Home / Leagues / Iceland / 1. deild karla / 2023-24
‹ ›

2023-24 1. deild karla Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Afturelding

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IR Reykjavik

10.72 points above expected

35 points · 24.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dalvik Reynir

15.36 points below expected

13 points · 28.36 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 11 6 5 39 50 27 +23 37.96 +1.04
2 Keflavik IF 22 10 8 4 38 37 24 +13 32.28 +5.72
3 Fjolnir 22 10 7 5 37 34 28 +6 38.99 -1.99
4 Afturelding 22 11 3 8 36 39 36 +3 33.56 +2.44
5 IR Reykjavik 22 9 8 5 35 30 28 +2 24.28 +10.72
6 Njardvik 22 8 9 5 33 34 29 +5 31.30 +1.70
7 Throttur Reykjavik 22 8 6 8 30 37 31 +6 29.89 +0.11
8 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 28 33 34 -1 29.94 -1.94
9 Grindavik 22 6 8 8 26 40 46 -6 26.16 -0.16
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 8 8 26 32 38 -6 27.31 -1.31
11 Grotta 22 4 4 14 16 31 50 -19 25.66 -9.66
12 Dalvik Reynir 22 2 7 13 13 23 49 -26 28.36 -15.36

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IR Reykjavik 35 24.28 +10.72
2 Keflavik IF 38 32.28 +5.72
3 Afturelding 36 33.56 +2.44
4 Njardvik 33 31.30 +1.70
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 39 37.96 +1.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dalvik Reynir 13 28.36 -15.36
2 Grotta 16 25.66 -9.66
3 Fjolnir 37 38.99 -1.99
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 28 29.94 -1.94
5 Thor Akureyri 26 27.31 -1.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Afturelding 4 Aug 14 – Aug 30 1 in 73
2 Throttur Reykjavik 4 Jun 30 – Jul 20 1 in 53
3 Grindavik 3 Jun 15 – Jun 26 1 in 43
4 Keflavik IF 5 Jul 11 – Aug 8 1 in 37
5 Njardvik 3 May 3 – May 18 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grotta 7 Jun 13 – Jul 18 1 in 372
2 Dalvik Reynir 6 Aug 14 – Sep 14 1 in 92
3 Leiknir Reykjavik 4 May 25 – Jun 15 1 in 48
4 Grindavik 5 Jul 12 – Aug 8 1 in 41
5 Fjolnir 2 Aug 22 – Aug 31 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IR Reykjavik 8 Jul 25 – Sep 8 1 in 79
2 Grindavik 7 May 10 – Jun 26 1 in 75
3 Leiknir Reykjavik 8 Jul 30 – Sep 14 1 in 58
4 Throttur Reykjavik 6 Jun 30 – Jul 31 1 in 24
5 Grotta 6 May 3 – Jun 7 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dalvik Reynir 14 May 9 – Jul 31 1 in 962
2 Fjolnir 7 Jul 26 – Aug 31 1 in 179
3 Grotta 9 Jun 1 – Jul 18 1 in 44
4 Thor Akureyri 8 Jul 20 – Aug 31 1 in 25
5 Afturelding 4 May 3 – May 25 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1353 39 -2 7 10.1 -3.1
Keflavik IF 1279 38 +43 10 7.6 +2.4
Fjolnir 1219 37 -45 4 8.5 -4.5
Afturelding 1247 36 +46 12 7.0 +5.0
IR Reykjavik 1161 35 -3 8 6.9 +1.1
Njardvik 1182 33 -14 6 7.2 -1.2
Throttur Reykjavik 1204 30 +4 7 7.4 -0.4
Leiknir Reykjavik 1186 28 +43 11 7.1 +3.9
Thor Akureyri 1112 26 +3 8 6.4 +1.6
Grindavik 1127 26 +31 6 5.9 +0.1
Grotta 1039 16 -8 3 4.1 -1.1
Dalvik Reynir 1016 13 -98 0 5.2 -5.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AFT DR FJO GRI GRO IV IR KI LR NJA TA TR
Afturelding —
2-0-0
3.04
0-0-2
2.57
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.48
0-0-2
3.00
1-1-0
3.08
2-0-0
2.71
0-0-2
3.49
2-0-0
3.01
Dalvik Reynir
0-0-2
2.49
 —
0-2-0
1.99
0-0-2
3.16
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.24
0-2-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.43
0-1-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.86
0-0-2
2.09
Fjolnir
2-0-0
2.96
0-2-0
3.57
 —
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
4.08
0-1-1
2.87
0-0-2
4.03
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.58
Grindavik
0-1-1
2.14
2-0-0
2.37
0-0-2
1.70
 —
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
1.61
0-1-1
2.93
0-1-1
1.89
1-1-0
2.47
1-1-0
2.30
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.58
Grotta
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.49
1-1-0
2.82
 —
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
2.62
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
2.43
0-1-1
2.35
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
3.95
2-0-0
3.79
 —
0-2-0
4.05
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
3.91
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.45
IR Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.06
0-2-0
2.37
2-0-0
1.54
1-1-0
2.60
2-0-0
2.93
0-2-0
1.52
 —
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.14
0-2-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.36
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
2.53
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
2.42
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
3.32
 —
1-1-0
3.25
0-2-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.22
0-1-1
3.23
Leiknir Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
3.12
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
3.06
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
1.65
1-0-1
3.06
0-1-1
2.28
 —
0-0-2
2.77
2-0-0
2.87
2-0-0
2.52
Njardvik
0-0-2
2.83
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.60
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
3.42
0-2-0
2.54
2-0-0
2.78
 —
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
2.91
Thor Akureyri
2-0-0
2.05
2-0-0
2.68
0-1-1
1.66
0-1-1
3.03
2-0-0
3.10
0-1-1
1.98
0-2-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
2.67
0-1-1
2.34
 —
0-1-1
2.58
Throttur Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.52
2-0-0
3.45
0-1-1
1.97
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.09
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.31
0-0-2
3.02
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.96
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.42 +8.4
Allowed 0.83 -8.5
Differential 0.89 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%7.20%0.76%4.55%0.38%1.52%21.21%
17.20%14.39%5.30%5.68%1.14%1.89%35.61%
20.76%5.30%7.58%3.79%1.14%1.14%19.70%
34.55%5.68%3.79%0.76%0.76%—15.53%
40.38%1.14%1.14%0.76%——3.41%
5+1.52%1.89%1.14%———4.55%
Total21.21%35.61%19.70%15.53%3.41%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.35 1.35 1.98
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%18.18%——27.27%
19.09%13.64%—4.55%——27.27%
2—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%13.64%27.27%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.64 +0.14
SD 1.60 1.22 2.21
CV 0.90 0.74 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
1—13.64%4.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%45.45%
2——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
3—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%18.18%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.23 -1.18
SD 1.00 1.74 1.71
CV 0.96 0.78 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%———4.55%—22.73%
118.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%45.45%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total40.91%18.18%27.27%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.27 +0.27
SD 1.53 1.42 1.93
CV 0.99 1.12 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%—4.55%18.18%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
2——22.73%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%31.82%22.73%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.09 -0.27
SD 1.56 1.44 2.49
CV 0.86 0.69 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
14.55%9.09%18.18%18.18%4.55%—54.55%
2—4.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%27.27%36.36%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.27 -0.86
SD 0.91 1.16 1.39
CV 0.64 0.51 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
19.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
2—9.09%13.64%9.09%——31.82%
313.64%—————13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total36.36%22.73%22.73%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.23 +1.05
SD 1.55 1.15 2.17
CV 0.68 0.94 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—9.09%—4.55%22.73%
19.09%27.27%————36.36%
2—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%59.09%9.09%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.27 +0.09
SD 1.05 1.16 1.90
CV 0.77 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%———4.55%27.27%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%36.36%18.18%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.09 +0.59
SD 1.46 1.23 1.99
CV 0.87 1.13 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%22.73%———4.55%31.82%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
2—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%54.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.55 -0.05
SD 1.41 1.30 1.73
CV 0.94 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%————22.73%
19.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
2—4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
39.09%—9.09%———18.18%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%27.27%22.73%—9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.32 +0.23
SD 1.30 1.46 1.72
CV 0.84 1.11 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
1—27.27%4.55%——9.09%40.91%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%50.00%18.18%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.73 -0.27
SD 1.10 1.35 1.93
CV 0.76 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%————18.18%
19.09%18.18%4.55%9.09%——40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total18.18%45.45%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.41 +0.27
SD 1.49 1.10 1.78
CV 0.89 0.78 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1353 39 37.96 +1.04 62.0% 23 28 34 38 42 46 55
Keflavik IF 1273 38 32.28 +5.72 80.0% 17 20 28 33 37 42 44
Afturelding 1272 36 33.56 +2.44 73.0% 11 25 31 33 37 42 46
Fjolnir 1206 37 38.99 -1.99 42.0% 26 29 35 39 43 48 53
Throttur Reykjavik 1204 30 29.89 +0.11 53.0% 14 20 26 30 33 38 48
Leiknir Reykjavik 1186 28 29.94 -1.94 42.0% 19 20 25 29 34 39 49
Njardvik 1182 33 31.30 +1.70 66.0% 14 21 28 31 36 41 48
IR Reykjavik 1156 35 24.28 +10.72 99.0% 10 15 20 24 29 34 38
Grindavik 1127 26 26.16 -0.16 49.0% 12 14 21 27 31 35 39
Thor Akureyri 1112 26 27.31 -1.31 45.0% 15 19 24 27 31 35 39
Grotta 1039 16 25.66 -9.66 5.0% 12 16 21 25 30 38 44
Dalvik Reynir 1016 13 28.36 -15.36 0.0% 17 18 23 28 33 37 44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.94%
Slight Edge
44.70%29.55%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
202 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
066.61600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.8 * Some Luck: 4.8 to 7.2 * Lucky: 7.2 to 9.6 * Wild Swing: 9.6 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.93 * Close: 1.93 to 2.9 * Off: 2.9 to 3.87 * Way Off: 3.87 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.39 points
Some Luck
06.0015
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Pinpoint
02.425
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
IR Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Dalvik Reynir
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 95.72
1.41
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.40
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.31 * Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.
Probability calibration
0.20
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.69
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.065
Well Within Noise
00.1540.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Keflavik IF 6
IR Reykjavik 4

