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2015-16 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KA Akureyri

11.99 points above expected

51 points · 39.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KF Fjardabyggdar

11.26 points below expected

17 points · 28.26 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 22 16 3 3 51 42 16 +26 39.01 +11.99
2 Grindavik 22 12 6 4 42 50 21 +29 38.63 +3.37
3 Keflavik IF 22 8 11 3 35 31 20 +11 30.70 +4.30
4 Thor Akureyri 22 10 3 9 33 34 38 -4 29.35 +3.65
5 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 22 9 4 9 31 31 35 -4 30.24 +0.76
6 Fram Reykjavik 22 8 6 8 30 25 29 -4 27.19 +2.81
7 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 5 9 29 21 28 -7 34.63 -5.63
8 Selfoss 22 6 10 6 28 28 25 +3 22.85 +5.15
9 HK Kopavogur 22 5 7 10 22 32 45 -13 29.01 -7.01
10 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 22 6 3 13 21 32 45 -13 28.60 -7.60
11 Huginn 22 5 6 11 21 20 34 -14 28.19 -7.19
12 KF Fjardabyggdar 22 3 8 11 17 26 36 -10 28.26 -11.26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 51 39.01 +11.99
2 Selfoss 28 22.85 +5.15
3 Keflavik IF 35 30.70 +4.30
4 Thor Akureyri 33 29.35 +3.65
5 Grindavik 42 38.63 +3.37

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KF Fjardabyggdar 17 28.26 -11.26
2 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 21 28.60 -7.60
3 Huginn 21 28.19 -7.19
4 HK Kopavogur 22 29.01 -7.01
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 29 34.63 -5.63

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Thor Akureyri 6 May 21 – Jul 2 1 in 172
2 KA Akureyri 6 Aug 21 – Sep 24 1 in 50
3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 Jul 27 – Aug 11 1 in 26
4 Grindavik 4 Aug 6 – Aug 20 1 in 13
5 Keflavik IF 2 Jul 8 – Jul 12 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Huginn 6 May 16 – Jun 24 1 in 227
2 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 5 May 7 – Jun 4 1 in 95
3 Thor Akureyri 5 Jul 9 – Jul 27 1 in 75
4 KF Fjardabyggdar 5 Aug 27 – Sep 24 1 in 39
5 HK Kopavogur 3 May 14 – May 29 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Selfoss 6 Jul 8 – Aug 4 1 in 72
2 Grindavik 13 Jun 24 – Sep 3 1 in 44
3 Fram Reykjavik 6 May 14 – Jun 24 1 in 36
4 KA Akureyri 10 May 21 – Jul 22 1 in 28
5 Huginn 5 Jul 12 – Aug 5 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Fjardabyggdar 11 Jul 21 – Sep 24 1 in 106
2 Huginn 10 May 16 – Jul 16 1 in 93
3 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 8 Jul 2 – Aug 11 1 in 32
4 HK Kopavogur 5 May 6 – Jun 4 1 in 14
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 5 Jul 27 – Aug 21 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KA Akureyri 1306 51 +27 15 8.9 +6.1
Grindavik 1298 42 -9 5 9.2 -4.2
Keflavik IF 1198 35 +15 9 7.8 +1.2
Thor Akureyri 1168 33 -3 7 6.3 +0.7
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1163 31 +5 8 6.9 +1.1
Fram Reykjavik 1136 30 +6 8 6.0 +2.0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1181 29 -7 5 7.9 -2.9
Selfoss 1122 28 +9 6 5.6 +0.4
HK Kopavogur 1138 22 -5 4 6.6 -2.6
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1141 21 +7 9 6.3 +2.7
Huginn 1117 21 -21 5 6.5 -1.5
KF Fjardabyggdar 1125 17 -24 0 5.5 -5.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR GRI HK HH HUG KA KF KI LF LR SEL TA
Fram Reykjavik —
0-1-1
1.75
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.42
2-0-0
2.52
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.25
0-2-0
3.02
1-1-0
2.40
Grindavik
1-1-0
3.84
—
1-0-1
3.73
2-0-0
3.38
1-1-0
3.46
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.43
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.10
0-2-0
4.04
1-0-1
3.50
HK Kopavogur
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
1.85
—
0-2-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-2
1.86
0-2-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
2.67
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.17
0-2-0
2.98
—
1-0-1
2.94
2-0-0
2.04
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.76
Huginn
0-0-2
3.03
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.60
—
1-0-1
2.00
2-0-0
2.76
0-2-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.98
0-0-2
2.54
KA Akureyri
2-0-0
3.75
1-1-0
2.77
2-0-0
3.72
0-0-2
3.54
1-0-1
3.56
—
2-0-0
3.78
0-2-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.59
KF Fjardabyggdar
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
1.85
0-2-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.78
0-0-2
1.80
—
0-1-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.70
0-2-0
2.24
0-1-1
3.17
0-0-2
2.51
Keflavik IF
0-1-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.87
0-2-0
3.08
0-2-0
2.17
1-1-0
2.97
—
2-0-0
3.04
0-2-0
2.68
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
2.84
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
2.01
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.51
—
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.44
Leiknir Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.24
0-0-2
2.40
0-2-0
3.32
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.29
—
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
3.13
Selfoss
0-2-0
2.52
0-2-0
1.56
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.24
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-2
1.62
1-1-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.15
1-1-0
2.22
1-0-1
1.75
—
0-1-1
2.21
Thor Akureyri
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
2.06
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
3.00
0-0-2
1.97
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.10
0-0-2
2.41
1-1-0
3.34
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.50 +8.0
Allowed 0.60 -7.9
Differential 0.82 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.85%8.33%3.79%3.03%2.65%0.76%28.41%
18.33%10.61%8.33%1.89%1.89%—31.06%
23.79%8.33%5.30%3.41%0.76%0.38%21.97%
33.03%1.89%3.41%0.76%1.14%—10.23%
42.65%1.89%0.76%1.14%0.76%—7.20%
