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2012-13 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fjolnir

12.21 points above expected

43 points · 30.79 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IF Volsungur

19.68 points below expected

2 points · 21.68 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fjolnir 22 13 4 5 43 38 24 +14 30.79 +12.21
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 12 6 4 42 56 28 +28 34.91 +7.09
3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 22 12 6 4 42 49 29 +20 33.23 +8.77
4 Grindavik 22 13 3 6 42 51 32 +19 38.55 +3.45
5 IB Bolungarvik 22 13 1 8 40 47 39 +8 28.48 +11.52
6 KA Akureyri 22 9 5 8 32 38 31 +7 27.38 +4.62
7 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 9 5 8 32 36 31 +5 28.82 +3.18
8 Selfoss 22 8 3 11 27 44 38 +6 34.25 -7.25
9 Tindastoll 22 6 7 9 25 29 40 -11 28.66 -3.66
10 Throttur Reykjavik 22 7 2 13 23 26 36 -10 25.47 -2.47
11 KF Fjallabyggar 22 5 6 11 21 25 41 -16 32.82 -11.82
12 IF Volsungur 22 0 2 20 2 15 85 -70 21.68 -19.68

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fjolnir 43 30.79 +12.21
2 IB Bolungarvik 40 28.48 +11.52
3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 42 33.23 +8.77
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 42 34.91 +7.09
5 KA Akureyri 32 27.38 +4.62

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IF Volsungur 2 21.68 -19.68
2 KF Fjallabyggar 21 32.82 -11.82
3 Selfoss 27 34.25 -7.25
4 Tindastoll 25 28.66 -3.66
5 Throttur Reykjavik 23 25.47 -2.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grindavik 6 May 17 – Jun 22 1 in 75
2 IB Bolungarvik 3 Jun 1 – Jun 16 1 in 38
3 Fjolnir 3 Jul 11 – Jul 20 1 in 36
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 4 Jul 27 – Aug 16 1 in 31
5 Tindastoll 3 Jul 20 – Aug 1 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IF Volsungur 16 Jun 22 – Sep 21 1 in 9,709
2 Selfoss 3 Jul 11 – Jul 20 1 in 32
3 IB Bolungarvik 4 Jun 22 – Jul 13 1 in 25
4 KA Akureyri 4 May 25 – Jun 14 1 in 20
5 Tindastoll 4 Aug 29 – Sep 21 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KA Akureyri 8 Jun 22 – Jul 31 1 in 75
2 Fjolnir 7 Jun 14 – Jul 20 1 in 55
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 10 May 24 – Jul 19 1 in 53
4 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 7 May 23 – Jul 6 1 in 37
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 6 May 9 – Jun 13 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IF Volsungur 22 May 9 – Sep 21 1 in 1,033
2 KF Fjallabyggar 7 Jul 20 – Aug 24 1 in 39
3 Grindavik 4 Jul 16 – Aug 1 1 in 13
4 Tindastoll 6 Jun 2 – Jul 4 1 in 10
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 Jul 25 – Aug 16 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Fjolnir 1184 43 +62 12 8.2 +3.8
Vikingur Reykjavik 1186 42 +76 12 8.6 +3.4
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1156 42 +33 11 8.8 +2.2
Grindavik 1163 42 -5 9 7.9 +1.1
IB Bolungarvik 1110 40 +10 10 7.3 +2.7
KA Akureyri 1104 32 +46 9 7.4 +1.6
Leiknir Reykjavik 1090 32 -20 4 6.2 -2.2
Selfoss 1116 27 -12 6 7.9 -1.9
Tindastoll 994 25 -58 3 6.0 -3.0
Throttur Reykjavik 1015 23 +6 6 5.2 +0.8
KF Fjallabyggar 990 21 -47 6 6.4 -0.4
IF Volsungur 796 2 -90 0 3.2 -3.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FJO GRI HH IB IV KA KF LR SEL TR TIN VR
Fjolnir —
1-1-0
2.17
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
3.67
0-1-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.28
2-0-0
2.97
2-0-0
2.42
0-1-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.52
Grindavik
0-1-1
3.37
—
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.45
2-0-0
4.01
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.31
0-0-2
3.20
2-0-0
3.74
2-0-0
3.30
0-0-2
2.93
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
2.43
—
1-1-0
3.19
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.46
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
2.29
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
3.44
1-1-0
2.72
IB Bolungarvik
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.35
—
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.46
2-0-0
2.08
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.51
IF Volsungur
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
2.79
—
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
1.82
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.43
KA Akureyri
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
3.59
—
0-1-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.59
2-0-0
2.21
2-0-0
3.07
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.35
KF Fjallabyggar
0-0-2
3.26
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
3.08
0-0-2
3.13
2-0-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.11
—
0-1-1
3.28
2-0-0
2.17
0-0-2
3.22
0-1-1
3.08
0-2-0
2.90
Leiknir Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-2
2.23
0-2-0
2.64
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.26
—
1-0-1
2.35
2-0-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.75
Selfoss
0-0-2
3.12
2-0-0
2.34
0-0-2
3.25
0-0-2
3.46
1-1-0
3.82
0-0-2
3.33
0-0-2
3.38
1-0-1
3.18
—
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
2.64
Throttur Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.21
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.03
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
2.33
0-0-2
2.38
0-1-1
1.97
—
0-0-2
2.70
0-0-2
1.76
Tindastoll
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.53
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.46
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.29
2-0-0
2.84
—
0-1-1
2.05
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.82
2-0-0
3.02
2-0-0
4.17
1-1-0
3.19
0-2-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.89
2-0-0
3.80
1-1-0
3.49
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +8.8
Allowed 0.75 -6.7