Leg 1: IR Reykjavik 1-4 Keflavik IF

Leg 2: Keflavik IF 2-3 IR Reykjavik

Afturelding 3
Fjolnir 1

Leg 1: Afturelding 3-1 Fjolnir

Leg 2: Fjolnir 0-0 Afturelding

Finals

Afturelding 1
Keflavik IF 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
IBV Vestmannaeyjar30.00%24.00%15.00%8.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Keflavik IF10.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%
Fjolnir37.00%19.00%16.00%10.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%———
Afturelding6.00%13.00%13.00%14.00%23.00%12.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%—2.00%
IR Reykjavik—1.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%13.00%19.00%16.00%21.00%
Njardvik6.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%11.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%
Throttur Reykjavik3.00%2.00%6.00%12.00%7.00%21.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik3.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%14.00%6.00%
Grindavik—4.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%20.00%
Thor Akureyri1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%14.00%5.00%12.00%9.00%15.00%16.00%14.00%5.00%
Grotta3.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%14.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%23.00%
Dalvik Reynir1.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Fjolnir 56.00% 29.00% 15.00% —
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 54.00% 34.00% 11.00% 1.00%
Afturelding 19.00% 50.00% 29.00% 2.00%
Keflavik IF 24.00% 31.00% 37.00% 8.00%
Njardvik 14.00% 29.00% 50.00% 7.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 12.00% 23.00% 45.00% 20.00%
Throttur Reykjavik 5.00% 25.00% 56.00% 14.00%
Dalvik Reynir 5.00% 23.00% 50.00% 22.00%
Thor Akureyri 2.00% 22.00% 57.00% 19.00%
Grindavik 4.00% 14.00% 49.00% 33.00%
Grotta 4.00% 11.00% 48.00% 37.00%
IR Reykjavik 1.00% 9.00% 53.00% 37.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-05-01 Fjolnir L 2-346.7 1104 1249 26.25% 23.07% 50.68%-0.38 -7.0 0
2024-05-01 @ Grindavik W 3-246.7 1249 1104 50.68% 23.07% 26.25%+0.38 +7.0 3
2024-05-03 Grotta D 1-152.6 1267 1154 58.96% 22.03% 19.00%+0.89 -2.4 1
2024-05-03 @ Afturelding D 1-152.6 1154 1267 19.00% 22.03% 58.96%-0.89 +2.4 1
2024-05-03 IR Reykjavik L 1-250.9 1180 1075 58.17% 22.17% 19.66%+0.85 -14.3 0
2024-05-03 @ Keflavik IF W 2-150.9 1075 1180 19.66% 22.17% 58.17%-0.85 +14.3 3
2024-05-03 Njardvik L 1-249.3 1197 1147 51.83% 22.97% 25.21%+0.58 -12.9 0
2024-05-03 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-149.3 1147 1197 25.21% 22.97% 51.83%-0.58 +12.8 3
2024-05-03 Thor Akureyri D 1-152.1 1170 1125 51.24% 23.02% 25.74%+0.55 -1.5 1
2024-05-03 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1125 1170 25.74% 23.02% 51.24%-0.55 +1.5 1
2024-05-04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-140.9 1224 1229 44.88% 23.43% 31.69%+0.31 +15.0 3
2024-05-04 @ Dalvik Reynir L 1-340.9 1229 1224 31.69% 23.43% 44.88%-0.31 -15.0 0
2024-05-09 Afturelding W 4-250.4 1127 1265 26.94% 23.13% 49.93%-0.35 +19.3 4
2024-05-09 @ Thor Akureyri L 2-450.4 1265 1127 49.93% 23.13% 26.94%+0.35 -19.3 1
2024-05-09 Dalvik Reynir W 3-036.6 1160 1239 34.40% 23.52% 42.08%-0.06 +31.3 6
2024-05-09 @ Njardvik L 0-336.6 1239 1160 42.08% 23.52% 34.40%+0.06 -31.3 3
2024-05-10 IR Reykjavik D 1-152.0 1097 1089 46.58% 23.35% 30.07%+0.37 -0.9 1
2024-05-10 @ Grindavik D 1-152.0 1089 1097 30.07% 23.35% 46.58%-0.37 +1.0 4
2024-05-10 Keflavik IF W 1-038.8 1156 1166 44.11% 23.46% 32.43%+0.28 +9.3 4
2024-05-10 @ Grotta L 0-138.8 1166 1156 32.43% 23.46% 44.11%-0.28 -9.3 0
2024-05-10 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-035.9 1256 1184 54.34% 22.70% 22.96%+0.68 +7.0 6
2024-05-10 @ Fjolnir L 0-135.9 1184 1256 22.96% 22.70% 54.34%-0.68 -7.0 0
2024-05-10 Throttur Reykjavik W 4-243.1 1214 1169 51.21% 23.02% 25.76%+0.55 +11.3 3
2024-05-10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-443.1 1169 1214 25.76% 23.02% 51.21%-0.55 -11.3 1
2024-05-18 Fjolnir D 0-048.4 1208 1263 37.82% 23.56% 38.62%+0.06 +0.0 4
2024-05-18 @ Dalvik Reynir D 0-048.4 1263 1208 38.62% 23.56% 37.82%-0.06 -0.0 7
2024-05-18 IR Reykjavik W 1-035.1 1178 1090 56.20% 22.46% 21.34%+0.76 +6.6 3
2024-05-18 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-135.1 1090 1178 21.34% 22.46% 56.20%-0.76 -6.6 4
2024-05-18 Njardvik L 0-141.3 1158 1192 40.75% 23.55% 35.71%+0.16 -11.2 1
2024-05-18 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-041.3 1192 1158 35.71% 23.55% 40.75%-0.16 +11.2 9
2024-05-20 Grotta D 2-257.2 1096 1166 35.76% 23.55% 40.70%-0.01 +0.2 2
2024-05-20 @ Grindavik D 2-257.2 1166 1096 40.70% 23.55% 35.76%+0.01 -0.2 5
2024-05-20 Thor Akureyri D 1-152.4 1225 1146 55.23% 22.59% 22.18%+0.72 -2.0 4
2024-05-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-152.4 1146 1225 22.18% 22.59% 55.23%-0.72 +2.0 5
2024-05-21 Afturelding W 3-037.0 1157 1246 33.09% 23.48% 43.42%-0.11 +32.1 3
2024-05-21 @ Keflavik IF L 0-337.0 1246 1157 43.42% 23.48% 33.09%+0.11 -32.2 1