5+0.76%—0.38%———1.14%
Total28.41%31.06%21.97%10.23%7.20%1.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.80
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—9.09%4.55%——27.27%
19.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%——36.36%
24.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.32 -0.18
SD 0.89 1.09 1.40
CV 0.78 0.82 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
113.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
24.55%—13.64%———18.18%
34.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
413.64%4.55%————18.18%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total50.00%13.64%31.82%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 0.95 +1.32
SD 1.55 1.13 2.10
CV 0.68 1.19 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—18.18%13.64%—4.55%—36.36%
24.55%9.09%—9.09%—4.55%27.27%
3———————
44.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%18.18%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.05 -0.59
SD 1.26 1.73 1.99
CV 0.87 0.85 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%—4.55%9.09%—31.82%
19.09%18.18%————27.27%
2—9.09%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%54.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.59 -0.18
SD 1.33 1.30 1.92
CV 0.95 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
113.64%9.09%13.64%—4.55%—40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%31.82%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.55 -0.64
SD 1.06 1.22 1.50
CV 1.17 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
113.64%4.55%——4.55%—22.73%
218.18%9.09%4.55%———31.82%
39.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total50.00%36.36%9.09%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 0.73 +1.18
SD 1.19 0.98 1.59
CV 0.62 1.35 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
14.55%4.55%22.73%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
2—4.55%13.64%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%18.18%40.91%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.64 -0.45
SD 1.05 1.22 1.22
CV 0.89 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%9.09%————36.36%
14.55%9.09%————13.64%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
34.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total45.45%27.27%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 0.91 +0.50
SD 1.30 1.06 1.22
CV 0.92 1.17 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%——9.09%4.55%36.36%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
24.55%—4.55%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
3——9.09%———9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%22.73%13.64%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.05 -0.59
SD 1.71 1.53 2.40
CV 1.18 0.75 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
113.64%9.09%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.27 -0.32
SD 1.00 1.20 1.73
CV 1.05 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
14.55%27.27%————31.82%
2—4.55%————4.55%
39.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%50.00%9.09%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.14 +0.14
SD 1.32 1.08 1.49
CV 1.03 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
19.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
2—18.18%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%31.82%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.73 -0.18
SD 1.22 1.20 1.68
CV 0.79 0.70 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KA Akureyri 1306 51 39.01 +11.99 97.0% 23 29 34 39 43 48 53
Grindavik 1298 42 38.63 +3.37 78.0% 26 29 35 39 42 48 54
Keflavik IF 1198 35 30.70 +4.30 78.0% 19 20 26 30 34 43 52
Leiknir Reykjavik 1181 29 34.63 -5.63 20.0% 18 24 30 35 38 44 51
Thor Akureyri 1168 33 29.35 +3.65 73.0% 15 18 26 29 34 40 46
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1163 31 30.24 +0.76 57.0% 18 21 25 30 34 41 49
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1141 21 28.60 -7.60 10.0% 15 19 25 29 33 37 42
HK Kopavogur 1138 22 29.01 -7.01 11.0% 13 19 25 29 32 39 40
Fram Reykjavik 1136 30 27.19 +2.81 72.0% 12 18 23 27 31 38 45
KF Fjardabyggdar 1125 17 28.26 -11.26 1.0% 17 19 23 29 32 37 40
Selfoss 1122 28 22.85 +5.15 82.0% 11 14 18 23 27 34 38
Huginn 1117 21 28.19 -7.19 16.0% 14 19 23 28 33 39 45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.21%
Clear Edge
46.97%27.27%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
171 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
074.83500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
KA Akureyri, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.41/gm
Runaway
00.190.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.8 * Some Luck: 4.8 to 7.2 * Lucky: 7.2 to 9.6 * Wild Swing: 9.6 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2 * Close: 2 to 3 * Off: 3 to 4 * Way Off: 4 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.68 points
Some Luck
06.0015
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Pinpoint
02.506
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
KA Akureyri
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
KF Fjardabyggdar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 64.54
1.58
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
57%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
75%
Even
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.24
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.30
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.50
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.32
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.46
Very Underconfident
0.4070641.001.59294
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.108
Well Within Noise
00.1460.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
KA Akureyri40.00%18.00%14.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—2.00%—
Grindavik31.00%26.00%17.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%———
