1998 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Throttur Reykjavik

6.08 points above expected

18 points · 11.92 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fram Reykjavik

5.09 points below expected

20 points · 25.09 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 12 2 4 38 40 15 +25 34.7 +3.31
2 KR Reykjavik 18 9 6 3 33 25 9 +16 33.9 -0.93
3 IA Akranes 18 8 6 4 30 27 22 +5 33.5 -3.49
4 Keflavik IF 18 8 4 6 28 19 23 -4 22.5 +5.51
5 IF Leiftur 18 7 4 7 25 21 21 0 28.6 -3.56
6 Fram Reykjavik 18 5 5 8 20 21 23 -2 25.1 -5.09
7 Grindavik 18 5 4 9 19 24 34 -10 22.4 -3.42
8 Valur Reykjavik 18 4 6 8 18 25 33 -8 21.7 -3.68
9 Throttur Reykjavik 18 4 6 8 18 27 39 -12 11.9 +6.08
10 IR Reykjavik 18 4 5 9 17 20 30 -10 15.1 +1.87

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1648 38 34.69 +3.31 76.6% 17 26 31 35 38 43 52
KR Reykjavik 1619 33 33.93 -0.93 46.7% 14 25 30 34 37 42 50
IA Akranes 1577 30 33.49 -3.49 27.8% 14 25 30 34 37 42 52
IF Leiftur 1510 25 28.56 -3.56 28.0% 8 20 25 29 32 37 52
Fram Reykjavik 1481 20 25.09 -5.09 18.9% 7 17 22 25 29 34 44
Keflavik IF 1437 28 22.49 +5.51 88.3% 6 14 19 22 26 31 43
Valur Reykjavik 1413 18 21.68 -3.68 27.8% 7 13 18 22 25 30 42
Grindavik 1404 19 22.42 -3.42 29.0% 4 14 19 22 26 31 43
IR Reykjavik 1326 17 15.13 +1.87 70.4% 1 8 12 15 18 23 35
Throttur Reykjavik 1252 18 11.92 +6.08 92.1% 0 5 9 12 15 20 29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR GRI IA IV IL IR KR KI TR VR
Fram Reykjavik
0-1-1
3.23
1-1-0
1.80
0-0-2
1.69
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
3.81
0-0-2
1.90
0-0-2
3.10
1-1-0
4.16
2-0-0
3.09
Grindavik
1-1-0
2.21
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
1.36
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
3.74
0-1-1
1.65
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.96
0-1-1
2.86
IA Akranes
0-1-1
3.72
2-0-0
3.71
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.13
1-1-0
4.63
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
4.02
1-1-0
4.97
0-1-1
4.04
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2-0-0
3.83
1-0-1
4.23
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
3.60
1-0-1
4.74
2-0-0
2.72
2-0-0
3.92
1-1-0
4.89
1-1-0
4.06
IF Leiftur
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
3.45
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
1.89
1-1-0
4.24
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
4.60
1-0-1
3.54
IR Reykjavik
0-1-1
1.73
1-1-0
1.78
0-1-1
1.06
1-0-1
0.97
0-1-1
1.36
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
3.35
2-0-0
1.96
KR Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.60
1-1-0
3.88
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.73
1-1-0
3.28
2-0-0
4.69
0-1-1
4.01
1-1-0
5.05
1-1-0
3.88
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
1.53
0-0-2
1.64
1-1-0
2.24
2-0-0
3.58
1-1-0
1.54
0-0-2
4.17
1-1-0
2.62
Throttur Reykjavik
0-1-1
1.42
1-0-1
1.62
0-1-1
0.80
0-1-1
0.86
0-0-2
1.08
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-1
0.74
2-0-0
1.42
0-1-1
1.79
Valur Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
1.51
0-1-1
1.51
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
3.55
0-1-1
1.65
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.76

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%8.89%5.56%5.56%2.22%31.11%
18.89%11.11%3.89%3.89%0.56%2.22%30.56%
25.56%3.89%4.44%1.67%2.22%17.78%
35.56%3.89%1.67%2.22%13.33%
42.22%0.56%2.22%5.00%
5+2.22%2.22%
Total31.11%30.56%17.78%13.33%5.00%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.38
Mean allowed1.38
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game2.77
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.099
