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2023-24 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Ferencvaros

74 points · 35th Title

Last Title: 2022-23

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ferencvaros

8.06 points above expected

74 points · 65.94 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mezokovesd

16.90 points below expected

21 points · 37.90 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ferencvaros Champion 33 23 5 5 74 80 30 +50 65.94 +8.06
2 Paks 33 17 7 9 58 51 42 +9 52.71 +5.29
3 Puskas 33 15 10 8 55 60 35 +25 53.95 +1.05
4 Fehervar 33 16 6 11 54 55 40 +15 49.05 +4.95
5 Debrecen VSC 33 14 6 13 48 49 48 +1 49.97 -1.97
6 Kecskemet 33 13 6 14 45 45 45 0 47.09 -2.09
7 Diosgyor 33 12 9 12 45 50 56 -6 41.11 +3.89
8 MTK Budapest 33 12 8 13 44 43 62 -19 36.96 +7.04
9 Zalaegerszeg 33 12 7 14 43 54 60 -6 40.50 +2.50
10 Ujpest 33 11 4 18 37 45 67 -22 39.96 -2.96
11 Kisvarda 33 9 4 20 31 40 55 -15 38.60 -7.60
12 Mezokovesd 33 5 6 22 21 31 63 -32 37.90 -16.90

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ferencvaros 74 65.94 +8.06
2 MTK Budapest 44 36.96 +7.04
3 Paks 58 52.71 +5.29
4 Fehervar 54 49.05 +4.95
5 Diosgyor 45 41.11 +3.89

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mezokovesd 21 37.90 -16.90
2 Kisvarda 31 38.60 -7.60
3 Ujpest 37 39.96 -2.96
4 Kecskemet 45 47.09 -2.09
5 Debrecen VSC 48 49.97 -1.97

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MTK Budapest 4 Aug 19 – Sep 23 1 in 127
2 Ferencvaros 7 Dec 17 – Mar 10 1 in 32
3 Paks 4 Sep 2 – Sep 30 1 in 26
4 Fehervar 3 Oct 28 – Nov 12 1 in 21
5 Ujpest 3 Sep 30 – Oct 21 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Paks 5 Mar 16 – Apr 20 1 in 211
2 Kisvarda 6 Aug 21 – Oct 6 1 in 46
3 Ujpest 5 Oct 29 – Dec 3 1 in 35
4 Kecskemet 4 Sep 3 – Oct 1 1 in 35
5 Mezokovesd 7 Mar 31 – May 12 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MTK Budapest 6 Mar 10 – Apr 21 1 in 42
2 Zalaegerszeg 5 Feb 3 – Feb 24 1 in 32
3 Fehervar 7 Oct 28 – Dec 16 1 in 27
4 Kisvarda 4 Apr 6 – Apr 28 1 in 26
5 Ujpest 4 Mar 3 – Mar 31 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Paks 6 Mar 10 – Apr 20 1 in 44
2 Ferencvaros 4 Nov 5 – Dec 3 1 in 30
3 Ujpest 9 Oct 29 – Feb 6 1 in 28
4 Puskas 5 Feb 24 – Mar 29 1 in 20
5 Mezokovesd 10 Mar 9 – May 17 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ferencvaros 1757 74 -12 10 11.5 -1.5
Paks 1585 58 -20 8 7.8 +0.2
Puskas 1665 55 +46 12 9.1 +2.9
Fehervar 1601 54 -5 5 8.9 -3.9
Debrecen VSC 1569 48 -22 6 6.6 -0.6
Kecskemet 1563 45 +34 11 7.7 +3.3
Diosgyor 1491 45 -14 8 5.7 +2.3
MTK Budapest 1460 44 -20 4 5.1 -1.1
Zalaegerszeg 1555 43 +9 8 6.7 +1.3
Ujpest 1460 37 +14 3 5.4 -2.4
Kisvarda 1484 31 +8 7 5.0 +2.0
Mezokovesd 1391 21 -17 1 4.6 -3.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DV DIO FEH FER KEC KIS MB MEZ PAK PUS UJP ZAL
Debrecen VSC —
0-1-2
4.97
2-0-1
4.16
0-1-2
2.45
2-1-0
4.82
2-1-0
5.03
0-0-3
5.78
1-0-2
5.39
1-1-1
3.54
1-1-1
3.39
2-0-1
5.66
3-0-0
5.40
Diosgyor
2-1-0
3.41
—
1-1-1
2.85
1-0-2
2.05
1-1-1
4.06
2-1-0
4.50
0-2-1
4.15
3-0-0
3.97
1-1-1
3.41
0-2-1
3.34
0-0-3
4.52
1-0-2
4.19
Fehervar
1-0-2
4.23
1-1-1
5.55
—
1-0-2
3.03
1-1-1
3.92
2-0-1
4.99
3-0-0
5.46
3-0-0
5.27
2-0-1
3.72
1-2-0
3.56
1-0-2
4.77
0-2-1
5.47
Ferencvaros
2-1-0
5.97
2-0-1
6.41
2-0-1
5.37
—
2-0-1
6.06
2-1-0
6.46
3-0-0
6.13
2-1-0
6.16
2-0-1
5.38
0-2-1
5.49
3-0-0
6.70
3-0-0
6.01
Kecskemet
0-1-2
3.56
1-1-1
4.32
1-1-1
4.46
1-0-2
2.36
—
3-0-0
4.96
0-1-2
5.04
2-0-1
5.29
0-2-1
3.78
1-0-2
4.02
2-0-1
4.49
2-0-1
4.83
Kisvarda
0-1-2
3.35
0-1-2
3.88
1-0-2
3.39
0-1-2
1.99
0-0-3
3.42
—
1-1-1
4.32
3-0-0
4.76
0-0-3
2.69
0-0-3
2.82
2-0-1
4.35
2-0-1
4.39
MTK Budapest
3-0-0
2.63
1-2-0
4.23
0-0-3
2.94
0-0-3
2.30
2-1-0
3.35
1-1-1
4.06
—
1-1-1
4.10
0-2-1
3.01
0-0-3
3.00
3-0-0
4.04
1-1-1
3.55
Mezokovesd
2-0-1
3.00
0-0-3
4.41
0-0-3
3.13
0-1-2
2.27
1-0-2
3.11
0-0-3
3.62
1-1-1
4.28
—
0-0-3
2.54
0-1-2
3.10
1-2-0
3.63
0-1-2
3.80
Paks
1-1-1
4.84
1-1-1
4.98
1-0-2
4.66
1-0-2
3.02
1-2-0
4.61
3-0-0
5.71
1-2-0
5.40
3-0-0
5.88
—
2-0-1
3.82
2-0-1
5.50
1-1-1
4.91
Puskas
1-1-1
4.99
1-2-0
5.04
0-2-1
4.83
1-2-0
2.91
2-0-1
4.36
3-0-0
5.59
3-0-0
5.39
2-1-0
5.29
1-0-2
4.56
—
1-1-1
5.38
0-1-2
5.11
Ujpest
1-0-2
2.74
3-0-0
3.86
2-0-1
3.62
0-0-3
1.77
1-0-2
3.89
1-0-2
4.03
0-0-3
4.33
0-2-1
4.75
1-0-2
2.90
1-1-1
3.02
—
1-1-1
4.42
Zalaegerszeg
0-0-3
2.99
2-0-1
4.19
1-2-0
2.92
0-0-3
2.41
1-0-2
3.55
1-0-2
3.99
1-1-1
4.84
2-1-0
4.59
1-1-1
3.48
2-1-0
3.28
1-1-1
3.96
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +10.3
Allowed 0.69 -9.4
Differential 0.87 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%6.82%5.81%2.78%1.52%1.26%23.74%
16.82%9.09%10.61%5.05%1.26%2.02%34.85%
25.81%10.61%3.03%0.76%0.51%0.51%21.21%
32.78%5.05%0.76%2.02%0.51%0.76%11.87%
41.52%1.26%0.51%0.51%——3.79%
5+1.26%2.02%0.51%0.76%——4.55%
Total23.74%34.85%21.21%11.87%3.79%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.52 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 2.06
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
118.18%9.09%15.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%54.55%
23.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
3—9.09%———3.03%12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total24.24%36.36%24.24%6.06%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.45 +0.03
SD 1.15 1.35 1.74
CV 0.77 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%24.24%
1—12.12%15.15%—3.03%3.03%33.33%
29.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
3—9.09%—3.03%——12.12%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total21.21%33.33%24.24%9.09%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.70 -0.18
SD 1.33 1.59 2.23
CV 0.87 0.94 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%9.09%—3.03%—27.27%
19.09%3.03%3.03%6.06%——21.21%
29.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
36.06%6.06%—6.06%—3.03%21.21%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total39.39%27.27%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.21 +0.45
SD 1.41 1.34 2.08
CV 0.84 1.11 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
19.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
212.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%——30.30%
39.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
4———————
5+3.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
