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1973 Úrvalsdeild Season

56 games

Final

Champion

Keflavik IF

26 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1971.0

Relegated

Breidablik

5 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Keflavik IF

5.81 points above expected

26 points · 20.19 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Breidablik

4.38 points below expected

5 points · 9.38 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Keflavik IF Champion 14 12 2 0 26 33 9 +24 20.19 +5.81
2 Valur Reykjavik 14 9 3 2 21 34 20 +14 15.38 +5.62
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 14 8 1 5 17 27 19 +8 15.91 +1.09
4 Fram Reykjavik 14 5 2 7 12 18 23 -5 14.17 -2.17
5 IA Akranes 14 4 3 7 11 32 27 +5 14.61 -3.61
6 IBA Akureyri 14 4 3 7 11 15 29 -14 9.97 +1.03
7 KR Reykjavik 14 3 3 8 9 17 27 -10 12.39 -3.39
8 Breidablik Relegated 14 1 3 10 5 23 45 -22 9.38 -4.38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Keflavik IF 26 20.19 +5.81
2 Valur Reykjavik 21 15.38 +5.62
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 17 15.91 +1.09
4 IBA Akureyri 11 9.97 +1.03
5 Fram Reykjavik 12 14.17 -2.17

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Breidablik 5 9.38 -4.38
2 IA Akranes 11 14.61 -3.61
3 KR Reykjavik 9 12.39 -3.39
4 Fram Reykjavik 12 14.17 -2.17
5 IBA Akureyri 11 9.97 +1.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 5 Jun 3 – Jul 22 1 in 236
2 Keflavik IF 9 May 20 – Jul 28 1 in 224
3 IBA Akureyri 4 Jul 7 – Aug 8 1 in 94
4 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jun 4 – Jun 13 1 in 5
5 IA Akranes 2 Jun 16 – Jun 24 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 5 Jun 3 – Jul 22 1 in 77
2 IA Akranes 3 Jul 22 – Aug 8 1 in 59
3 Breidablik 8 Jun 2 – Aug 11 1 in 57
4 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jul 1 – Jul 28 1 in 35
5 IBA Akureyri 5 May 27 – Jun 30 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBA Akureyri 5 Jul 7 – Aug 11 1 in 35
2 Keflavik IF 14 May 20 – Sep 16 1 in 27
3 Breidablik 2 Sep 8 – Sep 16 1 in 9
4 Valur Reykjavik 6 Aug 13 – Sep 17 1 in 5
5 KR Reykjavik 3 May 21 – Jun 2 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 12 Jun 2 – Sep 16 1 in 17
2 KR Reykjavik 5 Jun 3 – Jul 22 1 in 10
3 Valur Reykjavik 3 Sep 9 – Sep 17 1 in 9
4 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jul 1 – Jul 28 1 in 7
5 IBA Akureyri 6 May 19 – Jun 30 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Keflavik IF 1282 26 +11 8 7.9 +0.1
Valur Reykjavik 1139 21 +29 7 6.6 +0.4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1102 17 +69 5 5.0 -0.0
Fram Reykjavik 972 12 -1 5 4.8 +0.2
IBA Akureyri 850 11 -27 4 3.2 +0.8
IA Akranes 953 11 -57 4 4.9 -0.9
KR Reykjavik 858 9 -38 2 3.6 -1.6
Breidablik 756 5 -14 3 3.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FR IA IA IV KR KI VR
Breidablik —
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
1.92
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
1.56
0-1-1
2.34
0-1-1
0.79
0-0-2
2.12
Fram Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.76
 —
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
3.92
0-0-2
2.75
2-0-0
3.36
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
1.79
IA Akranes
1-1-0
3.70
1-0-1
2.76
 —
1-0-1
3.85
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
3.56
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
2.58
IBA Akureyri
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
1.70
1-0-1
1.78
 —
0-0-2
2.02
1-1-0
2.42
0-1-1
1.08
0-0-2
2.03
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.61
 —
1-0-1
3.45
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
2.82
KR Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.28
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
2.06
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.17
 —
0-0-2
0.90
0-0-2
2.59
Keflavik IF
1-1-0
4.86
2-0-0
4.22
2-0-0
3.44
1-1-0
4.55
2-0-0
3.73
2-0-0
4.74
 —
2-0-0
3.19
Valur Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.83
1-1-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.59
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
3.04
0-0-2
2.44
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.44 +5.9
Allowed 0.82 -6.0
Differential 0.88 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%8.04%6.25%0.89%3.57%0.89%23.21%
