1973 Úrvalsdeild Season

56 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Keflavik IF

26 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Keflavik IF

10.57 points above expected

26 points · 15.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Breidablik

7.87 points below expected

5 points · 12.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Keflavik IF	14	12	2	0	26	33	9	+24	15.4	+10.57
2	Valur Reykjavik	14	9	3	2	21	34	20	+14	14.3	+6.70
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	14	8	1	5	17	27	19	+8	14.8	+2.25
4	Fram Reykjavik	14	5	2	7	12	18	23	-5	14.3	-2.33
5	IA Akranes	14	4	3	7	11	32	27	+5	14.3	-3.30
6	IBA Akureyri	14	4	3	7	11	15	29	-14	12.4	-1.42
7	KR Reykjavik	14	3	3	8	9	17	27	-10	13.6	-4.60
8	Breidablik	14	1	3	10	5	23	45	-22	12.9	-7.87

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Keflavik IF	1064	26	15.43	+10.57	100.0%	3	10	13	15	18	21	27
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1037	17	14.75	+2.25	80.9%	3	10	13	15	17	20	25
Valur Reykjavik	1028	21	14.30	+6.70	98.8%	3	9	12	14	16	19	25
Fram Reykjavik	1014	12	14.33	-2.33	28.5%	3	9	12	14	17	19	25
IA Akranes	1012	11	14.30	-3.30	18.9%	2	9	12	14	16	19	25
KR Reykjavik	984	9	13.60	-4.60	9.5%	2	8	11	14	16	19	25
Breidablik	959	5	12.87	-7.87	1.1%	2	8	11	13	15	18	24
IBA Akureyri	956	11	12.42	-1.42	38.7%	2	7	10	12	15	18	24

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRE	FR	IA	IA	IV	KR	KI	VR
Breidablik	—	0-0-2 2.54	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.89	0-0-2 2.47	0-1-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.28	0-0-2 2.61
Fram Reykjavik	2-0-0 3.09	—	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 3.21	0-0-2 2.78	2-0-0 2.97	0-0-2 2.61	0-1-1 2.76
IA Akranes	1-1-0 3.06	1-0-1 2.80	—	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.94	0-0-2 2.70	0-1-1 2.81
IBA Akureyri	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.43	1-0-1 2.46	—	0-0-2 2.38	1-1-0 2.58	0-1-1 2.29	0-0-2 2.51
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2-0-0 3.18	2-0-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.93	2-0-0 3.26	—	1-0-1 3.00	0-0-2 2.70	0-1-1 2.92
KR Reykjavik	1-1-0 2.94	0-0-2 2.67	1-1-0 2.69	0-1-1 3.05	1-0-1 2.64	—	0-0-2 2.42	0-0-2 2.75
Keflavik IF	1-1-0 3.38	2-0-0 3.02	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.36	2-0-0 2.95	2-0-0 3.22	—	2-0-0 2.95
Valur Reykjavik	2-0-0 3.04	1-1-0 2.88	1-1-0 2.83	2-0-0 3.13	1-1-0 2.72	2-0-0 2.89	0-0-2 2.69	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.57%	8.04%	6.25%	0.89%	3.57%	0.89%	23.21%
1	8.04%	7.14%	5.36%	7.14%	1.79%	1.79%	31.25%
2	6.25%	5.36%	1.79%	2.68%	—	0.89%	16.96%
3	0.89%	7.14%	2.68%	3.57%	—	1.79%	16.07%
4	3.57%	1.79%	—	—	1.79%	—	7.14%
5+	0.89%	1.79%	0.89%	1.79%	—	—	5.36%
Total	23.21%	31.25%	16.96%	16.07%	7.14%	5.36%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	1.78
StdDev scored	1.72
StdDev allowed	1.72
Mean total goals/game	3.55
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.022
Sample size (games)	56

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
1	—	7.14%	14.29%	21.43%	—	7.14%	50.00%
2	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
3	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	14.29%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	42.86%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	3.21
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	2.39
Mean total goals/game	4.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.022
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
1	—	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	28.57%
2	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
3	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	42.86%	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.29
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.025
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
1	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	35.71%
2	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
3	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	21.43%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	7.14%	35.71%	21.43%	28.57%	7.14%	—	100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.29
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	2.76
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	4.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.066
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	42.86%
1	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
3	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	35.71%	14.29%	—	14.29%	14.29%	100%