Total39.39%36.36%18.18%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 0.91 +1.52
SD 1.82 0.91 1.89
CV 0.75 1.01 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%9.09%3.03%——33.33%
16.06%6.06%6.06%6.06%——24.24%
2—15.15%3.03%———18.18%
36.06%9.09%—3.03%—3.03%21.21%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%48.48%18.18%12.12%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.36 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.11 1.64
CV 0.91 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%———27.27%
16.06%3.03%15.15%18.18%3.03%—45.45%
23.03%6.06%—3.03%3.03%—15.15%
3—3.03%————3.03%
43.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
5+———————
Total21.21%27.27%21.21%24.24%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.67 -0.45
SD 1.17 1.24 1.64
CV 0.96 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%24.24%
13.03%9.09%6.06%6.06%—9.09%33.33%
26.06%18.18%6.06%———30.30%
33.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%18.18%12.12%3.03%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.88 -0.58
SD 0.98 1.71 2.21
CV 0.75 0.91 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%33.33%
16.06%9.09%24.24%9.09%——48.48%
23.03%3.03%3.03%—3.03%—12.12%
3————3.03%—3.03%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%15.15%39.39%15.15%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.91 -0.97
SD 0.93 1.31 1.70
CV 0.99 0.69 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%—3.03%—3.03%18.18%
19.09%15.15%9.09%——3.03%36.36%
212.12%15.15%————27.27%
33.03%3.03%3.03%—3.03%—12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total30.30%42.42%15.15%3.03%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.27 +0.27
SD 1.20 1.44 1.92
CV 0.78 1.13 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%6.06%———24.24%
16.06%15.15%3.03%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
23.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+6.06%3.03%————9.09%
Total30.30%45.45%15.15%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.06 +0.76
SD 1.69 1.00 2.06
CV 0.93 0.94 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%6.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%33.33%
1—6.06%15.15%—3.03%3.03%27.27%
29.09%15.15%3.03%———27.27%
3——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
4———————
5+3.03%——3.03%——6.06%
Total12.12%27.27%27.27%18.18%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.03 -0.67
SD 1.54 1.38 2.43
CV 1.13 0.68 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
19.09%15.15%9.09%6.06%—3.03%42.42%
2—9.09%3.03%3.03%—6.06%21.21%
33.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+—6.06%————6.06%
Total12.12%42.42%18.18%18.18%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.82 -0.18
SD 1.32 1.47 1.99
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ferencvaros 1757 74 65.94 +8.06 87.0% 43 52 61 67 71 77 82
Puskas 1665 55 53.95 +1.05 59.0% 35 39 48 54 60 66 74
Fehervar 1601 54 49.05 +4.95 83.0% 34 36 45 49 54 62 65
Paks 1585 58 52.71 +5.29 79.0% 36 41 48 54 58 64 70
Debrecen VSC 1569 48 49.97 -1.97 42.0% 32 38 45 49 54 62 71
Kecskemet 1563 45 47.09 -2.09 38.0% 27 36 43 47 52 59 67
Zalaegerszeg 1555 43 40.50 +2.50 66.0% 20 27 35 41 45 54 60
Diosgyor 1491 45 41.11 +3.89 75.0% 24 28 37 41 45 52 59
Kisvarda 1484 31 38.60 -7.60 19.0% 19 26 35 39 43 50 56
MTK Budapest 1460 44 36.96 +7.04 82.0% 17 24 31 37 41 52 58
Ujpest 1460 37 39.96 -2.96 38.0% 23 26 34 39 45 54 63
Mezokovesd 1391 21 37.90 -16.90 2.0% 20 27 33 37 42 49 67

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.67%
Slight Edge
48.48%19.70%31.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge
158 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
058.45400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
74%
Ferencvaros, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.48/gm
Runaway
00.260.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.99 * Some Luck: 5.99 to 8.98 * Lucky: 8.98 to 11.98 * Wild Swing: 11.98 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.59 * Close: 1.59 to 2.39 * Off: 2.39 to 3.19 * Way Off: 3.19 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.77 points
Some Luck
07.4819
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.994
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
87.00%
Ferencvaros
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Mezokovesd
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 99.96
1.74
Moderate Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
65%
Even
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Clear Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Occasional
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.85
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Strong Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.02
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.03
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ferencvaros74.00%15.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——1.00%———
Paks4.00%22.00%25.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%
Puskas10.00%28.00%16.00%17.00%8.00%10.00%1.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%——
Fehervar4.00%10.00%11.00%16.00%15.00%20.00%9.00%9.00%—4.00%2.00%—
Debrecen VSC5.00%12.00%17.00%18.00%18.00%7.00%8.00%3.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%
Kecskemet1.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%18.00%12.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%
Diosgyor—2.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%21.00%12.00%9.00%14.00%9.00%
MTK Budapest—2.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%17.00%13.00%23.00%24.00%
Zalaegerszeg—1.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%14.00%16.00%12.00%19.00%5.00%13.00%
Ujpest1.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%15.00%14.00%15.00%
Kisvarda——3.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%17.00%10.00%10.00%20.00%16.00%12.00%
Mezokovesd1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%22.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Ferencvaros 100% —
Puskas 100% —
Paks 99.00% 1.00%
Fehervar 98.00% 2.00%
Debrecen VSC 96.00% 4.00%
Kecskemet 95.00% 5.00%
Zalaegerszeg 82.00% 18.00%
Diosgyor 77.00% 23.00%
Kisvarda 72.00% 28.00%
Ujpest 71.00% 29.00%
