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1971 Úrvalsdeild Season

56 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Keflavik IF

20 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1969.0

Relegated

IBA Akureyri

9 pts

Biggest Overachiever

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

5.08 points above expected

20 points · 14.92 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IBA Akureyri

4.66 points below expected

9 points · 13.66 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Keflavik IF Champion 14 8 4 2 20 32 17 +15 15.61 +4.39
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 14 9 2 3 20 37 19 +18 14.92 +5.08
3 Fram Reykjavik 14 7 1 6 15 29 25 +4 15.39 -0.39
4 IA Akranes 14 6 2 6 14 27 27 0 14.12 -0.12
5 Valur Reykjavik 14 6 2 6 14 24 25 -1 13.34 +0.66
6 KR Reykjavik 14 3 4 7 10 13 20 -7 13.29 -3.29
7 Breidablik 14 4 2 8 10 12 31 -19 11.67 -1.67
8 IBA Akureyri Relegated 14 4 1 9 9 21 31 -10 13.66 -4.66

Tiebreakers

  • Keflavik IF defeated IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4-0 in a playoff to determine the champion.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 20 14.92 +5.08
2 Keflavik IF 20 15.61 +4.39
3 Valur Reykjavik 14 13.34 +0.66
4 IA Akranes 14 14.12 -0.12
5 Fram Reykjavik 15 15.39 -0.39

