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2022-23 1. deild karla Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

IF Vestri

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

13.83 points above expected

49 points · 35.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aegir

16.26 points below expected

9 points · 25.26 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 22 15 4 3 49 54 31 +23 35.17 +13.83
2 Afturelding 22 13 4 5 43 60 33 +27 38.70 +4.30
3 Fjolnir 22 12 6 4 42 55 32 +23 38.95 +3.05
4 IF Vestri 22 11 6 5 39 37 26 +11 30.82 +8.18
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 11 2 9 35 47 37 +10 31.52 +3.48
6 Grindavik 22 8 4 10 28 27 38 -11 29.26 -1.26
7 Thor Akureyri 22 8 3 11 27 27 39 -12 25.01 +1.99
8 Throttur Reykjavik 22 7 5 10 26 45 46 -1 25.03 +0.97
9 Grotta 22 6 8 8 26 34 37 -3 32.63 -6.63
10 Njardvik 22 6 5 11 23 36 47 -11 24.68 -1.68
11 Selfoss 22 7 2 13 23 37 49 -12 28.22 -5.22
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 9 23 67 -44 25.26 -16.26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 49 35.17 +13.83
2 IF Vestri 39 30.82 +8.18
3 Afturelding 43 38.70 +4.30
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 35 31.52 +3.48
5 Fjolnir 42 38.95 +3.05

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aegir 9 25.26 -16.26
2 Grotta 26 32.63 -6.63
3 Selfoss 23 28.22 -5.22
4 Njardvik 23 24.68 -1.68
5 Grindavik 28 29.26 -1.26

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leiknir Reykjavik 6 Jul 12 – Aug 11 1 in 250
2 Njardvik 4 Jul 29 – Aug 16 1 in 107
3 IF Vestri 5 Aug 20 – Sep 16 1 in 80
4 IA Akranes 5 Jun 9 – Jul 7 1 in 51
5 Selfoss 3 Jul 25 – Aug 2 1 in 40

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aegir 6 May 21 – Jun 22 1 in 545
2 Leiknir Reykjavik 4 May 12 – Jun 2 1 in 77
3 Selfoss 5 Jun 16 – Jul 21 1 in 69
4 Grindavik 4 Jul 16 – Jul 29 1 in 29
5 Afturelding 2 Aug 26 – Aug 31 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Afturelding 13 May 5 – Jul 21 1 in 121
2 IA Akranes 8 Jun 9 – Jul 28 1 in 32
3 IF Vestri 6 Jul 8 – Aug 8 1 in 19
4 Fjolnir 8 May 5 – Jun 24 1 in 18
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 6 Jul 12 – Aug 11 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grotta 9 Jul 25 – Sep 1 1 in 66
2 Afturelding 4 Jul 28 – Aug 16 1 in 45
3 Grindavik 7 Jun 30 – Aug 2 1 in 43
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 7 May 12 – Jun 28 1 in 28
5 Njardvik 9 Jun 3 – Jul 21 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
IA Akranes 1244 49 +39 13 9.9 +3.1
Afturelding 1161 43 -46 6 8.7 -2.7
Fjolnir 1223 42 +48 12 8.5 +3.5
IF Vestri 1183 39 +99 15 7.8 +7.2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1193 35 +52 9 7.8 +1.2
Grindavik 962 28 -65 6 6.4 -0.4
Thor Akureyri 996 27 -26 4 5.9 -1.9
Throttur Reykjavik 1069 26 +64 8 5.4 +2.6
Grotta 1042 26 -19 5 7.2 -2.2
Selfoss 1008 23 -16 4 6.2 -2.2
Njardvik 1032 23 -25 3 5.4 -2.4
Aegir 837 9 -106 1 4.0 -3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AEG AFT FJO GRI GRO IA IV LR NJA SEL TA TR
Aegir —
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
2.36
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
2.03
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
1.58
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.79
0-0-2
2.79
0-1-1
3.08
Afturelding
2-0-0
4.19
 —
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.21
0-1-1
3.22
1-1-0
3.62
0-1-1
3.74
2-0-0
3.79
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
3.78
Fjolnir
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.78
 —
2-0-0
3.61
0-2-0
3.52
1-0-1
3.27
0-1-1
3.62
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
4.08
1-0-1
3.64
2-0-0
3.66
0-2-0
3.83
Grindavik
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.94
 —
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
3.16
0-0-2
3.10
Grotta
1-1-0
3.51
0-1-1
2.35
0-2-0
2.02
1-1-0
2.81
 —
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.68
0-1-1
3.34
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
3.50
 —
0-2-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.91
1-1-0
3.70
IF Vestri
1-0-1
3.76
0-1-1
1.92
1-1-0
1.93
0-1-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.40
0-2-0
2.45
 —
2-0-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.54
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.03
Leiknir Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.98
1-1-0
1.81
0-0-2
2.34
0-1-1
3.09
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.91
 —
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.03
2-0-0
3.06
Njardvik
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
1.48
1-0-1
2.33
0-1-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.48
 —
1-1-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.79
2-0-0
2.66
Selfoss
2-0-0
2.76
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
1.92
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.14
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.91
 —
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
3.13
Thor Akureyri
2-0-0
2.74
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.38
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
1.64
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.54
 —
1-0-1
2.94
Throttur Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
1.77
0-2-0
1.72
2-0-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.20
0-1-1
1.84
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
2.48
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.59
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +7.5
Allowed 0.79 -9.1
Differential 0.93 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%6.82%3.03%2.27%1.14%2.27%16.29%
16.82%7.58%8.33%5.30%1.52%1.52%31.06%
23.03%8.33%9.85%3.03%1.89%1.14%27.27%
32.27%5.30%3.03%1.52%1.14%0.76%14.02%
41.14%1.52%1.89%1.14%——5.68%
5+2.27%1.52%1.14%0.76%——5.68%
Total16.29%31.06%27.27%14.02%5.68%5.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.83 +0.00
SD 1.46 1.46 2.22
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%——4.55%13.64%27.27%
14.55%—4.55%22.73%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2—4.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%31.82%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%13.64%18.18%31.82%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 3.05 -2.00
SD 0.79 1.68 1.95
CV 0.75 0.55 —
Max 2 7 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
2—4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
34.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+9.09%—4.55%———13.64%
Total22.73%31.82%31.82%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 1.50 +1.23
SD 2.12 1.30 2.69
CV 0.78 0.87 —
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
113.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
2—13.64%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
3———9.09%4.55%—13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total22.73%40.91%13.64%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.45 +1.05
SD 1.60 1.26 2.06
CV 0.64 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%36.36%
19.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
29.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%27.27%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.73 -0.50
SD 1.57 1.52 2.37
CV 1.28 0.88 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
19.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
24.55%4.55%18.18%4.55%——31.82%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%27.27%27.27%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.68 -0.14
SD 1.14 1.17 1.64
CV 0.74 0.70 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
113.64%13.64%4.55%——4.55%36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
49.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total27.27%27.27%31.82%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.41 +1.05
SD 1.63 1.26 1.89
CV 0.66 0.89 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%———9.09%
19.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%22.73%13.64%———40.91%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%31.82%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.18 +0.50
SD 1.09 0.85 1.65
CV 0.65 0.72 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%————13.64%
14.55%—9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
24.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%36.36%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.68 +0.45
SD 1.49 1.29 2.15
CV 0.70 0.77 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—13.64%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%—9.09%—9.09%4.55%27.27%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%31.82%27.27%13.64%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.14 -0.50
SD 1.36 1.61 2.13
CV 0.83 0.75 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%———4.55%13.64%
14.55%4.55%22.73%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3—9.09%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%36.36%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.23 -0.55
SD 1.13 1.90 2.30
CV 0.67 0.85 —
Max 4 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.73%—9.09%4.55%4.55%40.91%
14.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
2—13.64%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%50.00%13.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.77 -0.55
SD 1.19 1.41 2.13
CV 0.97 0.80 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1—4.55%18.18%9.09%——31.82%
2—13.64%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%—9.09%22.73%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%31.82%22.73%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.09 -0.05
SD 1.17 1.44 1.81
CV 0.57 0.69 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IA Akranes 1244 49 35.17 +13.83 99.0% 26 28 31 34 39 46 51
Afturelding 1226 43 38.70 +4.30 80.0% 25 29 35 39 42 47 54
IF Vestri 1225 39 30.82 +8.18 90.0% 15 18 27 31 35 41 43
Fjolnir 1196 42 38.95 +3.05 69.0% 23 28 35 39 43 47 52
Leiknir Reykjavik 1113 35 31.52 +3.48 74.0% 19 21 28 32 36 40 46
Throttur Reykjavik 1069 26 25.03 +0.97 63.0% 10 16 20 25 29 36 37
Grotta 1042 26 32.63 -6.63 13.0% 18 21 28 33 37 43 45
Njardvik 1032 23 24.68 -1.68 38.0% 12 15 22 25 28 33 40
Selfoss 1008 23 28.22 -5.22 20.0% 15 19 24 28 32 38 46
Thor Akureyri 996 27 25.01 +1.99 64.0% 11 16 21 24 29 35 39
Grindavik 962 28 29.26 -1.26 43.0% 12 21 26 30 33 38 42
Aegir 837 9 25.26 -16.26 0.0% 12 16 21 25 29 34 36

