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2013-14 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Leiknir Reykjavik

9.18 points above expected

48 points · 38.82 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KV Vesturbaejar

12.97 points below expected

18 points · 30.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 14 6 2 48 43 19 +24 38.82 +9.18
2 IA Akranes 22 14 1 7 43 46 24 +22 37.06 +5.94
3 Throttur Reykjavik 22 11 4 7 37 35 27 +8 30.03 +6.97
4 Vikingur Olafsvik 22 11 3 8 36 38 32 +6 31.86 +4.14
5 Grindavik 22 10 5 7 35 39 24 +15 33.39 +1.61
6 HK Kopavogur 22 9 7 6 34 34 28 +6 29.27 +4.73
7 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 22 9 5 8 32 37 32 +5 30.35 +1.65
8 KA Akureyri 22 8 7 7 31 42 33 +9 33.84 -2.84
9 Selfoss 22 7 5 10 26 24 33 -9 28.12 -2.12
10 IB Bolungarvik 22 7 4 11 25 34 45 -11 23.40 +1.60
11 KV Vesturbaejar 22 5 3 14 18 34 53 -19 30.97 -12.97
12 Tindastoll 22 0 4 18 4 15 71 -56 14.32 -10.32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Leiknir Reykjavik 48 38.82 +9.18
2 Throttur Reykjavik 37 30.03 +6.97
3 IA Akranes 43 37.06 +5.94
4 HK Kopavogur 34 29.27 +4.73
5 Vikingur Olafsvik 36 31.86 +4.14

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KV Vesturbaejar 18 30.97 -12.97
2 Tindastoll 4 14.32 -10.32
3 KA Akureyri 31 33.84 -2.84
4 Selfoss 26 28.12 -2.12
5 IB Bolungarvik 25 23.40 +1.60

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 5 Jun 1 – Jun 28 1 in 57
2 Leiknir Reykjavik 4 May 10 – Jun 5 1 in 56
3 Throttur Reykjavik 3 May 9 – May 23 1 in 35
4 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 Jun 9 – Jun 21 1 in 29
5 KA Akureyri 3 Jun 14 – Jun 27 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tindastoll 11 Jul 4 – Aug 30 1 in 94
2 IB Bolungarvik 4 May 17 – Jun 14 1 in 45
3 KV Vesturbaejar 4 Jul 30 – Aug 19 1 in 36
4 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 Jun 28 – Jul 11 1 in 32
5 Throttur Reykjavik 3 Jul 30 – Aug 15 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 6 Aug 19 – Sep 20 1 in 21
2 IB Bolungarvik 4 Aug 9 – Aug 23 1 in 13
3 HK Kopavogur 4 May 9 – Jun 2 1 in 10
4 Vikingur Olafsvik 6 Aug 15 – Sep 13 1 in 10
5 KA Akureyri 5 Jun 5 – Jun 27 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HK Kopavogur 5 Aug 19 – Sep 13 1 in 24
2 Tindastoll 22 May 10 – Sep 20 1 in 22
3 KA Akureyri 5 Aug 15 – Sep 6 1 in 19
4 Grindavik 6 Jun 5 – Jun 28 1 in 16
5 KV Vesturbaejar 9 Jul 30 – Sep 20 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Leiknir Reykjavik 1321 48 -11 8 9.8 -1.8
IA Akranes 1281 43 -7 10 8.9 +1.1
Throttur Reykjavik 1180 37 +36 10 7.6 +2.4
Vikingur Olafsvik 1205 36 +22 8 8.2 -0.2
Grindavik 1280 35 +71 13 8.9 +4.1
HK Kopavogur 1193 34 -10 6 8.0 -2.0
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1229 32 +59 9 6.2 +2.8
KA Akureyri 1214 31 -21 6 7.8 -1.8
Selfoss 1044 26 -16 4 5.0 -1.0
IB Bolungarvik 1089 25 -19 4 5.7 -1.7
KV Vesturbaejar 993 18 -76 1 4.4 -3.4
Tindastoll 797 4 -29 1 1.9 -0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team GRI HK HH IA IB KA KV LR SEL TR TIN VO
Grindavik —
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
3.39
2-0-0
2.31
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.41
1-1-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.18
2-0-0
4.62
1-0-1
2.72
HK Kopavogur
1-0-1
2.56
 —
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.12
2-0-0
3.32
1-1-0
2.12
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-1
1.71
1-1-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
4.46
1-0-1
2.44
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.84
 —
1-0-1
1.88
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.59
0-0-2
1.95
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
3.02
1-1-0
4.01
1-0-1
2.87
IA Akranes
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
3.60
 —
2-0-0
3.98
0-1-1
3.22
1-0-1
4.10
2-0-0
2.57
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
3.02
2-0-0
4.57
1-0-1
2.96
IB Bolungarvik
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.14
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.51
 —
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.08
2-0-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.10
2-0-0
3.59
1-1-0
1.87
KA Akureyri
0-0-2
3.15
0-1-1
3.34
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.24
1-1-0
3.50
 —
1-1-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.09
2-0-0
3.47
0-0-2
3.08
2-0-0
4.06
0-1-1
3.02
KV Vesturbaejar
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
3.34
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
1.40
1-0-1
3.27
0-1-1
2.30
 —
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
2.98
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
4.16
1-0-1
2.36
Leiknir Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.51
0-0-2
2.89
2-0-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.17
 —
0-2-0
3.87
2-0-0
3.56
2-0-0
4.95
1-1-0
3.25
Selfoss
0-1-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.18
0-0-2
2.98
0-0-2
1.99
2-0-0
2.47
0-2-0
1.62
 —
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
3.95
1-0-1
2.46
Throttur Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.28
1-1-0
2.62
2-0-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
3.37
2-0-0
2.39
2-0-0
3.03
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
3.01
 —
1-1-0
4.43
0-0-2
2.61
Tindastoll
0-0-2
0.95
0-1-1
1.09
0-1-1
1.49
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
1.35
0-0-2
0.68
0-0-2
1.54
0-1-1
1.11
 —
0-0-2
1.00
Vikingur Olafsvik
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
3.60
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
3.11
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
3.00
2-0-0
2.85
2-0-0
4.56
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +11.6
Allowed 0.92 -7.6
Differential 0.95 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%7.20%5.30%2.65%1.52%2.27%23.48%
17.20%9.09%6.44%4.55%1.89%0.76%29.92%
