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2025 Besta deild karla Season

162 games

Final

Champion

Vikingur Reykjavik

57 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 2023.0

Relegated

Afturelding

27 pts

IF Vestri · 29 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Vikingur Reykjavik

5.81 points above expected

57 points · 51.19 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stjarnan

5.19 points below expected

42 points · 47.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 12 6 4 42 47 27 +20 41.04 +0.96
2 Valur Reykjavik 22 12 4 6 40 53 35 +18 37.57 +2.43
3 Stjarnan 22 12 4 6 40 43 35 +8 34.97 +5.03
4 Breidablik 22 9 7 6 34 37 35 +2 39.84 -5.84
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 8 6 8 30 41 35 +6 28.13 +1.87
6 Fram Reykjavik 22 8 5 9 29 32 31 +1 23.74 +5.26
7 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 8 5 9 29 24 28 -4 26.48 +2.52
8 KA Akureyri 22 8 5 9 29 29 39 -10 26.73 +2.27
9 IF Vestri 22 8 3 11 27 23 28 -5 24.42 +2.58
10 KR Reykjavik 22 6 6 10 24 42 51 -9 31.97 -7.97
11 IA Akranes 22 7 1 14 22 26 43 -17 26.85 -4.85
12 Afturelding 22 5 6 11 21 29 39 -10 24.92 -3.92
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik Champion 27 17 6 4 57 58 31 +27 51.19 +5.81
2 Valur Reykjavik 27 13 6 8 45 61 46 +15 47.63 -2.63
3 Stjarnan 27 12 6 9 42 50 45 +5 47.19 -5.19
4 Breidablik 27 11 9 7 42 46 42 +4 41.69 +0.31
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 27 8 10 9 34 49 45 +4 35.51 -1.51
6 Fram Reykjavik 27 9 7 11 34 40 40 0 33.24 +0.76
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 27 11 6 10 39 45 49 -4 36.25 +2.75
2 IA Akranes 27 11 1 15 34 37 50 -13 28.69 +5.31
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 27 9 6 12 33 34 37 -3 36.57 -3.57
4 KR Reykjavik 27 8 7 12 31 55 62 -7 31.59 -0.59
5 IF Vestri Relegated 27 8 5 14 29 26 44 -18 33.07 -4.07
6 Afturelding Relegated 27 6 9 12 27 36 46 -10 27.06 -0.06

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 57 51.19 +5.81
2 IA Akranes 34 28.69 +5.31
3 KA Akureyri 39 36.25 +2.75
4 Fram Reykjavik 34 33.24 +0.76
5 Breidablik 42 41.69 +0.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stjarnan 42 47.19 -5.19
2 IF Vestri 29 33.07 -4.07
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 33 36.57 -3.57
4 Valur Reykjavik 45 47.63 -2.63
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 34 35.51 -1.51