18.04%7.14%5.36%7.14%1.79%1.79%31.25%
26.25%5.36%1.79%2.68%—0.89%16.96%
30.89%7.14%2.68%3.57%—1.79%16.07%
43.57%1.79%——1.79%—7.14%
5+0.89%1.79%0.89%1.79%——5.36%
Total23.21%31.25%16.96%16.07%7.14%5.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.78 +0.00
SD 1.72 1.72 2.49
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%7.14%——14.29%
1—7.14%14.29%21.43%—7.14%50.00%
2———7.14%——7.14%
3———7.14%—7.14%14.29%
47.14%———7.14%—14.29%
5+———————
Total7.14%7.14%21.43%42.86%7.14%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 3.21 -1.57
SD 1.34 2.39 2.77
CV 0.81 0.74 —
Max 4 10 +4
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%21.43%————28.57%
1———21.43%7.14%—28.57%
27.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
3—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%42.86%14.29%21.43%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.64 -0.36
SD 1.07 1.22 1.60
CV 0.83 0.74 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
17.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%—35.71%
2———7.14%——7.14%
3—7.14%—14.29%——21.43%
4———————
5+—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
Total7.14%35.71%21.43%28.57%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 1.93 +0.36
SD 2.76 1.14 3.05
CV 1.21 0.59 —
Max 10 4 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%7.14%—14.29%—42.86%
1—7.14%7.14%——7.14%21.43%
27.14%7.14%———7.14%21.43%
3—14.29%————14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%35.71%14.29%—14.29%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 2.07 -1.00
SD 1.14 2.09 2.45
CV 1.07 1.01 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—21.43%———7.14%28.57%
121.43%7.14%7.14%———35.71%
2———————
3—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
Total28.57%42.86%14.29%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.36 +0.57
SD 2.13 1.60 2.68
CV 1.10 1.18 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——28.57%———28.57%
1—21.43%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
27.14%7.14%—7.14%——21.43%
3—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%35.71%35.71%14.29%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.93 -0.71
SD 1.05 1.44 1.59
CV 0.87 0.75 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
128.57%—————28.57%
27.14%7.14%————14.29%
37.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
414.29%7.14%——7.14%—28.57%
5+———————
Total64.29%21.43%7.14%—7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 0.64 +1.71
SD 1.39 1.15 1.33
CV 0.59 1.79 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————14.29%—14.29%
17.14%7.14%————14.29%
221.43%7.14%7.14%———35.71%
3—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+7.14%——7.14%——14.29%
Total35.71%28.57%7.14%14.29%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.43 1.43 +1.00
SD 1.87 1.50 2.63
CV 0.77 1.05 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Keflavik IF 1282 26 20.19 +5.81 100.0% 13 16 18 20 22 24 26
Valur Reykjavik 1139 21 15.38 +5.62 98.0% 10 11 12 16 17 21 23
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1102 17 15.91 +1.09 70.0% 9 11 14 16 18 20 23
Fram Reykjavik 972 12 14.17 -2.17 30.0% 8 10 12 14 16 19 24
IA Akranes 953 11 14.61 -3.61 17.0% 7 9 12 15 17 19 22
KR Reykjavik 858 9 12.39 -3.39 16.0% 5 9 10 12 14 17 20
IBA Akureyri 850 11 9.97 +1.03 70.0% 4 4 8 10 12 15 18
Breidablik 756 5 9.38 -4.38 9.0% 3 4 8 10 11 14 15

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.43%
Strong Edge
51.79%17.86%30.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge
196 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
075.62500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.62 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
77%
Keflavik IF, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.32 * Some Luck: 2.32 to 3.48 * Lucky: 3.48 to 4.64 * Wild Swing: 4.64 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.46 * Off: 1.46 to 1.95 * Way Off: 1.95 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.81 points
Lucky
02.907
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.75
Pinpoint
01.222.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
100.00%
Keflavik IF
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
9.00%
Breidablik
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 1
As Expected
00.51

