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2021-22 1. deild karla Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fylkir Reykjavik

15.47 points above expected

51 points · 35.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Throttur Vogum

20.92 points below expected

6 points · 26.92 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 16 3 3 51 63 23 +40 35.53 +15.47
2 HK Kopavogur 22 15 1 6 46 46 30 +16 35.99 +10.01
3 Grotta 22 12 1 9 37 42 33 +9 35.72 +1.28
4 Fjolnir 22 11 3 8 36 51 37 +14 37.22 -1.22
5 Kordrengir 22 9 6 7 33 36 30 +6 33.59 -0.59
6 Grindavik 22 8 6 8 30 43 40 +3 27.71 +2.29
7 Thor Akureyri 22 9 3 10 30 31 35 -4 23.86 +6.14
8 Afturelding 22 8 5 9 29 39 39 0 23.65 +5.35
9 Selfoss 22 8 5 9 29 36 39 -3 28.54 +0.46
10 IF Vestri 22 7 7 8 28 36 44 -8 27.75 +0.25
11 KV Vesturbaejar 22 5 3 14 18 27 52 -25 26.55 -8.55
12 Throttur Vogum 22 1 3 18 6 8 56 -48 26.92 -20.92

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 51 35.53 +15.47
2 HK Kopavogur 46 35.99 +10.01
3 Thor Akureyri 30 23.86 +6.14
4 Afturelding 29 23.65 +5.35
5 Grindavik 30 27.71 +2.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Throttur Vogum 6 26.92 -20.92
2 KV Vesturbaejar 18 26.55 -8.55
3 Fjolnir 36 37.22 -1.22
4 Kordrengir 33 33.59 -0.59
5 IF Vestri 28 27.75 +0.25

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 12 Jul 5 – Sep 10 1 in 6,167
2 Afturelding 3 Jul 16 – Jul 26 1 in 72
3 HK Kopavogur 6 Jul 14 – Aug 10 1 in 68
4 Thor Akureyri 3 Jul 22 – Aug 6 1 in 53
5 Selfoss 2 May 5 – May 13 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Throttur Vogum 7 Aug 10 – Sep 17 1 in 86
2 Grindavik 4 Jul 14 – Aug 5 1 in 74
3 KV Vesturbaejar 5 May 5 – Jun 3 1 in 64
4 Grotta 3 Jul 23 – Aug 5 1 in 32
5 Selfoss 4 Aug 18 – Sep 3 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 14 Jun 23 – Sep 10 1 in 101
2 Grindavik 7 May 6 – Jun 16 1 in 37
3 Selfoss 6 May 5 – Jun 9 1 in 23
4 Afturelding 4 Jun 16 – Jul 5 1 in 19
5 HK Kopavogur 8 Jul 5 – Aug 10 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Throttur Vogum 11 Jul 17 – Sep 17 1 in 20
2 Kordrengir 5 Jul 14 – Aug 14 1 in 13
3 Thor Akureyri 7 May 13 – Jun 24 1 in 10
4 Fjolnir 3 Jun 9 – Jun 24 1 in 8
5 Grindavik 4 Jul 14 – Aug 5 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Fylkir Reykjavik 1129 51 +39 12 9.3 +2.7
HK Kopavogur 1061 46 +6 9 7.8 +1.2
Grotta 1026 37 -8 9 7.3 +1.7
Fjolnir 1058 36 -16 6 8.3 -2.3
Kordrengir 1034 33 +46 12 7.5 +4.5
Grindavik 971 30 +35 10 6.5 +3.5
Thor Akureyri 949 30 +10 7 6.2 +0.8
Selfoss 915 29 -30 4 6.3 -2.3
Afturelding 907 29 -33 4 6.2 -2.2
IF Vestri 935 28 +20 6 6.0 +0.0
KV Vesturbaejar 874 18 -9 7 6.3 +0.7
Throttur Vogum 801 6 -60 0 4.7 -4.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AFT FJO FR GRI GRO HK IV KV KOR SEL TA TV
Afturelding —
0-0-2
1.83
0-1-1
1.71
1-1-0
2.34
0-1-1
1.67
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
1.86
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
1.99
1-1-0
2.22
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
2.56
Fjolnir
2-0-0
3.68
—
0-0-2
3.41
1-1-0
3.63
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
3.86
2-0-0
3.73
0-2-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.04
Fylkir Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.80
2-0-0
2.07
—
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.27
2-0-0
2.98
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
3.84
Grindavik
0-1-1
3.14
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.27
—
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.28
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.42
Grotta
1-1-0
3.84
2-0-0
2.51
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
3.28
—
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.55
0-0-2
3.01
1-0-1
3.36
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.57
HK Kopavogur
2-0-0
3.70
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.73
—
1-1-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.12
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
3.72
2-0-0
3.83
IF Vestri
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
1.66
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
1.99
—
0-1-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.24
1-1-0
2.65
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.59
KV Vesturbaejar
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.37
1-1-0
2.44
—
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.63
Kordrengir
1-0-1
3.50
0-2-0
2.25
0-1-1
2.93
0-1-1
3.20
2-0-0
2.46
0-0-2
2.57
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.21
—
2-0-0
3.04
0-0-2
3.53
2-0-0
3.86
Selfoss
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.84
2-0-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.43
—
2-0-0
3.02
1-1-0
2.62
Thor Akureyri
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
1.67
1-1-0
2.46
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
1.78
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
1.96
0-0-2
2.45
—
2-0-0
2.70
Throttur Vogum
0-0-2
2.97
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
1.69
0-1-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.77
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +8.1
Allowed 0.89 -11.8
Differential 0.96 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.52%6.44%5.30%2.27%3.03%1.52%20.08%
16.44%7.58%6.82%5.30%4.55%1.14%31.82%
