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2020-21 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fram Reykjavik

11.67 points above expected

58 points · 46.33 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Throttur Reykjavik

9.10 points below expected

14 points · 23.10 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 22 18 4 0 58 58 17 +41 46.33 +11.67
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 15 2 5 47 43 22 +21 37.98 +9.02
3 Fjolnir 22 13 3 6 42 38 21 +17 35.40 +6.60
4 Kordrengir 22 11 6 5 39 39 28 +11 38.42 +0.58
5 IF Vestri 22 11 3 8 36 38 39 -1 29.65 +6.35
6 Grotta 22 11 2 9 35 52 40 +12 31.36 +3.64
7 Grindavik 22 7 5 10 26 38 45 -7 31.38 -5.38
8 Selfoss 22 7 3 12 24 35 44 -9 23.91 +0.09
9 Thor Akureyri 22 6 5 11 23 33 37 -4 29.89 -6.89
10 Afturelding 22 6 5 11 23 37 54 -17 27.83 -4.83
11 Throttur Reykjavik 22 4 2 16 14 39 53 -14 23.10 -9.10
12 Vikingur Olafsvik 22 2 2 18 8 28 78 -50 14.27 -6.27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 58 46.33 +11.67
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 47 37.98 +9.02
3 Fjolnir 42 35.40 +6.60
4 IF Vestri 36 29.65 +6.35
5 Grotta 35 31.36 +3.64

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Throttur Reykjavik 14 23.10 -9.10
2 Thor Akureyri 23 29.89 -6.89
3 Vikingur Olafsvik 8 14.27 -6.27
4 Grindavik 26 31.38 -5.38
5 Afturelding 23 27.83 -4.83

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 8 May 6 – Jun 27 1 in 123
2 Fjolnir 4 Sep 4 – Sep 18 1 in 33
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 Jul 23 – Sep 3 1 in 29
4 Grindavik 4 May 30 – Jun 18 1 in 28
5 Grotta 4 Aug 5 – Aug 24 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Thor Akureyri 4 Jul 27 – Aug 24 1 in 123
2 Grindavik 4 Jul 23 – Aug 13 1 in 51
3 Grotta 4 Jun 10 – Jul 1 1 in 20
4 IF Vestri 3 May 22 – Jun 5 1 in 14
5 Throttur Reykjavik 4 Jul 5 – Jul 22 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 22 May 6 – Sep 18 1 in 93
2 Grindavik 9 May 30 – Jul 16 1 in 79
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 8 May 21 – Jul 5 1 in 19
4 Fjolnir 7 Aug 14 – Sep 18 1 in 16
5 Thor Akureyri 6 Jun 26 – Jul 23 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grindavik 9 Jun 25 – Aug 13 1 in 181
2 Thor Akureyri 8 Jul 27 – Sep 11 1 in 61
3 Vikingur Olafsvik 14 May 6 – Aug 10 1 in 29
4 Grotta 6 May 28 – Jul 1 1 in 24
5 Afturelding 5 May 21 – Jun 18 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Fram Reykjavik 1230 58 +17 11 11.2 -0.2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1131 47 -4 9 9.7 -0.7
Fjolnir 1099 42 +74 13 7.8 +5.2
Kordrengir 1050 39 -28 8 8.7 -0.7
IF Vestri 973 36 +36 8 5.8 +2.2
Grotta 1038 35 +48 9 8.1 +0.9
Grindavik 897 26 -42 3 6.3 -3.3
Selfoss 887 24 +56 9 6.0 +3.0
Thor Akureyri 885 23 -30 4 6.0 -2.0
Afturelding 806 23 -64 4 5.7 -1.7
Throttur Reykjavik 825 14 -20 4 5.7 -1.7
Vikingur Olafsvik 658 8 -8 3 2.5 +0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AFT FJO FR GRI GRO IV IV KOR SEL TA TR VO
Afturelding —
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
1.06
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.16
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.04
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.31
2-0-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.74
Fjolnir
1-1-0
3.26
—
0-0-2
1.98
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
2.15
2-0-0
3.79
0-1-1
3.49
2-0-0
3.45
2-0-0
4.36
Fram Reykjavik
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
3.63
—
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
4.23
1-1-0
3.87
2-0-0
4.50
2-0-0
3.64
1-1-0
4.74
2-0-0
4.53
Grindavik
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.78
0-1-1
1.29
—
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.01
1-0-1
3.51
0-1-1
3.02
2-0-0
3.52
0-1-1
4.69
Grotta
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
3.05
—
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
4.70
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2-0-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.53
—
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
2.84
2-0-0
4.28
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.61
IF Vestri
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.37
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
1.87
—
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
2.65
2-0-0
3.58
2-0-0
3.93
Kordrengir
1-1-0
3.55
0-1-1
3.44
0-1-1
1.73
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.30
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.48
—
1-0-1
4.00
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.34
Selfoss
1-1-0
2.33
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
1.13
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.33
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
1.60
—
1-1-0
2.29
0-0-2
3.30
2-0-0
3.87
Thor Akureyri
1-0-1
3.27
1-1-0
2.10
0-0-2
1.95
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-1
3.29
—
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
4.16
Throttur Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.14
0-1-1
0.90
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.35
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.63
2-0-0
2.29
0-0-2
2.34
—
2-0-0
3.54
Vikingur Olafsvik
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
1.12
1-1-0
0.95
0-0-2
0.93
0-0-2
1.03
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
1.73
1-1-0
1.46
0-0-2
2.06
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +13.4
Allowed 0.84 -7.6
Differential 0.90 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.52%4.92%5.30%3.79%1.14%1.89%18.56%
14.92%3.79%10.23%4.17%1.89%1.89%26.89%
