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2017-18 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Thor Akureyri

9.71 points above expected

43 points · 33.29 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Selfoss

7.45 points below expected

15 points · 22.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 22 14 6 2 48 42 16 +26 42.46 +5.54
2 HK Kopavogur 22 14 6 2 48 38 13 +25 40.98 +7.02
3 Thor Akureyri 22 13 4 5 43 46 37 +9 33.29 +9.71
4 Vikingur Olafsvik 22 12 6 4 42 38 22 +16 39.23 +2.77
5 Throttur Reykjavik 22 11 3 8 36 52 40 +12 34.74 +1.26
6 Njardvik 22 7 6 9 27 24 34 -10 25.86 +1.14
7 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 7 4 11 25 23 29 -6 26.73 -1.73
8 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 22 7 4 11 25 33 45 -12 22.95 +2.05
9 Fram Reykjavik 22 6 6 10 24 37 38 -1 30.32 -6.32
10 IF Magni 22 6 1 15 19 27 48 -21 22.31 -3.31
11 IR Reykjavik 22 5 3 14 18 23 48 -25 18.59 -0.59
12 Selfoss 22 4 3 15 15 35 48 -13 22.45 -7.45

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Thor Akureyri 43 33.29 +9.71
2 HK Kopavogur 48 40.98 +7.02
3 IA Akranes 48 42.46 +5.54
4 Vikingur Olafsvik 42 39.23 +2.77
5 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 25 22.95 +2.05

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Selfoss 15 22.45 -7.45
2 Fram Reykjavik 24 30.32 -6.32
3 IF Magni 19 22.31 -3.31
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 25 26.73 -1.73
5 IR Reykjavik 18 18.59 -0.59

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Throttur Reykjavik 5 Aug 1 – Aug 25 1 in 65
2 Njardvik 3 Sep 8 – Sep 22 1 in 61
3 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 Jun 8 – Jun 29 1 in 52
4 Thor Akureyri 4 Jun 30 – Jul 19 1 in 25
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 2 Jun 29 – Jul 5 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Throttur Reykjavik 3 Aug 31 – Sep 15 1 in 356
2 IF Magni 5 May 26 – Jun 20 1 in 54
3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 Jul 5 – Aug 1 1 in 46
4 IR Reykjavik 5 May 18 – Jun 12 1 in 30
5 Selfoss 5 Aug 25 – Sep 22 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 Aug 23 – Sep 22 1 in 95
2 HK Kopavogur 14 May 5 – Aug 1 1 in 39
3 Throttur Reykjavik 8 Jul 13 – Aug 25 1 in 20
4 Vikingur Olafsvik 11 Jun 8 – Aug 13 1 in 15
5 IA Akranes 11 Jul 19 – Sep 22 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 6 Jul 26 – Aug 23 1 in 25
2 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 Aug 8 – Aug 20 1 in 19
3 Throttur Reykjavik 4 Aug 31 – Sep 22 1 in 17
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 6 Jul 14 – Aug 14 1 in 16
5 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 8 Jul 5 – Aug 18 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HK Kopavogur 1266 48 -27 10 10.3 -0.3
IA Akranes 1314 48 +6 9 9.8 -0.8
Thor Akureyri 1161 43 +27 10 7.5 +2.5
Vikingur Olafsvik 1241 42 +14 10 9.0 +1.0
Throttur Reykjavik 1174 36 -66 4 8.9 -4.9
Njardvik 1026 27 +52 10 5.9 +4.1
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 999 25 +124 11 3.9 +7.1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1052 25 +4 7 6.0 +1.0
Fram Reykjavik 1029 24 -70 3 7.1 -4.1
IF Magni 970 19 +24 7 4.7 +2.3
IR Reykjavik 884 18 -30 2 4.6 -2.6
Selfoss 959 15 -58 0 4.4 -4.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR HK HH IA IM IR LR NJA SEL TA TR VO
Fram Reykjavik —
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
3.58
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.94
1-1-0
2.97
0-2-0
3.21
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.20
0-0-2
1.58
HK Kopavogur
2-0-0
3.96
—
1-0-1
4.46
0-2-0
2.53
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
4.76
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
4.17
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.19
0-2-0
2.81
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
1-0-1
1.87
1-0-1
1.06
—
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
2.04
1-0-1
1.64
0-1-1
1.68
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.62
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
4.07
—
2-0-0
4.55
2-0-0
4.58
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
3.06
0-1-1
3.88
0-1-1
3.07
IF Magni
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
0.98
—
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
1.57
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
1.53
IR Reykjavik
1-0-1
1.53
0-1-1
0.81
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
0.95
1-0-1
2.24
—
1-0-1
1.95
0-1-1
1.91
2-0-0
2.12
0-0-2
1.53
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
1.43
Leiknir Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.53
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.11
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.49
—
0-0-2
3.16
1-1-0
2.96
0-0-2
2.34
2-0-0
1.70
0-0-2
1.74
Njardvik
0-2-0
2.23
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
1.39
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
3.52
2-0-0
2.27
—
1-0-1
3.13
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
2.11
1-1-0
1.23
Selfoss
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.03
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
3.31
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.29
—
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
1.71
1-1-0
1.41
Thor Akureyri
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.01
1-1-0
3.41
0-0-2
2.37
1-1-0
3.89
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.55
—
2-0-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.13
Throttur Reykjavik
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
3.85
1-1-0
1.58
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.74
0-0-2
3.75
1-1-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.75
0-0-2
2.89
—
1-0-1
2.69
Vikingur Olafsvik
2-0-0
3.87
0-2-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.80
1-1-0
2.35
1-0-1
3.96
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.71
0-1-1
4.26
0-1-1
4.08
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
2.74
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.41 +8.2
Allowed 0.70 -8.1
