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2016-17 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

HK Kopavogur

13.53 points above expected

42 points · 28.47 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur

12.99 points below expected

10 points · 22.99 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 15 3 4 48 50 19 +31 40.67 +7.33
2 Keflavik IF 22 14 4 4 46 43 24 +19 35.74 +10.26
3 Throttur Reykjavik 22 13 3 6 42 37 21 +16 36.29 +5.71
4 HK Kopavogur 22 14 0 8 42 36 28 +8 28.47 +13.53
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 10 6 6 36 38 31 +7 32.82 +3.18
6 Thor Akureyri 22 10 4 8 34 35 31 +4 32.36 +1.64
7 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 22 9 6 7 33 34 39 -5 31.84 +1.16
8 Selfoss 22 8 4 10 28 27 29 -2 29.44 -1.44
9 Fram Reykjavik 22 7 6 9 27 32 39 -7 29.57 -2.57
10 IR Reykjavik 22 5 4 13 19 27 38 -11 19.90 -0.90
11 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 22 3 1 18 10 23 53 -30 22.99 -12.99
12 Grotta 22 2 3 17 9 16 46 -30 19.66 -10.66

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 HK Kopavogur 42 28.47 +13.53
2 Keflavik IF 46 35.74 +10.26
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 48 40.67 +7.33
4 Throttur Reykjavik 42 36.29 +5.71
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 36 32.82 +3.18

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 10 22.99 -12.99
2 Grotta 9 19.66 -10.66
3 Fram Reykjavik 27 29.57 -2.57
4 Selfoss 28 29.44 -1.44
5 IR Reykjavik 19 19.90 -0.90

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HK Kopavogur 5 Jul 15 – Aug 10 1 in 424
2 Leiknir Reykjavik 4 Aug 2 – Aug 24 1 in 79
3 Keflavik IF 6 Jun 7 – Jul 11 1 in 71
4 Throttur Reykjavik 5 May 12 – Jun 8 1 in 41
5 Fylkir Reykjavik 6 Aug 19 – Sep 23 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 11 Jul 1 – Sep 2 1 in 2,473
2 Grotta 6 Jun 8 – Jul 11 1 in 101
3 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jul 6 – Jul 20 1 in 33
4 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 Sep 9 – Sep 23 1 in 29
5 HK Kopavogur 4 May 28 – Jun 15 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HK Kopavogur 5 Jul 15 – Aug 10 1 in 15
2 Thor Akureyri 6 Jun 30 – Jul 27 1 in 13
3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 7 Jul 11 – Aug 18 1 in 12
4 Fram Reykjavik 5 May 5 – Jun 3 1 in 8
5 IR Reykjavik 3 Aug 1 – Aug 17 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 11 Jul 1 – Sep 2 1 in 20
2 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 May 12 – Jun 7 1 in 17
3 Leiknir Reykjavik 4 Jun 14 – Jul 6 1 in 8
4 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 Jul 27 – Aug 11 1 in 8
5 Grotta 10 Jul 20 – Sep 23 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Fylkir Reykjavik 1318 48 +62 15 9.6 +5.4
Keflavik IF 1246 46 +28 12 9.4 +2.6
HK Kopavogur 1186 42 +56 15 7.6 +7.4
Throttur Reykjavik 1244 42 +31 9 8.1 +0.9
Leiknir Reykjavik 1178 36 +17 10 8.1 +1.9
Thor Akureyri 1160 34 -13 7 7.6 -0.6
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1084 33 -107 3 7.1 -4.1
Selfoss 1101 28 -6 7 6.3 +0.7
Fram Reykjavik 1089 27 -37 4 6.1 -2.1
IR Reykjavik 1006 19 -10 3 4.1 -1.1
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 996 10 +16 3 4.6 -1.6
Grotta 942 9 -37 0 3.5 -3.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR FR GRO HK HH IR KI LF LR SEL TA TR
Fram Reykjavik —
0-0-2
1.82
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.46
1-1-0
3.65
0-0-2
1.95
2-0-0
3.42
1-1-0
2.46
0-2-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.69
0-0-2
1.93
Fylkir Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.64
 —
2-0-0
4.14
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
4.47
0-2-0
3.16
1-0-1
4.23
1-0-1
3.58
2-0-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.18
Grotta
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
1.39
 —
0-0-2
1.70
0-2-0
1.69
0-0-2
2.78
0-0-2
1.31
1-1-0
2.27
0-0-2
1.53
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
1.60
HK Kopavogur
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
1.84
2-0-0
3.78
 —
1-0-1
2.40
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.01
2-0-0
3.17
2-0-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.04
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
1.75
0-2-0
3.78
1-0-1
3.02
 —
1-1-0
3.81
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
3.67
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.26
IR Reykjavik
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-2
1.12
2-0-0
2.64
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
1.67
 —
0-0-2
1.51
2-0-0
2.36
0-1-1
1.64
0-0-2
1.95
1-1-0
1.73
0-0-2
1.48
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
3.51
0-2-0
2.27
2-0-0
4.25
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
4.00
 —
2-0-0
3.59
0-1-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.66
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
1.32
0-1-1
3.17
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
3.08
0-0-2
1.88
 —
0-0-2
2.04
0-0-2
2.08
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
1.50
Leiknir Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
1.88
2-0-0
3.98
0-0-2
3.07
0-1-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.84
1-1-0
2.41
2-0-0
3.40
 —
2-0-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.26
Selfoss
0-2-0
2.72
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
3.54
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.50
0-1-1
2.21
2-0-0
3.36
0-0-2
2.61
 —
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.04
Thor Akureyri
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.05
2-0-0
3.76
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
3.75
0-0-2
2.31
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.90
 —
1-0-1
2.25
Throttur Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.52
1-0-1
2.25
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.41
0-1-1
3.17
2-0-0
4.03
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
4.01
0-1-1
3.18
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
3.18
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +13.5
Allowed 0.84 -11.8
Differential 0.94 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%5.68%8.71%3.79%1.52%1.14%23.86%
15.68%6.82%10.23%4.92%1.14%0.38%29.17%
28.71%10.23%4.55%3.03%0.76%—27.27%
33.79%4.92%3.03%2.27%—0.38%14.39%
41.52%1.14%0.76%———3.41%
5+1.14%0.38%—0.38%——1.89%