25.30%6.44%6.82%4.55%1.52%0.38%25.00%
32.65%4.55%4.55%——0.38%12.12%
41.52%1.89%1.52%——0.38%5.30%
5+2.27%0.76%0.38%0.38%0.38%—4.17%
Total23.48%29.92%25.00%12.12%5.30%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 2.07
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
1—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%50.00%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.09 +0.68
SD 1.45 0.81 1.73
CV 0.82 0.74 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
2—22.73%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%50.00%22.73%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.27 +0.27
SD 1.44 0.98 1.72
CV 0.93 0.77 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%18.18%—9.09%4.55%—36.36%
29.09%4.55%—9.09%——22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%9.09%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.45 +0.23
SD 1.39 1.22 2.07
CV 0.83 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
118.18%—4.55%———22.73%
213.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
3—13.64%————13.64%
4———————
5+9.09%—4.55%———13.64%
Total40.91%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.09 +1.00
SD 1.60 1.19 2.07
CV 0.77 1.09 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%—9.09%27.27%
14.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%——36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%27.27%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.05 -0.50
SD 1.60 1.56 2.37
CV 1.03 0.76 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
1—9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
29.09%—13.64%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—9.09%———13.64%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total27.27%18.18%36.36%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.50 +0.41
SD 1.41 1.19 1.74
CV 0.74 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2——9.09%9.09%——18.18%
3——13.64%——4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total9.09%9.09%36.36%31.82%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.41 -0.86
SD 1.26 1.30 1.93
CV 0.82 0.54 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
19.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
213.64%13.64%13.64%———40.91%
34.55%—13.64%———18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total45.45%22.73%31.82%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 0.86 +1.09
SD 1.25 0.89 1.48
CV 0.64 1.03 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%13.64%——4.55%36.36%
19.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%22.73%—9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.50 -0.41
SD 1.06 1.50 2.02
CV 0.98 1.00 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
118.18%4.55%13.64%9.09%——45.45%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
3—13.64%————13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%22.73%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.23 +0.36
SD 1.18 1.02 1.71
CV 0.74 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%13.64%18.18%13.64%63.64%
1—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
2——9.09%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3———————
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%9.09%22.73%18.18%18.18%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 3.23 -2.55
SD 1.09 1.60 1.74
CV 1.59 0.50 —
Max 4 6 +0
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
113.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.45 +0.27
SD 1.28 1.26 1.75
CV 0.74 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Leiknir Reykjavik 1321 48 38.82 +9.18 96.0% 26 31 34 39 42 46 53
IA Akranes 1281 43 37.06 +5.94 86.0% 25 27 33 37 41 46 54
Grindavik 1280 35 33.39 +1.61 65.0% 18 24 30 34 37 43 46
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1229 32 30.35 +1.65 63.0% 16 21 26 30 35 39 43
KA Akureyri 1214 31 33.84 -2.84 37.0% 18 22 30 33 38 43 53
Vikingur Olafsvik 1205 36 31.86 +4.14 77.0% 18 22 28 31 36 41 49
HK Kopavogur 1193 34 29.27 +4.73 86.0% 16 19 26 29 33 37 41
Throttur Reykjavik 1180 37 30.03 +6.97 93.0% 16 20 26 30 34 38 42
IB Bolungarvik 1089 25 23.40 +1.60 63.0% 10 13 20 23 28 32 38
Selfoss 1044 26 28.12 -2.12 42.0% 14 20 24 28 32 36 39
KV Vesturbaejar 993 18 30.97 -12.97 1.0% 17 20 27 32 34 39 46
Tindastoll 797 4 14.32 -10.32 1.0% 2 7 11 14 17 22 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.79%
No Edge
41.67%20.45%37.88%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 13.17 Elo pts.
160 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.05 goals
Neutral
-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.4
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Leiknir Reykjavik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.47 * Some Luck: 4.47 to 6.71 * Lucky: 6.71 to 8.95 * Wild Swing: 8.95 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.69 * Close: 1.69 to 2.54 * Off: 2.54 to 3.39 * Way Off: 3.39 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.44 points
Some Luck
05.5914
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
02.125
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
KV Vesturbaejar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 148.75
1.83
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.51
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.03
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.02
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.93
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.127
Well Within Noise
00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Leiknir Reykjavik36.00%23.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%——
IA Akranes25.00%23.00%10.00%14.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%—3.00%——
Throttur Reykjavik1.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik7.00%5.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%9.00%7.00%1.00%
