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2025 Besta deild karla Season

162 games

Final

Champion

Vikingur Reykjavik

57 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 2023.0

Relegated

Afturelding

27 pts

IF Vestri · 29 pts

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

16.69 points above expected

34 points · 50.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stjarnan

45.19 points below expected

42 points · 87.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 12 6 4 42 47 27 +20 41.29 +0.71
2 Valur Reykjavik 22 12 4 6 40 53 35 +18 37.54 +2.46
3 Stjarnan 22 12 4 6 40 43 35 +8 34.59 +5.41
4 Breidablik 22 9 7 6 34 37 35 +2 39.99 -5.99
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 8 6 8 30 41 35 +6 28.06 +1.94
6 Fram Reykjavik 22 8 5 9 29 32 31 +1 23.96 +5.04
7 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 8 5 9 29 24 28 -4 27.46 +1.54
8 KA Akureyri 22 8 5 9 29 29 39 -10 26.83 +2.17
9 IF Vestri 22 8 3 11 27 23 28 -5 24.53 +2.47
10 KR Reykjavik 22 6 6 10 24 42 51 -9 31.50 -7.50
11 IA Akranes 22 7 1 14 22 26 43 -17 26.01 -4.01
12 Afturelding 22 5 6 11 21 29 39 -10 24.21 -3.21
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik Champion 27 17 6 4 57 58 31 +27 51.19 +5.81
2 Valur Reykjavik 27 13 6 8 45 61 46 +15 47.63 -2.63
3 Stjarnan 27 12 6 9 42 50 45 +5 47.19 -5.19
4 Breidablik 27 11 9 7 42 46 42 +4 41.69 +0.31
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 27 8 10 9 34 49 45 +4 35.51 -1.51
6 Fram Reykjavik 27 9 7 11 34 40 40 0 33.24 +0.76
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 27 11 6 10 39 45 49 -4 36.25 +2.75
2 IA Akranes 27 11 1 15 34 37 50 -13 28.69 +5.31
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 27 9 6 12 33 34 37 -3 36.57 -3.57
4 KR Reykjavik 27 8 7 12 31 55 62 -7 31.59 -0.59
5 IF Vestri Relegated 27 8 5 14 29 26 44 -18 33.07 -4.07
6 Afturelding Relegated 27 6 9 12 27 36 46 -10 27.06 -0.06

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vikingur Reykjavik 1626 57 41.29 +15.71 57.0% 15 31 37 41 45 51 64
Breidablik 1549 42 39.99 +2.01 17.2% 16 30 36 40 44 49 59
Valur Reykjavik 1529 45 37.54 +7.46 69.0% 14 28 34 38 42 47 59
Stjarnan 1510 42 34.59 +7.41 84.0% 13 25 31 35 39 44 54
FH Hafnarfjordur 1445 34 28.06 +5.94 66.5% 7 18 24 28 32 38 52
KR Reykjavik 1435 31 31.50 -0.50 12.2% 11 22 28 31 35 41 55
KA Akureyri 1430 39 26.83 +12.17 68.2% 4 17 23 27 31 37 50
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1426 33 27.46 +5.54 64.3% 7 18 23 27 31 37 49
IA Akranes 1420 34 26.01 +7.99 27.8% 5 17 22 26 30 36 46
Fram Reykjavik 1393 34 23.96 +10.04 83.2% 3 15 20 24 28 33 45
Afturelding 1367 27 24.21 +2.79 32.4% 5 15 20 24 28 34 49
IF Vestri 1313 29 24.53 +4.47 70.6% 5 15 21 24 28 34 47

