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1970 Úrvalsdeild Season

56 games

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

20 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1960.0

Relegated

Vikingur Reykjavik

6 pts

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

4.77 points above expected

20 points · 15.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vikingur Reykjavik

5.54 points below expected

6 points · 11.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes Champion 14 8 4 2 20 24 15 +9 15.23 +4.77
2 Keflavik IF 14 7 2 5 16 18 15 +3 15.45 +0.55
3 Fram Reykjavik 14 8 0 6 16 28 19 +9 13.60 +2.40
4 KR Reykjavik 14 5 4 5 14 18 16 +2 14.61 -0.61
5 Valur Reykjavik 14 5 4 5 14 23 24 -1 13.48 +0.52
6 IBA Akureyri 14 4 5 5 13 32 30 +2 14.50 -1.50
7 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 14 6 1 7 13 20 25 -5 13.59 -0.59
8 Vikingur Reykjavik Relegated 14 3 0 11 6 18 37 -19 11.54 -5.54

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 20 15.23 +4.77
2 Fram Reykjavik 16 13.60 +2.40
3 Keflavik IF 16 15.45 +0.55
4 Valur Reykjavik 14 13.48 +0.52
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 13 13.59 -0.59

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 11.54 -5.54
2 IBA Akureyri 13 14.50 -1.50
3 KR Reykjavik 14 14.61 -0.61
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 13 13.59 -0.59
5 Valur Reykjavik 14 13.48 +0.52

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 5 Jun 14 – Aug 8 1 in 58
2 Keflavik IF 5 Jul 25 – Aug 22 1 in 28
3 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jun 28 – Jul 23 1 in 26
4 KR Reykjavik 2 Jun 27 – Jul 15 1 in 5
5 Valur Reykjavik 2 Aug 20 – Aug 25 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 5 Jun 8 – Jul 30 1 in 103
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Jul 14 – Aug 22 1 in 69
3 Keflavik IF 3 Sep 8 – Sep 27 1 in 19
4 Fram Reykjavik 3 Aug 20 – Sep 5 1 in 14
5 IBA Akureyri 2 Jun 28 – Jul 15 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 12 May 30 – Sep 12 1 in 271
2 Valur Reykjavik 7 Aug 13 – Sep 27 1 in 76
3 KR Reykjavik 6 May 23 – Jul 15 1 in 28
4 Keflavik IF 6 Jul 25 – Aug 30 1 in 11
5 IBA Akureyri 4 Aug 9 – Aug 22 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 7 May 30 – Aug 13 1 in 34
2 KR Reykjavik 5 Jul 23 – Aug 27 1 in 30
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Jul 14 – Aug 22 1 in 10
4 Keflavik IF 4 Aug 30 – Sep 27 1 in 8
5 IBA Akureyri 3 May 23 – Jul 15 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
IA Akranes 1086 20 +5 7 5.2 +1.8
Fram Reykjavik 1102 16 +8 4 4.8 -0.8
Keflavik IF 1076 16 -20 3 5.5 -2.5
Valur Reykjavik 1058 14 +17 8 4.7 +3.3
KR Reykjavik 1076 14 -2 4 5.3 -1.3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1038 13 +5 6 5.2 +0.8
IBA Akureyri 1053 13 -26 4 5.8 -1.8
Vikingur Reykjavik 960 6 -16 2 3.7 -1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR IA IA IV KR KI VR VR
Fram Reykjavik —
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
2.34
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
3.22
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.15
 —
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
3.18
1-1-0
2.69
2-0-0
2.68
0-2-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.49
IBA Akureyri
0-0-2
3.26
0-1-1
2.71
 —
1-1-0
3.01
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.20
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.62
 —
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
3.42
KR Reykjavik
0-0-2
3.28
0-1-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.67
2-0-0
3.04
 —
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.96
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
2.93
0-0-2
2.94
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.99
 —
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.67
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.00
0-2-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.25
 —
1-0-1
2.96
Vikingur Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
2.67
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.08 +2.1
Allowed 0.77 -4.4
Differential 0.87 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.36%6.25%8.93%2.68%0.89%—24.11%
16.25%8.93%9.82%2.68%1.79%1.79%31.25%
28.93%9.82%3.57%1.79%0.89%0.89%25.89%
32.68%2.68%1.79%——0.89%8.04%
40.89%1.79%0.89%——0.89%4.46%
5+—1.79%0.89%0.89%0.89%1.79%6.25%
Total24.11%31.25%25.89%8.04%4.46%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.62 +0.00
SD 1.54 1.54 1.99
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——14.29%———14.29%
17.14%—21.43%7.14%——35.71%
214.29%14.29%————28.57%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+—14.29%————14.29%
Total21.43%28.57%42.86%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.36 +0.64
