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1974 Úrvalsdeild Season

56 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

23 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 1970.0

Relegated

IBA Akureyri

9 pts

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

6.25 points above expected

23 points · 16.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vikingur Reykjavik

3.30 points below expected

9 points · 12.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes Champion 14 9 5 0 23 24 10 +14 16.75 +6.25
2 Keflavik IF 14 7 5 2 19 24 12 +12 18.87 +0.13
3 Valur Reykjavik 14 4 6 4 14 18 18 0 15.99 -1.99
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 14 3 7 4 13 20 20 0 15.41 -2.41
5 KR Reykjavik 14 4 5 5 13 16 19 -3 11.66 +1.34
6 Fram Reykjavik 14 3 6 5 12 19 20 -1 11.83 +0.17
7 Vikingur Reykjavik 14 2 5 7 9 14 19 -5 12.30 -3.30
8 IBA Akureyri Relegated 14 3 3 8 9 16 33 -17 9.19 -0.19

Tiebreakers

  • Vikingur Reykjavik defeated IBA Akureyri 3-1 in a playoff to retain their spot in the Urvalsdeild.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 23 16.75 +6.25
2 KR Reykjavik 13 11.66 +1.34
3 Fram Reykjavik 12 11.83 +0.17
4 Keflavik IF 19 18.87 +0.13
5 IBA Akureyri 9 9.19 -0.19

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 9 12.30 -3.30
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 13 15.41 -2.41
3 Valur Reykjavik 14 15.99 -1.99
4 IBA Akureyri 9 9.19 -0.19
5 Keflavik IF 19 18.87 +0.13

