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2014-15 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vikingur Olafsvik

17.05 points above expected

54 points · 36.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IB Bolungarvik

9.39 points below expected

10 points · 19.39 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Olafsvik 22 17 3 2 54 53 14 +39 36.95 +17.05
2 Throttur Reykjavik 22 14 2 6 44 45 21 +24 37.61 +6.39
3 KA Akureyri 22 12 5 5 41 42 22 +20 35.71 +5.29
4 Thor Akureyri 22 12 2 8 38 40 34 +6 31.82 +6.18
5 Grindavik 22 11 3 8 36 41 30 +11 33.68 +2.32
6 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 22 10 4 8 34 32 28 +4 33.01 +0.99
7 KF Fjardabyggdar 22 9 4 9 31 35 37 -2 34.36 -3.36
8 HK Kopavogur 22 10 1 11 31 26 33 -7 27.46 +3.54
9 Fram Reykjavik 22 5 6 11 21 34 45 -11 29.41 -8.41
10 Selfoss 22 5 5 12 20 20 38 -18 22.35 -2.35
11 Grotta 22 4 3 15 15 10 39 -29 18.35 -3.35
12 IB Bolungarvik 22 2 4 16 10 22 59 -37 19.39 -9.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Olafsvik 54 36.95 +17.05
2 Throttur Reykjavik 44 37.61 +6.39
3 Thor Akureyri 38 31.82 +6.18
4 KA Akureyri 41 35.71 +5.29
5 HK Kopavogur 31 27.46 +3.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IB Bolungarvik 10 19.39 -9.39
2 Fram Reykjavik 21 29.41 -8.41
3 KF Fjardabyggdar 31 34.36 -3.36
4 Grotta 15 18.35 -3.35
5 Selfoss 20 22.35 -2.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Olafsvik 8 Jul 17 – Sep 1 1 in 227
2 Throttur Reykjavik 6 May 9 – Jun 14 1 in 176
3 Thor Akureyri 5 May 16 – Jun 13 1 in 122
4 HK Kopavogur 3 Sep 4 – Sep 19 1 in 45
5 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 Aug 14 – Aug 27 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HK Kopavogur 5 May 23 – Jun 23 1 in 194
2 Thor Akureyri 3 Jun 21 – Jul 3 1 in 58
3 IB Bolungarvik 7 Jul 25 – Aug 29 1 in 25
4 Fram Reykjavik 3 May 16 – May 28 1 in 21
5 Throttur Reykjavik 2 Jul 13 – Jul 18 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Olafsvik 11 Jul 17 – Sep 19 1 in 14
2 IB Bolungarvik 3 Sep 5 – Sep 19 1 in 12
3 Grindavik 5 Jul 3 – Jul 23 1 in 8
4 Throttur Reykjavik 6 May 9 – Jun 14 1 in 8
5 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 6 Aug 14 – Sep 15 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Fjardabyggdar 7 Jul 19 – Aug 22 1 in 82
2 IB Bolungarvik 17 Jun 6 – Sep 12 1 in 28
3 Fram Reykjavik 6 Jul 2 – Jul 29 1 in 11
4 HK Kopavogur 5 May 23 – Jun 23 1 in 10
5 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 Sep 12 – Sep 19 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vikingur Olafsvik 1408 54 +59 13 9.0 +4.0
Throttur Reykjavik 1305 44 +8 8 9.5 -1.5
KA Akureyri 1324 41 +32 10 8.3 +1.7
Thor Akureyri 1223 38 -9 9 7.1 +1.9
Grindavik 1293 36 +13 9 7.4 +1.6
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1228 34 +3 8 8.6 -0.6
HK Kopavogur 1209 31 +46 9 5.2 +3.8
KF Fjardabyggdar 1177 31 -46 5 7.4 -2.4
Fram Reykjavik 1153 21 -39 4 6.1 -2.1
Selfoss 1074 20 -6 4 4.8 -0.8
Grotta 1002 15 -55 0 4.7 -4.7
IB Bolungarvik 1007 10 -7 5 3.9 +1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR GRI GRO HK HH IB KA KF SEL TA TR VO
Fram Reykjavik —
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
3.81
0-0-2
3.17
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
3.87
0-2-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
3.50
0-0-2
2.75
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
1.81
Grindavik
1-1-0
3.36
 —
1-0-1
4.13
2-0-0
3.47
0-1-1
3.06
2-0-0
4.03
2-0-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.71
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
2.48
Grotta
0-1-1
1.66
1-0-1
1.38
 —
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
1.58
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
1.47
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
1.45
0-0-2
1.14
0-1-1
1.45
HK Kopavogur
2-0-0
2.26
0-0-2
1.98
2-0-0
3.57
 —
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
3.65
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.05
2-0-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
2.06
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
2.38
2-0-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.15
 —
0-2-0
4.09
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.51
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.56
IB Bolungarvik
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
1.49
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
1.82
0-2-0
1.43
 —
0-0-2
1.32
0-1-1
1.35
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
1.39
KA Akureyri
0-2-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.96
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-1
3.63
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
4.20
 —
2-0-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.33
0-2-0
2.40
KF Fjardabyggdar
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
4.03
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
4.17
0-0-2
2.85
 —
1-1-0
3.66
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.07
Selfoss
2-0-0
1.96
0-1-1
1.77
1-1-0
3.18
0-0-2
2.34
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
1.72
0-1-1
1.80
 —
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
1.38
0-0-2
1.72
Thor Akureyri
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
4.06
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.67
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
2.54
2-0-0
3.64
 —
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.24
Throttur Reykjavik
0-1-1
3.51
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
4.14
1-0-1
3.04
 —
1-0-1
2.85
Vikingur Olafsvik
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
2.94
1-1-0
4.07
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
2.86
2-0-0
4.13
0-2-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.58
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +9.5
Allowed 0.85 -9.9
Differential 0.97 +5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%8.71%7.20%3.41%3.41%1.14%27.65%
