2014 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

Leiknir Reykjavik

48 pts

IA Akranes · 43 pts

Relegated

Tindastoll

4 pts

KV Vesturbaejar · 18 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Leiknir Reykjavik

9.17 points above expected

48 points · 38.83 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KV Vesturbaejar

12.17 points below expected

18 points · 30.17 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Leiknir Reykjavik Promoted	22	14	6	2	48	43	19	+24	38.83	+9.17
2	IA Akranes Promoted	22	14	1	7	43	46	24	+22	37.73	+5.27
3	Throttur Reykjavik	22	11	4	7	37	35	27	+8	30.47	+6.53
4	Vikingur Olafsvik	22	11	3	8	36	38	32	+6	32.61	+3.39
5	Grindavik	22	10	5	7	35	39	24	+15	33.10	+1.90
6	HK Kopavogur	22	9	7	6	34	34	28	+6	28.84	+5.16
7	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	22	9	5	8	32	37	32	+5	30.67	+1.33
8	KA Akureyri	22	8	7	7	31	42	33	+9	34.03	-3.03
9	Selfoss	22	7	5	10	26	24	33	-9	27.39	-1.39
10	IB Bolungarvik	22	7	4	11	25	34	45	-11	24.22	+0.78
11	KV Vesturbaejar Relegated	22	5	3	14	18	34	53	-19	30.17	-12.17
12	Tindastoll Relegated	22	0	4	18	4	15	71	-56	13.51	-9.51

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Leiknir Reykjavik	1326	48	38.83	+9.17	95.3%	18	29	35	39	43	48	60
IA Akranes	1286	43	37.73	+5.27	83.5%	16	28	34	38	42	47	60
Grindavik	1285	35	33.10	+1.90	65.9%	12	23	29	33	37	43	54
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1234	32	30.67	+1.33	62.5%	9	21	27	31	35	40	52
KA Akureyri	1219	31	34.03	-3.03	33.8%	13	24	30	34	38	44	57
Vikingur Olafsvik	1210	36	32.61	+3.39	74.5%	11	23	29	33	37	42	56
HK Kopavogur	1198	34	28.84	+5.16	83.4%	9	19	25	29	33	38	50
Throttur Reykjavik	1185	37	30.47	+6.53	88.8%	12	21	26	30	34	40	52
IB Bolungarvik	1094	25	24.22	+0.78	59.7%	5	15	20	24	28	34	46
Selfoss	1049	26	27.39	-1.39	44.1%	8	18	23	27	31	37	50
KV Vesturbaejar	998	18	30.17	-12.17	2.0%	11	21	26	30	34	40	51
Tindastoll	803	4	13.51	-9.51	1.4%	0	6	10	13	17	21	31

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	GRI	HK	HH	IA	IB	KA	KV	LR	SEL	TR	TIN	VO
Grindavik	—	1-0-1 2.90	0-1-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.44	1-1-0 3.39	2-0-0 2.31	1-0-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.41	1-1-0 3.56	0-1-1 3.18	2-0-0 4.62	1-0-1 2.72
HK Kopavogur	1-0-1 2.56	—	0-1-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.12	2-0-0 3.32	1-1-0 2.12	1-1-0 2.13	0-1-1 1.71	1-1-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.84	1-1-0 4.46	1-0-1 2.44
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1-1-0 2.69	1-1-0 2.83	—	1-0-1 1.88	1-0-1 3.17	0-1-1 2.54	2-0-0 2.59	0-0-2 1.95	1-1-0 2.98	0-0-2 3.02	1-1-0 4.01	1-0-1 2.87
IA Akranes	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 3.34	1-0-1 3.60	—	2-0-0 3.98	0-1-1 3.22	1-0-1 4.10	2-0-0 2.57	1-0-1 3.28	2-0-0 3.02	2-0-0 4.57	1-0-1 2.96
IB Bolungarvik	0-1-1 2.07	0-0-2 2.14	1-0-1 2.28	0-0-2 1.51	—	0-1-1 1.97	1-0-1 2.19	0-0-2 2.08	2-0-0 2.49	0-1-1 2.10	2-0-0 3.60	1-1-0 1.88
KA Akureyri	0-0-2 3.15	0-1-1 3.34	1-1-0 2.91	1-1-0 2.24	1-1-0 3.50	—	1-1-0 3.16	0-1-1 2.09	2-0-0 3.47	0-0-2 3.08	2-0-0 4.06	0-1-1 3.02
KV Vesturbaejar	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 3.34	0-0-2 2.89	1-0-1 1.41	1-0-1 3.28	0-1-1 2.31	—	0-0-2 2.30	0-0-2 2.98	0-0-2 2.43	1-1-0 4.16	1-0-1 2.36
Leiknir Reykjavik	1-1-0 3.05	1-1-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.51	0-0-2 2.89	2-0-0 3.40	1-1-0 3.38	2-0-0 3.17	—	0-2-0 3.87	2-0-0 3.56	2-0-0 4.95	1-1-0 3.25
Selfoss	0-1-1 1.92	0-1-1 2.98	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.18	0-0-2 2.98	0-0-2 1.99	2-0-0 2.47	0-2-0 1.62	—	1-0-1 2.45	2-0-0 3.95	1-0-1 2.46
Throttur Reykjavik	1-1-0 2.28	1-1-0 2.62	2-0-0 2.45	0-0-2 2.45	1-1-0 3.37	2-0-0 2.39	2-0-0 3.03	0-0-2 1.91	1-0-1 3.01	—	1-1-0 4.43	0-0-2 2.61
Tindastoll	0-0-2 0.95	0-1-1 1.09	0-1-1 1.49	0-0-2 1.01	0-0-2 1.87	0-0-2 1.46	0-1-1 1.35	0-0-2 0.68	0-0-2 1.54	0-1-1 1.11	—	0-0-2 1.00
Vikingur Olafsvik	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.49	0-1-1 3.60	1-1-0 2.44	1-0-1 3.11	0-1-1 2.21	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 2.85	2-0-0 4.56	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.72	+11.6
Allowed	0.92	-7.6
Differential	0.95	+5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	7.20%	5.30%	2.65%	1.52%	2.27%	23.48%
1	7.20%	9.09%	6.44%	4.55%	1.89%	0.76%	29.92%
2	5.30%	6.44%	6.82%	4.55%	1.52%	0.38%	25.00%
3	2.65%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	0.38%	12.12%
4	1.52%	1.89%	1.52%	—	—	0.38%	5.30%
5+	2.27%	0.76%	0.38%	0.38%	0.38%	—	4.17%
Total	23.48%	29.92%	25.00%	12.12%	5.30%	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.59	+0.00
SD	1.37	1.37	2.07
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	50.00%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.09	+0.68
SD	1.45	0.81	1.73
CV	0.82	0.74	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	—	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	50.00%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.27	+0.27
SD	1.44	0.98	1.72
CV	0.93	0.77	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	18.18%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	40.91%	9.09%	22.73%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.45	+0.23
SD	1.39	1.22	2.07
CV	0.83	0.84	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	36.36%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	40.91%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	1.09	+1.00
SD	1.60	1.19	2.07
CV	0.77	1.09	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	27.27%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	27.27%	27.27%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	2.05	-0.50
SD	1.60	1.56	2.37
CV	1.03	0.76	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	18.18%	36.36%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.50	+0.41
SD	1.41	1.19	1.74
CV	0.74	0.79	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	9.09%	36.36%	31.82%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	2.41	-0.86
SD	1.26	1.30	1.93
CV	0.82	0.54	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	40.91%
3	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	45.45%	22.73%	31.82%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	0.86	+1.09
SD	1.25	0.89	1.48
CV	0.64	1.03	—
Max	5	2	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	36.36%
1	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	40.91%	22.73%	—	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.50	-0.41
SD	1.06	1.50	2.02
CV	0.98	1.00	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	18.18%	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	45.45%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.23	+0.36
SD	1.18	1.02	1.71
CV	0.74	0.83	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	18.18%	13.64%	63.64%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
2	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	9.09%	22.73%	18.18%	18.18%	27.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.68	3.23	-2.55
SD	1.09	1.60	1.74
CV	1.59	0.50	—
Max	4	6	+0
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	27.27%	27.27%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.45	+0.27
SD	1.28	1.26	1.75
CV	0.74	0.87	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Leiknir Reykjavik	48	38.83	+9.17
2	Throttur Reykjavik	37	30.47	+6.53
3	IA Akranes	43	37.73	+5.27
4	HK Kopavogur	34	28.84	+5.16
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	36	32.61	+3.39