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.12%
Slight Edge
46.21%19.70%34.09%
Elo Value
Home Edge
125 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
042.32400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
12%
IA Akranes, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.58 * Some Luck: 4.58 to 6.87 * Lucky: 6.87 to 9.16 * Wild Swing: 9.16 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.78 * Close: 1.78 to 2.66 * Off: 2.66 to 3.55 * Way Off: 3.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.31 points
Lucky
05.7214
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Close
02.225
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
IA Akranes
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Aegir
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 123.07
1.74
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.67
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.09
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.91
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.097
Well Within Noise
00.1370.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Afturelding 5
Leiknir Reykjavik 1

Leg 1: Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 Afturelding

Leg 2: Afturelding 3-0 Leiknir Reykjavik

IF Vestri 2
Fjolnir 1

Leg 1: IF Vestri 1-0 Fjolnir

Leg 2: Fjolnir 1-1 IF Vestri

Finals

IF Vestri 1
Afturelding 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
IA Akranes12.00%12.00%17.00%15.00%16.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%——
Afturelding31.00%30.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%————
Fjolnir40.00%17.00%20.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%—
IF Vestri4.00%6.00%14.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%5.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik4.00%10.00%9.00%16.00%9.00%15.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%
Grindavik—4.00%4.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%15.00%8.00%3.00%
Thor Akureyri—2.00%—10.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%13.00%14.00%15.00%23.00%
Throttur Reykjavik—2.00%3.00%1.00%8.00%3.00%10.00%8.00%18.00%13.00%12.00%22.00%
Grotta4.00%14.00%10.00%16.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%
Njardvik1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%14.00%18.00%19.00%15.00%18.00%
Selfoss4.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%16.00%3.00%
Aegir——3.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%11.00%21.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Afturelding 61.00% 39.00% —
Fjolnir 57.00% 42.00% 1.00%
IA Akranes 24.00% 76.00% —
Grotta 18.00% 75.00% 7.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 14.00% 79.00% 7.00%
IF Vestri 10.00% 82.00% 8.00%
Grindavik 4.00% 85.00% 11.00%
Selfoss 6.00% 75.00% 19.00%
Njardvik 2.00% 65.00% 33.00%
Throttur Reykjavik 2.00% 64.00% 34.00%
Thor Akureyri 2.00% 60.00% 38.00%
Aegir — 58.00% 42.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-05-05 Afturelding L 1-346.0 1060 1057 49.57% 23.25% 27.18%+0.36 -28.3 0
2023-05-05 @ Selfoss W 3-146.0 1057 1060 27.18% 23.25% 49.57%-0.36 +28.3 3
2023-05-05 Fjolnir L 0-145.1 1146 1110 53.49% 22.97% 23.54%+0.62 -18.5 0
2023-05-05 @ Aegir W 1-045.1 1110 1146 23.54% 22.97% 53.49%-0.62 +18.5 3
2023-05-05 Grindavik L 0-241.5 1097 1080 51.38% 23.14% 25.48%+0.48 -33.7 0
2023-05-05 @ IA Akranes W 2-041.5 1080 1097 25.48% 23.14% 51.38%-0.48 +33.7 3
2023-05-05 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-344.1 1031 1078 43.04% 23.51% 33.44%-0.04 -25.1 0
2023-05-05 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-144.1 1078 1031 33.44% 23.51% 43.04%+0.04 +25.1 3
2023-05-05 Njardvik D 1-151.6 1099 1050 55.08% 22.82% 22.10%+0.74 -2.6 1
2023-05-05 @ Grotta D 1-151.6 1050 1099 22.10% 22.82% 55.08%-0.74 +2.6 1
2023-05-06 IF Vestri W 2-141.5 1072 1067 49.86% 23.24% 26.90%+0.38 +10.0 3
2023-05-06 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-241.5 1067 1072 26.90% 23.24% 49.86%-0.38 -10.0 0
2023-05-11 Aegir D 2-256.3 1052 1127 39.17% 23.56% 37.27%-0.26 -0.1 2
2023-05-11 @ Njardvik D 2-256.3 1127 1052 37.27% 23.56% 39.17%+0.26 +0.1 1
2023-05-11 Throttur Reykjavik D 3-361.4 1129 1006 62.48% 21.80% 15.72%+1.33 -2.4 4
2023-05-11 @ Fjolnir D 3-361.4 1006 1129 15.72% 21.80% 62.48%-1.33 +2.4 1
2023-05-12 Grotta D 0-048.1 1114 1097 51.33% 23.14% 25.53%+0.48 -2.2 4
2023-05-12 @ Grindavik D 0-048.1 1097 1114 25.53% 23.14% 51.33%-0.48 +2.2 2
2023-05-12 Selfoss L 2-355.6 1103 1032 57.45% 22.56% 19.99%+0.91 -17.7 3
2023-05-12 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-255.6 1032 1103 19.99% 22.56% 57.45%-0.91 +17.7 3
2023-05-12 Thor Akureyri W 1-037.2 1086 1082 49.69% 23.25% 27.07%+0.37 +10.6 6
2023-05-12 @ Afturelding L 0-137.2 1082 1086 27.07% 23.25% 49.69%-0.37 -10.6 3
2023-05-13 IA Akranes D 2-256.4 1057 1064 48.44% 23.32% 28.25%+0.29 -1.2 1
2023-05-13 @ IF Vestri D 2-256.4 1064 1057 28.25% 23.32% 48.44%-0.29 +1.1 1