Total23.86%29.17%27.27%14.39%3.41%1.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.51 1.51 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.95
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
2—13.64%18.18%9.09%——40.91%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%31.82%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.77 -0.32
SD 1.01 1.27 1.70
CV 0.69 0.72 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%————13.64%
1—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
218.18%18.18%————36.36%
34.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total31.82%59.09%—9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 0.86 +1.41
SD 1.55 0.83 1.92
CV 0.68 0.97 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%18.18%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
14.55%9.09%13.64%18.18%4.55%—50.00%
2——4.55%———4.55%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%36.36%27.27%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 2.09 -1.36
SD 0.77 1.11 1.53
CV 1.06 0.53 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
19.09%—13.64%4.55%——27.27%
218.18%13.64%————31.82%
3—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%27.27%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.27 +0.36
SD 1.14 1.03 1.71
CV 0.69 0.81 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%4.55%—9.09%31.82%
1—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total18.18%31.82%31.82%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.77 -0.23
SD 1.57 1.63 2.51
CV 1.01 0.92 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
1—9.09%27.27%9.09%——45.45%
29.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%36.36%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.73 -0.50
SD 0.81 1.08 1.47
CV 0.66 0.62 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
122.73%9.09%9.09%———40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
318.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%22.73%27.27%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.09 +0.86
SD 1.09 1.15 1.52
CV 0.56 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%27.27%13.64%—4.55%50.00%
1——9.09%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
2——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total4.55%9.09%45.45%27.27%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.41 -1.36
SD 1.50 1.10 2.19
CV 1.43 0.46 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
213.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
3—9.09%—9.09%—4.55%22.73%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%27.27%18.18%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.41 +0.32
SD 1.16 1.37 1.70
CV 0.67 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%—4.55%—27.27%
19.09%9.09%18.18%———36.36%
213.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%36.36%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.32 -0.09
SD 1.07 1.09 1.72
CV 0.87 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
1—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
213.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
39.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.41 +0.18
SD 1.14 1.18 1.87
CV 0.72 0.84 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
213.64%22.73%—4.55%——40.91%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total40.91%36.36%9.09%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 0.95 +0.73
SD 1.17 1.05 1.70
CV 0.70 1.10 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fylkir Reykjavik 1318 48 40.67 +7.33 94.0% 27 31 37 40 44 51 55
Keflavik IF 1246 46 35.74 +10.26 96.0% 19 28 32 36 39 45 48
Throttur Reykjavik 1244 42 36.29 +5.71 88.0% 17 26 33 36 40 45 51
HK Kopavogur 1186 42 28.47 +13.53 99.0% 14 20 24 29 33 37 43
Leiknir Reykjavik 1178 36 32.82 +3.18 73.0% 18 23 29 33 37 42 46
Thor Akureyri 1160 34 32.36 +1.64 69.0% 15 22 29 32 36 43 45
Selfoss 1101 28 29.44 -1.44 46.0% 17 20 25 29 33 40 44
Fram Reykjavik 1089 27 29.57 -2.57 33.0% 15 18 26 30 34 38 41
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1084 33 31.84 +1.16 61.0% 20 24 28 31 36 40 47
IR Reykjavik 1006 19 19.90 -0.90 44.0% 7 10 17 20 23 27 37
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 996 10 22.99 -12.99 0.0% 11 14 19 22 27 33 39
Grotta 942 9 19.66 -10.66 1.0% 8 11 15 20 24 27 33

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.18%
Slight Edge
50.76%16.67%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
143 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
063.88400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Fylkir Reykjavik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.5 * Some Luck: 4.5 to 6.75 * Lucky: 6.75 to 9 * Wild Swing: 9 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.53 * Close: 1.53 to 2.29 * Off: 2.29 to 3.06 * Way Off: 3.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.44 points
Lucky
05.6314
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.914
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
HK Kopavogur
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 113.39
2.02
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Clear Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.76
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.82
Near-Lock
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.69
Very Underconfident
0.09859051.001.90141
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.128
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Fylkir Reykjavik45.00%23.00%17.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%———
Keflavik IF16.00%18.00%16.00%15.00%10.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—
Throttur Reykjavik13.00%26.00%15.00%17.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%—1.00%—2.00%
HK Kopavogur2.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%18.00%10.00%15.00%6.00%3.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik6.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%17.00%14.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%—
Thor Akureyri9.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%19.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur5.00%4.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%—
Selfoss3.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%15.00%17.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%—