Mezokovesd 57.00% 43.00%
MTK Budapest 53.00% 47.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-07-28 Paks D 1-165.3 1485 1554 38.31% 20.88% 40.80%-0.07 +0.1 1
2023-07-28 @ MTK Budapest D 1-165.3 1554 1485 40.80% 20.88% 38.31%+0.07 -0.1 1
2023-07-29 Fehervar W 2-157.2 1535 1548 46.15% 20.77% 33.08%+0.28 +6.7 3
2023-07-29 @ Ujpest L 1-257.2 1548 1535 33.08% 20.77% 46.15%-0.28 -6.7 0
2023-07-29 Puskas L 0-152.6 1491 1572 36.63% 20.86% 42.51%-0.14 -7.7 0
2023-07-29 @ Diosgyor W 1-052.6 1572 1491 42.51% 20.86% 36.63%+0.14 +7.7 3
2023-07-30 Kisvarda L 0-252.6 1531 1541 46.64% 20.75% 32.60%+0.31 -17.7 0
2023-07-30 @ Zalaegerszeg W 2-052.6 1541 1531 32.60% 20.75% 46.64%-0.31 +17.7 3
2023-07-31 Mezokovesd W 3-153.5 1587 1541 53.83% 20.30% 25.87%+0.66 +9.4 3
2023-07-31 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-353.5 1541 1587 25.87% 20.30% 53.83%-0.66 -9.4 0
2023-08-04 Ujpest D 3-377.9 1580 1542 52.86% 20.38% 26.76%+0.61 -0.7 4
2023-08-04 @ Puskas D 3-377.9 1542 1580 26.76% 20.38% 52.86%-0.61 +0.7 4
2023-08-05 Diosgyor L 2-462.2 1531 1483 54.13% 20.27% 25.60%+0.68 -15.6 0
2023-08-05 @ Mezokovesd W 4-262.2 1483 1531 25.60% 20.27% 54.13%-0.68 +15.6 3
2023-08-06 Ferencvaros L 3-564.1 1542 1626 36.17% 20.86% 42.97%-0.16 -10.5 0
2023-08-06 @ Fehervar W 5-364.1 1626 1542 42.97% 20.86% 36.17%+0.16 +10.5 3
2023-08-06 MTK Budapest W 2-152.5 1514 1485 51.71% 20.47% 27.82%+0.55 +5.8 3
2023-08-06 @ Zalaegerszeg L 1-252.5 1485 1514 27.82% 20.47% 51.71%-0.55 -5.8 1
2023-08-07 Kisvarda W 3-154.8 1570 1559 49.37% 20.62% 30.01%+0.44 +10.7 3
2023-08-07 @ Kecskemet L 1-354.8 1559 1570 30.01% 20.62% 49.37%-0.44 -10.7 3
2023-08-11 Kisvarda D 0-060.8 1479 1548 38.31% 20.88% 40.80%-0.07 +0.1 2
2023-08-11 @ MTK Budapest D 0-060.8 1548 1479 40.80% 20.88% 38.31%+0.07 -0.1 4
2023-08-12 Mezokovesd D 1-166.2 1542 1516 51.39% 20.49% 28.11%+0.54 -1.0 5
2023-08-12 @ Ujpest D 1-166.2 1516 1542 28.11% 20.49% 51.39%-0.54 +1.0 1
2023-08-12 Paks D 1-165.8 1499 1554 40.32% 20.89% 38.79%+0.02 -0.1 4
2023-08-12 @ Diosgyor D 1-165.8 1554 1499 38.79% 20.89% 40.32%-0.02 +0.1 2
2023-08-13 Fehervar W 1-050.7 1580 1531 54.19% 20.27% 25.55%+0.68 +5.7 6
2023-08-13 @ Kecskemet L 0-150.7 1531 1580 25.55% 20.27% 54.19%-0.68 -5.7 0
2023-08-13 Puskas L 1-267.4 1637 1579 55.25% 20.16% 24.59%+0.74 -10.2 3
2023-08-13 @ Ferencvaros W 2-167.4 1579 1637 24.59% 20.16% 55.25%-0.74 +10.3 7
2023-08-13 Zalaegerszeg W 1-049.9 1596 1519 57.44% 19.92% 22.64%+0.86 +5.1 6
2023-08-13 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-149.9 1519 1596 22.64% 19.92% 57.44%-0.86 -5.1 3
2023-08-18 Diosgyor L 1-356.9 1514 1498 50.04% 20.58% 29.37%+0.47 -16.3 3
2023-08-18 @ Zalaegerszeg W 3-156.9 1498 1514 29.37% 20.58% 50.04%-0.47 +16.3 7
2023-08-18 Fehervar D 2-273.6 1589 1526 55.92% 20.09% 23.99%+0.77 -1.1 8
2023-08-18 @ Puskas D 2-273.6 1526 1589 23.99% 20.09% 55.92%-0.77 +1.1 1
2023-08-19 Kecskemet W 1-055.5 1479 1586 33.18% 20.77% 46.04%-0.31 +9.3 5
2023-08-19 @ MTK Budapest L 0-155.5 1586 1479 46.04% 20.77% 33.18%+0.31 -9.3 6
2023-08-19 Ujpest W 3-046.0 1554 1541 49.64% 20.61% 29.76%+0.45 +17.8 5
2023-08-19 @ Paks L 0-346.0 1541 1554 29.76% 20.61% 49.64%-0.45 -17.8 5
2023-08-21 Kisvarda W 4-151.2 1601 1548 54.70% 20.22% 25.08%+0.71 +12.9 9
2023-08-21 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-451.2 1548 1601 25.08% 20.22% 54.70%-0.71 -12.9 4
2023-08-26 Kisvarda W 2-048.0 1515 1535 45.21% 20.80% 33.99%+0.24 +13.7 10
2023-08-26 @ Diosgyor L 0-248.0 1535 1515 33.99% 20.80% 45.21%-0.24 -13.7 4
2023-08-26 Puskas W 4-154.1 1577 1588 46.43% 20.76% 32.81%+0.30 +16.3 9
2023-08-26 @ Kecskemet L 1-454.1 1588 1577 32.81% 20.76% 46.43%-0.30 -16.3 8
2023-08-26 Zalaegerszeg W 2-153.5 1523 1498 51.27% 20.50% 28.23%+0.53 +5.8 8
2023-08-26 @ Ujpest L 1-253.5 1498 1523 28.23% 20.50% 51.27%-0.53 -5.8 3
2023-08-27 Mezokovesd W 2-046.6 1527 1517 49.25% 20.63% 30.12%+0.43 +12.4 4
2023-08-27 @ Fehervar L 0-246.6 1517 1527 30.12% 20.63% 49.25%-0.43 -12.4 1
2023-08-27 MTK Budapest L 1-363.4 1614 1488 62.65% 19.15% 18.20%+1.17 -19.9 9
2023-08-27 @ Debrecen VSC W 3-163.4 1488 1614 18.20% 19.15% 62.65%-1.17 +19.9 8
2023-08-27 Paks W 6-149.9 1627 1572 54.90% 20.20% 24.91%+0.72 +20.3 6
2023-08-27 @ Ferencvaros L 1-649.9 1572 1627 24.91% 20.20% 54.90%-0.72 -20.3 5
2023-09-01 Kisvarda W 3-260.3 1529 1522 49.00% 20.64% 30.36%+0.42 +5.9 11
2023-09-01 @ Ujpest L 2-360.3 1522 1529 30.36% 20.64% 49.00%-0.42 -5.9 4
2023-09-02 Diosgyor W 2-155.9 1508 1528 45.25% 20.80% 33.95%+0.24 +6.8 11
2023-09-02 @ MTK Budapest L 1-255.9 1528 1508 33.95% 20.80% 45.25%-0.24 -6.8 10
2023-09-02 Fehervar W 2-048.1 1551 1539 49.60% 20.61% 29.79%+0.45 +12.2 8
2023-09-02 @ Paks L 0-248.1 1539 1551 29.79% 20.61% 49.60%-0.45 -12.2 4
2023-09-03 Ferencvaros L 2-652.0 1492 1647 27.28% 20.43% 52.29%-0.61 -15.2 3
2023-09-03 @ Zalaegerszeg W 6-252.0 1647 1492 52.29% 20.43% 27.28%+0.61 +15.2 9
2023-09-03 Kecskemet W 2-051.4 1594 1593 48.18% 20.68% 31.14%+0.38 +12.7 12
2023-09-03 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-251.4 1593 1594 31.14% 20.68% 48.18%-0.38 -12.7 9
2023-09-03 Puskas L 1-355.8 1505 1572 38.60% 20.88% 40.52%-0.06 -13.1 1
2023-09-03 @ Mezokovesd W 3-155.8 1572 1505 40.52% 20.88% 38.60%+0.06 +13.1 11
2023-09-22 Mezokovesd L 0-255.9 1580 1491 58.75% 19.75% 21.49%+0.93 -21.7 9
2023-09-22 @ Kecskemet W 2-055.9 1491 1580 21.49% 19.75% 58.75%-0.93 +21.7 4
2023-09-23 Debrecen VSC W 3-158.9 1522 1607 36.04% 20.85% 43.10%-0.17 +14.3 13
2023-09-23 @ Diosgyor L 1-358.9 1607 1522 43.10% 20.85% 36.04%+0.17 -14.3 12
2023-09-23 MTK Budapest L 0-253.0 1535 1515 50.59% 20.55% 28.86%+0.50 -19.0 11
2023-09-23 @ Ujpest W 2-053.0 1515 1535 28.86% 20.55% 50.59%-0.50 +19.0 14
2023-09-23 Paks L 0-256.2 1585 1564 50.76% 20.54% 28.70%+0.50 -19.0 11
2023-09-23 @ Puskas W 2-056.2 1564 1585 28.70% 20.54% 50.76%-0.50 +19.0 11
2023-09-24 Kisvarda W 1-049.5 1662 1516 64.64% 18.78% 16.58%+1.30 +3.8 12
2023-09-24 @ Ferencvaros L 0-149.5 1516 1662 16.58% 18.78% 64.64%-1.30 -3.8 4
2023-09-24 Zalaegerszeg D 3-373.8 1527 1477 54.28% 20.26% 25.46%+0.68 -0.8 5
2023-09-24 @ Fehervar D 3-373.8 1477 1527 25.46% 20.26% 54.28%-0.68 +0.8 4
2023-09-27 Debrecen VSC W 2-051.5 1583 1593 46.61% 20.75% 32.64%+0.30 +13.2 14
2023-09-27 @ Paks L 0-251.5 1593 1583 32.64% 20.75% 46.61%-0.30 -13.2 12