SD 1.92 0.93 2.37
CV 0.96 0.68 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—7.14%7.14%——28.57%
1—7.14%————7.14%
214.29%21.43%7.14%———42.86%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
5+———————
Total28.57%42.86%21.43%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.07 +0.64
SD 1.38 0.92 1.65
CV 0.81 0.86 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%————14.29%
1—21.43%7.14%7.14%—7.14%42.86%
2——7.14%———7.14%
37.14%—————7.14%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+——7.14%7.14%—7.14%21.43%
Total14.29%35.71%21.43%14.29%—14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 2.14 +0.14
SD 2.13 2.07 2.57
CV 0.93 0.97 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%—35.71%
17.14%7.14%——7.14%—21.43%
214.29%7.14%—7.14%——28.57%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———————
5+————7.14%—7.14%
Total28.57%21.43%14.29%14.29%21.43%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.79 -0.36
SD 1.65 1.58 2.24
CV 1.16 0.88 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—7.14%———21.43%
114.29%14.29%21.43%———50.00%
214.29%—————14.29%
3—————7.14%7.14%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total50.00%14.29%28.57%——7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.14 +0.14
SD 1.14 1.66 1.79
CV 0.89 1.45 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%———14.29%
121.43%7.14%21.43%———50.00%
27.14%14.29%——7.14%—28.57%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.86%21.43%28.57%—7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.07 +0.21
SD 0.83 1.21 1.48
CV 0.64 1.13 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—21.43%7.14%———28.57%
1—14.29%—7.14%——21.43%
2—14.29%14.29%———28.57%
3—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
4———————
5+—————7.14%7.14%
Total—57.14%28.57%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.71 -0.07
SD 1.65 1.14 1.21
CV 1.00 0.66 —
Max 6 5 +2
Min 0 1 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%14.29%7.14%——35.71%
1——7.14%—7.14%7.14%21.43%
27.14%7.14%—7.14%—7.14%28.57%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4—————7.14%7.14%
5+———————
Total7.14%28.57%21.43%14.29%7.14%21.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 2.64 -1.36
SD 1.27 1.95 1.95
CV 0.99 0.74 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fram Reykjavik 1102 16 13.60 +2.40 82.0% 7 8 12 13 16 18 22
IA Akranes 1086 20 15.23 +4.77 94.0% 7 9 13 15 18 21 23
KR Reykjavik 1076 14 14.61 -0.61 51.0% 7 9 13 14 17 19 24
Keflavik IF 1076 16 15.45 +0.55 61.0% 7 10 13 16 18 20 26
Valur Reykjavik 1058 14 13.48 +0.52 60.0% 7 8 11 14 15 19 22
IBA Akureyri 1053 13 14.50 -1.50 40.0% 5 9 12 15 17 19 22
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1038 13 13.59 -0.59 46.0% 6 8 11 14 16 19 21
Vikingur Reykjavik 960 6 11.54 -5.54 5.0% 3 6 9 12 14 16 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.28%
Clear Edge
48.84%18.60%32.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge
131 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
057.07400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.40 goals
Neutral
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.8
Wide Open
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
25%
IA Akranes, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.29/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.6 * Some Luck: 2.6 to 3.9 * Lucky: 3.9 to 5.2 * Wild Swing: 5.2 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.67 * Close: 1.67 to 2.51 * Off: 2.51 to 3.34 * Way Off: 3.34 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.67 * A Surprise: 0.67 to 1.07 * Several Surprises: 1.07 to 1.47 * Many Surprises: 1.47 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.80 points
Some Luck
03.258
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.25
Pinpoint
02.095
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
94.00%
IA Akranes
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
5.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 1
As Expected
00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 43.56
1.17
Coin-Flip Parity
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
54%
Even
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
69%
Even
50%68%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.24
Very Even
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.70
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.13
Weak Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
38%
Very Upset-Prone
0%31%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
38%
Very Shaky
0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.19 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.19 to 0.28 * Above Noise: 0.28 to 0.38 * Well Above Noise: 0.38 and up.