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 2 May 25 – May 31 1 in 59
2 IBA Akureyri 2 Jun 28 – Jul 6 1 in 58
3 IA Akranes 3 May 25 – Jun 8 1 in 55
4 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jul 15 – Jul 18 1 in 23
5 Keflavik IF 4 Jun 29 – Jul 20 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jun 28 – Jul 10 1 in 15
2 Keflavik IF 1 May 25 – May 25 1 in 15
3 KR Reykjavik 2 Jul 6 – Jul 14 1 in 13
4 IBA Akureyri 3 May 25 – Jun 8 1 in 10
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Jun 20 – Jun 27 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 14 May 18 – Aug 31 1 in 36
2 KR Reykjavik 6 May 25 – Jun 28 1 in 35
3 IBA Akureyri 3 Jun 28 – Jul 13 1 in 10
4 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jun 8 – Jun 24 1 in 5
5 Keflavik IF 10 Jun 15 – Aug 31 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 6 May 18 – Jun 22 1 in 23
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 10 Jun 15 – Sep 1 1 in 13
3 Fram Reykjavik 8 May 18 – Jul 10 1 in 10
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jun 29 – Aug 10 1 in 9
5 KR Reykjavik 6 Jun 10 – Jul 14 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
IA Akranes 1121 23 +31 8 6.7 +1.3
Keflavik IF 1136 19 +22 7 6.9 +0.1
Valur Reykjavik 986 14 +6 6 5.9 +0.1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 932 13 -31 5 5.3 -0.3
KR Reykjavik 893 13 +53 5 4.0 +1.0
Fram Reykjavik 922 12 +42 6 4.5 +1.5
Vikingur Reykjavik 819 9 -58 2 3.9 -1.9
IBA Akureyri 716 9 -71 1 3.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR IA IA IV KR KI VR VR
Fram Reykjavik —
0-1-1
1.50
1-0-1
3.69
0-2-0
1.98
0-2-0
2.55
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
1.93
1-0-1
2.54
IA Akranes
1-1-0
3.74
 —
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
3.87
1-1-0
2.09
1-1-0
2.51
2-0-0
3.84
IBA Akureyri
1-0-1
1.56
0-1-1
1.62
 —
0-0-2
1.47
2-0-0
2.06
0-0-2
1.06
0-1-1
1.29
0-1-1
1.91
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-2-0
3.25
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
3.79
 —
0-1-1
3.42
0-1-1
1.78
1-1-0
2.48
0-2-0
3.25
KR Reykjavik
0-2-0
2.67
0-1-1
1.39
0-0-2
3.17
1-1-0
1.81
 —
1-0-1
1.21
0-1-1
1.96
2-0-0
2.30
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
3.87
0-1-1
3.13
2-0-0
4.26
1-1-0
3.46
1-0-1
4.07
 —
1-1-0
3.31
0-2-0
3.85
Valur Reykjavik
0-1-1
3.30
0-1-1
2.72
1-1-0
3.98
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.26
0-1-1
1.92
 —
2-0-0
3.35
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
3.32
0-2-0
1.98
0-0-2
2.92
0-2-0
1.42
0-0-2
1.88
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +11.8
Allowed 0.67 -5.7
Differential 0.84 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.93%7.14%3.57%1.79%0.89%—22.32%
17.14%17.86%8.93%4.46%0.89%0.89%40.18%
23.57%8.93%8.93%1.79%——23.21%
31.79%4.46%1.79%1.79%—0.89%10.71%
40.89%0.89%————1.79%
5+—0.89%—0.89%——1.79%
Total22.32%40.18%23.21%10.71%1.79%1.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.10 1.46
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%————14.29%
17.14%21.43%14.29%7.14%——50.00%
2—7.14%14.29%7.14%——28.57%
3———————
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total14.29%42.86%28.57%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.43 -0.07
SD 1.01 0.94 1.21
CV 0.74 0.66 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
114.29%28.57%————42.86%
2—28.57%————28.57%
