1530 29.91% 28.00% 42.09%-0.18 +0.2 14
2021-11-28 @ Debrecen VSC D 1-161.5 1530 1463 42.09% 28.00% 29.91%+0.18 -0.2 18
2021-11-28 Zalaegerszeg D 1-162.8 1541 1477 47.94% 26.90% 25.16%+0.36 -0.5 26
2021-11-28 @ Puskas D 1-162.8 1477 1541 25.16% 26.90% 47.94%-0.36 +0.5 16
2021-12-03 Honved L 2-364.6 1530 1480 46.03% 27.33% 26.63%+0.30 -4.1 18
2021-12-03 @ Paks W 3-264.6 1480 1530 26.63% 27.33% 46.03%-0.30 +4.1 19
2021-12-04 Debrecen VSC W 2-152.7 1478 1464 41.09% 28.11% 30.80%+0.15 +3.2 19
2021-12-04 @ Zalaegerszeg L 1-252.7 1464 1478 30.80% 28.11% 41.09%-0.15 -3.2 14
2021-12-04 Mezokovesd L 0-142.6 1374 1487 24.78% 26.77% 48.45%-0.37 -2.9 13
2021-12-04 @ Gyirmot W 1-042.6 1487 1374 48.45% 26.77% 24.78%+0.37 +2.8 22
2021-12-04 Puskas D 1-169.4 1666 1540 55.99% 24.29% 19.71%+0.61 -0.8 32
2021-12-04 @ Ferencvaros D 1-169.4 1540 1666 19.71% 24.29% 55.99%-0.61 +0.8 27
2021-12-05 Fehervar W 2-161.8 1529 1585 31.27% 28.17% 40.56%-0.14 +4.0 30
2021-12-05 @ Kisvarda L 1-261.8 1585 1529 40.56% 28.17% 31.27%+0.14 -4.0 23
2021-12-05 Ujpest W 2-153.9 1428 1475 32.54% 28.28% 39.18%-0.10 +3.9 15
2021-12-05 @ MTK Budapest L 1-253.9 1475 1428 39.18% 28.28% 32.54%+0.10 -3.9 14
2021-12-11 Fehervar L 0-242.5 1432 1581 21.47% 25.34% 53.19%-0.52 -4.7 15
2021-12-11 @ MTK Budapest W 2-042.5 1581 1432 53.19% 25.34% 21.47%+0.52 +4.7 26
2021-12-11 Gyirmot W 3-034.3 1541 1372 61.44% 21.91% 16.65%+0.80 +5.2 30
2021-12-11 @ Puskas L 0-334.3 1372 1541 16.65% 21.91% 61.44%-0.80 -5.2 13
2021-12-11 Zalaegerszeg D 2-266.0 1485 1481 39.58% 28.25% 32.17%+0.11 -0.1 20
2021-12-11 @ Honved D 2-266.0 1481 1485 32.17% 28.25% 39.58%-0.11 +0.1 20
2021-12-12 Ferencvaros W 2-057.1 1460 1665 17.34% 22.52% 60.14%-0.75 +10.7 17
2021-12-12 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-257.1 1665 1460 60.14% 22.52% 17.34%+0.75 -10.7 32
2021-12-12 Kisvarda L 0-247.2 1490 1533 33.03% 28.31% 38.66%-0.08 -6.8 22
2021-12-12 @ Mezokovesd W 2-047.2 1533 1490 38.66% 28.31% 33.03%+0.08 +6.8 33
2021-12-12 Paks W 4-365.5 1471 1526 31.43% 28.18% 40.38%-0.13 +3.7 17
2021-12-12 @ Ujpest L 3-465.5 1526 1471 40.38% 28.18% 31.43%+0.13 -3.6 18
2021-12-18 Honved W 1-048.2 1654 1484 61.45% 21.91% 16.64%+0.80 +1.9 35
2021-12-18 @ Ferencvaros L 0-148.2 1484 1654 16.64% 21.91% 61.45%-0.80 -1.9 20
2021-12-18 Mezokovesd W 1-048.5 1586 1483 53.09% 25.37% 21.54%+0.52 +2.5 29
2021-12-18 @ Fehervar L 0-148.5 1483 1586 21.54% 25.37% 53.09%-0.52 -2.5 22
2021-12-18 Paks L 1-445.3 1428 1522 26.71% 27.35% 45.94%-0.30 -7.0 15
2021-12-18 @ MTK Budapest W 4-145.3 1522 1428 45.94% 27.35% 26.71%+0.30 +7.0 21
2021-12-19 Debrecen VSC D 0-052.3 1366 1471 25.64% 27.05% 47.31%-0.34 +0.5 14
2021-12-19 @ Gyirmot D 0-052.3 1471 1366 47.31% 27.05% 25.64%+0.34 -0.5 18
2021-12-19 Puskas D 1-164.8 1540 1546 38.15% 28.34% 33.52%+0.07 -0.1 34
2021-12-19 @ Kisvarda D 1-164.8 1546 1540 33.52% 28.34% 38.15%-0.07 +0.1 31
2021-12-19 Ujpest W 2-044.3 1481 1475 39.99% 28.22% 31.79%+0.12 +6.6 23
2021-12-19 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-244.3 1475 1481 31.79% 28.22% 39.99%-0.12 -6.6 17
2022-01-27 Ferencvaros W 1-060.7 1546 1656 25.14% 26.89% 47.97%-0.36 +4.8 34
