1977 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

28 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

7.89 points above expected

28 points · 20.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Thor Akureyri

10.54 points below expected

6 points · 16.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 18 13 2 3 28 35 13 +22 20.1 +7.89
2 Valur Reykjavik 18 11 5 2 27 38 18 +20 20.8 +6.21
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 9 3 6 21 27 18 +9 16.8 +4.22
4 Keflavik IF 18 8 4 6 20 29 28 +1 18.3 +1.71
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 6 8 4 20 22 23 -1 18.2 +1.80
6 Breidablik 18 7 4 7 18 27 26 +1 17.6 +0.42
7 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 5 6 7 16 26 30 -4 16.5 -0.47
8 Fram Reykjavik 18 4 6 8 14 24 35 -11 18.1 -4.10
9 KR Reykjavik 18 3 4 11 10 24 34 -10 17.1 -7.13
10 Thor Akureyri 18 2 2 14 6 21 48 -27 16.5 -10.54

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valur Reykjavik 1052 27 20.79 +6.21 97.7% 8 15 18 21 23 26 32
IA Akranes 1043 28 20.11 +7.89 99.6% 8 14 18 20 22 26 31
Keflavik IF 978 20 18.29 +1.71 74.1% 6 13 16 18 21 24 30
Vikingur Reykjavik 972 20 18.20 +1.80 74.1% 5 12 16 18 21 24 30
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 971 21 16.78 +4.22 91.4% 4 11 14 17 19 22 29
Breidablik 966 18 17.58 +0.42 60.3% 5 12 15 18 20 23 31
Fram Reykjavik 955 14 18.10 -4.10 15.1% 6 12 16 18 20 24 33
FH Hafnarfjordur 943 16 16.47 -0.47 50.9% 5 11 14 16 19 22 28
KR Reykjavik 937 10 17.13 -7.13 2.8% 5 11 15 17 20 23 30
Thor Akureyri 900 6 16.54 -10.54 0.1% 5 11 14 16 19 22 30

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR IA IV KR KI TA VR VR
Breidablik
1-1-0
2.83
2-0-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.61
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.38
2-0-0
2.78
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.41
Fram Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.41
0-0-2
2.92
0-2-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.94
0-2-0
2.19
1-0-1
2.62
IA Akranes
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.03
2-0-0
2.98
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.98
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.44
0-0-2
2.15
2-0-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.41
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.19
0-2-0
2.41
KR Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.83
0-2-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.33
0-0-2
2.71
0-0-2
2.55
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.13
0-1-1
2.54
Keflavik IF
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.72
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
2.95
2-0-0
2.80
2-0-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.65
Thor Akureyri
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.57
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-2
2.65
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
2.46
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.44
0-2-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.12
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.25

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%6.11%6.67%4.44%1.67%0.56%27.22%
16.11%11.11%5.56%2.22%3.89%28.89%
26.67%5.56%3.33%3.33%1.67%0.56%21.11%
34.44%2.22%3.33%2.22%0.56%12.78%
41.67%3.89%1.67%0.56%0.56%8.33%
5+0.56%0.56%0.56%1.67%
Total27.22%28.89%21.11%12.78%8.33%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.52
Mean allowed1.52
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game3.03
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.030
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%27.78%
15.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%
411.11%5.56%16.67%
5+
Total16.67%44.44%16.67%22.22%100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.44
StdDev scored1.42
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.000
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%33.33%
116.67%5.56%11.11%33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
3
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%11.11%
Total16.67%38.89%22.22%5.56%16.67%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored1.65
StdDev allowed1.33
Mean total goals/game3.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.259
