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1974 Úrvalsdeild Season

57 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

23 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

8.49 points above expected

23 points · 14.51 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vikingur Reykjavik

4.20 points below expected

11 points · 15.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 14 9 5 0 23 24 10 +14
2 Keflavik IF 14 7 5 2 19 24 12 +12
3 Valur Reykjavik 14 4 6 4 14 18 18 0
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 14 3 7 4 13 20 20 0
5 KR Reykjavik 14 4 5 5 13 16 19 -3
6 Fram Reykjavik 14 3 6 5 12 19 20 -1
7 Vikingur Reykjavik 14 2 5 7 9 14 19 -5
8 IBA Akureyri 14 3 3 8 9 16 33 -17
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 14 9 5 0 23 24 10 +14 14.5 +8.49
2 Keflavik IF 14 7 5 2 19 24 12 +12 15.3 +3.68
3 Valur Reykjavik 14 4 6 4 14 18 18 0 14.0 -0.04
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 14 3 7 4 13 20 20 0 14.5 -1.46
5 KR Reykjavik 14 4 5 5 13 16 19 -3 13.0 -0.01
6 Fram Reykjavik 14 3 6 5 12 19 20 -1 13.6 -1.60
7 Vikingur Reykjavik 15 3 5 7 11 17 20 -3 15.2 -4.20
8 IBA Akureyri 15 3 3 9 9 17 36 -19 11.8 -2.85

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Keflavik IF 1003 19 15.32 +3.68 94.6% 5 11 14 15 17 20 24
IA Akranes 988 23 14.51 +8.49 100.0% 5 10 13 15 16 19 24
Vikingur Reykjavik 980 11 15.20 -4.20 1.3% 6 11 13 15 17 19 25
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 968 13 14.46 -1.46 35.7% 5 10 13 14 16 19 24
Valur Reykjavik 963 14 14.04 -0.04 57.0% 5 10 12 14 16 18 22
Fram Reykjavik 953 12 13.60 -1.60 33.7% 4 9 12 14 15 18 23
KR Reykjavik 936 13 13.01 -0.01 57.8% 4 9 11 13 15 17 23
IBA Akureyri 889 9 11.85 -2.85 19.3% 3 7 10 12 14 16 22

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR IA IA IV KR KI VR VR
Fram Reykjavik —
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.93
0-2-0
2.32
0-2-0
2.56
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.18
IA Akranes
1-1-0
2.69
 —
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
2.45
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.31
1-1-0
2.52
2-0-0
2.41
IBA Akureyri
1-0-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.10
 —
0-0-2
2.05
2-0-0
2.25
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-2
2.94
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-2-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.49
2-0-0
3.05
 —
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.55
0-2-0
2.31
KR Reykjavik
0-2-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
2.72
1-1-0
2.22
 —
1-0-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.31
2-0-0
2.10
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.93
 —
1-1-0
2.74
0-2-0
2.51
Valur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.24
 —
2-0-0
2.27
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
2.54
2-1-0
4.83
0-2-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.95
0-2-0
2.44
0-0-2
2.69
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.77%7.02%3.51%1.75%0.88%—21.93%
17.02%17.54%8.77%5.26%0.88%0.88%40.35%
23.51%8.77%8.77%1.75%——22.81%
31.75%5.26%1.75%1.75%—0.88%11.40%
40.88%0.88%————1.75%
5+—0.88%—0.88%——1.75%
Total21.93%40.35%22.81%11.40%1.75%1.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.36
StdDev scored1.11
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game2.72
Correlation (home vs away score)0.117
Sample size (games)57
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%————14.29%
17.14%21.43%14.29%7.14%——50.00%
2—7.14%14.29%7.14%——28.57%
3———————
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total14.29%42.86%28.57%14.29%——100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored1.01
StdDev allowed0.94
Mean total goals/game2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.232
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
114.29%28.57%————42.86%
2—28.57%————28.57%
3—14.29%————14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%71.43%————100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed0.71
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed0.47
Mean total goals/game2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.132
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%13.33%13.33%6.67%—40.00%
16.67%13.33%—6.67%6.67%—33.33%
2———————
3——13.33%6.67%—6.67%26.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total6.67%20.00%26.67%26.67%13.33%6.67%100%