Differential 0.89 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%6.44%4.92%3.03%0.38%1.14%20.45%
16.44%8.33%9.47%6.44%2.65%0.38%33.71%
24.92%9.47%6.06%2.65%—0.76%23.86%
33.03%6.44%2.65%0.76%0.76%1.14%14.77%
40.38%2.65%—0.76%——3.79%
5+1.14%0.38%0.76%1.14%——3.41%
Total20.45%33.71%23.86%14.77%3.79%3.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.58 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.85
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
1——22.73%—4.55%—27.27%
2——18.18%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%50.00%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.73 -0.05
SD 1.13 0.94 1.50
CV 0.67 0.54 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
113.64%9.09%————22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
313.64%9.09%————22.73%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total50.00%40.91%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.59 +1.14
SD 1.32 0.67 1.42
CV 0.76 1.13 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
1—4.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%13.64%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%22.73%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.05 -0.55
SD 1.30 1.46 2.13
CV 0.87 0.72 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—————13.64%
113.64%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
213.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
4———————
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total54.55%27.27%13.64%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 0.73 +1.18
SD 1.41 1.03 1.79
CV 0.74 1.42 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%9.09%—45.45%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%31.82%18.18%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.18 -0.95
SD 0.97 1.47 1.79
CV 0.79 0.67 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
19.09%13.64%9.09%9.09%—4.55%45.45%
24.55%4.55%—9.09%—4.55%22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%22.73%27.27%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.18 -1.14
SD 0.84 1.56 1.81
CV 0.81 0.72 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%4.55%9.09%——40.91%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%18.18%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.32 -0.27
SD 1.05 1.04 1.55
CV 1.00 0.79 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
14.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
2—22.73%9.09%———31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%45.45%31.82%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.55 -0.45
SD 0.92 0.96 1.41
CV 0.84 0.62 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
1—9.09%18.18%18.18%——45.45%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
3—————9.09%9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total4.55%27.27%31.82%27.27%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.18 -0.59
SD 1.26 1.26 1.79
CV 0.79 0.58 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
113.64%4.55%——4.55%—22.73%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.68 +0.41
SD 1.57 1.32 2.02
CV 0.75 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%9.09%9.09%18.18%——45.45%
2——4.55%———4.55%
34.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
4—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total13.64%27.27%27.27%27.27%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.82 +0.55
SD 1.71 1.14 2.06
CV 0.72 0.63 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
14.55%18.18%9.09%———31.82%
213.64%22.73%4.55%———40.91%
34.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%54.55%13.64%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.00 +0.73
SD 0.98 0.93 1.24
CV 0.57 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IA Akranes 1314 48 42.46 +5.54 87.0% 23 32 38 44 46 51 57
HK Kopavogur 1266 48 40.98 +7.02 89.0% 25 30 37 40 45 52 62
Vikingur Olafsvik 1241 42 39.23 +2.77 71.0% 26 30 35 39 43 50 52
Throttur Reykjavik 1174 36 34.74 +1.26 64.0% 25 26 31 35 38 43 48
Thor Akureyri 1161 43 33.29 +9.71 94.0% 20 23 30 33 37 44 48
Leiknir Reykjavik 1052 25 26.73 -1.73 41.0% 12 16 23 28 31 35 45
Fram Reykjavik 1029 24 30.32 -6.32 17.0% 14 19 26 30 34 41 45
Njardvik 1026 27 25.86 +1.14 62.0% 13 17 22 25 29 35 41
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 999 25 22.95 +2.05 68.0% 12 14 19 23 27 32 33
IF Magni 970 19 22.31 -3.31 30.0% 10 14 18 22 26 32 42
Selfoss 959 15 22.45 -7.45 13.0% 10 14 19 22 26 31 35
IR Reykjavik 884 18 18.59 -0.59 47.0% 6 10 16 19 22 26 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.06%
No Edge
43.18%19.70%37.12%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 21.08 Elo pts.
218 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
IA Akranes, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.63 * Some Luck: 4.63 to 6.95 * Lucky: 6.95 to 9.26 * Wild Swing: 9.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.3 * Close: 1.3 to 1.95 * Off: 1.95 to 2.6 * Way Off: 2.6 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.92 points
Some Luck
05.7914
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.624
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Thor Akureyri
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
13.00%
Selfoss
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 137.35
1.88
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
76%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
92%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.70
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.61
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.15
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.77
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.098
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
IA Akranes41.00%26.00%17.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%——1.00%——
HK Kopavogur30.00%22.00%22.00%13.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%—————
Thor Akureyri3.00%7.00%18.00%11.00%23.00%12.00%15.00%7.00%—2.00%2.00%—
Vikingur Olafsvik19.00%29.00%11.00%21.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%————