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AFT BRE FH FR IA IV IV KA KR STJ VR VR
Afturelding —
0-1-1
1.52
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-2
3.47
1-2-0
3.26
0-2-1
4.67
1-1-1
4.14
1-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.72
1-0-1
1.42
Breidablik
1-1-0
4.08
 —
0-1-2
5.18
1-1-1
6.39
0-0-2
4.04
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
3.93
0-2-0
3.53
3-0-0
4.22
1-1-1
4.00
1-1-1
4.02
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-1-0
3.21
2-1-0
3.13
 —
0-2-1
5.13
2-0-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.39
0-2-1
2.94
1-1-1
2.66
0-1-2
2.27
Fram Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-1
2.04
1-2-0
3.17
 —
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-1
2.19
0-2-1
3.24
2-0-1
2.75
0-1-2
1.93
IA Akranes
2-0-1
4.83
2-0-0
1.55
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
3.03
 —
1-0-2
3.54
2-0-1
4.04
1-0-2
3.76
2-0-1
4.03
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-1
1.76
0-0-2
1.51
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-2-1
5.04
0-1-1
1.90
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-1
4.76
 —
1-0-2
4.42
0-1-2
4.60
1-0-2
3.45
2-0-0
2.14
1-0-1
1.81
0-1-1
1.62
IF Vestri
1-2-0
3.63
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-2
4.26
2-0-1
3.86
 —
1-1-1
3.32
0-1-2
3.60
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
1.51
KA Akureyri
1-1-1
4.13
0-1-1
1.65
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.94
2-0-1
4.51
2-1-0
3.67
1-1-1
5.00
 —
2-1-0
4.10
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
1.66
KR Reykjavik
1-1-1
5.36
0-2-0
2.01
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-2
4.25
2-0-1
4.84
2-1-0
4.68
0-1-2
4.19
 —
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.93
Stjarnan
1-0-1
3.66
0-0-3
4.06
1-2-0
5.39
1-2-0
5.06
2-0-0
3.45
0-0-2
3.40
1-0-1
3.59
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
2.99
 —
2-0-1
3.48
1-1-1
3.56
Valur Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.87
1-1-1
4.29
1-1-1
5.69
1-0-2
5.58
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-2
4.80
 —
1-1-1
3.16
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
4.20
1-1-1
4.24
2-1-0
6.14
2-1-0
6.54
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.96
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-1
4.72
1-1-1
5.15
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.49 +5.5
Allowed 0.26 -5.6
Differential 0.82 +6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.09%5.25%7.10%2.47%0.62%1.23%19.75%
15.25%11.73%7.41%2.78%2.47%1.23%30.86%
27.10%7.41%6.17%4.63%1.23%0.31%26.85%
32.47%2.78%4.63%2.47%0.93%—13.27%
40.62%2.47%1.23%0.93%0.62%0.31%6.17%
5+1.23%1.23%0.31%—0.31%—3.09%
Total19.75%30.86%26.85%13.27%6.17%3.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.66 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 1.92
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.41%11.11%3.70%——29.63%
13.70%14.81%11.11%3.70%3.70%—37.04%
2—3.70%7.41%———11.11%
33.70%—3.70%3.70%3.70%—14.81%
4—3.70%—3.70%——7.41%
5+———————
Total14.81%29.63%33.33%14.81%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.70 -0.37
SD 1.27 1.14 1.50
CV 0.95 0.67 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
111.11%22.22%7.41%—3.70%—44.44%
27.41%7.41%7.41%—3.70%—25.93%
3—7.41%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
4—3.70%———3.70%7.41%
5+———————
Total18.52%40.74%22.22%7.41%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.56 +0.15
SD 1.07 1.31 1.51
CV 0.63 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%7.41%———18.52%
1—11.11%7.41%7.41%——25.93%
27.41%3.70%11.11%7.41%——29.63%
33.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
4————3.70%—3.70%
5+3.70%———3.70%—7.41%
Total22.22%22.22%29.63%18.52%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.67 +0.15
SD 1.42 1.24 1.63
CV 0.78 0.74 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%7.41%———14.81%
17.41%14.81%11.11%7.41%——40.74%
211.11%3.70%7.41%7.41%——29.63%
33.70%—3.70%3.70%——11.11%
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+———————
Total22.22%25.93%33.33%18.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.48 +0.00
SD 1.01 1.05 1.41
CV 0.68 0.71 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%11.11%7.41%—3.70%29.63%
111.11%—7.41%3.70%3.70%7.41%33.33%
27.41%—3.70%3.70%——14.81%
37.41%3.70%3.70%———14.81%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+———————
Total29.63%14.81%25.93%14.81%3.70%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.85 -0.48
SD 1.28 1.73 2.53
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%22.22%3.70%——40.74%
13.70%11.11%7.41%—3.70%—25.93%
23.70%7.41%————11.11%
33.70%3.70%3.70%—3.70%—14.81%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total25.93%29.63%33.33%3.70%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.37 -0.11
SD 1.43 1.15 1.97
CV 1.14 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.81%11.11%—3.70%3.70%33.33%
17.41%18.52%7.41%—7.41%3.70%44.44%
214.81%—————14.81%
3—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%37.04%22.22%—11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.63 -0.67
SD 0.90 1.52 2.00
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%25.93%
17.41%11.11%—3.70%——22.22%
27.41%7.41%3.70%7.41%—3.70%29.63%
3——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
4—3.70%3.70%3.70%——11.11%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total18.52%33.33%14.81%22.22%3.70%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.81 -0.15
SD 1.44 1.47 2.09
CV 0.86 0.81 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%———3.70%7.41%
13.70%7.41%11.11%——3.70%25.93%
2—11.11%11.11%11.11%7.41%—40.74%
3——3.70%7.41%3.70%—14.81%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total7.41%29.63%25.93%18.52%11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 2.30 -0.26
SD 1.26 1.66 2.35
CV 0.62 0.72 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%—3.70%——11.11%
1—14.81%3.70%3.70%3.70%—25.93%
23.70%18.52%3.70%14.81%——40.74%
33.70%—7.41%———11.11%
4—3.70%7.41%———11.11%
5+———————
Total11.11%40.74%22.22%22.22%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.67 +0.19
SD 1.13 1.07 1.57
CV 0.61 0.64 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.41%3.70%——11.11%
1—11.11%11.11%—3.70%—25.93%
27.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
33.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
4———3.70%3.70%—7.41%
5+—7.41%3.70%———11.11%
Total11.11%37.04%29.63%14.81%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.26 1.70 +0.56
SD 1.65 1.10 2.06
CV 0.73 0.65 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%————7.41%
17.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
214.81%14.81%14.81%—3.70%—48.15%
3—3.70%11.11%———14.81%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total33.33%29.63%29.63%3.70%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 1.15 +1.00
SD 1.38 1.06 1.82
CV 0.64 0.93 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 34 50.69 -16.69
2 Afturelding 27 48.06 -21.06
3 KR Reykjavik 31 55.59 -24.59
4 KA Akureyri 39 65.25 -26.25
5 Fram Reykjavik 34 62.24 -28.24

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stjarnan 42 87.19 -45.19
2 Valur Reykjavik 45 87.63 -42.63
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 57 93.19 -36.19
4 Breidablik 42 75.69 -33.69
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 33 65.57 -32.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 5 Sep 11 – Oct 4 1 in 246
2 Stjarnan 5 Aug 10 – Sep 14 1 in 187
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Sep 14 – Oct 25 1 in 61
4 Valur Reykjavik 5 Jun 23 – Jul 27 1 in 60
5 Fram Reykjavik 2 May 18 – May 23 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 3 May 18 – May 29 1 in 34
2 Stjarnan 3 Apr 23 – May 5 1 in 31
3 Breidablik 2 May 25 – May 29 1 in 26
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Jun 15 – Jun 29 1 in 24
5 IF Vestri 4 Jun 22 – Jul 19 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 7 Jun 15 – Aug 6 1 in 99
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 8 Aug 3 – Sep 27 1 in 75
3 Stjarnan 8 Jul 28 – Sep 21 1 in 32
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 Aug 17 – Sep 28 1 in 31
5 KR Reykjavik 6 Apr 6 – May 10 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 9 Jul 26 – Sep 27 1 in 391
2 Afturelding 11 Jun 29 – Sep 21 1 in 55
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 Jul 5 – Aug 10 1 in 43
4 IF Vestri 9 Aug 17 – Oct 25 1 in 22
5 KR Reykjavik 6 Aug 25 – Oct 4 1 in 17