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 174.62
2.02
Wide Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
81%
Wide Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Few
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Lopsided
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.80
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.21 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.21 to 0.31 * Above Noise: 0.31 to 0.41 * Well Above Noise: 0.41 and up.
Probability calibration
0.89
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.39
Very Underconfident
0.4976481.001.50235
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.114
Well Within Noise
00.2050.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Keflavik IF77.00%14.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%———
Valur Reykjavik9.00%22.00%25.00%14.00%11.00%13.00%6.00%—
IBV Vestmannaeyjar8.00%25.00%26.00%18.00%16.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%
Fram Reykjavik3.00%12.00%13.00%21.00%26.00%13.00%11.00%1.00%
IA Akranes3.00%21.00%16.00%24.00%13.00%13.00%7.00%3.00%
IBA Akureyri—1.00%6.00%1.00%12.00%8.00%35.00%37.00%
KR Reykjavik—5.00%8.00%15.00%14.00%31.00%20.00%7.00%
Breidablik———5.00%7.00%18.00%20.00%50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Keflavik IF 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
Fram Reykjavik 99.00% 1.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 98.00% 2.00%
IA Akranes 97.00% 3.00%
KR Reykjavik 93.00% 7.00%
IBA Akureyri 63.00% 37.00%
Breidablik 50.00% 50.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1973-05-19 IBA Akureyri D 0-050.5 1033 941 65.52% 18.74% 15.74%+0.85 -7.1 1
1973-05-19 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-050.5 941 1033 15.74% 18.74% 65.52%-0.85 +7.1 1
1973-05-20 Valur Reykjavik L 1-347.1 952 976 53.99% 18.92% 27.09%+0.26 -46.3 0
1973-05-20 @ Breidablik W 3-147.1 976 952 27.09% 18.92% 53.99%-0.26 +46.3 2
1973-05-20 IA Akranes W 4-135.3 1014 995 58.78% 18.87% 22.34%+0.48 +30.9 2
1973-05-20 @ Keflavik IF L 1-435.3 995 1014 22.34% 18.87% 58.78%-0.48 -30.9 0
1973-05-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-143.7 958 1044 46.07% 18.94% 34.99%-0.05 +18.4 2
1973-05-21 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-243.7 1044 958 34.99% 18.94% 46.07%+0.05 -18.4 0
1973-05-26 KR Reykjavik D 1-153.7 964 976 55.36% 18.91% 25.73%+0.32 -3.6 1
1973-05-26 @ IA Akranes D 1-153.7 976 964 25.73% 18.91% 55.36%-0.32 +3.6 3
1973-05-26 Fram Reykjavik W 1-036.8 1026 1026 56.70% 18.90% 24.40%+0.38 +14.4 2
1973-05-26 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-136.8 1026 1026 24.40% 18.90% 56.70%-0.38 -14.4 1
1973-05-26 Keflavik IF L 0-439.3 1022 1045 54.12% 18.92% 26.96%+0.27 -101.6 2
1973-05-26 @ Valur Reykjavik W 4-039.3 1045 1022 26.96% 18.92% 54.12%-0.27 +101.6 4
1973-05-27 IBA Akureyri W 4-031.9 906 948 51.77% 18.93% 29.29%+0.17 +60.4 2
1973-05-27 @ Breidablik L 0-431.9 948 906 29.29% 18.93% 51.77%-0.17 -60.4 1
1973-06-02 IBA Akureyri W 1-031.2 1147 888 75.18% 18.20% 6.62%+1.70 +4.3 6
1973-06-02 @ Keflavik IF L 0-131.2 888 1147 6.62% 18.20% 75.18%-1.70 -4.4 1
1973-06-02 Breidablik W 2-033.6 980 966 58.26% 18.88% 22.86%+0.46 +25.7 5
1973-06-02 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-233.6 966 980 22.86% 18.88% 58.26%-0.46 -25.7 2