Keflavik IF7.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%
Thor Akureyri3.00%4.00%6.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%16.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur2.00%9.00%6.00%15.00%8.00%13.00%9.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%
Fram Reykjavik2.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik11.00%16.00%21.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Selfoss—1.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%15.00%37.00%
HK Kopavogur1.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%7.00%13.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur—3.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%17.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%
Huginn1.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%16.00%12.00%
KF Fjardabyggdar2.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%14.00%7.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Grindavik 57.00% 43.00% —
KA Akureyri 58.00% 40.00% 2.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 27.00% 70.00% 3.00%
Keflavik IF 12.00% 78.00% 10.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 11.00% 77.00% 12.00%
Thor Akureyri 7.00% 80.00% 13.00%
HK Kopavogur 7.00% 76.00% 17.00%
KF Fjardabyggdar 6.00% 73.00% 21.00%
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 3.00% 78.00% 19.00%
Fram Reykjavik 4.00% 73.00% 23.00%
Huginn 7.00% 65.00% 28.00%
Selfoss 1.00% 47.00% 52.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2016-05-06 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-247.1 1223 1182 51.01% 22.24% 26.75%+0.68 +3.0 3
2016-05-06 @ Grindavik L 2-347.1 1182 1223 26.75% 22.24% 51.01%-0.68 -3.1 0
2016-05-06 Keflavik IF D 1-153.3 1170 1160 46.82% 22.83% 30.34%+0.50 -0.4 1
2016-05-06 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-153.3 1160 1170 30.34% 22.83% 46.82%-0.50 +0.4 1
2016-05-07 Fram Reykjavik W 3-029.0 1243 1135 59.29% 20.32% 20.40%+1.07 +7.2 3
2016-05-07 @ KA Akureyri L 0-329.0 1135 1243 20.40% 20.32% 59.29%-1.07 -7.2 0
2016-05-07 Huginn L 1-247.2 1150 1171 42.64% 23.18% 34.17%+0.32 -4.7 0
2016-05-07 @ KF Fjardabyggdar W 2-147.2 1171 1150 34.17% 23.18% 42.64%-0.32 +4.7 3
2016-05-07 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 3-252.2 1085 1171 33.55% 23.14% 43.30%-0.06 +4.5 3
2016-05-07 @ Selfoss L 2-352.2 1171 1085 43.30% 23.14% 33.55%+0.06 -4.5 0
2016-05-07 Thor Akureyri W 2-033.5 1224 1179 51.46% 22.16% 26.38%+0.70 +6.3 3
2016-05-07 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-233.5 1179 1224 26.38% 22.16% 51.46%-0.70 -6.4 0
2016-05-14 Fram Reykjavik D 0-049.2 1173 1128 51.54% 22.15% 26.32%+0.70 -0.7 1
2016-05-14 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-049.2 1128 1173 26.32% 22.15% 51.54%-0.70 +0.7 1
2016-05-14 HK Kopavogur W 4-135.6 1230 1170 53.51% 21.76% 24.73%+0.79 +7.3 6
2016-05-14 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-435.6 1170 1230 24.73% 21.76% 53.51%-0.79 -7.3 1
2016-05-14 KA Akureyri W 4-141.1 1179 1250 35.49% 23.25% 41.26%+0.02 +11.2 3
2016-05-14 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-441.1 1250 1179 41.26% 23.25% 35.49%-0.02 -11.2 3
2016-05-14 KF Fjardabyggdar L 0-143.6 1166 1146 48.26% 22.66% 29.08%+0.56 -5.5 0
2016-05-14 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 1-043.6 1146 1166 29.08% 22.66% 48.26%-0.56 +5.5 3
2016-05-14 Selfoss W 3-030.2 1161 1090 54.80% 21.48% 23.72%+0.85 +8.4 4
2016-05-14 @ Keflavik IF L 0-330.2 1090 1161 23.72% 21.48% 54.80%-0.85 -8.4 3
2016-05-16 Grindavik L 0-140.9 1175 1226 38.26% 23.30% 38.44%+0.14 -4.6 3
2016-05-16 @ Huginn W 1-040.9 1226 1175 38.44% 23.30% 38.26%-0.14 +4.6 6
2016-05-20 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.2 1128 1190 36.72% 23.29% 40.00%+0.08 +0.1 2
2016-05-20 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-153.2 1190 1128 40.00% 23.29% 36.72%-0.08 -0.1 4
2016-05-20 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-136.5 1082 1237 25.27% 21.90% 52.82%-0.47 -3.2 3
2016-05-20 @ Selfoss W 1-036.5 1237 1082 52.82% 21.90% 25.27%+0.47 +3.2 9
2016-05-21 Huginn W 2-141.2 1239 1171 54.45% 21.56% 23.99%+0.84 +2.9 6
2016-05-21 @ KA Akureyri L 1-241.2 1171 1239 23.99% 21.56% 54.45%-0.84 -2.9 3
2016-05-21 Keflavik IF D 2-258.5 1151 1169 42.98% 23.16% 33.85%+0.33 -0.2 4
2016-05-21 @ KF Fjardabyggdar D 2-258.5 1169 1151 33.85% 23.16% 42.98%-0.33 +0.2 5
2016-05-21 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 5-030.6 1231 1161 54.75% 21.49% 23.75%+0.85 +13.5 9
2016-05-21 @ Grindavik L 0-530.6 1161 1231 23.75% 21.49% 54.75%-0.85 -13.5 0
2016-05-21 Thor Akureyri L 1-247.6 1162 1172 44.10% 23.09% 32.81%+0.38 -4.8 1
2016-05-21 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-147.6 1172 1162 32.81% 23.09% 44.10%-0.38 +4.8 4
2016-05-28 Grindavik W 2-038.5 1169 1244 34.88% 23.22% 41.90%+0.00 +9.3 8
2016-05-28 @ Keflavik IF L 0-238.5 1244 1169 41.90% 23.22% 34.88%+0.00 -9.3 9
2016-05-28 KF Fjardabyggdar D 0-049.7 1241 1151 57.14% 20.91% 21.95%+0.96 -1.0 10
2016-05-28 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-049.7 1151 1241 21.95% 20.91% 57.14%-0.96 +1.0 5
2016-05-29 Fram Reykjavik L 0-144.2 1168 1129 50.77% 22.28% 26.95%+0.67 -5.8 3
2016-05-29 @ Huginn W 1-044.2 1129 1168 26.95% 22.28% 50.77%-0.67 +5.7 5
2016-05-29 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-245.0 1177 1190 43.63% 23.12% 33.25%+0.36 +6.0 7
2016-05-29 @ Thor Akureyri L 2-445.0 1190 1177 33.25% 23.12% 43.63%-0.36 -6.0 4
2016-05-29 KA Akureyri L 0-139.1 1147 1241 32.35% 23.05% 44.60%-0.11 -4.0 0
2016-05-29 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 1-039.1 1241 1147 44.60% 23.05% 32.35%+0.11 +4.0 9
2016-05-29 Selfoss L 0-339.8 1157 1078 55.85% 21.24% 22.92%+0.90 -17.0 1
2016-05-29 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-039.8 1078 1157 22.92% 21.24% 55.85%-0.90 +17.0 6
2016-06-02 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-033.1 1235 1240 44.84% 23.03% 32.13%+0.41 +14.3 12