Differential 0.91 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%6.82%3.03%4.17%0.76%1.52%20.08%
16.82%9.09%8.71%4.55%1.52%2.27%32.95%
23.03%8.71%6.06%3.03%2.27%0.38%23.48%
34.17%4.55%3.03%—1.52%—13.26%
40.76%1.52%2.27%1.52%——6.06%
5+1.52%2.27%0.38%———4.17%
Total20.08%32.95%23.48%13.26%6.06%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.72 +0.00
SD 1.66 1.66 2.54
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 16 16 +16
Min 0 0 -16

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%————18.18%
113.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
24.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%45.45%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.09 +0.64
SD 1.20 1.34 1.73
CV 0.70 1.23 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
29.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total27.27%31.82%18.18%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.45 +0.86
SD 1.89 1.30 2.64
CV 0.81 0.89 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
14.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
2—18.18%9.09%———27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%45.45%27.27%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.32 +0.91
SD 1.72 0.99 2.07
CV 0.77 0.75 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
14.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
213.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%——36.36%
34.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
4—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%27.27%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.77 +0.36
SD 1.28 1.51 2.04
CV 0.60 0.85 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%—13.64%40.91%
1—4.55%9.09%18.18%4.55%13.64%50.00%
2———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%9.09%13.64%36.36%9.09%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 3.86 -3.18
SD 0.65 3.21 3.38
CV 0.95 0.83 —
Max 2 16 +0
Min 0 0 -16

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
118.18%9.09%13.64%—4.55%—45.45%
24.55%—9.09%—9.09%—22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total31.82%27.27%22.73%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.41 +0.32
SD 1.55 1.37 2.01
CV 0.90 0.97 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
1—22.73%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total—54.55%27.27%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.86 -0.73
SD 1.13 1.42 2.10
CV 0.99 0.76 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
113.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
313.64%—9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%27.27%18.18%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.41 +0.23
SD 1.05 1.33 1.48
CV 0.64 0.95 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
19.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%13.64%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%——9.09%—18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%27.27%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.73 +0.27
SD 1.72 1.24 2.07
CV 0.86 0.72 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—13.64%——31.82%
14.55%—22.73%9.09%——36.36%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%31.82%22.73%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.64 -0.45
SD 1.10 1.00 1.68
CV 0.93 0.61 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
1—22.73%—4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%45.45%27.27%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.82 -0.50
SD 1.17 1.18 1.74
CV 0.89 0.65 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
19.09%9.09%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total31.82%27.27%36.36%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.27 +1.27
SD 3.25 1.35 3.77
CV 1.28 1.06 —
Max 16 6 +16
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vikingur Reykjavik 1186 42 34.91 +7.09 90.0% 21 23 30 34 39 44 50
Fjolnir 1184 43 30.79 +12.21 97.0% 13 20 27 30 36 42 48
Grindavik 1163 42 38.55 +3.45 70.0% 27 29 35 38 43 47 50
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1156 42 33.23 +8.77 95.0% 20 22 29 33 37 42 50
Selfoss 1116 27 34.25 -7.25 9.0% 17 25 31 34 38 42 45
IB Bolungarvik 1110 40 28.48 +11.52 98.0% 12 17 25 29 32 38 43
KA Akureyri 1104 32 27.38 +4.62 83.0% 13 18 23 27 31 38 40
Leiknir Reykjavik 1090 32 28.82 +3.18 71.0% 12 20 26 28 33 37 42
Throttur Reykjavik 1015 23 25.47 -2.47 37.0% 10 15 21 26 29 35 37
Tindastoll 994 25 28.66 -3.66 30.0% 14 20 24 29 32 37 48
KF Fjallabyggar 990 21 32.82 -11.82 4.0% 18 22 29 33 36 43 51
IF Volsungur 796 2 21.68 -19.68 0.0% 4 14 18 21 26 30 33

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.82%
No Edge
43.94%18.94%37.12%
Elo Value
Home Edge
67 Elo
0.015 goals per Elo point
023.73200
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.27 goals
Neutral
-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.1
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
6%
Fjolnir, 6th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.74 * Some Luck: 4.74 to 7.11 * Lucky: 7.11 to 9.47 * Wild Swing: 9.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.93 * Close: 1.93 to 2.89 * Off: 2.89 to 3.85 * Way Off: 3.85 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.35 points
Lucky
05.9215
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.50
Close
02.415
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
IB Bolungarvik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
IF Volsungur
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 111.99
1.91
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
70%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Clear Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Some Drama
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.22
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.55
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.22
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Upset-Prone