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
15.56%16.67%5.56%16.67%44.44%
25.56%5.56%11.11%
35.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
4
5+
Total16.67%27.78%22.22%11.11%22.22%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed1.94
StdDev scored1.08
StdDev allowed1.43
Mean total goals/game3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.013
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
116.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%33.33%
216.67%5.56%22.22%
316.67%16.67%
45.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
5+
Total61.11%22.22%5.56%5.56%5.56%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.94
Mean allowed0.72
StdDev scored1.30
StdDev allowed1.18
Mean total goals/game2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.125
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%11.11%5.56%44.44%
1
211.11%11.11%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+
Total33.33%38.89%22.22%5.56%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed0.91
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.258
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%22.22%5.56%38.89%
111.11%16.67%27.78%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total11.11%22.22%50.00%5.56%5.56%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed1.89
StdDev scored1.64
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.077
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
15.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
25.56%11.11%5.56%11.11%33.33%
35.56%11.11%16.67%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%22.22%27.78%11.11%11.11%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.56
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.069
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
15.56%11.11%16.67%11.11%44.44%
216.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total5.56%16.67%22.22%33.33%11.11%11.11%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed2.67
StdDev scored0.86
StdDev allowed1.50
Mean total goals/game3.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.138
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
111.11%5.56%16.67%
211.11%11.11%22.22%
311.11%11.11%5.56%27.78%
45.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
5+
Total50.00%22.22%11.11%11.11%5.56%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.11
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.37
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game3.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.302
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%33.33%
111.11%22.22%33.33%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total33.33%33.33%11.11%16.67%5.56%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.042
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 28 20.1 +7.89
2 Valur Reykjavik 27 20.8 +6.21
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 21 16.8 +4.22
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 20 18.2 +1.80
5 Keflavik IF 20 18.3 +1.71

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Thor Akureyri 6 16.5 -10.54
2 KR Reykjavik 10 17.1 -7.13
3 Fram Reykjavik 14 18.1 -4.10
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 16 16.5 -0.47
5 Breidablik 18 17.6 +0.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 5 May 14 – Jun 6 1 in 106
2 IA Akranes 4 Aug 6 – Aug 23 1 in 33
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Aug 4 – Aug 20 1 in 24
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 Jun 13 – Jun 18 1 in 11
5 Thor Akureyri 2 May 25 – May 28 1 in 11

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Thor Akureyri 8 Jul 2 – Aug 23 1 in 1,342
2 KR Reykjavik 6 Jun 22 – Aug 4 1 in 432
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 May 25 – Jun 6 1 in 42
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 May 15 – Jun 4 1 in 16
5 Valur Reykjavik 2 May 7 – May 11 1 in 11

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 16 May 14 – Aug 25 1 in 143
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 6 Jul 10 – Aug 23 1 in 21
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 7 May 8 – Jun 13 1 in 17
4 IA Akranes 7 Jul 6 – Aug 23 1 in 9
5 Keflavik IF 5 Jun 19 – Jul 10 1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Thor Akureyri 13 May 31 – Aug 23 1 in 101
