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2018-19 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Grotta

11.09 points above expected

43 points · 31.91 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Throttur Reykjavik

11.59 points below expected

22 points · 33.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Grotta 22 12 7 3 43 45 31 +14 31.91 +11.09
2 Fjolnir 22 12 6 4 42 49 22 +27 37.96 +4.04
3 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 12 4 6 40 37 28 +9 29.62 +10.38
4 Vikingur Olafsvik 22 9 7 6 34 28 20 +8 37.19 -3.19
5 Keflavik IF 22 10 4 8 34 31 27 +4 27.74 +6.26
6 Thor Akureyri 22 9 7 6 34 31 30 +1 38.35 -4.35
7 Fram Reykjavik 22 10 3 9 33 33 32 +1 28.59 +4.41
8 Afturelding 22 6 5 11 23 30 37 -7 28.26 -5.26
9 IF Magni 22 6 5 11 23 27 49 -22 20.63 +2.37
10 Throttur Reykjavik 22 6 4 12 22 36 40 -4 33.59 -11.59
11 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 22 5 7 10 22 31 41 -10 23.77 -1.77
12 Njardvik 22 4 3 15 15 23 44 -21 23.07 -8.07

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grotta 43 31.91 +11.09
2 Leiknir Reykjavik 40 29.62 +10.38
3 Keflavik IF 34 27.74 +6.26
4 Fram Reykjavik 33 28.59 +4.41
5 Fjolnir 42 37.96 +4.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Throttur Reykjavik 22 33.59 -11.59
2 Njardvik 15 23.07 -8.07
3 Afturelding 23 28.26 -5.26
4 Thor Akureyri 34 38.35 -4.35
5 Vikingur Olafsvik 34 37.19 -3.19

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grotta 4 Jun 13 – Jul 5 1 in 47
2 Keflavik IF 3 May 5 – May 17 1 in 23
3 IF Magni 2 Aug 10 – Aug 17 1 in 19
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 Jul 16 – Jul 25 1 in 11
5 Thor Akureyri 3 Jun 2 – Jun 15 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Throttur Reykjavik 6 Aug 9 – Sep 14 1 in 786
2 Njardvik 6 Jun 1 – Jul 5 1 in 456
3 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 Jun 17 – Jun 22 1 in 47
4 Thor Akureyri 3 Aug 31 – Sep 14 1 in 30
5 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jul 16 – Jul 25 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grotta 15 May 31 – Aug 31 1 in 967
2 Leiknir Reykjavik 11 Jul 16 – Sep 21 1 in 106
3 Fjolnir 10 Jun 19 – Aug 16 1 in 16
4 IF Magni 3 Sep 8 – Sep 21 1 in 12
5 Vikingur Olafsvik 5 Jul 16 – Aug 9 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Thor Akureyri 6 Aug 16 – Sep 21 1 in 87
2 Fjolnir 4 Jul 31 – Aug 23 1 in 42
3 Throttur Reykjavik 7 Aug 9 – Sep 21 1 in 30
4 Njardvik 7 May 23 – Jul 5 1 in 25
5 Keflavik IF 5 Jun 22 – Jul 16 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Grotta 1112 43 -36 12 9.8 +2.2
Fjolnir 1278 42 +41 7 9.0 -2.0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1167 40 +38 11 7.4 +3.6
Vikingur Olafsvik 1142 34 +40 10 8.4 +1.6
Keflavik IF 1077 34 +59 9 4.9 +4.1
Thor Akureyri 1058 34 -155 2 8.4 -6.4
Fram Reykjavik 1068 33 +41 7 5.0 +2.0
IF Magni 968 23 +25 7 4.6 +2.4
Afturelding 1091 23 +91 6 6.8 -0.8
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 987 22 +16 7 6.2 +0.8
Throttur Reykjavik 992 22 -120 1 7.1 -6.1
Njardvik 871 15 -39 4 4.7 -0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AFT FJO FR GRO HH IM KI LR NJA TA TR VO
Afturelding —
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.21
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.01
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
2.28
Fjolnir
1-1-0
3.52
—
1-0-1
3.27
0-2-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.64
2-0-0
4.17
0-1-1
4.08
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
4.04
2-0-0
2.57
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-2
3.08
Fram Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.20
—
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.52
0-0-2
3.15
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.26
2-0-0
2.47
1-1-0
1.87
Grotta
1-0-1
3.28
0-2-0
2.01
2-0-0
2.91
—
1-1-0
3.26
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.65
2-0-0
3.97
1-1-0
2.03
1-1-0
2.15
0-1-1
2.37
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
2.39
0-1-1
2.20
—
0-1-1
3.25
1-1-0
2.29
0-0-2
2.12
2-0-0
2.83
0-1-1
1.54
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
1.89
IF Magni
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
1.34
0-1-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.56
1-1-0
2.22
—
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.43
0-2-0
1.41
1-0-1
1.90
1-1-0
1.30
Keflavik IF
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
1.42
2-0-0
2.32
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
3.17
1-0-1
3.30
—
0-0-2
2.71
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
1.73
1-0-1
2.31
2-0-0
1.87
Leiknir Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
1.92
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.24
2-0-0
2.76
—
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.15
Njardvik
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
1.46
0-0-2
2.40
0-0-2
1.53
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.06
—
0-0-2
1.90
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
1.21
Thor Akureyri
2-0-0
3.46
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
3.20
0-1-1
3.46
1-1-0
3.97
0-2-0
4.09
0-1-1
3.75
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.59
—
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.85
Throttur Reykjavik
0-2-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.58
0-0-2
2.99
0-1-1
3.31
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.64
0-0-2
2.53
—
0-1-1
2.54
Vikingur Olafsvik
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
2.37
0-1-1
3.61
1-1-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.58
0-1-1
4.22
0-0-2
3.62
0-1-1
3.31
1-0-1
4.32
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.91
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.55 +9.2
Allowed 0.66 -8.4
Differential 0.82 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%4.17%5.30%3.79%1.14%1.52%23.48%
14.17%12.12%8.33%6.06%2.27%1.14%34.09%
