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2024-25 1. deild karla Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Keflavik IF

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Thor Akureyri

15.10 points above expected

45 points · 29.90 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fjolnir

14.64 points below expected

15 points · 29.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Thor Akureyri 22 14 3 5 45 51 31 +20 29.90 +15.10
2 Njardvik 22 12 7 3 43 50 25 +25 36.08 +6.92
3 Throttur Reykjavik 22 12 5 5 41 43 37 +6 35.10 +5.90
4 HK Kopavogur 22 12 4 6 40 46 29 +17 33.39 +6.61
5 Keflavik IF 22 11 4 7 37 53 39 +14 37.01 -0.01
6 IR Reykjavik 22 10 7 5 37 38 27 +11 34.03 +2.97
7 IF Volsungur 22 7 4 11 25 36 52 -16 20.05 +4.95
8 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 6 5 11 23 34 32 +2 33.64 -10.64
9 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 6 5 11 23 24 40 -16 28.66 -5.66
10 Grindavik 22 6 3 13 21 38 61 -23 26.80 -5.80
11 Selfoss 22 6 1 15 19 25 44 -19 21.50 -2.50
12 Fjolnir 22 3 6 13 15 32 53 -21 29.64 -14.64

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Thor Akureyri 45 29.90 +15.10
2 Njardvik 43 36.08 +6.92
3 HK Kopavogur 40 33.39 +6.61
4 Throttur Reykjavik 41 35.10 +5.90
5 IF Volsungur 25 20.05 +4.95

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fjolnir 15 29.64 -14.64
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 23 33.64 -10.64
3 Grindavik 21 26.80 -5.80
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 23 28.66 -5.66
5 Selfoss 19 21.50 -2.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Thor Akureyri 5 Jul 29 – Aug 23 1 in 126
2 Throttur Reykjavik 4 Aug 13 – Aug 29 1 in 36
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 Aug 17 – Aug 29 1 in 28
4 IF Volsungur 2 May 17 – May 24 1 in 19
5 Selfoss 2 Jul 11 – Jul 18 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leiknir Reykjavik 4 May 9 – May 30 1 in 116
2 Grindavik 4 Jun 21 – Jul 7 1 in 91
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 May 23 – Jun 4 1 in 58
4 Fjolnir 4 Aug 23 – Sep 13 1 in 45
5 Selfoss 5 May 9 – Jun 4 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Njardvik 17 May 2 – Aug 13 1 in 739
2 IR Reykjavik 11 May 3 – Jul 4 1 in 228
3 Throttur Reykjavik 11 Jun 27 – Aug 29 1 in 110
4 Thor Akureyri 8 Jul 12 – Aug 23 1 in 70
5 HK Kopavogur 5 Jun 13 – Jul 11 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fjolnir 8 May 2 – Jun 13 1 in 85
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 7 May 16 – Jun 20 1 in 67
3 Keflavik IF 5 May 30 – Jun 26 1 in 39
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 9 Jun 13 – Aug 8 1 in 39
5 Grindavik 5 Jun 13 – Jul 7 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Thor Akureyri 1288 45 +16 12 7.3 +4.7
Njardvik 1318 43 -8 6 8.5 -2.5
Throttur Reykjavik 1280 41 -1 9 7.4 +1.6
HK Kopavogur 1294 40 +24 10 8.5 +1.5
Keflavik IF 1311 37 -5 9 8.1 +0.9
IR Reykjavik 1264 37 -15 4 8.0 -4.0
IF Volsungur 1097 25 -7 6 5.1 +0.9
Fylkir Reykjavik 1284 23 +44 12 7.1 +4.9
Leiknir Reykjavik 1200 23 +12 10 6.4 +3.6
Grindavik 1147 21 -21 4 5.1 -1.1
Selfoss 1119 19 -16 3 5.1 -2.1
Fjolnir 1173 15 -23 3 6.5 -3.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FJO FR GRI HK IV IR KI LR NJA SEL TA TR
Fjolnir —
0-2-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.98
0-0-2
2.35
0-1-1
3.73
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
3.36
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.15
Fylkir Reykjavik
0-2-0
3.08
—
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.93
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.34
0-0-2
3.24
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.80
0-0-2
2.98
0-0-2
2.82
Grindavik
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.29
—
1-1-0
2.33
0-0-2
3.40
1-0-1
2.08
0-0-2
1.97
2-0-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
3.25
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.23
HK Kopavogur
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
3.22
—
2-0-0
3.97
1-1-0
2.79
2-0-0
2.32
2-0-0
3.06
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
3.86
0-1-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.75
IF Volsungur
1-1-0
1.82
1-0-1
1.66
2-0-0
2.16
0-0-2
1.62
—
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
1.43
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
1.52
2-0-0
2.39
1-0-1
1.76
0-1-1
1.65
IR Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.44
0-1-1
2.73
2-0-0
3.93
—
1-1-0
2.50
1-1-0
3.23
0-2-0
2.59
2-0-0
3.70
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.75
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
3.27
0-1-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.59
0-0-2
3.22
1-1-0
4.18
0-1-1
3.02
—
2-0-0
3.50
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-2
3.12
Leiknir Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.30
0-0-2
2.82
0-0-2
2.48
2-0-0
3.44
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
2.04
—
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
3.31
0-0-2
2.81
0-2-0
2.45
Njardvik
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
2.77
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
4.08
0-2-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.42
—
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.96
Selfoss
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
1.76
2-0-0
2.28
1-0-1
1.71
0-0-2
3.15
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
1.59
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
1.73
—
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
1.79
Thor Akureyri
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.52
2-0-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.23
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
3.68
—
1-0-1
2.70
Throttur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.29
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.94
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
2.40
0-2-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.57
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
2.82
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +9.2
Allowed 0.55 -7.0
Differential 0.86 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%3.79%4.55%2.65%2.27%0.76%14.77%
13.79%12.12%10.23%4.55%3.03%1.52%35.23%
24.55%10.23%4.55%2.65%1.52%1.52%25.00%
32.65%4.55%2.65%3.03%0.38%—13.26%
42.27%3.03%1.52%0.38%—0.38%7.58%
5+0.76%1.52%1.52%—0.38%—4.17%
Total14.77%35.23%25.00%13.26%7.58%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.78 +0.00
SD 1.36 1.36 2.10
CV 0.76 0.76 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%—4.55%18.18%
14.55%13.64%22.73%4.55%—4.55%50.00%
2—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
3———13.64%——13.64%
4—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%27.27%31.82%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.41 -0.95
SD 1.22 1.37 1.76
CV 0.84 0.57 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
1—18.18%31.82%4.55%4.55%—59.09%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
3———4.55%——4.55%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%31.82%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.45 +0.09
SD 1.18 1.06 1.85
CV 0.77 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
1—4.55%9.09%—4.55%9.09%27.27%
2—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
3—4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total—13.64%40.91%13.64%22.73%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.77 -1.05
SD 1.61 1.34 2.32
CV 0.93 0.48 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
313.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.32 +0.77
SD 1.54 1.09 2.18
CV 0.74 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%40.91%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—9.09%36.36%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%13.64%13.64%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.36 -0.73
SD 1.05 1.84 2.33
CV 0.64 0.78 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
113.64%18.18%9.09%9.09%——50.00%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%36.36%22.73%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.23 +0.50
SD 1.39 1.02 1.60
CV 0.80 0.83 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—9.09%4.55%—22.73%
1—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
5+4.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
Total18.18%31.82%18.18%18.18%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 1.77 +0.64
SD 2.04 1.34 2.63
CV 0.85 0.76 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
14.55%18.18%—4.55%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%54.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.82 -0.73
SD 0.92 1.65 1.93
CV 0.84 0.91 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%22.73%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%18.18%————27.27%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total18.18%59.09%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.14 +1.14
SD 1.28 0.83 1.73
CV 0.56 0.73 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%22.73%—9.09%—36.36%
1——18.18%—9.09%—27.27%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%13.64%50.00%4.55%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.00 -0.86
SD 1.08 1.23 1.98
CV 0.95 0.62 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
213.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%40.91%13.64%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.41 +0.91
SD 1.29 1.18 1.82
CV 0.56 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
24.55%27.27%13.64%—4.55%4.55%54.55%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%45.45%31.82%—9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.68 +0.27
SD 0.79 1.25 1.52
CV 0.40 0.74 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Keflavik IF 1338 37 37.01 -0.01 52.0% 21 28 32 37 41 46 52
Njardvik 1306 43 36.08 +6.92 92.0% 15 27 33 37 39 46 53
Thor Akureyri 1288 45 29.90 +15.10 99.0% 20 21 26 29 34 38 46
HK Kopavogur 1286 40 33.39 +6.61 88.0% 23 25 29 33 37 45 46
Fylkir Reykjavik 1284 23 33.64 -10.64 4.0% 17 24 29 33 37 44 52
Throttur Reykjavik 1272 41 35.10 +5.90 85.0% 22 27 31 35 39 43 51
IR Reykjavik 1264 37 34.03 +2.97 70.0% 20 24 31 34 38 42 47
Leiknir Reykjavik 1200 23 28.66 -5.66 20.0% 18 20 24 28 32 39 42
Fjolnir 1173 15 29.64 -14.64 1.0% 12 21 25 29 33 40 44
Grindavik 1147 21 26.80 -5.80 17.0% 13 19 23 27 30 36 39
Selfoss 1119 19 21.50 -2.50 33.0% 8 13 18 22 25 29 37
IF Volsungur 1097 25 20.05 +4.95 87.0% 7 12 16 20 23 28 35