0%30%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.57
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1450.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Fjolnir6.00%3.00%16.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%15.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%4.00%6.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik15.00%19.00%13.00%10.00%10.00%13.00%8.00%2.00%—7.00%3.00%—
Haukar Hafnarfjordur10.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%15.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
Grindavik37.00%23.00%14.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%———
IB Bolungarvik5.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%
KA Akureyri3.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%16.00%11.00%9.00%18.00%6.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik2.00%5.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%20.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%
Selfoss7.00%22.00%14.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%
Tindastoll3.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%
Throttur Reykjavik—1.00%3.00%7.00%1.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%20.00%18.00%15.00%
KF Fjallabyggar12.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%—
IF Volsungur—————5.00%3.00%9.00%6.00%13.00%19.00%45.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Grindavik 60.00% 40.00% —
Vikingur Reykjavik 34.00% 63.00% 3.00%
Selfoss 29.00% 68.00% 3.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 23.00% 73.00% 4.00%
KF Fjallabyggar 21.00% 72.00% 7.00%
Fjolnir 9.00% 81.00% 10.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 7.00% 80.00% 13.00%
IB Bolungarvik 6.00% 76.00% 18.00%
Tindastoll 5.00% 74.00% 21.00%
KA Akureyri 5.00% 71.00% 24.00%
Throttur Reykjavik 1.00% 66.00% 33.00%
IF Volsungur — 36.00% 64.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-05-09 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-246.4 1062 1058 42.35% 23.25% 34.40%+0.42 -9.4 0
2013-05-09 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-146.4 1058 1062 34.40% 23.25% 42.35%-0.42 +9.4 3
2013-05-09 IB Bolungarvik L 0-144.7 1092 1023 50.91% 22.75% 26.34%+1.38 -11.7 0
2013-05-09 @ IF Volsungur W 1-044.7 1023 1092 26.34% 22.75% 50.91%-1.38 +11.7 3
2013-05-09 KA Akureyri L 0-145.0 1127 1051 51.75% 22.67% 25.58%+1.48 -11.9 0
2013-05-09 @ Selfoss W 1-045.0 1051 1127 25.58% 22.67% 51.75%-1.48 +11.8 3
2013-05-09 KF Fjallabyggar W 2-147.3 1065 1138 31.59% 23.14% 45.26%-0.73 +10.0 3
2013-05-09 @ Fjolnir L 1-247.3 1138 1065 45.26% 23.14% 31.59%+0.73 -10.0 0
2013-05-09 Tindastoll D 1-151.1 1046 1057 40.24% 23.29% 36.46%+0.20 -0.2 1
2013-05-09 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-151.1 1057 1046 36.46% 23.29% 40.24%-0.20 +0.2 1
2013-05-09 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-246.9 1100 1085 43.81% 23.21% 32.98%+0.58 -9.7 0
2013-05-09 @ Grindavik W 2-146.9 1085 1100 32.98% 23.21% 43.81%-0.58 +9.7 3
2013-05-17 Grindavik L 0-141.2 1067 1090 38.51% 23.30% 38.19%+0.02 -9.3 3
2013-05-17 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-041.2 1090 1067 38.19% 23.30% 38.51%-0.02 +9.3 3
2013-05-17 Selfoss L 1-245.4 1094 1115 38.74% 23.30% 37.96%+0.04 -8.8 3
2013-05-17 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-145.4 1115 1094 37.96% 23.30% 38.74%-0.04 +8.8 3
2013-05-18 Fjolnir D 1-151.1 1063 1075 40.01% 23.29% 36.69%+0.17 -0.2 4
2013-05-18 @ KA Akureyri D 1-151.1 1075 1063 36.69% 23.29% 40.01%-0.17 +0.2 4
2013-05-18 IF Volsungur D 1-151.1 1057 1081 38.33% 23.30% 38.36%+0.00 +0.0 2
2013-05-18 @ Tindastoll D 1-151.1 1081 1057 38.36% 23.30% 38.33%+0.00 +0.0 1
2013-05-18 KF Fjallabyggar D 1-151.2 1046 1128 30.42% 23.08% 46.50%-0.87 +0.8 2
2013-05-18 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-151.2 1128 1046 46.50% 23.08% 30.42%+0.87 -0.8 1
2013-05-18 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-145.0 1035 1053 39.14% 23.30% 37.56%+0.08 +8.6 6
2013-05-18 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-245.0 1053 1035 37.56% 23.30% 39.14%-0.08 -8.6 0
2013-05-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 2-353.3 1124 1058 50.52% 22.79% 26.70%+1.33 -10.4 3
2013-05-23 @ Selfoss W 3-253.3 1058 1124 26.70% 22.79% 50.52%-1.33 +10.4 6
2013-05-23 Tindastoll L 1-245.7 1044 1057 39.98% 23.29% 36.73%+0.17 -9.0 0
2013-05-23 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-145.7 1057 1044 36.73% 23.29% 39.98%-0.17 +9.0 5
2013-05-24 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-545.9 1075 1086 40.28% 23.29% 36.43%+0.20 -19.2 4
2013-05-24 @ Fjolnir W 5-245.9 1086 1075 36.43% 23.29% 40.28%-0.20 +19.2 6
2013-05-25 IB Bolungarvik W 6-136.5 1099 1043 49.24% 22.90% 27.87%+1.18 +26.2 6
2013-05-25 @ Grindavik L 1-636.5 1043 1099 27.87% 22.90% 49.24%-1.18 -26.2 6
2013-05-25 KA Akureyri W 4-138.4 1128 1063 50.35% 22.80% 26.85%+1.31 +16.0 4
2013-05-25 @ KF Fjallabyggar L 1-438.4 1063 1128 26.85% 22.80% 50.35%-1.31 -16.1 4
2013-05-25 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-339.8 1081 1047 46.36% 23.09% 30.55%+0.86 -29.5 1
2013-05-25 @ IF Volsungur W 3-039.8 1047 1081 30.55% 23.09% 46.36%-0.86 +29.5 5
2013-06-01 Fjolnir W 1-039.6 1068 1056 43.45% 23.22% 33.33%+0.54 +8.3 9
2013-06-01 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-139.6 1056 1068 33.33% 23.22% 43.45%-0.54 -8.3 4
2013-06-01 KA Akureyri W 2-143.0 1076 1047 45.77% 23.12% 31.11%+0.79 +7.4 8
2013-06-01 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-243.0 1047 1076 31.11% 23.12% 45.77%-0.79 -7.4 4
2013-06-01 KF Fjallabyggar D 1-151.2 1105 1144 36.20% 23.29% 40.51%-0.22 +0.2 7
2013-06-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-151.2 1144 1105 40.51% 23.29% 36.20%+0.22 -0.2 5
2013-06-01 Selfoss W 4-356.0 1017 1114 28.68% 22.96% 48.36%-1.08 +9.8 9
2013-06-01 @ IB Bolungarvik L 3-456.0 1114 1017 48.36% 22.96% 28.68%+1.08 -9.8 3