2024-05-23 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-136.5 1263 1146 59.26% 21.98% 18.76%+0.90 +9.5 10
2024-05-23 @ Fjolnir L 1-336.5 1146 1263 18.76% 21.98% 59.26%-0.90 -9.5 1
2024-05-25 Dalvik Reynir D 1-152.1 1083 1208 28.52% 23.25% 48.23%-0.29 +1.1 5
2024-05-25 @ IR Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1208 1083 48.23% 23.25% 28.52%+0.29 -1.1 5
2024-05-25 Grindavik D 1-152.5 1214 1097 59.32% 21.97% 18.71%+0.91 -2.5 2
2024-05-25 @ Afturelding D 1-152.5 1097 1214 18.71% 21.97% 59.32%-0.91 +2.5 3
2024-05-25 Keflavik IF D 1-152.0 1148 1189 39.76% 23.56% 36.69%+0.13 -0.2 6
2024-05-25 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-152.0 1189 1148 36.69% 23.56% 39.76%-0.13 +0.2 4
2024-05-25 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-352.2 1166 1184 42.92% 23.50% 33.58%+0.24 +8.4 8
2024-05-25 @ Grotta L 3-452.2 1184 1166 33.58% 23.50% 42.92%-0.24 -8.4 3
2024-05-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-048.3 1203 1223 42.69% 23.51% 33.81%+0.23 -0.6 10
2024-05-26 @ Njardvik D 0-048.3 1223 1203 33.81% 23.51% 42.69%-0.23 +0.5 5
2024-05-31 Afturelding L 0-141.3 1176 1211 40.57% 23.55% 35.88%+0.15 -11.1 3
2024-05-31 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-041.3 1211 1176 35.88% 23.55% 40.57%-0.15 +11.1 5
2024-05-31 IR Reykjavik W 5-031.1 1137 1084 52.13% 22.94% 24.93%+0.59 +33.2 4
2024-05-31 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-531.1 1084 1137 24.93% 22.94% 52.13%-0.59 -33.2 5
2024-05-31 Keflavik IF D 2-257.3 1099 1189 32.92% 23.48% 43.60%-0.12 +0.4 4
2024-05-31 @ Grindavik D 2-257.3 1189 1099 43.60% 23.48% 32.92%+0.12 -0.4 5
2024-05-31 Thor Akureyri W 5-134.9 1202 1148 52.37% 22.91% 24.71%+0.60 +22.2 13
2024-05-31 @ Njardvik L 1-534.9 1148 1202 24.71% 22.91% 52.37%-0.60 -22.2 6
2024-06-01 Fjolnir D 2-257.6 1224 1272 38.68% 23.56% 37.76%+0.09 -0.0 6
2024-06-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-257.6 1272 1224 37.76% 23.56% 38.68%-0.09 +0.0 11
2024-06-01 Grotta D 2-257.5 1207 1174 49.75% 23.15% 27.10%+0.49 -1.0 6
2024-06-01 @ Dalvik Reynir D 2-257.5 1174 1207 27.10% 23.15% 49.75%-0.49 +1.0 9
2024-06-05 Leiknir Reykjavik W 5-032.2 1189 1165 48.62% 23.23% 28.15%+0.45 +36.7 8
2024-06-05 @ Keflavik IF L 0-532.2 1165 1189 28.15% 23.23% 48.62%-0.45 -36.7 3
2024-06-06 Njardvik W 4-243.3 1272 1224 51.56% 22.99% 25.44%+0.57 +11.2 14
2024-06-06 @ Fjolnir L 2-443.3 1224 1272 25.44% 22.99% 51.56%-0.57 -11.2 13
2024-06-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-257.5 1051 1224 23.22% 22.73% 54.04%-0.52 +1.4 6
2024-06-07 @ IR Reykjavik D 2-257.5 1224 1051 54.04% 22.73% 23.22%+0.52 -1.4 7
2024-06-07 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1175 1170 46.10% 23.38% 30.53%+0.35 -0.9 10
2024-06-07 @ Grotta D 1-152.1 1170 1175 30.53% 23.38% 46.10%-0.35 +0.9 5
2024-06-08 Dalvik Reynir W 4-351.0 1222 1206 47.58% 23.30% 29.12%+0.41 +7.5 8
2024-06-08 @ Afturelding L 3-451.0 1206 1222 29.12% 23.30% 47.58%-0.41 -7.5 6
2024-06-13 Afturelding L 1-245.2 1171 1230 37.23% 23.56% 39.21%+0.04 -9.8 5
2024-06-13 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-145.2 1230 1171 39.21% 23.56% 37.23%-0.04 +9.8 11
2024-06-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-335.6 1174 1222 38.74% 23.56% 37.70%+0.09 -29.4 10
2024-06-13 @ Grotta W 3-035.6 1222 1174 37.70% 23.56% 38.74%-0.09 +29.4 10
2024-06-13 IR Reykjavik W 3-027.7 1213 1053 63.58% 21.10% 15.32%+1.12 +13.2 16
2024-06-13 @ Njardvik L 0-327.7 1053 1213 15.32% 21.10% 63.58%-1.12 -13.2 6
2024-06-15 Grindavik L 2-353.5 1128 1100 49.14% 23.19% 27.67%+0.47 -11.6 3
2024-06-15 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-253.5 1100 1128 27.67% 23.19% 49.14%-0.47 +11.6 7
2024-06-15 Keflavik IF D 0-048.3 1199 1225 41.75% 23.53% 34.72%+0.20 -0.4 7
2024-06-15 @ Dalvik Reynir D 0-048.3 1225 1199 34.72% 23.53% 41.75%-0.20 +0.4 9
2024-06-15 Thor Akureyri W 1-033.1 1283 1126 63.32% 21.16% 15.52%+1.11 +4.9 17
2024-06-15 @ Fjolnir L 0-133.1 1126 1283 15.52% 21.16% 63.32%-1.11 -4.9 6
2024-06-19 Njardvik L 2-349.2 1145 1227 34.02% 23.51% 42.47%-0.08 -8.7 10
2024-06-19 @ Grotta W 3-249.2 1227 1145 42.47% 23.51% 34.02%+0.08 +8.7 19
2024-06-20 Fjolnir W 3-149.2 1039 1288 16.44% 21.43% 62.13%-0.90 +26.2 9
2024-06-20 @ IR Reykjavik L 1-349.2 1288 1039 62.13% 21.43% 16.44%+0.90 -26.2 17
2024-06-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-337.3 1239 1252 43.81% 23.47% 32.72%+0.27 -32.4 11
2024-06-20 @ Afturelding W 3-037.3 1252 1239 32.72% 23.47% 43.81%-0.27 +32.4 13
2024-06-20 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-152.3 1226 1161 53.60% 22.78% 23.61%+0.65 -1.8 10
2024-06-20 @ Keflavik IF D 1-152.3 1161 1226 23.61% 22.78% 53.60%-0.65 +1.8 6
2024-06-22 Dalvik Reynir W 3-144.1 1111 1198 33.35% 23.49% 43.16%-0.10 +19.1 10
2024-06-22 @ Grindavik L 1-344.1 1198 1111 43.16% 23.49% 33.35%+0.10 -19.1 7
2024-06-22 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-247.6 1121 1116 46.04% 23.38% 30.58%+0.35 -11.6 6
2024-06-22 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-147.6 1116 1121 30.58% 23.38% 46.04%-0.35 +11.6 6