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Vikingur Reykjavik41.49%25.05%14.77%8.26%4.97%2.52%1.57%0.59%0.51%0.17%0.07%0.03%
Valur Reykjavik18.07%21.19%20.41%15.02%9.86%5.83%4.15%2.48%1.58%0.88%0.37%0.16%
Stjarnan7.50%13.19%17.26%17.67%14.21%10.27%7.46%4.86%3.32%2.38%1.12%0.76%
Breidablik27.88%26.20%18.82%11.78%6.88%3.77%2.25%1.38%0.47%0.34%0.17%0.06%
FH Hafnarfjordur0.63%2.51%5.19%8.14%11.20%12.05%12.68%11.99%11.66%9.59%7.94%6.42%
Fram Reykjavik0.08%0.60%1.09%2.84%4.84%7.19%9.22%10.34%12.45%14.55%17.26%19.54%
KA Akureyri0.40%1.40%3.41%5.48%7.75%10.41%11.73%12.37%12.18%12.49%12.01%10.37%
IA Akranes0.34%1.08%2.23%4.47%6.83%8.93%10.20%12.45%12.59%13.35%14.10%13.43%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.67%1.86%3.87%7.00%8.82%11.38%12.21%12.71%11.89%11.32%10.05%8.22%
KR Reykjavik2.68%5.81%9.74%13.48%14.93%13.56%11.25%9.07%7.50%5.48%4.06%2.44%
IF Vestri0.14%0.64%1.59%3.19%5.14%7.13%9.11%11.33%13.16%14.89%15.51%18.17%
Afturelding0.12%0.47%1.62%2.67%4.57%6.96%8.17%10.43%12.69%14.56%17.34%20.40%
Team123456789101112
Vikingur Reykjavik70.85%20.91%7.48%0.76%————————
Valur Reykjavik16.55%43.05%33.83%6.50%0.07%———————
Stjarnan12.34%33.04%45.56%8.94%0.12%———————
Breidablik0.26%2.99%12.66%74.48%8.61%1.00%——————
FH Hafnarfjordur—0.01%0.43%7.19%66.42%25.95%——————
Fram Reykjavik——0.04%2.13%24.78%73.05%——————
KA Akureyri——————37.23%36.19%17.35%7.10%1.95%0.18%
IA Akranes——————0.66%2.69%7.77%18.57%40.61%29.70%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar——————48.55%30.51%13.99%5.45%1.31%0.19%
KR Reykjavik——————3.89%11.05%23.13%34.93%19.30%7.70%
IF Vestri——————9.53%18.50%34.30%24.41%10.75%2.51%
Afturelding——————0.14%1.06%3.46%9.54%26.08%59.72%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.54%
Strong Edge
51.23%24.07%24.69%
Elo Value
Home Edge
223 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
094.48600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Vikingur Reykjavik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.44/gm
Comfortable
00.160.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.66 * Some Luck: 4.66 to 6.98 * Lucky: 6.98 to 9.31 * Wild Swing: 9.31 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.62 * Close: 1.62 to 2.44 * Off: 2.44 to 3.25 * Way Off: 3.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.22 * A Surprise: 1.22 to 1.95 * Several Surprises: 1.95 to 2.68 * Many Surprises: 2.68 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.05 points
As Expected
05.8215
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
02.035
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
83.95%
Stjarnan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
12.19%
KR Reykjavik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.22

