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2010-11 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Selfoss

10.85 points above expected

47 points · 36.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

HK Kopavogur

8.62 points below expected

16 points · 24.62 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 22 16 3 3 51 53 17 +36 40.66 +10.34
2 Selfoss 22 15 2 5 47 44 22 +22 36.15 +10.85
3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 22 10 6 6 36 33 23 +10 32.24 +3.76
4 Vikingur Olafsvik 22 10 4 8 34 35 26 +9 31.06 +2.94
5 Fjolnir 22 8 8 6 32 34 38 -4 31.61 +0.39
6 IB Bolungarvik 22 9 4 9 31 27 37 -10 28.78 +2.22
7 Throttur Reykjavik 22 9 3 10 30 34 45 -11 27.98 +2.02
8 KA Akureyri 22 9 2 11 29 32 40 -8 23.91 +5.09
9 IR Reykjavik 22 6 4 12 22 27 42 -15 29.40 -7.40
10 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 5 5 12 20 31 32 -1 28.20 -8.20
11 Grotta 22 4 8 10 20 16 29 -13 27.20 -7.20
12 HK Kopavogur 22 3 7 12 16 23 38 -15 24.62 -8.62

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Selfoss 47 36.15 +10.85
2 IA Akranes 51 40.66 +10.34
3 KA Akureyri 29 23.91 +5.09
4 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 36 32.24 +3.76
5 Vikingur Olafsvik 34 31.06 +2.94

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 HK Kopavogur 16 24.62 -8.62
2 Leiknir Reykjavik 20 28.20 -8.20
3 IR Reykjavik 22 29.40 -7.40
4 Grotta 20 27.20 -7.20
5 Fjolnir 32 31.61 +0.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 11 Jun 7 – Aug 5 1 in 1,193
2 Selfoss 6 Jun 6 – Jul 7 1 in 100
3 KA Akureyri 3 Jul 26 – Aug 11 1 in 34
4 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 Aug 19 – Sep 1 1 in 27
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 Jul 16 – Jul 27 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leiknir Reykjavik 6 Jun 11 – Jul 12 1 in 209
2 HK Kopavogur 5 May 28 – Jun 15 1 in 106
3 KA Akureyri 4 Jun 2 – Jun 15 1 in 34
4 IR Reykjavik 3 Jul 27 – Aug 11 1 in 16
5 Grotta 3 Jul 15 – Jul 26 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 15 May 13 – Aug 5 1 in 94
2 IB Bolungarvik 7 Jul 12 – Aug 16 1 in 53
3 Fjolnir 7 Jul 22 – Aug 27 1 in 24
4 Grotta 5 May 28 – Jun 15 1 in 16
5 HK Kopavogur 4 Jun 24 – Jul 12 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HK Kopavogur 17 May 13 – Aug 16 1 in 359
2 Leiknir Reykjavik 11 May 13 – Jul 12 1 in 149
3 IA Akranes 4 Aug 12 – Aug 27 1 in 43
4 IR Reykjavik 6 Jul 16 – Aug 16 1 in 18
5 Vikingur Olafsvik 5 May 14 – Jun 6 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
IA Akranes 1208 51 -40 7 10.2 -3.2
Selfoss 1178 47 +36 15 8.6 +6.4
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1126 36 +48 10 7.4 +2.6
Vikingur Olafsvik 1110 34 +28 9 7.9 +1.1
Fjolnir 1033 32 -46 5 8.0 -3.0
IB Bolungarvik 989 31 -60 3 6.6 -3.6
Throttur Reykjavik 986 30 -17 4 5.4 -1.4
KA Akureyri 1022 29 +31 9 5.2 +3.8
IR Reykjavik 985 22 -26 6 5.9 +0.1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1069 20 +30 7 6.1 +0.9
Grotta 964 20 -58 1 6.0 -5.0
HK Kopavogur 984 16 +60 10 5.5 +4.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FJO GRO HK HH IA IB IR KA LR SEL TR VO
Fjolnir —
1-1-0
3.01
0-2-0
3.38
0-2-0
2.54
0-1-1
1.95
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
2.78
Grotta
0-1-1
2.46
 —
0-1-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.33
0-0-2
1.48
1-1-0
2.45
1-1-0
2.51
0-0-2
3.11
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.52
HK Kopavogur
0-2-0
2.11
1-1-0
2.55
 —
0-1-1
1.86
0-0-2
2.14
1-0-1
2.08
1-1-0
2.14
0-0-2
2.67
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.17
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
0-2-0
2.93
0-1-1
3.15
1-1-0
3.64
 —
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
3.03
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
3.47
2-0-0
2.76
IA Akranes
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.59
 —
1-0-1
3.55
1-1-0
3.88
2-0-0
4.18
1-0-1
4.15
2-0-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.53
1-1-0
3.69
IB Bolungarvik
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.40
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
1.99
 —
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
2.60
0-0-2
1.92
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.31
IR Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
3.35
0-0-2
2.69
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
3.05
 —
0-1-1
3.45
2-0-0
2.73
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.28
KA Akureyri
0-0-2
2.30
2-0-0
2.36
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.37
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.04
 —
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.15
Leiknir Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
1.39
0-0-2
2.88
0-0-2
2.75
1-1-0
3.01
 —
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.75
Selfoss
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.76
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-2
2.37
2-0-0
3.58
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.14
 —
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
3.09
Throttur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.69
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.04
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.20
 —
0-0-2
2.35
Vikingur Olafsvik
0-1-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.32
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
1.81
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.39
2-0-0
3.13
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +10.1
Allowed 0.44 -7.9
Differential 0.79 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%7.58%3.41%5.30%0.76%1.52%26.14%
17.58%10.61%9.09%3.41%2.27%0.38%33.33%
23.41%9.09%2.27%3.41%0.38%0.38%18.94%
35.30%3.41%3.41%0.76%1.52%—14.39%
40.76%2.27%0.38%1.52%——4.92%
5+1.52%0.38%0.38%———2.27%