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 5 Sep 11 – Oct 4 1 in 246
2 Stjarnan 5 Aug 10 – Sep 14 1 in 187
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Sep 14 – Oct 25 1 in 61
4 Valur Reykjavik 5 Jun 23 – Jul 27 1 in 60
5 Fram Reykjavik 2 May 18 – May 23 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 3 May 18 – May 29 1 in 34
2 Stjarnan 3 Apr 23 – May 5 1 in 31
3 Breidablik 2 May 25 – May 29 1 in 26
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Jun 15 – Jun 29 1 in 24
5 IF Vestri 4 Jun 22 – Jul 19 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 7 Jun 15 – Aug 6 1 in 99
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 8 Aug 3 – Sep 27 1 in 75
3 Stjarnan 8 Jul 28 – Sep 21 1 in 32
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 Aug 17 – Sep 28 1 in 31
5 KR Reykjavik 6 Apr 6 – May 10 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 9 Jul 26 – Sep 27 1 in 390
2 Afturelding 11 Jun 29 – Sep 21 1 in 55
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 Jul 5 – Aug 10 1 in 43
4 IF Vestri 9 Aug 17 – Oct 25 1 in 22
5 Stjarnan 5 Sep 21 – Oct 26 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vikingur Reykjavik 1604 57 +19 15 9.3 +5.7
Valur Reykjavik 1507 45 -14 5 8.0 -3.0
Breidablik 1526 42 +4 8 7.2 +0.8
Stjarnan 1488 42 -14 2 7.5 -5.5
KA Akureyri 1407 39 +17 10 7.6 +2.4
IA Akranes 1397 34 +28 12 6.7 +5.3
Fram Reykjavik 1370 34 +7 5 4.3 +0.7
FH Hafnarfjordur 1423 34 -2 4 5.4 -1.4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1403 33 +0 4 8.0 -4.0
KR Reykjavik 1413 31 +9 7 7.1 -0.1
IF Vestri 1291 29 -55 2 6.1 -4.1
Afturelding 1344 27 +2 6 6.0 +0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AFT BRE FH FR IA IV IV KA KR STJ VR VR
Afturelding —
0-1-1
1.52
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-2
3.47
1-2-0
3.26
0-2-1
4.67
1-1-1
4.14
1-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.72
1-0-1
1.42
Breidablik
1-1-0
4.08
—
0-1-2
5.18
1-1-1
6.39
0-0-2
4.04
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
4.10
1-1-0
3.93
0-2-0
3.53
3-0-0
4.21
1-1-1
3.99
1-1-1
4.02
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-1-0
3.21
2-1-0
3.13
—
0-2-1
5.13
2-0-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.40
0-2-1
2.94
1-1-1
2.66
0-1-2
2.27
Fram Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-1
2.04
1-2-0
3.17
—
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-1
2.19
0-2-1
3.24
2-0-1
2.74
0-1-2
1.93
IA Akranes
2-0-1
4.82
2-0-0
1.55
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
3.03
—
1-0-2
3.54
2-0-1
4.04
1-0-2
3.76
2-0-1
4.03
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-1
1.76
0-0-2
1.51
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-2-1
5.04
0-1-1
1.90
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-1
4.76
—
1-0-2
4.42
0-1-2
4.60
1-0-2
3.45
2-0-0
2.14
1-0-1
1.81
0-1-1
1.62
IF Vestri
1-2-0
3.63
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-2
4.26
2-0-1
3.86
—
1-1-1
3.31
0-1-2
3.60
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
1.51
KA Akureyri
1-1-1
4.13
0-1-1
1.65
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.94
2-0-1
4.51
2-1-0
3.67
1-1-1
5.00
—
2-1-0
4.10
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.93
0-0-2
1.66
KR Reykjavik
1-1-1
5.35
0-2-0
2.00
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-2
4.25
2-0-1
4.83
2-1-0
4.68
0-1-2
4.18
—
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.93
Stjarnan
1-0-1
3.66
0-0-3
4.06
1-2-0
5.39
1-2-0
5.06
2-0-0
3.45
0-0-2
3.40
1-0-1
3.59
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.00
—
2-0-1
3.48
1-1-1
3.56
Valur Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.87
1-1-1
4.30
1-1-1
5.69
1-0-2
5.59
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
3.74
1-1-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-2
4.81
—
1-1-1
3.17
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
4.20
1-1-1
4.24
2-1-0
6.14
2-1-0
6.54
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.96
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-1
4.72
1-1-1
5.14
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.49 +5.5
Allowed 0.26 -5.6
Differential 0.82 +6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.09%5.25%7.10%2.47%0.62%1.23%19.75%
15.25%11.73%7.41%2.78%2.47%1.23%30.86%
27.10%7.41%6.17%4.63%1.23%0.31%26.85%
32.47%2.78%4.63%2.47%0.93%—13.27%
40.62%2.47%1.23%0.93%0.62%0.31%6.17%
5+1.23%1.23%0.31%—0.31%—3.09%
Total19.75%30.86%26.85%13.27%6.17%3.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.66 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 1.92
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.41%11.11%3.70%——29.63%
13.70%14.81%11.11%3.70%3.70%—37.04%
2—3.70%7.41%———11.11%
33.70%—3.70%3.70%3.70%—14.81%