2023-09-27 Kecskemet W 1-051.7 1666 1558 60.76% 19.46% 19.77%+1.05 +4.5 15
2023-09-27 @ Ferencvaros L 0-151.7 1558 1666 19.77% 19.46% 60.76%-1.05 -4.5 9
2023-09-29 Puskas D 1-165.5 1478 1566 35.68% 20.85% 43.47%-0.19 +0.3 5
2023-09-29 @ Zalaegerszeg D 1-165.5 1566 1478 43.47% 20.85% 35.68%+0.19 -0.3 12
2023-09-30 Ferencvaros L 1-651.6 1534 1670 29.45% 20.59% 49.97%-0.49 -23.5 14
2023-09-30 @ MTK Budapest W 6-151.6 1670 1534 49.97% 20.59% 29.45%+0.49 +23.5 18
2023-09-30 Mezokovesd W 2-154.5 1596 1513 58.09% 19.84% 22.07%+0.89 +4.7 17
2023-09-30 @ Paks L 1-254.5 1513 1596 22.07% 19.84% 58.09%-0.89 -4.7 4
2023-09-30 Ujpest L 1-264.3 1580 1516 55.89% 20.10% 24.02%+0.77 -10.4 12
2023-09-30 @ Debrecen VSC W 2-164.3 1516 1580 24.02% 20.10% 55.89%-0.77 +10.4 14
2023-10-01 Kecskemet W 3-154.8 1536 1554 45.54% 20.79% 33.67%+0.26 +11.7 16
2023-10-01 @ Diosgyor L 1-354.8 1554 1536 33.67% 20.79% 45.54%-0.26 -11.7 9
2023-10-01 Kisvarda W 3-151.6 1526 1512 49.82% 20.60% 29.58%+0.46 +10.5 8
2023-10-01 @ Fehervar L 1-351.6 1512 1526 29.58% 20.60% 49.82%-0.46 -10.5 4
2023-10-06 Kisvarda W 1-048.7 1566 1501 56.00% 20.08% 23.91%+0.78 +5.4 15
2023-10-06 @ Puskas L 0-148.7 1501 1566 23.91% 20.08% 56.00%-0.78 -5.4 4
2023-10-07 Diosgyor W 2-048.9 1527 1548 45.12% 20.80% 34.07%+0.24 +13.7 17
2023-10-07 @ Ujpest L 0-248.9 1548 1527 34.07% 20.80% 45.12%-0.24 -13.7 16
2023-10-07 Paks D 1-168.8 1542 1600 39.88% 20.89% 39.23%+0.00 -0.0 10
2023-10-07 @ Kecskemet D 1-168.8 1600 1542 39.23% 20.89% 39.88%+0.00 +0.0 18
2023-10-07 Zalaegerszeg L 1-259.3 1508 1478 51.90% 20.46% 27.65%+0.56 -9.7 4
2023-10-07 @ Mezokovesd W 2-159.3 1478 1508 27.65% 20.46% 51.90%-0.56 +9.7 8
2023-10-08 Debrecen VSC D 2-277.4 1694 1569 62.52% 19.17% 18.30%+1.16 -1.5 19
2023-10-08 @ Ferencvaros D 2-277.4 1569 1694 18.30% 19.17% 62.52%-1.16 +1.5 13
2023-10-08 MTK Budapest W 3-043.8 1536 1511 51.33% 20.50% 28.17%+0.53 +17.0 11
2023-10-08 @ Fehervar L 0-343.8 1511 1536 28.17% 20.50% 51.33%-0.53 -17.0 14
2023-10-21 Kecskemet W 5-360.1 1540 1542 47.72% 20.71% 31.57%+0.36 +9.4 20
2023-10-21 @ Ujpest L 3-560.1 1542 1540 31.57% 20.71% 47.72%-0.36 -9.4 10
2023-10-21 Mezokovesd W 2-153.6 1496 1499 47.60% 20.71% 31.69%+0.35 +6.4 7
2023-10-21 @ Kisvarda L 1-253.6 1499 1496 31.69% 20.71% 47.60%-0.35 -6.5 4
2023-10-21 Paks L 2-554.8 1488 1601 32.41% 20.74% 46.85%-0.34 -13.9 8
2023-10-21 @ Zalaegerszeg W 5-254.8 1601 1488 46.85% 20.74% 32.41%+0.34 +13.9 21
2023-10-22 Fehervar W 3-154.5 1571 1553 50.24% 20.57% 29.19%+0.48 +10.4 16
2023-10-22 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-354.5 1553 1571 29.19% 20.57% 50.24%-0.48 -10.4 11
2023-10-22 Ferencvaros L 1-259.1 1534 1692 26.86% 20.39% 52.75%-0.63 -5.6 16
2023-10-22 @ Diosgyor W 2-159.1 1692 1534 52.75% 20.39% 26.86%+0.63 +5.6 22
2023-10-22 Puskas L 0-546.8 1494 1571 37.18% 20.87% 41.95%-0.12 -34.4 14
2023-10-22 @ MTK Budapest W 5-046.8 1571 1494 41.95% 20.87% 37.18%+0.12 +34.4 18
2023-10-28 Debrecen VSC D 1-170.0 1605 1581 51.11% 20.51% 28.37%+0.52 -1.0 19
2023-10-28 @ Puskas D 1-170.0 1581 1605 28.37% 20.51% 51.11%-0.52 +1.0 17
2023-10-28 Diosgyor W 4-044.4 1543 1528 49.89% 20.59% 29.52%+0.46 +23.0 14
2023-10-28 @ Fehervar L 0-444.4 1528 1543 29.52% 20.59% 49.89%-0.46 -23.0 16
2023-10-28 Zalaegerszeg W 3-148.8 1533 1474 55.37% 20.15% 24.48%+0.74 +9.0 13
2023-10-28 @ Kecskemet L 1-348.8 1474 1533 24.48% 20.15% 55.37%-0.74 -8.9 8
2023-10-29 Kisvarda W 3-150.9 1614 1502 61.25% 19.39% 19.37%+1.08 +7.2 24
2023-10-29 @ Paks L 1-350.9 1502 1614 19.37% 19.39% 61.25%-1.08 -7.2 7
2023-10-29 MTK Budapest W 1-045.6 1492 1459 52.23% 20.43% 27.34%+0.58 +6.0 7
2023-10-29 @ Mezokovesd L 0-145.6 1459 1492 27.34% 20.43% 52.23%-0.58 -6.0 14
2023-10-29 Ujpest W 3-045.3 1698 1550 64.81% 18.74% 16.45%+1.31 +10.4 25
2023-10-29 @ Ferencvaros L 0-345.3 1550 1698 16.45% 18.74% 64.81%-1.31 -10.4 20
2023-11-04 Debrecen VSC W 2-160.1 1498 1582 36.27% 20.86% 42.87%-0.16 +8.2 10
2023-11-04 @ Mezokovesd L 1-260.1 1582 1498 42.87% 20.86% 36.27%+0.16 -8.2 17
2023-11-04 Diosgyor D 0-064.1 1604 1505 59.87% 19.60% 20.54%+0.99 -2.0 20
2023-11-04 @ Puskas D 0-064.1 1505 1604 20.54% 19.60% 59.87%-0.99 +2.0 17
2023-11-04 Ujpest W 2-156.4 1566 1539 51.44% 20.49% 28.07%+0.54 +5.8 17
2023-11-04 @ Fehervar L 1-256.4 1539 1566 28.07% 20.49% 51.44%-0.54 -5.8 20
2023-11-05 Ferencvaros W 2-167.6 1542 1708 25.93% 20.30% 53.76%-0.68 +10.0 16
2023-11-05 @ Kecskemet L 1-267.6 1708 1542 53.76% 20.30% 25.93%+0.68 -10.0 25
2023-11-05 MTK Budapest D 0-063.3 1622 1453 66.66% 18.34% 15.00%+1.43 -2.7 25
2023-11-05 @ Paks D 0-063.3 1453 1622 15.00% 18.34% 66.66%-1.43 +2.7 15
2023-11-05 Zalaegerszeg L 0-153.3 1495 1465 51.88% 20.46% 27.66%+0.56 -10.3 7
2023-11-05 @ Kisvarda W 1-053.3 1465 1495 27.66% 20.46% 51.88%-0.56 +10.3 11
2023-11-10 Zalaegerszeg W 2-043.6 1456 1475 45.38% 20.80% 33.82%+0.25 +13.6 18
2023-11-10 @ MTK Budapest L 0-243.6 1475 1456 33.82% 20.80% 45.38%-0.25 -13.6 11
2023-11-11 Mezokovesd W 2-045.9 1507 1507 48.08% 20.69% 31.23%+0.37 +12.7 20
2023-11-11 @ Diosgyor L 0-245.9 1507 1507 31.23% 20.69% 48.08%-0.37 -12.7 10
2023-11-11 Puskas L 1-260.5 1533 1602 38.38% 20.88% 40.73%-0.07 -7.5 20
2023-11-11 @ Ujpest W 2-160.5 1602 1533 40.73% 20.88% 38.38%+0.07 +7.5 23
2023-11-12 Fehervar L 0-165.3 1698 1572 62.70% 19.14% 18.16%+1.17 -12.2 25
2023-11-12 @ Ferencvaros W 1-065.3 1572 1698 18.16% 19.14% 62.70%-1.17 +12.2 20
2023-11-12 Kecskemet L 1-257.3 1485 1552 38.65% 20.88% 40.46%-0.05 -7.6 7
2023-11-12 @ Kisvarda W 2-157.3 1552 1485 40.46% 20.88% 38.65%+0.05 +7.6 19
2023-11-12 Paks W 1-056.7 1574 1619 41.78% 20.87% 37.35%+0.08 +7.8 20
2023-11-12 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-156.7 1619 1574 37.35% 20.87% 41.78%-0.08 -7.8 25
2023-11-24 Diosgyor W 4-149.4 1611 1520 59.01% 19.72% 21.27%+0.94 +11.2 28
2023-11-24 @ Paks L 1-449.4 1520 1611 21.27% 19.72% 59.01%-0.94 -11.1 20
2023-11-25 Debrecen VSC L 1-255.3 1462 1582 31.45% 20.70% 47.85%-0.39 -6.4 11
2023-11-25 @ Zalaegerszeg W 2-155.3 1582 1462 47.85% 20.70% 31.45%+0.39 +6.4 23
2023-11-25 MTK Budapest W 3-148.5 1477 1470 48.99% 20.64% 30.37%+0.42 +10.8 10
2023-11-25 @ Kisvarda L 1-348.5 1470 1477 30.37% 20.64% 48.99%-0.42 -10.8 18
2023-11-25 Ujpest W 4-044.4 1494 1526 43.59% 20.84% 35.57%+0.17 +26.9 13
2023-11-25 @ Mezokovesd L 0-444.4 1526 1494 35.57% 20.84% 43.59%-0.17 -26.9 20