Total26.14%33.33%18.94%14.39%4.92%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.34 1.99
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%
14.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
29.09%—9.09%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total31.82%22.73%18.18%18.18%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.73 -0.18
SD 1.30 1.91 2.24
CV 0.84 1.10 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%—54.55%
14.55%18.18%9.09%———31.82%
2—4.55%————4.55%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.32 -0.59
SD 1.08 1.09 1.56
CV 1.48 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%13.64%——31.82%
14.55%18.18%18.18%4.55%——45.45%
2——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
39.09%———4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%18.18%31.82%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.73 -0.68
SD 1.00 1.28 1.64
CV 0.96 0.74 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%————22.73%
14.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
213.64%13.64%—9.09%——36.36%
34.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%27.27%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.05 +0.45
SD 1.06 1.09 1.22
CV 0.71 1.04 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
113.64%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
29.09%18.18%————27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+18.18%—————18.18%
Total45.45%40.91%9.09%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 0.77 +1.64
SD 1.84 0.97 2.44
CV 0.76 1.26 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—9.09%—4.55%31.82%
19.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
2—22.73%4.55%———27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%50.00%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.68 -0.45
SD 1.07 1.49 1.90
CV 0.87 0.89 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
14.55%13.64%4.55%18.18%4.55%—45.45%
2—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%13.64%36.36%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.91 -0.68
SD 0.97 1.15 1.49
CV 0.79 0.60 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%31.82%
14.55%4.55%13.64%—9.09%—31.82%
2—9.09%————9.09%
313.64%—————13.64%
4—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%22.73%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.82 -0.36
SD 1.44 1.47 2.30
CV 0.99 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
1—13.64%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%——9.09%——13.64%
39.09%———4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%36.36%18.18%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.45 -0.05
SD 1.44 1.18 1.86
CV 1.02 0.81 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
118.18%4.55%13.64%———36.36%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
313.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
44.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total40.91%27.27%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.00 +1.00
SD 1.27 1.02 1.48
CV 0.64 1.02 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
118.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%45.45%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%27.27%18.18%18.18%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.05 -0.50
SD 1.53 1.68 2.46
CV 0.99 0.82 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%50.00%18.18%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.18 +0.41
SD 1.33 1.01 1.65
CV 0.84 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IA Akranes 1208 51 40.66 +10.34 98.0% 23 31 36 41 45 50 57
Selfoss 1178 47 36.15 +10.85 96.0% 18 24 31 36 41 47 51
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1126 36 32.24 +3.76 71.0% 16 21 27 32 37 44 45
Vikingur Olafsvik 1110 34 31.06 +2.94 78.0% 16 23 27 31 34 42 45
Leiknir Reykjavik 1069 20 28.20 -8.20 10.0% 15 17 23 28 33 37 42
Fjolnir 1033 32 31.61 +0.39 61.0% 19 22 28 31 35 41 49
KA Akureyri 1022 29 23.91 +5.09 83.0% 11 15 19 24 28 34 40
IB Bolungarvik 989 31 28.78 +2.22 70.0% 17 20 25 28 32 40 47
Throttur Reykjavik 986 30 27.98 +2.02 62.0% 12 17 23 28 33 37 48
IR Reykjavik 985 22 29.40 -7.40 7.0% 11 21 26 29 33 39 48
HK Kopavogur 984 16 24.62 -8.62 7.0% 13 16 21 25 28 33 41
Grotta 964 20 27.20 -7.20 17.0% 11 16 23 28 31 38 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.55%
No Edge
41.67%21.21%37.12%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 15.80 Elo pts.
181 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.14 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
48%
IA Akranes, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.89 * Some Luck: 4.89 to 7.33 * Lucky: 7.33 to 9.78 * Wild Swing: 9.78 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.99 * Close: 1.99 to 2.99 * Off: 2.99 to 3.99 * Way Off: 3.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.63 points
Some Luck
06.1115
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.495
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
IA Akranes
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
IR Reykjavik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 83.09
1.68
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.19
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
-0.41
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
34%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.47
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.114
Well Within Noise
00.1360.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
IA Akranes48.00%23.00%14.00%8.00%3.00%——2.00%—2.00%——
Selfoss19.00%20.00%21.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%—2.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur11.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik4.00%8.00%9.00%16.00%9.00%16.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%