Grindavik12.00%13.00%6.00%19.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
HK Kopavogur—4.00%6.00%5.00%16.00%12.00%12.00%17.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%1.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur2.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%5.00%1.00%
KA Akureyri12.00%13.00%18.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%
Selfoss1.00%2.00%2.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%7.00%20.00%19.00%8.00%1.00%
IB Bolungarvik——1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%21.00%35.00%9.00%
KV Vesturbaejar4.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%1.00%
Tindastoll———————1.00%—4.00%12.00%83.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Leiknir Reykjavik 59.00% 41.00% —
IA Akranes 48.00% 52.00% —
Grindavik 25.00% 71.00% 4.00%
KA Akureyri 25.00% 69.00% 6.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik 12.00% 80.00% 8.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 9.00% 85.00% 6.00%
KV Vesturbaejar 9.00% 82.00% 9.00%
Throttur Reykjavik 6.00% 88.00% 6.00%
Selfoss 3.00% 88.00% 9.00%
HK Kopavogur 4.00% 83.00% 13.00%
IB Bolungarvik — 56.00% 44.00%
Tindastoll — 5.00% 95.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2014-05-09 HK Kopavogur L 2-357.8 1224 1079 57.35% 25.61% 17.04%+0.99 -20.7 0
2014-05-09 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 3-257.8 1079 1224 17.04% 25.61% 57.35%-0.99 +20.7 3
2014-05-09 Selfoss W 1-040.6 1165 1161 40.65% 27.27% 32.08%+0.11 +14.5 3
2014-05-09 @ IA Akranes L 0-140.6 1161 1165 32.08% 27.27% 40.65%-0.11 -14.5 0
2014-05-09 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-445.9 1187 1094 51.89% 26.47% 21.64%+0.67 -48.8 0
2014-05-09 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-145.9 1094 1187 21.64% 26.47% 51.89%-0.67 +48.8 3
2014-05-10 Grindavik W 1-042.8 1143 1192 33.23% 27.30% 39.47%-0.22 +16.9 3
2014-05-10 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-142.8 1192 1143 39.47% 27.30% 33.23%+0.22 -16.9 0
2014-05-10 Tindastoll W 4-031.5 1157 1080 49.94% 26.69% 23.37%+0.56 +40.4 3
2014-05-10 @ IB Bolungarvik L 0-431.5 1080 1157 23.37% 26.69% 49.94%-0.56 -40.4 0
2014-05-10 Vikingur Olafsvik L 2-351.6 1153 1191 34.73% 27.32% 37.95%-0.15 -13.7 0
2014-05-10 @ KA Akureyri W 3-251.6 1191 1153 37.95% 27.32% 34.73%+0.15 +13.7 3
2014-05-16 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.6 1100 1139 34.59% 27.32% 38.09%-0.16 +0.3 4
2014-05-16 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-151.6 1139 1100 38.09% 27.32% 34.59%+0.16 -0.3 1
2014-05-17 IA Akranes W 3-251.1 1175 1179 39.45% 27.30% 33.25%+0.05 +13.3 3
2014-05-17 @ Grindavik L 2-351.1 1179 1175 33.25% 27.30% 39.45%-0.05 -13.3 3
2014-05-17 IB Bolungarvik W 2-039.1 1160 1197 34.86% 27.32% 37.82%-0.15 +30.8 6
2014-05-17 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-239.1 1197 1160 37.82% 27.32% 34.86%+0.15 -30.8 3
2014-05-17 KA Akureyri W 3-142.8 1143 1139 40.54% 27.27% 32.19%+0.10 +23.7 6
2014-05-17 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-342.8 1139 1143 32.19% 27.27% 40.54%-0.10 -23.7 0
2014-05-17 KV Vesturbaejar D 2-257.3 1040 1203 19.95% 26.20% 53.85%-0.94 +2.3 1
2014-05-17 @ Tindastoll D 2-257.3 1203 1040 53.85% 26.20% 19.95%+0.94 -2.3 1
2014-05-17 Selfoss L 0-145.2 1204 1146 47.73% 26.89% 25.38%+0.45 -19.7 3
2014-05-17 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-045.2 1146 1204 25.38% 26.89% 47.73%-0.45 +19.7 3
2014-05-23 HK Kopavogur L 1-248.5 1116 1100 42.19% 27.22% 30.59%+0.18 -16.8 0
2014-05-23 @ KA Akureyri W 2-148.5 1100 1116 30.59% 27.22% 42.19%-0.18 +16.8 7
2014-05-23 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-143.5 1201 1191 41.45% 27.24% 31.30%+0.15 -17.5 1
2014-05-23 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 1-043.5 1191 1201 31.30% 27.24% 41.45%-0.15 +17.5 9
2014-05-23 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-143.0 1166 1166 39.99% 27.28% 32.72%+0.08 -17.0 3
2014-05-23 @ Selfoss W 1-043.0 1166 1166 32.72% 27.28% 39.99%-0.08 +17.0 9
2014-05-23 Tindastoll D 1-151.8 1138 1042 52.22% 26.43% 21.35%+0.68 -2.8 2
2014-05-23 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.8 1042 1138 21.35% 26.43% 52.22%-0.68 +2.8 2
2014-05-23 Vikingur Olafsvik L 2-352.4 1166 1185 37.43% 27.32% 35.24%-0.03 -14.5 3
2014-05-23 @ IA Akranes W 3-252.4 1185 1166 35.24% 27.32% 37.43%+0.03 +14.5 6
2014-05-31 KV Vesturbaejar L 0-536.4 1166 1184 37.62% 27.32% 35.06%-0.03 -71.7 3
2014-05-31 @ IB Bolungarvik W 5-036.4 1184 1166 35.06% 27.32% 37.62%+0.03 +71.8 4
2014-06-01 IA Akranes L 0-144.3 1183 1152 44.37% 27.12% 28.51%+0.28 -18.5 9
2014-06-01 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-044.3 1152 1183 28.51% 27.12% 44.37%-0.28 +18.5 6
2014-06-02 Selfoss D 1-151.6 1117 1149 35.54% 27.32% 37.13%-0.12 +0.1 8
2014-06-02 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-151.6 1149 1117 37.13% 27.32% 35.54%+0.12 -0.1 4
2014-06-05 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-034.7 1209 1135 49.54% 26.73% 23.74%+0.54 +21.6 12
2014-06-05 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-234.7 1135 1209 23.74% 26.73% 49.54%-0.54 -21.6 2
2014-06-05 Tindastoll W 4-032.3 1099 1045 47.23% 26.93% 25.84%+0.42 +43.8 3
2014-06-05 @ KA Akureyri L 0-432.3 1045 1099 25.84% 26.93% 47.23%-0.42 -43.8 2
2014-06-05 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-142.6 1188 1199 38.52% 27.31% 34.17%+0.01 -16.6 3
2014-06-05 @ Grindavik W 1-042.6 1199 1188 34.17% 27.31% 38.52%-0.01 +16.6 9
2014-06-06 HK Kopavogur W 2-035.4 1170 1117 47.08% 26.94% 25.97%+0.41 +23.2 9
2014-06-06 @ IA Akranes L 0-235.4 1117 1170 25.97% 26.94% 47.08%-0.41 -23.2 8
2014-06-09 Grindavik W 3-247.8 1255 1172 50.77% 26.60% 22.63%+0.61 +9.8 7
2014-06-09 @ KV Vesturbaejar L 2-347.8 1172 1255 22.63% 26.60% 50.77%-0.61 -9.8 3
2014-06-09 IB Bolungarvik W 3-142.1 1114 1094 42.72% 27.20% 30.08%+0.20 +22.5 5