2024-06-26 Fjolnir L 0-140.7 1207 1262 37.77% 23.56% 38.67%+0.06 -10.5 11
2024-06-26 @ Afturelding W 1-040.7 1262 1207 38.67% 23.56% 37.77%-0.06 +10.5 20
2024-06-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-146.7 1130 1284 25.21% 22.97% 51.82%-0.43 +22.3 13
2024-06-26 @ Grindavik L 1-346.7 1284 1130 51.82% 22.97% 25.21%+0.43 -22.3 13
2024-06-26 IR Reykjavik L 1-347.2 1136 1066 54.24% 22.71% 23.05%+0.68 -23.2 10
2024-06-26 @ Grotta W 3-147.2 1066 1136 23.05% 22.71% 54.24%-0.68 +23.2 12
2024-06-26 Njardvik D 1-152.3 1224 1235 43.95% 23.47% 32.58%+0.27 -0.6 11
2024-06-26 @ Keflavik IF D 1-152.3 1235 1224 32.58% 23.47% 43.95%-0.27 +0.6 20
2024-06-26 Thor Akureyri L 1-347.2 1179 1109 54.20% 22.72% 23.08%+0.68 -23.2 7
2024-06-26 @ Dalvik Reynir W 3-147.2 1109 1179 23.08% 22.72% 54.20%-0.68 +23.2 9
2024-06-26 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-141.9 1128 1163 40.62% 23.55% 35.83%+0.16 +16.5 9
2024-06-26 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-341.9 1163 1128 35.83% 23.55% 40.62%-0.16 -16.5 6
2024-06-30 Afturelding L 2-547.3 1236 1197 50.52% 23.08% 26.40%+0.52 -26.7 20
2024-06-30 @ Njardvik W 5-247.3 1197 1236 26.40% 23.08% 50.52%-0.52 +26.7 14
2024-06-30 Grindavik W 1-038.6 1146 1153 44.61% 23.44% 31.95%+0.30 +9.2 9
2024-06-30 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-138.6 1153 1146 31.95% 23.44% 44.61%-0.30 -9.2 13
2024-06-30 Grotta W 5-236.1 1273 1113 63.50% 21.12% 15.38%+1.12 +9.7 23
2024-06-30 @ Fjolnir L 2-536.1 1113 1273 15.38% 21.12% 63.50%-1.12 -9.7 10
2024-06-30 Keflavik IF W 5-031.9 1262 1224 50.38% 23.10% 26.52%+0.52 +34.9 16
2024-06-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-531.9 1224 1262 26.52% 23.10% 50.38%-0.52 -34.9 11
2024-06-30 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-143.1 1156 1144 46.98% 23.33% 29.69%+0.39 -12.5 7
2024-06-30 @ Dalvik Reynir W 1-043.1 1144 1156 29.69% 23.33% 46.98%-0.39 +12.5 12
2024-06-30 Thor Akureyri D 1-151.9 1089 1132 39.43% 23.56% 37.01%+0.11 -0.1 13
2024-06-30 @ IR Reykjavik D 1-151.9 1132 1089 37.01% 23.56% 39.43%-0.11 +0.1 10
2024-07-04 Afturelding W 3-038.6 1089 1223 27.36% 23.17% 49.47%-0.34 +35.8 16
2024-07-04 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-338.6 1223 1089 49.47% 23.17% 27.36%+0.34 -35.8 14
2024-07-04 Grindavik L 0-145.0 1209 1143 53.72% 22.77% 23.51%+0.65 -14.1 20
2024-07-04 @ Njardvik W 1-045.0 1143 1209 23.51% 22.77% 53.72%-0.65 +14.1 16
2024-07-04 Grotta W 3-139.3 1132 1103 49.27% 23.18% 27.55%+0.47 +13.4 13
2024-07-04 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-339.3 1103 1132 27.55% 23.18% 49.27%-0.47 -13.3 10
2024-07-04 Keflavik IF D 0-048.7 1282 1189 56.87% 22.37% 20.77%+0.79 -2.4 24
2024-07-04 @ Fjolnir D 0-048.7 1189 1282 20.77% 22.37% 56.87%-0.79 +2.4 12
2024-07-06 Dalvik Reynir W 4-137.8 1156 1143 47.07% 23.33% 29.60%+0.39 +20.0 12
2024-07-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-437.8 1143 1156 29.60% 23.33% 47.07%-0.39 -20.0 7
2024-07-06 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-033.7 1297 1157 61.60% 21.54% 16.86%+1.02 +5.3 19
2024-07-06 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-133.7 1157 1297 16.86% 21.54% 61.60%-1.02 -5.3 12
2024-07-08 Grindavik D 2-257.3 1146 1157 43.86% 23.47% 32.67%+0.27 -0.5 14
2024-07-08 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-257.3 1157 1146 32.67% 23.47% 43.86%-0.27 +0.5 17
2024-07-11 Fjolnir L 0-137.6 1152 1280 28.10% 23.23% 48.67%-0.31 -8.3 12
2024-07-11 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-037.6 1280 1152 48.67% 23.23% 28.10%+0.31 +8.3 27
2024-07-11 Grotta W 2-139.5 1191 1090 57.68% 22.24% 20.07%+0.83 +5.9 15
2024-07-11 @ Keflavik IF L 1-239.5 1090 1191 20.07% 22.24% 57.68%-0.83 -5.9 10
2024-07-11 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-148.6 1176 1302 28.35% 23.24% 48.41%-0.30 +12.1 15
2024-07-11 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-248.6 1302 1176 48.41% 23.24% 28.35%+0.30 -12.1 19
2024-07-12 Grindavik W 3-034.6 1125 1158 40.85% 23.54% 35.60%+0.16 +27.5 19
2024-07-12 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-334.6 1158 1125 35.60% 23.54% 40.85%-0.16 -27.5 17
2024-07-13 Njardvik D 0-048.1 1123 1195 35.40% 23.54% 41.06%-0.03 +0.4 8
2024-07-13 @ Dalvik Reynir D 0-048.1 1195 1123 41.06% 23.54% 35.40%+0.03 -0.3 21
2024-07-13 Thor Akureyri L 0-339.0 1187 1145 50.88% 23.05% 26.07%+0.54 -36.7 14
2024-07-13 @ Afturelding W 3-039.0 1145 1187 26.07% 23.05% 50.88%-0.54 +36.7 17
2024-07-18 Afturelding L 1-439.7 1084 1151 36.10% 23.55% 40.35%+0.00 -23.5 10
2024-07-18 @ Grotta W 4-139.7 1151 1084 40.35% 23.55% 36.10%+0.00 +23.4 17
2024-07-18 Grindavik W 5-131.7 1288 1130 63.31% 21.17% 15.52%+1.11 +14.6 30
2024-07-18 @ Fjolnir L 1-531.7 1130 1288 15.52% 21.17% 63.31%-1.11 -14.6 17
2024-07-18 Keflavik IF L 0-140.9 1152 1197 39.23% 23.56% 37.21%+0.11 -10.8 19
2024-07-18 @ IR Reykjavik W 1-040.9 1197 1152 37.21% 23.56% 39.23%-0.11 +10.8 18
2024-07-18 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-246.3 1195 1143 52.02% 22.95% 25.03%+0.58 +6.8 24