1973-06-03 Valur Reykjavik L 0-246.2 1006 921 64.96% 18.76% 16.29%+0.82 -64.1 5
1973-06-03 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-046.2 921 1006 16.29% 18.76% 64.96%-0.82 +64.1 4
1973-06-04 Breidablik W 2-138.4 1012 940 63.77% 18.79% 17.44%+0.75 +10.1 3
1973-06-04 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-238.4 940 1012 17.44% 18.79% 63.77%-0.75 -10.1 2
1973-06-13 IA Akranes W 1-034.4 1040 961 64.47% 18.77% 16.76%+0.79 +10.4 4
1973-06-13 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-134.4 961 1040 16.76% 18.77% 64.47%-0.79 -10.4 1
1973-06-13 Fram Reykjavik L 0-240.8 942 1022 46.89% 18.94% 34.17%-0.02 -47.0 5
1973-06-13 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-040.8 1022 942 34.17% 18.94% 46.89%+0.02 +47.0 5
1973-06-16 Breidablik W 10-131.9 950 930 58.89% 18.87% 22.23%+0.49 +84.2 3
1973-06-16 @ IA Akranes L 1-1031.9 930 950 22.23% 18.87% 58.89%-0.49 -84.2 2
1973-06-16 Keflavik IF L 0-142.7 1050 1151 44.07% 18.94% 36.99%-0.13 -23.7 4
1973-06-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-042.7 1151 1050 36.99% 18.94% 44.07%+0.13 +23.7 8
1973-06-16 Valur Reykjavik L 1-246.4 883 985 43.94% 18.94% 37.12%-0.13 -22.2 1
1973-06-16 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-146.4 985 883 37.12% 18.94% 43.94%+0.13 +22.2 6
1973-06-23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-340.8 846 1027 32.90% 18.88% 48.22%-0.54 -30.4 2
1973-06-23 @ Breidablik W 3-140.8 1027 846 48.22% 18.88% 32.90%+0.54 +30.4 6
1973-06-24 IA Akranes L 2-639.7 861 1035 33.87% 18.89% 47.24%-0.50 -48.2 1
1973-06-24 @ IBA Akureyri W 6-239.7 1035 861 47.24% 18.89% 33.87%+0.50 +48.2 5
1973-06-26 KR Reykjavik W 2-028.3 1175 895 75.98% 18.11% 5.91%+1.81 +7.3 10
1973-06-26 @ Keflavik IF L 0-228.3 895 1175 5.91% 18.11% 75.98%-1.81 -7.4 5
1973-06-30 Valur Reykjavik L 0-148.7 1083 1007 64.16% 18.78% 17.06%+0.77 -33.6 5
1973-06-30 @ IA Akranes W 1-048.7 1007 1083 17.06% 18.78% 64.16%-0.77 +33.6 8
1973-06-30 IBA Akureyri W 4-025.0 1057 813 74.58% 18.26% 7.16%+1.63 +16.8 8
1973-06-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-425.0 813 1057 7.16% 18.26% 74.58%-1.63 -16.8 1
1973-07-01 Fram Reykjavik W 3-135.2 1182 1069 67.15% 18.69% 14.16%+0.96 +14.5 12
1973-07-01 @ Keflavik IF L 1-335.2 1069 1182 14.16% 18.69% 67.15%-0.96 -14.5 5
1973-07-06 Keflavik IF L 0-328.3 816 1197 13.10% 18.38% 68.52%-1.55 -22.6 2
1973-07-06 @ Breidablik W 3-028.3 1197 816 68.52% 18.38% 13.10%+1.55 +22.6 14
1973-07-07 Fram Reykjavik W 3-138.4 1049 1054 56.18% 18.90% 24.92%+0.36 +24.0 7
1973-07-07 @ IA Akranes L 1-338.4 1054 1049 24.92% 18.90% 56.18%-0.36 -24.0 5
1973-07-07 KR Reykjavik W 2-143.9 796 887 45.36% 18.94% 35.70%-0.08 +18.8 3
1973-07-07 @ IBA Akureyri L 1-243.9 887 796 35.70% 18.94% 45.36%+0.08 -18.8 5
1973-07-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 6-031.2 1041 1074 52.87% 18.93% 28.21%+0.22 +85.6 10
1973-07-07 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-631.2 1074 1041 28.21% 18.93% 52.87%-0.22 -85.6 8
1973-07-22 Keflavik IF L 1-244.6 1073 1219 37.63% 18.92% 43.45%-0.36 -19.6 7
1973-07-22 @ IA Akranes W 2-144.6 1219 1073 43.45% 18.92% 37.63%+0.36 +19.6 16
1973-07-22 KR Reykjavik W 6-337.9 988 869 67.62% 18.68% 13.70%+0.99 +16.0 10
1973-07-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 3-637.9 869 988 13.70% 18.68% 67.62%-0.99 -16.0 5
