Home / Leagues / Iceland / 1. deild karla / 2011-12
‹ ›

2011-12 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Thor Akureyri

12.98 points above expected

50 points · 37.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IF Hottur

13.59 points below expected

21 points · 34.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Thor Akureyri 22 16 2 4 50 40 20 +20 37.02 +12.98
2 Vikingur Olafsvik 22 13 3 6 42 36 21 +15 32.83 +9.17
3 Throttur Reykjavik 22 9 6 7 33 34 26 +8 25.73 +7.27
4 KA Akureyri 22 9 6 7 33 34 30 +4 27.18 +5.82
5 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 22 9 6 7 33 23 25 -2 33.44 -0.44
6 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 8 7 7 31 34 31 +3 33.34 -2.34
7 Fjolnir 22 7 8 7 29 39 26 +13 31.89 -2.89
8 Tindastoll 22 8 3 11 27 34 42 -8 35.11 -8.11
9 IB Bolungarvik 22 6 8 8 26 31 37 -6 23.48 +2.52
10 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 6 7 9 25 33 36 -3 28.69 -3.69
11 IF Hottur 22 5 6 11 21 30 41 -11 34.59 -13.59
12 IR Reykjavik 22 4 2 16 14 19 52 -33 22.36 -8.36

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Thor Akureyri 50 37.02 +12.98
2 Vikingur Olafsvik 42 32.83 +9.17
3 Throttur Reykjavik 33 25.73 +7.27
4 KA Akureyri 33 27.18 +5.82
5 IB Bolungarvik 26 23.48 +2.52

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IF Hottur 21 34.59 -13.59
2 IR Reykjavik 14 22.36 -8.36
3 Tindastoll 27 35.11 -8.11
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 25 28.69 -3.69
5 Fjolnir 29 31.89 -2.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Thor Akureyri 11 Aug 2 – Sep 22 1 in 3,276
2 Throttur Reykjavik 4 Jul 29 – Aug 16 1 in 168
3 IR Reykjavik 2 Jun 2 – Jun 9 1 in 25
4 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 Jul 21 – Aug 1 1 in 23
5 Fjolnir 3 May 25 – Jun 9 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IR Reykjavik 11 Jul 21 – Sep 22 1 in 623
2 Fjolnir 5 Aug 25 – Sep 22 1 in 151
3 Tindastoll 3 Jul 21 – Aug 1 1 in 50
4 IF Hottur 3 Aug 1 – Aug 11 1 in 24
5 Thor Akureyri 2 Jun 21 – Jun 29 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fjolnir 11 May 12 – Jul 17 1 in 235
2 Thor Akureyri 11 Aug 2 – Sep 22 1 in 46
3 IR Reykjavik 4 Jun 2 – Jun 21 1 in 22
4 Throttur Reykjavik 5 Jun 16 – Jul 12 1 in 19
5 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 May 12 – Jun 9 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IF Hottur 9 Jun 22 – Aug 11 1 in 193
2 IR Reykjavik 11 Jul 21 – Sep 22 1 in 17
3 Thor Akureyri 4 Jun 16 – Jul 9 1 in 15
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 May 25 – Jun 22 1 in 13
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 6 May 12 – Jun 15 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Thor Akureyri 1189 50 +39 15 8.4 +6.6
Vikingur Olafsvik 1147 42 +26 11 8.6 +2.4
Throttur Reykjavik 1080 33 +38 9 6.6 +2.4
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1072 33 +5 9 7.7 +1.3
KA Akureyri 1060 33 -7 7 6.5 +0.5
Vikingur Reykjavik 1120 31 -8 7 7.1 -0.1
Fjolnir 1085 29 -34 0 7.0 -7.0
Tindastoll 1070 27 -45 6 6.9 -0.9
IB Bolungarvik 1010 26 -5 4 6.1 -2.1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1051 25 +13 10 6.9 +3.1
IF Hottur 1074 21 +4 6 6.4 -0.4
IR Reykjavik 899 14 -35 0 4.4 -4.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FJO HH IB IH IR KA LR TA TR TIN VO VR
Fjolnir —
1-0-1
2.81
0-2-0
3.40
0-1-1
2.70
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
3.42
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.67
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
1-0-1
2.73
 —
1-1-0
3.40
0-2-0
2.54
2-0-0
3.74
0-1-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
3.58
2-0-0
2.32
0-0-2
2.71
1-0-1
2.68
IB Bolungarvik
0-2-0
2.15
0-1-1
2.14
 —
1-1-0
1.89
2-0-0
3.07
0-2-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.79
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
1.93
0-1-1
2.03
IF Hottur
1-1-0
2.85
0-2-0
3.00
0-1-1
3.68
 —
1-0-1
3.85
1-0-1
3.33
0-0-2
3.35
0-0-2
2.23
1-1-0
3.76
0-0-2
2.82
0-0-2
3.02
1-1-0
2.80
IR Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.16
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
1.72
 —
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
1.98
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
1.61
0-0-2
1.67
0-0-2
1.95
KA Akureyri
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.34
0-2-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
3.00
 —
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.01
1-0-1
2.99
0-2-0
2.04
1-0-1
2.22
1-1-0
2.18
Leiknir Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
2.19
1-0-1
3.58
1-0-1
2.86
 —
0-0-2
2.29
0-1-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.15
0-2-0
2.26
Thor Akureyri
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.33
1-1-0
4.03
1-0-1
3.54
2-0-0
3.25
 —
1-0-1
3.76
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.89
1-0-1
3.16
Throttur Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.12
1-1-0
1.97
0-1-1
2.95
0-1-1
1.81
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.55
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
1.81
 —
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.13
Tindastoll
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
3.22
1-0-1
3.79
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.98
0-2-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.35
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
3.48
 —
0-0-2
3.11
1-0-1
3.06
Vikingur Olafsvik
1-1-0
2.90
2-0-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.63
2-0-0
2.51
2-0-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.33
0-1-1
3.40
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
3.51
2-0-0
2.44
 —
0-1-1
3.01
Vikingur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.52
0-1-1
2.73
2-0-0
3.61
0-1-1
3.37
0-2-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.53
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.43 +10.1
Allowed 0.81 -8.7
Differential 0.79 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.85%7.95%4.55%2.27%1.89%1.14%27.65%
17.95%6.06%9.47%3.79%0.76%1.89%29.92%
24.55%9.47%6.82%1.89%0.38%1.52%24.62%
32.27%3.79%1.89%1.52%0.38%—9.85%
