1976 Úrvalsdeild Season

72 games

Final

Champion

Valur Reykjavik

25 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1967.0

Relegated

Throttur Reykjavik

4 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Fram Reykjavik

6.74 points above expected

24 points · 17.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KR Reykjavik

5.14 points below expected

11 points · 16.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valur Reykjavik Champion 16 10 5 1 25 45 14 +31 22.40 +2.60
2 Fram Reykjavik 16 10 4 2 24 30 16 +14 17.26 +6.74
3 IA Akranes 16 8 5 3 21 27 19 +8 19.69 +1.31
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 16 8 2 6 18 22 21 +1 17.74 +0.26
5 Breidablik 16 8 2 6 18 21 22 -1 13.28 +4.72
6 Keflavik IF 16 6 3 7 15 22 23 -1 17.17 -2.17
7 KR Reykjavik 16 3 5 8 11 20 23 -3 16.14 -5.14
8 FH Hafnarfjordur 16 2 4 10 8 11 31 -20 12.14 -4.14
9 Throttur Reykjavik Relegated 16 1 2 13 4 10 39 -29 8.18 -4.18

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valur Reykjavik 1271 25 22.40 +2.60 85.2% 10 17 20 22 24 27 31
IA Akranes 1189 21 19.69 +1.31 70.3% 8 14 17 20 22 25 31
Fram Reykjavik 1187 24 17.26 +6.74 98.7% 5 12 15 17 19 23 28
Keflavik IF 1028 15 17.17 -2.17 30.6% 3 12 15 17 19 23 29
Vikingur Reykjavik 1015 18 17.74 +0.26 58.8% 6 12 16 18 20 23 29
Breidablik 988 18 13.28 +4.72 94.3% 2 8 11 13 15 19 27
KR Reykjavik 948 11 16.14 -5.14 7.9% 4 11 14 16 18 22 28
FH Hafnarfjordur 870 8 12.14 -4.14 11.9% 2 7 10 12 14 17 24
Throttur Reykjavik 756 4 8.18 -4.18 9.7% 0 4 6 8 10 13 21

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR IA KR KI TR VR VR
Breidablik
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
2.03
1-1-0
2.13
2-0-0
1.93
2-0-0
3.90
0-1-1
1.34
1-0-1
1.73
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-0-2
2.45
0-0-2
2.04
0-2-0
1.49
1-0-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
3.67
0-0-2
1.02
0-1-1
1.57
Fram Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.50
0-1-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
4.29
0-2-0
1.61
1-0-1
2.66
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.50
0-2-0
4.05
1-1-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
4.48
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
3.35
KR Reykjavik
0-1-1
3.41
1-0-1
3.55
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
3.95
0-2-0
1.62
1-0-1
2.68
Keflavik IF
0-0-2
3.60
1-1-0
3.41
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
2.20
2-0-0
2.99
2-0-0
4.34
1-0-1
2.05
0-1-1
2.91
Throttur Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.63
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
1.26
0-1-1
1.07
0-1-1
1.58
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
0.67
0-0-2
1.21
Valur Reykjavik
1-1-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.54
0-2-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.34
0-2-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
4.91
2-0-0
3.41
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-0
3.97
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.62
2-0-0
4.34
0-0-2
2.13

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.80 +6.1
Allowed 0.90 -8.9
Differential 0.89 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%7.64%4.86%3.47%2.08%23.61%
17.64%13.89%10.42%3.47%1.39%2.08%38.89%
24.86%10.42%2.78%2.08%0.69%20.83%
33.47%3.47%2.08%0.69%9.72%
41.39%0.69%0.69%2.78%
5+2.08%2.08%4.17%
Total23.61%38.89%20.83%9.72%2.78%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.44 +0.00
SD 1.35 1.35 2.08
CV 0.93 0.93
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 72