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-2.27%
No Edge
38.64%20.45%40.91%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -7.90 Elo pts.
154 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.06 goals
Neutral
-2-0.05+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
3%
Thor Akureyri, 8th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.5 * Some Luck: 4.5 to 6.75 * Lucky: 6.75 to 9 * Wild Swing: 9 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.73 * Close: 1.73 to 2.59 * Off: 2.59 to 3.45 * Way Off: 3.45 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.09 points
Lucky
05.6314
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Close
02.165
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Thor Akureyri
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Fjolnir
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 79.30
1.68
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
78%
Even
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.05
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.04
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
36%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
37%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
<0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.169
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1360.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Keflavik IF 4
Njardvik 2

Leg 1: Keflavik IF 1-2 Njardvik

Leg 2: Njardvik 0-3 Keflavik IF

HK Kopavogur 7
Throttur Reykjavik 5

Leg 1: HK Kopavogur 4-3 Throttur Reykjavik

Leg 2: Throttur Reykjavik 2-3 HK Kopavogur

Finals

Keflavik IF 4
HK Kopavogur 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Thor Akureyri3.00%7.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%8.00%19.00%13.00%13.00%3.00%2.00%
Njardvik13.00%22.00%22.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—
Throttur Reykjavik16.00%11.00%18.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
HK Kopavogur12.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%—
Keflavik IF29.00%16.00%8.00%14.00%12.00%6.00%9.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%——
IR Reykjavik12.00%10.00%18.00%14.00%14.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
IF Volsungur———1.00%—2.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%12.00%25.00%48.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik9.00%14.00%6.00%15.00%11.00%15.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik2.00%6.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%12.00%18.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%5.00%
Grindavik—1.00%4.00%1.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%12.00%17.00%17.00%13.00%11.00%
Selfoss——2.00%—1.00%—3.00%6.00%9.00%19.00%31.00%29.00%
Fjolnir4.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%14.00%11.00%9.00%3.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Keflavik IF 45.00% 34.00% 21.00% —
Njardvik 35.00% 44.00% 19.00% 2.00%
Throttur Reykjavik 27.00% 41.00% 31.00% 1.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 23.00% 32.00% 42.00% 3.00%
HK Kopavogur 20.00% 35.00% 44.00% 1.00%
IR Reykjavik 22.00% 46.00% 29.00% 3.00%
Thor Akureyri 10.00% 24.00% 61.00% 5.00%
Fjolnir 9.00% 17.00% 62.00% 12.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 8.00% 12.00% 64.00% 16.00%
Grindavik 1.00% 11.00% 64.00% 24.00%
Selfoss — 3.00% 37.00% 60.00%
IF Volsungur — 1.00% 26.00% 73.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-05-02 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.0 1251 1290 45.07% 25.04% 29.88%-0.31 -0.4 1
2025-05-02 @ Njardvik D 1-152.0 1290 1251 29.88% 25.04% 45.07%+0.31 +0.4 1
2025-05-02 Grindavik W 2-144.7 1148 1217 40.91% 25.43% 33.66%-0.50 +4.2 3
2025-05-02 @ Selfoss L 1-244.7 1217 1148 33.66% 25.43% 40.91%+0.50 -4.2 0
2025-05-02 HK Kopavogur D 1-151.7 1208 1247 44.99% 25.05% 29.96%-0.31 -0.4 1
2025-05-02 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-151.7 1247 1208 29.96% 25.05% 44.99%+0.31 +0.4 1
2025-05-02 Keflavik IF L 1-345.9 1266 1307 44.68% 25.09% 30.23%-0.32 -9.1 0
2025-05-02 @ Fjolnir W 3-145.9 1307 1266 30.23% 25.09% 44.68%+0.32 +9.1 3
2025-05-02 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-152.3 1264 1253 51.82% 23.79% 24.39%+0.02 -0.7 1
2025-05-02 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-152.3 1253 1264 24.39% 23.79% 51.82%-0.02 +0.7 1
2025-05-03 IF Volsungur W 1-031.9 1235 1089 67.74% 17.99% 14.27%+0.90 +1.9 3
2025-05-03 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-131.9 1089 1235 14.27% 17.99% 67.74%-0.90 -1.9 0
2025-05-09 IR Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1248 1236 51.84% 23.79% 24.37%+0.02 -0.7 2
2025-05-09 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-152.2 1236 1248 24.37% 23.79% 51.84%-0.02 +0.7 4
2025-05-09 Selfoss W 2-028.9 1290 1152 66.88% 18.39% 14.73%+0.85 +3.8 4
2025-05-09 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-228.9 1152 1290 14.73% 18.39% 66.88%-0.85 -3.8 3
2025-05-09 Thor Akureyri L 1-445.8 1254 1207 56.30% 22.54% 21.16%+0.25 -15.4 1
2025-05-09 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-145.8 1207 1254 21.16% 22.54% 56.30%-0.25 +15.4 4
2025-05-09 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-146.8 1317 1264 57.10% 22.28% 20.61%+0.29 -6.8 3
2025-05-09 @ Keflavik IF W 1-046.8 1264 1317 20.61% 22.28% 57.10%-0.29 +6.8 4
2025-05-10 Fjolnir D 3-362.1 1213 1256 44.40% 25.13% 30.48%-0.34 -0.2 1