2016-06-02 @ Grindavik L 0-433.1 1240 1235 32.13% 23.03% 44.84%-0.41 -14.3 10
2016-06-04 HK Kopavogur D 4-464.4 1152 1140 47.06% 22.81% 30.13%+0.51 -0.2 6
2016-06-04 @ KF Fjardabyggdar D 4-464.4 1140 1152 30.13% 22.81% 47.06%-0.51 +0.2 2
2016-06-04 Huginn W 3-032.2 1184 1162 48.50% 22.63% 28.87%+0.57 +10.0 7
2016-06-04 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-332.2 1162 1184 28.87% 22.63% 48.50%-0.57 -10.0 3
2016-06-04 Keflavik IF D 1-153.8 1245 1178 54.35% 21.58% 24.07%+0.83 -0.8 10
2016-06-04 @ KA Akureyri D 1-153.8 1178 1245 24.07% 21.58% 54.35%-0.83 +0.8 9
2016-06-04 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 3-140.8 1134 1143 44.25% 23.08% 32.67%+0.39 +6.6 8
2016-06-04 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-340.8 1143 1134 32.67% 23.08% 44.25%-0.39 -6.6 0
2016-06-04 Thor Akureyri L 0-139.2 1095 1183 33.24% 23.12% 43.64%-0.07 -4.1 6
2016-06-04 @ Selfoss W 1-039.2 1183 1095 43.64% 23.12% 33.24%+0.07 +4.1 10
2016-06-12 Fram Reykjavik D 2-258.8 1179 1141 50.64% 22.30% 27.06%+0.66 -0.4 10
2016-06-12 @ Keflavik IF D 2-258.8 1141 1179 27.06% 22.30% 50.64%-0.66 +0.4 9
2016-06-12 Grindavik W 2-148.3 1141 1249 30.57% 22.86% 46.57%-0.20 +5.0 5
2016-06-12 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-248.3 1249 1141 46.57% 22.86% 30.57%+0.20 -5.0 12
2016-06-12 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-035.1 1136 1194 37.30% 23.30% 39.41%+0.10 +16.8 3
2016-06-12 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur L 0-435.1 1194 1136 39.41% 23.30% 37.30%-0.10 -16.8 7
2016-06-12 Huginn W 2-142.4 1187 1152 50.21% 22.37% 27.42%+0.64 +3.3 13
2016-06-12 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-242.4 1152 1187 27.42% 22.37% 50.21%-0.64 -3.3 3
2016-06-12 KA Akureyri L 0-238.9 1225 1245 42.77% 23.18% 34.05%+0.32 -9.4 10
2016-06-12 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-038.9 1245 1225 34.05% 23.18% 42.77%-0.32 +9.4 13
2016-06-12 KF Fjardabyggdar W 2-146.3 1091 1152 36.91% 23.29% 39.80%+0.08 +4.5 9
2016-06-12 @ Selfoss L 1-246.3 1152 1091 39.80% 23.29% 36.91%-0.08 -4.5 6
2016-06-24 Keflavik IF W 4-351.5 1177 1179 45.30% 22.99% 31.71%+0.43 +3.4 10
2016-06-24 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 3-451.5 1179 1177 31.71% 22.99% 45.30%-0.43 -3.4 10
2016-06-24 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur L 0-239.2 1149 1153 44.86% 23.03% 32.12%+0.41 -9.8 3
2016-06-24 @ Huginn W 2-039.2 1153 1149 32.12% 23.03% 44.86%-0.41 +9.8 6
2016-06-24 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-147.0 1141 1216 34.96% 23.23% 41.82%+0.00 +4.6 12
2016-06-24 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-247.0 1216 1141 41.82% 23.23% 34.96%+0.00 -4.6 10
2016-06-24 Selfoss D 1-154.5 1244 1096 63.94% 18.80% 17.26%+1.31 -1.2 13
2016-06-24 @ Grindavik D 1-154.5 1096 1244 17.26% 18.80% 63.94%-1.31 +1.2 10
2016-06-25 HK Kopavogur W 2-031.1 1254 1146 59.39% 20.29% 20.33%+1.07 +5.0 16
2016-06-25 @ KA Akureyri L 0-231.1 1146 1254 20.33% 20.29% 59.39%-1.07 -5.0 5
2016-06-25 Thor Akureyri L 2-351.1 1147 1190 39.40% 23.30% 37.30%+0.19 -4.2 6
2016-06-25 @ KF Fjardabyggdar W 3-251.1 1190 1147 37.30% 23.30% 39.40%-0.19 +4.2 16
2016-06-30 Fram Reykjavik W 2-035.4 1141 1146 44.75% 23.04% 32.21%+0.41 +7.5 8
2016-06-30 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-235.4 1146 1141 32.21% 23.04% 44.75%-0.41 -7.5 12
2016-06-30 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-037.6 1211 1181 49.60% 22.47% 27.93%+0.62 +3.5 13
2016-06-30 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-137.6 1181 1211 27.93% 22.47% 49.60%-0.62 -3.5 10
2016-06-30 KA Akureyri L 0-232.8 1097 1259 24.63% 21.74% 53.63%-0.51 -6.0 10
2016-06-30 @ Selfoss W 2-032.8 1259 1097 53.63% 21.74% 24.63%+0.51 +6.0 19
2016-07-02 Grindavik D 2-258.6 1143 1243 31.65% 22.98% 45.36%-0.15 +0.2 7
2016-07-02 @ KF Fjardabyggdar D 2-258.6 1243 1143 45.36% 22.98% 31.65%+0.15 -0.2 14
2016-07-02 Huginn D 0-049.2 1175 1139 50.38% 22.35% 27.28%+0.65 -0.7 11
2016-07-02 @ Keflavik IF D 0-049.2 1139 1175 27.28% 22.35% 50.38%-0.65 +0.7 4
2016-07-02 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 1-037.5 1195 1163 49.75% 22.45% 27.81%+0.62 +3.5 19
2016-07-02 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-137.5 1163 1195 27.81% 22.45% 49.75%-0.62 -3.5 6
2016-07-07 HK Kopavogur D 1-153.4 1177 1148 49.42% 22.49% 28.08%+0.61 -0.5 11
2016-07-07 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.4 1148 1177 28.08% 22.49% 49.42%-0.61 +0.5 9
2016-07-07 KF Fjardabyggdar W 2-030.7 1265 1143 60.93% 19.82% 19.26%+1.15 +4.7 22
2016-07-07 @ KA Akureyri L 0-230.7 1143 1265 19.26% 19.82% 60.93%-1.15 -4.7 7
2016-07-08 Keflavik IF L 2-352.2 1159 1175 43.36% 23.14% 33.50%+0.35 -4.5 6
2016-07-08 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 3-252.2 1175 1159 33.50% 23.14% 43.36%-0.35 +4.5 14
2016-07-08 Selfoss D 1-153.5 1138 1091 51.83% 22.09% 26.08%+0.72 -0.7 13
2016-07-08 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-153.5 1091 1138 26.08% 22.09% 51.83%-0.72 +0.7 11
2016-07-09 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-139.8 1140 1215 34.88% 23.22% 41.90%+0.00 -4.3 4
2016-07-09 @ Huginn W 1-039.8 1215 1140 41.90% 23.22% 34.88%+0.00 +4.3 16
2016-07-09 Thor Akureyri W 5-031.6 1243 1198 51.48% 22.16% 26.36%+0.70 +14.8 17
2016-07-09 @ Grindavik L 0-531.6 1198 1243 26.36% 22.16% 51.48%-0.70 -14.8 19
2016-07-12 Fram Reykjavik W 2-143.7 1139 1138 45.60% 22.96% 31.44%+0.44 +3.7 10
2016-07-12 @ KF Fjardabyggdar L 1-243.7 1138 1139 31.44% 22.96% 45.60%-0.44 -3.7 13
2016-07-12 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-042.2 1092 1177 33.55% 23.14% 43.30%-0.06 +5.0 14
2016-07-12 @ Selfoss L 0-142.2 1177 1092 43.30% 23.14% 33.55%+0.06 -5.0 11
2016-07-12 Huginn D 1-153.3 1149 1135 47.31% 22.78% 29.91%+0.52 -0.4 10
2016-07-12 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-153.3 1135 1149 29.91% 22.78% 47.31%-0.52 +0.4 5