41.89%0.76%0.38%0.38%——3.41%
5+1.14%1.89%1.52%———4.55%
Total27.65%29.92%24.62%9.85%3.41%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 1.99
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%————22.73%
1—9.09%18.18%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total31.82%27.27%31.82%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.18 +0.59
SD 1.66 1.01 1.92
CV 0.94 0.85 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—13.64%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
113.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
213.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%13.64%27.27%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.14 -0.09
SD 0.95 1.25 1.80
CV 0.91 1.10 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%——9.09%4.55%—31.82%
14.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
24.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%18.18%27.27%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.68 -0.27
SD 1.37 1.43 1.86
CV 0.97 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%9.09%—4.55%——36.36%
1——9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%22.73%18.18%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.86 -0.50
SD 1.50 1.81 2.15
CV 1.10 0.97 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%50.00%
1——13.64%——13.64%27.27%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%36.36%9.09%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.36 -1.50
SD 1.13 1.53 1.95
CV 1.30 0.65 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
113.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%27.27%31.82%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.36 +0.18
SD 1.34 1.14 1.76
CV 0.86 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
14.55%13.64%22.73%4.55%—4.55%50.00%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%27.27%40.91%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.64 -0.14
SD 1.30 1.26 1.73
CV 0.87 0.77 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
118.18%—————18.18%
24.55%27.27%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%50.00%13.64%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.91 +0.91
SD 1.30 0.81 1.44
CV 0.71 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
113.64%9.09%4.55%13.64%——40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%36.36%13.64%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.18 +0.36
SD 1.50 1.10 1.94
CV 0.97 0.93 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%9.09%—4.55%9.09%45.45%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
2—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total9.09%40.91%31.82%—9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.91 -0.36
SD 1.82 1.54 2.61
CV 1.18 0.81 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
118.18%9.09%13.64%—4.55%—45.45%
29.09%18.18%————27.27%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total40.91%36.36%13.64%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.95 +0.68
SD 1.09 1.09 1.70
CV 0.67 1.14 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
19.09%13.64%—9.09%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%——9.09%22.73%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%31.82%9.09%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.41 +0.14
SD 1.30 1.68 2.10
CV 0.84 1.19 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Thor Akureyri 1189 50 37.02 +12.98 99.0% 24 28 34 37 40 46 55
Vikingur Olafsvik 1147 42 32.83 +9.17 93.0% 20 23 29 32 37 43 49
Vikingur Reykjavik 1120 31 33.34 -2.34 39.0% 13 23 29 33 37 46 53
Fjolnir 1085 29 31.89 -2.89 36.0% 19 20 27 32 37 44 47
Throttur Reykjavik 1080 33 25.73 +7.27 89.0% 12 18 22 25 29 34 38
IF Hottur 1074 21 34.59 -13.59 2.0% 19 23 30 35 38 45 50
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1072 33 33.44 -0.44 54.0% 18 23 29 32 38 45 52
Tindastoll 1070 27 35.11 -8.11 11.0% 18 24 32 34 38 45 52
KA Akureyri 1060 33 27.18 +5.82 80.0% 13 17 22 26 32 39 44
Leiknir Reykjavik 1051 25 28.69 -3.69 29.0% 16 19 25 28 32 38 42
IB Bolungarvik 1010 26 23.48 +2.52 72.0% 8 13 20 23 27 34 39
IR Reykjavik 899 14 22.36 -8.36 9.0% 12 13 17 22 26 32 39

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.15%
Slight Edge
45.45%24.24%30.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 53.05 Elo pts.
218 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.8
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
21%
Thor Akureyri, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.95 * Some Luck: 4.95 to 7.43 * Lucky: 7.43 to 9.9 * Wild Swing: 9.9 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.92 * Close: 1.92 to 2.87 * Off: 2.87 to 3.83 * Way Off: 3.83 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.60 points
Lucky
06.1915
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.00
Off
02.395
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Thor Akureyri
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
IF Hottur
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 71.60
1.50
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
55%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.24
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.62
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.14
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.65
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.66
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1410.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Thor Akureyri21.00%20.00%21.00%16.00%6.00%7.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%—1.00%—
Vikingur Olafsvik9.00%13.00%13.00%6.00%14.00%14.00%7.00%13.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%—
Throttur Reykjavik—2.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%12.00%20.00%20.00%11.00%10.00%
KA Akureyri1.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%3.00%3.00%16.00%5.00%11.00%19.00%13.00%10.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur15.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%17.00%9.00%12.00%6.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik15.00%4.00%11.00%18.00%7.00%14.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%