2014-06-09 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-342.1 1094 1114 30.08% 27.20% 42.72%-0.20 -22.5 3
2014-06-09 Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-047.8 1143 1230 28.16% 27.10% 44.74%-0.46 +1.6 4
2014-06-09 @ KA Akureyri D 0-047.8 1230 1143 44.74% 27.10% 28.16%+0.46 -1.6 13
2014-06-09 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-143.8 1216 1165 46.81% 26.96% 26.22%+0.40 +11.7 12
2014-06-09 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-243.8 1165 1216 26.22% 26.96% 46.81%-0.40 -11.7 9
2014-06-09 Tindastoll W 3-029.9 1149 1001 57.64% 25.55% 16.81%+1.01 +23.3 7
2014-06-09 @ Selfoss L 0-329.9 1001 1149 16.81% 25.55% 57.64%-1.01 -23.3 2
2014-06-13 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-447.0 1265 1136 55.73% 25.91% 18.37%+0.89 -52.0 7
2014-06-13 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 4-147.0 1136 1265 18.37% 25.91% 55.73%-0.89 +52.0 8
2014-06-13 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-151.6 1162 1153 41.25% 27.25% 31.50%+0.14 -0.8 4
2014-06-13 @ Grindavik D 1-151.6 1153 1162 31.50% 27.25% 41.25%-0.14 +0.8 10
2014-06-14 IA Akranes L 0-529.1 978 1193 15.66% 25.25% 59.10%-1.27 -35.2 2
2014-06-14 @ Tindastoll W 5-029.1 1193 978 59.10% 25.25% 15.66%+1.27 +35.2 12
2014-06-14 KA Akureyri L 1-342.1 1072 1144 30.06% 27.20% 42.75%-0.37 -22.5 3
2014-06-14 @ IB Bolungarvik W 3-142.1 1144 1072 42.75% 27.20% 30.06%+0.37 +22.5 7
2014-06-14 Selfoss D 1-151.8 1229 1172 47.52% 26.91% 25.57%+0.44 -1.9 14
2014-06-14 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-151.8 1172 1229 25.57% 26.91% 47.52%-0.44 +1.9 8
2014-06-14 Vikingur Olafsvik W 4-252.4 1094 1228 22.91% 26.63% 50.46%-0.75 +30.1 11
2014-06-14 @ HK Kopavogur L 2-452.4 1228 1094 50.46% 26.63% 22.91%+0.75 -30.1 12
2014-06-21 Grindavik W 1-039.7 1188 1161 43.77% 27.15% 29.08%+0.25 +13.4 11
2014-06-21 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-139.7 1161 1188 29.08% 27.15% 43.77%-0.25 -13.4 4
2014-06-21 HK Kopavogur W 1-039.5 1154 1124 44.14% 27.13% 28.73%+0.27 +13.3 13
2014-06-21 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-139.5 1124 1154 28.73% 27.13% 44.14%-0.27 -13.3 11
2014-06-21 IB Bolungarvik L 0-147.1 1174 1050 55.28% 25.98% 18.74%+0.86 -22.3 8
2014-06-21 @ Selfoss W 1-047.1 1050 1174 18.74% 25.98% 55.28%-0.86 +22.3 6
2014-06-21 KV Vesturbaejar W 5-351.5 1167 1213 33.52% 27.30% 39.18%-0.21 +23.2 10
2014-06-21 @ KA Akureyri L 3-551.5 1213 1167 39.18% 27.30% 33.52%+0.21 -23.2 7
2014-06-21 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-145.8 1228 1227 40.32% 27.28% 32.40%+0.09 +13.8 15
2014-06-21 @ IA Akranes L 1-245.8 1227 1228 32.40% 27.28% 40.32%-0.09 -13.7 14
2014-06-21 Tindastoll W 1-032.7 1197 942 66.82% 23.00% 10.17%+1.68 +5.2 15
2014-06-21 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-132.7 942 1197 10.17% 23.00% 66.82%-1.68 -5.2 2
2014-06-24 Grindavik D 1-151.6 1072 1148 29.62% 27.18% 43.21%-0.39 +1.2 7
2014-06-24 @ IB Bolungarvik D 1-151.6 1148 1072 43.21% 27.18% 29.62%+0.39 -1.2 5
2014-06-27 KA Akureyri L 0-338.0 1202 1190 41.70% 27.24% 31.07%+0.16 -48.2 11
2014-06-27 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-038.0 1190 1202 31.07% 27.24% 41.70%-0.16 +48.2 13
2014-06-27 Selfoss L 1-346.7 1190 1152 45.23% 27.07% 27.70%+0.32 -30.7 7
2014-06-27 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 3-146.7 1152 1190 27.70% 27.07% 45.23%-0.32 +30.7 11
2014-06-27 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-257.7 937 1167 14.62% 24.93% 60.44%-1.36 +3.2 3
2014-06-27 @ Tindastoll D 2-257.7 1167 937 60.44% 24.93% 14.62%+1.36 -3.2 14
2014-06-28 HK Kopavogur L 1-249.3 1146 1111 44.88% 27.09% 28.03%+0.31 -17.6 5
2014-06-28 @ Grindavik W 2-149.3 1111 1146 28.03% 27.09% 44.88%-0.31 +17.6 14
2014-06-28 IA Akranes L 0-631.4 1073 1242 19.45% 26.11% 54.44%-0.98 -50.7 7
2014-06-28 @ IB Bolungarvik W 6-031.4 1242 1073 54.44% 26.11% 19.45%+0.98 +50.7 18
2014-06-28 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-037.2 1213 1203 41.47% 27.24% 31.28%+0.15 +26.8 17
2014-06-28 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-237.2 1203 1213 31.28% 27.24% 41.47%-0.15 -26.8 15
2014-07-02 Grindavik L 1-251.7 1238 1129 53.66% 26.23% 20.11%+0.77 -20.5 13
2014-07-02 @ KA Akureyri W 2-151.7 1129 1238 20.11% 26.23% 53.66%-0.77 +20.5 8
2014-07-02 IB Bolungarvik L 2-454.3 1176 1022 58.21% 25.44% 16.35%+1.04 -34.2 15
2014-07-02 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 4-254.3 1022 1176 16.35% 25.44% 58.21%-1.04 +34.2 10
2014-07-02 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-334.4 1164 1240 29.66% 27.18% 43.16%-0.39 -37.3 14
2014-07-02 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-034.4 1240 1164 43.16% 27.18% 29.66%+0.39 +37.3 20
2014-07-03 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-240.9 1182 1154 43.95% 27.14% 28.91%+0.26 -34.6 11
2014-07-03 @ Selfoss W 2-040.9 1154 1182 28.91% 27.14% 43.95%-0.26 +34.6 14
2014-07-03 KV Vesturbaejar L 0-147.6 1293 1159 56.22% 25.82% 17.96%+0.92 -22.7 18
2014-07-03 @ IA Akranes W 1-047.6 1159 1293 17.96% 25.82% 56.22%-0.92 +22.7 10
2014-07-04 Tindastoll W 2-139.2 1128 940 61.37% 24.70% 13.93%+1.26 +6.8 17
2014-07-04 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-239.2 940 1128 13.93% 24.70% 61.37%-1.26 -6.8 3
2014-07-10 HK Kopavogur W 3-245.9 1277 1135 57.07% 25.66% 17.27%+0.97 +7.8 23
2014-07-10 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-345.9 1135 1277 17.27% 25.66% 57.07%-0.97 -7.8 17
2014-07-10 IA Akranes L 1-342.0 1188 1270 28.83% 27.14% 44.03%-0.43 -21.8 14
2014-07-10 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-142.0 1270 1188 44.03% 27.14% 28.83%+0.43 +21.8 21
2014-07-11 Selfoss W 2-034.8 1218 1148 49.16% 26.77% 24.08%+0.52 +21.8 16
2014-07-11 @ KA Akureyri L 0-234.8 1148 1218 24.08% 26.77% 49.16%-0.52 -21.8 11
2014-07-11 Tindastoll W 5-131.7 1149 934 63.74% 24.03% 12.22%+1.43 +18.8 11
2014-07-11 @ Grindavik L 1-531.7 934 1149 12.22% 24.03% 63.74%-1.43 -18.8 3
