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1975 Úrvalsdeild Season

56 games

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

19 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1974.0

Relegated

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Fram Reykjavik

3.64 points above expected

17 points · 13.36 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Keflavik IF

3.81 points below expected

13 points · 16.81 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes Champion 14 8 3 3 19 29 14 +15 17.47 +1.53
2 Fram Reykjavik 14 8 1 5 17 20 17 +3 13.36 +3.64
3 Valur Reykjavik 14 6 4 4 16 20 17 +3 14.88 +1.12
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 14 6 3 5 15 17 12 +5 12.02 +2.98
5 Keflavik IF 14 4 5 5 13 13 13 0 16.81 -3.81
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 14 4 5 5 13 11 21 -10 14.04 -1.04
7 KR Reykjavik 14 3 4 7 10 13 18 -5 11.68 -1.68
8 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Relegated 14 2 5 7 9 11 22 -11 11.74 -2.74

Tiebreakers

  • IBV Vestmannaeyjar lost to Throttur Reykjavik 2-0 in a one-game promotion/relegation playoff and was relegated from the Urvalsdeild.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 17 13.36 +3.64
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 15 12.02 +2.98
3 IA Akranes 19 17.47 +1.53
4 Valur Reykjavik 16 14.88 +1.12
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 13 14.04 -1.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Keflavik IF 13 16.81 -3.81
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 9 11.74 -2.74
3 KR Reykjavik 10 11.68 -1.68
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 13 14.04 -1.04
5 Valur Reykjavik 16 14.88 +1.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 5 Jun 21 – Jul 13 1 in 55
2 Valur Reykjavik 3 Aug 16 – Aug 31 1 in 32
3 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jun 2 – Jun 15 1 in 29
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 Jul 26 – Aug 8 1 in 17
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Jul 4 – Jul 12 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Jun 28 – Jul 12 1 in 24
2 Valur Reykjavik 3 Jun 28 – Jul 10 1 in 22
3 KR Reykjavik 3 Jul 27 – Aug 18 1 in 13
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 Jun 8 – Jun 14 1 in 7
5 Keflavik IF 2 Jun 30 – Jul 2 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 5 Jul 19 – Aug 23 1 in 13
2 Valur Reykjavik 5 May 20 – Jun 19 1 in 9
3 IA Akranes 6 Jun 21 – Jul 20 1 in 6
4 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jun 26 – Jul 22 1 in 5
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 Jul 4 – Jul 20 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 5 Jun 19 – Jul 21 1 in 14
2 Keflavik IF 3 Aug 9 – Aug 23 1 in 9
3 KR Reykjavik 6 Jul 13 – Aug 23 1 in 8
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jun 19 – Jul 19 1 in 7
5 IA Akranes 2 May 17 – May 31 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
IA Akranes 1083 19 +6 5 6.2 -1.2
Fram Reykjavik 973 17 -19 4 5.0 -1.0
Valur Reykjavik 997 16 +20 8 5.0 +3.0
Vikingur Reykjavik 952 15 +17 6 4.7 +1.3
FH Hafnarfjordur 939 13 +2 6 4.6 +1.4
Keflavik IF 1032 13 -4 5 6.0 -1.0
KR Reykjavik 913 10 -14 3 4.7 -1.7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 905 9 -9 3 3.9 -0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FH FR IA IV KR KI VR VR
FH Hafnarfjordur —
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.02
0-2-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.00
0-2-0
2.09
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
3.01
Fram Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.69
 —
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
3.04
IA Akranes
1-0-1
3.43
2-0-0
3.41
 —
1-0-1
3.64
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.36
0-2-0
3.70
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-2-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
1.82
 —
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.97
KR Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.36
0-1-1
1.80
2-0-0
2.62
 —
0-0-2
1.91
0-2-0
2.34
1-0-1
2.61
Keflavik IF
0-2-0
3.35
0-1-1
3.27
0-0-2
2.53
1-1-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.54
 —
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
3.65
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.08
1-1-0
3.16
0-2-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.27
 —
2-0-0
3.11
Vikingur Reykjavik
2-0-0
2.43
0-0-2
2.40
0-2-0
1.76
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
1.81
0-0-2
2.33
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +4.9
Allowed 0.32 -5.4
Differential 0.77 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%16.07%4.46%0.89%0.89%—33.04%
116.07%8.93%7.14%0.89%—1.79%34.82%
24.46%7.14%7.14%2.68%0.89%—22.32%
30.89%0.89%2.68%——0.89%5.36%