Fram Reykjavik1.00%4.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%21.00%8.00%14.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%
IR Reykjavik——1.00%————4.00%13.00%21.00%31.00%30.00%
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur—2.00%—1.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%14.00%19.00%25.00%16.00%
Grotta——————2.00%7.00%11.00%16.00%20.00%44.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Fylkir Reykjavik 68.00% 32.00% —
Throttur Reykjavik 39.00% 59.00% 2.00%
Keflavik IF 34.00% 65.00% 1.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 16.00% 83.00% 1.00%
Thor Akureyri 15.00% 82.00% 3.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 9.00% 89.00% 2.00%
Selfoss 7.00% 86.00% 7.00%
Fram Reykjavik 5.00% 86.00% 9.00%
HK Kopavogur 5.00% 86.00% 9.00%
Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 2.00% 57.00% 41.00%
IR Reykjavik — 39.00% 61.00%
Grotta — 36.00% 64.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-05-05 Fram Reykjavik L 1-249.1 1125 1124 40.18% 28.78% 31.04%+0.45 -8.7 0
2017-05-05 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-149.1 1124 1125 31.04% 28.78% 40.18%-0.45 +8.6 3
2017-05-05 IR Reykjavik W 1-036.7 1116 1017 52.97% 26.69% 20.34%+1.14 +5.4 3
2017-05-05 @ Selfoss L 0-136.7 1017 1116 20.34% 26.69% 52.97%-1.14 -5.4 0
2017-05-05 Keflavik IF D 1-151.8 1149 1159 38.64% 28.86% 32.49%+0.38 -0.3 1
2017-05-05 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-151.8 1159 1149 32.49% 28.86% 38.64%-0.38 +0.3 1
2017-05-06 Grotta D 2-258.6 1127 1053 49.77% 27.46% 22.76%+0.96 -1.0 1
2017-05-06 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur D 2-258.6 1053 1127 22.76% 27.46% 49.77%-0.96 +1.0 1
2017-05-06 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-250.7 1182 1139 45.81% 28.19% 26.00%+0.74 -9.6 0
2017-05-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-150.7 1139 1182 26.00% 28.19% 45.81%-0.74 +9.6 3
2017-05-06 Thor Akureyri W 3-140.5 1216 1142 49.88% 27.44% 22.68%+0.97 +9.6 3
2017-05-06 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-340.5 1142 1216 22.68% 27.44% 49.88%-0.97 -9.6 0
2017-05-12 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-242.2 1054 1226 19.60% 26.40% 54.00%-0.75 -4.9 1
2017-05-12 @ Grotta W 2-142.2 1226 1054 54.00% 26.40% 19.60%+0.75 +4.9 6
2017-05-12 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.2 1133 1149 37.71% 28.90% 33.39%+0.33 -0.1 4
2017-05-12 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-258.2 1149 1133 33.39% 28.90% 37.71%-0.33 +0.1 4
2017-05-12 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-253.7 1116 1149 35.39% 28.93% 35.68%+0.22 +7.5 3
2017-05-12 @ HK Kopavogur L 2-353.7 1149 1116 35.68% 28.93% 35.39%-0.22 -7.5 1
2017-05-12 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-242.6 1011 1172 20.50% 26.74% 52.76%-0.68 -5.1 0
2017-05-12 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-142.6 1172 1011 52.76% 26.74% 20.50%+0.68 +5.1 3
2017-05-13 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 3-033.4 1159 1126 44.62% 28.35% 27.03%+0.68 +18.7 4
2017-05-13 @ Keflavik IF L 0-333.4 1126 1159 27.03% 28.35% 44.62%-0.68 -18.7 1
2017-05-13 Selfoss L 1-443.7 1132 1122 41.50% 28.69% 29.82%+0.52 -21.7 0
2017-05-13 @ Thor Akureyri W 4-143.7 1122 1132 29.82% 28.69% 41.50%-0.52 +21.7 6
2017-05-20 Grotta L 0-146.3 1143 1049 52.30% 26.87% 20.84%+1.10 -11.3 6
2017-05-20 @ Selfoss W 1-046.3 1049 1143 20.84% 26.87% 52.30%-1.10 +11.3 4
2017-05-20 HK Kopavogur L 1-345.4 1107 1124 37.67% 28.90% 33.43%+0.33 -14.3 1
2017-05-20 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 3-145.4 1124 1107 33.43% 28.90% 37.67%-0.33 +14.3 6
2017-05-20 Thor Akureyri W 2-143.8 1178 1111 48.96% 27.63% 23.41%+0.92 +5.7 6
2017-05-20 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-243.8 1111 1178 23.41% 27.63% 48.96%-0.92 -5.7 0
2017-05-21 Fram Reykjavik D 2-258.3 1141 1132 41.28% 28.70% 30.01%+0.51 -0.4 2
2017-05-21 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-258.3 1132 1141 30.01% 28.70% 41.28%-0.51 +0.4 5
2017-05-21 IR Reykjavik D 1-152.8 1149 1006 57.95% 25.12% 16.93%+1.45 -2.0 5
2017-05-21 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.8 1006 1149 16.93% 25.12% 57.95%-1.45 +2.0 1
2017-05-21 Keflavik IF D 1-152.2 1231 1178 47.13% 27.97% 24.89%+0.82 -1.0 7
2017-05-21 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1178 1231 24.89% 27.97% 47.13%-0.82 +1.0 5
2017-05-25 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 2-035.0 1141 1093 46.55% 28.07% 25.38%+0.78 +12.2 5
2017-05-25 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-235.0 1093 1141 25.38% 28.07% 46.55%-0.78 -12.2 1
2017-05-25 Selfoss D 2-258.5 1179 1132 46.39% 28.10% 25.51%+0.78 -0.7 6
2017-05-25 @ Keflavik IF D 2-258.5 1132 1179 25.51% 28.10% 46.39%-0.78 +0.7 7
2017-05-26 IR Reykjavik W 2-141.6 1133 1008 55.88% 25.82% 18.29%+1.32 +4.6 8
2017-05-26 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-241.6 1008 1133 18.29% 25.82% 55.88%-1.32 -4.6 1
2017-05-26 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-332.4 1061 1183 24.20% 27.82% 47.98%-0.41 -17.1 4
2017-05-26 @ Grotta W 3-032.4 1183 1061 47.98% 27.82% 24.20%+0.41 +17.1 9
2017-05-27 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-148.2 1105 1147 34.02% 28.91% 37.06%+0.15 +8.2 3
2017-05-27 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-248.2 1147 1105 37.06% 28.91% 34.02%-0.15 -8.2 5
2017-05-28 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-333.7 1138 1230 27.65% 28.44% 43.91%-0.19 -19.0 6
2017-05-28 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-033.7 1230 1138 43.91% 28.44% 27.65%+0.19 +19.0 10
2017-06-02 Grotta D 1-152.3 1139 1044 52.46% 26.82% 20.71%+1.11 -1.5 6
2017-06-02 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.3 1044 1139 20.71% 26.82% 52.46%-1.11 +1.5 5
2017-06-02 Keflavik IF W 2-036.2 1200 1178 43.05% 28.54% 28.41%+0.60 +13.4 12
2017-06-02 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-236.2 1178 1200 28.41% 28.54% 43.05%-0.60 -13.4 6
2017-06-03 Fram Reykjavik L 1-246.7 1081 1137 32.04% 28.84% 39.11%+0.05 -7.3 1
2017-06-03 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 2-146.7 1137 1081 39.11% 28.84% 32.04%-0.05 +7.3 11
2017-06-03 HK Kopavogur W 1-040.0 1133 1119 41.93% 28.65% 29.42%+0.54 +7.3 10
2017-06-03 @ Selfoss L 0-140.0 1119 1133 29.42% 28.65% 41.93%-0.54 -7.3 6