IBA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.13
Mean allowed2.40
StdDev scored1.25
StdDev allowed1.35
Mean total goals/game3.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.178
Games played15
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%———14.29%
17.14%28.57%14.29%7.14%——57.14%
2——14.29%———14.29%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———————
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total21.43%28.57%35.71%14.29%——100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game2.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.320
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%7.14%———28.57%
17.14%14.29%7.14%——7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%7.14%—7.14%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.14
Mean allowed1.36
StdDev scored0.95
StdDev allowed1.39
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.133
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%————21.43%
17.14%14.29%—7.14%——28.57%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
37.14%14.29%————21.43%
4———————
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total35.71%50.00%7.14%7.14%——100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed0.86
StdDev scored1.44
StdDev allowed0.86
Mean total goals/game2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.088
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%————28.57%
17.14%—7.14%7.14%——21.43%
27.14%14.29%21.43%———42.86%
3———7.14%——7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%28.57%14.29%——100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored0.99
StdDev allowed1.07
Mean total goals/game2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.496
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%————20.00%
1—20.00%26.67%6.67%——53.33%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%46.67%33.33%6.67%——100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.13
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored0.83
StdDev allowed0.82
Mean total goals/game2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.035
Games played15

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 23 14.5 +8.49
2 Keflavik IF 19 15.3 +3.68
3 KR Reykjavik 13 13.0 -0.01
4 Valur Reykjavik 14 14.0 -0.04
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 13 14.5 -1.46

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 11 15.2 -4.20
2 IBA Akureyri 9 11.8 -2.85
3 Fram Reykjavik 12 13.6 -1.60
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 13 14.5 -1.46
5 Valur Reykjavik 14 14.0 -0.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Keflavik IF 4 Jun 29 – Jul 20 1 in 94
2 IA Akranes 3 May 25 – Jun 8 1 in 70
3 KR Reykjavik 2 May 25 – May 31 1 in 27
4 IBA Akureyri 2 Jun 28 – Jul 6 1 in 26
5 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jul 15 – Jul 18 1 in 23

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBA Akureyri 4 Aug 10 – Oct 5 1 in 60
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Jun 20 – Jun 27 1 in 23
3 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jun 28 – Jul 10 1 in 17
4 KR Reykjavik 2 Jul 6 – Jul 14 1 in 15
5 Keflavik IF 1 May 25 – May 25 1 in 5

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 14 May 18 – Aug 31 1 in 36
2 Keflavik IF 10 Jun 15 – Aug 31 1 in 10
3 KR Reykjavik 6 May 25 – Jun 28 1 in 8
4 Valur Reykjavik 5 May 30 – Jun 27 1 in 4
5 IBA Akureyri 3 Jun 28 – Jul 13 1 in 3

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 10 Jun 15 – Sep 1 1 in 28
2 Fram Reykjavik 8 May 18 – Jul 10 1 in 8
3 Valur Reykjavik 6 May 18 – Jun 22 1 in 6
4 KR Reykjavik 6 Jun 10 – Jul 14 1 in 5
5 IBA Akureyri 7 Jul 13 – Oct 5 1 in 4