2023-05-20 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-037.9 1071 1085 47.46% 23.36% 29.17%+0.23 +11.3 6
2023-05-20 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-137.9 1085 1071 29.17% 23.36% 47.46%-0.23 -11.3 3
2023-05-21 Aegir W 3-144.2 1008 1127 32.99% 23.50% 43.51%-0.61 +25.3 4
2023-05-21 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-344.2 1127 1008 43.51% 23.50% 32.99%+0.61 -25.3 1
2023-05-21 Fjolnir L 1-245.2 1049 1126 38.83% 23.56% 37.61%-0.28 -13.4 3
2023-05-21 @ Selfoss W 2-145.2 1126 1049 37.61% 23.56% 38.83%+0.28 +13.4 7
2023-05-21 IF Vestri D 2-256.5 1099 1056 54.34% 22.89% 22.77%+0.68 -1.8 3
2023-05-21 @ Grotta D 2-256.5 1056 1099 22.77% 22.89% 54.34%-0.68 +1.9 2
2023-05-22 Afturelding D 1-151.4 1065 1096 45.13% 23.46% 31.41%+0.09 -1.0 2
2023-05-22 @ IA Akranes D 1-151.4 1096 1065 31.41% 23.46% 45.13%-0.09 +1.0 7
2023-05-22 Njardvik W 1-035.3 1111 1052 56.14% 22.71% 21.15%+0.81 +8.6 7
2023-05-22 @ Grindavik L 0-135.3 1052 1111 21.15% 22.71% 56.14%-0.81 -8.6 2
2023-05-26 Afturelding L 2-353.3 1097 1097 49.18% 23.28% 27.54%+0.34 -15.4 3
2023-05-26 @ Grotta W 3-253.3 1097 1097 27.54% 23.28% 49.18%-0.34 +15.4 10
2023-05-26 IA Akranes L 2-353.7 1074 1064 50.53% 23.19% 26.27%+0.42 -15.8 3
2023-05-26 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-253.7 1064 1074 26.27% 23.19% 50.53%-0.42 +15.8 5
2023-05-26 Selfoss L 1-348.0 1102 1036 56.86% 22.63% 20.51%+0.87 -32.0 1
2023-05-26 @ Aegir W 3-148.0 1036 1102 20.51% 22.63% 56.86%-0.87 +32.0 6
2023-05-26 Thor Akureyri W 6-030.3 1140 1083 55.93% 22.73% 21.34%+0.80 +45.6 10
2023-05-26 @ Fjolnir L 0-630.3 1083 1140 21.34% 22.73% 55.93%-0.80 -45.6 6
2023-05-26 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-139.0 1044 1034 50.49% 23.20% 26.31%+0.42 +17.0 5
2023-05-26 @ Njardvik L 1-339.0 1034 1044 26.31% 23.20% 50.49%-0.42 -17.0 4
2023-05-27 Grindavik L 0-238.5 1058 1120 40.95% 23.55% 35.50%-0.16 -27.9 2
2023-05-27 @ IF Vestri W 2-038.5 1120 1058 35.50% 23.55% 40.95%+0.16 +27.9 10
2023-06-01 Afturelding L 0-339.9 1148 1113 53.46% 22.97% 23.56%+0.62 -50.7 10
2023-06-01 @ Grindavik W 3-039.9 1113 1148 23.56% 22.97% 53.46%-0.62 +50.7 13
2023-06-01 Fjolnir L 1-244.0 1079 1185 34.74% 23.54% 41.72%-0.51 -12.3 5
2023-06-01 @ IA Akranes W 2-144.0 1185 1079 41.72% 23.54% 34.74%+0.51 +12.3 13
2023-06-01 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-139.9 1068 1017 55.32% 22.80% 21.88%+0.75 +8.4 9
2023-06-01 @ Selfoss L 1-239.9 1017 1068 21.88% 22.80% 55.32%-0.75 -8.4 4
2023-06-02 Aegir W 3-140.6 1037 1070 45.00% 23.46% 31.54%+0.08 +19.7 9
2023-06-02 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-340.6 1070 1037 31.54% 23.46% 45.00%-0.08 -19.7 1
2023-06-02 Leiknir Reykjavik W 5-135.0 1082 1058 52.07% 23.09% 24.84%+0.53 +29.6 6
2023-06-02 @ Grotta L 1-535.0 1058 1082 24.84% 23.09% 52.07%-0.53 -29.6 3
2023-06-03 Njardvik W 2-035.5 1030 1061 45.27% 23.45% 31.28%+0.09 +22.6 5
2023-06-03 @ IF Vestri L 0-235.5 1061 1030 31.28% 23.45% 45.27%-0.09 -22.6 5
2023-06-08 Grotta D 2-256.8 1198 1111 59.01% 22.36% 18.63%+1.03 -2.4 14
2023-06-08 @ Fjolnir D 2-256.8 1111 1198 18.63% 22.36% 59.01%-1.03 +2.4 7
2023-06-08 Selfoss D 1-151.4 1038 1076 44.22% 23.48% 32.30%+0.03 -0.9 6
2023-06-08 @ Njardvik D 1-151.4 1076 1038 32.30% 23.48% 44.22%-0.03 +0.9 10
2023-06-09 IA Akranes L 0-143.3 1050 1067 47.06% 23.38% 29.55%+0.20 -16.6 1
2023-06-09 @ Aegir W 1-043.3 1067 1050 29.55% 23.38% 47.06%-0.20 +16.6 8
2023-06-10 Grindavik D 2-256.3 1029 1097 40.07% 23.56% 36.37%-0.21 -0.2 4
2023-06-10 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-256.3 1097 1029 36.37% 23.56% 40.07%+0.21 +0.2 11
2023-06-10 IF Vestri W 3-135.7 1164 1053 61.37% 22.00% 16.64%+1.23 +11.4 16
2023-06-10 @ Afturelding L 1-335.7 1053 1164 16.64% 22.00% 61.37%-1.23 -11.4 5
2023-06-10 Thor Akureyri W 3-034.1 1008 1057 42.81% 23.52% 33.67%-0.05 +34.8 7
2023-06-10 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-334.1 1057 1008 33.67% 23.52% 42.81%+0.05 -34.8 9
2023-06-15 Aegir W 2-139.0 1114 1034 58.34% 22.45% 19.21%+0.98 +7.5 10
2023-06-15 @ Grotta L 1-239.0 1034 1114 19.21% 22.45% 58.34%-0.98 -7.5 1
2023-06-15 Fjolnir L 0-140.0 1097 1195 35.85% 23.55% 40.60%-0.45 -13.3 11
2023-06-15 @ Grindavik W 1-040.0 1195 1097 40.60% 23.55% 35.85%+0.45 +13.3 17
2023-06-16 Njardvik W 7-232.7 1175 1037 63.78% 21.56% 14.67%+1.44 +18.9 19
2023-06-16 @ Afturelding L 2-732.7 1037 1175 14.67% 21.56% 63.78%-1.44 -18.9 6
2023-06-16 Selfoss W 2-143.9 1022 1077 41.91% 23.53% 34.56%-0.10 +12.2 12
2023-06-16 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-243.9 1077 1022 34.56% 23.53% 41.91%+0.10 -12.2 10
2023-06-16 Throttur Reykjavik W 6-341.3 1084 1043 54.12% 22.91% 22.97%+0.67 +17.2 11
2023-06-16 @ IA Akranes L 3-641.3 1043 1084 22.97% 22.91% 54.12%-0.67 -17.2 7
2023-06-22 Grindavik L 1-343.7 1026 1084 41.54% 23.54% 34.92%-0.12 -24.4 1
2023-06-22 @ Aegir W 3-143.7 1084 1026 34.92% 23.54% 41.54%+0.12 +24.4 14
2023-06-22 Grotta W 2-145.6 1026 1121 36.24% 23.56% 40.21%-0.42 +13.7 10