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.07
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Clear Edge
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.48
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.79
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.95
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Vikingur Reykjavik 99.92% 0.08%
Breidablik 99.88% 0.12%
Valur Reykjavik 99.64% 0.36%
Stjarnan 98.59% 1.41%
KR Reykjavik 93.92% 6.08%
FH Hafnarfjordur 86.84% 13.16%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 83.25% 16.75%
KA Akureyri 79.65% 20.35%
IA Akranes 73.81% 26.19%
IF Vestri 62.65% 37.35%
Fram Reykjavik 61.54% 38.46%
Afturelding 60.31% 39.69%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Breidablik 100% —
FH Hafnarfjordur 100% —
Fram Reykjavik 100% —
Stjarnan 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
Vikingur Reykjavik 100% —
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 98.50% 1.50%
KA Akureyri 97.87% 2.13%
IF Vestri 86.74% 13.26%
KR Reykjavik 73.00% 27.00%
IA Akranes 29.69% 70.31%
Afturelding 14.20% 85.80%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2025-04-05 Afturelding W 2-0 1571 1376 72.6% 15.6% 11.8% +2.9 3
2025-04-05 @ Breidablik L 0-2 1376 1571 11.8% 15.6% 72.6% -2.9 0
2025-04-06 IA Akranes L 0-1 1361 1431 40.8% 25.4% 33.8% -5.2 0
2025-04-06 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1431 1361 33.8% 25.4% 40.8% +5.2 3
2025-04-06 IF Vestri D 1-1 1521 1359 69.4% 17.2% 13.4% -1.6 1
2025-04-06 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1359 1521 13.4% 17.2% 69.4% +1.6 1
2025-04-06 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1429 1468 45.1% 25.0% 29.8% -0.3 1
2025-04-06 @ KA Akureyri D 2-2 1468 1429 29.8% 25.0% 45.1% +0.3 1
2025-04-07 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1512 1411 62.9% 20.1% 17.0% +2.2 3
2025-04-07 @ Stjarnan L 1-2 1411 1512 17.0% 20.1% 62.9% -2.2 0
2025-04-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1576 1427 68.0% 17.8% 14.1% +3.6 3
2025-04-07 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1427 1576 14.1% 17.8% 68.0% -3.6 0
2025-04-13 Breidablik W 4-2 1356 1574 22.7% 23.2% 54.1% +9.5 3
2025-04-13 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-4 1574 1356 54.1% 23.2% 22.7% -9.4 3
2025-04-13 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1361 1408 43.9% 25.2% 30.9% +4.2 4
2025-04-13 @ IF Vestri L 0-1 1408 1361 30.9% 25.2% 43.9% -4.2 0
2025-04-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1374 1423 43.6% 25.2% 31.2% -0.4 1
2025-04-13 @ Afturelding D 0-0 1423 1374 31.2% 25.2% 43.6% +0.4 1
2025-04-13 KA Akureyri W 4-0 1579 1429 68.2% 17.8% 14.0% +6.8 6
2025-04-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-4 1429 1579 14.0% 17.8% 68.2% -6.8 1
2025-04-14 IA Akranes W 2-1 1515 1436 60.2% 21.2% 18.6% +2.5 6
2025-04-14 @ Stjarnan L 1-2 1436 1515 18.6% 21.2% 60.2% -2.5 3
2025-04-14 Valur Reykjavik D 3-3 1468 1519 43.4% 25.2% 31.3% -0.2 2
2025-04-14 @ KR Reykjavik D 3-3 1519 1468 31.3% 25.2% 43.4% +0.2 2
2025-04-23 IF Vestri L 0-2 1433 1365 59.0% 21.6% 19.4% -13.1 3
2025-04-23 @ IA Akranes W 2-0 1365 1433 19.4% 21.6% 59.0% +13.1 7
2025-04-23 KA Akureyri W 3-1 1519 1422 62.4% 20.3% 17.3% +3.9 5
2025-04-23 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1422 1519 17.3% 20.3% 62.4% -3.9 1
2025-04-23 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1404 1468 41.6% 25.4% 33.0% -0.2 1
2025-04-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1468 1404 33.0% 25.4% 41.6% +0.2 3
2025-04-23 Stjarnan W 2-1 1564 1517 56.4% 22.5% 21.1% +2.8 6
2025-04-23 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1517 1564 21.1% 22.5% 56.4% -2.8 6
2025-04-24 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1424 1365 57.8% 22.1% 20.2% +4.6 4
2025-04-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1365 1424 20.2% 22.1% 57.8% -4.6 3
2025-04-24 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1373 1586 23.2% 23.4% 53.5% +6.4 4
2025-04-24 @ Afturelding L 0-1 1586 1373 53.5% 23.4% 23.2% -6.4 6
2025-04-27 Breidablik L 0-1 1378 1567 25.5% 24.1% 50.3% -3.5 7
2025-04-27 @ IF Vestri W 1-0 1567 1378 50.3% 24.1% 25.5% +3.5 9
2025-04-27 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 1418 1404 52.2% 23.7% 24.1% +3.0 4
2025-04-27 @ KA Akureyri L 2-3 1404 1418 24.1% 23.7% 52.2% -3.0 1
2025-04-27 IA Akranes W 5-0 1468 1420 56.5% 22.5% 21.0% +13.0 6
2025-04-27 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-5 1420 1468 21.0% 22.5% 56.5% -13.0 3
2025-04-28 Afturelding W 3-0 1361 1380 47.8% 24.6% 27.6% +10.4 6
2025-04-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1380 1361 27.6% 24.6% 47.8% -10.4 4
2025-04-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1514 1428 61.1% 20.9% 18.1% -6.4 6
2025-04-28 @ Stjarnan W 3-2 1428 1514 18.1% 20.9% 61.1% +6.4 7
2025-04-28 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1523 1580 42.6% 25.3% 32.0% -0.3 6
2025-04-28 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1580 1523 32.0% 25.3% 42.6% +0.3 7
2025-05-04 IF Vestri L 0-2 1435 1374 58.0% 22.0% 20.0% -12.9 7
2025-05-04 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1374 1435 20.0% 22.0% 58.0% +12.9 10
2025-05-04 KA Akureyri W 3-0 1407 1421 48.5% 24.5% 27.0% +10.2 6
2025-05-04 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1421 1407 27.0% 24.5% 48.5% -10.2 4
2025-05-04 Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1401 1523 33.4% 25.4% 41.2% +14.3 4
2025-05-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-3 1523 1401 41.2% 25.4% 33.4% -14.3 6
2025-05-05 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1580 1371 74.1% 14.9% 11.1% +1.3 10
2025-05-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1371 1580 11.1% 14.9% 74.1% -1.3 6