2024-07-18 @ Njardvik L 2-346.3 1143 1195 25.03% 22.95% 52.02%-0.58 -6.8 12
2024-07-20 Dalvik Reynir W 1-032.9 1290 1124 64.07% 20.99% 14.94%+1.15 +4.7 22
2024-07-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-132.9 1124 1290 14.94% 20.99% 64.07%-1.15 -4.7 8
2024-07-20 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-142.5 1182 1188 44.67% 23.44% 31.89%+0.30 -12.0 17
2024-07-20 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-042.5 1188 1182 31.89% 23.44% 44.67%-0.30 +12.0 18
2024-07-25 Grindavik W 3-142.7 1060 1116 37.71% 23.56% 38.73%+0.06 +17.5 13
2024-07-25 @ Grotta L 1-342.7 1116 1060 38.73% 23.56% 37.71%-0.06 -17.5 17
2024-07-25 Keflavik IF L 1-343.5 1174 1208 40.82% 23.54% 35.63%+0.16 -18.2 17
2024-07-25 @ Afturelding W 3-143.5 1208 1174 35.63% 23.54% 40.82%-0.16 +18.2 21
2024-07-25 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-038.2 1141 1136 46.08% 23.38% 30.55%+0.35 +8.9 22
2024-07-25 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-138.2 1136 1141 30.55% 23.38% 46.08%-0.35 -8.9 12
2024-07-25 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1201 1200 45.68% 23.40% 30.92%+0.34 -0.8 25
2024-07-25 @ Njardvik D 1-152.2 1200 1201 30.92% 23.40% 45.68%-0.34 +0.8 19
2024-07-26 Dalvik Reynir D 1-153.0 1303 1119 65.64% 20.59% 13.77%+1.24 -3.2 31
2024-07-26 @ Fjolnir D 1-153.0 1119 1303 13.77% 20.59% 65.64%-1.24 +3.2 9
2024-07-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-332.6 1170 1294 28.56% 23.26% 48.19%-0.29 -23.1 17
2024-07-27 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-032.6 1294 1170 48.19% 23.26% 28.56%+0.29 +23.1 25
2024-07-30 Afturelding L 0-335.1 1098 1156 37.40% 23.56% 39.04%+0.04 -28.6 17
2024-07-30 @ Grindavik W 3-035.1 1156 1098 39.04% 23.56% 37.40%-0.04 +28.6 20
2024-07-30 Grotta W 3-138.5 1128 1078 51.80% 22.97% 25.23%+0.58 +12.4 15
2024-07-30 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-338.5 1078 1128 25.23% 22.97% 51.80%-0.58 -12.4 13
2024-07-31 Fjolnir D 0-048.5 1201 1300 31.76% 23.43% 44.80%-0.16 +0.8 20
2024-07-31 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 0-048.5 1300 1201 44.80% 23.43% 31.76%+0.16 -0.8 32
2024-07-31 IR Reykjavik D 1-152.0 1122 1150 41.61% 23.53% 34.85%+0.19 -0.4 10
2024-07-31 @ Dalvik Reynir D 1-152.0 1150 1122 34.85% 23.53% 41.61%-0.19 +0.4 23
2024-07-31 Thor Akureyri W 3-245.4 1226 1147 55.24% 22.59% 22.17%+0.72 +6.1 24
2024-07-31 @ Keflavik IF L 2-345.4 1147 1226 22.17% 22.59% 55.24%-0.72 -6.1 17
2024-08-03 Njardvik W 2-139.4 1318 1201 59.32% 21.97% 18.71%+0.91 +5.5 28
2024-08-03 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-239.4 1201 1318 18.71% 21.97% 59.32%-0.91 -5.5 25
2024-08-08 Grindavik W 2-137.7 1232 1070 63.72% 21.07% 15.21%+1.13 +4.5 27
2024-08-08 @ Keflavik IF L 1-237.7 1070 1232 15.21% 21.07% 63.72%-1.13 -4.5 17
2024-08-08 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1184 1140 51.16% 23.03% 25.81%+0.55 -1.5 21
2024-08-08 @ Afturelding D 1-152.2 1140 1184 25.81% 23.03% 51.16%-0.55 +1.5 16
2024-08-09 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-541.2 1299 1323 42.11% 23.52% 34.37%+0.21 -34.1 32
2024-08-09 @ Fjolnir W 5-141.2 1323 1299 34.37% 23.52% 42.11%-0.21 +34.1 31
2024-08-09 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-040.5 1150 1201 38.35% 23.56% 38.08%+0.08 +10.6 26
2024-08-09 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-140.5 1201 1150 38.08% 23.56% 38.35%-0.08 -10.6 20
2024-08-10 Dalvik Reynir L 2-350.2 1065 1122 37.58% 23.56% 38.86%+0.05 -9.4 13
2024-08-10 @ Grotta W 3-250.2 1122 1065 38.86% 23.56% 37.58%-0.05 +9.4 13
2024-08-10 Njardvik D 2-257.3 1141 1195 37.86% 23.56% 38.58%+0.06 +0.0 18
2024-08-10 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-257.3 1195 1141 38.58% 23.56% 37.86%-0.06 -0.0 26
2024-08-14 Afturelding L 1-342.7 1131 1183 38.23% 23.56% 38.21%+0.07 -17.3 13
2024-08-14 @ Dalvik Reynir W 3-142.7 1183 1131 38.21% 23.56% 38.23%-0.07 +17.3 24
2024-08-14 Fjolnir D 0-048.4 1195 1265 35.73% 23.55% 40.72%-0.01 +0.3 27
2024-08-14 @ Njardvik D 0-048.4 1265 1195 40.72% 23.55% 35.73%+0.01 -0.3 33
2024-08-14 Grotta W 3-135.8 1191 1056 61.11% 21.64% 17.25%+1.00 +8.8 23
2024-08-14 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-335.8 1056 1191 17.25% 21.64% 61.11%-1.00 -8.8 13
2024-08-14 IR Reykjavik D 2-258.7 1357 1161 66.68% 20.30% 13.01%+1.30 -2.5 32
2024-08-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-258.7 1161 1357 13.01% 20.30% 66.68%-1.30 +2.5 27
2024-08-14 Keflavik IF D 0-048.2 1141 1237 32.27% 23.46% 44.28%-0.14 +0.8 17
2024-08-14 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-048.2 1237 1141 44.28% 23.46% 32.27%+0.14 -0.8 28
2024-08-14 Thor Akureyri W 3-036.3 1065 1141 34.87% 23.53% 41.60%-0.04 +31.0 20
2024-08-14 @ Grindavik L 0-336.3 1141 1065 41.60% 23.53% 34.87%+0.04 -31.0 18
2024-08-18 Dalvik Reynir W 3-136.2 1236 1114 59.83% 21.88% 18.29%+0.93 +9.3 31
2024-08-18 @ Keflavik IF L 1-336.2 1114 1236 18.29% 21.88% 59.83%-0.93 -9.3 13
2024-08-18 Fjolnir D 1-152.2 1110 1264 25.12% 22.96% 51.93%-0.43 +1.6 19