2014-07-11 Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-249.3 1182 1142 45.47% 27.05% 27.47%+0.33 +11.5 13
2014-07-11 @ KV Vesturbaejar L 2-349.3 1142 1182 27.47% 27.05% 45.47%-0.33 -11.5 15
2014-07-12 IB Bolungarvik D 2-257.1 1127 1056 49.21% 26.76% 24.03%+0.52 -1.7 15
2014-07-12 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-257.1 1056 1127 24.03% 26.76% 49.21%-0.52 +1.7 11
2014-07-15 Grindavik D 0-047.7 1126 1168 34.08% 27.31% 38.61%-0.18 +0.4 12
2014-07-15 @ Selfoss D 0-047.7 1168 1126 38.61% 27.31% 34.08%+0.18 -0.4 12
2014-07-15 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-144.4 1130 1166 34.94% 27.32% 37.74%-0.14 +26.6 18
2014-07-15 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-344.4 1166 1130 37.74% 27.32% 34.94%+0.14 -26.6 14
2014-07-15 IB Bolungarvik W 1-038.0 1127 1058 49.05% 26.78% 24.17%+0.51 +11.6 20
2014-07-15 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-138.0 1058 1127 24.17% 26.78% 49.05%-0.51 -11.6 11
2014-07-15 KA Akureyri L 2-451.9 1292 1239 47.02% 26.95% 26.03%+0.41 -28.3 21
2014-07-15 @ IA Akranes W 4-251.9 1239 1292 26.03% 26.95% 47.02%-0.41 +28.3 19
2014-07-15 KV Vesturbaejar W 3-145.8 1125 1194 30.57% 27.22% 42.21%-0.35 +29.0 18
2014-07-15 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-345.8 1194 1125 42.21% 27.22% 30.57%+0.35 -29.0 13
2014-07-15 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-525.5 915 1285 7.62% 21.21% 71.16%-2.23 -17.0 3
2014-07-15 @ Tindastoll W 5-025.5 1285 915 71.16% 21.21% 7.62%+2.23 +17.0 26
2014-07-18 IA Akranes W 1-046.1 1126 1264 22.52% 26.58% 50.90%-0.78 +20.8 15
2014-07-18 @ Selfoss L 0-146.1 1264 1126 50.90% 26.58% 22.52%+0.78 -20.8 21
2014-07-18 KV Vesturbaejar D 1-151.6 1139 1165 36.43% 27.32% 36.25%-0.08 -0.0 21
2014-07-18 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-151.6 1165 1139 36.25% 27.32% 36.43%+0.08 +0.0 14
2014-07-18 Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-257.5 1168 1302 22.87% 26.63% 50.50%-0.76 +1.8 13
2014-07-18 @ Grindavik D 2-257.5 1302 1168 50.50% 26.63% 22.87%+0.76 -1.8 27
2014-07-19 IB Bolungarvik L 4-646.5 898 1047 21.39% 26.43% 52.18%-0.85 -14.0 3
2014-07-19 @ Tindastoll W 6-446.5 1047 898 52.18% 26.43% 21.39%+0.85 +14.0 14
2014-07-19 KA Akureyri D 2-257.3 1157 1268 25.38% 26.89% 47.72%-0.61 +1.5 19
2014-07-19 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 2-257.3 1268 1157 47.72% 26.89% 25.38%+0.61 -1.5 20
2014-07-20 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-040.2 1154 1140 42.04% 27.22% 30.73%+0.17 +14.0 21
2014-07-20 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-140.2 1140 1154 30.73% 27.22% 42.04%-0.17 -14.0 14
2014-07-24 Grindavik W 2-034.8 1243 1170 49.56% 26.73% 23.71%+0.54 +21.5 24
2014-07-24 @ IA Akranes L 0-234.8 1170 1243 23.71% 26.73% 49.56%-0.54 -21.5 13
2014-07-24 HK Kopavogur W 4-140.9 1126 1139 38.25% 27.31% 34.44%+0.00 +35.2 17
2014-07-24 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-440.9 1139 1126 34.44% 27.31% 38.25%+0.00 -35.2 21
2014-07-24 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-146.6 1266 1168 52.43% 26.40% 21.17%+0.70 -21.3 20
2014-07-24 @ KA Akureyri W 1-046.6 1168 1266 21.17% 26.40% 52.43%-0.70 +21.3 24
2014-07-25 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-239.2 1147 1158 38.49% 27.31% 34.20%+0.01 -31.2 15
2014-07-25 @ Selfoss W 2-039.2 1158 1147 34.20% 27.31% 38.49%-0.01 +31.2 22
2014-07-26 Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-344.6 1061 1300 14.00% 24.73% 61.27%-1.42 -6.4 14
2014-07-26 @ IB Bolungarvik W 3-244.6 1300 1061 61.27% 24.73% 14.00%+1.42 +6.4 30
2014-07-26 Tindastoll W 3-242.2 1165 884 68.69% 22.28% 9.03%+1.84 +4.1 17
2014-07-26 @ KV Vesturbaejar L 2-342.2 884 1165 9.03% 22.28% 68.69%-1.84 -4.1 3
2014-07-30 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-527.4 880 1161 11.51% 23.71% 64.78%-1.68 -26.2 3
2014-07-30 @ Tindastoll W 5-027.4 1161 880 64.78% 23.71% 11.51%+1.68 +26.2 20
2014-07-30 IA Akranes L 1-342.2 1190 1264 29.72% 27.18% 43.09%-0.39 -22.3 22
2014-07-30 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-142.2 1264 1190 43.09% 27.18% 29.72%+0.39 +22.3 27
2014-07-30 IB Bolungarvik W 3-031.6 1148 1054 51.96% 26.46% 21.58%+0.67 +29.0 16
2014-07-30 @ Grindavik L 0-331.6 1054 1148 21.58% 26.46% 51.96%-0.67 -29.0 14
2014-07-30 KA Akureyri D 1-151.9 1104 1245 22.11% 26.53% 51.36%-0.80 +2.6 22
2014-07-30 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-151.9 1245 1104 51.36% 26.53% 22.11%+0.80 -2.6 21
2014-07-30 KV Vesturbaejar W 2-141.0 1306 1169 56.64% 25.74% 17.62%+0.94 +8.4 33
2014-07-30 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-241.0 1169 1306 17.62% 25.74% 56.64%-0.94 -8.4 17
2014-07-30 Selfoss L 1-250.6 1190 1116 49.60% 26.72% 23.67%+0.54 -19.1 24
2014-07-30 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-150.6 1116 1190 23.67% 26.72% 49.60%-0.54 +19.1 18
2014-08-07 HK Kopavogur L 0-639.0 1135 1106 43.97% 27.14% 28.90%+0.26 -96.1 18
2014-08-07 @ Selfoss W 6-039.0 1106 1135 28.90% 27.14% 43.97%-0.26 +96.1 25
2014-08-07 KA Akureyri L 0-227.7 854 1242 6.98% 20.64% 72.38%-2.35 -6.6 3
2014-08-07 @ Tindastoll W 2-027.7 1242 854 72.38% 20.64% 6.98%+2.35 +6.6 24
2014-08-08 Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-348.4 1187 1315 23.55% 26.71% 49.74%-0.72 -10.2 20
2014-08-08 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-248.4 1315 1187 49.74% 26.71% 23.55%+0.72 +10.2 36
2014-08-08 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-138.8 1287 1170 54.43% 26.12% 19.46%+0.81 +15.8 30
2014-08-08 @ IA Akranes L 1-338.8 1170 1287 19.46% 26.12% 54.43%-0.81 -15.8 24
2014-08-09 Grindavik L 0-239.3 1167 1177 38.70% 27.31% 33.99%+0.02 -31.3 22
2014-08-09 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-039.3 1177 1167 33.99% 27.31% 38.70%-0.02 +31.3 19
2014-08-09 IB Bolungarvik L 0-341.8 1160 1025 56.38% 25.79% 17.83%+0.93 -62.3 17