2013-06-01 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-345.3 1051 1035 43.90% 23.20% 32.90%+0.59 -16.8 1
2013-06-01 @ IF Volsungur W 3-145.3 1035 1051 32.90% 23.20% 43.90%-0.59 +16.8 3
2013-06-02 Tindastoll W 4-138.6 1125 1066 49.71% 22.86% 27.43%+1.24 +16.3 9
2013-06-02 @ Grindavik L 1-438.6 1066 1125 27.43% 22.86% 49.71%-1.24 -16.3 5
2013-06-06 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-140.8 1052 1084 37.25% 23.30% 39.45%-0.11 -9.0 3
2013-06-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-040.8 1084 1052 39.45% 23.30% 37.25%+0.11 +9.1 11
2013-06-08 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.3 1143 1077 50.59% 22.78% 26.63%+1.34 -1.2 6
2013-06-08 @ KF Fjallabyggar D 1-151.3 1077 1143 26.63% 22.78% 50.59%-1.34 +1.2 10
2013-06-08 IB Bolungarvik L 2-449.5 1048 1027 44.60% 23.17% 32.23%+0.66 -15.2 4
2013-06-08 @ Fjolnir W 4-249.5 1027 1048 32.23% 23.17% 44.60%-0.66 +15.2 12
2013-06-08 IF Volsungur W 4-242.6 1142 1034 55.48% 22.22% 22.30%+1.95 +8.7 12
2013-06-08 @ Grindavik L 2-442.6 1034 1142 22.30% 22.22% 55.48%-1.95 -8.6 1
2013-06-08 Tindastoll W 1-037.9 1104 1049 49.06% 22.91% 28.03%+1.16 +7.2 6
2013-06-08 @ Selfoss L 0-137.9 1049 1104 28.03% 22.91% 49.06%-1.16 -7.2 5
2013-06-08 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-139.3 1039 1105 32.58% 23.19% 44.23%-0.62 -8.2 4
2013-06-08 @ KA Akureyri W 1-039.3 1105 1039 44.23% 23.19% 32.58%+0.62 +8.1 10
2013-06-13 Grindavik L 0-334.1 1043 1150 27.41% 22.86% 49.73%-1.24 -19.4 3
2013-06-13 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-034.1 1150 1043 49.73% 22.86% 27.41%+1.24 +19.4 15
2013-06-13 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-255.7 1093 1113 38.83% 23.30% 37.87%+0.05 -0.0 12
2013-06-13 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-255.7 1113 1093 37.87% 23.30% 38.83%-0.05 +0.0 11
2013-06-14 Fjolnir L 0-142.5 1042 1032 43.08% 23.23% 33.69%+0.50 -10.1 5
2013-06-14 @ Tindastoll W 1-042.5 1032 1042 33.69% 23.23% 43.08%-0.50 +10.2 7
2013-06-14 KA Akureyri W 4-244.8 1078 1031 48.05% 22.98% 28.96%+1.05 +10.8 13
2013-06-14 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 2-444.8 1031 1078 28.96% 22.98% 48.05%-1.05 -10.8 4
2013-06-15 Selfoss D 0-047.8 1026 1111 30.02% 23.06% 46.92%-0.92 +0.9 2
2013-06-15 @ IF Volsungur D 0-047.8 1111 1026 46.92% 23.06% 30.02%+0.92 -0.9 7
2013-06-16 KF Fjallabyggar W 2-148.3 1042 1142 28.27% 22.93% 48.81%-1.13 +10.6 15
2013-06-16 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-248.3 1142 1042 48.81% 22.93% 28.27%+1.13 -10.6 6
2013-06-22 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-255.8 1113 1089 45.08% 23.15% 31.77%+0.71 -0.5 12
2013-06-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-255.8 1089 1113 31.77% 23.15% 45.08%-0.71 +0.5 14
2013-06-22 IB Bolungarvik W 1-041.5 1020 1053 37.12% 23.30% 39.59%-0.13 +9.5 7
2013-06-22 @ KA Akureyri L 0-141.5 1053 1020 39.59% 23.30% 37.12%+0.13 -9.5 15
2013-06-22 IF Volsungur W 2-143.6 1043 1027 43.95% 23.20% 32.85%+0.59 +7.7 10
2013-06-22 @ Fjolnir L 1-243.6 1027 1043 32.85% 23.20% 43.95%-0.59 -7.7 2
2013-06-22 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-245.8 1170 1093 51.89% 22.65% 25.46%+1.50 +5.9 18
2013-06-22 @ Grindavik L 2-345.8 1093 1170 25.46% 22.65% 51.89%-1.50 -5.9 12
2013-06-22 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-255.9 1110 1024 53.02% 22.53% 24.45%+1.64 -1.1 8
2013-06-22 @ Selfoss D 2-255.9 1024 1110 24.45% 22.53% 53.02%-1.64 +1.1 4
2013-06-22 Tindastoll D 1-151.4 1132 1032 54.55% 22.34% 23.10%+1.83 -1.6 7
2013-06-22 @ KF Fjallabyggar D 1-151.4 1032 1132 23.10% 22.34% 54.55%-1.83 +1.6 6
2013-06-27 Fjolnir D 0-047.7 1025 1050 38.10% 23.30% 38.60%-0.03 +0.0 5
2013-06-27 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 0-047.7 1050 1025 38.60% 23.30% 38.10%+0.03 -0.0 11
2013-06-27 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-047.7 1087 1089 41.37% 23.27% 35.36%+0.31 -0.3 13
2013-06-27 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-047.7 1089 1087 35.36% 23.27% 41.37%-0.31 +0.3 15
2013-06-27 KA Akureyri D 2-255.7 1034 1030 42.26% 23.25% 34.49%+0.41 -0.3 7
2013-06-27 @ Tindastoll D 2-255.7 1030 1034 34.49% 23.25% 42.26%-0.41 +0.3 8
2013-06-27 Selfoss L 1-347.2 1176 1109 50.59% 22.78% 26.63%+1.34 -19.0 18
2013-06-27 @ Grindavik W 3-147.2 1109 1176 26.63% 22.78% 50.59%-1.34 +19.0 11
2013-06-28 KF Fjallabyggar L 1-241.7 1019 1130 26.97% 22.81% 50.22%-1.30 -6.6 2
2013-06-28 @ IF Volsungur W 2-141.7 1130 1019 50.22% 22.81% 26.97%+1.30 +6.6 10
2013-06-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-237.2 1043 1113 32.08% 23.17% 44.75%-0.68 -15.2 15
2013-06-29 @ IB Bolungarvik W 2-037.2 1113 1043 44.75% 23.17% 32.08%+0.68 +15.2 15
2013-07-03 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-245.0 1128 1086 47.40% 23.03% 29.58%+0.97 +11.0 14
2013-07-03 @ Selfoss L 2-445.0 1086 1128 29.58% 23.03% 47.40%-0.97 -11.0 13
2013-07-04 Grindavik D 0-047.9 1050 1157 27.51% 22.86% 49.63%-1.23 +1.2 12
2013-07-04 @ Fjolnir D 0-047.9 1157 1050 49.63% 22.86% 27.51%+1.23 -1.2 19
2013-07-04 IF Volsungur W 2-037.3 1030 1012 44.21% 23.19% 32.60%+0.62 +15.4 11
2013-07-04 @ KA Akureyri L 0-237.3 1012 1030 32.60% 23.19% 44.21%-0.62 -15.4 2
2013-07-04 Tindastoll D 1-151.4 1128 1033 53.96% 22.42% 23.62%+1.75 -1.6 16
2013-07-04 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-151.4 1033 1128 23.62% 22.42% 53.96%-1.75 +1.6 8
2013-07-06 IB Bolungarvik W 4-349.6 1090 1028 49.95% 22.84% 27.22%+1.27 +6.1 18
2013-07-06 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 3-449.6 1028 1090 27.22% 22.84% 49.95%-1.27 -6.1 15
2013-07-06 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-146.1 1137 1025 55.94% 22.15% 21.90%+2.01 -12.7 10
2013-07-06 @ KF Fjallabyggar W 1-046.1 1025 1137 21.90% 22.15% 55.94%-2.01 +12.7 8
2013-07-11 Fjolnir L 1-249.5 1139 1052 53.15% 22.52% 24.33%+1.65 -11.4 14