Probability calibration
0.10
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.46
Overconfident
0.2992111.001.70079
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.209
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1880.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
IA Akranes25.00%17.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%
Keflavik IF23.00%17.00%14.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%
Fram Reykjavik13.00%10.00%9.00%17.00%14.00%13.00%16.00%8.00%
KR Reykjavik12.00%12.00%21.00%11.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%5.00%
Valur Reykjavik10.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%19.00%10.00%18.00%13.00%
IBA Akureyri12.00%17.00%17.00%11.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%8.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar5.00%11.00%13.00%17.00%10.00%8.00%14.00%22.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik—7.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%20.00%16.00%33.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Keflavik IF 96.00% 4.00%
KR Reykjavik 95.00% 5.00%
IA Akranes 93.00% 7.00%
Fram Reykjavik 92.00% 8.00%
IBA Akureyri 92.00% 8.00%
Valur Reykjavik 87.00% 13.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 78.00% 22.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik 67.00% 33.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1970-05-23 IBA Akureyri D 1-155.2 1067 1056 42.17% 18.94% 38.89%+0.08 -0.1 1
1970-05-23 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-155.2 1056 1067 38.89% 18.94% 42.17%-0.08 +0.1 1
1970-05-24 Valur Reykjavik L 2-353.3 1062 1062 52.08% 18.87% 29.05%+0.39 -6.8 0
1970-05-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-253.3 1062 1062 29.05% 18.87% 52.08%-0.39 +6.8 2
1970-05-24 IA Akranes W 2-038.5 1031 1052 37.58% 18.93% 43.49%-0.14 +12.3 2
1970-05-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-238.5 1052 1031 43.49% 18.93% 37.58%+0.14 -12.3 0
1970-05-25 Fram Reykjavik W 2-141.7 1067 1053 53.87% 18.82% 27.30%+0.49 +4.2 2
1970-05-25 @ Keflavik IF L 1-241.7 1053 1067 27.30% 18.82% 53.87%-0.49 -4.2 0
1970-05-29 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-040.7 1067 1043 43.95% 18.93% 37.12%+0.16 +5.7 3
1970-05-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-140.7 1043 1067 37.12% 18.93% 43.95%-0.16 -5.7 2
1970-05-30 IA Akranes D 1-155.2 1069 1039 44.75% 18.92% 36.33%+0.20 -0.3 3
1970-05-30 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-155.2 1039 1069 36.33% 18.92% 44.75%-0.20 +0.3 1
1970-06-06 KR Reykjavik D 0-051.8 1040 1073 47.79% 18.93% 33.28%+0.16 -0.5 2
1970-06-06 @ IA Akranes D 0-051.8 1073 1040 33.28% 18.93% 47.79%-0.16 +0.5 4
1970-06-07 Keflavik IF L 0-333.0 1037 1071 35.77% 18.92% 45.31%-0.23 -15.2 2
1970-06-07 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-033.0 1071 1037 45.31% 18.92% 35.77%+0.23 +15.2 4
1970-06-08 Valur Reykjavik W 1-042.6 1048 1069 37.63% 18.93% 43.44%-0.14 +6.5 2
1970-06-08 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-142.6 1069 1048 43.44% 18.93% 37.63%+0.14 -6.5 3
1970-06-14 IA Akranes L 1-246.4 1055 1039 42.79% 18.94% 38.27%+0.11 -6.1 2
1970-06-14 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-146.4 1039 1055 38.27% 18.94% 42.79%-0.11 +6.1 4
1970-06-14 KR Reykjavik D 0-051.8 1086 1073 53.69% 18.83% 27.48%+0.48 -1.0 5
1970-06-14 @ Keflavik IF D 0-051.8 1073 1086 27.48% 18.83% 53.69%-0.48 +1.0 5
1970-06-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-028.9 1074 1055 54.41% 18.81% 26.78%+0.52 +15.6 7
1970-06-27 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-428.9 1055 1074 26.78% 18.81% 54.41%-0.52 -15.6 0
1970-06-28 Keflavik IF W 4-243.6 1045 1085 46.85% 18.94% 34.21%+0.11 +7.8 6