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
IA Akranes17.02%15.93%15.50%13.84%12.28%10.83%9.35%5.25%
Keflavik IF25.71%19.81%14.95%12.09%9.92%8.14%5.82%3.56%
Valur Reykjavik9.89%12.32%13.47%14.17%14.49%13.77%12.52%9.37%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar13.72%14.34%14.58%13.92%13.38%12.35%10.52%7.19%
KR Reykjavik5.27%7.38%9.61%11.41%13.19%16.16%19.20%17.78%
Fram Reykjavik7.68%10.01%11.95%13.56%14.81%14.37%15.52%12.10%
Vikingur Reykjavik18.43%16.46%15.08%13.96%12.08%10.98%7.74%5.27%
IBA Akureyri2.28%3.75%4.86%7.05%9.85%13.40%19.33%39.48%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Keflavik IF 96.4% 3.6%
IA Akranes 94.8% 5.2%
Vikingur Reykjavik 94.7% 5.3%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 92.8% 7.2%
Valur Reykjavik 90.6% 9.4%
Fram Reykjavik 87.9% 12.1%
KR Reykjavik 82.2% 17.8%
IBA Akureyri 60.5% 39.5%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1974-05-18 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 959 962 23.0% 53.0% 24.0% +0.0 1
1974-05-18 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 962 959 24.0% 53.0% 23.0% -0.0 1
1974-05-18 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 984 955 28.2% 51.4% 20.4% +2.1 3
1974-05-18 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 955 984 20.4% 51.4% 28.2% -2.1 0
1974-05-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 991 971 26.8% 52.2% 21.0% -0.1 1
1974-05-18 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 971 991 21.0% 52.2% 26.8% +0.1 1
1974-05-19 IBA Akureyri L 0-1 938 920 26.3% 52.4% 21.3% -2.6 0
1974-05-19 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 920 938 21.3% 52.4% 26.3% +2.6 3
1974-05-25 IBA Akureyri W 4-0 959 922 29.8% 50.4% 19.9% +7.9 4
1974-05-25 @ IA Akranes L 0-4 922 959 19.9% 50.4% 29.8% -7.9 3
1974-05-25 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 971 962 24.8% 52.9% 22.3% +2.4 4
1974-05-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 962 971 22.3% 52.9% 24.8% -2.4 1
1974-05-25 Keflavik IF W 1-0 935 986 19.3% 48.0% 32.8% +2.8 3
1974-05-25 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 986 935 32.8% 48.0% 19.3% -2.8 3
1974-05-30 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 960 953 24.5% 53.0% 22.6% -0.0 2
1974-05-30 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 953 960 22.6% 53.0% 24.5% +0.0 1
1974-05-31 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 991 938 33.3% 47.5% 19.2% -2.7 1
1974-05-31 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 938 991 19.2% 47.5% 33.3% +2.7 6
1974-06-01 IA Akranes L 1-2 973 967 24.4% 53.0% 22.6% -2.4 4
1974-06-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 967 973 22.6% 53.0% 24.4% +2.4 7
1974-06-01 IBA Akureyri W 3-0 983 914 36.9% 44.1% 19.0% +5.4 6
1974-06-01 @ Keflavik IF L 0-3 914 983 19.0% 44.1% 36.9% -5.4 3
1974-06-04 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 953 988 19.9% 50.5% 29.6% -2.1 1
1974-06-04 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 988 953 29.6% 50.5% 19.9% +2.1 4
1974-06-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 951 971 21.1% 52.2% 26.7% +0.1 2
1974-06-08 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 971 951 26.7% 52.2% 21.1% -0.1 5
1974-06-08 Keflavik IF W 3-1 969 989 21.1% 52.3% 26.6% +4.3 10
1974-06-08 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 989 969 26.6% 52.3% 21.1% -4.3 6
1974-06-08 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 909 991 19.1% 40.9% 40.0% -3.6 3
1974-06-08 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-0 991 909 40.0% 40.9% 19.1% +3.6 7
1974-06-10 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 941 960 21.2% 52.3% 26.5% +0.0 7
1974-06-10 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 960 941 26.5% 52.3% 21.2% -0.0 3
1974-06-13 IA Akranes D 1-1 951 973 20.9% 52.0% 27.1% +0.1 3
1974-06-13 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 973 951 27.1% 52.0% 20.9% -0.1 11
1974-06-15 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 971 941 28.5% 51.2% 20.3% -0.1 6
1974-06-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 941 971 20.3% 51.2% 28.5% +0.1 8
1974-06-15 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 984 994 22.2% 52.8% 25.0% +0.0 7
1974-06-15 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 994 984 25.0% 52.8% 22.2% -0.0 8
1974-06-15 IBA Akureyri D 3-3 960 905 33.6% 47.3% 19.2% -0.1 4
1974-06-15 @ Valur Reykjavik D 3-3 905 960 19.2% 47.3% 33.6% +0.1 4
1974-06-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 973 971 23.9% 53.0% 23.1% +2.3 14
1974-06-20 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 971 973 23.1% 53.0% 23.9% -2.3 6
1974-06-20 IA Akranes L 0-1 994 976 26.4% 52.3% 21.2% -2.6 8
1974-06-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 976 994 21.2% 52.3% 26.4% +2.6 17
1974-06-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 905 968 19.0% 45.5% 35.5% -5.6 4
1974-06-22 @ IBA Akureyri W 3-0 968 905 35.5% 45.5% 19.0% +5.6 9
1974-06-22 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 984 960 27.5% 51.8% 20.7% -0.1 8
1974-06-22 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 960 984 20.7% 51.8% 27.5% +0.1 5
1974-06-24 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 941 951 22.1% 52.8% 25.0% +0.1 9
1974-06-24 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 951 941 25.0% 52.8% 22.1% -0.0 4