2013-07-11 @ Selfoss W 2-149.5 1052 1139 24.33% 22.52% 53.15%-1.65 +11.4 15
2013-07-11 KF Fjallabyggar W 2-036.8 1156 1124 46.07% 23.10% 30.82%+0.82 +14.7 22
2013-07-11 @ Grindavik L 0-236.8 1124 1156 30.82% 23.10% 46.07%-0.82 -14.7 10
2013-07-12 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-146.8 1035 1096 33.22% 23.21% 43.57%-0.55 +9.7 11
2013-07-12 @ Tindastoll L 1-246.8 1096 1035 43.57% 23.21% 33.22%+0.55 -9.7 18
2013-07-12 KA Akureyri L 0-141.8 1038 1046 40.60% 23.29% 36.11%+0.23 -9.7 8
2013-07-12 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-041.8 1046 1038 36.11% 23.29% 40.60%-0.23 +9.7 14
2013-07-12 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-339.4 997 1126 24.93% 22.59% 52.47%-1.57 -10.7 2
2013-07-12 @ IF Volsungur W 3-139.4 1126 997 52.47% 22.59% 24.93%+1.57 +10.7 19
2013-07-13 IB Bolungarvik W 3-246.6 1075 1022 48.92% 22.92% 28.16%+1.15 +6.5 16
2013-07-13 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-346.6 1022 1075 28.16% 22.92% 48.92%-1.15 -6.5 15
2013-07-16 Grindavik D 2-255.9 1055 1170 26.52% 22.77% 50.71%-1.36 +0.9 15
2013-07-16 @ KA Akureyri D 2-255.9 1170 1055 50.71% 22.77% 26.52%+1.36 -0.9 23
2013-07-16 IF Volsungur W 5-135.8 1086 986 54.60% 22.34% 23.06%+1.84 +18.2 21
2013-07-16 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-535.8 986 1086 23.06% 22.34% 54.60%-1.84 -18.2 2
2013-07-16 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-040.9 1063 1082 39.05% 23.30% 37.65%+0.07 +9.1 18
2013-07-16 @ Fjolnir L 0-140.9 1082 1063 37.65% 23.30% 39.05%-0.07 -9.1 16
2013-07-16 Selfoss W 2-145.1 1109 1128 39.09% 23.30% 37.61%+0.08 +8.6 13
2013-07-16 @ KF Fjallabyggar L 1-245.1 1128 1109 37.61% 23.30% 39.09%-0.08 -8.6 14
2013-07-16 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-138.4 1137 1028 55.65% 22.20% 22.15%+1.97 +9.6 22
2013-07-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-338.4 1028 1137 22.15% 22.20% 55.65%-1.97 -9.6 8
2013-07-16 Tindastoll W 2-039.3 1016 1045 37.57% 23.30% 39.13%-0.08 +17.7 18
2013-07-16 @ IB Bolungarvik L 0-239.3 1045 1016 39.13% 23.30% 37.57%+0.08 -17.7 11
2013-07-19 Grindavik W 4-247.7 1147 1169 38.48% 23.30% 38.21%+0.01 +13.5 25
2013-07-19 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-447.7 1169 1147 38.21% 23.30% 38.48%-0.01 -13.5 23
2013-07-19 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-249.4 1104 1018 52.96% 22.54% 24.50%+1.63 -11.4 21
2013-07-19 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-149.4 1018 1104 24.50% 22.54% 52.96%-1.63 +11.4 11
2013-07-20 Fjolnir L 0-143.9 1118 1072 47.90% 22.99% 29.11%+1.03 -11.1 13
2013-07-20 @ KF Fjallabyggar W 1-043.9 1072 1118 29.11% 22.99% 47.90%-1.03 +11.1 21
2013-07-20 IF Volsungur W 4-138.4 1033 968 50.41% 22.80% 26.79%+1.32 +16.0 21
2013-07-20 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-438.4 968 1033 26.79% 22.80% 50.41%-1.32 -16.0 2
2013-07-20 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-354.0 1027 1073 35.24% 23.27% 41.49%-0.33 +8.6 14
2013-07-20 @ Tindastoll L 3-454.0 1073 1027 41.49% 23.27% 35.24%+0.33 -8.6 16
2013-07-20 Selfoss W 4-354.7 1056 1119 32.92% 23.20% 43.87%-0.58 +9.0 18
2013-07-20 @ KA Akureyri L 3-454.7 1119 1056 43.87% 23.20% 32.92%+0.58 -9.0 14
2013-07-25 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.3 1156 1093 50.13% 22.82% 27.05%+1.29 -1.2 24
2013-07-25 @ Grindavik D 1-151.3 1093 1156 27.05% 22.82% 50.13%-1.29 +1.2 22
2013-07-25 Vikingur Reykjavik W 6-140.9 1110 1160 34.68% 23.26% 42.07%-0.39 +36.4 17
2013-07-25 @ Selfoss L 1-640.9 1160 1110 42.07% 23.26% 34.68%+0.39 -36.4 25
2013-07-27 KA Akureyri L 0-142.8 1083 1065 44.23% 23.19% 32.58%+0.62 -10.4 21
2013-07-27 @ Fjolnir W 1-042.8 1065 1083 32.58% 23.19% 44.23%-0.62 +10.4 21
2013-07-27 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-143.8 1107 1064 47.50% 23.02% 29.48%+0.98 -11.0 13
2013-07-27 @ KF Fjallabyggar W 1-043.8 1064 1107 29.48% 23.02% 47.50%-0.98 +11.0 19
2013-07-27 Tindastoll L 2-347.3 952 1036 30.28% 23.07% 46.65%-0.89 -6.9 2
2013-07-27 @ IF Volsungur W 3-247.3 1036 952 46.65% 23.07% 30.28%+0.89 +6.9 17
2013-07-28 IB Bolungarvik W 3-249.6 1030 1049 38.95% 23.30% 37.75%+0.06 +8.2 14
2013-07-28 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 2-349.6 1049 1030 37.75% 23.30% 38.95%-0.06 -8.2 21
2013-07-31 Fjolnir L 0-242.0 1124 1073 48.58% 22.95% 28.47%+1.11 -21.1 25
2013-07-31 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-042.0 1073 1124 28.47% 22.95% 48.58%-1.11 +21.2 24
2013-07-31 IF Volsungur W 3-031.6 1075 945 57.98% 21.83% 20.18%+2.28 +14.8 22
2013-07-31 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-331.6 945 1075 20.18% 21.83% 57.98%-2.28 -14.8 2
2013-07-31 KF Fjallabyggar D 1-151.1 1076 1096 38.87% 23.30% 37.83%+0.05 -0.0 22
2013-07-31 @ KA Akureyri D 1-151.1 1096 1076 37.83% 23.30% 38.87%-0.05 +0.0 14
2013-07-31 Selfoss W 2-146.5 1094 1146 34.33% 23.25% 42.42%-0.43 +9.5 25
2013-07-31 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-246.5 1146 1094 42.42% 23.25% 34.33%+0.43 -9.5 17
2013-08-01 Grindavik W 3-147.1 1041 1155 26.68% 22.79% 50.53%-1.33 +18.9 24
2013-08-01 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-347.1 1155 1041 50.53% 22.79% 26.68%+1.33 -18.9 24
2013-08-01 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-036.3 1042 1038 42.35% 23.25% 34.40%+0.42 +23.3 20
2013-08-01 @ Tindastoll L 0-336.3 1038 1042 34.40% 23.25% 42.35%-0.42 -23.3 14
2013-08-08 Grindavik L 0-237.1 1066 1136 32.00% 23.16% 44.84%-0.69 -15.2 20
2013-08-08 @ Tindastoll W 2-037.1 1136 1066 44.84% 23.16% 32.00%+0.69 +15.1 27
2013-08-08 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-141.4 1094 1104 40.39% 23.29% 36.32%+0.21 +20.5 27
2013-08-08 @ Fjolnir L 1-441.4 1104 1094 36.32% 23.29% 40.39%-0.21 -20.5 25
2013-08-08 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-255.7 1096 1103 40.76% 23.28% 35.96%+0.25 -0.2 15
2013-08-08 @ KF Fjallabyggar D 2-255.7 1103 1096 35.96% 23.28% 40.76%-0.25 +0.2 26