1970-06-28 @ IA Akranes L 2-443.6 1085 1045 34.21% 18.94% 46.85%-0.11 -7.8 5
1970-06-28 Fram Reykjavik L 1-249.4 1056 1049 52.97% 18.85% 28.18%+0.44 -7.3 1
1970-06-28 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-149.4 1049 1056 28.18% 18.85% 52.97%-0.44 +7.3 4
1970-06-29 Valur Reykjavik W 3-139.9 1022 1062 46.88% 18.94% 34.19%+0.12 +8.7 4
1970-06-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-339.9 1062 1022 34.19% 18.94% 46.88%-0.12 -8.7 3
1970-07-14 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-245.4 1056 1031 55.14% 18.79% 26.07%+0.56 +3.8 6
1970-07-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-345.4 1031 1056 26.07% 18.79% 55.14%-0.56 -3.8 4
1970-07-15 Keflavik IF W 2-143.7 1040 1078 47.19% 18.93% 33.88%+0.13 +5.0 2
1970-07-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-243.7 1078 1040 33.88% 18.93% 47.19%-0.13 -5.0 5
1970-07-15 IA Akranes L 1-345.1 1049 1053 51.55% 18.88% 29.57%+0.36 -12.3 1
1970-07-15 @ IBA Akureyri W 3-145.1 1053 1049 29.57% 18.88% 51.55%-0.36 +12.3 8
1970-07-15 KR Reykjavik L 0-143.8 1054 1090 47.38% 18.93% 33.68%+0.14 -7.0 3
1970-07-15 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-043.8 1090 1054 33.68% 18.93% 47.38%-0.14 +7.0 9
1970-07-18 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-033.5 1045 1027 54.25% 18.81% 26.93%+0.51 +8.2 4
1970-07-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-233.5 1027 1045 26.93% 18.81% 54.25%-0.51 -8.2 4
1970-07-23 Fram Reykjavik L 1-250.4 1097 1060 56.51% 18.74% 24.76%+0.64 -7.8 9
1970-07-23 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-150.4 1060 1097 24.76% 18.74% 56.51%-0.64 +7.8 8
1970-07-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-134.6 1065 1053 53.59% 18.83% 27.58%+0.47 +10.3 10
1970-07-25 @ IA Akranes L 1-434.6 1053 1065 27.58% 18.83% 53.59%-0.47 -10.3 4
1970-07-25 Valur Reykjavik W 2-033.2 1073 1047 55.24% 18.78% 25.98%+0.57 +8.0 7
1970-07-25 @ Keflavik IF L 0-233.2 1047 1073 25.98% 18.78% 55.24%-0.57 -8.0 3
1970-07-26 IBA Akureyri L 1-441.3 1019 1036 49.88% 18.91% 31.21%+0.27 -17.0 4
1970-07-26 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-141.3 1036 1019 31.21% 18.91% 49.88%-0.27 +17.0 3
1970-07-30 IBA Akureyri W 1-037.3 1081 1053 55.40% 18.78% 25.83%+0.58 +4.2 9
1970-07-30 @ Keflavik IF L 0-137.3 1053 1081 25.83% 18.78% 55.40%-0.58 -4.2 3
1970-07-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-145.0 1039 1043 51.57% 18.88% 29.55%+0.36 -7.6 3
1970-07-30 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-045.0 1043 1039 29.55% 18.88% 51.57%-0.36 +7.6 6
1970-08-08 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-031.6 1076 1002 60.46% 18.55% 20.99%+0.89 +6.6 12
1970-08-08 @ IA Akranes L 0-231.6 1002 1076 20.99% 18.55% 60.46%-0.89 -6.6 4
1970-08-09 Keflavik IF L 1-248.5 1068 1085 49.92% 18.91% 31.18%+0.27 -6.9 8
1970-08-09 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-148.5 1085 1068 31.18% 18.91% 49.92%-0.27 +6.9 11
1970-08-09 KR Reykjavik W 6-341.4 1049 1089 46.87% 18.94% 34.19%+0.12 +9.9 5
1970-08-09 @ IBA Akureyri L 3-641.4 1089 1049 34.19% 18.94% 46.87%-0.12 -9.9 9
1970-08-12 Fram Reykjavik L 0-240.6 1050 1061 50.78% 18.89% 30.33%+0.32 -14.1 6
1970-08-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-040.6 1061 1050 30.33% 18.89% 50.78%-0.32 +14.1 10
1970-08-13 Valur Reykjavik D 1-155.3 1079 1031 57.76% 18.69% 23.55%+0.72 -1.2 10
1970-08-13 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-155.3 1031 1079 23.55% 18.69% 57.76%-0.72 +1.2 4
1970-08-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-036.4 1092 1036 58.55% 18.65% 22.80%+0.77 +3.8 13
1970-08-15 @ Keflavik IF L 0-136.4 1036 1092 22.80% 18.65% 58.55%-0.77 -3.8 6
1970-08-16 IBA Akureyri D 0-051.8 1082 1059 54.91% 18.79% 26.29%+0.55 -1.1 13