2014-08-09 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 3-041.8 1025 1160 17.83% 25.79% 56.38%-0.93 +62.3 17
2014-08-15 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-254.5 1087 1177 27.89% 27.08% 45.03%-0.48 +16.7 20
2014-08-15 @ IB Bolungarvik L 2-354.5 1177 1087 45.03% 27.08% 27.89%+0.48 -16.8 20
2014-08-15 IA Akranes W 2-150.1 1202 1303 26.62% 26.99% 46.39%-0.54 +18.1 28
2014-08-15 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-250.1 1303 1202 46.39% 26.99% 26.62%+0.54 -18.1 30
2014-08-15 KA Akureyri W 2-143.4 1325 1249 49.87% 26.70% 23.44%+0.56 +10.7 39
2014-08-15 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-243.4 1249 1325 23.44% 26.70% 49.87%-0.56 -10.7 24
2014-08-15 KV Vesturbaejar W 2-033.4 1208 1098 53.77% 26.21% 20.01%+0.77 +18.7 22
2014-08-15 @ Grindavik L 0-233.4 1098 1208 20.01% 26.21% 53.77%-0.77 -18.7 17
2014-08-15 Selfoss L 0-232.4 847 1039 17.50% 25.72% 56.79%-1.12 -16.6 3
2014-08-15 @ Tindastoll W 2-032.4 1039 847 56.79% 25.72% 17.50%+1.12 +16.6 21
2014-08-15 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-345.9 1155 1136 42.62% 27.20% 30.18%+0.20 -29.2 24
2014-08-15 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-145.9 1136 1155 30.18% 27.20% 42.62%-0.20 +29.2 25
2014-08-19 Grindavik W 2-149.8 1125 1227 26.45% 26.98% 46.57%-0.55 +18.1 27
2014-08-19 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-249.8 1227 1125 46.57% 26.98% 26.45%+0.55 -18.1 22
2014-08-19 HK Kopavogur W 1-043.2 1165 1220 32.30% 27.27% 40.42%-0.26 +17.2 28
2014-08-19 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-143.2 1220 1165 40.42% 27.27% 32.30%+0.26 -17.2 28
2014-08-19 IB Bolungarvik D 1-152.1 1238 1104 56.28% 25.81% 17.91%+0.92 -3.5 25
2014-08-19 @ KA Akureyri D 1-152.1 1104 1238 17.91% 25.81% 56.28%-0.92 +3.5 21
2014-08-19 KV Vesturbaejar W 3-247.7 1160 1079 50.47% 26.63% 22.90%+0.59 +9.9 23
2014-08-19 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 2-347.7 1079 1160 22.90% 26.63% 50.47%-0.59 -9.9 17
2014-08-19 Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-258.2 1056 1336 11.58% 23.74% 64.68%-1.67 +3.8 22
2014-08-19 @ Selfoss D 2-258.2 1336 1056 64.68% 23.74% 11.58%+1.67 -3.8 40
2014-08-19 Tindastoll W 5-231.9 1285 830 79.02% 16.95% 4.03%+2.92 +3.8 33
2014-08-19 @ IA Akranes L 2-531.9 830 1285 4.03% 16.95% 79.02%-2.92 -3.8 3
2014-08-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.8 1209 1170 45.25% 27.07% 27.68%+0.32 -1.5 23
2014-08-23 @ Grindavik D 1-151.8 1170 1209 27.68% 27.07% 45.25%-0.32 +1.5 24
2014-08-23 IA Akranes L 0-145.6 1332 1288 45.88% 27.03% 27.09%+0.35 -19.0 40
2014-08-23 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-045.6 1288 1332 27.09% 27.03% 45.88%-0.35 +19.0 36
2014-08-23 KA Akureyri D 2-257.4 1069 1235 19.80% 26.18% 54.03%-0.95 +2.3 18
2014-08-23 @ KV Vesturbaejar D 2-257.4 1235 1069 54.03% 26.18% 19.80%+0.95 -2.3 26
2014-08-23 Selfoss W 2-143.7 1108 1059 46.50% 26.99% 26.52%+0.39 +11.8 24
2014-08-23 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-243.7 1059 1108 26.52% 26.99% 46.50%-0.39 -11.8 22
2014-08-23 Throttur Reykjavik D 0-047.9 1203 1143 47.92% 26.88% 25.21%+0.46 -2.2 29
2014-08-23 @ HK Kopavogur D 0-047.9 1143 1203 25.21% 26.88% 47.92%-0.46 +2.2 28
2014-08-23 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-326.1 827 1182 8.14% 21.64% 70.22%-2.14 -11.3 3
2014-08-23 @ Tindastoll W 3-026.1 1182 827 70.22% 21.64% 8.14%+2.14 +11.3 31
2014-08-28 Grindavik L 1-247.8 1201 1207 39.18% 27.30% 33.52%+0.04 -15.8 29
2014-08-28 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-147.8 1207 1201 33.52% 27.30% 39.18%-0.04 +15.8 26
2014-08-29 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-047.9 1233 1172 48.04% 26.87% 25.10%+0.46 -2.2 27
2014-08-29 @ KA Akureyri D 0-047.9 1172 1233 25.10% 26.87% 48.04%-0.46 +2.2 25
2014-08-29 KV Vesturbaejar W 3-143.9 1048 1072 36.65% 27.32% 36.03%-0.07 +25.7 25
2014-08-29 @ Selfoss L 1-343.9 1072 1048 36.03% 27.32% 36.65%+0.07 -25.7 18
2014-08-29 Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-048.2 1194 1313 24.46% 26.81% 48.73%-0.66 +2.4 32
2014-08-29 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-048.2 1313 1194 48.73% 26.81% 24.46%+0.66 -2.4 41
2014-08-30 IB Bolungarvik W 1-034.5 1307 1119 61.36% 24.70% 13.93%+1.26 +7.2 39
2014-08-30 @ IA Akranes L 0-134.5 1119 1307 13.93% 24.70% 61.36%-1.26 -7.2 24
2014-08-30 Tindastoll W 4-024.8 1146 815 72.02% 20.81% 7.17%+2.15 +12.9 31
2014-08-30 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-424.8 815 1146 7.17% 20.81% 72.02%-2.15 -12.9 3
2014-09-04 IA Akranes L 0-230.4 1046 1314 12.23% 24.03% 63.74%-1.60 -11.9 18
2014-09-04 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 2-030.4 1314 1046 63.74% 24.03% 12.23%+1.60 +11.9 42
2014-09-04 Selfoss D 1-151.9 1174 1073 52.72% 26.36% 20.92%+0.71 -2.9 26
2014-09-04 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.9 1073 1174 20.92% 26.36% 52.72%-0.71 +2.9 26
2014-09-04 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-140.6 1310 1159 58.03% 25.47% 16.49%+1.03 +7.9 44
2014-09-04 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-240.6 1159 1310 16.49% 25.47% 58.03%-1.03 -7.9 31
2014-09-06 HK Kopavogur D 0-049.5 802 1185 7.18% 20.82% 72.00%-2.31 +7.1 4
2014-09-06 @ Tindastoll D 0-049.5 1185 802 72.00% 20.82% 7.18%+2.31 -7.1 30
2014-09-06 KA Akureyri W 4-140.9 1223 1230 39.09% 27.30% 33.61%+0.04 +34.6 29
2014-09-06 @ Grindavik L 1-440.9 1230 1223 33.61% 27.30% 39.09%-0.04 -34.6 27
2014-09-06 Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-151.7 1112 1196 28.62% 27.12% 44.25%-0.44 +1.3 25
2014-09-06 @ IB Bolungarvik D 1-151.7 1196 1112 44.25% 27.12% 28.62%+0.44 -1.3 33
2014-09-13 Grindavik L 0-324.4 809 1258 5.30% 18.79% 75.91%-2.72 -7.0 4
2014-09-13 @ Tindastoll W 3-024.4 1258 809 75.91% 18.79% 5.30%+2.72 +7.0 32
2014-09-13 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-245.0 1326 1171 58.36% 25.41% 16.24%+1.05 -44.2 42
2014-09-13 @ IA Akranes W 2-045.0 1171 1326 16.24% 25.41% 58.36%-1.05 +44.2 29