3—14.29%————14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%71.43%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 0.71 +1.00
SD 1.07 0.47 1.11
CV 0.62 0.66 —
Max 4 1 +4
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%14.29%14.29%7.14%—42.86%
17.14%14.29%——7.14%—28.57%
2———————
3——14.29%7.14%—7.14%28.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%21.43%28.57%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.36 -1.21
SD 1.29 1.39 1.72
CV 1.13 0.59 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%———14.29%
17.14%28.57%14.29%7.14%——57.14%
2——14.29%———14.29%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———————
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total21.43%28.57%35.71%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.02 1.36
CV 0.90 0.71 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%7.14%———28.57%
17.14%14.29%7.14%——7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.36 -0.21
SD 0.95 1.39 1.58
CV 0.83 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%————21.43%
17.14%14.29%—7.14%——28.57%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
37.14%14.29%————21.43%
4———————
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total35.71%50.00%7.14%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 0.86 +0.86
SD 1.44 0.86 1.61
CV 0.84 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%————28.57%
17.14%—7.14%7.14%——21.43%
27.14%14.29%21.43%———42.86%
3———7.14%——7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%28.57%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 0.99 1.07 1.04
CV 0.77 0.83 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%————21.43%
1—21.43%28.57%7.14%——57.14%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%42.86%35.71%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.36 -0.36
SD 0.68 0.84 1.01
CV 0.68 0.62 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Keflavik IF 1136 19 18.87 +0.13 61.0% 12 14 17 19 21 22 26
IA Akranes 1121 23 16.75 +6.25 100.0% 11 12 15 17 18 21 22
Valur Reykjavik 986 14 15.99 -1.99 32.0% 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 932 13 15.41 -2.41 28.0% 9 11 13 15 17 20 23
Fram Reykjavik 922 12 11.83 +0.17 59.0% 6 7 10 12 14 16 19
KR Reykjavik 893 13 11.66 +1.34 69.0% 4 7 10 12 14 16 19
Vikingur Reykjavik 846 9 12.30 -3.30 16.0% 7 8 10 12 14 17 18
IBA Akureyri 690 9 9.19 -0.19 56.0% 4 5 7 9 11 13 17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-1.79%
No Edge
30.36%37.50%32.14%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -6.20 Elo pts.
253 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.09 goals
Neutral
-2-0.02+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
18%
IA Akranes, 2nd of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.29/gm
Comfortable
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.17 * Some Luck: 2.17 to 3.26 * Lucky: 3.26 to 4.34 * Wild Swing: 4.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.96 * Close: 0.96 to 1.43 * Off: 1.43 to 1.91 * Way Off: 1.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.77 points
Some Luck
02.717
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.75
Pinpoint
01.192.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
100.00%
IA Akranes
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
16.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 1
As Expected
00.41