Fjolnir7.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%11.00%20.00%15.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%
IB Bolungarvik4.00%2.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%11.00%14.00%7.00%6.00%
Throttur Reykjavik1.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%15.00%10.00%8.00%
KA Akureyri—2.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%15.00%31.00%
IR Reykjavik2.00%7.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik3.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%5.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%
Grotta1.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%
HK Kopavogur—2.00%—3.00%5.00%3.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%21.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
IA Akranes 71.00% 29.00% —
Selfoss 39.00% 59.00% 2.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 25.00% 67.00% 8.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik 12.00% 83.00% 5.00%
Fjolnir 15.00% 76.00% 9.00%
IR Reykjavik 9.00% 81.00% 10.00%
IB Bolungarvik 6.00% 81.00% 13.00%
Throttur Reykjavik 7.00% 75.00% 18.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 6.00% 72.00% 22.00%
Grotta 6.00% 71.00% 23.00%
HK Kopavogur 2.00% 54.00% 44.00%
KA Akureyri 2.00% 52.00% 46.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-05-13 Fjolnir L 2-353.5 1051 1056 42.34% 26.36% 31.31%+0.06 -9.1 0
2011-05-13 @ Selfoss W 3-253.5 1056 1051 31.31% 26.36% 42.34%-0.06 +9.1 3
2011-05-13 Grotta D 1-152.1 1042 1060 40.59% 26.44% 32.97%-0.01 -0.4 1
2011-05-13 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1060 1042 32.97% 26.44% 40.59%+0.01 +0.4 1
2011-05-13 IA Akranes L 0-338.7 1058 1044 44.95% 26.17% 28.88%+0.16 -29.3 0
2011-05-13 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-038.7 1044 1058 28.88% 26.17% 44.95%-0.16 +29.3 3
2011-05-13 KA Akureyri D 0-048.1 1060 1013 49.23% 25.71% 25.06%+0.35 -1.4 1
2011-05-13 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-048.1 1013 1060 25.06% 25.71% 49.23%-0.35 +1.4 1
2011-05-14 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-249.0 1060 1052 44.20% 26.23% 29.57%+0.13 -10.0 0
2011-05-14 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-149.0 1052 1060 29.57% 26.23% 44.20%-0.13 +9.9 3
2011-05-14 IR Reykjavik L 1-247.1 1060 1099 37.66% 26.50% 35.84%-0.13 -8.8 0
2011-05-14 @ IB Bolungarvik W 2-147.1 1099 1060 35.84% 26.50% 37.66%+0.13 +8.8 3
2011-05-19 HK Kopavogur D 1-152.3 1059 1029 47.07% 25.97% 26.96%+0.25 -1.0 2
2011-05-19 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-152.3 1029 1059 26.96% 25.97% 47.07%-0.25 +1.0 1
2011-05-19 Selfoss L 0-338.9 1060 1042 45.55% 26.12% 28.33%+0.19 -29.6 1
2011-05-19 @ Grotta W 3-038.9 1042 1060 28.33% 26.12% 45.55%-0.19 +29.6 3
2011-05-19 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-038.6 1073 1042 47.25% 25.95% 26.80%+0.26 +7.2 6
2011-05-19 @ IA Akranes L 0-138.6 1042 1073 26.80% 25.95% 47.25%-0.26 -7.2 1
2011-05-20 IR Reykjavik W 3-038.3 1014 1107 30.22% 26.29% 43.49%-0.43 +28.5 4
2011-05-20 @ KA Akureyri L 0-338.3 1107 1014 43.49% 26.29% 30.22%+0.43 -28.5 3
2011-05-20 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-036.0 1065 1050 45.14% 26.16% 28.70%+0.17 +14.3 6
2011-05-20 @ Fjolnir L 0-236.0 1050 1065 28.70% 26.16% 45.14%-0.17 -14.3 0
2011-05-21 IB Bolungarvik L 1-249.1 1062 1051 44.47% 26.21% 29.32%+0.15 -10.0 3
2011-05-21 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-149.1 1051 1062 29.32% 26.21% 44.47%-0.15 +10.0 3
2011-05-28 Fjolnir W 3-142.8 1061 1080 40.51% 26.44% 33.05%-0.02 +13.8 6
2011-05-28 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-342.8 1080 1061 33.05% 26.44% 40.51%+0.02 -13.8 6
2011-05-28 Grotta D 1-152.2 1036 1031 43.74% 26.27% 29.99%+0.12 -0.7 1
2011-05-28 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-152.2 1031 1036 29.99% 26.27% 43.74%-0.12 +0.7 2
2011-05-28 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-346.8 1079 1052 46.71% 26.01% 27.29%+0.24 -18.0 3
2011-05-28 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-146.8 1052 1079 27.29% 26.01% 46.71%-0.24 +18.0 6
2011-05-28 IA Akranes L 1-248.3 1071 1080 41.85% 26.38% 31.77%+0.04 -9.5 3
2011-05-28 @ Selfoss W 2-148.3 1080 1071 31.77% 26.38% 41.85%-0.04 +9.5 9
2011-05-28 KA Akureyri L 3-456.1 1030 1043 41.24% 26.41% 32.35%+0.01 -8.7 1
2011-05-28 @ HK Kopavogur W 4-356.1 1043 1030 32.35% 26.41% 41.24%-0.01 +8.7 7
2011-05-28 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-143.0 1035 1058 39.87% 26.46% 33.67%-0.04 +14.0 4
2011-05-28 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-343.0 1058 1035 33.67% 26.46% 39.87%+0.04 -14.0 2
2011-06-02 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-239.6 1052 1070 40.57% 26.44% 32.99%-0.01 -18.6 7
2011-06-02 @ KA Akureyri W 2-039.6 1070 1052 32.99% 26.44% 40.57%+0.01 +18.6 9
2011-06-02 IB Bolungarvik W 1-041.7 1031 1075 36.95% 26.51% 36.55%-0.15 +9.1 5
2011-06-02 @ Grotta L 0-141.7 1075 1031 36.55% 26.51% 36.95%+0.15 -9.1 6
2011-06-02 IR Reykjavik L 2-353.9 1066 1061 43.75% 26.27% 29.98%+0.12 -9.4 6
2011-06-02 @ Fjolnir W 3-253.9 1061 1066 29.98% 26.27% 43.75%-0.12 +9.4 6
2011-06-02 Selfoss D 1-152.1 1044 1062 40.53% 26.44% 33.03%-0.01 -0.4 3
2011-06-02 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1062 1044 33.03% 26.44% 40.53%+0.01 +0.4 4
2011-06-02 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-247.6 1021 1049 39.21% 26.48% 34.31%-0.07 -9.1 1
2011-06-02 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-147.6 1049 1021 34.31% 26.48% 39.21%+0.07 +9.1 7
2011-06-02 Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-152.4 1090 1035 50.20% 25.57% 24.23%+0.39 -1.3 10
2011-06-02 @ IA Akranes D 1-152.4 1035 1090 24.23% 25.57% 50.20%-0.39 +1.3 2
2011-06-06 HK Kopavogur W 4-244.1 1062 1012 49.67% 25.65% 24.69%+0.37 +9.8 7
2011-06-06 @ Selfoss L 2-444.1 1012 1062 24.69% 25.65% 49.67%-0.37 -9.8 1