2023-11-26 Ferencvaros D 1-171.9 1610 1686 37.32% 20.87% 41.80%-0.11 +0.2 24
2023-11-26 @ Puskas D 1-171.9 1686 1610 41.80% 20.87% 37.32%+0.11 -0.2 26
2023-11-26 Kecskemet D 3-378.5 1584 1559 51.19% 20.51% 28.30%+0.53 -0.6 21
2023-11-26 @ Fehervar D 3-378.5 1559 1584 28.30% 20.51% 51.19%-0.53 +0.6 20
2023-12-02 Debrecen VSC D 0-062.6 1488 1588 34.06% 20.80% 45.13%-0.26 +0.5 11
2023-12-02 @ Kisvarda D 0-062.6 1588 1488 45.13% 20.80% 34.06%+0.26 -0.5 24
2023-12-02 MTK Budapest L 1-262.7 1560 1459 60.10% 19.56% 20.34%+1.01 -11.1 20
2023-12-02 @ Kecskemet W 2-162.7 1459 1560 20.34% 19.56% 60.10%-1.01 +11.1 21
2023-12-02 Puskas W 3-158.1 1583 1610 44.37% 20.83% 34.81%+0.20 +12.1 24
2023-12-02 @ Fehervar L 1-358.1 1610 1583 34.81% 20.83% 44.37%-0.20 -12.1 24
2023-12-03 Mezokovesd D 0-067.1 1686 1521 66.37% 18.41% 15.23%+1.41 -2.7 27
2023-12-03 @ Ferencvaros D 0-067.1 1521 1686 15.23% 18.41% 66.37%-1.41 +2.7 14
2023-12-03 Paks L 1-257.8 1499 1622 31.07% 20.68% 48.25%-0.41 -6.3 20
2023-12-03 @ Ujpest W 2-157.8 1622 1499 48.25% 20.68% 31.07%+0.41 +6.3 31
2023-12-03 Zalaegerszeg L 0-348.6 1509 1455 54.76% 20.21% 25.03%+0.71 -29.5 20
2023-12-03 @ Diosgyor W 3-048.6 1455 1509 25.03% 20.21% 54.76%-0.71 +29.5 14
2023-12-06 Ferencvaros L 0-250.4 1523 1683 26.70% 20.38% 52.93%-0.64 -11.1 14
2023-12-06 @ Mezokovesd W 2-050.4 1683 1523 52.93% 20.38% 26.70%+0.64 +11.1 30
2023-12-08 Kecskemet W 3-046.2 1598 1549 54.20% 20.26% 25.54%+0.68 +15.6 27
2023-12-08 @ Puskas L 0-346.2 1549 1598 25.54% 20.26% 54.20%-0.68 -15.6 20
2023-12-09 Debrecen VSC W 2-160.7 1470 1588 31.76% 20.72% 47.52%-0.37 +9.0 24
2023-12-09 @ MTK Budapest L 1-260.7 1588 1470 47.52% 20.72% 31.76%+0.37 -9.0 24
2023-12-09 Ujpest D 1-163.1 1485 1493 46.90% 20.74% 32.36%+0.32 -0.6 15
2023-12-09 @ Zalaegerszeg D 1-163.1 1493 1485 32.36% 20.74% 46.90%-0.32 +0.6 21
2023-12-10 Diosgyor L 1-257.8 1489 1479 49.18% 20.63% 30.18%+0.43 -9.2 11
2023-12-10 @ Kisvarda W 2-157.8 1479 1489 30.18% 20.63% 49.18%-0.43 +9.2 23
2023-12-10 Fehervar L 0-250.8 1512 1595 36.36% 20.86% 42.78%-0.16 -14.4 14
2023-12-10 @ Mezokovesd W 2-050.8 1595 1512 42.78% 20.86% 36.36%+0.16 +14.4 27
2023-12-10 Ferencvaros W 3-269.9 1629 1694 38.82% 20.89% 40.30%-0.05 +7.4 34
2023-12-10 @ Paks L 2-369.9 1694 1629 40.30% 20.89% 38.82%+0.05 -7.4 30
2023-12-16 MTK Budapest D 3-372.3 1489 1479 49.26% 20.63% 30.11%+0.43 -0.5 24
2023-12-16 @ Diosgyor D 3-372.3 1479 1489 30.11% 20.63% 49.26%-0.43 +0.5 25
2023-12-16 Paks W 3-051.4 1610 1636 44.43% 20.82% 34.75%+0.20 +20.2 30
2023-12-16 @ Fehervar L 0-351.4 1636 1610 34.75% 20.82% 44.43%-0.20 -20.2 34
2023-12-16 Ujpest W 4-041.9 1479 1493 46.09% 20.77% 33.14%+0.28 +25.4 14
2023-12-16 @ Kisvarda L 0-441.9 1493 1479 33.14% 20.77% 46.09%-0.28 -25.4 21
2023-12-17 Debrecen VSC D 1-167.9 1533 1579 41.73% 20.87% 37.40%+0.08 -0.2 21
2023-12-17 @ Kecskemet D 1-167.9 1579 1533 37.40% 20.87% 41.73%-0.08 +0.2 25
2023-12-17 Mezokovesd D 0-064.2 1614 1498 61.61% 19.33% 19.06%+1.10 -2.2 28
2023-12-17 @ Puskas D 0-064.2 1498 1614 19.06% 19.33% 61.61%-1.10 +2.2 15
2023-12-17 Zalaegerszeg W 3-042.3 1687 1484 69.59% 17.61% 12.80%+1.65 +8.1 33
2023-12-17 @ Ferencvaros L 0-342.3 1484 1687 12.80% 17.61% 69.59%-1.65 -8.1 15
2024-02-02 Ujpest W 3-040.7 1479 1468 49.47% 20.62% 29.91%+0.44 +17.9 28
2024-02-02 @ MTK Budapest L 0-340.7 1468 1479 29.91% 20.62% 49.47%-0.44 -17.9 21
2024-02-03 Diosgyor D 2-272.1 1579 1488 58.97% 19.72% 21.30%+0.94 -1.3 26
2024-02-03 @ Debrecen VSC D 2-272.1 1488 1579 21.30% 19.72% 58.97%-0.94 +1.3 25
2024-02-03 Fehervar W 3-160.8 1476 1630 27.34% 20.43% 52.23%-0.60 +16.9 18
2024-02-03 @ Zalaegerszeg L 1-360.8 1630 1476 52.23% 20.43% 27.34%+0.60 -16.9 30
2024-02-03 Ferencvaros L 1-354.6 1505 1695 23.42% 20.02% 56.56%-0.83 -8.6 14
2024-02-03 @ Kisvarda W 3-154.6 1695 1505 56.56% 20.02% 23.42%+0.83 +8.6 36
2024-02-04 Kecskemet L 0-348.0 1500 1533 43.47% 20.85% 35.69%+0.16 -24.2 15
2024-02-04 @ Mezokovesd W 3-048.0 1533 1500 35.69% 20.85% 43.47%-0.16 +24.2 24
2024-02-04 Puskas W 2-160.4 1616 1611 48.58% 20.66% 30.76%+0.40 +6.3 37
2024-02-04 @ Paks L 1-260.4 1611 1616 30.76% 20.66% 48.58%-0.40 -6.3 28
2024-02-06 Debrecen VSC L 1-254.5 1450 1578 30.54% 20.65% 48.80%-0.44 -6.2 21
2024-02-06 @ Ujpest W 2-154.5 1578 1450 48.80% 20.65% 30.54%+0.44 +6.2 29
2024-02-06 MTK Budapest W 5-146.3 1704 1497 69.88% 17.53% 12.59%+1.67 +8.7 39
2024-02-06 @ Ferencvaros L 1-546.3 1497 1704 12.59% 17.53% 69.88%-1.67 -8.7 28
2024-02-07 Fehervar L 1-257.7 1496 1613 31.84% 20.72% 47.44%-0.37 -6.5 14
2024-02-07 @ Kisvarda W 2-157.7 1613 1496 47.44% 20.72% 31.84%+0.37 +6.5 33
2024-02-07 Zalaegerszeg L 0-160.7 1605 1493 61.25% 19.39% 19.37%+1.08 -12.0 28
2024-02-07 @ Puskas W 1-060.7 1493 1605 19.37% 19.39% 61.25%-1.08 +11.9 21
2024-02-08 Diosgyor W 2-152.9 1557 1489 56.41% 20.04% 23.55%+0.80 +5.0 27
2024-02-08 @ Kecskemet L 1-252.9 1489 1557 23.55% 20.04% 56.41%-0.80 -5.0 25
2024-02-08 Paks L 0-151.2 1476 1622 28.26% 20.50% 51.24%-0.55 -6.2 15
2024-02-08 @ Mezokovesd W 1-051.2 1622 1476 51.24% 20.50% 28.26%+0.55 +6.2 40
2024-02-10 Fehervar L 0-248.8 1489 1620 30.08% 20.63% 49.29%-0.46 -12.3 28
2024-02-10 @ MTK Budapest W 2-048.8 1620 1489 49.29% 20.63% 30.08%+0.46 +12.3 36
2024-02-10 Ferencvaros L 1-261.4 1584 1712 30.42% 20.65% 48.94%-0.44 -6.2 29
2024-02-10 @ Debrecen VSC W 2-161.4 1712 1584 48.94% 20.65% 30.42%+0.44 +6.2 42
2024-02-10 Puskas L 0-249.1 1490 1593 33.63% 20.79% 45.58%-0.28 -13.5 14
2024-02-10 @ Kisvarda W 2-049.1 1593 1490 45.58% 20.79% 33.63%+0.28 +13.5 31
2024-02-11 Kecskemet W 1-052.3 1628 1562 56.20% 20.06% 23.73%+0.79 +5.3 43
2024-02-11 @ Paks L 0-152.3 1562 1628 23.73% 20.06% 56.20%-0.79 -5.3 27
2024-02-11 Mezokovesd D 1-163.1 1505 1470 52.50% 20.41% 27.09%+0.59 -1.1 22
2024-02-11 @ Zalaegerszeg D 1-163.1 1470 1505 27.09% 20.41% 52.50%-0.59 +1.1 16
2024-02-11 Ujpest L 1-257.5 1484 1444 53.16% 20.36% 26.48%+0.63 -9.9 25
2024-02-11 @ Diosgyor W 2-157.5 1444 1484 26.48% 20.36% 53.16%-0.63 +9.9 24
2024-02-16 Zalaegerszeg L 3-475.6 1634 1504 63.05% 19.08% 17.87%+1.19 -10.7 43
2024-02-16 @ Paks W 4-375.6 1504 1634 17.87% 19.08% 63.05%-1.19 +10.7 25
2024-02-17 Kisvarda L 1-256.5 1471 1476 47.26% 20.73% 32.01%+0.34 -8.9 16
2024-02-17 @ Mezokovesd W 2-156.5 1476 1471 32.01% 20.73% 47.26%-0.34 +8.9 17