1973-07-22 Fram Reykjavik W 3-146.7 815 1030 28.55% 18.83% 52.62%-0.71 +45.1 5
1973-07-22 @ IBA Akureyri L 1-346.7 1030 815 52.62% 18.83% 28.55%+0.71 -45.1 5
1973-07-22 Breidablik W 6-334.9 1126 793 77.71% 17.86% 4.44%+2.08 +5.4 12
1973-07-22 @ Valur Reykjavik L 3-634.9 793 1126 4.44% 17.86% 77.71%-2.08 -5.4 2
1973-07-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-145.8 985 1004 54.54% 18.92% 26.55%+0.29 -28.6 5
1973-07-28 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-045.8 1004 985 26.55% 18.92% 54.54%-0.29 +28.6 12
1973-07-28 Valur Reykjavik W 4-027.6 1239 1132 66.69% 18.71% 14.61%+0.93 +32.8 18
1973-07-28 @ Keflavik IF L 0-427.6 1132 1239 14.61% 18.71% 66.69%-0.93 -32.8 12
1973-07-29 Breidablik W 3-136.1 860 788 63.87% 18.79% 17.34%+0.75 +17.5 7
1973-07-29 @ IBA Akureyri L 1-336.1 788 860 17.34% 18.79% 63.87%-0.75 -17.5 2
1973-07-29 IA Akranes W 3-146.1 853 1054 30.31% 18.85% 50.83%-0.64 +43.7 7
1973-07-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-346.1 1054 853 50.83% 18.85% 30.31%+0.64 -43.7 7
1973-08-08 IBA Akureyri L 0-247.2 1010 877 68.50% 18.64% 12.86%+1.06 -67.8 7
1973-08-08 @ IA Akranes W 2-047.2 877 1010 12.86% 18.64% 68.50%-1.06 +67.8 9
1973-08-11 Fram Reykjavik L 1-242.9 770 956 32.19% 18.87% 48.93%-0.56 -17.2 2
1973-08-11 @ Breidablik W 2-142.9 956 770 48.93% 18.87% 32.19%+0.56 +17.2 7
1973-08-11 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-040.1 942 1033 45.40% 18.94% 35.66%-0.08 +19.9 9
1973-08-11 @ IA Akranes L 0-140.1 1033 942 35.66% 18.94% 45.40%+0.08 -19.9 12
1973-08-11 Keflavik IF D 0-050.6 945 1272 17.19% 18.57% 64.25%-1.28 +6.6 10
1973-08-11 @ IBA Akureyri D 0-050.6 1272 945 64.25% 18.57% 17.19%+1.28 -6.6 19
1973-08-13 KR Reykjavik W 2-029.3 1099 896 72.65% 18.42% 8.93%+1.42 +10.9 14
1973-08-13 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-229.3 896 1099 8.93% 18.42% 72.65%-1.42 -10.9 7
1973-08-18 KR Reykjavik W 3-135.7 974 885 65.20% 18.75% 16.04%+0.83 +16.3 9
1973-08-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-335.7 885 974 16.04% 18.75% 65.20%-0.83 -16.3 7
1973-08-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-031.4 1265 1013 74.89% 18.23% 6.88%+1.67 +4.5 21
1973-08-18 @ Keflavik IF L 0-131.4 1013 1265 6.88% 18.23% 74.89%-1.67 -4.5 12
1973-08-18 IBA Akureyri W 2-030.1 1110 952 70.15% 18.57% 11.28%+1.19 +13.6 16
1973-08-18 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-230.1 952 1110 11.28% 18.57% 70.15%-1.19 -13.6 10
1973-08-19 IA Akranes D 3-361.7 753 962 29.33% 18.84% 51.83%-0.68 +1.7 3
1973-08-19 @ Breidablik D 3-361.7 962 753 51.83% 18.84% 29.33%+0.68 -1.7 10
1973-09-01 Breidablik W 3-239.2 1009 755 74.98% 18.22% 6.80%+1.68 +4.0 14
1973-09-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-339.2 755 1009 6.80% 18.22% 74.98%-1.68 -4.0 3
1973-09-01 Keflavik IF L 2-340.8 869 1269 11.88% 18.31% 69.82%-1.65 -6.7 7
1973-09-01 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-240.8 1269 869 69.82% 18.31% 11.88%+1.65 +6.7 23
1973-09-02 Fram Reykjavik W 4-132.4 1123 990 68.58% 18.64% 12.78%+1.06 +18.7 18
1973-09-02 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-432.4 990 1123 12.78% 18.64% 68.58%-1.06 -18.7 9
1973-09-07 IA Akranes W 3-244.3 971 960 57.93% 18.88% 23.18%+0.44 +12.4 11