Fjolnir8.00%15.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%
Tindastoll16.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%16.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
IB Bolungarvik—3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%28.00%25.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik2.00%2.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%18.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%
IF Hottur13.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%
IR Reykjavik—1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%15.00%40.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Thor Akureyri 41.00% 58.00% 1.00%
Tindastoll 28.00% 69.00% 3.00%
IF Hottur 28.00% 66.00% 6.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 24.00% 72.00% 4.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik 22.00% 75.00% 3.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik 19.00% 76.00% 5.00%
Fjolnir 23.00% 65.00% 12.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 4.00% 82.00% 14.00%
KA Akureyri 5.00% 72.00% 23.00%
Throttur Reykjavik 2.00% 77.00% 21.00%
IB Bolungarvik 3.00% 44.00% 53.00%
IR Reykjavik 1.00% 44.00% 55.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-05-12 Fjolnir D 1-153.2 1084 1036 49.40% 22.66% 27.94%+0.46 -0.7 1
2012-05-12 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-153.2 1036 1084 27.94% 22.66% 49.40%-0.46 +0.7 1
2012-05-12 IF Hottur L 1-338.7 1007 1154 24.16% 22.00% 53.83%-0.43 -6.5 0
2012-05-12 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-138.7 1154 1007 53.83% 22.00% 24.16%+0.43 +6.5 3
2012-05-12 KA Akureyri W 3-250.7 1006 1029 39.67% 23.29% 37.04%+0.14 +5.1 3
2012-05-12 @ IR Reykjavik L 2-350.7 1029 1006 37.04% 23.29% 39.67%-0.14 -5.1 0
2012-05-12 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-034.3 1120 1058 51.13% 22.44% 26.44%+0.52 +8.2 3
2012-05-12 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-234.3 1058 1120 26.44% 22.44% 51.13%-0.52 -8.2 0
2012-05-12 Tindastoll W 2-039.3 1094 1154 34.47% 23.22% 42.31%-0.03 +12.0 3
2012-05-12 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-239.3 1154 1094 42.31% 23.22% 34.47%+0.03 -12.0 0
2012-05-12 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-049.1 1008 1108 29.31% 22.83% 47.86%-0.22 +0.7 1
2012-05-12 @ IB Bolungarvik D 0-049.1 1108 1008 47.86% 22.83% 29.31%+0.22 -0.7 1
2012-05-19 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-049.2 1160 1106 50.21% 22.56% 27.23%+0.49 -0.8 4
2012-05-19 @ IF Hottur D 0-049.2 1106 1160 27.23% 22.56% 50.21%-0.49 +0.8 4
2012-05-19 IR Reykjavik W 1-036.2 1108 1011 55.49% 21.69% 22.82%+0.69 +3.8 4
2012-05-19 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-136.2 1011 1108 22.82% 21.69% 55.49%-0.69 -3.8 3
2012-05-19 KA Akureyri L 1-345.7 1050 1024 46.53% 22.96% 30.51%+0.36 -11.2 0
2012-05-19 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-145.7 1024 1050 30.51% 22.96% 46.53%-0.36 +11.2 3
2012-05-19 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-137.1 1128 1000 59.12% 20.88% 20.00%+0.83 +5.5 6
2012-05-19 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-337.1 1000 1128 20.00% 20.88% 59.12%-0.83 -5.5 0
2012-05-19 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-144.9 1142 1083 50.77% 22.49% 26.75%+0.51 -7.4 0
2012-05-19 @ Tindastoll W 1-044.9 1083 1142 26.75% 22.49% 50.77%-0.51 +7.4 4
2012-05-20 IB Bolungarvik D 2-258.3 1036 1009 46.66% 22.95% 30.40%+0.37 -0.4 2
2012-05-20 @ Fjolnir D 2-258.3 1009 1036 30.40% 22.95% 46.66%-0.37 +0.4 2
2012-05-25 Fjolnir L 0-535.7 1007 1036 38.84% 23.30% 37.86%+0.11 -26.2 3
2012-05-25 @ IR Reykjavik W 5-035.7 1036 1007 37.86% 23.30% 38.84%-0.11 +26.2 5
2012-05-25 Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-258.2 995 1039 36.60% 23.29% 40.12%+0.04 +0.1 1
2012-05-25 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-258.2 1039 995 40.12% 23.29% 36.60%-0.04 -0.1 1
2012-05-25 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-153.1 1035 1112 32.23% 23.10% 44.67%-0.11 +0.4 4
2012-05-25 @ KA Akureyri D 1-153.1 1112 1035 44.67% 23.10% 32.23%+0.11 -0.4 5
2012-05-26 IF Hottur W 1-042.9 1090 1159 33.24% 23.16% 43.59%-0.07 +6.5 7
2012-05-26 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-142.9 1159 1090 43.59% 23.16% 33.24%+0.07 -6.5 4
2012-05-26 Thor Akureyri W 1-041.2 1107 1133 39.08% 23.30% 37.62%+0.12 +5.8 7
2012-05-26 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-141.2 1133 1107 37.62% 23.30% 39.08%-0.12 -5.8 6
2012-05-26 Tindastoll L 2-539.9 1009 1134 26.47% 22.44% 51.09%-0.33 -8.7 2
2012-05-26 @ IB Bolungarvik W 5-239.9 1134 1009 51.09% 22.44% 26.47%+0.33 +8.7 3
2012-05-31 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.3 995 1112 27.29% 22.57% 50.15%-0.30 +0.7 2
2012-05-31 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-153.3 1112 995 50.15% 22.57% 27.29%+0.30 -0.7 8
2012-05-31 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-049.0 1039 1111 32.80% 23.14% 44.06%-0.09 +0.4 2
2012-05-31 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-049.0 1111 1039 44.06% 23.14% 32.80%+0.09 -0.4 6
2012-06-02 IB Bolungarvik D 0-049.9 1153 1001 61.81% 20.16% 18.03%+0.94 -1.6 5
2012-06-02 @ IF Hottur D 0-049.9 1001 1153 18.03% 20.16% 61.81%-0.94 +1.6 3
2012-06-02 IR Reykjavik L 2-453.6 1143 981 62.83% 19.86% 17.32%+0.98 -12.9 3
2012-06-02 @ Tindastoll W 4-253.6 981 1143 17.32% 19.86% 62.83%-0.98 +12.9 6
2012-06-02 KA Akureyri W 3-140.9 1062 1035 46.58% 22.95% 30.47%+0.37 +8.0 8
2012-06-02 @ Fjolnir L 1-340.9 1035 1062 30.47% 22.95% 46.58%-0.37 -8.0 4
2012-06-02 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-143.7 1128 1097 47.11% 22.91% 29.99%+0.38 +4.6 9
2012-06-02 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-243.7 1097 1128 29.99% 22.91% 47.11%-0.38 -4.6 7
2012-06-09 Fjolnir L 2-644.1 1111 1070 48.43% 22.77% 28.79%+0.43 -18.0 6
2012-06-09 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 6-244.1 1070 1111 28.79% 22.77% 48.43%-0.43 +17.9 11
2012-06-09 IF Hottur W 2-150.8 994 1151 23.15% 21.78% 55.07%-0.48 +7.5 9