18.71%3.79%8.33%3.41%1.52%0.76%26.52%
27.20%8.33%6.82%2.65%—1.14%26.14%
33.41%3.41%2.65%1.52%0.38%—11.36%
43.41%1.52%—0.38%——5.30%
5+1.14%0.76%1.14%———3.03%
Total27.65%26.52%26.14%11.36%5.30%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.52 +0.00
SD 1.38 1.38 2.15
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%——9.09%—22.73%
14.55%9.09%18.18%———31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
34.55%4.55%—9.09%4.55%—22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%22.73%13.64%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.05 -0.50
SD 1.22 1.68 1.99
CV 0.79 0.82 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
213.64%4.55%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%36.36%27.27%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.36 +0.50
SD 1.73 1.53 2.37
CV 0.93 1.12 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%22.73%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%68.18%
19.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
2—4.55%————4.55%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%22.73%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.45 1.77 -1.32
SD 0.80 1.51 1.73
CV 1.76 0.85 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—18.18%13.64%4.55%—40.91%
113.64%—4.55%4.55%——22.73%
29.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%9.09%27.27%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.50 -0.32
SD 1.30 1.34 2.28
CV 1.10 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%4.55%——22.73%
113.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%36.36%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.27 +0.18
SD 1.14 0.98 1.82
CV 0.79 0.77 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
1——18.18%13.64%4.55%9.09%45.45%
2—9.09%18.18%———27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—13.64%45.45%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.68 -1.68
SD 0.76 1.36 1.76
CV 0.76 0.51 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
118.18%9.09%13.64%4.55%——45.45%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+———————
Total45.45%22.73%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.00 +0.91
SD 1.19 1.11 1.72
CV 0.62 1.11 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
113.64%—9.09%4.55%——27.27%
29.09%—13.64%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
39.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%13.64%27.27%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.68 -0.09
SD 1.05 1.59 2.07
CV 0.66 0.94 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%50.00%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
213.64%9.09%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.73 -0.82
SD 0.97 1.39 1.94
CV 1.07 0.80 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
14.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
24.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
3—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%27.27%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.55 +0.27
SD 1.50 1.06 1.75
CV 0.83 0.68 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
113.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
29.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total40.91%36.36%13.64%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 0.95 +1.09
SD 1.53 1.09 2.16
CV 0.75 1.14 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
19.09%4.55%————13.64%
218.18%13.64%————31.82%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
413.64%—————13.64%
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total54.55%27.27%18.18%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 0.64 +1.77
SD 1.94 0.79 1.85
CV 0.81 1.24 —
Max 7 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vikingur Olafsvik 1408 54 36.95 +17.05 100.0% 25 27 33 37 41 47 50
KA Akureyri 1324 41 35.71 +5.29 81.0% 23 25 31 36 40 45 48
Throttur Reykjavik 1305 44 37.61 +6.39 90.0% 20 25 34 38 42 48 52
Grindavik 1293 36 33.68 +2.32 70.0% 16 23 29 35 37 43 47
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1228 34 33.01 +0.99 65.0% 20 23 29 32 37 42 47
Thor Akureyri 1223 38 31.82 +6.18 90.0% 22 23 29 31 35 40 45
HK Kopavogur 1209 31 27.46 +3.54 78.0% 11 18 24 27 30 38 46
KF Fjardabyggdar 1177 31 34.36 -3.36 33.0% 23 26 30 34 38 44 51
Fram Reykjavik 1153 21 29.41 -8.41 12.0% 15 19 25 30 34 38 41
Selfoss 1074 20 22.35 -2.35 42.0% 9 13 17 22 26 32 36
IB Bolungarvik 1007 10 19.39 -9.39 5.0% 7 9 15 18 23 30 37
Grotta 1002 15 18.35 -3.35 27.0% 6 10 15 18 21 27 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.94%
Slight Edge
51.52%15.91%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
120 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
066.61400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.55+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
Vikingur Olafsvik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.45/gm
Runaway
00.170.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.62 * Some Luck: 4.62 to 6.94 * Lucky: 6.94 to 9.25 * Wild Swing: 9.25 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.56 * Close: 1.56 to 2.34 * Off: 2.34 to 3.12 * Way Off: 3.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.98 points
Lucky
05.7814
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.954
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
IB Bolungarvik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 126.09
1.96
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Strong Edge
50%93%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Some Drama
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.51
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.40
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.03
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.33
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.112