2025-05-10 @ Grindavik D 3-362.1 1256 1213 30.48% 25.13% 44.40%+0.34 +0.2 1
2025-05-10 IF Volsungur W 5-129.7 1250 1087 69.59% 17.11% 13.30%+1.01 +5.3 4
2025-05-10 @ Njardvik L 1-529.7 1087 1250 13.30% 17.11% 69.59%-1.01 -5.3 0
2025-05-16 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1257 1294 45.32% 25.01% 29.67%-0.29 -0.4 2
2025-05-16 @ Fjolnir D 1-152.1 1294 1257 29.67% 25.01% 45.32%+0.29 +0.4 5
2025-05-16 HK Kopavogur L 0-144.6 1238 1247 49.21% 24.37% 26.42%-0.11 -6.0 1
2025-05-16 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-044.6 1247 1238 26.42% 24.37% 49.21%+0.11 +6.0 5
2025-05-16 IR Reykjavik D 1-152.3 1256 1237 52.76% 23.56% 23.68%+0.07 -0.8 5
2025-05-16 @ Njardvik D 1-152.3 1237 1256 23.68% 23.56% 52.76%-0.07 +0.8 5
2025-05-17 IF Volsungur L 1-251.0 1148 1081 58.82% 21.70% 19.49%+0.38 -6.5 3
2025-05-17 @ Selfoss W 2-151.0 1081 1148 19.49% 21.70% 58.82%-0.38 +6.5 3
2025-05-18 Grindavik L 2-453.3 1270 1212 57.71% 22.08% 20.21%+0.33 -10.0 4
2025-05-18 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 4-253.3 1212 1270 20.21% 22.08% 57.71%-0.33 +10.0 4
2025-05-18 Keflavik IF L 2-448.7 1223 1310 38.31% 25.53% 36.16%-0.62 -7.2 4
2025-05-18 @ Thor Akureyri W 4-248.7 1310 1223 36.16% 25.53% 38.31%+0.62 +7.2 6
2025-05-23 Leiknir Reykjavik W 6-029.6 1317 1232 60.89% 20.93% 18.18%+0.50 +13.3 9
2025-05-23 @ Keflavik IF L 0-629.6 1232 1317 18.18% 20.93% 60.89%-0.50 -13.3 1
2025-05-23 Njardvik L 1-346.9 1253 1255 50.12% 24.18% 25.70%-0.06 -9.9 5
2025-05-23 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-146.9 1255 1253 25.70% 24.18% 50.12%+0.06 +9.9 8
2025-05-23 Selfoss W 2-030.2 1238 1142 62.22% 20.40% 17.37%+0.57 +4.6 8
2025-05-23 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-230.2 1142 1238 17.37% 20.40% 62.22%-0.57 -4.6 3
2025-05-23 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-250.8 1294 1260 54.75% 23.01% 22.24%+0.17 -6.2 5
2025-05-23 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-150.8 1260 1294 22.24% 23.01% 54.75%-0.17 +6.2 7
2025-05-24 Fjolnir W 2-148.6 1088 1256 27.73% 24.66% 47.61%-1.15 +5.5 6
2025-05-24 @ IF Volsungur L 1-248.6 1256 1088 47.61% 24.66% 27.73%+1.15 -5.5 2
2025-05-24 Thor Akureyri L 3-458.9 1222 1216 51.24% 23.93% 24.83%-0.01 -5.4 4
2025-05-24 @ Grindavik W 4-358.9 1216 1222 24.83% 23.93% 51.24%+0.01 +5.4 7
2025-05-29 IF Volsungur W 4-130.8 1266 1093 70.55% 16.64% 12.81%+1.07 +3.9 10
2025-05-29 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-430.8 1093 1266 12.81% 16.64% 70.55%-1.07 -3.9 6
2025-05-30 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-140.0 1221 1288 41.13% 25.42% 33.45%-0.49 +10.3 10
2025-05-30 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-440.0 1288 1221 33.45% 25.42% 41.13%+0.49 -10.3 5
2025-05-30 Grindavik L 2-645.6 1219 1217 50.65% 24.07% 25.28%-0.04 -15.5 1
2025-05-30 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 6-245.6 1217 1219 25.28% 24.07% 50.65%+0.04 +15.5 7
2025-05-30 HK Kopavogur L 0-341.6 1330 1243 61.19% 20.81% 18.00%+0.52 -19.6 9
2025-05-30 @ Keflavik IF W 3-041.6 1243 1330 18.00% 20.81% 61.19%-0.52 +19.6 8
2025-05-30 IR Reykjavik L 0-339.3 1251 1243 51.44% 23.89% 24.68%+0.00 -17.0 2
2025-05-30 @ Fjolnir W 3-039.3 1243 1251 24.68% 23.89% 51.44%+0.00 +17.0 11
2025-05-30 Njardvik L 0-433.2 1137 1265 32.70% 25.36% 41.93%-0.88 -15.6 3
2025-05-30 @ Selfoss W 4-033.2 1265 1137 41.93% 25.36% 32.70%+0.88 +15.6 11
2025-06-04 Fjolnir D 1-152.6 1280 1234 56.32% 22.53% 21.14%+0.25 -1.0 12
2025-06-04 @ Njardvik D 1-152.6 1234 1280 21.14% 22.53% 56.32%-0.25 +1.0 3
2025-06-04 IF Volsungur L 1-349.9 1231 1089 67.30% 18.20% 14.51%+0.87 -12.5 10
2025-06-04 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-149.9 1089 1231 14.51% 18.20% 67.30%-0.87 +12.5 9
2025-06-04 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-251.5 1278 1204 59.68% 21.38% 18.93%+0.43 -6.6 5
2025-06-04 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-151.5 1204 1278 18.93% 21.38% 59.68%-0.43 +6.6 4
2025-06-04 Selfoss W 4-131.9 1263 1122 67.20% 18.24% 14.56%+0.86 +4.6 11
2025-06-04 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-431.9 1122 1263 14.56% 18.24% 67.20%-0.86 -4.6 3
2025-06-04 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-142.7 1260 1270 48.91% 24.43% 26.66%-0.12 +3.5 14
2025-06-04 @ IR Reykjavik L 1-242.7 1270 1260 26.66% 24.43% 48.91%+0.12 -3.5 10
2025-06-09 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.9 1311 1271 55.42% 22.81% 21.77%+0.20 -0.9 10
2025-06-09 @ Keflavik IF D 1-152.9 1271 1311 21.77% 22.81% 55.42%-0.20 +0.9 6
2025-06-09 HK Kopavogur W 2-143.6 1232 1267 45.66% 24.97% 29.38%-0.28 +3.8 10
2025-06-09 @ Grindavik L 1-243.6 1267 1232 29.38% 24.97% 45.66%+0.28 -3.8 11
2025-06-09 IF Volsungur W 3-135.2 1210 1102 63.61% 19.83% 16.56%+0.65 +3.7 7
2025-06-09 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-335.2 1102 1210 16.56% 19.83% 63.61%-0.65 -3.7 9
2025-06-09 IR Reykjavik D 1-151.8 1219 1263 44.34% 25.13% 30.52%-0.34 -0.4 11
2025-06-09 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-151.8 1263 1219 30.52% 25.13% 44.34%+0.34 +0.4 15
2025-06-09 Njardvik D 2-257.7 1267 1279 48.69% 24.47% 26.84%-0.13 -0.4 11
2025-06-09 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-257.7 1279 1267 26.84% 24.47% 48.69%+0.13 +0.4 13
2025-06-09 Selfoss L 0-244.0 1235 1117 64.66% 19.38% 15.96%+0.71 -14.1 3
2025-06-09 @ Fjolnir W 2-044.0 1117 1235 15.96% 19.38% 64.66%-0.71 +14.0 6