2025-05-05 KR Reykjavik D 3-3 1570 1481 61.4% 20.7% 17.8% -0.8 10
2025-05-05 @ Breidablik D 3-3 1481 1570 17.8% 20.7% 61.4% +0.7 7
2025-05-05 Stjarnan W 3-0 1369 1508 31.3% 25.2% 43.5% +14.9 7
2025-05-05 @ Afturelding L 0-3 1508 1369 43.5% 25.2% 31.3% -14.9 6
2025-05-10 Afturelding W 2-0 1387 1384 50.8% 24.0% 25.2% +6.6 13
2025-05-10 @ IF Vestri L 0-2 1384 1387 25.2% 24.0% 50.8% -6.6 7
2025-05-10 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1493 1370 65.3% 19.1% 15.6% +4.0 9
2025-05-10 @ Stjarnan L 0-2 1370 1493 15.6% 19.1% 65.3% -4.0 6
2025-05-10 IA Akranes W 6-1 1509 1417 61.7% 20.6% 17.7% +9.0 9
2025-05-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-6 1417 1509 17.7% 20.6% 61.7% -9.0 6
2025-05-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-1 1482 1422 58.0% 22.0% 20.0% +6.5 10
2025-05-10 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-4 1422 1482 20.0% 22.0% 58.0% -6.5 7
2025-05-11 Breidablik L 0-1 1411 1570 28.8% 24.9% 46.3% -3.9 4
2025-05-11 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1570 1411 46.3% 24.9% 28.8% +4.0 13
2025-05-11 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1581 1415 69.8% 17.0% 13.2% +2.9 13
2025-05-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1415 1581 13.2% 17.0% 69.8% -2.9 4
2025-05-18 IF Vestri W 1-0 1366 1394 46.6% 24.8% 28.6% +3.9 9
2025-05-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1394 1366 28.6% 24.8% 46.6% -3.9 13
2025-05-18 KA Akureyri D 0-0 1415 1407 51.4% 23.9% 24.7% -0.8 8
2025-05-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1407 1415 24.7% 23.9% 51.4% +0.8 5
2025-05-18 KR Reykjavik W 4-3 1377 1488 34.9% 25.5% 39.6% +4.4 10
2025-05-18 @ Afturelding L 3-4 1488 1377 39.6% 25.5% 34.9% -4.4 10
2025-05-19 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-3 1408 1412 49.8% 24.2% 25.9% -9.9 6
2025-05-19 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 1412 1408 25.9% 24.2% 49.8% +9.9 7
2025-05-19 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1574 1518 57.5% 22.2% 20.4% +2.7 16
2025-05-19 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1518 1574 20.4% 22.2% 57.5% -2.7 9
2025-05-19 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1497 1584 38.3% 25.5% 36.2% -0.0 10
2025-05-19 @ Stjarnan D 2-2 1584 1497 36.2% 25.5% 38.3% +0.0 14
2025-05-23 Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1484 1370 64.3% 19.5% 16.2% -6.6 10
2025-05-23 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1370 1484 16.2% 19.5% 64.3% +6.6 12
2025-05-24 Afturelding W 1-0 1408 1382 53.7% 23.3% 23.0% +3.2 8
2025-05-24 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1382 1408 23.0% 23.3% 53.7% -3.2 10
2025-05-24 IA Akranes W 2-1 1584 1399 71.8% 16.0% 12.2% +1.5 17
2025-05-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1399 1584 12.2% 16.0% 71.8% -1.5 6
2025-05-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1515 1414 62.7% 20.2% 17.1% +6.5 12
2025-05-24 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1414 1515 17.1% 20.2% 62.7% -6.5 8
2025-05-24 Stjarnan W 3-1 1390 1497 35.5% 25.5% 39.0% +8.2 16
2025-05-24 @ IF Vestri L 1-3 1497 1390 39.0% 25.5% 35.5% -8.2 10
2025-05-25 Breidablik W 2-0 1422 1576 29.4% 25.0% 45.6% +10.7 10
2025-05-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1576 1422 45.6% 25.0% 29.4% -10.6 16
2025-05-29 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1408 1433 47.0% 24.8% 28.2% +3.7 11
2025-05-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1433 1408 28.2% 24.8% 47.0% -3.7 10
2025-05-29 IA Akranes L 1-4 1566 1397 70.1% 16.9% 13.0% -18.3 16
2025-05-29 @ Breidablik W 4-1 1397 1566 13.0% 16.9% 70.1% +18.3 9
2025-05-29 KA Akureyri L 1-2 1376 1411 45.7% 25.0% 29.4% -5.3 12
2025-05-29 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1411 1376 29.4% 25.0% 45.7% +5.3 11
2025-05-29 KR Reykjavik W 4-2 1489 1477 51.8% 23.8% 24.4% +5.0 13
2025-05-29 @ Stjarnan L 2-4 1477 1489 24.4% 23.8% 51.8% -5.0 10
2025-05-29 Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1379 1522 30.7% 25.2% 44.1% -7.8 10
2025-05-29 @ Afturelding W 2-0 1522 1379 44.1% 25.2% 30.7% +7.8 15
2025-05-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1398 1586 25.7% 24.2% 50.2% -3.6 16
2025-05-29 @ IF Vestri W 1-0 1586 1398 50.2% 24.2% 25.7% +3.6 20
2025-06-01 Afturelding D 0-0 1429 1371 57.8% 22.1% 20.2% -1.2 11
2025-06-01 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1371 1429 20.2% 22.1% 57.8% +1.2 11
2025-06-01 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1415 1412 50.8% 24.0% 25.1% -16.8 9
2025-06-01 @ IA Akranes W 3-0 1412 1415 25.1% 24.0% 50.8% +16.9 14
2025-06-01 IF Vestri W 2-1 1472 1395 60.1% 21.2% 18.7% +2.5 13
2025-06-01 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1395 1472 18.7% 21.2% 60.1% -2.5 16
2025-06-01 Stjarnan D 1-1 1416 1494 39.7% 25.5% 34.8% -0.1 12
2025-06-01 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1494 1416 34.8% 25.5% 39.7% +0.1 14
2025-06-01 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 1547 1589 44.7% 25.1% 30.2% +6.7 19
2025-06-01 @ Breidablik L 1-3 1589 1547 30.2% 25.1% 44.7% -6.7 20
2025-06-02 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1529 1371 69.0% 17.4% 13.6% +1.7 18
2025-06-02 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1371 1529 13.6% 17.4% 69.0% -1.7 12
2025-06-14 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1494 1531 45.3% 25.0% 29.7% +3.6 17
2025-06-14 @ Stjarnan L 2-3 1531 1494 29.7% 25.0% 45.3% -3.6 18
2025-06-15 Breidablik L 0-2 1428 1554 32.9% 25.4% 41.7% -8.3 14
2025-06-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1554 1428 41.7% 25.4% 32.9% +8.3 22
2025-06-15 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1369 1428 42.3% 25.3% 32.4% +8.2 15
2025-06-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1428 1369 32.4% 25.3% 42.3% -8.2 11