1974-06-27 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 960 992 20.2% 51.0% 28.8% +2.5 8
1974-06-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 992 960 28.8% 51.0% 20.2% -2.5 8
1974-06-28 IBA Akureyri L 2-3 951 900 32.9% 47.9% 19.2% -2.5 4
1974-06-28 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 900 951 19.2% 47.9% 32.9% +2.5 7
1974-06-28 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 978 941 29.9% 50.2% 19.8% -0.1 18
1974-06-28 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 941 978 19.8% 50.2% 29.9% +0.1 10
1974-06-29 Keflavik IF L 1-3 974 984 22.1% 52.8% 25.1% -3.9 9
1974-06-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 984 974 25.1% 52.8% 22.1% +3.9 11
1974-07-06 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 970 989 21.2% 52.3% 26.5% +0.1 10
1974-07-06 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 989 970 26.5% 52.3% 21.2% -0.1 9
1974-07-06 KR Reykjavik W 3-2 902 941 19.7% 50.1% 30.2% +2.4 10
1974-07-06 @ IBA Akureyri L 2-3 941 902 30.2% 50.1% 19.7% -2.5 10
1974-07-06 IA Akranes L 0-1 962 978 21.5% 52.5% 25.9% -2.4 8
1974-07-06 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 978 962 25.9% 52.5% 21.5% +2.4 21
1974-07-10 Keflavik IF L 0-1 948 988 19.7% 49.9% 30.4% -2.2 4
1974-07-10 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 988 948 30.4% 49.9% 19.7% +2.2 14
1974-07-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 960 970 22.1% 52.8% 25.0% +0.0 9
1974-07-12 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 970 960 25.0% 52.8% 22.1% -0.0 11
1974-07-13 IA Akranes D 1-1 905 980 19.0% 42.5% 38.5% +0.3 11
1974-07-13 @ IBA Akureyri D 1-1 980 905 38.5% 42.5% 19.0% -0.3 22
1974-07-14 KR Reykjavik W 5-1 990 939 33.0% 47.8% 19.2% +6.3 17
1974-07-14 @ Keflavik IF L 1-5 939 990 19.2% 47.8% 33.0% -6.3 10
1974-07-15 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 989 946 31.0% 49.4% 19.6% -2.8 9
1974-07-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 946 989 19.6% 49.4% 31.0% +2.8 7
1974-07-18 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 949 960 22.1% 52.8% 25.1% +2.4 10
1974-07-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 960 949 25.1% 52.8% 22.1% -2.4 9
1974-07-19 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 932 986 19.2% 47.4% 33.4% +4.7 13
1974-07-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-3 986 932 33.4% 47.4% 19.2% -4.7 9
1974-07-20 Keflavik IF L 0-2 905 997 19.2% 38.3% 42.4% -3.5 11
1974-07-20 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-0 997 905 42.4% 38.3% 19.2% +3.5 20
1974-07-25 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 958 937 26.8% 52.2% 21.0% +4.4 12
1974-07-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 937 958 21.0% 52.2% 26.8% -4.4 13
1974-07-27 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 970 951 26.4% 52.3% 21.2% -0.1 12
1974-07-27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 951 970 21.2% 52.3% 26.4% +0.0 11
1974-07-27 IA Akranes D 1-1 1000 980 26.7% 52.2% 21.1% -0.1 21
1974-07-27 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 980 1000 21.1% 52.2% 26.7% +0.1 23
1974-07-27 IBA Akureyri D 1-1 981 902 39.5% 41.4% 19.1% -0.3 10
1974-07-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 902 981 19.1% 41.4% 39.5% +0.3 12
1974-08-08 Keflavik IF D 2-2 981 1000 21.2% 52.3% 26.5% +0.1 11
1974-08-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1000 981 26.5% 52.3% 21.2% -0.0 22
1974-08-10 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 980 952 28.2% 51.4% 20.4% +3.7 26
1974-08-10 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 952 980 20.4% 51.4% 28.2% -3.7 11
1974-08-10 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 902 962 19.1% 46.1% 34.8% -2.0 12
1974-08-10 @ IBA Akureyri W 1-0 962 902 34.8% 46.1% 19.1% +2.1 15
1974-08-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 932 970 19.8% 50.2% 29.9% +5.2 16
1974-08-10 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 970 932 29.9% 50.2% 19.8% -5.2 12
1974-08-23 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 948 938 25.0% 52.8% 22.1% -0.0 12
1974-08-23 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 938 948 22.1% 52.8% 25.0% +0.0 17
1974-08-24 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 984 981 23.9% 53.0% 23.1% +2.3 29
1974-08-24 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 981 984 23.1% 53.0% 23.9% -2.3 11
1974-08-25 Keflavik IF L 1-3 964 1000 19.9% 50.4% 29.7% -3.6 15
1974-08-25 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 1000 964 29.7% 50.4% 19.9% +3.6 25
1974-08-27 IBA Akureyri W 5-3 965 900 35.9% 45.0% 19.0% +2.8 15
1974-08-27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 3-5 900 965 19.0% 45.0% 35.9% -2.8 12
1974-08-31 Fram Reykjavik L 1-4 897 948 19.3% 48.0% 32.7% -4.9 12
1974-08-31 @ IBA Akureyri W 4-1 948 897 32.7% 48.0% 19.3% +4.9 15
1974-08-31 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1004 968 29.7% 50.4% 19.9% -0.1 26
1974-08-31 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 968 1004 19.9% 50.4% 29.7% +0.1 16
1974-08-31 IA Akranes L 1-2 938 986 19.3% 48.4% 32.2% -2.0 17
1974-08-31 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 986 938 32.2% 48.4% 19.3% +2.0 32
1974-09-01 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 979 960 26.4% 52.3% 21.2% -2.5 11
1974-09-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 960 979 21.2% 52.3% 26.4% +2.4 18

