‹ ›

2022-23 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Ferencvaros

63 points · 34th Title

Last Title: 2021-22

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kecskemet

13.12 points above expected

57 points · 43.88 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fehervar

11.13 points below expected

35 points · 46.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ferencvaros Champion 33 19 6 8 63 62 33 +29 61.39 +1.61
2 Kecskemet 33 15 12 6 57 48 32 +16 43.88 +13.12
3 Debrecen VSC 33 15 9 9 54 52 39 +13 44.45 +9.55
4 Puskas 33 14 11 8 53 48 42 +6 48.73 +4.27
5 Paks 33 14 7 12 49 57 57 0 45.91 +3.09
6 Kisvarda 33 10 13 10 43 43 49 -6 46.44 -3.44
7 Mezokovesd 33 11 9 13 42 40 43 -3 41.68 +0.32
8 Ujpest 33 11 8 14 41 42 55 -13 41.84 -0.84
9 Zalaegerszeg 33 10 9 14 39 37 43 -6 44.08 -5.08
10 Fehervar 33 8 11 14 35 38 43 -5 46.13 -11.13
11 Honved 33 8 9 16 33 34 51 -17 38.46 -5.46
12 Vasas 33 4 14 15 26 29 43 -14 31.70 -5.70

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kecskemet 57 43.88 +13.12
2 Debrecen VSC 54 44.45 +9.55
3 Puskas 53 48.73 +4.27
4 Paks 49 45.91 +3.09
5 Ferencvaros 63 61.39 +1.61

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fehervar 35 46.13 -11.13
2 Vasas 26 31.70 -5.70
3 Honved 33 38.46 -5.46
4 Zalaegerszeg 39 44.08 -5.08
5 Kisvarda 43 46.44 -3.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Paks 6 Feb 25 – Apr 8 1 in 547
2 Ferencvaros 6 Jul 31 – Sep 11 1 in 61
3 Mezokovesd 3 May 14 – May 28 1 in 56
4 Kecskemet 3 Mar 4 – Mar 18 1 in 28
5 Kisvarda 3 Aug 21 – Aug 31 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ferencvaros 3 May 13 – May 28 1 in 104
2 Mezokovesd 4 Aug 30 – Sep 30 1 in 39
3 Kisvarda 3 Sep 4 – Oct 1 1 in 32
4 Vasas 5 Mar 4 – Apr 9 1 in 30
5 Puskas 2 Feb 25 – Mar 5 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kecskemet 10 Nov 8 – Mar 18 1 in 151
2 Mezokovesd 6 Jan 29 – Mar 3 1 in 38
3 Puskas 10 Aug 7 – Oct 15 1 in 35
4 Ferencvaros 13 Oct 22 – Mar 3 1 in 18
5 Debrecen VSC 6 Apr 23 – May 27 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kisvarda 10 Feb 25 – May 6 1 in 79
2 Ferencvaros 5 Mar 3 – Apr 8 1 in 72
3 Zalaegerszeg 6 Nov 12 – Feb 19 1 in 25
4 Fehervar 7 Apr 2 – May 14 1 in 17
5 Debrecen VSC 6 Jul 31 – Aug 30 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ferencvaros 1676 63 -27 6 9.3 -3.3
Kecskemet 1583 57 -14 6 7.3 -1.3
Debrecen VSC 1612 54 +32 11 7.3 +3.7
Puskas 1589 53 +16 10 7.6 +2.4
Paks 1558 49 -35 5 7.1 -2.1
Kisvarda 1535 43 +1 7 6.9 +0.1
Mezokovesd 1534 42 +36 10 5.7 +4.3
Ujpest 1525 41 -4 4 6.0 -2.0
Zalaegerszeg 1517 39 -3 8 6.6 +1.4
Fehervar 1548 35 -1 5 6.9 -1.9
Honved 1492 33 -1 5 5.3 -0.3
Vasas 1433 26 -1 4 4.9 -0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DV FEH FER HON KEC KIS MEZ PAK PUS UJP VAS ZAL
Debrecen VSC —
2-1-0
4.17
1-0-2
2.47
2-1-0
4.80
0-2-1
4.49
1-1-1
3.53
2-0-1
4.09
1-1-1
3.62
0-1-2
3.97
2-1-0
4.63
2-1-0
5.29
2-0-1
3.79
Fehervar
0-1-2
3.91
—
0-2-1
2.73
3-0-0
4.57
1-0-2
4.51
1-1-1
3.73
1-1-1
4.92
0-1-2
3.80
0-2-1
3.49
0-1-2
4.74
1-1-1
5.14
1-1-1
4.32
Ferencvaros
2-0-1
5.74
1-2-0
5.43
—
3-0-0
5.98
0-1-2
5.64
2-1-0
5.78
0-1-2
5.82
2-0-1
5.24
2-0-1
5.28
3-0-0
5.59
2-1-0
6.34
2-0-1
5.36
Honved
0-1-2
3.30
0-0-3
3.52
0-0-3
2.27
—
1-2-0
3.84
1-2-0
3.17
0-2-1
4.25
0-1-2
3.69
1-0-2
2.98
0-1-2
4.11
3-0-0
4.62
2-0-1
3.96
Kecskemet
1-2-0
3.61
2-0-1
3.58
2-1-0
2.56
0-2-1
4.25
—
2-1-0
4.18
1-0-2
4.34
1-1-1
3.87
1-2-0
3.18
1-1-1
4.19
2-1-0
5.07
2-1-0
4.02
Kisvarda
1-1-1
4.55
1-1-1
4.34
0-1-2
2.43
0-2-1
4.95
0-1-2
3.90
—
1-2-0
4.32
1-1-1
3.64
1-2-0
4.06
2-0-1
4.73
2-1-0
5.53
1-1-1
4.01
Mezokovesd
1-0-2
3.98
1-1-1
3.19
2-1-0
2.40
1-2-0
3.85
2-0-1
3.73
0-2-1
3.76
—
2-0-1
3.37
1-0-2
3.04
1-1-1
3.68
0-1-2
5.24
0-1-2
3.98
Paks
1-1-1
4.47
2-1-0
4.28
1-0-2
2.90
2-1-0
4.37
1-1-1
4.20
1-1-1
4.44
1-0-2
4.71
—
1-0-2
4.06
2-0-1
4.41
1-1-1
5.24
1-1-1
3.97
Puskas
2-1-0
4.12
1-2-0
4.60
1-0-2
2.89
2-0-1
5.16
0-2-1
4.94
0-2-1
4.01
2-0-1
5.08
2-0-1
4.03
—
2-1-0
4.82
0-3-0
5.39
2-0-1
4.13
Ujpest
0-1-2
3.46
2-1-0
3.35
0-0-3
2.61
2-1-0
3.96
1-1-1
3.89
1-0-2
3.35
1-1-1
4.39
1-0-2
3.66
0-1-2
3.26
—
2-1-0
5.10
1-1-1
3.95
Vasas
0-1-2
2.88
1-1-1
2.98
0-1-2
1.99
0-0-3
3.46
0-1-2
3.05
0-1-2
2.65
2-1-0
2.91
1-1-1
2.89
0-3-0
2.77
0-1-2
3.03
—
0-3-0
3.06
Zalaegerszeg
1-0-2
4.28
1-1-1
3.76
1-0-2
2.79
1-0-2
4.13
0-1-2
4.08
1-1-1
4.07
2-1-0
4.11
1-1-1
4.10
1-0-2
3.94
1-1-1
4.13
0-3-0
5.07
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +10.4
Allowed 0.24 -6.8
Differential 0.85 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.08%8.59%5.05%2.78%0.76%0.76%26.01%
18.59%13.64%8.08%3.54%1.01%0.51%35.35%
25.05%8.08%6.57%2.78%1.01%—23.48%
32.78%3.54%2.78%1.52%0.25%—10.86%
40.76%1.01%1.01%0.25%——3.03%
5+0.76%0.51%————1.26%
Total26.01%35.35%23.48%10.86%3.03%1.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.16 1.65
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
112.12%15.15%6.06%———33.33%
29.09%3.03%6.06%3.03%6.06%—27.27%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
4—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%21.21%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.18 +0.39
SD 1.15 1.16 1.48
CV 0.73 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%9.09%—3.03%—27.27%
13.03%18.18%21.21%3.03%——45.45%
23.03%9.09%6.06%———18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%36.36%36.36%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.30 -0.15
SD 1.06 0.95 1.60
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
19.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
29.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
39.09%9.09%6.06%———24.24%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total39.39%27.27%27.27%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.00 +0.88
SD 1.41 0.97 1.82
CV 0.75 0.97 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%39.39%
112.12%3.03%9.09%3.03%——27.27%
26.06%3.03%9.09%6.06%——24.24%
3—3.03%—3.03%3.03%—9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%21.21%24.24%15.15%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.55 -0.52
SD 1.02 1.39 1.58
CV 0.99 0.90 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%—3.03%——21.21%
19.09%12.12%6.06%———27.27%
29.09%15.15%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
36.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%39.39%15.15%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.97 +0.48
SD 1.00 0.95 1.28
CV 0.69 0.98 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%3.03%9.09%3.03%—36.36%
13.03%12.12%——3.03%—18.18%
26.06%6.06%15.15%———27.27%
3—9.09%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%39.39%24.24%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.48 -0.18
SD 1.21 1.12 1.65
CV 0.93 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%———3.03%27.27%
112.12%18.18%12.12%—3.03%—45.45%
23.03%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—18.18%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total21.21%48.48%21.21%—6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.30 -0.09
SD 1.27 1.19 1.67
CV 1.05 0.91 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
13.03%6.06%3.03%12.12%—3.03%27.27%
26.06%9.09%6.06%6.06%——27.27%
3—6.06%12.12%3.03%——21.21%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total18.18%27.27%27.27%24.24%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.73 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.31 1.94
CV 0.73 0.76 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—3.03%——12.12%
112.12%24.24%3.03%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
26.06%18.18%6.06%—3.03%—33.33%
3—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total18.18%57.58%9.09%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.27 +0.18
SD 1.00 1.07 1.45
CV 0.69 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%9.09%——3.03%24.24%
112.12%12.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%42.42%
2—9.09%3.03%6.06%——18.18%
33.03%—6.06%3.03%——12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%27.27%24.24%15.15%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.67 -0.39
SD 1.07 1.49 1.90
CV 0.84 0.90 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
16.06%21.21%15.15%3.03%——45.45%
23.03%—9.09%3.03%——15.15%
3———————
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%36.36%33.33%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.30 -0.42
SD 0.89 0.92 1.17
CV 1.02 0.70 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%6.06%9.09%——33.33%
19.09%15.15%9.09%9.09%——42.42%
2—9.09%—3.03%——12.12%
36.06%—————6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total30.30%30.30%18.18%21.21%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.30 -0.18
SD 1.22 1.13 1.81
CV 1.09 0.87 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ferencvaros 1676 63 61.39 +1.61 62.0% 46 49 56 62 66 73 77
Debrecen VSC 1612 54 44.45 +9.55 95.0% 29 33 38 45 50 54 59
Puskas 1589 53 48.73 +4.27 73.0% 28 36 45 49 54 59 63
Kecskemet 1583 57 43.88 +13.12 98.0% 28 31 39 44 49 54 58
Paks 1558 49 45.91 +3.09 66.0% 28 34 41 45 51 57 64
Fehervar 1548 35 46.13 -11.13 8.0% 31 35 41 46 50 58 65
Kisvarda 1535 43 46.44 -3.44 33.0% 26 32 41 47 52 57 65
Mezokovesd 1534 42 41.68 +0.32 57.0% 23 30 37 42 46 53 59
Ujpest 1525 41 41.84 -0.84 48.0% 21 31 38 42 46 51 60
Zalaegerszeg 1517 39 44.08 -5.08 22.0% 29 34 41 43 48 57 60
Honved 1492 33 38.46 -5.46 19.0% 21 27 35 39 43 48 56
Vasas 1433 26 31.70 -5.70 27.0% 18 19 26 33 36 43 46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.67%
Slight Edge
43.43%29.80%26.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 58.45 Elo pts.