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Vikingur Olafsvik27.00%19.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%——
Throttur Reykjavik27.00%25.00%9.00%17.00%3.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%——
KA Akureyri20.00%9.00%20.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%———
Thor Akureyri4.00%5.00%12.00%6.00%14.00%13.00%18.00%16.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%—
Grindavik6.00%12.00%13.00%17.00%18.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%—
Haukar Hafnarfjordur7.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%2.00%——
KF Fjardabyggdar6.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%—
HK Kopavogur2.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%10.00%15.00%19.00%18.00%15.00%5.00%4.00%
Fram Reykjavik1.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%17.00%11.00%8.00%—
Selfoss———2.00%—7.00%9.00%5.00%13.00%24.00%28.00%12.00%
Grotta—————2.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%15.00%29.00%45.00%
IB Bolungarvik——1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%20.00%25.00%39.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Throttur Reykjavik 52.00% 48.00% —
Vikingur Olafsvik 46.00% 54.00% —
KA Akureyri 29.00% 71.00% —
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 18.00% 82.00% —
KF Fjardabyggdar 18.00% 81.00% 1.00%
Grindavik 18.00% 80.00% 2.00%
Thor Akureyri 9.00% 89.00% 2.00%
Fram Reykjavik 5.00% 87.00% 8.00%
HK Kopavogur 5.00% 86.00% 9.00%
Selfoss — 60.00% 40.00%
IB Bolungarvik — 36.00% 64.00%
Grotta — 26.00% 74.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2015-05-08 HK Kopavogur L 0-236.5 1096 1214 25.23% 28.13% 46.64%-0.43 -13.4 0
2015-05-08 @ Grotta W 2-036.5 1214 1096 46.64% 28.13% 25.23%+0.43 +13.4 3
2015-05-09 Fram Reykjavik D 3-362.0 1225 1228 40.41% 28.78% 30.81%+0.53 -0.3 1
2015-05-09 @ KA Akureyri D 3-362.0 1228 1225 30.81% 28.78% 40.41%-0.53 +0.3 1
2015-05-09 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-042.2 1220 1234 38.83% 28.86% 32.31%+0.44 +8.6 3
2015-05-09 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-142.2 1234 1220 32.31% 28.86% 38.83%-0.44 -8.6 0
2015-05-09 KF Fjardabyggdar L 1-348.6 1263 1224 45.98% 28.22% 25.80%+0.88 -18.3 0
2015-05-09 @ Grindavik W 3-148.6 1224 1263 25.80% 28.22% 45.98%-0.88 +18.3 3
2015-05-09 Selfoss L 0-242.2 1155 1130 44.19% 28.45% 27.36%+0.76 -20.4 0
2015-05-09 @ IB Bolungarvik W 2-042.2 1130 1155 27.36% 28.45% 44.19%-0.76 +20.4 3
2015-05-09 Thor Akureyri W 4-141.3 1206 1208 40.61% 28.77% 30.62%+0.55 +19.1 3
2015-05-09 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-441.3 1208 1206 30.62% 28.77% 40.61%-0.55 -19.1 0
2015-05-15 Grindavik W 1-042.4 1226 1245 38.12% 28.89% 32.99%+0.40 +8.7 3
2015-05-15 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-142.4 1245 1226 32.99% 28.89% 38.12%-0.40 -8.7 0
2015-05-15 HK Kopavogur L 0-141.3 1150 1227 30.11% 28.73% 41.15%-0.08 -8.2 3
2015-05-15 @ Selfoss W 1-041.3 1227 1150 41.15% 28.73% 30.11%+0.08 +8.2 6
2015-05-16 Fram Reykjavik W 4-356.6 1188 1228 35.14% 28.93% 35.93%+0.22 +8.1 3
2015-05-16 @ Thor Akureyri L 3-456.6 1228 1188 35.93% 28.93% 35.14%-0.22 -8.1 1
2015-05-16 IB Bolungarvik W 5-031.9 1225 1135 52.44% 26.98% 20.58%+1.31 +26.3 6
2015-05-16 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-531.9 1135 1225 20.58% 26.98% 52.44%-1.31 -26.3 0
2015-05-16 KA Akureyri L 0-145.4 1242 1225 43.11% 28.57% 28.32%+0.70 -10.6 3
2015-05-16 @ KF Fjardabyggdar W 1-045.4 1225 1242 28.32% 28.57% 43.11%-0.70 +10.6 4
2015-05-16 Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-048.2 1082 1229 22.27% 27.48% 50.26%-0.67 +1.6 1
2015-05-16 @ Grotta D 0-048.2 1229 1082 50.26% 27.48% 22.27%+0.67 -1.6 4
2015-05-23 Grotta W 2-032.7 1236 1084 59.28% 24.89% 15.83%+1.82 +8.8 3
2015-05-23 @ Grindavik L 0-232.7 1084 1236 15.83% 24.89% 59.28%-1.82 -8.8 1
2015-05-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-144.0 1236 1234 40.94% 28.75% 30.31%+0.57 +13.4 7
2015-05-23 @ KA Akureyri L 1-344.0 1234 1236 30.31% 28.75% 40.94%-0.57 -13.4 3
2015-05-23 KF Fjardabyggdar L 0-144.2 1220 1232 39.15% 28.85% 32.00%+0.46 -9.9 1
2015-05-23 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-044.2 1232 1220 32.00% 28.85% 39.15%-0.46 +9.9 6
2015-05-23 Selfoss W 1-038.1 1227 1142 51.79% 27.14% 21.08%+1.26 +6.1 7
2015-05-23 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-138.1 1142 1227 21.08% 27.14% 51.79%-1.26 -6.1 3
2015-05-23 Thor Akureyri L 1-343.2 1108 1197 28.69% 28.60% 42.70%-0.18 -12.8 0
2015-05-23 @ IB Bolungarvik W 3-143.2 1197 1108 42.70% 28.60% 28.69%+0.18 +12.8 6
2015-05-23 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-338.7 1235 1252 38.45% 28.88% 32.67%+0.42 -26.7 6
2015-05-23 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-038.7 1252 1235 32.67% 28.88% 38.45%-0.42 +26.7 9
2015-05-28 Fram Reykjavik W 2-146.3 1221 1210 42.25% 28.65% 29.11%+0.64 +7.5 6
2015-05-28 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-246.3 1210 1221 29.11% 28.65% 42.25%-0.64 -7.5 1
2015-05-29 Grindavik D 1-152.2 1136 1245 26.28% 28.30% 45.42%-0.35 +1.0 4
2015-05-29 @ Selfoss D 1-152.2 1245 1136 45.42% 28.30% 26.28%+0.35 -1.0 4
2015-05-29 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-036.8 1278 1234 46.77% 28.11% 25.12%+0.93 +13.3 12
2015-05-29 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-236.8 1234 1278 25.12% 28.11% 46.77%-0.93 -13.3 7
2015-05-30 HK Kopavogur W 2-151.0 1096 1209 25.78% 28.22% 46.00%-0.39 +10.5 3
2015-05-30 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-251.0 1209 1096 46.00% 28.22% 25.78%+0.39 -10.5 6
2015-05-30 KA Akureyri L 0-137.6 1075 1249 19.79% 26.71% 53.50%-0.89 -5.8 1
2015-05-30 @ Grotta W 1-037.6 1249 1075 53.50% 26.71% 19.79%+0.89 +5.8 10
2015-05-30 KF Fjardabyggdar W 2-039.8 1209 1242 36.23% 28.93% 34.84%+0.29 +17.1 9
2015-05-30 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-239.8 1242 1209 34.84% 28.93% 36.23%-0.29 -17.1 6
2015-06-06 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-038.6 1224 1229 40.19% 28.80% 31.01%+0.52 +15.7 9