1970-08-16 @ IA Akranes D 0-051.8 1059 1082 26.29% 18.79% 54.91%-0.55 +1.1 6
1970-08-17 Fram Reykjavik L 1-537.0 995 1075 41.40% 18.93% 39.67%-0.15 -18.6 4
1970-08-17 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 5-137.0 1075 995 39.67% 18.93% 41.40%+0.15 +18.7 12
1970-08-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-155.2 1060 1032 55.41% 18.78% 25.81%+0.58 -1.0 7
1970-08-19 @ IBA Akureyri D 1-155.2 1032 1060 25.81% 18.78% 55.41%-0.58 +1.0 7
1970-08-20 Fram Reykjavik W 3-140.8 1032 1093 43.97% 18.94% 37.08%-0.03 +9.3 6
1970-08-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-340.8 1093 1032 37.08% 18.94% 43.97%+0.03 -9.3 12
1970-08-22 IBA Akureyri L 0-336.9 1033 1059 48.83% 18.92% 32.25%+0.22 -19.7 7
1970-08-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-036.9 1059 1033 32.25% 18.92% 48.83%-0.22 +19.7 9
1970-08-22 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-034.5 1096 977 64.78% 18.24% 16.99%+1.20 +2.9 15
1970-08-22 @ Keflavik IF L 0-134.5 977 1096 16.99% 18.24% 64.78%-1.20 -2.9 4
1970-08-23 IA Akranes L 1-249.1 1078 1081 51.72% 18.88% 29.41%+0.37 -7.2 10
1970-08-23 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-149.1 1081 1078 29.41% 18.88% 51.72%-0.37 +7.2 15
1970-08-25 IBA Akureyri W 6-553.5 1042 1079 47.27% 18.93% 33.79%+0.14 +4.5 8
1970-08-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 5-653.5 1079 1042 33.79% 18.93% 47.27%-0.14 -4.5 9
1970-08-27 KR Reykjavik W 2-146.2 974 1071 38.88% 18.91% 42.21%-0.27 +6.0 6
1970-08-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-246.2 1071 974 42.21% 18.91% 38.88%+0.27 -6.0 10
1970-08-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-240.4 1084 1014 50.20% 18.83% 30.97%+0.48 -13.9 12
1970-08-29 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-040.4 1014 1084 30.97% 18.83% 50.20%-0.48 +13.9 9
1970-08-30 Valur Reykjavik D 2-259.5 1088 1046 57.09% 18.71% 24.19%+0.68 -0.8 16
1970-08-30 @ IA Akranes D 2-259.5 1046 1088 24.19% 18.71% 57.09%-0.68 +0.8 9
1970-08-30 Keflavik IF D 1-155.2 1074 1098 48.99% 18.92% 32.09%+0.22 -0.6 10
1970-08-30 @ IBA Akureyri D 1-155.2 1098 1074 32.09% 18.92% 48.99%-0.22 +0.5 16
1970-09-05 Fram Reykjavik W 2-033.5 1087 1070 54.19% 18.81% 26.99%+0.51 +8.3 18
1970-09-05 @ IA Akranes L 0-233.5 1070 1087 26.99% 18.81% 54.19%-0.51 -8.3 12
1970-09-05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 4-647.1 980 1028 33.88% 18.89% 47.23%-0.33 -7.1 6
1970-09-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 6-447.1 1028 980 47.23% 18.89% 33.88%+0.33 +7.1 11
1970-09-06 Valur Reykjavik D 2-259.4 1074 1047 55.32% 18.78% 25.90%+0.57 -0.7 11
1970-09-06 @ IBA Akureyri D 2-259.4 1047 1074 25.90% 18.78% 55.32%-0.57 +0.7 10
1970-09-08 Keflavik IF W 2-035.4 1065 1099 47.70% 18.93% 33.37%+0.16 +9.9 12
1970-09-08 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-235.4 1099 1065 33.37% 18.93% 47.70%-0.16 -9.9 16
1970-09-09 Vikingur Reykjavik W 6-232.4 1073 973 63.07% 18.38% 18.55%+1.07 +7.9 13
1970-09-09 @ IBA Akureyri L 2-632.4 973 1073 18.55% 18.38% 63.07%-1.07 -7.9 6
1970-09-12 KR Reykjavik L 0-239.5 1035 1075 46.88% 18.94% 34.19%+0.12 -13.1 11
1970-09-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-039.5 1075 1035 34.19% 18.94% 46.88%-0.12 +13.1 14
1970-09-12 IA Akranes L 1-248.9 1089 1096 51.27% 18.88% 29.85%+0.34 -7.1 16
1970-09-12 @ Keflavik IF W 2-148.9 1096 1089 29.85% 18.88% 51.27%-0.34 +7.1 20
1970-09-13 IBA Akureyri W 7-137.1 1062 1081 37.85% 18.93% 43.22%-0.13 +28.0 14
1970-09-13 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-737.1 1081 1062 43.22% 18.93% 37.85%+0.13 -28.0 13
1970-09-19 KR Reykjavik W 2-037.5 1090 1088 40.82% 18.94% 40.24%+0.01 +11.5 16
1970-09-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-237.5 1088 1090 40.24% 18.94% 40.82%-0.01 -11.5 14