261 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.22+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
75%
Ferencvaros, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.58 * Some Luck: 5.58 to 8.37 * Lucky: 8.37 to 11.15 * Wild Swing: 11.15 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.88 * Close: 1.88 to 2.82 * Off: 2.82 to 3.76 * Way Off: 3.76 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.57 points
Some Luck
06.9717
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Close
02.355
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Kecskemet
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.00%
Fehervar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 61.54
1.48
Coin-Flip Parity
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%77%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.88
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.23
Weak Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.72
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.038
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ferencvaros75.00%11.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%——————
Kecskemet3.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%6.00%12.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%
Debrecen VSC3.00%4.00%12.00%17.00%11.00%14.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%14.00%6.00%2.00%
Puskas7.00%23.00%12.00%15.00%10.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%—
Paks3.00%13.00%17.00%4.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%
Kisvarda4.00%14.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%11.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%
Mezokovesd1.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%13.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%
Ujpest—3.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%14.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%
Zalaegerszeg—9.00%8.00%5.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%11.00%19.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%
Fehervar4.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%—
Honved—2.00%—3.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%18.00%18.00%18.00%13.00%
Vasas————3.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%21.00%52.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Ferencvaros 100% —
Puskas 96.00% 4.00%
Zalaegerszeg 95.00% 5.00%
Paks 94.00% 6.00%
Debrecen VSC 92.00% 8.00%
Fehervar 90.00% 10.00%
Kisvarda 89.00% 11.00%
Kecskemet 87.00% 13.00%
Mezokovesd 81.00% 19.00%
Ujpest 80.00% 20.00%
Honved 69.00% 31.00%
Vasas 27.00% 73.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-07-29 Zalaegerszeg L 0-157.0 1549 1541 43.49% 30.64% 25.87%+0.25 -7.8 0
2022-07-29 @ Honved W 1-057.0 1541 1549 25.87% 30.64% 43.49%-0.25 +7.8 3
2022-07-30 Mezokovesd D 1-164.4 1555 1541 44.34% 30.45% 25.20%+0.28 -0.7 1
2022-07-30 @ Ujpest D 1-164.4 1541 1555 25.20% 30.45% 44.34%-0.28 +0.7 1
2022-07-30 Vasas D 0-054.1 1482 1457 46.00% 30.04% 23.96%+0.32 -0.9 1
2022-07-30 @ Kecskemet D 0-054.1 1457 1482 23.96% 30.04% 46.00%-0.32 +0.9 1
2022-07-31 Debrecen VSC D 2-271.1 1576 1535 48.01% 29.46% 22.53%+0.38 -0.7 1
2022-07-31 @ Kisvarda D 2-271.1 1535 1576 22.53% 29.46% 48.01%-0.38 +0.7 1
2022-07-31 Fehervar W 2-051.3 1574 1591 40.18% 31.21% 28.61%+0.16 +10.8 3
2022-07-31 @ Paks L 0-251.3 1591 1574 28.61% 31.21% 40.18%-0.16 -10.8 0
2022-07-31 Puskas W 1-053.1 1626 1576 49.23% 29.07% 21.70%+0.41 +4.6 3
2022-07-31 @ Ferencvaros L 0-153.1 1576 1626 21.70% 29.07% 49.23%-0.41 -4.6 0
2022-08-05 Paks D 2-268.5 1457 1585 25.51% 30.54% 43.95%-0.26 +0.5 2
2022-08-05 @ Vasas D 2-268.5 1585 1457 43.95% 30.54% 25.51%+0.26 -0.5 4
2022-08-06 Kecskemet D 1-162.1 1536 1481 49.86% 28.85% 21.29%+0.43 -1.1 2
2022-08-06 @ Debrecen VSC D 1-162.1 1481 1536 21.29% 28.85% 49.86%-0.43 +1.1 2
2022-08-07 Honved W 4-046.1 1580 1541 47.79% 29.53% 22.68%+0.37 +17.0 3
2022-08-07 @ Fehervar L 0-446.1 1541 1580 22.68% 29.53% 47.79%-0.37 -17.0 0
2022-08-07 Mezokovesd W 4-257.7 1575 1542 46.98% 29.77% 23.25%+0.35 +7.1 4
2022-08-07 @ Kisvarda L 2-457.7 1542 1575 23.25% 29.77% 46.98%-0.35 -7.1 1
2022-08-07 Ujpest W 2-048.8 1571 1554 44.86% 30.33% 24.81%+0.29 +9.7 3
2022-08-07 @ Puskas L 0-248.8 1554 1571 24.81% 30.33% 44.86%-0.29 -9.7 1
2022-08-12 Vasas D 1-161.5 1535 1458 52.75% 27.76% 19.50%+0.52 -1.2 3
2022-08-12 @ Debrecen VSC D 1-161.5 1458 1535 19.50% 27.76% 52.75%-0.52 +1.2 3
2022-08-13 Mezokovesd W 1-051.6 1482 1535 35.02% 31.60% 33.37%+0.02 +6.4 5
2022-08-13 @ Kecskemet L 0-151.6 1535 1482 33.37% 31.60% 35.02%-0.02 -6.4 1
2022-08-13 Zalaegerszeg D 1-164.2 1544 1549 41.85% 30.95% 27.20%+0.21 -0.5 2
2022-08-13 @ Ujpest D 1-164.2 1549 1544 27.20% 30.95% 41.85%-0.21 +0.5 4
2022-08-14 Fehervar W 4-049.0 1630 1597 47.07% 29.74% 23.19%+0.35 +17.3 6
2022-08-14 @ Ferencvaros L 0-449.0 1597 1630 23.19% 29.74% 47.07%-0.35 -17.3 3
2022-08-14 Paks D 3-374.3 1524 1584 33.89% 31.61% 34.50%-0.01 +0.0 1
2022-08-14 @ Honved D 3-374.3 1584 1524 34.50% 31.61% 33.89%+0.01 -0.0 5
2022-08-14 Puskas D 1-166.3 1582 1581 42.62% 30.81% 26.57%+0.23 -0.6 5
2022-08-14 @ Kisvarda D 1-166.3 1581 1582 26.57% 30.81% 42.62%-0.23 +0.6 4
2022-08-19 Kecskemet D 1-164.6 1582 1489 54.81% 26.88% 18.32%+0.58 -1.4 5
2022-08-19 @ Puskas D 1-164.6 1489 1582 18.32% 26.88% 54.81%-0.58 +1.4 6
2022-08-21 Honved L 1-256.1 1459 1524 33.30% 31.60% 35.09%-0.02 -6.1 3
2022-08-21 @ Vasas W 2-156.1 1524 1459 35.09% 31.60% 33.30%+0.02 +6.1 4
2022-08-21 Kisvarda L 1-359.2 1550 1581 38.00% 31.45% 30.55%+0.10 -11.5 4
2022-08-21 @ Zalaegerszeg W 3-159.2 1581 1550 30.55% 31.45% 38.00%-0.10 +11.5 8
2022-08-22 Debrecen VSC W 4-257.4 1529 1533 41.81% 30.96% 27.23%+0.21 +8.1 4