2022-01-27 @ Puskas L 0-160.7 1656 1546 47.97% 26.89% 25.14%+0.36 -4.8 35
2022-01-29 Gyirmot L 0-150.6 1482 1367 54.78% 24.76% 20.46%+0.57 -5.3 20
2022-01-29 @ Honved W 1-050.6 1367 1482 20.46% 24.76% 54.78%-0.57 +5.3 17
2022-01-29 Kisvarda D 0-057.8 1470 1540 29.63% 27.95% 42.42%-0.19 +0.3 19
2022-01-29 @ Debrecen VSC D 0-057.8 1540 1470 42.42% 27.95% 29.63%+0.19 -0.3 35
2022-01-29 Zalaegerszeg W 3-259.4 1529 1488 44.93% 27.55% 27.52%+0.27 +2.8 24
2022-01-29 @ Paks L 2-359.4 1488 1529 27.52% 27.55% 44.93%-0.27 -2.8 23
2022-01-30 Fehervar W 1-056.5 1551 1588 33.78% 28.35% 37.87%-0.06 +4.0 37
2022-01-30 @ Puskas L 0-156.5 1588 1551 37.87% 28.35% 33.78%+0.06 -4.0 29
2022-01-30 Ferencvaros L 0-148.8 1468 1651 18.80% 23.67% 57.53%-0.67 -2.2 17
2022-01-30 @ Ujpest W 1-048.8 1651 1468 57.53% 23.67% 18.80%+0.67 +2.2 38
2022-01-30 MTK Budapest D 1-158.5 1481 1421 47.51% 27.00% 25.49%+0.35 -0.5 23
2022-01-30 @ Mezokovesd D 1-158.5 1421 1481 25.49% 27.00% 47.51%-0.35 +0.5 16
2022-02-04 Zalaegerszeg L 0-242.1 1421 1485 30.29% 28.05% 41.66%-0.17 -6.4 16
2022-02-04 @ MTK Budapest W 2-042.1 1485 1421 41.66% 28.05% 30.29%+0.17 +6.4 26
2022-02-05 Debrecen VSC L 1-263.0 1584 1471 54.53% 24.85% 20.62%+0.57 -5.0 29
2022-02-05 @ Fehervar W 2-163.0 1471 1584 20.62% 24.85% 54.53%-0.57 +5.0 22
2022-02-05 Honved W 3-258.5 1539 1477 47.76% 26.94% 25.30%+0.35 +2.6 38
2022-02-05 @ Kisvarda L 2-358.5 1477 1539 25.30% 26.94% 47.76%-0.35 -2.6 20
2022-02-05 Ujpest W 1-048.4 1372 1466 26.80% 27.38% 45.82%-0.29 +4.6 20
2022-02-05 @ Gyirmot L 0-148.4 1466 1372 45.82% 27.38% 26.80%+0.29 -4.6 17
2022-02-06 Paks L 0-355.9 1653 1532 55.51% 24.48% 20.01%+0.60 -14.6 38
2022-02-06 @ Ferencvaros W 3-055.9 1532 1653 20.01% 24.48% 55.51%-0.60 +14.6 27
2022-02-06 Puskas L 1-255.6 1481 1555 28.98% 27.84% 43.18%-0.22 -3.1 23
2022-02-06 @ Mezokovesd W 2-155.6 1555 1481 43.18% 27.84% 28.98%+0.22 +3.1 40
2022-02-11 Kisvarda D 0-057.6 1461 1542 28.26% 27.71% 44.03%-0.24 +0.4 18
2022-02-11 @ Ujpest D 0-057.6 1542 1461 44.03% 27.71% 28.26%+0.24 -0.4 39
2022-02-12 Gyirmot L 2-364.5 1547 1377 61.47% 21.90% 16.63%+0.80 -5.2 27
2022-02-12 @ Paks W 3-264.5 1377 1547 16.63% 21.90% 61.47%-0.80 +5.2 23
2022-02-12 Mezokovesd L 1-449.3 1476 1477 38.84% 28.30% 32.86%+0.09 -9.4 22
2022-02-12 @ Debrecen VSC W 4-149.3 1477 1476 32.86% 28.30% 38.84%-0.09 +9.4 26
2022-02-12 MTK Budapest L 1-260.7 1558 1415 58.29% 23.34% 18.37%+0.69 -5.2 40
2022-02-12 @ Puskas W 2-160.7 1415 1558 18.37% 23.34% 58.29%-0.69 +5.2 19
2022-02-13 Fehervar W 3-157.9 1475 1580 25.61% 27.04% 47.35%-0.34 +7.7 23
2022-02-13 @ Honved L 1-357.9 1580 1475 47.35% 27.04% 25.61%+0.34 -7.7 29
2022-02-13 Ferencvaros L 1-352.2 1491 1639 21.59% 25.40% 53.01%-0.52 -4.1 26
2022-02-13 @ Zalaegerszeg W 3-152.2 1639 1491 53.01% 25.40% 21.59%+0.52 +4.1 41
2022-02-18 Honved D 0-056.2 1487 1482 39.72% 28.24% 32.04%+0.11 -0.2 27
2022-02-18 @ Mezokovesd D 0-056.2 1482 1487 32.04% 28.24% 39.72%-0.11 +0.2 24
2022-02-19 Ferencvaros D 0-061.7 1420 1643 16.17% 21.47% 62.36%-0.83 +1.1 20
2022-02-19 @ MTK Budapest D 0-061.7 1643 1420 62.36% 21.47% 16.17%+0.83 -1.2 42