25.30%8.33%3.79%3.03%1.14%—21.59%
33.79%6.06%3.03%—0.38%—13.26%
41.14%2.27%1.14%0.38%——4.92%
5+1.52%1.14%————2.65%
Total23.48%34.09%21.59%13.26%4.92%2.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.52 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 2.08
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%13.64%9.09%18.18%——45.45%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%18.18%27.27%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.68 -0.32
SD 1.29 1.36 2.23
CV 0.95 0.81 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
19.09%18.18%—4.55%4.55%—36.36%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
3—13.64%————13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total31.82%54.55%—9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.00 +1.23
SD 1.95 1.07 2.33
CV 0.88 1.07 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——9.09%——13.64%
19.09%9.09%18.18%9.09%——45.45%
24.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%22.73%22.73%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.45 +0.05
SD 1.06 1.10 1.73
CV 0.71 0.76 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
14.55%4.55%————9.09%
24.55%9.09%18.18%4.55%——36.36%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%31.82%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.41 +0.64
SD 1.29 1.26 1.87
CV 0.63 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—22.73%13.64%——4.55%40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%40.91%27.27%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.86 -0.45
SD 1.30 1.36 2.11
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%22.73%—50.00%
2—9.09%————9.09%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%13.64%13.64%22.73%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.23 -1.00
SD 1.02 1.77 2.33
CV 0.83 0.80 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
113.64%9.09%4.55%13.64%——40.91%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
3—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%40.91%4.55%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.23 +0.18
SD 1.26 1.23 1.79
CV 0.89 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
14.55%13.64%13.64%———31.82%
213.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%31.82%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.27 +0.41
SD 1.09 0.94 1.71
CV 0.65 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%18.18%—4.55%—40.91%
1—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%36.36%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.00 -0.95
SD 1.05 1.27 1.62
CV 1.00 0.64 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
1—22.73%———4.55%27.27%
29.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
313.64%9.09%————22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%40.91%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.36 +0.05
SD 1.14 1.68 2.34
CV 0.81 1.23 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
1—4.55%18.18%13.64%——36.36%
2——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%18.18%40.91%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.82 -0.18
SD 1.76 1.37 2.48
CV 1.08 0.75 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
218.18%4.55%4.55%———27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total40.91%31.82%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.91 +0.36
SD 1.28 0.92 1.53
CV 1.01 1.01 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fjolnir 1278 42 37.96 +4.04 77.0% 26 28 33 38 41 47 52
Leiknir Reykjavik 1167 40 29.62 +10.38 95.0% 18 20 25 29 33 40 45
Vikingur Olafsvik 1142 34 37.19 -3.19 29.0% 19 28 34 38 41 47 52
Grotta 1112 43 31.91 +11.09 98.0% 15 23 28 31 35 42 44
Afturelding 1091 23 28.26 -5.26 19.0% 18 20 24 28 32 37 42
Keflavik IF 1077 34 27.74 +6.26 87.0% 14 18 23 27 32 37 43
Fram Reykjavik 1068 33 28.59 +4.41 80.0% 15 19 25 29 32 38 41
Thor Akureyri 1058 34 38.35 -4.35 28.0% 26 28 34 38 43 48 51
Throttur Reykjavik 992 22 33.59 -11.59 2.0% 11 24 31 34 38 42 47
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 987 22 23.77 -1.77 43.0% 13 14 20 24 28 31 36
IF Magni 968 23 20.63 +2.37 70.0% 10 12 17 20 24 30 37
Njardvik 871 15 23.07 -8.07 4.0% 8 16 19 23 26 31 37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.33%
No Edge
42.42%23.48%34.09%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.
307 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.4
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
4%
Grotta, 6th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.51 * Some Luck: 4.51 to 6.76 * Lucky: 6.76 to 9.02 * Wild Swing: 9.02 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.59 * Close: 1.59 to 2.38 * Off: 2.38 to 3.17 * Way Off: 3.17 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.89 points
Lucky
05.6414
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.33
Close
01.984
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Grotta
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Throttur Reykjavik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 105.85
1.47
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.66
Coin-Flip
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.48
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.07
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
35%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.34
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.38
Overconfident
0.1990921.001.80091
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.144
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1420.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Grotta4.00%12.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
Fjolnir29.00%20.00%17.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%———
Leiknir Reykjavik6.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%11.00%16.00%14.00%16.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik22.00%19.00%24.00%11.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%—