2011-06-06 Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-048.0 1036 1043 42.13% 26.37% 31.51%+0.05 -0.6 3
2011-06-06 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-048.0 1043 1036 31.51% 26.37% 42.13%-0.05 +0.6 4
2011-06-07 Fjolnir D 0-048.1 1088 1057 47.27% 25.95% 26.78%+0.26 -1.2 10
2011-06-07 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-048.1 1057 1088 26.78% 25.95% 47.27%-0.26 +1.2 7
2011-06-07 Grotta D 0-048.1 1070 1041 47.01% 25.98% 27.01%+0.25 -1.1 7
2011-06-07 @ IR Reykjavik D 0-048.1 1041 1070 27.01% 25.98% 47.01%-0.25 +1.1 6
2011-06-07 IA Akranes L 0-637.8 1066 1089 39.93% 26.46% 33.62%-0.04 -51.1 6
2011-06-07 @ IB Bolungarvik W 6-037.8 1089 1066 33.62% 26.46% 39.93%+0.04 +51.1 13
2011-06-07 KA Akureyri W 1-038.8 1058 1033 46.36% 26.04% 27.59%+0.22 +7.4 10
2011-06-07 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-138.8 1033 1058 27.59% 26.04% 46.36%-0.22 -7.4 7
2011-06-09 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-239.0 1002 1036 38.34% 26.50% 35.16%-0.10 -17.8 1
2011-06-09 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-039.0 1036 1002 35.16% 26.50% 38.34%+0.10 +17.8 6
2011-06-10 Fjolnir L 1-441.9 1026 1058 38.59% 26.49% 34.92%-0.09 -21.9 7
2011-06-10 @ KA Akureyri W 4-141.9 1058 1026 34.92% 26.49% 38.59%+0.09 +22.0 10
2011-06-10 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-251.9 1042 1087 36.69% 26.51% 36.80%-0.16 +8.2 9
2011-06-10 @ Grotta L 2-351.9 1087 1042 36.80% 26.51% 36.69%+0.16 -8.2 10
2011-06-10 IR Reykjavik W 3-139.3 1140 1069 52.11% 25.26% 22.63%+0.48 +10.2 16
2011-06-10 @ IA Akranes L 1-339.3 1069 1140 22.63% 25.26% 52.11%-0.48 -10.2 7
2011-06-10 Selfoss L 0-337.9 1065 1072 42.09% 26.37% 31.54%+0.05 -27.8 10
2011-06-10 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-037.9 1072 1065 31.54% 26.37% 42.09%-0.05 +27.8 10
2011-06-11 IB Bolungarvik L 0-144.6 1044 1015 46.92% 25.99% 27.09%+0.25 -11.1 4
2011-06-11 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-044.6 1015 1044 27.09% 25.99% 46.92%-0.25 +11.1 9
2011-06-15 Grotta D 0-048.1 1080 1050 47.03% 25.98% 27.00%+0.25 -1.1 11
2011-06-15 @ Fjolnir D 0-048.1 1050 1080 27.00% 25.98% 47.03%-0.25 +1.1 10
2011-06-15 HK Kopavogur W 2-143.3 1026 984 48.57% 25.79% 25.64%+0.32 +6.5 12
2011-06-15 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-243.3 984 1026 25.64% 25.79% 48.57%-0.32 -6.5 1
2011-06-15 IA Akranes L 0-140.7 1079 1150 33.13% 26.44% 40.43%-0.31 -8.5 10
2011-06-15 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-040.7 1150 1079 40.43% 26.44% 33.13%+0.31 +8.5 19
2011-06-15 KA Akureyri W 3-030.8 1100 1004 55.11% 24.67% 20.22%+0.62 +15.4 13
2011-06-15 @ Selfoss L 0-330.8 1004 1100 20.22% 24.67% 55.11%-0.62 -15.4 7
2011-06-16 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-248.9 1059 1033 46.56% 26.02% 27.41%+0.23 +6.5 10
2011-06-16 @ IR Reykjavik L 2-348.9 1033 1059 27.41% 26.02% 46.56%-0.23 -6.5 4
2011-06-16 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-144.3 1054 1037 45.28% 26.15% 28.57%+0.18 +7.1 9
2011-06-16 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-244.3 1037 1054 28.57% 26.15% 45.28%-0.18 -7.1 10
2011-06-23 Fjolnir W 6-032.0 1158 1079 53.20% 25.06% 21.74%+0.53 +31.5 22
2011-06-23 @ IA Akranes L 0-632.0 1079 1158 21.74% 25.06% 53.20%-0.53 -31.5 11
2011-06-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-246.9 1026 1070 36.86% 26.51% 36.63%-0.16 -8.7 4
2011-06-23 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-146.9 1070 1026 36.63% 26.51% 36.86%+0.16 +8.6 13
2011-06-23 Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-139.9 1115 1061 50.17% 25.57% 24.26%+0.39 +10.8 16
2011-06-23 @ Selfoss L 1-339.9 1061 1115 24.26% 25.57% 50.17%-0.39 -10.8 9
2011-06-24 Grotta W 1-042.5 988 1051 34.24% 26.48% 39.28%-0.26 +9.6 10
2011-06-24 @ KA Akureyri L 0-142.5 1051 988 39.28% 26.48% 34.24%+0.26 -9.6 10
2011-06-24 IR Reykjavik D 1-152.1 978 1065 30.90% 26.33% 42.77%-0.40 +0.6 2
2011-06-24 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-152.1 1065 978 42.77% 26.33% 30.90%+0.40 -0.6 11
2011-06-26 IB Bolungarvik D 2-257.6 1030 1032 42.73% 26.33% 30.93%+0.07 -0.4 11
2011-06-26 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-257.6 1032 1030 30.93% 26.33% 42.73%-0.07 +0.4 13
2011-06-29 HK Kopavogur D 1-152.7 1079 978 55.63% 24.56% 19.82%+0.65 -1.9 14
2011-06-29 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.7 978 1079 19.82% 24.56% 55.63%-0.65 +1.9 3
2011-06-29 KA Akureyri W 2-142.9 1050 998 49.86% 25.62% 24.52%+0.38 +6.3 12
2011-06-29 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-242.9 998 1050 24.52% 25.62% 49.86%-0.38 -6.3 10
2011-06-30 IA Akranes L 0-234.4 1041 1190 23.86% 25.50% 50.64%-0.73 -12.3 10
2011-06-30 @ Grotta W 2-034.4 1190 1041 50.64% 25.50% 23.86%+0.73 +12.3 25
2011-06-30 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-351.7 1047 1018 46.99% 25.98% 27.03%+0.25 +6.3 14
2011-06-30 @ Fjolnir L 3-451.7 1018 1047 27.03% 25.98% 46.99%-0.25 -6.3 4
2011-06-30 Selfoss L 0-139.7 1033 1126 30.21% 26.28% 43.51%-0.43 -7.9 13
2011-06-30 @ IB Bolungarvik W 1-039.7 1126 1033 43.51% 26.28% 30.21%+0.43 +7.9 19
2011-06-30 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-144.8 1065 1030 47.74% 25.89% 26.37%+0.28 -11.2 11
2011-06-30 @ IR Reykjavik W 1-044.8 1030 1065 26.37% 25.89% 47.74%-0.28 +11.2 14
2011-07-07 Fjolnir D 1-152.1 980 1053 32.81% 26.43% 40.76%-0.32 +0.4 4
2011-07-07 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-152.1 1053 980 40.76% 26.43% 32.81%+0.32 -0.4 15
2011-07-07 Grotta L 1-248.0 1011 1029 40.60% 26.44% 32.96%-0.01 -9.3 4
2011-07-07 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-148.0 1029 1011 32.96% 26.44% 40.60%+0.01 +9.3 13
2011-07-07 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-146.5 1041 1077 37.99% 26.50% 35.51%-0.11 +8.4 17