2012-06-09 @ IR Reykjavik L 1-250.8 1151 994 55.07% 21.78% 23.15%+0.48 -7.5 5
2012-06-09 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-142.0 1112 1039 52.52% 22.23% 25.25%+0.58 +3.9 11
2012-06-09 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-242.0 1039 1112 25.25% 22.23% 52.52%-0.58 -3.9 2
2012-06-09 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-141.1 1092 996 55.51% 21.69% 22.80%+0.69 +3.6 10
2012-06-09 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-241.1 996 1092 22.80% 21.69% 55.51%-0.69 -3.6 2
2012-06-09 Tindastoll D 2-258.4 1027 1130 29.02% 22.80% 48.18%-0.23 +0.5 5
2012-06-09 @ KA Akureyri D 2-258.4 1130 1027 48.18% 22.80% 29.02%+0.23 -0.5 4
2012-06-11 Thor Akureyri L 1-242.2 1002 1132 25.92% 22.35% 51.73%-0.35 -4.0 3
2012-06-11 @ IB Bolungarvik W 2-142.2 1132 1002 51.73% 22.35% 25.92%+0.35 +4.0 12
2012-06-15 Fjolnir D 0-049.0 1035 1088 35.42% 23.26% 41.32%+0.00 +0.2 3
2012-06-15 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-049.0 1088 1035 41.32% 23.26% 35.42%+0.00 -0.2 12
2012-06-15 KA Akureyri W 2-032.3 1144 1028 57.77% 21.21% 21.03%+0.78 +6.6 8
2012-06-15 @ IF Hottur L 0-232.3 1028 1144 21.03% 21.21% 57.77%-0.78 -6.6 5
2012-06-16 IB Bolungarvik D 1-153.0 992 998 42.01% 23.24% 34.76%+0.21 -0.2 3
2012-06-16 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-153.0 998 992 34.76% 23.24% 42.01%-0.21 +0.2 4
2012-06-16 IR Reykjavik D 2-259.0 1136 1002 59.89% 20.68% 19.43%+0.86 -1.0 13
2012-06-16 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-259.0 1002 1136 19.43% 20.68% 59.89%-0.86 +1.0 10
2012-06-16 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-240.3 1116 1096 45.61% 23.03% 31.36%+0.33 -12.7 11
2012-06-16 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-040.3 1096 1116 31.36% 23.03% 45.61%-0.33 +12.7 13
2012-06-16 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-140.5 1130 1093 47.89% 22.83% 29.28%+0.41 +7.7 7
2012-06-16 @ Tindastoll L 1-340.5 1093 1130 29.28% 22.83% 47.89%-0.41 -7.7 6
2012-06-21 Thor Akureyri W 3-254.3 1021 1135 27.68% 22.63% 49.69%-0.28 +6.5 8
2012-06-21 @ KA Akureyri L 2-354.3 1135 1021 49.69% 22.63% 27.68%+0.28 -6.5 13
2012-06-21 Throttur Reykjavik D 0-049.0 1003 992 44.40% 23.12% 32.49%+0.29 -0.4 11
2012-06-21 @ IR Reykjavik D 0-049.0 992 1003 32.49% 23.12% 44.40%-0.29 +0.4 4
2012-06-21 Tindastoll W 2-038.9 1088 1137 35.89% 23.27% 40.84%+0.02 +11.6 15
2012-06-21 @ Fjolnir L 0-238.9 1137 1088 40.84% 23.27% 35.89%-0.02 -11.7 7
2012-06-22 IF Hottur D 2-258.3 1085 1150 33.74% 23.19% 43.07%-0.06 +0.2 7
2012-06-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-258.3 1150 1085 43.07% 23.19% 33.74%+0.06 -0.2 9
2012-06-22 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-145.3 1109 1036 52.60% 22.21% 25.19%+0.58 -7.6 13
2012-06-22 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-045.3 1036 1109 25.19% 22.21% 52.60%-0.58 +7.6 6
2012-06-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-049.1 998 1103 28.80% 22.77% 48.42%-0.24 +0.7 5
2012-06-23 @ IB Bolungarvik D 0-049.1 1103 998 48.42% 22.77% 28.80%+0.24 -0.7 12
2012-06-29 IR Reykjavik W 2-141.0 1102 1002 55.90% 21.61% 22.49%+0.70 +3.5 15
2012-06-29 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-241.0 1002 1102 22.49% 21.61% 55.90%-0.70 -3.5 11
2012-06-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-241.1 1129 1085 48.79% 22.73% 28.48%+0.44 -13.5 13
2012-06-29 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-041.1 1085 1129 28.48% 22.73% 48.79%-0.44 +13.5 10
2012-06-30 Fjolnir D 0-049.2 1150 1100 49.73% 22.62% 27.65%+0.48 -0.8 10
2012-06-30 @ IF Hottur D 0-049.2 1100 1150 27.65% 22.62% 49.73%-0.48 +0.8 16
2012-06-30 IB Bolungarvik W 4-029.9 1101 999 56.12% 21.57% 22.31%+0.71 +13.3 16
2012-06-30 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-429.9 999 1101 22.31% 21.57% 56.12%-0.71 -13.3 5
2012-06-30 KA Akureyri W 2-146.4 992 1028 37.84% 23.30% 38.85%+0.08 +5.6 7
2012-06-30 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-246.4 1028 992 38.85% 23.30% 37.84%-0.08 -5.6 8
2012-06-30 Tindastoll D 1-153.1 1043 1126 31.51% 23.04% 45.45%-0.13 +0.4 7
2012-06-30 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-153.1 1126 1043 45.45% 23.04% 31.51%+0.13 -0.4 8
2012-07-04 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.3 1022 1106 31.33% 23.03% 45.64%-0.14 +0.3 9
2012-07-04 @ KA Akureyri D 2-258.3 1106 1022 45.64% 23.03% 31.33%+0.14 -0.3 16
2012-07-04 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-146.1 1099 998 56.02% 21.59% 22.39%+0.71 -8.0 10
2012-07-04 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-046.1 998 1099 22.39% 21.59% 56.02%-0.71 +8.0 10
2012-07-05 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-137.9 999 1114 27.51% 22.60% 49.89%-0.29 -4.5 11
2012-07-05 @ IR Reykjavik W 1-037.9 1114 999 49.89% 22.60% 27.51%+0.29 +4.5 19
2012-07-07 IF Hottur W 6-240.9 1125 1149 39.46% 23.30% 37.24%+0.13 +14.5 11
2012-07-07 @ Tindastoll L 2-640.9 1149 1125 37.24% 23.30% 39.46%-0.13 -14.5 10
2012-07-07 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-355.1 986 1044 34.73% 23.23% 42.04%-0.02 +5.5 8
2012-07-07 @ IB Bolungarvik L 3-455.1 1044 986 42.04% 23.23% 34.73%+0.02 -5.5 7
2012-07-09 Thor Akureyri D 0-049.0 1100 1115 40.78% 23.27% 35.95%+0.17 -0.2 17
2012-07-09 @ Fjolnir D 0-049.0 1115 1100 35.95% 23.27% 40.78%-0.17 +0.2 14
2012-07-12 Fjolnir D 3-362.3 1006 1100 30.02% 22.91% 47.07%-0.19 +0.3 11
2012-07-12 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 3-362.3 1100 1006 47.07% 22.91% 30.02%+0.19 -0.3 18
2012-07-12 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-036.2 1105 1091 44.91% 23.08% 32.01%+0.31 +9.6 19
2012-07-12 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-236.2 1091 1105 32.01% 23.08% 44.91%-0.31 -9.6 10
2012-07-13 IF Hottur W 6-141.1 1038 1135 29.74% 22.88% 47.38%-0.20 +25.4 10
2012-07-13 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-641.1 1135 1038 47.38% 22.88% 29.74%+0.20 -25.5 10
2012-07-13 IR Reykjavik W 2-145.0 991 994 42.48% 23.22% 34.30%+0.23 +5.1 11
2012-07-13 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-245.0 994 991 34.30% 23.22% 42.48%-0.23 -5.1 11