Keflavik IF3.00%2.00%7.00%6.00%12.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%
Thor Akureyri29.00%20.00%15.00%14.00%3.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%——
Fram Reykjavik1.00%3.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%
Afturelding1.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%15.00%10.00%12.00%17.00%11.00%9.00%3.00%
IF Magni—1.00%——1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%15.00%17.00%46.00%
Throttur Reykjavik5.00%13.00%14.00%22.00%10.00%13.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur——1.00%—6.00%3.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%16.00%25.00%12.00%
Njardvik—1.00%—2.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%19.00%24.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Fjolnir 49.00% 51.00% —
Thor Akureyri 49.00% 51.00% —
Vikingur Olafsvik 41.00% 57.00% 2.00%
Throttur Reykjavik 18.00% 80.00% 2.00%
Grotta 16.00% 82.00% 2.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 12.00% 80.00% 8.00%
Afturelding 4.00% 84.00% 12.00%
Fram Reykjavik 4.00% 84.00% 12.00%
Keflavik IF 5.00% 80.00% 15.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur — 63.00% 37.00%
Njardvik 1.00% 52.00% 47.00%
IF Magni 1.00% 36.00% 63.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-05-04 Afturelding W 3-142.1 1118 1137 44.58% 27.10% 28.32%+0.03 +21.0 3
2019-05-04 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-342.1 1137 1118 28.32% 27.10% 44.58%-0.03 -21.0 0
2019-05-04 IF Magni W 4-137.4 1059 1014 52.28% 26.40% 21.32%+0.24 +23.7 3
2019-05-04 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-437.4 1014 1059 21.32% 26.40% 52.28%-0.24 -23.7 0
2019-05-05 Fram Reykjavik W 2-145.5 1002 1046 41.12% 27.25% 31.62%-0.05 +13.2 3
2019-05-05 @ Keflavik IF L 1-245.5 1046 1002 31.62% 27.25% 41.12%+0.05 -13.2 0
2019-05-05 Grotta W 2-030.5 1163 1002 63.49% 24.06% 12.45%+0.62 +11.8 3
2019-05-05 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-230.5 1002 1163 12.45% 24.06% 63.49%-0.62 -11.8 0
2019-05-05 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-142.4 1070 1030 51.73% 26.47% 21.80%+0.23 +9.8 3
2019-05-05 @ Fjolnir L 1-242.4 1030 1070 21.80% 26.47% 51.73%-0.23 -9.8 0
2019-05-05 Njardvik L 2-357.9 1126 1045 56.19% 25.80% 18.01%+0.36 -19.9 0
2019-05-05 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-257.9 1045 1126 18.01% 25.80% 56.19%-0.36 +19.9 3
2019-05-10 Fjolnir W 3-251.1 1033 1080 40.76% 27.26% 31.97%-0.06 +12.6 3
2019-05-10 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-351.1 1080 1033 31.97% 27.26% 40.76%+0.06 -12.6 3
2019-05-10 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-142.6 1116 1083 50.96% 26.56% 22.48%+0.20 +10.1 3
2019-05-10 @ Afturelding L 1-242.6 1083 1116 22.48% 26.56% 50.96%-0.20 -10.1 3
2019-05-10 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-257.3 991 1106 31.21% 27.24% 41.55%-0.28 +0.6 1
2019-05-10 @ Grotta D 2-257.3 1106 991 41.55% 27.24% 31.21%+0.28 -0.6 1
2019-05-11 Keflavik IF L 1-346.7 990 1015 43.74% 27.15% 29.11%+0.01 -29.2 0
2019-05-11 @ IF Magni W 3-146.7 1015 990 29.11% 27.15% 43.74%-0.01 +29.2 6
2019-05-11 Thor Akureyri L 0-238.8 1064 1140 36.78% 27.32% 35.89%-0.15 -29.5 3
2019-05-11 @ Njardvik W 2-038.8 1140 1064 35.89% 27.32% 36.78%+0.15 +29.5 6
2019-05-11 Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-047.4 1020 1175 26.31% 26.96% 46.73%-0.41 +1.9 1
2019-05-11 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-047.4 1175 1020 46.73% 26.96% 26.31%+0.41 -2.0 4
2019-05-16 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.6 1045 1022 49.82% 26.69% 23.49%+0.17 -2.3 4
2019-05-16 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-151.6 1022 1045 23.49% 26.69% 49.82%-0.17 +2.3 2
2019-05-17 Afturelding W 5-036.9 1044 1126 35.84% 27.32% 36.84%-0.17 +69.2 9
2019-05-17 @ Keflavik IF L 0-536.9 1126 1044 36.84% 27.32% 35.84%+0.17 -69.2 3
2019-05-17 Njardvik L 1-251.3 1072 1035 51.45% 26.51% 22.05%+0.22 -19.3 3
2019-05-17 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-151.3 1035 1072 22.05% 26.51% 51.45%-0.22 +19.3 6
2019-05-17 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-247.5 1105 1173 37.88% 27.32% 34.80%-0.13 -15.1 1
2019-05-17 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-147.5 1173 1105 34.80% 27.32% 37.88%+0.13 +15.1 7
2019-05-18 Grotta L 2-359.9 1169 991 64.91% 23.61% 11.48%+0.67 -22.6 6
2019-05-18 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-259.9 991 1169 11.48% 23.61% 64.91%-0.67 +22.6 4
2019-05-18 IF Magni W 4-135.5 1067 961 58.63% 25.31% 16.06%+0.44 +18.5 6
2019-05-18 @ Fjolnir L 1-435.5 961 1067 16.06% 25.31% 58.63%-0.44 -18.5 0
2019-05-23 Fjolnir L 1-346.6 1057 1085 43.23% 27.17% 29.60%+0.00 -29.0 3
2019-05-23 @ Afturelding W 3-146.6 1085 1057 29.60% 27.17% 43.23%+0.00 +29.0 9
2019-05-23 Keflavik IF D 0-047.3 1054 1113 39.04% 27.30% 33.66%-0.10 -0.5 7
2019-05-23 @ Njardvik D 0-047.3 1113 1054 33.66% 27.30% 39.04%+0.10 +0.5 10
2019-05-23 Throttur Reykjavik L 2-449.4 1024 1090 38.07% 27.32% 34.61%-0.12 -23.5 2
2019-05-23 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-249.4 1090 1024 34.61% 27.32% 38.07%+0.12 +23.5 4
2019-05-24 Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-354.0 1014 1053 41.80% 27.23% 30.97%-0.03 -15.5 4
2019-05-24 @ Grotta W 3-254.0 1053 1014 30.97% 27.23% 41.80%+0.03 +15.4 6
2019-05-24 Thor Akureyri W 2-034.1 1188 1146 51.88% 26.45% 21.67%+0.23 +19.6 10
2019-05-24 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-234.1 1146 1188 21.67% 26.45% 51.88%-0.23 -19.6 6
2019-05-25 Fram Reykjavik D 1-151.5 943 1043 33.20% 27.29% 39.51%-0.23 +0.5 1
2019-05-25 @ IF Magni D 1-151.5 1043 943 39.51% 27.29% 33.20%+0.23 -0.5 5
2019-05-30 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.4 943 1001 39.27% 27.30% 33.43%-0.09 -0.5 2
2019-05-30 @ IF Magni D 1-151.4 1001 943 33.43% 27.30% 39.27%+0.09 +0.5 3