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IBA Akureyri 9 13.66 -4.66
2 KR Reykjavik 10 13.29 -3.29
3 Breidablik 10 11.67 -1.67
4 Fram Reykjavik 15 15.39 -0.39
5 IA Akranes 14 14.12 -0.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jul 3 – Aug 10 1 in 75
2 IA Akranes 3 Jul 24 – Aug 15 1 in 30
3 Fram Reykjavik 3 May 23 – Jun 21 1 in 15
4 Keflavik IF 3 Aug 15 – Aug 29 1 in 13
5 Valur Reykjavik 3 Jun 10 – Jun 28 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBA Akureyri 3 Jul 18 – Aug 7 1 in 33
2 Breidablik 5 Jun 27 – Jul 26 1 in 32
3 KR Reykjavik 4 Jun 10 – Jul 5 1 in 20
4 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jun 21 – Jun 28 1 in 15
5 Valur Reykjavik 2 Aug 10 – Aug 15 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 7 Jun 21 – Aug 10 1 in 71
2 KR Reykjavik 5 Aug 7 – Sep 5 1 in 45
3 Breidablik 4 Aug 9 – Aug 29 1 in 27
4 Keflavik IF 7 Jun 12 – Jul 25 1 in 23
5 IA Akranes 5 Jul 24 – Aug 29 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBA Akureyri 7 Jul 18 – Aug 28 1 in 65
2 KR Reykjavik 7 Jun 10 – Jul 24 1 in 29
3 Fram Reykjavik 5 Jul 25 – Aug 26 1 in 18
4 IA Akranes 3 Aug 21 – Sep 12 1 in 11
5 Breidablik 5 Jun 27 – Jul 26 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1046 20 +22 8 5.7 +2.3
Keflavik IF 1045 20 +9 7 5.5 +1.5
Fram Reykjavik 1000 15 -20 3 5.7 -2.7
IA Akranes 975 14 +11 6 5.5 +0.5
Valur Reykjavik 936 14 -20 2 4.7 -2.7
KR Reykjavik 933 10 +19 7 4.2 +2.8
Breidablik 865 10 +12 6 3.8 +2.2
IBA Akureyri 937 9 -21 3 5.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FR IA IA IV KR KI VR
Breidablik —
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
2.48
Fram Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.59
 —
2-0-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
3.08
IA Akranes
1-1-0
3.25
0-0-2
2.85
 —
2-0-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.76
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.93
IBA Akureyri
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.51
0-0-2
2.95
 —
0-0-2
2.56
1-0-1
2.99
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
2.63
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.11
 —
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.08
KR Reykjavik
0-1-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.54
 —
0-2-0
2.23
0-0-2
2.83
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
2.93
0-2-0
3.44
 —
1-1-0
3.22
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-2
3.03
0-1-1
2.58
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.45
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +4.4
Allowed 0.54 -6.0
Differential 0.91 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%4.46%1.79%1.79%2.68%21.43%
17.14%7.14%8.04%4.46%2.68%0.89%30.36%
24.46%8.04%3.57%3.57%0.89%0.89%21.43%
31.79%4.46%3.57%1.79%—2.68%14.29%
41.79%2.68%0.89%———5.36%
5+2.68%0.89%0.89%2.68%——7.14%
Total21.43%30.36%21.43%14.29%5.36%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.74 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.47 2.19
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%—14.29%50.00%
114.29%———7.14%—21.43%
27.14%7.14%——7.14%—21.43%
3———7.14%——7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%14.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.21 -1.36
SD 1.03 2.01 2.37
CV 1.20 0.91 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%——7.14%
17.14%—14.29%—7.14%—28.57%
214.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
3—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total28.57%14.29%28.57%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 1.79 +0.29
SD 1.33 1.58 2.20
CV 0.64 0.88 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%——7.14%—14.29%
17.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%——35.71%