2016-07-12 KA Akureyri D 2-259.0 1258 1270 43.79% 23.11% 33.10%+0.37 -0.2 18
2016-07-12 @ Grindavik D 2-259.0 1270 1258 33.10% 23.11% 43.79%-0.37 +0.2 23
2016-07-12 Keflavik IF L 1-248.2 1183 1179 46.04% 22.92% 31.05%+0.46 -5.0 19
2016-07-12 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-148.2 1179 1183 31.05% 22.92% 46.04%-0.46 +5.0 17
2016-07-12 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 2-141.3 1219 1155 53.98% 21.67% 24.36%+0.81 +2.9 19
2016-07-12 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-241.3 1155 1219 24.36% 21.67% 53.98%-0.81 -3.0 6
2016-07-16 Grindavik L 0-234.3 1134 1257 28.82% 22.62% 48.56%-0.28 -6.9 13
2016-07-16 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-034.3 1257 1134 48.56% 22.62% 28.82%+0.28 +6.9 21
2016-07-16 HK Kopavogur D 0-049.0 1152 1148 45.98% 22.92% 31.10%+0.46 -0.4 7
2016-07-16 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur D 0-049.0 1148 1152 31.10% 22.92% 45.98%-0.46 +0.4 11
2016-07-16 KF Fjardabyggdar L 0-338.3 1172 1142 49.47% 22.49% 28.05%+0.61 -15.4 11
2016-07-16 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-038.3 1142 1172 28.05% 22.49% 49.47%-0.61 +15.4 13
2016-07-16 Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-049.0 1184 1222 40.14% 23.28% 36.58%+0.22 -0.1 18
2016-07-16 @ Keflavik IF D 0-049.0 1222 1184 36.58% 23.28% 40.14%-0.22 +0.1 20
2016-07-16 Selfoss D 3-362.6 1136 1097 50.75% 22.28% 26.97%+0.67 -0.4 6
2016-07-16 @ Huginn D 3-362.6 1097 1136 26.97% 22.28% 50.75%-0.67 +0.4 15
2016-07-16 Thor Akureyri W 1-035.3 1270 1178 57.39% 20.85% 21.77%+0.97 +2.8 26
2016-07-16 @ KA Akureyri L 0-135.3 1178 1270 21.77% 20.85% 57.39%-0.97 -2.8 19
2016-07-21 Grindavik L 0-432.5 1156 1264 30.67% 22.87% 46.46%-0.19 -13.7 11
2016-07-21 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-032.5 1264 1156 46.46% 22.87% 30.67%+0.19 +13.7 24
2016-07-21 HK Kopavogur W 3-247.2 1184 1149 50.24% 22.37% 27.39%+0.64 +3.1 21
2016-07-21 @ Keflavik IF L 2-347.2 1149 1184 27.39% 22.37% 50.24%-0.64 -3.1 11
2016-07-21 KF Fjardabyggdar W 1-039.6 1135 1158 42.35% 23.20% 34.45%+0.31 +4.2 9
2016-07-21 @ Huginn L 0-139.6 1158 1135 34.45% 23.20% 42.35%-0.31 -4.2 13
2016-07-22 KA Akureyri L 1-338.8 1127 1273 26.35% 22.15% 51.49%-0.41 -5.5 13
2016-07-22 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-138.8 1273 1127 51.49% 22.15% 26.35%+0.41 +5.5 29
2016-07-22 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-246.2 1175 1222 38.87% 23.30% 37.83%+0.16 -4.4 19
2016-07-22 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-146.2 1222 1175 37.83% 23.30% 38.87%-0.16 +4.4 23
2016-07-23 Selfoss D 1-153.5 1152 1097 52.75% 21.92% 25.33%+0.76 -0.7 8
2016-07-23 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur D 1-153.5 1097 1152 25.33% 21.92% 52.75%-0.76 +0.7 16
2016-07-27 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-147.0 1278 1143 62.50% 19.30% 18.20%+1.23 -6.8 29
2016-07-27 @ KA Akureyri W 1-047.0 1143 1278 18.20% 19.30% 62.50%-1.23 +6.8 14
2016-07-27 Huginn D 2-259.8 1278 1140 62.81% 19.20% 17.99%+1.25 -0.9 25
2016-07-27 @ Grindavik D 2-259.8 1140 1278 17.99% 19.20% 62.81%-1.25 +0.9 10
2016-07-27 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur D 2-258.6 1154 1151 45.83% 22.94% 31.23%+0.45 -0.3 14
2016-07-27 @ KF Fjardabyggdar D 2-258.6 1151 1154 31.23% 22.94% 45.83%-0.45 +0.3 9
2016-07-27 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-147.3 1146 1227 34.12% 23.18% 42.70%-0.04 +4.7 14
2016-07-27 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-247.3 1227 1146 42.70% 23.18% 34.12%+0.04 -4.7 23
2016-07-27 Thor Akureyri W 2-145.9 1122 1171 38.49% 23.30% 38.20%+0.15 +4.3 16
2016-07-27 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-245.9 1171 1122 38.20% 23.30% 38.49%-0.15 -4.3 19
2016-08-01 Keflavik IF D 0-048.9 1098 1187 33.00% 23.10% 43.90%-0.09 +0.3 17
2016-08-01 @ Selfoss D 0-048.9 1187 1098 43.90% 23.10% 33.00%+0.09 -0.3 22
2016-08-04 Fram Reykjavik W 3-139.5 1149 1126 48.67% 22.60% 28.73%+0.58 +5.9 17
2016-08-04 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-339.5 1126 1149 28.73% 22.60% 48.67%-0.58 -5.9 16
2016-08-04 Selfoss L 0-341.0 1222 1098 61.16% 19.74% 19.10%+1.16 -18.4 23
2016-08-04 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-041.0 1098 1222 19.10% 19.74% 61.16%-1.16 +18.4 20
2016-08-05 KA Akureyri W 1-044.1 1141 1271 27.96% 22.47% 49.56%-0.33 +5.6 13
2016-08-05 @ Huginn L 0-144.1 1271 1141 49.56% 22.47% 27.96%+0.33 -5.6 29
2016-08-06 Grindavik L 1-437.0 1151 1277 28.53% 22.57% 48.90%-0.30 -8.3 9
2016-08-06 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 4-137.0 1277 1151 48.90% 22.57% 28.53%+0.30 +8.3 28
2016-08-06 HK Kopavogur W 2-143.1 1167 1150 47.71% 22.73% 29.56%+0.53 +3.5 22
2016-08-06 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-243.1 1150 1167 29.56% 22.73% 47.71%-0.53 -3.5 14
2016-08-06 KF Fjardabyggdar W 2-142.5 1187 1153 50.02% 22.40% 27.58%+0.63 +3.3 25
2016-08-06 @ Keflavik IF L 1-242.5 1153 1187 27.58% 22.40% 50.02%-0.63 -3.3 14
2016-08-10 Huginn W 2-036.2 1120 1146 41.82% 23.23% 34.95%+0.29 +8.1 19
2016-08-10 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-236.2 1146 1120 34.95% 23.23% 41.82%-0.29 -8.0 13
2016-08-11 HK Kopavogur L 3-454.4 1116 1147 41.20% 23.25% 35.55%+0.26 -4.2 20
2016-08-11 @ Selfoss W 4-354.4 1147 1116 35.55% 23.25% 41.20%-0.26 +4.2 17
2016-08-11 Keflavik IF W 1-035.3 1285 1190 57.82% 20.73% 21.45%+1.00 +2.8 31
2016-08-11 @ Grindavik L 0-135.3 1190 1285 21.45% 20.73% 57.82%-1.00 -2.8 25
2016-08-11 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 4-028.1 1266 1143 61.06% 19.77% 19.16%+1.16 +8.8 32
2016-08-11 @ KA Akureyri L 0-428.1 1143 1266 19.16% 19.77% 61.06%-1.16 -8.8 9
2016-08-11 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-153.2 1150 1203 37.90% 23.30% 38.79%+0.13 +0.0 15
2016-08-11 @ KF Fjardabyggdar D 1-153.2 1203 1150 38.79% 23.30% 37.90%-0.13 -0.0 24
2016-08-11 Thor Akureyri W 3-249.3 1155 1170 43.41% 23.14% 33.46%+0.35 +3.7 20