25.30%10.23%7.58%3.41%1.14%0.38%28.03%
33.79%4.17%3.41%3.03%1.14%0.76%16.29%
41.14%1.89%1.14%1.14%——5.30%
5+1.89%1.89%0.38%0.76%——4.92%
Total18.56%26.89%28.03%16.29%5.30%4.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.81 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.26
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%9.09%—9.09%27.27%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
3—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
4———————
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total4.55%27.27%31.82%22.73%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.45 -0.77
SD 1.64 1.84 2.99
CV 0.98 0.75 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
19.09%—9.09%———18.18%
24.55%22.73%4.55%———31.82%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%45.45%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.95 +0.77
SD 1.67 0.84 2.07
CV 0.97 0.88 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
113.64%4.55%————18.18%
222.73%9.09%13.64%———45.45%
34.55%—————4.55%
49.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total50.00%27.27%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 0.77 +1.86
SD 1.40 0.92 1.46
CV 0.53 1.19 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%———9.09%
14.55%4.55%18.18%—9.09%—36.36%
2—4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3—13.64%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%50.00%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.05 -0.32
SD 0.98 1.05 1.52
CV 0.57 0.51 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
14.55%—13.64%4.55%——22.73%
2—22.73%4.55%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
3——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+9.09%——4.55%——13.64%
Total13.64%31.82%22.73%22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.82 +0.55
SD 1.84 1.22 2.28
CV 0.78 0.67 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
118.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
213.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%—13.64%———18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total40.91%22.73%31.82%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.00 +0.95
SD 1.33 0.98 1.73
CV 0.68 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
1—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
24.55%22.73%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
39.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%22.73%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.77 -0.05
SD 1.20 1.31 2.08
CV 0.70 0.74 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
29.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%36.36%13.64%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.27 +0.50
SD 1.02 1.28 1.60
CV 0.58 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—9.09%4.55%—27.27%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
39.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%31.82%18.18%31.82%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.00 -0.41
SD 1.40 1.20 1.94
CV 0.88 0.60 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%22.73%———36.36%
1—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
34.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%31.82%50.00%—9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.68 -0.18
SD 1.57 0.99 1.87
CV 1.04 0.59 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
1——18.18%22.73%—9.09%50.00%
2——9.09%13.64%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total9.09%9.09%31.82%40.91%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.41 -0.64
SD 1.60 1.26 2.50
CV 0.90 0.52 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%13.64%4.55%9.09%36.36%
1——4.55%4.55%—9.09%18.18%
24.55%—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%31.82%
3—————9.09%9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%—27.27%27.27%9.09%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 3.55 -2.27
SD 1.20 1.79 2.31
CV 0.94 0.51 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fram Reykjavik 1230 58 46.33 +11.67 100.0% 33 36 43 46 49 54 58
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1131 47 37.98 +9.02 96.0% 25 28 34 38 41 46 49
Fjolnir 1099 42 35.40 +6.60 88.0% 22 26 30 36 40 43 50
Kordrengir 1050 39 38.42 +0.58 61.0% 26 30 34 37 43 50 52
Grotta 1038 35 31.36 +3.64 75.0% 16 21 28 31 35 39 43
IF Vestri 973 36 29.65 +6.35 90.0% 14 19 26 30 33 38 47
Grindavik 897 26 31.38 -5.38 16.0% 17 23 28 31 35 41 44
Selfoss 887 24 23.91 +0.09 53.0% 11 14 21 24 27 32 40
Thor Akureyri 885 23 29.89 -6.89 16.0% 16 19 26 30 34 39 45
Throttur Reykjavik 825 14 23.10 -9.10 4.0% 6 15 19 22 27 33 36
Afturelding 806 23 27.83 -4.83 26.0% 10 17 23 28 32 36 42
Vikingur Olafsvik 658 8 14.27 -6.27 10.0% 1 6 11 14 17 24 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.33%
No Edge
46.21%15.91%37.88%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.
157 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.09 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
76%
Fram Reykjavik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.50/gm
Runaway
00.260.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.55 * Some Luck: 4.55 to 6.83 * Lucky: 6.83 to 9.1 * Wild Swing: 9.1 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.31 * Close: 1.31 to 1.96 * Off: 1.96 to 2.62 * Way Off: 2.62 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.67 points
Some Luck
05.6914
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.644
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Fram Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Throttur Reykjavik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 160.61