2023-06-22 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-245.6 1121 1026 40.21% 23.56% 36.24%+0.42 -13.7 10
2023-06-23 Afturelding D 2-256.5 1029 1194 27.18% 23.25% 49.57%-0.99 +1.3 5
2023-06-23 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-256.5 1194 1029 49.57% 23.25% 27.18%+0.99 -1.3 20
2023-06-23 IA Akranes L 3-455.7 1065 1101 44.58% 23.47% 31.95%+0.05 -13.8 10
2023-06-23 @ Selfoss W 4-355.7 1101 1065 31.95% 23.47% 44.58%-0.05 +13.8 14
2023-06-24 IF Vestri D 1-152.1 1209 1041 66.24% 21.02% 12.74%+1.68 -4.5 18
2023-06-24 @ Fjolnir D 1-152.1 1041 1209 12.74% 21.02% 66.24%-1.68 +4.4 6
2023-06-24 Thor Akureyri D 2-256.4 1018 1034 47.19% 23.38% 29.44%+0.21 -1.0 7
2023-06-24 @ Njardvik D 2-256.4 1034 1018 29.44% 23.38% 47.19%-0.21 +1.0 13
2023-06-28 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-036.8 1046 1030 51.19% 23.15% 25.66%+0.47 +10.2 9
2023-06-28 @ IF Vestri L 0-136.8 1030 1046 25.66% 23.15% 51.19%-0.47 -10.2 5
2023-06-28 Selfoss W 1-035.4 1107 1051 55.80% 22.75% 21.45%+0.79 +8.7 13
2023-06-28 @ Grotta L 0-135.4 1051 1107 21.45% 22.75% 55.80%-0.79 -8.8 10
2023-06-29 Fjolnir W 4-351.1 1192 1204 47.75% 23.35% 28.89%+0.25 +9.8 23
2023-06-29 @ Afturelding L 3-451.1 1204 1192 28.89% 23.35% 47.75%-0.25 -9.8 18
2023-06-29 Thor Akureyri W 4-028.6 1115 1035 58.28% 22.45% 19.26%+0.98 +28.5 17
2023-06-29 @ IA Akranes L 0-428.6 1035 1115 19.26% 22.45% 58.28%-0.98 -28.5 13
2023-06-30 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-250.4 1108 1039 57.19% 22.59% 20.22%+0.89 -18.6 14
2023-06-30 @ Grindavik W 2-150.4 1039 1108 20.22% 22.59% 57.19%-0.89 +18.6 13
2023-07-02 Aegir L 1-250.0 1056 1002 55.61% 22.77% 21.62%+0.77 -18.1 9
2023-07-02 @ IF Vestri W 2-150.0 1002 1056 21.62% 22.77% 55.61%-0.77 +18.1 4
2023-07-02 Njardvik W 3-032.1 1020 1017 49.54% 23.26% 27.21%+0.36 +29.3 8
2023-07-02 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-332.1 1017 1020 27.21% 23.26% 49.54%-0.36 -29.3 7
2023-07-06 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-132.7 1194 1049 64.44% 21.42% 14.14%+1.51 +13.8 21
2023-07-06 @ Fjolnir L 1-432.7 1049 1194 14.14% 21.42% 64.44%-1.51 -13.8 8
2023-07-07 Afturelding L 1-436.6 1020 1202 25.20% 23.12% 51.68%-1.12 -23.2 4
2023-07-07 @ Aegir W 4-136.6 1202 1020 51.68% 23.12% 25.20%+1.12 +23.2 26
2023-07-07 Njardvik W 2-136.9 1143 988 65.25% 21.25% 13.50%+1.58 +5.4 20
2023-07-07 @ IA Akranes L 1-236.9 988 1143 13.50% 21.25% 65.25%-1.58 -5.4 7
2023-07-08 IF Vestri L 1-248.9 1058 1038 51.73% 23.11% 25.16%+0.50 -17.0 13
2023-07-08 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-148.9 1038 1058 25.16% 23.11% 51.73%-0.50 +17.0 12
2023-07-12 Aegir W 3-245.4 1035 997 53.86% 22.94% 23.20%+0.65 +8.4 11
2023-07-12 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-345.4 997 1035 23.20% 22.94% 53.86%-0.65 -8.4 4
2023-07-12 Fjolnir D 1-151.6 983 1208 20.77% 22.66% 56.57%-1.47 +2.8 8
2023-07-12 @ Njardvik D 1-151.6 1208 983 56.57% 22.66% 20.77%+1.47 -2.8 22
2023-07-12 Thor Akureyri D 1-151.7 1090 1007 58.64% 22.41% 18.95%+1.00 -3.2 15
2023-07-12 @ Grindavik D 1-151.7 1007 1090 18.95% 22.41% 58.64%-1.00 +3.2 14
2023-07-12 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-031.9 1225 1041 67.56% 20.69% 11.75%+1.82 +5.0 29
2023-07-12 @ Afturelding L 0-131.9 1041 1225 11.75% 20.69% 67.56%-1.82 -5.0 13
2023-07-16 Afturelding L 1-337.4 1010 1230 21.27% 22.73% 56.01%-1.43 -14.2 14
2023-07-16 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-137.4 1230 1010 56.01% 22.73% 21.27%+1.43 +14.2 32
2023-07-16 Fjolnir D 2-256.5 1036 1205 26.71% 23.22% 50.06%-1.02 +1.3 14
2023-07-16 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-256.5 1205 1036 50.06% 23.22% 26.71%+1.02 -1.3 23
2023-07-16 Grindavik W 2-033.3 1116 1087 52.80% 23.03% 24.17%+0.58 +18.3 16
2023-07-16 @ Grotta L 0-233.3 1087 1116 24.17% 23.03% 52.80%-0.58 -18.3 15
2023-07-16 IF Vestri D 1-151.8 1149 1055 59.73% 22.25% 18.02%+1.09 -3.4 21
2023-07-16 @ IA Akranes D 1-151.8 1055 1149 18.02% 22.25% 59.73%-1.09 +3.4 13
2023-07-16 Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-450.4 1043 1044 49.12% 23.28% 27.60%+0.33 -25.1 10
2023-07-16 @ Selfoss W 4-250.4 1044 1043 27.60% 23.28% 49.12%-0.33 +25.1 14
2023-07-16 Njardvik W 1-037.2 988 985 49.59% 23.25% 27.16%+0.36 +10.7 7
2023-07-16 @ Aegir L 0-137.2 985 988 27.16% 23.25% 49.59%-0.36 -10.7 8
2023-07-20 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-245.7 1069 1037 53.01% 23.01% 23.98%+0.59 +8.6 17
2023-07-20 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-345.7 1037 1069 23.98% 23.01% 53.01%-0.59 -8.6 14
2023-07-21 Aegir W 5-130.0 1204 999 69.08% 20.27% 10.65%+1.98 +13.5 26
2023-07-21 @ Fjolnir L 1-530.0 999 1204 10.65% 20.27% 69.08%-1.98 -13.5 7
2023-07-21 Grotta L 1-339.5 975 1134 27.85% 23.29% 48.85%-0.94 -17.8 8
2023-07-21 @ Njardvik W 3-139.5 1134 975 48.85% 23.29% 27.85%+0.94 +17.8 19
2023-07-21 IA Akranes L 0-237.9 1068 1145 38.86% 23.56% 37.58%-0.28 -26.8 15
2023-07-21 @ Grindavik W 2-037.9 1145 1068 37.58% 23.56% 38.86%+0.28 +26.8 24