4—3.70%—3.70%——7.41%
5+———————
Total14.81%29.63%33.33%14.81%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.70 -0.37
SD 1.27 1.14 1.50
CV 0.95 0.67 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
111.11%22.22%7.41%—3.70%—44.44%
27.41%7.41%7.41%—3.70%—25.93%
3—7.41%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
4—3.70%———3.70%7.41%
5+———————
Total18.52%40.74%22.22%7.41%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.56 +0.15
SD 1.07 1.31 1.51
CV 0.63 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%7.41%———18.52%
1—11.11%7.41%7.41%——25.93%
27.41%3.70%11.11%7.41%——29.63%
33.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
4————3.70%—3.70%
5+3.70%———3.70%—7.41%
Total22.22%22.22%29.63%18.52%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.67 +0.15
SD 1.42 1.24 1.63
CV 0.78 0.74 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%7.41%———14.81%
17.41%14.81%11.11%7.41%——40.74%
211.11%3.70%7.41%7.41%——29.63%
33.70%—3.70%3.70%——11.11%
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+———————
Total22.22%25.93%33.33%18.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.48 +0.00
SD 1.01 1.05 1.41
CV 0.68 0.71 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%11.11%7.41%—3.70%29.63%
111.11%—7.41%3.70%3.70%7.41%33.33%
27.41%—3.70%3.70%——14.81%
37.41%3.70%3.70%———14.81%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+———————
Total29.63%14.81%25.93%14.81%3.70%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.85 -0.48
SD 1.28 1.73 2.53
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%22.22%3.70%——40.74%
13.70%11.11%7.41%—3.70%—25.93%
23.70%7.41%————11.11%
33.70%3.70%3.70%—3.70%—14.81%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total25.93%29.63%33.33%3.70%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.37 -0.11
SD 1.43 1.15 1.97
CV 1.14 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.81%11.11%—3.70%3.70%33.33%
17.41%18.52%7.41%—7.41%3.70%44.44%
214.81%—————14.81%
3—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%37.04%22.22%—11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.63 -0.67
SD 0.90 1.52 2.00
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%25.93%
17.41%11.11%—3.70%——22.22%
27.41%7.41%3.70%7.41%—3.70%29.63%
3——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
4—3.70%3.70%3.70%——11.11%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total18.52%33.33%14.81%22.22%3.70%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.81 -0.15
SD 1.44 1.47 2.09
CV 0.86 0.81 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%———3.70%7.41%
13.70%7.41%11.11%——3.70%25.93%
2—11.11%11.11%11.11%7.41%—40.74%
3——3.70%7.41%3.70%—14.81%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total7.41%29.63%25.93%18.52%11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 2.30 -0.26
SD 1.26 1.66 2.35
CV 0.62 0.72 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%—3.70%——11.11%
1—14.81%3.70%3.70%3.70%—25.93%
23.70%18.52%3.70%14.81%——40.74%
33.70%—7.41%———11.11%
4—3.70%7.41%———11.11%
5+———————
Total11.11%40.74%22.22%22.22%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.67 +0.19
SD 1.13 1.07 1.57
CV 0.61 0.64 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.41%3.70%——11.11%
1—11.11%11.11%—3.70%—25.93%
27.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
33.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
4———3.70%3.70%—7.41%
5+—7.41%3.70%———11.11%
Total11.11%37.04%29.63%14.81%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.26 1.70 +0.56
SD 1.65 1.10 2.06
CV 0.73 0.65 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%————7.41%
17.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
214.81%14.81%14.81%—3.70%—48.15%
3—3.70%11.11%———14.81%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total33.33%29.63%29.63%3.70%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 1.15 +1.00
SD 1.38 1.06 1.82
CV 0.64 0.93 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vikingur Reykjavik 1604 57 41.04 +15.96 60.0% 28 30 38 41 45 50 58
Breidablik 1526 42 39.84 +2.16 16.0% 19 27 36 40 44 49 54
Valur Reykjavik 1507 45 37.57 +7.43 67.0% 22 25 33 38 42 46 51
Stjarnan 1488 42 34.97 +7.03 84.0% 21 24 32 35 38 44 48
FH Hafnarfjordur 1423 34 28.13 +5.87 68.0% 14 19 25 28 31 37 40
KR Reykjavik 1413 31 31.97 -0.97 14.0% 15 21 28 32 36 41 45
KA Akureyri 1407 39 26.73 +12.27 67.0% 13 16 23 26 31 36 42
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1403 33 26.48 +6.52 72.0% 13 18 22 26 31 36 44
IA Akranes 1397 34 26.85 +7.15 22.0% 13 16 23 27 30 36 39
Fram Reykjavik 1370 34 23.74 +10.26 86.0% 9 15 20 24 27 31 39
Afturelding 1344 27 24.92 +2.08 32.0% 9 15 20 25 29 36 40
IF Vestri 1291 29 24.42 +4.58 67.0% 11 13 21 25 29 33 38