2017-06-03 Thor Akureyri W 2-150.7 1004 1113 25.62% 28.12% 46.26%-0.32 +9.7 4
2017-06-03 @ IR Reykjavik L 1-250.7 1113 1004 46.26% 28.12% 25.62%+0.32 -9.7 3
2017-06-05 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-033.4 1249 1153 52.47% 26.82% 20.71%+1.11 +10.3 13
2017-06-05 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-233.4 1153 1249 20.71% 26.82% 52.47%-1.11 -10.3 5
2017-06-07 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-033.7 1165 1137 43.80% 28.45% 27.74%+0.64 +19.1 9
2017-06-07 @ Keflavik IF L 0-333.7 1137 1165 27.74% 28.45% 43.80%-0.64 -19.1 6
2017-06-08 IR Reykjavik L 1-250.2 1045 1013 44.38% 28.38% 27.23%+0.67 -9.3 5
2017-06-08 @ Grotta W 2-150.2 1013 1045 27.23% 28.38% 44.38%-0.67 +9.3 7
2017-06-08 Thor Akureyri L 1-347.6 1145 1103 45.65% 28.21% 26.14%+0.74 -16.5 11
2017-06-08 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-147.6 1103 1145 26.14% 28.21% 45.65%-0.74 +16.5 6
2017-06-08 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-139.1 1112 1214 26.45% 28.26% 45.29%-0.27 -6.7 6
2017-06-08 @ HK Kopavogur W 1-039.1 1214 1112 45.29% 28.26% 26.45%+0.27 +6.7 15
2017-06-09 Selfoss W 2-036.8 1143 1140 40.44% 28.77% 30.80%+0.47 +14.2 8
2017-06-09 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-236.8 1140 1143 30.80% 28.77% 40.44%-0.47 -14.2 10
2017-06-10 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-149.9 1073 1259 18.46% 25.90% 55.64%-0.85 +19.4 4
2017-06-10 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur L 1-349.9 1259 1073 55.64% 25.90% 18.46%+0.85 -19.4 13
2017-06-14 Leiknir Reykjavik D 3-363.1 1220 1157 48.48% 27.73% 23.79%+0.89 -0.7 16
2017-06-14 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 3-363.1 1157 1220 23.79% 27.73% 48.48%-0.89 +0.7 9
2017-06-15 Fram Reykjavik W 2-032.7 1240 1128 54.37% 26.29% 19.34%+1.23 +9.6 16
2017-06-15 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-232.7 1128 1240 19.34% 26.29% 54.37%-1.23 -9.6 11
2017-06-15 Grotta W 2-033.6 1120 1036 51.09% 27.17% 21.74%+1.04 +10.7 9
2017-06-15 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-233.6 1036 1120 21.74% 27.17% 51.09%-1.04 -10.7 5
2017-06-15 HK Kopavogur W 2-145.8 1118 1105 41.87% 28.65% 29.47%+0.54 +6.9 9
2017-06-15 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-245.8 1105 1118 29.47% 28.65% 41.87%-0.54 -6.9 6
2017-06-16 Keflavik IF L 1-339.5 1023 1184 20.47% 26.74% 52.79%-0.68 -8.8 7
2017-06-16 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-139.5 1184 1023 52.79% 26.74% 20.47%+0.68 +8.8 12
2017-06-18 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 2-035.6 1126 1093 44.57% 28.36% 27.07%+0.68 +12.9 13
2017-06-18 @ Selfoss L 0-235.6 1093 1126 27.07% 28.36% 44.57%-0.68 -12.9 4
2017-06-22 Grotta W 1-036.9 1119 1025 52.23% 26.88% 20.89%+1.10 +5.5 14
2017-06-22 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-136.9 1025 1119 20.89% 26.88% 52.23%-1.10 -5.5 5
2017-06-22 IR Reykjavik W 2-033.6 1098 1014 51.12% 27.16% 21.72%+1.04 +10.7 9
2017-06-22 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-233.6 1014 1098 21.72% 27.16% 51.12%-1.04 -10.7 7
2017-06-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-047.5 1158 1125 44.50% 28.37% 27.13%+0.68 -0.9 10
2017-06-23 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-047.5 1125 1158 27.13% 28.37% 44.50%-0.68 +0.9 10
2017-06-23 Selfoss W 2-032.8 1249 1139 54.26% 26.32% 19.42%+1.22 +9.7 19
2017-06-23 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-232.8 1139 1249 19.42% 26.32% 54.26%-1.22 -9.7 13
2017-06-24 Thor Akureyri W 1-038.1 1193 1131 48.36% 27.75% 23.89%+0.88 +6.2 15
2017-06-24 @ Keflavik IF L 0-138.1 1131 1193 23.89% 27.75% 48.36%-0.88 -6.2 9
2017-06-24 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-257.6 1080 1220 22.45% 27.38% 50.17%-0.53 +9.8 7
2017-06-24 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur L 2-357.6 1220 1080 50.17% 27.38% 22.45%+0.53 -9.8 16
2017-06-29 Keflavik IF L 0-136.1 1019 1199 18.96% 26.13% 54.92%-0.81 -5.0 5
2017-06-29 @ Grotta W 1-036.1 1199 1019 54.92% 26.13% 18.96%+0.81 +5.0 18
2017-06-29 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-152.3 1003 1157 21.14% 26.97% 51.89%-0.63 +1.5 8
2017-06-29 @ IR Reykjavik D 1-152.3 1157 1003 51.89% 26.97% 21.14%+0.63 -1.5 11
2017-06-30 Fram Reykjavik D 1-151.8 1129 1124 40.74% 28.75% 30.52%+0.48 -0.5 14
2017-06-30 @ Selfoss D 1-151.8 1124 1129 30.52% 28.75% 40.74%-0.48 +0.5 15
2017-06-30 HK Kopavogur W 3-034.1 1124 1109 42.18% 28.63% 29.20%+0.56 +19.9 12
2017-06-30 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-334.1 1109 1124 29.20% 28.63% 42.18%-0.56 -19.9 9
2017-07-01 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 5-033.9 1126 1090 45.03% 28.30% 26.68%+0.70 +29.8 13
2017-07-01 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-533.9 1090 1126 26.68% 28.30% 45.03%-0.70 -29.8 7
2017-07-03 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-043.0 1210 1259 33.10% 28.89% 38.01%+0.10 +8.8 19
2017-07-03 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-143.0 1259 1210 38.01% 28.89% 33.10%-0.10 -8.8 19
2017-07-06 Grotta W 2-033.9 1089 1014 49.90% 27.44% 22.66%+0.97 +11.1 12
2017-07-06 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-233.9 1014 1089 22.66% 27.44% 49.90%-0.97 -11.1 5
2017-07-06 Keflavik IF L 0-140.0 1124 1204 29.10% 28.62% 42.28%-0.11 -7.2 15
2017-07-06 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-040.0 1204 1124 42.28% 28.62% 29.10%+0.11 +7.2 21
2017-07-06 Thor Akureyri L 0-240.1 1156 1144 41.60% 28.68% 29.72%+0.53 -17.8 11
2017-07-06 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-040.1 1144 1156 29.72% 28.68% 41.60%-0.53 +17.8 15
2017-07-07 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-033.4 1250 1156 52.32% 26.86% 20.82%+1.11 +10.3 22
2017-07-07 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-233.4 1156 1250 20.82% 26.86% 52.32%-1.11 -10.3 13
2017-07-07 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-151.9 1129 1219 27.82% 28.47% 43.71%-0.18 +0.7 15
2017-07-07 @ Selfoss D 1-151.9 1219 1129 43.71% 28.47% 27.82%+0.18 -0.7 20
2017-07-08 IR Reykjavik L 0-241.5 1060 1004 47.45% 27.92% 24.63%+0.83 -19.7 7
2017-07-08 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 2-041.5 1004 1060 24.63% 27.92% 47.45%-0.83 +19.7 11
2017-07-11 Fram Reykjavik W 2-142.6 1218 1117 53.11% 26.65% 20.24%+1.15 +5.0 23
2017-07-11 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-242.6 1117 1218 20.24% 26.65% 53.11%-1.15 -5.0 15