2—7.14%————7.14%
3—14.29%7.14%7.14%—7.14%35.71%
4———————
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total14.29%35.71%14.29%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.93 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.49 2.25
CV 0.75 0.77 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%——7.14%—21.43%
17.14%—14.29%—7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%—7.14%7.14%—7.14%28.57%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total21.43%14.29%28.57%7.14%14.29%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.21 -0.71
SD 1.34 1.76 2.46
CV 0.90 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%————7.14%
114.29%14.29%—7.14%——35.71%
2—7.14%————7.14%
3—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
4—14.29%————14.29%
5+7.14%7.14%—7.14%——21.43%
Total21.43%57.14%—14.29%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.36 +1.29
SD 1.91 1.39 2.27
CV 0.72 1.03 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%14.29%———35.71%
17.14%14.29%14.29%7.14%——42.86%
2—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%28.57%35.71%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.43 -0.50
SD 0.92 1.02 1.09
CV 0.99 0.71 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
1—14.29%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
2—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
314.29%—7.14%———21.43%
47.14%7.14%————14.29%
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 1.21 +1.07
SD 1.44 1.05 1.73
CV 0.63 0.87 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%7.14%——7.14%28.57%
1—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
27.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total7.14%42.86%28.57%14.29%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.79 -0.07
SD 1.54 1.25 1.98
CV 0.90 0.70 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Keflavik IF 1072 20 15.61 +4.39 96.0% 5 10 14 16 17 20 22
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1018 20 14.92 +5.08 93.0% 8 10 12 15 17 21 23
Fram Reykjavik 1000 15 15.39 -0.39 46.0% 8 9 13 16 17 21 22
IA Akranes 975 14 14.12 -0.12 50.0% 7 8 12 14 16 19 20
IBA Akureyri 937 9 13.66 -4.66 13.0% 3 9 12 14 16 18 22
Valur Reykjavik 936 14 13.34 +0.66 65.0% 6 7 11 13 16 19 22
KR Reykjavik 933 10 13.29 -3.29 19.0% 6 9 11 13 15 18 19
Breidablik 865 10 11.67 -1.67 37.0% 6 7 10 11 13 17 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.64%
Strong Edge
51.79%16.07%32.14%
Elo Value
Home Edge
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
069.14400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.41 goals
Neutral
-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.9
Wide Open
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Keflavik IF, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.58 * Some Luck: 2.58 to 3.87 * Lucky: 3.87 to 5.16 * Wild Swing: 5.16 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.64 * Close: 1.64 to 2.46 * Off: 2.46 to 3.28 * Way Off: 3.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.65 * A Surprise: 0.65 to 1.04 * Several Surprises: 1.04 to 1.43 * Many Surprises: 1.43 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.18 points
Some Luck
03.238
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.055
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
96.00%
Keflavik IF
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
13.00%
IBA Akureyri
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
A Surprise
00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 61.86
1.26
Coin-Flip Parity
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
74%
Even
50%75%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Few
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Slight Separation