Throttur Reykjavik4.00%10.00%23.00%17.00%18.00%15.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%———
Njardvik——1.00%6.00%4.00%14.00%10.00%22.00%20.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik1.00%1.00%1.00%9.00%8.00%16.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur——2.00%—2.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%18.00%17.00%17.00%13.00%
Fram Reykjavik2.00%5.00%4.00%14.00%16.00%11.00%20.00%9.00%8.00%8.00%1.00%2.00%
IF Magni——1.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%12.00%17.00%19.00%17.00%19.00%
IR Reykjavik————1.00%—5.00%2.00%10.00%10.00%30.00%42.00%
Selfoss———2.00%2.00%8.00%8.00%15.00%16.00%21.00%16.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
IA Akranes 67.00% 33.00% —
HK Kopavogur 52.00% 48.00% —
Vikingur Olafsvik 48.00% 52.00% —
Throttur Reykjavik 14.00% 86.00% —
Thor Akureyri 10.00% 88.00% 2.00%
Fram Reykjavik 7.00% 90.00% 3.00%
Njardvik — 87.00% 13.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 2.00% 82.00% 16.00%
Selfoss — 72.00% 28.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur — 70.00% 30.00%
IF Magni — 64.00% 36.00%
IR Reykjavik — 28.00% 72.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-05-05 IF Magni W 3-034.0 1105 1114 39.16% 28.89% 31.95%+0.06 +47.4 3
2018-05-05 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-334.0 1114 1105 31.95% 28.89% 39.16%-0.06 -47.4 0
2018-05-05 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-038.1 1159 1100 48.00% 28.40% 23.61%+0.37 +13.8 3
2018-05-05 @ IA Akranes L 0-138.1 1100 1159 23.61% 28.40% 48.00%-0.37 -13.8 0
2018-05-05 Selfoss D 2-257.1 1045 1053 39.34% 28.89% 31.77%+0.06 -0.6 1
2018-05-05 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-257.1 1053 1045 31.77% 28.89% 39.34%-0.06 +0.5 1
2018-05-05 Thor Akureyri D 2-257.1 1042 1089 33.74% 28.92% 37.34%-0.12 +0.3 1
2018-05-05 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-257.1 1089 1042 37.34% 28.92% 33.74%+0.12 -0.3 1
2018-05-05 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-151.6 1114 1141 36.61% 28.93% 34.46%-0.03 -0.2 1
2018-05-05 @ Njardvik D 1-151.6 1141 1114 34.46% 28.93% 36.61%+0.03 +0.2 1
2018-05-05 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-234.0 994 1119 23.97% 28.43% 47.59%-0.48 -26.3 0
2018-05-05 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-034.0 1119 994 47.59% 28.43% 23.97%+0.48 +26.3 3
2018-05-10 IA Akranes L 0-139.8 1089 1173 28.80% 28.78% 42.42%-0.29 -16.0 1
2018-05-10 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-039.8 1173 1089 42.42% 28.78% 28.80%+0.29 +16.0 6
2018-05-11 Fram Reykjavik L 1-347.9 1141 1044 52.32% 27.89% 19.79%+0.54 -41.6 1
2018-05-11 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-147.9 1044 1141 19.79% 27.89% 52.32%-0.54 +41.6 4
2018-05-11 Njardvik L 2-352.5 1086 1114 36.53% 28.93% 34.55%-0.03 -17.1 0
2018-05-11 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-252.5 1114 1086 34.55% 28.93% 36.53%+0.03 +17.1 4
2018-05-12 IF Magni W 3-142.8 1042 1067 36.96% 28.92% 34.12%-0.02 +29.7 4
2018-05-12 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-342.8 1067 1042 34.12% 28.92% 36.96%+0.02 -29.7 0
2018-05-12 IR Reykjavik L 0-242.0 1053 967 51.07% 28.06% 20.88%+0.49 -47.0 1
2018-05-12 @ Selfoss W 2-042.0 967 1053 20.88% 28.06% 51.07%-0.49 +47.0 3
2018-05-12 Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-151.7 1153 1145 41.42% 28.82% 29.76%+0.13 -1.2 4
2018-05-12 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-151.7 1145 1153 29.76% 28.82% 41.42%-0.13 +1.2 4
2018-05-18 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-137.6 1189 1072 54.46% 27.56% 17.98%+0.63 +18.0 9
2018-05-18 @ IA Akranes L 1-337.6 1072 1189 17.98% 27.56% 54.46%-0.63 -18.0 4
2018-05-18 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-032.9 1086 1069 42.64% 28.77% 28.59%+0.17 +43.7 7
2018-05-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-332.9 1069 1086 28.59% 28.77% 42.64%-0.17 -43.7 0
2018-05-18 Selfoss W 3-136.7 1151 1006 57.23% 27.03% 15.74%+0.76 +16.0 7
2018-05-18 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-336.7 1006 1151 15.74% 27.03% 57.23%-0.76 -16.0 1
2018-05-18 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-341.1 1014 1100 28.66% 28.77% 42.57%-0.29 -26.1 3
2018-05-18 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-141.1 1100 1014 42.57% 28.77% 28.66%+0.29 +26.1 4
2018-05-19 Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-044.7 1037 1146 25.77% 28.59% 45.64%-0.40 +22.7 3
2018-05-19 @ IF Magni L 0-144.7 1146 1037 45.64% 28.59% 25.77%+0.40 -22.7 4
2018-05-21 Thor Akureyri L 0-145.4 1131 1073 47.89% 28.41% 23.71%+0.36 -23.6 4
2018-05-21 @ Njardvik W 1-045.4 1073 1131 23.71% 28.41% 47.89%-0.36 +23.6 4
2018-05-24 HK Kopavogur L 1-343.0 1126 1167 34.54% 28.93% 36.53%-0.09 -29.9 4
2018-05-24 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-143.0 1167 1126 36.53% 28.93% 34.54%+0.09 +29.9 10
2018-05-24 IR Reykjavik W 3-140.3 1025 988 45.29% 28.62% 26.10%+0.27 +24.3 3
2018-05-24 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-340.3 988 1025 26.10% 28.62% 45.29%-0.27 -24.3 3
2018-05-25 Njardvik D 2-257.5 1207 1107 52.60% 27.85% 19.55%+0.55 -2.6 10
2018-05-25 @ IA Akranes D 2-257.5 1107 1207 19.55% 27.85% 52.60%-0.55 +2.6 5
2018-05-25 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-140.3 1054 1124 30.67% 28.85% 40.48%-0.22 -16.8 4
2018-05-25 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-040.3 1124 1054 40.48% 28.85% 30.67%+0.22 +16.8 7
2018-05-26 Fram Reykjavik W 3-252.1 1096 1130 35.71% 28.93% 35.36%-0.06 +16.7 7
2018-05-26 @ Thor Akureyri L 2-352.1 1130 1096 35.36% 28.93% 35.71%+0.06 -16.7 7
2018-05-26 IF Magni W 2-148.3 990 1060 30.70% 28.85% 40.45%-0.22 +19.4 4
2018-05-26 @ Selfoss L 1-248.3 1060 990 40.45% 28.85% 30.70%+0.22 -19.4 3
2018-05-31 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-250.9 1110 1037 49.64% 28.23% 22.14%+0.43 -22.9 5
2018-05-31 @ Njardvik W 2-150.9 1037 1110 22.14% 28.23% 49.64%-0.43 +22.9 7
2018-05-31 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-140.3 1197 1050 57.44% 26.98% 15.58%+0.77 +9.1 13
2018-05-31 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-240.3 1050 1197 15.58% 26.98% 57.44%-0.77 -9.1 3