2.19
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
75%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.46
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Near-Lock
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.29
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.39
Very Underconfident
0.4932321.001.50677
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.093
Well Within Noise
00.1410.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Fram Reykjavik76.00%14.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%——————
IBV Vestmannaeyjar4.00%29.00%28.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%———
Fjolnir6.00%16.00%24.00%14.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—
Kordrengir12.00%25.00%11.00%21.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%—1.00%——
IF Vestri1.00%—5.00%9.00%17.00%17.00%10.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%6.00%1.00%
Grotta—7.00%11.00%10.00%12.00%16.00%14.00%14.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%
Grindavik—5.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%14.00%19.00%11.00%2.00%3.00%—
Selfoss——1.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%24.00%22.00%20.00%10.00%
Thor Akureyri—3.00%5.00%9.00%14.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%14.00%9.00%—
Afturelding1.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%10.00%17.00%8.00%16.00%14.00%15.00%2.00%
Throttur Reykjavik———3.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%15.00%28.00%27.00%9.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik————1.00%1.00%——2.00%4.00%15.00%77.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Fram Reykjavik 90.00% 10.00% —
Kordrengir 37.00% 63.00% —
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 33.00% 67.00% —
Fjolnir 22.00% 77.00% 1.00%
Grotta 7.00% 88.00% 5.00%
Grindavik 5.00% 92.00% 3.00%
Thor Akureyri 3.00% 88.00% 9.00%
IF Vestri 1.00% 92.00% 7.00%
Afturelding 2.00% 81.00% 17.00%
Selfoss — 70.00% 30.00%
Throttur Reykjavik — 64.00% 36.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik — 8.00% 92.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-05-06 Fjolnir L 1-341.2 873 963 34.34% 20.85% 44.81%-0.39 -21.0 0
2021-05-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-141.2 963 873 44.81% 20.85% 34.34%+0.39 +21.1 3
2021-05-06 Vikingur Olafsvik W 4-241.9 1006 911 58.32% 20.25% 21.44%+0.79 +12.6 3
2021-05-06 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-441.9 911 1006 21.44% 20.25% 58.32%-0.79 -12.6 0
2021-05-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-139.6 986 963 49.96% 20.71% 29.32%+0.33 +18.5 3
2021-05-07 @ Grindavik L 1-339.6 963 986 29.32% 20.71% 49.96%-0.33 -18.5 0
2021-05-07 Thor Akureyri W 4-352.2 940 947 45.93% 20.82% 33.24%+0.14 +10.9 3
2021-05-07 @ Grotta L 3-452.2 947 940 33.24% 20.82% 45.93%-0.14 -11.0 0
2021-05-08 IF Vestri L 0-336.6 936 957 44.12% 20.86% 35.02%+0.05 -43.2 0
2021-05-08 @ Selfoss W 3-036.6 957 936 35.02% 20.86% 44.12%-0.05 +43.2 3
2021-05-08 Kordrengir D 1-152.3 962 1034 36.88% 20.88% 42.25%-0.27 +0.4 1
2021-05-08 @ Afturelding D 1-152.3 1034 962 42.25% 20.88% 36.88%+0.27 -0.4 1
2021-05-13 Grindavik W 4-141.3 936 1005 37.38% 20.88% 41.74%-0.25 +34.8 3
2021-05-13 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-441.3 1005 936 41.74% 20.88% 37.38%+0.25 -34.8 3
2021-05-14 Afturelding L 1-538.8 899 963 38.02% 20.88% 41.10%-0.22 -41.7 0
2021-05-14 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 5-138.8 963 899 41.10% 20.88% 38.02%+0.22 +41.7 4
2021-05-14 Fram Reykjavik L 0-236.5 944 1019 36.55% 20.87% 42.58%-0.29 -25.6 0
2021-05-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-036.5 1019 944 42.58% 20.87% 36.55%+0.29 +25.6 6
2021-05-14 Grotta W 1-036.9 984 951 51.29% 20.66% 28.04%+0.40 +10.9 6
2021-05-14 @ Fjolnir L 0-136.9 951 984 28.04% 20.66% 51.29%-0.40 -10.9 3
2021-05-14 Selfoss L 1-349.4 1034 893 62.88% 19.80% 17.32%+1.08 -35.5 1
2021-05-14 @ Kordrengir W 3-149.4 893 1034 17.32% 19.80% 62.88%-1.08 +35.5 3
2021-05-15 IF Vestri L 1-338.9 852 1000 27.08% 20.62% 52.30%-0.76 -17.3 0
2021-05-15 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-138.9 1000 852 52.30% 20.62% 27.08%+0.76 +17.3 6
2021-05-21 Fjolnir L 0-238.6 970 995 43.45% 20.86% 35.69%+0.02 -29.4 3
2021-05-21 @ Grindavik W 2-038.6 995 970 35.69% 20.86% 43.45%-0.02 +29.4 9
2021-05-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-539.9 1004 919 57.32% 20.32% 22.36%+0.73 -87.8 4
2021-05-21 @ Afturelding W 5-039.9 919 1004 22.36% 20.32% 57.32%-0.73 +87.8 3
2021-05-21 Kordrengir L 1-339.2 857 998 27.90% 20.66% 51.45%-0.71 -17.7 0
2021-05-21 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-139.2 998 857 51.45% 20.66% 27.90%+0.71 +17.7 4
2021-05-21 Selfoss W 3-144.4 835 928 33.90% 20.84% 45.27%-0.41 +26.3 3
2021-05-21 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-344.4 928 835 45.27% 20.84% 33.90%+0.41 -26.3 3
2021-05-21 Thor Akureyri W 4-135.7 1044 971 55.97% 20.42% 23.62%+0.65 +21.7 9
2021-05-21 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-435.7 971 1044 23.62% 20.42% 55.97%-0.65 -21.7 3
2021-05-22 IF Vestri W 5-035.8 940 1017 36.10% 20.87% 43.03%-0.31 +68.1 6
2021-05-22 @ Grotta L 0-535.8 1017 940 43.03% 20.87% 36.10%+0.31 -68.1 6
2021-05-28 Afturelding W 2-141.5 949 917 51.17% 20.67% 28.16%+0.39 +10.3 6
2021-05-28 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-241.5 917 949 28.16% 20.67% 51.17%-0.39 -10.3 4
2021-05-28 Fram Reykjavik L 0-140.9 1025 1066 41.24% 20.88% 37.87%-0.08 -14.9 9
2021-05-28 @ Fjolnir W 1-040.9 1066 1025 37.87% 20.88% 41.24%+0.08 +14.9 12
2021-05-28 Grotta D 3-362.4 902 1008 32.30% 20.80% 46.90%-0.49 +0.7 4