2011-07-07 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-246.5 1077 1041 35.51% 26.50% 37.99%+0.11 -8.4 14
2011-07-07 IR Reykjavik W 2-141.9 1134 1054 53.28% 25.05% 21.68%+0.53 +5.7 22
2011-07-07 @ Selfoss L 1-241.9 1054 1134 21.68% 25.05% 53.28%-0.53 -5.7 11
2011-07-08 IA Akranes L 1-435.1 992 1202 18.19% 24.03% 57.78%-1.08 -11.8 10
2011-07-08 @ KA Akureyri W 4-135.1 1202 992 57.78% 24.03% 18.19%+1.08 +11.8 28
2011-07-08 IB Bolungarvik W 4-138.2 1056 1025 47.22% 25.95% 26.82%+0.26 +16.6 15
2011-07-08 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-438.2 1025 1056 26.82% 25.95% 47.22%-0.26 -16.6 13
2011-07-12 HK Kopavogur D 0-048.2 1038 980 50.58% 25.51% 23.91%+0.41 -1.5 14
2011-07-12 @ Grotta D 0-048.2 980 1038 23.91% 25.51% 50.58%-0.41 +1.5 5
2011-07-12 KA Akureyri W 2-143.8 1008 980 46.87% 25.99% 27.14%+0.25 +6.8 16
2011-07-12 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-243.8 980 1008 27.14% 25.99% 46.87%-0.25 -6.8 10
2011-07-12 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-029.5 1214 1002 66.76% 21.03% 12.20%+1.26 +6.4 31
2011-07-12 @ IA Akranes L 0-229.5 1002 1214 12.20% 21.03% 66.76%-1.26 -6.4 4
2011-07-12 Selfoss W 2-147.9 1069 1140 33.13% 26.44% 40.43%-0.31 +9.3 17
2011-07-12 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-247.9 1140 1069 40.43% 26.44% 33.13%+0.31 -9.3 22
2011-07-12 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-249.8 1053 1049 43.57% 26.28% 30.15%+0.11 +7.0 18
2011-07-12 @ Fjolnir L 2-349.8 1049 1053 30.15% 26.28% 43.57%-0.11 -7.0 17
2011-07-12 Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-040.9 1048 1073 39.62% 26.47% 33.91%-0.05 +8.6 14
2011-07-12 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-140.9 1073 1048 33.91% 26.47% 39.62%+0.05 -8.6 15
2011-07-15 HK Kopavogur W 2-137.2 1220 982 69.06% 20.05% 10.89%+1.41 +2.8 34
2011-07-15 @ IA Akranes L 1-237.2 982 1220 10.89% 20.05% 69.06%-1.41 -2.8 5
2011-07-15 Selfoss L 0-140.7 1060 1130 33.21% 26.45% 40.35%-0.30 -8.5 18
2011-07-15 @ Fjolnir W 1-040.7 1130 1060 40.35% 26.45% 33.21%+0.30 +8.5 25
2011-07-15 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-143.4 1037 1042 42.33% 26.36% 31.31%+0.06 -10.2 14
2011-07-15 @ Grotta W 1-043.4 1042 1037 31.31% 26.36% 42.33%-0.06 +10.2 20
2011-07-15 Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-039.3 1078 1064 44.93% 26.18% 28.90%+0.16 +7.6 20
2011-07-15 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-139.3 1064 1078 28.90% 26.18% 44.93%-0.16 -7.6 15
2011-07-16 IB Bolungarvik L 2-355.2 1057 1015 48.52% 25.80% 25.68%+0.32 -10.2 14
2011-07-16 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-255.2 1015 1057 25.68% 25.80% 48.52%-0.32 +10.2 19
2011-07-16 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-239.4 973 996 39.94% 26.46% 33.60%-0.04 -18.4 10
2011-07-16 @ KA Akureyri W 2-039.4 996 973 33.60% 26.46% 39.94%+0.04 +18.4 7
2011-07-19 IA Akranes L 0-632.0 1052 1223 21.65% 25.04% 53.31%-0.86 -31.4 20
2011-07-19 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 6-032.0 1223 1052 53.31% 25.04% 21.65%+0.86 +31.4 37
2011-07-21 Grotta W 4-029.7 1139 1027 56.89% 24.26% 18.85%+0.71 +18.9 28
2011-07-21 @ Selfoss L 0-429.7 1027 1139 18.85% 24.26% 56.89%-0.71 -18.9 14
2011-07-21 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-336.8 979 1014 38.22% 26.50% 35.29%-0.10 -25.8 5
2011-07-21 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-036.8 1014 979 35.29% 26.50% 38.22%+0.10 +25.8 10
2011-07-22 Fjolnir D 2-257.6 1057 1052 43.75% 26.27% 29.98%+0.12 -0.5 16
2011-07-22 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 2-257.6 1052 1057 29.98% 26.27% 43.75%-0.12 +0.5 19
2011-07-22 KA Akureyri D 1-152.6 1046 955 54.61% 24.78% 20.61%+0.60 -1.8 15
2011-07-22 @ IR Reykjavik D 1-152.6 955 1046 20.61% 24.78% 54.61%-0.60 +1.8 11
2011-07-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-047.9 1025 1086 34.59% 26.49% 38.92%-0.25 +0.2 20
2011-07-23 @ IB Bolungarvik D 0-047.9 1086 1025 38.92% 26.49% 34.59%+0.25 -0.2 21
2011-07-26 HK Kopavogur W 2-144.8 956 953 43.48% 26.29% 30.24%+0.10 +7.4 14
2011-07-26 @ KA Akureyri L 1-244.8 953 956 30.24% 26.29% 43.48%-0.10 -7.5 5
2011-07-26 Selfoss W 2-141.5 1254 1158 55.15% 24.66% 20.19%+0.62 +5.3 40
2011-07-26 @ IA Akranes L 1-241.5 1158 1254 20.19% 24.66% 55.15%-0.62 -5.3 28
2011-07-26 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-246.7 1008 1056 36.27% 26.51% 37.22%-0.18 -8.6 14
2011-07-26 @ Grotta W 2-146.7 1056 1008 37.22% 26.51% 36.27%+0.18 +8.6 19
2011-07-27 IB Bolungarvik D 1-152.2 1052 1026 46.59% 26.02% 27.39%+0.23 -1.0 20
2011-07-27 @ Fjolnir D 1-152.2 1026 1052 27.39% 26.02% 46.59%-0.23 +1.0 21
2011-07-27 IR Reykjavik W 3-248.3 1085 1045 48.44% 25.81% 25.75%+0.31 +6.2 24
2011-07-27 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 2-348.3 1045 1085 25.75% 25.81% 48.44%-0.31 -6.2 15
2011-07-27 Throttur Reykjavik W 5-137.1 1040 1021 45.57% 26.12% 28.31%+0.19 +22.4 13
2011-07-27 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-537.1 1021 1040 28.31% 26.12% 45.57%-0.19 -22.4 20
2011-08-04 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-036.4 1152 1062 54.44% 24.81% 20.75%+0.59 +5.8 31
2011-08-04 @ Selfoss L 0-136.4 1062 1152 20.75% 24.81% 54.44%-0.59 -5.8 13
2011-08-05 Fjolnir L 0-143.1 1038 1051 41.33% 26.41% 32.27%+0.02 -10.0 15
2011-08-05 @ IR Reykjavik W 1-043.1 1051 1038 32.27% 26.41% 41.33%-0.02 +10.0 23
2011-08-05 HK Kopavogur W 3-140.0 999 946 49.95% 25.60% 24.44%+0.38 +10.9 23
2011-08-05 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-340.0 946 999 24.44% 25.60% 49.95%-0.38 -10.9 5
2011-08-05 IA Akranes L 0-136.0 1065 1260 19.46% 24.45% 56.10%-0.99 -5.4 19
2011-08-05 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-036.0 1260 1065 56.10% 24.45% 19.46%+0.99 +5.4 43
2011-08-06 Grotta D 1-152.2 1027 999 46.72% 26.01% 27.28%+0.24 -1.0 22