2016-08-11 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 2-349.3 1170 1155 33.46% 23.14% 43.41%-0.35 -3.7 22
2016-08-15 Fram Reykjavik W 3-248.3 1134 1128 46.28% 22.89% 30.82%+0.47 +3.4 12
2016-08-15 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur L 2-348.3 1128 1134 30.82% 22.89% 46.28%-0.47 -3.5 19
2016-08-16 Grindavik L 0-334.1 1203 1288 33.60% 23.15% 43.25%-0.06 -11.3 24
2016-08-16 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-034.1 1288 1203 43.25% 23.15% 33.60%+0.06 +11.3 34
2016-08-16 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-039.6 1138 1159 42.54% 23.19% 34.27%+0.32 +4.2 16
2016-08-16 @ Huginn L 0-139.6 1159 1138 34.27% 23.19% 42.54%-0.32 -4.2 20
2016-08-16 KA Akureyri D 0-049.2 1187 1275 33.28% 23.13% 43.59%-0.07 +0.3 26
2016-08-16 @ Keflavik IF D 0-049.2 1275 1187 43.59% 23.13% 33.28%+0.07 -0.3 33
2016-08-16 KF Fjardabyggdar D 0-049.0 1151 1150 45.62% 22.96% 31.42%+0.44 -0.4 18
2016-08-16 @ HK Kopavogur D 0-049.0 1150 1151 31.42% 22.96% 45.62%-0.44 +0.4 16
2016-08-16 Selfoss D 1-153.5 1167 1112 52.73% 21.92% 25.35%+0.76 -0.7 23
2016-08-16 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-153.5 1112 1167 25.35% 21.92% 52.73%-0.76 +0.7 21
2016-08-19 Selfoss D 0-049.1 1150 1113 50.54% 22.32% 27.14%+0.66 -0.7 17
2016-08-19 @ KF Fjardabyggdar D 0-049.1 1113 1150 27.14% 22.32% 50.54%-0.66 +0.6 22
2016-08-20 HK Kopavogur W 4-027.3 1300 1151 63.98% 18.79% 17.23%+1.31 +7.9 37
2016-08-20 @ Grindavik L 0-427.3 1151 1300 17.23% 18.79% 63.98%-1.31 -7.9 18
2016-08-20 Keflavik IF W 1-041.4 1125 1188 36.56% 23.28% 40.16%+0.07 +4.8 22
2016-08-20 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-141.4 1188 1125 40.16% 23.28% 36.56%-0.07 -4.8 26
2016-08-20 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 1-038.0 1155 1137 47.86% 22.71% 29.43%+0.54 +3.7 23
2016-08-20 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-138.0 1137 1155 29.43% 22.71% 47.86%-0.54 -3.7 12
2016-08-21 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-137.5 1274 1192 56.23% 21.14% 22.62%+0.92 +4.8 36
2016-08-21 @ KA Akureyri L 1-337.5 1192 1274 22.62% 21.14% 56.23%-0.92 -4.8 24
2016-08-21 Thor Akureyri L 1-247.0 1142 1166 42.18% 23.21% 34.61%+0.30 -4.7 16
2016-08-21 @ Huginn W 2-147.0 1166 1142 34.61% 23.21% 42.18%-0.30 +4.7 26
2016-08-25 Fram Reykjavik W 2-141.5 1187 1129 53.18% 21.83% 24.99%+0.78 +3.0 27
2016-08-25 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-241.5 1129 1187 24.99% 21.83% 53.18%-0.78 -3.0 22
2016-08-25 Grindavik D 1-154.0 1114 1307 21.64% 20.80% 57.57%-0.70 +0.9 23
2016-08-25 @ Selfoss D 1-154.0 1307 1114 57.57% 20.80% 21.64%+0.70 -0.9 38
2016-08-25 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-037.7 1183 1159 48.78% 22.59% 28.63%+0.58 +3.6 29
2016-08-25 @ Keflavik IF L 0-137.7 1159 1183 28.63% 22.59% 48.78%-0.58 -3.6 23
2016-08-27 Huginn L 2-448.4 1134 1138 44.93% 23.02% 32.05%+0.42 -7.6 12
2016-08-27 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 4-248.4 1138 1134 32.05% 23.02% 44.93%-0.42 +7.6 19
2016-08-27 KA Akureyri L 2-347.3 1143 1279 27.36% 22.36% 50.28%-0.36 -3.1 18
2016-08-27 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-247.3 1279 1143 50.28% 22.36% 27.36%+0.36 +3.1 39
2016-08-27 KF Fjardabyggdar W 3-139.6 1171 1150 48.31% 22.65% 29.04%+0.56 +6.0 29
2016-08-27 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-339.6 1150 1171 29.04% 22.65% 48.31%-0.56 -6.0 17
2016-09-01 HK Kopavogur W 2-144.3 1126 1140 43.63% 23.12% 33.25%+0.36 +3.9 25
2016-09-01 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-244.3 1140 1126 33.25% 23.12% 43.63%-0.36 -3.9 18
2016-09-01 Keflavik IF D 0-048.9 1145 1187 39.65% 23.29% 37.06%+0.20 -0.1 20
2016-09-01 @ Huginn D 0-048.9 1187 1145 37.06% 23.29% 39.65%-0.20 +0.1 30
2016-09-01 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-145.3 1155 1190 40.50% 23.27% 36.23%+0.23 +4.1 26
2016-09-01 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-245.3 1190 1155 36.23% 23.27% 40.50%-0.23 -4.1 27
2016-09-03 KF Fjardabyggdar W 1-032.9 1307 1144 65.49% 18.23% 16.28%+1.39 +2.1 41
2016-09-03 @ Grindavik L 0-132.9 1144 1307 16.28% 18.23% 65.49%-1.39 -2.1 17
2016-09-03 Selfoss W 1-032.6 1282 1114 66.01% 18.03% 15.95%+1.42 +2.0 42
2016-09-03 @ KA Akureyri L 0-132.6 1114 1282 15.95% 18.03% 66.01%-1.42 -2.0 23
2016-09-03 Thor Akureyri W 3-250.8 1126 1176 38.35% 23.30% 38.34%+0.14 +4.1 15
2016-09-03 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur L 2-350.8 1176 1126 38.34% 23.30% 38.35%-0.14 -4.1 29
2016-09-09 Fram Reykjavik D 0-048.9 1112 1130 42.98% 23.16% 33.85%+0.33 -0.2 24
2016-09-09 @ Selfoss D 0-048.9 1130 1112 33.85% 23.16% 42.98%-0.33 +0.2 26
2016-09-10 Grindavik W 4-357.2 1172 1309 27.37% 22.36% 50.27%-0.36 +5.0 32
2016-09-10 @ Thor Akureyri L 3-457.2 1309 1172 50.27% 22.36% 27.37%+0.36 -5.0 41
2016-09-10 Huginn D 1-153.5 1186 1145 51.00% 22.24% 26.76%+0.68 -0.6 28
2016-09-10 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-153.5 1145 1186 26.76% 22.24% 51.00%-0.68 +0.6 21
2016-09-10 KA Akureyri L 1-436.4 1142 1284 26.67% 22.22% 51.11%-0.40 -7.9 17
2016-09-10 @ KF Fjardabyggdar W 4-136.4 1284 1142 51.11% 22.22% 26.67%+0.40 +7.8 45
2016-09-10 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 4-030.4 1187 1130 52.98% 21.87% 25.14%+0.77 +11.5 33
2016-09-10 @ Keflavik IF L 0-430.4 1130 1187 25.14% 21.87% 52.98%-0.77 -11.5 15
2016-09-12 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.2 1136 1159 42.21% 23.21% 34.58%+0.30 -0.2 19
2016-09-12 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-153.2 1159 1136 34.58% 23.21% 42.21%-0.30 +0.2 27
2016-09-17 Grindavik W 2-145.1 1292 1304 43.86% 23.11% 33.03%+0.37 +3.9 48
2016-09-17 @ KA Akureyri L 1-245.1 1304 1292 33.03% 23.11% 43.86%-0.37 -3.8 41
2016-09-17 HK Kopavogur L 0-437.2 1146 1136 46.87% 22.83% 30.30%+0.50 -19.2 21
2016-09-17 @ Huginn W 4-037.2 1136 1146 30.30% 22.83% 46.87%-0.50 +19.2 22
2016-09-17 KF Fjardabyggdar W 2-143.9 1131 1134 45.02% 23.01% 31.97%+0.42 +3.7 29