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 141.70
1.63
Moderate Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
70%
Clear Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
73%
Very Frequent
0%69%100%
Blowouts
Expected 9%
9%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Lopsided
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.21
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Strong Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.24 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.24 to 0.36 * Above Noise: 0.36 to 0.48 * Well Above Noise: 0.48 and up.
Probability calibration
0.62
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.81
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.166
Well Within Noise
00.2390.6

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Vikingur Reykjavik 3
IBA Akureyri 1

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
IA Akranes18.00%30.00%24.00%19.00%5.00%4.00%——
Keflavik IF55.00%24.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%——
Valur Reykjavik17.00%20.00%21.00%16.00%16.00%8.00%2.00%—
IBV Vestmannaeyjar9.00%17.00%22.00%25.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%
KR Reykjavik—2.00%7.00%13.00%17.00%24.00%18.00%19.00%
Fram Reykjavik1.00%1.00%6.00%10.00%24.00%24.00%23.00%11.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik—6.00%7.00%10.00%19.00%22.00%23.00%13.00%
IBA Akureyri——1.00%2.00%6.00%8.00%28.00%55.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
IA Akranes 100% —
Keflavik IF 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 98.00% 2.00%
Fram Reykjavik 89.00% 11.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik 87.00% 13.00%
KR Reykjavik 81.00% 19.00%
IBA Akureyri 45.00% 55.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1974-05-18 Valur Reykjavik D 0-043.5 907 1015 17.54% 38.44% 44.02%-0.45 +3.9 1
1974-05-18 @ IA Akranes D 0-043.5 1015 907 44.02% 38.44% 17.54%+0.45 -3.9 1
1974-05-18 Fram Reykjavik W 2-140.7 1100 918 51.08% 37.29% 11.63%+0.70 +11.1 2
1974-05-18 @ Keflavik IF L 1-240.7 918 1100 11.63% 37.29% 51.08%-0.70 -11.1 0
1974-05-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-148.2 899 1000 18.13% 38.51% 43.36%-0.42 +3.3 1
1974-05-18 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-148.2 1000 899 43.36% 38.51% 18.13%+0.42 -3.3 1
1974-05-19 IBA Akureyri L 0-141.7 849 838 32.02% 39.07% 28.91%+0.02 -23.4 0
1974-05-19 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-041.7 838 849 28.91% 39.07% 32.02%-0.02 +23.4 2
1974-05-25 IBA Akureyri W 4-034.2 911 861 37.31% 38.93% 23.76%+0.17 +69.4 3
1974-05-25 @ IA Akranes L 0-434.2 861 911 23.76% 38.93% 37.31%-0.17 -69.4 2
1974-05-25 Valur Reykjavik W 1-041.9 996 1011 28.43% 39.06% 32.51%-0.08 +23.6 3
1974-05-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-141.9 1011 996 32.51% 39.06% 28.43%+0.08 -23.6 1
1974-05-25 Keflavik IF W 1-048.4 825 1111 6.72% 34.86% 58.41%-1.15 +38.0 2
1974-05-25 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-148.4 1111 825 58.41% 34.86% 6.72%+1.15 -38.0 2
1974-05-30 Fram Reykjavik D 2-253.9 987 907 41.00% 38.72% 20.28%+0.29 -2.0 2
1974-05-30 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-253.9 907 987 20.28% 38.72% 41.00%-0.29 +2.0 1
1974-05-31 KR Reykjavik L 1-248.5 902 863 35.80% 38.99% 25.21%+0.13 -23.7 1
1974-05-31 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-148.5 863 902 25.21% 38.99% 35.80%-0.13 +23.7 4
1974-06-01 IA Akranes L 1-248.5 1020 981 35.88% 38.99% 25.13%+0.13 -23.8 3
1974-06-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-148.5 981 1020 25.13% 38.99% 35.88%-0.13 +23.8 5
1974-06-01 IBA Akureyri W 3-027.4 1073 792 58.15% 34.98% 6.87%+1.09 +20.5 4
1974-06-01 @ Keflavik IF L 0-327.4 792 1073 6.87% 34.98% 58.15%-1.09 -20.5 2
1974-06-04 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-248.2 909 878 34.74% 39.02% 26.24%+0.10 -23.2 1
1974-06-04 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-148.2 878 909 26.24% 39.02% 34.74%-0.10 +23.2 3
1974-06-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-148.2 886 996 17.22% 38.40% 44.38%-0.46 +3.6 2