2021-05-28 @ Selfoss D 3-362.4 1008 902 46.90% 20.80% 32.30%+0.49 -0.7 7
2021-05-29 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-137.6 1016 861 64.16% 19.64% 16.20%+1.17 +6.3 7
2021-05-29 @ Kordrengir L 1-237.6 861 1016 16.20% 19.64% 64.16%-1.17 -6.3 3
2021-05-30 Grindavik L 2-352.9 949 940 48.10% 20.77% 31.13%+0.24 -15.2 6
2021-05-30 @ IF Vestri W 3-252.9 940 949 31.13% 20.77% 48.10%-0.24 +15.2 6
2021-05-30 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-029.7 1007 839 65.23% 19.50% 15.27%+1.25 +11.9 6
2021-05-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-229.7 839 1007 15.27% 19.50% 65.23%-1.25 -12.0 0
2021-06-03 Fjolnir D 2-257.7 906 1010 32.59% 20.81% 46.60%-0.47 +0.8 5
2021-06-03 @ Afturelding D 2-257.7 1010 906 46.60% 20.81% 32.59%+0.47 -0.8 10
2021-06-03 Selfoss W 1-036.2 956 903 53.60% 20.55% 25.84%+0.52 +10.2 9
2021-06-03 @ Grindavik L 0-136.2 903 956 25.84% 20.55% 53.60%-0.52 -10.2 4
2021-06-03 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-258.0 1007 855 63.94% 19.67% 16.39%+1.16 -3.0 8
2021-06-03 @ Grotta D 2-258.0 855 1007 16.39% 19.67% 63.94%-1.16 +2.9 4
2021-06-04 Kordrengir D 2-257.7 1019 1022 46.45% 20.81% 32.74%+0.16 -0.8 7
2021-06-04 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-257.7 1022 1019 32.74% 20.81% 46.45%-0.16 +0.8 8
2021-06-05 IF Vestri W 4-027.3 1081 934 63.44% 19.73% 16.83%+1.12 +24.8 15
2021-06-05 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-427.3 934 1081 16.83% 19.73% 63.44%-1.12 -24.8 6
2021-06-05 Thor Akureyri D 2-257.7 827 960 28.97% 20.70% 50.33%-0.66 +1.2 1
2021-06-05 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 2-257.7 960 827 50.33% 20.70% 28.97%+0.66 -1.2 7
2021-06-10 Fram Reykjavik L 0-428.4 893 1106 20.27% 20.14% 59.60%-1.17 -29.4 4
2021-06-10 @ Selfoss W 4-028.4 1106 893 59.60% 20.14% 20.27%+1.17 +29.4 18
2021-06-10 Grindavik L 2-348.1 858 966 32.00% 20.80% 47.20%-0.50 -10.9 4
2021-06-10 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-248.1 966 858 47.20% 20.80% 32.00%+0.50 +10.9 12
2021-06-10 Grotta W 2-142.0 1023 1004 49.39% 20.73% 29.88%+0.30 +10.8 11
2021-06-10 @ Kordrengir L 1-242.0 1004 1023 29.88% 20.73% 49.39%-0.30 -10.8 8
2021-06-10 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-136.9 1009 829 66.32% 19.33% 14.34%+1.33 +5.6 13
2021-06-10 @ Fjolnir L 1-236.9 829 1009 14.34% 19.33% 66.32%-1.33 -5.6 1
2021-06-12 Afturelding W 2-142.7 909 907 47.23% 20.80% 31.98%+0.20 +11.5 9
2021-06-12 @ IF Vestri L 1-242.7 907 909 31.98% 20.80% 47.23%-0.20 -11.5 5
2021-06-14 Thor Akureyri W 2-140.5 1018 958 54.38% 20.51% 25.11%+0.56 +9.3 10
2021-06-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-240.5 958 1018 25.11% 20.51% 54.38%-0.56 -9.4 7
2021-06-16 Throttur Reykjavik W 5-129.0 1135 847 73.79% 17.75% 8.46%+2.02 +10.6 21
2021-06-16 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-529.0 847 1135 8.46% 17.75% 73.79%-2.02 -10.6 4
2021-06-18 Fjolnir W 1-037.7 1027 1015 48.58% 20.76% 30.66%+0.26 +11.7 13
2021-06-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-137.7 1015 1027 30.66% 20.76% 48.58%-0.26 -11.7 13
2021-06-18 Grotta W 3-141.2 977 993 44.67% 20.85% 34.49%+0.08 +21.1 15
2021-06-18 @ Grindavik L 1-341.2 993 977 34.49% 20.85% 44.67%-0.08 -21.1 8
2021-06-18 Kordrengir L 0-139.1 949 1034 35.10% 20.86% 44.04%-0.36 -13.1 7
2021-06-18 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-039.1 1034 949 44.04% 20.86% 35.10%+0.36 +13.1 14
2021-06-18 Selfoss D 3-362.5 896 863 51.11% 20.67% 28.22%+0.39 -1.1 6
2021-06-18 @ Afturelding D 3-362.5 863 896 28.22% 20.67% 51.11%-0.39 +1.1 5
2021-06-19 IF Vestri L 0-333.4 823 921 33.37% 20.83% 45.80%-0.44 -34.5 1
2021-06-19 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-033.4 921 823 45.80% 20.83% 33.37%+0.44 +34.5 12
2021-06-25 Grindavik D 1-152.4 1047 998 53.17% 20.58% 26.25%+0.50 -2.1 15
2021-06-25 @ Kordrengir D 1-152.4 998 1047 26.25% 20.58% 53.17%-0.50 +2.1 16
2021-06-26 Afturelding L 1-342.5 836 894 38.81% 20.89% 40.30%-0.19 -23.2 4
2021-06-26 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-142.5 894 836 40.30% 20.89% 38.81%+0.19 +23.2 9
2021-06-26 Thor Akureyri L 0-339.8 1003 936 55.26% 20.46% 24.28%+0.61 -52.7 13
2021-06-26 @ Fjolnir W 3-039.8 936 1003 24.28% 20.46% 55.26%-0.61 +52.7 10
2021-06-26 Vikingur Olafsvik W 5-345.1 864 789 56.26% 20.40% 23.35%+0.67 +12.9 8
2021-06-26 @ Selfoss L 3-545.1 789 864 23.35% 20.40% 56.26%-0.67 -12.9 1
2021-06-27 Fram Reykjavik L 0-135.7 972 1146 24.25% 20.46% 55.30%-0.92 -9.6 8
2021-06-27 @ Grotta W 1-035.7 1146 972 55.30% 20.46% 24.25%+0.92 +9.6 24
2021-06-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-334.0 955 1039 35.25% 20.86% 43.89%-0.35 -36.0 12
2021-06-27 @ IF Vestri W 3-034.0 1039 955 43.89% 20.86% 35.25%+0.35 +36.1 16
2021-07-01 Grindavik D 2-258.0 1155 1000 64.20% 19.64% 16.16%+1.17 -3.0 25
2021-07-01 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-258.0 1000 1155 16.16% 19.64% 64.20%-1.17 +3.0 17
2021-07-01 Grotta W 2-144.6 918 963 40.71% 20.89% 38.41%-0.10 +13.3 12
2021-07-01 @ Afturelding L 1-244.6 963 918 38.41% 20.89% 40.71%+0.10 -13.3 8
2021-07-01 IF Vestri D 1-152.5 989 919 55.54% 20.44% 24.01%+0.63 -2.5 11
2021-07-01 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-152.5 919 989 24.01% 20.44% 55.54%-0.63 +2.5 13
2021-07-01 Kordrengir D 0-048.9 950 1045 33.78% 20.84% 45.38%-0.42 +1.0 14
2021-07-01 @ Fjolnir D 0-048.9 1045 950 45.38% 20.84% 33.78%+0.42 -1.0 16
2021-07-01 Selfoss W 3-241.9 1075 877 67.70% 19.11% 13.19%+1.44 +4.9 19
2021-07-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-341.9 877 1075 13.19% 19.11% 67.70%-1.44 -4.9 8