2022-02-19 Paks D 3-374.3 1542 1542 39.11% 28.28% 32.61%+0.10 -0.1 40
2022-02-19 @ Kisvarda D 3-374.3 1542 1542 32.61% 28.28% 39.11%-0.10 +0.1 28
2022-02-19 Zalaegerszeg L 0-143.1 1382 1487 25.57% 27.03% 47.40%-0.34 -2.9 23
2022-02-19 @ Gyirmot W 1-043.1 1487 1382 47.40% 27.03% 25.57%+0.34 +2.9 29
2022-02-20 Debrecen VSC L 0-251.8 1553 1466 51.03% 26.04% 22.93%+0.45 -9.4 40
2022-02-20 @ Puskas W 2-051.8 1466 1553 22.93% 26.04% 51.03%-0.45 +9.4 25
2022-02-20 Ujpest L 1-262.2 1572 1462 54.08% 25.02% 20.90%+0.55 -4.9 29
2022-02-20 @ Fehervar W 2-162.2 1462 1572 20.90% 25.02% 54.08%-0.55 +4.9 21
2022-02-25 Fehervar W 3-265.5 1542 1567 35.45% 28.39% 36.16%-0.01 +3.5 31
2022-02-25 @ Paks L 2-365.5 1567 1542 36.16% 28.39% 35.45%+0.01 -3.5 29
2022-02-26 Gyirmot D 1-166.0 1642 1379 71.81% 16.47% 11.72%+1.19 -1.3 43
2022-02-26 @ Ferencvaros D 1-166.0 1379 1642 11.72% 16.47% 71.81%-1.19 +1.3 24
2022-02-26 Kisvarda D 0-058.5 1490 1542 31.86% 28.22% 39.91%-0.12 +0.2 30
2022-02-26 @ Zalaegerszeg D 0-058.5 1542 1490 39.91% 28.22% 31.86%+0.12 -0.2 41
2022-02-26 Puskas D 0-058.4 1482 1544 30.63% 28.09% 41.28%-0.16 +0.2 25
2022-02-26 @ Honved D 0-058.4 1544 1482 41.28% 28.09% 30.63%+0.16 -0.2 41
2022-02-27 Mezokovesd W 3-150.9 1467 1487 36.20% 28.39% 35.41%+0.01 +6.2 24
2022-02-27 @ Ujpest L 1-350.9 1487 1467 35.41% 28.39% 36.20%-0.01 -6.2 27
2022-02-27 MTK Budapest W 1-044.2 1476 1421 46.74% 27.18% 26.08%+0.32 +3.0 28
2022-02-27 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-144.2 1421 1476 26.08% 27.18% 46.74%-0.32 -3.0 20
2022-03-04 MTK Budapest D 1-155.3 1380 1418 33.71% 28.35% 37.94%-0.06 +0.1 25
2022-03-04 @ Gyirmot D 1-155.3 1418 1380 37.94% 28.35% 33.71%+0.06 -0.1 21
2022-03-05 Debrecen VSC W 4-254.2 1483 1479 39.64% 28.25% 32.11%+0.11 +5.2 28
2022-03-05 @ Honved L 2-454.2 1479 1483 32.11% 28.25% 39.64%-0.11 -5.2 28
2022-03-05 Mezokovesd W 4-042.3 1545 1480 48.07% 26.87% 25.06%+0.36 +10.3 34
2022-03-05 @ Paks L 0-442.3 1480 1545 25.06% 26.87% 48.07%-0.36 -10.3 27
2022-03-05 Puskas W 2-158.9 1473 1543 29.46% 27.93% 42.61%-0.20 +4.1 27
2022-03-05 @ Ujpest L 1-258.9 1543 1473 42.61% 27.93% 29.46%+0.20 -4.1 41
2022-03-06 Fehervar W 2-051.2 1490 1563 29.16% 27.88% 42.97%-0.21 +8.3 33
2022-03-06 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-251.2 1563 1490 42.97% 27.88% 29.16%+0.21 -8.2 29
2022-03-06 Kisvarda W 2-157.3 1640 1541 52.64% 25.53% 21.84%+0.51 +2.4 46
2022-03-06 @ Ferencvaros L 1-257.3 1541 1640 21.84% 25.53% 52.64%-0.51 -2.4 41
2022-03-11 Paks W 2-050.3 1539 1555 36.78% 28.38% 34.83%+0.03 +7.1 44
2022-03-11 @ Puskas L 0-250.3 1555 1539 34.83% 28.38% 36.78%-0.03 -7.1 34
2022-03-12 Honved W 1-049.6 1418 1488 29.55% 27.94% 42.51%-0.20 +4.3 24
2022-03-12 @ MTK Budapest L 0-149.6 1488 1418 42.51% 27.94% 29.55%+0.20 -4.3 28
2022-03-12 Ujpest L 1-255.4 1474 1477 38.61% 28.32% 33.07%+0.08 -3.8 28
2022-03-12 @ Debrecen VSC W 2-155.4 1477 1474 33.07% 28.32% 38.61%-0.08 +3.8 30
2022-03-12 Zalaegerszeg D 0-056.1 1470 1499 35.01% 28.39% 36.60%-0.02 +0.0 28
2022-03-12 @ Mezokovesd D 0-056.1 1499 1470 36.60% 28.39% 35.01%+0.02 -0.0 34
2022-03-13 Ferencvaros L 0-250.8 1555 1643 27.48% 27.54% 44.98%-0.27 -5.9 29