2012-07-13 KA Akureyri L 0-146.0 1119 1022 55.48% 21.70% 22.82%+0.69 -8.0 19
2012-07-13 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-046.0 1022 1119 22.82% 21.70% 55.48%-0.69 +8.0 12
2012-07-17 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-034.5 1100 1115 40.74% 23.27% 35.99%+0.17 +20.0 21
2012-07-17 @ Fjolnir L 0-434.5 1115 1100 35.99% 23.27% 40.74%-0.17 -20.0 19
2012-07-17 IB Bolungarvik D 2-258.4 1030 996 47.52% 22.87% 29.61%+0.40 -0.4 13
2012-07-17 @ KA Akureyri D 2-258.4 996 1030 29.61% 22.87% 47.52%-0.40 +0.4 12
2012-07-17 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-148.0 989 1064 32.52% 23.12% 44.36%-0.10 +6.2 14
2012-07-17 @ IR Reykjavik L 1-248.0 1064 989 44.36% 23.12% 32.52%+0.10 -6.2 10
2012-07-17 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-136.9 1140 1006 59.77% 20.72% 19.51%+0.86 +5.3 14
2012-07-17 @ Tindastoll L 1-336.9 1006 1140 19.51% 20.72% 59.77%-0.86 -5.4 11
2012-07-17 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-146.2 1081 1111 38.67% 23.30% 38.03%+0.11 +5.5 13
2012-07-17 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-246.2 1111 1081 38.03% 23.30% 38.67%-0.11 -5.5 19
2012-07-21 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-144.6 1145 1095 49.66% 22.63% 27.71%+0.47 -7.2 14
2012-07-21 @ Tindastoll W 1-044.6 1095 1145 27.71% 22.63% 49.66%-0.47 +7.2 22
2012-07-21 IB Bolungarvik W 3-031.0 1087 997 54.68% 21.85% 23.47%+0.66 +10.7 16
2012-07-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-331.0 997 1087 23.47% 21.85% 54.68%-0.66 -10.7 12
2012-07-21 IR Reykjavik W 5-136.4 1030 995 47.61% 22.86% 29.53%+0.40 +14.2 16
2012-07-21 @ KA Akureyri L 1-536.4 995 1030 29.53% 22.86% 47.61%-0.40 -14.2 14
2012-07-21 Throttur Reykjavik D 0-049.5 1109 1001 56.90% 21.40% 21.70%+0.74 -1.3 11
2012-07-21 @ IF Hottur D 0-049.5 1001 1109 21.70% 21.40% 56.90%-0.74 +1.3 12
2012-07-21 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-248.2 1120 1105 44.90% 23.08% 32.02%+0.31 -6.3 21
2012-07-21 @ Fjolnir W 2-148.2 1105 1120 32.02% 23.08% 44.90%-0.31 +6.3 22
2012-07-22 Thor Akureyri L 1-538.1 1057 1115 34.69% 23.23% 42.08%-0.02 -16.2 10
2012-07-22 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 5-138.1 1115 1057 42.08% 23.23% 34.69%+0.02 +16.2 17
2012-07-26 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-332.5 981 1097 27.44% 22.59% 49.97%-0.29 -12.3 14
2012-07-26 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-032.5 1097 981 49.97% 22.59% 27.44%+0.29 +12.3 19
2012-07-27 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-247.7 1044 1041 43.30% 23.18% 33.52%+0.26 -6.1 16
2012-07-27 @ KA Akureyri W 2-147.7 1041 1044 33.52% 23.18% 43.30%-0.26 +6.1 13
2012-07-28 Fjolnir D 2-258.5 986 1114 26.20% 22.40% 51.41%-0.34 +0.6 13
2012-07-28 @ IB Bolungarvik D 2-258.5 1114 986 51.41% 22.40% 26.20%+0.34 -0.6 22
2012-07-28 IF Hottur D 0-049.0 1102 1108 42.08% 23.23% 34.69%+0.22 -0.3 23
2012-07-28 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-049.0 1108 1102 34.69% 23.23% 42.08%-0.22 +0.3 12
2012-07-28 Tindastoll W 2-146.1 1112 1138 39.18% 23.30% 37.52%+0.12 +5.4 25
2012-07-28 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-246.1 1138 1112 37.52% 23.30% 39.18%-0.12 -5.5 14
2012-07-29 Thor Akureyri W 1-045.1 1002 1132 25.97% 22.36% 51.68%-0.35 +7.5 15
2012-07-29 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-145.1 1132 1002 51.68% 22.36% 25.97%+0.35 -7.5 17
2012-08-01 IB Bolungarvik L 0-147.3 1132 987 61.10% 20.36% 18.54%+0.91 -8.6 14
2012-08-01 @ Tindastoll W 1-047.3 987 1132 18.54% 20.36% 61.10%-0.91 +8.7 16
2012-08-01 IR Reykjavik W 3-029.2 1113 969 60.94% 20.40% 18.66%+0.90 +8.6 25
2012-08-01 @ Fjolnir L 0-329.2 969 1113 18.66% 20.40% 60.94%-0.90 -8.6 14
2012-08-01 KA Akureyri L 0-145.3 1110 1038 52.43% 22.24% 25.33%+0.57 -7.6 19
2012-08-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-045.3 1038 1110 25.33% 22.24% 52.43%-0.57 +7.6 19
2012-08-01 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-337.0 1108 1117 41.64% 23.25% 35.11%+0.20 -17.2 12
2012-08-01 @ IF Hottur W 3-037.0 1117 1108 35.11% 23.25% 41.64%-0.20 +17.2 28
2012-08-02 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-144.0 1124 1102 45.95% 23.01% 31.05%+0.35 +4.7 20
2012-08-02 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-244.0 1102 1124 31.05% 23.01% 45.95%-0.35 -4.7 23
2012-08-08 Thor Akureyri L 1-246.0 1091 1129 37.51% 23.30% 39.19%+0.07 -5.4 12
2012-08-08 @ IF Hottur W 2-146.0 1129 1091 39.19% 23.30% 37.51%-0.07 +5.5 23
2012-08-09 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-153.3 1102 1047 50.28% 22.55% 27.17%+0.49 -0.7 20
2012-08-09 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-153.3 1047 1102 27.17% 22.55% 50.28%-0.49 +0.7 14
2012-08-09 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-340.4 1097 1010 54.41% 21.90% 23.69%+0.65 -21.5 23
2012-08-09 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-040.4 1010 1097 23.69% 21.90% 54.41%-0.65 +21.5 18
2012-08-09 Tindastoll L 0-430.0 960 1124 22.53% 21.62% 55.85%-0.51 -13.4 14
2012-08-09 @ IR Reykjavik W 4-030.0 1124 960 55.85% 21.62% 22.53%+0.51 +13.4 17
2012-08-10 Fjolnir W 2-148.1 1046 1122 32.32% 23.11% 44.57%-0.11 +6.2 22
2012-08-10 @ KA Akureyri L 1-248.1 1122 1046 44.57% 23.11% 32.32%+0.11 -6.2 25
2012-08-11 IF Hottur W 3-145.7 995 1086 30.53% 22.96% 46.51%-0.17 +11.2 19
2012-08-11 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-345.7 1086 995 46.51% 22.96% 30.53%+0.17 -11.2 12
2012-08-11 Thor Akureyri L 1-247.6 1134 1134 42.88% 23.20% 33.92%+0.24 -6.1 28
2012-08-11 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-147.6 1134 1134 33.92% 23.20% 42.88%-0.24 +6.1 26
2012-08-12 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-248.2 1048 1031 45.23% 23.06% 31.71%+0.32 -6.3 14
2012-08-12 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-148.2 1031 1048 31.71% 23.06% 45.23%-0.32 +6.3 21
2012-08-16 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.2 1042 1076 38.02% 23.30% 38.68%+0.09 +0.0 15
2012-08-16 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-258.2 1076 1042 38.68% 23.30% 38.02%-0.09 -0.0 24
2012-08-16 KA Akureyri D 0-049.4 1137 1052 54.12% 21.95% 23.93%+0.63 -1.1 18