2013-08-10 IF Volsungur W 3-033.1 1015 930 52.76% 22.56% 24.68%+1.60 +17.7 17
2013-08-10 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-333.1 930 1015 24.68% 22.56% 52.76%-1.60 -17.7 2
2013-08-10 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-141.5 1075 1090 39.67% 23.30% 37.03%+0.14 -9.5 22
2013-08-10 @ KA Akureyri W 1-041.5 1090 1075 37.03% 23.30% 39.67%-0.14 +9.5 25
2013-08-11 IB Bolungarvik L 0-242.9 1137 1060 51.87% 22.66% 25.47%+1.50 -22.4 17
2013-08-11 @ Selfoss W 2-042.9 1060 1137 25.47% 22.66% 51.87%-1.50 +22.4 27
2013-08-16 Fjolnir L 1-244.9 1082 1115 37.15% 23.30% 39.55%-0.12 -8.5 27
2013-08-16 @ IB Bolungarvik W 2-144.9 1115 1082 39.55% 23.30% 37.15%+0.12 +8.5 30
2013-08-16 Grindavik L 1-533.0 913 1151 15.36% 20.55% 64.09%-3.19 -12.4 2
2013-08-16 @ IF Volsungur W 5-133.0 1151 913 64.09% 20.55% 15.36%+3.19 +12.4 30
2013-08-16 KA Akureyri D 0-047.8 1103 1066 46.74% 23.07% 30.19%+0.90 -0.9 27
2013-08-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-047.8 1066 1103 30.19% 23.07% 46.74%-0.90 +0.9 23
2013-08-16 KF Fjallabyggar W 4-036.2 1083 1096 39.95% 23.29% 36.75%+0.17 +32.1 28
2013-08-16 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-436.2 1096 1083 36.75% 23.29% 39.95%-0.17 -32.1 15
2013-08-16 Selfoss D 1-151.2 1051 1115 32.78% 23.20% 44.03%-0.60 +0.6 21
2013-08-16 @ Tindastoll D 1-151.2 1115 1051 44.03% 23.20% 32.78%+0.60 -0.6 18
2013-08-16 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-033.8 1100 1032 50.66% 22.77% 26.57%+1.35 +18.9 28
2013-08-16 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-333.8 1032 1100 26.57% 22.77% 50.66%-1.35 -18.9 17
2013-08-20 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-244.2 1067 1115 34.91% 23.26% 41.82%-0.36 -8.1 23
2013-08-20 @ KA Akureyri W 2-144.2 1115 1067 41.82% 23.26% 34.91%+0.36 +8.1 31
2013-08-20 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-040.8 1102 1118 39.37% 23.30% 37.33%+0.11 +9.1 30
2013-08-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-140.8 1118 1102 37.33% 23.30% 39.37%-0.11 -9.1 28
2013-08-20 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-138.7 1163 1013 60.08% 21.45% 18.47%+2.58 +4.7 33
2013-08-20 @ Grindavik L 1-238.7 1013 1163 18.47% 21.45% 60.08%-2.58 -4.7 17
2013-08-20 Tindastoll D 2-255.9 1123 1051 51.25% 22.72% 26.03%+1.42 -1.0 31
2013-08-20 @ Fjolnir D 2-255.9 1051 1123 26.03% 22.72% 51.25%-1.42 +1.0 22
2013-08-21 IB Bolungarvik L 0-338.1 1063 1074 40.25% 23.29% 36.46%+0.20 -26.3 15
2013-08-21 @ KF Fjallabyggar W 3-038.1 1074 1063 36.46% 23.29% 40.25%-0.20 +26.3 30
2013-08-21 IF Volsungur W 6-131.4 1114 900 66.18% 19.99% 13.83%+3.53 +13.7 21
2013-08-21 @ Selfoss L 1-631.4 900 1114 13.83% 19.99% 66.18%-3.53 -13.7 2
2013-08-24 Fjolnir L 1-336.0 886 1122 15.54% 20.61% 63.84%-3.15 -6.9 2
2013-08-24 @ IF Volsungur W 3-136.0 1122 886 63.84% 20.61% 15.54%+3.15 +6.9 34
2013-08-24 Grindavik L 1-243.8 1109 1168 33.49% 23.22% 43.29%-0.52 -7.9 28
2013-08-24 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-143.8 1168 1109 43.29% 23.22% 33.49%+0.52 +7.9 36
2013-08-24 KF Fjallabyggar W 3-142.0 1052 1037 43.80% 23.21% 33.00%+0.57 +13.5 25
2013-08-24 @ Tindastoll L 1-342.0 1037 1052 33.00% 23.21% 43.80%-0.57 -13.4 15
2013-08-24 Selfoss L 0-137.3 1009 1128 26.07% 22.72% 51.21%-1.42 -6.8 17
2013-08-24 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-037.3 1128 1009 51.21% 22.72% 26.07%+1.42 +6.8 24
2013-08-24 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-143.8 1123 1111 43.44% 23.22% 33.35%+0.54 +7.8 34
2013-08-24 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-243.8 1111 1123 33.35% 23.22% 43.44%-0.54 -7.8 30
2013-08-25 KA Akureyri W 4-245.0 1100 1059 47.36% 23.03% 29.61%+0.97 +11.0 33
2013-08-25 @ IB Bolungarvik L 2-445.0 1059 1100 29.61% 23.03% 47.36%-0.97 -11.0 23
2013-08-29 Grindavik W 3-038.3 1135 1176 35.86% 23.28% 40.85%-0.26 +26.6 27
2013-08-29 @ Selfoss L 0-338.3 1176 1135 40.85% 23.28% 35.86%+0.26 -26.6 36
2013-08-29 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-151.2 1131 1101 45.78% 23.12% 31.10%+0.79 -0.7 35
2013-08-29 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.2 1101 1131 31.10% 23.12% 45.78%-0.79 +0.7 29
2013-08-29 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-349.0 1129 1002 57.66% 21.89% 20.46%+2.24 -21.3 34
2013-08-29 @ Fjolnir W 3-149.0 1002 1129 20.46% 21.89% 57.66%-2.24 +21.3 20
2013-08-29 Tindastoll W 5-140.4 1048 1066 39.21% 23.30% 37.49%+0.09 +27.1 26
2013-08-29 @ KA Akureyri L 1-540.4 1066 1048 37.49% 23.30% 39.21%-0.09 -27.1 25
2013-08-30 IF Volsungur W 3-137.3 1024 880 59.48% 21.57% 18.95%+2.49 +8.3 18
2013-08-30 @ KF Fjallabyggar L 1-337.3 880 1024 18.95% 21.57% 59.48%-2.49 -8.3 2
2013-08-31 IB Bolungarvik W 3-036.9 1103 1111 40.57% 23.29% 36.15%+0.23 +24.2 33
2013-08-31 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-336.9 1111 1103 36.15% 23.29% 40.57%-0.23 -24.2 33
2013-09-05 KA Akureyri L 0-629.9 871 1075 17.95% 21.32% 60.73%-2.67 -25.4 2
2013-09-05 @ IF Volsungur W 6-029.9 1075 871 60.73% 21.32% 17.95%+2.67 +25.4 29
2013-09-07 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-255.7 1087 1130 35.59% 23.28% 41.13%-0.29 +0.2 34
2013-09-07 @ IB Bolungarvik D 2-255.7 1130 1087 41.13% 23.28% 35.59%+0.29 -0.2 36
2013-09-07 KF Fjallabyggar W 2-144.6 1023 1032 40.49% 23.29% 36.22%+0.22 +8.4 23
2013-09-07 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-244.6 1032 1023 36.22% 23.29% 40.49%-0.22 -8.4 18
2013-09-07 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-334.8 1038 1127 29.61% 23.03% 47.36%-0.97 -20.7 25
2013-09-07 @ Tindastoll W 3-034.8 1127 1038 47.36% 23.03% 29.61%+0.97 +20.7 36
2013-09-09 Fjolnir L 0-439.3 1149 1108 47.37% 23.03% 29.60%+0.97 -39.3 36
2013-09-09 @ Grindavik W 4-039.3 1108 1149 29.60% 23.03% 47.37%-0.97 +39.3 37
2013-09-09 Selfoss W 3-251.3 1102 1161 33.44% 23.22% 43.34%-0.52 +9.1 32