2018-06-02 Thor Akureyri L 0-137.3 964 1113 21.46% 28.14% 50.40%-0.59 -12.8 3
2018-06-02 @ IR Reykjavik W 1-037.3 1113 964 50.40% 28.14% 21.46%+0.59 +12.8 10
2018-06-03 IA Akranes L 0-139.5 1113 1204 27.91% 28.73% 43.36%-0.32 -15.7 7
2018-06-03 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-039.5 1204 1113 43.36% 28.73% 27.91%+0.32 +15.7 13
2018-06-03 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-439.5 1040 1096 32.57% 28.90% 38.53%-0.16 -40.6 3
2018-06-03 @ IF Magni W 4-139.5 1096 1040 38.53% 28.90% 32.57%+0.16 +40.6 7
2018-06-03 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-150.5 1009 1140 23.34% 28.37% 48.29%-0.50 +22.4 7
2018-06-03 @ Selfoss L 1-250.5 1140 1009 48.29% 28.37% 23.34%+0.50 -22.4 7
2018-06-08 Fram Reykjavik D 2-257.2 1087 1097 38.99% 28.89% 32.12%+0.05 -0.5 6
2018-06-08 @ Njardvik D 2-257.2 1097 1087 32.12% 28.89% 38.99%-0.05 +0.5 8
2018-06-08 IR Reykjavik W 3-025.6 1220 951 67.27% 23.93% 8.80%+1.33 +15.2 16
2018-06-08 @ IA Akranes L 0-325.6 951 1220 8.80% 23.93% 67.27%-1.33 -15.2 3
2018-06-08 Selfoss W 5-347.1 1060 1032 44.11% 28.69% 27.20%+0.22 +21.2 10
2018-06-08 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 3-547.1 1032 1060 27.20% 28.69% 44.11%-0.22 -21.2 7
2018-06-08 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-345.4 1137 1118 42.89% 28.76% 28.36%+0.18 -35.2 7
2018-06-08 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-145.4 1118 1137 28.36% 28.76% 42.89%-0.18 +35.2 10
2018-06-09 HK Kopavogur D 2-257.3 1126 1207 29.24% 28.80% 41.96%-0.27 +1.0 11
2018-06-09 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-257.3 1207 1126 41.96% 28.80% 29.24%+0.27 -1.0 14
2018-06-09 IF Magni W 3-140.1 1041 1000 45.76% 28.58% 25.66%+0.28 +24.0 6
2018-06-09 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-340.1 1000 1041 25.66% 28.58% 45.76%-0.28 -24.0 3
2018-06-12 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-141.1 1098 1081 42.64% 28.77% 28.59%+0.17 +26.1 11
2018-06-12 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-341.1 1081 1098 28.59% 28.77% 42.64%-0.17 -26.1 10
2018-06-12 Njardvik L 1-242.3 936 1087 21.30% 28.12% 50.58%-0.59 -12.0 3
2018-06-12 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-142.3 1087 936 50.58% 28.12% 21.30%+0.59 +12.0 9
2018-06-12 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-139.5 1011 1101 27.99% 28.74% 43.27%-0.32 -15.7 7
2018-06-12 @ Selfoss W 1-039.5 1101 1011 43.27% 28.74% 27.99%+0.32 +15.7 10
2018-06-13 IA Akranes D 0-047.8 1206 1235 36.24% 28.93% 34.83%-0.04 -0.2 15
2018-06-13 @ HK Kopavogur D 0-047.8 1235 1206 34.83% 28.93% 36.24%+0.04 +0.2 17
2018-06-13 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-030.3 1153 1065 51.37% 28.02% 20.61%+0.50 +33.8 13
2018-06-13 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-330.3 1065 1153 20.61% 28.02% 51.37%-0.50 -33.8 6
2018-06-13 Thor Akureyri L 1-242.3 976 1127 21.26% 28.11% 50.62%-0.60 -11.9 3
2018-06-13 @ IF Magni W 2-142.3 1127 976 50.62% 28.11% 21.26%+0.60 +11.9 14
2018-06-20 HK Kopavogur L 0-234.8 1099 1205 26.04% 28.61% 45.35%-0.39 -28.0 9
2018-06-20 @ Njardvik W 2-034.8 1205 1099 45.35% 28.61% 26.04%+0.39 +28.0 18
2018-06-20 IF Magni W 5-025.9 1235 964 67.47% 23.85% 8.68%+1.34 +24.1 20
2018-06-20 @ IA Akranes L 0-525.9 964 1235 8.68% 23.85% 67.47%-1.34 -24.1 3
2018-06-20 IR Reykjavik L 1-253.8 1124 924 62.04% 25.80% 12.16%+1.01 -28.0 11
2018-06-20 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-153.8 924 1124 12.16% 25.80% 62.04%-1.01 +28.0 6
2018-06-20 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-237.1 1139 1187 33.59% 28.92% 37.49%-0.12 -33.9 14
2018-06-20 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-037.1 1187 1139 37.49% 28.92% 33.59%+0.12 +33.9 16
2018-06-21 Selfoss D 1-151.6 1031 995 45.12% 28.63% 26.25%+0.26 -1.9 7
2018-06-21 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-151.6 995 1031 26.25% 28.63% 45.12%-0.26 +1.9 8
2018-06-21 Throttur Reykjavik L 2-542.4 1055 1117 31.70% 28.88% 39.42%-0.19 -34.5 10
2018-06-21 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 5-242.4 1117 1055 39.42% 28.88% 31.70%+0.19 +34.5 13
2018-06-27 Fram Reykjavik W 1-035.6 1233 1096 56.48% 27.18% 16.34%+0.73 +10.1 21
2018-06-27 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-135.6 1096 1233 16.34% 27.18% 56.48%-0.73 -10.1 11
2018-06-29 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-433.2 952 1021 30.84% 28.86% 40.30%-0.22 -60.4 6
2018-06-29 @ IR Reykjavik W 4-033.2 1021 952 40.30% 28.86% 30.84%+0.22 +60.4 13
2018-06-29 IA Akranes W 2-147.4 1221 1260 34.94% 28.93% 36.14%-0.08 +17.8 19
2018-06-29 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-247.4 1260 1221 36.14% 28.93% 34.94%+0.08 -17.8 20
2018-06-29 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-243.0 1152 1029 55.00% 27.46% 17.54%+0.66 -50.2 13
2018-06-29 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-043.0 1029 1152 17.54% 27.46% 55.00%-0.66 +50.2 10
2018-06-30 Njardvik W 2-041.3 940 1071 23.33% 28.37% 48.30%-0.50 +44.8 6
2018-06-30 @ IF Magni L 0-241.3 1071 940 48.30% 28.37% 23.33%+0.50 -44.8 9
2018-06-30 Thor Akureyri L 3-546.7 997 1105 25.93% 28.60% 45.47%-0.40 -20.4 8
2018-06-30 @ Selfoss W 5-346.7 1105 997 45.47% 28.60% 25.93%+0.40 +20.5 17
2018-07-04 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-140.8 1125 1101 43.57% 28.72% 27.71%+0.21 +25.4 20
2018-07-04 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-340.8 1101 1125 27.71% 28.72% 43.57%-0.21 -25.5 13
2018-07-05 HK Kopavogur D 1-153.2 892 1244 8.24% 23.52% 68.23%-1.52 +7.0 7
2018-07-05 @ IR Reykjavik D 1-153.2 1244 892 68.23% 23.52% 8.24%+1.52 -7.0 22
2018-07-05 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-239.1 1081 1079 40.64% 28.85% 30.51%+0.10 -39.0 13
2018-07-05 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-039.1 1079 1081 30.51% 28.85% 40.64%-0.10 +38.9 13
2018-07-05 Selfoss W 2-028.2 1242 976 67.02% 24.04% 8.94%+1.31 +10.6 23
2018-07-05 @ IA Akranes L 0-228.2 976 1242 8.94% 24.04% 67.02%-1.31 -10.7 8
2018-07-05 Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-152.2 1026 1239 15.87% 27.06% 57.07%-0.88 +4.6 10