2023-07-21 Selfoss W 9-028.0 1245 1017 70.62% 19.80% 9.58%+2.16 +31.3 35
2023-07-21 @ Afturelding L 0-928.0 1017 1245 9.58% 19.80% 70.62%-2.16 -31.3 10
2023-07-22 Thor Akureyri W 1-035.2 1058 996 56.48% 22.67% 20.85%+0.84 +8.5 16
2023-07-22 @ IF Vestri L 0-135.2 996 1058 20.85% 22.67% 56.48%-0.84 -8.5 14
2023-07-25 Grindavik W 2-036.5 986 1042 41.89% 23.53% 34.57%-0.10 +24.4 13
2023-07-25 @ Selfoss L 0-236.5 1042 986 34.57% 23.53% 41.89%+0.10 -24.4 15
2023-07-25 Grotta W 3-146.0 987 1152 27.24% 23.26% 49.50%-0.98 +28.3 17
2023-07-25 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-346.0 1152 987 49.50% 23.26% 27.24%+0.98 -28.3 19
2023-07-27 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-256.3 985 1029 43.54% 23.50% 32.96%-0.01 -0.6 8
2023-07-27 @ Aegir D 2-256.3 1029 985 32.96% 23.50% 43.54%+0.01 +0.6 15
2023-07-28 IA Akranes L 2-550.8 1276 1172 60.71% 22.10% 17.18%+1.17 -41.7 35
2023-07-28 @ Afturelding W 5-250.8 1172 1276 17.18% 22.10% 60.71%-1.17 +41.7 27
2023-07-29 Grindavik W 4-139.7 957 1017 41.22% 23.54% 35.24%-0.14 +30.4 11
2023-07-29 @ Njardvik L 1-439.7 1017 957 35.24% 23.54% 41.22%+0.14 -30.4 15
2023-07-29 Grotta W 3-034.5 1067 1124 41.63% 23.54% 34.83%-0.12 +35.7 19
2023-07-29 @ IF Vestri L 0-334.5 1124 1067 34.83% 23.54% 41.63%+0.12 -35.7 19
2023-07-29 Selfoss L 2-455.6 1217 1011 69.21% 20.23% 10.56%+2.00 -34.4 26
2023-07-29 @ Fjolnir W 4-255.6 1011 1217 10.56% 20.23% 69.21%-2.00 +34.4 16
2023-07-29 Thor Akureyri W 1-035.2 1077 1016 56.42% 22.68% 20.90%+0.83 +8.5 20
2023-07-29 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-135.2 1016 1077 20.90% 22.68% 56.42%-0.83 -8.5 17
2023-08-02 Aegir W 3-137.2 1045 985 56.26% 22.70% 21.04%+0.82 +14.0 19
2023-08-02 @ Selfoss L 1-337.2 985 1045 21.04% 22.70% 56.26%-0.82 -14.0 8
2023-08-02 Fjolnir L 0-136.9 1007 1183 25.93% 23.17% 50.90%-1.07 -10.3 17
2023-08-02 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-036.9 1183 1007 50.90% 23.17% 25.93%+1.07 +10.3 29
2023-08-02 Grotta D 1-152.1 1234 1088 64.50% 21.41% 14.09%+1.51 -4.2 36
2023-08-02 @ Afturelding D 1-152.1 1088 1234 14.09% 21.41% 64.50%-1.51 +4.2 20
2023-08-02 IF Vestri D 1-151.3 987 1102 33.45% 23.51% 43.04%-0.59 +0.7 16
2023-08-02 @ Grindavik D 1-151.3 1102 987 43.04% 23.51% 33.45%+0.59 -0.7 20
2023-08-02 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-546.1 1214 1086 62.91% 21.73% 15.37%+1.36 -64.2 27
2023-08-02 @ IA Akranes W 5-146.1 1086 1214 15.37% 21.73% 62.91%-1.36 +64.2 23
2023-08-02 Njardvik L 3-554.5 1029 987 54.27% 22.90% 22.83%+0.68 -25.9 15
2023-08-02 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 5-354.5 987 1029 22.83% 22.90% 54.27%-0.68 +25.9 14
2023-08-08 IA Akranes L 1-343.7 1092 1149 41.65% 23.54% 34.81%-0.12 -24.5 20
2023-08-08 @ Grotta W 3-143.7 1149 1092 34.81% 23.54% 41.65%+0.12 +24.5 30
2023-08-08 Selfoss W 2-140.2 1102 1059 54.32% 22.90% 22.79%+0.68 +8.7 23
2023-08-08 @ IF Vestri L 1-240.2 1059 1102 22.79% 22.90% 54.32%-0.68 -8.7 19
2023-08-10 Grindavik L 1-253.8 1230 987 71.64% 19.46% 8.90%+2.29 -22.9 36
2023-08-10 @ Afturelding W 2-153.8 987 1230 8.90% 19.46% 71.64%-2.29 +22.9 19
2023-08-11 Grotta W 2-138.9 1150 1068 58.57% 22.42% 19.01%+1.00 +7.4 26
2023-08-11 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-238.9 1068 1150 19.01% 22.42% 58.57%-1.00 -7.4 20
2023-08-11 IA Akranes L 0-144.7 1193 1174 51.64% 23.12% 25.24%+0.50 -18.0 29
2023-08-11 @ Fjolnir W 1-044.7 1174 1193 25.24% 23.12% 51.64%-0.50 +18.0 33
2023-08-11 Thor Akureyri L 2-352.3 971 997 45.89% 23.43% 30.68%+0.13 -14.5 8
2023-08-11 @ Aegir W 3-252.3 997 971 30.68% 23.43% 45.89%-0.13 +14.5 20
2023-08-12 IF Vestri W 2-038.3 1013 1110 35.98% 23.55% 40.46%-0.44 +27.6 17
2023-08-12 @ Njardvik L 0-238.3 1110 1013 40.46% 23.55% 35.98%+0.44 -27.6 23
2023-08-12 Selfoss W 4-352.3 1004 1050 43.07% 23.51% 33.42%-0.04 +11.0 18
2023-08-12 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 3-452.3 1050 1004 33.42% 23.51% 43.07%+0.04 -11.0 19
2023-08-16 Aegir W 4-024.7 1192 956 71.18% 19.62% 9.21%+2.23 +13.9 36
2023-08-16 @ IA Akranes L 0-424.7 956 1192 9.21% 19.62% 71.18%-2.23 -13.9 8
2023-08-16 Afturelding D 2-256.4 1083 1207 32.25% 23.48% 44.27%-0.66 +0.7 24
2023-08-16 @ IF Vestri D 2-256.4 1207 1083 44.27% 23.48% 32.25%+0.66 -0.7 37
2023-08-16 Fjolnir D 3-361.0 1060 1175 33.52% 23.51% 42.97%-0.58 +0.4 21
2023-08-16 @ Grotta D 3-361.0 1175 1060 42.97% 23.51% 33.52%+0.58 -0.4 30
2023-08-16 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-043.3 1010 1157 29.37% 23.37% 47.26%-0.84 +16.6 22
2023-08-16 @ Grindavik L 0-143.3 1157 1010 47.26% 23.37% 29.37%+0.84 -16.6 26
2023-08-16 Njardvik L 2-353.3 1039 1041 49.05% 23.28% 27.66%+0.33 -15.4 19
2023-08-16 @ Selfoss W 3-253.3 1041 1039 27.66% 23.28% 49.05%-0.33 +15.4 20
2023-08-16 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-141.8 1011 1015 48.83% 23.30% 27.87%+0.31 +10.3 23
2023-08-16 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-241.8 1015 1011 27.87% 23.30% 48.83%-0.31 -10.3 18
2023-08-20 Afturelding L 1-242.2 1056 1207 28.96% 23.35% 47.68%-0.87 -10.6 20