2022-08-22 @ Mezokovesd L 2-457.4 1533 1529 27.23% 30.96% 41.81%-0.21 -8.1 3
2022-08-26 Paks L 2-367.4 1544 1584 36.78% 31.54% 31.68%+0.07 -6.2 2
2022-08-26 @ Ujpest W 3-267.4 1584 1544 31.68% 31.54% 36.78%-0.07 +6.1 8
2022-08-27 Puskas D 1-164.4 1525 1580 34.71% 31.61% 33.68%+0.01 -0.0 4
2022-08-27 @ Debrecen VSC D 1-164.4 1580 1525 33.68% 31.61% 34.71%-0.01 +0.0 6
2022-08-27 Vasas D 1-161.5 1537 1453 53.61% 27.40% 18.99%+0.54 -1.3 5
2022-08-27 @ Mezokovesd D 1-161.5 1453 1537 18.99% 27.40% 53.61%-0.54 +1.3 4
2022-08-27 Zalaegerszeg W 3-154.1 1490 1538 35.69% 31.59% 32.72%+0.04 +10.3 9
2022-08-27 @ Kecskemet L 1-354.1 1538 1490 32.72% 31.59% 35.69%-0.04 -10.3 4
2022-08-28 Fehervar W 3-156.2 1593 1579 44.35% 30.45% 25.20%+0.28 +8.5 11
2022-08-28 @ Kisvarda L 1-356.2 1579 1593 25.20% 30.45% 44.35%-0.28 -8.5 3
2022-08-28 Honved W 3-152.2 1648 1530 57.88% 25.43% 16.69%+0.67 +5.7 9
2022-08-28 @ Ferencvaros L 1-352.2 1530 1648 16.69% 25.43% 57.88%-0.67 -5.7 4
2022-08-30 Debrecen VSC W 4-256.8 1528 1525 42.82% 30.77% 26.40%+0.23 +7.9 7
2022-08-30 @ Zalaegerszeg L 2-456.8 1525 1528 26.40% 30.77% 42.82%-0.23 -7.9 4
2022-08-30 Mezokovesd W 1-051.0 1580 1535 48.60% 29.28% 22.13%+0.40 +4.6 9
2022-08-30 @ Puskas L 0-151.0 1535 1580 22.13% 29.28% 48.60%-0.40 -4.6 5
2022-08-31 Ferencvaros L 0-149.3 1454 1653 19.11% 27.48% 53.41%-0.54 -4.0 4
2022-08-31 @ Vasas W 1-049.3 1653 1454 53.41% 27.48% 19.11%+0.54 +4.0 12
2022-08-31 Kecskemet W 2-154.3 1571 1500 51.94% 28.08% 19.98%+0.49 +4.0 6
2022-08-31 @ Fehervar L 1-254.3 1500 1571 19.98% 28.08% 51.94%-0.49 -4.0 9
2022-08-31 Kisvarda L 1-361.6 1591 1601 40.97% 31.10% 27.93%+0.18 -12.1 8
2022-08-31 @ Paks W 3-161.6 1601 1591 27.93% 31.10% 40.97%-0.18 +12.1 14
2022-09-01 Ujpest D 0-058.3 1524 1538 40.59% 31.15% 28.26%+0.17 -0.5 5
2022-09-01 @ Honved D 0-058.3 1538 1524 28.26% 31.15% 40.59%-0.17 +0.5 3
2022-09-02 Zalaegerszeg L 0-551.5 1531 1536 41.80% 30.96% 27.24%+0.20 -33.2 5
2022-09-02 @ Mezokovesd W 5-051.5 1536 1531 27.24% 30.96% 41.80%-0.20 +33.2 10
2022-09-03 Fehervar W 1-054.5 1517 1575 34.34% 31.61% 34.05%+0.00 +6.5 7
2022-09-03 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-154.5 1575 1517 34.05% 31.61% 34.34%+0.00 -6.5 6
2022-09-03 Paks W 3-157.2 1496 1578 30.95% 31.48% 37.57%-0.09 +11.4 12
2022-09-03 @ Kecskemet L 1-357.2 1578 1496 37.57% 31.48% 30.95%+0.09 -11.4 8
2022-09-03 Puskas D 1-162.3 1450 1585 24.77% 30.32% 44.91%-0.29 +0.7 5
2022-09-03 @ Vasas D 1-162.3 1585 1450 44.91% 30.32% 24.77%+0.29 -0.7 10
2022-09-04 Ferencvaros L 0-651.6 1538 1657 26.44% 30.79% 42.77%-0.23 -28.3 3
2022-09-04 @ Ujpest W 6-051.6 1657 1538 42.77% 30.79% 26.44%+0.23 +28.3 15
2022-09-04 Honved L 0-160.7 1613 1524 54.40% 27.06% 18.54%+0.57 -9.2 14
2022-09-04 @ Kisvarda W 1-060.7 1524 1613 18.54% 27.06% 54.40%-0.57 +9.2 8
2022-09-10 Debrecen VSC W 1-050.3 1567 1524 48.35% 29.36% 22.30%+0.39 +4.7 11
2022-09-10 @ Paks L 0-150.3 1524 1567 22.30% 29.36% 48.35%-0.39 -4.7 7
2022-09-10 Kecskemet D 0-057.9 1533 1508 45.93% 30.06% 24.01%+0.32 -0.9 9
2022-09-10 @ Honved D 0-057.9 1508 1533 24.01% 30.06% 45.93%-0.32 +0.9 13
2022-09-10 Mezokovesd W 2-154.1 1568 1497 51.99% 28.06% 19.95%+0.50 +4.0 9
2022-09-10 @ Fehervar L 1-254.1 1497 1568 19.95% 28.06% 51.99%-0.50 -4.0 5
2022-09-11 Kisvarda W 3-048.1 1686 1604 53.32% 27.52% 19.16%+0.54 +11.0 18
2022-09-11 @ Ferencvaros L 0-348.1 1604 1686 19.16% 27.52% 53.32%-0.54 -11.0 14
2022-09-11 Puskas L 1-263.9 1569 1584 40.34% 31.19% 28.47%+0.16 -6.9 10
2022-09-11 @ Zalaegerszeg W 2-163.9 1584 1569 28.47% 31.19% 40.34%-0.16 +6.9 13
2022-09-11 Vasas W 2-150.7 1510 1451 50.43% 28.65% 20.92%+0.45 +4.2 6
2022-09-11 @ Ujpest L 1-250.7 1451 1510 20.92% 28.65% 50.43%-0.45 -4.1 5
2022-09-30 Paks L 1-258.5 1494 1572 31.45% 31.52% 37.02%-0.08 -5.8 5
2022-09-30 @ Mezokovesd W 2-158.5 1572 1494 37.02% 31.52% 31.45%+0.08 +5.8 14
2022-10-01 Honved W 4-364.7 1519 1532 40.71% 31.14% 28.16%+0.18 +5.0 10
2022-10-01 @ Debrecen VSC L 3-464.7 1532 1519 28.16% 31.14% 40.71%-0.18 -5.0 9
2022-10-01 Kisvarda W 4-050.7 1514 1593 31.33% 31.51% 37.16%-0.08 +24.7 9
2022-10-01 @ Ujpest L 0-450.7 1593 1514 37.16% 31.51% 31.33%+0.08 -24.8 14
2022-10-01 Zalaegerszeg D 1-161.2 1447 1562 26.90% 30.89% 42.21%-0.22 +0.5 6
2022-10-01 @ Vasas D 1-161.2 1562 1447 42.21% 30.89% 26.90%+0.22 -0.5 11
2022-10-02 Fehervar D 1-166.5 1591 1572 45.07% 30.28% 24.65%+0.30 -0.7 14
2022-10-02 @ Puskas D 1-166.5 1572 1591 24.65% 30.28% 45.07%-0.30 +0.7 10
2022-10-02 Ferencvaros W 2-058.3 1509 1697 19.94% 28.05% 52.01%-0.50 +16.7 16
2022-10-02 @ Kecskemet L 0-258.3 1697 1509 52.01% 28.05% 19.94%+0.50 -16.7 18
2022-10-07 Kecskemet L 1-262.1 1539 1525 44.35% 30.45% 25.20%+0.28 -7.4 9
2022-10-07 @ Ujpest W 2-162.1 1525 1539 25.20% 30.45% 44.35%-0.28 +7.4 19
2022-10-07 Zalaegerszeg D 1-165.6 1573 1561 44.10% 30.51% 25.39%+0.27 -0.7 11
2022-10-07 @ Fehervar D 1-165.6 1561 1573 25.39% 30.51% 44.10%-0.27 +0.7 12
2022-10-08 Mezokovesd D 2-267.8 1527 1488 47.85% 29.51% 22.64%+0.37 -0.7 10
2022-10-08 @ Honved D 2-267.8 1488 1527 22.64% 29.51% 47.85%-0.37 +0.7 6
2022-10-08 Vasas W 2-041.0 1569 1448 58.29% 25.23% 16.48%+0.69 +6.5 17
2022-10-08 @ Kisvarda L 0-241.0 1448 1569 16.48% 25.23% 58.29%-0.69 -6.5 6
2022-10-09 Debrecen VSC W 2-045.6 1680 1524 62.44% 23.04% 14.52%+0.82 +5.5 21
2022-10-09 @ Ferencvaros L 0-245.6 1524 1680 14.52% 23.04% 62.44%-0.82 -5.5 10
2022-10-09 Puskas L 1-360.9 1578 1590 40.69% 31.14% 28.17%+0.17 -12.0 14
2022-10-09 @ Paks W 3-160.9 1590 1578 28.17% 31.14% 40.69%-0.17 +12.1 17
2022-10-10 Ujpest L 0-158.4 1572 1531 48.06% 29.45% 22.50%+0.38 -8.4 11
2022-10-10 @ Fehervar W 1-058.4 1531 1572 22.50% 29.45% 48.06%-0.38 +8.3 12
2022-10-14 Kisvarda D 3-374.3 1533 1575 36.53% 31.55% 31.92%+0.06 -0.1 20