2022-03-13 @ Fehervar W 2-050.8 1643 1555 44.98% 27.54% 27.48%+0.27 +5.9 49
2022-03-13 Gyirmot W 1-040.9 1539 1380 60.13% 22.52% 17.35%+0.75 +2.0 44
2022-03-13 @ Kisvarda L 0-140.9 1380 1539 17.35% 22.52% 60.13%-0.75 -2.0 25
2022-03-18 Mezokovesd W 1-047.3 1649 1470 62.50% 21.40% 16.10%+0.84 +1.8 52
2022-03-18 @ Ferencvaros L 0-147.3 1470 1649 16.10% 21.40% 62.50%-0.84 -1.8 28
2022-03-19 Fehervar L 0-238.5 1378 1549 19.71% 24.29% 56.00%-0.61 -4.3 25
2022-03-19 @ Gyirmot W 2-038.5 1549 1378 56.00% 24.29% 19.71%+0.61 +4.3 32
2022-03-19 Kisvarda D 0-056.5 1422 1541 24.22% 26.57% 49.21%-0.40 +0.6 25
2022-03-19 @ MTK Budapest D 0-056.5 1541 1422 49.21% 26.57% 24.22%+0.40 -0.6 45
2022-03-19 Puskas D 0-059.0 1498 1546 32.34% 28.26% 39.39%-0.10 +0.2 35
2022-03-19 @ Zalaegerszeg D 0-059.0 1546 1498 39.39% 28.26% 32.34%+0.10 -0.2 45
2022-03-20 Debrecen VSC L 0-155.4 1548 1470 49.93% 26.37% 23.70%+0.42 -4.9 34
2022-03-20 @ Paks W 1-055.4 1470 1548 23.70% 26.37% 49.93%-0.42 +4.9 31
2022-03-20 Honved L 0-246.7 1481 1484 38.67% 28.31% 33.02%+0.08 -7.6 30
2022-03-20 @ Ujpest W 2-046.7 1484 1481 33.02% 28.31% 38.67%-0.08 +7.6 31
2022-04-01 Gyirmot W 1-041.0 1468 1374 52.02% 25.73% 22.25%+0.49 +2.6 31
2022-04-01 @ Mezokovesd L 0-141.0 1374 1468 22.25% 25.73% 52.02%-0.49 -2.6 25
2022-04-02 Kisvarda W 5-360.4 1554 1540 40.95% 28.13% 30.92%+0.15 +4.7 35
2022-04-02 @ Fehervar L 3-560.4 1540 1554 30.92% 28.13% 40.95%-0.15 -4.7 45
2022-04-02 Paks D 1-163.0 1491 1543 31.78% 28.22% 40.00%-0.12 +0.2 32
2022-04-02 @ Honved D 1-163.0 1543 1491 40.00% 28.22% 31.78%+0.12 -0.2 35
2022-04-02 Zalaegerszeg D 0-056.3 1475 1499 35.65% 28.39% 35.96%+0.00 +0.0 32
2022-04-02 @ Debrecen VSC D 0-056.3 1499 1475 35.96% 28.39% 35.65%+0.00 +0.0 36
2022-04-03 Ferencvaros D 2-273.9 1546 1651 25.67% 27.06% 47.26%-0.34 +0.3 46
2022-04-03 @ Puskas D 2-273.9 1651 1546 47.26% 27.06% 25.67%+0.34 -0.3 53
2022-04-03 MTK Budapest W 2-040.4 1473 1423 46.11% 27.32% 26.57%+0.30 +5.7 33
2022-04-03 @ Ujpest L 0-240.4 1423 1473 26.57% 27.32% 46.11%-0.30 -5.7 25
2022-04-08 Honved W 3-151.1 1499 1491 40.12% 28.21% 31.68%+0.13 +5.7 39
2022-04-08 @ Zalaegerszeg L 1-351.1 1491 1499 31.68% 28.21% 40.12%-0.13 -5.7 32
2022-04-09 Debrecen VSC W 3-041.6 1650 1475 62.13% 21.58% 16.29%+0.82 +5.1 56
2022-04-09 @ Ferencvaros L 0-341.6 1475 1650 16.29% 21.58% 62.13%-0.82 -5.1 32
2022-04-09 Mezokovesd L 1-259.9 1536 1471 48.10% 26.86% 25.04%+0.36 -4.5 45
2022-04-09 @ Kisvarda W 2-159.9 1471 1536 25.04% 26.86% 48.10%-0.36 +4.5 34
2022-04-09 Puskas D 1-160.0 1371 1547 19.40% 24.08% 56.52%-0.63 +0.8 26
2022-04-09 @ Gyirmot D 1-160.0 1547 1371 56.52% 24.08% 19.40%+0.63 -0.8 47
2022-04-10 Fehervar D 1-161.6 1417 1558 22.14% 25.68% 52.18%-0.49 +0.6 26
2022-04-10 @ MTK Budapest D 1-161.6 1558 1417 52.18% 25.68% 22.14%+0.49 -0.6 36
2022-04-10 Ujpest L 1-356.8 1543 1479 48.05% 26.87% 25.08%+0.36 -7.8 35
2022-04-10 @ Paks W 3-156.8 1479 1543 25.08% 26.87% 48.05%-0.36 +7.8 36
2022-04-15 Gyirmot W 3-142.5 1470 1372 52.42% 25.60% 21.98%+0.50 +4.2 35
2022-04-15 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-342.5 1372 1470 21.98% 25.60% 52.42%-0.50 -4.2 26