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.54%
Strong Edge
51.23%24.07%24.69%
Elo Value
Home Edge
223 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
094.48600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.7
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Vikingur Reykjavik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.44/gm
Runaway
00.170.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.75 * Some Luck: 4.75 to 7.12 * Lucky: 7.12 to 9.49 * Wild Swing: 9.49 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.66 * Close: 1.66 to 2.49 * Off: 2.49 to 3.31 * Way Off: 3.31 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.17 * A Surprise: 1.17 to 1.87 * Several Surprises: 1.87 to 2.57 * Many Surprises: 2.57 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.26 points
As Expected
05.9315
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
02.075
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
86.00%
Fram Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
14.00%
KR Reykjavik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.22

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 80.88
1.21
Coin-Flip Parity
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Notable Separation
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.52
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.79
Near-Lock
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.95
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Vikingur Reykjavik36.00%29.00%14.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%————
Valur Reykjavik18.00%26.00%15.00%9.00%15.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%——
Stjarnan8.00%6.00%23.00%22.00%17.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Breidablik32.00%27.00%16.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur1.00%3.00%3.00%10.00%8.00%13.00%17.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%
Fram Reykjavik——1.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%19.00%16.00%
KA Akureyri—2.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%17.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%8.00%12.00%
IA Akranes—1.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%21.00%12.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar—2.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%21.00%12.00%11.00%
KR Reykjavik5.00%3.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%15.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%
IF Vestri———5.00%8.00%4.00%13.00%8.00%14.00%12.00%14.00%22.00%
Afturelding—1.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%12.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%20.00%18.00%
Team123456789101112
Vikingur Reykjavik70.85%20.91%7.48%0.76%————————
Valur Reykjavik16.55%43.05%33.83%6.50%0.07%———————
Stjarnan12.34%33.04%45.56%8.94%0.12%———————
Breidablik0.26%2.99%12.66%74.48%8.61%1.00%——————
FH Hafnarfjordur—0.01%0.43%7.19%66.42%25.95%——————
Fram Reykjavik——0.04%2.13%24.78%73.05%——————
KA Akureyri——————37.23%36.19%17.35%7.10%1.95%0.18%
IA Akranes——————0.66%2.69%7.77%18.57%40.61%29.70%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar——————48.55%30.51%13.99%5.45%1.31%0.19%
KR Reykjavik——————3.89%11.05%23.13%34.93%19.30%7.70%
IF Vestri——————9.53%18.50%34.30%24.41%10.75%2.51%
Afturelding——————0.14%1.06%3.46%9.54%26.08%59.72%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
Stjarnan 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
Vikingur Reykjavik 100% —
Breidablik 98.00% 2.00%
KR Reykjavik 90.00% 10.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur 86.00% 14.00%
KA Akureyri 83.00% 17.00%
IA Akranes 79.00% 21.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 78.00% 22.00%
IF Vestri 69.00% 31.00%
Afturelding 60.00% 40.00%
Fram Reykjavik 57.00% 43.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
Breidablik 100% —
FH Hafnarfjordur 100% —
Fram Reykjavik 100% —
Stjarnan 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
Vikingur Reykjavik 100% —
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 98.50% 1.50%