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%6.25%12.50%37.50%
112.50%6.25%18.75%
212.50%6.25%18.75%
318.75%6.25%25.00%
4
5+
Total18.75%50.00%12.50%12.50%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.38 -0.06
SD 1.25 1.15 1.73
CV 0.95 0.83
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%6.25%6.25%6.25%37.50%
16.25%6.25%25.00%6.25%12.50%56.25%
26.25%6.25%
3
4
5+
Total31.25%12.50%31.25%6.25%18.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 1.94 -1.25
SD 0.60 1.95 1.98
CV 0.88 1.01
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%
118.75%25.00%6.25%50.00%
218.75%18.75%
36.25%6.25%12.50%
46.25%6.25%
5+6.25%6.25%
Total31.25%43.75%18.75%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.00 +0.88
SD 1.50 0.89 1.75
CV 0.80 0.89
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%12.50%
16.25%18.75%6.25%6.25%37.50%
26.25%12.50%6.25%25.00%
312.50%6.25%18.75%
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total31.25%50.00%6.25%6.25%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.19 +0.50
SD 1.14 1.52 2.07
CV 0.67 1.28
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%18.75%25.00%
118.75%18.75%6.25%43.75%
26.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
36.25%6.25%
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total12.50%50.00%25.00%6.25%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.44 -0.19
SD 1.13 1.03 1.28
CV 0.90 0.72
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
112.50%6.25%18.75%6.25%6.25%50.00%
218.75%6.25%25.00%
3
4
5+6.25%6.25%
Total18.75%37.50%31.25%6.25%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.44 -0.06
SD 1.41 1.09 1.84
CV 1.02 0.76
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%18.75%6.25%12.50%50.00%
112.50%18.75%6.25%37.50%
26.25%6.25%12.50%
3
4
5+
Total31.25%37.50%12.50%6.25%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 2.44 -1.81
SD 0.72 1.63 1.94
CV 1.15 0.67
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%
125.00%25.00%
212.50%6.25%18.75%
36.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
46.25%6.25%
5+12.50%12.50%25.00%
Total31.25%50.00%18.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.81 0.88 +1.94
SD 1.91 0.72 2.14
CV 0.68 0.82
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%18.75%
112.50%6.25%6.25%6.25%31.25%
212.50%18.75%12.50%43.75%
36.25%6.25%
4
5+
Total37.50%25.00%6.25%31.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.31 +0.06
SD 0.89 1.30 1.77
CV 0.64 0.99
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 24 17.26 +6.74
2 Breidablik 18 13.28 +4.72
3 Valur Reykjavik 25 22.40 +2.60
4 IA Akranes 21 19.69 +1.31
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 17.74 +0.26

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 11 16.14 -5.14
2 Throttur Reykjavik 4 8.18 -4.18
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 8 12.14 -4.14
4 Keflavik IF 15 17.17 -2.17
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 17.74 +0.26

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 Jun 8 – Jun 24 1 in 65
2 Breidablik 3 Jul 21 – Aug 8 1 in 42
3 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jun 7 – Jun 27 1 in 22
4 Valur Reykjavik 4 May 30 – Jun 21 1 in 14
5 IA Akranes 3 Aug 14 – Aug 22 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 Jul 1 – Aug 5 1 in 74
2 Throttur Reykjavik 8 May 13 – Jun 27 1 in 54
3 Keflavik IF 3 May 30 – Jun 13 1 in 53
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 5 Jul 23 – Aug 22 1 in 33
5 KR Reykjavik 3 Aug 17 – Aug 31 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 13 Jun 7 – Aug 30 1 in 222
2 Breidablik 5 Jun 27 – Aug 8 1 in 30
3 Valur Reykjavik 11 May 15 – Jul 19 1 in 15
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 Jun 27 – Jul 3 1 in 14
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Jun 8 – Jun 27 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 12 Jun 7 – Aug 22 1 in 38
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Jun 27 – Aug 14 1 in 36
3 IA Akranes 4 Jul 3 – Aug 7 1 in 19
4 KR Reykjavik 5 May 23 – Jun 19 1 in 14
5 Valur Reykjavik 2 Jun 28 – Jul 4 1 in 9