25.30%6.82%6.82%0.76%1.14%1.14%21.97%
32.27%5.30%0.76%1.52%1.52%—11.36%
43.03%4.55%1.14%1.52%—0.38%10.61%
5+1.52%1.14%1.14%—0.38%—4.17%
Total20.08%31.82%21.97%11.36%10.61%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.73 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.41 2.21
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%—4.55%—27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
2—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
3———————
44.55%18.18%————22.73%
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total13.64%36.36%31.82%—13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.77 +0.00
SD 1.66 1.38 2.25
CV 0.94 0.78 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4—18.18%—4.55%——22.73%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total13.64%45.45%18.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.68 +0.64
SD 1.78 1.36 2.57
CV 0.77 0.81 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
213.64%—9.09%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
49.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
5+4.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
Total36.36%27.27%31.82%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.86 1.05 +1.82
SD 1.67 0.95 1.79
CV 0.58 0.91 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
14.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%4.55%13.64%——4.55%27.27%
39.09%9.09%——4.55%—22.73%
4———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%31.82%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.82 +0.14
SD 1.09 1.47 1.61
CV 0.56 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
122.73%—13.64%13.64%—4.55%54.55%
24.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total36.36%18.18%22.73%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.50 +0.41
SD 1.44 1.57 2.32
CV 0.76 1.04 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%———13.64%
19.09%——4.55%——13.64%
24.55%22.73%—4.55%——31.82%
3—22.73%—4.55%4.55%—31.82%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%50.00%13.64%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.36 +0.73
SD 1.19 1.09 1.72
CV 0.57 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%——4.55%9.09%22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
24.55%9.09%13.64%—4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%18.18%9.09%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.00 -0.36
SD 1.26 1.57 2.34
CV 0.77 0.79 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%—4.55%—13.64%
14.55%9.09%9.09%22.73%9.09%4.55%59.09%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
3———————
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%27.27%27.27%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.36 -1.14
SD 0.87 1.26 1.70
CV 0.71 0.53 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
113.64%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
24.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
49.09%——4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total36.36%22.73%18.18%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.36 +0.27
SD 1.26 1.36 1.93
CV 0.77 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
1—9.09%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%
213.64%13.64%13.64%———40.91%
3——4.55%—9.09%—13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%22.73%9.09%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.77 -0.14
SD 1.09 1.38 1.86
CV 0.67 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%—36.36%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%13.64%9.09%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.59 -0.18
SD 1.37 1.47 2.17
CV 0.97 0.92 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%4.55%18.18%18.18%9.09%68.18%
1—13.64%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
24.55%—————4.55%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%31.82%13.64%18.18%22.73%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.36 2.55 -2.18
SD 0.58 1.60 1.94
CV 1.60 0.63 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fylkir Reykjavik 1129 51 35.53 +15.47 99.0% 21 26 31 35 40 46 52
HK Kopavogur 1061 46 35.99 +10.01 98.0% 23 25 32 36 40 45 49
Fjolnir 1058 36 37.22 -1.22 44.0% 22 28 33 37 42 46 51
Kordrengir 1034 33 33.59 -0.59 54.0% 19 24 30 33 38 42 46
Grotta 1026 37 35.72 +1.28 63.0% 23 26 31 36 40 46 53
Grindavik 971 30 27.71 +2.29 65.0% 12 18 24 27 32 36 40
Thor Akureyri 949 30 23.86 +6.14 88.0% 8 15 21 24 27 33 42
IF Vestri 935 28 27.75 +0.25 57.0% 13 19 25 27 31 36 39
Selfoss 915 29 28.54 +0.46 52.0% 12 18 23 29 33 40 42
Afturelding 907 29 23.65 +5.35 82.0% 10 15 19 23 28 35 39
KV Vesturbaejar 874 18 26.55 -8.55 9.0% 15 18 22 27 30 35 42
Throttur Vogum 801 6 26.92 -20.92 0.0% 12 16 23 26 30 37 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.48%
Clear Edge
53.03%17.42%29.55%
Elo Value
Home Edge
143 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
083.15400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.68 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.58+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
Fylkir Reykjavik, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.71 * Some Luck: 4.71 to 7.07 * Lucky: 7.07 to 9.42 * Wild Swing: 9.42 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.85 * Close: 1.85 to 2.77 * Off: 2.77 to 3.7 * Way Off: 3.7 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.74 points