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%27.78%55.56%
15.56%5.56%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+
Total33.33%22.22%33.33%5.56%5.56%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed1.18
Mean total goals/game2.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.039
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%16.67%5.56%44.44%
15.56%11.11%16.67%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total11.11%33.33%22.22%22.22%11.11%100%

Grindavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed1.89
StdDev scored1.68
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.180
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
116.67%27.78%5.56%50.00%
211.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
311.11%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total33.33%38.89%11.11%5.56%11.11%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.04
StdDev allowed1.31
Mean total goals/game2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.388
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%22.22%
15.56%5.56%
227.78%27.78%
311.11%11.11%5.56%27.78%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total50.00%38.89%5.56%5.56%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.22
Mean allowed0.83
StdDev scored1.63
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.093
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%22.22%5.56%5.56%44.44%
15.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total22.22%55.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%100%

IF Leiftur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored1.42
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.059
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%11.11%33.33%
15.56%16.67%11.11%5.56%5.56%44.44%
25.56%5.56%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total11.11%38.89%27.78%16.67%5.56%100%

IR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.08
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.076
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
111.11%16.67%5.56%33.33%
216.67%16.67%
316.67%16.67%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total66.67%22.22%5.56%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed0.50
StdDev scored1.24
StdDev allowed0.86
Mean total goals/game1.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.359
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
127.78%11.11%5.56%5.56%50.00%
25.56%5.56%11.11%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total38.89%27.78%16.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.06
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.138
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%22.22%
111.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%38.89%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
35.56%11.11%16.67%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total16.67%16.67%22.22%33.33%5.56%5.56%100%

Throttur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed2.17
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.54
Mean total goals/game3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.071
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
15.56%5.56%11.11%11.11%5.56%38.89%
25.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%11.11%27.78%27.78%5.56%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.58
Mean total goals/game3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.070
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Throttur Reykjavik 18 11.9 +6.08
2 Keflavik IF 28 22.5 +5.51