KA Akureyri 97.87% 2.13%
IF Vestri 86.74% 13.26%
KR Reykjavik 73.00% 27.00%
IA Akranes 29.69% 70.31%
Afturelding 14.20% 85.80%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-04-05 Afturelding W 2-033.2 1548 1354 72.62% 15.60% 11.78%+1.29 +2.9 3
2025-04-05 @ Breidablik L 0-233.2 1354 1548 11.78% 15.60% 72.62%-1.29 -2.9 0
2025-04-06 IA Akranes L 0-144.6 1338 1408 40.78% 25.44% 33.78%+0.11 -5.2 0
2025-04-06 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-044.6 1408 1338 33.78% 25.44% 40.78%-0.11 +5.2 3
2025-04-06 IF Vestri D 1-158.8 1499 1337 69.43% 17.19% 13.38%+1.15 -1.6 1
2025-04-06 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-158.8 1337 1499 13.38% 17.19% 69.43%-1.15 +1.6 1
2025-04-06 KR Reykjavik D 2-262.4 1407 1445 45.17% 25.03% 29.80%+0.25 -0.3 1
2025-04-06 @ KA Akureyri D 2-262.4 1445 1407 29.80% 25.03% 45.17%-0.25 +0.3 1
2025-04-07 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-143.9 1490 1388 62.91% 20.12% 16.97%+0.88 +2.2 3
2025-04-07 @ Stjarnan L 1-243.9 1388 1490 16.97% 20.12% 62.91%-0.88 -2.2 0
2025-04-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-036.5 1554 1405 68.05% 17.85% 14.10%+1.09 +3.6 3
2025-04-07 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-236.5 1405 1554 14.10% 17.85% 68.05%-1.09 -3.6 0
2025-04-13 Breidablik W 4-257.5 1333 1551 22.71% 23.20% 54.09%-0.55 +9.5 3
2025-04-13 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-457.5 1551 1333 54.09% 23.20% 22.71%+0.55 -9.5 3
2025-04-13 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-041.2 1338 1386 43.88% 25.18% 30.93%+0.21 +4.2 4
2025-04-13 @ IF Vestri L 0-141.2 1386 1338 30.93% 25.18% 43.88%-0.21 -4.2 0
2025-04-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-050.7 1351 1401 43.60% 25.21% 31.19%+0.20 -0.4 1
2025-04-13 @ Afturelding D 0-050.7 1401 1351 31.19% 25.21% 43.60%-0.20 +0.3 1
2025-04-13 KA Akureyri W 4-033.8 1557 1407 68.22% 17.77% 14.02%+1.10 +6.8 6
2025-04-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-433.8 1407 1557 14.02% 17.77% 68.22%-1.10 -6.8 1
2025-04-14 IA Akranes W 2-145.6 1493 1413 60.26% 21.17% 18.57%+0.78 +2.5 6
2025-04-14 @ Stjarnan L 1-245.6 1413 1493 18.57% 21.17% 60.26%-0.78 -2.4 3
2025-04-14 Valur Reykjavik D 3-369.7 1446 1497 43.29% 25.25% 31.47%+0.19 -0.2 2
2025-04-14 @ KR Reykjavik D 3-369.7 1497 1446 31.47% 25.25% 43.29%-0.19 +0.2 2
2025-04-23 IF Vestri L 0-245.3 1411 1343 58.96% 21.64% 19.39%+0.73 -13.1 3
2025-04-23 @ IA Akranes W 2-045.3 1343 1411 19.39% 21.64% 58.96%-0.73 +13.1 7
2025-04-23 KA Akureyri W 3-141.6 1498 1400 62.42% 20.32% 17.26%+0.86 +3.9 5
2025-04-23 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-341.6 1400 1498 17.26% 20.32% 62.42%-0.86 -3.9 1
2025-04-23 KR Reykjavik D 2-261.7 1382 1445 41.66% 25.38% 32.96%+0.14 -0.2 1
2025-04-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-261.7 1445 1382 32.96% 25.38% 41.66%-0.14 +0.2 3
2025-04-23 Stjarnan W 2-151.5 1542 1495 56.33% 22.53% 21.14%+0.63 +2.8 6
2025-04-23 @ Breidablik L 1-251.5 1495 1542 21.14% 22.53% 56.33%-0.63 -2.8 6
2025-04-24 Fram Reykjavik W 3-139.2 1401 1343 57.79% 22.05% 20.16%+0.69 +4.6 4
2025-04-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-339.2 1343 1401 20.16% 22.05% 57.79%-0.69 -4.6 3
2025-04-24 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-052.0 1351 1564 23.16% 23.37% 53.47%-0.53 +6.4 4
2025-04-24 @ Afturelding L 0-152.0 1564 1351 53.47% 23.37% 23.16%+0.53 -6.4 6
2025-04-27 Breidablik L 0-143.4 1356 1544 25.53% 24.13% 50.34%-0.42 -3.6 7
2025-04-27 @ IF Vestri W 1-043.4 1544 1356 50.34% 24.13% 25.53%+0.42 +3.5 9
2025-04-27 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-249.8 1396 1382 52.21% 23.70% 24.09%+0.49 +3.0 4
2025-04-27 @ KA Akureyri L 2-349.8 1382 1396 24.09% 23.70% 52.21%-0.49 -3.0 1
2025-04-27 IA Akranes W 5-034.1 1446 1398 56.45% 22.49% 21.05%+0.64 +13.0 6
2025-04-27 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-534.1 1398 1446 21.05% 22.49% 56.45%-0.64 -13.0 3
2025-04-28 Afturelding W 3-033.7 1338 1357 47.79% 24.63% 27.58%+0.34 +10.4 6