2025-06-13 Fjolnir W 3-029.9 1263 1221 55.84% 22.68% 21.47%+0.23 +8.2 14
2025-06-13 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-329.9 1221 1263 21.47% 22.68% 55.84%-0.23 -8.2 3
2025-06-13 Grindavik D 1-152.5 1272 1236 55.01% 22.94% 22.06%+0.18 -0.9 7
2025-06-13 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.5 1236 1272 22.06% 22.94% 55.01%-0.18 +0.9 11
2025-06-13 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-035.5 1263 1214 56.67% 22.42% 20.91%+0.27 +2.9 18
2025-06-13 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-135.5 1214 1263 20.91% 22.42% 56.67%-0.27 -2.9 7
2025-06-14 Keflavik IF D 1-152.1 1098 1310 23.29% 23.42% 53.29%-1.43 +0.8 10
2025-06-14 @ IF Volsungur D 1-152.1 1310 1098 53.29% 23.42% 23.29%+1.43 -0.8 11
2025-06-14 Thor Akureyri W 3-137.2 1280 1218 58.15% 21.93% 19.92%+0.35 +4.6 16
2025-06-14 @ Njardvik L 1-337.2 1218 1280 19.92% 21.93% 58.15%-0.35 -4.6 11
2025-06-14 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-235.9 1131 1267 31.69% 25.27% 43.04%-0.93 -8.0 6
2025-06-14 @ Selfoss W 2-035.9 1267 1131 43.04% 25.27% 31.69%+0.93 +8.0 14
2025-06-19 Fjolnir L 1-446.3 1275 1212 58.22% 21.91% 19.88%+0.35 -15.8 14
2025-06-19 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 4-146.3 1212 1275 19.88% 21.91% 58.22%-0.35 +15.9 6
2025-06-20 HK Kopavogur L 1-249.8 1271 1272 50.31% 24.14% 25.55%-0.05 -5.8 7
2025-06-20 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-149.8 1272 1271 25.55% 24.14% 50.31%+0.05 +5.8 17
2025-06-20 Njardvik D 1-151.7 1211 1284 40.24% 25.47% 34.29%-0.53 -0.2 8
2025-06-20 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-151.7 1284 1211 34.29% 25.47% 40.24%+0.53 +0.1 17
2025-06-21 IF Volsungur L 2-454.7 1237 1099 66.89% 18.39% 14.72%+0.85 -11.2 11
2025-06-21 @ Grindavik W 4-254.7 1099 1237 14.72% 18.39% 66.89%-0.85 +11.2 13
2025-06-22 IR Reykjavik D 0-049.4 1309 1266 55.83% 22.69% 21.49%+0.23 -1.0 12
2025-06-22 @ Keflavik IF D 0-049.4 1266 1309 21.49% 22.69% 55.83%-0.23 +1.0 19
2025-06-22 Selfoss W 2-030.3 1214 1123 61.59% 20.65% 17.75%+0.54 +4.7 14
2025-06-22 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-230.3 1123 1214 17.75% 20.65% 61.59%-0.54 -4.7 6
2025-06-26 Keflavik IF W 3-140.9 1285 1308 47.23% 24.73% 28.04%-0.20 +6.3 20
2025-06-26 @ Njardvik L 1-340.9 1308 1285 28.04% 24.73% 47.23%+0.20 -6.3 12
2025-06-27 Grindavik W 6-133.5 1267 1226 55.68% 22.73% 21.59%+0.22 +11.1 22
2025-06-27 @ IR Reykjavik L 1-633.5 1226 1267 21.59% 22.73% 55.68%-0.22 -11.1 11
2025-06-27 HK Kopavogur D 2-257.6 1259 1277 47.85% 24.62% 27.53%-0.17 -0.4 15
2025-06-27 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-257.6 1277 1259 27.53% 24.62% 47.85%+0.17 +0.4 18
2025-06-27 Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-256.9 1118 1211 37.54% 25.54% 36.92%-0.65 -0.0 7
2025-06-27 @ Selfoss D 2-256.9 1211 1118 36.92% 25.54% 37.54%+0.65 +0.0 9
2025-06-27 Thor Akureyri L 0-539.1 1228 1218 51.64% 23.84% 24.52%+0.01 -27.5 6
2025-06-27 @ Fjolnir W 5-039.1 1218 1228 24.52% 23.84% 51.64%-0.01 +27.5 17
2025-06-28 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-438.3 1110 1266 29.23% 24.94% 45.83%-1.06 -9.2 13
2025-06-28 @ IF Volsungur W 4-138.3 1266 1110 45.83% 24.94% 29.23%+1.06 +9.2 10
2025-07-03 Njardvik L 1-540.5 1215 1291 39.87% 25.48% 34.64%-0.55 -15.1 11
2025-07-03 @ Grindavik W 5-140.5 1291 1215 34.64% 25.48% 39.87%+0.55 +15.1 23
2025-07-03 Selfoss W 3-241.2 1302 1118 71.55% 16.14% 12.31%+1.14 +1.4 15
2025-07-03 @ Keflavik IF L 2-341.2 1118 1302 12.31% 16.14% 71.55%-1.14 -1.5 7
2025-07-03 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-249.2 1246 1258 48.71% 24.47% 26.82%-0.13 -5.6 17
2025-07-03 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-149.2 1258 1246 26.82% 24.47% 48.71%+0.13 +5.6 18
2025-07-04 Fjolnir L 0-145.0 1211 1201 51.68% 23.83% 24.50%+0.01 -6.2 9
2025-07-04 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-045.0 1201 1211 24.50% 23.83% 51.68%-0.01 +6.2 9
2025-07-04 IR Reykjavik L 1-249.7 1275 1278 49.88% 24.23% 25.89%-0.07 -5.7 10
2025-07-04 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-149.7 1278 1275 25.89% 24.23% 49.88%+0.07 +5.7 25
2025-07-05 IF Volsungur W 3-133.1 1278 1101 70.93% 16.45% 12.62%+1.10 +2.7 21
2025-07-05 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-333.1 1101 1278 12.62% 16.45% 70.93%-1.10 -2.7 13
2025-07-07 Keflavik IF L 1-440.7 1200 1303 35.96% 25.53% 38.51%-0.72 -10.9 11
2025-07-07 @ Grindavik W 4-140.7 1303 1200 38.51% 25.53% 35.96%+0.72 +10.9 18
2025-07-11 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-145.5 1117 1269 29.62% 25.00% 45.37%-1.04 +9.2 10
2025-07-11 @ Selfoss L 1-345.5 1269 1117 45.37% 25.00% 29.62%+1.04 -9.2 10
2025-07-11 Grindavik L 2-355.5 1207 1189 52.73% 23.57% 23.70%+0.07 -5.7 9
2025-07-11 @ Fjolnir W 3-255.5 1189 1207 23.70% 23.57% 52.73%-0.07 +5.7 14
2025-07-11 HK Kopavogur L 1-250.0 1284 1281 50.82% 24.03% 25.15%-0.03 -5.8 25
2025-07-11 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-150.0 1281 1284 25.15% 24.03% 50.82%+0.03 +5.8 24
2025-07-11 Keflavik IF W 3-250.1 1264 1314 43.55% 25.22% 31.23%-0.38 +3.8 21
2025-07-11 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 2-350.1 1314 1264 31.23% 25.22% 43.55%+0.38 -3.8 18
2025-07-12 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-032.5 1240 1205 54.96% 22.95% 22.09%+0.18 +5.8 20
2025-07-12 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-232.5 1205 1240 22.09% 22.95% 54.96%-0.18 -5.8 9