2022-10-14 @ Kecskemet D 3-374.3 1575 1533 31.92% 31.55% 36.53%-0.06 +0.1 18
2022-10-15 Fehervar W 2-050.2 1441 1564 26.00% 30.67% 43.33%-0.25 +14.6 9
2022-10-15 @ Vasas L 0-250.2 1564 1441 43.33% 30.67% 26.00%+0.25 -14.6 11
2022-10-15 Honved W 1-050.2 1602 1526 52.66% 27.79% 19.55%+0.52 +4.1 20
2022-10-15 @ Puskas L 0-150.2 1526 1602 19.55% 27.79% 52.66%-0.52 -4.1 10
2022-10-15 Paks W 3-048.0 1562 1565 42.01% 30.93% 27.07%+0.21 +15.1 15
2022-10-15 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-348.0 1565 1562 27.07% 30.93% 42.01%-0.21 -15.1 14
2022-10-16 Ferencvaros W 2-167.2 1488 1685 19.24% 27.58% 53.18%-0.53 +8.5 9
2022-10-16 @ Mezokovesd L 1-267.2 1685 1488 53.18% 27.58% 19.24%+0.53 -8.5 21
2022-10-16 Ujpest W 4-151.6 1519 1540 39.52% 31.29% 29.19%+0.14 +13.5 13
2022-10-16 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-451.6 1540 1519 29.19% 31.29% 39.52%-0.14 -13.5 12
2022-10-21 Kecskemet L 1-255.8 1456 1533 31.60% 31.53% 36.87%-0.07 -5.8 9
2022-10-21 @ Vasas W 2-155.8 1533 1456 36.87% 31.53% 31.60%+0.07 +5.8 23
2022-10-22 Ferencvaros L 2-464.7 1607 1677 32.50% 31.58% 35.92%-0.05 -9.2 20
2022-10-22 @ Puskas W 4-264.7 1677 1607 35.92% 31.58% 32.50%+0.05 +9.2 24
2022-10-22 Honved L 0-255.0 1577 1522 49.90% 28.84% 21.26%+0.43 -16.2 15
2022-10-22 @ Zalaegerszeg W 2-055.0 1522 1577 21.26% 28.84% 49.90%-0.43 +16.2 13
2022-10-22 Paks D 1-164.4 1549 1550 42.36% 30.86% 26.78%+0.22 -0.5 12
2022-10-22 @ Fehervar D 1-164.4 1550 1549 26.78% 30.86% 42.36%-0.22 +0.5 15
2022-10-24 Kisvarda L 2-366.6 1532 1575 36.42% 31.56% 32.03%+0.06 -6.1 13
2022-10-24 @ Debrecen VSC W 3-266.6 1575 1532 32.03% 31.56% 36.42%-0.06 +6.1 21
2022-10-24 Ujpest W 1-050.9 1497 1526 38.34% 31.42% 30.24%+0.11 +6.0 12
2022-10-24 @ Mezokovesd L 0-150.9 1526 1497 30.24% 31.42% 38.34%-0.11 -6.0 12
2022-10-28 Kisvarda D 1-163.7 1503 1581 31.44% 31.52% 37.04%-0.08 +0.2 13
2022-10-28 @ Mezokovesd D 1-163.7 1581 1503 37.04% 31.52% 31.44%+0.08 -0.2 22
2022-10-29 Debrecen VSC D 2-269.3 1539 1526 44.21% 30.48% 25.31%+0.27 -0.5 24
2022-10-29 @ Kecskemet D 2-269.3 1526 1539 25.31% 30.48% 44.21%-0.27 +0.5 14
2022-10-29 Fehervar L 0-156.3 1538 1549 41.02% 31.09% 27.89%+0.18 -7.4 13
2022-10-29 @ Honved W 1-056.3 1549 1538 27.89% 31.09% 41.02%-0.18 +7.4 15
2022-10-29 Vasas L 0-156.2 1551 1450 55.84% 26.41% 17.75%+0.61 -9.3 15
2022-10-29 @ Paks W 1-056.2 1450 1551 17.75% 26.41% 55.84%-0.61 +9.3 12
2022-10-30 Puskas D 3-374.6 1520 1597 31.62% 31.53% 36.85%-0.07 +0.1 13
2022-10-30 @ Ujpest D 3-374.6 1597 1520 36.85% 31.53% 31.62%+0.07 -0.1 21
2022-10-30 Zalaegerszeg W 2-156.9 1686 1561 58.81% 24.97% 16.22%+0.70 +3.2 27
2022-10-30 @ Ferencvaros L 1-256.9 1561 1686 16.22% 24.97% 58.81%-0.70 -3.2 15
2022-11-05 Kecskemet W 2-157.5 1503 1538 37.56% 31.49% 30.95%+0.09 +5.7 16
2022-11-05 @ Mezokovesd L 1-257.5 1538 1503 30.95% 31.49% 37.56%-0.09 -5.7 24
2022-11-05 Kisvarda L 0-159.9 1597 1581 44.72% 30.36% 24.91%+0.29 -7.9 21
2022-11-05 @ Puskas W 1-059.9 1581 1597 24.91% 30.36% 44.72%-0.29 +7.9 25
2022-11-05 Ujpest W 1-050.1 1558 1520 47.57% 29.60% 22.84%+0.37 +4.8 18
2022-11-05 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-150.1 1520 1558 22.84% 29.60% 47.57%-0.37 -4.8 13
2022-11-06 Debrecen VSC L 0-344.9 1459 1527 32.92% 31.59% 35.48%-0.03 -17.4 12
2022-11-06 @ Vasas W 3-044.9 1527 1459 35.48% 31.59% 32.92%+0.03 +17.4 17
2022-11-06 Ferencvaros D 2-274.2 1556 1689 24.93% 30.37% 44.71%-0.29 +0.5 16
2022-11-06 @ Fehervar D 2-274.2 1689 1556 44.71% 30.37% 24.93%+0.29 -0.5 28
2022-11-06 Honved W 5-046.7 1542 1531 43.95% 30.54% 25.51%+0.26 +23.1 18
2022-11-06 @ Paks L 0-546.7 1531 1542 25.51% 30.54% 43.95%-0.26 -23.1 13
2022-11-08 Puskas D 1-164.9 1532 1589 34.40% 31.61% 33.99%+0.01 -0.0 25
2022-11-08 @ Kecskemet D 1-164.9 1589 1532 33.99% 31.61% 34.40%-0.01 +0.0 22
2022-11-08 Zalaegerszeg L 0-354.1 1589 1562 46.11% 30.01% 23.88%+0.33 -22.2 25
2022-11-08 @ Kisvarda W 3-054.1 1562 1589 23.88% 30.01% 46.11%-0.33 +22.2 21
2022-11-09 Fehervar W 2-158.9 1516 1557 36.68% 31.54% 31.78%+0.07 +5.8 16
2022-11-09 @ Ujpest L 1-258.9 1557 1516 31.78% 31.54% 36.68%-0.07 -5.8 16
2022-11-09 Mezokovesd W 1-049.3 1544 1509 47.28% 29.68% 23.03%+0.36 +4.8 20
2022-11-09 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-149.3 1509 1544 23.03% 29.68% 47.28%-0.36 -4.8 16
2022-11-09 Paks W 3-262.2 1689 1565 58.66% 25.04% 16.30%+0.70 +3.0 31
2022-11-09 @ Ferencvaros L 2-362.2 1565 1689 16.30% 25.04% 58.66%-0.70 -3.0 18
2022-11-10 Vasas W 2-040.6 1508 1442 51.38% 28.30% 20.33%+0.48 +8.1 16
2022-11-10 @ Honved L 0-240.6 1442 1508 20.33% 28.30% 51.38%-0.48 -8.1 12
2022-11-12 Debrecen VSC W 2-157.6 1589 1549 48.01% 29.46% 22.53%+0.38 +4.5 25
2022-11-12 @ Puskas L 1-257.6 1549 1589 22.53% 29.46% 48.01%-0.38 -4.5 20
2022-11-12 Kecskemet D 0-060.8 1585 1532 49.58% 28.95% 21.47%+0.42 -1.2 22
2022-11-12 @ Zalaegerszeg D 0-060.8 1532 1585 21.47% 28.95% 49.58%-0.42 +1.2 26
2022-11-12 Ujpest W 3-152.4 1562 1522 47.96% 29.48% 22.57%+0.38 +7.7 21
2022-11-12 @ Paks L 1-352.4 1522 1562 22.57% 29.48% 47.96%-0.38 -7.7 16
2022-11-13 Ferencvaros L 0-249.2 1516 1692 20.91% 28.64% 50.45%-0.45 -8.3 16
2022-11-13 @ Honved W 2-049.2 1692 1516 50.45% 28.64% 20.91%+0.45 +8.3 34
2022-11-13 Kisvarda W 4-153.3 1551 1567 40.29% 31.20% 28.52%+0.16 +13.2 19
2022-11-13 @ Fehervar L 1-453.3 1567 1551 28.52% 31.20% 40.29%-0.16 -13.2 25
2022-11-13 Mezokovesd W 1-049.4 1434 1504 32.51% 31.58% 35.91%-0.05 +6.8 15
2022-11-13 @ Vasas L 0-149.4 1504 1434 35.91% 31.58% 32.51%+0.05 -6.8 16
2023-01-24 Ferencvaros L 1-262.4 1584 1700 26.70% 30.85% 42.45%-0.22 -5.1 22
2023-01-24 @ Zalaegerszeg W 2-162.4 1700 1584 42.45% 30.85% 26.70%+0.22 +5.1 37