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 38 34.7 +3.31
4 IR Reykjavik 17 15.1 +1.87
5 KR Reykjavik 33 33.9 -0.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 20 25.1 -5.09
2 Valur Reykjavik 18 21.7 -3.68
3 IF Leiftur 25 28.6 -3.56
4 IA Akranes 30 33.5 -3.49
5 Grindavik 19 22.4 -3.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 7 Jul 20 – Sep 12 1 in 39
2 Valur Reykjavik 2 Jul 29 – Aug 8 1 in 13
3 Throttur Reykjavik 1 Jun 1 – Jun 1 1 in 9
4 Keflavik IF 2 Jun 2 – Jun 9 1 in 8
5 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jun 24 – Jul 5 1 in 8

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 4 Jun 2 – Jun 24 1 in 58
2 IA Akranes 2 Aug 8 – Aug 16 1 in 34
3 KR Reykjavik 2 Sep 20 – Sep 26 1 in 19
4 Throttur Reykjavik 6 Jul 18 – Sep 2 1 in 18
5 Keflavik IF 2 Jul 9 – Jul 18 1 in 15

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Throttur Reykjavik 4 May 18 – Jun 1 1 in 116
2 IR Reykjavik 4 Sep 1 – Sep 26 1 in 27
3 Keflavik IF 5 Aug 16 – Sep 20 1 in 24
4 Valur Reykjavik 4 Jul 29 – Aug 22 1 in 12
5 KR Reykjavik 8 May 19 – Jul 5 1 in 9

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 8 May 19 – Jul 5 1 in 39
2 KR Reykjavik 4 Jun 14 – Jul 9 1 in 34
3 IA Akranes 4 May 19 – Jun 1 1 in 19
4 Fram Reykjavik 6 May 19 – Jun 13 1 in 11
5 Grindavik 6 Jun 24 – Aug 9 1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
IBV Vestmannaeyjar37.89%26.57%17.65%9.81%4.66%2.16%0.96%0.25%0.05%
KR Reykjavik29.19%27.49%21.15%12.27%5.95%2.41%0.98%0.40%0.15%0.01%
IA Akranes24.35%26.35%23.58%13.34%7.29%3.00%1.46%0.52%0.09%0.02%
Keflavik IF0.58%1.69%3.93%8.67%15.12%19.40%21.06%18.60%8.75%2.20%
IF Leiftur5.55%11.01%17.76%24.23%17.58%11.93%7.35%3.50%0.91%0.18%
Fram Reykjavik1.63%4.19%8.64%15.57%21.52%19.25%14.19%10.16%3.85%1.00%
Grindavik0.46%1.54%3.96%8.40%13.57%19.00%21.13%19.45%9.63%2.86%
Valur Reykjavik0.34%1.12%3.13%6.95%12.12%17.32%21.67%21.85%11.76%3.74%
Throttur Reykjavik0.02%0.10%0.51%1.09%3.08%7.89%24.84%62.47%
IR Reykjavik0.01%0.04%0.18%0.66%1.68%4.44%8.12%17.38%39.97%27.52%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 100% 0.1%
IA Akranes 99.9% 0.1%
KR Reykjavik 99.8% 0.2%
IF Leiftur 98.9% 1.1%
Fram Reykjavik 95.2% 4.9%
Keflavik IF 89.0% 10.9%
Grindavik 87.5% 12.5%
Valur Reykjavik 84.5% 15.5%
IR Reykjavik 32.5% 67.5%
Throttur Reykjavik 12.7% 87.3%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1998-05-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 3-3 1230 1590 12.1% 15.6% 72.4% +1.8 1
1998-05-18 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 3-3 1590 1230 72.4% 15.6% 12.1% -1.8 1
1998-05-19 IR Reykjavik D 1-1 1451 1323 62.8% 21.1% 16.1% -2.3 1
1998-05-19 @ Grindavik D 1-1 1323 1451 16.1% 21.1% 62.8% +2.3 1
1998-05-19 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1591 1448 64.7% 20.1% 15.2% -2.4 1
1998-05-19 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 1448 1591 15.2% 20.1% 64.7% +2.4 1
1998-05-19 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1539 1480 54.1% 25.2% 20.8% +10.0 3
1998-05-19 @ IF Leiftur L 0-2 1480 1539 20.8% 25.2% 54.1% -10.0 0
1998-05-19 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1580 1436 64.8% 20.0% 15.2% -2.7 1
1998-05-19 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1436 1580 15.2% 20.0% 64.8% +2.7 1
1998-05-23 IF Leiftur W 3-1 1449 1549 32.1% 28.7% 39.2% +14.7 4
1998-05-23 @ Grindavik L 1-3 1549 1449 39.2% 28.7% 32.1% -14.7 3
1998-05-23 IA Akranes W 3-1 1588 1588 46.2% 27.7% 26.2% +10.8 4
1998-05-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1588 1588 26.2% 27.7% 46.2% -10.8 1
1998-05-23 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1325 1450 29.1% 28.3% 42.6% -6.8 1