2024-02-17 Ujpest W 1-045.3 1557 1454 60.31% 19.53% 20.16%+1.02 +4.6 30
2024-02-17 @ Kecskemet L 0-145.3 1454 1557 20.16% 19.53% 60.31%-1.02 -4.6 24
2024-02-18 Debrecen VSC W 1-053.1 1632 1578 54.85% 20.20% 24.95%+0.71 +5.6 39
2024-02-18 @ Fehervar L 0-153.1 1578 1632 24.95% 20.20% 54.85%-0.71 -5.6 29
2024-02-18 MTK Budapest W 6-144.2 1607 1476 63.09% 19.07% 17.84%+1.19 +14.9 34
2024-02-18 @ Puskas L 1-644.2 1476 1607 17.84% 19.07% 63.09%-1.19 -14.9 28
2024-02-23 Mezokovesd W 3-148.0 1461 1462 47.90% 20.70% 31.40%+0.37 +11.1 31
2024-02-23 @ MTK Budapest L 1-348.0 1462 1461 31.40% 20.70% 47.90%-0.37 -11.1 16
2024-02-24 Fehervar W 4-052.8 1475 1638 26.32% 20.34% 53.34%-0.66 +37.7 28
2024-02-24 @ Diosgyor L 0-452.8 1638 1475 53.34% 20.34% 26.32%+0.66 -37.7 39
2024-02-24 Kecskemet W 3-155.5 1514 1562 41.48% 20.88% 37.64%+0.07 +12.8 28
2024-02-24 @ Zalaegerszeg L 1-355.5 1562 1514 37.64% 20.88% 41.48%-0.07 -12.8 30
2024-02-24 Puskas W 1-056.9 1572 1622 41.13% 20.88% 37.98%+0.06 +7.9 32
2024-02-24 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-156.9 1622 1572 37.98% 20.88% 41.13%-0.06 -7.9 34
2024-02-25 Ferencvaros L 0-543.2 1449 1718 16.46% 18.74% 64.80%-1.33 -16.7 24
2024-02-25 @ Ujpest W 5-043.2 1718 1449 64.80% 18.74% 16.46%+1.33 +16.7 45
2024-02-25 Paks L 0-151.8 1485 1623 29.26% 20.57% 50.17%-0.50 -6.4 17
2024-02-25 @ Kisvarda W 1-051.8 1623 1485 50.17% 20.57% 29.26%+0.50 +6.4 46
2024-03-02 Mezokovesd L 0-158.8 1580 1451 62.97% 19.09% 17.94%+1.19 -12.3 32
2024-03-02 @ Debrecen VSC W 1-058.8 1451 1580 17.94% 19.09% 62.97%-1.19 +12.3 19
2024-03-02 Puskas D 1-168.3 1512 1614 33.89% 20.80% 45.31%-0.27 +0.5 29
2024-03-02 @ Diosgyor D 1-168.3 1614 1512 45.31% 20.80% 33.89%+0.27 -0.5 35
2024-03-02 Zalaegerszeg W 1-050.9 1479 1527 41.27% 20.88% 37.85%+0.06 +7.9 20
2024-03-02 @ Kisvarda L 0-150.9 1527 1479 37.85% 20.88% 41.27%-0.06 -7.9 28
2024-03-03 Fehervar W 2-053.2 1432 1600 25.84% 20.29% 53.86%-0.69 +20.0 27
2024-03-03 @ Ujpest L 0-253.2 1600 1432 53.86% 20.29% 25.84%+0.69 -20.0 39
2024-03-03 Kecskemet W 2-047.2 1735 1549 68.23% 17.97% 13.81%+1.55 +6.0 48
2024-03-03 @ Ferencvaros L 0-247.2 1549 1735 13.81% 17.97% 68.23%-1.55 -6.0 30
2024-03-03 Paks L 0-247.6 1472 1629 27.02% 20.40% 52.58%-0.62 -11.3 31
2024-03-03 @ MTK Budapest W 2-047.6 1629 1472 52.58% 20.40% 27.02%+0.62 +11.3 49
2024-03-08 Ujpest L 0-257.5 1613 1453 65.95% 18.50% 15.55%+1.38 -24.1 35
2024-03-08 @ Puskas W 2-057.5 1453 1613 15.55% 18.50% 65.95%-1.38 +24.1 30
2024-03-09 Diosgyor L 1-255.8 1463 1513 41.12% 20.88% 38.00%+0.06 -8.0 19
2024-03-09 @ Mezokovesd W 2-155.8 1513 1463 38.00% 20.88% 41.12%-0.06 +8.0 32
2024-03-09 Kisvarda W 3-149.8 1543 1487 55.04% 20.18% 24.78%+0.72 +9.0 33
2024-03-09 @ Kecskemet L 1-349.8 1487 1543 24.78% 20.18% 55.04%-0.72 -9.0 20
2024-03-10 Debrecen VSC D 1-170.7 1641 1568 56.99% 19.97% 23.03%+0.83 -1.5 50
2024-03-10 @ Paks D 1-170.7 1568 1641 23.03% 19.97% 56.99%-0.83 +1.5 33
2024-03-10 Ferencvaros L 0-252.2 1580 1741 26.53% 20.36% 53.11%-0.65 -11.1 39
2024-03-10 @ Fehervar W 2-052.2 1741 1580 53.11% 20.36% 26.53%+0.65 +11.1 51
2024-03-10 MTK Budapest D 2-268.8 1519 1461 55.29% 20.16% 24.55%+0.74 -1.0 29
2024-03-10 @ Zalaegerszeg D 2-268.8 1461 1519 24.55% 20.16% 55.29%-0.74 +1.0 32
2024-03-16 Fehervar L 0-157.2 1552 1569 45.67% 20.79% 33.54%+0.26 -9.2 33
2024-03-16 @ Kecskemet W 1-057.2 1569 1552 33.54% 20.79% 45.67%-0.26 +9.2 42
2024-03-16 Mezokovesd D 2-266.9 1477 1455 50.79% 20.53% 28.68%+0.51 -0.7 31
2024-03-16 @ Ujpest D 2-266.9 1455 1477 28.68% 20.53% 50.79%-0.51 +0.7 20
2024-03-16 Paks W 2-163.9 1521 1639 31.68% 20.71% 47.61%-0.38 +9.0 35
2024-03-16 @ Diosgyor L 1-263.9 1639 1521 47.61% 20.71% 31.68%+0.38 -9.0 50
2024-03-17 Kisvarda W 2-152.1 1462 1478 45.91% 20.78% 33.32%+0.27 +6.7 35
2024-03-17 @ MTK Budapest L 1-252.1 1478 1462 33.32% 20.78% 45.91%-0.27 -6.7 20
2024-03-17 Puskas D 1-173.2 1752 1589 66.19% 18.45% 15.36%+1.40 -2.4 52
2024-03-17 @ Ferencvaros D 1-173.2 1589 1752 15.36% 18.45% 66.19%-1.40 +2.4 36
2024-03-17 Zalaegerszeg W 5-147.7 1569 1518 54.41% 20.24% 25.34%+0.69 +16.8 36
2024-03-17 @ Debrecen VSC L 1-547.7 1518 1569 25.34% 20.24% 54.41%-0.69 -16.8 29
2024-03-29 Fehervar D 0-065.5 1591 1578 49.73% 20.60% 29.67%+0.45 -1.0 37
2024-03-29 @ Puskas D 0-065.5 1578 1591 29.67% 20.60% 49.73%-0.45 +1.0 43
2024-03-30 Debrecen VSC L 1-353.1 1471 1586 32.08% 20.73% 47.19%-0.36 -11.3 20
2024-03-30 @ Kisvarda W 3-153.1 1586 1471 47.19% 20.73% 32.08%+0.36 +11.3 39
2024-03-30 Diosgyor W 5-148.8 1501 1530 44.14% 20.83% 35.03%+0.19 +22.1 32
2024-03-30 @ Zalaegerszeg L 1-548.8 1530 1501 35.03% 20.83% 44.14%-0.19 -22.1 35
2024-03-30 Kecskemet D 2-269.7 1469 1543 37.69% 20.88% 41.43%-0.10 +0.1 36
2024-03-30 @ MTK Budapest D 2-269.7 1543 1469 41.43% 20.88% 37.69%+0.10 -0.1 34
2024-03-31 Ferencvaros L 0-343.8 1456 1750 14.70% 18.25% 67.05%-1.49 -9.3 20
2024-03-31 @ Mezokovesd W 3-043.8 1750 1456 67.05% 18.25% 14.70%+1.49 +9.3 55
2024-03-31 Ujpest L 1-267.0 1630 1476 65.36% 18.63% 16.01%+1.34 -12.0 50
2024-03-31 @ Paks W 2-167.0 1476 1630 16.01% 18.63% 65.36%-1.34 +12.0 34
2024-04-05 Zalaegerszeg L 1-550.5 1488 1524 43.09% 20.85% 36.06%+0.14 -26.2 34
2024-04-05 @ Ujpest W 5-150.5 1524 1488 36.06% 20.85% 43.09%-0.14 +26.2 35
2024-04-06 Kisvarda D 1-162.8 1508 1460 54.07% 20.28% 25.65%+0.67 -1.3 36
2024-04-06 @ Diosgyor D 1-162.8 1460 1508 25.65% 20.28% 54.07%-0.67 +1.3 21
2024-04-06 Mezokovesd W 5-039.0 1579 1447 63.30% 19.03% 17.67%+1.21 +17.9 46
2024-04-06 @ Fehervar L 0-539.0 1447 1579 17.67% 19.03% 63.30%-1.21 -17.9 20
2024-04-06 MTK Budapest L 1-265.1 1597 1469 62.89% 19.11% 18.00%+1.18 -11.5 39
2024-04-06 @ Debrecen VSC W 2-165.1 1469 1597 18.00% 19.11% 62.89%-1.18 +11.5 39
2024-04-07 Paks W 1-052.7 1759 1618 64.12% 18.88% 17.00%+1.26 +3.9 58
2024-04-07 @ Ferencvaros L 0-152.7 1618 1759 17.00% 18.88% 64.12%-1.26 -3.9 50
2024-04-07 Puskas L 1-261.3 1542 1590 41.35% 20.88% 37.77%+0.07 -8.0 34
2024-04-07 @ Kecskemet W 2-161.3 1590 1542 37.77% 20.88% 41.35%-0.07 +8.0 40
2024-04-10 Diosgyor W 2-153.6 1763 1506 73.69% 16.35% 9.96%+1.99 +2.1 61
2024-04-10 @ Ferencvaros L 1-253.6 1506 1763 9.96% 16.35% 73.69%-1.99 -2.1 36
2024-04-13 Fehervar L 1-265.9 1614 1597 50.24% 20.57% 29.19%+0.48 -9.4 50
2024-04-13 @ Paks W 2-165.9 1597 1614 29.19% 20.57% 50.24%-0.48 +9.4 49
2024-04-13 Kecskemet W 1-050.9 1586 1534 54.47% 20.24% 25.29%+0.69 +5.6 42