2011-08-06 @ IB Bolungarvik D 1-152.2 999 1027 27.28% 26.01% 46.72%-0.24 +1.0 15
2011-08-06 KA Akureyri L 1-252.6 1092 964 58.57% 23.82% 17.61%+0.80 -12.6 24
2011-08-06 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-152.6 964 1092 17.61% 23.82% 58.57%-0.80 +12.6 17
2011-08-09 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-047.9 1061 1079 40.59% 26.44% 32.97%-0.01 -0.4 24
2011-08-09 @ Fjolnir D 0-047.9 1079 1061 32.97% 26.44% 40.59%+0.01 +0.4 25
2011-08-11 IR Reykjavik W 4-140.7 1000 1028 39.14% 26.48% 34.38%-0.07 +20.1 18
2011-08-11 @ Grotta L 1-440.7 1028 1000 34.38% 26.48% 39.14%+0.07 -20.1 15
2011-08-11 Selfoss D 0-048.8 935 1158 17.20% 23.66% 59.14%-1.15 +2.5 6
2011-08-11 @ HK Kopavogur D 0-048.8 1158 935 59.14% 23.66% 17.20%+1.15 -2.5 32
2011-08-11 Throttur Reykjavik W 4-140.9 976 1010 38.44% 26.49% 35.06%-0.10 +20.4 20
2011-08-11 @ KA Akureyri L 1-440.9 1010 976 35.06% 26.49% 38.44%+0.10 -20.4 23
2011-08-11 Vikingur Olafsvik L 2-353.6 1056 1059 42.67% 26.34% 30.99%+0.07 -9.2 13
2011-08-11 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-253.6 1059 1056 30.99% 26.34% 42.67%-0.07 +9.2 22
2011-08-12 IB Bolungarvik L 1-254.7 1265 1026 69.17% 20.01% 10.83%+1.41 -14.5 43
2011-08-12 @ IA Akranes W 2-154.7 1026 1265 10.83% 20.01% 69.17%-1.41 +14.5 25
2011-08-16 Grotta D 0-048.2 1079 1020 50.73% 25.49% 23.79%+0.41 -1.5 26
2011-08-16 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-048.2 1020 1079 23.79% 25.49% 50.73%-0.41 +1.5 19
2011-08-16 HK Kopavogur W 3-029.7 1068 938 58.90% 23.73% 17.37%+0.81 +13.4 25
2011-08-16 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-329.7 938 1068 17.37% 23.73% 58.90%-0.81 -13.4 6
2011-08-16 IA Akranes D 1-153.2 1008 1251 15.81% 23.08% 61.11%-1.25 +2.4 16
2011-08-16 @ IR Reykjavik D 1-153.2 1251 1008 61.11% 23.08% 15.81%+1.25 -2.4 44
2011-08-16 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-040.1 1040 1047 42.10% 26.37% 31.53%+0.05 +8.2 28
2011-08-16 @ IB Bolungarvik L 0-140.1 1047 1040 31.53% 26.37% 42.10%-0.05 -8.2 13
2011-08-16 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-148.3 1156 989 62.53% 22.61% 14.86%+1.01 -14.1 32
2011-08-16 @ Selfoss W 1-048.3 989 1156 14.86% 22.61% 62.53%-1.01 +14.1 26
2011-08-19 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-245.2 1248 1078 62.89% 22.49% 14.62%+1.03 -26.8 44
2011-08-19 @ IA Akranes W 2-045.2 1078 1248 14.62% 22.49% 62.89%-1.03 +26.8 29
2011-08-19 IR Reykjavik L 1-249.7 1039 1011 46.83% 26.00% 27.18%+0.24 -10.4 13
2011-08-19 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-149.7 1011 1039 27.18% 26.00% 46.83%-0.24 +10.4 19
2011-08-19 Selfoss L 1-242.8 997 1142 24.24% 25.57% 50.19%-0.71 -6.2 20
2011-08-19 @ KA Akureyri W 2-142.8 1142 997 50.19% 25.57% 24.24%+0.71 +6.2 35
2011-08-19 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-434.3 1003 1082 32.12% 26.40% 41.49%-0.35 -29.6 26
2011-08-19 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 4-034.3 1082 1003 41.49% 26.40% 32.12%+0.35 +29.6 28
2011-08-20 Fjolnir L 0-238.8 1022 1061 37.63% 26.50% 35.86%-0.13 -17.6 19
2011-08-20 @ Grotta W 2-038.8 1061 1022 35.86% 26.50% 37.63%+0.13 +17.6 27
2011-08-20 IB Bolungarvik W 3-039.4 924 1048 26.50% 25.91% 47.59%-0.60 +30.7 9
2011-08-20 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-339.4 1048 924 47.59% 25.91% 26.50%+0.60 -30.7 28
2011-08-23 KA Akureyri W 3-031.1 1078 991 54.12% 24.88% 21.00%+0.57 +16.0 30
2011-08-23 @ Fjolnir L 0-331.1 991 1078 21.00% 24.88% 54.12%-0.57 -15.9 20
2011-08-25 HK Kopavogur L 0-340.4 1021 955 51.60% 25.35% 23.05%+0.45 -32.9 19
2011-08-25 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-040.4 955 1021 23.05% 25.35% 51.60%-0.45 +32.9 12
2011-08-25 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-031.6 1105 1029 52.78% 25.14% 22.08%+0.51 +16.7 32
2011-08-25 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-331.6 1029 1105 22.08% 25.14% 52.78%-0.51 -16.7 13
2011-08-27 IA Akranes D 1-152.4 1094 1221 26.15% 25.87% 47.98%-0.62 +1.1 31
2011-08-27 @ Fjolnir D 1-152.4 1221 1094 47.98% 25.87% 26.15%+0.62 -1.1 45
2011-08-27 KA Akureyri L 0-339.3 1004 975 47.01% 25.98% 27.02%+0.25 -30.4 19
2011-08-27 @ Grotta W 3-039.3 975 1004 27.02% 25.98% 47.01%-0.25 +30.4 23
2011-08-27 Selfoss L 0-142.1 1111 1148 37.98% 26.50% 35.52%-0.11 -9.4 28
2011-08-27 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-042.1 1148 1111 35.52% 26.50% 37.98%+0.11 +9.4 38
2011-08-27 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-143.2 1018 974 48.84% 25.76% 25.40%+0.33 +6.5 31
2011-08-27 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-243.2 974 1018 25.40% 25.76% 48.84%-0.33 -6.5 26
2011-09-01 Fjolnir W 3-037.9 1012 1095 31.47% 26.37% 42.17%-0.37 +27.9 16
2011-09-01 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-337.9 1095 1012 42.17% 26.37% 31.47%+0.37 -27.9 31
2011-09-01 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-234.9 988 1121 25.43% 25.76% 48.80%-0.65 -13.0 12
2011-09-01 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-034.9 1121 988 48.80% 25.76% 25.43%+0.65 +13.0 35
2011-09-01 IR Reykjavik L 1-344.9 967 988 40.14% 26.45% 33.41%-0.03 -16.0 26
2011-09-01 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-144.9 988 967 33.41% 26.45% 40.14%+0.03 +16.0 22
2011-09-03 Grotta W 2-136.9 1220 974 69.75% 19.74% 10.50%+1.45 +2.7 48
2011-09-03 @ IA Akranes L 1-236.9 974 1220 10.50% 19.74% 69.75%-1.45 -2.7 19
2011-09-03 IB Bolungarvik W 4-348.1 1157 1024 59.14% 23.66% 17.20%+0.83 +4.2 41
2011-09-03 @ Selfoss L 3-448.1 1024 1157 17.20% 23.66% 59.14%-0.83 -4.2 31
2011-09-03 Vikingur Olafsvik W 4-356.9 1005 1102 29.75% 26.25% 44.00%-0.45 +9.2 26
2011-09-03 @ KA Akureyri L 3-456.9 1102 1005 44.00% 26.25% 29.75%+0.45 -9.2 28
2011-09-10 HK Kopavogur D 2-258.0 1067 975 54.71% 24.76% 20.54%+0.60 -1.3 32
2011-09-10 @ Fjolnir D 2-258.0 975 1067 20.54% 24.76% 54.71%-0.60 +1.3 13