2021-07-01 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-737.0 776 813 41.80% 20.88% 37.32%-0.05 -91.5 1
2021-07-01 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 7-037.0 813 776 37.32% 20.88% 41.80%+0.05 +91.5 7
2021-07-04 Fjolnir W 2-144.0 922 951 42.89% 20.87% 36.24%+0.00 +12.7 16
2021-07-04 @ IF Vestri L 1-244.0 951 922 36.24% 20.87% 42.89%+0.00 -12.7 14
2021-07-05 Afturelding D 3-362.6 1003 931 55.82% 20.43% 23.75%+0.64 -1.6 18
2021-07-05 @ Grindavik D 3-362.6 931 1003 23.75% 20.43% 55.82%-0.64 +1.6 13
2021-07-05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-135.6 904 1080 24.03% 20.44% 55.52%-0.93 -9.6 7
2021-07-05 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-035.6 1080 904 55.52% 20.44% 24.03%+0.93 +9.6 22
2021-07-05 Kordrengir W 4-348.1 1152 1044 59.75% 20.12% 20.13%+0.88 +7.1 28
2021-07-05 @ Fram Reykjavik L 3-448.1 1044 1152 20.13% 20.12% 59.75%-0.88 -7.1 16
2021-07-05 Thor Akureyri D 1-152.4 872 986 31.27% 20.78% 47.95%-0.54 +1.3 9
2021-07-05 @ Selfoss D 1-152.4 986 872 47.95% 20.78% 31.27%+0.54 -1.3 12
2021-07-05 Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-240.5 949 684 72.39% 18.12% 9.49%+1.87 +3.6 11
2021-07-05 @ Grotta L 2-340.5 684 949 9.49% 18.12% 72.39%-1.87 -3.6 1
2021-07-09 Fram Reykjavik L 0-231.0 933 1159 19.01% 20.01% 60.98%-1.26 -14.6 13
2021-07-09 @ Afturelding W 2-031.0 1159 933 60.98% 20.01% 19.01%+1.26 +14.6 31
2021-07-09 Grindavik D 2-258.2 681 1001 12.16% 18.88% 68.96%-1.86 +3.6 2
2021-07-09 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 2-258.2 1001 681 68.96% 18.88% 12.16%+1.86 -3.6 19
2021-07-09 Grotta L 0-147.0 1089 953 62.48% 19.85% 17.68%+1.05 -21.6 22
2021-07-09 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-047.0 953 1089 17.68% 19.85% 62.48%-1.05 +21.6 14
2021-07-09 Selfoss W 2-140.3 939 874 55.03% 20.47% 24.50%+0.60 +9.2 17
2021-07-09 @ Fjolnir L 1-240.3 874 939 24.50% 20.47% 55.03%-0.60 -9.2 9
2021-07-09 Throttur Reykjavik W 5-133.7 985 895 57.80% 20.29% 21.92%+0.76 +26.3 15
2021-07-09 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-533.7 895 985 21.92% 20.29% 57.80%-0.76 -26.3 7
2021-07-10 IF Vestri W 2-031.6 1037 934 59.12% 20.18% 20.70%+0.84 +15.8 19
2021-07-10 @ Kordrengir L 0-231.6 934 1037 20.70% 20.18% 59.12%-0.84 -15.8 16
2021-07-15 Fjolnir W 2-141.7 975 948 50.43% 20.70% 28.88%+0.36 +10.5 17
2021-07-15 @ Grotta L 1-241.7 948 975 28.88% 20.70% 50.43%-0.36 -10.5 17
2021-07-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-152.6 1174 1068 59.53% 20.14% 20.33%+0.86 -3.2 32
2021-07-15 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-152.6 1068 1174 20.33% 20.14% 59.53%-0.86 +3.2 23
2021-07-15 Kordrengir L 0-135.2 864 1052 22.71% 20.35% 56.94%-1.01 -9.1 9
2021-07-15 @ Selfoss W 1-035.2 1052 864 56.94% 20.35% 22.71%+1.01 +9.1 22
2021-07-15 Vikingur Olafsvik W 6-129.2 918 684 70.32% 18.60% 11.08%+1.67 +17.0 16
2021-07-15 @ Afturelding L 1-629.2 684 918 11.08% 18.60% 70.32%-1.67 -17.0 2
2021-07-16 Thor Akureyri D 2-257.7 998 1011 45.14% 20.84% 34.02%+0.10 -0.6 20
2021-07-16 @ Grindavik D 2-257.7 1011 998 34.02% 20.84% 45.14%-0.10 +0.6 16
2021-07-17 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-140.9 919 869 53.26% 20.57% 26.17%+0.50 +9.7 19
2021-07-17 @ IF Vestri L 1-240.9 869 919 26.17% 20.57% 53.26%-0.50 -9.7 7
2021-07-22 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-137.6 937 859 56.53% 20.38% 23.10%+0.68 +15.1 20
2021-07-22 @ Fjolnir L 1-337.6 859 937 23.10% 20.38% 56.53%-0.68 -15.1 7
2021-07-23 Grindavik W 4-135.7 1071 997 56.04% 20.41% 23.54%+0.66 +21.7 26
2021-07-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-435.7 997 1071 23.54% 20.41% 56.04%-0.66 -21.7 20
2021-07-23 Grotta W 4-244.3 1012 985 50.39% 20.70% 28.91%+0.35 +16.3 19
2021-07-23 @ Thor Akureyri L 2-444.3 985 1012 28.91% 20.70% 50.39%-0.35 -16.3 17
2021-07-24 Selfoss L 1-249.7 928 855 55.93% 20.42% 23.65%+0.65 -18.3 19
2021-07-24 @ IF Vestri W 2-149.7 855 928 23.65% 20.42% 55.93%-0.65 +18.3 12
2021-07-27 Fram Reykjavik L 0-233.8 1028 1171 27.68% 20.65% 51.67%-0.73 -20.3 19
2021-07-27 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-033.8 1171 1028 51.67% 20.65% 27.68%+0.73 +20.3 35
2021-07-28 Grindavik W 2-143.7 952 975 43.78% 20.86% 35.36%+0.04 +12.4 23
2021-07-28 @ Fjolnir L 1-243.7 975 952 35.36% 20.86% 43.78%-0.04 -12.4 20
2021-07-28 Grotta W 4-354.3 910 969 38.72% 20.89% 40.39%-0.19 +12.8 22
2021-07-28 @ IF Vestri L 3-454.3 969 910 40.39% 20.89% 38.72%+0.19 -12.8 17
2021-07-29 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-338.6 874 844 50.79% 20.68% 28.53%+0.37 -48.8 12
2021-07-29 @ Selfoss W 3-038.6 844 874 28.53% 20.68% 50.79%-0.37 +48.8 10
2021-07-31 Afturelding W 2-030.0 1093 935 64.41% 19.61% 15.98%+1.19 +12.5 29
2021-07-31 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-230.0 935 1093 15.98% 19.61% 64.41%-1.19 -12.5 16
2021-08-05 Fjolnir W 2-028.4 1191 965 69.83% 18.71% 11.47%+1.63 +9.1 38
2021-08-05 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-228.4 965 1191 11.47% 18.71% 69.83%-1.63 -9.1 23
2021-08-05 Selfoss W 2-138.2 956 825 61.97% 19.90% 18.13%+1.02 +7.0 20
2021-08-05 @ Grotta L 1-238.2 825 956 18.13% 19.90% 61.97%-1.02 -7.0 12
2021-08-06 IF Vestri L 1-248.6 963 923 52.09% 20.63% 27.28%+0.44 -17.2 20
2021-08-06 @ Grindavik W 2-148.6 923 963 27.28% 20.63% 52.09%-0.44 +17.2 25
2021-08-06 Kordrengir L 0-330.7 893 1062 24.73% 20.49% 54.78%-0.89 -26.8 10
2021-08-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-030.7 1062 893 54.78% 20.49% 24.73%+0.89 +26.8 25
2021-08-06 Thor Akureyri W 2-038.8 922 1008 35.04% 20.86% 44.10%-0.36 +29.7 19
2021-08-06 @ Afturelding L 0-238.8 1008 922 44.10% 20.86% 35.04%+0.36 -29.7 19