2022-04-16 Ferencvaros L 1-255.3 1486 1655 19.81% 24.36% 55.83%-0.61 -2.2 32
2022-04-16 @ Honved W 2-155.3 1655 1486 55.83% 24.36% 19.81%+0.61 +2.2 59
2022-04-16 MTK Budapest W 4-037.5 1535 1418 55.03% 24.67% 20.31%+0.58 +8.4 38
2022-04-16 @ Paks L 0-437.5 1418 1535 20.31% 24.67% 55.03%-0.58 -8.4 26
2022-04-16 Zalaegerszeg W 4-044.4 1487 1504 36.53% 28.39% 35.08%+0.02 +13.5 39
2022-04-16 @ Ujpest L 0-444.4 1504 1487 35.08% 28.39% 36.53%-0.02 -13.5 39
2022-04-17 Fehervar L 1-255.1 1475 1558 28.09% 27.67% 44.24%-0.25 -3.0 34
2022-04-17 @ Mezokovesd W 2-155.1 1558 1475 44.24% 27.67% 28.09%+0.25 +3.0 39
2022-04-17 Kisvarda D 0-060.2 1546 1531 41.14% 28.11% 30.75%+0.16 -0.2 48
2022-04-17 @ Puskas D 0-060.2 1531 1546 30.75% 28.11% 41.14%-0.16 +0.2 46
2022-04-22 Mezokovesd L 0-439.1 1409 1472 30.40% 28.06% 41.54%-0.17 -12.1 26
2022-04-22 @ MTK Budapest W 4-039.1 1472 1409 41.54% 28.06% 30.40%+0.17 +12.1 37
2022-04-23 Debrecen VSC W 1-047.9 1531 1474 47.13% 27.09% 25.78%+0.33 +3.0 49
2022-04-23 @ Kisvarda L 0-147.9 1474 1531 25.78% 27.09% 47.13%-0.33 -3.0 35
2022-04-23 Paks L 2-361.5 1491 1544 31.68% 28.21% 40.12%-0.13 -3.1 39
2022-04-23 @ Zalaegerszeg W 3-261.5 1544 1491 40.12% 28.21% 31.68%+0.13 +3.1 41
2022-04-23 Puskas D 2-271.1 1561 1546 41.24% 28.10% 30.67%+0.16 -0.2 40
2022-04-23 @ Fehervar D 2-271.1 1546 1561 30.67% 28.10% 41.24%-0.16 +0.2 49
2022-04-24 Honved D 1-157.1 1368 1483 24.55% 26.69% 48.76%-0.38 +0.5 27
2022-04-24 @ Gyirmot D 1-157.1 1483 1368 48.76% 26.69% 24.55%+0.38 -0.5 33
2022-04-24 Ujpest W 2-154.5 1657 1500 59.97% 22.60% 17.43%+0.75 +1.9 62
2022-04-24 @ Ferencvaros L 1-254.5 1500 1657 17.43% 22.60% 59.97%-0.75 -1.9 39
2022-04-29 Ferencvaros L 1-259.2 1547 1659 24.85% 26.80% 48.35%-0.37 -2.7 41
2022-04-29 @ Paks W 2-159.2 1659 1547 48.35% 26.80% 24.85%+0.37 +2.7 65
2022-04-30 Fehervar L 0-343.4 1471 1561 27.25% 27.49% 45.26%-0.28 -8.5 35
2022-04-30 @ Debrecen VSC W 3-043.4 1561 1471 45.26% 27.49% 27.25%+0.28 +8.5 43
2022-04-30 Kisvarda D 1-162.4 1483 1534 31.88% 28.23% 39.90%-0.12 +0.2 34
2022-04-30 @ Honved D 1-162.4 1534 1483 39.90% 28.23% 31.88%+0.12 -0.2 50
2022-04-30 Mezokovesd W 3-150.4 1546 1485 47.61% 26.98% 25.41%+0.35 +4.8 52
2022-04-30 @ Puskas L 1-350.4 1485 1546 25.41% 26.98% 47.61%-0.35 -4.8 37
2022-05-01 Gyirmot D 2-263.9 1498 1369 56.54% 24.08% 19.39%+0.63 -0.6 40
2022-05-01 @ Ujpest D 2-263.9 1369 1498 19.39% 24.08% 56.54%-0.63 +0.6 28
2022-05-01 MTK Budapest L 2-361.4 1488 1397 51.52% 25.89% 22.59%+0.47 -4.5 39
2022-05-01 @ Zalaegerszeg W 3-261.4 1397 1488 22.59% 25.89% 51.52%-0.47 +4.5 29
2022-05-03 Debrecen VSC L 0-150.6 1480 1462 41.55% 28.06% 30.39%+0.17 -4.3 37
2022-05-03 @ Mezokovesd W 1-050.6 1462 1480 30.39% 28.06% 41.55%-0.17 +4.3 38
2022-05-03 Honved W 2-044.6 1569 1483 50.92% 26.08% 23.00%+0.45 +5.0 46
2022-05-03 @ Fehervar L 0-244.6 1483 1569 23.00% 26.08% 50.92%-0.45 -5.0 34
2022-05-04 Paks D 3-369.4 1369 1544 19.40% 24.09% 56.51%-0.63 +0.5 29
2022-05-04 @ Gyirmot D 3-369.4 1544 1369 56.51% 24.09% 19.40%+0.63 -0.5 42
2022-05-04 Puskas D 0-056.4 1402 1550 21.50% 25.35% 53.16%-0.52 +0.8 30