40.89%—0.89%———1.79%
5+—1.79%—0.89%——2.68%
Total33.04%34.82%22.32%5.36%1.79%2.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.65
CV 1.08 1.08 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%——35.71%
121.43%21.43%———7.14%50.00%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.50 -0.71
SD 0.70 1.83 1.98
CV 0.89 1.22 —
Max 2 7 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
128.57%7.14%————35.71%
214.29%——7.14%——21.43%
3—7.14%7.14%——7.14%21.43%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.86%28.57%14.29%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.21 +0.21
SD 1.09 1.67 1.58
CV 0.76 1.38 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%————21.43%
121.43%7.14%————28.57%
2—14.29%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
3———————
47.14%—————7.14%
5+—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
Total35.71%42.86%7.14%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 1.00 +1.07
SD 2.16 1.04 2.02
CV 1.05 1.04 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%21.43%——7.14%—50.00%
1—7.14%14.29%——7.14%28.57%
27.14%—7.14%———14.29%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%28.57%—7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.57 -0.79
SD 0.97 1.70 1.81
CV 1.24 1.08 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%21.43%7.14%———42.86%
17.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
27.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%—35.71%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%7.14%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.29 -0.36
SD 0.92 1.20 1.15
CV 0.99 0.94 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%28.57%————42.86%
114.29%14.29%7.14%———35.71%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
3———————
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%50.00%21.43%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 0.93 +0.00
SD 1.14 0.73 0.96
CV 1.23 0.79 —
Max 4 2 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—————14.29%
114.29%—21.43%7.14%——42.86%
2—14.29%14.29%———28.57%
37.14%—7.14%———14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total35.71%14.29%42.86%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.21 +0.21
SD 0.94 1.05 1.25
CV 0.66 0.87 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%21.43%7.14%———35.71%
121.43%7.14%7.14%———35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
3———————
4———————
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total35.71%42.86%21.43%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.86 +0.36
SD 1.58 0.77 1.74
CV 1.30 0.90 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IA Akranes 1083 19 17.47 +1.53 79.0% 10 12 16 18 19 22 23
Keflavik IF 1032 13 16.81 -3.81 13.0% 8 12 14 17 18 22 25
Valur Reykjavik 997 16 14.88 +1.12 70.0% 9 11 12 15 17 20 22
Fram Reykjavik 973 17 13.36 +3.64 91.0% 6 9 11 13 16 19 23
Vikingur Reykjavik 952 15 12.02 +2.98 88.0% 5 6 10 12 14 18 20
FH Hafnarfjordur 939 13 14.04 -1.04 45.0% 7 9 12 14 16 18 23
KR Reykjavik 913 10 11.68 -1.68 35.0% 5 6 9 11 14 17 19
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 905 9 11.74 -2.74 22.0% 4 7 10 12 14 17 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.93%
Slight Edge
41.07%26.79%32.14%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 31.10 Elo pts.
223 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.25 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
51%
IA Akranes, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.46 * Some Luck: 2.46 to 3.69 * Lucky: 3.69 to 4.92 * Wild Swing: 4.92 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.31 * Close: 1.31 to 1.96 * Off: 1.96 to 2.61 * Way Off: 2.61 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.71 * A Surprise: 0.71 to 1.14 * Several Surprises: 1.14 to 1.56 * Many Surprises: 1.56 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.54 points
Some Luck
03.088
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.634
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
91.00%
Fram Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
13.00%
Keflavik IF
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 1
As Expected
00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 61.00
1.07
Coin-Flip Parity
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
74%
Even
50%75%100%
Close Games
Expected
79%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
9%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.66
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Very Even
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.65
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.17
Weak Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.2 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.2 to 0.3 * Above Noise: 0.3 to 0.4 * Well Above Noise: 0.4 and up.