2018-07-05 @ Njardvik D 1-152.2 1239 1026 57.07% 27.06% 15.87%+0.88 -4.6 20
2018-07-07 IF Magni W 3-138.0 1086 984 52.78% 27.82% 19.40%+0.56 +19.2 14
2018-07-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-338.0 984 1086 19.40% 27.82% 52.78%-0.56 -19.2 6
2018-07-12 Fram Reykjavik W 2-140.9 1234 1105 55.65% 27.34% 17.00%+0.69 +9.9 23
2018-07-12 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-240.9 1105 1234 17.00% 27.34% 55.65%-0.69 -9.9 14
2018-07-12 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-027.3 1237 1042 61.61% 25.93% 12.46%+0.99 +21.6 25
2018-07-12 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-327.3 1042 1237 12.46% 25.93% 61.61%-0.99 -21.6 13
2018-07-12 Njardvik W 4-141.6 966 1030 31.37% 28.87% 39.75%-0.20 +46.9 11
2018-07-12 @ Selfoss L 1-441.6 1030 966 39.75% 28.87% 31.37%+0.20 -46.9 10
2018-07-13 IA Akranes W 4-145.5 1076 1252 18.86% 27.73% 53.42%-0.71 +59.9 16
2018-07-13 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-445.5 1252 1076 53.42% 27.73% 18.86%+0.71 -59.9 23
2018-07-14 IR Reykjavik L 0-145.6 965 899 48.87% 28.31% 22.82%+0.40 -24.0 6
2018-07-14 @ IF Magni W 1-045.6 899 965 22.82% 28.31% 48.87%-0.40 +24.0 10
2018-07-14 Thor Akureyri L 0-141.9 1118 1151 35.83% 28.93% 35.24%-0.05 -18.8 13
2018-07-14 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-041.9 1151 1118 35.24% 28.93% 35.83%+0.05 +18.8 23
2018-07-19 Fram Reykjavik L 1-341.2 1013 1095 29.05% 28.79% 42.16%-0.28 -26.4 11
2018-07-19 @ Selfoss W 3-141.2 1095 1013 42.16% 28.79% 29.05%+0.28 +26.4 17
2018-07-19 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-133.8 1169 1020 57.58% 26.95% 15.47%+0.78 +22.3 26
2018-07-19 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-433.8 1020 1169 15.47% 26.95% 57.58%-0.78 -22.3 13
2018-07-19 IA Akranes D 0-047.7 1099 1192 27.69% 28.72% 43.59%-0.33 +1.8 14
2018-07-19 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-047.7 1192 1099 43.59% 28.72% 27.69%+0.33 -1.8 24
2018-07-20 Njardvik W 3-028.4 1136 983 57.89% 26.88% 15.23%+0.80 +26.0 19
2018-07-20 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-328.4 983 1136 15.23% 26.88% 57.89%-0.80 -26.0 10
2018-07-21 HK Kopavogur L 0-132.7 941 1258 9.70% 24.53% 65.77%-1.36 -6.1 6
2018-07-21 @ IF Magni W 1-032.7 1258 941 65.77% 24.53% 9.70%+1.36 +6.1 28
2018-07-22 IR Reykjavik W 2-136.3 1244 923 70.75% 22.35% 6.90%+1.57 +4.0 26
2018-07-22 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-236.3 923 1244 6.90% 22.35% 70.75%-1.57 -4.0 10
2018-07-26 HK Kopavogur D 0-048.1 1248 1264 38.12% 28.91% 32.97%+0.02 -0.6 27
2018-07-26 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-048.1 1264 1248 32.97% 28.91% 38.12%-0.02 +0.6 29
2018-07-26 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-045.8 957 1101 21.99% 28.21% 49.80%-0.56 +24.4 13
2018-07-26 @ Njardvik L 0-145.8 1101 957 49.80% 28.21% 21.99%+0.56 -24.4 14
2018-07-26 Selfoss W 3-253.5 919 986 30.95% 28.86% 40.19%-0.21 +18.3 13
2018-07-26 @ IR Reykjavik L 2-353.5 986 919 40.19% 28.86% 30.95%+0.21 -18.3 11
2018-07-26 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-257.2 1121 1162 34.70% 28.93% 36.37%-0.09 +0.1 18
2018-07-26 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-257.2 1162 1121 36.37% 28.93% 34.70%+0.09 -0.1 20
2018-07-27 Thor Akureyri W 5-034.2 1191 1192 40.25% 28.86% 30.89%+0.09 +74.5 27
2018-07-27 @ IA Akranes L 0-534.2 1192 1191 30.89% 28.86% 40.25%-0.09 -74.5 26
2018-07-28 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-148.0 935 998 31.57% 28.88% 39.55%-0.19 +19.1 9
2018-07-28 @ IF Magni L 1-248.0 998 935 39.55% 28.88% 31.57%+0.19 -19.1 13
2018-07-31 Fram Reykjavik D 2-257.2 1077 1122 34.08% 28.92% 37.00%-0.11 +0.2 15
2018-07-31 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-257.2 1122 1077 37.00% 28.92% 34.08%+0.11 -0.2 19
2018-08-01 HK Kopavogur L 1-238.2 968 1265 10.66% 25.08% 64.26%-1.27 -6.4 11
2018-08-01 @ Selfoss W 2-138.2 1265 968 64.26% 25.08% 10.66%+1.27 +6.4 32
2018-08-01 IA Akranes L 1-334.9 979 1265 11.21% 25.36% 63.42%-1.22 -11.6 13
2018-08-01 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-134.9 1265 979 63.42% 25.36% 11.21%+1.22 +11.6 30
2018-08-01 IF Magni W 4-130.4 1247 954 68.94% 23.21% 7.85%+1.44 +11.4 30
2018-08-01 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-430.4 954 1247 7.85% 23.21% 68.94%-1.44 -11.4 9
2018-08-01 IR Reykjavik W 6-130.1 1162 937 64.03% 25.16% 10.81%+1.13 +25.1 23
2018-08-01 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-630.1 937 1162 10.81% 25.16% 64.03%-1.13 -25.0 13
2018-08-01 Njardvik W 3-028.8 1117 982 56.27% 27.22% 16.51%+0.72 +28.0 29
2018-08-01 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-328.8 982 1117 16.51% 27.22% 56.27%-0.72 -28.0 13
2018-08-08 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.9 1259 967 68.81% 23.27% 7.92%+1.43 -5.3 31
2018-08-08 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 2-258.9 967 1259 7.92% 23.27% 68.81%-1.43 +5.3 14
2018-08-08 Selfoss W 3-142.5 943 962 37.78% 28.91% 33.30%+0.01 +29.2 12
2018-08-08 @ IF Magni L 1-342.5 962 943 33.30% 28.91% 37.78%-0.01 -29.2 11
2018-08-09 IA Akranes L 1-237.7 954 1277 9.43% 24.36% 66.21%-1.38 -5.6 13
2018-08-09 @ Njardvik W 2-137.7 1277 954 66.21% 24.36% 9.43%+1.38 +5.6 33
2018-08-09 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-046.5 912 1077 19.90% 27.91% 52.19%-0.66 +25.4 16
2018-08-09 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-146.5 1077 912 52.19% 27.91% 19.90%+0.66 -25.4 15
2018-08-09 Thor Akureyri D 3-361.6 1121 1145 37.07% 28.92% 34.01%-0.01 -0.2 20
2018-08-09 @ Fram Reykjavik D 3-361.6 1145 1121 34.01% 28.92% 37.07%+0.01 +0.2 30
2018-08-09 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-146.5 1271 1187 50.94% 28.07% 20.99%+0.48 -24.9 32
2018-08-09 @ HK Kopavogur W 1-046.5 1187 1271 20.99% 28.07% 50.94%-0.48 +24.9 26
2018-08-13 Selfoss D 1-153.5 1254 932 70.73% 22.36% 6.91%+1.57 -7.5 32
2018-08-13 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-153.5 932 1254 6.91% 22.36% 70.73%-1.57 +7.4 12
2018-08-14 Fram Reykjavik W 2-030.9 1282 1121 58.71% 26.69% 14.59%+0.84 +17.2 36
