1997 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

40 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

7.90 points above expected

40 points · 32.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stjarnan

11.33 points below expected

7 points · 18.33 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 12 4 2 40 44 17 +27 32.1 +7.90
2 IA Akranes 18 11 2 5 35 42 24 +18 35.0 -0.04
3 IF Leiftur 18 8 6 4 30 27 17 +10 27.0 +2.99
4 Fram Reykjavik 18 8 5 5 29 29 23 +6 21.8 +7.23
5 KR Reykjavik 18 7 6 5 27 38 23 +15 32.3 -5.29
6 Keflavik IF 18 7 3 8 24 21 28 -7 25.0 -1.00
7 Grindavik 18 6 4 8 22 21 29 -8 22.3 -0.33
8 Valur Reykjavik 18 6 3 9 21 21 36 -15 20.8 +0.16
9 Skallagrimur 18 4 3 11 15 19 40 -21 14.4 +0.58
10 Stjarnan 18 1 4 13 7 14 39 -25 18.3 -11.33

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IA Akranes 1609 35 35.04 -0.04 53.1% 15 26 32 35 39 43 52
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1607 40 32.10 +7.90 94.8% 13 23 29 32 36 41 50
KR Reykjavik 1581 27 32.29 -5.29 18.4% 7 24 29 32 36 41 52
IF Leiftur 1528 30 27.01 +2.99 74.7% 7 18 23 27 31 36 46
Fram Reykjavik 1442 29 21.77 +7.23 92.7% 4 13 18 22 25 30 42
Grindavik 1397 22 22.33 -0.33 52.8% 4 14 19 22 26 31 45
Keflavik IF 1394 24 25.00 -1.00 46.8% 7 16 21 25 29 34 45
Valur Reykjavik 1377 21 20.84 +0.16 55.3% 4 13 17 21 24 29 43
Stjarnan 1286 7 18.33 -11.33 1.1% 3 10 15 18 22 27 38
Skallagrimur 1284 15 14.42 +0.58 60.5% 0 7 11 14 18 23 35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR GRI IA IV IL KR KI SKA STJ VR
Fram Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
1.62
0-2-0
1.74
1-1-0
1.97
0-1-1
1.66
1-0-1
2.12
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.24
2-0-0
2.97
Grindavik
1-1-0
2.76
0-0-2
1.66
0-0-2
1.93
0-0-2
2.22
1-1-0
1.72
1-0-1
2.43
0-1-1
3.68
2-0-0
3.26
1-1-0
2.73
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.89
0-0-2
3.40
0-1-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.79
2-0-0
4.69
2-0-0
4.27
1-0-1
4.38
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-2-0
3.80
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
2.10
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
4.56
1-1-0
4.02
2-0-0
3.94
IF Leiftur
0-1-1
3.56
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
1.94
1-0-1
2.00
0-2-0
2.10
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
4.01
0-1-1
3.96
1-1-0
3.05
KR Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.88
0-1-1
3.83
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.58
0-2-0
3.41
0-1-1
3.61
2-0-0
4.47
1-1-0
4.15
1-0-1
4.06
Keflavik IF
1-0-1
3.38
1-0-1
3.06
0-1-1
1.74
0-1-1
1.96
0-0-2
2.41
1-1-0
1.91
1-0-1
3.95
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.28
Skallagrimur
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
1.85
0-0-2
0.98
0-0-2
1.09
1-0-1
1.56
0-0-2
1.16
1-0-1
1.60
1-1-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.05
Stjarnan
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
1.33
0-1-1
1.54
1-1-0
1.59
0-1-1
1.42
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
3.19
0-0-2
2.50
Valur Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
1.23
0-0-2
1.63
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
1.51
1-0-1
2.22
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
2.99

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%6.11%5.00%3.89%2.22%1.67%24.44%
16.11%14.44%6.11%5.56%0.56%1.11%33.89%
25.00%6.11%2.22%3.89%1.67%1.11%20.00%
33.89%5.56%3.89%13.33%
42.22%0.56%1.67%4.44%
5+1.67%1.11%1.11%3.89%
Total24.44%33.89%20.00%13.33%4.44%3.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.53