2025-07-12 Njardvik D 1-152.1 1098 1306 23.65% 23.55% 52.81%-1.40 +0.8 14
2025-07-12 @ IF Volsungur D 1-152.1 1306 1098 52.81% 23.55% 23.65%+1.40 -0.8 24
2025-07-18 Fjolnir W 5-449.0 1310 1201 63.67% 19.80% 16.52%+0.66 +2.0 21
2025-07-18 @ Keflavik IF L 4-549.0 1201 1310 16.52% 19.80% 63.67%-0.66 -2.0 9
2025-07-18 Njardvik L 0-143.7 1260 1305 44.20% 25.15% 30.65%-0.35 -5.5 10
2025-07-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-043.7 1305 1260 30.65% 25.15% 44.20%+0.35 +5.5 27
2025-07-18 Selfoss L 0-242.9 1194 1126 58.96% 21.64% 19.40%+0.39 -13.1 14
2025-07-18 @ Grindavik W 2-042.9 1126 1194 19.40% 21.64% 58.96%-0.39 +13.1 13
2025-07-18 Thor Akureyri L 1-250.9 1286 1246 55.52% 22.78% 21.69%+0.21 -6.2 24
2025-07-18 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-150.9 1246 1286 21.69% 22.78% 55.52%-0.21 +6.2 23
2025-07-18 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-151.6 1199 1268 40.89% 25.43% 33.68%-0.50 -0.2 10
2025-07-18 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-151.6 1268 1199 33.68% 25.43% 40.89%+0.50 +0.2 22
2025-07-19 IR Reykjavik L 2-347.8 1099 1278 26.53% 24.40% 49.07%-1.22 -3.3 14
2025-07-19 @ IF Volsungur W 3-247.8 1278 1099 49.07% 24.40% 26.53%+1.22 +3.3 28
2025-07-25 Fjolnir D 3-362.9 1254 1199 57.35% 22.20% 20.45%+0.31 -0.6 11
2025-07-25 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 3-362.9 1199 1254 20.45% 22.20% 57.35%-0.31 +0.6 10
2025-07-25 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-034.4 1280 1199 60.54% 21.06% 18.40%+0.48 +2.6 27
2025-07-25 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-134.4 1199 1280 18.40% 21.06% 60.54%-0.48 -2.6 10
2025-07-25 Njardvik D 2-257.8 1282 1311 46.44% 24.85% 28.71%-0.24 -0.3 29
2025-07-25 @ IR Reykjavik D 2-257.8 1311 1282 28.71% 24.85% 46.44%+0.24 +0.3 28
2025-07-25 Thor Akureyri D 2-258.5 1312 1252 57.93% 22.01% 20.07%+0.34 -0.8 22
2025-07-25 @ Keflavik IF D 2-258.5 1252 1312 20.07% 22.01% 57.93%-0.34 +0.8 24
2025-07-25 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-246.3 1181 1268 38.39% 25.53% 36.08%-0.61 -4.7 14
2025-07-25 @ Grindavik W 2-146.3 1268 1181 36.08% 25.53% 38.39%+0.61 +4.7 25
2025-07-26 Selfoss W 4-032.3 1096 1139 44.45% 25.12% 30.43%-0.33 +14.8 17
2025-07-26 @ IF Volsungur L 0-432.3 1139 1096 30.43% 25.12% 44.45%+0.33 -14.8 13
2025-07-29 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-141.5 1273 1254 52.80% 23.55% 23.65%+0.07 +3.1 28
2025-07-29 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-241.5 1254 1273 23.65% 23.55% 52.80%-0.07 -3.1 11
2025-07-29 Grindavik W 2-030.9 1253 1177 59.93% 21.29% 18.78%+0.45 +5.0 27
2025-07-29 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-230.9 1177 1253 18.78% 21.29% 59.93%-0.45 -5.0 14
2025-07-29 HK Kopavogur W 3-031.0 1311 1283 54.03% 23.22% 22.75%+0.13 +8.7 31
2025-07-29 @ Njardvik L 0-331.0 1283 1311 22.75% 23.22% 54.03%-0.13 -8.7 27
2025-07-29 Keflavik IF L 0-237.1 1196 1311 34.31% 25.47% 40.22%-0.80 -8.5 10
2025-07-29 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-037.1 1311 1196 40.22% 25.47% 34.31%+0.80 +8.6 25
2025-07-30 IF Volsungur D 1-152.8 1200 1111 61.46% 20.70% 17.83%+0.53 -1.2 11
2025-07-30 @ Fjolnir D 1-152.8 1111 1200 17.83% 20.70% 61.46%-0.53 +1.2 18
2025-07-30 IR Reykjavik L 0-138.5 1125 1281 29.07% 24.92% 46.02%-1.07 -4.0 13
2025-07-30 @ Selfoss W 1-038.5 1281 1125 46.02% 24.92% 29.07%+1.07 +4.0 32
2025-08-08 Fjolnir D 3-363.4 1285 1199 61.11% 20.84% 18.05%+0.51 -0.7 33
2025-08-08 @ IR Reykjavik D 3-363.4 1199 1285 18.05% 20.84% 61.11%-0.51 +0.7 12
2025-08-08 Keflavik IF W 3-033.9 1274 1320 44.12% 25.16% 30.72%-0.35 +11.4 30
2025-08-08 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-333.9 1320 1274 30.72% 25.16% 44.12%+0.35 -11.4 25
2025-08-08 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-248.1 1172 1187 48.27% 24.55% 27.18%-0.15 +3.4 17
2025-08-08 @ Grindavik L 2-348.1 1187 1172 27.18% 24.55% 48.27%+0.15 -3.4 10
2025-08-08 Selfoss W 2-135.2 1320 1121 73.12% 15.35% 11.53%+1.24 +1.4 34
2025-08-08 @ Njardvik L 1-235.2 1121 1320 11.53% 15.35% 73.12%-1.24 -1.4 13
2025-08-08 Thor Akureyri L 1-249.4 1251 1258 49.37% 24.34% 26.30%-0.10 -5.7 11
2025-08-08 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-149.4 1258 1251 26.30% 24.34% 49.37%+0.10 +5.7 30
2025-08-09 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-257.2 1112 1276 28.24% 24.77% 47.00%-1.12 +0.4 19
2025-08-09 @ IF Volsungur D 2-257.2 1276 1112 47.00% 24.77% 28.24%+1.12 -0.4 29
2025-08-13 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-039.8 1184 1245 42.02% 25.36% 32.62%-0.45 +4.4 13
2025-08-13 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-139.8 1245 1184 32.62% 25.36% 42.02%+0.45 -4.4 11
2025-08-13 Grindavik W 4-026.1 1309 1175 66.39% 18.61% 15.00%+0.82 +7.3 28
2025-08-13 @ Keflavik IF L 0-426.1 1175 1309 15.00% 18.61% 66.39%-0.82 -7.3 17
2025-08-13 HK Kopavogur W 3-038.1 1119 1285 27.97% 24.71% 47.31%-1.13 +15.9 16
2025-08-13 @ Selfoss L 0-338.1 1285 1119 47.31% 24.71% 27.97%+1.13 -15.9 30
2025-08-13 IR Reykjavik W 3-140.1 1275 1284 49.13% 24.38% 26.49%-0.11 +6.0 32
2025-08-13 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-340.1 1284 1275 26.49% 24.38% 49.13%+0.11 -6.0 33
2025-08-13 Njardvik L 1-245.0 1200 1321 33.46% 25.42% 41.12%-0.84 -4.2 12
2025-08-13 @ Fjolnir W 2-145.0 1321 1200 41.12% 25.42% 33.46%+0.84 +4.2 37