Lucky
05.8915
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Close
02.315
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Throttur Vogum
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 92.90
1.81
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Few
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.18
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.04
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.16
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.68
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.071
Well Within Noise
00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Fylkir Reykjavik20.00%12.00%13.00%19.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%—
HK Kopavogur19.00%25.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%5.00%——
Grotta20.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—
Fjolnir27.00%18.00%16.00%12.00%8.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Kordrengir10.00%11.00%15.00%10.00%15.00%14.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%
Grindavik—2.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%4.00%9.00%
Thor Akureyri——1.00%1.00%7.00%3.00%8.00%3.00%20.00%19.00%17.00%21.00%
Afturelding2.00%—1.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%12.00%20.00%16.00%24.00%
Selfoss—8.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%9.00%11.00%4.00%12.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%
IF Vestri—4.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%6.00%14.00%15.00%15.00%8.00%14.00%5.00%
KV Vesturbaejar—2.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%15.00%8.00%5.00%20.00%15.00%
Throttur Vogum2.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%12.00%18.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Fjolnir 45.00% 54.00% 1.00%
HK Kopavogur 44.00% 56.00% —
Grotta 34.00% 64.00% 2.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 32.00% 67.00% 1.00%
Kordrengir 21.00% 75.00% 4.00%
Grindavik 2.00% 85.00% 13.00%
Selfoss 8.00% 73.00% 19.00%
IF Vestri 4.00% 77.00% 19.00%
Throttur Vogum 6.00% 66.00% 28.00%
KV Vesturbaejar 2.00% 63.00% 35.00%
Afturelding 2.00% 58.00% 40.00%
Thor Akureyri — 62.00% 38.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-05-05 KV Vesturbaejar W 3-145.3 919 997 32.64% 26.76% 40.60%+0.04 +14.5 3
2022-05-05 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-345.3 997 919 40.60% 26.76% 32.64%-0.04 -14.5 0
2022-05-05 Selfoss L 2-357.1 1002 915 54.55% 24.86% 20.59%+1.19 -10.1 0
2022-05-05 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-257.1 915 1002 20.59% 24.86% 54.55%-1.19 +10.1 3
2022-05-06 Fjolnir L 0-339.6 1087 1047 48.86% 25.96% 25.18%+0.87 -28.2 0
2022-05-06 @ Throttur Vogum W 3-039.6 1047 1087 25.18% 25.96% 48.86%-0.87 +28.2 3
2022-05-06 Grindavik D 1-151.7 865 921 35.64% 26.84% 37.52%+0.19 +0.1 1
2022-05-06 @ Afturelding D 1-151.7 921 865 37.52% 26.84% 35.64%-0.19 -0.1 1
2022-05-06 Kordrengir W 1-044.3 914 1016 29.48% 26.54% 43.98%-0.14 +9.5 3
2022-05-06 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-144.3 1016 914 43.98% 26.54% 29.48%+0.14 -9.4 0
2022-05-07 IF Vestri W 5-031.9 1009 968 48.88% 25.96% 25.16%+0.87 +27.0 3
2022-05-07 @ Grotta L 0-531.9 968 1009 25.16% 25.96% 48.88%-0.87 -27.0 0
2022-05-12 HK Kopavogur L 1-345.8 983 992 42.27% 26.67% 31.07%+0.52 -15.0 0
2022-05-12 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 3-145.8 992 983 31.07% 26.67% 42.27%-0.52 +15.0 3
2022-05-12 Throttur Vogum W 3-039.6 921 1059 25.34% 25.99% 48.67%-0.39 +28.1 4
2022-05-12 @ Grindavik L 0-339.6 1059 921 48.67% 25.99% 25.34%+0.39 -28.1 0
2022-05-13 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1007 934 52.91% 25.23% 21.86%+1.10 -1.5 1
2022-05-13 @ Kordrengir D 1-152.2 934 1007 21.86% 25.23% 52.91%-1.10 +1.4 4
2022-05-13 Grotta W 2-149.3 925 1036 28.47% 26.43% 45.10%-0.19 +9.1 6
2022-05-13 @ Selfoss L 1-249.3 1036 925 45.10% 26.43% 28.47%+0.19 -9.1 3
2022-05-13 Thor Akureyri W 4-134.1 1075 923 61.64% 22.77% 15.59%+1.65 +9.1 6
2022-05-13 @ Fjolnir L 1-434.1 923 1075 15.59% 22.77% 61.64%-1.65 -9.1 3
2022-05-14 Afturelding W 2-033.7 941 865 53.30% 25.14% 21.55%+1.12 +10.1 3
2022-05-14 @ IF Vestri L 0-233.7 865 941 21.55% 25.14% 53.30%-1.12 -10.1 1
2022-05-19 Fjolnir W 5-248.9 935 1084 24.18% 25.77% 50.05%-0.46 +21.0 7
2022-05-19 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-548.9 1084 935 50.05% 25.77% 24.18%+0.46 -21.0 6
2022-05-19 HK Kopavogur W 2-035.8 1027 1007 46.21% 26.31% 27.47%+0.72 +12.4 6
2022-05-19 @ Grotta L 0-235.8 1007 1027 27.47% 26.31% 46.21%-0.72 -12.4 3
2022-05-20 Grindavik D 1-151.7 914 949 38.70% 26.82% 34.48%+0.34 -0.2 4
2022-05-20 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-151.7 949 914 34.48% 26.82% 38.70%-0.34 +0.2 5
2022-05-20 KV Vesturbaejar W 2-035.1 1005 968 48.53% 26.01% 25.46%+0.85 +11.7 4
2022-05-20 @ Kordrengir L 0-235.1 968 1005 25.46% 26.01% 48.53%-0.85 -11.7 0
2022-05-20 Selfoss D 1-151.7 855 934 32.45% 26.75% 40.81%+0.03 +0.4 2
2022-05-20 @ Afturelding D 1-151.7 934 855 40.81% 26.75% 32.45%-0.03 -0.4 7
2022-05-21 IF Vestri D 1-152.2 1031 951 53.66% 25.06% 21.28%+1.14 -1.5 1
2022-05-21 @ Throttur Vogum D 1-152.2 951 1031 21.28% 25.06% 53.66%-1.14 +1.5 4
2022-05-27 Afturelding W 2-031.6 994 855 60.34% 23.21% 16.44%+1.56 +7.8 6