1973-09-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-344.3 960 971 23.18% 18.88% 57.93%-0.44 -12.4 10
1973-09-08 KR Reykjavik D 1-153.7 751 862 42.50% 18.94% 38.56%-0.18 -0.5 4
1973-09-08 @ Breidablik D 1-153.7 862 751 38.56% 18.94% 42.50%+0.18 +0.4 8
1973-09-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-640.1 938 1013 47.65% 18.94% 33.40%+0.01 -92.4 10
1973-09-08 @ IBA Akureyri W 6-140.1 1013 938 33.40% 18.94% 47.65%-0.01 +92.4 16
1973-09-09 Keflavik IF L 0-135.5 984 1276 20.19% 18.66% 61.15%-1.10 -12.2 11
1973-09-09 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-035.5 1276 984 61.15% 18.66% 20.19%+1.10 +12.2 25
1973-09-09 IA Akranes D 3-361.8 1142 948 72.22% 18.45% 9.33%+1.37 -5.1 19
1973-09-09 @ Valur Reykjavik D 3-361.8 948 1142 9.33% 18.45% 72.22%-1.37 +5.1 11
1973-09-14 IBA Akureyri D 1-153.7 863 846 58.56% 18.88% 22.57%+0.47 -4.4 9
1973-09-14 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-153.7 846 863 22.57% 18.88% 58.56%-0.47 +4.4 11
1973-09-15 Valur Reykjavik D 1-153.7 1105 1137 53.02% 18.93% 28.05%+0.22 -3.0 17
1973-09-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-153.7 1137 1105 28.05% 18.93% 53.02%-0.22 +3.0 20
1973-09-16 Breidablik D 4-464.9 1288 750 81.92% 16.63% 1.45%+3.12 -5.9 26
1973-09-16 @ Keflavik IF D 4-464.9 750 1288 1.45% 16.63% 81.92%-3.12 +5.9 5
1973-09-17 Valur Reykjavik D 2-257.8 971 1140 34.52% 18.90% 46.58%-0.47 +1.0 12
1973-09-17 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-257.8 1140 971 46.58% 18.90% 34.52%+0.47 -1.0 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1973-08-08 12.86% IBA Akureyri 877 2 @ IA Akranes 1010 0
2 1973-06-03 16.29% Valur Reykjavik 921 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1006 0
3 1973-06-30 17.06% Valur Reykjavik 1007 1 @ IA Akranes 1083 0
4 1973-07-28 26.55% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1004 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 985 0
5 1973-05-26 26.96% Keflavik IF 1045 4 @ Valur Reykjavik 1022 0
6 1973-05-20 27.09% Valur Reykjavik 976 3 @ Breidablik 952 1
7 1973-07-22 28.55% @ IBA Akureyri 815 3 Fram Reykjavik 1030 1
8 1973-07-29 30.31% @ KR Reykjavik 853 3 IA Akranes 1054 1
9 1973-09-08 33.40% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1013 6 @ IBA Akureyri 938 1
10 1973-06-13 34.17% Fram Reykjavik 1022 2 @ KR Reykjavik 942 0
11 1973-06-16 36.99% Keflavik IF 1151 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1050 0
12 1973-06-16 37.12% Valur Reykjavik 985 2 @ IBA Akureyri 883 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1973-05-26 101.62 Keflavik IF 4 1045 26.96% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1022 54.12% 18.92%
2 1973-09-08 92.37 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 1013 33.40% @ IBA Akureyri 1 938 47.65% 18.94%
3 1973-07-07 85.59 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1041 52.87% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1074 28.21% 18.93%
4 1973-06-16 84.25 @ IA Akranes 10 950 58.89% Breidablik 1 930 22.23% 18.87%
5 1973-08-08 67.84 IBA Akureyri 2 877 12.86% @ IA Akranes 0 1010 68.50% 18.64%
6 1973-06-03 64.14 Valur Reykjavik 2 921 16.29% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1006 64.96% 18.76%
7 1973-05-27 60.37 @ Breidablik 4 906 51.77% IBA Akureyri 0 948 29.29% 18.93%