IBA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	2.07
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	2.09
Mean total goals/game	3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.067
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	21.43%	—	—	—	7.14%	28.57%
1	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
Total	28.57%	42.86%	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.93
Mean allowed	1.36
StdDev scored	2.13
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.015
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	28.57%	—	—	—	28.57%
1	—	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
3	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	35.71%	35.71%	14.29%	—	7.14%	100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.21
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.214
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
1	28.57%	—	—	—	—	—	28.57%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
3	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
4	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	64.29%	21.43%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.36
Mean allowed	0.64
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.470
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%
1	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
2	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
3	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
Total	35.71%	28.57%	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	—	100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.43
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.87
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.207
Games played	14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Keflavik IF	26	15.4	+10.57
2	Valur Reykjavik	21	14.3	+6.70
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	17	14.8	+2.25
4	IBA Akureyri	11	12.4	-1.42
5	Fram Reykjavik	12	14.3	-2.33

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Breidablik	5	12.9	-7.87
2	KR Reykjavik	9	13.6	-4.60
3	IA Akranes	11	14.3	-3.30
4	Fram Reykjavik	12	14.3	-2.33
5	IBA Akureyri	11	12.4	-1.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Keflavik IF	9	May 20 – Jul 28	1 in 2,040
2	Valur Reykjavik	5	Jun 3 – Jul 22	1 in 176
3	IBA Akureyri	4	Jul 7 – Aug 8	1 in 36
4	Fram Reykjavik	2	Jun 4 – Jun 13	1 in 6
5	IA Akranes	2	Jun 16 – Jun 24	1 in 6

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Breidablik	8	Jun 2 – Aug 11	1 in 455
2	KR Reykjavik	5	Jun 3 – Jul 22	1 in 79
3	IBA Akureyri	5	May 27 – Jun 30	1 in 46
4	IA Akranes	3	Jul 22 – Aug 8	1 in 35
5	Fram Reykjavik	4	Jul 1 – Jul 28	1 in 24

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Keflavik IF	14	May 20 – Sep 16	1 in 824
2	Valur Reykjavik	6	Aug 13 – Sep 17	1 in 15
3	IBA Akureyri	5	Jul 7 – Aug 11	1 in 12
4	Breidablik	2	Sep 8 – Sep 16	1 in 4
5	KR Reykjavik	3	May 21 – Jun 2	1 in 4

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Breidablik	12	Jun 2 – Sep 16	1 in 191
2	KR Reykjavik	5	Jun 3 – Jul 22	1 in 12
3	IBA Akureyri	6	May 19 – Jun 30	1 in 10
4	Fram Reykjavik	4	Jul 1 – Jul 28	1 in 6
5	Valur Reykjavik	3	Sep 9 – Sep 17	1 in 4