2012-08-16 @ Tindastoll D 0-049.4 1052 1137 23.93% 21.95% 54.12%-0.63 +1.1 23
2012-08-16 Vikingur Olafsvik W 4-143.2 1037 1128 30.45% 22.95% 46.60%-0.17 +15.9 24
2012-08-16 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-443.2 1128 1037 46.60% 22.95% 30.45%+0.17 -15.9 28
2012-08-16 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-153.1 1115 1101 44.82% 23.09% 32.09%+0.31 -0.4 26
2012-08-16 @ Fjolnir D 1-153.1 1101 1115 32.09% 23.09% 44.82%-0.31 +0.4 21
2012-08-17 IB Bolungarvik W 3-244.7 1140 1007 59.79% 20.71% 19.50%+0.86 +2.9 29
2012-08-17 @ Thor Akureyri L 2-344.7 1007 1140 19.50% 20.71% 59.79%-0.86 -2.9 19
2012-08-17 IR Reykjavik W 5-133.0 1074 947 59.10% 20.88% 20.01%+0.83 +10.0 15
2012-08-17 @ IF Hottur L 1-533.0 947 1074 20.01% 20.88% 59.10%-0.83 -10.0 14
2012-08-21 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-035.3 1112 1076 47.88% 22.83% 29.29%+0.41 +8.9 31
2012-08-21 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-235.3 1076 1112 29.29% 22.83% 47.88%-0.41 -8.9 24
2012-08-21 IF Hottur W 4-140.8 1053 1084 38.41% 23.30% 38.28%+0.10 +13.6 26
2012-08-21 @ KA Akureyri L 1-440.8 1084 1053 38.28% 23.30% 38.41%-0.10 -13.6 15
2012-08-21 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-142.0 1115 1042 52.63% 22.21% 25.16%+0.58 +3.9 29
2012-08-21 @ Fjolnir L 1-242.0 1042 1115 25.16% 22.21% 52.63%-0.58 -3.9 15
2012-08-21 Thor Akureyri L 1-239.5 937 1143 18.77% 20.45% 60.78%-0.70 -3.0 14
2012-08-21 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-139.5 1143 937 60.78% 20.45% 18.77%+0.70 +3.0 32
2012-08-21 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-038.9 1004 1053 35.86% 23.27% 40.87%+0.02 +11.7 22
2012-08-21 @ IB Bolungarvik L 0-238.9 1053 1004 40.87% 23.27% 35.86%-0.02 -11.7 24
2012-08-21 Tindastoll W 5-035.7 1102 1136 38.01% 23.30% 38.69%+0.09 +26.1 24
2012-08-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-535.7 1136 1102 38.69% 23.30% 38.01%-0.09 -26.1 18
2012-08-24 IR Reykjavik W 1-035.8 1042 934 56.82% 21.42% 21.77%+0.74 +3.6 27
2012-08-24 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-135.8 934 1042 21.77% 21.42% 56.82%-0.74 -3.6 14
2012-08-24 Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-153.1 1038 1121 31.36% 23.03% 45.61%-0.14 +0.4 16
2012-08-24 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-153.1 1121 1038 45.61% 23.03% 31.36%+0.14 -0.4 32
2012-08-25 Fjolnir W 2-145.3 1110 1119 41.63% 23.25% 35.12%+0.20 +5.2 21
2012-08-25 @ Tindastoll L 1-245.3 1119 1110 35.12% 23.25% 41.63%-0.20 -5.2 29
2012-08-25 IB Bolungarvik W 3-032.5 1067 1015 49.85% 22.61% 27.54%+0.48 +12.3 27
2012-08-25 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-332.5 1015 1067 27.54% 22.61% 49.85%-0.48 -12.3 22
2012-08-25 KA Akureyri W 1-036.8 1146 1067 53.44% 22.07% 24.49%+0.61 +4.1 35
2012-08-25 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-136.8 1067 1146 24.49% 22.07% 53.44%-0.61 -4.1 26
2012-08-25 Vikingur Reykjavik W 5-244.8 1071 1128 34.84% 23.24% 41.92%-0.02 +12.6 18
2012-08-25 @ IF Hottur L 2-544.8 1128 1071 41.92% 23.24% 34.84%+0.02 -12.6 24
2012-08-28 Tindastoll W 4-032.5 1150 1115 47.71% 22.85% 29.44%+0.41 +17.0 38
2012-08-28 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-432.5 1115 1150 29.44% 22.85% 47.71%-0.41 -17.0 21
2012-08-31 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-233.4 930 1079 23.94% 21.96% 54.11%-0.44 -7.5 14
2012-08-31 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-033.4 1079 930 54.11% 21.96% 23.94%+0.44 +7.5 30
2012-08-31 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-039.3 1062 1045 45.27% 23.06% 31.67%+0.32 +5.1 29
2012-08-31 @ KA Akureyri L 0-139.3 1045 1062 31.67% 23.06% 45.27%-0.32 -5.0 27
2012-09-01 IF Hottur L 1-248.8 1114 1083 47.03% 22.91% 30.06%+0.38 -6.5 29
2012-09-01 @ Fjolnir W 2-148.8 1083 1114 30.06% 22.91% 47.03%-0.38 +6.5 21
2012-09-01 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-142.5 1098 1038 50.93% 22.46% 26.61%+0.52 +4.1 24
2012-09-01 @ Tindastoll L 1-242.5 1038 1098 26.61% 22.46% 50.93%-0.52 -4.1 16
2012-09-01 Thor Akureyri L 1-342.5 1115 1167 35.50% 23.26% 41.24%+0.00 -9.0 24
2012-09-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-142.5 1167 1115 41.24% 23.26% 35.50%+0.00 +9.0 41
2012-09-01 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-242.7 1003 1121 27.26% 22.57% 50.17%-0.30 -4.2 22
2012-09-01 @ IB Bolungarvik W 2-142.7 1121 1003 50.17% 22.57% 27.26%+0.30 +4.2 35
2012-09-04 KA Akureyri L 0-240.2 1087 1068 45.54% 23.04% 31.43%+0.33 -12.7 30
2012-09-04 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-040.2 1068 1087 31.43% 23.04% 45.54%-0.33 +12.7 32
2012-09-05 Tindastoll L 2-351.9 1090 1102 41.17% 23.26% 35.57%+0.19 -5.6 21
2012-09-05 @ IF Hottur W 3-251.9 1102 1090 35.57% 23.26% 41.17%-0.19 +5.6 27
2012-09-06 Fjolnir W 1-037.3 1176 1107 52.13% 22.29% 25.58%+0.56 +4.2 44
2012-09-06 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-137.3 1107 1176 25.58% 22.29% 52.13%-0.56 -4.2 29
2012-09-08 IB Bolungarvik W 2-143.4 1034 999 47.71% 22.85% 29.45%+0.40 +4.5 19
2012-09-08 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-243.4 999 1034 29.45% 22.85% 47.71%-0.40 -4.5 22
2012-09-08 IR Reykjavik W 1-032.8 1125 923 66.96% 18.49% 14.56%+1.17 +2.4 38
2012-09-08 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-132.8 923 1125 14.56% 18.49% 66.96%-1.17 -2.4 14
2012-09-08 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-139.9 1040 1106 33.63% 23.18% 43.19%-0.06 -5.3 27
2012-09-08 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-039.9 1106 1040 43.19% 23.18% 33.63%+0.06 +5.3 27
2012-09-15 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-140.4 1112 1074 48.01% 22.82% 29.17%+0.42 +7.7 30
2012-09-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-340.4 1074 1112 29.17% 22.82% 48.01%-0.42 -7.7 30
2012-09-15 IB Bolungarvik L 1-537.4 920 994 32.57% 23.12% 44.31%-0.10 -15.4 14
2012-09-15 @ IR Reykjavik W 5-137.4 994 920 44.31% 23.12% 32.57%+0.10 +15.4 25
2012-09-15 Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-354.1 1084 1039 49.11% 22.70% 28.19%+0.45 -6.4 21