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KV Vesturbaejar	18	30.17	-12.17
2	Tindastoll	4	13.51	-9.51
3	KA Akureyri	31	34.03	-3.03
4	Selfoss	26	27.39	-1.39
5	IB Bolungarvik	25	24.22	+0.78

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IA Akranes	5	Jun 1 – Jun 28	1 in 58
2	Leiknir Reykjavik	4	May 10 – Jun 5	1 in 56
3	Throttur Reykjavik	3	May 9 – May 23	1 in 35
4	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	3	Jun 9 – Jun 21	1 in 29
5	KA Akureyri	3	Jun 14 – Jun 27	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tindastoll	11	Jul 4 – Aug 30	1 in 94
2	IB Bolungarvik	4	May 17 – Jun 14	1 in 45
3	KV Vesturbaejar	4	Jul 30 – Aug 19	1 in 37
4	Vikingur Olafsvik	3	Jun 28 – Jul 11	1 in 32
5	Throttur Reykjavik	3	Jul 30 – Aug 15	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	6	Aug 19 – Sep 20	1 in 21
2	IB Bolungarvik	4	Aug 9 – Aug 23	1 in 13
3	HK Kopavogur	4	May 9 – Jun 2	1 in 10
4	Vikingur Olafsvik	6	Aug 15 – Sep 13	1 in 10
5	KA Akureyri	5	Jun 5 – Jun 27	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HK Kopavogur	5	Aug 19 – Sep 13	1 in 24
2	Tindastoll	22	May 10 – Sep 20	1 in 22
3	KA Akureyri	5	Aug 15 – Sep 6	1 in 19
4	Grindavik	6	Jun 5 – Jun 28	1 in 16
5	KV Vesturbaejar	9	Jul 30 – Sep 20	1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Leiknir Reykjavik	34.70%	22.22%	14.20%	9.48%	6.70%	4.87%	3.10%	2.40%	1.27%	0.65%	0.40%	0.01%
IA Akranes	27.48%	20.62%	15.47%	10.86%	8.13%	5.98%	4.75%	2.80%	2.04%	1.30%	0.54%	0.03%
Throttur Reykjavik	3.13%	5.83%	8.27%	9.49%	10.94%	11.57%	11.49%	11.74%	10.78%	9.65%	6.53%	0.58%
Vikingur Olafsvik	6.76%	10.02%	11.04%	11.54%	11.51%	11.39%	10.15%	9.79%	7.84%	6.11%	3.46%	0.39%
Grindavik	8.09%	11.16%	12.29%	13.08%	11.97%	10.67%	9.48%	8.25%	6.89%	5.05%	2.80%	0.27%
HK Kopavogur	2.07%	3.43%	5.63%	7.30%	8.84%	10.00%	11.78%	12.80%	13.20%	12.97%	10.77%	1.21%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	3.43%	6.19%	8.16%	9.71%	10.48%	11.61%	11.46%	11.27%	11.31%	9.42%	6.19%	0.77%
KA Akureyri	10.07%	12.63%	13.90%	12.82%	11.72%	10.14%	9.04%	7.57%	5.57%	4.19%	2.18%	0.17%
Selfoss	1.09%	2.21%	3.46%	5.12%	6.78%	8.40%	9.93%	12.69%	14.33%	16.85%	16.87%	2.27%
IB Bolungarvik	0.27%	0.67%	1.25%	2.17%	3.19%	4.24%	6.65%	9.31%	13.81%	20.32%	31.92%	6.20%
KV Vesturbaejar	2.91%	5.02%	6.33%	8.41%	9.73%	11.06%	12.09%	11.13%	12.19%	11.45%	9.08%	0.60%
Tindastoll	—	—	—	0.02%	0.01%	0.07%	0.08%	0.25%	0.77%	2.04%	9.26%	87.50%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.79%

No Edge

41.67%20.45%37.88%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 13.17 Elo pts.