1998-05-23 @ IR Reykjavik W 2-1 1450 1325 42.6% 28.3% 29.1% +6.8 4
1998-05-23 Throttur Reykjavik D 3-3 1438 1232 72.1% 15.7% 12.2% -1.8 2
1998-05-23 @ Valur Reykjavik D 3-3 1232 1438 12.2% 15.7% 72.1% +1.8 2
1998-05-24 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1470 1577 31.3% 28.6% 40.1% -14.4 0
1998-05-24 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1577 1470 40.1% 28.6% 31.3% +14.4 4
1998-05-27 Grindavik D 1-1 1591 1463 62.9% 21.0% 16.1% -2.3 5
1998-05-27 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1463 1591 16.1% 21.0% 62.9% +2.3 5
1998-05-28 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1577 1437 64.5% 20.2% 15.4% -2.4 2
1998-05-28 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 1437 1577 15.4% 20.2% 64.5% +2.4 3
1998-05-28 IR Reykjavik W 1-0 1534 1319 73.1% 15.1% 11.8% +2.6 6
1998-05-28 @ IF Leiftur L 0-1 1319 1534 11.8% 15.1% 73.1% -2.6 1
1998-05-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1457 1599 27.1% 27.9% 45.0% -18.6 4
1998-05-28 @ Keflavik IF W 3-0 1599 1457 45.0% 27.9% 27.1% +18.6 7
1998-05-28 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1234 1456 19.8% 24.5% 55.8% +1.9 3
1998-05-28 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 0-0 1456 1234 55.8% 24.5% 19.8% -1.9 1
1998-06-01 IA Akranes D 1-1 1454 1575 29.5% 28.4% 42.1% +0.6 2
1998-06-01 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1575 1454 42.1% 28.4% 29.5% -0.6 3
1998-06-01 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-1 1465 1236 74.7% 14.2% 11.2% -14.3 5
1998-06-01 @ Grindavik W 1-0 1236 1465 11.2% 14.2% 74.7% +14.3 6
1998-06-01 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1537 1589 38.9% 28.7% 32.4% -0.3 7
1998-06-01 @ IF Leiftur D 0-0 1589 1537 32.4% 28.7% 38.9% +0.3 6
1998-06-01 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1316 1617 14.8% 19.5% 65.6% +13.2 4
1998-06-01 @ IR Reykjavik L 0-1 1617 1316 65.6% 19.5% 14.8% -13.2 7
1998-06-02 Keflavik IF L 0-1 1439 1438 46.3% 27.6% 26.1% -10.2 3
1998-06-02 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1438 1439 26.1% 27.6% 46.3% +10.2 7
1998-06-08 IF Leiftur L 1-2 1250 1537 15.6% 20.5% 63.8% -3.6 6
1998-06-08 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 1537 1250 63.8% 20.5% 15.6% +3.6 10
1998-06-09 Grindavik W 3-0 1574 1451 62.3% 21.3% 16.4% +11.1 6
1998-06-09 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1451 1574 16.4% 21.3% 62.3% -11.1 5
1998-06-09 Valur Reykjavik W 6-1 1604 1429 68.5% 17.8% 13.6% +11.7 10
1998-06-09 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-6 1429 1604 13.6% 17.8% 68.5% -11.7 3
1998-06-09 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1448 1455 45.4% 27.8% 26.8% +6.7 10
1998-06-09 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1455 1448 26.8% 27.8% 45.4% -6.7 2
1998-06-09 IR Reykjavik W 3-0 1590 1329 77.9% 12.2% 10.0% +5.8 9
1998-06-09 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1329 1590 10.0% 12.2% 77.9% -5.8 4
1998-06-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1448 1616 24.4% 27.0% 48.5% -11.7 2
1998-06-13 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1616 1448 48.5% 27.0% 24.4% +11.7 13
1998-06-14 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1440 1455 44.1% 28.1% 27.8% +6.5 8
1998-06-14 @ Grindavik L 1-2 1455 1440 27.8% 28.1% 44.1% -6.5 10
1998-06-14 IA Akranes L 0-4 1540 1585 39.9% 28.7% 31.5% -32.5 10
1998-06-14 @ IF Leiftur W 4-0 1585 1540 31.5% 28.7% 39.9% +32.5 9
1998-06-14 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1323 1417 33.0% 28.8% 38.2% +7.9 7
1998-06-14 @ IR Reykjavik L 2-3 1417 1323 38.2% 28.8% 33.0% -7.9 3