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored1.39
StdDev allowed1.39
Mean total goals/game3.07
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.177
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%
116.67%22.22%11.11%50.00%
211.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%33.33%27.78%5.56%5.56%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored0.98
StdDev allowed1.13
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.317
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
111.11%11.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%44.44%
25.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total22.22%27.78%27.78%11.11%11.11%100%

Grindavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored0.86
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.204
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
15.56%5.56%5.56%11.11%27.78%
25.56%5.56%
311.11%5.56%11.11%27.78%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+5.56%5.56%11.11%
Total33.33%22.22%27.78%11.11%5.56%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.33
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored1.88
StdDev allowed1.24
Mean total goals/game3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.253
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%
116.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
25.56%5.56%11.11%
311.11%16.67%11.11%38.89%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%11.11%
Total33.33%44.44%16.67%5.56%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.44
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored1.42
StdDev allowed0.87
Mean total goals/game3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.263
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%27.78%
116.67%16.67%33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total38.89%38.89%11.11%11.11%100%

IF Leiftur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored1.47
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.141
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
122.22%5.56%5.56%33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
3
411.11%5.56%16.67%
5+5.56%5.56%11.11%
Total27.78%38.89%16.67%11.11%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.11
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored1.91
StdDev allowed1.18
Mean total goals/game3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.064
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%22.22%
111.11%16.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%44.44%
211.11%11.11%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total22.22%38.89%11.11%22.22%5.56%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.56
StdDev scored0.86
StdDev allowed1.38
Mean total goals/game2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.331
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%44.44%
116.67%5.56%22.22%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%11.11%16.67%
4
5+
Total5.56%44.44%16.67%11.11%11.11%11.11%100%

Skallagrimur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.06
Mean allowed2.22
StdDev scored1.16
StdDev allowed1.77
Mean total goals/game3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.064
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%44.44%
15.56%16.67%11.11%33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
3
4
5+
Total16.67%16.67%27.78%27.78%11.11%100%

Stjarnan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.78
Mean allowed2.17
StdDev scored0.81
StdDev allowed1.62
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.210