Probability calibration
0.47
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.62
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.141
Well Within Noise
00.2020.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
IA Akranes51.00%21.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%—
Fram Reykjavik8.00%8.00%16.00%14.00%11.00%17.00%16.00%10.00%
Valur Reykjavik8.00%21.00%16.00%15.00%18.00%14.00%3.00%5.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik2.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%22.00%17.00%19.00%
Keflavik IF22.00%29.00%20.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur5.00%7.00%15.00%23.00%17.00%14.00%9.00%10.00%
KR Reykjavik3.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%17.00%9.00%25.00%26.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.00%4.00%6.00%12.00%11.00%17.00%20.00%29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
IA Akranes 100% —
Keflavik IF 99.00% 1.00%
Valur Reykjavik 95.00% 5.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur 90.00% 10.00%
Fram Reykjavik 90.00% 10.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik 81.00% 19.00%
KR Reykjavik 74.00% 26.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 71.00% 29.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1975-05-17 Fram Reykjavik W 1-038.2 988 946 47.60% 28.05% 24.35%+0.33 +5.3 2
1975-05-17 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-138.2 946 988 24.35% 28.05% 47.60%-0.33 -5.3 0
1975-05-17 KR Reykjavik D 0-048.2 1038 930 54.92% 27.14% 17.94%+0.62 -1.7 1
1975-05-17 @ IA Akranes D 0-048.2 930 1038 17.94% 27.14% 54.92%-0.62 +1.7 1
1975-05-17 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-047.9 951 913 47.04% 28.10% 24.86%+0.31 -1.0 1
1975-05-17 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-047.9 913 951 24.86% 28.10% 47.04%-0.31 +1.0 1
1975-05-20 Valur Reykjavik D 0-048.0 1052 976 51.58% 27.64% 20.78%+0.48 -1.4 1
1975-05-20 @ Keflavik IF D 0-048.0 976 1052 20.78% 27.64% 51.58%-0.48 +1.4 1
1975-05-29 Valur Reykjavik D 0-047.8 932 977 35.94% 28.40% 35.66%-0.07 -0.0 2
1975-05-29 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-047.8 977 932 35.66% 28.40% 35.94%+0.07 +0.0 2
1975-05-31 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-152.7 1036 914 56.35% 26.88% 16.78%+0.69 -1.6 2
1975-05-31 @ IA Akranes D 1-152.7 914 1036 16.78% 26.88% 56.35%-0.69 +1.6 2
1975-05-31 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.2 950 994 36.17% 28.40% 35.43%-0.06 -0.0 2
1975-05-31 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-152.2 994 950 35.43% 28.40% 36.17%+0.06 +0.0 3
1975-06-02 Fram Reykjavik L 0-147.2 1051 941 55.17% 27.10% 17.74%+0.63 -10.1 1
1975-06-02 @ Keflavik IF W 1-047.2 941 1051 17.74% 27.10% 55.17%-0.63 +10.1 2
1975-06-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-039.8 951 950 42.44% 28.34% 29.22%+0.15 +6.1 4
1975-06-08 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-139.8 950 951 29.22% 28.34% 42.44%-0.15 -6.1 2
1975-06-08 FH Hafnarfjordur W 7-135.2 1034 994 47.41% 28.07% 24.53%+0.32 +23.1 4
1975-06-08 @ IA Akranes L 1-735.2 994 1034 24.53% 28.07% 47.41%-0.32 -23.1 3
1975-06-08 KR Reykjavik W 1-036.0 1041 932 55.08% 27.11% 17.81%+0.63 +4.1 3
1975-06-08 @ Keflavik IF L 0-136.0 932 1041 17.81% 27.11% 55.08%-0.63 -4.1 2
1975-06-09 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-037.6 977 916 49.92% 27.83% 22.24%+0.42 +5.0 4
1975-06-09 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-137.6 916 977 22.24% 27.83% 49.92%-0.42 -5.0 2
1975-06-14 Valur Reykjavik L 0-337.4 971 982 40.66% 28.39% 30.95%+0.09 -21.4 3
1975-06-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-037.4 982 971 30.95% 28.39% 40.66%-0.09 +21.4 6
1975-06-14 IA Akranes W 3-253.6 943 1057 26.98% 27.95% 45.07%-0.37 +7.6 4