1974-06-08 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-148.2 996 886 44.38% 38.40% 17.22%+0.46 -3.6 4
1974-06-08 Keflavik IF W 3-146.4 1004 1094 19.35% 38.64% 42.02%-0.38 +46.3 7
1974-06-08 @ IA Akranes L 1-346.4 1094 1004 42.02% 38.64% 19.35%+0.38 -46.3 4
1974-06-08 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-232.4 771 901 15.47% 38.15% 46.39%-0.54 -27.4 2
1974-06-08 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-032.4 901 771 46.39% 38.15% 15.47%+0.54 +27.4 5
1974-06-10 Valur Reykjavik D 2-254.0 887 985 18.42% 38.54% 43.04%-0.41 +2.4 5
1974-06-10 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-254.0 985 887 43.04% 38.54% 18.42%+0.41 -2.4 3
1974-06-13 IA Akranes D 1-148.4 889 1051 13.02% 37.66% 49.33%-0.66 +5.1 3
1974-06-13 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-148.4 1051 889 49.33% 37.66% 13.02%+0.66 -5.1 8
1974-06-15 KR Reykjavik D 0-043.5 993 889 43.59% 38.49% 17.93%+0.38 -3.8 5
1974-06-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-043.5 889 993 17.93% 38.49% 43.59%-0.38 +3.8 6
1974-06-15 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-043.6 1047 929 45.20% 38.30% 16.49%+0.44 -4.3 5
1974-06-15 @ Keflavik IF D 0-043.6 929 1047 16.49% 38.30% 45.20%-0.44 +4.3 6
1974-06-15 IBA Akureyri D 3-358.6 983 744 55.38% 36.06% 8.56%+0.92 -4.3 4
1974-06-15 @ Valur Reykjavik D 3-358.6 744 983 8.56% 36.06% 55.38%-0.92 +4.3 3
1974-06-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-144.6 1046 989 38.15% 38.89% 22.96%+0.20 +17.9 10
1974-06-20 @ IA Akranes L 1-244.6 989 1046 22.96% 38.89% 38.15%-0.20 -17.9 5
1974-06-20 IA Akranes L 0-136.5 933 1064 15.45% 38.14% 46.41%-0.54 -14.5 6
1974-06-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-036.5 1064 933 46.41% 38.14% 15.45%+0.54 +14.5 12
1974-06-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-328.6 748 971 9.32% 36.44% 54.24%-0.91 -26.9 3
1974-06-22 @ IBA Akureyri W 3-028.6 971 748 54.24% 36.44% 9.32%+0.91 +26.9 7
1974-06-22 Valur Reykjavik D 0-043.4 1043 978 39.11% 38.84% 22.05%+0.23 -2.4 6
1974-06-22 @ Keflavik IF D 0-043.4 978 1043 22.05% 38.84% 39.11%-0.23 +2.4 5
1974-06-24 Fram Reykjavik D 0-043.3 893 894 30.30% 39.07% 30.63%-0.03 +0.0 7
1974-06-24 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-043.3 894 893 30.63% 39.07% 30.30%+0.03 -0.0 4
1974-06-27 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-144.4 981 919 38.83% 38.86% 22.31%+0.22 +17.6 7
1974-06-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-244.4 919 981 22.31% 38.86% 38.83%-0.22 -17.6 6
1974-06-28 IBA Akureyri L 2-357.5 894 721 50.33% 37.45% 12.22%+0.66 -29.6 4
1974-06-28 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-257.5 721 894 12.22% 37.45% 50.33%-0.66 +29.6 5
1974-06-28 KR Reykjavik D 1-148.5 1078 893 51.32% 37.23% 11.45%+0.71 -5.7 13
1974-06-28 @ IA Akranes D 1-148.5 893 1078 11.45% 37.23% 51.32%-0.71 +5.7 8
1974-06-29 Keflavik IF L 1-341.3 998 1041 24.68% 38.97% 36.34%-0.19 -32.5 7
1974-06-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-141.3 1041 998 36.34% 38.97% 24.68%+0.19 +32.4 8
1974-07-06 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-148.1 965 901 39.09% 38.84% 22.07%+0.23 -2.1 8
1974-07-06 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-148.1 901 965 22.07% 38.84% 39.09%-0.23 +2.1 7
1974-07-06 KR Reykjavik W 3-257.0 751 899 14.01% 37.88% 48.11%-0.61 +28.4 7
1974-07-06 @ IBA Akureyri L 2-357.0 899 751 48.11% 37.88% 14.01%+0.61 -28.4 8
1974-07-06 IA Akranes L 0-138.3 998 1072 20.99% 38.77% 40.24%-0.32 -17.9 7
1974-07-06 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-038.3 1072 998 40.24% 38.77% 20.99%+0.32 +17.9 15
1974-07-10 Keflavik IF L 0-134.4 865 1073 10.07% 36.75% 53.17%-0.85 -10.5 4
1974-07-10 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-034.4 1073 865 53.17% 36.75% 10.07%+0.85 +10.5 10
1974-07-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-253.8 981 963 32.91% 39.06% 28.04%+0.04 -0.4 8
1974-07-12 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-253.8 963 981 28.04% 39.06% 32.91%-0.04 +0.4 9