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%38.89%
111.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
25.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
35.56%11.11%16.67%
4
5+
Total16.67%33.33%16.67%16.67%5.56%11.11%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.15
StdDev allowed1.71
Mean total goals/game3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.447
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 40 32.1 +7.90
2 Fram Reykjavik 29 21.8 +7.23
3 IF Leiftur 30 27.0 +2.99
4 Skallagrimur 15 14.4 +0.58
5 Valur Reykjavik 21 20.8 +0.16

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stjarnan 7 18.3 -11.33
2 KR Reykjavik 27 32.3 -5.29
3 Keflavik IF 24 25.0 -1.00
4 Grindavik 22 22.3 -0.33
5 IA Akranes 35 35.0 -0.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Keflavik IF 6 May 19 – Jun 18 1 in 179
2 Grindavik 3 Jul 13 – Aug 7 1 in 40
3 Skallagrimur 2 Sep 21 – Sep 27 1 in 16
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Aug 17 – Sep 21 1 in 16
5 Fram Reykjavik 2 May 29 – Jun 3 1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Keflavik IF 4 Aug 7 – Aug 24 1 in 155
2 Skallagrimur 6 May 22 – Jun 29 1 in 23
3 Stjarnan 4 May 22 – Jun 3 1 in 22
4 Valur Reykjavik 4 Jun 3 – Jul 1 1 in 21
5 IA Akranes 2 Jul 13 – Jul 16 1 in 11

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 5 Jun 22 – Jul 16 1 in 24
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 11 Jun 29 – Sep 21 1 in 20
3 Keflavik IF 7 May 19 – Jul 2 1 in 16
4 Skallagrimur 3 Jul 3 – Jul 17 1 in 8
5 Grindavik 4 Jul 6 – Aug 7 1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stjarnan 14 May 19 – Aug 23 1 in 67
2 Keflavik IF 8 Aug 7 – Sep 27 1 in 30
3 Skallagrimur 11 May 22 – Aug 6 1 in 12
4 KR Reykjavik 4 Aug 23 – Sep 21 1 in 9
5 IF Leiftur 3 May 29 – Jun 18 1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
IBV Vestmannaeyjar24.12%26.64%21.29%13.15%7.21%4.05%2.03%1.04%0.43%0.04%
IA Akranes44.56%25.87%15.82%7.72%3.50%1.59%0.61%0.22%0.10%0.01%
IF Leiftur4.42%9.90%15.44%21.98%17.97%12.84%8.56%5.43%2.57%0.89%
Fram Reykjavik0.70%1.79%4.85%9.20%13.93%16.90%17.42%16.22%12.39%6.60%
KR Reykjavik22.67%26.14%22.57%13.78%7.49%4.19%1.92%0.85%0.33%0.06%
Keflavik IF2.11%5.56%10.44%15.82%17.96%16.38%13.63%9.77%6.21%2.12%
Grindavik1.00%2.48%4.97%9.28%13.41%16.60%18.34%16.37%12.03%5.52%
Valur Reykjavik0.34%1.18%3.06%5.99%11.18%14.55%17.80%19.66%16.83%9.41%
Skallagrimur0.02%0.02%0.26%0.54%1.45%3.34%6.22%11.74%22.54%53.87%
Stjarnan0.06%0.42%1.30%2.54%5.90%9.56%13.47%18.70%26.57%21.48%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
IA Akranes 99.9% 0.1%
KR Reykjavik 99.6% 0.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 99.5% 0.5%
IF Leiftur 96.5% 3.5%
Keflavik IF 91.7% 8.3%
Grindavik 82.5% 17.5%
Fram Reykjavik 81.0% 19.0%
Valur Reykjavik 73.8% 26.2%
Stjarnan 51.9% 48.0%
Skallagrimur 23.6% 76.4%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1997-05-19 IA Akranes W 3-1 1467 1598 27.3% 25.1% 47.6% +21.2 3
1997-05-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1598 1467 47.6% 25.1% 27.3% -21.2 0
1997-05-19 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1437 1364 54.2% 23.8% 21.9% +6.9 3
1997-05-19 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1364 1437 21.9% 23.8% 54.2% -6.9 0
1997-05-19 Stjarnan D 0-0 1560 1425 61.3% 21.7% 17.0% -3.1 1
1997-05-19 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1425 1560 17.0% 21.7% 61.3% +3.1 1
1997-05-19 IF Leiftur W 3-0 1306 1460 24.7% 24.6% 50.8% +37.4 3
1997-05-19 @ Skallagrimur L 0-3 1460 1306 50.8% 24.6% 24.7% -37.4 0
1997-05-19 Grindavik D 0-0 1454 1434 47.5% 25.1% 27.4% -1.3 1