2012-09-15 @ IF Hottur W 3-254.1 1039 1084 28.19% 22.70% 49.11%-0.45 +6.4 22
2012-09-15 Thor Akureyri L 0-139.7 1108 1181 32.72% 23.13% 44.15%-0.09 -5.2 27
2012-09-15 @ Tindastoll W 1-039.7 1181 1108 44.15% 23.13% 32.72%+0.09 +5.2 47
2012-09-15 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-347.1 1103 1035 51.97% 22.31% 25.72%+0.56 -12.3 29
2012-09-15 @ Fjolnir W 3-147.1 1035 1103 25.72% 22.31% 51.97%-0.56 +12.3 30
2012-09-16 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-434.6 1080 1128 36.18% 23.28% 40.54%+0.03 -20.1 32
2012-09-16 @ KA Akureyri W 4-034.6 1128 1080 40.54% 23.28% 36.18%-0.03 +20.1 41
2012-09-22 Fjolnir W 1-041.0 1066 1091 39.44% 23.30% 37.27%+0.13 +5.8 33
2012-09-22 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-141.0 1091 1066 37.27% 23.30% 39.44%-0.13 -5.8 29
2012-09-22 IF Hottur W 1-035.9 1186 1078 56.82% 21.42% 21.76%+0.74 +3.6 50
2012-09-22 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-135.9 1078 1186 21.76% 21.42% 56.82%-0.74 -3.6 21
2012-09-22 IR Reykjavik W 2-031.5 1045 905 60.50% 20.52% 18.98%+0.89 +6.0 25
2012-09-22 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-231.5 905 1045 18.98% 20.52% 60.50%-0.89 -6.0 14
2012-09-22 KA Akureyri D 0-048.9 1010 1060 35.75% 23.27% 40.98%+0.01 +0.2 26
2012-09-22 @ IB Bolungarvik D 0-048.9 1060 1010 40.98% 23.27% 35.75%-0.01 -0.2 33
2012-09-22 Tindastoll W 6-037.2 1047 1103 35.06% 23.25% 41.69%-0.01 +32.9 33
2012-09-22 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-637.2 1103 1047 41.69% 23.25% 35.06%+0.01 -32.9 27
2012-09-22 Vikingur Reykjavik D 3-362.4 1148 1119 46.79% 22.93% 30.28%+0.37 -0.3 42
2012-09-22 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 3-362.4 1119 1148 30.28% 22.93% 46.79%-0.37 +0.3 31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-06-02 17.32% IR Reykjavik 981 4 @ Tindastoll 1143 2
2 2012-08-01 18.54% IB Bolungarvik 987 1 @ Tindastoll 1132 0
3 2012-07-04 22.39% Throttur Reykjavik 998 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1099 0
4 2012-07-13 22.82% KA Akureyri 1022 1 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1119 0
5 2012-06-09 23.15% @ IR Reykjavik 994 2 IF Hottur 1151 1
6 2012-08-09 23.69% Throttur Reykjavik 1010 3 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1097 0
7 2012-06-22 25.19% Leiknir Reykjavik 1036 1 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1109 0
8 2012-08-01 25.33% KA Akureyri 1038 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1110 0
9 2012-09-15 25.72% Throttur Reykjavik 1035 3 @ Fjolnir 1103 1
10 2012-07-29 25.97% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1002 1 Thor Akureyri 1132 0
11 2012-05-19 26.75% Vikingur Olafsvik 1083 1 @ Tindastoll 1142 0
12 2012-06-21 27.68% @ KA Akureyri 1021 3 Thor Akureyri 1135 2
13 2012-07-21 27.71% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1095 1 @ Tindastoll 1145 0
14 2012-09-15 28.19% Leiknir Reykjavik 1039 3 @ IF Hottur 1084 2
15 2012-06-29 28.48% Vikingur Reykjavik 1085 2 @ Thor Akureyri 1129 0
16 2012-06-09 28.79% Fjolnir 1070 6 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1111 2
17 2012-07-13 29.74% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1038 6 IF Hottur 1135 1
18 2012-09-01 30.06% IF Hottur 1083 2 @ Fjolnir 1114 1
19 2012-08-16 30.45% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1037 4 Vikingur Olafsvik 1128 1
20 2012-05-19 30.51% KA Akureyri 1024 3 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1050 1
21 2012-08-11 30.53% @ IB Bolungarvik 995 3 IF Hottur 1086 1
22 2012-06-16 31.36% Vikingur Olafsvik 1096 2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1116 0
23 2012-09-04 31.43% KA Akureyri 1068 2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1087 0
24 2012-08-12 31.71% Throttur Reykjavik 1031 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1048 1
25 2012-07-21 32.02% Vikingur Olafsvik 1105 2 @ Fjolnir 1120 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-09-22 32.90 @ Throttur Reykjavik 6 1047 35.06% Tindastoll 0 1103 41.69% 23.25%
2 2012-05-25 26.21 Fjolnir 5 1036 37.86% @ IR Reykjavik 0 1007 38.84% 23.30%
3 2012-08-21 26.13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 5 1102 38.01% Tindastoll 0 1136 38.69% 23.30%
4 2012-07-13 25.45 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 6 1038 29.74% IF Hottur 1 1135 47.38% 22.88%
5 2012-08-09 21.46 Throttur Reykjavik 3 1010 23.69% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1097 54.41% 21.90%
6 2012-09-16 20.13 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1128 40.54% @ KA Akureyri 0 1080 36.18% 23.28%
7 2012-07-17 20.04 @ Fjolnir 4 1100 40.74% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1115 35.99% 23.27%
8 2012-06-09 17.96 Fjolnir 6 1070 28.79% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1111 48.43% 22.77%
9 2012-08-01 17.19 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1117 35.11% @ IF Hottur 0 1108 41.64% 23.25%
10 2012-08-28 17.04 @ Thor Akureyri 4 1150 47.71% Tindastoll 0 1115 29.44% 22.85%
11 2012-07-22 16.23 Thor Akureyri 5 1115 42.08% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1057 34.69% 23.23%
12 2012-08-16 15.88 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1037 30.45% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1128 46.60% 22.95%
13 2012-09-15 15.43 IB Bolungarvik 5 994 44.31% @ IR Reykjavik 1 920 32.57% 23.12%
14 2012-07-07 14.55 @ Tindastoll 6 1125 39.46% IF Hottur 2 1149 37.24% 23.30%
15 2012-07-21 14.23 @ KA Akureyri 5 1030 47.61% IR Reykjavik 1 995 29.53% 22.86%
16 2012-08-21 13.58 @ KA Akureyri 4 1053 38.41% IF Hottur 1 1084 38.28% 23.30%
17 2012-06-29 13.46 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1085 28.48% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1129 48.79% 22.73%
18 2012-08-09 13.44 Tindastoll 4 1124 55.85% @ IR Reykjavik 0 960 22.53% 21.62%
19 2012-06-30 13.33 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1101 56.12% IB Bolungarvik 0 999 22.31% 21.57%
20 2012-06-02 12.94 IR Reykjavik 4 981 17.32% @ Tindastoll 2 1143 62.83% 19.86%
21 2012-06-16 12.73 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1096 31.36% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1116 45.61% 23.03%