2016-09-17 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-243.9 1134 1131 31.97% 23.01% 45.02%-0.42 -3.7 17
2016-09-17 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-041.5 1119 1186 36.02% 23.27% 40.71%+0.05 +4.8 18
2016-09-17 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur L 0-141.5 1186 1119 40.71% 23.27% 36.02%-0.05 -4.8 28
2016-09-17 Selfoss D 1-153.5 1159 1112 51.79% 22.10% 26.11%+0.71 -0.6 28
2016-09-17 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.5 1112 1159 26.11% 22.10% 51.79%-0.71 +0.6 25
2016-09-17 Thor Akureyri D 2-258.7 1198 1177 48.31% 22.65% 29.04%+0.56 -0.3 34
2016-09-17 @ Keflavik IF D 2-258.7 1177 1198 29.04% 22.65% 48.31%-0.56 +0.4 33
2016-09-24 Fram Reykjavik D 0-050.6 1300 1134 65.78% 18.12% 16.10%+1.41 -1.5 42
2016-09-24 @ Grindavik D 0-050.6 1134 1300 16.10% 18.12% 65.78%-1.41 +1.5 30
2016-09-24 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-246.8 1130 1159 41.46% 23.24% 35.29%+0.27 -4.6 17
2016-09-24 @ KF Fjardabyggdar W 2-146.8 1159 1130 35.29% 23.24% 41.46%-0.27 +4.6 31
2016-09-24 Huginn W 4-138.4 1113 1127 43.56% 23.13% 33.31%+0.36 +9.5 28
2016-09-24 @ Selfoss L 1-438.4 1127 1113 33.31% 23.13% 43.56%-0.36 -9.5 21
2016-09-24 KA Akureyri L 0-332.6 1178 1296 29.43% 22.71% 47.86%-0.25 -10.1 33
2016-09-24 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-032.6 1296 1178 47.86% 22.71% 29.43%+0.25 +10.1 51
2016-09-24 Keflavik IF D 0-049.0 1181 1198 43.11% 23.16% 33.74%+0.34 -0.2 29
2016-09-24 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-049.0 1198 1181 33.74% 23.16% 43.11%-0.34 +0.2 35
2016-09-24 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur L 2-742.5 1155 1124 49.72% 22.45% 27.83%+0.62 -17.2 22
2016-09-24 @ HK Kopavogur W 7-242.5 1124 1155 27.83% 22.45% 49.72%-0.62 +17.2 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-07-27 18.20% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1143 1 @ KA Akureyri 1278 0
2 2016-08-04 19.10% Selfoss 1098 3 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1222 0
3 2016-05-29 22.92% Selfoss 1078 3 @ HK Kopavogur 1157 0
4 2016-05-29 26.95% Fram Reykjavik 1129 1 @ Huginn 1168 0
5 2016-09-10 27.37% @ Thor Akureyri 1172 4 Grindavik 1309 3
6 2016-09-24 27.83% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1124 7 @ HK Kopavogur 1155 2
7 2016-08-05 27.96% @ Huginn 1141 1 KA Akureyri 1271 0
8 2016-07-16 28.05% KF Fjardabyggdar 1142 3 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1172 0
9 2016-05-14 29.08% KF Fjardabyggdar 1146 1 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1166 0
10 2016-09-17 30.30% HK Kopavogur 1136 4 @ Huginn 1146 0
11 2016-06-12 30.57% @ HK Kopavogur 1141 2 Grindavik 1249 1
12 2016-07-12 31.05% Keflavik IF 1179 2 @ Thor Akureyri 1183 1
13 2016-08-27 32.05% Huginn 1138 4 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1134 2
14 2016-06-24 32.12% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1153 2 @ Huginn 1149 0
15 2016-05-21 32.81% Thor Akureyri 1172 2 @ HK Kopavogur 1162 1
16 2016-07-08 33.50% Keflavik IF 1175 3 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1159 2
17 2016-05-07 33.55% @ Selfoss 1085 3 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1171 2
18 2016-07-12 33.55% @ Selfoss 1092 1 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1177 0
19 2016-06-12 34.05% KA Akureyri 1245 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1225 0
20 2016-07-27 34.12% @ HK Kopavogur 1146 2 Leiknir Reykjavik 1227 1
21 2016-05-07 34.17% Huginn 1171 2 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 1150 1
22 2016-08-21 34.61% Thor Akureyri 1166 2 @ Huginn 1142 1
23 2016-05-28 34.88% @ Keflavik IF 1169 2 Grindavik 1244 0
24 2016-06-24 34.96% @ Fram Reykjavik 1141 2 Leiknir Reykjavik 1216 1
25 2016-09-24 35.29% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1159 2 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 1130 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-09-17 19.24 HK Kopavogur 4 1136 30.30% @ Huginn 0 1146 46.87% 22.83%
2 2016-08-04 18.38 Selfoss 3 1098 19.10% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1222 61.16% 19.74%
3 2016-09-24 17.25 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 7 1124 27.83% @ HK Kopavogur 2 1155 49.72% 22.45%
4 2016-05-29 17.04 Selfoss 3 1078 22.92% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1157 55.85% 21.24%
5 2016-06-12 16.76 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 4 1136 37.30% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1194 39.41% 23.30%
6 2016-07-16 15.39 KF Fjardabyggdar 3 1142 28.05% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1172 49.47% 22.49%
7 2016-07-09 14.83 @ Grindavik 5 1243 51.48% Thor Akureyri 0 1198 26.36% 22.16%
8 2016-06-02 14.26 @ Grindavik 4 1235 44.84% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1240 32.13% 23.03%
9 2016-07-21 13.72 Grindavik 4 1264 46.46% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1156 30.67% 22.87%
10 2016-05-21 13.48 @ Grindavik 5 1231 54.75% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1161 23.75% 21.49%
11 2016-09-10 11.52 @ Keflavik IF 4 1187 52.98% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1130 25.14% 21.87%
12 2016-08-16 11.32 Grindavik 3 1288 43.25% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1203 33.60% 23.15%
13 2016-05-14 11.21 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 1179 35.49% KA Akureyri 1 1250 41.26% 23.25%
14 2016-09-24 10.14 KA Akureyri 3 1296 47.86% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1178 29.43% 22.71%
15 2016-06-04 9.97 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1184 48.50% Huginn 0 1162 28.87% 22.63%
16 2016-06-24 9.79 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 2 1153 32.12% @ Huginn 0 1149 44.86% 23.03%
17 2016-09-24 9.48 @ Selfoss 4 1113 43.56% Huginn 1 1127 33.31% 23.13%
18 2016-06-12 9.42 KA Akureyri 2 1245 34.05% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1225 42.77% 23.18%