1975-06-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-353.6 1057 943 45.07% 27.95% 26.98%+0.37 -7.6 4
1975-06-14 Keflavik IF W 1-045.1 911 1045 24.65% 27.70% 47.65%-0.46 +8.9 4
1975-06-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-145.1 1045 911 47.65% 27.70% 24.65%+0.46 -8.9 3
1975-06-15 KR Reykjavik W 2-035.0 957 928 46.06% 28.16% 25.78%+0.27 +10.5 6
1975-06-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-235.0 928 957 25.78% 28.16% 46.06%-0.27 -10.5 2
1975-06-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-257.2 1004 951 48.87% 27.94% 23.19%+0.38 -0.8 7
1975-06-19 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-257.2 951 1004 23.19% 27.94% 48.87%-0.38 +0.8 5
1975-06-20 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-036.2 917 920 41.91% 28.36% 29.73%+0.13 +11.7 4
1975-06-20 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-236.2 920 917 29.73% 28.36% 41.91%-0.13 -11.7 4
1975-06-21 Fram Reykjavik W 1-036.9 1050 968 52.22% 27.56% 20.22%+0.51 +4.6 6
1975-06-21 @ IA Akranes L 0-136.9 968 1050 20.22% 27.56% 52.22%-0.51 -4.6 6
1975-06-21 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-257.3 1036 949 52.74% 27.48% 19.77%+0.53 -1.0 4
1975-06-21 @ Keflavik IF D 2-257.3 949 1036 19.77% 27.48% 52.74%-0.53 +1.0 4
1975-06-26 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-037.8 963 908 49.16% 27.91% 22.93%+0.39 +5.1 8
1975-06-26 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-137.8 908 963 22.93% 27.91% 49.16%-0.39 -5.1 4
1975-06-28 Valur Reykjavik W 2-142.8 1054 1003 48.71% 27.96% 23.33%+0.37 +4.9 8
1975-06-28 @ IA Akranes L 1-242.8 1003 1054 23.33% 27.96% 48.71%-0.37 -4.8 7
1975-06-28 Keflavik IF L 0-140.2 952 1035 30.78% 28.23% 40.99%-0.23 -6.4 5
1975-06-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-040.2 1035 952 40.99% 28.23% 30.78%+0.23 +6.4 6
1975-06-29 KR Reykjavik W 1-039.0 950 929 45.03% 28.23% 26.74%+0.24 +5.7 6
1975-06-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-139.0 929 950 26.74% 28.23% 45.03%-0.24 -5.7 4
1975-06-30 Keflavik IF W 1-039.2 1059 1041 44.56% 28.25% 27.19%+0.22 +5.8 10
1975-06-30 @ IA Akranes L 0-139.2 1041 1059 27.19% 28.25% 44.56%-0.22 -5.8 6
1975-07-01 Fram Reykjavik L 1-345.9 998 968 46.11% 28.16% 25.73%+0.27 -14.1 7
1975-07-01 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-145.9 968 998 25.73% 28.16% 46.11%-0.27 +14.1 10
1975-07-02 IA Akranes L 1-247.4 1036 1065 38.25% 28.41% 33.34%+0.01 -7.0 6
1975-07-02 @ Keflavik IF W 2-147.4 1065 1036 33.34% 28.41% 38.25%-0.01 +7.0 12
1975-07-04 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-042.1 903 956 34.89% 28.38% 36.73%-0.10 +7.2 6
1975-07-04 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-142.1 956 903 36.73% 28.38% 34.89%+0.10 -7.2 6
1975-07-05 KR Reykjavik L 1-249.4 945 923 45.15% 28.22% 26.63%+0.24 -8.0 5
1975-07-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-149.4 923 945 26.63% 28.22% 45.15%-0.24 +8.0 6
1975-07-10 Keflavik IF L 1-246.8 984 1029 36.09% 28.40% 35.51%-0.06 -6.7 7
1975-07-10 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-146.8 1029 984 35.51% 28.40% 36.09%+0.06 +6.7 8
1975-07-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 6-137.8 910 937 38.52% 28.41% 33.07%+0.02 +24.5 8
1975-07-12 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-637.8 937 910 33.07% 28.41% 38.52%-0.02 -24.5 5
1975-07-13 IA Akranes L 0-138.0 931 1072 23.91% 27.61% 48.48%-0.49 -5.2 6
1975-07-13 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-038.0 1072 931 48.48% 27.61% 23.91%+0.49 +5.2 14
1975-07-14 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-034.9 982 949 46.55% 28.13% 25.32%+0.29 +10.3 12
1975-07-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-234.9 949 982 25.32% 28.13% 46.55%-0.29 -10.4 6