2 Fram Reykjavik 9 May 25 – Jul 6 1 in 49
3 KR Reykjavik 9 Jun 13 – Aug 4 1 in 35
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Jul 11 – Aug 25 1 in 11
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 6 Jul 6 – Aug 20 1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
IA Akranes23.35%18.04%14.19%11.64%9.18%7.73%5.80%4.67%3.51%1.89%
Valur Reykjavik29.74%19.79%13.90%10.11%7.99%6.37%4.70%3.47%2.46%1.47%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar4.53%6.54%8.77%9.51%9.94%11.20%11.92%12.04%12.61%12.94%
Keflavik IF9.05%10.57%11.99%11.25%11.97%10.54%10.22%9.04%8.47%6.90%
Vikingur Reykjavik8.74%10.50%10.84%11.48%11.03%10.73%10.50%9.70%8.97%7.51%
Breidablik6.14%8.65%9.86%10.77%10.72%11.24%11.54%10.92%10.31%9.85%
FH Hafnarfjordur3.47%5.05%6.55%7.56%9.56%10.67%12.16%13.59%14.45%16.94%
Fram Reykjavik7.29%9.36%10.24%10.72%10.56%11.31%10.59%10.94%10.15%8.84%
KR Reykjavik4.42%6.61%7.65%9.88%10.36%10.46%11.30%12.17%13.27%13.88%
Thor Akureyri3.27%4.89%6.01%7.08%8.69%9.75%11.27%13.46%15.80%19.78%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Valur Reykjavik 96.1% 3.9%
IA Akranes 94.6% 5.4%
Keflavik IF 84.6% 15.4%
Vikingur Reykjavik 83.5% 16.5%
Fram Reykjavik 81.0% 19.0%
Breidablik 79.8% 20.2%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 74.5% 25.6%
KR Reykjavik 72.9% 27.2%
FH Hafnarfjordur 68.6% 31.4%
Thor Akureyri 64.4% 35.6%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1977-05-07 Valur Reykjavik W 4-3 962 1007 30.8% 32.3% 36.9% +3.0 3
1977-05-07 @ Breidablik L 3-4 1007 962 36.9% 32.3% 30.8% -3.0 0
1977-05-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 986 942 43.3% 31.3% 25.3% -7.3 0
1977-05-07 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 942 986 25.3% 31.3% 43.3% +7.3 3
1977-05-07 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 990 964 40.7% 32.0% 27.3% +2.8 3
1977-05-07 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 964 990 27.3% 32.0% 40.7% -2.8 0
1977-05-07 Thor Akureyri W 3-2 975 966 38.3% 32.4% 29.3% +2.6 3
1977-05-07 @ Keflavik IF L 2-3 966 975 29.3% 32.4% 38.3% -2.6 0
1977-05-08 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 975 952 40.3% 32.1% 27.6% -0.2 1
1977-05-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 952 975 27.6% 32.1% 40.3% +0.2 1
1977-05-10 Breidablik D 0-0 949 965 34.6% 32.6% 32.7% -0.0 4
1977-05-10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 965 949 32.7% 32.6% 34.6% +0.0 4
1977-05-10 Keflavik IF L 0-2 961 977 34.7% 32.6% 32.7% -6.2 0
1977-05-10 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-0 977 961 32.7% 32.6% 34.7% +6.3 6
1977-05-11 Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 952 978 33.2% 32.6% 34.2% -8.8 1
1977-05-11 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 978 952 34.2% 32.6% 33.2% +8.8 3
1977-05-11 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 963 975 35.4% 32.6% 32.0% -0.1 1
1977-05-11 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 975 963 32.0% 32.6% 35.4% +0.1 2
1977-05-11 IA Akranes L 0-2 1004 993 38.6% 32.4% 29.0% -6.7 0
1977-05-11 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 993 1004 29.0% 32.4% 38.6% +6.7 6
1977-05-14 Thor Akureyri W 3-1 987 963 40.5% 32.0% 27.5% +4.6 6
1977-05-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 963 987 27.5% 32.0% 40.5% -4.6 1
1977-05-14 Breidablik W 2-0 999 965 41.9% 31.7% 26.4% +5.1 9
1977-05-14 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 965 999 26.4% 31.7% 41.9% -5.1 4
1977-05-14 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 984 997 35.0% 32.6% 32.3% -3.1 6
1977-05-14 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 997 984 32.3% 32.6% 35.0% +3.1 3
1977-05-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 943 949 36.2% 32.6% 31.2% +5.8 4
1977-05-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 949 943 31.2% 32.6% 36.2% -5.8 4
1977-05-16 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 975 955 39.8% 32.2% 28.0% -0.2 3
1977-05-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 955 975 28.0% 32.2% 39.8% +0.2 1
1977-05-23 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 943 1000 29.2% 32.0% 38.8% -2.9 4
1977-05-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1000 943 38.8% 32.0% 29.2% +2.9 6
1977-05-25 Keflavik IF L 1-2 949 980 32.5% 32.5% 34.9% -3.0 4
1977-05-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 980 949 34.9% 32.5% 32.5% +3.0 9