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1974-10-05 IBA Akureyri W 3-1 976 892 40.6% 40.2% 19.1% +3.1 3
1974-10-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 892 976 19.1% 40.2% 40.6% -3.1 0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1974-07-19 19.18% @ KR Reykjavik 932 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 986 1
2 1974-05-31 19.19% KR Reykjavik 938 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 991 1
3 1974-06-28 19.24% IBA Akureyri 900 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 951 2
4 1974-05-25 19.26% @ KR Reykjavik 935 1 Keflavik IF 986 0
5 1974-07-15 19.55% Fram Reykjavik 946 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 989 0
6 1974-07-06 19.74% @ IBA Akureyri 902 3 KR Reykjavik 941 2
7 1974-08-10 19.81% @ KR Reykjavik 932 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 970 0
8 1974-06-27 20.15% @ Valur Reykjavik 960 2 Vikingur Reykjavik 992 1
9 1974-06-08 21.14% @ IA Akranes 969 3 Keflavik IF 989 1
10 1974-06-20 21.23% IA Akranes 976 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 994 0
11 1974-09-01 21.23% Valur Reykjavik 960 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 979 1
12 1974-05-19 21.28% IBA Akureyri 920 1 @ KR Reykjavik 938 0
13 1974-07-18 22.06% @ Fram Reykjavik 949 2 Valur Reykjavik 960 1
14 1974-06-01 22.59% IA Akranes 967 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 973 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-05-25 7.93 @ IA Akranes 4 959 29.78% IBA Akureyri 0 922 19.86%
2 1974-07-14 6.29 @ Keflavik IF 5 990 32.99% KR Reykjavik 1 939 19.23%
3 1974-06-22 5.56 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 968 35.48% @ IBA Akureyri 0 905 19.03%
4 1974-06-01 5.45 @ Keflavik IF 3 983 36.87% IBA Akureyri 0 914 19.00%
5 1974-08-10 5.17 @ KR Reykjavik 2 932 19.81% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 970 29.95%
6 1974-08-31 4.89 Fram Reykjavik 4 948 32.74% @ IBA Akureyri 1 897 19.26%
7 1974-07-19 4.66 @ KR Reykjavik 3 932 19.18% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 986 33.44%
8 1974-07-25 4.39 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 958 26.79% KR Reykjavik 0 937 21.04%
9 1974-06-08 4.27 @ IA Akranes 3 969 21.14% Keflavik IF 1 989 26.58%
10 1974-06-29 3.92 Keflavik IF 3 984 25.05% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 974 22.12%
11 1974-08-10 3.71 @ IA Akranes 3 980 28.24% Fram Reykjavik 1 952 20.37%
12 1974-08-25 3.62 Keflavik IF 3 1000 29.67% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 964 19.89%
13 1974-06-08 3.59 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 991 40.00% @ IBA Akureyri 0 909 19.09%
14 1974-07-20 3.47 Keflavik IF 2 997 42.45% @ IBA Akureyri 0 905 19.25%
15 1974-10-05 3.08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 976 40.63% IBA Akureyri 1 892 19.12%
16 1974-05-25 2.83 @ KR Reykjavik 1 935 19.26% Keflavik IF 0 986 32.76%
17 1974-07-15 2.78 Fram Reykjavik 1 946 19.55% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 989 31.02%
18 1974-08-27 2.78 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 965 35.95% IBA Akureyri 3 900 19.02%
19 1974-05-31 2.69 KR Reykjavik 2 938 19.19% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 991 33.30%
20 1974-06-20 2.61 IA Akranes 1 976 21.23% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 994 26.43%
21 1974-05-19 2.60 IBA Akureyri 1 920 21.28% @ KR Reykjavik 0 938 26.34%
22 1974-06-27 2.55 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 960 20.15% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 992 28.85%
23 1974-06-28 2.54 IBA Akureyri 3 900 19.24% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 951 32.86%
24 1974-07-06 2.46 @ IBA Akureyri 3 902 19.74% KR Reykjavik 2 941 30.19%
25 1974-09-01 2.46 Valur Reykjavik 2 960 21.23% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 979 26.43%