1975-07-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-047.9 938 913 45.53% 28.20% 26.27%+0.25 -0.8 7
1975-07-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-047.9 913 938 26.27% 28.20% 45.53%-0.25 +0.8 6
1975-07-20 IA Akranes D 2-257.3 934 1077 23.73% 27.58% 48.69%-0.50 +0.7 9
1975-07-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-257.3 1077 934 48.69% 27.58% 23.73%+0.50 -0.7 15
1975-07-21 KR Reykjavik D 2-257.2 977 926 48.72% 27.95% 23.32%+0.37 -0.8 8
1975-07-21 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-257.2 926 977 23.32% 27.95% 48.72%-0.37 +0.8 7
1975-07-22 Keflavik IF D 1-152.2 993 1035 36.35% 28.41% 35.25%-0.05 -0.0 13
1975-07-22 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1035 993 35.25% 28.41% 36.35%+0.05 +0.0 9
1975-07-25 Valur Reykjavik L 1-246.9 935 976 36.57% 28.41% 35.03%-0.05 -6.8 9
1975-07-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-146.9 976 935 35.03% 28.41% 36.57%+0.05 +6.8 10
1975-07-26 IA Akranes W 1-045.3 937 1076 24.13% 27.63% 48.24%-0.48 +8.9 9
1975-07-26 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-145.3 1076 937 48.24% 27.63% 24.13%+0.48 -9.0 15
1975-07-26 Fram Reykjavik W 2-039.4 914 992 31.38% 28.26% 40.36%-0.21 +14.6 8
1975-07-26 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-239.4 992 914 40.36% 28.26% 31.38%+0.21 -14.6 13
1975-07-27 Keflavik IF L 2-443.7 927 1035 27.58% 28.01% 44.42%-0.35 -8.5 7
1975-07-27 @ KR Reykjavik W 4-243.7 1035 927 44.42% 28.01% 27.58%+0.35 +8.5 11
1975-08-08 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-249.9 983 946 46.96% 28.10% 24.94%+0.30 -8.3 10
1975-08-08 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-149.9 946 983 24.94% 28.10% 46.96%-0.30 +8.3 11
1975-08-09 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-028.9 1068 928 58.02% 26.52% 15.46%+0.76 +13.0 17
1975-08-09 @ IA Akranes L 0-428.9 928 1068 15.46% 26.52% 58.02%-0.76 -13.0 8
1975-08-09 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-147.3 1044 928 55.72% 27.00% 17.29%+0.66 -10.2 11
1975-08-09 @ Keflavik IF W 1-047.3 928 1044 17.29% 27.00% 55.72%-0.66 +10.2 11
1975-08-10 Fram Reykjavik L 2-350.4 918 978 33.94% 28.36% 37.70%-0.13 -6.1 7
1975-08-10 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-250.4 978 918 37.70% 28.36% 33.94%+0.13 +6.1 15
1975-08-16 Keflavik IF D 1-152.3 955 1034 31.34% 28.26% 40.40%-0.22 +0.4 12
1975-08-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.3 1034 955 40.40% 28.26% 31.34%+0.22 -0.3 12
1975-08-16 Valur Reykjavik L 1-246.1 915 975 33.97% 28.36% 37.67%-0.13 -6.4 8
1975-08-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-146.1 975 915 37.67% 28.36% 33.97%+0.13 +6.4 12
1975-08-17 IA Akranes L 3-641.7 984 1080 29.10% 28.12% 42.78%-0.29 -11.3 15
1975-08-17 @ Fram Reykjavik W 6-341.7 1080 984 42.78% 28.12% 29.10%+0.29 +11.3 19
1975-08-18 KR Reykjavik W 2-143.7 939 912 45.70% 28.19% 26.11%+0.26 +5.3 13
1975-08-18 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-243.7 912 939 26.11% 28.19% 45.70%-0.26 -5.3 7
1975-08-23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-048.3 1033 909 56.61% 26.83% 16.57%+0.70 -1.9 13
1975-08-23 @ Keflavik IF D 0-048.3 909 1033 16.57% 26.83% 56.61%-0.70 +1.9 9
1975-08-23 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.2 907 955 35.55% 28.39% 36.06%-0.08 +0.0 8
1975-08-23 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-152.2 955 907 36.06% 28.39% 35.55%+0.08 -0.0 13
1975-08-24 Fram Reykjavik L 0-142.5 944 973 38.32% 28.41% 33.27%+0.01 -7.5 13
1975-08-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-042.5 973 944 33.27% 28.41% 38.32%-0.01 +7.5 17
1975-08-25 IA Akranes W 1-044.3 981 1092 27.40% 27.99% 44.61%-0.36 +8.4 14
1975-08-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-144.3 1092 981 44.61% 27.99% 27.40%+0.36 -8.4 19