2023-01-28 Paks D 2-271.0 1554 1569 40.26% 31.20% 28.54%+0.16 -0.3 26
2023-01-28 @ Kisvarda D 2-271.0 1569 1554 28.54% 31.20% 40.26%-0.16 +0.3 22
2023-01-28 Vasas D 0-065.6 1705 1440 74.26% 16.02% 9.72%+1.24 -2.8 38
2023-01-28 @ Ferencvaros D 0-065.6 1440 1705 9.72% 16.02% 74.26%-1.24 +2.8 16
2023-01-28 Zalaegerszeg W 3-049.1 1544 1578 37.69% 31.48% 30.83%+0.09 +16.6 23
2023-01-28 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-349.1 1578 1544 30.83% 31.48% 37.69%-0.09 -16.6 22
2023-01-29 Fehervar W 2-159.3 1533 1564 38.15% 31.44% 30.41%+0.11 +5.7 29
2023-01-29 @ Kecskemet L 1-259.3 1564 1533 30.41% 31.44% 38.15%-0.11 -5.7 19
2023-01-29 Honved W 2-155.1 1514 1508 43.35% 30.67% 25.98%+0.25 +5.0 19
2023-01-29 @ Ujpest L 1-255.1 1508 1514 25.98% 30.67% 43.35%-0.25 -5.0 16
2023-01-29 Puskas W 1-056.0 1497 1594 29.09% 31.28% 39.63%-0.15 +7.2 19
2023-01-29 @ Mezokovesd L 0-156.0 1594 1497 39.63% 31.28% 29.09%+0.15 -7.2 25
2023-02-01 Ferencvaros L 1-358.1 1570 1703 24.95% 30.38% 44.67%-0.28 -8.4 22
2023-02-01 @ Paks W 3-158.1 1703 1570 44.67% 30.38% 24.95%+0.28 +8.4 41
2023-02-03 Vasas D 1-164.1 1587 1443 60.99% 23.83% 15.18%+0.77 -1.8 26
2023-02-03 @ Puskas D 1-164.1 1443 1587 15.18% 23.83% 60.99%-0.77 +1.8 17
2023-02-04 Debrecen VSC D 1-165.1 1559 1561 42.16% 30.90% 26.94%+0.21 -0.5 20
2023-02-04 @ Fehervar D 1-165.1 1561 1559 26.94% 30.90% 42.16%-0.21 +0.5 24
2023-02-04 Kecskemet D 0-059.9 1561 1539 45.54% 30.16% 24.30%+0.31 -0.8 23
2023-02-04 @ Paks D 0-059.9 1539 1561 24.30% 30.16% 45.54%-0.31 +0.9 30
2023-02-04 Kisvarda D 1-162.7 1503 1553 35.32% 31.60% 33.08%+0.03 -0.1 17
2023-02-04 @ Honved D 1-162.7 1553 1503 33.08% 31.60% 35.32%-0.03 +0.1 27
2023-02-05 Mezokovesd D 0-059.2 1562 1504 50.22% 28.72% 21.06%+0.44 -1.2 23
2023-02-05 @ Zalaegerszeg D 0-059.2 1504 1562 21.06% 28.72% 50.22%-0.44 +1.2 20
2023-02-05 Ujpest W 3-150.8 1711 1519 66.61% 20.66% 12.73%+0.96 +4.1 44
2023-02-05 @ Ferencvaros L 1-350.8 1519 1711 12.73% 20.66% 66.61%-0.96 -4.1 19
2023-02-10 Fehervar W 2-159.1 1506 1558 35.07% 31.60% 33.33%+0.02 +6.0 23
2023-02-10 @ Mezokovesd L 1-259.1 1558 1506 33.33% 31.60% 35.07%-0.02 -6.0 20
2023-02-11 Ferencvaros D 0-064.2 1553 1715 22.14% 29.28% 48.58%-0.40 +1.1 28
2023-02-11 @ Kisvarda D 0-064.2 1715 1553 48.58% 29.28% 22.14%+0.40 -1.1 45
2023-02-11 Honved D 2-268.8 1540 1503 47.59% 29.59% 22.82%+0.37 -0.7 31
2023-02-11 @ Kecskemet D 2-268.8 1503 1540 22.82% 29.59% 47.59%-0.37 +0.7 18
2023-02-11 Paks W 2-158.7 1561 1560 42.63% 30.81% 26.56%+0.23 +5.1 27
2023-02-11 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-258.7 1560 1561 26.56% 30.81% 42.63%-0.23 -5.1 23
2023-02-12 Ujpest L 0-149.2 1445 1515 32.58% 31.58% 35.84%-0.04 -6.3 17
2023-02-12 @ Vasas W 1-049.2 1515 1445 35.84% 31.58% 32.58%+0.04 +6.3 22
2023-02-12 Zalaegerszeg W 1-052.7 1585 1561 45.81% 30.09% 24.10%+0.32 +5.0 29
2023-02-12 @ Puskas L 0-152.7 1561 1585 24.10% 30.09% 45.81%-0.32 -5.0 23
2023-02-17 Ujpest W 2-155.9 1554 1521 47.03% 29.75% 23.21%+0.35 +4.6 31
2023-02-17 @ Kisvarda L 1-255.9 1521 1554 23.21% 29.75% 47.03%-0.35 -4.6 22
2023-02-18 Kecskemet D 1-171.0 1714 1539 64.64% 21.80% 13.56%+0.89 -2.0 46
2023-02-18 @ Ferencvaros D 1-171.0 1539 1714 13.56% 21.80% 64.64%-0.89 +2.0 32
2023-02-18 Mezokovesd L 0-253.6 1555 1512 48.42% 29.33% 22.25%+0.39 -15.8 23
2023-02-18 @ Paks W 2-053.6 1512 1555 22.25% 29.33% 48.42%-0.39 +15.8 26
2023-02-18 Puskas D 1-165.5 1552 1590 37.16% 31.51% 31.32%+0.08 -0.2 21
2023-02-18 @ Fehervar D 1-165.5 1590 1552 31.32% 31.51% 37.16%-0.08 +0.2 30
2023-02-19 Debrecen VSC L 2-364.5 1503 1567 33.49% 31.61% 34.90%-0.02 -5.8 18
2023-02-19 @ Honved W 3-264.5 1567 1503 34.90% 31.61% 33.49%+0.02 +5.8 30
2023-02-19 Vasas D 0-057.5 1556 1439 57.79% 25.48% 16.73%+0.67 -1.8 24
2023-02-19 @ Zalaegerszeg D 0-057.5 1439 1556 16.73% 25.48% 57.79%-0.67 +1.8 18
2023-02-24 Honved D 0-057.4 1528 1497 46.61% 29.88% 23.52%+0.34 -0.9 27
2023-02-24 @ Mezokovesd D 0-057.4 1497 1528 23.52% 29.88% 46.61%-0.34 +0.9 19
2023-02-25 Fehervar W 2-158.2 1554 1552 42.76% 30.79% 26.45%+0.23 +5.1 27
2023-02-25 @ Zalaegerszeg L 1-258.2 1552 1554 26.45% 30.79% 42.76%-0.23 -5.1 21
2023-02-25 Kisvarda D 2-266.8 1440 1559 26.48% 30.79% 42.72%-0.23 +0.4 19
2023-02-25 @ Vasas D 2-266.8 1559 1440 42.72% 30.79% 26.48%+0.23 -0.4 32
2023-02-25 Paks L 1-459.3 1590 1540 49.32% 29.04% 21.64%+0.42 -19.7 30
2023-02-25 @ Puskas W 4-159.3 1540 1590 21.64% 29.04% 49.32%-0.42 +19.7 26
2023-02-26 Ferencvaros L 0-252.0 1572 1712 24.25% 30.14% 45.61%-0.31 -9.5 30
2023-02-26 @ Debrecen VSC W 2-052.0 1712 1572 45.61% 30.14% 24.25%+0.31 +9.5 49
2023-02-26 Ujpest D 2-269.2 1541 1517 45.88% 30.07% 24.05%+0.32 -0.6 33
2023-02-26 @ Kecskemet D 2-269.2 1517 1541 24.05% 30.07% 45.88%-0.32 +0.6 23
2023-03-03 Mezokovesd D 1-171.3 1721 1527 66.91% 20.48% 12.61%+0.97 -2.1 50
2023-03-03 @ Ferencvaros D 1-171.3 1527 1721 12.61% 20.48% 66.91%-0.97 +2.1 28
2023-03-04 Kecskemet L 0-157.6 1558 1541 44.94% 30.31% 24.75%+0.29 -7.9 32
2023-03-04 @ Kisvarda W 1-057.6 1541 1558 24.75% 30.31% 44.94%-0.29 +7.9 36
2023-03-04 Vasas W 2-149.9 1547 1441 56.43% 26.13% 17.44%+0.63 +3.4 24
2023-03-04 @ Fehervar L 1-249.9 1441 1547 17.44% 26.13% 56.43%-0.63 -3.4 19
2023-03-04 Zalaegerszeg W 3-155.2 1559 1559 42.53% 30.83% 26.64%+0.23 +8.9 29
2023-03-04 @ Paks L 1-355.2 1559 1559 26.64% 30.83% 42.53%-0.23 -8.9 27
2023-03-05 Debrecen VSC D 1-163.6 1517 1563 36.02% 31.57% 32.40%+0.05 -0.1 24
2023-03-05 @ Ujpest D 1-163.6 1563 1517 32.40% 31.57% 36.02%-0.05 +0.1 31
2023-03-05 Puskas W 3-156.6 1498 1570 32.30% 31.57% 36.13%-0.05 +11.1 22
2023-03-05 @ Honved L 1-356.6 1570 1498 36.13% 31.57% 32.30%+0.05 -11.1 30
2023-03-11 Debrecen VSC L 0-157.1 1551 1563 40.75% 31.13% 28.12%+0.18 -7.4 32