2015-06-06 @ KF Fjardabyggdar L 0-238.6 1229 1224 31.01% 28.80% 40.19%-0.52 -15.7 6
2015-06-06 IB Bolungarvik W 2-142.3 1220 1106 55.14% 26.26% 18.61%+1.50 +5.1 10
2015-06-06 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-242.3 1106 1220 18.61% 26.26% 55.14%-1.50 -5.1 3
2015-06-06 Selfoss D 2-258.5 1255 1137 55.56% 26.13% 18.31%+1.54 -1.5 11
2015-06-06 @ KA Akureyri D 2-258.5 1137 1255 18.31% 26.13% 55.56%-1.54 +1.5 5
2015-06-07 Grotta W 4-136.2 1203 1070 57.27% 25.59% 17.14%+1.66 +11.6 4
2015-06-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-436.2 1070 1203 17.14% 25.59% 57.27%-1.66 -11.6 1
2015-06-07 Thor Akureyri L 2-353.8 1198 1226 36.75% 28.92% 34.33%+0.32 -8.4 6
2015-06-07 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-253.8 1226 1198 34.33% 28.92% 36.75%-0.32 +8.4 12
2015-06-08 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-143.0 1244 1292 33.95% 28.91% 37.14%+0.15 -8.9 4
2015-06-08 @ Grindavik W 1-043.0 1292 1244 37.14% 28.91% 33.95%-0.15 +8.9 15
2015-06-11 Fram Reykjavik W 2-149.7 1138 1214 30.24% 28.74% 41.02%-0.08 +9.6 8
2015-06-11 @ Selfoss L 1-249.7 1214 1138 41.02% 28.74% 30.24%+0.08 -9.6 4
2015-06-13 Grindavik L 1-341.5 1101 1235 23.55% 27.79% 48.66%-0.56 -11.0 3
2015-06-13 @ IB Bolungarvik W 3-141.5 1235 1101 48.66% 27.79% 23.55%+0.56 +11.0 7
2015-06-13 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-145.8 1235 1213 43.77% 28.50% 27.73%+0.74 +7.2 15
2015-06-13 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-245.8 1213 1235 27.73% 28.50% 43.77%-0.74 -7.2 6
2015-06-13 KF Fjardabyggdar L 0-331.8 1058 1240 19.08% 26.45% 54.48%-0.96 -15.2 1
2015-06-13 @ Grotta W 3-031.8 1240 1058 54.48% 26.45% 19.08%+0.96 +15.2 12
2015-06-13 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-240.0 1190 1225 35.72% 28.93% 35.35%+0.26 -17.4 6
2015-06-13 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-040.0 1225 1190 35.35% 28.93% 35.72%-0.26 +17.4 13
2015-06-14 KA Akureyri W 2-145.2 1301 1253 47.08% 28.06% 24.86%+0.95 +6.6 18
2015-06-14 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-245.2 1253 1301 24.86% 28.06% 47.08%-0.95 -6.6 11
2015-06-19 Grotta W 4-029.1 1206 1043 60.44% 24.46% 15.10%+1.91 +15.8 9
2015-06-19 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-429.1 1043 1206 15.10% 24.46% 60.44%-1.91 -15.8 1
2015-06-21 IB Bolungarvik W 2-032.5 1247 1090 59.79% 24.70% 15.50%+1.86 +8.6 14
2015-06-21 @ KA Akureyri L 0-232.5 1090 1247 15.50% 24.70% 59.79%-1.86 -8.6 3
2015-06-21 Selfoss W 2-034.3 1255 1148 54.36% 26.48% 19.16%+1.45 +10.5 15
2015-06-21 @ KF Fjardabyggdar L 0-234.3 1148 1255 19.16% 26.48% 54.36%-1.45 -10.5 8
2015-06-21 Thor Akureyri W 2-146.8 1243 1242 40.84% 28.75% 30.41%+0.56 +7.7 16
2015-06-21 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-246.8 1242 1243 30.41% 28.75% 40.84%-0.56 -7.7 15
2015-06-22 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-045.9 1205 1307 26.96% 28.40% 44.64%-0.30 +10.9 7
2015-06-22 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-145.9 1307 1205 44.64% 28.40% 26.96%+0.30 -10.9 18
2015-06-23 HK Kopavogur W 2-035.5 1246 1172 50.36% 27.46% 22.18%+1.17 +12.0 10
2015-06-23 @ Grindavik L 0-235.5 1172 1246 22.18% 27.46% 50.36%-1.17 -12.0 6
2015-06-25 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-141.0 1138 1221 29.23% 28.66% 42.12%-0.14 -8.0 8
2015-06-25 @ Selfoss W 1-041.0 1221 1138 42.12% 28.66% 29.23%+0.14 +8.0 12
2015-06-27 Fram Reykjavik L 1-244.2 1081 1216 23.51% 27.78% 48.71%-0.56 -6.3 3
2015-06-27 @ IB Bolungarvik W 2-144.2 1216 1081 48.71% 27.78% 23.51%+0.56 +6.3 10
2015-06-27 Grindavik W 2-038.9 1250 1258 39.76% 28.82% 31.42%+0.49 +15.9 19
2015-06-27 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-238.9 1258 1250 31.42% 28.82% 39.76%-0.49 -15.9 10
2015-06-27 Grotta L 0-149.8 1234 1027 64.90% 22.58% 12.53%+2.28 -14.8 15
2015-06-27 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-049.8 1027 1234 12.53% 22.58% 64.90%-2.28 +14.8 4
2015-06-27 KA Akureyri W 3-255.8 1160 1255 27.84% 28.51% 43.65%-0.24 +9.6 9
2015-06-27 @ HK Kopavogur L 2-355.8 1255 1160 43.65% 28.51% 27.84%+0.24 -9.6 14
2015-06-27 KF Fjardabyggdar W 2-145.9 1296 1266 44.88% 28.37% 26.75%+0.81 +7.0 21
2015-06-27 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-245.9 1266 1296 26.75% 28.37% 44.88%-0.81 -7.0 15
2015-07-02 HK Kopavogur L 1-251.6 1222 1170 47.70% 27.96% 24.34%+0.99 -10.9 10
2015-07-02 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-151.6 1170 1222 24.34% 27.96% 47.70%-0.99 +10.9 12
2015-07-02 Selfoss D 0-047.8 1042 1130 28.71% 28.61% 42.68%-0.18 +0.8 5
2015-07-02 @ Grotta D 0-047.8 1130 1042 42.68% 28.61% 28.71%+0.18 -0.8 9
2015-07-02 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-247.0 1229 1303 30.47% 28.76% 40.77%-0.06 -7.8 12
2015-07-02 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-147.0 1303 1229 40.77% 28.76% 30.47%+0.06 +7.8 24
2015-07-02 Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-152.3 1246 1266 37.87% 28.90% 33.23%+0.38 -0.2 15
2015-07-02 @ KA Akureyri D 1-152.3 1266 1246 33.23% 28.90% 37.87%-0.38 +0.2 20
2015-07-03 Grindavik L 2-354.2 1220 1242 37.65% 28.90% 33.45%+0.37 -8.6 15
2015-07-03 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-254.2 1242 1220 33.45% 28.90% 37.65%-0.37 +8.6 13
2015-07-04 IB Bolungarvik W 3-029.4 1259 1075 62.56% 23.60% 13.84%+2.08 +11.0 18
2015-07-04 @ KF Fjardabyggdar L 0-329.4 1075 1259 13.84% 23.60% 62.56%-2.08 -11.0 3
2015-07-07 Fram Reykjavik W 4-033.2 1267 1211 48.12% 27.89% 24.00%+1.02 +24.4 23
2015-07-07 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-433.2 1211 1267 24.00% 27.89% 48.12%-1.02 -24.4 10
2015-07-07 Grotta W 1-032.5 1311 1042 70.48% 19.80% 9.72%+2.79 +2.7 27
2015-07-07 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-132.5 1042 1311 9.72% 19.80% 70.48%-2.79 -2.7 5
2015-07-07 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.0 1064 1222 21.24% 27.19% 51.58%-0.76 +1.2 4