1997-05-19 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1434 1454 27.4% 25.1% 47.5% +1.3 1
1997-05-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1357 1488 27.1% 25.1% 47.8% +1.2 1
1997-05-22 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1488 1357 47.8% 25.1% 27.1% -1.2 4
1997-05-22 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1435 1557 28.2% 25.2% 46.6% +1.1 2
1997-05-22 @ Grindavik D 1-1 1557 1435 46.6% 25.2% 28.2% -1.1 2
1997-05-22 IF Leiftur D 0-0 1577 1423 63.3% 20.9% 15.7% -3.3 1
1997-05-22 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1423 1577 15.7% 20.9% 63.3% +3.3 1
1997-05-22 Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1343 1452 29.8% 25.4% 44.8% -17.0 3
1997-05-22 @ Skallagrimur W 2-0 1452 1343 44.8% 25.4% 29.8% +17.0 4
1997-05-22 Keflavik IF L 1-3 1428 1444 42.6% 25.6% 31.8% -19.3 1
1997-05-22 @ Stjarnan W 3-1 1444 1428 31.8% 25.6% 42.6% +19.3 6
1997-05-25 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1573 1358 69.6% 18.2% 12.2% +3.3 4
1997-05-25 @ IA Akranes L 2-3 1358 1573 12.2% 18.2% 69.6% -3.3 1
1997-05-25 Stjarnan W 5-0 1487 1409 54.8% 23.7% 21.5% +29.9 7
1997-05-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-5 1409 1487 21.5% 23.7% 54.8% -29.9 1
1997-05-25 Grindavik W 2-0 1463 1436 48.4% 25.0% 26.6% +15.5 9
1997-05-25 @ Keflavik IF L 0-2 1436 1463 26.6% 25.0% 48.4% -15.5 2
1997-05-25 Skallagrimur W 4-0 1556 1326 71.0% 17.5% 11.5% +12.4 5
1997-05-25 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-4 1326 1556 11.5% 17.5% 71.0% -12.4 3
1997-05-25 IF Leiftur L 0-5 1469 1426 50.4% 24.6% 24.9% -59.9 4
1997-05-25 @ Valur Reykjavik W 5-0 1426 1469 24.9% 24.6% 50.4% +59.9 4
1997-05-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1421 1517 31.4% 25.6% 43.0% -17.7 2
1997-05-29 @ Grindavik W 2-0 1517 1421 43.0% 25.6% 31.4% +17.7 10
1997-05-29 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1486 1355 61.0% 21.8% 17.2% -15.9 4
1997-05-29 @ IF Leiftur W 1-0 1355 1486 17.2% 21.8% 61.0% +15.9 4
1997-05-29 Keflavik IF L 0-1 1314 1479 23.6% 24.3% 52.1% -7.4 3
1997-05-29 @ Skallagrimur W 1-0 1479 1314 52.1% 24.3% 23.6% +7.4 12
1997-05-29 IA Akranes L 0-3 1379 1577 20.6% 23.4% 56.0% -17.8 1
1997-05-29 @ Stjarnan W 3-0 1577 1379 56.0% 23.4% 20.6% +17.8 7
1997-05-29 KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1410 1569 24.2% 24.5% 51.3% +22.5 7
1997-05-29 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1569 1410 51.3% 24.5% 24.2% -22.5 5
1997-06-03 Stjarnan W 1-0 1370 1361 46.0% 25.3% 28.7% +8.7 7
1997-06-03 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1361 1370 28.7% 25.3% 46.0% -8.7 1
1997-06-03 Grindavik W 3-1 1594 1403 67.3% 19.3% 13.5% +6.8 10
1997-06-03 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1403 1594 13.5% 19.3% 67.3% -6.8 2
1997-06-03 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1486 1432 51.8% 24.4% 23.8% +14.0 15
1997-06-03 @ Keflavik IF L 0-2 1432 1486 23.8% 24.4% 51.8% -14.0 7
1997-06-03 IF Leiftur D 0-0 1546 1470 54.5% 23.8% 21.7% -2.2 6
1997-06-03 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1470 1546 21.7% 23.8% 54.5% +2.2 5
1997-06-18 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1396 1379 47.0% 25.2% 27.8% +8.0 5
1997-06-18 @ Grindavik L 1-2 1379 1396 27.8% 25.2% 47.0% -8.0 7
1997-06-18 Stjarnan D 2-2 1473 1353 59.7% 22.3% 18.1% -1.9 6
1997-06-18 @ IF Leiftur D 2-2 1353 1473 18.1% 22.3% 59.7% +1.9 2
1997-06-18 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1544 1500 50.5% 24.6% 24.9% -12.8 6
1997-06-18 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1500 1544 24.9% 24.6% 50.5% +12.8 18