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789
Valur Reykjavik59.64%21.76%10.10%4.92%2.20%1.00%0.35%0.03%
Fram Reykjavik6.37%14.30%18.10%18.47%17.05%13.12%8.10%3.83%0.66%
IA Akranes18.86%27.74%19.92%14.09%9.49%5.98%2.88%0.94%0.10%
Vikingur Reykjavik6.89%14.52%18.80%18.75%16.63%13.23%7.47%3.10%0.61%
Breidablik0.37%1.78%4.21%6.59%11.18%18.15%26.73%23.33%7.66%
Keflavik IF5.04%11.77%15.38%18.58%17.69%15.59%10.42%4.73%0.80%
KR Reykjavik2.68%7.57%11.57%15.03%18.41%19.49%15.55%8.03%1.67%
FH Hafnarfjordur0.15%0.55%1.87%3.42%6.66%11.69%22.91%37.89%14.86%
Throttur Reykjavik0.01%0.05%0.15%0.69%1.75%5.59%18.12%73.64%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-2.78%
No Edge
37.50%22.22%40.28%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -9.65 Elo pts.
156 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.03 goals
Neutral
-2-0.06+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
12469
Champion Preseason Odds
60%
Valur Reykjavik, 1st of 9
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.54 * Some Luck: 2.54 to 3.82 * Lucky: 3.82 to 5.09 * Wild Swing: 5.09 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.02 * Close: 1.02 to 1.53 * Off: 1.53 to 2.04 * Way Off: 2.04 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 9 * As Expected: 9 to 14.4 * Several Outliers: 14.4 to 19.8 * Many Outliers: 19.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.97 points
Lucky
03.188
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.89
Pinpoint
01.273
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 94.44%
98.70%
Fram Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
7.87%
KR Reykjavik
05.56%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 9
Minimal Outliers
00.99
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 1
As Expected
00.31

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.79
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
80%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.55
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
10%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.2 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.2 to 0.3 * Above Noise: 0.3 to 0.39 * Well Above Noise: 0.39 and up.
Probability calibration
0.96
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.37
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.184
Well Within Noise
00.1970.5