2025-04-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-333.7 1357 1338 27.58% 24.63% 47.79%-0.34 -10.4 4
2025-04-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-363.3 1492 1406 61.08% 20.85% 18.06%+0.81 -6.4 6
2025-04-28 @ Stjarnan W 3-263.3 1406 1492 18.06% 20.85% 61.08%-0.81 +6.4 7
2025-04-28 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-164.1 1502 1557 42.72% 25.30% 31.98%+0.17 -0.3 6
2025-04-28 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-164.1 1557 1502 31.98% 25.30% 42.72%-0.17 +0.3 7
2025-05-04 IF Vestri L 0-245.4 1412 1352 57.99% 21.98% 20.03%+0.69 -12.9 7
2025-05-04 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-045.4 1352 1412 20.03% 21.98% 57.99%-0.69 +12.9 10
2025-05-04 KA Akureyri W 3-034.9 1385 1399 48.47% 24.51% 27.02%+0.36 +10.2 6
2025-05-04 @ IA Akranes L 0-334.9 1399 1385 27.02% 24.51% 48.47%-0.36 -10.2 4
2025-05-04 Valur Reykjavik W 3-041.9 1379 1501 33.35% 25.41% 41.24%-0.13 +14.3 4
2025-05-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-341.9 1501 1379 41.24% 25.41% 33.35%+0.13 -14.3 6
2025-05-05 Fram Reykjavik W 3-246.7 1558 1349 74.06% 14.86% 11.08%+1.36 +1.3 10
2025-05-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-346.7 1349 1558 11.08% 14.86% 74.06%-1.36 -1.3 6
2025-05-05 KR Reykjavik D 3-373.4 1548 1459 61.46% 20.70% 17.83%+0.82 -0.8 10
2025-05-05 @ Breidablik D 3-373.4 1459 1548 17.83% 20.70% 61.46%-0.82 +0.8 7
2025-05-05 Stjarnan W 3-041.2 1347 1486 31.24% 25.22% 43.54%-0.20 +14.9 7
2025-05-05 @ Afturelding L 0-341.2 1486 1347 43.54% 25.22% 31.24%+0.20 -14.9 6
2025-05-10 Afturelding W 2-035.5 1365 1362 50.77% 24.04% 25.19%+0.44 +6.6 13
2025-05-10 @ IF Vestri L 0-235.5 1362 1365 25.19% 24.04% 50.77%-0.44 -6.6 7
2025-05-10 Fram Reykjavik W 2-032.9 1471 1347 65.33% 19.09% 15.58%+0.98 +4.0 9
2025-05-10 @ Stjarnan L 0-232.9 1347 1471 15.58% 19.09% 65.33%-0.98 -4.0 6
2025-05-10 IA Akranes W 6-136.9 1487 1395 61.75% 20.59% 17.66%+0.84 +9.0 9
2025-05-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-636.9 1395 1487 17.66% 20.59% 61.75%-0.84 -9.0 6
2025-05-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-139.2 1459 1399 57.94% 22.00% 20.06%+0.69 +6.5 10
2025-05-10 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-439.2 1399 1459 20.06% 22.00% 57.94%-0.69 -6.5 7
2025-05-11 Breidablik L 0-145.8 1389 1547 28.85% 24.88% 46.27%-0.29 -3.9 4
2025-05-11 @ KA Akureyri W 1-045.8 1547 1389 46.27% 24.88% 28.85%+0.29 +4.0 13
2025-05-11 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-141.2 1559 1393 69.83% 16.99% 13.18%+1.17 +2.9 13
2025-05-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-341.2 1393 1559 13.18% 16.99% 69.83%-1.17 -2.9 4
2025-05-18 IF Vestri W 1-040.2 1343 1372 46.54% 24.84% 28.62%+0.30 +3.9 9
2025-05-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-140.2 1372 1343 28.62% 24.84% 46.54%-0.30 -3.9 13
2025-05-18 KA Akureyri D 0-051.6 1393 1385 51.43% 23.89% 24.68%+0.46 -0.8 8
2025-05-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-051.6 1385 1393 24.68% 23.89% 51.43%-0.46 +0.8 5
2025-05-18 KR Reykjavik W 4-359.2 1355 1466 34.97% 25.50% 39.53%-0.07 +4.4 10
2025-05-18 @ Afturelding L 3-459.2 1466 1355 39.53% 25.50% 34.97%+0.07 -4.4 10
2025-05-19 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-349.3 1386 1390 49.82% 24.25% 25.94%+0.41 -9.9 6
2025-05-19 @ IA Akranes W 3-149.3 1390 1386 25.94% 24.25% 49.82%-0.41 +9.9 7
2025-05-19 Valur Reykjavik W 2-151.6 1551 1496 57.39% 22.19% 20.43%+0.67 +2.7 16
2025-05-19 @ Breidablik L 1-251.6 1496 1551 20.43% 22.19% 57.39%-0.67 -2.7 9
2025-05-19 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-268.7 1475 1562 38.31% 25.53% 36.15%+0.03 -0.0 10
2025-05-19 @ Stjarnan D 2-268.7 1562 1475 36.15% 25.53% 38.31%-0.03 +0.0 14
2025-05-23 Fram Reykjavik L 2-361.3 1461 1347 64.28% 19.54% 16.17%+0.94 -6.6 10
2025-05-23 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-261.3 1347 1461 16.17% 19.54% 64.28%-0.94 +6.6 12
2025-05-24 Afturelding W 1-038.5 1386 1360 53.72% 23.30% 22.98%+0.54 +3.2 8
2025-05-24 @ KA Akureyri L 0-138.5 1360 1386 22.98% 23.30% 53.72%-0.54 -3.2 10
2025-05-24 IA Akranes W 2-143.2 1562 1376 71.81% 16.01% 12.18%+1.26 +1.5 17