1974-07-13 IA Akranes D 1-149.5 779 1090 5.93% 34.15% 59.92%-1.25 +8.3 8
1974-07-13 @ IBA Akureyri D 1-149.5 1090 779 59.92% 34.15% 5.93%+1.25 -8.3 16
1974-07-14 KR Reykjavik W 5-133.2 1084 870 53.52% 36.65% 9.82%+0.82 +30.6 12
1974-07-14 @ Keflavik IF L 1-533.2 870 1084 9.82% 36.65% 53.52%-0.82 -30.6 8
1974-07-15 Fram Reykjavik L 0-143.2 903 854 37.15% 38.94% 23.91%+0.17 -25.8 7
1974-07-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-043.2 854 903 23.91% 38.94% 37.15%-0.17 +25.8 6
1974-07-18 Valur Reykjavik W 2-150.6 880 980 18.23% 38.52% 43.25%-0.42 +27.3 8
1974-07-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-250.6 980 880 43.25% 38.52% 18.23%+0.42 -27.3 8
1974-07-19 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-144.6 840 877 25.35% 39.00% 35.65%-0.17 +41.0 10
1974-07-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-344.6 877 840 35.65% 39.00% 25.35%+0.17 -41.0 7
1974-07-20 Keflavik IF L 0-228.1 788 1114 5.50% 33.69% 60.81%-1.32 -11.3 8
1974-07-20 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-028.1 1114 788 60.81% 33.69% 5.50%+1.32 +11.3 14
1974-07-25 KR Reykjavik W 2-034.3 953 881 40.01% 38.79% 21.21%+0.26 +34.0 10
1974-07-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-234.3 881 953 21.21% 38.79% 40.01%-0.26 -34.0 10
1974-07-27 Fram Reykjavik D 2-253.9 964 907 38.09% 38.90% 23.01%+0.20 -1.4 10
1974-07-27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-253.9 907 964 23.01% 38.90% 38.09%-0.20 +1.4 9
1974-07-27 IA Akranes D 1-148.1 1125 1082 36.45% 38.97% 24.58%+0.15 -1.5 15
1974-07-27 @ Keflavik IF D 1-148.1 1082 1125 24.58% 38.97% 36.45%-0.15 +1.5 17
1974-07-27 IBA Akureyri D 1-148.0 836 776 38.56% 38.87% 22.56%+0.21 -2.0 8
1974-07-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-148.0 776 836 22.56% 38.87% 38.56%-0.21 +2.0 9
1974-08-08 Keflavik IF D 2-255.1 834 1124 6.59% 34.76% 58.65%-1.17 +5.9 9
1974-08-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-255.1 1124 834 58.65% 34.76% 6.59%+1.17 -6.0 16
1974-08-10 Fram Reykjavik W 3-137.1 1083 909 50.47% 37.43% 12.11%+0.67 +19.8 19
1974-08-10 @ IA Akranes L 1-337.1 909 1083 12.11% 37.43% 50.47%-0.67 -19.8 9
1974-08-10 Valur Reykjavik L 0-134.4 778 987 10.07% 36.75% 53.18%-0.85 -10.5 9
1974-08-10 @ IBA Akureyri W 1-034.4 987 778 53.18% 36.75% 10.07%+0.85 +10.5 12
1974-08-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-041.3 847 962 16.77% 38.34% 44.89%-0.48 +56.4 12
1974-08-10 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-241.3 962 847 44.89% 38.34% 16.77%+0.48 -56.4 10
1974-08-23 KR Reykjavik D 1-148.0 889 903 28.44% 39.06% 32.49%-0.08 +0.5 10
1974-08-23 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-148.0 903 889 32.49% 39.06% 28.44%+0.08 -0.5 13
1974-08-24 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-139.0 1103 840 56.97% 35.47% 7.56%+1.02 +7.7 21
1974-08-24 @ IA Akranes L 1-239.0 840 1103 7.56% 35.47% 56.97%-1.02 -7.7 9
1974-08-25 Keflavik IF L 1-338.6 997 1118 16.28% 38.27% 45.44%-0.50 -24.6 12
1974-08-25 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-138.6 1118 997 45.44% 38.27% 16.28%+0.50 +24.6 18
1974-08-27 IBA Akureyri W 5-343.5 906 768 47.17% 38.03% 14.80%+0.52 +19.5 12
1974-08-27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 3-543.5 768 906 14.80% 38.03% 47.17%-0.52 -19.4 9
1974-08-31 Fram Reykjavik L 1-435.7 748 889 14.57% 37.99% 47.45%-0.58 -32.2 9
1974-08-31 @ IBA Akureyri W 4-135.7 889 748 47.45% 37.99% 14.57%+0.58 +32.2 12
1974-08-31 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-148.8 1143 925 53.84% 36.56% 9.60%+0.84 -6.5 19
1974-08-31 @ Keflavik IF D 1-148.8 925 1143 9.60% 36.56% 53.84%-0.84 +6.5 13
1974-08-31 IA Akranes L 1-240.1 903 1111 10.09% 36.76% 53.15%-0.85 -9.9 13
1974-08-31 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-140.1 1111 903 53.15% 36.76% 10.09%+0.85 +9.9 23
1974-09-01 Valur Reykjavik L 1-241.8 833 973 14.65% 38.00% 47.34%-0.58 -13.2 9
1974-09-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-141.8 973 833 47.34% 38.00% 14.65%+0.58 +13.2 14