2022-05-04 @ MTK Budapest D 0-056.4 1550 1402 53.16% 25.35% 21.50%+0.52 -0.8 53
2022-05-04 Zalaegerszeg W 5-355.5 1662 1483 62.53% 21.39% 16.08%+0.84 +2.5 68
2022-05-04 @ Ferencvaros L 3-555.5 1483 1662 16.08% 21.39% 62.53%-0.84 -2.5 39
2022-05-05 Ujpest W 2-155.1 1534 1498 44.25% 27.67% 28.08%+0.25 +3.0 53
2022-05-05 @ Kisvarda L 1-255.1 1498 1534 28.08% 27.67% 44.25%-0.25 -3.0 40
2022-05-07 Mezokovesd D 0-055.6 1478 1476 39.45% 28.26% 32.29%+0.11 -0.2 35
2022-05-07 @ Honved D 0-055.6 1476 1478 32.29% 28.26% 39.45%-0.11 +0.2 38
2022-05-07 MTK Budapest L 0-354.8 1665 1403 71.73% 16.51% 11.76%+1.18 -17.6 68
2022-05-07 @ Ferencvaros W 3-054.8 1403 1665 11.76% 16.51% 71.73%-1.18 +17.6 33
2022-05-07 Puskas D 1-162.5 1467 1550 28.00% 27.66% 44.34%-0.25 +0.3 39
2022-05-07 @ Debrecen VSC D 1-162.5 1550 1467 44.34% 27.66% 28.00%+0.25 -0.3 54
2022-05-08 Fehervar D 1-164.4 1495 1574 28.41% 27.74% 43.85%-0.24 +0.3 41
2022-05-08 @ Ujpest D 1-164.4 1574 1495 43.85% 27.74% 28.41%+0.24 -0.3 47
2022-05-08 Gyirmot L 0-150.5 1481 1370 54.18% 24.98% 20.84%+0.56 -5.2 39
2022-05-08 @ Zalaegerszeg W 1-050.5 1370 1481 20.84% 24.98% 54.18%-0.56 +5.2 32
2022-05-08 Kisvarda L 0-155.3 1544 1537 40.01% 28.22% 31.78%+0.12 -4.2 42
2022-05-08 @ Paks W 1-055.3 1537 1544 31.78% 28.22% 40.01%-0.12 +4.2 56
2022-05-13 Ujpest L 2-360.6 1476 1495 36.32% 28.39% 35.28%+0.02 -3.5 38
2022-05-13 @ Mezokovesd W 3-260.6 1495 1476 35.28% 28.39% 36.32%-0.02 +3.5 44
2022-05-14 Ferencvaros L 1-247.6 1375 1647 13.46% 18.60% 67.93%-1.03 -1.4 32
2022-05-14 @ Gyirmot W 2-147.6 1647 1375 67.93% 18.60% 13.46%+1.03 +1.4 71
2022-05-14 Paks D 2-271.5 1574 1540 43.89% 27.73% 28.38%+0.24 -0.2 48
2022-05-14 @ Fehervar D 2-271.5 1540 1574 28.38% 27.73% 43.89%-0.24 +0.2 43
2022-05-15 Debrecen VSC W 3-042.1 1420 1467 32.47% 28.27% 39.25%-0.10 +11.2 36
2022-05-15 @ MTK Budapest L 0-342.1 1467 1420 39.25% 28.27% 32.47%+0.10 -11.2 39
2022-05-15 Honved L 1-260.9 1549 1478 48.99% 26.63% 24.38%+0.39 -4.6 54
2022-05-15 @ Puskas W 2-160.9 1478 1549 24.38% 26.63% 48.99%-0.39 +4.6 38
2022-05-15 Zalaegerszeg W 2-153.3 1541 1475 48.25% 26.82% 24.93%+0.37 +2.7 59
2022-05-15 @ Kisvarda L 1-253.3 1475 1541 24.93% 26.82% 48.25%-0.37 -2.7 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-05-07 11.76% MTK Budapest 1403 3 @ Ferencvaros 1665 0
2 2022-02-12 16.63% Gyirmot 1377 3 @ Paks 1547 2
3 2021-12-12 17.34% @ Debrecen VSC 1460 2 Ferencvaros 1665 0
4 2021-10-16 17.75% Zalaegerszeg 1492 2 @ Ferencvaros 1645 1
5 2022-02-12 18.37% MTK Budapest 1415 2 @ Puskas 1558 1
6 2021-07-31 19.15% Kisvarda 1494 2 @ Ferencvaros 1627 1
7 2021-10-16 19.62% @ Gyirmot 1361 2 Paks 1533 1
8 2022-02-06 20.01% Paks 1532 3 @ Ferencvaros 1653 0
9 2021-10-02 20.24% Gyirmot 1352 3 @ Ujpest 1471 1
10 2022-01-29 20.46% Gyirmot 1367 1 @ Honved 1482 0
11 2022-02-05 20.62% Debrecen VSC 1471 2 @ Fehervar 1584 1
12 2022-05-08 20.84% Gyirmot 1370 1 @ Zalaegerszeg 1481 0
13 2022-02-20 20.90% Ujpest 1462 2 @ Fehervar 1572 1
14 2021-11-05 21.52% Gyirmot 1361 3 @ MTK Budapest 1464 0
15 2022-05-01 22.59% MTK Budapest 1397 3 @ Zalaegerszeg 1488 2
16 2022-02-20 22.93% Debrecen VSC 1466 2 @ Puskas 1553 0