2025-05-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-243.2 1376 1562 12.18% 16.01% 71.81%-1.26 -1.5 6
2025-05-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-033.3 1493 1392 62.80% 20.17% 17.03%+0.88 +6.5 12
2025-05-24 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-333.3 1392 1493 17.03% 20.17% 62.80%-0.88 -6.5 8
2025-05-24 Stjarnan W 3-148.0 1368 1475 35.43% 25.51% 39.06%-0.06 +8.2 16
2025-05-24 @ IF Vestri L 1-348.0 1475 1368 39.06% 25.51% 35.43%+0.06 -8.2 10
2025-05-25 Breidablik W 2-047.9 1400 1554 29.40% 24.97% 45.63%-0.27 +10.7 10
2025-05-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-247.9 1554 1400 45.63% 24.97% 29.40%+0.27 -10.6 16
2025-05-29 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-146.5 1386 1411 47.01% 24.76% 28.23%+0.31 +3.6 11
2025-05-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-246.5 1411 1386 28.23% 24.76% 47.01%-0.31 -3.7 10
2025-05-29 IA Akranes L 1-454.5 1543 1375 70.10% 16.86% 13.04%+1.18 -18.3 16
2025-05-29 @ Breidablik W 4-154.5 1375 1543 13.04% 16.86% 70.10%-1.18 +18.3 9
2025-05-29 KA Akureyri L 1-250.8 1354 1389 45.63% 24.97% 29.40%+0.27 -5.3 12
2025-05-29 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-150.8 1389 1354 29.40% 24.97% 45.63%-0.27 +5.3 11
2025-05-29 KR Reykjavik W 4-249.9 1467 1455 51.93% 23.77% 24.30%+0.48 +5.0 13
2025-05-29 @ Stjarnan L 2-449.9 1455 1467 24.30% 23.77% 51.93%-0.48 -5.0 10
2025-05-29 Valur Reykjavik L 0-240.3 1356 1500 30.69% 25.15% 44.15%-0.22 -7.8 10
2025-05-29 @ Afturelding W 2-040.3 1500 1356 44.15% 25.15% 30.69%+0.22 +7.8 15
2025-05-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-144.8 1376 1563 25.66% 24.17% 50.17%-0.42 -3.6 16
2025-05-29 @ IF Vestri W 1-044.8 1563 1376 50.17% 24.17% 25.66%+0.42 +3.6 20
2025-06-01 Afturelding D 0-051.7 1407 1349 57.76% 22.06% 20.18%+0.69 -1.2 11
2025-06-01 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-051.7 1349 1407 20.18% 22.06% 57.76%-0.69 +1.2 11
2025-06-01 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-341.9 1393 1389 50.83% 24.03% 25.15%+0.44 -16.9 9
2025-06-01 @ IA Akranes W 3-041.9 1389 1393 25.15% 24.03% 50.83%-0.44 +16.9 14
2025-06-01 IF Vestri W 2-143.2 1450 1372 60.05% 21.25% 18.70%+0.77 +2.5 13
2025-06-01 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-243.2 1372 1450 18.70% 21.25% 60.05%-0.77 -2.5 16
2025-06-01 Stjarnan D 1-157.2 1394 1472 39.65% 25.49% 34.85%+0.08 -0.1 12
2025-06-01 @ KA Akureyri D 1-157.2 1472 1394 34.85% 25.49% 39.65%-0.08 +0.1 14
2025-06-01 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-153.9 1525 1567 44.67% 25.09% 30.24%+0.24 +6.7 19
2025-06-01 @ Breidablik L 1-353.9 1567 1525 30.24% 25.09% 44.67%-0.24 -6.7 20
2025-06-02 Fram Reykjavik W 2-141.4 1508 1348 69.11% 17.34% 13.55%+1.14 +1.7 18
2025-06-02 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-241.4 1348 1508 13.55% 17.34% 69.11%-1.14 -1.7 12
2025-06-14 Valur Reykjavik W 3-258.0 1472 1509 45.30% 25.01% 29.69%+0.26 +3.6 17
2025-06-14 @ Stjarnan L 2-358.0 1509 1472 29.69% 25.01% 45.30%-0.26 -3.6 18
2025-06-15 Breidablik L 0-243.7 1406 1532 32.95% 25.38% 41.67%-0.14 -8.3 14
2025-06-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-043.7 1532 1406 41.67% 25.38% 32.95%+0.14 +8.3 22
2025-06-15 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-038.5 1347 1406 42.28% 25.34% 32.39%+0.16 +8.2 15
2025-06-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-238.5 1406 1347 32.39% 25.34% 42.28%-0.16 -8.2 11
2025-06-15 IA Akranes W 4-139.7 1350 1376 46.83% 24.79% 28.38%+0.31 +9.0 14
2025-06-15 @ Afturelding L 1-439.7 1376 1350 28.38% 24.79% 46.83%-0.31 -9.0 9
2025-06-15 KA Akureyri W 1-040.9 1370 1394 47.12% 24.75% 28.13%+0.32 +3.9 19
2025-06-15 @ IF Vestri L 0-140.9 1394 1370 28.13% 24.75% 47.12%-0.32 -3.9 12
2025-06-16 KR Reykjavik W 3-253.7 1560 1452 63.59% 19.84% 16.57%+0.91 +2.0 23
2025-06-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-353.7 1452 1560 16.57% 19.84% 63.59%-0.91 -2.0 13
2025-06-22 IF Vestri W 2-035.5 1398 1374 53.47% 23.37% 23.16%+0.53 +6.1 14