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Valur Reykjavik 100%
IA Akranes 99.90% 0.10%
Vikingur Reykjavik 99.39% 0.61%
Fram Reykjavik 99.34% 0.66%
Keflavik IF 99.20% 0.80%
KR Reykjavik 98.33% 1.67%
Breidablik 92.34% 7.66%
FH Hafnarfjordur 85.14% 14.86%
Throttur Reykjavik 26.36% 73.64%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1976-05-13 Throttur Reykjavik W 4-1 1019 911 52.4% 23.4% 24.2% +30.3 2
1976-05-13 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-4 911 1019 24.2% 23.4% 52.4% -30.3 0
1976-05-15 Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 934 1066 21.8% 23.3% 54.9% -17.5 0
1976-05-15 @ Breidablik W 4-2 1066 934 54.9% 23.3% 21.8% +17.5 2
1976-05-15 FH Hafnarfjordur W 6-1 1087 1027 46.4% 23.5% 30.1% +56.9 2
1976-05-15 @ Keflavik IF L 1-6 1027 1087 30.1% 23.5% 46.4% -56.9 0
1976-05-16 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-0 1117 880 64.2% 22.8% 13.0% +7.7 2
1976-05-16 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 880 1117 13.0% 22.8% 64.2% -7.7 0
1976-05-16 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1040 1050 36.8% 23.6% 39.7% +36.5 2
1976-05-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1050 1040 39.7% 23.6% 36.8% -36.5 0
1976-05-22 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1083 1077 39.1% 23.6% 37.3% +50.5 4
1976-05-22 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1077 1083 37.3% 23.6% 39.1% -50.5 2
1976-05-23 IA Akranes D 0-0 970 1124 19.6% 23.2% 57.2% +4.5 1
1976-05-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1124 970 57.2% 23.2% 19.6% -4.5 3
1976-05-23 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1014 1050 33.2% 23.5% 43.2% +1.0 1
1976-05-23 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1050 1014 43.2% 23.5% 33.2% -1.0 3
1976-05-24 Keflavik IF L 1-2 873 1144 10.9% 22.5% 66.6% -6.2 0
1976-05-24 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 1144 873 66.6% 22.5% 10.9% +6.2 4
1976-05-27 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1049 1134 26.9% 23.5% 49.6% +2.3 4
1976-05-27 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1134 1049 49.6% 23.5% 26.9% -2.3 5
1976-05-30 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 916 1051 21.5% 23.3% 55.2% +4.0 1
1976-05-30 @ Breidablik D 0-0 1051 916 55.2% 23.3% 21.5% -4.0 5
1976-05-30 Keflavik IF W 2-0 1131 1150 35.6% 23.6% 40.9% +37.3 7
1976-05-30 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1150 1131 40.9% 23.6% 35.6% -37.4 4
1976-05-31 IA Akranes L 1-2 1015 1120 24.7% 23.4% 51.9% -12.5 1
1976-05-31 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1120 1015 51.9% 23.4% 24.7% +12.5 5
1976-06-04 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 867 975 24.3% 23.4% 52.3% -24.7 0
1976-06-04 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-0 975 867 52.3% 23.4% 24.3% +24.8 3
1976-06-05 Breidablik L 1-2 1113 920 60.8% 23.0% 16.2% -26.6 4
1976-06-05 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 920 1113 16.2% 23.0% 60.8% +26.6 3
1976-06-05 IA Akranes W 6-1 1169 1132 43.3% 23.5% 33.1% +61.5 9
1976-06-05 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-6 1132 1169 33.1% 23.5% 43.3% -61.5 5
1976-06-07 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1002 1000 38.6% 23.6% 37.8% +17.6 3
1976-06-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1000 1002 37.8% 23.6% 38.6% -17.6 3
1976-06-08 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1047 1026 41.1% 23.6% 35.3% -18.8 5
1976-06-08 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1026 1047 35.3% 23.6% 41.1% +18.8 4
1976-06-10 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-0 1020 842 59.5% 23.1% 17.4% +9.9 5
1976-06-10 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 842 1020 17.4% 23.1% 59.5% -9.9 0
1976-06-12 Breidablik W 2-0 1071 947 54.1% 23.3% 22.6% +23.3 7
1976-06-12 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 947 1071 22.6% 23.3% 54.1% -23.3 3
1976-06-12 FH Hafnarfjordur W 5-1 1230 982 65.1% 22.7% 12.3% +21.7 11
1976-06-12 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-5 982 1230 12.3% 22.7% 65.1% -21.7 3
1976-06-13 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1045 1086 32.5% 23.5% 44.0% +19.8 6
1976-06-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1086 1045 44.0% 23.5% 32.5% -19.8 4
1976-06-15 Breidablik W 1-0 1065 924 55.9% 23.3% 20.8% +11.5 8