2014-09-13 IB Bolungarvik W 2-144.2 1151 1114 45.04% 27.08% 27.87%+0.31 +12.2 34
2014-09-13 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-244.2 1114 1151 27.87% 27.08% 45.04%-0.31 -12.2 25
2014-09-13 KA Akureyri L 2-444.6 1076 1196 24.42% 26.80% 48.78%-0.67 -17.1 26
2014-09-13 @ Selfoss W 4-244.6 1196 1076 48.78% 26.80% 24.42%+0.67 +17.1 30
2014-09-13 KV Vesturbaejar W 5-133.2 1195 1034 58.88% 25.29% 15.83%+1.09 +24.0 36
2014-09-13 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-533.2 1034 1195 15.83% 25.29% 58.88%-1.09 -24.0 18
2014-09-13 Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-257.6 1178 1318 22.24% 26.55% 51.21%-0.79 +1.9 31
2014-09-13 @ HK Kopavogur D 2-257.6 1318 1178 51.21% 26.55% 22.24%+0.79 -1.9 45
2014-09-20 HK Kopavogur L 1-244.6 1101 1180 29.25% 27.16% 43.59%-0.41 -12.7 25
2014-09-20 @ IB Bolungarvik W 2-144.6 1180 1101 43.59% 27.16% 29.25%+0.41 +12.7 34
2014-09-20 IA Akranes D 2-257.4 1213 1282 30.45% 27.21% 42.34%-0.35 +0.8 31
2014-09-20 @ KA Akureyri D 2-257.4 1282 1213 42.34% 27.21% 30.45%+0.35 -0.8 43
2014-09-20 Selfoss W 4-133.6 1265 1059 62.92% 24.28% 12.81%+1.37 +15.2 35
2014-09-20 @ Grindavik L 1-433.6 1059 1265 12.81% 24.28% 62.92%-1.37 -15.2 26
2014-09-20 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-339.1 1010 1163 20.97% 26.37% 52.66%-0.87 -16.9 18
2014-09-20 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 3-139.1 1163 1010 52.66% 26.37% 20.97%+0.87 +16.9 37
2014-09-20 Tindastoll W 4-021.9 1316 802 81.86% 15.11% 3.03%+3.30 +4.8 48
2014-09-20 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-421.9 802 1316 3.03% 15.11% 81.86%-3.30 -4.8 4
2014-09-20 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-146.0 1215 1219 39.60% 27.29% 33.10%+0.06 +14.0 32
2014-09-20 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-246.0 1219 1215 33.10% 27.29% 39.60%-0.06 -14.0 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-09-13 16.24% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1171 2 @ IA Akranes 1326 0
2 2014-07-02 16.35% IB Bolungarvik 1022 4 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1176 2
3 2014-05-09 17.04% HK Kopavogur 1079 3 @ KV Vesturbaejar 1224 2
4 2014-08-09 17.83% IB Bolungarvik 1025 3 @ KV Vesturbaejar 1160 0
5 2014-07-03 17.96% KV Vesturbaejar 1159 1 @ IA Akranes 1293 0
6 2014-06-13 18.37% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1136 4 @ KV Vesturbaejar 1265 1
7 2014-06-21 18.74% IB Bolungarvik 1050 1 @ Selfoss 1174 0
8 2014-07-02 20.11% Grindavik 1129 2 @ KA Akureyri 1238 1
9 2014-07-24 21.17% Throttur Reykjavik 1168 1 @ KA Akureyri 1266 0
10 2014-05-09 21.64% Throttur Reykjavik 1094 4 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1187 1
11 2014-07-18 22.52% @ Selfoss 1126 1 IA Akranes 1264 0
12 2014-06-14 22.91% @ HK Kopavogur 1094 4 Vikingur Olafsvik 1228 2
13 2014-07-30 23.67% Selfoss 1116 2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1190 1
14 2014-05-17 25.38% Selfoss 1146 1 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1204 0
15 2014-07-15 26.03% KA Akureyri 1239 4 @ IA Akranes 1292 2
16 2014-08-19 26.45% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1125 2 Grindavik 1227 1
17 2014-08-15 26.62% @ HK Kopavogur 1202 2 IA Akranes 1303 1
18 2014-08-23 27.09% IA Akranes 1288 1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1332 0
19 2014-06-27 27.70% Selfoss 1152 3 @ KV Vesturbaejar 1190 1
20 2014-08-15 27.89% @ IB Bolungarvik 1087 3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1177 2
21 2014-06-28 28.03% HK Kopavogur 1111 2 @ Grindavik 1146 1
22 2014-06-01 28.51% IA Akranes 1152 1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1183 0
23 2014-08-07 28.90% HK Kopavogur 1106 6 @ Selfoss 1135 0
24 2014-07-03 28.91% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1154 2 @ Selfoss 1182 0
25 2014-08-15 30.18% Vikingur Olafsvik 1136 3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1155 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-08-07 96.14 HK Kopavogur 6 1106 28.90% @ Selfoss 0 1135 43.97% 27.14%
2 2014-05-31 71.75 KV Vesturbaejar 5 1184 35.06% @ IB Bolungarvik 0 1166 37.62% 27.32%
3 2014-08-09 62.30 IB Bolungarvik 3 1025 17.83% @ KV Vesturbaejar 0 1160 56.38% 25.79%
4 2014-06-13 51.98 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 1136 18.37% @ KV Vesturbaejar 1 1265 55.73% 25.91%
5 2014-06-28 50.71 IA Akranes 6 1242 54.44% @ IB Bolungarvik 0 1073 19.45% 26.11%
6 2014-05-09 48.78 Throttur Reykjavik 4 1094 21.64% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1187 51.89% 26.47%
7 2014-06-27 48.19 KA Akureyri 3 1190 31.07% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1202 41.70% 27.24%
8 2014-09-13 44.25 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1171 16.24% @ IA Akranes 0 1326 58.36% 25.41%
9 2014-06-05 43.82 @ KA Akureyri 4 1099 47.23% Tindastoll 0 1045 25.84% 26.93%
10 2014-05-10 40.41 @ IB Bolungarvik 4 1157 49.94% Tindastoll 0 1080 23.37% 26.69%
11 2014-07-02 37.34 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1240 43.16% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1164 29.66% 27.18%
12 2014-07-24 35.22 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 1126 38.25% HK Kopavogur 1 1139 34.44% 27.31%
13 2014-06-14 35.20 IA Akranes 5 1193 59.10% @ Tindastoll 0 978 15.66% 25.25%
14 2014-07-03 34.60 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1154 28.91% @ Selfoss 0 1182 43.95% 27.14%
15 2014-09-06 34.60 @ Grindavik 4 1223 39.09% KA Akureyri 1 1230 33.61% 27.30%
16 2014-07-02 34.20 IB Bolungarvik 4 1022 16.35% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1176 58.21% 25.44%
17 2014-08-09 31.33 Grindavik 2 1177 33.99% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1167 38.70% 27.31%
18 2014-07-25 31.20 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1158 34.20% @ Selfoss 0 1147 38.49% 27.31%