2013-09-09 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-351.3 1161 1102 43.34% 23.22% 33.44%+0.52 -9.1 27
2013-09-14 Grindavik L 0-734.4 1024 1110 29.93% 23.05% 47.02%-0.93 -46.1 18
2013-09-14 @ KF Fjallabyggar W 7-034.4 1110 1024 47.02% 23.05% 29.93%+0.93 +46.1 39
2013-09-14 IF Volsungur W 16-028.0 1148 846 73.19% 17.57% 9.24%+4.84 +33.1 39
2013-09-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1628.0 846 1148 9.24% 17.57% 73.19%-4.84 -33.1 2
2013-09-14 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-249.8 1087 1111 38.30% 23.30% 38.40%-0.01 +8.3 37
2013-09-14 @ IB Bolungarvik L 2-349.8 1111 1087 38.40% 23.30% 38.30%+0.01 -8.3 32
2013-09-14 Selfoss W 3-036.8 1147 1152 41.00% 23.28% 35.72%+0.28 +24.0 40
2013-09-14 @ Fjolnir L 0-336.8 1152 1147 35.72% 23.28% 41.00%-0.28 -24.0 27
2013-09-14 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-139.9 1100 1032 50.84% 22.76% 26.40%+1.37 +11.2 32
2013-09-14 @ KA Akureyri L 1-339.9 1032 1100 26.40% 22.76% 50.84%-1.37 -11.2 23
2013-09-14 Tindastoll W 3-138.3 1130 1018 56.03% 22.14% 21.83%+2.02 +9.5 39
2013-09-14 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-338.3 1018 1130 21.83% 22.14% 56.03%-2.02 -9.5 25
2013-09-21 Fjolnir L 1-341.8 1103 1171 32.27% 23.18% 44.56%-0.66 -13.2 32
2013-09-21 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-141.8 1171 1103 44.56% 23.18% 32.27%+0.66 +13.2 43
2013-09-21 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-727.1 813 1140 10.26% 18.23% 71.52%-4.50 -16.7 2
2013-09-21 @ IF Volsungur W 7-027.1 1140 813 71.52% 18.23% 10.26%+4.50 +16.7 42
2013-09-21 IB Bolungarvik L 0-236.4 1008 1096 29.81% 23.04% 47.14%-0.94 -14.3 25
2013-09-21 @ Tindastoll W 2-036.4 1096 1008 47.14% 23.04% 29.81%+0.94 +14.3 40
2013-09-21 KA Akureyri W 2-142.5 1156 1111 47.77% 23.00% 29.22%+1.01 +7.0 42
2013-09-21 @ Grindavik L 1-242.5 1111 1156 29.22% 23.00% 47.77%-1.01 -7.0 32
2013-09-21 KF Fjallabyggar L 2-355.8 1128 978 60.15% 21.44% 18.41%+2.59 -12.1 27
2013-09-21 @ Selfoss W 3-255.8 978 1128 18.41% 21.44% 60.15%-2.59 +12.1 21
2013-09-21 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-239.9 1020 1181 21.76% 22.13% 56.11%-2.03 -5.5 23
2013-09-21 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-139.9 1181 1020 56.11% 22.13% 21.76%+2.03 +5.5 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2013-09-21 18.41% KF Fjallabyggar 978 3 @ Selfoss 1128 2
2 2013-08-29 20.46% Throttur Reykjavik 1002 3 @ Fjolnir 1129 1
3 2013-07-06 21.90% Throttur Reykjavik 1025 1 @ KF Fjallabyggar 1137 0
4 2013-07-11 24.33% Fjolnir 1052 2 @ Selfoss 1139 1
5 2013-07-19 24.50% Throttur Reykjavik 1018 2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1104 1
6 2013-08-11 25.47% IB Bolungarvik 1060 2 @ Selfoss 1137 0
7 2013-05-09 25.58% KA Akureyri 1051 1 @ Selfoss 1127 0
8 2013-05-09 26.34% IB Bolungarvik 1023 1 @ IF Volsungur 1092 0
9 2013-06-27 26.63% Selfoss 1109 3 @ Grindavik 1176 1
10 2013-08-01 26.68% @ IB Bolungarvik 1041 3 Grindavik 1155 1
11 2013-05-23 26.70% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1058 3 @ Selfoss 1124 2
12 2013-06-16 28.27% @ IB Bolungarvik 1042 2 KF Fjallabyggar 1142 1
13 2013-07-31 28.47% Fjolnir 1073 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1124 0
14 2013-06-01 28.68% @ IB Bolungarvik 1017 4 Selfoss 1114 3
15 2013-07-20 29.11% Fjolnir 1072 1 @ KF Fjallabyggar 1118 0
16 2013-07-27 29.48% Leiknir Reykjavik 1064 1 @ KF Fjallabyggar 1107 0
17 2013-09-09 29.60% Fjolnir 1108 4 @ Grindavik 1149 0
18 2013-05-25 30.55% Leiknir Reykjavik 1047 3 @ IF Volsungur 1081 0
19 2013-05-09 31.59% @ Fjolnir 1065 2 KF Fjallabyggar 1138 1
20 2013-06-08 32.23% IB Bolungarvik 1027 4 @ Fjolnir 1048 2
21 2013-07-27 32.58% KA Akureyri 1065 1 @ Fjolnir 1083 0
22 2013-06-01 32.90% Throttur Reykjavik 1035 3 @ IF Volsungur 1051 1
23 2013-07-20 32.92% @ KA Akureyri 1056 4 Selfoss 1119 3
24 2013-05-09 32.98% Vikingur Reykjavik 1085 2 @ Grindavik 1100 1
25 2013-07-12 33.22% @ Tindastoll 1035 2 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1096 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-09-14 46.14 Grindavik 7 1110 47.02% @ KF Fjallabyggar 0 1024 29.93% 23.05%
2 2013-09-09 39.28 Fjolnir 4 1108 29.60% @ Grindavik 0 1149 47.37% 23.03%
3 2013-07-25 36.36 @ Selfoss 6 1110 34.68% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1160 42.07% 23.26%
4 2013-09-14 33.08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 16 1148 73.19% IF Volsungur 0 846 9.24% 17.57%
5 2013-08-16 32.06 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 1083 39.95% KF Fjallabyggar 0 1096 36.75% 23.29%
6 2013-05-25 29.52 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1047 30.55% @ IF Volsungur 0 1081 46.36% 23.09%
7 2013-08-29 27.13 @ KA Akureyri 5 1048 39.21% Tindastoll 1 1066 37.49% 23.30%
8 2013-08-29 26.64 @ Selfoss 3 1135 35.86% Grindavik 0 1176 40.85% 23.28%
9 2013-08-21 26.33 IB Bolungarvik 3 1074 36.46% @ KF Fjallabyggar 0 1063 40.25% 23.29%
10 2013-05-25 26.19 @ Grindavik 6 1099 49.24% IB Bolungarvik 1 1043 27.87% 22.90%
11 2013-09-05 25.41 KA Akureyri 6 1075 60.73% @ IF Volsungur 0 871 17.95% 21.32%
12 2013-08-31 24.22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1103 40.57% IB Bolungarvik 0 1111 36.15% 23.29%
13 2013-09-14 24.00 @ Fjolnir 3 1147 41.00% Selfoss 0 1152 35.72% 23.28%
14 2013-08-01 23.30 @ Tindastoll 3 1042 42.35% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1038 34.40% 23.25%
15 2013-08-11 22.39 IB Bolungarvik 2 1060 25.47% @ Selfoss 0 1137 51.87% 22.66%
16 2013-08-29 21.29 Throttur Reykjavik 3 1002 20.46% @ Fjolnir 1 1129 57.66% 21.89%
17 2013-07-31 21.15 Fjolnir 2 1073 28.47% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1124 48.58% 22.95%
18 2013-09-07 20.66 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1127 47.36% @ Tindastoll 0 1038 29.61% 23.03%
19 2013-08-08 20.51 @ Fjolnir 4 1094 40.39% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1104 36.32% 23.29%