2024-08-18 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-152.2 1264 1110 51.93% 22.96% 25.12%+0.43 -1.6 34
2024-08-18 Grotta W 2-134.5 1355 1047 74.87% 17.37% 7.76%+1.85 +2.2 35
2024-08-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-234.5 1047 1355 7.76% 17.37% 74.87%-1.85 -2.2 13
2024-08-18 Leiknir Reykjavik D 3-361.5 1096 1142 39.06% 23.56% 37.38%+0.10 -0.1 21
2024-08-18 @ Grindavik D 3-361.5 1142 1096 37.38% 23.56% 39.06%-0.10 +0.1 18
2024-08-18 Njardvik D 1-152.1 1164 1195 41.06% 23.54% 35.39%+0.17 -0.3 28
2024-08-18 @ IR Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1195 1164 35.39% 23.54% 41.06%-0.17 +0.3 28
2024-08-19 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-038.5 1200 1200 45.53% 23.40% 31.06%+0.33 +9.0 27
2024-08-19 @ Afturelding L 0-138.5 1200 1200 31.06% 23.40% 45.53%-0.33 -9.0 23
2024-08-22 Grotta W 1-033.2 1196 1045 62.65% 21.32% 16.04%+1.07 +5.0 31
2024-08-22 @ Njardvik L 0-133.2 1045 1196 16.04% 21.32% 62.65%-1.07 -5.0 13
2024-08-22 IR Reykjavik L 1-250.9 1263 1163 57.48% 22.27% 20.24%+0.82 -14.1 34
2024-08-22 @ Fjolnir W 2-150.9 1163 1263 20.24% 22.27% 57.48%-0.82 +14.1 31
2024-08-24 Afturelding L 2-357.6 1357 1209 62.36% 21.38% 16.26%+1.06 -14.4 35
2024-08-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-257.6 1209 1357 16.26% 21.38% 62.36%-1.06 +14.4 30
2024-08-24 Grindavik L 1-740.7 1104 1096 46.55% 23.35% 30.09%+0.37 -53.7 13
2024-08-24 @ Dalvik Reynir W 7-140.7 1096 1104 30.09% 23.35% 46.55%-0.37 +53.7 24
2024-08-24 Keflavik IF W 3-250.7 1191 1245 37.85% 23.56% 38.59%+0.06 +9.6 26
2024-08-24 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 2-350.7 1245 1191 38.59% 23.56% 37.85%-0.06 -9.6 31
2024-08-24 Thor Akureyri W 5-135.6 1142 1111 49.48% 23.17% 27.36%+0.48 +24.2 21
2024-08-24 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-535.6 1111 1142 27.36% 23.17% 49.48%-0.48 -24.2 19
2024-08-29 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-257.3 1150 1200 38.44% 23.56% 37.99%+0.08 -0.0 25
2024-08-29 @ Grindavik D 2-257.3 1200 1150 37.99% 23.56% 38.44%-0.08 +0.0 27
2024-08-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-253.4 1236 1342 30.73% 23.39% 45.89%-0.20 +11.0 34
2024-08-30 @ Keflavik IF L 2-353.4 1342 1236 45.89% 23.39% 30.73%+0.20 -11.0 35
2024-08-30 Njardvik W 4-137.5 1224 1201 48.46% 23.24% 28.30%+0.44 +19.3 33
2024-08-30 @ Afturelding L 1-437.5 1201 1224 28.30% 23.24% 48.46%-0.44 -19.3 31
2024-08-31 Dalvik Reynir W 2-139.0 1167 1051 59.20% 21.99% 18.81%+0.90 +5.5 24
2024-08-31 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-239.0 1051 1167 18.81% 21.99% 59.20%-0.90 -5.5 13
2024-08-31 Fjolnir W 2-150.9 1040 1249 19.75% 22.18% 58.06%-0.70 +14.2 16
2024-08-31 @ Grotta L 1-250.9 1249 1040 58.06% 22.18% 19.75%+0.70 -14.2 34
2024-08-31 IR Reykjavik D 1-152.0 1087 1177 32.90% 23.48% 43.62%-0.12 +0.6 20
2024-08-31 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-152.0 1177 1087 43.62% 23.48% 32.90%+0.12 -0.6 32
2024-09-07 Keflavik IF D 0-048.3 1181 1246 36.35% 23.55% 40.10%+0.01 +0.2 32
2024-09-07 @ Njardvik D 0-048.3 1246 1181 40.10% 23.55% 36.35%-0.01 -0.2 35
2024-09-08 Afturelding W 2-035.9 1234 1243 44.27% 23.46% 32.28%+0.29 +17.5 37
2024-09-08 @ Fjolnir L 0-235.9 1243 1234 32.28% 23.46% 44.27%-0.29 -17.5 33
2024-09-08 Dalvik Reynir W 2-033.5 1088 1045 50.91% 23.05% 26.04%+0.54 +14.7 23
2024-09-08 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-233.5 1045 1088 26.04% 23.05% 50.91%-0.54 -14.7 13
2024-09-08 Grindavik W 6-028.2 1332 1150 65.45% 20.64% 13.91%+1.23 +23.0 38
2024-09-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-628.2 1150 1332 13.91% 20.64% 65.45%-1.23 -23.0 25
2024-09-08 Grotta W 2-138.8 1177 1054 59.89% 21.87% 18.24%+0.94 +5.4 35
2024-09-08 @ IR Reykjavik L 1-238.8 1054 1177 18.24% 21.87% 59.89%-0.94 -5.4 16
2024-09-08 Leiknir Reykjavik L 2-353.6 1200 1172 49.12% 23.19% 27.68%+0.47 -11.6 27
2024-09-08 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-253.6 1172 1200 27.68% 23.19% 49.12%-0.47 +11.6 27
2024-09-14 Fjolnir W 4-033.2 1246 1252 44.69% 23.44% 31.87%+0.30 +32.9 38
2024-09-14 @ Keflavik IF L 0-433.2 1252 1246 31.87% 23.44% 44.69%-0.30 -32.9 37
2024-09-14 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-152.7 1184 1355 23.38% 22.75% 53.87%-0.52 +1.8 28
2024-09-14 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-152.7 1355 1184 53.87% 22.75% 23.38%+0.52 -1.8 39
2024-09-14 IR Reykjavik W 3-031.6 1225 1182 51.03% 23.04% 25.93%+0.54 +21.3 36
2024-09-14 @ Afturelding L 0-331.6 1182 1225 25.93% 23.04% 51.03%-0.54 -21.3 35
2024-09-14 Njardvik D 2-257.3 1127 1182 37.79% 23.56% 38.64%+0.06 +0.0 26
2024-09-14 @ Grindavik D 2-257.3 1182 1127 38.64% 23.56% 37.79%-0.06 -0.0 33
2024-09-14 Thor Akureyri L 1-245.2 1049 1102 37.97% 23.56% 38.46%+0.06 -10.0 16
2024-09-14 @ Grotta W 2-145.2 1102 1049 38.46% 23.56% 37.97%-0.06 +10.0 26
2024-09-14 Throttur Reykjavik L 2-539.3 1031 1189 24.73% 22.92% 52.35%-0.45 -14.9 13
2024-09-14 @ Dalvik Reynir W 5-239.3 1189 1031 52.35% 22.92% 24.73%+0.45 +14.9 30