2022-05-27 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-231.6 855 994 16.44% 23.21% 60.34%-1.56 -7.8 2
2022-05-27 Kordrengir D 1-152.0 1063 1017 49.58% 25.85% 24.57%+0.91 -1.1 7
2022-05-27 @ Fjolnir D 1-152.0 1017 1063 24.57% 25.85% 49.58%-0.91 +1.1 5
2022-05-27 Throttur Vogum W 4-037.1 934 1029 30.35% 26.61% 43.04%-0.09 +33.3 10
2022-05-27 @ Selfoss L 0-437.1 1029 934 43.04% 26.61% 30.35%+0.09 -33.3 1
2022-05-28 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-040.3 949 956 42.60% 26.64% 30.76%+0.53 +7.2 8
2022-05-28 @ Grindavik L 0-140.3 956 949 30.76% 26.64% 42.60%-0.53 -7.2 7
2022-05-28 KV Vesturbaejar W 5-134.6 1039 956 54.11% 24.96% 20.93%+1.17 +15.6 9
2022-05-28 @ Grotta L 1-534.6 956 1039 20.93% 24.96% 54.11%-1.17 -15.6 0
2022-05-28 Thor Akureyri D 3-362.0 953 914 48.68% 25.99% 25.34%+0.86 -0.7 5
2022-05-28 @ IF Vestri D 3-362.0 914 953 25.34% 25.99% 48.68%-0.86 +0.6 5
2022-06-03 Grindavik D 1-152.1 1018 956 51.54% 25.50% 22.96%+1.02 -1.3 6
2022-06-03 @ Kordrengir D 1-152.1 956 1018 22.96% 25.50% 51.54%-1.02 +1.3 9
2022-06-03 Grotta D 2-257.9 847 1055 18.80% 24.24% 56.96%-0.87 +1.4 3
2022-06-03 @ Afturelding D 2-257.9 1055 847 56.96% 24.24% 18.80%+0.87 -1.3 10
2022-06-03 KV Vesturbaejar W 3-137.6 1062 940 58.44% 23.82% 17.75%+1.43 +7.3 10
2022-06-03 @ Fjolnir L 1-337.6 940 1062 17.75% 23.82% 58.44%-1.43 -7.3 0
2022-06-03 Selfoss L 0-238.6 915 967 36.18% 26.85% 36.97%+0.22 -15.4 5
2022-06-03 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-038.6 967 915 36.97% 26.85% 36.18%-0.22 +15.4 13
2022-06-04 IF Vestri W 5-033.6 949 952 43.08% 26.61% 30.31%+0.56 +31.4 10
2022-06-04 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-533.6 952 949 30.31% 26.61% 43.08%-0.56 -31.4 5
2022-06-09 Afturelding W 2-141.6 933 849 54.25% 24.93% 20.82%+1.17 +4.9 3
2022-06-09 @ KV Vesturbaejar L 1-241.6 849 933 20.82% 24.93% 54.25%-1.17 -4.9 3
2022-06-09 Fjolnir D 2-257.3 958 1069 28.38% 26.42% 45.20%-0.20 +0.6 10
2022-06-09 @ Grindavik D 2-257.3 1069 958 45.20% 26.42% 28.38%+0.20 -0.5 11
2022-06-09 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-257.2 982 980 43.83% 26.55% 29.62%+0.60 -0.5 14
2022-06-09 @ Selfoss D 2-257.2 980 982 29.62% 26.55% 43.83%-0.60 +0.5 11
2022-06-11 Kordrengir D 2-257.2 921 1017 30.29% 26.61% 43.10%-0.09 +0.4 6
2022-06-11 @ IF Vestri D 2-257.2 1017 921 43.10% 26.61% 30.29%+0.09 -0.4 7
2022-06-11 Thor Akureyri W 3-138.2 1002 899 56.38% 24.40% 19.23%+1.30 +7.9 9
2022-06-11 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-338.2 899 1002 19.23% 24.40% 56.38%-1.30 -7.9 5
2022-06-16 Afturelding L 0-148.4 996 844 61.70% 22.75% 15.55%+1.65 -12.5 1
2022-06-16 @ Throttur Vogum W 1-048.4 844 996 15.55% 22.75% 61.70%-1.65 +12.5 6
2022-06-16 Grotta L 0-137.6 891 1053 22.87% 25.48% 51.65%-0.55 -5.6 5
2022-06-16 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-037.6 1053 891 51.65% 25.48% 22.87%+0.55 +5.6 13
2022-06-16 HK Kopavogur L 0-143.0 981 1010 39.47% 26.80% 33.73%+0.38 -8.7 11
2022-06-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-043.0 1010 981 33.73% 26.80% 39.47%-0.38 +8.7 12
2022-06-16 KV Vesturbaejar W 2-144.0 958 938 46.25% 26.31% 27.44%+0.72 +6.2 13
2022-06-16 @ Grindavik L 1-244.0 938 958 27.44% 26.31% 46.25%-0.72 -6.2 3
2022-06-16 Selfoss W 4-352.4 1016 982 48.11% 26.07% 25.82%+0.82 +5.5 10
2022-06-16 @ Kordrengir L 3-452.4 982 1016 25.82% 26.07% 48.11%-0.82 -5.5 14
2022-06-18 IF Vestri L 1-253.1 1069 921 61.19% 22.93% 15.88%+1.62 -11.7 11
2022-06-18 @ Fjolnir W 2-153.1 921 1069 15.88% 22.93% 61.19%-1.62 +11.7 9
2022-06-22 Throttur Vogum D 1-151.7 932 984 36.27% 26.85% 36.89%+0.22 +0.0 4
2022-06-22 @ KV Vesturbaejar D 1-151.7 984 932 36.89% 26.85% 36.27%-0.22 -0.0 2
2022-06-23 Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-549.9 1059 972 54.55% 24.86% 20.59%+1.19 -22.6 13
2022-06-23 @ Grotta W 5-249.9 972 1059 20.59% 24.86% 54.55%-1.19 +22.6 14
2022-06-23 Kordrengir W 3-142.2 1019 1022 43.12% 26.61% 30.27%+0.56 +11.6 15
2022-06-23 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-342.2 1022 1019 30.27% 26.61% 43.12%-0.56 -11.6 10
2022-06-24 Fjolnir W 2-040.0 976 1057 32.31% 26.74% 40.95%+0.02 +16.9 17
2022-06-24 @ Selfoss L 0-240.0 1057 976 40.95% 26.74% 32.31%-0.02 -16.9 11
2022-06-24 Thor Akureyri W 4-140.7 856 886 39.45% 26.80% 33.75%+0.38 +17.9 9
2022-06-24 @ Afturelding L 1-440.7 886 856 33.75% 26.80% 39.45%-0.38 -17.9 5
2022-06-25 Grindavik W 2-146.1 933 964 39.17% 26.81% 34.02%+0.36 +7.3 12
2022-06-25 @ IF Vestri L 1-246.1 964 933 34.02% 26.81% 39.17%-0.36 -7.3 13
2022-06-27 Throttur Vogum W 1-038.0 1037 984 50.44% 25.70% 23.86%+0.95 +5.9 16
2022-06-27 @ Grotta L 0-138.0 984 1037 23.86% 25.70% 50.44%-0.95 -5.9 2
2022-06-30 HK Kopavogur W 3-141.7 1040 1030 44.85% 26.46% 28.69%+0.65 +11.2 14
2022-06-30 @ Fjolnir L 1-341.7 1030 1040 28.69% 26.46% 44.85%-0.65 -11.2 15
2022-06-30 Throttur Vogum W 5-037.9 868 978 28.59% 26.45% 44.97%-0.19 +42.4 8
2022-06-30 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-537.9 978 868 44.97% 26.45% 28.59%+0.19 -42.5 2
2022-07-01 Afturelding D 2-258.0 995 874 58.32% 23.85% 17.83%+1.43 -1.4 15
2022-07-01 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-258.0 874 995 17.83% 23.85% 58.32%-1.43 +1.4 10
2022-07-01 Grotta W 1-041.4 1010 1042 39.09% 26.81% 34.10%+0.36 +7.8 13
2022-07-01 @ Kordrengir L 0-141.4 1042 1010 34.10% 26.81% 39.09%-0.36 -7.8 16
2022-07-01 KV Vesturbaejar L 2-451.2 940 932 44.69% 26.47% 28.84%+0.64 -14.0 12