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.99
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.07
Weak Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Shaky
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.18 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.18 to 0.26 * Above Noise: 0.26 to 0.35 * Well Above Noise: 0.35 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.056
Well Within Noise
00.1750.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Keflavik IF 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Keflavik IF23.00%24.00%17.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar20.00%13.00%19.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%
Fram Reykjavik22.00%17.00%15.00%13.00%13.00%3.00%14.00%3.00%
IA Akranes11.00%13.00%10.00%19.00%17.00%12.00%7.00%11.00%
Valur Reykjavik7.00%15.00%6.00%9.00%15.00%15.00%19.00%14.00%
KR Reykjavik5.00%7.00%13.00%12.00%14.00%19.00%17.00%13.00%
Breidablik3.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%20.00%17.00%35.00%
IBA Akureyri9.00%7.00%16.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%12.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fram Reykjavik 97.00% 3.00%
Keflavik IF 96.00% 4.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 94.00% 6.00%
IA Akranes 89.00% 11.00%
KR Reykjavik 87.00% 13.00%
IBA Akureyri 86.00% 14.00%
Valur Reykjavik 86.00% 14.00%
Breidablik 65.00% 35.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1971-05-22 Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.7 960 965 56.26% 16.68% 27.06%+0.41 -1.2 1
1971-05-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-154.7 965 960 27.06% 16.68% 56.26%-0.41 +1.2 1
1971-05-22 IBA Akureyri L 2-354.7 972 966 57.53% 16.66% 25.81%+0.48 -9.2 0
1971-05-22 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-254.7 966 972 25.81% 16.66% 57.53%-0.48 +9.2 2
1971-05-23 Breidablik W 2-031.8 981 954 59.89% 16.61% 23.50%+0.62 +8.9 2
1971-05-23 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-231.8 954 981 23.50% 16.61% 59.89%-0.62 -8.9 0
1971-05-23 IA Akranes W 2-140.6 969 971 56.60% 16.68% 26.73%+0.43 +5.0 2
1971-05-23 @ Keflavik IF L 1-240.6 971 969 26.73% 16.68% 56.60%-0.43 -5.0 0
1971-06-05 IBA Akureyri W 1-036.4 967 975 55.80% 16.69% 27.51%+0.39 +5.4 2
1971-06-05 @ IA Akranes L 0-136.4 975 967 27.51% 16.69% 55.80%-0.39 -5.4 2
1971-06-05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-036.0 963 958 57.39% 16.66% 25.95%+0.48 +5.1 2
1971-06-05 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-136.0 958 963 25.95% 16.66% 57.39%-0.48 -5.1 1
1971-06-06 Valur Reykjavik W 2-033.4 945 966 54.34% 16.71% 28.95%+0.31 +10.6 2
1971-06-06 @ Breidablik L 0-233.4 966 945 28.95% 16.71% 54.34%-0.31 -10.6 1
1971-06-07 Keflavik IF W 2-140.0 990 974 58.60% 16.64% 24.77%+0.54 +4.6 4
1971-06-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-240.0 974 990 24.77% 16.64% 58.60%-0.54 -4.6 2
1971-06-10 KR Reykjavik W 2-033.2 955 968 55.31% 16.70% 27.99%+0.36 +10.3 3
1971-06-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-233.2 968 955 27.99% 16.70% 55.31%-0.36 -10.3 2
1971-06-12 IA Akranes W 5-345.1 953 972 54.61% 16.70% 28.68%+0.32 +7.7 3
1971-06-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 3-545.1 972 953 28.68% 16.70% 54.61%-0.32 -7.7 2
1971-06-12 Breidablik W 4-134.5 970 955 58.47% 16.64% 24.89%+0.54 +11.4 4
1971-06-12 @ Keflavik IF L 1-434.5 955 970 24.89% 16.64% 58.47%-0.54 -11.4 2
1971-06-20 Valur Reykjavik L 1-346.7 964 965 56.70% 16.67% 26.62%+0.44 -16.5 2
1971-06-20 @ IA Akranes W 3-146.7 965 964 26.62% 16.67% 56.70%-0.44 +16.5 5
1971-06-20 IBA Akureyri W 4-028.5 981 970 58.11% 16.65% 25.24%+0.52 +17.9 6
1971-06-20 @ Keflavik IF L 0-428.5 970 981 25.24% 16.65% 58.11%-0.52 -17.9 2