1977-05-25 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 992 974 39.5% 32.2% 28.3% -3.6 6
1977-05-25 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 974 992 28.3% 32.2% 39.5% +3.6 6
1977-05-25 IA Akranes W 3-1 958 1004 30.6% 32.3% 37.1% +5.7 4
1977-05-25 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-3 1004 958 37.1% 32.3% 30.6% -5.7 9
1977-05-27 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1003 955 43.9% 31.2% 24.9% +2.4 9
1977-05-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 955 1003 24.9% 31.2% 43.9% -2.4 1
1977-05-28 Thor Akureyri L 0-1 960 964 36.4% 32.6% 31.0% -3.4 4
1977-05-28 @ Breidablik W 1-0 964 960 31.0% 32.6% 36.4% +3.4 7
1977-05-28 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 999 946 44.6% 31.0% 24.5% +2.5 12
1977-05-28 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 946 999 24.5% 31.0% 44.6% -2.6 4
1977-05-28 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 983 988 36.3% 32.6% 31.1% -0.1 10
1977-05-28 @ Keflavik IF D 2-2 988 983 31.1% 32.6% 36.3% +0.1 7
1977-05-31 Breidablik L 0-2 943 957 35.1% 32.6% 32.3% -6.3 4
1977-05-31 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 957 943 32.3% 32.6% 35.1% +6.3 7
1977-05-31 IA Akranes L 1-2 988 1001 35.1% 32.6% 32.3% -3.1 7
1977-05-31 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1001 988 32.3% 32.6% 35.1% +3.2 15
1977-05-31 Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 968 1006 31.6% 32.4% 35.9% -5.9 7
1977-05-31 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-0 1006 968 35.9% 32.4% 31.6% +5.9 12
1977-06-04 Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 963 985 33.9% 32.6% 33.5% +7.5 10
1977-06-04 @ Breidablik L 1-4 985 963 33.5% 32.6% 33.9% -7.5 7
1977-06-04 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1005 978 40.8% 32.0% 27.2% -0.2 16
1977-06-04 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 978 1005 27.2% 32.0% 40.8% +0.2 7
1977-06-04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 983 940 43.2% 31.4% 25.4% +2.6 13
1977-06-04 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 940 983 25.4% 31.4% 43.2% -2.6 4
1977-06-04 Thor Akureyri W 6-0 953 962 35.7% 32.6% 31.7% +16.3 4
1977-06-04 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-6 962 953 31.7% 32.6% 35.7% -16.3 7
1977-06-06 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1012 937 47.7% 29.8% 22.5% +2.4 15
1977-06-06 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 937 1012 22.5% 29.8% 47.7% -2.4 4
1977-06-07 Keflavik IF W 1-0 978 986 35.9% 32.6% 31.5% +3.1 10
1977-06-07 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 986 978 31.5% 32.6% 35.9% -3.1 13
1977-06-08 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 971 969 37.2% 32.5% 30.3% -3.3 10
1977-06-08 @ Breidablik W 2-1 969 971 30.3% 32.5% 37.2% +3.3 7
1977-06-13 KR Reykjavik W 5-4 935 972 31.7% 32.4% 35.8% +2.9 7
1977-06-13 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 4-5 972 935 35.8% 32.4% 31.7% -2.9 7
1977-06-13 Thor Akureyri W 2-1 937 945 35.9% 32.6% 31.5% +2.9 7
1977-06-13 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 945 937 31.5% 32.6% 35.9% -2.9 7
1977-06-13 IA Akranes L 0-4 983 1004 34.0% 32.6% 33.4% -11.7 13
1977-06-13 @ Keflavik IF W 4-0 1004 983 33.4% 32.6% 34.0% +11.7 19
1977-06-13 Breidablik W 2-0 981 967 39.0% 32.3% 28.7% +5.5 13
1977-06-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 967 981 28.7% 32.3% 39.0% -5.5 10
1977-06-14 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 978 1014 31.9% 32.5% 35.7% +0.1 8
1977-06-14 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1014 978 35.7% 32.5% 31.9% -0.1 16
1977-06-16 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 940 970 32.9% 32.6% 34.6% +6.2 10
1977-06-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 970 940 34.6% 32.6% 32.9% -6.2 7
1977-06-17 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-0 1014 987 40.9% 32.0% 27.2% +10.0 19
1977-06-17 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-4 987 1014 27.2% 32.0% 40.9% -10.0 13
1977-06-18 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 942 938 37.7% 32.5% 29.8% -3.3 7
1977-06-18 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-1 938 942 29.8% 32.5% 37.7% +3.3 10
1977-06-19 Keflavik IF D 1-1 962 971 35.6% 32.6% 31.7% -0.1 11