1998-06-14 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-1 1595 1247 85.8% 7.3% 6.9% -3.6 10
1998-06-14 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1247 1595 6.9% 7.3% 85.8% +3.6 7
1998-06-24 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1618 1592 49.8% 26.7% 23.5% -1.2 10
1998-06-24 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 1592 1618 23.5% 26.7% 49.8% +1.2 11
1998-06-24 Grindavik W 2-0 1627 1447 69.2% 17.5% 13.3% +5.9 16
1998-06-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1447 1627 13.3% 17.5% 69.2% -5.9 8
1998-06-24 IF Leiftur W 1-0 1449 1508 37.9% 28.8% 33.3% +8.0 13
1998-06-24 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1508 1449 33.3% 28.8% 37.9% -8.0 10
1998-06-24 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1409 1436 42.5% 28.4% 29.2% -9.0 3
1998-06-24 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1436 1409 29.2% 28.4% 42.5% +9.0 5
1998-06-25 IR Reykjavik W 3-1 1250 1331 34.8% 28.9% 36.4% +13.9 10
1998-06-25 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-3 1331 1250 36.4% 28.9% 34.8% -13.9 7
1998-06-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1617 1633 43.9% 28.1% 28.0% +7.0 13
1998-06-28 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1633 1617 28.0% 28.1% 43.9% -7.0 16
1998-07-05 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1441 1400 51.7% 26.1% 22.2% -1.0 9
1998-07-05 @ Grindavik D 2-2 1400 1441 22.2% 26.1% 51.7% +1.0 4
1998-07-05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-1 1500 1626 28.8% 28.3% 42.9% +28.6 13
1998-07-05 @ IF Leiftur L 1-5 1626 1500 42.9% 28.3% 28.8% -28.6 16
1998-07-05 Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1317 1445 28.7% 28.3% 43.1% -19.5 7
1998-07-05 @ IR Reykjavik W 3-0 1445 1317 43.1% 28.3% 28.7% +19.5 8
1998-07-05 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1593 1457 63.9% 20.5% 15.6% -2.6 12
1998-07-05 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1457 1593 15.6% 20.5% 63.9% +2.6 14
1998-07-06 IA Akranes L 1-2 1264 1624 12.0% 15.5% 72.4% -2.6 10
1998-07-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 1624 1264 72.4% 15.5% 12.0% +2.6 16
1998-07-09 IR Reykjavik W 2-1 1626 1298 84.2% 8.3% 7.6% +1.4 19
1998-07-09 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 1298 1626 7.6% 8.3% 84.2% -1.4 7
1998-07-09 KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1598 1590 47.2% 27.4% 25.4% +10.5 19
1998-07-09 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1590 1598 25.4% 27.4% 47.2% -10.5 12
1998-07-09 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-5 1459 1262 71.1% 16.3% 12.6% -41.3 14
1998-07-09 @ Keflavik IF W 5-1 1262 1459 12.6% 16.3% 71.1% +41.3 13
1998-07-09 IF Leiftur W 1-0 1401 1528 28.8% 28.3% 42.9% +9.6 7
1998-07-09 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1528 1401 42.9% 28.3% 28.8% -9.6 13
1998-07-10 Grindavik D 0-0 1465 1440 49.6% 26.7% 23.6% -1.4 9
1998-07-10 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1440 1465 23.6% 26.7% 49.6% +1.4 10
1998-07-18 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-0 1608 1303 82.2% 9.5% 8.3% +4.6 22
1998-07-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1303 1608 8.3% 9.5% 82.2% -4.6 13
1998-07-18 IA Akranes L 0-1 1418 1628 20.7% 25.1% 54.2% -5.3 14
1998-07-18 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1628 1418 54.2% 25.1% 20.7% +5.3 22
1998-07-19 IF Leiftur D 0-0 1463 1519 38.4% 28.8% 32.8% -0.3 10
1998-07-19 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1519 1463 32.8% 28.8% 38.4% +0.3 14
1998-07-19 Grindavik W 4-2 1296 1441 26.8% 27.8% 45.4% +14.6 10
1998-07-19 @ IR Reykjavik L 2-4 1441 1296 45.4% 27.8% 26.8% -14.6 10