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2024-09-18 Keflavik IF L 1-437.8 1161 1279 29.31% 23.31% 47.39%-0.26 -19.9 0-1
2024-09-18 @ IR Reykjavik W 4-137.8 1279 1161 47.39% 23.31% 29.31%+0.26 +19.9 1-0
2024-09-19 Fjolnir W 3-139.7 1247 1219 49.09% 23.20% 27.72%+0.47 +13.4 1-0
2024-09-19 @ Afturelding L 1-339.7 1219 1247 27.72% 23.20% 49.09%-0.47 -13.4 0-1
2024-09-22 IR Reykjavik L 2-357.4 1299 1141 63.34% 21.16% 15.50%+1.11 -14.6 1-1
2024-09-22 @ Keflavik IF W 3-257.4 1141 1299 15.50% 21.16% 63.34%-1.11 +14.6 1-1
2024-09-23 Afturelding D 0-048.4 1205 1260 37.81% 23.56% 38.63%+0.06 +0.0 0-1-1
2024-09-23 @ Fjolnir D 0-048.4 1260 1205 38.63% 23.56% 37.81%-0.06 -0.0 1-0-1
2024-09-28 Afturelding L 0-142.1 1284 1260 41.67% 23.53% 34.80%+0.12 -11.4 1-2
2024-09-28 @ Keflavik IF W 1-042.1 1260 1284 34.80% 23.53% 41.67%-0.12 +11.3 2-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-09-22 * 15.50% IR Reykjavik 1141 3 @ Keflavik IF 1299 2
2 2024-08-24 16.26% Afturelding 1209 3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1357 2
3 2024-06-20 16.44% @ IR Reykjavik 1039 3 Fjolnir 1288 1
4 2024-05-03 19.66% IR Reykjavik 1075 2 @ Keflavik IF 1180 1
5 2024-08-31 19.75% @ Grotta 1040 2 Fjolnir 1249 1
6 2024-08-22 20.24% IR Reykjavik 1163 2 @ Fjolnir 1263 1
7 2024-06-26 23.05% IR Reykjavik 1066 3 @ Grotta 1136 1
8 2024-06-26 23.08% Thor Akureyri 1109 3 @ Dalvik Reynir 1179 1
9 2024-07-04 23.51% Grindavik 1143 1 @ Njardvik 1209 0
10 2024-05-03 25.21% Njardvik 1147 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1197 1
11 2024-06-26 25.21% @ Grindavik 1130 3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1284 1
12 2024-07-13 26.07% Thor Akureyri 1145 3 @ Afturelding 1187 0
13 2024-06-30 26.40% Afturelding 1197 5 @ Njardvik 1236 2
14 2024-05-09 26.94% @ Thor Akureyri 1127 4 Afturelding 1265 2
15 2024-07-04 27.36% @ IR Reykjavik 1089 3 Afturelding 1223 0
16 2024-06-15 27.67% Grindavik 1100 3 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1128 2
17 2024-09-08 27.68% Leiknir Reykjavik 1172 3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1200 2
18 2024-07-11 28.35% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1176 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1302 1
19 2024-06-30 29.69% Leiknir Reykjavik 1144 1 @ Dalvik Reynir 1156 0
20 2024-08-24 30.09% Grindavik 1096 7 @ Dalvik Reynir 1104 1
21 2024-06-22 30.58% Leiknir Reykjavik 1116 2 @ Thor Akureyri 1121 1
22 2024-08-30 30.73% @ Keflavik IF 1236 3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1342 2
23 2024-07-20 31.89% Throttur Reykjavik 1188 1 @ Thor Akureyri 1182 0
24 2024-06-20 32.72% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1252 3 @ Afturelding 1239 0
25 2024-05-21 33.09% @ Keflavik IF 1157 3 Afturelding 1246 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-08-24 53.71 Grindavik 7 1096 30.09% @ Dalvik Reynir 1 1104 46.55% 23.35%
2 2024-07-13 36.74 Thor Akureyri 3 1145 26.07% @ Afturelding 0 1187 50.88% 23.05%
3 2024-06-05 36.72 @ Keflavik IF 5 1189 48.62% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1165 28.15% 23.23%
4 2024-07-04 35.85 @ IR Reykjavik 3 1089 27.36% Afturelding 0 1223 49.47% 23.17%
5 2024-06-30 34.94 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1262 50.38% Keflavik IF 0 1224 26.52% 23.10%
6 2024-08-09 34.13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1323 34.37% @ Fjolnir 1 1299 42.11% 23.52%
7 2024-05-31 33.16 @ Throttur Reykjavik 5 1137 52.13% IR Reykjavik 0 1084 24.93% 22.94%
8 2024-09-14 32.94 @ Keflavik IF 4 1246 44.69% Fjolnir 0 1252 31.87% 23.44%
9 2024-06-20 32.38 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1252 32.72% @ Afturelding 0 1239 43.81% 23.47%
10 2024-05-21 32.15 @ Keflavik IF 3 1157 33.09% Afturelding 0 1246 43.42% 23.48%
11 2024-05-09 31.34 @ Njardvik 3 1160 34.40% Dalvik Reynir 0 1239 42.08% 23.52%
12 2024-08-14 31.05 @ Grindavik 3 1065 34.87% Thor Akureyri 0 1141 41.60% 23.53%
13 2024-06-13 29.37 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1222 37.70% @ Grotta 0 1174 38.74% 23.56%
14 2024-07-30 28.59 Afturelding 3 1156 39.04% @ Grindavik 0 1098 37.40% 23.56%
15 2024-07-12 27.52 @ IR Reykjavik 3 1125 40.85% Grindavik 0 1158 35.60% 23.54%
16 2024-06-30 26.66 Afturelding 5 1197 26.40% @ Njardvik 2 1236 50.52% 23.08%
17 2024-06-20 26.23 @ IR Reykjavik 3 1039 16.44% Fjolnir 1 1288 62.13% 21.43%
18 2024-08-24 24.24 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 5 1142 49.48% Thor Akureyri 1 1111 27.36% 23.17%
19 2024-07-18 23.46 Afturelding 4 1151 40.35% @ Grotta 1 1084 36.10% 23.55%
20 2024-06-26 23.19 IR Reykjavik 3 1066 23.05% @ Grotta 1 1136 54.24% 22.71%
21 2024-06-26 23.17 Thor Akureyri 3 1109 23.08% @ Dalvik Reynir 1 1179 54.20% 22.72%
22 2024-07-27 23.07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1294 48.19% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1170 28.56% 23.26%
23 2024-09-08 22.99 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 1332 65.45% Grindavik 0 1150 13.91% 20.64%
24 2024-06-26 22.27 @ Grindavik 3 1130 25.21% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1284 51.82% 22.97%