2017-07-11 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-240.1 1024 1261 14.95% 23.87% 61.19%-1.21 -3.7 11
2017-07-11 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-140.1 1261 1024 61.19% 23.87% 14.95%+1.21 +3.7 25
2017-07-11 HK Kopavogur W 3-139.1 1211 1100 54.33% 26.30% 19.37%+1.22 +8.4 24
2017-07-11 @ Keflavik IF L 1-339.1 1100 1211 19.37% 26.30% 54.33%-1.22 -8.4 12
2017-07-11 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 2-141.7 1162 1040 55.59% 25.92% 18.50%+1.30 +4.6 18
2017-07-11 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-241.7 1040 1162 18.50% 25.92% 55.59%-1.30 -4.6 7
2017-07-11 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-340.5 1003 1138 22.99% 27.53% 49.48%-0.49 -9.8 5
2017-07-11 @ Grotta W 3-140.5 1138 1003 49.48% 27.53% 22.99%+0.49 +9.8 14
2017-07-11 Selfoss W 2-145.8 1146 1129 42.28% 28.62% 29.10%+0.56 +6.8 16
2017-07-11 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-245.8 1129 1146 29.10% 28.62% 42.28%-0.56 -6.8 15
2017-07-15 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1167 1264 26.95% 28.34% 44.70%-0.24 +0.8 19
2017-07-15 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-152.1 1264 1167 44.70% 28.34% 26.95%+0.24 -0.8 26
2017-07-15 HK Kopavogur L 2-355.7 1112 1092 42.84% 28.56% 28.60%+0.59 -8.6 15
2017-07-15 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-255.7 1092 1112 28.60% 28.56% 42.84%-0.59 +8.6 15
2017-07-15 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 3-036.5 994 1035 34.10% 28.92% 36.99%+0.15 +23.6 8
2017-07-15 @ Grotta L 0-336.5 1035 994 36.99% 28.92% 34.10%-0.15 -23.6 7
2017-07-15 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-251.6 1220 1148 49.59% 27.50% 22.90%+0.95 -10.2 24
2017-07-15 @ Keflavik IF W 2-151.6 1148 1220 22.90% 27.50% 49.59%-0.95 +10.2 17
2017-07-15 Selfoss L 1-341.8 1020 1123 26.44% 28.26% 45.30%-0.27 -11.0 11
2017-07-15 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-141.8 1123 1020 45.30% 28.26% 26.44%+0.27 +11.0 18
2017-07-15 Throttur Reykjavik D 0-047.5 1152 1223 30.23% 28.72% 41.04%-0.05 +0.5 17
2017-07-15 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-047.5 1223 1152 41.04% 28.72% 30.23%+0.05 -0.5 24
2017-07-20 Fram Reykjavik W 3-250.3 1153 1104 46.71% 28.05% 25.25%+0.79 +5.8 20
2017-07-20 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 2-350.3 1104 1153 25.25% 28.05% 46.71%-0.79 -5.8 15
2017-07-20 Grotta W 4-026.1 1263 1017 68.45% 20.48% 11.08%+2.17 +10.1 29
2017-07-20 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-426.1 1017 1263 11.08% 20.48% 68.45%-2.17 -10.1 8
2017-07-20 HK Kopavogur L 1-251.1 1158 1100 47.74% 27.87% 24.40%+0.85 -9.9 17
2017-07-20 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-151.1 1100 1158 24.40% 27.87% 47.74%-0.85 +9.9 18
2017-07-21 IR Reykjavik W 2-138.8 1223 1009 65.27% 22.05% 12.68%+1.94 +3.1 27
2017-07-21 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-238.8 1009 1223 12.68% 22.05% 65.27%-1.94 -3.1 11
2017-07-22 Keflavik IF L 2-442.7 1012 1209 17.55% 25.45% 56.99%-0.94 -6.8 7
2017-07-22 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 4-242.7 1209 1012 56.99% 25.45% 17.55%+0.94 +6.8 27
2017-07-22 Thor Akureyri L 2-353.5 1133 1167 35.20% 28.93% 35.87%+0.21 -7.5 18
2017-07-22 @ Selfoss W 3-253.5 1167 1133 35.87% 28.93% 35.20%-0.21 +7.5 22
2017-07-24 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-036.9 1098 1148 32.94% 28.88% 38.17%+0.10 +24.2 18
2017-07-24 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-336.9 1148 1098 38.17% 28.88% 32.94%-0.10 -24.2 17
2017-07-27 Fylkir Reykjavik D 3-363.0 1216 1274 31.99% 28.84% 39.17%+0.05 +0.2 28
2017-07-27 @ Keflavik IF D 3-363.0 1274 1216 39.17% 28.84% 31.99%-0.05 -0.2 30
2017-07-27 Selfoss L 0-234.7 1007 1126 24.59% 27.91% 47.50%-0.38 -11.9 8
2017-07-27 @ Grotta W 2-034.7 1126 1007 47.50% 27.91% 24.59%+0.38 +11.9 21
2017-07-27 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-039.3 1175 1226 32.86% 28.88% 38.26%+0.09 +16.7 25
2017-07-27 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-239.3 1226 1175 38.26% 28.88% 32.86%-0.09 -16.7 27
2017-07-28 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-242.9 1006 1159 21.29% 27.02% 51.69%-0.62 -5.3 11
2017-07-28 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-142.9 1159 1006 51.69% 27.02% 21.29%+0.62 +5.3 23
2017-07-29 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 1-036.5 1110 1005 53.64% 26.50% 19.86%+1.18 +5.2 21
2017-07-29 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-136.5 1005 1110 19.86% 26.50% 53.64%-1.18 -5.2 7
2017-08-01 Fram Reykjavik D 2-258.4 1001 1122 24.39% 27.87% 47.75%-0.40 +0.8 12
2017-08-01 @ IR Reykjavik D 2-258.4 1122 1001 47.75% 27.87% 24.39%+0.40 -0.8 19
2017-08-02 Grotta W 2-029.3 1209 995 65.34% 22.02% 12.64%+1.94 +6.2 30
2017-08-02 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-229.3 995 1209 12.64% 22.02% 65.34%-1.94 -6.2 8
2017-08-02 HK Kopavogur L 0-148.0 1273 1116 59.56% 24.52% 15.92%+1.55 -12.6 30
2017-08-02 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-048.0 1116 1273 15.92% 24.52% 59.56%-1.55 +12.6 24
2017-08-02 Keflavik IF L 1-245.9 1138 1216 29.24% 28.63% 42.13%-0.10 -6.9 21
2017-08-02 @ Selfoss W 2-145.9 1216 1138 42.13% 28.63% 29.24%+0.10 +6.8 31
2017-08-02 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-340.9 1000 1124 24.05% 27.79% 48.16%-0.42 -10.1 7
2017-08-02 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 3-140.9 1124 1000 48.16% 27.79% 24.05%+0.42 +10.1 20
2017-08-02 Thor Akureyri W 2-038.2 1164 1192 36.12% 28.93% 34.95%+0.25 +15.6 26
2017-08-02 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-238.2 1192 1164 34.95% 28.93% 36.12%-0.25 -15.6 25
2017-08-10 Selfoss W 2-146.5 1128 1131 39.61% 28.82% 31.57%+0.43 +7.3 27
2017-08-10 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-246.5 1131 1128 31.57% 28.82% 39.61%-0.43 -7.3 21
2017-08-11 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-045.6 1134 1261 23.76% 27.72% 48.52%-0.44 +10.6 23
2017-08-11 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-145.6 1261 1134 48.52% 27.72% 23.76%+0.44 -10.6 30
2017-08-11 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.7 989 1180 18.09% 25.72% 56.19%-0.89 +1.9 9
2017-08-11 @ Grotta D 1-152.7 1180 989 56.19% 25.72% 18.09%+0.89 -1.9 27
2017-08-11 IR Reykjavik D 0-048.9 1176 1002 61.30% 23.82% 14.88%+1.66 -2.6 26