19 2016-05-28 9.27 @ Keflavik IF 2 1169 34.88% Grindavik 0 1244 41.90% 23.22%
20 2016-08-11 8.84 @ KA Akureyri 4 1266 61.06% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1143 19.16% 19.77%
21 2016-05-14 8.35 @ Keflavik IF 3 1161 54.80% Selfoss 0 1090 23.72% 21.48%
22 2016-08-06 8.33 Grindavik 4 1277 48.90% @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1 1151 28.53% 22.57%
23 2016-08-10 8.05 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1120 41.82% Huginn 0 1146 34.95% 23.23%
24 2016-08-20 7.91 @ Grindavik 4 1300 63.98% HK Kopavogur 0 1151 17.23% 18.79%
25 2016-09-10 7.85 KA Akureyri 4 1284 51.11% @ KF Fjardabyggdar 1 1142 26.67% 22.22%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-06-04 64.4 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 4 1152 47.06% HK Kopavogur 4 1140 30.13% 22.81%
2 2016-07-16 62.6 @ Huginn 3 1136 50.75% Selfoss 3 1097 26.97% 22.28%
3 2016-07-27 59.8 @ Grindavik 2 1278 62.81% Huginn 2 1140 17.99% 19.20%
4 2016-07-12 59.0 @ Grindavik 2 1258 43.79% KA Akureyri 2 1270 33.10% 23.11%
5 2016-06-12 58.8 @ Keflavik IF 2 1179 50.64% Fram Reykjavik 2 1141 27.06% 22.30%
6 2016-09-17 58.7 @ Keflavik IF 2 1198 48.31% Thor Akureyri 2 1177 29.04% 22.65%
7 2016-07-02 58.6 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 2 1143 31.65% Grindavik 2 1243 45.36% 22.98%
8 2016-07-27 58.6 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 2 1154 45.83% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 2 1151 31.23% 22.94%
9 2016-05-21 58.5 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 2 1151 42.98% Keflavik IF 2 1169 33.85% 23.16%
10 2016-09-10 57.2 @ Thor Akureyri 4 1172 27.37% Grindavik 3 1309 50.27% 22.36%
11 2016-06-24 54.5 @ Grindavik 1 1244 63.94% Selfoss 1 1096 17.26% 18.80%
12 2016-08-11 54.4 HK Kopavogur 4 1147 35.55% @ Selfoss 3 1116 41.20% 23.25%
13 2016-08-25 54.0 @ Selfoss 1 1114 21.64% Grindavik 1 1307 57.57% 20.80%
14 2016-06-04 53.8 @ KA Akureyri 1 1245 54.35% Keflavik IF 1 1178 24.07% 21.58%
15 2016-07-08 53.5 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1138 51.83% Selfoss 1 1091 26.08% 22.09%
16 2016-07-23 53.5 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1 1152 52.75% Selfoss 1 1097 25.33% 21.92%
17 2016-08-16 53.5 @ Thor Akureyri 1 1167 52.73% Selfoss 1 1112 25.35% 21.92%
18 2016-09-10 53.5 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1186 51.00% Huginn 1 1145 26.76% 22.24%
19 2016-09-17 53.5 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1159 51.79% Selfoss 1 1112 26.11% 22.10%
20 2016-07-07 53.4 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1177 49.42% HK Kopavogur 1 1148 28.08% 22.49%
21 2016-05-06 53.3 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1170 46.82% Keflavik IF 1 1160 30.34% 22.83%
22 2016-07-12 53.3 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1149 47.31% Huginn 1 1135 29.91% 22.78%
23 2016-05-20 53.2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1128 36.72% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1190 40.00% 23.29%
24 2016-08-11 53.2 @ KF Fjardabyggdar 1 1150 37.90% Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1203 38.79% 23.30%
25 2016-09-12 53.2 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1136 42.21% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1159 34.58% 23.21%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-08-20 27.3 @ Grindavik 4 1300 63.98% HK Kopavogur 0 1151 17.23% 18.79%
2 2016-08-11 28.1 @ KA Akureyri 4 1266 61.06% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1143 19.16% 19.77%
3 2016-05-07 29.0 @ KA Akureyri 3 1243 59.29% Fram Reykjavik 0 1135 20.40% 20.32%
4 2016-05-14 30.2 @ Keflavik IF 3 1161 54.80% Selfoss 0 1090 23.72% 21.48%
5 2016-09-10 30.4 @ Keflavik IF 4 1187 52.98% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1130 25.14% 21.87%
6 2016-05-21 30.6 @ Grindavik 5 1231 54.75% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1161 23.75% 21.49%
7 2016-07-07 30.7 @ KA Akureyri 2 1265 60.93% KF Fjardabyggdar 0 1143 19.26% 19.82%
8 2016-06-25 31.1 @ KA Akureyri 2 1254 59.39% HK Kopavogur 0 1146 20.33% 20.29%
9 2016-07-09 31.6 @ Grindavik 5 1243 51.48% Thor Akureyri 0 1198 26.36% 22.16%
10 2016-06-04 32.2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1184 48.50% Huginn 0 1162 28.87% 22.63%
11 2016-07-21 32.5 Grindavik 4 1264 46.46% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1156 30.67% 22.87%
12 2016-09-03 32.6 @ KA Akureyri 1 1282 66.01% Selfoss 0 1114 15.95% 18.03%
13 2016-09-24 32.6 KA Akureyri 3 1296 47.86% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1178 29.43% 22.71%
14 2016-06-30 32.8 KA Akureyri 2 1259 53.63% @ Selfoss 0 1097 24.63% 21.74%
15 2016-09-03 32.9 @ Grindavik 1 1307 65.49% KF Fjardabyggdar 0 1144 16.28% 18.23%
16 2016-06-02 33.1 @ Grindavik 4 1235 44.84% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1240 32.13% 23.03%
17 2016-05-07 33.5 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1224 51.46% Thor Akureyri 0 1179 26.38% 22.16%
18 2016-08-16 34.1 Grindavik 3 1288 43.25% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1203 33.60% 23.15%
19 2016-07-16 34.3 Grindavik 2 1257 48.56% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1134 28.82% 22.62%
20 2016-06-12 35.1 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 4 1136 37.30% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1194 39.41% 23.30%
21 2016-07-16 35.3 @ KA Akureyri 1 1270 57.39% Thor Akureyri 0 1178 21.77% 20.85%
22 2016-08-11 35.3 @ Grindavik 1 1285 57.82% Keflavik IF 0 1190 21.45% 20.73%
23 2016-06-30 35.4 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1141 44.75% Fram Reykjavik 0 1146 32.21% 23.04%
24 2016-05-14 35.6 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 4 1230 53.51% HK Kopavogur 1 1170 24.73% 21.76%
25 2016-08-10 36.2 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1120 41.82% Huginn 0 1146 34.95% 23.23%