17 2021-10-22 23.66% @ Ujpest 1462 1 Fehervar 1587 0
18 2022-03-20 23.70% Debrecen VSC 1470 1 @ Paks 1548 0
19 2022-05-15 24.38% Honved 1478 2 @ Puskas 1549 1
20 2022-04-09 25.04% Mezokovesd 1471 2 @ Kisvarda 1536 1
21 2022-04-10 25.08% Ujpest 1479 3 @ Paks 1543 1
22 2022-01-27 25.14% @ Puskas 1546 1 Ferencvaros 1656 0
23 2022-02-13 25.61% @ Honved 1475 3 Fehervar 1580 1
24 2021-12-03 26.63% Honved 1480 3 @ Paks 1530 2
25 2022-02-05 26.80% @ Gyirmot 1372 1 Ujpest 1466 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-05-07 17.56 MTK Budapest 3 1403 11.76% @ Ferencvaros 0 1665 71.73% 16.51%
2 2021-08-08 15.60 Paks 6 1517 30.37% @ Puskas 1 1534 41.57% 28.06%
3 2021-10-31 15.13 @ Kisvarda 5 1513 40.97% Zalaegerszeg 0 1499 30.90% 28.12%
4 2022-02-06 14.60 Paks 3 1532 20.01% @ Ferencvaros 0 1653 55.51% 24.48%
5 2021-11-05 14.12 Gyirmot 3 1361 21.52% @ MTK Budapest 0 1464 53.12% 25.36%
6 2022-04-16 13.50 @ Ujpest 4 1487 36.53% Zalaegerszeg 0 1504 35.08% 28.39%
7 2021-11-27 12.19 @ Kisvarda 5 1517 49.64% MTK Budapest 0 1441 23.91% 26.45%
8 2022-04-22 12.12 Mezokovesd 4 1472 41.54% @ MTK Budapest 0 1409 30.40% 28.06%
9 2022-05-15 11.21 @ MTK Budapest 3 1420 32.47% Debrecen VSC 0 1467 39.25% 28.27%
10 2021-09-10 11.11 @ Debrecen VSC 5 1468 52.89% Gyirmot 0 1367 21.67% 25.44%
11 2021-12-12 10.68 @ Debrecen VSC 2 1460 17.34% Ferencvaros 0 1665 60.14% 22.52%
12 2022-03-05 10.32 @ Paks 4 1545 48.07% Mezokovesd 0 1480 25.06% 26.87%
13 2021-11-07 10.21 Ferencvaros 4 1641 48.46% @ Kisvarda 0 1528 24.77% 26.77%
14 2021-07-31 9.96 Debrecen VSC 4 1465 29.91% @ Honved 1 1486 42.09% 27.99%
15 2022-02-20 9.42 Debrecen VSC 2 1466 22.93% @ Puskas 0 1553 51.03% 26.04%
16 2022-02-12 9.38 Mezokovesd 4 1477 32.86% @ Debrecen VSC 1 1476 38.84% 28.30%
17 2021-10-24 9.37 Puskas 3 1533 41.08% @ Debrecen VSC 0 1473 30.80% 28.11%
18 2021-11-21 9.03 @ Honved 3 1475 42.71% MTK Budapest 0 1450 29.38% 27.91%
19 2021-11-20 8.99 @ Paks 4 1521 34.98% Puskas 1 1550 36.63% 28.39%
20 2021-10-02 8.66 Gyirmot 3 1352 20.24% @ Ujpest 1 1471 55.13% 24.63%
21 2022-04-30 8.49 Fehervar 3 1561 45.26% @ Debrecen VSC 0 1471 27.25% 27.49%
22 2022-04-16 8.44 @ Paks 4 1535 55.03% MTK Budapest 0 1418 20.31% 24.67%
23 2022-03-06 8.26 @ Zalaegerszeg 2 1490 29.16% Fehervar 0 1563 42.97% 27.88%
24 2021-11-21 8.05 @ Ferencvaros 3 1651 47.36% Fehervar 0 1592 25.60% 27.04%
25 2022-04-10 7.79 Ujpest 3 1479 25.08% @ Paks 1 1543 48.05% 26.87%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-02-19 74.3 @ Kisvarda 3 1542 39.11% Paks 3 1542 32.61% 28.28%
2 2022-04-03 73.9 @ Puskas 2 1546 25.67% Ferencvaros 2 1651 47.26% 27.06%
3 2021-08-14 71.9 @ Paks 3 1532 47.14% Debrecen VSC 3 1474 25.77% 27.09%
4 2022-05-14 71.5 @ Fehervar 2 1574 43.89% Paks 2 1540 28.38% 27.73%
5 2022-04-23 71.1 @ Fehervar 2 1561 41.24% Puskas 2 1546 30.67% 28.10%
6 2021-09-11 70.6 @ Mezokovesd 2 1493 26.47% Fehervar 2 1589 46.24% 27.29%
7 2021-12-04 69.4 @ Ferencvaros 1 1666 55.99% Puskas 1 1540 19.71% 24.29%
8 2022-05-04 69.4 @ Gyirmot 3 1369 19.40% Paks 3 1544 56.51% 24.09%
9 2021-10-22 68.8 @ Paks 2 1528 41.28% Kisvarda 2 1512 30.63% 28.09%