2023-08-20 @ Njardvik W 2-142.2 1207 1056 47.68% 23.35% 28.96%+0.87 +10.6 40
2023-08-20 IA Akranes D 1-151.5 1004 1206 23.17% 22.93% 53.90%-1.28 +2.4 19
2023-08-20 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-151.5 1206 1004 53.90% 22.93% 23.17%+1.28 -2.4 37
2023-08-20 IF Vestri L 1-250.1 1141 1083 55.97% 22.73% 21.30%+0.80 -18.2 26
2023-08-20 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-150.1 1083 1141 21.30% 22.73% 55.97%-0.80 +18.2 27
2023-08-20 Thor Akureyri D 2-256.4 1024 1022 49.54% 23.26% 27.20%+0.36 -1.3 20
2023-08-20 @ Selfoss D 2-256.4 1022 1024 27.20% 23.26% 49.54%-0.36 +1.3 24
2023-08-21 Grindavik W 5-131.3 1175 1027 64.66% 21.38% 13.97%+1.53 +17.6 33
2023-08-21 @ Fjolnir L 1-531.3 1027 1175 13.97% 21.38% 64.66%-1.53 -17.6 22
2023-08-21 Grotta D 2-256.3 942 1061 33.05% 23.50% 43.44%-0.61 +0.6 9
2023-08-21 @ Aegir D 2-256.3 1061 942 43.44% 23.50% 33.05%+0.61 -0.6 22
2023-08-25 Aegir W 7-234.7 1009 943 56.93% 22.62% 20.45%+0.87 +25.6 25
2023-08-25 @ Grindavik L 2-734.7 943 1009 20.45% 22.62% 56.93%-0.87 -25.6 9
2023-08-25 Njardvik L 0-337.9 1023 1046 46.32% 23.41% 30.27%+0.16 -44.8 24
2023-08-25 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-037.9 1046 1023 30.27% 23.41% 46.32%-0.16 +44.8 23
2023-08-25 Selfoss W 1-032.0 1203 1023 67.27% 20.76% 11.97%+1.79 +5.1 40
2023-08-25 @ IA Akranes L 0-132.0 1023 1203 11.97% 20.76% 67.27%-1.79 -5.1 20
2023-08-25 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-256.6 1060 1007 55.55% 22.77% 21.68%+0.77 -2.0 23
2023-08-25 @ Grotta D 2-256.6 1007 1060 21.68% 22.77% 55.55%-0.77 +2.0 20
2023-08-26 Fjolnir W 3-143.2 1102 1193 36.83% 23.56% 39.61%-0.39 +23.5 30
2023-08-26 @ IF Vestri L 1-343.2 1193 1102 39.61% 23.56% 36.83%+0.39 -23.5 33
2023-08-26 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-243.9 1217 1123 59.80% 22.24% 17.95%+1.10 -38.7 40
2023-08-26 @ Afturelding W 2-043.9 1123 1217 17.95% 22.24% 59.80%-1.10 +38.7 29
2023-08-31 Afturelding W 4-244.4 1169 1178 48.06% 23.34% 28.61%+0.26 +16.3 36
2023-08-31 @ Fjolnir L 2-444.4 1178 1169 28.61% 23.34% 48.06%-0.26 -16.3 40
2023-08-31 Grindavik W 5-032.5 1009 1035 45.84% 23.43% 30.73%+0.13 +52.1 23
2023-08-31 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-532.5 1035 1009 30.73% 23.43% 45.84%-0.13 -52.1 25
2023-09-01 Grotta W 1-039.0 1018 1058 43.92% 23.49% 32.59%+0.01 +12.4 23
2023-09-01 @ Selfoss L 0-139.0 1058 1018 32.59% 23.49% 43.92%-0.01 -12.4 23
2023-09-02 IA Akranes L 2-344.5 978 1208 20.33% 22.61% 57.07%-1.51 -7.5 24
2023-09-02 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-244.5 1208 978 57.07% 22.61% 20.33%+1.51 +7.5 43
2023-09-02 IF Vestri L 0-529.9 917 1125 22.52% 22.87% 54.61%-1.33 -40.2 9
2023-09-02 @ Aegir W 5-029.9 1125 917 54.61% 22.87% 22.52%+1.33 +40.2 33
2023-09-02 Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-447.7 1090 1161 39.69% 23.56% 36.75%-0.23 -21.1 23
2023-09-02 @ Njardvik W 4-247.7 1161 1090 36.75% 23.56% 39.69%+0.23 +21.1 32
2023-09-09 Aegir W 5-024.0 1162 877 74.26% 18.49% 7.26%+2.63 +13.4 43
2023-09-09 @ Afturelding L 0-524.0 877 1162 7.26% 18.49% 74.26%-2.63 -13.4 9
2023-09-09 Fjolnir L 1-248.3 1182 1185 48.87% 23.29% 27.84%+0.32 -16.1 32
2023-09-09 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-148.3 1185 1182 27.84% 23.29% 48.87%-0.32 +16.1 39
2023-09-09 IA Akranes L 2-444.6 1069 1216 29.43% 23.38% 47.19%-0.84 -16.7 23
2023-09-09 @ Njardvik W 4-244.6 1216 1069 47.19% 23.38% 29.43%+0.84 +16.7 46
2023-09-09 Selfoss W 2-143.5 983 1030 43.04% 23.51% 33.45%-0.04 +11.9 28
2023-09-09 @ Grindavik L 1-243.5 1030 983 33.45% 23.51% 43.04%+0.04 -11.9 23
2023-09-09 Thor Akureyri W 1-034.8 1046 971 57.86% 22.51% 19.63%+0.94 +8.1 26
2023-09-09 @ Grotta L 0-134.8 971 1046 19.63% 22.51% 57.86%-0.94 -8.1 24
2023-09-09 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-138.3 1165 1061 60.77% 22.09% 17.14%+1.18 +6.7 36
2023-09-09 @ IF Vestri L 1-238.3 1061 1165 17.14% 22.09% 60.77%-1.18 -6.8 23
2023-09-16 Afturelding W 2-146.7 1054 1176 32.64% 23.49% 43.86%-0.64 +14.7 26
2023-09-16 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-246.7 1176 1054 43.86% 23.49% 32.64%+0.64 -14.7 43
2023-09-16 Grindavik W 3-033.4 963 995 45.05% 23.46% 31.49%+0.08 +33.0 27
2023-09-16 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-333.4 995 963 31.49% 23.46% 45.05%-0.08 -33.0 28
2023-09-16 Grotta W 4-132.0 1233 1054 67.11% 20.80% 12.08%+1.77 +11.8 49
2023-09-16 @ IA Akranes L 1-432.0 1054 1233 12.08% 20.80% 67.11%-1.77 -11.8 26
2023-09-16 IF Vestri L 1-242.0 1018 1172 28.53% 23.33% 48.14%-0.90 -10.5 23
2023-09-16 @ Selfoss W 2-142.0 1172 1018 48.14% 23.33% 28.53%+0.90 +10.5 39
2023-09-16 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-527.1 864 1166 14.51% 21.52% 63.97%-2.09 -27.0 9
2023-09-16 @ Aegir W 5-027.1 1166 864 63.97% 21.52% 14.51%+2.09 +27.0 35
2023-09-16 Njardvik W 4-026.7 1201 1053 64.73% 21.36% 13.91%+1.53 +21.0 42
2023-09-16 @ Fjolnir L 0-426.7 1053 1201 13.91% 21.36% 64.73%-1.53 -21.1 23