2019-05-31 Afturelding W 3-140.8 1043 1028 48.76% 26.79% 24.44%+0.14 +18.7 8
2019-05-31 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-340.8 1028 1043 24.44% 26.79% 48.76%-0.14 -18.7 3
2019-05-31 Grotta L 1-253.3 1114 998 59.54% 25.11% 15.35%+0.47 -22.1 10
2019-05-31 @ Keflavik IF W 2-153.3 998 1114 15.35% 25.11% 59.54%-0.47 +22.1 7
2019-05-31 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-041.2 1069 1207 28.21% 27.10% 44.69%-0.36 +34.3 9
2019-05-31 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-241.2 1207 1069 44.69% 27.10% 28.21%+0.36 -34.3 10
2019-06-01 Njardvik W 1-036.3 1114 1054 54.02% 26.16% 19.82%+0.29 +9.6 12
2019-06-01 @ Fjolnir L 0-136.3 1054 1114 19.82% 26.16% 54.02%-0.29 -9.6 7
2019-06-02 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-035.1 1127 1114 48.57% 26.81% 24.62%+0.14 +21.8 9
2019-06-02 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-235.1 1114 1127 24.62% 26.81% 48.57%-0.14 -21.8 4
2019-06-06 Fram Reykjavik L 0-144.1 1044 1061 44.72% 27.09% 28.18%+0.04 -18.2 7
2019-06-06 @ Njardvik W 1-044.1 1061 1044 28.18% 27.09% 44.72%-0.04 +18.2 11
2019-06-07 Fjolnir D 0-047.3 1020 1124 32.79% 27.28% 39.92%-0.24 +0.6 8
2019-06-07 @ Grotta D 0-047.3 1124 1020 39.92% 27.28% 32.79%+0.24 -0.7 13
2019-06-07 IF Magni W 4-136.7 1009 943 54.64% 26.06% 19.30%+0.31 +21.7 6
2019-06-07 @ Afturelding L 1-436.7 943 1009 19.30% 26.06% 54.64%-0.31 -21.7 2
2019-06-07 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-034.0 1092 1103 45.55% 27.04% 27.41%+0.06 +34.4 7
2019-06-07 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-334.0 1103 1092 27.41% 27.04% 45.55%-0.06 -34.4 9
2019-06-07 Thor Akureyri L 0-334.0 1001 1149 27.17% 27.03% 45.80%-0.39 -34.2 3
2019-06-07 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-034.0 1149 1001 45.80% 27.03% 27.17%+0.39 +34.2 12
2019-06-13 Grotta L 2-357.3 1080 1021 53.78% 26.19% 20.02%+0.29 -19.1 11
2019-06-13 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-257.3 1021 1080 20.02% 26.19% 53.78%-0.29 +19.1 11
2019-06-13 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-252.0 1031 967 54.37% 26.10% 19.53%+0.30 -20.3 6
2019-06-13 @ Afturelding W 2-152.0 967 1031 19.53% 26.10% 54.37%-0.30 +20.3 6
2019-06-13 Njardvik W 3-253.5 921 1026 32.60% 27.28% 40.12%-0.25 +15.0 5
2019-06-13 @ IF Magni L 2-353.5 1026 921 40.12% 27.28% 32.60%+0.25 -15.0 7
2019-06-13 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-346.4 1092 1126 42.45% 27.21% 30.35%-0.02 -28.5 10
2019-06-13 @ Keflavik IF W 3-146.4 1126 1092 30.35% 27.21% 42.45%+0.02 +28.5 10
2019-06-13 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-345.8 1123 1173 40.37% 27.27% 32.36%-0.07 -27.4 13
2019-06-13 @ Fjolnir W 3-145.8 1173 1123 32.36% 27.27% 40.37%+0.07 +27.4 13
2019-06-15 Thor Akureyri L 0-335.3 1068 1183 31.35% 27.24% 41.41%-0.28 -38.1 9
2019-06-15 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-035.3 1183 1068 41.41% 27.24% 31.35%+0.28 +38.1 15
2019-06-17 Keflavik IF L 0-148.4 1200 1063 61.50% 24.62% 13.87%+0.54 -24.1 13
2019-06-17 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-048.4 1063 1200 13.87% 24.62% 61.50%-0.54 +24.1 13
2019-06-19 Fjolnir L 0-146.6 1155 1096 53.84% 26.18% 19.98%+0.29 -21.4 10
2019-06-19 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-046.6 1096 1155 19.98% 26.18% 53.84%-0.29 +21.4 16
2019-06-20 Afturelding L 0-241.7 1011 1011 46.98% 26.94% 26.07%+0.10 -35.8 7
2019-06-20 @ Njardvik W 2-041.7 1011 1011 26.07% 26.94% 46.98%-0.10 +35.8 9
2019-06-20 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-248.4 987 1030 41.28% 27.25% 31.47%-0.05 -16.1 6
2019-06-20 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-148.4 1030 987 31.47% 27.25% 41.28%+0.05 +16.1 12
2019-06-22 Fram Reykjavik L 0-148.0 1176 1060 59.57% 25.10% 15.33%+0.47 -23.4 13
2019-06-22 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-048.0 1060 1176 15.33% 25.10% 59.57%-0.47 +23.4 14
2019-06-22 IF Magni W 4-135.6 1040 936 58.48% 25.35% 16.17%+0.43 +18.6 14
2019-06-22 @ Grotta L 1-435.6 936 1040 16.17% 25.35% 58.48%-0.43 -18.6 5
2019-06-22 Keflavik IF D 0-048.1 1221 1087 61.18% 24.71% 14.11%+0.53 -4.9 16
2019-06-22 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-048.1 1087 1221 14.11% 24.71% 61.18%-0.53 +4.9 14
2019-06-24 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-543.8 975 971 47.43% 26.91% 25.67%+0.11 -57.0 7
2019-06-24 @ Njardvik W 5-143.8 971 975 25.67% 26.91% 47.43%-0.11 +57.0 9
2019-06-26 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-145.8 1084 1134 40.38% 27.27% 32.35%-0.07 +13.4 17
2019-06-26 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-245.8 1134 1084 32.35% 27.27% 40.38%+0.07 -13.4 10
2019-06-27 Grotta L 0-339.4 1046 1059 45.35% 27.06% 27.60%+0.05 -50.5 9
2019-06-27 @ Afturelding W 3-039.4 1059 1046 27.60% 27.06% 45.35%-0.05 +50.5 17
2019-06-27 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-349.1 1092 1046 52.39% 26.39% 21.23%+0.24 -34.0 14
2019-06-27 @ Keflavik IF W 3-149.1 1046 1092 21.23% 26.39% 52.39%-0.24 +34.0 15
2019-06-29 Thor Akureyri W 4-037.3 1117 1216 33.45% 27.30% 39.26%-0.23 +58.8 19
2019-06-29 @ Fjolnir L 0-437.3 1216 1117 39.26% 27.30% 33.45%+0.23 -58.8 16
2019-06-29 Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-047.7 917 1153 18.18% 25.83% 55.99%-0.67 +3.8 6
2019-06-29 @ IF Magni D 0-047.7 1153 917 55.99% 25.83% 18.18%+0.67 -3.8 14
2019-07-04 Fjolnir L 0-238.0 1080 1176 33.88% 27.31% 38.82%-0.22 -27.8 15
2019-07-04 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-038.0 1176 1080 38.82% 27.31% 33.88%+0.22 +27.8 22
2019-07-04 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.7 1058 1028 50.58% 26.61% 22.82%+0.19 -2.4 15
2019-07-04 @ Keflavik IF D 1-151.7 1028 1058 22.82% 26.61% 50.58%-0.19 +2.4 10
2019-07-05 Afturelding W 2-030.7 1149 996 62.90% 24.23% 12.86%+0.59 +12.2 17
2019-07-05 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-230.7 996 1149 12.86% 24.23% 62.90%-0.59 -12.2 9