1975-08-30 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-240.7 955 936 44.66% 28.25% 27.09%+0.22 -15.9 13
1975-08-30 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-040.7 936 955 27.09% 28.25% 44.66%-0.22 +15.9 15
1975-08-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-040.0 907 911 41.69% 28.37% 29.95%+0.12 +6.2 10
1975-08-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-140.0 911 907 29.95% 28.37% 41.69%-0.12 -6.2 9
1975-08-31 Valur Reykjavik L 2-352.5 980 990 40.95% 28.38% 30.66%+0.10 -7.0 17
1975-08-31 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-252.5 990 980 30.66% 28.38% 40.95%-0.10 +7.0 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1975-08-09 17.29% Vikingur Reykjavik 928 1 @ Keflavik IF 1044 0
2 1975-06-02 17.74% Fram Reykjavik 941 1 @ Keflavik IF 1051 0
3 1975-07-26 24.13% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 937 1 IA Akranes 1076 0
4 1975-06-14 24.65% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 911 1 Keflavik IF 1045 0
5 1975-08-08 24.94% FH Hafnarfjordur 946 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 983 1
6 1975-07-01 25.73% Fram Reykjavik 968 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 998 1
7 1975-07-05 26.63% KR Reykjavik 923 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 945 1
8 1975-06-14 26.98% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 943 3 IA Akranes 1057 2
9 1975-08-30 27.09% Vikingur Reykjavik 936 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 955 0
10 1975-08-25 27.40% @ Valur Reykjavik 981 1 IA Akranes 1092 0
11 1975-08-31 30.66% Valur Reykjavik 990 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 980 2
12 1975-06-14 30.95% Valur Reykjavik 982 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 971 0
13 1975-07-26 31.38% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 914 2 Fram Reykjavik 992 0
14 1975-08-24 33.27% Fram Reykjavik 973 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 944 0
15 1975-07-02 33.34% IA Akranes 1065 2 @ Keflavik IF 1036 1
16 1975-07-04 34.89% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 903 1 FH Hafnarfjordur 956 0
17 1975-07-25 35.03% Valur Reykjavik 976 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 935 1
18 1975-07-10 35.51% Keflavik IF 1029 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 984 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-07-12 24.48 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 6 910 38.52% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 937 33.07% 28.41%
2 1975-06-08 23.13 @ IA Akranes 7 1034 47.41% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 994 24.53% 28.07%
3 1975-06-14 21.38 Valur Reykjavik 3 982 30.95% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 971 40.66% 28.39%
4 1975-08-30 15.87 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 936 27.09% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 955 44.66% 28.25%
5 1975-07-26 14.62 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 914 31.38% Fram Reykjavik 0 992 40.36% 28.26%
6 1975-07-01 14.11 Fram Reykjavik 3 968 25.73% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 998 46.11% 28.16%
7 1975-08-09 12.98 @ IA Akranes 4 1068 58.02% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 928 15.46% 26.52%
8 1975-06-20 11.69 @ KR Reykjavik 2 917 41.91% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 920 29.73% 28.36%
9 1975-08-17 11.27 IA Akranes 6 1080 42.78% @ Fram Reykjavik 3 984 29.10% 28.12%
10 1975-06-15 10.50 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 957 46.06% KR Reykjavik 0 928 25.78% 28.16%
11 1975-07-14 10.35 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 982 46.55% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 949 25.32% 28.13%