2022-07-01 @ IF Vestri W 4-251.2 932 940 28.84% 26.47% 44.69%-0.64 +14.0 7
2022-07-01 Selfoss D 2-257.1 957 993 38.49% 26.83% 34.68%+0.33 -0.1 14
2022-07-01 @ Grindavik D 2-257.1 993 957 34.68% 26.83% 38.49%-0.33 +0.1 18
2022-07-05 Fjolnir W 4-140.2 1035 1051 41.25% 26.73% 32.03%+0.47 +17.2 19
2022-07-05 @ Grotta L 1-440.2 1051 1035 32.03% 26.73% 41.25%-0.47 -17.2 14
2022-07-05 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-335.8 935 993 35.39% 26.84% 37.77%+0.18 -22.0 2
2022-07-05 @ Throttur Vogum W 3-035.8 993 935 37.77% 26.84% 35.39%-0.18 +22.0 18
2022-07-05 Grindavik W 2-142.4 1019 957 51.60% 25.49% 22.91%+1.02 +5.3 18
2022-07-05 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-242.4 957 1019 22.91% 25.49% 51.60%-1.02 -5.3 14
2022-07-05 IF Vestri L 0-146.4 993 926 52.19% 25.38% 22.44%+1.05 -10.9 18
2022-07-05 @ Selfoss W 1-046.4 926 993 22.44% 25.38% 52.19%-1.05 +10.9 15
2022-07-05 Kordrengir W 2-150.4 876 1018 24.87% 25.90% 49.23%-0.42 +9.8 13
2022-07-05 @ Afturelding L 1-250.4 1018 876 49.23% 25.90% 24.87%+0.42 -9.8 13
2022-07-05 KV Vesturbaejar W 3-143.6 910 946 38.60% 26.82% 34.57%+0.33 +12.9 11
2022-07-05 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-343.6 946 910 34.57% 26.82% 38.60%-0.33 -12.9 7
2022-07-09 Afturelding W 2-139.4 1034 885 61.32% 22.88% 15.80%+1.63 +3.8 17
2022-07-09 @ Fjolnir L 1-239.4 885 1034 15.80% 22.88% 61.32%-1.63 -3.8 13
2022-07-09 Grotta W 3-146.2 952 1052 29.78% 26.56% 43.65%-0.12 +15.4 17
2022-07-09 @ Grindavik L 1-346.2 1052 952 43.65% 26.56% 29.78%+0.12 -15.3 19
2022-07-09 HK Kopavogur D 3-361.8 937 1025 31.39% 26.69% 41.92%-0.03 +0.3 16
2022-07-09 @ IF Vestri D 3-361.8 1025 937 41.92% 26.69% 31.39%+0.03 -0.3 19
2022-07-09 Selfoss L 1-246.9 933 983 36.57% 26.85% 36.58%+0.23 -7.7 7
2022-07-09 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 2-146.9 983 933 36.58% 26.85% 36.57%-0.23 +7.7 21
2022-07-09 Thor Akureyri W 4-029.7 1015 923 55.12% 24.72% 20.16%+1.23 +18.0 21
2022-07-09 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-429.7 923 1015 20.16% 24.72% 55.12%-1.23 -18.0 11
2022-07-09 Throttur Vogum W 1-036.5 1008 913 55.47% 24.63% 19.90%+1.25 +5.0 16
2022-07-09 @ Kordrengir L 0-136.5 913 1008 19.90% 24.63% 55.47%-1.25 -5.0 2
2022-07-14 Grindavik W 2-039.1 908 967 35.29% 26.84% 37.87%+0.17 +15.9 5
2022-07-14 @ Throttur Vogum L 0-239.1 967 908 37.87% 26.84% 35.29%-0.17 -15.9 17
2022-07-14 Kordrengir W 4-138.7 1033 1013 46.21% 26.31% 27.48%+0.72 +15.2 24
2022-07-14 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-438.7 1013 1033 27.48% 26.31% 46.21%-0.72 -15.2 16
2022-07-14 KV Vesturbaejar W 4-029.4 1024 925 55.94% 24.51% 19.54%+1.28 +17.5 22
2022-07-14 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-429.4 925 1024 19.54% 24.51% 55.94%-1.28 -17.5 7
2022-07-14 Selfoss W 3-032.3 1036 990 49.58% 25.85% 24.57%+0.91 +16.5 22
2022-07-14 @ Grotta L 0-332.3 990 1036 24.57% 25.85% 49.58%-0.91 -16.5 21
2022-07-15 Fjolnir L 1-438.2 905 1038 25.94% 26.09% 47.97%-0.35 -14.5 11
2022-07-15 @ Thor Akureyri W 4-138.2 1038 905 47.97% 26.09% 25.94%+0.35 +14.5 20
2022-07-16 Afturelding L 1-445.5 937 882 50.81% 25.64% 23.55%+0.97 -24.6 16
2022-07-16 @ IF Vestri W 4-145.5 882 937 23.55% 25.64% 50.81%-0.97 +24.6 16
2022-07-17 HK Kopavogur L 1-244.0 924 1042 27.66% 26.34% 46.01%-0.24 -6.2 5
2022-07-17 @ Throttur Vogum W 2-144.0 1042 924 46.01% 26.34% 27.66%+0.24 +6.2 25
2022-07-21 Afturelding L 4-560.9 951 906 49.44% 25.87% 24.69%+0.90 -9.0 17
2022-07-21 @ Grindavik W 5-460.9 906 951 24.69% 25.87% 49.44%-0.90 +9.0 19
2022-07-21 Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-348.6 908 1048 25.06% 25.94% 49.00%-0.40 -5.5 7
2022-07-21 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 3-248.6 1048 908 49.00% 25.94% 25.06%+0.40 +5.5 27
2022-07-21 HK Kopavogur L 1-245.8 974 1048 33.14% 26.78% 40.08%+0.06 -7.2 21
2022-07-21 @ Selfoss W 2-145.8 1048 974 40.08% 26.78% 33.14%-0.06 +7.2 28
2022-07-21 Throttur Vogum W 6-029.4 1052 918 59.82% 23.39% 16.80%+1.52 +22.2 23
2022-07-21 @ Fjolnir L 0-629.4 918 1052 16.80% 23.39% 59.82%-1.52 -22.2 5
2022-07-22 Thor Akureyri L 2-454.1 998 891 56.88% 24.26% 18.86%+1.34 -17.1 16
2022-07-22 @ Kordrengir W 4-254.1 891 998 18.86% 24.26% 56.88%-1.34 +17.1 14
2022-07-23 Grotta W 3-147.6 913 1053 25.15% 25.95% 48.90%-0.40 +16.8 19
2022-07-23 @ IF Vestri L 1-347.6 1053 913 48.90% 25.95% 25.15%+0.40 -16.8 22
2022-07-26 Afturelding L 1-445.4 967 915 50.27% 25.73% 23.99%+0.94 -24.4 21
2022-07-26 @ Selfoss W 4-145.4 915 967 23.99% 25.73% 50.27%-0.94 +24.4 22
2022-07-26 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-241.5 1075 1054 46.30% 26.30% 27.40%+0.73 -18.6 23
2022-07-26 @ Fjolnir W 2-041.5 1054 1075 27.40% 26.30% 46.30%-0.73 +18.6 30
2022-07-26 Kordrengir D 2-257.1 902 981 32.53% 26.75% 40.72%+0.03 +0.3 8
2022-07-26 @ KV Vesturbaejar D 2-257.1 981 902 40.72% 26.75% 32.53%-0.03 -0.3 17
2022-07-27 Grotta W 2-144.0 1055 1036 46.13% 26.32% 27.55%+0.72 +6.2 31
2022-07-27 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-244.0 1036 1055 27.55% 26.32% 46.13%-0.72 -6.2 22
2022-07-27 Thor Akureyri L 1-250.1 942 908 48.10% 26.07% 25.83%+0.82 -9.6 17
2022-07-27 @ Grindavik W 2-150.1 908 942 25.83% 26.07% 48.10%-0.82 +9.6 17
2022-07-27 Throttur Vogum W 4-031.8 930 896 48.04% 26.08% 25.88%+0.82 +22.5 22