2019-07-05 Fram Reykjavik W 3-031.6 1157 1097 53.93% 26.17% 19.90%+0.29 +26.5 19
2019-07-05 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-331.6 1097 1157 19.90% 26.17% 53.93%-0.29 -26.5 17
2019-07-05 Njardvik W 3-135.6 1109 918 65.97% 23.25% 10.78%+0.72 +8.9 20
2019-07-05 @ Grotta L 1-335.6 918 1109 10.78% 23.25% 65.97%-0.72 -8.9 7
2019-07-06 IF Magni W 7-028.9 1120 921 66.56% 23.04% 10.40%+0.74 +31.8 13
2019-07-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-728.9 921 1120 10.40% 23.04% 66.56%-0.74 -31.7 6
2019-07-11 Grotta D 2-257.3 1031 1118 35.01% 27.32% 37.67%-0.19 +0.2 11
2019-07-11 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-257.3 1118 1031 37.67% 27.32% 35.01%+0.19 -0.2 21
2019-07-11 Keflavik IF D 1-152.4 1204 1056 62.46% 24.36% 13.18%+0.58 -4.6 23
2019-07-11 @ Fjolnir D 1-152.4 1056 1204 13.18% 24.36% 62.46%-0.58 +4.6 16
2019-07-11 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-143.1 1071 1053 49.17% 26.75% 24.07%+0.15 +10.7 20
2019-07-11 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-243.1 1053 1071 24.07% 26.75% 49.17%-0.15 -10.7 15
2019-07-11 Thor Akureyri D 1-152.3 889 1184 13.83% 24.61% 61.57%-0.86 +4.4 7
2019-07-11 @ IF Magni D 1-152.3 1184 889 61.57% 24.61% 13.83%+0.86 -4.4 20
2019-07-11 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-151.6 984 1152 24.78% 26.83% 48.39%-0.45 +2.0 10
2019-07-11 @ Afturelding D 1-151.6 1152 984 48.39% 26.83% 24.78%+0.45 -2.0 14
2019-07-11 Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-042.6 909 1161 16.83% 25.52% 57.65%-0.73 +62.2 10
2019-07-11 @ Njardvik L 0-342.6 1161 909 57.65% 25.52% 16.83%+0.73 -62.2 17
2019-07-16 Afturelding W 3-247.2 1042 986 53.55% 26.23% 20.22%+0.28 +8.8 18
2019-07-16 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-347.2 986 1042 20.22% 26.23% 53.55%-0.28 -8.8 10
2019-07-16 Fram Reykjavik W 3-137.6 1199 1082 59.75% 25.06% 15.19%+0.48 +12.4 26
2019-07-16 @ Fjolnir L 1-337.6 1082 1199 15.19% 25.06% 59.75%-0.48 -12.4 20
2019-07-16 Grotta L 0-145.8 1150 1118 50.78% 26.58% 22.63%+0.20 -20.3 14
2019-07-16 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-045.8 1118 1150 22.63% 26.58% 50.78%-0.20 +20.3 24
2019-07-16 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-033.1 1099 1031 54.85% 26.03% 19.12%+0.32 +17.6 20
2019-07-16 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-233.1 1031 1099 19.12% 26.03% 54.85%-0.32 -17.6 11
2019-07-16 IF Magni L 0-344.0 1060 894 64.01% 23.90% 12.09%+0.64 -68.4 16
2019-07-16 @ Keflavik IF W 3-044.0 894 1060 12.09% 23.90% 64.01%-0.64 +68.4 10
2019-07-16 Njardvik W 2-137.7 1179 971 67.23% 22.79% 9.98%+0.77 +4.7 23
2019-07-16 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-237.7 971 1179 9.98% 22.79% 67.23%-0.77 -4.7 10
2019-07-20 Fjolnir L 1-535.9 1013 1212 21.59% 26.44% 51.97%-0.55 -30.9 11
2019-07-20 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 5-135.9 1212 1013 51.97% 26.44% 21.59%+0.55 +30.9 29
2019-07-20 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-336.3 962 1051 34.85% 27.32% 37.83%-0.19 -41.2 10
2019-07-20 @ IF Magni W 3-036.3 1051 962 37.83% 27.32% 34.85%+0.19 +41.2 21
2019-07-20 Thor Akureyri L 1-242.0 977 1184 20.76% 26.31% 52.93%-0.58 -9.5 10
2019-07-20 @ Afturelding W 2-142.0 1184 977 52.93% 26.31% 20.76%+0.58 +9.4 26
2019-07-20 Throttur Reykjavik L 2-349.0 967 1129 25.38% 26.88% 47.73%-0.44 -10.6 10
2019-07-20 @ Njardvik W 3-249.0 1129 967 47.73% 26.88% 25.38%+0.44 +10.6 17
2019-07-20 Vikingur Olafsvik D 2-257.5 1138 1117 49.56% 26.71% 23.72%+0.16 -1.7 25
2019-07-20 @ Grotta D 2-257.5 1117 1138 23.72% 26.71% 49.56%-0.16 +1.7 21
2019-07-21 Keflavik IF L 1-252.4 1069 992 55.76% 25.87% 18.37%+0.35 -20.8 20
2019-07-21 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-152.4 992 1069 18.37% 25.87% 55.76%-0.35 +20.8 19
2019-07-25 Fram Reykjavik W 2-146.4 982 1048 38.07% 27.32% 34.61%-0.12 +14.1 14
2019-07-25 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-246.4 1048 982 34.61% 27.32% 38.07%+0.12 -14.1 20
2019-07-25 Keflavik IF W 1-040.2 967 1013 40.96% 27.26% 31.78%-0.05 +14.1 13
2019-07-25 @ Afturelding L 0-140.2 1013 967 31.78% 27.26% 40.96%+0.05 -14.1 19
2019-07-25 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-236.3 956 1092 28.58% 27.12% 44.31%-0.35 -24.5 10
2019-07-25 @ Njardvik W 2-036.3 1092 956 44.31% 27.12% 28.58%+0.35 +24.5 24
2019-07-25 Throttur Reykjavik D 0-047.4 1118 1140 44.16% 27.13% 28.71%+0.02 -1.5 22
2019-07-25 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-047.4 1140 1118 28.71% 27.13% 44.16%-0.02 +1.5 18
2019-07-26 Thor Akureyri D 1-151.6 1137 1193 39.38% 27.30% 33.33%-0.09 -0.5 26
2019-07-26 @ Grotta D 1-151.6 1193 1137 33.33% 27.30% 39.38%+0.09 +0.5 27
2019-07-27 Fjolnir L 1-336.3 921 1243 12.16% 23.93% 63.90%-0.95 -10.0 10
2019-07-27 @ IF Magni W 3-136.3 1243 921 63.90% 23.93% 12.16%+0.95 +10.0 32
2019-07-30 Grotta D 2-257.4 1116 1136 44.42% 27.11% 28.47%+0.03 -1.0 25
2019-07-30 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-257.4 1136 1116 28.47% 27.11% 44.42%-0.03 +1.0 27
2019-07-30 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-241.1 1142 996 62.19% 24.44% 13.37%+0.57 +9.8 21
2019-07-30 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 2-441.1 996 1142 13.37% 24.44% 62.19%-0.57 -9.8 14
2019-07-30 Njardvik W 1-036.1 999 932 54.72% 26.05% 19.24%+0.31 +9.4 22
2019-07-30 @ Keflavik IF L 0-136.1 932 999 19.24% 26.05% 54.72%-0.31 -9.4 10
2019-07-30 Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-152.0 1194 1117 55.74% 25.88% 18.39%+0.35 -3.4 28
2019-07-30 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-152.0 1117 1194 18.39% 25.88% 55.74%-0.35 +3.4 23
2019-07-31 Afturelding D 1-153.4 1253 982 71.62% 20.93% 7.45%+0.98 -6.1 33
2019-07-31 @ Fjolnir D 1-153.4 982 1253 7.45% 20.93% 71.62%-0.98 +6.1 14
2019-07-31 IF Magni W 4-135.0 1034 911 60.27% 24.94% 14.80%+0.50 +17.1 23
2019-07-31 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-435.0 911 1034 14.80% 24.94% 60.27%-0.50 -17.1 10