12 1975-08-09 10.19 Vikingur Reykjavik 1 928 17.29% @ Keflavik IF 0 1044 55.72% 27.00%
13 1975-06-02 10.10 Fram Reykjavik 1 941 17.74% @ Keflavik IF 0 1051 55.17% 27.10%
14 1975-07-26 8.95 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 937 24.13% IA Akranes 0 1076 48.24% 27.63%
15 1975-06-14 8.85 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 911 24.65% Keflavik IF 0 1045 47.65% 27.70%
16 1975-07-27 8.53 Keflavik IF 4 1035 44.42% @ KR Reykjavik 2 927 27.58% 28.01%
17 1975-08-25 8.39 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 981 27.40% IA Akranes 0 1092 44.61% 27.99%
18 1975-08-08 8.27 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 946 24.94% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 983 46.96% 28.10%
19 1975-07-05 8.01 KR Reykjavik 2 923 26.63% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 945 45.15% 28.22%
20 1975-06-14 7.56 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 943 26.98% IA Akranes 2 1057 45.07% 27.95%
21 1975-08-24 7.47 Fram Reykjavik 1 973 33.27% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 944 38.32% 28.41%
22 1975-07-04 7.23 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 903 34.89% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 956 36.73% 28.38%
23 1975-07-02 7.03 IA Akranes 2 1065 33.34% @ Keflavik IF 1 1036 38.25% 28.41%
24 1975-08-31 7.02 Valur Reykjavik 3 990 30.66% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 980 40.95% 28.38%
25 1975-07-25 6.79 Valur Reykjavik 2 976 35.03% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 935 36.57% 28.41%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-06-21 57.3 @ Keflavik IF 2 1036 52.74% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 949 19.77% 27.48%
2 1975-07-20 57.3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 934 23.73% IA Akranes 2 1077 48.69% 27.58%
3 1975-06-19 57.2 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1004 48.87% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 951 23.19% 27.94%
4 1975-07-21 57.2 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 977 48.72% KR Reykjavik 2 926 23.32% 27.95%
5 1975-06-14 53.6 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 943 26.98% IA Akranes 2 1057 45.07% 27.95%
6 1975-05-31 52.7 @ IA Akranes 1 1036 56.35% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 914 16.78% 26.88%
7 1975-08-31 52.5 Valur Reykjavik 3 990 30.66% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 980 40.95% 28.38%
8 1975-08-16 52.3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 955 31.34% Keflavik IF 1 1034 40.40% 28.26%
9 1975-05-31 52.2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 950 36.17% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 994 35.43% 28.40%
10 1975-07-22 52.2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 993 36.35% Keflavik IF 1 1035 35.25% 28.41%
11 1975-08-23 52.2 @ KR Reykjavik 1 907 35.55% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 955 36.06% 28.39%
12 1975-08-10 50.4 Fram Reykjavik 3 978 37.70% @ KR Reykjavik 2 918 33.94% 28.36%
13 1975-08-08 49.9 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 946 24.94% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 983 46.96% 28.10%
14 1975-07-05 49.4 KR Reykjavik 2 923 26.63% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 945 45.15% 28.22%
15 1975-08-23 48.3 @ Keflavik IF 0 1033 56.61% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 909 16.57% 26.83%
16 1975-05-17 48.2 @ IA Akranes 0 1038 54.92% KR Reykjavik 0 930 17.94% 27.14%
17 1975-05-20 48.0 @ Keflavik IF 0 1052 51.58% Valur Reykjavik 0 976 20.78% 27.64%
18 1975-05-17 47.9 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 951 47.04% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 913 24.86% 28.10%