1976-06-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 924 1065 20.8% 23.3% 55.9% -11.6 3
1976-06-19 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1094 1076 40.7% 23.6% 35.7% -19.8 7
1976-06-19 @ IA Akranes W 1-0 1076 1094 35.7% 23.6% 40.7% +19.8 10
1976-06-19 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1028 1066 32.9% 23.5% 43.6% -15.8 5
1976-06-19 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1066 1028 43.6% 23.5% 32.9% +15.8 6
1976-06-20 Breidablik L 0-1 960 912 44.9% 23.5% 31.6% -21.4 3
1976-06-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 912 960 31.6% 23.5% 44.9% +21.4 5
1976-06-21 Valur Reykjavik L 0-6 832 1252 5.0% 21.1% 73.8% -16.1 0
1976-06-21 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 6-0 1252 832 73.8% 21.1% 5.0% +16.1 13
1976-06-23 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 933 1030 25.6% 23.4% 51.0% -13.7 5
1976-06-23 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1030 933 51.0% 23.4% 25.6% +13.7 7
1976-06-23 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 939 1012 28.4% 23.5% 48.1% -28.1 3
1976-06-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1012 939 48.1% 23.5% 28.4% +28.1 7
1976-06-23 Keflavik IF W 4-1 1074 1082 37.1% 23.6% 39.3% +44.4 9
1976-06-23 @ IA Akranes L 1-4 1082 1074 39.3% 23.6% 37.1% -44.4 6
1976-06-24 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 816 1096 10.4% 22.4% 67.2% -11.8 0
1976-06-24 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-0 1096 816 67.2% 22.4% 10.4% +11.8 12
1976-06-26 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1119 1040 48.8% 23.5% 27.8% +13.8 11
1976-06-26 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 1040 1119 27.8% 23.5% 48.8% -13.8 7
1976-06-27 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-2 920 804 53.2% 23.4% 23.5% +11.4 7
1976-06-27 @ Breidablik L 2-3 804 920 23.5% 23.4% 53.2% -11.4 0
1976-06-27 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1038 1044 37.4% 23.6% 39.1% -18.5 6
1976-06-27 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1044 1038 39.1% 23.6% 37.4% +18.5 9
1976-06-27 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1108 911 61.1% 23.0% 15.9% -5.6 13
1976-06-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 911 1108 15.9% 23.0% 61.1% +5.6 4
1976-06-28 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1268 1062 61.9% 22.9% 15.2% -5.2 14
1976-06-28 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1062 1268 15.2% 22.9% 61.9% +5.2 10
1976-06-30 Keflavik IF D 0-0 916 1019 24.9% 23.4% 51.7% +3.1 5
1976-06-30 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1019 916 51.7% 23.4% 24.9% -3.1 7
1976-06-30 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 793 1027 13.2% 22.8% 64.0% +5.7 1
1976-06-30 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-1 1027 793 64.0% 22.8% 13.2% -5.7 8
1976-07-01 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 1067 1102 33.3% 23.5% 43.1% +18.5 12
1976-07-01 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1102 1067 43.1% 23.5% 33.3% -18.5 13
1976-07-03 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1133 920 62.4% 22.9% 14.6% -5.3 12
1976-07-03 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 920 1133 14.6% 22.9% 62.4% +5.3 6
1976-07-04 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 1016 798 62.8% 22.9% 14.3% +7.9 9
1976-07-04 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 798 1016 14.3% 22.9% 62.8% -7.9 1
1976-07-04 Breidablik D 1-1 1263 931 70.0% 22.0% 8.0% -7.2 15
1976-07-04 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 931 1263 8.0% 22.0% 70.0% +7.2 8
1976-07-05 Fram Reykjavik L 3-4 1021 1086 29.4% 23.5% 47.1% -13.4 8
1976-07-05 @ KR Reykjavik W 4-3 1086 1021 47.1% 23.5% 29.4% +13.4 14
1976-07-08 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1084 1256 18.0% 23.1% 58.9% -9.1 13
1976-07-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 1256 1084 58.9% 23.1% 18.0% +9.1 17
1976-07-18 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1099 1024 48.4% 23.5% 28.1% +14.0 16
1976-07-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1024 1099 28.1% 23.5% 48.4% -13.9 9
1976-07-19 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1265 1008 65.7% 22.6% 11.7% -4.5 18
1976-07-19 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1008 1265 11.7% 22.6% 65.7% +4.5 9
1976-07-20 IA Akranes D 1-1 791 1127 7.8% 22.0% 70.3% +7.3 2