2025-06-15 IA Akranes W 4-1 1372 1398 46.8% 24.8% 28.4% +9.0 14
2025-06-15 @ Afturelding L 1-4 1398 1372 28.4% 24.8% 46.8% -9.0 9
2025-06-15 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1392 1416 47.1% 24.7% 28.1% +3.9 19
2025-06-15 @ IF Vestri L 0-1 1416 1392 28.1% 24.7% 47.1% -3.9 12
2025-06-16 KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1583 1475 63.5% 19.9% 16.6% +2.1 23
2025-06-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1475 1583 16.6% 19.9% 63.5% -2.0 13
2025-06-22 IF Vestri W 2-0 1420 1396 53.5% 23.4% 23.2% +6.1 14
2025-06-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1396 1420 23.2% 23.4% 53.5% -6.1 19
2025-06-22 Stjarnan L 0-3 1389 1497 35.3% 25.5% 39.2% -12.7 9
2025-06-22 @ IA Akranes W 3-0 1497 1389 39.2% 25.5% 35.3% +12.7 20
2025-06-22 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1412 1585 27.3% 24.6% 48.1% -7.1 12
2025-06-22 @ KA Akureyri W 2-0 1585 1412 48.1% 24.6% 27.3% +7.1 26
2025-06-23 Afturelding L 1-2 1420 1381 55.4% 22.8% 21.8% -6.2 14
2025-06-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1381 1420 21.8% 22.8% 55.4% +6.2 17
2025-06-23 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1562 1377 71.7% 16.1% 12.2% -1.7 23
2025-06-23 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1377 1562 12.2% 16.1% 71.7% +1.7 16
2025-06-23 KR Reykjavik W 6-1 1528 1473 57.3% 22.2% 20.5% +10.5 21
2025-06-23 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-6 1473 1528 20.5% 22.2% 57.3% -10.5 13
2025-06-27 Breidablik L 1-4 1510 1561 43.5% 25.2% 31.3% -12.6 20
2025-06-27 @ Stjarnan W 4-1 1561 1510 31.3% 25.2% 43.5% +12.5 26
2025-06-27 Valur Reykjavik L 2-5 1405 1538 32.0% 25.3% 42.7% -8.6 12
2025-06-27 @ KA Akureyri W 5-2 1538 1405 42.7% 25.3% 32.0% +8.6 24
2025-06-29 Afturelding W 2-1 1592 1387 73.6% 15.1% 11.3% +1.4 29
2025-06-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1387 1592 11.3% 15.1% 73.6% -1.4 17
2025-06-29 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 1462 1426 55.0% 22.9% 22.0% +2.8 16
2025-06-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1426 1462 22.0% 22.9% 55.0% -2.8 14
2025-06-29 IA Akranes L 0-2 1390 1377 52.1% 23.7% 24.2% -11.8 19
2025-06-29 @ IF Vestri W 2-0 1377 1390 24.2% 23.7% 52.1% +11.8 12
2025-06-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1379 1414 45.6% 25.0% 29.4% +7.6 19
2025-06-29 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1414 1379 29.4% 25.0% 45.6% -7.6 14
2025-07-03 Breidablik D 2-2 1386 1573 25.7% 24.2% 50.2% +0.5 18
2025-07-03 @ Afturelding D 2-2 1573 1386 50.2% 24.2% 25.7% -0.5 27
2025-07-05 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1389 1387 50.6% 24.1% 25.3% -6.1 12
2025-07-05 @ IA Akranes W 1-0 1387 1389 25.3% 24.1% 50.6% +6.1 22
2025-07-05 Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1378 1547 27.7% 24.7% 47.6% -7.2 19
2025-07-05 @ IF Vestri W 2-0 1547 1378 47.6% 24.7% 27.7% +7.2 27
2025-07-05 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1406 1593 25.7% 24.2% 50.1% +0.7 15
2025-07-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1593 1406 50.1% 24.2% 25.7% -0.7 30
2025-07-06 KA Akureyri L 1-2 1465 1397 59.0% 21.6% 19.4% -6.5 16
2025-07-06 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1397 1465 19.4% 21.6% 59.0% +6.5 15
2025-07-07 Stjarnan D 1-1 1423 1498 40.1% 25.5% 34.4% -0.1 15
2025-07-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1498 1423 34.4% 25.5% 40.1% +0.2 21
2025-07-13 KA Akureyri W 5-0 1423 1403 52.9% 23.5% 23.5% +14.5 18
2025-07-13 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-5 1403 1423 23.5% 23.5% 52.9% -14.5 15
2025-07-14 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1382 1459 39.9% 25.5% 34.6% +4.6 15
2025-07-14 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1459 1382 34.6% 25.5% 39.9% -4.6 16
2025-07-14 Stjarnan W 1-0 1407 1498 37.8% 25.5% 36.7% +4.8 18
2025-07-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1498 1407 36.7% 25.5% 37.8% -4.8 21
2025-07-17 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1386 1393 49.5% 24.3% 26.2% -0.6 19
2025-07-17 @ Afturelding D 1-1 1393 1386 26.2% 24.3% 49.5% +0.6 23
2025-07-19 IA Akranes W 2-0 1389 1387 50.6% 24.1% 25.3% +6.6 18
2025-07-19 @ KA Akureyri L 0-2 1387 1389 25.3% 24.1% 50.6% -6.6 15
2025-07-19 IF Vestri W 1-0 1573 1371 73.4% 15.2% 11.4% +1.5 30
2025-07-19 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1371 1573 11.4% 15.2% 73.4% -1.5 19
2025-07-20 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1592 1554 55.3% 22.8% 21.8% -6.2 30
2025-07-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1554 1592 21.8% 22.8% 55.3% +6.2 30
2025-07-26 Breidablik D 1-1 1454 1574 33.7% 25.4% 40.9% +0.2 17
2025-07-26 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1574 1454 40.9% 25.4% 33.7% -0.2 31
2025-07-27 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1560 1438 65.2% 19.1% 15.7% +3.5 33
2025-07-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1438 1560 15.7% 19.1% 65.2% -3.5 18
2025-07-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1369 1412 44.6% 25.1% 30.3% +7.7 22
2025-07-27 @ IF Vestri L 0-2 1412 1369 30.3% 25.1% 44.6% -7.7 18
2025-07-27 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1393 1586 25.1% 24.0% 50.9% +0.5 24
2025-07-27 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1586 1393 50.9% 24.0% 25.1% -0.5 31
2025-07-28 Afturelding W 4-1 1493 1386 63.5% 19.9% 16.6% +5.3 24
2025-07-28 @ Stjarnan L 1-4 1386 1493 16.6% 19.9% 63.5% -5.3 19
2025-08-02 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1404 1454 43.5% 25.2% 31.2% +4.0 21
2025-08-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1454 1404 31.2% 25.2% 43.5% -4.0 17
2025-08-03 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1574 1395 71.1% 16.4% 12.5% -1.6 32