1970-09-19 IA Akranes W 3-034.2 1022 1103 41.17% 18.93% 39.90%-0.16 +16.6 13
1970-09-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-334.2 1103 1022 39.90% 18.93% 41.17%+0.16 -16.6 20
1970-09-20 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-142.3 1048 965 51.80% 18.78% 29.41%+0.57 +4.4 12
1970-09-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-242.3 965 1048 29.41% 18.78% 51.80%-0.57 -4.4 6
1970-09-27 Keflavik IF W 2-147.0 1052 1082 36.31% 18.92% 44.77%-0.20 +6.3 14
1970-09-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-247.0 1082 1052 44.77% 18.92% 36.31%+0.20 -6.3 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1970-07-23 24.76% Fram Reykjavik 1060 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1097 1
2 1970-06-28 28.18% Fram Reykjavik 1049 2 @ IBA Akureyri 1056 1
3 1970-05-24 29.05% Valur Reykjavik 1062 3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1062 2
4 1970-08-23 29.41% IA Akranes 1081 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1078 1
5 1970-07-30 29.55% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1043 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1039 0
6 1970-07-15 29.57% IA Akranes 1053 3 @ IBA Akureyri 1049 1
7 1970-09-12 29.85% IA Akranes 1096 2 @ Keflavik IF 1089 1
8 1970-08-12 30.33% Fram Reykjavik 1061 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1050 0
9 1970-08-29 30.97% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1014 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1084 0
10 1970-08-09 31.18% Keflavik IF 1085 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1068 1
11 1970-07-26 31.21% IBA Akureyri 1036 4 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1019 1
12 1970-08-22 32.25% IBA Akureyri 1059 3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1033 0
13 1970-07-15 33.68% KR Reykjavik 1090 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1054 0
14 1970-09-12 34.19% KR Reykjavik 1075 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1035 0
15 1970-09-27 36.31% @ Valur Reykjavik 1052 2 Keflavik IF 1082 1
16 1970-05-24 37.58% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1031 2 IA Akranes 1052 0
17 1970-06-08 37.63% @ Fram Reykjavik 1048 1 Valur Reykjavik 1069 0
18 1970-09-13 37.85% @ Fram Reykjavik 1062 7 IBA Akureyri 1081 1
19 1970-06-14 38.27% IA Akranes 1039 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1055 1
20 1970-08-27 38.88% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 974 2 KR Reykjavik 1071 1
21 1970-08-17 39.67% Fram Reykjavik 1075 5 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 995 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-09-13 28.01 @ Fram Reykjavik 7 1062 37.85% IBA Akureyri 1 1081 43.22% 18.93%
2 1970-08-22 19.73 IBA Akureyri 3 1059 32.25% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1033 48.83% 18.92%
3 1970-08-17 18.65 Fram Reykjavik 5 1075 39.67% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 995 41.40% 18.93%
4 1970-07-26 16.95 IBA Akureyri 4 1036 31.21% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1019 49.88% 18.91%
5 1970-09-19 16.62 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1022 41.17% IA Akranes 0 1103 39.90% 18.93%
6 1970-06-27 15.56 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1074 54.41% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1055 26.78% 18.81%
7 1970-06-07 15.20 Keflavik IF 3 1071 45.31% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1037 35.77% 18.92%
8 1970-08-12 14.07 Fram Reykjavik 2 1061 30.33% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1050 50.78% 18.89%
9 1970-08-29 13.91 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1014 30.97% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1084 50.20% 18.83%