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1974-10-05 IBA Akureyri W 3-139.1 819 716 43.59% 38.49% 17.92%+0.41 +26.3 1-0
1974-10-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-339.1 716 819 17.92% 38.49% 43.59%-0.41 -26.3 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1974-05-25 6.72% @ KR Reykjavik 825 1 Keflavik IF 1111 0
2 1974-06-28 12.22% IBA Akureyri 721 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 894 2
3 1974-07-06 14.01% @ IBA Akureyri 751 3 KR Reykjavik 899 2
4 1974-08-10 16.77% @ KR Reykjavik 847 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 962 0
5 1974-07-18 18.23% @ Fram Reykjavik 880 2 Valur Reykjavik 980 1
6 1974-06-08 19.35% @ IA Akranes 1004 3 Keflavik IF 1094 1
7 1974-07-15 23.91% Fram Reykjavik 854 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 903 0
8 1974-06-01 25.13% IA Akranes 981 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1020 1
9 1974-05-31 25.21% KR Reykjavik 863 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 902 1
10 1974-07-19 25.35% @ KR Reykjavik 840 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 877 1
11 1974-06-04 26.24% Vikingur Reykjavik 878 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 909 1
12 1974-05-25 28.43% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 996 1 Valur Reykjavik 1011 0
13 1974-05-19 28.91% IBA Akureyri 838 1 @ KR Reykjavik 849 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-05-25 69.39 @ IA Akranes 4 911 37.31% IBA Akureyri 0 861 23.76% 38.93%
2 1974-08-10 56.40 @ KR Reykjavik 2 847 16.77% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 962 44.89% 38.34%
3 1974-06-08 46.27 @ IA Akranes 3 1004 19.35% Keflavik IF 1 1094 42.02% 38.64%
4 1974-07-19 40.96 @ KR Reykjavik 3 840 25.35% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 877 35.65% 39.00%
5 1974-05-25 37.96 @ KR Reykjavik 1 825 6.72% Keflavik IF 0 1111 58.41% 34.86%
6 1974-07-25 33.98 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 953 40.01% KR Reykjavik 0 881 21.21% 38.79%
7 1974-06-29 32.45 Keflavik IF 3 1041 36.34% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 998 24.68% 38.97%
8 1974-08-31 32.16 Fram Reykjavik 4 889 47.45% @ IBA Akureyri 1 748 14.57% 37.99%
9 1974-07-14 30.63 @ Keflavik IF 5 1084 53.52% KR Reykjavik 1 870 9.82% 36.65%
10 1974-06-28 29.59 IBA Akureyri 3 721 12.22% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 894 50.33% 37.45%
11 1974-07-06 28.40 @ IBA Akureyri 3 751 14.01% KR Reykjavik 2 899 48.11% 37.88%
12 1974-06-08 27.41 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 901 46.39% @ IBA Akureyri 0 771 15.47% 38.15%
13 1974-07-18 27.33 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 880 18.23% Valur Reykjavik 1 980 43.25% 38.52%
14 1974-06-22 26.93 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 971 54.24% @ IBA Akureyri 0 748 9.32% 36.44%
15 1974-10-05 * 26.30 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 819 43.59% IBA Akureyri 1 716 17.92% 38.49%
16 1974-07-15 25.82 Fram Reykjavik 1 854 23.91% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 903 37.15% 38.94%
17 1974-08-25 24.62 Keflavik IF 3 1118 45.44% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 997 16.28% 38.27%
18 1974-06-01 23.76 IA Akranes 2 981 25.13% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1020 35.88% 38.99%
19 1974-05-31 23.72 KR Reykjavik 2 863 25.21% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 902 35.80% 38.99%
20 1974-05-25 23.58 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 996 28.43% Valur Reykjavik 0 1011 32.51% 39.06%
21 1974-05-19 23.36 IBA Akureyri 1 838 28.91% @ KR Reykjavik 0 849 32.02% 39.07%
22 1974-06-04 23.23 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 878 26.24% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 909 34.74% 39.02%
23 1974-06-01 20.50 @ Keflavik IF 3 1073 58.15% IBA Akureyri 0 792 6.87% 34.98%
24 1974-08-10 19.82 @ IA Akranes 3 1083 50.47% Fram Reykjavik 1 909 12.11% 37.43%
25 1974-08-27 19.45 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 906 47.17% IBA Akureyri 3 768 14.80% 38.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-06-15 58.6 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 983 55.38% IBA Akureyri 3 744 8.56% 36.06%
2 1974-06-28 57.5 IBA Akureyri 3 721 12.22% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 894 50.33% 37.45%
3 1974-07-06 57.0 @ IBA Akureyri 3 751 14.01% KR Reykjavik 2 899 48.11% 37.88%
4 1974-08-08 55.1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 834 6.59% Keflavik IF 2 1124 58.65% 34.76%
5 1974-06-10 54.0 @ KR Reykjavik 2 887 18.42% Valur Reykjavik 2 985 43.04% 38.54%
6 1974-05-30 53.9 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 987 41.00% Fram Reykjavik 2 907 20.28% 38.72%