1977-06-19 @ Breidablik D 1-1 971 962 31.7% 32.6% 35.6% +0.1 14
1977-06-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1016 947 46.9% 30.1% 22.9% +6.6 22
1977-06-19 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 947 1016 22.9% 30.1% 46.9% -6.6 10
1977-06-19 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 963 978 34.9% 32.6% 32.4% -0.0 8
1977-06-19 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 978 963 32.4% 32.6% 34.9% +0.0 9
1977-06-22 IA Akranes W 1-0 962 1023 28.8% 31.9% 39.3% +3.6 14
1977-06-22 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1023 962 39.3% 31.9% 28.8% -3.6 22
1977-06-22 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-1 940 941 36.9% 32.5% 30.6% +7.0 13
1977-06-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 941 940 30.6% 32.5% 36.9% -7.0 10
1977-06-22 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 963 977 35.0% 32.6% 32.3% -6.3 8
1977-06-22 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-0 977 963 32.3% 32.6% 35.0% +6.3 16
1977-06-23 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 939 978 31.6% 32.4% 36.0% +0.1 8
1977-06-23 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 978 939 36.0% 32.4% 31.6% -0.1 10
1977-06-23 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1024 971 44.5% 31.0% 24.5% -0.4 20
1977-06-23 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 971 1024 24.5% 31.0% 44.5% +0.4 15
1977-06-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 983 947 42.2% 31.7% 26.2% -0.3 17
1977-06-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 947 983 26.2% 31.7% 42.2% +0.3 14
1977-07-02 KR Reykjavik W 4-2 972 957 39.1% 32.3% 28.6% +4.2 18
1977-07-02 @ Keflavik IF L 2-4 957 972 28.6% 32.3% 39.1% -4.2 8
1977-07-02 Thor Akureyri W 3-2 983 939 43.2% 31.4% 25.4% +2.4 20
1977-07-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 939 983 25.4% 31.4% 43.2% -2.4 8
1977-07-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 965 947 39.6% 32.2% 28.2% -5.9 14
1977-07-03 @ Breidablik W 3-1 947 965 28.2% 32.2% 39.6% +5.9 17
1977-07-03 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-4 978 934 43.3% 31.4% 25.4% -8.9 10
1977-07-03 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 934 978 25.4% 31.4% 43.3% +8.9 13
1977-07-03 Valur Reykjavik L 1-4 1019 1024 36.3% 32.6% 31.1% -7.9 22
1977-07-03 @ IA Akranes W 4-1 1024 1019 31.1% 32.6% 36.3% +7.9 23
1977-07-05 Keflavik IF L 1-2 937 976 31.5% 32.4% 36.0% -2.9 8
1977-07-05 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-1 976 937 36.0% 32.4% 31.5% +2.9 21
1977-07-06 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-4 943 985 31.1% 32.4% 36.5% -7.1 13
1977-07-06 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-1 985 943 36.5% 32.4% 31.1% +7.1 23
1977-07-06 Fram Reykjavik W 3-0 953 969 34.8% 32.6% 32.6% +8.7 20
1977-07-06 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 969 953 32.6% 32.6% 34.8% -8.7 10
1977-07-06 IA Akranes L 0-2 953 1011 29.1% 31.9% 38.9% -5.5 8
1977-07-06 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1011 953 38.9% 31.9% 29.1% +5.5 25
1977-07-09 Thor Akureyri W 3-0 1017 934 48.9% 29.3% 21.9% +6.3 28
1977-07-09 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 934 1017 21.9% 29.3% 48.9% -6.3 8
1977-07-10 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 979 936 43.2% 31.4% 25.4% -0.4 22
1977-07-10 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 936 979 25.4% 31.4% 43.2% +0.4 14
1977-07-10 Breidablik L 1-2 947 959 35.2% 32.6% 32.1% -3.2 8
1977-07-10 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 959 947 32.1% 32.6% 35.2% +3.2 17
1977-07-11 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 992 960 41.6% 31.8% 26.6% -3.8 23
1977-07-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 960 992 26.6% 31.8% 41.6% +3.8 13
1977-07-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1032 962 47.0% 30.1% 22.9% +4.5 26
1977-07-15 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 962 1032 22.9% 30.1% 47.0% -4.5 20
1977-07-23 IA Akranes D 0-0 936 1023 26.1% 30.8% 43.1% +0.3 15
1977-07-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1023 936 43.1% 30.8% 26.1% -0.3 29
1977-07-23 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 957 989 32.6% 32.5% 34.9% +0.0 21
1977-07-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 989 957 34.9% 32.5% 32.6% -0.0 24