2015-07-07 @ IB Bolungarvik D 2-258.0 1222 1064 51.58% 27.19% 21.24%+0.76 -1.2 13
2015-07-07 KF Fjardabyggdar L 1-343.4 1181 1270 28.55% 28.59% 42.86%-0.19 -12.8 12
2015-07-07 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-143.4 1270 1181 42.86% 28.59% 28.55%+0.19 +12.8 21
2015-07-07 Selfoss W 2-143.4 1211 1129 51.41% 27.22% 21.36%+1.24 +5.8 18
2015-07-07 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-243.4 1129 1211 21.36% 27.22% 51.41%-1.24 -5.8 9
2015-07-11 Grindavik D 1-152.1 1187 1250 31.83% 28.84% 39.33%+0.02 +0.4 11
2015-07-11 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1250 1187 39.33% 28.84% 31.83%-0.02 -0.4 14
2015-07-11 IB Bolungarvik W 2-147.5 1040 1065 37.17% 28.91% 33.92%+0.34 +8.4 8
2015-07-11 @ Grotta L 1-247.5 1065 1040 33.92% 28.91% 37.17%-0.34 -8.4 4
2015-07-11 Thor Akureyri W 1-040.5 1245 1217 44.64% 28.40% 26.96%+0.79 +7.5 18
2015-07-11 @ KA Akureyri L 0-140.5 1217 1245 26.96% 28.40% 44.64%-0.79 -7.5 18
2015-07-11 Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-042.4 1283 1291 39.62% 28.83% 31.55%+0.49 +8.4 24
2015-07-11 @ KF Fjardabyggdar L 0-142.4 1291 1283 31.55% 28.83% 39.62%-0.49 -8.4 23
2015-07-13 HK Kopavogur W 2-036.2 1220 1168 47.76% 27.95% 24.30%+0.99 +13.0 16
2015-07-13 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-236.2 1168 1220 24.30% 27.95% 47.76%-0.99 -13.0 12
2015-07-13 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-045.1 1123 1314 18.38% 26.16% 55.45%-1.03 +24.6 12
2015-07-13 @ Selfoss L 0-245.1 1314 1123 55.45% 26.16% 18.38%+1.03 -24.6 27
2015-07-14 KA Akureyri W 2-147.0 1250 1253 40.35% 28.79% 30.86%+0.53 +7.8 17
2015-07-14 @ Grindavik L 1-247.0 1253 1250 30.86% 28.79% 40.35%-0.53 -7.8 18
2015-07-17 Grotta W 1-037.3 1155 1048 54.30% 26.49% 19.20%+1.44 +5.6 15
2015-07-17 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-137.3 1048 1155 19.20% 26.49% 54.30%-1.44 -5.6 8
2015-07-17 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-239.7 1233 1282 33.83% 28.91% 37.26%+0.15 -16.8 16
2015-07-17 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-039.7 1282 1233 37.26% 28.91% 33.83%-0.15 +16.8 26
2015-07-18 KA Akureyri D 1-152.1 1187 1245 32.58% 28.87% 38.54%+0.07 +0.3 12
2015-07-18 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1245 1187 38.54% 28.87% 32.58%-0.07 -0.3 19
2015-07-18 Selfoss D 2-257.6 1057 1148 28.38% 28.57% 43.05%-0.20 +0.5 5
2015-07-18 @ IB Bolungarvik D 2-257.6 1148 1057 43.05% 28.57% 28.38%+0.20 -0.5 13
2015-07-18 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-150.2 1209 1289 29.72% 28.70% 41.58%-0.11 +9.8 21
2015-07-18 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-250.2 1289 1209 41.58% 28.70% 29.72%+0.11 -9.7 27
2015-07-19 Grindavik L 0-340.8 1291 1258 45.26% 28.32% 26.42%+0.83 -30.2 24
2015-07-19 @ KF Fjardabyggdar W 3-040.8 1258 1291 26.42% 28.32% 45.26%-0.83 +30.2 20
2015-07-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.3 1288 1217 50.10% 27.51% 22.39%+1.15 -1.1 21
2015-07-23 @ Grindavik D 2-258.3 1217 1288 22.39% 27.51% 50.10%-1.15 +1.1 17
2015-07-23 KF Fjardabyggdar W 2-147.6 1245 1261 38.52% 28.88% 32.61%+0.42 +8.2 22
2015-07-23 @ KA Akureyri L 1-247.6 1261 1245 32.61% 28.88% 38.52%-0.42 -8.2 24
2015-07-23 Selfoss W 4-034.5 1160 1147 42.59% 28.62% 28.79%+0.67 +28.2 18
2015-07-23 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-434.5 1147 1160 28.79% 28.62% 42.59%-0.67 -28.2 13
2015-07-24 Grotta W 4-026.5 1299 1042 69.43% 20.35% 10.22%+2.69 +10.3 29
2015-07-24 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-426.5 1042 1299 10.22% 20.35% 69.43%-2.69 -10.2 8
2015-07-25 Thor Akureyri L 2-353.7 1187 1219 36.29% 28.93% 34.79%+0.29 -8.4 12
2015-07-25 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-253.7 1219 1187 34.79% 28.93% 36.29%-0.29 +8.4 24
2015-07-25 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-435.7 1057 1280 16.08% 25.04% 58.88%-1.29 -10.9 5
2015-07-25 @ IB Bolungarvik W 4-135.7 1280 1057 58.88% 25.04% 16.08%+1.29 +10.9 30
2015-07-29 Fram Reykjavik D 3-362.3 1253 1179 50.39% 27.45% 22.16%+1.17 -0.9 25
2015-07-29 @ KF Fjardabyggdar D 3-362.3 1179 1253 22.16% 27.45% 50.39%-1.17 +0.9 13
2015-07-29 Grindavik W 1-049.4 1032 1287 14.01% 23.73% 62.27%-1.57 +14.3 11
2015-07-29 @ Grotta L 0-149.4 1287 1032 62.27% 23.73% 14.01%+1.57 -14.3 21
2015-07-29 HK Kopavogur W 4-031.5 1290 1189 53.73% 26.65% 19.62%+1.40 +20.4 33
2015-07-29 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-431.5 1189 1290 19.62% 26.65% 53.73%-1.40 -20.4 18
2015-07-29 IB Bolungarvik W 6-131.8 1227 1047 62.28% 23.72% 14.00%+2.06 +14.9 27
2015-07-29 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-631.8 1047 1227 14.00% 23.72% 62.28%-2.06 -14.9 5
2015-07-29 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-234.0 1119 1309 18.40% 26.17% 55.43%-1.03 -10.1 13
2015-07-29 @ Selfoss W 2-034.0 1309 1119 55.43% 26.17% 18.40%+1.03 +10.1 32
2015-08-04 KA Akureyri W 2-148.3 1218 1253 35.78% 28.93% 35.29%+0.26 +8.6 20
2015-08-04 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-248.3 1253 1218 35.29% 28.93% 35.78%-0.26 -8.6 22
2015-08-06 Selfoss W 5-029.4 1273 1109 60.55% 24.42% 15.04%+1.92 +19.4 24
2015-08-06 @ Grindavik L 0-529.4 1109 1273 15.04% 24.42% 60.55%-1.92 -19.4 13
2015-08-07 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-038.0 1180 1226 34.19% 28.92% 36.89%+0.17 +25.9 16
2015-08-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-338.0 1226 1180 36.89% 28.92% 34.19%-0.17 -25.9 20
2015-08-07 Thor Akureyri D 2-257.9 1252 1242 42.06% 28.66% 29.27%+0.63 -0.5 26
2015-08-07 @ KF Fjardabyggdar D 2-257.9 1242 1252 29.27% 28.66% 42.06%-0.63 +0.5 28
2015-08-08 Grotta W 1-034.4 1244 1047 63.95% 23.00% 13.05%+2.20 +3.8 25
2015-08-08 @ KA Akureyri L 0-134.4 1047 1244 13.05% 23.00% 63.95%-2.20 -3.8 11
2015-08-08 IB Bolungarvik W 2-141.4 1168 1032 57.64% 25.47% 16.89%+1.69 +4.7 21
2015-08-08 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-241.4 1032 1168 16.89% 25.47% 57.64%-1.69 -4.7 5