2025-08-03 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1395 1574 12.5% 16.4% 71.1% +1.6 19
2025-08-03 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1434 1586 29.7% 25.0% 45.3% +0.3 19
2025-08-03 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1586 1434 45.3% 25.0% 29.7% -0.3 32
2025-08-05 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1380 1564 26.1% 24.3% 49.6% +0.5 16
2025-08-05 @ IA Akranes D 2-2 1564 1380 49.6% 24.3% 26.1% -0.5 34
2025-08-06 IF Vestri D 1-1 1380 1377 50.8% 24.0% 25.2% -0.7 20
2025-08-06 @ Afturelding D 1-1 1377 1380 25.2% 24.0% 50.8% +0.7 23
2025-08-06 Stjarnan D 1-1 1394 1498 35.8% 25.5% 38.7% +0.1 25
2025-08-06 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1498 1394 38.7% 25.5% 35.8% -0.1 25
2025-08-10 Breidablik W 2-1 1563 1572 49.1% 24.4% 26.5% +3.5 37
2025-08-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1572 1563 26.5% 24.4% 49.1% -3.5 32
2025-08-10 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1378 1394 48.2% 24.6% 27.2% +3.3 26
2025-08-10 @ IF Vestri L 2-3 1394 1378 27.2% 24.6% 48.2% -3.4 25
2025-08-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1397 1408 48.9% 24.4% 26.7% +3.7 22
2025-08-10 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1408 1397 26.7% 24.4% 48.9% -3.7 21
2025-08-10 Stjarnan L 2-4 1585 1498 61.2% 20.8% 18.0% -10.4 32
2025-08-10 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-2 1498 1585 18.0% 20.8% 61.2% +10.4 28
2025-08-11 Afturelding W 2-1 1450 1380 59.2% 21.6% 19.2% +2.5 20
2025-08-11 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1380 1450 19.2% 21.6% 59.2% -2.5 20
2025-08-11 IA Akranes W 3-2 1434 1381 57.2% 22.3% 20.6% +2.6 22
2025-08-11 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-3 1381 1434 20.6% 22.3% 57.2% -2.6 16
2025-08-17 FH Hafnarfjordur L 4-5 1569 1437 66.2% 18.7% 15.1% -6.5 32
2025-08-17 @ Breidablik W 5-4 1437 1569 15.1% 18.7% 66.2% +6.5 25
2025-08-17 IF Vestri W 2-1 1509 1381 65.7% 18.9% 15.3% +2.0 31
2025-08-17 @ Stjarnan L 1-2 1381 1509 15.3% 18.9% 65.7% -2.0 26
2025-08-17 KA Akureyri D 3-3 1377 1401 47.2% 24.7% 28.1% -0.3 21
2025-08-17 @ Afturelding D 3-3 1401 1377 28.1% 24.7% 47.2% +0.3 23
2025-08-17 Valur Reykjavik W 4-1 1404 1567 28.4% 24.8% 46.8% +13.3 24
2025-08-17 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 1567 1404 46.8% 24.8% 28.4% -13.3 37
2025-08-17 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1378 1575 24.7% 23.9% 51.4% -3.5 16
2025-08-17 @ IA Akranes W 1-0 1575 1378 51.4% 23.9% 24.7% +3.4 35
2025-08-18 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1391 1453 41.8% 25.4% 32.8% -5.3 25
2025-08-18 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1453 1391 32.8% 25.4% 41.8% +5.3 23
2025-08-24 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1401 1385 52.4% 23.6% 23.9% +6.3 26
2025-08-24 @ KA Akureyri L 0-2 1385 1401 23.9% 23.6% 52.4% -6.3 25
2025-08-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1444 1418 53.7% 23.3% 23.0% -0.8 26
2025-08-24 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1418 1444 23.0% 23.3% 53.7% +0.8 25
2025-08-25 Stjarnan L 1-2 1458 1511 43.2% 25.2% 31.6% -5.1 23
2025-08-25 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1511 1458 31.6% 25.2% 43.2% +5.1 34
2025-08-26 Afturelding W 4-3 1553 1377 70.9% 16.5% 12.6% +1.5 40
2025-08-26 @ Valur Reykjavik L 3-4 1377 1553 12.6% 16.5% 70.9% -1.5 21
2025-08-26 IF Vestri W 4-1 1578 1379 73.1% 15.3% 11.5% +3.5 38
2025-08-26 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-4 1379 1578 11.5% 15.3% 73.1% -3.5 26
2025-08-31 Breidablik D 2-2 1582 1562 52.9% 23.5% 23.6% -0.6 39
2025-08-31 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1562 1582 23.6% 23.5% 52.9% +0.6 33
2025-08-31 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1375 1443 41.1% 25.4% 33.5% -4.9 21
2025-08-31 @ Afturelding W 2-1 1443 1375 33.5% 25.4% 41.1% +4.9 29
2025-08-31 IA Akranes W 2-0 1419 1375 56.0% 22.7% 21.4% +5.7 28
2025-08-31 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1375 1419 21.4% 22.7% 56.0% -5.7 16
2025-08-31 KA Akureyri W 3-2 1516 1407 63.6% 19.8% 16.6% +2.0 37
2025-08-31 @ Stjarnan L 2-3 1407 1516 16.6% 19.8% 63.6% -2.0 26
2025-08-31 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1376 1453 39.7% 25.5% 34.8% -0.1 27
2025-08-31 @ IF Vestri D 1-1 1453 1376 34.8% 25.5% 39.7% +0.1 24
2025-08-31 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1379 1555 26.9% 24.5% 48.6% +5.6 28
2025-08-31 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1555 1379 48.6% 24.5% 26.9% -5.6 40
2025-09-11 Breidablik W 3-0 1369 1563 25.0% 24.0% 51.0% +16.9 19
2025-09-11 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1563 1369 51.0% 24.0% 25.0% -16.9 33
2025-09-14 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1448 1385 58.3% 21.9% 19.8% -0.8 30
2025-09-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1385 1448 19.8% 21.9% 58.3% +0.8 29
2025-09-14 IF Vestri W 4-1 1405 1376 54.2% 23.2% 22.6% +7.3 29
2025-09-14 @ KA Akureyri L 1-4 1376 1405 22.6% 23.2% 54.2% -7.3 27
2025-09-14 Stjarnan L 1-2 1549 1518 54.4% 23.1% 22.5% -6.1 40
2025-09-14 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1518 1549 22.5% 23.1% 54.4% +6.1 40
2025-09-14 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-7 1453 1581 32.6% 25.4% 42.0% -26.4 24
2025-09-14 @ KR Reykjavik W 7-0 1581 1453 42.0% 25.4% 32.6% +26.4 42
2025-09-15 Afturelding W 3-1 1386 1370 52.4% 23.6% 23.9% +5.5 22
2025-09-15 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1370 1386 23.9% 23.6% 52.4% -5.5 21
2025-09-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1546 1424 65.1% 19.2% 15.7% -1.4 34
2025-09-15 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1424 1546 15.7% 19.2% 65.1% +1.4 29