1998-07-20 KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1411 1580 24.3% 27.0% 48.7% -16.9 7
1998-07-20 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1580 1411 48.7% 27.0% 24.3% +16.9 15
1998-07-29 Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1298 1394 32.7% 28.8% 38.5% -21.6 13
1998-07-29 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-0 1394 1298 38.5% 28.8% 32.7% +21.6 10
1998-07-30 Grindavik W 3-2 1519 1426 58.5% 23.3% 18.3% +4.1 17
1998-07-30 @ IF Leiftur L 2-3 1426 1519 18.3% 23.3% 58.5% -4.1 10
1998-07-30 IR Reykjavik W 1-0 1413 1311 59.6% 22.7% 17.7% +4.4 17
1998-07-30 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1311 1413 17.7% 22.7% 59.6% -4.5 10
1998-07-30 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1597 1463 63.6% 20.7% 15.8% +7.3 18
1998-07-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1463 1597 15.8% 20.7% 63.6% -7.3 10
1998-08-08 Keflavik IF W 4-0 1613 1417 70.9% 16.4% 12.6% +10.4 25
1998-08-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-4 1417 1613 12.6% 16.4% 70.9% -10.4 17
1998-08-08 IA Akranes W 4-2 1416 1633 20.1% 24.7% 55.2% +17.0 13
1998-08-08 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 1633 1416 55.2% 24.7% 20.1% -17.0 22
1998-08-09 KR Reykjavik L 0-4 1422 1604 23.1% 26.5% 50.4% -21.1 10
1998-08-09 @ Grindavik W 4-0 1604 1422 50.4% 26.5% 23.1% +21.0 21
1998-08-09 IF Leiftur D 1-1 1307 1523 20.2% 24.8% 55.0% +1.7 11
1998-08-09 @ IR Reykjavik D 1-1 1523 1307 55.0% 24.8% 20.2% -1.7 18
1998-08-10 Throttur Reykjavik W 4-2 1456 1277 69.0% 17.6% 13.4% +4.6 13
1998-08-10 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-4 1277 1456 13.4% 17.6% 69.0% -4.6 13
1998-08-15 IF Leiftur W 1-0 1625 1521 59.9% 22.6% 17.5% +4.4 24
1998-08-15 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1521 1625 17.5% 22.6% 59.9% -4.4 18
1998-08-16 Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 1616 1460 66.2% 19.2% 14.6% -47.4 22
1998-08-16 @ IA Akranes W 4-0 1460 1616 14.6% 19.2% 66.2% +47.4 16
1998-08-16 IR Reykjavik W 4-1 1623 1308 83.0% 9.0% 8.0% +3.7 28
1998-08-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 1308 1623 8.0% 9.0% 83.0% -3.7 11
1998-08-16 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1407 1433 42.6% 28.3% 29.0% -0.5 18
1998-08-16 @ Keflavik IF D 2-2 1433 1407 29.0% 28.3% 42.6% +0.5 14
1998-08-16 Grindavik L 1-6 1272 1401 28.5% 28.2% 43.2% -25.9 13
1998-08-16 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 6-1 1401 1272 43.2% 28.2% 28.5% +25.9 13
1998-08-22 IA Akranes L 0-3 1427 1569 27.1% 27.9% 45.0% -18.6 13
1998-08-22 @ Grindavik W 3-0 1569 1427 45.0% 27.9% 27.1% +18.6 25
1998-08-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1433 1627 22.0% 25.9% 52.1% +1.6 15
1998-08-22 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1627 1433 52.1% 25.9% 22.0% -1.6 29
1998-08-23 Keflavik IF L 2-3 1508 1406 59.6% 22.7% 17.7% -11.0 16
1998-08-23 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1406 1508 17.7% 22.7% 59.6% +11.0 21
1998-08-23 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-1 1517 1246 78.9% 11.5% 9.6% +3.3 21
1998-08-23 @ IF Leiftur L 1-3 1246 1517 9.6% 11.5% 78.9% -3.3 13
1998-08-23 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1305 1629 13.7% 17.9% 68.4% -3.2 11
1998-08-23 @ IR Reykjavik W 1-0 1629 1305 68.4% 17.9% 13.7% +3.2 27
1998-09-01 IF Leiftur W 1-0 1587 1520 55.2% 24.7% 20.1% +5.1 28
1998-09-01 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1520 1587 20.1% 24.7% 55.2% -5.1 21
1998-09-01 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1625 1497 62.9% 21.0% 16.1% +7.5 32
1998-09-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1497 1625 16.1% 21.0% 62.9% -7.5 16