10 1970-09-12 13.10 KR Reykjavik 2 1075 34.19% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1035 46.88% 18.94%
11 1970-07-15 12.34 IA Akranes 3 1053 29.57% @ IBA Akureyri 1 1049 51.55% 18.88%
12 1970-05-24 12.28 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1031 37.58% IA Akranes 0 1052 43.49% 18.93%
13 1970-09-19 11.53 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1090 40.82% KR Reykjavik 0 1088 40.24% 18.94%
14 1970-07-25 10.31 @ IA Akranes 4 1065 53.59% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1053 27.58% 18.83%
15 1970-08-09 9.91 @ IBA Akureyri 6 1049 46.87% KR Reykjavik 3 1089 34.19% 18.94%
16 1970-09-08 9.89 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1065 47.70% Keflavik IF 0 1099 33.37% 18.93%
17 1970-08-20 9.34 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1032 43.97% Fram Reykjavik 1 1093 37.08% 18.94%
18 1970-06-29 8.74 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1022 46.88% Valur Reykjavik 1 1062 34.19% 18.94%
19 1970-09-05 8.26 @ IA Akranes 2 1087 54.19% Fram Reykjavik 0 1070 26.99% 18.81%
20 1970-07-18 8.25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1045 54.25% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1027 26.93% 18.81%
21 1970-07-25 7.99 @ Keflavik IF 2 1073 55.24% Valur Reykjavik 0 1047 25.98% 18.78%
22 1970-09-09 7.95 @ IBA Akureyri 6 1073 63.07% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 973 18.55% 18.38%
23 1970-06-28 7.82 @ IA Akranes 4 1045 46.85% Keflavik IF 2 1085 34.21% 18.94%
24 1970-07-23 7.77 Fram Reykjavik 2 1060 24.76% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1097 56.51% 18.74%
25 1970-07-30 7.57 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1043 29.55% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1039 51.57% 18.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-08-30 59.5 @ IA Akranes 2 1088 57.09% Valur Reykjavik 2 1046 24.19% 18.71%
2 1970-09-06 59.4 @ IBA Akureyri 2 1074 55.32% Valur Reykjavik 2 1047 25.90% 18.78%
3 1970-08-13 55.3 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1079 57.76% Valur Reykjavik 1 1031 23.55% 18.69%
4 1970-05-23 55.2 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1067 42.17% IBA Akureyri 1 1056 38.89% 18.94%
5 1970-05-30 55.2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1069 44.75% IA Akranes 1 1039 36.33% 18.92%
6 1970-08-19 55.2 @ IBA Akureyri 1 1060 55.41% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1032 25.81% 18.78%
7 1970-08-30 55.2 @ IBA Akureyri 1 1074 48.99% Keflavik IF 1 1098 32.09% 18.92%
8 1970-08-25 53.5 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1042 47.27% IBA Akureyri 5 1079 33.79% 18.93%
9 1970-05-24 53.3 Valur Reykjavik 3 1062 29.05% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1062 52.08% 18.87%
10 1970-06-06 51.8 @ IA Akranes 0 1040 47.79% KR Reykjavik 0 1073 33.28% 18.93%
11 1970-06-14 51.8 @ Keflavik IF 0 1086 53.69% KR Reykjavik 0 1073 27.48% 18.83%
12 1970-08-16 51.8 @ IA Akranes 0 1082 54.91% IBA Akureyri 0 1059 26.29% 18.79%
13 1970-07-23 50.4 Fram Reykjavik 2 1060 24.76% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1097 56.51% 18.74%
14 1970-06-28 49.4 Fram Reykjavik 2 1049 28.18% @ IBA Akureyri 1 1056 52.97% 18.85%
15 1970-08-23 49.1 IA Akranes 2 1081 29.41% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1078 51.72% 18.88%
16 1970-09-12 48.9 IA Akranes 2 1096 29.85% @ Keflavik IF 1 1089 51.27% 18.88%
17 1970-08-09 48.5 Keflavik IF 2 1085 31.18% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1068 49.92% 18.91%
18 1970-09-05 47.1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 1028 47.23% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 4 980 33.88% 18.89%
19 1970-09-27 47.0 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1052 36.31% Keflavik IF 1 1082 44.77% 18.92%