19 2014-05-17 30.81 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1160 34.86% IB Bolungarvik 0 1197 37.82% 27.32%
20 2014-06-27 30.68 Selfoss 3 1152 27.70% @ KV Vesturbaejar 1 1190 45.23% 27.07%
21 2014-06-14 30.10 @ HK Kopavogur 4 1094 22.91% Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1228 50.46% 26.63%
22 2014-08-15 29.24 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1136 30.18% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1155 42.62% 27.20%
23 2014-07-15 29.02 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1125 30.57% KV Vesturbaejar 1 1194 42.21% 27.22%
24 2014-07-30 28.97 @ Grindavik 3 1148 51.96% IB Bolungarvik 0 1054 21.58% 26.46%
25 2014-07-15 28.34 KA Akureyri 4 1239 26.03% @ IA Akranes 2 1292 47.02% 26.95%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-08-19 58.2 @ Selfoss 2 1056 11.58% Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1336 64.68% 23.74%
2 2014-05-09 57.8 HK Kopavogur 3 1079 17.04% @ KV Vesturbaejar 2 1224 57.35% 25.61%
3 2014-06-27 57.7 @ Tindastoll 2 937 14.62% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1167 60.44% 24.93%
4 2014-09-13 57.6 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1178 22.24% Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1318 51.21% 26.55%
5 2014-07-18 57.5 @ Grindavik 2 1168 22.87% Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1302 50.50% 26.63%
6 2014-08-23 57.4 @ KV Vesturbaejar 2 1069 19.80% KA Akureyri 2 1235 54.03% 26.18%
7 2014-09-20 57.4 @ KA Akureyri 2 1213 30.45% IA Akranes 2 1282 42.34% 27.21%
8 2014-05-17 57.3 @ Tindastoll 2 1040 19.95% KV Vesturbaejar 2 1203 53.85% 26.20%
9 2014-07-19 57.3 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1157 25.38% KA Akureyri 2 1268 47.72% 26.89%
10 2014-07-12 57.1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1127 49.21% IB Bolungarvik 2 1056 24.03% 26.76%
11 2014-08-15 54.5 @ IB Bolungarvik 3 1087 27.89% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1177 45.03% 27.08%
12 2014-07-02 54.3 IB Bolungarvik 4 1022 16.35% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1176 58.21% 25.44%
13 2014-05-23 52.4 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1185 35.24% @ IA Akranes 2 1166 37.43% 27.32%
14 2014-06-14 52.4 @ HK Kopavogur 4 1094 22.91% Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1228 50.46% 26.63%
15 2014-08-19 52.1 @ KA Akureyri 1 1238 56.28% IB Bolungarvik 1 1104 17.91% 25.81%
16 2014-07-15 51.9 KA Akureyri 4 1239 26.03% @ IA Akranes 2 1292 47.02% 26.95%
17 2014-07-30 51.9 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1104 22.11% KA Akureyri 1 1245 51.36% 26.53%
18 2014-09-04 51.9 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1174 52.72% Selfoss 1 1073 20.92% 26.36%
19 2014-05-23 51.8 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1138 52.22% Tindastoll 1 1042 21.35% 26.43%
20 2014-06-14 51.8 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1229 47.52% Selfoss 1 1172 25.57% 26.91%
21 2014-08-23 51.8 @ Grindavik 1 1209 45.25% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1170 27.68% 27.07%
22 2014-07-02 51.7 Grindavik 2 1129 20.11% @ KA Akureyri 1 1238 53.66% 26.23%
23 2014-09-06 51.7 @ IB Bolungarvik 1 1112 28.62% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1196 44.25% 27.12%
24 2014-05-10 51.6 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1191 37.95% @ KA Akureyri 2 1153 34.73% 27.32%
25 2014-05-16 51.6 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1100 34.59% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1139 38.09% 27.32%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-09-20 21.9 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 4 1316 81.86% Tindastoll 0 802 3.03% 15.11%
2 2014-09-13 24.4 Grindavik 3 1258 75.91% @ Tindastoll 0 809 5.30% 18.79%
3 2014-08-30 24.8 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1146 72.02% Tindastoll 0 815 7.17% 20.81%
4 2014-07-15 25.5 Leiknir Reykjavik 5 1285 71.16% @ Tindastoll 0 915 7.62% 21.21%
5 2014-08-23 26.1 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1182 70.22% @ Tindastoll 0 827 8.14% 21.64%
6 2014-07-30 27.4 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 1161 64.78% @ Tindastoll 0 880 11.51% 23.71%
7 2014-08-07 27.7 KA Akureyri 2 1242 72.38% @ Tindastoll 0 854 6.98% 20.64%
8 2014-06-14 29.1 IA Akranes 5 1193 59.10% @ Tindastoll 0 978 15.66% 25.25%
9 2014-06-09 29.9 @ Selfoss 3 1149 57.64% Tindastoll 0 1001 16.81% 25.55%
10 2014-09-04 30.4 IA Akranes 2 1314 63.74% @ KV Vesturbaejar 0 1046 12.23% 24.03%
11 2014-06-28 31.4 IA Akranes 6 1242 54.44% @ IB Bolungarvik 0 1073 19.45% 26.11%
12 2014-05-10 31.5 @ IB Bolungarvik 4 1157 49.94% Tindastoll 0 1080 23.37% 26.69%
13 2014-07-30 31.6 @ Grindavik 3 1148 51.96% IB Bolungarvik 0 1054 21.58% 26.46%
14 2014-07-11 31.7 @ Grindavik 5 1149 63.74% Tindastoll 1 934 12.22% 24.03%
15 2014-08-19 31.9 @ IA Akranes 5 1285 79.02% Tindastoll 2 830 4.03% 16.95%
16 2014-06-05 32.3 @ KA Akureyri 4 1099 47.23% Tindastoll 0 1045 25.84% 26.93%
17 2014-08-15 32.4 Selfoss 2 1039 56.79% @ Tindastoll 0 847 17.50% 25.72%
18 2014-06-21 32.7 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1197 66.82% Tindastoll 0 942 10.17% 23.00%
19 2014-09-13 33.2 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 5 1195 58.88% KV Vesturbaejar 1 1034 15.83% 25.29%
20 2014-08-15 33.4 @ Grindavik 2 1208 53.77% KV Vesturbaejar 0 1098 20.01% 26.21%
21 2014-09-20 33.6 @ Grindavik 4 1265 62.92% Selfoss 1 1059 12.81% 24.28%
22 2014-07-02 34.4 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1240 43.16% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1164 29.66% 27.18%
23 2014-08-30 34.5 @ IA Akranes 1 1307 61.36% IB Bolungarvik 0 1119 13.93% 24.70%
24 2014-06-05 34.7 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1209 49.54% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1135 23.74% 26.73%
25 2014-07-11 34.8 @ KA Akureyri 2 1218 49.16% Selfoss 0 1148 24.08% 26.77%