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2023-09-20 Afturelding L 1-248.3 1176 1178 48.95% 23.29% 27.76%+0.32 -16.2 0-1
2023-09-20 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-148.3 1178 1176 27.76% 23.29% 48.95%-0.32 +16.1 1-0
2023-09-20 Fjolnir W 1-038.2 1195 1210 47.29% 23.37% 29.34%+0.22 +11.4 1-0
2023-09-20 @ IF Vestri L 0-138.2 1210 1195 29.34% 23.37% 47.29%-0.22 -11.4 0-1
2023-09-20 Afturelding L 1-248.3 1193 1161 53.16% 23.00% 23.84%+0.60 -17.4 0-2
2023-09-20 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-148.3 1161 1193 23.84% 23.00% 53.16%-0.60 +17.4 2-0
2023-09-20 Fjolnir W 1-038.2 1183 1223 44.01% 23.49% 32.51%+0.02 +12.3 2-0
2023-09-20 @ IF Vestri L 0-138.2 1223 1183 32.51% 23.49% 44.01%-0.02 -12.3 0-2
2023-09-24 IF Vestri D 1-151.6 1197 1208 47.91% 23.34% 28.75%+0.26 -1.5 0-2-1
2023-09-24 @ Fjolnir D 1-151.6 1208 1197 28.75% 23.34% 47.91%-0.26 +1.5 2-0-1
2023-09-24 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-029.4 1220 1134 59.01% 22.36% 18.63%+1.03 +21.1 3-0
2023-09-24 @ Afturelding L 0-329.4 1134 1220 18.63% 22.36% 59.01%-1.03 -21.1 0-3
2023-09-24 IF Vestri D 1-151.6 1199 1206 48.30% 23.32% 28.38%+0.28 -1.5 0-2-2
2023-09-24 @ Fjolnir D 1-151.6 1206 1199 28.38% 23.32% 48.30%-0.28 +1.5 2-0-2
2023-09-24 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-029.4 1194 1160 53.41% 22.98% 23.61%+0.62 +26.0 4-0
2023-09-24 @ Afturelding L 0-329.4 1160 1194 23.61% 22.98% 53.41%-0.62 -26.0 0-4
2023-09-30 Afturelding W 1-042.3 1209 1241 33.71% 23.52% 42.77%-0.26 +15.3 3-0-2
2023-09-30 @ IF Vestri L 0-142.3 1241 1209 42.77% 23.52% 33.71%+0.26 -15.3 4-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-08-10 8.90% Grindavik 987 2 @ Afturelding 1230 1
2 2023-07-29 10.56% Selfoss 1011 4 @ Fjolnir 1217 2
3 2023-08-02 15.37% Leiknir Reykjavik 1086 5 @ IA Akranes 1214 1
4 2023-07-28 17.18% IA Akranes 1172 5 @ Afturelding 1276 2
5 2023-08-26 17.95% Leiknir Reykjavik 1123 2 @ Afturelding 1217 0
6 2023-05-12 19.99% Selfoss 1032 3 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1103 2
7 2023-06-30 20.22% Throttur Reykjavik 1039 2 @ Grindavik 1108 1
8 2023-05-26 20.51% Selfoss 1036 3 @ Aegir 1102 1
9 2023-08-20 21.30% IF Vestri 1083 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1141 1
10 2023-07-02 21.62% Aegir 1002 2 @ IF Vestri 1056 1
11 2023-08-02 22.83% Njardvik 987 5 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1029 3
12 2023-05-05 23.54% Fjolnir 1110 1 @ Aegir 1146 0
13 2023-06-01 23.56% Afturelding 1113 3 @ Grindavik 1148 0
14 2023-07-08 25.16% IF Vestri 1038 2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1058 1
15 2023-08-11 25.24% IA Akranes 1174 1 @ Fjolnir 1193 0
16 2023-05-05 25.48% Grindavik 1080 2 @ IA Akranes 1097 0
17 2023-05-26 26.27% IA Akranes 1064 3 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1074 2
18 2023-05-05 27.18% Afturelding 1057 3 @ Selfoss 1060 1
19 2023-07-25 27.24% @ Thor Akureyri 987 3 Grotta 1152 1
20 2023-05-26 27.54% Afturelding 1097 3 @ Grotta 1097 2
21 2023-07-16 27.60% Leiknir Reykjavik 1044 4 @ Selfoss 1043 2
22 2023-08-16 27.66% Njardvik 1041 3 @ Selfoss 1039 2
23 2023-09-20 * 27.76% Afturelding 1178 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1176 1
24 2023-09-09 27.84% Fjolnir 1185 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1182 1
25 2023-08-16 29.37% @ Grindavik 1010 1 Leiknir Reykjavik 1157 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-08-02 64.24 Leiknir Reykjavik 5 1086 15.37% @ IA Akranes 1 1214 62.91% 21.73%
2 2023-08-31 52.07 @ Throttur Reykjavik 5 1009 45.84% Grindavik 0 1035 30.73% 23.43%
3 2023-06-01 50.74 Afturelding 3 1113 23.56% @ Grindavik 0 1148 53.46% 22.97%
4 2023-05-26 45.59 @ Fjolnir 6 1140 55.93% Thor Akureyri 0 1083 21.34% 22.73%
5 2023-08-25 44.76 Njardvik 3 1046 30.27% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1023 46.32% 23.41%
6 2023-07-28 41.67 IA Akranes 5 1172 17.18% @ Afturelding 2 1276 60.71% 22.10%
7 2023-09-02 40.23 IF Vestri 5 1125 54.61% @ Aegir 0 917 22.52% 22.87%
8 2023-08-26 38.74 Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1123 17.95% @ Afturelding 0 1217 59.80% 22.24%
9 2023-07-29 35.70 @ IF Vestri 3 1067 41.63% Grotta 0 1124 34.83% 23.54%
10 2023-06-10 34.77 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1008 42.81% Thor Akureyri 0 1057 33.67% 23.52%
11 2023-07-29 34.37 Selfoss 4 1011 10.56% @ Fjolnir 2 1217 69.21% 20.23%
12 2023-05-05 33.72 Grindavik 2 1080 25.48% @ IA Akranes 0 1097 51.38% 23.14%
13 2023-09-16 32.98 @ Thor Akureyri 3 963 45.05% Grindavik 0 995 31.49% 23.46%
14 2023-05-26 32.01 Selfoss 3 1036 20.51% @ Aegir 1 1102 56.86% 22.63%
15 2023-07-21 31.27 @ Afturelding 9 1245 70.62% Selfoss 0 1017 9.58% 19.80%
16 2023-07-29 30.38 @ Njardvik 4 957 41.22% Grindavik 1 1017 35.24% 23.54%
17 2023-06-02 29.56 @ Grotta 5 1082 52.07% Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1058 24.84% 23.09%
18 2023-07-02 29.29 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1020 49.54% Njardvik 0 1017 27.21% 23.26%