160 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.05 goals

Neutral

-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.5

Open

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

35%

Leiknir Reykjavik, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.23/gm

Tight Race

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.59 * Some Luck: 4.59 to 6.88 * Lucky: 6.88 to 9.18 * Wild Swing: 9.18 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.69 * Close: 1.69 to 2.53 * Off: 2.53 to 3.37 * Way Off: 3.37 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.65 * A Surprise: 0.65 to 1.04 * Several Surprises: 1.04 to 1.43 * Many Surprises: 1.43 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.08 points

Some Luck

05.7414

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.67

Pinpoint

02.115

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.34%

Leiknir Reykjavik

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.42%

Tindastoll

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

A Surprise

00.72

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.65

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

72%

Clear Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

95%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

57%

Very Frequent

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Frequent

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.24

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

-0.03

Weak Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

31%

As Expected

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Shaky Favorites

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.02

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.93

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.127

Well Within Noise

00.1370.4

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Leiknir Reykjavik	56.92%	42.67%	0.41%
IA Akranes	48.10%	51.33%	0.57%
KA Akureyri	22.70%	74.95%	2.35%
Grindavik	19.25%	77.68%	3.07%
Vikingur Olafsvik	16.78%	79.37%	3.85%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	9.62%	83.42%	6.96%
Throttur Reykjavik	8.96%	83.93%	7.11%
KV Vesturbaejar	7.93%	82.39%	9.68%
HK Kopavogur	5.50%	82.52%	11.98%
Selfoss	3.30%	77.56%	19.14%
IB Bolungarvik	0.94%	60.94%	38.12%
Tindastoll	—	3.24%	96.76%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2014-05-09	HK Kopavogur	L 2-3	1230	1085	57.4%	25.6%	17.0%	-20.7	0
2014-05-09	@ KV Vesturbaejar	W 3-2	1085	1230	17.0%	25.6%	57.4%	+20.7	3
2014-05-09	Selfoss	W 1-0	1170	1166	40.6%	27.3%	32.1%	+14.5	3
2014-05-09	@ IA Akranes	L 0-1	1166	1170	32.1%	27.3%	40.6%	-14.5	0
2014-05-09	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-4	1192	1099	51.9%	26.5%	21.6%	-48.8	0
2014-05-09	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 4-1	1099	1192	21.6%	26.5%	51.9%	+48.8	3
2014-05-10	Grindavik	W 1-0	1148	1197	33.2%	27.3%	39.5%	+16.9	3
2014-05-10	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1197	1148	39.5%	27.3%	33.2%	-16.9	0
2014-05-10	Tindastoll	W 4-0	1162	1085	50.0%	26.7%	23.4%	+40.4	3
2014-05-10	@ IB Bolungarvik	L 0-4	1085	1162	23.4%	26.7%	50.0%	-40.4	0
2014-05-10	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 2-3	1158	1196	34.7%	27.3%	37.9%	-13.7	0
2014-05-10	@ KA Akureyri	W 3-2	1196	1158	37.9%	27.3%	34.7%	+13.7	3
2014-05-16	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1105	1144	34.6%	27.3%	38.0%	+0.3	4
2014-05-16	@ HK Kopavogur	D 1-1	1144	1105	38.0%	27.3%	34.6%	-0.3	1
2014-05-17	IA Akranes	W 3-2	1180	1184	39.5%	27.3%	33.2%	+13.3	3
2014-05-17	@ Grindavik	L 2-3	1184	1180	33.2%	27.3%	39.5%	-13.3	3
2014-05-17	IB Bolungarvik	W 2-0	1165	1202	34.9%	27.3%	37.8%	+30.8	6
2014-05-17	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1202	1165	37.8%	27.3%	34.9%	-30.8	3
2014-05-17	KA Akureyri	W 3-1	1148	1144	40.5%	27.3%	32.2%	+23.7	6
2014-05-17	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1144	1148	32.2%	27.3%	40.5%	-23.7	0
2014-05-17	KV Vesturbaejar	D 2-2	1045	1209	19.9%	26.2%	53.9%	+2.3	1
2014-05-17	@ Tindastoll	D 2-2	1209	1045	53.9%	26.2%	19.9%	-2.3	1
2014-05-17	Selfoss	L 0-1	1209	1151	47.7%	26.9%	25.4%	-19.6	3
2014-05-17	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	W 1-0	1151	1209	25.4%	26.9%	47.7%	+19.7	3
2014-05-23	HK Kopavogur	L 1-2	1121	1106	42.2%	27.2%	30.6%	-16.7	0
2014-05-23	@ KA Akureyri	W 2-1	1106	1121	30.6%	27.2%	42.2%	+16.7	7
2014-05-23	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1207	1196	41.5%	27.2%	31.2%	-17.5	1
2014-05-23	@ KV Vesturbaejar	W 1-0	1196	1207	31.2%	27.2%	41.5%	+17.6	9