8 1973-06-24 48.16 IA Akranes 6 1035 47.24% @ IBA Akureyri 2 861 33.87% 18.89%
9 1973-06-13 47.03 Fram Reykjavik 2 1022 34.17% @ KR Reykjavik 0 942 46.89% 18.94%
10 1973-05-20 46.28 Valur Reykjavik 3 976 27.09% @ Breidablik 1 952 53.99% 18.92%
11 1973-07-22 45.14 @ IBA Akureyri 3 815 28.55% Fram Reykjavik 1 1030 52.62% 18.83%
12 1973-07-29 43.74 @ KR Reykjavik 3 853 30.31% IA Akranes 1 1054 50.83% 18.85%
13 1973-06-30 33.58 Valur Reykjavik 1 1007 17.06% @ IA Akranes 0 1083 64.16% 18.78%
14 1973-07-28 32.78 @ Keflavik IF 4 1239 66.69% Valur Reykjavik 0 1132 14.61% 18.71%
15 1973-05-20 30.90 @ Keflavik IF 4 1014 58.78% IA Akranes 1 995 22.34% 18.87%
16 1973-06-23 30.35 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1027 48.22% @ Breidablik 1 846 32.90% 18.88%
17 1973-07-28 28.61 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1004 26.55% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 985 54.54% 18.92%
18 1973-06-02 25.74 @ KR Reykjavik 2 980 58.26% Breidablik 0 966 22.86% 18.88%
19 1973-07-07 24.01 @ IA Akranes 3 1049 56.18% Fram Reykjavik 1 1054 24.92% 18.90%
20 1973-06-16 23.65 Keflavik IF 1 1151 36.99% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1050 44.07% 18.94%
21 1973-07-06 22.58 Keflavik IF 3 1197 68.52% @ Breidablik 0 816 13.10% 18.38%
22 1973-06-16 22.24 Valur Reykjavik 2 985 37.12% @ IBA Akureyri 1 883 43.94% 18.94%
23 1973-08-11 19.87 @ IA Akranes 1 942 45.40% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1033 35.66% 18.94%
24 1973-07-22 19.58 Keflavik IF 2 1219 43.45% @ IA Akranes 1 1073 37.63% 18.92%
25 1973-07-07 18.76 @ IBA Akureyri 2 796 45.36% KR Reykjavik 1 887 35.70% 18.94%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1973-09-16 64.9 @ Keflavik IF 4 1288 81.92% Breidablik 4 750 1.45% 16.63%
2 1973-09-09 61.8 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1142 72.22% IA Akranes 3 948 9.33% 18.45%
3 1973-08-19 61.7 @ Breidablik 3 753 29.33% IA Akranes 3 962 51.83% 18.84%
4 1973-09-17 57.8 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 971 34.52% Valur Reykjavik 2 1140 46.58% 18.90%
5 1973-05-26 53.7 @ IA Akranes 1 964 55.36% KR Reykjavik 1 976 25.73% 18.91%
6 1973-09-08 53.7 @ Breidablik 1 751 42.50% KR Reykjavik 1 862 38.56% 18.94%
7 1973-09-14 53.7 @ KR Reykjavik 1 863 58.56% IBA Akureyri 1 846 22.57% 18.88%
8 1973-09-15 53.7 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1105 53.02% Valur Reykjavik 1 1137 28.05% 18.93%
9 1973-08-11 50.6 @ IBA Akureyri 0 945 17.19% Keflavik IF 0 1272 64.25% 18.57%
10 1973-05-19 50.5 @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1033 65.52% IBA Akureyri 0 941 15.74% 18.74%
11 1973-06-30 48.7 Valur Reykjavik 1 1007 17.06% @ IA Akranes 0 1083 64.16% 18.78%
12 1973-08-08 47.2 IBA Akureyri 2 877 12.86% @ IA Akranes 0 1010 68.50% 18.64%
13 1973-05-20 47.1 Valur Reykjavik 3 976 27.09% @ Breidablik 1 952 53.99% 18.92%
14 1973-07-22 46.7 @ IBA Akureyri 3 815 28.55% Fram Reykjavik 1 1030 52.62% 18.83%
15 1973-06-16 46.4 Valur Reykjavik 2 985 37.12% @ IBA Akureyri 1 883 43.94% 18.94%
16 1973-06-03 46.2 Valur Reykjavik 2 921 16.29% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1006 64.96% 18.76%
17 1973-07-29 46.1 @ KR Reykjavik 3 853 30.31% IA Akranes 1 1054 50.83% 18.85%
18 1973-07-28 45.8 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1004 26.55% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 985 54.54% 18.92%