2018-08-14 @ IA Akranes L 0-230.9 1121 1282 14.59% 26.69% 58.71%-0.84 -17.2 20
2018-08-14 HK Kopavogur L 0-231.8 1051 1246 17.28% 27.40% 55.31%-0.80 -20.1 15
2018-08-14 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-031.8 1246 1051 55.31% 27.40% 17.28%+0.80 +20.0 35
2018-08-14 IF Magni W 5-340.8 1212 972 65.17% 24.76% 10.08%+1.20 +8.8 29
2018-08-14 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 3-540.8 972 1212 10.08% 24.76% 65.17%-1.20 -8.8 12
2018-08-14 IR Reykjavik W 5-235.4 1145 937 62.71% 25.59% 11.69%+1.05 +14.8 33
2018-08-14 @ Thor Akureyri L 2-535.4 937 1145 11.69% 25.59% 62.71%-1.05 -14.8 16
2018-08-14 Njardvik L 1-249.2 973 948 43.67% 28.72% 27.62%+0.21 -20.6 14
2018-08-14 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-149.2 948 973 27.62% 28.72% 43.67%-0.21 +20.6 16
2018-08-18 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 5-034.5 940 952 38.71% 28.90% 32.39%+0.04 +77.2 15
2018-08-18 @ Selfoss L 0-534.5 952 940 32.39% 28.90% 38.71%-0.04 -77.1 14
2018-08-18 IA Akranes L 0-227.3 922 1300 7.33% 22.76% 69.91%-1.63 -8.6 16
2018-08-18 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-027.3 1300 922 69.91% 22.76% 7.33%+1.63 +8.6 39
2018-08-18 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-140.3 963 1031 30.87% 28.86% 40.27%-0.22 -16.9 12
2018-08-18 @ IF Magni W 1-040.3 1031 963 40.27% 28.86% 30.87%+0.22 +16.9 18
2018-08-18 Thor Akureyri W 4-135.3 1266 1160 53.31% 27.74% 18.95%+0.58 +26.6 38
2018-08-18 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-435.3 1160 1266 18.95% 27.74% 53.31%-0.58 -26.6 33
2018-08-19 Njardvik D 0-048.1 1104 969 56.24% 27.23% 16.53%+0.72 -4.9 21
2018-08-19 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-048.1 969 1104 16.53% 27.23% 56.24%-0.72 +4.9 17
2018-08-20 Throttur Reykjavik L 3-458.1 1246 1220 43.80% 28.71% 27.49%+0.21 -19.1 32
2018-08-20 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 4-358.1 1220 1246 27.49% 28.71% 43.80%-0.21 +19.1 32
2018-08-23 Fram Reykjavik W 2-153.0 875 1099 15.05% 26.83% 58.12%-0.93 +26.4 17
2018-08-23 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-253.0 1099 875 58.12% 26.83% 15.05%+0.93 -26.4 21
2018-08-23 IF Magni D 1-152.4 1134 946 61.00% 26.10% 12.90%+0.96 -5.4 34
2018-08-23 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-152.4 946 1134 12.90% 26.10% 61.00%-0.96 +5.4 13
2018-08-23 IR Reykjavik D 1-151.7 974 914 48.07% 28.39% 23.54%+0.37 -2.6 18
2018-08-23 @ Njardvik D 1-151.7 914 974 23.54% 28.39% 48.07%-0.37 +2.6 17
2018-08-24 HK Kopavogur D 0-048.5 1308 1293 42.44% 28.78% 28.78%+0.17 -1.5 40
2018-08-24 @ IA Akranes D 0-048.5 1293 1308 28.78% 28.78% 42.44%-0.17 +1.5 39
2018-08-24 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-241.5 1048 1227 18.67% 27.69% 53.64%-0.72 -10.7 18
2018-08-24 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-141.5 1227 1048 53.64% 27.69% 18.67%+0.72 +10.7 35
2018-08-25 Selfoss W 3-243.7 1240 1017 63.86% 25.22% 10.93%+1.12 +6.2 35
2018-08-25 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 2-343.7 1017 1240 10.93% 25.22% 63.86%-1.12 -6.2 15
2018-08-30 Fram Reykjavik L 2-347.4 916 1073 20.75% 28.04% 51.21%-0.62 -11.1 17
2018-08-30 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-247.4 1073 916 51.21% 28.04% 20.75%+0.62 +11.1 24
2018-08-30 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-247.2 1011 1038 36.66% 28.93% 34.42%-0.03 -18.0 15
2018-08-30 @ Selfoss W 2-147.2 1038 1011 34.42% 28.93% 36.66%+0.03 +18.0 21
2018-08-31 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-255.6 1246 901 72.18% 21.63% 6.20%+1.68 -31.7 35
2018-08-31 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-155.6 901 1246 6.20% 21.63% 72.18%-1.68 +31.7 20
2018-08-31 Njardvik W 1-031.2 1295 971 70.89% 22.28% 6.83%+1.58 +4.2 42
2018-08-31 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-131.2 971 1295 6.83% 22.28% 70.89%-1.58 -4.2 18
2018-09-01 IA Akranes L 2-342.3 952 1307 8.12% 23.43% 68.44%-1.53 -4.6 13
2018-09-01 @ IF Magni W 3-242.3 1307 952 68.44% 23.43% 8.12%+1.53 +4.6 43
2018-09-02 Thor Akureyri W 2-032.3 1238 1128 53.64% 27.69% 18.67%+0.60 +21.4 38
2018-09-02 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-232.3 1128 1238 18.67% 27.69% 53.64%-0.60 -21.4 34
2018-09-05 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-151.4 1056 1214 20.53% 28.01% 51.46%-0.63 +23.7 24
2018-09-05 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-251.4 1214 1056 51.46% 28.01% 20.53%+0.63 -23.7 35
2018-09-07 HK Kopavogur L 1-434.0 1084 1299 15.70% 27.01% 57.29%-0.89 -22.6 24
2018-09-07 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-134.0 1299 1084 57.29% 27.01% 15.70%+0.89 +22.6 45
2018-09-07 IR Reykjavik D 1-151.6 933 905 44.08% 28.69% 27.23%+0.22 -1.7 21
2018-09-07 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.6 905 933 27.23% 28.69% 44.08%-0.22 +1.7 18
2018-09-07 Selfoss W 2-141.3 1107 993 54.10% 27.62% 18.28%+0.62 +10.5 37
2018-09-07 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-241.3 993 1107 18.28% 27.62% 54.10%-0.62 -10.5 15
2018-09-08 IF Magni W 2-144.6 967 947 43.03% 28.75% 28.22%+0.19 +14.9 21
2018-09-08 @ Njardvik L 1-244.6 947 967 28.22% 28.75% 43.03%-0.19 -14.9 13
2018-09-08 Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-152.4 1311 1259 47.16% 28.47% 24.37%+0.34 -2.4 44
2018-09-08 @ IA Akranes D 1-152.4 1259 1311 24.37% 28.47% 47.16%-0.34 +2.4 39
2018-09-15 Fram Reykjavik W 2-150.4 932 1061 23.55% 28.39% 48.06%-0.49 +22.3 16
2018-09-15 @ IF Magni L 1-250.4 1061 932 48.06% 28.39% 23.55%+0.49 -22.3 24
2018-09-15 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-048.1 1079 931 57.48% 26.97% 15.55%+0.78 -5.2 25
2018-09-15 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-048.1 931 1079 15.55% 26.97% 57.48%-0.78 +5.2 22
2018-09-15 IA Akranes L 1-334.0 982 1309 9.27% 24.26% 66.47%-1.40 -9.6 15
2018-09-15 @ Selfoss W 3-134.0 1309 982 66.47% 24.26% 9.27%+1.40 +9.6 47
2018-09-15 IR Reykjavik W 3-022.9 1321 907 76.14% 19.37% 4.49%+2.00 +7.2 48
2018-09-15 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-322.9 907 1321 4.49% 19.37% 76.14%-2.00 -7.2 18
2018-09-15 Njardvik L 1-255.0 1261 982 68.02% 23.61% 8.36%+1.38 -30.3 39