19 2023-06-29 28.46 @ IA Akranes 4 1115 58.28% Thor Akureyri 0 1035 19.26% 22.45%
20 2023-05-05 28.29 Afturelding 3 1057 27.18% @ Selfoss 1 1060 49.57% 23.25%
21 2023-07-25 28.26 @ Thor Akureyri 3 987 27.24% Grotta 1 1152 49.50% 23.26%
22 2023-05-27 27.87 Grindavik 2 1120 35.50% @ IF Vestri 0 1058 40.95% 23.55%
23 2023-08-12 27.60 @ Njardvik 2 1013 35.98% IF Vestri 0 1110 40.46% 23.55%
24 2023-09-16 27.01 Leiknir Reykjavik 5 1166 63.97% @ Aegir 0 864 14.51% 21.52%
25 2023-07-21 26.75 IA Akranes 2 1145 37.58% @ Grindavik 0 1068 38.86% 23.56%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-05-11 61.4 @ Fjolnir 3 1129 62.48% Throttur Reykjavik 3 1006 15.72% 21.80%
2 2023-08-16 61.0 @ Grotta 3 1060 33.52% Fjolnir 3 1175 42.97% 23.51%
3 2023-06-08 56.8 @ Fjolnir 2 1198 59.01% Grotta 2 1111 18.63% 22.36%
4 2023-08-25 56.6 @ Grotta 2 1060 55.55% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1007 21.68% 22.77%
5 2023-05-21 56.5 @ Grotta 2 1099 54.34% IF Vestri 2 1056 22.77% 22.89%
6 2023-06-23 56.5 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1029 27.18% Afturelding 2 1194 49.57% 23.25%
7 2023-07-16 56.5 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1036 26.71% Fjolnir 2 1205 50.06% 23.22%
8 2023-05-13 56.4 @ IF Vestri 2 1057 48.44% IA Akranes 2 1064 28.25% 23.32%
9 2023-06-24 56.4 @ Njardvik 2 1018 47.19% Thor Akureyri 2 1034 29.44% 23.38%
10 2023-08-16 56.4 @ IF Vestri 2 1083 32.25% Afturelding 2 1207 44.27% 23.48%
11 2023-08-20 56.4 @ Selfoss 2 1024 49.54% Thor Akureyri 2 1022 27.20% 23.26%
12 2023-05-11 56.3 @ Njardvik 2 1052 39.17% Aegir 2 1127 37.27% 23.56%
13 2023-06-10 56.3 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1029 40.07% Grindavik 2 1097 36.37% 23.56%
14 2023-07-27 56.3 @ Aegir 2 985 43.54% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1029 32.96% 23.50%
15 2023-08-21 56.3 @ Aegir 2 942 33.05% Grotta 2 1061 43.44% 23.50%
16 2023-06-23 55.7 IA Akranes 4 1101 31.95% @ Selfoss 3 1065 44.58% 23.47%
17 2023-05-12 55.6 Selfoss 3 1032 19.99% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1103 57.45% 22.56%
18 2023-07-29 55.6 Selfoss 4 1011 10.56% @ Fjolnir 2 1217 69.21% 20.23%
19 2023-08-02 54.5 Njardvik 5 987 22.83% @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1029 54.27% 22.90%
20 2023-08-10 53.8 Grindavik 2 987 8.90% @ Afturelding 1 1230 71.64% 19.46%
21 2023-05-26 53.7 IA Akranes 3 1064 26.27% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1074 50.53% 23.19%
22 2023-05-26 53.3 Afturelding 3 1097 27.54% @ Grotta 2 1097 49.18% 23.28%
23 2023-08-16 53.3 Njardvik 3 1041 27.66% @ Selfoss 2 1039 49.05% 23.28%
24 2023-08-11 52.3 Thor Akureyri 3 997 30.68% @ Aegir 2 971 45.89% 23.43%
25 2023-08-12 52.3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1004 43.07% Selfoss 3 1050 33.42% 23.51%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-09-09 24.0 @ Afturelding 5 1162 74.26% Aegir 0 877 7.26% 18.49%
2 2023-08-16 24.7 @ IA Akranes 4 1192 71.18% Aegir 0 956 9.21% 19.62%
3 2023-09-16 26.7 @ Fjolnir 4 1201 64.73% Njardvik 0 1053 13.91% 21.36%
4 2023-09-16 27.1 Leiknir Reykjavik 5 1166 63.97% @ Aegir 0 864 14.51% 21.52%
5 2023-07-21 28.0 @ Afturelding 9 1245 70.62% Selfoss 0 1017 9.58% 19.80%
6 2023-06-29 28.6 @ IA Akranes 4 1115 58.28% Thor Akureyri 0 1035 19.26% 22.45%
7 2023-09-24 * 29.4 @ Afturelding 3 1220 59.01% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1134 18.63% 22.36%
8 2023-09-02 29.9 IF Vestri 5 1125 54.61% @ Aegir 0 917 22.52% 22.87%
9 2023-07-21 30.0 @ Fjolnir 5 1204 69.08% Aegir 1 999 10.65% 20.27%
10 2023-05-26 30.3 @ Fjolnir 6 1140 55.93% Thor Akureyri 0 1083 21.34% 22.73%
11 2023-08-21 31.3 @ Fjolnir 5 1175 64.66% Grindavik 1 1027 13.97% 21.38%
12 2023-07-12 31.9 @ Afturelding 1 1225 67.56% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1041 11.75% 20.69%
13 2023-08-25 32.0 @ IA Akranes 1 1203 67.27% Selfoss 0 1023 11.97% 20.76%
14 2023-09-16 32.0 @ IA Akranes 4 1233 67.11% Grotta 1 1054 12.08% 20.80%
15 2023-07-02 32.1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1020 49.54% Njardvik 0 1017 27.21% 23.26%
16 2023-08-31 32.5 @ Throttur Reykjavik 5 1009 45.84% Grindavik 0 1035 30.73% 23.43%
17 2023-06-16 32.7 @ Afturelding 7 1175 63.78% Njardvik 2 1037 14.67% 21.56%
18 2023-07-06 32.7 @ Fjolnir 4 1194 64.44% Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1049 14.14% 21.42%
19 2023-07-16 33.3 @ Grotta 2 1116 52.80% Grindavik 0 1087 24.17% 23.03%
20 2023-09-16 33.4 @ Thor Akureyri 3 963 45.05% Grindavik 0 995 31.49% 23.46%
21 2023-06-10 34.1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1008 42.81% Thor Akureyri 0 1057 33.67% 23.52%
22 2023-07-29 34.5 @ IF Vestri 3 1067 41.63% Grotta 0 1124 34.83% 23.54%
23 2023-08-25 34.7 @ Grindavik 7 1009 56.93% Aegir 2 943 20.45% 22.62%
24 2023-09-09 34.8 @ Grotta 1 1046 57.86% Thor Akureyri 0 971 19.63% 22.51%
25 2023-06-02 35.0 @ Grotta 5 1082 52.07% Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1058 24.84% 23.09%