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Keflavik IF	26.03%	18.48%	14.69%	11.88%	10.47%	7.66%	6.48%	4.31%
Valur Reykjavik	14.42%	14.89%	14.35%	13.53%	12.75%	11.76%	10.18%	8.12%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	16.48%	16.38%	14.90%	13.81%	11.93%	10.97%	9.15%	6.38%
Fram Reykjavik	12.65%	13.16%	14.19%	13.42%	12.81%	12.60%	11.68%	9.49%
IA Akranes	13.08%	14.52%	13.38%	13.29%	13.43%	12.07%	11.05%	9.18%
IBA Akureyri	4.14%	5.84%	8.18%	10.24%	12.05%	14.86%	19.20%	25.49%
KR Reykjavik	8.34%	9.65%	11.44%	12.98%	13.80%	14.74%	14.45%	14.60%
Breidablik	4.86%	7.08%	8.87%	10.85%	12.76%	15.34%	17.81%	22.43%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Keflavik IF	95.7%	4.3%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	93.6%	6.4%
Valur Reykjavik	91.9%	8.1%
IA Akranes	90.8%	9.2%
Fram Reykjavik	90.5%	9.5%
KR Reykjavik	85.4%	14.6%
Breidablik	77.6%	22.4%
IBA Akureyri	74.5%	25.5%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1973-05-19	IBA Akureyri	D 0-0	1021	973	62.6%	17.2%	20.2%	-0.6	1
1973-05-19	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 0-0	973	1021	20.2%	17.2%	62.6%	+0.6	1
1973-05-20	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	993	1007	55.4%	18.4%	26.2%	-5.0	0
1973-05-20	@ Breidablik	W 3-1	1007	993	26.2%	18.4%	55.4%	+5.0	3
1973-05-20	IA Akranes	W 4-1	1019	1013	57.9%	18.0%	24.1%	+3.4	3
1973-05-20	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-4	1013	1019	24.1%	18.0%	57.9%	-3.4	0
1973-05-21	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-1	1003	1025	54.4%	18.5%	27.2%	+1.6	3
1973-05-21	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1025	1003	27.2%	18.5%	54.4%	-1.6	0
1973-05-26	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1010	1004	57.8%	18.1%	24.1%	-0.4	1
1973-05-26	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1004	1010	24.1%	18.1%	57.8%	+0.4	4
1973-05-26	Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1024	1020	57.6%	18.1%	24.3%	+1.5	3
1973-05-26	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1020	1024	24.3%	18.1%	57.6%	-1.5	1
1973-05-26	Keflavik IF	L 0-4	1012	1023	55.9%	18.3%	25.8%	-11.0	3
1973-05-26	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 4-0	1023	1012	25.8%	18.3%	55.9%	+11.0	6
1973-05-27	IBA Akureyri	W 4-0	988	974	58.8%	17.9%	23.3%	+5.1	3
1973-05-27	@ Breidablik	L 0-4	974	988	23.3%	17.9%	58.8%	-5.1	1
1973-06-02	IBA Akureyri	W 1-0	1034	969	64.5%	16.8%	18.8%	+1.2	9
1973-06-02	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-1	969	1034	18.8%	16.8%	64.5%	-1.2	1
1973-06-02	Breidablik	W 2-0	1004	993	58.5%	17.9%	23.5%	+2.7	7
1973-06-02	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	993	1004	23.5%	17.9%	58.5%	-2.7	3
1973-06-03	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	1007	1001	57.9%	18.1%	24.1%	-6.0	7
1973-06-03	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-0	1001	1007	24.1%	18.1%	57.9%	+6.0	6
1973-06-04	Breidablik	W 2-1	1018	990	60.5%	17.6%	21.9%	+1.3	4
1973-06-04	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	990	1018	21.9%	17.6%	60.5%	-1.3	3
1973-06-13	IA Akranes	W 1-0	1025	1009	59.1%	17.9%	23.1%	+1.4	6
1973-06-13	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1009	1025	23.1%	17.9%	59.1%	-1.4	1
1973-06-13	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1001	1020	54.9%	18.4%	26.7%	-5.7	7
1973-06-13	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-0	1020	1001	26.7%	18.4%	54.9%	+5.7	7