2021-08-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-226.4 667 1105 6.82% 17.01% 76.17%-2.60 -5.4 2
2021-08-07 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-026.4 1105 667 76.17% 17.01% 6.82%+2.60 +5.4 32
2021-08-10 Afturelding W 2-138.1 1088 952 62.46% 19.85% 17.69%+1.05 +6.8 28
2021-08-10 @ Kordrengir L 1-238.1 952 1088 17.69% 19.85% 62.46%-1.05 -6.9 19
2021-08-10 Fram Reykjavik L 0-322.9 662 1200 4.12% 15.16% 80.73%-3.24 -4.6 2
2021-08-10 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-022.9 1200 662 80.73% 15.16% 4.12%+3.24 +4.6 41
2021-08-13 Grindavik W 3-253.4 818 946 29.50% 20.72% 49.78%-0.63 +15.6 15
2021-08-13 @ Selfoss L 2-353.4 946 818 49.78% 20.72% 29.50%+0.63 -15.6 20
2021-08-13 Grotta L 1-243.1 866 963 33.44% 20.83% 45.73%-0.43 -11.9 10
2021-08-13 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-143.1 963 866 45.73% 20.83% 33.44%+0.43 +11.9 23
2021-08-14 Afturelding W 3-032.6 956 945 48.29% 20.77% 30.94%+0.25 +32.4 26
2021-08-14 @ Fjolnir L 0-332.6 945 956 30.94% 20.77% 48.29%-0.25 -32.4 19
2021-08-14 Fram Reykjavik L 0-133.0 940 1205 15.89% 19.60% 64.51%-1.50 -6.6 25
2021-08-14 @ IF Vestri W 1-033.0 1205 940 64.51% 19.60% 15.89%+1.50 +6.6 44
2021-08-14 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-142.1 1095 1110 44.88% 20.84% 34.28%+0.09 -16.0 28
2021-08-14 @ Kordrengir W 1-042.1 1110 1095 34.28% 20.84% 44.88%-0.09 +16.0 35
2021-08-14 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-247.1 978 657 75.58% 17.20% 7.21%+2.23 -48.8 19
2021-08-14 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-047.1 657 978 7.21% 17.20% 75.58%-2.23 +48.8 5
2021-08-19 Kordrengir W 2-147.1 975 1079 32.48% 20.81% 46.71%-0.48 +15.6 26
2021-08-19 @ Grotta L 1-247.1 1079 975 46.71% 20.81% 32.48%+0.48 -15.6 28
2021-08-19 Selfoss W 2-133.3 1211 834 78.41% 16.18% 5.42%+2.59 +2.1 47
2021-08-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-233.3 834 1211 5.42% 16.18% 78.41%-2.59 -2.1 15
2021-08-19 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-139.9 930 854 56.30% 20.39% 23.31%+0.67 +8.8 23
2021-08-19 @ Grindavik L 1-239.9 854 930 23.31% 20.39% 56.30%-0.67 -8.8 10
2021-08-20 Fjolnir L 0-728.4 706 988 14.66% 19.39% 65.94%-1.61 -37.0 5
2021-08-20 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 7-028.4 988 706 65.94% 19.39% 14.66%+1.61 +37.0 29
2021-08-24 Afturelding W 3-036.4 831 913 35.56% 20.86% 43.58%-0.33 +42.8 18
2021-08-24 @ Selfoss L 0-336.4 913 831 43.58% 20.86% 35.56%+0.33 -42.8 19
2021-08-24 Fram Reykjavik D 2-258.5 845 1214 9.63% 18.17% 72.21%-2.16 +4.0 11
2021-08-24 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-258.5 1214 845 72.21% 18.17% 9.63%+2.16 -4.0 48
2021-08-24 Grindavik W 2-140.8 990 939 53.45% 20.56% 25.98%+0.51 +9.6 29
2021-08-24 @ Grotta L 1-240.8 939 990 25.98% 20.56% 53.45%-0.51 -9.6 23
2021-08-24 Thor Akureyri W 2-030.6 1064 929 62.29% 19.87% 17.84%+1.04 +13.8 31
2021-08-24 @ Kordrengir L 0-230.6 929 1064 17.84% 19.87% 62.29%-1.04 -13.8 19
2021-08-24 Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-240.5 933 669 72.32% 18.14% 9.54%+1.87 +3.6 28
2021-08-24 @ IF Vestri L 2-340.5 669 933 9.54% 18.14% 72.32%-1.87 -3.6 5
2021-08-28 Fjolnir D 0-048.9 915 1025 31.81% 20.79% 47.40%-0.51 +1.4 20
2021-08-28 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-048.9 1025 915 47.40% 20.79% 31.81%+0.51 -1.4 30
2021-08-28 Grotta W 2-136.3 1210 1000 68.59% 18.95% 12.46%+1.52 +4.9 51
2021-08-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-236.3 1000 1210 12.46% 18.95% 68.59%-1.52 -4.9 29
2021-08-28 Kordrengir L 1-241.1 929 1077 27.07% 20.62% 52.31%-0.76 -10.0 23
2021-08-28 @ Grindavik W 2-141.1 1077 929 52.31% 20.62% 27.07%+0.76 +10.0 34
2021-08-28 Selfoss L 0-329.4 666 874 20.69% 20.18% 59.13%-1.14 -22.9 5
2021-08-28 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-029.4 874 666 59.13% 20.18% 20.69%+1.14 +22.9 21
2021-08-28 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-139.7 870 849 49.68% 20.72% 29.60%+0.32 +18.6 22
2021-08-28 @ Afturelding L 1-339.7 849 870 29.60% 20.72% 49.68%-0.32 -18.6 11
2021-08-31 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-134.5 917 1126 20.58% 20.17% 59.25%-1.15 -8.3 20
2021-08-31 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-034.5 1126 917 59.25% 20.17% 20.58%+1.15 +8.3 38
2021-08-31 IF Vestri D 2-257.6 889 937 40.27% 20.89% 38.85%-0.12 -0.1 23
2021-08-31 @ Afturelding D 2-257.6 937 889 38.85% 20.89% 40.27%+0.12 +0.1 29
2021-08-31 Vikingur Olafsvik W 4-021.9 1087 643 81.22% 14.92% 3.87%+3.02 +5.6 37
2021-08-31 @ Kordrengir L 0-421.9 643 1087 3.87% 14.92% 81.22%-3.02 -5.6 5
2021-09-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-433.9 897 1135 18.08% 19.90% 62.02%-1.33 -17.1 21
2021-09-03 @ Selfoss W 4-133.9 1135 897 62.02% 19.90% 18.08%+1.33 +17.1 41
2021-09-04 Fjolnir L 1-445.3 1093 1024 55.53% 20.44% 24.03%+0.63 -44.6 37
2021-09-04 @ Kordrengir W 4-145.3 1024 1093 24.03% 20.44% 55.53%-0.63 +44.6 33
2021-09-04 Fram Reykjavik L 0-229.2 919 1214 13.76% 19.22% 67.02%-1.69 -10.8 23
2021-09-04 @ Grindavik W 2-029.2 1214 919 67.02% 19.22% 13.76%+1.69 +10.8 54
2021-09-04 Thor Akureyri W 2-034.1 937 908 50.64% 20.69% 28.67%+0.37 +20.9 32
2021-09-04 @ IF Vestri L 0-234.1 908 937 28.67% 20.69% 50.64%-0.37 -20.9 20
2021-09-05 Vikingur Olafsvik W 5-236.0 831 637 67.37% 19.17% 13.47%+1.42 +11.2 14
2021-09-05 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 2-536.0 637 831 13.47% 19.17% 67.37%-1.42 -11.2 5
2021-09-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-146.3 1068 1152 35.25% 20.86% 43.89%-0.35 +14.8 36
2021-09-07 @ Fjolnir L 1-246.3 1152 1068 43.89% 20.86% 35.25%+0.35 -14.8 41
2021-09-11 Fram Reykjavik D 2-257.9 1048 1225 23.87% 20.43% 55.70%-0.94 +1.9 38