2014-05-23	Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1171	1171	40.0%	27.3%	32.7%	-17.0	3
2014-05-23	@ Selfoss	W 1-0	1171	1171	32.7%	27.3%	40.0%	+17.0	9
2014-05-23	Tindastoll	D 1-1	1143	1047	52.2%	26.4%	21.3%	-2.8	2
2014-05-23	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1047	1143	21.3%	26.4%	52.2%	+2.8	2
2014-05-23	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 2-3	1171	1190	37.4%	27.3%	35.2%	-14.5	3
2014-05-23	@ IA Akranes	W 3-2	1190	1171	35.2%	27.3%	37.4%	+14.5	6
2014-05-31	KV Vesturbaejar	L 0-5	1171	1189	37.5%	27.3%	35.1%	-71.6	3
2014-05-31	@ IB Bolungarvik	W 5-0	1189	1171	35.1%	27.3%	37.5%	+71.6	4
2014-06-01	IA Akranes	L 0-1	1188	1157	44.4%	27.1%	28.5%	-18.5	9
2014-06-01	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1157	1188	28.5%	27.1%	44.4%	+18.5	6
2014-06-02	Selfoss	D 1-1	1122	1154	35.6%	27.3%	37.1%	+0.1	8
2014-06-02	@ HK Kopavogur	D 1-1	1154	1122	37.1%	27.3%	35.6%	-0.1	4
2014-06-05	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 2-0	1214	1141	49.5%	26.7%	23.7%	+21.6	12
2014-06-05	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1141	1214	23.7%	26.7%	49.5%	-21.6	2
2014-06-05	Tindastoll	W 4-0	1104	1050	47.2%	26.9%	25.8%	+43.8	3
2014-06-05	@ KA Akureyri	L 0-4	1050	1104	25.8%	26.9%	47.2%	-43.8	2
2014-06-05	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-1	1193	1204	38.5%	27.3%	34.2%	-16.6	3
2014-06-05	@ Grindavik	W 1-0	1204	1193	34.2%	27.3%	38.5%	+16.6	9
2014-06-06	HK Kopavogur	W 2-0	1175	1122	47.0%	27.0%	26.0%	+23.2	9
2014-06-06	@ IA Akranes	L 0-2	1122	1175	26.0%	27.0%	47.0%	-23.2	8
2014-06-09	Grindavik	W 3-2	1261	1177	50.8%	26.6%	22.6%	+9.8	7
2014-06-09	@ KV Vesturbaejar	L 2-3	1177	1261	22.6%	26.6%	50.8%	-9.8	3
2014-06-09	IB Bolungarvik	W 3-1	1119	1100	42.7%	27.2%	30.1%	+22.5	5
2014-06-09	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 1-3	1100	1119	30.1%	27.2%	42.7%	-22.5	3
2014-06-09	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 0-0	1148	1235	28.2%	27.1%	44.7%	+1.6	4
2014-06-09	@ KA Akureyri	D 0-0	1235	1148	44.7%	27.1%	28.2%	-1.6	13
2014-06-09	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1221	1170	46.8%	27.0%	26.2%	+11.7	12
2014-06-09	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 1-2	1170	1221	26.2%	27.0%	46.8%	-11.7	9
2014-06-09	Tindastoll	W 3-0	1154	1006	57.6%	25.6%	16.8%	+23.3	7
2014-06-09	@ Selfoss	L 0-3	1006	1154	16.8%	25.6%	57.6%	-23.3	2
2014-06-13	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	1271	1141	55.8%	25.9%	18.3%	-52.0	7
2014-06-13	@ KV Vesturbaejar	W 4-1	1141	1271	18.3%	25.9%	55.8%	+52.0	8
2014-06-13	Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1167	1158	41.3%	27.3%	31.5%	-0.8	4
2014-06-13	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1158	1167	31.5%	27.3%	41.3%	+0.8	10
2014-06-14	IA Akranes	L 0-5	983	1198	15.7%	25.2%	59.1%	-35.2	2
2014-06-14	@ Tindastoll	W 5-0	1198	983	59.1%	25.2%	15.7%	+35.2	12
2014-06-14	KA Akureyri	L 1-3	1077	1149	30.1%	27.2%	42.7%	-22.5	3
2014-06-14	@ IB Bolungarvik	W 3-1	1149	1077	42.7%	27.2%	30.1%	+22.5	7
2014-06-14	Selfoss	D 1-1	1234	1177	47.5%	26.9%	25.6%	-1.9	14
2014-06-14	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1177	1234	25.6%	26.9%	47.5%	+1.9	8
2014-06-14	Vikingur Olafsvik	W 4-2	1099	1233	22.9%	26.6%	50.4%	+30.1	11
2014-06-14	@ HK Kopavogur	L 2-4	1233	1099	50.4%	26.6%	22.9%	-30.1	12
2014-06-21	Grindavik	W 1-0	1193	1166	43.8%	27.2%	29.1%	+13.4	11
2014-06-21	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1166	1193	29.1%	27.2%	43.8%	-13.4	4
2014-06-21	HK Kopavogur	W 1-0	1159	1129	44.1%	27.1%	28.8%	+13.3	13
2014-06-21	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1129	1159	28.8%	27.1%	44.1%	-13.3	11
2014-06-21	IB Bolungarvik	L 0-1	1179	1055	55.3%	26.0%	18.8%	-22.3	8
2014-06-21	@ Selfoss	W 1-0	1055	1179	18.8%	26.0%	55.3%	+22.3	6
2014-06-21	KV Vesturbaejar	W 5-3	1172	1219	33.5%	27.3%	39.2%	+23.2	10
2014-06-21	@ KA Akureyri	L 3-5	1219	1172	39.2%	27.3%	33.5%	-23.2	7
2014-06-21	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1233	1232	40.3%	27.3%	32.4%	+13.8	15
2014-06-21	@ IA Akranes	L 1-2	1232	1233	32.4%	27.3%	40.3%	-13.7	14
2014-06-21	Tindastoll	W 1-0	1202	947	66.8%	23.0%	10.2%	+5.2	15
2014-06-21	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-1	947	1202	10.2%	23.0%	66.8%	-5.2	2
2014-06-24	Grindavik	D 1-1	1077	1153	29.6%	27.2%	43.2%	+1.2	7
2014-06-24	@ IB Bolungarvik	D 1-1	1153	1077	43.2%	27.2%	29.6%	-1.2	5
2014-06-27	KA Akureyri	L 0-3	1207	1195	41.7%	27.2%	31.1%	-48.2	11
2014-06-27	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-0	1195	1207	31.1%	27.2%	41.7%	+48.2	13
2014-06-27	Selfoss	L 1-3	1195	1157	45.3%	27.1%	27.7%	-30.7	7