2025-08-13 Thor Akureyri L 2-542.1 1112 1264 29.67% 25.01% 45.32%-1.04 -8.1 19
2025-08-13 @ IF Volsungur W 5-242.1 1264 1112 45.32% 25.01% 29.67%+1.04 +8.1 33
2025-08-17 Fjolnir L 1-247.2 1135 1195 42.11% 25.35% 32.54%-0.44 -5.0 16
2025-08-17 @ Selfoss W 2-147.2 1195 1135 32.54% 25.35% 42.11%+0.44 +5.0 15
2025-08-17 Grindavik D 3-363.5 1269 1168 62.86% 20.14% 17.00%+0.61 -0.8 31
2025-08-17 @ HK Kopavogur D 3-363.5 1168 1269 17.00% 20.14% 62.86%-0.61 +0.8 18
2025-08-17 Keflavik IF W 4-034.3 1241 1316 39.99% 25.48% 34.53%-0.54 +16.3 14
2025-08-17 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-434.3 1316 1241 34.53% 25.48% 39.99%+0.54 -16.3 28
2025-08-17 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-246.2 1104 1188 38.67% 25.52% 35.81%-0.60 -4.7 19
2025-08-17 @ IF Volsungur W 2-146.2 1188 1104 35.81% 25.52% 38.67%+0.60 +4.7 16
2025-08-17 Thor Akureyri L 0-145.3 1279 1272 51.23% 23.93% 24.84%-0.01 -6.2 33
2025-08-17 @ IR Reykjavik W 1-045.3 1272 1279 24.84% 23.93% 51.23%+0.01 +6.2 36
2025-08-17 Throttur Reykjavik L 2-357.0 1325 1281 56.02% 22.63% 21.35%+0.24 -6.0 37
2025-08-17 @ Njardvik W 3-257.0 1281 1325 21.35% 22.63% 56.02%-0.24 +6.0 35
2025-08-23 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-434.9 1169 1257 38.11% 25.53% 36.35%-0.63 -17.6 18
2025-08-23 @ Grindavik W 4-034.9 1257 1169 36.35% 25.53% 38.11%+0.63 +17.6 17
2025-08-23 HK Kopavogur L 1-540.7 1200 1269 40.97% 25.43% 33.60%-0.50 -15.5 15
2025-08-23 @ Fjolnir W 5-140.7 1269 1200 33.60% 25.43% 40.97%+0.50 +15.5 34
2025-08-23 IF Volsungur W 7-229.6 1300 1099 73.21% 15.30% 11.49%+1.25 +4.6 31
2025-08-23 @ Keflavik IF L 2-729.6 1099 1300 11.49% 15.30% 73.21%-1.25 -4.6 19
2025-08-23 IR Reykjavik D 1-151.6 1193 1272 39.43% 25.50% 35.07%-0.57 -0.1 17
2025-08-23 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-151.6 1272 1193 35.07% 25.50% 39.43%+0.57 +0.1 34
2025-08-23 Njardvik W 3-141.7 1278 1319 44.75% 25.08% 30.17%-0.32 +6.7 39
2025-08-23 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-341.7 1319 1278 30.17% 25.08% 44.75%+0.32 -6.7 37
2025-08-23 Selfoss W 2-136.4 1287 1130 68.91% 17.44% 13.65%+0.97 +1.7 38
2025-08-23 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-236.4 1130 1287 13.65% 17.44% 68.91%-0.97 -1.7 16
2025-08-29 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-242.0 1284 1275 51.62% 23.84% 24.54%+0.01 -11.8 34
2025-08-29 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-042.0 1275 1284 24.54% 23.84% 51.62%-0.01 +11.8 20
2025-08-29 Keflavik IF W 4-245.9 1272 1304 46.09% 24.90% 29.01%-0.26 +5.8 37
2025-08-29 @ IR Reykjavik L 2-445.9 1304 1272 29.01% 24.90% 46.09%+0.26 -5.8 31
2025-08-29 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-135.2 1313 1193 64.90% 19.28% 15.83%+0.73 +3.5 40
2025-08-29 @ Njardvik L 1-335.2 1193 1313 15.83% 19.28% 64.90%-0.73 -3.5 17
2025-08-29 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-245.6 1185 1289 35.87% 25.53% 38.60%-0.73 -4.4 15
2025-08-29 @ Fjolnir W 2-145.6 1289 1185 38.60% 25.53% 35.87%+0.73 +4.4 41
2025-08-30 Grindavik W 2-035.9 1095 1151 42.67% 25.30% 32.03%-0.42 +8.1 22
2025-08-30 @ IF Volsungur L 0-235.9 1151 1095 32.03% 25.30% 42.67%+0.42 -8.1 18
2025-08-30 Thor Akureyri W 3-253.9 1128 1285 29.11% 24.92% 45.97%-1.07 +5.1 19
2025-08-30 @ Selfoss L 2-353.9 1285 1128 45.97% 24.92% 29.11%+1.07 -5.1 39
2025-09-06 Fjolnir W 2-138.4 1280 1180 62.58% 20.26% 17.16%+0.59 +2.2 42
2025-09-06 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-238.4 1180 1280 17.16% 20.26% 62.58%-0.59 -2.2 15
2025-09-06 IF Volsungur L 1-253.3 1286 1103 71.58% 16.13% 12.29%+1.14 -7.6 20
2025-09-06 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-153.3 1103 1286 12.29% 16.13% 71.58%-1.14 +7.6 25
2025-09-06 IR Reykjavik W 3-144.9 1143 1278 31.69% 25.27% 43.04%-0.93 +8.8 21
2025-09-06 @ Grindavik L 1-344.9 1278 1143 43.04% 25.27% 31.69%+0.93 -8.8 37
2025-09-06 Njardvik W 2-143.5 1298 1316 47.95% 24.61% 27.45%-0.17 +3.6 34
2025-09-06 @ Keflavik IF L 1-243.5 1316 1298 27.45% 24.61% 47.95%+0.17 -3.6 40
2025-09-06 Selfoss W 2-031.5 1190 1133 57.48% 22.16% 20.36%+0.31 +5.4 20
2025-09-06 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-231.5 1133 1190 20.36% 22.16% 57.48%-0.31 -5.4 19
2025-09-06 Throttur Reykjavik W 5-242.0 1272 1293 47.55% 24.67% 27.77%-0.19 +7.6 37
2025-09-06 @ HK Kopavogur L 2-542.0 1293 1272 27.77% 24.67% 47.55%+0.19 -7.6 41
2025-09-13 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-249.5 1269 1279 49.12% 24.39% 26.49%-0.11 -5.6 37
2025-09-13 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-149.5 1279 1269 26.49% 24.39% 49.12%+0.11 +5.6 23
2025-09-13 Grindavik W 3-025.8 1313 1152 69.31% 17.24% 13.44%+1.00 +4.9 43
2025-09-13 @ Njardvik L 0-325.8 1152 1313 13.44% 17.24% 69.31%-1.00 -4.9 21
2025-09-13 HK Kopavogur L 0-431.5 1110 1280 27.59% 24.64% 47.77%-1.15 -13.6 25
2025-09-13 @ IF Volsungur W 4-031.5 1280 1110 47.77% 24.64% 27.59%+1.15 +13.6 40
2025-09-13 Keflavik IF L 1-437.6 1128 1302 27.12% 24.53% 48.35%-1.18 -8.6 19
2025-09-13 @ Selfoss W 4-137.6 1302 1128 48.35% 24.53% 27.12%+1.18 +8.6 37
2025-09-13 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-248.8 1178 1195 48.13% 24.57% 27.30%-0.16 -5.5 15
2025-09-13 @ Fjolnir W 2-148.8 1195 1178 27.30% 24.57% 48.13%+0.16 +5.6 23
2025-09-13 Thor Akureyri L 1-250.0 1286 1282 50.86% 24.02% 25.12%-0.03 -5.8 41
2025-09-13 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-150.0 1282 1286 25.12% 24.02% 50.86%+0.03 +5.8 45