2022-07-27 @ IF Vestri L 0-431.8 896 930 25.88% 26.08% 48.04%-0.82 -22.5 5
2022-08-04 Selfoss D 1-151.7 873 942 33.86% 26.80% 39.33%+0.10 +0.2 6
2022-08-04 @ Throttur Vogum D 1-151.7 942 873 39.33% 26.80% 33.86%-0.10 -0.2 22
2022-08-05 Fjolnir D 0-048.1 981 1056 33.02% 26.77% 40.21%+0.06 +0.4 18
2022-08-05 @ Kordrengir D 0-048.1 1056 981 40.21% 26.77% 33.02%-0.06 -0.4 24
2022-08-05 Grindavik W 5-238.0 1072 933 60.40% 23.20% 16.40%+1.56 +8.3 33
2022-08-05 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-538.0 933 1072 16.40% 23.20% 60.40%-1.56 -8.3 17
2022-08-05 Grotta W 2-149.9 902 1030 26.54% 26.18% 47.27%-0.31 +9.4 11
2022-08-05 @ KV Vesturbaejar L 1-249.9 1030 902 47.27% 26.18% 26.54%+0.31 -9.4 22
2022-08-05 HK Kopavogur L 0-139.1 939 1062 27.14% 26.27% 46.59%-0.27 -6.5 22
2022-08-05 @ Afturelding W 1-039.1 1062 939 46.59% 26.27% 27.14%+0.27 +6.5 34
2022-08-06 IF Vestri W 1-041.5 917 952 38.69% 26.82% 34.49%+0.34 +7.9 20
2022-08-06 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-141.5 952 917 34.49% 26.82% 38.69%-0.34 -7.9 22
2022-08-10 Thor Akureyri W 2-144.1 942 925 45.82% 26.36% 27.83%+0.70 +6.3 25
2022-08-10 @ Selfoss L 1-244.1 925 942 27.83% 26.36% 45.82%-0.70 -6.3 20
2022-08-10 Throttur Vogum W 4-132.8 1068 874 65.85% 21.14% 13.00%+1.95 +7.5 37
2022-08-10 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-432.8 874 1068 13.00% 21.14% 65.85%-1.95 -7.5 6
2022-08-12 Afturelding W 4-243.4 1020 933 54.59% 24.85% 20.56%+1.20 +7.5 25
2022-08-12 @ Grotta L 2-443.4 933 1020 20.56% 24.85% 54.59%-1.20 -7.5 22
2022-08-12 Fjolnir L 1-437.8 912 1056 24.75% 25.88% 49.37%-0.42 -14.0 11
2022-08-12 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 4-137.8 1056 912 49.37% 25.88% 24.75%+0.42 +14.0 27
2022-08-13 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-138.6 944 1081 25.53% 26.02% 48.45%-0.37 -6.2 22
2022-08-13 @ IF Vestri W 1-038.6 1081 944 48.45% 26.02% 25.53%+0.37 +6.2 36
2022-08-14 HK Kopavogur W 2-042.7 919 1076 23.41% 25.61% 50.99%-0.52 +20.1 23
2022-08-14 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-242.7 1076 919 50.99% 25.61% 23.41%+0.52 -20.1 37
2022-08-14 Kordrengir W 2-039.0 924 981 35.56% 26.84% 37.60%+0.18 +15.8 20
2022-08-14 @ Grindavik L 0-239.0 981 924 37.60% 26.84% 35.56%-0.18 -15.8 18
2022-08-18 Grindavik W 4-349.0 1070 940 59.28% 23.56% 17.16%+1.49 +3.8 30
2022-08-18 @ Fjolnir L 3-449.0 940 1070 17.16% 23.56% 59.28%-1.49 -3.8 20
2022-08-18 Grotta L 0-137.6 866 1028 22.90% 25.49% 51.61%-0.55 -5.6 6
2022-08-18 @ Throttur Vogum W 1-037.6 1028 866 51.61% 25.49% 22.90%+0.55 +5.7 28
2022-08-18 IF Vestri W 4-032.1 965 938 47.16% 26.20% 26.64%+0.77 +23.0 21
2022-08-18 @ Kordrengir L 0-432.1 938 965 26.64% 26.20% 47.16%-0.77 -23.0 22
2022-08-18 KV Vesturbaejar W 4-138.4 925 898 47.20% 26.19% 26.61%+0.78 +14.8 25
2022-08-18 @ Afturelding L 1-438.4 898 925 26.61% 26.19% 47.20%-0.78 -14.8 11
2022-08-18 Selfoss W 4-348.7 1087 948 60.26% 23.24% 16.50%+1.55 +3.6 39
2022-08-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 3-448.7 948 1087 16.50% 23.24% 60.26%-1.55 -3.6 25
2022-08-23 Fjolnir W 4-145.6 915 1073 23.25% 25.57% 51.18%-0.53 +24.7 25
2022-08-23 @ IF Vestri L 1-445.6 1073 915 51.18% 25.57% 23.25%+0.53 -24.7 30
2022-08-23 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-239.4 1055 1091 38.65% 26.82% 34.53%+0.34 -16.1 37
2022-08-23 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-039.4 1091 1055 34.53% 26.82% 38.65%-0.34 +16.1 42
2022-08-23 Grindavik L 1-344.0 883 936 36.06% 26.85% 37.09%+0.21 -13.3 11
2022-08-23 @ KV Vesturbaejar W 3-144.0 936 883 37.09% 26.85% 36.06%-0.21 +13.3 23
2022-08-23 Kordrengir L 0-142.4 945 988 37.46% 26.84% 35.70%+0.28 -8.4 25
2022-08-23 @ Selfoss W 1-042.4 988 945 35.70% 26.84% 37.46%-0.28 +8.4 24
2022-08-23 Thor Akureyri W 1-036.5 1033 939 55.41% 24.65% 19.94%+1.24 +5.0 31
2022-08-23 @ Grotta L 0-136.5 939 1033 19.94% 24.65% 55.41%-1.24 -5.0 23
2022-08-23 Throttur Vogum W 4-030.1 940 860 53.70% 25.06% 21.25%+1.14 +18.9 28
2022-08-23 @ Afturelding L 0-430.1 860 940 21.25% 25.06% 53.70%-1.14 -18.9 6
2022-08-27 Afturelding D 0-048.1 934 959 40.06% 26.78% 33.16%+0.41 -0.3 24
2022-08-27 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-048.1 959 934 33.16% 26.78% 40.06%-0.41 +0.3 29
2022-08-27 Grotta W 5-135.2 1107 1038 52.32% 25.35% 22.33%+1.06 +16.5 45
2022-08-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-535.2 1038 1107 22.33% 25.35% 52.32%-1.06 -16.5 31
2022-08-27 HK Kopavogur L 1-344.5 997 1039 37.58% 26.84% 35.58%+0.28 -13.7 24
2022-08-27 @ Kordrengir W 3-144.5 1039 997 35.58% 26.84% 37.58%-0.28 +13.7 40
2022-08-27 IF Vestri D 2-257.2 950 940 44.87% 26.46% 28.68%+0.65 -0.5 24
2022-08-27 @ Grindavik D 2-257.2 940 950 28.68% 26.46% 44.87%-0.65 +0.5 26
2022-08-27 KV Vesturbaejar L 1-247.8 842 870 39.62% 26.80% 33.58%+0.38 -8.2 6
2022-08-27 @ Throttur Vogum W 2-147.8 870 842 33.58% 26.80% 39.62%-0.38 +8.2 14
2022-08-27 Selfoss W 4-135.4 1049 936 57.41% 24.12% 18.48%+1.37 +10.7 33
2022-08-27 @ Fjolnir L 1-435.4 936 1049 18.48% 24.12% 57.41%-1.37 -10.7 25
2022-09-02 Fjolnir W 3-142.4 1053 1059 42.68% 26.64% 30.68%+0.54 +11.8 43
2022-09-02 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-342.4 1059 1053 30.68% 26.64% 42.68%-0.54 -11.8 33
2022-09-02 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-234.2 960 1123 22.71% 25.44% 51.85%-0.56 -10.6 29