1976-07-20 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-1 1127 791 70.3% 22.0% 7.8% -7.3 13
1976-07-21 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 938 1075 21.3% 23.3% 55.4% +42.2 10
1976-07-21 @ Breidablik L 1-3 1075 938 55.4% 23.3% 21.3% -42.2 13
1976-07-23 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-2 925 798 54.4% 23.3% 22.2% -23.9 6
1976-07-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 798 925 22.2% 23.3% 54.4% +23.9 4
1976-07-24 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1120 1113 39.2% 23.6% 37.2% -0.2 14
1976-07-24 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 1113 1120 37.2% 23.6% 39.2% +0.2 17
1976-07-25 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1010 1260 12.1% 22.7% 65.2% +30.4 11
1976-07-25 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1260 1010 65.2% 22.7% 12.1% -30.4 18
1976-07-25 Breidablik L 0-1 1012 981 42.7% 23.5% 33.8% -20.5 9
1976-07-25 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 981 1012 33.8% 23.5% 42.7% +20.5 12
1976-08-05 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1033 992 43.9% 23.5% 32.5% -19.8 13
1976-08-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 992 1033 32.5% 23.5% 43.9% +19.8 11
1976-08-07 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 901 1113 14.7% 22.9% 62.4% -8.1 6
1976-08-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1113 901 62.4% 22.9% 14.7% +8.1 19
1976-08-07 Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1120 1230 24.1% 23.4% 52.5% -21.3 14
1976-08-07 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 1230 1120 52.5% 23.4% 24.1% +21.3 20
1976-08-08 Keflavik IF W 3-1 1001 1040 32.7% 23.5% 43.7% +34.2 14
1976-08-08 @ Breidablik L 1-3 1040 1001 43.7% 23.5% 32.7% -34.2 11
1976-08-14 IA Akranes L 0-3 1035 1099 29.6% 23.5% 46.9% -42.2 14
1976-08-14 @ Breidablik W 3-0 1099 1035 46.9% 23.5% 29.6% +42.2 16
1976-08-14 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1006 1013 37.3% 23.6% 39.1% +0.2 12
1976-08-14 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1013 1006 39.1% 23.6% 37.3% -0.2 14
1976-08-15 Fram Reykjavik L 0-6 822 1121 9.4% 22.3% 68.3% -29.8 4
1976-08-15 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 6-0 1121 822 68.3% 22.3% 9.4% +29.8 21
1976-08-16 Valur Reykjavik L 0-5 893 1251 6.9% 21.8% 71.3% -18.7 6
1976-08-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 5-0 1251 893 71.3% 21.8% 6.9% +18.7 22
1976-08-17 IA Akranes L 1-3 1011 1141 22.0% 23.3% 54.7% -19.8 11
1976-08-17 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1141 1011 54.7% 23.3% 22.0% +19.8 18
1976-08-18 Breidablik L 1-2 792 993 15.6% 23.0% 61.5% -8.5 4
1976-08-18 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 993 792 61.5% 23.0% 15.6% +8.5 16
1976-08-19 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 874 1013 21.1% 23.3% 55.6% -11.0 6
1976-08-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1013 874 55.6% 23.3% 21.1% +11.0 16
1976-08-19 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1151 1270 23.1% 23.4% 53.5% +3.2 22
1976-08-19 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1270 1151 53.5% 23.4% 23.1% -3.2 23
1976-08-21 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1006 992 40.3% 23.6% 36.1% +18.0 14
1976-08-21 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 992 1006 36.1% 23.6% 40.3% -18.0 11
1976-08-22 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1001 863 55.6% 23.3% 21.1% +19.1 18
1976-08-22 @ Breidablik L 1-3 863 1001 21.1% 23.3% 55.6% -19.1 6
1976-08-22 IA Akranes L 0-3 1024 1160 21.3% 23.3% 55.5% -32.2 16
1976-08-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1160 1024 55.5% 23.3% 21.3% +32.2 20
1976-08-23 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-0 1267 783 76.0% 20.4% 3.6% +4.1 25
1976-08-23 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 783 1267 3.6% 20.4% 76.0% -4.1 4
1976-08-29 IA Akranes D 2-2 1024 1193 18.3% 23.2% 58.6% +3.3 15
1976-08-29 @ Keflavik IF D 2-2 1193 1024 58.6% 23.2% 18.3% -3.2 21
1976-08-29 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-0 991 779 62.4% 22.9% 14.7% +23.4 18
1976-08-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 779 991 14.7% 22.9% 62.4% -23.5 4
1976-08-30 Breidablik W 3-0 1154 1021 55.1% 23.3% 21.6% +32.6 24
1976-08-30 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1021 1154 21.6% 23.3% 55.1% -32.6 18