2023-03-11 @ Kisvarda W 1-057.1 1563 1551 28.12% 31.13% 40.75%-0.18 +7.4 34
2023-03-11 Fehervar W 2-157.9 1568 1550 44.95% 30.31% 24.74%+0.29 +4.8 32
2023-03-11 @ Paks L 1-257.9 1550 1568 24.74% 30.31% 44.95%-0.29 -4.8 24
2023-03-11 Zalaegerszeg W 1-052.7 1509 1550 36.77% 31.54% 31.70%+0.07 +6.2 25
2023-03-11 @ Honved L 0-152.7 1550 1509 31.70% 31.54% 36.77%-0.07 -6.2 27
2023-03-12 Mezokovesd W 1-050.9 1517 1529 40.85% 31.12% 28.04%+0.18 +5.7 27
2023-03-12 @ Ujpest L 0-150.9 1529 1517 28.04% 31.12% 40.85%-0.18 -5.7 28
2023-03-12 Puskas L 1-270.8 1719 1559 62.96% 22.75% 14.29%+0.84 -9.6 50
2023-03-12 @ Ferencvaros W 2-170.8 1559 1719 14.29% 22.75% 62.96%-0.84 +9.6 33
2023-03-12 Vasas W 2-040.2 1549 1437 57.09% 25.82% 17.09%+0.65 +6.7 39
2023-03-12 @ Kecskemet L 0-240.2 1437 1549 17.09% 25.82% 57.09%-0.65 -6.7 19
2023-03-18 Honved W 2-046.1 1545 1516 46.55% 29.89% 23.56%+0.34 +9.3 27
2023-03-18 @ Fehervar L 0-246.1 1516 1545 23.56% 29.89% 46.55%-0.34 -9.2 25
2023-03-18 Kecskemet L 1-264.1 1570 1555 44.56% 30.40% 25.04%+0.28 -7.4 34
2023-03-18 @ Debrecen VSC W 2-164.1 1555 1570 25.04% 30.40% 44.56%-0.28 +7.4 42
2023-03-18 Kisvarda D 1-163.2 1523 1543 39.67% 31.28% 29.06%+0.15 -0.4 29
2023-03-18 @ Mezokovesd D 1-163.2 1543 1523 29.06% 31.28% 39.67%-0.15 +0.4 33
2023-03-19 Ferencvaros W 1-062.4 1544 1710 21.76% 29.10% 49.14%-0.41 +8.5 30
2023-03-19 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-162.4 1710 1544 49.14% 29.10% 21.76%+0.41 -8.5 50
2023-03-19 Paks L 2-358.8 1431 1573 23.98% 30.05% 45.97%-0.32 -4.5 19
2023-03-19 @ Vasas W 3-258.8 1573 1431 45.97% 30.05% 23.98%+0.32 +4.4 35
2023-03-19 Ujpest W 5-148.8 1569 1523 48.75% 29.22% 22.02%+0.40 +13.8 36
2023-03-19 @ Puskas L 1-548.8 1523 1569 22.02% 29.22% 48.75%-0.40 -13.8 27
2023-04-01 Paks L 1-259.5 1506 1577 32.44% 31.58% 35.99%-0.05 -5.9 25
2023-04-01 @ Honved W 2-159.5 1577 1506 35.99% 31.58% 32.44%+0.05 +5.9 38
2023-04-01 Puskas D 2-271.0 1544 1583 36.98% 31.53% 31.50%+0.07 -0.1 34
2023-04-01 @ Kisvarda D 2-271.0 1583 1544 31.50% 31.53% 36.98%-0.07 +0.1 37
2023-04-01 Zalaegerszeg W 3-263.8 1509 1552 36.36% 31.56% 32.09%+0.06 +5.6 30
2023-04-01 @ Ujpest L 2-363.8 1552 1509 32.09% 31.56% 36.36%-0.06 -5.6 30
2023-04-02 Fehervar D 2-276.4 1701 1555 61.38% 23.62% 15.00%+0.79 -1.3 51
2023-04-02 @ Ferencvaros D 2-276.4 1555 1701 15.00% 23.62% 61.38%-0.79 +1.3 28
2023-04-02 Mezokovesd L 0-157.8 1563 1523 47.95% 29.48% 22.57%+0.38 -8.3 42
2023-04-02 @ Kecskemet W 1-057.8 1523 1563 22.57% 29.48% 47.95%-0.38 +8.3 32
2023-04-02 Vasas W 3-145.3 1563 1426 60.20% 24.25% 15.55%+0.75 +5.2 37
2023-04-02 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-345.3 1426 1563 15.55% 24.25% 60.20%-0.75 -5.2 19
2023-04-07 Debrecen VSC L 0-155.7 1531 1568 37.25% 31.51% 31.24%+0.08 -6.9 32
2023-04-07 @ Mezokovesd W 1-055.7 1568 1531 31.24% 31.51% 37.25%-0.08 +6.9 40
2023-04-08 Ferencvaros W 3-272.3 1583 1700 26.70% 30.85% 42.45%-0.22 +6.8 41
2023-04-08 @ Paks L 2-372.3 1700 1583 42.45% 30.85% 26.70%+0.22 -6.8 51
2023-04-08 Kecskemet L 0-353.7 1583 1554 46.36% 29.94% 23.69%+0.33 -22.2 37
2023-04-08 @ Puskas W 3-053.7 1554 1583 23.69% 29.94% 46.36%-0.33 +22.2 45
2023-04-08 Ujpest D 0-059.1 1556 1514 48.13% 29.42% 22.45%+0.38 -1.1 29
2023-04-08 @ Fehervar D 0-059.1 1514 1556 22.45% 29.42% 48.13%-0.38 +1.1 31
2023-04-09 Honved L 0-147.5 1421 1500 31.27% 31.51% 37.22%-0.08 -6.1 19
2023-04-09 @ Vasas W 1-047.5 1500 1421 37.22% 31.51% 31.27%+0.08 +6.1 28
2023-04-09 Kisvarda D 0-059.4 1547 1543 42.94% 30.75% 26.31%+0.24 -0.7 31
2023-04-09 @ Zalaegerszeg D 0-059.4 1543 1547 26.31% 30.75% 42.94%-0.24 +0.7 35
2023-04-14 Puskas L 0-158.7 1575 1560 44.50% 30.42% 25.08%+0.28 -7.9 40
2023-04-14 @ Debrecen VSC W 1-058.7 1560 1575 25.08% 30.42% 44.50%-0.28 +7.9 40
2023-04-15 Honved W 3-042.7 1693 1507 65.99% 21.02% 12.99%+0.94 +7.0 54
2023-04-15 @ Ferencvaros L 0-342.7 1507 1693 12.99% 21.02% 65.99%-0.94 -7.0 28
2023-04-15 Vasas L 1-453.9 1524 1415 56.85% 25.93% 17.21%+0.64 -21.8 32
2023-04-15 @ Mezokovesd W 4-153.9 1415 1524 17.21% 25.93% 56.85%-0.64 +21.8 22
2023-04-15 Zalaegerszeg W 3-046.4 1577 1546 46.68% 29.85% 23.46%+0.34 +13.4 48
2023-04-15 @ Kecskemet L 0-346.4 1546 1577 23.46% 29.85% 46.68%-0.34 -13.4 31
2023-04-16 Fehervar D 0-059.6 1544 1555 40.98% 31.10% 27.92%+0.18 -0.5 36
2023-04-16 @ Kisvarda D 0-059.6 1555 1544 27.92% 31.10% 40.98%-0.18 +0.5 30
2023-04-16 Paks W 3-266.6 1516 1590 31.94% 31.55% 36.51%-0.06 +6.1 34
2023-04-16 @ Ujpest L 2-366.6 1590 1516 36.51% 31.55% 31.94%+0.06 -6.1 41
2023-04-21 Ujpest L 0-153.5 1500 1522 39.39% 31.31% 29.30%+0.14 -7.2 28
2023-04-21 @ Honved W 1-053.5 1522 1500 29.30% 31.31% 39.39%-0.14 +7.2 37
2023-04-22 Ferencvaros L 0-147.8 1437 1700 15.00% 23.62% 61.37%-0.79 -3.1 22
2023-04-22 @ Vasas W 1-047.8 1700 1437 61.37% 23.62% 15.00%+0.79 +3.1 57
2023-04-22 Kecskemet L 1-262.9 1555 1590 37.60% 31.48% 30.92%+0.09 -6.6 30
2023-04-22 @ Fehervar W 2-162.9 1590 1555 30.92% 31.48% 37.60%-0.09 +6.6 51
2023-04-23 Debrecen VSC L 0-252.2 1533 1567 37.62% 31.48% 30.90%+0.09 -13.2 31
2023-04-23 @ Zalaegerszeg W 2-052.2 1567 1533 30.90% 31.48% 37.62%-0.09 +13.1 43
2023-04-23 Kisvarda W 2-047.9 1584 1544 47.99% 29.47% 22.54%+0.38 +8.9 44
2023-04-23 @ Paks L 0-247.9 1544 1584 22.54% 29.47% 47.99%-0.38 -8.9 36
2023-04-23 Mezokovesd W 2-154.4 1568 1502 51.37% 28.30% 20.33%+0.48 +4.0 43
2023-04-23 @ Puskas L 1-254.4 1502 1568 20.33% 28.30% 51.37%-0.48 -4.0 32
2023-04-28 Paks L 2-370.7 1597 1593 43.01% 30.74% 26.25%+0.24 -6.9 51
2023-04-28 @ Kecskemet W 3-270.7 1593 1597 26.25% 30.74% 43.01%-0.24 +6.9 47
2023-04-29 Honved D 2-268.3 1535 1492 48.24% 29.39% 22.37%+0.39 -0.7 37
2023-04-29 @ Kisvarda D 2-268.3 1492 1535 22.37% 29.39% 48.24%-0.39 +0.7 29