2014-06-27	@ KV Vesturbaejar	W 3-1	1157	1195	27.7%	27.1%	45.3%	+30.7	11
2014-06-27	Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	942	1172	14.6%	24.9%	60.4%	+3.2	3
2014-06-27	@ Tindastoll	D 2-2	1172	942	60.4%	24.9%	14.6%	-3.2	14
2014-06-28	HK Kopavogur	L 1-2	1152	1116	44.9%	27.1%	28.1%	-17.6	5
2014-06-28	@ Grindavik	W 2-1	1116	1152	28.1%	27.1%	44.9%	+17.6	14
2014-06-28	IA Akranes	L 0-6	1078	1247	19.5%	26.1%	54.4%	-50.7	7
2014-06-28	@ IB Bolungarvik	W 6-0	1247	1078	54.4%	26.1%	19.5%	+50.7	18
2014-06-28	Vikingur Olafsvik	W 2-0	1218	1208	41.5%	27.2%	31.3%	+26.8	17
2014-06-28	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1208	1218	31.3%	27.2%	41.5%	-26.8	15
2014-07-02	Grindavik	L 1-2	1243	1134	53.7%	26.2%	20.1%	-20.5	13
2014-07-02	@ KA Akureyri	W 2-1	1134	1243	20.1%	26.2%	53.7%	+20.5	8
2014-07-02	IB Bolungarvik	L 2-4	1181	1027	58.2%	25.4%	16.4%	-34.2	15
2014-07-02	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	W 4-2	1027	1181	16.4%	25.4%	58.2%	+34.2	10
2014-07-02	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-3	1169	1245	29.6%	27.2%	43.2%	-37.3	14
2014-07-02	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1245	1169	43.2%	27.2%	29.6%	+37.3	20
2014-07-03	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1187	1159	44.0%	27.1%	28.9%	-34.6	11
2014-07-03	@ Selfoss	W 2-0	1159	1187	28.9%	27.1%	44.0%	+34.6	14
2014-07-03	KV Vesturbaejar	L 0-1	1298	1165	56.2%	25.8%	18.0%	-22.7	18
2014-07-03	@ IA Akranes	W 1-0	1165	1298	18.0%	25.8%	56.2%	+22.7	10
2014-07-04	Tindastoll	W 2-1	1134	945	61.4%	24.7%	13.9%	+6.7	17
2014-07-04	@ HK Kopavogur	L 1-2	945	1134	13.9%	24.7%	61.4%	-6.7	3
2014-07-10	HK Kopavogur	W 3-2	1282	1140	57.0%	25.7%	17.3%	+7.8	23
2014-07-10	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1140	1282	17.3%	25.7%	57.0%	-7.8	17
2014-07-10	IA Akranes	L 1-3	1193	1275	28.8%	27.1%	44.0%	-21.8	14
2014-07-10	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	1275	1193	44.0%	27.1%	28.8%	+21.8	21
2014-07-11	Selfoss	W 2-0	1223	1153	49.2%	26.8%	24.1%	+21.8	16
2014-07-11	@ KA Akureyri	L 0-2	1153	1223	24.1%	26.8%	49.2%	-21.8	11
2014-07-11	Tindastoll	W 5-1	1154	939	63.7%	24.0%	12.2%	+18.8	11
2014-07-11	@ Grindavik	L 1-5	939	1154	12.2%	24.0%	63.7%	-18.8	3
2014-07-11	Vikingur Olafsvik	W 3-2	1187	1147	45.5%	27.1%	27.4%	+11.5	13
2014-07-11	@ KV Vesturbaejar	L 2-3	1147	1187	27.4%	27.1%	45.5%	-11.5	15
2014-07-12	IB Bolungarvik	D 2-2	1132	1062	49.2%	26.8%	24.0%	-1.7	15
2014-07-12	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1062	1132	24.0%	26.8%	49.2%	+1.7	11
2014-07-15	Grindavik	D 0-0	1131	1173	34.1%	27.3%	38.6%	+0.4	12
2014-07-15	@ Selfoss	D 0-0	1173	1131	38.6%	27.3%	34.1%	-0.4	12
2014-07-15	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	1135	1172	34.9%	27.3%	37.8%	+26.6	18
2014-07-15	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 1-3	1172	1135	37.8%	27.3%	34.9%	-26.6	14
2014-07-15	IB Bolungarvik	W 1-0	1132	1063	49.1%	26.8%	24.2%	+11.6	20
2014-07-15	@ HK Kopavogur	L 0-1	1063	1132	24.2%	26.8%	49.1%	-11.6	11
2014-07-15	KA Akureyri	L 2-4	1297	1245	47.0%	27.0%	26.0%	-28.3	21
2014-07-15	@ IA Akranes	W 4-2	1245	1297	26.0%	27.0%	47.0%	+28.3	19
2014-07-15	KV Vesturbaejar	W 3-1	1130	1199	30.5%	27.2%	42.2%	+29.0	18
2014-07-15	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1199	1130	42.2%	27.2%	30.5%	-29.0	13
2014-07-15	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-5	920	1290	7.6%	21.2%	71.2%	-17.0	3
2014-07-15	@ Tindastoll	W 5-0	1290	920	71.2%	21.2%	7.6%	+17.0	26
2014-07-18	IA Akranes	W 1-0	1131	1269	22.5%	26.6%	50.9%	+20.8	15
2014-07-18	@ Selfoss	L 0-1	1269	1131	50.9%	26.6%	22.5%	-20.8	21
2014-07-18	KV Vesturbaejar	D 1-1	1144	1170	36.4%	27.3%	36.3%	-0.0	21
2014-07-18	@ HK Kopavogur	D 1-1	1170	1144	36.3%	27.3%	36.4%	+0.0	14
2014-07-18	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1173	1307	22.9%	26.6%	50.5%	+1.8	13
2014-07-18	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1307	1173	50.5%	26.6%	22.9%	-1.8	27
2014-07-19	IB Bolungarvik	L 4-6	903	1052	21.4%	26.4%	52.2%	-14.0	3
2014-07-19	@ Tindastoll	W 6-4	1052	903	52.2%	26.4%	21.4%	+14.0	14
2014-07-19	KA Akureyri	D 2-2	1162	1273	25.4%	26.9%	47.7%	+1.5	19
2014-07-19	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	D 2-2	1273	1162	47.7%	26.9%	25.4%	-1.5	20
2014-07-20	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 1-0	1159	1145	42.0%	27.2%	30.7%	+14.0	21
2014-07-20	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1145	1159	30.7%	27.2%	42.0%	-14.0	14
2014-07-24	Grindavik	W 2-0	1248	1175	49.6%	26.7%	23.7%	+21.6	24
2014-07-24	@ IA Akranes	L 0-2	1175	1248	23.7%	26.7%	49.6%	-21.6	13
2014-07-24	HK Kopavogur	W 4-1	1131	1144	38.2%	27.3%	34.5%	+35.2	17