1977-07-23 Breidablik L 1-3 928 963 32.1% 32.5% 35.4% -5.1 8
1977-07-23 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-1 963 928 35.4% 32.5% 32.1% +5.1 20
1977-07-24 Keflavik IF W 3-2 964 979 34.9% 32.6% 32.5% +2.8 16
1977-07-24 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 979 964 32.5% 32.6% 34.9% -2.8 22
1977-07-25 Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 944 1036 25.5% 30.6% 43.9% -7.2 8
1977-07-25 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-0 1036 944 43.9% 30.6% 25.5% +7.2 29
1977-08-03 Breidablik W 3-0 1043 968 47.8% 29.7% 22.4% +6.5 32
1977-08-03 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 968 1043 22.4% 29.7% 47.8% -6.4 20
1977-08-04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 937 957 34.1% 32.6% 33.3% -3.1 8
1977-08-04 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 957 937 33.3% 32.6% 34.1% +3.1 24
1977-08-06 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 961 936 40.6% 32.0% 27.4% -0.2 21
1977-08-06 @ Breidablik D 1-1 936 961 27.4% 32.0% 40.6% +0.2 16
1977-08-06 Fram Reykjavik W 4-2 1023 967 45.0% 30.8% 24.2% +3.7 32
1977-08-06 @ IA Akranes L 2-4 967 1023 24.2% 30.8% 45.0% -3.7 16
1977-08-06 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 976 988 35.2% 32.6% 32.2% +8.6 25
1977-08-06 @ Keflavik IF L 0-3 988 976 32.2% 32.6% 35.2% -8.6 24
1977-08-06 Thor Akureyri W 4-2 1050 923 55.2% 26.0% 18.8% +2.8 35
1977-08-06 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 923 1050 18.8% 26.0% 55.2% -2.8 8
1977-08-12 KR Reykjavik L 2-3 920 934 35.0% 32.6% 32.4% -3.0 8
1977-08-12 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-2 934 920 32.4% 32.6% 35.0% +3.0 11
1977-08-14 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 937 1052 23.4% 29.1% 47.5% +0.4 17
1977-08-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1052 937 47.5% 29.1% 23.4% -0.4 36
1977-08-14 Breidablik L 1-4 963 961 37.3% 32.5% 30.2% -8.1 16
1977-08-14 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 961 963 30.2% 32.5% 37.3% +8.0 24
1977-08-14 Keflavik IF W 3-2 961 984 33.6% 32.6% 33.8% +2.9 27
1977-08-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 984 961 33.8% 32.6% 33.6% -2.9 25
1977-08-15 IA Akranes L 0-3 980 1026 30.6% 32.3% 37.1% -8.3 24
1977-08-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1026 980 37.1% 32.3% 30.6% +8.3 35
1977-08-20 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 969 972 36.6% 32.6% 30.8% -0.1 25
1977-08-20 @ Breidablik D 1-1 972 969 30.8% 32.6% 36.6% +0.1 25
1977-08-20 Keflavik IF W 4-1 1035 981 44.6% 30.9% 24.4% +5.9 38
1977-08-20 @ IA Akranes L 1-4 981 1035 24.4% 30.9% 44.6% -5.9 25
1977-08-20 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 937 937 36.9% 32.5% 30.5% -0.1 12
1977-08-20 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 937 937 30.5% 32.5% 36.9% +0.1 18
1977-08-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-4 917 963 30.6% 32.3% 37.2% -10.8 8
1977-08-20 @ Thor Akureyri W 4-0 963 917 37.2% 32.3% 30.6% +10.8 30
1977-08-21 Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1052 955 50.9% 28.3% 20.8% -0.3 37
1977-08-21 @ Valur Reykjavik D 3-3 955 1052 20.8% 28.3% 50.9% +0.4 17
1977-08-23 Thor Akureyri W 5-2 937 906 41.5% 31.8% 26.7% +5.5 21
1977-08-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-5 906 937 26.7% 31.8% 41.5% -5.5 8
1977-08-23 IA Akranes L 0-1 974 1040 28.2% 31.7% 40.1% -2.8 30
1977-08-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1040 974 40.1% 31.7% 28.2% +2.8 41
1977-08-23 Breidablik W 3-2 976 969 37.9% 32.4% 29.6% +2.7 28
1977-08-23 @ Keflavik IF L 2-3 969 976 29.6% 32.4% 37.9% -2.7 25
1977-08-24 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 955 937 39.6% 32.2% 28.1% -0.2 18
1977-08-24 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 937 955 28.1% 32.2% 39.6% +0.2 13
1977-08-25 Valur Reykjavik D 3-3 972 1052 26.7% 31.1% 42.1% +0.2 26
1977-08-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 3-3 1052 972 42.1% 31.1% 26.7% -0.2 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1977-05-07 25.32% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 942 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 986 0
2 1977-07-03 25.37% FH Hafnarfjordur 934 4 @ Fram Reykjavik 978 1
3 1977-07-11 26.59% Fram Reykjavik 960 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 992 0