2024-04-13 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-150.9 1534 1586 25.29% 20.24% 54.47%-0.69 -5.6 34
2024-04-13 Ujpest W 4-145.4 1461 1462 47.85% 20.70% 31.45%+0.36 +15.7 24
2024-04-13 @ Kisvarda L 1-445.4 1462 1461 31.45% 20.70% 47.85%-0.36 -15.7 34
2024-04-14 Diosgyor D 1-163.3 1481 1504 44.78% 20.81% 34.40%+0.22 -0.5 40
2024-04-14 @ MTK Budapest D 1-163.3 1504 1481 34.40% 20.81% 44.78%-0.22 +0.5 37
2024-04-14 Ferencvaros L 2-363.6 1550 1765 20.97% 19.67% 59.36%-0.99 -4.3 35
2024-04-14 @ Zalaegerszeg W 3-263.6 1765 1550 59.36% 19.67% 20.97%+0.99 +4.3 64
2024-04-14 Puskas L 0-441.5 1429 1598 25.59% 20.27% 54.14%-0.70 -20.4 20
2024-04-14 @ Mezokovesd W 4-041.5 1598 1429 54.14% 20.27% 25.59%+0.70 +20.4 43
2024-04-20 Debrecen VSC W 5-364.1 1505 1591 35.86% 20.85% 43.29%-0.18 +12.2 40
2024-04-20 @ Diosgyor L 3-564.1 1591 1505 43.29% 20.85% 35.86%+0.18 -12.2 42
2024-04-20 Kisvarda D 0-068.7 1769 1476 76.14% 15.46% 8.40%+2.22 -3.6 65
2024-04-20 @ Ferencvaros D 0-068.7 1476 1769 8.40% 15.46% 76.14%-2.22 +3.6 25
2024-04-20 Paks W 5-049.0 1619 1605 49.81% 20.60% 29.59%+0.46 +28.5 46
2024-04-20 @ Puskas L 0-549.0 1605 1619 29.59% 20.60% 49.81%-0.46 -28.5 50
2024-04-21 Mezokovesd W 2-147.1 1529 1408 62.10% 19.25% 18.65%+1.13 +4.0 37
2024-04-21 @ Kecskemet L 1-247.1 1408 1529 18.65% 19.25% 62.10%-1.13 -4.0 20
2024-04-21 MTK Budapest L 1-254.6 1446 1480 43.32% 20.85% 35.83%+0.15 -8.3 34
2024-04-21 @ Ujpest W 2-154.6 1480 1446 35.83% 20.85% 43.32%-0.15 +8.3 43
2024-04-21 Zalaegerszeg D 1-169.3 1606 1546 55.59% 20.13% 24.28%+0.75 -1.4 50
2024-04-21 @ Fehervar D 1-169.3 1546 1606 24.28% 20.13% 55.59%-0.75 +1.4 36
2024-04-26 Puskas W 1-059.0 1547 1647 34.04% 20.80% 45.16%-0.26 +9.1 39
2024-04-26 @ Zalaegerszeg L 0-159.0 1647 1547 45.16% 20.80% 34.04%+0.26 -9.1 46
2024-04-27 Kecskemet D 0-061.7 1517 1533 45.81% 20.78% 33.41%+0.27 -0.6 41
2024-04-27 @ Diosgyor D 0-061.7 1533 1517 33.41% 20.78% 45.81%-0.27 +0.6 38
2024-04-27 Mezokovesd W 2-147.2 1576 1404 66.98% 18.27% 14.75%+1.46 +3.2 53
2024-04-27 @ Paks L 1-247.2 1404 1576 14.75% 18.27% 66.98%-1.46 -3.2 20
2024-04-27 Ujpest W 1-044.4 1579 1438 64.17% 18.87% 16.96%+1.26 +3.9 45
2024-04-27 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-144.4 1438 1579 16.96% 18.87% 64.17%-1.26 -3.9 34
2024-04-28 Fehervar W 1-056.9 1480 1605 30.87% 20.67% 48.46%-0.42 +9.7 28
2024-04-28 @ Kisvarda L 0-156.9 1605 1480 48.46% 20.67% 30.87%+0.42 -9.7 50
2024-04-28 Ferencvaros L 1-255.8 1488 1766 15.86% 18.59% 65.55%-1.38 -3.4 43
2024-04-28 @ MTK Budapest W 2-155.8 1766 1488 65.55% 18.59% 15.86%+1.38 +3.4 68
2024-05-03 MTK Budapest W 4-041.3 1595 1485 61.05% 19.42% 19.53%+1.07 +16.0 53
2024-05-03 @ Fehervar L 0-441.3 1485 1595 19.53% 19.42% 61.05%-1.07 -16.0 43
2024-05-04 Diosgyor W 7-045.7 1434 1516 36.49% 20.86% 42.65%-0.15 +52.7 37
2024-05-04 @ Ujpest L 0-745.7 1516 1434 42.65% 20.86% 36.49%+0.15 -52.7 41
2024-05-04 Kisvarda W 4-254.4 1638 1490 64.82% 18.74% 16.44%+1.31 +5.5 49
2024-05-04 @ Puskas L 2-454.4 1490 1638 16.44% 18.74% 64.82%-1.31 -5.5 28
2024-05-04 Zalaegerszeg L 1-250.8 1401 1556 27.24% 20.42% 52.34%-0.61 -5.7 20
2024-05-04 @ Mezokovesd W 2-150.8 1556 1401 52.34% 20.42% 27.24%+0.61 +5.7 42
2024-05-05 Debrecen VSC W 5-149.1 1769 1583 68.19% 17.97% 13.83%+1.55 +9.5 71
2024-05-05 @ Ferencvaros L 1-549.1 1583 1769 13.83% 17.97% 68.19%-1.55 -9.5 45
2024-05-05 Paks D 0-063.8 1533 1580 41.62% 20.88% 37.50%+0.08 -0.2 39
2024-05-05 @ Kecskemet D 0-063.8 1580 1533 37.50% 20.88% 41.62%-0.08 +0.2 54
2024-05-10 Kecskemet L 0-346.9 1487 1533 41.55% 20.88% 37.57%+0.07 -23.3 37
2024-05-10 @ Ujpest W 3-046.9 1533 1487 37.57% 20.88% 41.55%-0.07 +23.3 42
2024-05-11 Ferencvaros W 2-063.0 1463 1779 13.32% 17.80% 68.88%-1.62 +25.1 44
2024-05-11 @ Diosgyor L 0-263.0 1779 1463 68.88% 17.80% 13.32%+1.62 -25.1 71
2024-05-11 Paks D 1-168.8 1562 1580 45.55% 20.79% 33.66%+0.26 -0.5 43
2024-05-11 @ Zalaegerszeg D 1-168.8 1580 1562 33.66% 20.79% 45.55%-0.26 +0.5 55
2024-05-11 Puskas L 1-352.8 1469 1644 25.06% 20.21% 54.73%-0.73 -9.1 43
2024-05-11 @ MTK Budapest W 3-152.8 1644 1469 54.73% 20.21% 25.06%+0.73 +9.1 52
2024-05-12 Fehervar W 1-056.2 1574 1611 42.84% 20.86% 36.30%+0.13 +7.6 48
2024-05-12 @ Debrecen VSC L 0-156.2 1611 1574 36.30% 20.86% 42.84%-0.13 -7.7 53
2024-05-12 Mezokovesd W 4-354.3 1484 1395 58.78% 19.75% 21.47%+0.93 +4.2 31
2024-05-12 @ Kisvarda L 3-454.3 1395 1484 21.47% 19.75% 58.78%-0.93 -4.2 20
2024-05-17 MTK Budapest D 1-158.8 1391 1460 38.39% 20.88% 40.73%-0.07 +0.1 21
2024-05-17 @ Mezokovesd D 1-158.8 1460 1391 40.73% 20.88% 38.39%+0.07 -0.1 44
2024-05-18 Debrecen VSC W 4-152.6 1653 1581 56.83% 19.99% 23.18%+0.82 +12.0 55
2024-05-18 @ Puskas L 1-452.6 1581 1653 23.18% 19.99% 56.83%-0.82 -12.0 48
2024-05-18 Diosgyor D 0-063.6 1604 1488 61.55% 19.34% 19.11%+1.10 -2.2 54
2024-05-18 @ Fehervar D 0-063.6 1488 1604 19.11% 19.34% 61.55%-1.10 +2.2 45
2024-05-18 Kisvarda W 2-152.9 1580 1489 59.08% 19.71% 21.21%+0.95 +4.5 58
2024-05-18 @ Paks L 1-252.9 1489 1580 21.21% 19.71% 59.08%-0.95 -4.5 31
2024-05-19 Ujpest W 2-043.7 1754 1463 75.98% 15.52% 8.50%+2.20 +3.6 74
2024-05-19 @ Ferencvaros L 0-243.7 1463 1754 8.50% 15.52% 75.98%-2.20 -3.6 37
2024-05-19 Zalaegerszeg W 2-158.0 1557 1561 47.35% 20.72% 31.93%+0.34 +6.5 45
2024-05-19 @ Kecskemet L 1-258.0 1561 1557 31.93% 20.72% 47.35%-0.34 -6.5 43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-05-11 13.32% @ Diosgyor 1463 2 Ferencvaros 1779 0
2 2024-03-08 15.55% Ujpest 1453 2 @ Puskas 1613 0
3 2024-03-31 16.01% Ujpest 1476 2 @ Paks 1630 1
4 2024-02-16 17.87% Zalaegerszeg 1504 4 @ Paks 1634 3
5 2024-03-02 17.94% Mezokovesd 1451 1 @ Debrecen VSC 1580 0
6 2024-04-06 18.00% MTK Budapest 1469 2 @ Debrecen VSC 1597 1
7 2023-11-12 18.16% Fehervar 1572 1 @ Ferencvaros 1698 0
8 2023-08-27 18.20% MTK Budapest 1488 3 @ Debrecen VSC 1614 1
9 2024-02-07 19.37% Zalaegerszeg 1493 1 @ Puskas 1605 0
10 2023-12-02 20.34% MTK Budapest 1459 2 @ Kecskemet 1560 1
11 2023-09-22 21.49% Mezokovesd 1491 2 @ Kecskemet 1580 0
12 2023-09-30 24.02% Ujpest 1516 2 @ Debrecen VSC 1580 1
13 2023-08-13 24.59% Puskas 1579 2 @ Ferencvaros 1637 1
14 2023-12-03 25.03% Zalaegerszeg 1455 3 @ Diosgyor 1509 0
15 2023-08-05 25.60% Diosgyor 1483 4 @ Mezokovesd 1531 2
16 2024-03-03 25.84% @ Ujpest 1432 2 Fehervar 1600 0