1997-06-18 IA Akranes L 0-1 1307 1601 13.8% 19.6% 66.7% -4.3 3
1997-06-18 @ Skallagrimur W 1-0 1601 1307 66.7% 19.6% 13.8% +4.3 13
1997-06-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-4 1418 1535 28.9% 25.3% 45.8% -31.4 7
1997-06-18 @ Valur Reykjavik W 4-0 1535 1418 45.8% 25.3% 28.9% +31.4 13
1997-06-22 Skallagrimur W 1-0 1371 1302 53.7% 24.0% 22.4% +7.0 10
1997-06-22 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1302 1371 22.4% 24.0% 53.7% -7.0 3
1997-06-22 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1606 1387 69.9% 18.0% 12.0% +3.3 16
1997-06-22 @ IA Akranes L 2-3 1387 1606 12.0% 18.0% 69.9% -3.3 7
1997-06-22 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1566 1531 49.4% 24.8% 25.8% -12.6 13
1997-06-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1531 1566 25.8% 24.8% 49.4% +12.6 9
1997-06-22 Grindavik L 0-1 1354 1404 37.8% 25.8% 36.4% -10.8 2
1997-06-22 @ Stjarnan W 1-0 1404 1354 36.4% 25.8% 37.8% +10.8 8
1997-06-29 Skallagrimur W 3-1 1554 1295 73.6% 16.1% 10.2% +4.9 16
1997-06-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1295 1554 10.2% 16.1% 73.6% -4.9 3
1997-07-01 Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1383 1378 45.5% 25.4% 29.2% -23.5 7
1997-07-01 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1378 1383 29.2% 25.4% 45.5% +23.5 13
1997-07-02 Grindavik W 4-1 1471 1415 52.0% 24.3% 23.6% +17.0 9
1997-07-02 @ IF Leiftur L 1-4 1415 1471 23.6% 24.3% 52.0% -17.1 8
1997-07-02 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1513 1558 38.4% 25.8% 35.8% -0.1 19
1997-07-02 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1558 1513 35.8% 25.8% 38.4% +0.1 17
1997-07-02 IA Akranes W 4-0 1544 1609 35.6% 25.8% 38.6% +39.3 12
1997-07-02 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-4 1609 1544 38.6% 25.8% 35.6% -39.3 16
1997-07-03 Stjarnan D 1-1 1290 1344 37.3% 25.8% 36.9% -0.0 4
1997-07-03 @ Skallagrimur D 1-1 1344 1290 36.9% 25.8% 37.3% +0.0 3
1997-07-06 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1402 1583 22.1% 23.9% 54.1% +1.9 14
1997-07-06 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1583 1402 54.1% 23.9% 22.1% -1.9 13
1997-07-06 Skallagrimur D 1-1 1398 1290 58.2% 22.7% 19.0% -2.4 9
1997-07-06 @ Grindavik D 1-1 1290 1398 19.0% 22.7% 58.2% +2.4 5
1997-07-06 Keflavik IF W 3-0 1569 1513 52.1% 24.3% 23.5% +20.2 19
1997-07-06 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1513 1569 23.5% 24.3% 52.1% -20.2 19
1997-07-07 Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1344 1360 42.5% 25.6% 31.9% -19.3 3
1997-07-07 @ Stjarnan W 3-1 1360 1344 31.9% 25.6% 42.5% +19.3 10
1997-07-13 Keflavik IF W 3-1 1404 1493 32.4% 25.6% 42.0% +19.1 17
1997-07-13 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1493 1404 42.0% 25.6% 32.4% -19.1 19
1997-07-13 Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 1395 1379 46.9% 25.2% 27.9% +13.9 12
1997-07-13 @ Grindavik L 1-3 1379 1395 27.9% 25.2% 46.9% -13.9 10
1997-07-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1590 1559 48.9% 24.9% 26.2% -21.6 19
1997-07-13 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 1559 1590 26.2% 24.9% 48.9% +21.6 20
1997-07-13 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1324 1581 16.1% 21.2% 62.7% -9.6 3
1997-07-13 @ Stjarnan W 2-0 1581 1324 62.7% 21.2% 16.1% +9.6 16
1997-07-16 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1580 1423 63.7% 20.8% 15.5% -3.0 21
1997-07-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1423 1580 15.5% 20.8% 63.7% +3.0 18
1997-07-16 IA Akranes W 1-0 1488 1568 33.5% 25.7% 40.8% +11.5 12