7 1974-07-27 53.9 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 964 38.09% Fram Reykjavik 2 907 23.01% 38.90%
8 1974-07-12 53.8 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 981 32.91% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 963 28.04% 39.06%
9 1974-07-18 50.6 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 880 18.23% Valur Reykjavik 1 980 43.25% 38.52%
10 1974-07-13 49.5 @ IBA Akureyri 1 779 5.93% IA Akranes 1 1090 59.92% 34.15%
11 1974-08-31 48.8 @ Keflavik IF 1 1143 53.84% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 925 9.60% 36.56%
12 1974-05-31 48.5 KR Reykjavik 2 863 25.21% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 902 35.80% 38.99%
13 1974-06-01 48.5 IA Akranes 2 981 25.13% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1020 35.88% 38.99%
14 1974-06-28 48.5 @ IA Akranes 1 1078 51.32% KR Reykjavik 1 893 11.45% 37.23%
15 1974-05-25 48.4 @ KR Reykjavik 1 825 6.72% Keflavik IF 0 1111 58.41% 34.86%
16 1974-06-13 48.4 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 889 13.02% IA Akranes 1 1051 49.33% 37.66%
17 1974-05-18 48.2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 899 18.13% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1000 43.36% 38.51%
18 1974-06-04 48.2 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 878 26.24% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 909 34.74% 39.02%
19 1974-06-08 48.2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 886 17.22% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 996 44.38% 38.40%
20 1974-07-06 48.1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 965 39.09% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 901 22.07% 38.84%
21 1974-07-27 48.1 @ Keflavik IF 1 1125 36.45% IA Akranes 1 1082 24.58% 38.97%
22 1974-07-27 48.0 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 836 38.56% IBA Akureyri 1 776 22.56% 38.87%
23 1974-08-23 48.0 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 889 28.44% KR Reykjavik 1 903 32.49% 39.06%
24 1974-06-08 46.4 @ IA Akranes 3 1004 19.35% Keflavik IF 1 1094 42.02% 38.64%
25 1974-06-20 44.6 @ IA Akranes 2 1046 38.15% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 989 22.96% 38.89%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-06-01 27.4 @ Keflavik IF 3 1073 58.15% IBA Akureyri 0 792 6.87% 34.98%
2 1974-07-20 28.1 Keflavik IF 2 1114 60.81% @ IBA Akureyri 0 788 5.50% 33.69%
3 1974-06-22 28.6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 971 54.24% @ IBA Akureyri 0 748 9.32% 36.44%
4 1974-06-08 32.4 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 901 46.39% @ IBA Akureyri 0 771 15.47% 38.15%
5 1974-07-14 33.2 @ Keflavik IF 5 1084 53.52% KR Reykjavik 1 870 9.82% 36.65%
6 1974-05-25 34.2 @ IA Akranes 4 911 37.31% IBA Akureyri 0 861 23.76% 38.93%
7 1974-07-25 34.3 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 953 40.01% KR Reykjavik 0 881 21.21% 38.79%
8 1974-07-10 34.4 Keflavik IF 1 1073 53.17% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 865 10.07% 36.75%
9 1974-08-10 34.4 Valur Reykjavik 1 987 53.18% @ IBA Akureyri 0 778 10.07% 36.75%
10 1974-08-31 35.7 Fram Reykjavik 4 889 47.45% @ IBA Akureyri 1 748 14.57% 37.99%
11 1974-06-20 36.5 IA Akranes 1 1064 46.41% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 933 15.45% 38.14%
12 1974-08-10 37.1 @ IA Akranes 3 1083 50.47% Fram Reykjavik 1 909 12.11% 37.43%
13 1974-07-06 38.3 IA Akranes 1 1072 40.24% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 998 20.99% 38.77%
14 1974-08-25 38.6 Keflavik IF 3 1118 45.44% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 997 16.28% 38.27%
15 1974-08-24 39.0 @ IA Akranes 2 1103 56.97% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 840 7.56% 35.47%
16 1974-10-05 * 39.1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 819 43.59% IBA Akureyri 1 716 17.92% 38.49%
17 1974-08-31 40.1 IA Akranes 2 1111 53.15% @ KR Reykjavik 1 903 10.09% 36.76%
18 1974-05-18 40.7 @ Keflavik IF 2 1100 51.08% Fram Reykjavik 1 918 11.63% 37.29%
19 1974-06-29 41.3 Keflavik IF 3 1041 36.34% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 998 24.68% 38.97%
20 1974-08-10 41.3 @ KR Reykjavik 2 847 16.77% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 962 44.89% 38.34%
21 1974-05-19 41.7 IBA Akureyri 1 838 28.91% @ KR Reykjavik 0 849 32.02% 39.07%
22 1974-09-01 41.8 Valur Reykjavik 2 973 47.34% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 833 14.65% 38.00%
23 1974-05-25 41.9 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 996 28.43% Valur Reykjavik 0 1011 32.51% 39.06%
24 1974-07-15 43.2 Fram Reykjavik 1 854 23.91% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 903 37.15% 38.94%
25 1974-06-24 43.3 @ KR Reykjavik 0 893 30.30% Fram Reykjavik 0 894 30.63% 39.07%