20 1970-06-14 46.4 IA Akranes 2 1039 38.27% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1055 42.79% 18.94%
21 1970-08-27 46.2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 974 38.88% KR Reykjavik 1 1071 42.21% 18.91%
22 1970-07-14 45.4 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1056 55.14% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1031 26.07% 18.79%
23 1970-07-15 45.1 IA Akranes 3 1053 29.57% @ IBA Akureyri 1 1049 51.55% 18.88%
24 1970-07-30 45.0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1043 29.55% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1039 51.57% 18.88%
25 1970-07-15 43.8 KR Reykjavik 1 1090 33.68% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1054 47.38% 18.93%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-06-27 28.9 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1074 54.41% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1055 26.78% 18.81%
2 1970-08-08 31.6 @ IA Akranes 2 1076 60.46% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1002 20.99% 18.55%
3 1970-09-09 32.4 @ IBA Akureyri 6 1073 63.07% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 973 18.55% 18.38%
4 1970-06-07 33.0 Keflavik IF 3 1071 45.31% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1037 35.77% 18.92%
5 1970-07-25 33.2 @ Keflavik IF 2 1073 55.24% Valur Reykjavik 0 1047 25.98% 18.78%
6 1970-07-18 33.5 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1045 54.25% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1027 26.93% 18.81%
7 1970-09-05 33.5 @ IA Akranes 2 1087 54.19% Fram Reykjavik 0 1070 26.99% 18.81%
8 1970-09-19 34.2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1022 41.17% IA Akranes 0 1103 39.90% 18.93%
9 1970-08-22 34.5 @ Keflavik IF 1 1096 64.78% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 977 16.99% 18.24%
10 1970-07-25 34.6 @ IA Akranes 4 1065 53.59% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1053 27.58% 18.83%
11 1970-09-08 35.4 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1065 47.70% Keflavik IF 0 1099 33.37% 18.93%
12 1970-08-15 36.4 @ Keflavik IF 1 1092 58.55% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1036 22.80% 18.65%
13 1970-08-22 36.9 IBA Akureyri 3 1059 32.25% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1033 48.83% 18.92%
14 1970-08-17 37.0 Fram Reykjavik 5 1075 39.67% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 995 41.40% 18.93%
15 1970-09-13 37.1 @ Fram Reykjavik 7 1062 37.85% IBA Akureyri 1 1081 43.22% 18.93%
16 1970-07-30 37.3 @ Keflavik IF 1 1081 55.40% IBA Akureyri 0 1053 25.83% 18.78%
17 1970-09-19 37.5 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1090 40.82% KR Reykjavik 0 1088 40.24% 18.94%
18 1970-05-24 38.5 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1031 37.58% IA Akranes 0 1052 43.49% 18.93%
19 1970-09-12 39.5 KR Reykjavik 2 1075 34.19% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1035 46.88% 18.94%
20 1970-06-29 39.9 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1022 46.88% Valur Reykjavik 1 1062 34.19% 18.94%
21 1970-08-29 40.4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1014 30.97% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1084 50.20% 18.83%
22 1970-08-12 40.6 Fram Reykjavik 2 1061 30.33% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1050 50.78% 18.89%
23 1970-05-29 40.7 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1067 43.95% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1043 37.12% 18.93%
24 1970-08-20 40.8 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1032 43.97% Fram Reykjavik 1 1093 37.08% 18.94%
25 1970-07-26 41.3 IBA Akureyri 4 1036 31.21% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1019 49.88% 18.91%