1971-06-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-136.7 994 961 60.56% 16.59% 22.85%+0.66 +7.5 6
1971-06-21 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-336.7 961 994 22.85% 16.59% 60.56%-0.66 -7.5 3
1971-06-21 Fram Reykjavik W 4-136.7 953 1002 50.88% 16.74% 32.38%+0.13 +14.4 5
1971-06-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-436.7 1002 953 32.38% 16.74% 50.88%-0.13 -14.4 6
1971-06-23 KR Reykjavik W 1-036.6 944 958 55.22% 16.70% 28.08%+0.36 +5.5 4
1971-06-23 @ Breidablik L 0-136.6 958 944 28.08% 16.70% 55.22%-0.36 -5.5 2
1971-06-26 Keflavik IF D 1-154.7 968 999 53.07% 16.72% 30.21%+0.24 -1.0 6
1971-06-26 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-154.7 999 968 30.21% 16.72% 53.07%-0.24 +0.9 7
1971-06-27 Breidablik W 2-032.6 952 950 57.15% 16.67% 26.18%+0.46 +9.7 4
1971-06-27 @ IBA Akureyri L 0-232.6 950 952 26.18% 16.67% 57.15%-0.46 -9.7 4
1971-06-27 IA Akranes L 1-346.9 952 948 57.38% 16.66% 25.96%+0.48 -16.7 2
1971-06-27 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-146.9 948 952 25.96% 16.66% 57.38%-0.48 +16.7 4
1971-06-28 Fram Reykjavik W 5-344.6 982 987 56.22% 16.68% 27.10%+0.41 +7.4 7
1971-06-28 @ Valur Reykjavik L 3-544.6 987 982 27.10% 16.68% 56.22%-0.41 -7.4 6
1971-07-01 Valur Reykjavik D 2-259.6 1000 989 58.06% 16.65% 25.29%+0.51 -1.0 8
1971-07-01 @ Keflavik IF D 2-259.6 989 1000 25.29% 16.65% 58.06%-0.51 +1.0 8
1971-07-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-443.9 962 967 56.27% 16.68% 27.05%+0.41 -23.2 4
1971-07-03 @ IBA Akureyri W 4-143.9 967 962 27.05% 16.68% 56.27%-0.41 +23.2 8
1971-07-04 IA Akranes L 0-537.3 940 964 53.89% 16.71% 29.39%+0.29 -42.6 4
1971-07-04 @ Breidablik W 5-037.3 964 940 29.39% 16.71% 53.89%-0.29 +42.6 6
1971-07-05 KR Reykjavik W 2-031.2 980 936 61.72% 16.56% 21.72%+0.73 +8.2 8
1971-07-05 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-231.2 936 980 21.72% 16.56% 61.72%-0.73 -8.2 2
1971-07-07 Breidablik W 6-027.0 990 897 66.29% 16.38% 17.33%+1.04 +18.6 10
1971-07-07 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-627.0 897 990 17.33% 16.38% 66.29%-1.04 -18.6 4
1971-07-10 Fram Reykjavik L 0-438.7 1007 988 58.97% 16.63% 24.40%+0.57 -37.6 6
1971-07-10 @ IA Akranes W 4-038.7 988 1007 24.40% 16.63% 58.97%-0.57 +37.6 10
1971-07-11 IBA Akureyri L 0-539.8 990 939 62.44% 16.54% 21.02%+0.78 -49.1 8
1971-07-11 @ Valur Reykjavik W 5-039.8 939 990 21.02% 16.54% 62.44%-0.78 +49.1 6
1971-07-12 Keflavik IF D 1-154.7 927 999 47.79% 16.75% 35.47%-0.02 -0.5 3
1971-07-12 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.7 999 927 35.47% 16.75% 47.79%+0.02 +0.5 9
1971-07-17 Keflavik IF L 0-334.4 879 999 40.88% 16.72% 42.39%-0.33 -20.7 4
1971-07-17 @ Breidablik W 3-034.4 999 879 42.39% 16.72% 40.88%+0.33 +20.7 11
1971-07-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-345.3 969 1009 52.04% 16.73% 31.23%+0.19 -15.3 6
1971-07-17 @ IA Akranes W 3-145.3 1009 969 31.23% 16.73% 52.04%-0.19 +15.3 12
1971-07-18 IBA Akureyri W 5-237.1 1026 988 61.06% 16.58% 22.36%+0.69 +9.0 12
1971-07-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-537.1 988 1026 22.36% 16.58% 61.06%-0.69 -9.0 6
1971-07-19 Valur Reykjavik L 1-249.1 927 941 55.13% 16.70% 28.18%+0.35 -9.3 3
1971-07-19 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-149.1 941 927 28.18% 16.70% 55.13%-0.35 +9.3 10
1971-07-24 KR Reykjavik W 2-137.3 1024 917 67.45% 16.32% 16.23%+1.13 +3.1 14
1971-07-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-237.3 917 1024 16.23% 16.32% 67.45%-1.13 -3.2 3
1971-07-24 IA Akranes L 1-250.4 979 954 59.63% 16.62% 23.76%+0.60 -10.0 6
1971-07-24 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-150.4 954 979 23.76% 16.62% 59.63%-0.60 +10.0 8
1971-07-25 Fram Reykjavik W 3-030.6 1020 1035 55.10% 16.70% 28.20%+0.35 +15.1 13