1997-07-16 @ IF Leiftur L 0-1 1568 1488 40.8% 25.7% 33.5% -11.5 19
1997-07-16 Grindavik L 0-1 1591 1409 66.2% 19.8% 14.0% -17.0 16
1997-07-16 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1409 1591 14.0% 19.8% 66.2% +17.0 15
1997-07-17 Stjarnan W 2-1 1474 1315 63.9% 20.7% 15.4% +4.5 22
1997-07-17 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1315 1474 15.4% 20.7% 63.9% -4.6 3
1997-07-17 Skallagrimur D 1-1 1365 1293 54.1% 23.9% 22.0% -1.9 11
1997-07-17 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1293 1365 22.0% 23.9% 54.1% +1.9 6
1997-07-23 Skallagrimur W 1-0 1499 1295 68.5% 18.7% 12.8% +3.9 15
1997-07-23 @ IF Leiftur L 0-1 1295 1499 12.8% 18.7% 68.5% -3.9 6
1997-07-30 IF Leiftur W 3-2 1577 1503 54.3% 23.8% 21.9% +6.2 24
1997-07-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1503 1577 21.9% 23.8% 54.3% -6.2 15
1997-08-06 IA Akranes L 1-2 1426 1557 27.2% 25.1% 47.7% -7.9 18
1997-08-06 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1557 1426 47.7% 25.1% 27.2% +7.9 22
1997-08-06 KR Reykjavik L 2-6 1291 1574 14.5% 20.1% 65.5% -11.4 6
1997-08-06 @ Skallagrimur W 6-2 1574 1291 65.5% 20.1% 14.5% +11.4 19
1997-08-07 Keflavik IF W 2-0 1426 1478 37.5% 25.8% 36.7% +20.0 18
1997-08-07 @ Grindavik L 0-2 1478 1426 36.7% 25.8% 37.5% -19.9 22
1997-08-07 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1497 1363 61.2% 21.8% 17.1% -2.7 16
1997-08-07 @ IF Leiftur D 1-1 1363 1497 17.1% 21.8% 61.2% +2.7 12
1997-08-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1310 1583 15.0% 20.5% 64.5% +3.4 4
1997-08-07 @ Stjarnan D 0-0 1583 1310 64.5% 20.5% 15.0% -3.4 25
1997-08-13 IF Leiftur L 0-1 1458 1494 39.7% 25.8% 34.5% -11.2 22
1997-08-13 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1494 1458 34.5% 25.8% 39.7% +11.2 19
1997-08-17 IF Leiftur D 1-1 1418 1505 32.5% 25.7% 41.8% +0.5 19
1997-08-17 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1505 1418 41.8% 25.7% 32.5% -0.5 20
1997-08-17 Stjarnan W 6-2 1564 1314 72.9% 16.5% 10.6% +7.9 25
1997-08-17 @ IA Akranes L 2-6 1314 1564 10.6% 16.5% 72.9% -7.9 4
1997-08-17 Grindavik W 2-1 1580 1446 61.2% 21.8% 17.1% +5.1 28
1997-08-17 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1446 1580 17.1% 21.8% 61.2% -5.1 18
1997-08-17 Skallagrimur L 2-3 1447 1279 64.8% 20.3% 14.8% -14.9 22
1997-08-17 @ Keflavik IF W 3-2 1279 1447 14.8% 20.3% 64.8% +14.9 9
1997-08-17 Valur Reykjavik W 6-1 1585 1366 70.0% 18.0% 12.0% +13.4 22
1997-08-17 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-6 1366 1585 12.0% 18.0% 70.0% -13.4 12
1997-08-23 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1505 1598 31.8% 25.6% 42.6% +0.6 21
1997-08-23 @ IF Leiftur D 1-1 1598 1505 42.6% 25.6% 31.8% -0.6 23
1997-08-23 Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1306 1418 29.4% 25.4% 45.3% -8.0 4
1997-08-23 @ Stjarnan W 3-2 1418 1306 45.3% 25.4% 29.4% +7.9 22
1997-08-24 IA Akranes L 0-4 1441 1572 27.2% 25.1% 47.7% -29.9 18
1997-08-24 @ Grindavik W 4-0 1572 1441 47.7% 25.1% 27.2% +29.8 28
1997-08-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1294 1585 14.0% 19.7% 66.3% -11.9 9
1997-08-24 @ Skallagrimur W 3-0 1585 1294 66.3% 19.7% 14.0% +11.9 31
1997-08-24 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1353 1432 33.6% 25.7% 40.6% +10.8 15
1997-08-24 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1432 1353 40.6% 25.7% 33.6% -10.8 22
1997-09-01 Skallagrimur W 6-0 1602 1282 78.9% 13.2% 7.9% +11.6 31
1997-09-01 @ IA Akranes L 0-6 1282 1602 7.9% 13.2% 78.9% -11.6 9
1997-09-01 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1421 1598 22.5% 24.0% 53.5% +1.9 23