10 2021-10-16 66.6 Zalaegerszeg 2 1492 17.75% @ Ferencvaros 1 1645 59.40% 22.85%
11 2021-09-13 66.0 @ Ujpest 2 1474 36.37% Zalaegerszeg 2 1493 35.24% 28.39%
12 2021-12-11 66.0 @ Honved 2 1485 39.58% Zalaegerszeg 2 1481 32.17% 28.25%
13 2022-02-26 66.0 @ Ferencvaros 1 1642 71.81% Gyirmot 1 1379 11.72% 16.47%
14 2021-10-30 65.8 @ Mezokovesd 2 1490 42.33% Ujpest 2 1467 29.71% 27.96%
15 2021-07-31 65.7 Kisvarda 2 1494 19.15% @ Ferencvaros 1 1627 56.93% 23.92%
16 2021-08-08 65.6 @ Debrecen VSC 2 1475 38.19% Ujpest 2 1481 33.47% 28.34%
17 2021-12-12 65.5 @ Ujpest 4 1471 31.43% Paks 3 1526 40.38% 28.18%
18 2022-02-25 65.5 @ Paks 3 1542 35.45% Fehervar 2 1567 36.16% 28.39%
19 2021-08-01 65.2 @ Zalaegerszeg 1 1505 28.29% Fehervar 1 1586 44.00% 27.71%
20 2021-12-19 64.8 @ Kisvarda 1 1540 38.15% Puskas 1 1546 33.52% 28.34%
21 2021-12-03 64.6 Honved 3 1480 26.63% @ Paks 2 1530 46.03% 27.33%
22 2022-02-12 64.5 Gyirmot 3 1377 16.63% @ Paks 2 1547 61.47% 21.90%
23 2021-10-02 64.4 @ Debrecen VSC 1 1476 25.22% Fehervar 1 1585 47.87% 26.92%
24 2022-05-08 64.4 @ Ujpest 1 1495 28.41% Fehervar 1 1574 43.85% 27.74%
25 2021-07-30 64.0 Mezokovesd 3 1499 29.84% @ Paks 2 1520 42.17% 27.98%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-12-11 34.3 @ Puskas 3 1541 61.44% Gyirmot 0 1372 16.65% 21.91%
2 2021-09-10 35.3 @ Debrecen VSC 5 1468 52.89% Gyirmot 0 1367 21.67% 25.44%
3 2022-04-16 37.5 @ Paks 4 1535 55.03% MTK Budapest 0 1418 20.31% 24.67%
4 2021-10-30 37.6 Ferencvaros 2 1638 68.19% @ Gyirmot 0 1364 13.34% 18.47%
5 2022-03-19 38.5 Fehervar 2 1549 56.00% @ Gyirmot 0 1378 19.71% 24.29%
6 2022-04-22 39.1 Mezokovesd 4 1472 41.54% @ MTK Budapest 0 1409 30.40% 28.06%
7 2021-11-27 40.1 @ Kisvarda 5 1517 49.64% MTK Budapest 0 1441 23.91% 26.45%
8 2021-11-21 40.3 @ Honved 3 1475 42.71% MTK Budapest 0 1450 29.38% 27.91%
9 2022-04-03 40.4 @ Ujpest 2 1473 46.11% MTK Budapest 0 1423 26.57% 27.32%
10 2022-03-13 40.9 @ Kisvarda 1 1539 60.13% Gyirmot 0 1380 17.35% 22.52%
11 2022-04-01 41.0 @ Mezokovesd 1 1468 52.02% Gyirmot 0 1374 22.25% 25.73%
12 2022-04-09 41.6 @ Ferencvaros 3 1650 62.13% Debrecen VSC 0 1475 16.29% 21.58%
13 2021-08-29 41.9 Puskas 1 1525 54.00% @ Gyirmot 0 1370 20.95% 25.05%
14 2022-02-04 42.1 Zalaegerszeg 2 1485 41.66% @ MTK Budapest 0 1421 30.29% 28.05%
15 2022-05-15 42.1 @ MTK Budapest 3 1420 32.47% Debrecen VSC 0 1467 39.25% 28.27%
16 2022-03-05 42.3 @ Paks 4 1545 48.07% Mezokovesd 0 1480 25.06% 26.87%
17 2021-11-07 42.5 @ Fehervar 3 1585 52.86% Zalaegerszeg 0 1484 21.69% 25.45%
18 2021-12-11 42.5 Fehervar 2 1581 53.19% @ MTK Budapest 0 1432 21.47% 25.34%
19 2022-04-15 42.5 @ Debrecen VSC 3 1470 52.42% Gyirmot 1 1372 21.98% 25.60%
20 2021-12-04 42.6 Mezokovesd 1 1487 48.45% @ Gyirmot 0 1374 24.78% 26.77%
21 2022-02-19 43.1 Zalaegerszeg 1 1487 47.40% @ Gyirmot 0 1382 25.57% 27.03%
22 2022-04-30 43.4 Fehervar 3 1561 45.26% @ Debrecen VSC 0 1471 27.25% 27.49%
23 2021-11-05 43.6 Gyirmot 3 1361 21.52% @ MTK Budapest 0 1464 53.12% 25.36%
24 2021-10-24 43.8 Puskas 3 1533 41.08% @ Debrecen VSC 0 1473 30.80% 28.11%
25 2021-10-03 44.1 @ Zalaegerszeg 2 1485 40.90% MTK Budapest 0 1473 30.97% 28.13%