1973-06-16	Breidablik	W 10-1	1008	989	59.4%	17.8%	22.8%	+8.9	4
1973-06-16	@ IA Akranes	L 1-10	989	1008	22.8%	17.8%	59.4%	-8.9	3
1973-06-16	Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1027	1035	56.2%	18.3%	25.6%	-3.1	6
1973-06-16	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1035	1027	25.6%	18.3%	56.2%	+3.1	12
1973-06-16	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	968	1007	52.2%	18.6%	29.1%	-2.7	1
1973-06-16	@ IBA Akureyri	W 2-1	1007	968	29.1%	18.6%	52.2%	+2.7	9
1973-06-23	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-3	980	1024	51.7%	18.7%	29.6%	-4.7	3
1973-06-23	@ Breidablik	W 3-1	1024	980	29.6%	18.7%	51.7%	+4.7	9
1973-06-24	IA Akranes	L 2-6	965	1017	50.7%	18.7%	30.6%	-7.1	1
1973-06-24	@ IBA Akureyri	W 6-2	1017	965	30.6%	18.7%	50.7%	+7.1	7
1973-06-26	KR Reykjavik	W 2-0	1038	996	62.0%	17.3%	20.6%	+2.4	15
1973-06-26	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-2	996	1038	20.6%	17.3%	62.0%	-2.4	7
1973-06-30	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1024	1010	58.8%	17.9%	23.3%	-3.2	7
1973-06-30	@ IA Akranes	W 1-0	1010	1024	23.3%	17.9%	58.8%	+3.2	12
1973-06-30	IBA Akureyri	W 4-0	1028	958	65.1%	16.6%	18.3%	+4.1	12
1973-06-30	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-4	958	1028	18.3%	16.6%	65.1%	-4.1	1
1973-07-01	Fram Reykjavik	W 3-1	1040	1025	58.9%	17.9%	23.2%	+2.3	18
1973-07-01	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-3	1025	1040	23.2%	17.9%	58.9%	-2.3	7
1973-07-06	Keflavik IF	L 0-3	975	1043	48.6%	18.8%	32.6%	-7.4	3
1973-07-06	@ Breidablik	W 3-0	1043	975	32.6%	18.8%	48.6%	+7.4	21
1973-07-07	Fram Reykjavik	W 3-1	1021	1023	56.9%	18.2%	25.0%	+2.5	10
1973-07-07	@ IA Akranes	L 1-3	1023	1021	25.0%	18.2%	56.9%	-2.5	7
1973-07-07	KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	954	993	52.3%	18.6%	29.1%	+1.7	4
1973-07-07	@ IBA Akureyri	L 1-2	993	954	29.1%	18.6%	52.3%	-1.6	7
1973-07-07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 6-0	1013	1032	54.8%	18.4%	26.8%	+8.5	15
1973-07-07	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-6	1032	1013	26.8%	18.4%	54.8%	-8.5	12
1973-07-22	Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1023	1050	53.8%	18.5%	27.7%	-2.8	10
1973-07-22	@ IA Akranes	W 2-1	1050	1023	27.7%	18.5%	53.8%	+2.8	24
1973-07-22	KR Reykjavik	W 6-3	1024	992	60.9%	17.5%	21.5%	+2.5	15
1973-07-22	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 3-6	992	1024	21.5%	17.5%	60.9%	-2.5	7
1973-07-22	Fram Reykjavik	W 3-1	955	1021	48.9%	18.8%	32.3%	+3.1	7
1973-07-22	@ IBA Akureyri	L 1-3	1021	955	32.3%	18.8%	48.9%	-3.1	7
1973-07-22	Breidablik	W 6-3	1022	968	63.3%	17.1%	19.7%	+2.3	18
1973-07-22	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 3-6	968	1022	19.7%	17.1%	63.3%	-2.3	3
1973-07-28	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1017	1026	56.1%	18.3%	25.6%	-3.1	7
1973-07-28	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1026	1017	25.6%	18.3%	56.1%	+3.1	18
1973-07-28	Valur Reykjavik	W 4-0	1053	1024	60.5%	17.6%	21.9%	+4.8	27
1973-07-28	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-4	1024	1053	21.9%	17.6%	60.5%	-4.8	18
1973-07-29	Breidablik	W 3-1	959	966	56.3%	18.2%	25.4%	+2.5	10
1973-07-29	@ IBA Akureyri	L 1-3	966	959	25.4%	18.2%	56.3%	-2.5	3
1973-07-29	IA Akranes	W 3-1	989	1020	53.3%	18.6%	28.1%	+2.8	10
1973-07-29	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1020	989	28.1%	18.6%	53.3%	-2.8	10
1973-08-08	IBA Akureyri	L 0-2	1017	961	63.6%	17.0%	19.4%	-6.5	10