1971-07-25 @ Keflavik IF L 0-330.6 1035 1020 28.20% 16.70% 55.10%-0.35 -15.1 12
1971-07-26 Breidablik W 4-239.1 951 858 66.29% 16.38% 17.33%+1.04 +5.2 12
1971-07-26 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-439.1 858 951 17.33% 16.38% 66.29%-1.04 -5.2 4
1971-08-07 KR Reykjavik L 1-251.3 969 914 62.71% 16.53% 20.76%+0.80 -10.5 6
1971-08-07 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-151.3 914 969 20.76% 16.53% 62.71%-0.80 +10.5 5
1971-08-08 Keflavik IF W 3-140.3 964 1035 47.85% 16.75% 35.40%-0.01 +11.0 10
1971-08-08 @ IA Akranes L 1-340.3 1035 964 35.40% 16.75% 47.85%+0.01 -11.0 13
1971-08-09 Fram Reykjavik W 2-147.2 853 1020 34.49% 16.64% 48.86%-0.63 +8.3 6
1971-08-09 @ Breidablik L 1-247.2 1020 853 48.86% 16.64% 34.49%+0.63 -8.3 12
1971-08-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-142.6 956 1027 47.83% 16.75% 35.42%-0.01 -8.7 12
1971-08-10 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-042.6 1027 956 35.42% 16.75% 47.83%+0.01 +8.7 16
1971-08-14 Fram Reykjavik D 2-259.6 958 1011 50.24% 16.74% 33.02%+0.10 -0.5 7
1971-08-14 @ IBA Akureyri D 2-259.6 1011 958 33.02% 16.74% 50.24%-0.10 +0.5 13
1971-08-15 Keflavik IF L 2-352.0 958 1024 48.46% 16.75% 34.79%+0.02 -7.8 7
1971-08-15 @ IBA Akureyri W 3-252.0 1024 958 34.79% 16.75% 48.46%-0.02 +7.8 15
1971-08-15 IA Akranes L 2-353.5 947 975 53.49% 16.72% 29.80%+0.27 -8.6 12
1971-08-15 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-253.5 975 947 29.80% 16.72% 53.49%-0.27 +8.6 12
1971-08-16 Breidablik D 0-051.3 925 861 63.64% 16.49% 19.86%+0.86 -2.1 6
1971-08-16 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-051.3 861 925 19.86% 16.49% 63.64%-0.86 +2.1 7
1971-08-21 KR Reykjavik D 1-154.8 984 923 63.35% 16.51% 20.15%+0.84 -1.9 13
1971-08-21 @ IA Akranes D 1-154.8 923 984 20.15% 16.51% 63.35%-0.84 +1.9 7
1971-08-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-344.6 1032 1036 56.42% 16.68% 26.90%+0.42 +7.3 17
1971-08-21 @ Keflavik IF L 3-544.6 1036 1032 26.90% 16.68% 56.42%-0.42 -7.3 16
1971-08-22 IBA Akureyri W 1-039.5 863 950 45.70% 16.75% 37.55%-0.11 +7.0 9
1971-08-22 @ Breidablik L 0-139.5 950 863 37.55% 16.75% 45.70%+0.11 -7.1 7
1971-08-23 Valur Reykjavik L 1-251.8 1012 939 64.54% 16.46% 19.00%+0.92 -10.8 13
1971-08-23 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-151.8 939 1012 19.00% 16.46% 64.54%-0.92 +10.8 14
1971-08-26 Fram Reykjavik W 3-248.3 925 1001 47.11% 16.75% 36.14%-0.05 +6.1 9
1971-08-26 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-348.3 1001 925 36.14% 16.75% 47.11%+0.05 -6.1 13
1971-08-28 IBA Akureyri W 5-130.6 1028 943 65.66% 16.41% 17.93%+1.00 +11.0 18
1971-08-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-530.6 943 1028 17.93% 16.41% 65.66%-1.00 -10.9 7
1971-08-29 Breidablik D 3-364.0 982 870 67.88% 16.30% 15.82%+1.17 -1.4 14
1971-08-29 @ IA Akranes D 3-364.0 870 982 15.82% 16.30% 67.88%-1.17 +1.4 10
1971-08-29 Keflavik IF L 1-246.1 949 1039 45.25% 16.75% 38.00%-0.13 -7.8 14
1971-08-29 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-146.1 1039 949 38.00% 16.75% 45.25%+0.13 +7.8 19
1971-09-04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-138.5 872 1039 34.39% 16.64% 48.97%-0.64 -6.5 10
1971-09-04 @ Breidablik W 1-038.5 1039 872 48.97% 16.64% 34.39%+0.64 +6.5 20
1971-09-05 Valur Reykjavik W 1-036.5 932 942 55.69% 16.69% 27.62%+0.38 +5.4 9
1971-09-05 @ IBA Akureyri L 0-136.5 942 932 27.62% 16.69% 55.69%-0.38 -5.4 14
1971-09-05 KR Reykjavik D 0-051.3 1047 931 68.27% 16.27% 15.46%+1.20 -2.6 20
1971-09-05 @ Keflavik IF D 0-051.3 931 1047 15.46% 16.27% 68.27%-1.20 +2.6 10
1971-09-12 IA Akranes W 1-035.6 995 980 58.53% 16.64% 24.83%+0.54 +4.9 15
1971-09-12 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-135.6 980 995 24.83% 16.64% 58.53%-0.54 -4.9 14