1997-09-01 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1598 1421 53.5% 24.0% 22.5% -1.9 24
1997-09-01 IF Leiftur W 2-0 1298 1506 19.7% 23.0% 57.2% +28.4 7
1997-09-01 @ Stjarnan L 0-2 1506 1298 57.2% 23.0% 19.7% -28.4 21
1997-09-02 Grindavik D 2-2 1426 1411 46.8% 25.2% 28.0% -0.8 23
1997-09-02 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1411 1426 28.0% 25.2% 46.8% +0.8 19
1997-09-03 Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1597 1363 71.3% 17.3% 11.3% +9.3 34
1997-09-03 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1363 1597 11.3% 17.3% 71.3% -9.4 15
1997-09-13 Stjarnan W 2-1 1412 1326 55.7% 23.5% 20.8% +6.2 22
1997-09-13 @ Grindavik L 1-2 1326 1412 20.8% 23.5% 55.7% -6.2 7
1997-09-13 Keflavik IF W 3-0 1477 1423 51.8% 24.4% 23.8% +20.4 24
1997-09-13 @ IF Leiftur L 0-3 1423 1477 23.8% 24.4% 51.8% -20.4 23
1997-09-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1596 1606 43.3% 25.6% 31.1% -10.7 24
1997-09-13 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1606 1596 31.1% 25.6% 43.3% +10.7 37
1997-09-13 Fram Reykjavik L 2-4 1271 1426 24.6% 24.6% 50.8% -11.2 9
1997-09-13 @ Skallagrimur W 4-2 1426 1271 50.8% 24.6% 24.6% +11.2 26
1997-09-13 IA Akranes W 2-1 1354 1614 15.9% 21.1% 63.0% +15.4 18
1997-09-13 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1614 1354 63.0% 21.1% 15.9% -15.4 31
1997-09-21 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1437 1369 53.5% 24.0% 22.5% +13.3 29
1997-09-21 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1369 1437 22.5% 24.0% 53.5% -13.3 18
1997-09-21 IF Leiftur L 1-2 1418 1497 33.7% 25.7% 40.6% -9.3 22
1997-09-21 @ Grindavik W 2-1 1497 1418 40.6% 25.7% 33.7% +9.3 27
1997-09-21 KR Reykjavik W 4-2 1598 1585 46.6% 25.2% 28.2% +12.6 34
1997-09-21 @ IA Akranes L 2-4 1585 1598 28.2% 25.2% 46.6% -12.6 24
1997-09-21 Keflavik IF W 5-1 1617 1403 69.5% 18.2% 12.3% +11.2 40
1997-09-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-5 1403 1617 12.3% 18.2% 69.5% -11.2 23
1997-09-21 Skallagrimur L 1-2 1320 1259 52.6% 24.2% 23.2% -13.3 7
1997-09-21 @ Stjarnan W 2-1 1259 1320 23.2% 24.2% 52.6% +13.3 12
1997-09-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1507 1628 28.3% 25.2% 46.4% +20.7 30
1997-09-27 @ IF Leiftur L 1-3 1628 1507 46.4% 25.2% 28.3% -20.7 40
1997-09-27 IA Akranes D 1-1 1392 1611 18.8% 22.6% 58.6% +2.4 24
1997-09-27 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1611 1392 58.6% 22.6% 18.8% -2.4 35
1997-09-27 Fram Reykjavik W 4-2 1573 1450 59.9% 22.2% 17.9% +8.3 27
1997-09-27 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-4 1450 1573 17.9% 22.2% 59.9% -8.3 29
1997-09-27 Grindavik W 3-2 1273 1409 26.6% 25.0% 48.4% +11.7 15
1997-09-27 @ Skallagrimur L 2-3 1409 1273 48.4% 25.0% 26.6% -11.7 22
1997-09-27 Stjarnan W 3-0 1356 1307 51.2% 24.5% 24.3% +20.7 21
1997-09-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1307 1356 24.3% 24.5% 51.2% -20.7 7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1997-07-16 14.04% Grindavik 1409 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1591 0
2 1997-08-17 14.84% Skallagrimur 1279 3 @ Keflavik IF 1447 2
3 1997-09-13 15.91% @ Valur Reykjavik 1354 2 IA Akranes 1614 1
4 1997-05-29 17.21% Fram Reykjavik 1355 1 @ IF Leiftur 1486 0
5 1997-09-01 19.73% @ Stjarnan 1298 2 IF Leiftur 1506 0
6 1997-09-21 23.16% Skallagrimur 1259 2 @ Stjarnan 1320 1
7 1997-05-29 24.21% @ Valur Reykjavik 1410 3 KR Reykjavik 1569 1
8 1997-05-19 24.66% @ Skallagrimur 1306 3 IF Leiftur 1460 0
9 1997-06-18 24.86% Keflavik IF 1500 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1544 1