2018-09-15 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-155.0 982 1261 8.36% 23.61% 68.02%-1.38 +30.3 24
2018-09-15 Thor Akureyri L 3-459.4 1190 1117 49.64% 28.23% 22.13%+0.43 -21.2 35
2018-09-15 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 4-359.4 1117 1190 22.13% 28.23% 49.64%-0.43 +21.2 40
2018-09-22 HK Kopavogur W 2-046.3 937 1329 6.85% 22.30% 70.85%-1.70 +62.5 25
2018-09-22 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-246.3 1329 937 70.85% 22.30% 6.85%+1.70 -62.5 48
2018-09-22 IF Magni L 2-351.3 900 955 32.70% 28.90% 38.39%-0.15 -15.8 18
2018-09-22 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-251.3 955 900 38.39% 28.90% 32.70%+0.15 +15.8 19
2018-09-22 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-139.3 1138 1074 48.61% 28.34% 23.05%+0.39 +22.1 43
2018-09-22 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-339.3 1074 1138 23.05% 28.34% 48.61%-0.39 -22.1 25
2018-09-22 Selfoss W 2-143.8 1012 973 45.55% 28.60% 25.85%+0.28 +13.9 27
2018-09-22 @ Njardvik L 1-243.8 973 1012 25.85% 28.60% 45.55%-0.28 -13.9 15
2018-09-22 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-152.5 1319 1169 57.61% 26.94% 15.45%+0.78 -4.7 48
2018-09-22 @ IA Akranes D 1-152.5 1169 1319 15.45% 26.94% 57.61%-0.78 +4.7 36
2018-09-22 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-241.0 1039 1231 17.50% 27.45% 55.05%-0.79 -10.1 24
2018-09-22 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-141.0 1231 1039 55.05% 27.45% 17.50%+0.79 +10.1 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-08-31 6.20% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 901 2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1246 1
2 2018-09-22 6.85% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 937 2 HK Kopavogur 1329 0
3 2018-09-15 8.36% Njardvik 982 2 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1261 1
4 2018-06-20 12.16% IR Reykjavik 924 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1124 1
5 2018-08-23 15.05% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 875 2 Fram Reykjavik 1099 1
6 2018-06-29 17.54% Leiknir Reykjavik 1029 2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1152 0
7 2018-07-13 18.86% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1076 4 IA Akranes 1252 1
8 2018-05-11 19.79% Fram Reykjavik 1044 3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1141 1
9 2018-08-09 19.90% @ IR Reykjavik 912 1 Leiknir Reykjavik 1077 0
10 2018-09-05 20.53% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1056 2 Throttur Reykjavik 1214 1
11 2018-05-12 20.88% IR Reykjavik 967 2 @ Selfoss 1053 0
12 2018-08-09 20.99% Throttur Reykjavik 1187 1 @ HK Kopavogur 1271 0
13 2018-07-26 21.99% @ Njardvik 957 1 Leiknir Reykjavik 1101 0
14 2018-09-15 22.13% Thor Akureyri 1117 4 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1190 3
15 2018-05-31 22.14% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1037 2 @ Njardvik 1110 1
16 2018-07-14 22.82% IR Reykjavik 899 1 @ IF Magni 965 0
17 2018-06-30 23.33% @ IF Magni 940 2 Njardvik 1071 0
18 2018-06-03 23.34% @ Selfoss 1009 2 Vikingur Olafsvik 1140 1
19 2018-09-15 23.55% @ IF Magni 932 2 Fram Reykjavik 1061 1
20 2018-05-21 23.71% Thor Akureyri 1073 1 @ Njardvik 1131 0
21 2018-05-19 25.77% @ IF Magni 1037 1 Vikingur Olafsvik 1146 0
22 2018-08-20 27.49% Throttur Reykjavik 1220 4 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1246 3
23 2018-08-14 27.62% Njardvik 948 2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 973 1
24 2018-06-08 28.36% Vikingur Olafsvik 1118 3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1137 1
25 2018-07-05 30.51% Leiknir Reykjavik 1079 2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1081 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-08-18 77.16 @ Selfoss 5 940 38.71% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 952 32.39% 28.90%
2 2018-07-27 74.53 @ IA Akranes 5 1191 40.25% Thor Akureyri 0 1192 30.89% 28.86%
3 2018-09-22 62.54 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 937 6.85% HK Kopavogur 0 1329 70.85% 22.30%
4 2018-06-29 60.41 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 1021 40.30% @ IR Reykjavik 0 952 30.84% 28.86%
5 2018-07-13 59.91 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1076 18.86% IA Akranes 1 1252 53.42% 27.73%
6 2018-06-29 50.22 Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1029 17.54% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1152 55.00% 27.46%
7 2018-05-05 47.45 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1105 39.16% IF Magni 0 1114 31.95% 28.89%
8 2018-05-12 47.01 IR Reykjavik 2 967 20.88% @ Selfoss 0 1053 51.07% 28.06%
9 2018-07-12 46.91 @ Selfoss 4 966 31.37% Njardvik 1 1030 39.75% 28.87%
10 2018-06-30 44.80 @ IF Magni 2 940 23.33% Njardvik 0 1071 48.30% 28.37%
11 2018-05-18 43.71 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1086 42.64% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1069 28.59% 28.77%
12 2018-05-11 41.59 Fram Reykjavik 3 1044 19.79% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1141 52.32% 27.89%
13 2018-06-03 40.57 Throttur Reykjavik 4 1096 38.53% @ IF Magni 1 1040 32.57% 28.90%
14 2018-07-05 38.95 Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1079 30.51% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1081 40.64% 28.85%
15 2018-06-08 35.18 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1118 28.36% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1137 42.89% 28.76%
16 2018-06-21 34.46 Throttur Reykjavik 5 1117 39.42% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1055 31.70% 28.88%
17 2018-06-20 33.87 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1187 37.49% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1139 33.59% 28.92%
18 2018-06-13 33.80 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1153 51.37% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1065 20.61% 28.02%
19 2018-08-31 31.69 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 901 6.20% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1246 72.18% 21.63%
20 2018-09-15 30.30 Njardvik 2 982 8.36% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1261 68.02% 23.61%