2017-08-11 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-048.9 1002 1176 14.88% 23.82% 61.30%-1.66 +2.6 13
2017-08-11 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-040.5 1223 1215 41.16% 28.71% 30.12%+0.50 +7.4 34
2017-08-11 @ Keflavik IF L 0-140.5 1215 1223 30.12% 28.71% 41.16%-0.50 -7.4 30
2017-08-13 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 3-247.2 1121 990 56.68% 25.56% 17.76%+1.37 +4.2 22
2017-08-13 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-347.2 990 1121 17.76% 25.56% 56.68%-1.37 -4.2 7
2017-08-17 Grotta W 3-142.8 1005 991 41.92% 28.65% 29.43%+0.54 +11.9 16
2017-08-17 @ IR Reykjavik L 1-342.8 991 1005 29.43% 28.65% 41.92%-0.54 -11.9 9
2017-08-17 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-238.8 1124 1144 37.11% 28.91% 33.97%+0.30 -16.3 21
2017-08-17 @ Selfoss W 2-038.8 1144 1124 33.97% 28.91% 37.11%-0.30 +16.3 26
2017-08-18 Fram Reykjavik D 2-258.5 1173 1125 46.52% 28.08% 25.40%+0.78 -0.7 27
2017-08-18 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-258.5 1125 1173 25.40% 28.08% 46.52%-0.78 +0.7 23
2017-08-18 HK Kopavogur W 2-143.6 1208 1135 49.63% 27.49% 22.87%+0.95 +5.6 33
2017-08-18 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-243.6 1135 1208 22.87% 27.49% 49.63%-0.95 -5.6 27
2017-08-18 Keflavik IF W 4-250.2 1178 1231 32.56% 28.87% 38.57%+0.08 +13.0 30
2017-08-18 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 2-450.2 1231 1178 38.57% 28.87% 32.56%-0.08 -13.0 34
2017-08-19 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 4-131.6 1250 985 70.15% 19.58% 10.27%+2.30 +5.9 33
2017-08-19 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-431.6 985 1250 10.27% 19.58% 70.15%-2.30 -6.0 7
2017-08-24 IR Reykjavik W 3-245.0 1218 1016 64.10% 22.60% 13.30%+1.85 +3.1 37
2017-08-24 @ Keflavik IF L 2-345.0 1016 1218 13.30% 22.60% 64.10%-1.85 -3.1 16
2017-08-24 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-042.9 1161 1213 32.62% 28.87% 38.51%+0.08 +8.9 29
2017-08-24 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-142.9 1213 1161 38.51% 28.87% 32.62%-0.08 -8.9 33
2017-08-25 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-536.5 1126 1256 23.45% 27.64% 48.91%-0.46 -18.1 23
2017-08-25 @ Fram Reykjavik W 5-136.5 1256 1126 48.91% 27.64% 23.45%+0.46 +18.1 36
2017-08-25 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-039.6 1130 1191 31.47% 28.81% 39.72%+0.02 +17.2 30
2017-08-25 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-239.6 1191 1130 39.72% 28.81% 31.47%-0.02 -17.2 30
2017-08-26 Selfoss L 0-234.3 979 1108 23.63% 27.69% 48.68%-0.45 -11.5 7
2017-08-26 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 2-034.3 1108 979 48.68% 27.69% 23.63%+0.45 +11.5 24
2017-08-26 Thor Akureyri L 1-338.4 979 1173 17.85% 25.61% 56.54%-0.91 -7.7 9
2017-08-26 @ Grotta W 3-138.4 1173 979 56.54% 25.61% 17.85%+0.91 +7.7 30
2017-08-30 Fram Reykjavik L 1-340.4 971 1108 22.77% 27.47% 49.77%-0.51 -9.7 9
2017-08-30 @ Grotta W 3-140.4 1108 971 49.77% 27.47% 22.77%+0.51 +9.7 26
2017-08-30 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-243.0 1119 1274 21.04% 26.94% 52.02%-0.64 -5.2 24
2017-08-30 @ Selfoss W 2-143.0 1274 1119 52.02% 26.94% 21.04%+0.64 +5.2 39
2017-08-30 HK Kopavogur L 2-349.4 1013 1147 23.09% 27.55% 49.36%-0.49 -5.4 16
2017-08-30 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-249.4 1147 1013 49.36% 27.55% 23.09%+0.49 +5.4 33
2017-08-30 Keflavik IF L 0-335.9 1180 1221 34.29% 28.92% 36.80%+0.16 -22.4 30
2017-08-30 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-035.9 1221 1180 36.80% 28.92% 34.29%-0.16 +22.4 40
2017-08-31 Leiknir Reykjavik W 5-349.4 1174 1170 40.58% 28.76% 30.66%+0.47 +10.4 33
2017-08-31 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 3-549.4 1170 1174 30.66% 28.76% 40.58%-0.47 -10.4 29
2017-09-02 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 2-028.7 1204 968 67.54% 20.94% 11.52%+2.10 +5.6 36
2017-09-02 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-228.7 968 1204 11.52% 20.94% 67.54%-2.10 -5.6 7
2017-09-07 Grotta W 3-025.3 1243 962 71.66% 18.76% 9.58%+2.42 +6.5 43
2017-09-07 @ Keflavik IF L 0-325.3 962 1243 9.58% 18.76% 71.66%-2.42 -6.5 9
2017-09-07 IR Reykjavik W 4-028.9 1159 1008 58.87% 24.78% 16.35%+1.50 +15.5 32
2017-09-07 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-428.9 1008 1159 16.35% 24.78% 58.87%-1.50 -15.5 16
2017-09-07 Selfoss D 0-047.4 1118 1114 40.56% 28.76% 30.68%+0.47 -0.5 27
2017-09-07 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-047.4 1114 1118 30.68% 28.76% 40.56%-0.47 +0.5 25
2017-09-07 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-141.0 1279 1210 49.26% 27.57% 23.17%+0.93 +9.8 42
2017-09-07 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-341.0 1210 1279 23.17% 27.57% 49.26%-0.93 -9.8 36
2017-09-09 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 6-043.6 962 1184 15.87% 24.49% 59.64%-1.10 +65.8 10
2017-09-09 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur L 0-643.6 1184 962 59.64% 24.49% 15.87%+1.10 -65.8 33
2017-09-09 Thor Akureyri W 2-037.2 1152 1158 39.22% 28.84% 31.94%+0.41 +14.6 36
2017-09-09 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-237.2 1158 1152 31.94% 28.84% 39.22%-0.41 -14.6 30
2017-09-16 Fram Reykjavik W 1-035.7 1250 1117 56.78% 25.52% 17.69%+1.37 +4.7 46
2017-09-16 @ Keflavik IF L 0-135.7 1117 1250 17.69% 25.52% 56.78%-1.37 -4.7 27
2017-09-16 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-632.3 1118 1289 19.66% 26.42% 53.91%-0.75 -27.2 33
2017-09-16 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 6-032.3 1289 1118 53.91% 26.42% 19.66%+0.75 +27.2 45
2017-09-16 HK Kopavogur L 1-435.0 955 1167 16.55% 24.90% 58.56%-1.03 -10.1 9
2017-09-16 @ Grotta W 4-135.0 1167 955 58.56% 24.90% 16.55%+1.03 +10.1 39
2017-09-16 Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 2-038.4 992 1028 34.96% 28.93% 36.11%+0.20 +16.0 19
2017-09-16 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-238.4 1028 992 36.11% 28.93% 34.96%-0.20 -16.0 10
2017-09-16 Leiknir Reykjavik D 3-362.6 1143 1175 35.57% 28.93% 35.50%+0.23 +0.0 31
2017-09-16 @ Thor Akureyri D 3-362.6 1175 1143 35.50% 28.93% 35.57%-0.23 +0.0 33
2017-09-16 Selfoss W 4-031.2 1200 1114 51.30% 27.12% 21.58%+1.05 +20.2 39
2017-09-16 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-431.2 1114 1200 21.58% 27.12% 51.30%-1.05 -20.2 25