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1971-09-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-033.6 1045 1046 41.43% 16.75% 41.82%-0.01 +27.6 1-0
1971-09-19 @ Keflavik IF L 0-433.6 1046 1045 41.82% 16.75% 41.43%+0.01 -27.6 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1971-08-23 19.00% Valur Reykjavik 939 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1012 1
2 1971-08-07 20.76% KR Reykjavik 914 2 @ IBA Akureyri 969 1
3 1971-07-11 21.02% IBA Akureyri 939 5 @ Valur Reykjavik 990 0
4 1971-07-24 23.76% IA Akranes 954 2 @ IBA Akureyri 979 1
5 1971-07-10 24.40% Fram Reykjavik 988 4 @ IA Akranes 1007 0
6 1971-05-22 25.81% IBA Akureyri 966 3 @ KR Reykjavik 972 2
7 1971-06-27 25.96% IA Akranes 948 3 @ KR Reykjavik 952 1
8 1971-06-20 26.62% Valur Reykjavik 965 3 @ IA Akranes 964 1
9 1971-07-03 27.05% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 967 4 @ IBA Akureyri 962 1
10 1971-07-19 28.18% Valur Reykjavik 941 2 @ KR Reykjavik 927 1
11 1971-07-04 29.39% IA Akranes 964 5 @ Breidablik 940 0
12 1971-08-15 29.80% IA Akranes 975 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 947 2
13 1971-07-17 31.23% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1009 3 @ IA Akranes 969 1
14 1971-08-09 34.49% @ Breidablik 853 2 Fram Reykjavik 1020 1
15 1971-08-15 34.79% Keflavik IF 1024 3 @ IBA Akureyri 958 2
16 1971-08-10 35.42% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1027 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 956 0
17 1971-08-29 38.00% Keflavik IF 1039 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 949 1
18 1971-09-19 * 41.43% @ Keflavik IF 1045 4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1046 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-07-11 49.05 IBA Akureyri 5 939 21.02% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 990 62.44% 16.54%
2 1971-07-04 42.57 IA Akranes 5 964 29.39% @ Breidablik 0 940 53.89% 16.71%
3 1971-07-10 37.62 Fram Reykjavik 4 988 24.40% @ IA Akranes 0 1007 58.97% 16.63%
4 1971-09-19 * 27.60 @ Keflavik IF 4 1045 41.43% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1046 41.82% 16.75%
5 1971-07-03 23.22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 967 27.05% @ IBA Akureyri 1 962 56.27% 16.68%
6 1971-07-17 20.73 Keflavik IF 3 999 42.39% @ Breidablik 0 879 40.88% 16.72%
7 1971-07-07 18.64 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 990 66.29% Breidablik 0 897 17.33% 16.38%
8 1971-06-20 17.90 @ Keflavik IF 4 981 58.11% IBA Akureyri 0 970 25.24% 16.65%
9 1971-06-27 16.73 IA Akranes 3 948 25.96% @ KR Reykjavik 1 952 57.38% 16.66%
10 1971-06-20 16.54 Valur Reykjavik 3 965 26.62% @ IA Akranes 1 964 56.70% 16.67%
11 1971-07-17 15.26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1009 31.23% @ IA Akranes 1 969 52.04% 16.73%
12 1971-07-25 15.11 @ Keflavik IF 3 1020 55.10% Fram Reykjavik 0 1035 28.20% 16.70%
13 1971-06-21 14.36 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 953 50.88% Fram Reykjavik 1 1002 32.38% 16.74%
14 1971-06-12 11.41 @ Keflavik IF 4 970 58.47% Breidablik 1 955 24.89% 16.64%
15 1971-08-08 10.96 @ IA Akranes 3 964 47.85% Keflavik IF 1 1035 35.40% 16.75%
16 1971-08-28 10.95 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1028 65.66% IBA Akureyri 1 943 17.93% 16.41%
17 1971-08-23 10.84 Valur Reykjavik 2 939 19.00% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1012 64.54% 16.46%
18 1971-06-06 10.64 @ Breidablik 2 945 54.34% Valur Reykjavik 0 966 28.95% 16.71%
19 1971-08-07 10.53 KR Reykjavik 2 914 20.76% @ IBA Akureyri 1 969 62.71% 16.53%
20 1971-06-10 10.34 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 955 55.31% KR Reykjavik 0 968 27.99% 16.70%
21 1971-07-24 10.02 IA Akranes 2 954 23.76% @ IBA Akureyri 1 979 59.63% 16.62%
22 1971-06-27 9.74 @ IBA Akureyri 2 952 57.15% Breidablik 0 950 26.18% 16.67%
23 1971-07-19 9.30 Valur Reykjavik 2 941 28.18% @ KR Reykjavik 1 927 55.13% 16.70%
24 1971-05-22 9.18 IBA Akureyri 3 966 25.81% @ KR Reykjavik 2 972 57.53% 16.66%
25 1971-07-18 8.99 @ Fram Reykjavik 5 1026 61.06% IBA Akureyri 2 988 22.36% 16.58%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-08-29 64.0 @ IA Akranes 3 982 67.88% Breidablik 3 870 15.82% 16.30%
2 1971-07-01 59.6 @ Keflavik IF 2 1000 58.06% Valur Reykjavik 2 989 25.29% 16.65%
3 1971-08-14 59.6 @ IBA Akureyri 2 958 50.24% Fram Reykjavik 2 1011 33.02% 16.74%
4 1971-08-21 54.8 @ IA Akranes 1 984 63.35% KR Reykjavik 1 923 20.15% 16.51%