2021-09-11 @ Kordrengir D 2-257.9 1225 1048 55.70% 20.43% 23.87%+0.94 -1.9 55
2021-09-11 Grindavik L 1-344.1 889 908 44.25% 20.85% 34.90%+0.06 -25.8 23
2021-09-11 @ Afturelding W 3-144.1 908 889 34.90% 20.85% 44.25%-0.06 +25.8 26
2021-09-11 Grotta L 3-540.3 626 995 9.58% 18.15% 72.27%-2.17 -5.6 5
2021-09-11 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 5-340.3 995 626 72.27% 18.15% 9.58%+2.17 +5.6 32
2021-09-11 IF Vestri W 2-138.4 1083 958 61.40% 19.96% 18.63%+0.98 +7.2 39
2021-09-11 @ Fjolnir L 1-238.4 958 1083 18.63% 19.96% 61.40%-0.98 -7.2 32
2021-09-11 Selfoss L 1-247.4 887 880 47.92% 20.78% 31.30%+0.23 -16.0 20
2021-09-11 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-147.4 880 887 31.30% 20.78% 47.92%-0.23 +16.0 24
2021-09-11 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-240.0 1137 842 74.19% 17.63% 8.18%+2.06 +3.1 44
2021-09-11 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-340.0 842 1137 8.18% 17.63% 74.19%-2.06 -3.1 14
2021-09-15 Afturelding W 8-030.1 1001 863 62.61% 19.83% 17.56%+1.06 +49.7 35
2021-09-15 @ Grotta L 0-830.1 863 1001 17.56% 19.83% 62.61%-1.06 -49.7 23
2021-09-18 Afturelding W 6-126.4 1223 813 79.82% 15.57% 4.60%+2.80 +6.8 58
2021-09-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-626.4 813 1223 4.60% 15.57% 79.82%-2.80 -6.9 23
2021-09-18 Fjolnir L 0-135.0 896 1090 22.08% 20.30% 57.62%-1.05 -8.9 24
2021-09-18 @ Selfoss W 1-035.0 1090 896 57.62% 20.30% 22.08%+1.05 +8.9 42
2021-09-18 Thor Akureyri L 2-351.2 839 871 42.44% 20.87% 36.68%-0.02 -13.7 14
2021-09-18 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-251.2 871 839 36.68% 20.87% 42.44%+0.02 +13.7 23
2021-09-18 Vikingur Olafsvik L 2-457.1 934 620 75.23% 17.32% 7.45%+2.18 -37.6 26
2021-09-18 @ Grindavik W 4-257.1 620 934 7.45% 17.32% 75.23%-2.18 +37.6 8
2021-09-19 IF Vestri L 1-252.7 1140 951 67.05% 19.22% 13.73%+1.39 -21.8 44
2021-09-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-152.7 951 1140 13.73% 19.22% 67.05%-1.39 +21.8 35
2021-09-23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-349.8 1050 1118 37.43% 20.88% 41.69%-0.25 -12.4 35
2021-09-23 @ Grotta W 3-249.8 1118 1050 41.69% 20.88% 37.43%+0.25 +12.4 47
2021-09-24 Kordrengir D 3-362.4 973 1050 36.07% 20.87% 43.06%-0.31 +0.3 36
2021-09-24 @ IF Vestri D 3-362.4 1050 973 43.06% 20.87% 36.07%+0.31 -0.3 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-08-14 7.21% Vikingur Olafsvik 657 2 @ Thor Akureyri 978 0
2 2021-09-18 7.45% Vikingur Olafsvik 620 4 @ Grindavik 934 2
3 2021-09-19 13.73% IF Vestri 951 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1140 1
4 2021-05-14 17.32% Selfoss 893 3 @ Kordrengir 1034 1
5 2021-07-09 17.68% Grotta 953 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1089 0
6 2021-05-21 22.36% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 919 5 @ Afturelding 1004 0
7 2021-07-24 23.65% Selfoss 855 2 @ IF Vestri 928 1
8 2021-09-04 24.03% Fjolnir 1024 4 @ Kordrengir 1093 1
9 2021-06-26 24.28% Thor Akureyri 936 3 @ Fjolnir 1003 0
10 2021-08-06 27.28% IF Vestri 923 2 @ Grindavik 963 1
11 2021-07-29 28.53% Throttur Reykjavik 844 3 @ Selfoss 874 0
12 2021-08-13 29.50% @ Selfoss 818 3 Grindavik 946 2
13 2021-05-30 31.13% Grindavik 940 3 @ IF Vestri 949 2
14 2021-09-11 31.30% Selfoss 880 2 @ Thor Akureyri 887 1
15 2021-08-19 32.48% @ Grotta 975 2 Kordrengir 1079 1
16 2021-05-21 33.90% @ Throttur Reykjavik 835 3 Selfoss 928 1
17 2021-08-14 34.28% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1110 1 @ Kordrengir 1095 0
18 2021-09-11 34.90% Grindavik 908 3 @ Afturelding 889 1
19 2021-05-08 35.02% IF Vestri 957 3 @ Selfoss 936 0
20 2021-08-06 35.04% @ Afturelding 922 2 Thor Akureyri 1008 0
21 2021-09-07 35.25% @ Fjolnir 1068 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1152 1
22 2021-08-24 35.56% @ Selfoss 831 3 Afturelding 913 0
23 2021-05-21 35.69% Fjolnir 995 2 @ Grindavik 970 0
24 2021-05-22 36.10% @ Grotta 940 5 IF Vestri 1017 0
25 2021-09-18 36.68% Thor Akureyri 871 3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 839 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-07-01 91.46 Throttur Reykjavik 7 813 37.32% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 776 41.80% 20.88%
2 2021-05-21 87.75 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 919 22.36% @ Afturelding 0 1004 57.32% 20.32%
3 2021-05-22 68.13 @ Grotta 5 940 36.10% IF Vestri 0 1017 43.03% 20.87%
4 2021-06-26 52.67 Thor Akureyri 3 936 24.28% @ Fjolnir 0 1003 55.26% 20.46%
5 2021-09-15 49.68 @ Grotta 8 1001 62.61% Afturelding 0 863 17.56% 19.83%
6 2021-07-29 48.78 Throttur Reykjavik 3 844 28.53% @ Selfoss 0 874 50.79% 20.68%
7 2021-08-14 48.76 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 657 7.21% @ Thor Akureyri 0 978 75.58% 17.20%
8 2021-09-04 44.62 Fjolnir 4 1024 24.03% @ Kordrengir 1 1093 55.53% 20.44%
9 2021-05-08 43.19 IF Vestri 3 957 35.02% @ Selfoss 0 936 44.12% 20.86%
10 2021-08-24 42.75 @ Selfoss 3 831 35.56% Afturelding 0 913 43.58% 20.86%
11 2021-05-14 41.70 Afturelding 5 963 41.10% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 899 38.02% 20.88%
12 2021-09-18 37.62 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 620 7.45% @ Grindavik 2 934 75.23% 17.32%
13 2021-08-20 36.98 Fjolnir 7 988 65.94% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 706 14.66% 19.39%
14 2021-06-27 36.05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1039 43.89% @ IF Vestri 0 955 35.25% 20.86%
15 2021-05-14 35.51 Selfoss 3 893 17.32% @ Kordrengir 1 1034 62.88% 19.80%
16 2021-05-13 34.80 @ Thor Akureyri 4 936 37.38% Grindavik 1 1005 41.74% 20.88%