4 1977-07-03 28.21% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 947 3 @ Breidablik 965 1
5 1977-05-25 28.28% Vikingur Reykjavik 974 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 992 0
6 1977-06-22 28.85% @ Breidablik 962 1 IA Akranes 1023 0
7 1977-05-11 29.01% IA Akranes 993 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1004 0
8 1977-06-18 29.85% FH Hafnarfjordur 938 2 @ Thor Akureyri 942 1
9 1977-08-14 30.23% Breidablik 961 4 @ Fram Reykjavik 963 1
10 1977-06-08 30.28% KR Reykjavik 969 2 @ Breidablik 971 1
11 1977-05-25 30.64% @ Thor Akureyri 958 3 IA Akranes 1004 1
12 1977-05-07 30.80% @ Breidablik 962 4 Valur Reykjavik 1007 3
13 1977-05-28 30.99% Thor Akureyri 964 1 @ Breidablik 960 0
14 1977-07-03 31.09% Valur Reykjavik 1024 4 @ IA Akranes 1019 1
15 1977-06-13 31.72% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 935 5 KR Reykjavik 972 4
16 1977-07-10 32.14% Breidablik 959 2 @ KR Reykjavik 947 1
17 1977-05-31 32.26% IA Akranes 1001 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 988 1
18 1977-05-31 32.30% Breidablik 957 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 943 0
19 1977-06-22 32.33% Vikingur Reykjavik 977 2 @ KR Reykjavik 963 0
20 1977-05-14 32.34% Valur Reykjavik 997 2 @ Keflavik IF 984 1
21 1977-08-12 32.39% KR Reykjavik 934 3 @ Thor Akureyri 920 2
22 1977-05-10 32.68% Keflavik IF 977 2 @ KR Reykjavik 961 0
23 1977-06-16 32.86% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 940 2 KR Reykjavik 970 0
24 1977-08-04 33.33% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 957 2 @ KR Reykjavik 937 1
25 1977-06-13 33.44% IA Akranes 1004 4 @ Keflavik IF 983 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-06-04 16.33 @ KR Reykjavik 6 953 35.73% Thor Akureyri 0 962 31.67%
2 1977-06-13 11.69 IA Akranes 4 1004 33.44% @ Keflavik IF 0 983 33.96%
3 1977-08-20 10.84 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 963 37.18% @ Thor Akureyri 0 917 30.55%
4 1977-06-17 9.96 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1014 40.89% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 987 27.15%
5 1977-07-03 8.94 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 934 25.37% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 978 43.27%
6 1977-05-11 8.82 Fram Reykjavik 3 978 34.19% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 952 33.23%
7 1977-07-06 8.71 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 953 34.79% Fram Reykjavik 0 969 32.59%
8 1977-08-06 8.64 @ Keflavik IF 3 976 35.17% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 988 32.21%
9 1977-08-15 8.31 IA Akranes 3 1026 37.12% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 980 30.60%
10 1977-08-14 8.05 Breidablik 4 961 30.23% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 963 37.26%
11 1977-07-03 7.91 Valur Reykjavik 4 1024 31.09% @ IA Akranes 1 1019 36.34%
12 1977-06-04 7.49 @ Breidablik 4 963 33.87% Fram Reykjavik 1 985 33.53%
13 1977-05-07 7.30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 942 25.32% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 986 43.33%
14 1977-07-25 7.16 Valur Reykjavik 3 1036 43.92% @ KR Reykjavik 0 944 25.53%
15 1977-07-06 7.10 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 985 36.53% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 943 31.12%
16 1977-06-22 7.03 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 940 36.85% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 941 30.60%
17 1977-05-11 6.74 IA Akranes 2 993 29.01% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1004 38.63%
18 1977-06-19 6.59 @ IA Akranes 3 1016 46.95% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 947 22.95%
19 1977-08-03 6.45 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1043 47.82% Breidablik 0 968 22.44%
20 1977-05-31 6.30 Breidablik 2 957 32.30% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 943 35.08%
21 1977-06-22 6.30 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 977 32.33% @ KR Reykjavik 0 963 35.05%
22 1977-07-09 6.27 @ IA Akranes 3 1017 48.86% Thor Akureyri 0 934 21.86%
23 1977-05-10 6.26 Keflavik IF 2 977 32.68% @ KR Reykjavik 0 961 34.70%
24 1977-06-16 6.24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 940 32.86% KR Reykjavik 0 970 34.59%
25 1977-07-03 5.94 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 947 28.21% @ Breidablik 1 965 39.58%