17 2023-11-05 25.93% @ Kecskemet 1542 2 Ferencvaros 1708 1
18 2024-02-24 26.32% @ Diosgyor 1475 4 Fehervar 1638 0
19 2024-02-11 26.48% Ujpest 1444 2 @ Diosgyor 1484 1
20 2024-02-03 27.34% @ Zalaegerszeg 1476 3 Fehervar 1630 1
21 2023-10-07 27.65% Zalaegerszeg 1478 2 @ Mezokovesd 1508 1
22 2023-11-05 27.66% Zalaegerszeg 1465 1 @ Kisvarda 1495 0
23 2023-09-23 28.70% Paks 1564 2 @ Puskas 1585 0
24 2023-09-23 28.86% MTK Budapest 1515 2 @ Ujpest 1535 0
25 2024-04-13 29.19% Fehervar 1597 2 @ Paks 1614 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-05-04 52.73 @ Ujpest 7 1434 36.49% Diosgyor 0 1516 42.65% 20.86%
2 2024-02-24 37.70 @ Diosgyor 4 1475 26.32% Fehervar 0 1638 53.34% 20.34%
3 2023-10-22 34.36 Puskas 5 1571 41.95% @ MTK Budapest 0 1494 37.18% 20.87%
4 2023-12-03 29.55 Zalaegerszeg 3 1455 25.03% @ Diosgyor 0 1509 54.76% 20.21%
5 2024-04-20 28.47 @ Puskas 5 1619 49.81% Paks 0 1605 29.59% 20.60%
6 2023-11-25 26.90 @ Mezokovesd 4 1494 43.59% Ujpest 0 1526 35.57% 20.84%
7 2024-04-05 26.15 Zalaegerszeg 5 1524 36.06% @ Ujpest 1 1488 43.09% 20.85%
8 2023-12-16 25.39 @ Kisvarda 4 1479 46.09% Ujpest 0 1493 33.14% 20.77%
9 2024-05-11 25.09 @ Diosgyor 2 1463 13.32% Ferencvaros 0 1779 68.88% 17.80%
10 2024-02-04 24.20 Kecskemet 3 1533 35.69% @ Mezokovesd 0 1500 43.47% 20.85%
11 2024-03-08 24.13 Ujpest 2 1453 15.55% @ Puskas 0 1613 65.95% 18.50%
12 2023-09-30 23.48 Ferencvaros 6 1670 49.97% @ MTK Budapest 1 1534 29.45% 20.59%
13 2024-05-10 23.32 Kecskemet 3 1533 37.57% @ Ujpest 0 1487 41.55% 20.88%
14 2023-10-28 23.05 @ Fehervar 4 1543 49.89% Diosgyor 0 1528 29.52% 20.59%
15 2024-03-30 22.14 @ Zalaegerszeg 5 1501 44.14% Diosgyor 1 1530 35.03% 20.83%
16 2023-09-22 21.69 Mezokovesd 2 1491 21.49% @ Kecskemet 0 1580 58.75% 19.75%
17 2024-04-14 20.38 Puskas 4 1598 54.14% @ Mezokovesd 0 1429 25.59% 20.27%
18 2023-08-27 20.31 @ Ferencvaros 6 1627 54.90% Paks 1 1572 24.91% 20.20%
19 2023-12-16 20.21 @ Fehervar 3 1610 44.43% Paks 0 1636 34.75% 20.82%
20 2024-03-03 20.04 @ Ujpest 2 1432 25.84% Fehervar 0 1600 53.86% 20.29%
21 2023-08-27 19.93 MTK Budapest 3 1488 18.20% @ Debrecen VSC 1 1614 62.65% 19.15%
22 2023-09-23 19.01 Paks 2 1564 28.70% @ Puskas 0 1585 50.76% 20.54%
23 2023-09-23 18.96 MTK Budapest 2 1515 28.86% @ Ujpest 0 1535 50.59% 20.55%
24 2024-04-06 17.88 @ Fehervar 5 1579 63.30% Mezokovesd 0 1447 17.67% 19.03%
25 2024-02-02 17.85 @ MTK Budapest 3 1479 49.47% Ujpest 0 1468 29.91% 20.62%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-11-26 78.5 @ Fehervar 3 1584 51.19% Kecskemet 3 1559 28.30% 20.51%
2 2023-08-04 77.9 @ Puskas 3 1580 52.86% Ujpest 3 1542 26.76% 20.38%
3 2023-10-08 77.4 @ Ferencvaros 2 1694 62.52% Debrecen VSC 2 1569 18.30% 19.17%
4 2024-02-16 75.6 Zalaegerszeg 4 1504 17.87% @ Paks 3 1634 63.05% 19.08%
5 2023-09-24 73.8 @ Fehervar 3 1527 54.28% Zalaegerszeg 3 1477 25.46% 20.26%
6 2023-08-18 73.6 @ Puskas 2 1589 55.92% Fehervar 2 1526 23.99% 20.09%
7 2024-03-17 73.2 @ Ferencvaros 1 1752 66.19% Puskas 1 1589 15.36% 18.45%
8 2023-12-16 72.3 @ Diosgyor 3 1489 49.26% MTK Budapest 3 1479 30.11% 20.63%
9 2024-02-03 72.1 @ Debrecen VSC 2 1579 58.97% Diosgyor 2 1488 21.30% 19.72%
10 2023-11-26 71.9 @ Puskas 1 1610 37.32% Ferencvaros 1 1686 41.80% 20.87%
11 2024-03-10 70.7 @ Paks 1 1641 56.99% Debrecen VSC 1 1568 23.03% 19.97%
12 2023-10-28 70.0 @ Puskas 1 1605 51.11% Debrecen VSC 1 1581 28.37% 20.51%
13 2023-12-10 69.9 @ Paks 3 1629 38.82% Ferencvaros 2 1694 40.30% 20.89%
14 2024-03-30 69.7 @ MTK Budapest 2 1469 37.69% Kecskemet 2 1543 41.43% 20.88%
15 2024-04-21 69.3 @ Fehervar 1 1606 55.59% Zalaegerszeg 1 1546 24.28% 20.13%
16 2023-10-07 68.8 @ Kecskemet 1 1542 39.88% Paks 1 1600 39.23% 20.89%
17 2024-03-10 68.8 @ Zalaegerszeg 2 1519 55.29% MTK Budapest 2 1461 24.55% 20.16%
18 2024-05-11 68.8 @ Zalaegerszeg 1 1562 45.55% Paks 1 1580 33.66% 20.79%
19 2024-04-20 68.7 @ Ferencvaros 0 1769 76.14% Kisvarda 0 1476 8.40% 15.46%
20 2024-03-02 68.3 @ Diosgyor 1 1512 33.89% Puskas 1 1614 45.31% 20.80%
21 2023-12-17 67.9 @ Kecskemet 1 1533 41.73% Debrecen VSC 1 1579 37.40% 20.87%
22 2023-11-05 67.6 @ Kecskemet 2 1542 25.93% Ferencvaros 1 1708 53.76% 20.30%
23 2023-08-13 67.4 Puskas 2 1579 24.59% @ Ferencvaros 1 1637 55.25% 20.16%
24 2023-12-03 67.1 @ Ferencvaros 0 1686 66.37% Mezokovesd 0 1521 15.23% 18.41%
25 2024-03-31 67.0 Ujpest 2 1476 16.01% @ Paks 1 1630 65.36% 18.63%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-04-06 39.0 @ Fehervar 5 1579 63.30% Mezokovesd 0 1447 17.67% 19.03%
2 2024-02-02 40.7 @ MTK Budapest 3 1479 49.47% Ujpest 0 1468 29.91% 20.62%
3 2024-05-03 41.3 @ Fehervar 4 1595 61.05% MTK Budapest 0 1485 19.53% 19.42%
4 2024-04-14 41.5 Puskas 4 1598 54.14% @ Mezokovesd 0 1429 25.59% 20.27%
5 2023-12-16 41.9 @ Kisvarda 4 1479 46.09% Ujpest 0 1493 33.14% 20.77%
6 2023-12-17 42.3 @ Ferencvaros 3 1687 69.59% Zalaegerszeg 0 1484 12.80% 17.61%
7 2024-02-25 43.2 Ferencvaros 5 1718 64.80% @ Ujpest 0 1449 16.46% 18.74%
8 2023-11-10 43.6 @ MTK Budapest 2 1456 45.38% Zalaegerszeg 0 1475 33.82% 20.80%
9 2024-05-19 43.7 @ Ferencvaros 2 1754 75.98% Ujpest 0 1463 8.50% 15.52%
10 2023-10-08 43.8 @ Fehervar 3 1536 51.33% MTK Budapest 0 1511 28.17% 20.50%
11 2024-03-31 43.8 Ferencvaros 3 1750 67.05% @ Mezokovesd 0 1456 14.70% 18.25%
12 2024-02-18 44.2 @ Puskas 6 1607 63.09% MTK Budapest 1 1476 17.84% 19.07%
13 2023-10-28 44.4 @ Fehervar 4 1543 49.89% Diosgyor 0 1528 29.52% 20.59%
14 2023-11-25 44.4 @ Mezokovesd 4 1494 43.59% Ujpest 0 1526 35.57% 20.84%
15 2024-04-27 44.4 @ Debrecen VSC 1 1579 64.17% Ujpest 0 1438 16.96% 18.87%
16 2023-10-29 45.3 @ Ferencvaros 3 1698 64.81% Ujpest 0 1550 16.45% 18.74%
17 2024-02-17 45.3 @ Kecskemet 1 1557 60.31% Ujpest 0 1454 20.16% 19.53%
18 2024-04-13 45.4 @ Kisvarda 4 1461 47.85% Ujpest 1 1462 31.45% 20.70%
19 2023-10-29 45.6 @ Mezokovesd 1 1492 52.23% MTK Budapest 0 1459 27.34% 20.43%
20 2024-05-04 45.7 @ Ujpest 7 1434 36.49% Diosgyor 0 1516 42.65% 20.86%
21 2023-11-11 45.9 @ Diosgyor 2 1507 48.08% Mezokovesd 0 1507 31.23% 20.69%
22 2023-08-19 46.0 @ Paks 3 1554 49.64% Ujpest 0 1541 29.76% 20.61%
23 2023-12-08 46.2 @ Puskas 3 1598 54.20% Kecskemet 0 1549 25.54% 20.26%
24 2024-02-06 46.3 @ Ferencvaros 5 1704 69.88% MTK Budapest 1 1497 12.59% 17.53%
25 2023-08-27 46.6 @ Fehervar 2 1527 49.25% Mezokovesd 0 1517 30.12% 20.63%