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2025-09-17 Njardvik L 1-250.1 1311 1318 49.40% 24.33% 26.27%-0.10 -5.7 0-1
2025-09-17 @ Keflavik IF W 2-150.1 1318 1311 26.27% 24.33% 49.40%+0.10 +5.7 1-0
2025-09-17 Throttur Reykjavik W 4-351.2 1294 1280 52.15% 23.71% 24.14%+0.04 +2.9 1-0
2025-09-17 @ HK Kopavogur L 3-451.2 1280 1294 24.14% 23.71% 52.15%-0.04 -2.9 0-1
2025-09-21 HK Kopavogur L 2-354.9 1277 1297 47.74% 24.64% 27.62%-0.18 -5.2 0-2
2025-09-21 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-254.9 1297 1277 27.62% 24.64% 47.74%+0.18 +5.2 2-0
2025-09-21 Keflavik IF L 0-340.3 1323 1305 52.77% 23.56% 23.67%+0.07 -17.4 1-1
2025-09-21 @ Njardvik W 3-040.3 1305 1323 23.67% 23.56% 52.77%-0.07 +17.4 1-1
2025-09-27 HK Kopavogur W 4-034.7 1322 1302 40.16% 25.47% 34.37%+0.13 +16.2 2-1
2025-09-27 @ Keflavik IF L 0-434.7 1302 1322 34.37% 25.47% 40.16%-0.13 -16.2 2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-09-06 12.29% IF Volsungur 1103 2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1286 1
2 2025-06-04 14.51% IF Volsungur 1089 3 @ Thor Akureyri 1231 1
3 2025-06-21 14.72% IF Volsungur 1099 4 @ Grindavik 1237 2
4 2025-06-09 15.96% Selfoss 1117 2 @ Fjolnir 1235 0
5 2025-05-30 18.00% HK Kopavogur 1243 3 @ Keflavik IF 1330 0
6 2025-06-04 18.93% Leiknir Reykjavik 1204 2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1278 1
7 2025-07-18 19.40% Selfoss 1126 2 @ Grindavik 1194 0
8 2025-05-17 19.49% IF Volsungur 1081 2 @ Selfoss 1148 1
9 2025-06-19 19.88% Fjolnir 1212 4 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1275 1
10 2025-05-18 20.21% Grindavik 1212 4 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1270 2
11 2025-05-09 20.61% Throttur Reykjavik 1264 1 @ Keflavik IF 1317 0
12 2025-05-09 21.16% Thor Akureyri 1207 4 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1254 1
13 2025-08-17 21.35% Throttur Reykjavik 1281 3 @ Njardvik 1325 2
14 2025-07-18 21.69% Thor Akureyri 1246 2 @ HK Kopavogur 1286 1
15 2025-05-23 22.24% Throttur Reykjavik 1260 2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1294 1
16 2025-09-21 * 23.67% Keflavik IF 1305 3 @ Njardvik 1323 0
17 2025-07-11 23.70% Grindavik 1189 3 @ Fjolnir 1207 2
18 2025-07-04 24.50% Fjolnir 1201 1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1211 0
19 2025-06-27 24.52% Thor Akureyri 1218 5 @ Fjolnir 1228 0
20 2025-08-29 24.54% Fylkir Reykjavik 1275 2 @ HK Kopavogur 1284 0
21 2025-05-30 24.68% IR Reykjavik 1243 3 @ Fjolnir 1251 0
22 2025-05-24 24.83% Thor Akureyri 1216 4 @ Grindavik 1222 3
23 2025-08-17 24.84% Thor Akureyri 1272 1 @ IR Reykjavik 1279 0
24 2025-09-13 25.12% Thor Akureyri 1282 2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1286 1
25 2025-07-11 25.15% HK Kopavogur 1281 2 @ IR Reykjavik 1284 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-06-27 27.49 Thor Akureyri 5 1218 24.52% @ Fjolnir 0 1228 51.64% 23.84%
2 2025-05-30 19.56 HK Kopavogur 3 1243 18.00% @ Keflavik IF 0 1330 61.19% 20.81%
3 2025-08-23 17.57 Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1257 36.35% @ Grindavik 0 1169 38.11% 25.53%
4 2025-09-21 * 17.37 Keflavik IF 3 1305 23.67% @ Njardvik 0 1323 52.77% 23.56%
5 2025-05-30 17.01 IR Reykjavik 3 1243 24.68% @ Fjolnir 0 1251 51.44% 23.89%
6 2025-08-17 16.30 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1241 39.99% Keflavik IF 0 1316 34.53% 25.48%
7 2025-09-27 * 16.25 @ Keflavik IF 4 1322 40.16% HK Kopavogur 0 1302 34.37% 25.47%
8 2025-08-13 15.91 @ Selfoss 3 1119 27.97% HK Kopavogur 0 1285 47.31% 24.71%
9 2025-06-19 15.86 Fjolnir 4 1212 19.88% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1275 58.22% 21.91%
10 2025-05-30 15.64 Njardvik 4 1265 41.93% @ Selfoss 0 1137 32.70% 25.36%
11 2025-05-30 15.52 Grindavik 6 1217 25.28% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1219 50.65% 24.07%
12 2025-08-23 15.47 HK Kopavogur 5 1269 33.60% @ Fjolnir 1 1200 40.97% 25.43%
13 2025-05-09 15.43 Thor Akureyri 4 1207 21.16% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1254 56.30% 22.54%
14 2025-07-03 15.15 Njardvik 5 1291 34.64% @ Grindavik 1 1215 39.87% 25.48%
15 2025-07-26 14.75 @ IF Volsungur 4 1096 44.45% Selfoss 0 1139 30.43% 25.12%
16 2025-06-09 14.06 Selfoss 2 1117 15.96% @ Fjolnir 0 1235 64.66% 19.38%
17 2025-09-13 13.59 HK Kopavogur 4 1280 47.77% @ IF Volsungur 0 1110 27.59% 24.64%
18 2025-05-23 13.29 @ Keflavik IF 6 1317 60.89% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1232 18.18% 20.93%
19 2025-07-18 13.08 Selfoss 2 1126 19.40% @ Grindavik 0 1194 58.96% 21.64%
20 2025-06-04 12.54 IF Volsungur 3 1089 14.51% @ Thor Akureyri 1 1231 67.30% 18.20%
21 2025-08-29 11.75 Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1275 24.54% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1284 51.62% 23.84%
22 2025-08-08 11.38 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1274 44.12% Keflavik IF 0 1320 30.72% 25.16%
23 2025-06-21 11.17 IF Volsungur 4 1099 14.72% @ Grindavik 2 1237 66.89% 18.39%
24 2025-06-27 11.06 @ IR Reykjavik 6 1267 55.68% Grindavik 1 1226 21.59% 22.73%