2014-07-24	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	1144	1131	34.5%	27.3%	38.2%	-35.2	21
2014-07-24	Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1271	1173	52.4%	26.4%	21.2%	-21.3	20
2014-07-24	@ KA Akureyri	W 1-0	1173	1271	21.2%	26.4%	52.4%	+21.3	24
2014-07-25	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-2	1152	1163	38.5%	27.3%	34.2%	-31.2	15
2014-07-25	@ Selfoss	W 2-0	1163	1152	34.2%	27.3%	38.5%	+31.2	22
2014-07-26	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1066	1305	14.0%	24.7%	61.3%	-6.4	14
2014-07-26	@ IB Bolungarvik	W 3-2	1305	1066	61.3%	24.7%	14.0%	+6.4	30
2014-07-26	Tindastoll	W 3-2	1170	889	68.7%	22.3%	9.0%	+4.1	17
2014-07-26	@ KV Vesturbaejar	L 2-3	889	1170	9.0%	22.3%	68.7%	-4.1	3
2014-07-30	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-5	885	1166	11.5%	23.7%	64.8%	-26.2	3
2014-07-30	@ Tindastoll	W 5-0	1166	885	64.8%	23.7%	11.5%	+26.2	20
2014-07-30	IA Akranes	L 1-3	1195	1270	29.7%	27.2%	43.1%	-22.3	22
2014-07-30	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	W 3-1	1270	1195	43.1%	27.2%	29.7%	+22.3	27
2014-07-30	IB Bolungarvik	W 3-0	1153	1059	52.0%	26.5%	21.6%	+29.0	16
2014-07-30	@ Grindavik	L 0-3	1059	1153	21.6%	26.5%	52.0%	-29.0	14
2014-07-30	KA Akureyri	D 1-1	1109	1250	22.1%	26.5%	51.3%	+2.6	22
2014-07-30	@ HK Kopavogur	D 1-1	1250	1109	51.3%	26.5%	22.1%	-2.6	21
2014-07-30	KV Vesturbaejar	W 2-1	1311	1174	56.6%	25.8%	17.6%	+8.4	33
2014-07-30	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1174	1311	17.6%	25.8%	56.6%	-8.4	17
2014-07-30	Selfoss	L 1-2	1195	1121	49.6%	26.7%	23.7%	-19.1	24
2014-07-30	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1121	1195	23.7%	26.7%	49.6%	+19.1	18
2014-08-07	HK Kopavogur	L 0-6	1140	1111	44.0%	27.1%	28.9%	-96.1	18
2014-08-07	@ Selfoss	W 6-0	1111	1140	28.9%	27.1%	44.0%	+96.1	25
2014-08-07	KA Akureyri	L 0-2	859	1248	7.0%	20.6%	72.4%	-6.6	3
2014-08-07	@ Tindastoll	W 2-0	1248	859	72.4%	20.6%	7.0%	+6.6	24
2014-08-08	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1192	1320	23.5%	26.7%	49.7%	-10.2	20
2014-08-08	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-2	1320	1192	49.7%	26.7%	23.5%	+10.2	36
2014-08-08	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1292	1175	54.4%	26.1%	19.5%	+15.8	30
2014-08-08	@ IA Akranes	L 1-3	1175	1292	19.5%	26.1%	54.4%	-15.8	24
2014-08-09	Grindavik	L 0-2	1172	1182	38.7%	27.3%	34.0%	-31.3	22
2014-08-09	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	W 2-0	1182	1172	34.0%	27.3%	38.7%	+31.3	19
2014-08-09	IB Bolungarvik	L 0-3	1166	1030	56.4%	25.8%	17.8%	-62.3	17
2014-08-09	@ KV Vesturbaejar	W 3-0	1030	1166	17.8%	25.8%	56.4%	+62.3	17
2014-08-15	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-2	1093	1182	27.9%	27.1%	45.0%	+16.7	20
2014-08-15	@ IB Bolungarvik	L 2-3	1182	1093	45.0%	27.1%	27.9%	-16.7	20
2014-08-15	IA Akranes	W 2-1	1208	1308	26.6%	27.0%	46.4%	+18.1	28
2014-08-15	@ HK Kopavogur	L 1-2	1308	1208	46.4%	27.0%	26.6%	-18.1	30
2014-08-15	KA Akureyri	W 2-1	1330	1254	49.9%	26.7%	23.4%	+10.7	39
2014-08-15	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1254	1330	23.4%	26.7%	49.9%	-10.7	24
2014-08-15	KV Vesturbaejar	W 2-0	1213	1103	53.8%	26.2%	20.0%	+18.7	22
2014-08-15	@ Grindavik	L 0-2	1103	1213	20.0%	26.2%	53.8%	-18.7	17
2014-08-15	Selfoss	L 0-2	852	1044	17.5%	25.7%	56.8%	-16.6	3
2014-08-15	@ Tindastoll	W 2-0	1044	852	56.8%	25.7%	17.5%	+16.6	21
2014-08-15	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 1-3	1160	1141	42.6%	27.2%	30.2%	-29.2	24
2014-08-15	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1141	1160	30.2%	27.2%	42.6%	+29.2	25
2014-08-19	Grindavik	W 2-1	1130	1232	26.4%	27.0%	46.6%	+18.1	27
2014-08-19	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1232	1130	46.6%	27.0%	26.4%	-18.2	22
2014-08-19	HK Kopavogur	W 1-0	1170	1226	32.3%	27.3%	40.4%	+17.2	28
2014-08-19	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-1	1226	1170	40.4%	27.3%	32.3%	-17.2	28
2014-08-19	IB Bolungarvik	D 1-1	1243	1109	56.3%	25.8%	17.9%	-3.5	25
2014-08-19	@ KA Akureyri	D 1-1	1109	1243	17.9%	25.8%	56.3%	+3.5	21
2014-08-19	KV Vesturbaejar	W 3-2	1165	1085	50.4%	26.6%	22.9%	+9.9	23
2014-08-19	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 2-3	1085	1165	22.9%	26.6%	50.4%	-9.9	17
2014-08-19	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1061	1341	11.6%	23.7%	64.7%	+3.8	22
2014-08-19	@ Selfoss	D 2-2	1341	1061	64.7%	23.7%	11.6%	-3.8	40
2014-08-19	Tindastoll	W 5-2	1290	835	79.0%	17.0%	4.0%	+3.8	33
2014-08-19	@ IA Akranes	L 2-5	835	1290	4.0%	17.0%	79.0%	-3.8	3
2014-08-23	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1214	1175	45.2%	27.1%	27.7%	-1.5	23