2023-04-29 Puskas D 2-267.2 1434 1572 24.33% 30.17% 45.50%-0.31 +0.6 23
2023-04-29 @ Vasas D 2-267.2 1572 1434 45.50% 30.17% 24.33%+0.31 -0.6 44
2023-04-29 Zalaegerszeg L 1-259.2 1498 1519 39.50% 31.30% 29.20%+0.14 -6.8 32
2023-04-29 @ Mezokovesd W 2-159.2 1519 1498 29.20% 31.30% 39.50%-0.14 +6.8 34
2023-04-30 Fehervar W 2-048.3 1580 1549 46.80% 29.82% 23.38%+0.34 +9.2 46
2023-04-30 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-248.3 1549 1580 23.38% 29.82% 46.80%-0.34 -9.2 30
2023-05-01 Ferencvaros L 2-364.4 1529 1703 21.04% 28.71% 50.24%-0.44 -4.0 37
2023-05-01 @ Ujpest W 3-264.4 1703 1529 50.24% 28.71% 21.04%+0.44 +4.0 60
2023-05-05 Kecskemet W 1-055.8 1493 1590 29.07% 31.28% 39.66%-0.15 +7.2 32
2023-05-05 @ Honved L 0-155.8 1590 1493 39.66% 31.28% 29.07%+0.15 -7.2 51
2023-05-06 Debrecen VSC D 0-062.3 1600 1590 43.89% 30.55% 25.55%+0.26 -0.7 48
2023-05-06 @ Paks D 0-062.3 1590 1600 25.55% 30.55% 43.89%-0.26 +0.7 47
2023-05-06 Kisvarda W 3-044.0 1707 1534 64.48% 21.90% 13.63%+0.89 +7.4 63
2023-05-06 @ Ferencvaros L 0-344.0 1534 1707 13.63% 21.90% 64.48%-0.89 -7.5 37
2023-05-06 Vasas D 1-160.5 1525 1434 54.53% 27.00% 18.47%+0.57 -1.4 38
2023-05-06 @ Ujpest D 1-160.5 1434 1525 18.47% 27.00% 54.53%-0.57 +1.4 24
2023-05-07 Mezokovesd D 1-162.5 1540 1491 49.02% 29.14% 21.84%+0.41 -1.0 31
2023-05-07 @ Fehervar D 1-162.5 1491 1540 21.84% 29.14% 49.02%-0.41 +1.0 33
2023-05-07 Puskas W 2-160.0 1526 1572 36.05% 31.57% 32.38%+0.05 +5.9 37
2023-05-07 @ Zalaegerszeg L 1-260.0 1572 1526 32.38% 31.57% 36.05%-0.05 -5.9 44
2023-05-13 Ferencvaros W 2-058.4 1583 1715 25.02% 30.40% 44.58%-0.28 +14.9 54
2023-05-13 @ Kecskemet L 0-258.4 1715 1583 44.58% 30.40% 25.02%+0.28 -14.9 63
2023-05-13 Honved D 0-060.5 1590 1500 54.43% 27.04% 18.53%+0.57 -1.5 48
2023-05-13 @ Debrecen VSC D 0-060.5 1500 1590 18.53% 27.04% 54.43%-0.57 +1.5 33
2023-05-13 Zalaegerszeg D 1-159.5 1435 1532 29.06% 31.28% 39.66%-0.15 +0.4 25
2023-05-13 @ Vasas D 1-159.5 1532 1435 39.66% 31.28% 29.06%+0.15 -0.4 38
2023-05-14 Fehervar W 2-157.1 1566 1539 46.23% 29.98% 23.79%+0.33 +4.7 47
2023-05-14 @ Puskas L 1-257.1 1539 1566 23.79% 29.98% 46.23%-0.33 -4.7 31
2023-05-14 Paks W 6-154.7 1492 1599 27.87% 31.09% 41.05%-0.18 +27.1 36
2023-05-14 @ Mezokovesd L 1-654.7 1599 1492 41.05% 31.09% 27.87%+0.18 -27.1 48
2023-05-14 Ujpest W 2-046.8 1526 1524 42.90% 30.76% 26.34%+0.24 +10.2 40
2023-05-14 @ Kisvarda L 0-246.8 1524 1526 26.34% 30.76% 42.90%-0.24 -10.2 38
2023-05-19 Puskas L 0-254.8 1572 1571 42.67% 30.80% 26.53%+0.23 -14.4 48
2023-05-19 @ Paks W 2-054.8 1571 1572 26.53% 30.80% 42.67%-0.23 +14.4 50
2023-05-19 Vasas W 2-149.5 1537 1436 55.79% 26.43% 17.78%+0.61 +3.5 43
2023-05-19 @ Kisvarda L 1-249.5 1436 1537 17.78% 26.43% 55.79%-0.61 -3.5 25
2023-05-20 Debrecen VSC L 1-366.6 1700 1589 57.06% 25.83% 17.11%+0.65 -15.5 63
2023-05-20 @ Ferencvaros W 3-166.6 1589 1700 17.11% 25.83% 57.06%-0.65 +15.5 51
2023-05-20 Zalaegerszeg W 3-045.7 1534 1532 42.77% 30.78% 26.44%+0.23 +14.8 34
2023-05-20 @ Fehervar L 0-345.7 1532 1534 26.44% 30.78% 42.77%-0.23 -14.8 38
2023-05-21 Kecskemet W 3-050.8 1513 1597 30.68% 31.46% 37.86%-0.10 +19.2 41
2023-05-21 @ Ujpest L 0-350.8 1597 1513 37.86% 31.46% 30.68%+0.10 -19.2 54
2023-05-21 Mezokovesd L 2-364.6 1502 1520 40.01% 31.23% 28.76%+0.16 -6.5 33
2023-05-21 @ Honved W 3-264.6 1520 1502 28.76% 31.23% 40.01%-0.16 +6.5 39
2023-05-26 Kisvarda W 1-051.4 1578 1540 47.68% 29.56% 22.76%+0.37 +4.8 57
2023-05-26 @ Kecskemet L 0-151.4 1540 1578 22.76% 29.56% 47.68%-0.37 -4.8 43
2023-05-26 Paks D 1-163.4 1517 1557 36.78% 31.54% 31.68%+0.07 -0.2 39
2023-05-26 @ Zalaegerszeg D 1-163.4 1557 1517 31.68% 31.54% 36.78%-0.07 +0.2 49
2023-05-27 Fehervar D 0-055.4 1432 1549 26.73% 30.85% 42.41%-0.22 +0.6 26
2023-05-27 @ Vasas D 0-055.4 1549 1432 42.41% 30.85% 26.73%+0.22 -0.6 35
2023-05-27 Honved W 2-153.9 1585 1495 54.39% 27.06% 18.55%+0.57 +3.7 53
2023-05-27 @ Puskas L 1-253.9 1495 1585 18.55% 27.06% 54.39%-0.57 -3.7 33
2023-05-27 Ujpest W 2-046.9 1604 1533 52.10% 28.02% 19.89%+0.50 +7.9 54
2023-05-27 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-246.9 1533 1604 19.89% 28.02% 52.10%-0.50 -7.9 41
2023-05-28 Ferencvaros W 1-061.3 1526 1684 22.46% 29.43% 48.11%-0.38 +8.4 42
2023-05-28 @ Mezokovesd L 0-161.3 1684 1526 48.11% 29.43% 22.46%+0.38 -8.3 63

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-03-12 14.29% Puskas 1559 2 @ Ferencvaros 1719 1
2 2023-05-20 17.11% Debrecen VSC 1589 3 @ Ferencvaros 1700 1
3 2023-04-15 17.21% Vasas 1415 4 @ Mezokovesd 1524 1
4 2022-10-29 17.75% Vasas 1450 1 @ Paks 1551 0
5 2022-09-04 18.54% Honved 1524 1 @ Kisvarda 1613 0
6 2022-10-16 19.24% @ Mezokovesd 1488 2 Ferencvaros 1685 1
7 2022-10-02 19.94% @ Kecskemet 1509 2 Ferencvaros 1697 0
8 2022-10-22 21.26% Honved 1522 2 @ Zalaegerszeg 1577 0
9 2023-02-25 21.64% Paks 1540 4 @ Puskas 1590 1
10 2023-03-19 21.76% @ Zalaegerszeg 1544 1 Ferencvaros 1710 0
11 2023-02-18 22.25% Mezokovesd 1512 2 @ Paks 1555 0
12 2023-05-28 22.46% @ Mezokovesd 1526 1 Ferencvaros 1684 0
13 2022-10-10 22.50% Ujpest 1531 1 @ Fehervar 1572 0
14 2023-04-02 22.57% Mezokovesd 1523 1 @ Kecskemet 1563 0
15 2023-04-08 23.69% Kecskemet 1554 3 @ Puskas 1583 0
16 2022-11-08 23.88% Zalaegerszeg 1562 3 @ Kisvarda 1589 0
17 2023-03-04 24.75% Kecskemet 1541 1 @ Kisvarda 1558 0
18 2022-11-05 24.91% Kisvarda 1581 1 @ Puskas 1597 0
19 2023-05-13 25.02% @ Kecskemet 1583 2 Ferencvaros 1715 0
20 2023-03-18 25.04% Kecskemet 1555 2 @ Debrecen VSC 1570 1
21 2023-04-14 25.08% Puskas 1560 1 @ Debrecen VSC 1575 0
22 2022-10-07 25.20% Kecskemet 1525 2 @ Ujpest 1539 1
23 2022-07-29 25.87% Zalaegerszeg 1541 1 @ Honved 1549 0
24 2022-10-15 26.00% @ Vasas 1441 2 Fehervar 1564 0