2019-08-09 Fjolnir D 1-152.5 922 1247 12.02% 23.87% 64.11%-0.96 +4.9 11
2019-08-09 @ Njardvik D 1-152.5 1247 922 64.11% 23.87% 12.02%+0.96 -4.9 34
2019-08-09 Fram Reykjavik W 3-036.2 988 1051 38.40% 27.31% 34.29%-0.11 +40.8 17
2019-08-09 @ Afturelding L 0-336.2 1051 988 34.29% 27.31% 38.40%+0.11 -40.8 23
2019-08-09 Keflavik IF W 4-348.1 1137 1008 60.77% 24.81% 14.42%+0.51 +6.3 30
2019-08-09 @ Grotta L 3-448.1 1008 1137 14.42% 24.81% 60.77%-0.51 -6.3 22
2019-08-09 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-151.6 1120 1115 47.55% 26.90% 25.55%+0.11 -1.9 24
2019-08-09 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-151.6 1115 1120 25.55% 26.90% 47.55%-0.11 +1.9 26
2019-08-09 Thor Akureyri L 1-346.3 1151 1191 41.80% 27.23% 30.96%-0.03 -28.2 21
2019-08-09 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-146.3 1191 1151 30.96% 27.23% 41.80%+0.03 +28.2 31
2019-08-10 IF Magni L 1-252.7 987 894 57.36% 25.58% 17.07%+0.40 -21.3 14
2019-08-10 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-152.7 894 987 17.07% 25.58% 57.36%-0.40 +21.3 13
2019-08-15 Njardvik W 2-032.6 1011 927 56.41% 25.76% 17.83%+0.37 +16.6 26
2019-08-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-232.6 927 1011 17.83% 25.76% 56.41%-0.37 -16.6 11
2019-08-16 Grotta D 0-048.0 1242 1143 57.88% 25.47% 16.65%+0.41 -4.2 35
2019-08-16 @ Fjolnir D 0-048.0 1143 1242 16.65% 25.47% 57.88%-0.41 +4.2 31
2019-08-16 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.2 1219 965 70.45% 21.47% 8.08%+0.92 -6.0 32
2019-08-16 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-153.2 965 1219 8.08% 21.47% 70.45%-0.92 +6.0 15
2019-08-16 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-144.1 1117 1123 46.21% 27.00% 26.79%+0.08 +11.6 29
2019-08-16 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-244.1 1123 1117 26.79% 27.00% 46.21%-0.08 -11.6 21
2019-08-16 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-148.6 1002 1118 31.04% 27.23% 41.73%-0.29 +16.3 25
2019-08-16 @ Keflavik IF L 1-248.6 1118 1002 41.73% 27.23% 31.04%+0.29 -16.2 24
2019-08-17 Afturelding W 3-146.0 915 1028 31.48% 27.25% 41.27%-0.27 +27.9 16
2019-08-17 @ IF Magni L 1-346.0 1028 915 41.27% 27.25% 31.48%+0.27 -27.9 17
2019-08-22 Afturelding D 1-151.5 971 1000 43.15% 27.18% 29.68%+0.00 -1.1 16
2019-08-22 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.5 1000 971 29.68% 27.18% 43.15%+0.00 +1.1 18
2019-08-23 Fjolnir W 4-144.6 1102 1237 28.67% 27.12% 44.21%-0.35 +41.7 27
2019-08-23 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-444.6 1237 1102 44.21% 27.12% 28.67%+0.35 -41.7 35
2019-08-23 Fram Reykjavik W 3-137.5 1148 1027 60.00% 25.00% 15.00%+0.49 +12.2 34
2019-08-23 @ Grotta L 1-337.5 1027 1148 15.00% 25.00% 60.00%-0.49 -12.3 26
2019-08-23 Keflavik IF L 1-350.3 1112 1018 57.41% 25.57% 17.02%+0.40 -37.0 21
2019-08-23 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-150.3 1018 1112 17.02% 25.57% 57.41%-0.40 +36.9 28
2019-08-24 IF Magni W 2-145.0 911 943 42.72% 27.19% 30.08%-0.01 +12.7 14
2019-08-24 @ Njardvik L 1-245.0 943 911 30.08% 27.19% 42.72%+0.01 -12.7 16
2019-08-24 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-152.0 1213 1129 56.45% 25.75% 17.80%+0.37 -3.5 33
2019-08-24 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-152.0 1129 1213 17.80% 25.75% 56.45%-0.37 +3.5 30
2019-08-30 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 2-030.5 1132 970 63.66% 24.01% 12.33%+0.62 +11.7 33
2019-08-30 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-230.5 970 1132 12.33% 24.01% 63.66%-0.62 -11.7 16
2019-08-30 Throttur Reykjavik W 6-030.3 1196 1075 60.06% 24.99% 14.95%+0.49 +39.2 38
2019-08-30 @ Fjolnir L 0-630.3 1075 1196 14.95% 24.99% 60.06%-0.49 -39.2 21
2019-08-30 Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-047.3 1015 1144 29.44% 27.16% 43.39%-0.33 +1.3 27
2019-08-30 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-047.3 1144 1015 43.39% 27.16% 29.44%+0.33 -1.3 28
2019-08-31 Grotta L 0-233.0 930 1160 18.70% 25.94% 55.35%-0.65 -17.3 16
2019-08-31 @ IF Magni W 2-033.0 1160 930 55.35% 25.94% 18.70%+0.65 +17.3 37
2019-08-31 Njardvik D 2-257.7 1002 923 55.88% 25.85% 18.26%+0.35 -2.5 19
2019-08-31 @ Afturelding D 2-257.7 923 1002 18.26% 25.85% 55.88%-0.35 +2.5 15
2019-08-31 Thor Akureyri W 2-041.7 1055 1209 26.37% 26.97% 46.66%-0.41 +35.6 31
2019-08-31 @ Keflavik IF L 0-241.7 1209 1055 46.66% 26.97% 26.37%+0.41 -35.6 33
2019-09-05 Keflavik IF W 1-036.6 1144 1091 53.25% 26.27% 20.48%+0.27 +9.9 36
2019-09-05 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-136.6 1091 1144 20.48% 26.27% 53.25%-0.27 -9.9 31
2019-09-05 Njardvik W 4-031.9 958 926 50.87% 26.57% 22.55%+0.20 +38.4 19
2019-09-05 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-431.9 926 958 22.55% 26.57% 50.87%-0.20 -38.4 15
2019-09-06 Fram Reykjavik L 1-250.7 1035 1016 49.29% 26.74% 23.97%+0.16 -18.6 21
2019-09-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-150.7 1016 1035 23.97% 26.74% 49.29%-0.16 +18.6 30
2019-09-08 Afturelding L 0-544.2 1177 999 64.93% 23.60% 11.46%+0.68 -111.5 37
2019-09-08 @ Grotta W 5-044.2 999 1177 11.46% 23.60% 64.93%-0.68 +111.5 22
2019-09-08 Fjolnir L 1-740.2 1174 1235 38.76% 27.31% 33.94%-0.10 -70.4 33
2019-09-08 @ Thor Akureyri W 7-140.2 1235 1174 33.94% 27.31% 38.76%+0.10 +70.4 41
2019-09-08 IF Magni L 1-255.2 1143 913 68.81% 22.17% 9.02%+0.84 -25.0 28
2019-09-08 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-155.2 913 1143 9.02% 22.17% 68.81%-0.84 +25.0 19
2019-09-14 Grotta L 1-243.0 887 1066 23.68% 26.71% 49.61%-0.49 -10.5 15
2019-09-14 @ Njardvik W 2-143.0 1066 887 49.61% 26.71% 23.68%+0.49 +10.5 40
2019-09-14 Keflavik IF W 3-144.8 997 1081 35.52% 27.32% 37.16%-0.18 +25.8 22
2019-09-14 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-344.8 1081 997 37.16% 27.32% 35.52%+0.18 -25.8 31
2019-09-14 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-152.7 1305 1154 62.72% 24.29% 13.00%+0.59 -4.6 42