1973-08-08	@ IA Akranes	W 2-0	961	1017	19.4%	17.0%	63.6%	+6.5	13
1973-08-11	Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	963	1014	50.8%	18.7%	30.5%	-2.6	3
1973-08-11	@ Breidablik	W 2-1	1014	963	30.5%	18.7%	50.8%	+2.6	10
1973-08-11	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1011	1029	54.9%	18.4%	26.7%	+1.6	13
1973-08-11	@ IA Akranes	L 0-1	1029	1011	26.7%	18.4%	54.9%	-1.6	18
1973-08-11	Keflavik IF	D 0-0	968	1058	45.6%	18.8%	35.6%	-0.1	14
1973-08-11	@ IBA Akureyri	D 0-0	1058	968	35.6%	18.8%	45.6%	+0.1	28
1973-08-13	KR Reykjavik	W 2-0	1019	992	60.4%	17.6%	22.0%	+2.6	21
1973-08-13	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	992	1019	22.0%	17.6%	60.4%	-2.6	10
1973-08-18	KR Reykjavik	W 3-1	1017	989	60.4%	17.6%	22.0%	+2.2	13
1973-08-18	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 1-3	989	1017	22.0%	17.6%	60.4%	-2.2	10
1973-08-18	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1058	1028	60.7%	17.6%	21.7%	+1.4	31
1973-08-18	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1028	1058	21.7%	17.6%	60.7%	-1.3	18
1973-08-18	IBA Akureyri	W 2-0	1022	967	63.3%	17.0%	19.6%	+2.3	24
1973-08-18	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	967	1022	19.6%	17.0%	63.3%	-2.3	14
1973-08-19	IA Akranes	D 3-3	961	1013	50.7%	18.7%	30.6%	-0.2	4
1973-08-19	@ Breidablik	D 3-3	1013	961	30.6%	18.7%	50.7%	+0.2	14
1973-09-01	Breidablik	W 3-2	1026	960	64.6%	16.7%	18.7%	+1.0	21
1973-09-01	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 2-3	960	1026	18.7%	16.7%	64.6%	-1.0	4
1973-09-01	Keflavik IF	L 2-3	987	1059	48.0%	18.8%	33.2%	-2.4	10
1973-09-01	@ KR Reykjavik	W 3-2	1059	987	33.2%	18.8%	48.0%	+2.4	34
1973-09-02	Fram Reykjavik	W 4-1	1024	1019	57.7%	18.1%	24.2%	+3.4	27
1973-09-02	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-4	1019	1024	24.2%	18.1%	57.7%	-3.4	13
1973-09-07	IA Akranes	W 3-2	1016	1013	57.5%	18.1%	24.4%	+1.3	16
1973-09-07	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 2-3	1013	1016	24.4%	18.1%	57.5%	-1.4	14
1973-09-08	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	959	985	54.1%	18.5%	27.5%	-0.3	5
1973-09-08	@ Breidablik	D 1-1	985	959	27.5%	18.5%	54.1%	+0.3	11
1973-09-08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-6	965	1027	49.3%	18.8%	31.9%	-10.0	14
1973-09-08	@ IBA Akureyri	W 6-1	1027	965	31.9%	18.8%	49.3%	+10.0	24
1973-09-09	Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1017	1062	51.6%	18.7%	29.7%	-2.9	16
1973-09-09	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1062	1017	29.7%	18.7%	51.6%	+2.9	37
1973-09-09	IA Akranes	D 3-3	1028	1011	59.1%	17.9%	23.1%	-0.3	28
1973-09-09	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 3-3	1011	1028	23.1%	17.9%	59.1%	+0.3	15
1973-09-14	IBA Akureyri	D 1-1	985	955	60.6%	17.6%	21.8%	-0.5	12
1973-09-14	@ KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	955	985	21.8%	17.6%	60.6%	+0.5	15
1973-09-15	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1037	1027	58.4%	18.0%	23.7%	-0.4	25
1973-09-15	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1027	1037	23.7%	18.0%	58.4%	+0.5	29
1973-09-16	Breidablik	D 4-4	1064	959	68.6%	15.6%	15.8%	-0.4	38
1973-09-16	@ Keflavik IF	D 4-4	959	1064	15.8%	15.6%	68.6%	+0.4	6
1973-09-17	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1014	1028	55.5%	18.3%	26.1%	-0.3	17
1973-09-17	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 2-2	1028	1014	26.1%	18.3%	55.5%	+0.3	30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1973-08-08	19.45%	IBA Akureyri	961	2	@ IA Akranes	1017	0