1976-08-31 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 974 844 54.7% 23.3% 22.0% -25.5 11
1976-08-31 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 844 974 22.0% 23.3% 54.7% +25.5 8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-07-25 12.14% @ Keflavik IF 1010 1 Valur Reykjavik 1260 0
2 1976-06-05 16.23% Breidablik 920 2 @ Keflavik IF 1113 1
3 1976-07-21 21.30% @ Breidablik 938 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1075 1
4 1976-08-31 22.00% FH Hafnarfjordur 844 1 @ KR Reykjavik 974 0
5 1976-07-23 22.25% Throttur Reykjavik 798 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 925 1
6 1976-06-20 31.55% Breidablik 912 1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 960 0
7 1976-06-13 32.51% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1045 2 Keflavik IF 1086 1
8 1976-08-05 32.52% KR Reykjavik 992 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1033 1
9 1976-08-08 32.73% @ Breidablik 1001 3 Keflavik IF 1040 1
10 1976-07-01 33.31% @ Fram Reykjavik 1067 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1102 2
11 1976-07-25 33.79% Breidablik 981 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1012 0
12 1976-06-08 35.30% Vikingur Reykjavik 1026 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1047 1
13 1976-05-30 35.56% @ Valur Reykjavik 1131 2 Keflavik IF 1150 0
14 1976-06-19 35.70% Vikingur Reykjavik 1076 1 @ IA Akranes 1094 0
15 1976-05-16 36.78% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1040 2 Fram Reykjavik 1050 0
16 1976-06-23 37.11% @ IA Akranes 1074 4 Keflavik IF 1082 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-06-05 61.46 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1169 43.32% IA Akranes 1 1132 33.13% 23.54%
2 1976-05-15 56.94 @ Keflavik IF 6 1087 46.42% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1027 30.07% 23.51%
3 1976-05-22 50.53 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1083 39.13% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1077 37.31% 23.56%
4 1976-06-23 44.37 @ IA Akranes 4 1074 37.11% Keflavik IF 1 1082 39.32% 23.56%
5 1976-08-14 42.19 IA Akranes 3 1099 46.88% @ Breidablik 0 1035 29.61% 23.51%
6 1976-07-21 42.16 @ Breidablik 3 938 21.30% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1075 55.41% 23.29%
7 1976-05-30 37.35 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1131 35.56% Keflavik IF 0 1150 40.88% 23.56%
8 1976-05-16 36.47 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1040 36.78% Fram Reykjavik 0 1050 39.66% 23.56%
9 1976-08-08 34.16 @ Breidablik 3 1001 32.73% Keflavik IF 1 1040 43.73% 23.54%
10 1976-08-30 32.58 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1154 55.13% Breidablik 0 1021 21.56% 23.30%
11 1976-08-22 32.19 IA Akranes 3 1160 55.45% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1024 21.26% 23.29%
12 1976-07-25 30.39 @ Keflavik IF 1 1010 12.14% Valur Reykjavik 0 1260 65.19% 22.67%
13 1976-05-13 30.27 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1019 52.37% Throttur Reykjavik 1 911 24.24% 23.39%
14 1976-08-15 29.77 Fram Reykjavik 6 1121 68.31% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 822 9.40% 22.29%
15 1976-06-23 28.06 KR Reykjavik 2 1012 48.15% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 939 28.36% 23.49%
16 1976-06-05 26.64 Breidablik 2 920 16.23% @ Keflavik IF 1 1113 60.75% 23.03%
17 1976-08-31 25.49 FH Hafnarfjordur 1 844 22.00% @ KR Reykjavik 0 974 54.68% 23.32%
18 1976-06-04 24.75 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 975 52.33% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 867 24.28% 23.39%
19 1976-07-23 23.93 Throttur Reykjavik 2 798 22.25% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 925 54.42% 23.33%
20 1976-08-29 23.45 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 991 62.37% Throttur Reykjavik 0 779 14.71% 22.92%
21 1976-06-12 23.31 @ IA Akranes 2 1071 54.08% Breidablik 0 947 22.58% 23.34%
22 1976-06-12 21.66 @ Valur Reykjavik 5 1230 65.06% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 982 12.26% 22.68%
23 1976-06-20 21.40 Breidablik 1 912 31.55% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 960 44.92% 23.53%
24 1976-08-07 21.29 Valur Reykjavik 3 1230 52.53% @ IA Akranes 1 1120 24.08% 23.39%
25 1976-07-25 20.50 Breidablik 1 981 33.79% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1012 42.67% 23.55%