2019-09-14 @ Fjolnir D 1-152.7 1154 1305 13.00% 24.29% 62.72%-0.59 +4.6 37
2019-09-14 Thor Akureyri W 3-036.4 1035 1103 37.73% 27.32% 34.95%-0.13 +41.3 33
2019-09-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-336.4 1103 1035 34.95% 27.32% 37.73%+0.13 -41.3 33
2019-09-14 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-144.5 938 1017 36.26% 27.32% 36.41%-0.16 +25.4 22
2019-09-14 @ IF Magni L 1-344.5 1017 938 36.41% 27.32% 36.26%+0.16 -25.4 21
2019-09-14 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-144.5 1111 1118 46.04% 27.01% 26.95%+0.07 -18.7 22
2019-09-14 @ Afturelding W 1-044.5 1118 1111 26.95% 27.01% 46.04%-0.07 +18.7 31
2019-09-21 Afturelding D 0-047.3 991 1092 33.20% 27.29% 39.51%-0.23 +0.6 22
2019-09-21 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 0-047.3 1092 991 39.51% 27.29% 33.20%+0.23 -0.6 23
2019-09-21 Fjolnir W 1-047.4 1055 1301 17.35% 25.65% 57.00%-0.71 +22.5 34
2019-09-21 @ Keflavik IF L 0-147.4 1301 1055 57.00% 25.65% 17.35%+0.71 -22.5 42
2019-09-21 Fram Reykjavik W 2-141.0 1159 1076 56.32% 25.77% 17.90%+0.36 +8.3 40
2019-09-21 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-241.0 1076 1159 17.90% 25.77% 56.32%-0.36 -8.3 33
2019-09-21 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-031.2 1076 1023 53.25% 26.27% 20.48%+0.27 +35.4 43
2019-09-21 @ Grotta L 0-431.2 1023 1076 20.48% 26.27% 53.25%-0.27 -35.4 22
2019-09-21 IF Magni D 0-047.8 1062 963 57.92% 25.46% 16.62%+0.42 -4.2 34
2019-09-21 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-047.8 963 1062 16.62% 25.46% 57.92%-0.42 +4.2 23
2019-09-21 Njardvik W 4-238.5 1136 877 70.85% 21.29% 7.86%+0.94 +5.7 34
2019-09-21 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 2-438.5 877 1136 7.86% 21.29% 70.85%-0.94 -5.7 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-09-08 9.02% IF Magni 913 2 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1143 1
2 2019-09-08 11.46% Afturelding 999 5 @ Grotta 1177 0
3 2019-05-18 11.48% Grotta 991 3 @ Thor Akureyri 1169 2
4 2019-07-16 12.09% IF Magni 894 3 @ Keflavik IF 1060 0
5 2019-06-17 13.87% Keflavik IF 1063 1 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1200 0
6 2019-06-22 15.33% Fram Reykjavik 1060 1 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1176 0
7 2019-05-31 15.35% Grotta 998 2 @ Keflavik IF 1114 1
8 2019-07-11 16.83% @ Njardvik 909 3 Vikingur Olafsvik 1161 0
9 2019-08-23 17.02% Keflavik IF 1018 3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1112 1
10 2019-08-10 17.07% IF Magni 894 2 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 987 1
11 2019-09-21 17.35% @ Keflavik IF 1055 1 Fjolnir 1301 0
12 2019-05-05 18.01% Njardvik 1045 3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1126 2
13 2019-07-21 18.37% Keflavik IF 992 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1069 1
14 2019-06-13 19.53% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 967 2 @ Afturelding 1031 1
15 2019-06-19 19.98% Fjolnir 1096 1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1155 0
16 2019-06-13 20.02% Grotta 1021 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1080 2
17 2019-06-27 21.23% Leiknir Reykjavik 1046 3 @ Keflavik IF 1092 1
18 2019-05-17 22.05% Njardvik 1035 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1072 1
19 2019-07-16 22.63% Grotta 1118 1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1150 0
20 2019-09-06 23.97% Fram Reykjavik 1016 2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1035 1
21 2019-06-24 25.67% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 971 5 @ Njardvik 975 1
22 2019-06-20 26.07% Afturelding 1011 2 @ Njardvik 1011 0
23 2019-08-31 26.37% @ Keflavik IF 1055 2 Thor Akureyri 1209 0
24 2019-09-14 26.95% Vikingur Olafsvik 1118 1 @ Afturelding 1111 0
25 2019-06-27 27.60% Grotta 1059 3 @ Afturelding 1046 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-09-08 111.47 Afturelding 5 999 11.46% @ Grotta 0 1177 64.93% 23.60%
2 2019-09-08 70.37 Fjolnir 7 1235 33.94% @ Thor Akureyri 1 1174 38.76% 27.31%
3 2019-05-17 69.17 @ Keflavik IF 5 1044 35.84% Afturelding 0 1126 36.84% 27.32%
4 2019-07-16 68.36 IF Magni 3 894 12.09% @ Keflavik IF 0 1060 64.01% 23.90%
5 2019-07-11 62.22 @ Njardvik 3 909 16.83% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1161 57.65% 25.52%
6 2019-06-29 58.84 @ Fjolnir 4 1117 33.45% Thor Akureyri 0 1216 39.26% 27.30%
7 2019-06-24 57.04 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 971 25.67% @ Njardvik 1 975 47.43% 26.91%
8 2019-06-27 50.48 Grotta 3 1059 27.60% @ Afturelding 0 1046 45.35% 27.06%
9 2019-08-23 41.70 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1102 28.67% Fjolnir 1 1237 44.21% 27.12%
10 2019-09-14 41.34 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1035 37.73% Thor Akureyri 0 1103 34.95% 27.32%
11 2019-07-20 41.25 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1051 37.83% @ IF Magni 0 962 34.85% 27.32%
12 2019-08-09 40.76 @ Afturelding 3 988 38.40% Fram Reykjavik 0 1051 34.29% 27.31%
13 2019-08-30 39.19 @ Fjolnir 6 1196 60.06% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1075 14.95% 24.99%
14 2019-09-05 38.42 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 958 50.87% Njardvik 0 926 22.55% 26.57%
15 2019-06-15 38.13 Thor Akureyri 3 1183 41.41% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1068 31.35% 27.24%
16 2019-08-23 36.96 Keflavik IF 3 1018 17.02% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1112 57.41% 25.57%
17 2019-06-20 35.80 Afturelding 2 1011 26.07% @ Njardvik 0 1011 46.98% 26.94%
18 2019-08-31 35.60 @ Keflavik IF 2 1055 26.37% Thor Akureyri 0 1209 46.66% 26.97%
19 2019-09-21 35.44 @ Grotta 4 1076 53.25% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1023 20.48% 26.27%
20 2019-06-07 34.40 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1092 45.55% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1103 27.41% 27.04%