25 2024-05-31 22.25 @ Njardvik 5 1202 52.37% Thor Akureyri 1 1148 24.71% 22.91%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-08-18 61.5 @ Grindavik 3 1096 39.06% Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1142 37.38% 23.56%
2 2024-08-14 58.7 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1357 66.68% IR Reykjavik 2 1161 13.01% 20.30%
3 2024-06-01 57.6 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1224 38.68% Fjolnir 2 1272 37.76% 23.56%
4 2024-08-24 57.6 Afturelding 3 1209 16.26% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1357 62.36% 21.38%
5 2024-06-01 57.5 @ Dalvik Reynir 2 1207 49.75% Grotta 2 1174 27.10% 23.15%
6 2024-06-07 57.5 @ IR Reykjavik 2 1051 23.22% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1224 54.04% 22.73%
7 2024-09-22 * 57.4 IR Reykjavik 3 1141 15.50% @ Keflavik IF 2 1299 63.34% 21.16%
8 2024-05-31 57.3 @ Grindavik 2 1099 32.92% Keflavik IF 2 1189 43.60% 23.48%
9 2024-07-08 57.3 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1146 43.86% Grindavik 2 1157 32.67% 23.47%
10 2024-08-10 57.3 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1141 37.86% Njardvik 2 1195 38.58% 23.56%
11 2024-08-29 57.3 @ Grindavik 2 1150 38.44% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1200 37.99% 23.56%
12 2024-09-14 57.3 @ Grindavik 2 1127 37.79% Njardvik 2 1182 38.64% 23.56%
13 2024-05-20 57.2 @ Grindavik 2 1096 35.76% Grotta 2 1166 40.70% 23.55%
14 2024-09-08 53.6 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1172 27.68% @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1200 49.12% 23.19%
15 2024-06-15 53.5 Grindavik 3 1100 27.67% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1128 49.14% 23.19%
16 2024-08-30 53.4 @ Keflavik IF 3 1236 30.73% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1342 45.89% 23.39%
17 2024-07-26 53.0 @ Fjolnir 1 1303 65.64% Dalvik Reynir 1 1119 13.77% 20.59%
18 2024-09-14 52.7 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1184 23.38% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1355 53.87% 22.75%
19 2024-05-03 52.6 @ Afturelding 1 1267 58.96% Grotta 1 1154 19.00% 22.03%
20 2024-05-25 52.5 @ Afturelding 1 1214 59.32% Grindavik 1 1097 18.71% 21.97%
21 2024-05-20 52.4 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1225 55.23% Thor Akureyri 1 1146 22.18% 22.59%
22 2024-06-20 52.3 @ Keflavik IF 1 1226 53.60% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1161 23.61% 22.78%
23 2024-06-26 52.3 @ Keflavik IF 1 1224 43.95% Njardvik 1 1235 32.58% 23.47%
24 2024-05-25 52.2 @ Grotta 4 1166 42.92% Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1184 33.58% 23.50%
25 2024-07-25 52.2 @ Njardvik 1 1201 45.68% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1200 30.92% 23.40%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-06-13 27.7 @ Njardvik 3 1213 63.58% IR Reykjavik 0 1053 15.32% 21.10%
2 2024-09-08 28.2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 1332 65.45% Grindavik 0 1150 13.91% 20.64%
3 2024-05-31 31.1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 5 1137 52.13% IR Reykjavik 0 1084 24.93% 22.94%
4 2024-09-14 31.6 @ Afturelding 3 1225 51.03% IR Reykjavik 0 1182 25.93% 23.04%
5 2024-07-18 31.7 @ Fjolnir 5 1288 63.31% Grindavik 1 1130 15.52% 21.17%
6 2024-06-30 31.9 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1262 50.38% Keflavik IF 0 1224 26.52% 23.10%
7 2024-06-05 32.2 @ Keflavik IF 5 1189 48.62% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1165 28.15% 23.23%
8 2024-07-27 32.6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1294 48.19% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1170 28.56% 23.26%
9 2024-07-20 32.9 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1290 64.07% Dalvik Reynir 0 1124 14.94% 20.99%
10 2024-06-15 33.1 @ Fjolnir 1 1283 63.32% Thor Akureyri 0 1126 15.52% 21.16%
11 2024-08-22 33.2 @ Njardvik 1 1196 62.65% Grotta 0 1045 16.04% 21.32%
12 2024-09-14 33.2 @ Keflavik IF 4 1246 44.69% Fjolnir 0 1252 31.87% 23.44%
13 2024-09-08 33.5 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1088 50.91% Dalvik Reynir 0 1045 26.04% 23.05%
14 2024-07-06 33.7 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1297 61.60% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1157 16.86% 21.54%
15 2024-08-18 34.5 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1355 74.87% Grotta 1 1047 7.76% 17.37%
16 2024-07-12 34.6 @ IR Reykjavik 3 1125 40.85% Grindavik 0 1158 35.60% 23.54%
17 2024-05-31 34.9 @ Njardvik 5 1202 52.37% Thor Akureyri 1 1148 24.71% 22.91%
18 2024-05-18 35.1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1178 56.20% IR Reykjavik 0 1090 21.34% 22.46%
19 2024-07-30 35.1 Afturelding 3 1156 39.04% @ Grindavik 0 1098 37.40% 23.56%
20 2024-06-13 35.6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1222 37.70% @ Grotta 0 1174 38.74% 23.56%
21 2024-08-24 35.6 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 5 1142 49.48% Thor Akureyri 1 1111 27.36% 23.17%
22 2024-08-14 35.8 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1191 61.11% Grotta 1 1056 17.25% 21.64%
23 2024-05-10 35.9 @ Fjolnir 1 1256 54.34% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1184 22.96% 22.70%
24 2024-09-08 35.9 @ Fjolnir 2 1234 44.27% Afturelding 0 1243 32.28% 23.46%
25 2024-06-30 36.1 @ Fjolnir 5 1273 63.50% Grotta 2 1113 15.38% 21.12%