2015-08-08 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-252.5 1320 1311 41.97% 28.67% 29.36%+0.63 +7.2 35
2015-08-08 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 2-352.5 1311 1320 29.36% 28.67% 41.97%-0.63 -7.1 33
2015-08-14 Fram Reykjavik D 0-048.3 1043 1206 20.73% 27.03% 52.23%-0.80 +1.8 12
2015-08-14 @ Grotta D 0-048.3 1206 1043 52.23% 27.03% 20.73%+0.80 -1.8 17
2015-08-14 Grindavik W 2-038.6 1304 1292 42.35% 28.64% 29.01%+0.65 +14.9 36
2015-08-14 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-238.6 1292 1304 29.01% 28.64% 42.35%-0.65 -14.9 24
2015-08-14 HK Kopavogur D 0-048.3 1243 1173 49.93% 27.55% 22.53%+1.14 -1.6 29
2015-08-14 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-048.3 1173 1243 22.53% 27.55% 49.93%-1.14 +1.6 22
2015-08-14 KA Akureyri L 0-431.8 1089 1248 21.11% 27.15% 51.74%-0.77 -21.8 13
2015-08-14 @ Selfoss W 4-031.8 1248 1089 51.74% 27.15% 21.11%+0.77 +21.8 28
2015-08-14 KF Fjardabyggdar W 3-146.2 1200 1251 33.57% 28.91% 37.53%+0.13 +15.6 23
2015-08-14 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-346.2 1251 1200 37.53% 28.91% 33.57%-0.13 -15.6 26
2015-08-14 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-531.6 1027 1327 11.61% 21.76% 66.63%-1.94 -9.9 5
2015-08-14 @ IB Bolungarvik W 5-131.6 1327 1027 66.63% 21.76% 11.61%+1.94 +9.9 38
2015-08-18 Grotta L 2-359.9 1236 1045 63.30% 23.29% 13.41%+2.15 -13.0 26
2015-08-18 @ KF Fjardabyggdar W 3-259.9 1045 1236 13.41% 23.29% 63.30%-2.15 +13.0 15
2015-08-18 HK Kopavogur W 3-030.4 1337 1174 60.37% 24.49% 15.15%+1.91 +12.1 41
2015-08-18 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-330.4 1174 1337 15.15% 24.49% 60.37%-1.91 -12.2 22
2015-08-18 IB Bolungarvik W 1-032.7 1277 1017 69.73% 20.20% 10.07%+2.72 +2.8 27
2015-08-18 @ Grindavik L 0-132.7 1017 1277 10.07% 20.20% 69.73%-2.72 -2.8 5
2015-08-18 Selfoss L 1-253.7 1204 1067 57.63% 25.47% 16.90%+1.69 -12.7 17
2015-08-18 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-153.7 1067 1204 16.90% 25.47% 57.63%-1.69 +12.7 16
2015-08-18 Thor Akureyri W 1-042.7 1216 1241 37.23% 28.91% 33.86%+0.35 +8.9 26
2015-08-18 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-142.7 1241 1216 33.86% 28.91% 37.23%-0.35 -8.9 29
2015-08-18 Throttur Reykjavik W 4-144.0 1270 1319 33.88% 28.91% 37.21%+0.15 +22.0 31
2015-08-18 @ KA Akureyri L 1-444.0 1319 1270 37.21% 28.91% 33.88%-0.15 -22.0 36
2015-08-22 Fram Reykjavik D 2-258.6 1297 1191 54.15% 26.54% 19.31%+1.43 -1.4 37
2015-08-22 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-258.6 1191 1297 19.31% 26.54% 54.15%-1.43 +1.4 18
2015-08-22 Grindavik L 0-236.7 1162 1280 25.26% 28.13% 46.61%-0.43 -13.4 22
2015-08-22 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-036.7 1280 1162 46.61% 28.13% 25.26%+0.43 +13.4 30
2015-08-22 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-340.2 1058 1225 20.34% 26.90% 52.75%-0.84 -9.6 15
2015-08-22 @ Grotta W 3-140.2 1225 1058 52.75% 26.90% 20.34%+0.84 +9.6 29
2015-08-22 KA Akureyri L 0-428.0 1014 1292 12.73% 22.74% 64.53%-1.76 -13.2 5
2015-08-22 @ IB Bolungarvik W 4-028.0 1292 1014 64.53% 22.74% 12.73%+1.76 +13.2 34
2015-08-22 KF Fjardabyggdar D 2-257.9 1080 1223 22.66% 27.58% 49.76%-0.63 +1.0 17
2015-08-22 @ Selfoss D 2-257.9 1223 1080 49.76% 27.58% 22.66%+0.63 -1.0 27
2015-08-22 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-245.6 1232 1349 25.39% 28.15% 46.45%-0.42 -6.7 29
2015-08-22 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-145.6 1349 1232 46.45% 28.15% 25.39%+0.42 +6.7 44
2015-08-27 Selfoss W 3-030.3 1235 1081 59.45% 24.83% 15.72%+1.83 +12.6 32
2015-08-27 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-330.3 1081 1235 15.72% 24.83% 59.45%-1.83 -12.6 17
2015-08-29 HK Kopavogur W 3-030.5 1305 1149 59.74% 24.72% 15.54%+1.86 +12.5 37
2015-08-29 @ KA Akureyri L 0-330.5 1149 1305 15.54% 24.72% 59.74%-1.86 -12.5 22
2015-08-29 IB Bolungarvik W 3-137.0 1193 1001 63.34% 23.27% 13.39%+2.15 +6.4 21
2015-08-29 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-337.0 1001 1193 13.39% 23.27% 63.34%-2.15 -6.4 5
2015-08-29 Thor Akureyri L 0-137.4 1048 1226 19.46% 26.59% 53.95%-0.92 -5.7 15
2015-08-29 @ Grotta W 1-037.4 1226 1048 53.95% 26.59% 19.46%+0.92 +5.7 32
2015-08-29 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-044.9 1222 1295 30.53% 28.76% 40.71%-0.06 +10.2 30
2015-08-29 @ KF Fjardabyggdar L 0-144.9 1295 1222 40.71% 28.76% 30.53%+0.06 -10.2 37
2015-09-01 Vikingur Olafsvik L 2-741.3 1293 1356 32.03% 28.85% 39.12%+0.04 -26.1 30
2015-09-01 @ Grindavik W 7-241.3 1356 1293 39.12% 28.85% 32.03%-0.04 +26.1 47
2015-09-04 Fram Reykjavik W 1-044.0 1136 1199 31.98% 28.85% 39.17%+0.03 +9.9 25
2015-09-04 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-144.0 1199 1136 39.17% 28.85% 31.98%-0.03 -9.9 21
2015-09-05 Grotta W 2-037.1 1069 1042 44.33% 28.44% 27.24%+0.77 +14.2 20
2015-09-05 @ Selfoss L 0-237.1 1042 1069 27.24% 28.44% 44.33%-0.77 -14.2 15
2015-09-05 KA Akureyri D 0-050.0 1382 1318 49.19% 27.69% 23.12%+1.09 -1.5 48
2015-09-05 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-050.0 1318 1382 23.12% 27.69% 49.19%-1.09 +1.5 38
2015-09-05 KF Fjardabyggdar D 2-258.8 995 1232 15.08% 24.45% 60.47%-1.42 +1.8 6
2015-09-05 @ IB Bolungarvik D 2-258.8 1232 995 60.47% 24.45% 15.08%+1.42 -1.8 31
2015-09-05 Thor Akureyri L 1-251.3 1267 1231 45.61% 28.27% 26.12%+0.85 -10.5 30
2015-09-05 @ Grindavik W 2-151.3 1231 1267 26.12% 28.27% 45.61%-0.85 +10.5 35
2015-09-12 Grindavik L 1-349.7 1319 1257 48.97% 27.73% 23.30%+1.07 -19.2 38
2015-09-12 @ KA Akureyri W 3-149.7 1257 1319 23.30% 27.73% 48.97%-1.07 +19.2 33
2015-09-12 HK Kopavogur L 0-441.0 1230 1146 51.60% 27.18% 21.22%+1.25 -43.9 31
2015-09-12 @ KF Fjardabyggdar W 4-041.0 1146 1230 21.22% 27.18% 51.60%-1.25 +43.9 28
2015-09-12 IB Bolungarvik D 2-260.0 1247 997 68.90% 20.63% 10.47%+2.64 -2.4 33
2015-09-12 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-260.0 997 1247 10.47% 20.63% 68.90%-2.64 +2.4 7