2014-08-23	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1175	1214	27.7%	27.1%	45.2%	+1.5	24
2014-08-23	IA Akranes	L 0-1	1337	1293	45.9%	27.0%	27.1%	-19.0	40
2014-08-23	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1293	1337	27.1%	27.0%	45.9%	+19.0	36
2014-08-23	KA Akureyri	D 2-2	1075	1240	19.8%	26.2%	54.0%	+2.3	18
2014-08-23	@ KV Vesturbaejar	D 2-2	1240	1075	54.0%	26.2%	19.8%	-2.3	26
2014-08-23	Selfoss	W 2-1	1113	1064	46.5%	27.0%	26.5%	+11.8	24
2014-08-23	@ IB Bolungarvik	L 1-2	1064	1113	26.5%	27.0%	46.5%	-11.8	22
2014-08-23	Throttur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1208	1149	47.9%	26.9%	25.2%	-2.2	29
2014-08-23	@ HK Kopavogur	D 0-0	1149	1208	25.2%	26.9%	47.9%	+2.2	28
2014-08-23	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-3	832	1187	8.1%	21.6%	70.2%	-11.3	3
2014-08-23	@ Tindastoll	W 3-0	1187	832	70.2%	21.6%	8.1%	+11.3	31
2014-08-28	Grindavik	L 1-2	1206	1212	39.2%	27.3%	33.5%	-15.8	29
2014-08-28	@ HK Kopavogur	W 2-1	1212	1206	33.5%	27.3%	39.2%	+15.8	26
2014-08-29	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 0-0	1238	1177	48.0%	26.9%	25.1%	-2.2	27
2014-08-29	@ KA Akureyri	D 0-0	1177	1238	25.1%	26.9%	48.0%	+2.2	25
2014-08-29	KV Vesturbaejar	W 3-1	1053	1077	36.6%	27.3%	36.0%	+25.8	25
2014-08-29	@ Selfoss	L 1-3	1077	1053	36.0%	27.3%	36.6%	-25.8	18
2014-08-29	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 0-0	1199	1318	24.5%	26.8%	48.7%	+2.4	32
2014-08-29	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	D 0-0	1318	1199	48.7%	26.8%	24.5%	-2.4	41
2014-08-30	IB Bolungarvik	W 1-0	1312	1125	61.4%	24.7%	13.9%	+7.2	39
2014-08-30	@ IA Akranes	L 0-1	1125	1312	13.9%	24.7%	61.4%	-7.2	24
2014-08-30	Tindastoll	W 4-0	1151	820	72.0%	20.8%	7.2%	+12.9	31
2014-08-30	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-4	820	1151	7.2%	20.8%	72.0%	-12.9	3
2014-09-04	IA Akranes	L 0-2	1051	1320	12.2%	24.0%	63.7%	-11.9	18
2014-09-04	@ KV Vesturbaejar	W 2-0	1320	1051	63.7%	24.0%	12.2%	+11.9	42
2014-09-04	Selfoss	D 1-1	1179	1078	52.7%	26.4%	20.9%	-2.9	26
2014-09-04	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1078	1179	20.9%	26.4%	52.7%	+2.9	26
2014-09-04	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1316	1164	58.0%	25.5%	16.5%	+7.9	44
2014-09-04	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1164	1316	16.5%	25.5%	58.0%	-7.9	31
2014-09-06	HK Kopavogur	D 0-0	807	1190	7.2%	20.8%	72.0%	+7.1	4
2014-09-06	@ Tindastoll	D 0-0	1190	807	72.0%	20.8%	7.2%	-7.1	30
2014-09-06	KA Akureyri	W 4-1	1228	1235	39.1%	27.3%	33.6%	+34.6	29
2014-09-06	@ Grindavik	L 1-4	1235	1228	33.6%	27.3%	39.1%	-34.6	27
2014-09-06	Vikingur Olafsvik	D 1-1	1117	1201	28.6%	27.1%	44.2%	+1.3	25
2014-09-06	@ IB Bolungarvik	D 1-1	1201	1117	44.2%	27.1%	28.6%	-1.3	33
2014-09-13	Grindavik	L 0-3	814	1263	5.3%	18.8%	75.9%	-7.0	4
2014-09-13	@ Tindastoll	W 3-0	1263	814	75.9%	18.8%	5.3%	+7.0	32
2014-09-13	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1331	1176	58.4%	25.4%	16.2%	-44.2	42
2014-09-13	@ IA Akranes	W 2-0	1176	1331	16.2%	25.4%	58.4%	+44.2	29
2014-09-13	IB Bolungarvik	W 2-1	1156	1119	45.0%	27.1%	27.9%	+12.3	34
2014-09-13	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1119	1156	27.9%	27.1%	45.0%	-12.2	25
2014-09-13	KA Akureyri	L 2-4	1081	1201	24.4%	26.8%	48.8%	-17.1	26
2014-09-13	@ Selfoss	W 4-2	1201	1081	48.8%	26.8%	24.4%	+17.1	30
2014-09-13	KV Vesturbaejar	W 5-1	1200	1039	58.9%	25.3%	15.8%	+24.1	36
2014-09-13	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 1-5	1039	1200	15.8%	25.3%	58.9%	-24.0	18
2014-09-13	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1183	1323	22.2%	26.6%	51.2%	+1.9	31
2014-09-13	@ HK Kopavogur	D 2-2	1323	1183	51.2%	26.6%	22.2%	-1.9	45
2014-09-20	HK Kopavogur	L 1-2	1107	1185	29.2%	27.2%	43.6%	-12.7	25
2014-09-20	@ IB Bolungarvik	W 2-1	1185	1107	43.6%	27.2%	29.2%	+12.7	34
2014-09-20	IA Akranes	D 2-2	1218	1287	30.4%	27.2%	42.3%	+0.8	31
2014-09-20	@ KA Akureyri	D 2-2	1287	1218	42.3%	27.2%	30.4%	-0.8	43
2014-09-20	Selfoss	W 4-1	1270	1064	62.9%	24.3%	12.8%	+15.2	35
2014-09-20	@ Grindavik	L 1-4	1064	1270	12.8%	24.3%	62.9%	-15.2	26
2014-09-20	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1015	1168	21.0%	26.4%	52.6%	-16.9	18
2014-09-20	@ KV Vesturbaejar	W 3-1	1168	1015	52.6%	26.4%	21.0%	+16.9	37
2014-09-20	Tindastoll	W 4-0	1321	807	81.9%	15.1%	3.0%	+4.8	48
2014-09-20	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-4	807	1321	3.0%	15.1%	81.9%	-4.8	4
2014-09-20	Vikingur Olafsvik	W 2-1	1220	1224	39.6%	27.3%	33.1%	+14.0	32