2	1973-06-30	23.31%	Valur Reykjavik	1010	1	@ IA Akranes	1024	0
3	1973-06-03	24.09%	Valur Reykjavik	1001	2	@ KR Reykjavik	1007	0
4	1973-06-16	25.55%	Keflavik IF	1035	1	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1027	0
5	1973-07-28	25.63%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1026	1	@ Fram Reykjavik	1017	0
6	1973-05-26	25.80%	Keflavik IF	1023	4	@ Valur Reykjavik	1012	0
7	1973-05-20	26.24%	Valur Reykjavik	1007	3	@ Breidablik	993	1
8	1973-06-13	26.68%	Fram Reykjavik	1020	2	@ KR Reykjavik	1001	0
9	1973-07-22	27.65%	Keflavik IF	1050	2	@ IA Akranes	1023	1
10	1973-06-16	29.12%	Valur Reykjavik	1007	2	@ IBA Akureyri	968	1
11	1973-06-23	29.59%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1024	3	@ Breidablik	980	1
12	1973-09-09	29.69%	Keflavik IF	1062	1	@ Fram Reykjavik	1017	0
13	1973-08-11	30.52%	Fram Reykjavik	1014	2	@ Breidablik	963	1
14	1973-06-24	30.58%	IA Akranes	1017	6	@ IBA Akureyri	965	2
15	1973-09-08	31.91%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1027	6	@ IBA Akureyri	965	1
16	1973-07-06	32.55%	Keflavik IF	1043	3	@ Breidablik	975	0
17	1973-09-01	33.19%	Keflavik IF	1059	3	@ KR Reykjavik	987	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1973-05-26	10.96	Keflavik IF	4	1023	25.80%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	1012	55.90%
2	1973-09-08	10.00	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	6	1027	31.91%	@ IBA Akureyri	1	965	49.32%
3	1973-06-16	8.91	@ IA Akranes	10	1008	59.36%	Breidablik	1	989	22.82%
4	1973-07-07	8.54	@ Valur Reykjavik	6	1013	54.83%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1032	26.75%
5	1973-07-06	7.42	Keflavik IF	3	1043	32.55%	@ Breidablik	0	975	48.65%
6	1973-06-24	7.10	IA Akranes	6	1017	30.58%	@ IBA Akureyri	2	965	50.70%
7	1973-08-08	6.48	IBA Akureyri	2	961	19.45%	@ IA Akranes	0	1017	63.56%
8	1973-06-03	5.95	Valur Reykjavik	2	1001	24.09%	@ KR Reykjavik	0	1007	57.86%
9	1973-06-13	5.69	Fram Reykjavik	2	1020	26.68%	@ KR Reykjavik	0	1001	54.92%
10	1973-05-27	5.14	@ Breidablik	4	988	58.80%	IBA Akureyri	0	974	23.29%
11	1973-05-20	4.97	Valur Reykjavik	3	1007	26.24%	@ Breidablik	1	993	55.40%
12	1973-07-28	4.84	@ Keflavik IF	4	1053	60.52%	Valur Reykjavik	0	1024	21.86%
13	1973-06-23	4.67	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1024	29.59%	@ Breidablik	1	980	51.75%
14	1973-06-30	4.06	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	1028	65.07%	IBA Akureyri	0	958	18.31%
15	1973-09-02	3.44	@ Valur Reykjavik	4	1024	57.74%	Fram Reykjavik	1	1019	24.20%
16	1973-05-20	3.42	@ Keflavik IF	4	1019	57.91%	IA Akranes	1	1013	24.05%
17	1973-06-30	3.21	Valur Reykjavik	1	1010	23.31%	@ IA Akranes	0	1024	58.78%
18	1973-07-22	3.14	@ IBA Akureyri	3	955	48.94%	Fram Reykjavik	1	1021	32.28%
19	1973-06-16	3.08	Keflavik IF	1	1035	25.55%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1027	56.18%
20	1973-07-28	3.07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1	1026	25.63%	@ Fram Reykjavik	0	1017	56.09%
21	1973-09-09	2.86	Keflavik IF	1	1062	29.69%	@ Fram Reykjavik	0	1017	51.64%
22	1973-07-22	2.79	Keflavik IF	2	1050	27.65%	@ IA Akranes	1	1023	53.85%
23	1973-07-29	2.79	@ KR Reykjavik	3	989	53.33%	IA Akranes	1	1020	28.12%
24	1973-06-02	2.73	@ KR Reykjavik	2	1004	58.52%	Breidablik	0	993	23.53%
25	1973-06-16	2.72	Valur Reykjavik	2	1007	29.12%	@ IBA Akureyri	1	968	52.25%