2015-09-12 Thor Akureyri L 2-348.5 1083 1242 21.10% 27.15% 51.75%-0.77 -5.5 20
2015-09-12 @ Selfoss W 3-248.5 1242 1083 51.75% 27.15% 21.10%+0.77 +5.5 38
2015-09-12 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-528.8 1028 1285 13.87% 23.63% 62.50%-1.59 -17.8 15
2015-09-12 @ Grotta W 5-028.8 1285 1028 62.50% 23.63% 13.87%+1.59 +17.8 40
2015-09-12 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-431.3 1189 1380 18.37% 26.16% 55.47%-1.04 -19.2 21
2015-09-12 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-031.3 1380 1189 55.47% 26.16% 18.37%+1.04 +19.2 51
2015-09-15 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.8 1303 1245 48.45% 27.83% 23.72%+1.04 -1.3 41
2015-09-15 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-152.8 1245 1303 23.72% 27.83% 48.45%-1.04 +1.3 34
2015-09-19 Fram Reykjavik W 7-235.7 1276 1170 54.23% 26.51% 19.25%+1.44 +17.2 36
2015-09-19 @ Grindavik L 2-735.7 1170 1276 19.25% 26.51% 54.23%-1.44 -17.2 21
2015-09-19 Grotta W 2-146.9 999 1010 39.19% 28.85% 31.96%+0.46 +8.0 10
2015-09-19 @ IB Bolungarvik L 1-246.9 1010 999 31.96% 28.85% 39.19%-0.46 -8.0 15
2015-09-19 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-040.8 1190 1246 32.88% 28.89% 38.23%+0.09 +18.3 31
2015-09-19 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-240.8 1246 1190 38.23% 28.89% 32.88%-0.09 -18.3 34
2015-09-19 KA Akureyri L 0-337.4 1247 1300 33.33% 28.90% 37.77%+0.12 -24.1 38
2015-09-19 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-037.4 1300 1247 37.77% 28.90% 33.33%-0.12 +24.1 41
2015-09-19 KF Fjardabyggdar W 6-234.6 1399 1186 65.44% 22.33% 12.24%+2.33 +8.9 54
2015-09-19 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 2-634.6 1186 1399 12.24% 22.33% 65.44%-2.33 -8.9 31
2015-09-19 Selfoss W 1-033.7 1302 1077 66.49% 21.83% 11.68%+2.42 +3.3 44
2015-09-19 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-133.7 1077 1302 11.68% 21.83% 66.49%-2.42 -3.3 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-06-27 12.53% Grotta 1027 1 @ Thor Akureyri 1234 0
2 2015-08-18 13.41% Grotta 1045 3 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 1236 2
3 2015-07-29 14.01% @ Grotta 1032 1 Grindavik 1287 0
4 2015-08-18 16.90% Selfoss 1067 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1204 1
5 2015-07-13 18.38% @ Selfoss 1123 2 Throttur Reykjavik 1314 0
6 2015-09-12 21.22% HK Kopavogur 1146 4 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 1230 0
7 2015-09-12 23.30% Grindavik 1257 3 @ KA Akureyri 1319 1
8 2015-07-02 24.34% HK Kopavogur 1170 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1222 1
9 2015-05-30 25.78% @ IB Bolungarvik 1096 2 HK Kopavogur 1209 1
10 2015-05-09 25.80% KF Fjardabyggdar 1224 3 @ Grindavik 1263 1
11 2015-09-05 26.12% Thor Akureyri 1231 2 @ Grindavik 1267 1
12 2015-07-19 26.42% Grindavik 1258 3 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 1291 0
13 2015-06-22 26.96% @ Fram Reykjavik 1205 1 Throttur Reykjavik 1307 0
14 2015-05-09 27.36% Selfoss 1130 2 @ IB Bolungarvik 1155 0
15 2015-06-27 27.84% @ HK Kopavogur 1160 3 KA Akureyri 1255 2
16 2015-05-16 28.32% KA Akureyri 1225 1 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 1242 0
17 2015-07-18 29.72% @ Thor Akureyri 1209 2 Throttur Reykjavik 1289 1
18 2015-06-11 30.24% @ Selfoss 1138 2 Fram Reykjavik 1214 1
19 2015-08-29 30.53% @ KF Fjardabyggdar 1222 1 Throttur Reykjavik 1295 0
20 2015-09-04 31.98% @ HK Kopavogur 1136 1 Fram Reykjavik 1199 0
21 2015-05-23 32.00% KF Fjardabyggdar 1232 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1220 0
22 2015-05-23 32.67% Throttur Reykjavik 1252 3 @ HK Kopavogur 1235 0
23 2015-09-19 32.88% @ HK Kopavogur 1190 2 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1246 0
24 2015-07-03 33.45% Grindavik 1242 3 @ Thor Akureyri 1220 2
25 2015-08-14 33.57% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1200 3 KF Fjardabyggdar 1251 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-09-12 43.94 HK Kopavogur 4 1146 21.22% @ KF Fjardabyggdar 0 1230 51.60% 27.18%
2 2015-07-19 30.24 Grindavik 3 1258 26.42% @ KF Fjardabyggdar 0 1291 45.26% 28.32%
3 2015-07-23 28.19 @ HK Kopavogur 4 1160 42.59% Selfoss 0 1147 28.79% 28.62%
4 2015-05-23 26.69 Throttur Reykjavik 3 1252 32.67% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1235 38.45% 28.88%
5 2015-05-16 26.29 @ Throttur Reykjavik 5 1225 52.44% IB Bolungarvik 0 1135 20.58% 26.98%
6 2015-09-01 26.08 Vikingur Olafsvik 7 1356 39.12% @ Grindavik 2 1293 32.03% 28.85%
7 2015-08-07 25.89 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1180 34.19% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1226 36.89% 28.92%
8 2015-07-13 24.58 @ Selfoss 2 1123 18.38% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1314 55.45% 26.16%
9 2015-07-07 24.37 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1267 48.12% Fram Reykjavik 0 1211 24.00% 27.89%
10 2015-09-19 24.07 KA Akureyri 3 1300 37.77% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1247 33.33% 28.90%
11 2015-08-18 21.97 @ KA Akureyri 4 1270 33.88% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1319 37.21% 28.91%
12 2015-08-14 21.83 KA Akureyri 4 1248 51.74% @ Selfoss 0 1089 21.11% 27.15%
13 2015-05-09 20.44 Selfoss 2 1130 27.36% @ IB Bolungarvik 0 1155 44.19% 28.45%
14 2015-07-29 20.43 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1290 53.73% HK Kopavogur 0 1189 19.62% 26.65%
15 2015-08-06 19.42 @ Grindavik 5 1273 60.55% Selfoss 0 1109 15.04% 24.42%
16 2015-09-12 19.22 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1380 55.47% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1189 18.37% 26.16%
17 2015-09-12 19.21 Grindavik 3 1257 23.30% @ KA Akureyri 1 1319 48.97% 27.73%
18 2015-05-09 19.07 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1206 40.61% Thor Akureyri 1 1208 30.62% 28.77%
19 2015-09-19 18.30 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1190 32.88% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1246 38.23% 28.89%