19 1973-07-22 44.6 Keflavik IF 2 1219 43.45% @ IA Akranes 1 1073 37.63% 18.92%
20 1973-09-07 44.3 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 971 57.93% IA Akranes 2 960 23.18% 18.88%
21 1973-07-07 43.9 @ IBA Akureyri 2 796 45.36% KR Reykjavik 1 887 35.70% 18.94%
22 1973-05-21 43.7 @ KR Reykjavik 2 958 46.07% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1044 34.99% 18.94%
23 1973-08-11 42.9 Fram Reykjavik 2 956 48.93% @ Breidablik 1 770 32.19% 18.87%
24 1973-06-16 42.7 Keflavik IF 1 1151 36.99% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1050 44.07% 18.94%
25 1973-06-13 40.8 Fram Reykjavik 2 1022 34.17% @ KR Reykjavik 0 942 46.89% 18.94%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1973-06-30 25.0 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1057 74.58% IBA Akureyri 0 813 7.16% 18.26%
2 1973-07-28 27.6 @ Keflavik IF 4 1239 66.69% Valur Reykjavik 0 1132 14.61% 18.71%
3 1973-06-26 28.3 @ Keflavik IF 2 1175 75.98% KR Reykjavik 0 895 5.91% 18.11%
4 1973-07-06 28.3 Keflavik IF 3 1197 68.52% @ Breidablik 0 816 13.10% 18.38%
5 1973-08-13 29.3 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1099 72.65% KR Reykjavik 0 896 8.93% 18.42%
6 1973-08-18 30.1 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1110 70.15% IBA Akureyri 0 952 11.28% 18.57%
7 1973-06-02 31.2 @ Keflavik IF 1 1147 75.18% IBA Akureyri 0 888 6.62% 18.20%
8 1973-07-07 31.2 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1041 52.87% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1074 28.21% 18.93%
9 1973-08-18 31.4 @ Keflavik IF 1 1265 74.89% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1013 6.88% 18.23%
10 1973-05-27 31.9 @ Breidablik 4 906 51.77% IBA Akureyri 0 948 29.29% 18.93%
11 1973-06-16 31.9 @ IA Akranes 10 950 58.89% Breidablik 1 930 22.23% 18.87%
12 1973-09-02 32.4 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1123 68.58% Fram Reykjavik 1 990 12.78% 18.64%
13 1973-06-02 33.6 @ KR Reykjavik 2 980 58.26% Breidablik 0 966 22.86% 18.88%
14 1973-06-13 34.4 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1040 64.47% IA Akranes 0 961 16.76% 18.77%
15 1973-07-22 34.9 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1126 77.71% Breidablik 3 793 4.44% 17.86%
16 1973-07-01 35.2 @ Keflavik IF 3 1182 67.15% Fram Reykjavik 1 1069 14.16% 18.69%
17 1973-05-20 35.3 @ Keflavik IF 4 1014 58.78% IA Akranes 1 995 22.34% 18.87%
18 1973-09-09 35.5 Keflavik IF 1 1276 61.15% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 984 20.19% 18.66%
19 1973-08-18 35.7 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 974 65.20% KR Reykjavik 1 885 16.04% 18.75%
20 1973-07-29 36.1 @ IBA Akureyri 3 860 63.87% Breidablik 1 788 17.34% 18.79%
21 1973-05-26 36.8 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1026 56.70% Fram Reykjavik 0 1026 24.40% 18.90%
22 1973-07-22 37.9 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 988 67.62% KR Reykjavik 3 869 13.70% 18.68%
23 1973-06-04 38.4 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1012 63.77% Breidablik 1 940 17.44% 18.79%
24 1973-07-07 38.4 @ IA Akranes 3 1049 56.18% Fram Reykjavik 1 1054 24.92% 18.90%
25 1973-09-01 39.2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1009 74.98% Breidablik 2 755 6.80% 18.22%