1998-09-01 Grindavik W 3-0 1417 1409 47.4% 27.4% 25.2% +17.5 24
1998-09-01 @ Keflavik IF L 0-3 1409 1417 25.2% 27.4% 47.4% -17.5 13
1998-09-01 IR Reykjavik L 1-3 1435 1301 63.5% 20.7% 15.8% -21.0 15
1998-09-01 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 1301 1435 15.8% 20.7% 63.5% +21.0 14
1998-09-02 KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1243 1633 10.8% 13.5% 75.7% -6.5 13
1998-09-02 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-0 1633 1243 75.7% 13.5% 10.8% +6.5 30
1998-09-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1391 1633 18.4% 23.4% 58.3% +12.1 16
1998-09-12 @ Grindavik L 0-1 1633 1391 58.3% 23.4% 18.4% -12.1 32
1998-09-12 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1515 1435 56.9% 24.0% 19.1% -1.8 22
1998-09-12 @ IF Leiftur D 1-1 1435 1515 19.1% 24.0% 56.9% +1.8 25
1998-09-12 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-2 1322 1236 57.6% 23.6% 18.7% -1.4 15
1998-09-12 @ IR Reykjavik D 2-2 1236 1322 18.7% 23.6% 57.6% +1.4 14
1998-09-12 IA Akranes W 2-0 1639 1592 52.5% 25.8% 21.7% +10.5 33
1998-09-12 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1592 1639 21.7% 25.8% 52.5% -10.5 28
1998-09-13 Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 1489 1414 56.3% 24.2% 19.4% +8.1 19
1998-09-13 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1414 1489 19.4% 24.2% 56.3% -8.1 15
1998-09-20 IR Reykjavik D 0-0 1497 1321 68.7% 17.8% 13.5% -3.0 20
1998-09-20 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1321 1497 13.5% 17.8% 68.7% +3.0 16
1998-09-20 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-2 1582 1238 85.4% 7.5% 7.1% -2.7 29
1998-09-20 @ IA Akranes D 2-2 1238 1582 7.1% 7.5% 85.4% +2.7 15
1998-09-20 IF Leiftur W 2-0 1621 1513 60.3% 22.4% 17.3% +8.2 35
1998-09-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1513 1621 17.3% 22.4% 60.3% -8.2 22
1998-09-20 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1437 1650 20.4% 25.0% 54.6% +11.5 28
1998-09-20 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1650 1437 54.6% 25.0% 20.4% -11.5 33
1998-09-20 Grindavik W 2-0 1406 1403 46.6% 27.6% 25.9% +12.3 18
1998-09-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1403 1406 25.9% 27.6% 46.6% -12.3 16
1998-09-26 Fram Reykjavik W 4-2 1391 1494 31.7% 28.7% 39.6% +13.2 19
1998-09-26 @ Grindavik L 2-4 1494 1391 39.6% 28.7% 31.7% -13.2 20
1998-09-26 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1505 1418 57.8% 23.6% 18.6% +4.5 25
1998-09-26 @ IF Leiftur L 1-2 1418 1505 18.6% 23.6% 57.8% -4.4 18
1998-09-26 IA Akranes D 1-1 1324 1579 17.5% 22.5% 60.0% +2.1 17
1998-09-26 @ IR Reykjavik D 1-1 1579 1324 60.0% 22.5% 17.5% -2.0 30
1998-09-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1638 1629 47.5% 27.3% 25.2% -19.5 33
1998-09-26 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1629 1638 25.2% 27.3% 47.5% +19.5 38
1998-09-26 Keflavik IF W 1-0 1241 1448 20.9% 25.2% 53.9% +11.4 18
1998-09-26 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-1 1448 1241 53.9% 25.2% 20.9% -11.4 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1998-06-01 11.18% Throttur Reykjavik 1236 1 @ Grindavik 1465 0
2 1998-07-09 12.55% Throttur Reykjavik 1262 5 @ Keflavik IF 1459 1
3 1998-08-16 14.58% Fram Reykjavik 1460 4 @ IA Akranes 1616 0
4 1998-06-01 14.85% @ IR Reykjavik 1316 1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1617 0
5 1998-09-01 15.78% IR Reykjavik 1301 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1435 1
6 1998-08-23 17.68% Keflavik IF 1406 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1508 2