22 2012-09-04 12.72 KA Akureyri 2 1068 31.43% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1087 45.54% 23.04%
23 2012-08-25 12.62 @ IF Hottur 5 1071 34.84% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1128 41.92% 23.24%
24 2012-08-25 12.32 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1067 49.85% IB Bolungarvik 0 1015 27.54% 22.61%
25 2012-09-15 12.30 Throttur Reykjavik 3 1035 25.72% @ Fjolnir 1 1103 51.97% 22.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-09-22 62.4 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1148 46.79% Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1119 30.28% 22.93%
2 2012-07-12 62.3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1006 30.02% Fjolnir 3 1100 47.07% 22.91%
3 2012-06-16 59.0 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1136 59.89% IR Reykjavik 2 1002 19.43% 20.68%
4 2012-07-28 58.5 @ IB Bolungarvik 2 986 26.20% Fjolnir 2 1114 51.41% 22.40%
5 2012-06-09 58.4 @ KA Akureyri 2 1027 29.02% Tindastoll 2 1130 48.18% 22.80%
6 2012-07-17 58.4 @ KA Akureyri 2 1030 47.52% IB Bolungarvik 2 996 29.61% 22.87%
7 2012-05-20 58.3 @ Fjolnir 2 1036 46.66% IB Bolungarvik 2 1009 30.40% 22.95%
8 2012-06-22 58.3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1085 33.74% IF Hottur 2 1150 43.07% 23.19%
9 2012-07-04 58.3 @ KA Akureyri 2 1022 31.33% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1106 45.64% 23.03%
10 2012-05-25 58.2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 995 36.60% Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1039 40.12% 23.29%
11 2012-08-16 58.2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1042 38.02% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1076 38.68% 23.30%
12 2012-07-07 55.1 @ IB Bolungarvik 4 986 34.73% Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1044 42.04% 23.23%
13 2012-06-21 54.3 @ KA Akureyri 3 1021 27.68% Thor Akureyri 2 1135 49.69% 22.63%
14 2012-09-15 54.1 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1039 28.19% @ IF Hottur 2 1084 49.11% 22.70%
15 2012-06-02 53.6 IR Reykjavik 4 981 17.32% @ Tindastoll 2 1143 62.83% 19.86%
16 2012-05-31 53.3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 995 27.29% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1112 50.15% 22.57%
17 2012-08-09 53.3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1102 50.28% Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1047 27.17% 22.55%
18 2012-05-12 53.2 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1084 49.40% Fjolnir 1 1036 27.94% 22.66%
19 2012-05-25 53.1 @ KA Akureyri 1 1035 32.23% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1112 44.67% 23.10%
20 2012-06-30 53.1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1043 31.51% Tindastoll 1 1126 45.45% 23.04%
21 2012-08-16 53.1 @ Fjolnir 1 1115 44.82% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1101 32.09% 23.09%
22 2012-08-24 53.1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1038 31.36% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1121 45.61% 23.03%
23 2012-06-16 53.0 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 992 42.01% IB Bolungarvik 1 998 34.76% 23.24%
24 2012-09-05 51.9 Tindastoll 3 1102 35.57% @ IF Hottur 2 1090 41.17% 23.26%
25 2012-06-09 50.8 @ IR Reykjavik 2 994 23.15% IF Hottur 1 1151 55.07% 21.78%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-08-01 29.2 @ Fjolnir 3 1113 60.94% IR Reykjavik 0 969 18.66% 20.40%
2 2012-06-30 29.9 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1101 56.12% IB Bolungarvik 0 999 22.31% 21.57%
3 2012-08-09 30.0 Tindastoll 4 1124 55.85% @ IR Reykjavik 0 960 22.53% 21.62%
4 2012-07-21 31.0 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1087 54.68% IB Bolungarvik 0 997 23.47% 21.85%
5 2012-09-22 31.5 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1045 60.50% IR Reykjavik 0 905 18.98% 20.52%
6 2012-06-15 32.3 @ IF Hottur 2 1144 57.77% KA Akureyri 0 1028 21.03% 21.21%
7 2012-07-26 32.5 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1097 49.97% @ IR Reykjavik 0 981 27.44% 22.59%
8 2012-08-25 32.5 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1067 49.85% IB Bolungarvik 0 1015 27.54% 22.61%
9 2012-08-28 32.5 @ Thor Akureyri 4 1150 47.71% Tindastoll 0 1115 29.44% 22.85%
10 2012-09-08 32.8 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1125 66.96% IR Reykjavik 0 923 14.56% 18.49%
11 2012-08-17 33.0 @ IF Hottur 5 1074 59.10% IR Reykjavik 1 947 20.01% 20.88%
12 2012-08-31 33.4 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1079 54.11% @ IR Reykjavik 0 930 23.94% 21.96%
13 2012-05-12 34.3 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1120 51.13% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1058 26.44% 22.44%
14 2012-07-17 34.5 @ Fjolnir 4 1100 40.74% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1115 35.99% 23.27%
15 2012-09-16 34.6 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1128 40.54% @ KA Akureyri 0 1080 36.18% 23.28%
16 2012-08-21 35.3 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1112 47.88% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1076 29.29% 22.83%
17 2012-05-25 35.7 Fjolnir 5 1036 37.86% @ IR Reykjavik 0 1007 38.84% 23.30%
18 2012-08-21 35.7 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 5 1102 38.01% Tindastoll 0 1136 38.69% 23.30%
19 2012-08-24 35.8 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1042 56.82% IR Reykjavik 0 934 21.77% 21.42%
20 2012-09-22 35.9 @ Thor Akureyri 1 1186 56.82% IF Hottur 0 1078 21.76% 21.42%
21 2012-05-19 36.2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1108 55.49% IR Reykjavik 0 1011 22.82% 21.69%
22 2012-07-12 36.2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1105 44.91% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1091 32.01% 23.08%
23 2012-07-21 36.4 @ KA Akureyri 5 1030 47.61% IR Reykjavik 1 995 29.53% 22.86%
24 2012-08-25 36.8 @ Thor Akureyri 1 1146 53.44% KA Akureyri 0 1067 24.49% 22.07%
25 2012-07-17 36.9 @ Tindastoll 3 1140 59.77% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1006 19.51% 20.72%