2022-09-02 @ Afturelding W 2-034.2 1123 960 51.85% 25.44% 22.71%+0.56 +10.6 48
2022-09-02 Kordrengir L 1-347.5 1022 983 48.69% 25.99% 25.32%+0.86 -16.8 31
2022-09-02 @ Grotta W 3-147.5 983 1022 25.32% 25.99% 48.69%-0.86 +16.8 27
2022-09-03 Grindavik L 0-337.3 926 949 40.31% 26.77% 32.92%+0.42 -24.2 25
2022-09-03 @ Selfoss W 3-037.3 949 926 32.92% 26.77% 40.31%-0.42 +24.2 27
2022-09-03 IF Vestri D 1-151.7 878 940 34.78% 26.83% 38.39%+0.15 +0.2 15
2022-09-03 @ KV Vesturbaejar D 1-151.7 940 878 38.39% 26.83% 34.78%-0.15 -0.1 27
2022-09-03 Thor Akureyri L 0-236.6 833 934 29.75% 26.56% 43.69%-0.12 -13.2 6
2022-09-03 @ Throttur Vogum W 2-036.6 934 833 43.69% 26.56% 29.75%+0.12 +13.2 27
2022-09-10 Afturelding W 4-031.2 1000 949 50.17% 25.75% 24.08%+0.94 +21.1 30
2022-09-10 @ Kordrengir L 0-431.2 949 1000 24.08% 25.75% 50.17%-0.94 -21.1 29
2022-09-10 Grotta L 0-145.6 1048 1005 49.11% 25.92% 24.97%+0.88 -10.3 33
2022-09-10 @ Fjolnir W 1-045.6 1005 1048 24.97% 25.92% 49.11%-0.88 +10.3 34
2022-09-10 HK Kopavogur W 4-357.5 973 1065 30.88% 26.65% 42.47%-0.06 +8.0 30
2022-09-10 @ Grindavik L 3-457.5 1065 973 42.47% 26.65% 30.88%+0.06 -8.0 43
2022-09-10 Selfoss D 2-257.4 940 901 48.65% 25.99% 25.35%+0.85 -0.8 28
2022-09-10 @ IF Vestri D 2-257.4 901 940 25.35% 25.99% 48.65%-0.85 +0.8 26
2022-09-10 Thor Akureyri W 1-042.9 878 947 33.90% 26.81% 39.30%+0.10 +8.7 18
2022-09-10 @ KV Vesturbaejar L 0-142.9 947 878 39.30% 26.81% 33.90%-0.10 -8.7 27
2022-09-10 Throttur Vogum W 4-023.4 1134 820 76.00% 16.18% 7.82%+2.78 +6.5 51
2022-09-10 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-423.4 820 1134 7.82% 16.18% 76.00%-2.78 -6.5 6
2022-09-17 Fjolnir L 1-537.4 928 1037 28.64% 26.45% 44.91%-0.18 -20.3 29
2022-09-17 @ Afturelding W 5-137.4 1037 928 44.91% 26.45% 28.64%+0.18 +20.3 36
2022-09-17 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-152.1 938 1140 19.25% 24.41% 56.34%-0.83 +11.0 30
2022-09-17 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-252.1 1140 938 56.34% 24.41% 19.25%+0.83 -10.9 51
2022-09-17 Grindavik W 3-140.7 1016 981 48.08% 26.07% 25.85%+0.82 +10.2 37
2022-09-17 @ Grotta L 1-340.7 981 1016 25.85% 26.07% 48.08%-0.82 -10.2 30
2022-09-17 IF Vestri W 2-140.4 1057 939 57.97% 23.96% 18.08%+1.40 +4.3 46
2022-09-17 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-240.4 939 1057 18.08% 23.96% 57.97%-1.40 -4.3 28
2022-09-17 Kordrengir L 0-330.1 814 1021 18.82% 24.25% 56.93%-0.87 -13.0 6
2022-09-17 @ Throttur Vogum W 3-030.1 1021 814 56.93% 24.25% 18.82%+0.87 +12.9 33
2022-09-17 KV Vesturbaejar W 2-036.0 902 887 45.61% 26.38% 28.01%+0.69 +12.6 29
2022-09-17 @ Selfoss L 0-236.0 887 902 28.01% 26.38% 45.61%-0.69 -12.6 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-06-16 15.55% Afturelding 844 1 @ Throttur Vogum 996 0
2 2022-06-18 15.88% IF Vestri 921 2 @ Fjolnir 1069 1
3 2022-07-22 18.86% Thor Akureyri 891 4 @ Kordrengir 998 2
4 2022-09-17 19.25% @ Thor Akureyri 938 2 Fylkir Reykjavik 1140 1
5 2022-05-05 20.59% Selfoss 915 3 @ HK Kopavogur 1002 2
6 2022-06-23 20.59% Fylkir Reykjavik 972 5 @ Grotta 1059 2
7 2022-07-05 22.44% IF Vestri 926 1 @ Selfoss 993 0
8 2022-08-23 23.25% @ IF Vestri 915 4 Fjolnir 1073 1
9 2022-08-14 23.41% @ Thor Akureyri 919 2 HK Kopavogur 1076 0
10 2022-07-16 23.55% Afturelding 882 4 @ IF Vestri 937 1
11 2022-07-26 23.99% Afturelding 915 4 @ Selfoss 967 1
12 2022-05-19 24.18% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 935 5 Fjolnir 1084 2
13 2022-07-21 24.69% Afturelding 906 5 @ Grindavik 951 4
14 2022-07-05 24.87% @ Afturelding 876 2 Kordrengir 1018 1
15 2022-09-10 24.97% Grotta 1005 1 @ Fjolnir 1048 0
16 2022-07-23 25.15% @ IF Vestri 913 3 Grotta 1053 1
17 2022-05-06 25.18% Fjolnir 1047 3 @ Throttur Vogum 1087 0
18 2022-09-02 25.32% Kordrengir 983 3 @ Grotta 1022 1
19 2022-05-12 25.34% @ Grindavik 921 3 Throttur Vogum 1059 0
20 2022-07-27 25.83% Thor Akureyri 908 2 @ Grindavik 942 1
21 2022-08-05 26.54% @ KV Vesturbaejar 902 2 Grotta 1030 1
22 2022-07-26 27.40% Fylkir Reykjavik 1054 2 @ Fjolnir 1075 0
23 2022-05-13 28.47% @ Selfoss 925 2 Grotta 1036 1
24 2022-06-30 28.59% @ Thor Akureyri 868 5 Throttur Vogum 978 0
25 2022-07-01 28.84% KV Vesturbaejar 932 4 @ IF Vestri 940 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-06-30 42.45 @ Thor Akureyri 5 868 28.59% Throttur Vogum 0 978 44.97% 26.45%
2 2022-05-27 33.27 @ Selfoss 4 934 30.35% Throttur Vogum 0 1029 43.04% 26.61%
3 2022-06-04 31.44 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 5 949 43.08% IF Vestri 0 952 30.31% 26.61%
4 2022-05-06 28.21 Fjolnir 3 1047 25.18% @ Throttur Vogum 0 1087 48.86% 25.96%
5 2022-05-12 28.12 @ Grindavik 3 921 25.34% Throttur Vogum 0 1059 48.67% 25.99%
6 2022-05-07 27.03 @ Grotta 5 1009 48.88% IF Vestri 0 968 25.16% 25.96%
7 2022-08-23 24.73 @ IF Vestri 4 915 23.25% Fjolnir 1 1073 51.18% 25.57%
8 2022-07-16 24.58 Afturelding 4 882 23.55% @ IF Vestri 1 937 50.81% 25.64%
9 2022-07-26 24.36 Afturelding 4 915 23.99% @ Selfoss 1 967 50.27% 25.73%
10 2022-09-03 24.20 Grindavik 3 949 32.92% @ Selfoss 0 926 40.31% 26.77%
11 2022-08-18 23.01 @ Kordrengir 4 965 47.16% IF Vestri 0 938 26.64% 26.20%
12 2022-06-23 22.59 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 972 20.59% @ Grotta 2 1059 54.55% 24.86%
13 2022-07-27 22.47 @ IF Vestri 4 930 48.04% Throttur Vogum 0 896 25.88% 26.08%
14 2022-07-21 22.16 @ Fjolnir 6 1052 59.82% Throttur Vogum 0 918 16.80% 23.39%