2011-09-10 KA Akureyri W 5-027.2 1223 1014 66.49% 21.15% 12.37%+1.24 +15.2 51
2011-09-10 @ IA Akranes L 0-527.2 1014 1223 12.37% 21.15% 66.49%-1.24 -15.2 26
2011-09-10 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-152.1 971 1040 33.45% 26.45% 40.10%-0.29 +0.3 20
2011-09-10 @ Grotta D 1-152.1 1040 971 40.10% 26.45% 33.45%+0.29 -0.3 17
2011-09-10 Selfoss L 1-339.5 1004 1161 22.97% 25.33% 51.70%-0.78 -10.3 22
2011-09-10 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-139.5 1161 1004 51.70% 25.33% 22.97%+0.78 +10.3 44
2011-09-10 Throttur Reykjavik D 3-362.9 1134 951 64.12% 22.05% 13.83%+1.10 -1.7 36
2011-09-10 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 3-362.9 951 1134 13.83% 22.05% 64.12%-1.10 +1.7 27
2011-09-10 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-140.5 1020 1093 32.85% 26.43% 40.72%-0.32 -8.4 31
2011-09-10 @ IB Bolungarvik W 1-040.5 1093 1020 40.72% 26.43% 32.85%+0.32 +8.4 31
2011-09-17 Fjolnir W 7-243.0 953 1066 27.76% 26.06% 46.18%-0.54 +33.4 30
2011-09-17 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 2-743.0 1066 953 46.18% 26.06% 27.76%+0.54 -33.4 32
2011-09-17 Grotta W 1-039.6 976 972 43.69% 26.27% 30.04%+0.11 +7.9 16
2011-09-17 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-139.6 972 976 30.04% 26.27% 43.69%-0.11 -7.9 20
2011-09-17 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-248.5 1172 1133 48.22% 25.84% 25.94%+0.30 +6.2 47
2011-09-17 @ Selfoss L 2-348.5 1133 1172 25.94% 25.84% 48.22%-0.30 -6.2 36
2011-09-17 IA Akranes W 4-146.7 1039 1238 19.13% 24.35% 56.52%-1.01 +30.0 20
2011-09-17 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-446.7 1238 1039 56.52% 24.35% 19.13%+1.01 -30.0 51
2011-09-17 IB Bolungarvik W 3-035.0 999 1011 41.37% 26.41% 32.23%+0.02 +22.7 29
2011-09-17 @ KA Akureyri L 0-335.0 1011 999 32.23% 26.41% 41.37%-0.02 -22.7 31
2011-09-17 IR Reykjavik W 3-138.0 1101 994 56.34% 24.39% 19.27%+0.68 +8.8 34
2011-09-17 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-338.0 994 1101 19.27% 24.39% 56.34%-0.68 -8.8 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-08-12 10.83% IB Bolungarvik 1026 2 @ IA Akranes 1265 1
2 2011-08-19 14.62% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1078 2 @ IA Akranes 1248 0
3 2011-08-16 14.86% Throttur Reykjavik 989 1 @ Selfoss 1156 0
4 2011-08-06 17.61% KA Akureyri 964 2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1092 1
5 2011-09-17 19.13% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1039 4 IA Akranes 1238 1
6 2011-08-25 23.05% HK Kopavogur 955 3 @ IR Reykjavik 1021 0
7 2011-07-16 25.68% IB Bolungarvik 1015 3 @ IR Reykjavik 1057 2
8 2011-06-30 26.37% Throttur Reykjavik 1030 1 @ IR Reykjavik 1065 0
9 2011-08-20 26.50% @ HK Kopavogur 924 3 IB Bolungarvik 1048 0
10 2011-08-27 27.02% KA Akureyri 975 3 @ Grotta 1004 0
11 2011-06-11 27.09% IB Bolungarvik 1015 1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1044 0
12 2011-08-19 27.18% IR Reykjavik 1011 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1039 1
13 2011-05-28 27.29% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1052 3 @ IR Reykjavik 1079 1
14 2011-09-17 27.76% @ Throttur Reykjavik 953 7 Fjolnir 1066 2
15 2011-05-19 28.33% Selfoss 1042 3 @ Grotta 1060 0
16 2011-05-13 28.88% IA Akranes 1044 3 @ HK Kopavogur 1058 0
17 2011-05-21 29.32% IB Bolungarvik 1051 2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1062 1
18 2011-05-14 29.57% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1052 2 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1060 1
19 2011-09-03 29.75% @ KA Akureyri 1005 4 Vikingur Olafsvik 1102 3
20 2011-06-02 29.98% IR Reykjavik 1061 3 @ Fjolnir 1066 2
21 2011-05-20 30.22% @ KA Akureyri 1014 3 IR Reykjavik 1107 0
22 2011-08-11 30.99% Vikingur Olafsvik 1059 3 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1056 2
23 2011-05-13 31.31% Fjolnir 1056 3 @ Selfoss 1051 2
24 2011-07-15 31.31% Throttur Reykjavik 1042 1 @ Grotta 1037 0
25 2011-09-01 31.47% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1012 3 Fjolnir 1095 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-06-07 51.06 IA Akranes 6 1089 33.62% @ IB Bolungarvik 0 1066 39.93% 26.46%
2 2011-09-17 33.42 @ Throttur Reykjavik 7 953 27.76% Fjolnir 2 1066 46.18% 26.06%
3 2011-08-25 32.86 HK Kopavogur 3 955 23.05% @ IR Reykjavik 0 1021 51.60% 25.35%
4 2011-06-23 31.45 @ IA Akranes 6 1158 53.20% Fjolnir 0 1079 21.74% 25.06%
5 2011-07-19 31.35 IA Akranes 6 1223 53.31% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1052 21.65% 25.04%
6 2011-08-20 30.71 @ HK Kopavogur 3 924 26.50% IB Bolungarvik 0 1048 47.59% 25.91%
7 2011-08-27 30.39 KA Akureyri 3 975 27.02% @ Grotta 0 1004 47.01% 25.98%
8 2011-09-17 29.96 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 4 1039 19.13% IA Akranes 1 1238 56.52% 24.35%
9 2011-08-19 29.63 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1082 41.49% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1003 32.12% 26.40%
10 2011-05-19 29.62 Selfoss 3 1042 28.33% @ Grotta 0 1060 45.55% 26.12%
11 2011-05-13 29.31 IA Akranes 3 1044 28.88% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1058 44.95% 26.17%
12 2011-05-20 28.55 @ KA Akureyri 3 1014 30.22% IR Reykjavik 0 1107 43.49% 26.29%
13 2011-09-01 27.86 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1012 31.47% Fjolnir 0 1095 42.17% 26.37%
14 2011-06-10 27.81 Selfoss 3 1072 31.54% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1065 42.09% 26.37%
15 2011-08-19 26.79 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1078 14.62% @ IA Akranes 0 1248 62.89% 22.49%
16 2011-07-21 25.83 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1014 35.29% @ HK Kopavogur 0 979 38.22% 26.50%
17 2011-09-17 22.74 @ KA Akureyri 3 999 41.37% IB Bolungarvik 0 1011 32.23% 26.41%
18 2011-07-27 22.37 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 5 1040 45.57% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1021 28.31% 26.12%