5 1971-05-22 54.7 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 960 56.26% Valur Reykjavik 1 965 27.06% 16.68%
6 1971-05-22 54.7 IBA Akureyri 3 966 25.81% @ KR Reykjavik 2 972 57.53% 16.66%
7 1971-06-26 54.7 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 968 53.07% Keflavik IF 1 999 30.21% 16.72%
8 1971-07-12 54.7 @ KR Reykjavik 1 927 47.79% Keflavik IF 1 999 35.47% 16.75%
9 1971-08-15 53.5 IA Akranes 3 975 29.80% @ Valur Reykjavik 2 947 53.49% 16.72%
10 1971-08-15 52.0 Keflavik IF 3 1024 34.79% @ IBA Akureyri 2 958 48.46% 16.75%
11 1971-08-23 51.8 Valur Reykjavik 2 939 19.00% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1012 64.54% 16.46%
12 1971-08-07 51.3 KR Reykjavik 2 914 20.76% @ IBA Akureyri 1 969 62.71% 16.53%
13 1971-08-16 51.3 @ KR Reykjavik 0 925 63.64% Breidablik 0 861 19.86% 16.49%
14 1971-09-05 51.3 @ Keflavik IF 0 1047 68.27% KR Reykjavik 0 931 15.46% 16.27%
15 1971-07-24 50.4 IA Akranes 2 954 23.76% @ IBA Akureyri 1 979 59.63% 16.62%
16 1971-07-19 49.1 Valur Reykjavik 2 941 28.18% @ KR Reykjavik 1 927 55.13% 16.70%
17 1971-08-26 48.3 @ KR Reykjavik 3 925 47.11% Fram Reykjavik 2 1001 36.14% 16.75%
18 1971-08-09 47.2 @ Breidablik 2 853 34.49% Fram Reykjavik 1 1020 48.86% 16.64%
19 1971-06-27 46.9 IA Akranes 3 948 25.96% @ KR Reykjavik 1 952 57.38% 16.66%
20 1971-06-20 46.7 Valur Reykjavik 3 965 26.62% @ IA Akranes 1 964 56.70% 16.67%
21 1971-08-29 46.1 Keflavik IF 2 1039 38.00% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 949 45.25% 16.75%
22 1971-07-17 45.3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1009 31.23% @ IA Akranes 1 969 52.04% 16.73%
23 1971-06-12 45.1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 953 54.61% IA Akranes 3 972 28.68% 16.70%
24 1971-06-28 44.6 @ Valur Reykjavik 5 982 56.22% Fram Reykjavik 3 987 27.10% 16.68%
25 1971-08-21 44.6 @ Keflavik IF 5 1032 56.42% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1036 26.90% 16.68%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-07-07 27.0 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 990 66.29% Breidablik 0 897 17.33% 16.38%
2 1971-06-20 28.5 @ Keflavik IF 4 981 58.11% IBA Akureyri 0 970 25.24% 16.65%
3 1971-07-25 30.6 @ Keflavik IF 3 1020 55.10% Fram Reykjavik 0 1035 28.20% 16.70%
4 1971-08-28 30.6 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1028 65.66% IBA Akureyri 1 943 17.93% 16.41%
5 1971-07-05 31.2 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 980 61.72% KR Reykjavik 0 936 21.72% 16.56%
6 1971-05-23 31.8 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 981 59.89% Breidablik 0 954 23.50% 16.61%
7 1971-06-27 32.6 @ IBA Akureyri 2 952 57.15% Breidablik 0 950 26.18% 16.67%
8 1971-06-10 33.2 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 955 55.31% KR Reykjavik 0 968 27.99% 16.70%
9 1971-06-06 33.4 @ Breidablik 2 945 54.34% Valur Reykjavik 0 966 28.95% 16.71%
10 1971-09-19 * 33.6 @ Keflavik IF 4 1045 41.43% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1046 41.82% 16.75%
11 1971-07-17 34.4 Keflavik IF 3 999 42.39% @ Breidablik 0 879 40.88% 16.72%
12 1971-06-12 34.5 @ Keflavik IF 4 970 58.47% Breidablik 1 955 24.89% 16.64%
13 1971-09-12 35.6 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 995 58.53% IA Akranes 0 980 24.83% 16.64%
14 1971-06-05 36.0 @ KR Reykjavik 1 963 57.39% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 958 25.95% 16.66%
15 1971-06-05 36.4 @ IA Akranes 1 967 55.80% IBA Akureyri 0 975 27.51% 16.69%
16 1971-06-21 36.5 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 994 60.56% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 961 22.85% 16.59%
17 1971-09-05 36.5 @ IBA Akureyri 1 932 55.69% Valur Reykjavik 0 942 27.62% 16.69%
18 1971-06-23 36.6 @ Breidablik 1 944 55.22% KR Reykjavik 0 958 28.08% 16.70%
19 1971-06-21 36.7 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 953 50.88% Fram Reykjavik 1 1002 32.38% 16.74%
20 1971-07-18 37.1 @ Fram Reykjavik 5 1026 61.06% IBA Akureyri 2 988 22.36% 16.58%
21 1971-07-04 37.3 IA Akranes 5 964 29.39% @ Breidablik 0 940 53.89% 16.71%
22 1971-07-24 37.3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1024 67.45% KR Reykjavik 1 917 16.23% 16.32%
23 1971-09-04 38.5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1039 48.97% @ Breidablik 0 872 34.39% 16.64%
24 1971-07-10 38.7 Fram Reykjavik 4 988 24.40% @ IA Akranes 0 1007 58.97% 16.63%
25 1971-07-26 39.1 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 951 66.29% Breidablik 2 858 17.33% 16.38%