15 2022-07-05 21.97 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 993 37.77% @ Throttur Vogum 0 935 35.39% 26.84%
16 2022-09-10 21.13 @ Kordrengir 4 1000 50.17% Afturelding 0 949 24.08% 25.75%
17 2022-05-19 21.02 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 5 935 24.18% Fjolnir 2 1084 50.05% 25.77%
18 2022-09-17 20.33 Fjolnir 5 1037 44.91% @ Afturelding 1 928 28.64% 26.45%
19 2022-08-14 20.13 @ Thor Akureyri 2 919 23.41% HK Kopavogur 0 1076 50.99% 25.61%
20 2022-08-23 18.93 @ Afturelding 4 940 53.70% Throttur Vogum 0 860 21.25% 25.06%
21 2022-07-26 18.59 Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1054 27.40% @ Fjolnir 0 1075 46.30% 26.30%
22 2022-07-09 18.03 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1015 55.12% Thor Akureyri 0 923 20.16% 24.72%
23 2022-06-24 17.88 @ Afturelding 4 856 39.45% Thor Akureyri 1 886 33.75% 26.80%
24 2022-07-14 17.53 @ HK Kopavogur 4 1024 55.94% KV Vesturbaejar 0 925 19.54% 24.51%
25 2022-07-05 17.18 @ Grotta 4 1035 41.25% Fjolnir 1 1051 32.03% 26.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-05-28 62.0 @ IF Vestri 3 953 48.68% Thor Akureyri 3 914 25.34% 25.99%
2 2022-07-09 61.8 @ IF Vestri 3 937 31.39% HK Kopavogur 3 1025 41.92% 26.69%
3 2022-07-21 60.9 Afturelding 5 906 24.69% @ Grindavik 4 951 49.44% 25.87%
4 2022-07-01 58.0 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 995 58.32% Afturelding 2 874 17.83% 23.85%
5 2022-06-03 57.9 @ Afturelding 2 847 18.80% Grotta 2 1055 56.96% 24.24%
6 2022-09-10 57.5 @ Grindavik 4 973 30.88% HK Kopavogur 3 1065 42.47% 26.65%
7 2022-09-10 57.4 @ IF Vestri 2 940 48.65% Selfoss 2 901 25.35% 25.99%
8 2022-06-09 57.3 @ Grindavik 2 958 28.38% Fjolnir 2 1069 45.20% 26.42%
9 2022-06-09 57.2 @ Selfoss 2 982 43.83% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 980 29.62% 26.55%
10 2022-06-11 57.2 @ IF Vestri 2 921 30.29% Kordrengir 2 1017 43.10% 26.61%
11 2022-08-27 57.2 @ Grindavik 2 950 44.87% IF Vestri 2 940 28.68% 26.46%
12 2022-05-05 57.1 Selfoss 3 915 20.59% @ HK Kopavogur 2 1002 54.55% 24.86%
13 2022-07-01 57.1 @ Grindavik 2 957 38.49% Selfoss 2 993 34.68% 26.83%
14 2022-07-26 57.1 @ KV Vesturbaejar 2 902 32.53% Kordrengir 2 981 40.72% 26.75%
15 2022-07-22 54.1 Thor Akureyri 4 891 18.86% @ Kordrengir 2 998 56.88% 24.26%
16 2022-06-18 53.1 IF Vestri 2 921 15.88% @ Fjolnir 1 1069 61.19% 22.93%
17 2022-06-16 52.4 @ Kordrengir 4 1016 48.11% Selfoss 3 982 25.82% 26.07%
18 2022-05-13 52.2 @ Kordrengir 1 1007 52.91% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 934 21.86% 25.23%
19 2022-05-21 52.2 @ Throttur Vogum 1 1031 53.66% IF Vestri 1 951 21.28% 25.06%
20 2022-06-03 52.1 @ Kordrengir 1 1018 51.54% Grindavik 1 956 22.96% 25.50%
21 2022-09-17 52.1 @ Thor Akureyri 2 938 19.25% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1140 56.34% 24.41%
22 2022-05-27 52.0 @ Fjolnir 1 1063 49.58% Kordrengir 1 1017 24.57% 25.85%
23 2022-05-06 51.7 @ Afturelding 1 865 35.64% Grindavik 1 921 37.52% 26.84%
24 2022-05-20 51.7 @ Thor Akureyri 1 914 38.70% Grindavik 1 949 34.48% 26.82%
25 2022-05-20 51.7 @ Afturelding 1 855 32.45% Selfoss 1 934 40.81% 26.75%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-09-10 23.4 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1134 76.00% Throttur Vogum 0 820 7.82% 16.18%
2 2022-07-14 29.4 @ HK Kopavogur 4 1024 55.94% KV Vesturbaejar 0 925 19.54% 24.51%
3 2022-07-21 29.4 @ Fjolnir 6 1052 59.82% Throttur Vogum 0 918 16.80% 23.39%
4 2022-07-09 29.7 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1015 55.12% Thor Akureyri 0 923 20.16% 24.72%
5 2022-08-23 30.1 @ Afturelding 4 940 53.70% Throttur Vogum 0 860 21.25% 25.06%
6 2022-09-17 30.1 Kordrengir 3 1021 56.93% @ Throttur Vogum 0 814 18.82% 24.25%
7 2022-09-10 31.2 @ Kordrengir 4 1000 50.17% Afturelding 0 949 24.08% 25.75%
8 2022-05-27 31.6 @ HK Kopavogur 2 994 60.34% Afturelding 0 855 16.44% 23.21%
9 2022-07-27 31.8 @ IF Vestri 4 930 48.04% Throttur Vogum 0 896 25.88% 26.08%
10 2022-05-07 31.9 @ Grotta 5 1009 48.88% IF Vestri 0 968 25.16% 25.96%
11 2022-08-18 32.1 @ Kordrengir 4 965 47.16% IF Vestri 0 938 26.64% 26.20%
12 2022-07-14 32.3 @ Grotta 3 1036 49.58% Selfoss 0 990 24.57% 25.85%
13 2022-08-10 32.8 @ HK Kopavogur 4 1068 65.85% Throttur Vogum 1 874 13.00% 21.14%
14 2022-06-04 33.6 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 5 949 43.08% IF Vestri 0 952 30.31% 26.61%
15 2022-05-14 33.7 @ IF Vestri 2 941 53.30% Afturelding 0 865 21.55% 25.14%
16 2022-05-13 34.1 @ Fjolnir 4 1075 61.64% Thor Akureyri 1 923 15.59% 22.77%
17 2022-09-02 34.2 Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1123 51.85% @ Afturelding 0 960 22.71% 25.44%
18 2022-05-28 34.6 @ Grotta 5 1039 54.11% KV Vesturbaejar 1 956 20.93% 24.96%
19 2022-05-20 35.1 @ Kordrengir 2 1005 48.53% KV Vesturbaejar 0 968 25.46% 26.01%
20 2022-08-27 35.2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 5 1107 52.32% Grotta 1 1038 22.33% 25.35%
21 2022-08-27 35.4 @ Fjolnir 4 1049 57.41% Selfoss 1 936 18.48% 24.12%
22 2022-05-19 35.8 @ Grotta 2 1027 46.21% HK Kopavogur 0 1007 27.47% 26.31%
23 2022-07-05 35.8 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 993 37.77% @ Throttur Vogum 0 935 35.39% 26.84%
24 2022-09-17 36.0 @ Selfoss 2 902 45.61% KV Vesturbaejar 0 887 28.01% 26.38%
25 2022-07-09 36.5 @ Kordrengir 1 1008 55.47% Throttur Vogum 0 913 19.90% 24.63%