25 2025-07-07 10.86 Keflavik IF 4 1303 38.51% @ Grindavik 1 1200 35.96% 25.53%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-08-17 63.5 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1269 62.86% Grindavik 3 1168 17.00% 20.14%
2 2025-08-08 63.4 @ IR Reykjavik 3 1285 61.11% Fjolnir 3 1199 18.05% 20.84%
3 2025-07-25 62.9 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1254 57.35% Fjolnir 3 1199 20.45% 22.20%
4 2025-05-10 62.1 @ Grindavik 3 1213 44.40% Fjolnir 3 1256 30.48% 25.13%
5 2025-05-24 58.9 Thor Akureyri 4 1216 24.83% @ Grindavik 3 1222 51.24% 23.93%
6 2025-07-25 58.5 @ Keflavik IF 2 1312 57.93% Thor Akureyri 2 1252 20.07% 22.01%
7 2025-07-25 57.8 @ IR Reykjavik 2 1282 46.44% Njardvik 2 1311 28.71% 24.85%
8 2025-06-09 57.7 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1267 48.69% Njardvik 2 1279 26.84% 24.47%
9 2025-06-27 57.6 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1259 47.85% HK Kopavogur 2 1277 27.53% 24.62%
10 2025-08-09 57.2 @ IF Volsungur 2 1112 28.24% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1276 47.00% 24.77%
11 2025-08-17 57.0 Throttur Reykjavik 3 1281 21.35% @ Njardvik 2 1325 56.02% 22.63%
12 2025-06-27 56.9 @ Selfoss 2 1118 37.54% Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1211 36.92% 25.54%
13 2025-07-11 55.5 Grindavik 3 1189 23.70% @ Fjolnir 2 1207 52.73% 23.57%
14 2025-09-21 * 54.9 HK Kopavogur 3 1297 27.62% @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1277 47.74% 24.64%
15 2025-06-21 54.7 IF Volsungur 4 1099 14.72% @ Grindavik 2 1237 66.89% 18.39%
16 2025-08-30 53.9 @ Selfoss 3 1128 29.11% Thor Akureyri 2 1285 45.97% 24.92%
17 2025-05-18 53.3 Grindavik 4 1212 20.21% @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1270 57.71% 22.08%
18 2025-09-06 53.3 IF Volsungur 2 1103 12.29% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1286 71.58% 16.13%
19 2025-06-09 52.9 @ Keflavik IF 1 1311 55.42% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1271 21.77% 22.81%
20 2025-07-30 52.8 @ Fjolnir 1 1200 61.46% IF Volsungur 1 1111 17.83% 20.70%
21 2025-06-04 52.6 @ Njardvik 1 1280 56.32% Fjolnir 1 1234 21.14% 22.53%
22 2025-06-13 52.5 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1272 55.01% Grindavik 1 1236 22.06% 22.94%
23 2025-05-02 52.3 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1264 51.82% Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1253 24.39% 23.79%
24 2025-05-16 52.3 @ Njardvik 1 1256 52.76% IR Reykjavik 1 1237 23.68% 23.56%
25 2025-05-09 52.2 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1248 51.84% IR Reykjavik 1 1236 24.37% 23.79%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-09-13 25.8 @ Njardvik 3 1313 69.31% Grindavik 0 1152 13.44% 17.24%
2 2025-08-13 26.1 @ Keflavik IF 4 1309 66.39% Grindavik 0 1175 15.00% 18.61%
3 2025-05-09 28.9 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1290 66.88% Selfoss 0 1152 14.73% 18.39%
4 2025-05-23 29.6 @ Keflavik IF 6 1317 60.89% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1232 18.18% 20.93%
5 2025-08-23 29.6 @ Keflavik IF 7 1300 73.21% IF Volsungur 2 1099 11.49% 15.30%
6 2025-05-10 29.7 @ Njardvik 5 1250 69.59% IF Volsungur 1 1087 13.30% 17.11%
7 2025-06-13 29.9 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1263 55.84% Fjolnir 0 1221 21.47% 22.68%
8 2025-05-23 30.2 @ IR Reykjavik 2 1238 62.22% Selfoss 0 1142 17.37% 20.40%
9 2025-06-22 30.3 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1214 61.59% Selfoss 0 1123 17.75% 20.65%
10 2025-05-29 30.8 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1266 70.55% IF Volsungur 1 1093 12.81% 16.64%
11 2025-07-29 30.9 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1253 59.93% Grindavik 0 1177 18.78% 21.29%
12 2025-07-29 31.0 @ Njardvik 3 1311 54.03% HK Kopavogur 0 1283 22.75% 23.22%
13 2025-09-06 31.5 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 2 1190 57.48% Selfoss 0 1133 20.36% 22.16%
14 2025-09-13 31.5 HK Kopavogur 4 1280 47.77% @ IF Volsungur 0 1110 27.59% 24.64%
15 2025-05-03 31.9 @ IR Reykjavik 1 1235 67.74% IF Volsungur 0 1089 14.27% 17.99%
16 2025-06-04 31.9 @ HK Kopavogur 4 1263 67.20% Selfoss 1 1122 14.56% 18.24%
17 2025-07-26 32.3 @ IF Volsungur 4 1096 44.45% Selfoss 0 1139 30.43% 25.12%
18 2025-07-12 32.5 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1240 54.96% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1205 22.09% 22.95%
19 2025-07-05 33.1 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1278 70.93% IF Volsungur 1 1101 12.62% 16.45%
20 2025-05-30 33.2 Njardvik 4 1265 41.93% @ Selfoss 0 1137 32.70% 25.36%
21 2025-06-27 33.5 @ IR Reykjavik 6 1267 55.68% Grindavik 1 1226 21.59% 22.73%
22 2025-08-08 33.9 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1274 44.12% Keflavik IF 0 1320 30.72% 25.16%
23 2025-08-17 34.3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1241 39.99% Keflavik IF 0 1316 34.53% 25.48%
24 2025-07-25 34.4 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1280 60.54% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1199 18.40% 21.06%
25 2025-09-27 * 34.7 @ Keflavik IF 4 1322 40.16% HK Kopavogur 0 1302 34.37% 25.47%