20 2015-05-09 18.26 KF Fjardabyggdar 3 1224 25.80% @ Grindavik 1 1263 45.98% 28.22%
21 2015-09-12 17.84 Throttur Reykjavik 5 1285 62.50% @ Grotta 0 1028 13.87% 23.63%
22 2015-06-13 17.42 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1225 35.35% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1190 35.72% 28.93%
23 2015-09-19 17.15 @ Grindavik 7 1276 54.23% Fram Reykjavik 2 1170 19.25% 26.51%
24 2015-05-30 17.11 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1209 36.23% KF Fjardabyggdar 0 1242 34.84% 28.93%
25 2015-07-17 16.75 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1282 37.26% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1233 33.83% 28.91%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-07-29 62.3 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 3 1253 50.39% Fram Reykjavik 3 1179 22.16% 27.45%
2 2015-05-09 62.0 @ KA Akureyri 3 1225 40.41% Fram Reykjavik 3 1228 30.81% 28.78%
3 2015-09-12 60.0 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1247 68.90% IB Bolungarvik 2 997 10.47% 20.63%
4 2015-08-18 59.9 Grotta 3 1045 13.41% @ KF Fjardabyggdar 2 1236 63.30% 23.29%
5 2015-09-05 58.8 @ IB Bolungarvik 2 995 15.08% KF Fjardabyggdar 2 1232 60.47% 24.45%
6 2015-08-22 58.6 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1297 54.15% Fram Reykjavik 2 1191 19.31% 26.54%
7 2015-06-06 58.5 @ KA Akureyri 2 1255 55.56% Selfoss 2 1137 18.31% 26.13%
8 2015-07-23 58.3 @ Grindavik 2 1288 50.10% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1217 22.39% 27.51%
9 2015-07-07 58.0 @ IB Bolungarvik 2 1064 21.24% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1222 51.58% 27.19%
10 2015-08-07 57.9 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 2 1252 42.06% Thor Akureyri 2 1242 29.27% 28.66%
11 2015-08-22 57.9 @ Selfoss 2 1080 22.66% KF Fjardabyggdar 2 1223 49.76% 27.58%
12 2015-07-18 57.6 @ IB Bolungarvik 2 1057 28.38% Selfoss 2 1148 43.05% 28.57%
13 2015-05-16 56.6 @ Thor Akureyri 4 1188 35.14% Fram Reykjavik 3 1228 35.93% 28.93%
14 2015-06-27 55.8 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1160 27.84% KA Akureyri 2 1255 43.65% 28.51%
15 2015-07-03 54.2 Grindavik 3 1242 33.45% @ Thor Akureyri 2 1220 37.65% 28.90%
16 2015-06-07 53.8 Thor Akureyri 3 1226 34.33% @ HK Kopavogur 2 1198 36.75% 28.92%
17 2015-07-25 53.7 Thor Akureyri 3 1219 34.79% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1187 36.29% 28.93%
18 2015-08-18 53.7 Selfoss 2 1067 16.90% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1204 57.63% 25.47%
19 2015-09-15 52.8 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1303 48.45% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1245 23.72% 27.83%
20 2015-08-08 52.5 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1320 41.97% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1311 29.36% 28.67%
21 2015-07-02 52.3 @ KA Akureyri 1 1246 37.87% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1266 33.23% 28.90%
22 2015-05-29 52.2 @ Selfoss 1 1136 26.28% Grindavik 1 1245 45.42% 28.30%
23 2015-07-11 52.1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1187 31.83% Grindavik 1 1250 39.33% 28.84%
24 2015-07-18 52.1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1187 32.58% KA Akureyri 1 1245 38.54% 28.87%
25 2015-07-02 51.6 HK Kopavogur 2 1170 24.34% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1222 47.70% 27.96%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-07-24 26.5 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1299 69.43% Grotta 0 1042 10.22% 20.35%
2 2015-08-22 28.0 KA Akureyri 4 1292 64.53% @ IB Bolungarvik 0 1014 12.73% 22.74%
3 2015-09-12 28.8 Throttur Reykjavik 5 1285 62.50% @ Grotta 0 1028 13.87% 23.63%
4 2015-06-19 29.1 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 1206 60.44% Grotta 0 1043 15.10% 24.46%
5 2015-07-04 29.4 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 3 1259 62.56% IB Bolungarvik 0 1075 13.84% 23.60%
6 2015-08-06 29.4 @ Grindavik 5 1273 60.55% Selfoss 0 1109 15.04% 24.42%
7 2015-08-27 30.3 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1235 59.45% Selfoss 0 1081 15.72% 24.83%
8 2015-08-18 30.4 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1337 60.37% HK Kopavogur 0 1174 15.15% 24.49%
9 2015-08-29 30.5 @ KA Akureyri 3 1305 59.74% HK Kopavogur 0 1149 15.54% 24.72%
10 2015-09-12 31.3 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1380 55.47% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1189 18.37% 26.16%
11 2015-07-29 31.5 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1290 53.73% HK Kopavogur 0 1189 19.62% 26.65%
12 2015-08-14 31.6 Vikingur Olafsvik 5 1327 66.63% @ IB Bolungarvik 1 1027 11.61% 21.76%
13 2015-06-13 31.8 KF Fjardabyggdar 3 1240 54.48% @ Grotta 0 1058 19.08% 26.45%
14 2015-07-29 31.8 @ Thor Akureyri 6 1227 62.28% IB Bolungarvik 1 1047 14.00% 23.72%
15 2015-08-14 31.8 KA Akureyri 4 1248 51.74% @ Selfoss 0 1089 21.11% 27.15%
16 2015-05-16 31.9 @ Throttur Reykjavik 5 1225 52.44% IB Bolungarvik 0 1135 20.58% 26.98%
17 2015-06-21 32.5 @ KA Akureyri 2 1247 59.79% IB Bolungarvik 0 1090 15.50% 24.70%
18 2015-07-07 32.5 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1311 70.48% Grotta 0 1042 9.72% 19.80%
19 2015-05-23 32.7 @ Grindavik 2 1236 59.28% Grotta 0 1084 15.83% 24.89%
20 2015-08-18 32.7 @ Grindavik 1 1277 69.73% IB Bolungarvik 0 1017 10.07% 20.20%
21 2015-07-07 33.2 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1267 48.12% Fram Reykjavik 0 1211 24.00% 27.89%
22 2015-09-19 33.7 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1302 66.49% Selfoss 0 1077 11.68% 21.83%
23 2015-07-29 34.0 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1309 55.43% @ Selfoss 0 1119 18.40% 26.17%
24 2015-06-21 34.3 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 2 1255 54.36% Selfoss 0 1148 19.16% 26.48%
25 2015-08-08 34.4 @ KA Akureyri 1 1244 63.95% Grotta 0 1047 13.05% 23.00%