7 1998-09-12 18.37% @ Grindavik 1391 1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1633 0
8 1998-08-08 20.11% @ Valur Reykjavik 1416 4 IA Akranes 1633 2
9 1998-09-20 20.45% @ Keflavik IF 1437 1 KR Reykjavik 1650 0
10 1998-09-26 20.89% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1241 1 Keflavik IF 1448 0
11 1998-09-26 25.18% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1629 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1638 0
12 1998-06-02 26.05% Keflavik IF 1438 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1439 0
13 1998-07-19 26.79% @ IR Reykjavik 1296 4 Grindavik 1441 2
14 1998-07-09 28.79% @ Valur Reykjavik 1401 1 IF Leiftur 1528 0
15 1998-07-05 28.84% @ IF Leiftur 1500 5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1626 1
16 1998-06-24 29.19% Fram Reykjavik 1436 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1409 1
17 1998-06-14 31.46% IA Akranes 1585 4 @ IF Leiftur 1540 0
18 1998-09-26 31.69% @ Grindavik 1391 4 Fram Reykjavik 1494 2
19 1998-05-23 32.11% @ Grindavik 1449 3 IF Leiftur 1549 1
20 1998-06-14 32.99% @ IR Reykjavik 1323 3 Valur Reykjavik 1417 2
21 1998-06-25 34.75% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1250 3 IR Reykjavik 1331 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-08-16 47.37 Fram Reykjavik 4 1460 14.58% @ IA Akranes 0 1616 66.24%
2 1998-07-09 41.34 Throttur Reykjavik 5 1262 12.55% @ Keflavik IF 1 1459 71.14%
3 1998-06-14 32.54 IA Akranes 4 1585 31.46% @ IF Leiftur 0 1540 39.87%
4 1998-07-05 28.61 @ IF Leiftur 5 1500 28.84% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1626 42.87%
5 1998-08-16 25.87 Grindavik 6 1401 43.24% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1272 28.53%
6 1998-07-29 21.58 Valur Reykjavik 3 1394 38.50% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1298 32.72%
7 1998-08-09 21.06 KR Reykjavik 4 1604 50.44% @ Grindavik 0 1422 23.09%
8 1998-09-01 21.01 IR Reykjavik 3 1301 15.78% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1435 63.53%
9 1998-09-26 19.55 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1629 25.18% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1638 47.50%
10 1998-07-05 19.49 Fram Reykjavik 3 1445 43.06% @ IR Reykjavik 0 1317 28.68%
11 1998-08-22 18.61 IA Akranes 3 1569 44.97% @ Grindavik 0 1427 27.12%
12 1998-05-28 18.60 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1599 44.98% @ Keflavik IF 0 1457 27.11%
13 1998-09-01 17.49 @ Keflavik IF 3 1417 47.42% Grindavik 0 1409 25.24%
14 1998-08-08 16.97 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1416 20.11% IA Akranes 2 1633 55.16%
15 1998-07-20 16.90 KR Reykjavik 3 1580 48.72% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1411 24.29%
16 1998-05-23 14.66 @ Grindavik 3 1449 32.11% IF Leiftur 1 1549 39.16%
17 1998-07-19 14.64 @ IR Reykjavik 4 1296 26.79% Grindavik 2 1441 45.39%
18 1998-05-24 14.37 KR Reykjavik 2 1577 40.05% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1470 31.29%
19 1998-06-01 14.27 Throttur Reykjavik 1 1236 11.18% @ Grindavik 0 1465 74.66%
20 1998-06-25 13.90 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1250 34.75% IR Reykjavik 1 1331 36.39%
21 1998-09-26 13.22 @ Grindavik 4 1391 31.69% Fram Reykjavik 2 1494 39.62%
22 1998-06-01 13.16 @ IR Reykjavik 1 1316 14.85% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1617 65.62%
23 1998-09-20 12.31 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1406 46.55% Grindavik 0 1403 25.88%
24 1998-09-12 12.10 @ Grindavik 1 1391 18.37% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1633 58.27%
25 1998-06-09 11.70 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 1604 68.54% Valur Reykjavik 1 1429 13.60%