21 2018-05-24 29.93 HK Kopavogur 3 1167 36.53% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1126 34.54% 28.93%
22 2018-05-12 29.67 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1042 36.96% IF Magni 1 1067 34.12% 28.92%
23 2018-08-08 29.16 @ IF Magni 3 943 37.78% Selfoss 1 962 33.30% 28.91%
24 2018-06-20 28.04 HK Kopavogur 2 1205 45.35% @ Njardvik 0 1099 26.04% 28.61%
25 2018-06-20 28.01 IR Reykjavik 2 924 12.16% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1124 62.04% 25.80%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-08-09 61.6 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1121 37.07% Thor Akureyri 3 1145 34.01% 28.92%
2 2018-09-15 59.4 Thor Akureyri 4 1117 22.13% @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1190 49.64% 28.23%
3 2018-08-08 58.9 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1259 68.81% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 967 7.92% 23.27%
4 2018-08-20 58.1 Throttur Reykjavik 4 1220 27.49% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1246 43.80% 28.71%
5 2018-05-25 57.5 @ IA Akranes 2 1207 52.60% Njardvik 2 1107 19.55% 27.85%
6 2018-06-09 57.3 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1126 29.24% HK Kopavogur 2 1207 41.96% 28.80%
7 2018-06-08 57.2 @ Njardvik 2 1087 38.99% Fram Reykjavik 2 1097 32.12% 28.89%
8 2018-07-26 57.2 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1121 34.70% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1162 36.37% 28.93%
9 2018-07-31 57.2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1077 34.08% Fram Reykjavik 2 1122 37.00% 28.92%
10 2018-05-05 57.1 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1045 39.34% Selfoss 2 1053 31.77% 28.89%
11 2018-05-05 57.1 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1042 33.74% Thor Akureyri 2 1089 37.34% 28.92%
12 2018-08-31 55.6 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 901 6.20% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1246 72.18% 21.63%
13 2018-09-15 55.0 Njardvik 2 982 8.36% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1261 68.02% 23.61%
14 2018-06-20 53.8 IR Reykjavik 2 924 12.16% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1124 62.04% 25.80%
15 2018-07-26 53.5 @ IR Reykjavik 3 919 30.95% Selfoss 2 986 40.19% 28.86%
16 2018-08-13 53.5 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1254 70.73% Selfoss 1 932 6.91% 22.36%
17 2018-07-05 53.2 @ IR Reykjavik 1 892 8.24% HK Kopavogur 1 1244 68.23% 23.52%
18 2018-08-23 53.0 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 875 15.05% Fram Reykjavik 1 1099 58.12% 26.83%
19 2018-05-11 52.5 Njardvik 3 1114 34.55% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1086 36.53% 28.93%
20 2018-09-22 52.5 @ IA Akranes 1 1319 57.61% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1169 15.45% 26.94%
21 2018-08-23 52.4 @ Thor Akureyri 1 1134 61.00% IF Magni 1 946 12.90% 26.10%
22 2018-09-08 52.4 @ IA Akranes 1 1311 47.16% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1259 24.37% 28.47%
23 2018-07-05 52.2 @ Njardvik 1 1026 15.87% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1239 57.07% 27.06%
24 2018-05-26 52.1 @ Thor Akureyri 3 1096 35.71% Fram Reykjavik 2 1130 35.36% 28.93%
25 2018-05-12 51.7 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1153 41.42% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1145 29.76% 28.82%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-09-15 22.9 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1321 76.14% IR Reykjavik 0 907 4.49% 19.37%
2 2018-06-08 25.6 @ IA Akranes 3 1220 67.27% IR Reykjavik 0 951 8.80% 23.93%
3 2018-06-20 25.9 @ IA Akranes 5 1235 67.47% IF Magni 0 964 8.68% 23.85%
4 2018-07-12 27.3 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1237 61.61% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1042 12.46% 25.93%
5 2018-08-18 27.3 IA Akranes 2 1300 69.91% @ IR Reykjavik 0 922 7.33% 22.76%
6 2018-07-05 28.2 @ IA Akranes 2 1242 67.02% Selfoss 0 976 8.94% 24.04%
7 2018-07-20 28.4 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1136 57.89% Njardvik 0 983 15.23% 26.88%
8 2018-08-01 28.8 @ Thor Akureyri 3 1117 56.27% Njardvik 0 982 16.51% 27.22%
9 2018-08-01 30.1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 6 1162 64.03% IR Reykjavik 1 937 10.81% 25.16%
10 2018-06-13 30.3 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1153 51.37% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1065 20.61% 28.02%
11 2018-08-01 30.4 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1247 68.94% IF Magni 1 954 7.85% 23.21%
12 2018-08-14 30.9 @ IA Akranes 2 1282 58.71% Fram Reykjavik 0 1121 14.59% 26.69%
13 2018-08-31 31.2 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1295 70.89% Njardvik 0 971 6.83% 22.28%
14 2018-08-14 31.8 HK Kopavogur 2 1246 55.31% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1051 17.28% 27.40%
15 2018-09-02 32.3 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1238 53.64% Thor Akureyri 0 1128 18.67% 27.69%
16 2018-07-21 32.7 HK Kopavogur 1 1258 65.77% @ IF Magni 0 941 9.70% 24.53%
17 2018-05-18 32.9 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1086 42.64% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1069 28.59% 28.77%
18 2018-06-29 33.2 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 1021 40.30% @ IR Reykjavik 0 952 30.84% 28.86%
19 2018-07-19 33.8 @ Thor Akureyri 4 1169 57.58% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1020 15.47% 26.95%
20 2018-05-05 34.0 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1105 39.16% IF Magni 0 1114 31.95% 28.89%
21 2018-05-05 34.0 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1119 47.59% @ IR Reykjavik 0 994 23.97% 28.43%
22 2018-09-07 34.0 HK Kopavogur 4 1299 57.29% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1084 15.70% 27.01%
23 2018-09-15 34.0 IA Akranes 3 1309 66.47% @ Selfoss 1 982 9.27% 24.26%
24 2018-07-27 34.2 @ IA Akranes 5 1191 40.25% Thor Akureyri 0 1192 30.89% 28.86%
25 2018-08-18 34.5 @ Selfoss 5 940 38.71% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 952 32.39% 28.90%