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2025-09-20 IA Akranes L 0-4 1368 1392 47.2% 24.7% 28.0% -20.8 0
2025-09-20 @ IF Vestri W 4-0 1392 1368 28.0% 24.7% 47.2% +20.8 3
2025-09-21 Afturelding D 1-1 1426 1365 58.0% 22.0% 20.0% -1.0 1
2025-09-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1365 1426 20.0% 22.0% 58.0% +1.0 1
2025-09-21 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1524 1447 60.0% 21.3% 18.7% -1.3 1
2025-09-21 @ Stjarnan D 0-0 1447 1524 18.7% 21.3% 60.0% +1.3 1
2025-09-21 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1608 1385 75.3% 14.2% 10.5% +1.3 3
2025-09-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1385 1608 10.5% 14.2% 75.3% -1.3 0
2025-09-21 KR Reykjavik W 4-2 1413 1427 48.5% 24.5% 27.0% +5.5 3
2025-09-21 @ KA Akureyri L 2-4 1427 1413 27.0% 24.5% 48.5% -5.5 0
2025-09-22 Breidablik D 1-1 1543 1545 50.1% 24.2% 25.7% -0.7 1
2025-09-22 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1545 1543 25.7% 24.2% 50.1% +0.7 1
2025-09-27 Breidablik D 1-1 1448 1545 36.8% 25.5% 37.6% +0.0 2
2025-09-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1545 1448 37.6% 25.5% 36.8% -0.0 2
2025-09-27 KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1412 1421 49.2% 24.4% 26.5% +3.3 6
2025-09-27 @ IA Akranes L 2-3 1421 1412 26.5% 24.4% 49.2% -3.3 0
2025-09-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-5 1348 1424 39.8% 25.5% 34.8% -22.3 0
2025-09-28 @ IF Vestri W 5-0 1424 1348 34.8% 25.5% 39.8% +22.4 4
2025-09-28 KA Akureyri W 3-2 1366 1418 43.3% 25.2% 31.5% +3.8 4
2025-09-28 @ Afturelding L 2-3 1418 1366 31.5% 25.2% 43.3% -3.8 3
2025-09-28 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1384 1542 28.9% 24.9% 46.2% +10.8 3
2025-09-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1542 1384 46.2% 24.9% 28.9% -10.8 1
2025-09-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1523 1609 38.4% 25.5% 36.1% -4.4 1
2025-09-29 @ Stjarnan W 3-2 1609 1523 36.1% 25.5% 38.4% +4.4 6
2025-10-04 Afturelding D 2-2 1418 1370 56.5% 22.5% 21.0% -0.7 1
2025-10-04 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1370 1418 21.0% 22.5% 56.5% +0.7 5
2025-10-04 IA Akranes L 0-2 1447 1416 54.4% 23.1% 22.5% -12.3 4
2025-10-04 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1416 1447 22.5% 23.1% 54.4% +12.2 9
2025-10-04 Stjarnan W 3-2 1532 1518 52.1% 23.7% 24.2% +3.0 4
2025-10-04 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1518 1532 24.2% 23.7% 52.1% -3.0 1
2025-10-05 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1613 1448 69.7% 17.0% 13.2% +3.3 9
2025-10-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1448 1613 13.2% 17.0% 69.7% -3.3 2
2025-10-05 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1545 1395 68.2% 17.8% 14.0% +3.1 5
2025-10-05 @ Breidablik L 1-3 1395 1545 14.0% 17.8% 68.2% -3.1 3
2025-10-05 IF Vestri D 1-1 1414 1325 61.4% 20.7% 17.9% -1.2 4
2025-10-05 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1325 1414 17.9% 20.7% 61.4% +1.2 1
2025-10-18 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1549 1617 41.0% 25.4% 33.6% -4.9 5
2025-10-18 @ Breidablik W 2-1 1617 1549 33.6% 25.4% 41.0% +4.9 12
2025-10-19 FH Hafnarfjordur D 4-4 1535 1445 61.5% 20.7% 17.8% -0.7 5
2025-10-19 @ Valur Reykjavik D 4-4 1445 1535 17.8% 20.7% 61.5% +0.7 3
2025-10-19 IA Akranes W 5-1 1413 1428 48.4% 24.5% 27.1% +11.1 7
2025-10-19 @ KA Akureyri L 1-5 1428 1413 27.1% 24.5% 48.4% -11.1 9
2025-10-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1417 1435 48.0% 24.6% 27.4% +3.6 4
2025-10-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1435 1417 27.4% 24.6% 48.0% -3.6 4
2025-10-19 IF Vestri D 1-1 1371 1326 56.0% 22.6% 21.4% -0.9 6
2025-10-19 @ Afturelding D 1-1 1326 1371 21.4% 22.6% 56.0% +0.9 2
2025-10-20 Stjarnan D 1-1 1392 1515 33.2% 25.4% 41.4% +0.2 4
2025-10-20 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1515 1392 41.4% 25.4% 33.2% -0.2 2
2025-10-25 Afturelding W 1-0 1417 1370 56.4% 22.5% 21.1% +3.0 12
2025-10-25 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1370 1417 21.1% 22.5% 56.4% -3.0 6
2025-10-25 Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1445 1392 57.2% 22.3% 20.6% -0.6 4
2025-10-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 3-3 1392 1445 20.6% 22.3% 57.2% +0.6 5
2025-10-25 KA Akureyri L 3-4 1431 1424 51.3% 23.9% 24.8% -5.4 4
2025-10-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-3 1424 1431 24.8% 23.9% 51.3% +5.4 10
2025-10-25 KR Reykjavik L 1-5 1327 1421 37.4% 25.5% 37.1% -14.4 2
2025-10-25 @ IF Vestri W 5-1 1421 1327 37.1% 25.5% 37.4% +14.4 7
2025-10-25 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1622 1534 61.3% 20.8% 18.0% +4.7 15
2025-10-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1534 1622 18.0% 20.8% 61.3% -4.7 5
2025-10-26 Breidablik L 2-3 1515 1544 46.5% 24.8% 28.6% -5.1 2
2025-10-26 @ Stjarnan W 3-2 1544 1515 28.6% 24.8% 46.5% +5.1 8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-05-29 13.04% IA Akranes 1397 4 @ Breidablik 1566 1
2 2025-08-17 15.08% FH Hafnarfjordur 1437 5 @ Breidablik 1569 4
3 2025-05-23 16.16% Fram Reykjavik 1370 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1484 2
4 2025-08-10 18.00% Stjarnan 1498 4 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1585 2
5 2025-04-28 18.08% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1428 3 @ Stjarnan 1514 2
6 2025-07-06 19.38% KA Akureyri 1397 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1465 1
7 2025-04-23 19.39% IF Vestri 1365 2 @ IA Akranes 1433 0
8 2025-05-04 20.04% IF Vestri 1374 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1435 0
9 2025-06-23 21.79% Afturelding 1381 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1420 1
10 2025-07-20 21.84% Valur Reykjavik 1554 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1592 1
11 2025-09-14 22.49% Stjarnan 1518 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1549 1
12 2025-10-04 22.49% IA Akranes 1416 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1447 0
13 2025-04-13 22.71% @ Fram Reykjavik 1356 4 Breidablik 1574 2
14 2025-04-24 23.16% @ Afturelding 1373 1 Vikingur Reykjavik 1586 0
15 2025-06-29 24.19% IA Akranes 1377 2 @ IF Vestri 1390 0
16 2025-10-25 24.81% KA Akureyri 1424 4 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1431 3
17 2025-09-11 25.01% @ IA Akranes 1369 3 Breidablik 1563 0
18 2025-06-01 25.13% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1412 3 @ IA Akranes 1415 0
19 2025-07-05 25.30% Fram Reykjavik 1387 1 @ IA Akranes 1389 0
20 2025-05-19 25.92% FH Hafnarfjordur 1412 3 @ IA Akranes 1408 1
21 2025-08-31 26.92% @ Fram Reykjavik 1379 2 Valur Reykjavik 1555 1
22 2025-09-20 28.03% IA Akranes 1392 4 @ IF Vestri 1368 0
23 2025-08-17 28.44% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1404 4 Valur Reykjavik 1567 1
24 2025-10-26 28.65% Breidablik 1544 3 @ Stjarnan 1515 2
25 2025-09-28 28.89% @ Fram Reykjavik 1384 2 Valur Reykjavik 1542 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-09-14 26.42 Vikingur Reykjavik 7 1581 42.04% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1453 32.61% 25.36%
2 2025-09-28 22.36 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1424 34.76% @ IF Vestri 0 1348 39.75% 25.49%
3 2025-09-20 20.76 IA Akranes 4 1392 28.03% @ IF Vestri 0 1368 47.25% 24.73%
4 2025-05-29 18.27 IA Akranes 4 1397 13.04% @ Breidablik 1 1566 70.10% 16.86%
5 2025-09-11 16.90 @ IA Akranes 3 1369 25.01% Breidablik 0 1563 51.01% 23.99%
6 2025-06-01 16.85 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1412 25.13% @ IA Akranes 0 1415 50.85% 24.02%
7 2025-05-05 14.89 @ Afturelding 3 1369 31.27% Stjarnan 0 1508 43.50% 25.22%
8 2025-07-13 14.51 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1423 52.95% KA Akureyri 0 1403 23.54% 23.51%
9 2025-10-25 14.43 KR Reykjavik 5 1421 37.08% @ IF Vestri 1 1327 37.38% 25.54%
10 2025-05-04 14.26 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1401 33.42% Valur Reykjavik 0 1523 41.16% 25.42%
11 2025-08-17 13.29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1404 28.44% Valur Reykjavik 1 1567 46.75% 24.80%
12 2025-04-23 13.08 IF Vestri 2 1365 19.39% @ IA Akranes 0 1433 58.97% 21.64%
13 2025-04-27 13.02 @ KR Reykjavik 5 1468 56.49% IA Akranes 0 1420 21.03% 22.48%
14 2025-05-04 12.90 IF Vestri 2 1374 20.04% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1435 57.97% 21.99%
15 2025-06-22 12.70 Stjarnan 3 1497 39.17% @ IA Akranes 0 1389 35.32% 25.51%
16 2025-06-27 12.55 Breidablik 4 1561 31.30% @ Stjarnan 1 1510 43.47% 25.23%
17 2025-10-04 12.26 IA Akranes 2 1416 22.49% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1447 54.40% 23.11%
18 2025-06-29 11.83 IA Akranes 2 1377 24.19% @ IF Vestri 0 1390 52.08% 23.73%
19 2025-10-19 11.14 @ KA Akureyri 5 1413 48.38% IA Akranes 1 1428 27.09% 24.53%
20 2025-09-28 10.75 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1384 28.89% Valur Reykjavik 0 1542 46.22% 24.89%
21 2025-05-25 10.65 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1422 29.39% Breidablik 0 1576 45.65% 24.97%
22 2025-06-23 10.49 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1528 57.31% KR Reykjavik 1 1473 20.48% 22.21%
23 2025-08-10 10.43 Stjarnan 4 1498 18.00% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1585 61.19% 20.81%
24 2025-04-28 10.39 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1361 47.82% Afturelding 0 1380 27.55% 24.63%
25 2025-05-04 10.21 @ IA Akranes 3 1407 48.50% KA Akureyri 0 1421 26.99% 24.51%