17 2021-06-19 34.48 IF Vestri 3 921 45.80% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 823 33.37% 20.83%
18 2021-08-14 32.40 @ Fjolnir 3 956 48.29% Afturelding 0 945 30.94% 20.77%
19 2021-08-06 29.74 @ Afturelding 2 922 35.04% Thor Akureyri 0 1008 44.10% 20.86%
20 2021-06-10 29.41 Fram Reykjavik 4 1106 59.60% @ Selfoss 0 893 20.27% 20.14%
21 2021-05-21 29.36 Fjolnir 2 995 35.69% @ Grindavik 0 970 43.45% 20.86%
22 2021-08-06 26.82 Kordrengir 3 1062 54.78% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 893 24.73% 20.49%
23 2021-05-21 26.31 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 835 33.90% Selfoss 1 928 45.27% 20.84%
24 2021-07-09 26.27 @ Thor Akureyri 5 985 57.80% Throttur Reykjavik 1 895 21.92% 20.29%
25 2021-09-11 25.82 Grindavik 3 908 34.90% @ Afturelding 1 889 44.25% 20.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-07-05 62.6 @ Grindavik 3 1003 55.82% Afturelding 3 931 23.75% 20.43%
2 2021-06-18 62.5 @ Afturelding 3 896 51.11% Selfoss 3 863 28.22% 20.67%
3 2021-05-28 62.4 @ Selfoss 3 902 32.30% Grotta 3 1008 46.90% 20.80%
4 2021-09-24 62.4 @ IF Vestri 3 973 36.07% Kordrengir 3 1050 43.06% 20.87%
5 2021-08-24 58.5 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 845 9.63% Fram Reykjavik 2 1214 72.21% 18.17%
6 2021-07-09 58.2 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 681 12.16% Grindavik 2 1001 68.96% 18.88%
7 2021-06-03 58.0 @ Grotta 2 1007 63.94% Throttur Reykjavik 2 855 16.39% 19.67%
8 2021-07-01 58.0 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1155 64.20% Grindavik 2 1000 16.16% 19.64%
9 2021-09-11 57.9 @ Kordrengir 2 1048 23.87% Fram Reykjavik 2 1225 55.70% 20.43%
10 2021-06-03 57.7 @ Afturelding 2 906 32.59% Fjolnir 2 1010 46.60% 20.81%
11 2021-06-04 57.7 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1019 46.45% Kordrengir 2 1022 32.74% 20.81%
12 2021-06-05 57.7 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 2 827 28.97% Thor Akureyri 2 960 50.33% 20.70%
13 2021-07-16 57.7 @ Grindavik 2 998 45.14% Thor Akureyri 2 1011 34.02% 20.84%
14 2021-08-31 57.6 @ Afturelding 2 889 40.27% IF Vestri 2 937 38.85% 20.89%
15 2021-09-18 57.1 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 620 7.45% @ Grindavik 2 934 75.23% 17.32%
16 2021-07-28 54.3 @ IF Vestri 4 910 38.72% Grotta 3 969 40.39% 20.89%
17 2021-08-13 53.4 @ Selfoss 3 818 29.50% Grindavik 2 946 49.78% 20.72%
18 2021-05-30 52.9 Grindavik 3 940 31.13% @ IF Vestri 2 949 48.10% 20.77%
19 2021-09-19 52.7 IF Vestri 2 951 13.73% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1140 67.05% 19.22%
20 2021-07-15 52.6 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1174 59.53% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1068 20.33% 20.14%
21 2021-07-01 52.5 @ Thor Akureyri 1 989 55.54% IF Vestri 1 919 24.01% 20.44%
22 2021-06-25 52.4 @ Kordrengir 1 1047 53.17% Grindavik 1 998 26.25% 20.58%
23 2021-07-05 52.4 @ Selfoss 1 872 31.27% Thor Akureyri 1 986 47.95% 20.78%
24 2021-05-08 52.3 @ Afturelding 1 962 36.88% Kordrengir 1 1034 42.25% 20.88%
25 2021-05-07 52.2 @ Grotta 4 940 45.93% Thor Akureyri 3 947 33.24% 20.82%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-08-31 21.9 @ Kordrengir 4 1087 81.22% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 643 3.87% 14.92%
2 2021-08-10 22.9 Fram Reykjavik 3 1200 80.73% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 662 4.12% 15.16%
3 2021-08-07 26.4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1105 76.17% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 667 6.82% 17.01%
4 2021-09-18 26.4 @ Fram Reykjavik 6 1223 79.82% Afturelding 1 813 4.60% 15.57%
5 2021-06-05 27.3 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1081 63.44% IF Vestri 0 934 16.83% 19.73%
6 2021-06-10 28.4 Fram Reykjavik 4 1106 59.60% @ Selfoss 0 893 20.27% 20.14%
7 2021-08-05 28.4 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1191 69.83% Fjolnir 0 965 11.47% 18.71%
8 2021-08-20 28.4 Fjolnir 7 988 65.94% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 706 14.66% 19.39%
9 2021-06-16 29.0 @ Fram Reykjavik 5 1135 73.79% Throttur Reykjavik 1 847 8.46% 17.75%
10 2021-07-15 29.2 @ Afturelding 6 918 70.32% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 684 11.08% 18.60%
11 2021-09-04 29.2 Fram Reykjavik 2 1214 67.02% @ Grindavik 0 919 13.76% 19.22%
12 2021-08-28 29.4 Selfoss 3 874 59.13% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 666 20.69% 20.18%
13 2021-05-30 29.7 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1007 65.23% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 839 15.27% 19.50%
14 2021-07-31 30.0 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1093 64.41% Afturelding 0 935 15.98% 19.61%
15 2021-09-15 30.1 @ Grotta 8 1001 62.61% Afturelding 0 863 17.56% 19.83%
16 2021-08-24 30.6 @ Kordrengir 2 1064 62.29% Thor Akureyri 0 929 17.84% 19.87%
17 2021-08-06 30.7 Kordrengir 3 1062 54.78% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 893 24.73% 20.49%
18 2021-07-09 31.0 Fram Reykjavik 2 1159 60.98% @ Afturelding 0 933 19.01% 20.01%
19 2021-07-10 31.6 @ Kordrengir 2 1037 59.12% IF Vestri 0 934 20.70% 20.18%
20 2021-08-14 32.6 @ Fjolnir 3 956 48.29% Afturelding 0 945 30.94% 20.77%
21 2021-08-14 33.0 Fram Reykjavik 1 1205 64.51% @ IF Vestri 0 940 15.89% 19.60%
22 2021-08-19 33.3 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1211 78.41% Selfoss 1 834 5.42% 16.18%
23 2021-06-19 33.4 IF Vestri 3 921 45.80% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 823 33.37% 20.83%
24 2021-07-09 33.7 @ Thor Akureyri 5 985 57.80% Throttur Reykjavik 1 895 21.92% 20.29%
25 2021-07-27 33.8 Fram Reykjavik 2 1171 51.67% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1028 27.68% 20.65%