10 1997-05-25 24.93% IF Leiftur 1426 5 @ Valur Reykjavik 1469 0
11 1997-06-22 25.77% KR Reykjavik 1531 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1566 1
12 1997-07-13 26.21% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1559 3 @ IA Akranes 1590 1
13 1997-09-27 26.63% @ Skallagrimur 1273 3 Grindavik 1409 2
14 1997-05-19 27.27% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1467 3 IA Akranes 1598 1
15 1997-09-27 28.33% @ IF Leiftur 1507 3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1628 1
16 1997-07-01 29.19% Fram Reykjavik 1378 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1383 0
17 1997-09-13 31.12% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1606 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1596 2
18 1997-05-22 31.79% Keflavik IF 1444 3 @ Stjarnan 1428 1
19 1997-07-07 31.86% Valur Reykjavik 1360 3 @ Stjarnan 1344 1
20 1997-07-13 32.35% @ Fram Reykjavik 1404 3 Keflavik IF 1493 1
21 1997-07-16 33.51% @ IF Leiftur 1488 1 IA Akranes 1568 0
22 1997-08-24 33.64% @ Valur Reykjavik 1353 2 Keflavik IF 1432 1
23 1997-08-13 34.52% IF Leiftur 1494 1 @ Keflavik IF 1458 0
24 1997-07-02 35.59% @ KR Reykjavik 1544 4 IA Akranes 1609 0
25 1997-06-22 36.41% Grindavik 1404 1 @ Stjarnan 1354 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-05-25 59.87 IF Leiftur 5 1426 24.93% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1469 50.43%
2 1997-07-02 39.32 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1544 35.59% IA Akranes 0 1609 38.64%
3 1997-05-19 37.38 @ Skallagrimur 3 1306 24.66% IF Leiftur 0 1460 50.76%
4 1997-06-18 31.39 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1535 45.81% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1418 28.88%
5 1997-05-25 29.88 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1487 54.80% Stjarnan 0 1409 21.50%
6 1997-08-24 29.86 IA Akranes 4 1572 47.74% @ Grindavik 0 1441 27.19%
7 1997-09-01 28.44 @ Stjarnan 2 1298 19.73% IF Leiftur 0 1506 57.24%
8 1997-07-01 23.53 Fram Reykjavik 2 1378 29.19% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1383 45.46%
9 1997-05-29 22.49 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1410 24.21% KR Reykjavik 1 1569 51.32%
10 1997-07-13 21.61 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1559 26.21% @ IA Akranes 1 1590 48.89%
11 1997-05-19 21.16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1467 27.27% IA Akranes 1 1598 47.65%
12 1997-09-27 20.73 @ IF Leiftur 3 1507 28.33% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1628 46.43%
13 1997-09-27 20.72 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1356 51.25% Stjarnan 0 1307 24.27%
14 1997-09-13 20.37 @ IF Leiftur 3 1477 51.83% Keflavik IF 0 1423 23.80%
15 1997-07-06 20.17 @ IA Akranes 3 1569 52.15% Keflavik IF 0 1513 23.54%
16 1997-08-07 19.95 @ Grindavik 2 1426 37.49% Keflavik IF 0 1478 36.72%
17 1997-05-22 19.35 Keflavik IF 3 1444 31.79% @ Stjarnan 1 1428 42.61%
18 1997-07-07 19.32 Valur Reykjavik 3 1360 31.86% @ Stjarnan 1 1344 42.53%
19 1997-07-13 19.13 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1404 32.35% Keflavik IF 1 1493 42.01%
20 1997-05-29 17.81 IA Akranes 3 1577 56.04% @ Stjarnan 0 1379 20.59%
21 1997-05-29 17.68 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1517 43.05% @ Grindavik 0 1421 31.38%
22 1997-07-02 17.06 @ IF Leiftur 4 1471 52.05% Grindavik 1 1415 23.62%
23 1997-05-22 16.97 Valur Reykjavik 2 1452 44.78% @ Skallagrimur 0 1343 29.80%
24 1997-07-16 16.96 Grindavik 1 1409 14.04% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1591 66.21%
25 1997-05-29 15.88 Fram Reykjavik 1 1355 17.21% @ IF Leiftur 0 1486 60.96%