19 1975-07-19 47.9 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 938 45.53% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 913 26.27% 28.20%
20 1975-05-29 47.8 @ KR Reykjavik 0 932 35.94% Valur Reykjavik 0 977 35.66% 28.40%
21 1975-07-02 47.4 IA Akranes 2 1065 33.34% @ Keflavik IF 1 1036 38.25% 28.41%
22 1975-08-09 47.3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1 928 17.29% @ Keflavik IF 0 1044 55.72% 27.00%
23 1975-06-02 47.2 Fram Reykjavik 1 941 17.74% @ Keflavik IF 0 1051 55.17% 27.10%
24 1975-07-25 46.9 Valur Reykjavik 2 976 35.03% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 935 36.57% 28.41%
25 1975-07-10 46.8 Keflavik IF 2 1029 35.51% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 984 36.09% 28.40%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-08-09 28.9 @ IA Akranes 4 1068 58.02% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 928 15.46% 26.52%
2 1975-07-14 34.9 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 982 46.55% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 949 25.32% 28.13%
3 1975-06-15 35.0 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 957 46.06% KR Reykjavik 0 928 25.78% 28.16%
4 1975-06-08 35.2 @ IA Akranes 7 1034 47.41% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 994 24.53% 28.07%
5 1975-06-08 36.0 @ Keflavik IF 1 1041 55.08% KR Reykjavik 0 932 17.81% 27.11%
6 1975-06-20 36.2 @ KR Reykjavik 2 917 41.91% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 920 29.73% 28.36%
7 1975-06-21 36.9 @ IA Akranes 1 1050 52.22% Fram Reykjavik 0 968 20.22% 27.56%
8 1975-06-14 37.4 Valur Reykjavik 3 982 30.95% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 971 40.66% 28.39%
9 1975-06-09 37.6 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 977 49.92% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 916 22.24% 27.83%
10 1975-06-26 37.8 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 963 49.16% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 908 22.93% 27.91%
11 1975-07-12 37.8 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 6 910 38.52% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 937 33.07% 28.41%
12 1975-07-13 38.0 IA Akranes 1 1072 48.48% @ KR Reykjavik 0 931 23.91% 27.61%
13 1975-05-17 38.2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 988 47.60% Fram Reykjavik 0 946 24.35% 28.05%
14 1975-06-29 39.0 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 950 45.03% KR Reykjavik 0 929 26.74% 28.23%
15 1975-06-30 39.2 @ IA Akranes 1 1059 44.56% Keflavik IF 0 1041 27.19% 28.25%
16 1975-07-26 39.4 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 914 31.38% Fram Reykjavik 0 992 40.36% 28.26%
17 1975-06-08 39.8 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 951 42.44% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 950 29.22% 28.34%
18 1975-08-30 40.0 @ KR Reykjavik 1 907 41.69% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 911 29.95% 28.37%
19 1975-06-28 40.2 Keflavik IF 1 1035 40.99% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 952 30.78% 28.23%
20 1975-08-30 40.7 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 936 27.09% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 955 44.66% 28.25%
21 1975-08-17 41.7 IA Akranes 6 1080 42.78% @ Fram Reykjavik 3 984 29.10% 28.12%
22 1975-07-04 42.1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 903 34.89% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 956 36.73% 28.38%
23 1975-08-24 42.5 Fram Reykjavik 1 973 33.27% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 944 38.32% 28.41%
24 1975-06-28 42.8 @ IA Akranes 2 1054 48.71% Valur Reykjavik 1 1003 23.33% 27.96%
25 1975-07-27 43.7 Keflavik IF 4 1035 44.42% @ KR Reykjavik 2 927 27.58% 28.01%