2014-09-20	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1224	1220	33.1%	27.3%	39.6%	-14.0	36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-09-13	16.24%	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1176	2	@ IA Akranes	1331	0
2	2014-07-02	16.36%	IB Bolungarvik	1027	4	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	1181	2
3	2014-05-09	17.02%	HK Kopavogur	1085	3	@ KV Vesturbaejar	1230	2
4	2014-08-09	17.81%	IB Bolungarvik	1030	3	@ KV Vesturbaejar	1166	0
5	2014-07-03	17.99%	KV Vesturbaejar	1165	1	@ IA Akranes	1298	0
6	2014-06-13	18.33%	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1141	4	@ KV Vesturbaejar	1271	1
7	2014-06-21	18.75%	IB Bolungarvik	1055	1	@ Selfoss	1179	0
8	2014-07-02	20.11%	Grindavik	1134	2	@ KA Akureyri	1243	1
9	2014-07-24	21.17%	Throttur Reykjavik	1173	1	@ KA Akureyri	1271	0
10	2014-05-09	21.64%	Throttur Reykjavik	1099	4	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1192	1
11	2014-07-18	22.52%	@ Selfoss	1131	1	IA Akranes	1269	0
12	2014-06-14	22.93%	@ HK Kopavogur	1099	4	Vikingur Olafsvik	1233	2
13	2014-07-30	23.67%	Selfoss	1121	2	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1195	1
14	2014-05-17	25.38%	Selfoss	1151	1	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	1209	0
15	2014-07-15	26.04%	KA Akureyri	1245	4	@ IA Akranes	1297	2
16	2014-08-19	26.44%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1130	2	Grindavik	1232	1
17	2014-08-15	26.63%	@ HK Kopavogur	1208	2	IA Akranes	1308	1
18	2014-08-23	27.09%	IA Akranes	1293	1	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1337	0
19	2014-06-27	27.66%	Selfoss	1157	3	@ KV Vesturbaejar	1195	1
20	2014-08-15	27.90%	@ IB Bolungarvik	1093	3	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1182	2
21	2014-06-28	28.05%	HK Kopavogur	1116	2	@ Grindavik	1152	1
22	2014-06-01	28.50%	IA Akranes	1157	1	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1188	0
23	2014-07-03	28.91%	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1159	2	@ Selfoss	1187	0
24	2014-08-07	28.91%	HK Kopavogur	1111	6	@ Selfoss	1140	0
25	2014-08-15	30.18%	Vikingur Olafsvik	1141	3	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1160	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-08-07	96.11	HK Kopavogur	6	1111	28.91%	@ Selfoss	0	1140	43.95%	27.14%
2	2014-05-31	71.64	KV Vesturbaejar	5	1189	35.13%	@ IB Bolungarvik	0	1171	37.55%	27.32%
3	2014-08-09	62.32	IB Bolungarvik	3	1030	17.81%	@ KV Vesturbaejar	0	1166	56.41%	25.79%
4	2014-06-13	52.02	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	4	1141	18.33%	@ KV Vesturbaejar	1	1271	55.77%	25.90%
5	2014-06-28	50.74	IA Akranes	6	1247	54.42%	@ IB Bolungarvik	0	1078	19.46%	26.12%
6	2014-05-09	48.77	Throttur Reykjavik	4	1099	21.64%	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1	1192	51.89%	26.47%
7	2014-06-27	48.20	KA Akureyri	3	1195	31.07%	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	0	1207	41.69%	27.24%
8	2014-09-13	44.25	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	2	1176	16.24%	@ IA Akranes	0	1331	58.36%	25.41%
9	2014-06-05	43.81	@ KA Akureyri	4	1104	47.23%	Tindastoll	0	1050	25.84%	26.93%
10	2014-05-10	40.41	@ IB Bolungarvik	4	1162	49.95%	Tindastoll	0	1085	23.37%	26.69%
11	2014-07-02	37.34	Leiknir Reykjavik	3	1245	43.17%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	0	1169	29.65%	27.18%
12	2014-07-24	35.24	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	4	1131	38.22%	HK Kopavogur	1	1144	34.46%	27.31%
13	2014-06-14	35.21	IA Akranes	5	1198	59.09%	@ Tindastoll	0	983	15.66%	25.25%
14	2014-09-06	34.60	@ Grindavik	4	1228	39.09%	KA Akureyri	1	1235	33.61%	27.30%
15	2014-07-03	34.60	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	2	1159	28.91%	@ Selfoss	0	1187	43.95%	27.14%
16	2014-07-02	34.20	IB Bolungarvik	4	1027	16.36%	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	2	1181	58.20%	25.44%
17	2014-08-09	31.33	Grindavik	2	1182	34.00%	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	0	1172	38.70%	27.31%
18	2014-07-25	31.21	Vikingur Olafsvik	2	1163	34.20%	@ Selfoss	0	1152	38.49%	27.31%
19	2014-05-17	30.80	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	2	1165	34.86%	IB Bolungarvik	0	1202	37.82%	27.32%
20	2014-06-27	30.70	Selfoss	3	1157	27.66%	@ KV Vesturbaejar	1	1195	45.27%	27.07%
21	2014-06-14	30.09	@ HK Kopavogur	4	1099	22.93%	Vikingur Olafsvik	2	1233	50.43%	26.64%
22	2014-08-15	29.24	Vikingur Olafsvik	3	1141	30.18%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1	1160	42.62%	27.20%
23	2014-07-15	29.04	@ Throttur Reykjavik	3	1130	30.53%	KV Vesturbaejar	1	1199	42.25%	27.22%
24	2014-07-30	28.97	@ Grindavik	3	1153	51.96%	IB Bolungarvik	0	1059	21.58%	26.46%
25	2014-07-15	28.34	KA Akureyri	4	1245	26.04%	@ IA Akranes	2	1297	47.02%	26.95%