21 2019-05-31 34.35 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1069 28.21% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1207 44.69% 27.10%
22 2019-06-07 34.16 Thor Akureyri 3 1149 45.80% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1001 27.17% 27.03%
23 2019-06-27 34.05 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1046 21.23% @ Keflavik IF 1 1092 52.39% 26.39%
24 2019-07-06 31.75 @ Throttur Reykjavik 7 1120 66.56% IF Magni 0 921 10.40% 23.04%
25 2019-07-20 30.87 Fjolnir 5 1212 51.97% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1013 21.59% 26.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-05-18 59.9 Grotta 3 991 11.48% @ Thor Akureyri 2 1169 64.91% 23.61%
2 2019-05-05 57.9 Njardvik 3 1045 18.01% @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1126 56.19% 25.80%
3 2019-08-31 57.7 @ Afturelding 2 1002 55.88% Njardvik 2 923 18.26% 25.85%
4 2019-07-20 57.5 @ Grotta 2 1138 49.56% Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1117 23.72% 26.71%
5 2019-07-30 57.4 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1116 44.42% Grotta 2 1136 28.47% 27.11%
6 2019-05-10 57.3 @ Grotta 2 991 31.21% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1106 41.55% 27.24%
7 2019-06-13 57.3 Grotta 3 1021 20.02% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1080 53.78% 26.19%
8 2019-07-11 57.3 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1031 35.01% Grotta 2 1118 37.67% 27.32%
9 2019-09-08 55.2 IF Magni 2 913 9.02% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1143 68.81% 22.17%
10 2019-05-24 54.0 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1053 30.97% @ Grotta 2 1014 41.80% 27.23%
11 2019-06-13 53.5 @ IF Magni 3 921 32.60% Njardvik 2 1026 40.12% 27.28%
12 2019-07-31 53.4 @ Fjolnir 1 1253 71.62% Afturelding 1 982 7.45% 20.93%
13 2019-05-31 53.3 Grotta 2 998 15.35% @ Keflavik IF 1 1114 59.54% 25.11%
14 2019-08-16 53.2 @ Thor Akureyri 1 1219 70.45% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 965 8.08% 21.47%
15 2019-08-10 52.7 IF Magni 2 894 17.07% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 987 57.36% 25.58%
16 2019-09-14 52.7 @ Fjolnir 1 1305 62.72% Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1154 13.00% 24.29%
17 2019-08-09 52.5 @ Njardvik 1 922 12.02% Fjolnir 1 1247 64.11% 23.87%
18 2019-07-11 52.4 @ Fjolnir 1 1204 62.46% Keflavik IF 1 1056 13.18% 24.36%
19 2019-07-21 52.4 Keflavik IF 2 992 18.37% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1069 55.76% 25.87%
20 2019-07-11 52.3 @ IF Magni 1 889 13.83% Thor Akureyri 1 1184 61.57% 24.61%
21 2019-06-13 52.0 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 967 19.53% @ Afturelding 1 1031 54.37% 26.10%
22 2019-07-30 52.0 @ Thor Akureyri 1 1194 55.74% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1117 18.39% 25.88%
23 2019-08-24 52.0 @ Thor Akureyri 1 1213 56.45% Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1129 17.80% 25.75%
24 2019-07-04 51.7 @ Keflavik IF 1 1058 50.58% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1028 22.82% 26.61%
25 2019-05-16 51.6 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1045 49.82% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1022 23.49% 26.69%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-07-06 28.9 @ Throttur Reykjavik 7 1120 66.56% IF Magni 0 921 10.40% 23.04%
2 2019-08-30 30.3 @ Fjolnir 6 1196 60.06% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1075 14.95% 24.99%
3 2019-05-05 30.5 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1163 63.49% Grotta 0 1002 12.45% 24.06%
4 2019-08-30 30.5 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1132 63.66% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 970 12.33% 24.01%
5 2019-07-05 30.7 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1149 62.90% Afturelding 0 996 12.86% 24.23%
6 2019-09-21 31.2 @ Grotta 4 1076 53.25% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1023 20.48% 26.27%
7 2019-07-05 31.6 @ Thor Akureyri 3 1157 53.93% Fram Reykjavik 0 1097 19.90% 26.17%
8 2019-09-05 31.9 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 958 50.87% Njardvik 0 926 22.55% 26.57%
9 2019-08-15 32.6 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1011 56.41% Njardvik 0 927 17.83% 25.76%
10 2019-08-31 33.0 Grotta 2 1160 55.35% @ IF Magni 0 930 18.70% 25.94%
11 2019-07-16 33.1 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1099 54.85% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1031 19.12% 26.03%
12 2019-06-07 34.0 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1092 45.55% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1103 27.41% 27.04%
13 2019-06-07 34.0 Thor Akureyri 3 1149 45.80% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1001 27.17% 27.03%
14 2019-05-24 34.1 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1188 51.88% Thor Akureyri 0 1146 21.67% 26.45%
15 2019-07-31 35.0 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1034 60.27% IF Magni 1 911 14.80% 24.94%
16 2019-06-02 35.1 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1127 48.57% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1114 24.62% 26.81%
17 2019-06-15 35.3 Thor Akureyri 3 1183 41.41% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1068 31.35% 27.24%
18 2019-05-18 35.5 @ Fjolnir 4 1067 58.63% IF Magni 1 961 16.06% 25.31%
19 2019-06-22 35.6 @ Grotta 4 1040 58.48% IF Magni 1 936 16.17% 25.35%
20 2019-07-05 35.6 @ Grotta 3 1109 65.97% Njardvik 1 918 10.78% 23.25%
21 2019-07-20 35.9 Fjolnir 5 1212 51.97% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1013 21.59% 26.44%
22 2019-07-30 36.1 @ Keflavik IF 1 999 54.72% Njardvik 0 932 19.24% 26.05%
23 2019-08-09 36.2 @ Afturelding 3 988 38.40% Fram Reykjavik 0 1051 34.29% 27.31%
24 2019-06-01 36.3 @ Fjolnir 1 1114 54.02% Njardvik 0 1054 19.82% 26.16%
25 2019-07-20 36.3 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1051 37.83% @ IF Magni 0 962 34.85% 27.32%