25 2023-04-28 26.25% Paks 1593 3 @ Kecskemet 1597 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-09-02 33.18 Zalaegerszeg 5 1536 27.24% @ Mezokovesd 0 1531 41.80% 30.96%
2 2022-09-04 28.30 Ferencvaros 6 1657 42.77% @ Ujpest 0 1538 26.44% 30.79%
3 2023-05-14 27.12 @ Mezokovesd 6 1492 27.87% Paks 1 1599 41.05% 31.09%
4 2022-10-01 24.75 @ Ujpest 4 1514 31.33% Kisvarda 0 1593 37.16% 31.51%
5 2022-11-06 23.14 @ Paks 5 1542 43.95% Honved 0 1531 25.51% 30.54%
6 2023-04-08 22.25 Kecskemet 3 1554 23.69% @ Puskas 0 1583 46.36% 29.94%
7 2022-11-08 22.16 Zalaegerszeg 3 1562 23.88% @ Kisvarda 0 1589 46.11% 30.01%
8 2023-04-15 21.84 Vasas 4 1415 17.21% @ Mezokovesd 1 1524 56.85% 25.93%
9 2023-02-25 19.65 Paks 4 1540 21.64% @ Puskas 1 1590 49.32% 29.04%
10 2023-05-21 19.19 @ Ujpest 3 1513 30.68% Kecskemet 0 1597 37.86% 31.46%
11 2022-11-06 17.42 Debrecen VSC 3 1527 35.48% @ Vasas 0 1459 32.92% 31.59%
12 2022-08-14 17.31 @ Ferencvaros 4 1630 47.07% Fehervar 0 1597 23.19% 29.74%
13 2022-08-07 16.98 @ Fehervar 4 1580 47.79% Honved 0 1541 22.68% 29.53%
14 2022-10-02 16.69 @ Kecskemet 2 1509 19.94% Ferencvaros 0 1697 52.01% 28.05%
15 2023-01-28 16.63 @ Debrecen VSC 3 1544 37.69% Zalaegerszeg 0 1578 30.83% 31.48%
16 2022-10-22 16.19 Honved 2 1522 21.26% @ Zalaegerszeg 0 1577 49.90% 28.84%
17 2023-02-18 15.83 Mezokovesd 2 1512 22.25% @ Paks 0 1555 48.42% 29.33%
18 2023-05-20 15.48 Debrecen VSC 3 1589 17.11% @ Ferencvaros 1 1700 57.06% 25.83%
19 2022-10-15 15.07 @ Zalaegerszeg 3 1562 42.01% Paks 0 1565 27.07% 30.93%
20 2023-05-13 14.88 @ Kecskemet 2 1583 25.02% Ferencvaros 0 1715 44.58% 30.40%
21 2023-05-20 14.79 @ Fehervar 3 1534 42.77% Zalaegerszeg 0 1532 26.44% 30.78%
22 2022-10-15 14.57 @ Vasas 2 1441 26.00% Fehervar 0 1564 43.33% 30.67%
23 2023-05-19 14.41 Puskas 2 1571 26.53% @ Paks 0 1572 42.67% 30.80%
24 2023-03-19 13.77 @ Puskas 5 1569 48.75% Ujpest 1 1523 22.02% 29.22%
25 2022-10-16 13.46 @ Debrecen VSC 4 1519 39.52% Ujpest 1 1540 29.19% 31.29%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-04-02 76.4 @ Ferencvaros 2 1701 61.38% Fehervar 2 1555 15.00% 23.62%
2 2022-10-30 74.6 @ Ujpest 3 1520 31.62% Puskas 3 1597 36.85% 31.53%
3 2022-08-14 74.3 @ Honved 3 1524 33.89% Paks 3 1584 34.50% 31.61%
4 2022-10-14 74.3 @ Kecskemet 3 1533 36.53% Kisvarda 3 1575 31.92% 31.55%
5 2022-11-06 74.2 @ Fehervar 2 1556 24.93% Ferencvaros 2 1689 44.71% 30.37%
6 2023-04-08 72.3 @ Paks 3 1583 26.70% Ferencvaros 2 1700 42.45% 30.85%
7 2023-03-03 71.3 @ Ferencvaros 1 1721 66.91% Mezokovesd 1 1527 12.61% 20.48%
8 2022-07-31 71.1 @ Kisvarda 2 1576 48.01% Debrecen VSC 2 1535 22.53% 29.46%
9 2023-01-28 71.0 @ Kisvarda 2 1554 40.26% Paks 2 1569 28.54% 31.20%
10 2023-02-18 71.0 @ Ferencvaros 1 1714 64.64% Kecskemet 1 1539 13.56% 21.80%
11 2023-04-01 71.0 @ Kisvarda 2 1544 36.98% Puskas 2 1583 31.50% 31.53%
12 2023-03-12 70.8 Puskas 2 1559 14.29% @ Ferencvaros 1 1719 62.96% 22.75%
13 2023-04-28 70.7 Paks 3 1593 26.25% @ Kecskemet 2 1597 43.01% 30.74%
14 2022-10-29 69.3 @ Kecskemet 2 1539 44.21% Debrecen VSC 2 1526 25.31% 30.48%
15 2023-02-26 69.2 @ Kecskemet 2 1541 45.88% Ujpest 2 1517 24.05% 30.07%
16 2023-02-11 68.8 @ Kecskemet 2 1540 47.59% Honved 2 1503 22.82% 29.59%
17 2022-08-05 68.5 @ Vasas 2 1457 25.51% Paks 2 1585 43.95% 30.54%
18 2023-04-29 68.3 @ Kisvarda 2 1535 48.24% Honved 2 1492 22.37% 29.39%
19 2022-10-08 67.8 @ Honved 2 1527 47.85% Mezokovesd 2 1488 22.64% 29.51%
20 2022-08-26 67.4 Paks 3 1584 31.68% @ Ujpest 2 1544 36.78% 31.54%
21 2022-10-16 67.2 @ Mezokovesd 2 1488 19.24% Ferencvaros 1 1685 53.18% 27.58%
22 2023-04-29 67.2 @ Vasas 2 1434 24.33% Puskas 2 1572 45.50% 30.17%
23 2023-02-25 66.8 @ Vasas 2 1440 26.48% Kisvarda 2 1559 42.72% 30.79%
24 2022-10-24 66.6 Kisvarda 3 1575 32.03% @ Debrecen VSC 2 1532 36.42% 31.56%
25 2023-04-16 66.6 @ Ujpest 3 1516 31.94% Paks 2 1590 36.51% 31.55%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-03-12 40.2 @ Kecskemet 2 1549 57.09% Vasas 0 1437 17.09% 25.82%
2 2022-11-10 40.6 @ Honved 2 1508 51.38% Vasas 0 1442 20.33% 28.30%
3 2022-10-08 41.0 @ Kisvarda 2 1569 58.29% Vasas 0 1448 16.48% 25.23%
4 2023-04-15 42.7 @ Ferencvaros 3 1693 65.99% Honved 0 1507 12.99% 21.02%
5 2023-05-06 44.0 @ Ferencvaros 3 1707 64.48% Kisvarda 0 1534 13.63% 21.90%
6 2022-11-06 44.9 Debrecen VSC 3 1527 35.48% @ Vasas 0 1459 32.92% 31.59%
7 2023-04-02 45.3 @ Debrecen VSC 3 1563 60.20% Vasas 1 1426 15.55% 24.25%
8 2022-10-09 45.6 @ Ferencvaros 2 1680 62.44% Debrecen VSC 0 1524 14.52% 23.04%
9 2023-05-20 45.7 @ Fehervar 3 1534 42.77% Zalaegerszeg 0 1532 26.44% 30.78%
10 2022-08-07 46.1 @ Fehervar 4 1580 47.79% Honved 0 1541 22.68% 29.53%
11 2023-03-18 46.1 @ Fehervar 2 1545 46.55% Honved 0 1516 23.56% 29.89%
12 2023-04-15 46.4 @ Kecskemet 3 1577 46.68% Zalaegerszeg 0 1546 23.46% 29.85%
13 2022-11-06 46.7 @ Paks 5 1542 43.95% Honved 0 1531 25.51% 30.54%
14 2023-05-14 46.8 @ Kisvarda 2 1526 42.90% Ujpest 0 1524 26.34% 30.76%
15 2023-05-27 46.9 @ Debrecen VSC 2 1604 52.10% Ujpest 0 1533 19.89% 28.02%
16 2023-04-09 47.5 Honved 1 1500 37.22% @ Vasas 0 1421 31.27% 31.51%
17 2023-04-22 47.8 Ferencvaros 1 1700 61.37% @ Vasas 0 1437 15.00% 23.62%
18 2023-04-23 47.9 @ Paks 2 1584 47.99% Kisvarda 0 1544 22.54% 29.47%
19 2022-10-15 48.0 @ Zalaegerszeg 3 1562 42.01% Paks 0 1565 27.07% 30.93%
20 2022-09-11 48.1 @ Ferencvaros 3 1686 53.32% Kisvarda 0 1604 19.16% 27.52%
21 2023-04-30 48.3 @ Debrecen VSC 2 1580 46.80% Fehervar 0 1549 23.38% 29.82%
22 2022-08-07 48.8 @ Puskas 2 1571 44.86% Ujpest 0 1554 24.81% 30.33%
23 2023-03-19 48.8 @ Puskas 5 1569 48.75% Ujpest 1 1523 22.02% 29.22%
24 2022-08-14 49.0 @ Ferencvaros 4 1630 47.07% Fehervar 0 1597 23.19% 29.74%
25 2023-01-28 49.1 @ Debrecen VSC 3 1544 37.69% Zalaegerszeg 0 1578 30.83% 31.48%