19 2011-06-10 21.95 Fjolnir 4 1058 34.92% @ KA Akureyri 1 1026 38.59% 26.49%
20 2011-08-11 20.44 @ KA Akureyri 4 976 38.44% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1010 35.06% 26.49%
21 2011-08-11 20.13 @ Grotta 4 1000 39.14% IR Reykjavik 1 1028 34.38% 26.48%
22 2011-07-21 18.88 @ Selfoss 4 1139 56.89% Grotta 0 1027 18.85% 24.26%
23 2011-06-02 18.61 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1070 32.99% @ KA Akureyri 0 1052 40.57% 26.44%
24 2011-07-16 18.39 Leiknir Reykjavik 2 996 33.60% @ KA Akureyri 0 973 39.94% 26.46%
25 2011-05-28 18.03 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1052 27.29% @ IR Reykjavik 1 1079 46.71% 26.01%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-09-10 62.9 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1134 64.12% Throttur Reykjavik 3 951 13.83% 22.05%
2 2011-09-10 58.0 @ Fjolnir 2 1067 54.71% HK Kopavogur 2 975 20.54% 24.76%
3 2011-06-26 57.6 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1030 42.73% IB Bolungarvik 2 1032 30.93% 26.33%
4 2011-07-22 57.6 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1057 43.75% Fjolnir 2 1052 29.98% 26.27%
5 2011-09-03 56.9 @ KA Akureyri 4 1005 29.75% Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1102 44.00% 26.25%
6 2011-05-28 56.1 KA Akureyri 4 1043 32.35% @ HK Kopavogur 3 1030 41.24% 26.41%
7 2011-07-16 55.2 IB Bolungarvik 3 1015 25.68% @ IR Reykjavik 2 1057 48.52% 25.80%
8 2011-08-12 54.7 IB Bolungarvik 2 1026 10.83% @ IA Akranes 1 1265 69.17% 20.01%
9 2011-06-02 53.9 IR Reykjavik 3 1061 29.98% @ Fjolnir 2 1066 43.75% 26.27%
10 2011-08-11 53.6 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1059 30.99% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1056 42.67% 26.34%
11 2011-05-13 53.5 Fjolnir 3 1056 31.31% @ Selfoss 2 1051 42.34% 26.36%
12 2011-08-16 53.2 @ IR Reykjavik 1 1008 15.81% IA Akranes 1 1251 61.11% 23.08%
13 2011-06-29 52.7 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1079 55.63% HK Kopavogur 1 978 19.82% 24.56%
14 2011-07-22 52.6 @ IR Reykjavik 1 1046 54.61% KA Akureyri 1 955 20.61% 24.78%
15 2011-08-06 52.6 KA Akureyri 2 964 17.61% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1092 58.57% 23.82%
16 2011-06-02 52.4 @ IA Akranes 1 1090 50.20% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1035 24.23% 25.57%
17 2011-08-27 52.4 @ Fjolnir 1 1094 26.15% IA Akranes 1 1221 47.98% 25.87%
18 2011-05-19 52.3 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1059 47.07% HK Kopavogur 1 1029 26.96% 25.97%
19 2011-05-28 52.2 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1036 43.74% Grotta 1 1031 29.99% 26.27%
20 2011-07-27 52.2 @ Fjolnir 1 1052 46.59% IB Bolungarvik 1 1026 27.39% 26.02%
21 2011-08-06 52.2 @ IB Bolungarvik 1 1027 46.72% Grotta 1 999 27.28% 26.01%
22 2011-05-13 52.1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1042 40.59% Grotta 1 1060 32.97% 26.44%
23 2011-06-02 52.1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1044 40.53% Selfoss 1 1062 33.03% 26.44%
24 2011-06-24 52.1 @ HK Kopavogur 1 978 30.90% IR Reykjavik 1 1065 42.77% 26.33%
25 2011-07-07 52.1 @ HK Kopavogur 1 980 32.81% Fjolnir 1 1053 40.76% 26.43%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-09-10 27.2 @ IA Akranes 5 1223 66.49% KA Akureyri 0 1014 12.37% 21.15%
2 2011-07-12 29.5 @ IA Akranes 2 1214 66.76% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1002 12.20% 21.03%
3 2011-07-21 29.7 @ Selfoss 4 1139 56.89% Grotta 0 1027 18.85% 24.26%
4 2011-08-16 29.7 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1068 58.90% HK Kopavogur 0 938 17.37% 23.73%
5 2011-06-15 30.8 @ Selfoss 3 1100 55.11% KA Akureyri 0 1004 20.22% 24.67%
6 2011-08-23 31.1 @ Fjolnir 3 1078 54.12% KA Akureyri 0 991 21.00% 24.88%
7 2011-08-25 31.6 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1105 52.78% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1029 22.08% 25.14%
8 2011-06-23 32.0 @ IA Akranes 6 1158 53.20% Fjolnir 0 1079 21.74% 25.06%
9 2011-07-19 32.0 IA Akranes 6 1223 53.31% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1052 21.65% 25.04%
10 2011-08-19 34.3 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1082 41.49% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1003 32.12% 26.40%
11 2011-06-30 34.4 IA Akranes 2 1190 50.64% @ Grotta 0 1041 23.86% 25.50%
12 2011-09-01 34.9 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1121 48.80% @ HK Kopavogur 0 988 25.43% 25.76%
13 2011-09-17 35.0 @ KA Akureyri 3 999 41.37% IB Bolungarvik 0 1011 32.23% 26.41%
14 2011-07-08 35.1 IA Akranes 4 1202 57.78% @ KA Akureyri 1 992 18.19% 24.03%
15 2011-05-20 36.0 @ Fjolnir 2 1065 45.14% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1050 28.70% 26.16%
16 2011-08-05 36.0 IA Akranes 1 1260 56.10% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1065 19.46% 24.45%
17 2011-08-04 36.4 @ Selfoss 1 1152 54.44% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1062 20.75% 24.81%
18 2011-07-21 36.8 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1014 35.29% @ HK Kopavogur 0 979 38.22% 26.50%
19 2011-09-03 36.9 @ IA Akranes 2 1220 69.75% Grotta 1 974 10.50% 19.74%
20 2011-07-27 37.1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 5 1040 45.57% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1021 28.31% 26.12%
21 2011-07-15 37.2 @ IA Akranes 2 1220 69.06% HK Kopavogur 1 982 10.89% 20.05%
22 2011-06-07 37.8 IA Akranes 6 1089 33.62% @ IB Bolungarvik 0 1066 39.93% 26.46%
23 2011-06-10 37.9 Selfoss 3 1072 31.54% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1065 42.09% 26.37%
24 2011-09-01 37.9 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1012 31.47% Fjolnir 0 1095 42.17% 26.37%
25 2011-09-17 38.0 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1101 56.34% IR Reykjavik 1 994 19.27% 24.39%