2017-09-23 Grotta W 2-138.3 1175 945 66.91% 21.26% 11.84%+2.05 +2.9 36
2017-09-23 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-238.3 945 1175 11.84% 21.26% 66.91%-2.05 -2.9 9
2017-09-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-146.3 1094 1091 40.46% 28.76% 30.78%+0.47 +7.1 28
2017-09-23 @ Selfoss L 1-246.3 1091 1094 30.78% 28.76% 40.46%-0.47 -7.1 33
2017-09-23 IR Reykjavik W 2-136.3 1316 1008 73.91% 17.49% 8.60%+2.60 +2.0 48
2017-09-23 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-236.3 1008 1316 8.60% 17.49% 73.91%-2.60 -2.0 19
2017-09-23 Keflavik IF W 2-149.8 1177 1254 29.38% 28.64% 41.98%-0.09 +9.0 42
2017-09-23 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-249.8 1254 1177 41.98% 28.64% 29.38%+0.09 -9.0 46
2017-09-23 Thor Akureyri L 0-332.1 1012 1143 23.32% 27.61% 49.07%-0.47 -16.6 10
2017-09-23 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur W 3-032.1 1143 1012 49.07% 27.61% 23.32%+0.47 +16.6 34
2017-09-23 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-432.8 1112 1220 25.78% 28.15% 46.08%-0.31 -23.5 27
2017-09-23 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-032.8 1220 1112 46.08% 28.15% 25.78%+0.31 +23.5 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-09-09 15.87% @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 962 6 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1184 0
2 2017-08-02 15.92% HK Kopavogur 1116 1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1273 0
3 2017-06-10 18.46% @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1073 3 Fylkir Reykjavik 1259 1
4 2017-05-20 20.84% Grotta 1049 1 @ Selfoss 1143 0
5 2017-06-24 22.45% @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1080 3 Throttur Reykjavik 1220 2
6 2017-07-15 22.90% Leiknir Reykjavik 1148 2 @ Keflavik IF 1220 1
7 2017-08-11 23.76% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1134 1 Fylkir Reykjavik 1261 0
8 2017-07-20 24.40% HK Kopavogur 1100 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1158 1
9 2017-07-08 24.63% IR Reykjavik 1004 2 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1060 0
10 2017-06-03 25.62% @ IR Reykjavik 1004 2 Thor Akureyri 1113 1
11 2017-05-06 26.00% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1139 2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1182 1
12 2017-06-08 26.14% Thor Akureyri 1103 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1145 1
13 2017-06-08 27.23% IR Reykjavik 1013 2 @ Grotta 1045 1
14 2017-07-15 28.60% HK Kopavogur 1092 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1112 2
15 2017-09-23 29.38% @ HK Kopavogur 1177 2 Keflavik IF 1254 1
16 2017-07-06 29.72% Thor Akureyri 1144 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1156 0
17 2017-05-13 29.82% Selfoss 1122 4 @ Thor Akureyri 1132 1
18 2017-05-05 31.04% Fram Reykjavik 1124 2 @ HK Kopavogur 1125 1
19 2017-08-25 31.47% @ HK Kopavogur 1130 2 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1191 0
20 2017-08-18 32.56% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1178 4 Keflavik IF 1231 2
21 2017-08-24 32.62% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1161 1 Throttur Reykjavik 1213 0
22 2017-07-27 32.86% @ Thor Akureyri 1175 2 Throttur Reykjavik 1226 0
23 2017-07-24 32.94% @ Fram Reykjavik 1098 3 Leiknir Reykjavik 1148 0
24 2017-07-03 33.10% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1210 1 Fylkir Reykjavik 1259 0
25 2017-05-20 33.43% HK Kopavogur 1124 3 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1107 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-09-09 65.84 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 6 962 15.87% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1184 59.64% 24.49%
2 2017-07-01 29.81 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 1126 45.03% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1090 26.68% 28.30%
3 2017-09-16 27.21 Fylkir Reykjavik 6 1289 53.91% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1118 19.66% 26.42%
4 2017-07-24 24.20 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1098 32.94% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1148 38.17% 28.88%
5 2017-07-15 23.64 @ Grotta 3 994 34.10% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1035 36.99% 28.92%
6 2017-09-23 23.53 Throttur Reykjavik 4 1220 46.08% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1112 25.78% 28.15%
7 2017-08-30 22.40 Keflavik IF 3 1221 36.80% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1180 34.29% 28.92%
8 2017-05-13 21.72 Selfoss 4 1122 29.82% @ Thor Akureyri 1 1132 41.50% 28.69%
9 2017-09-16 20.23 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1200 51.30% Selfoss 0 1114 21.58% 27.12%
10 2017-06-30 19.87 @ Thor Akureyri 3 1124 42.18% HK Kopavogur 0 1109 29.20% 28.63%
11 2017-07-08 19.70 IR Reykjavik 2 1004 24.63% @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1060 47.45% 27.92%
12 2017-06-10 19.41 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 3 1073 18.46% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1259 55.64% 25.90%
13 2017-06-07 19.10 @ Keflavik IF 3 1165 43.80% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1137 27.74% 28.45%
14 2017-05-28 19.04 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1230 43.91% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1138 27.65% 28.44%
15 2017-05-13 18.71 @ Keflavik IF 3 1159 44.62% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1126 27.03% 28.35%
16 2017-08-25 18.12 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 1256 48.91% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1126 23.45% 27.64%
17 2017-07-06 17.77 Thor Akureyri 2 1144 29.72% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1156 41.60% 28.68%
18 2017-08-25 17.16 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1130 31.47% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1191 39.72% 28.81%
19 2017-05-26 17.09 Throttur Reykjavik 3 1183 47.98% @ Grotta 0 1061 24.20% 27.82%
20 2017-07-27 16.68 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1175 32.86% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1226 38.26% 28.88%
21 2017-09-23 16.56 Thor Akureyri 3 1143 49.07% @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1012 23.32% 27.61%
22 2017-06-08 16.54 Thor Akureyri 3 1103 26.14% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1145 45.65% 28.21%