20 2013-06-13 19.37 Grindavik 3 1150 49.73% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1043 27.41% 22.86%
21 2013-05-24 19.24 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 1086 36.43% @ Fjolnir 2 1075 40.28% 23.29%
22 2013-06-27 18.96 Selfoss 3 1109 26.63% @ Grindavik 1 1176 50.59% 22.78%
23 2013-08-01 18.94 @ IB Bolungarvik 3 1041 26.68% Grindavik 1 1155 50.53% 22.79%
24 2013-08-16 18.88 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1100 50.66% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1032 26.57% 22.77%
25 2013-07-16 18.18 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 1086 54.60% IF Volsungur 1 986 23.06% 22.34%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-06-01 56.0 @ IB Bolungarvik 4 1017 28.68% Selfoss 3 1114 48.36% 22.96%
2 2013-06-22 55.9 @ Selfoss 2 1110 53.02% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1024 24.45% 22.53%
3 2013-07-16 55.9 @ KA Akureyri 2 1055 26.52% Grindavik 2 1170 50.71% 22.77%
4 2013-08-20 55.9 @ Fjolnir 2 1123 51.25% Tindastoll 2 1051 26.03% 22.72%
5 2013-06-22 55.8 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1113 45.08% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1089 31.77% 23.15%
6 2013-09-21 55.8 KF Fjallabyggar 3 978 18.41% @ Selfoss 2 1128 60.15% 21.44%
7 2013-06-13 55.7 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1093 38.83% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1113 37.87% 23.30%
8 2013-06-27 55.7 @ Tindastoll 2 1034 42.26% KA Akureyri 2 1030 34.49% 23.25%
9 2013-08-08 55.7 @ KF Fjallabyggar 2 1096 40.76% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1103 35.96% 23.28%
10 2013-09-07 55.7 @ IB Bolungarvik 2 1087 35.59% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1130 41.13% 23.28%
11 2013-07-20 54.7 @ KA Akureyri 4 1056 32.92% Selfoss 3 1119 43.87% 23.20%
12 2013-07-20 54.0 @ Tindastoll 4 1027 35.24% Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1073 41.49% 23.27%
13 2013-05-23 53.3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1058 26.70% @ Selfoss 2 1124 50.52% 22.79%
14 2013-06-22 51.4 @ KF Fjallabyggar 1 1132 54.55% Tindastoll 1 1032 23.10% 22.34%
15 2013-07-04 51.4 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1128 53.96% Tindastoll 1 1033 23.62% 22.42%
16 2013-06-08 51.3 @ KF Fjallabyggar 1 1143 50.59% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1077 26.63% 22.78%
17 2013-07-25 51.3 @ Grindavik 1 1156 50.13% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1093 27.05% 22.82%
18 2013-09-09 51.3 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1102 33.44% Selfoss 2 1161 43.34% 23.22%
19 2013-05-18 51.2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1046 30.42% KF Fjallabyggar 1 1128 46.50% 23.08%
20 2013-06-01 51.2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1105 36.20% KF Fjallabyggar 1 1144 40.51% 23.29%
21 2013-08-16 51.2 @ Tindastoll 1 1051 32.78% Selfoss 1 1115 44.03% 23.20%
22 2013-08-29 51.2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1131 45.78% Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1101 31.10% 23.12%
23 2013-05-09 51.1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1046 40.24% Tindastoll 1 1057 36.46% 23.29%
24 2013-05-18 51.1 @ KA Akureyri 1 1063 40.01% Fjolnir 1 1075 36.69% 23.29%
25 2013-05-18 51.1 @ Tindastoll 1 1057 38.33% IF Volsungur 1 1081 38.36% 23.30%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-09-21 27.1 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 7 1140 71.52% @ IF Volsungur 0 813 10.26% 18.23%
2 2013-09-14 28.0 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 16 1148 73.19% IF Volsungur 0 846 9.24% 17.57%
3 2013-09-05 29.9 KA Akureyri 6 1075 60.73% @ IF Volsungur 0 871 17.95% 21.32%
4 2013-08-21 31.4 @ Selfoss 6 1114 66.18% IF Volsungur 1 900 13.83% 19.99%
5 2013-07-31 31.6 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1075 57.98% IF Volsungur 0 945 20.18% 21.83%
6 2013-08-16 33.0 Grindavik 5 1151 64.09% @ IF Volsungur 1 913 15.36% 20.55%
7 2013-08-10 33.1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1015 52.76% IF Volsungur 0 930 24.68% 22.56%
8 2013-08-16 33.8 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1100 50.66% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1032 26.57% 22.77%
9 2013-06-13 34.1 Grindavik 3 1150 49.73% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1043 27.41% 22.86%
10 2013-09-14 34.4 Grindavik 7 1110 47.02% @ KF Fjallabyggar 0 1024 29.93% 23.05%
11 2013-09-07 34.8 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1127 47.36% @ Tindastoll 0 1038 29.61% 23.03%
12 2013-07-16 35.8 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 1086 54.60% IF Volsungur 1 986 23.06% 22.34%
13 2013-08-24 36.0 Fjolnir 3 1122 63.84% @ IF Volsungur 1 886 15.54% 20.61%
14 2013-08-16 36.2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 1083 39.95% KF Fjallabyggar 0 1096 36.75% 23.29%
15 2013-08-01 36.3 @ Tindastoll 3 1042 42.35% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1038 34.40% 23.25%
16 2013-09-21 36.4 IB Bolungarvik 2 1096 47.14% @ Tindastoll 0 1008 29.81% 23.04%
17 2013-05-25 36.5 @ Grindavik 6 1099 49.24% IB Bolungarvik 1 1043 27.87% 22.90%
18 2013-07-11 36.8 @ Grindavik 2 1156 46.07% KF Fjallabyggar 0 1124 30.82% 23.10%
19 2013-09-14 36.8 @ Fjolnir 3 1147 41.00% Selfoss 0 1152 35.72% 23.28%
20 2013-08-31 36.9 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1103 40.57% IB Bolungarvik 0 1111 36.15% 23.29%
21 2013-08-08 37.1 Grindavik 2 1136 44.84% @ Tindastoll 0 1066 32.00% 23.16%
22 2013-06-29 37.2 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1113 44.75% @ IB Bolungarvik 0 1043 32.08% 23.17%
23 2013-07-04 37.3 @ KA Akureyri 2 1030 44.21% IF Volsungur 0 1012 32.60% 23.19%
24 2013-08-24 37.3 Selfoss 1 1128 51.21% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1009 26.07% 22.72%
25 2013-08-30 37.3 @ KF Fjallabyggar 3 1024 59.48% IF Volsungur 1 880 18.95% 21.57%