23 2017-08-17 16.32 Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1144 33.97% @ Selfoss 0 1124 37.11% 28.91%
24 2017-09-16 16.00 @ IR Reykjavik 2 992 34.96% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1028 36.11% 28.93%
25 2017-08-02 15.63 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1164 36.12% Thor Akureyri 0 1192 34.95% 28.93%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-06-14 63.1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1220 48.48% Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1157 23.79% 27.73%
2 2017-07-27 63.0 @ Keflavik IF 3 1216 31.99% Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1274 39.17% 28.84%
3 2017-09-16 62.6 @ Thor Akureyri 3 1143 35.57% Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1175 35.50% 28.93%
4 2017-05-06 58.6 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 2 1127 49.77% Grotta 2 1053 22.76% 27.46%
5 2017-05-25 58.5 @ Keflavik IF 2 1179 46.39% Selfoss 2 1132 25.51% 28.10%
6 2017-08-18 58.5 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1173 46.52% Fram Reykjavik 2 1125 25.40% 28.08%
7 2017-08-01 58.4 @ IR Reykjavik 2 1001 24.39% Fram Reykjavik 2 1122 47.75% 27.87%
8 2017-05-21 58.3 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1141 41.28% Fram Reykjavik 2 1132 30.01% 28.70%
9 2017-05-12 58.2 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1133 37.71% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1149 33.39% 28.90%
10 2017-06-24 57.6 @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 3 1080 22.45% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1220 50.17% 27.38%
11 2017-07-15 55.7 HK Kopavogur 3 1092 28.60% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1112 42.84% 28.56%
12 2017-05-12 53.7 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1116 35.39% Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1149 35.68% 28.93%
13 2017-07-22 53.5 Thor Akureyri 3 1167 35.87% @ Selfoss 2 1133 35.20% 28.93%
14 2017-05-21 52.8 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1149 57.95% IR Reykjavik 1 1006 16.93% 25.12%
15 2017-08-11 52.7 @ Grotta 1 989 18.09% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1180 56.19% 25.72%
16 2017-06-02 52.3 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1139 52.46% Grotta 1 1044 20.71% 26.82%
17 2017-06-29 52.3 @ IR Reykjavik 1 1003 21.14% Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1157 51.89% 26.97%
18 2017-05-21 52.2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1231 47.13% Keflavik IF 1 1178 24.89% 27.97%
19 2017-07-15 52.1 @ Thor Akureyri 1 1167 26.95% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1264 44.70% 28.34%
20 2017-07-07 51.9 @ Selfoss 1 1129 27.82% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1219 43.71% 28.47%
21 2017-05-05 51.8 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1149 38.64% Keflavik IF 1 1159 32.49% 28.86%
22 2017-06-30 51.8 @ Selfoss 1 1129 40.74% Fram Reykjavik 1 1124 30.52% 28.75%
23 2017-07-15 51.6 Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1148 22.90% @ Keflavik IF 1 1220 49.59% 27.50%
24 2017-07-20 51.1 HK Kopavogur 2 1100 24.40% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1158 47.74% 27.87%
25 2017-05-06 50.7 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1139 26.00% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1182 45.81% 28.19%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-09-07 25.3 @ Keflavik IF 3 1243 71.66% Grotta 0 962 9.58% 18.76%
2 2017-07-20 26.1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1263 68.45% Grotta 0 1017 11.08% 20.48%
3 2017-09-02 28.7 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1204 67.54% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 968 11.52% 20.94%
4 2017-09-07 28.9 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 4 1159 58.87% IR Reykjavik 0 1008 16.35% 24.78%
5 2017-08-02 29.3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1209 65.34% Grotta 0 995 12.64% 22.02%
6 2017-09-16 31.2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1200 51.30% Selfoss 0 1114 21.58% 27.12%
7 2017-08-19 31.6 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1250 70.15% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 1 985 10.27% 19.58%
8 2017-09-23 32.1 Thor Akureyri 3 1143 49.07% @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1012 23.32% 27.61%
9 2017-09-16 32.3 Fylkir Reykjavik 6 1289 53.91% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1118 19.66% 26.42%
10 2017-05-26 32.4 Throttur Reykjavik 3 1183 47.98% @ Grotta 0 1061 24.20% 27.82%
11 2017-06-15 32.7 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1240 54.37% Fram Reykjavik 0 1128 19.34% 26.29%
12 2017-06-23 32.8 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1249 54.26% Selfoss 0 1139 19.42% 26.32%
13 2017-09-23 32.8 Throttur Reykjavik 4 1220 46.08% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1112 25.78% 28.15%
14 2017-05-13 33.4 @ Keflavik IF 3 1159 44.62% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1126 27.03% 28.35%
15 2017-06-05 33.4 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1249 52.47% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1153 20.71% 26.82%
16 2017-07-07 33.4 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1250 52.32% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1156 20.82% 26.86%
17 2017-06-15 33.6 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1120 51.09% Grotta 0 1036 21.74% 27.17%
18 2017-06-22 33.6 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1098 51.12% IR Reykjavik 0 1014 21.72% 27.16%
19 2017-05-28 33.7 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1230 43.91% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1138 27.65% 28.44%
20 2017-06-07 33.7 @ Keflavik IF 3 1165 43.80% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1137 27.74% 28.45%
21 2017-07-01 33.9 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 1126 45.03% Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 1090 26.68% 28.30%
22 2017-07-06 33.9 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1089 49.90% Grotta 0 1014 22.66% 27.44%
23 2017-06-30 34.1 @ Thor Akureyri 3 1124 42.18% HK Kopavogur 0 1109 29.20% 28.63%
24 2017-08-26 34.3 Selfoss 2 1108 48.68% @ Leiknir Faskrudsfjordur 0 979 23.63% 27.69%
25 2017-07-27 34.7 Selfoss 2 1126 47.50% @ Grotta 0 1007 24.59% 27.91%