2025-06-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-235.5 1374 1398 23.16% 23.37% 53.47%-0.53 -6.1 19
2025-06-22 Stjarnan L 0-339.1 1367 1475 35.27% 25.51% 39.22%-0.06 -12.7 9
2025-06-22 @ IA Akranes W 3-039.1 1475 1367 39.22% 25.51% 35.27%+0.06 +12.7 20
2025-06-22 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-242.2 1390 1562 27.30% 24.57% 48.12%-0.35 -7.1 12
2025-06-22 @ KA Akureyri W 2-042.2 1562 1390 48.12% 24.57% 27.30%+0.35 +7.1 26
2025-06-23 Afturelding L 1-253.3 1398 1359 55.39% 22.82% 21.79%+0.60 -6.2 14
2025-06-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-153.3 1359 1398 21.79% 22.82% 55.39%-0.60 +6.2 17
2025-06-23 Fram Reykjavik D 1-160.9 1540 1355 71.74% 16.05% 12.21%+1.25 -1.7 23
2025-06-23 @ Breidablik D 1-160.9 1355 1540 12.21% 16.05% 71.74%-1.25 +1.7 16
2025-06-23 KR Reykjavik W 6-140.7 1506 1450 57.41% 22.18% 20.41%+0.67 +10.5 21
2025-06-23 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-640.7 1450 1506 20.41% 22.18% 57.41%-0.67 -10.5 13
2025-06-27 Breidablik L 1-453.1 1488 1538 43.52% 25.22% 31.26%+0.20 -12.5 20
2025-06-27 @ Stjarnan W 4-153.1 1538 1488 31.26% 25.22% 43.52%-0.20 +12.6 26
2025-06-27 Valur Reykjavik L 2-548.3 1383 1516 31.97% 25.30% 42.73%-0.17 -8.6 12
2025-06-27 @ KA Akureyri W 5-248.3 1516 1383 42.73% 25.30% 31.97%+0.17 +8.6 24
2025-06-29 Afturelding W 2-142.5 1569 1365 73.62% 15.09% 11.29%+1.34 +1.4 29
2025-06-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-242.5 1365 1569 11.29% 15.09% 73.62%-1.34 -1.4 17
2025-06-29 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-250.6 1440 1404 54.99% 22.94% 22.07%+0.58 +2.8 16
2025-06-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-350.6 1404 1440 22.07% 22.94% 54.99%-0.58 -2.8 14
2025-06-29 IA Akranes L 0-243.4 1368 1354 52.09% 23.73% 24.18%+0.48 -11.8 19
2025-06-29 @ IF Vestri W 2-043.4 1354 1368 24.18% 23.73% 52.09%-0.48 +11.8 12
2025-06-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-037.4 1357 1392 45.62% 24.97% 29.41%+0.27 +7.6 19
2025-06-29 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-237.4 1392 1357 29.41% 24.97% 45.62%-0.27 -7.6 14
2025-07-03 Breidablik D 2-264.6 1364 1551 25.68% 24.18% 50.14%-0.42 +0.5 18
2025-07-03 @ Afturelding D 2-264.6 1551 1364 50.14% 24.18% 25.68%+0.42 -0.5 27
2025-07-05 Fram Reykjavik L 0-146.8 1366 1364 50.63% 24.07% 25.30%+0.43 -6.1 12
2025-07-05 @ IA Akranes W 1-046.8 1364 1366 25.30% 24.07% 50.63%-0.43 +6.1 22
2025-07-05 Valur Reykjavik L 0-239.9 1356 1525 27.67% 24.65% 47.68%-0.33 -7.2 19
2025-07-05 @ IF Vestri W 2-039.9 1525 1356 47.68% 24.65% 27.67%+0.33 +7.2 27
2025-07-05 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-056.6 1384 1571 25.75% 24.19% 50.06%-0.41 +0.7 15
2025-07-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-056.6 1571 1384 50.06% 24.19% 25.75%+0.41 -0.7 30
2025-07-06 KA Akureyri L 1-255.3 1443 1374 58.93% 21.65% 19.41%+0.73 -6.5 16
2025-07-06 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-155.3 1374 1443 19.41% 21.65% 58.93%-0.73 +6.5 15
2025-07-07 Stjarnan D 1-157.5 1401 1476 40.08% 25.48% 34.44%+0.09 -0.1 15
2025-07-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-157.5 1476 1401 34.44% 25.48% 40.08%-0.09 +0.1 21
2025-07-13 KA Akureyri W 5-033.7 1401 1381 52.95% 23.51% 23.54%+0.51 +14.5 18
2025-07-13 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-533.7 1381 1401 23.54% 23.51% 52.95%-0.51 -14.5 15
2025-07-14 KR Reykjavik W 1-043.7 1360 1436 39.89% 25.48% 34.62%+0.08 +4.6 15
2025-07-14 @ IA Akranes L 0-143.7 1436 1360 34.62% 25.48% 39.89%-0.08 -4.6 16
2025-07-14 Stjarnan W 1-046.0 1385 1476 37.75% 25.54% 36.71%+0.02 +4.8 18
2025-07-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-146.0 1476 1385 36.71% 25.54% 37.75%-0.02 -4.8 21
2025-07-17 Fram Reykjavik D 1-154.6 1364 1370 49.53% 24.30% 26.16%+0.40 -0.6 19
2025-07-17 @ Afturelding D 1-154.6 1370 1364 26.16% 24.30% 49.53%-0.40 +0.6 23
2025-07-19 IA Akranes W 2-035.6 1366 1365 50.60% 24.08% 25.33%+0.43 +6.6 18
2025-07-19 @ KA Akureyri L 0-235.6 1365 1366 25.33% 24.08% 50.60%-0.43 -6.6 15
2025-07-19 IF Vestri W 1-036.5 1550 1349 73.37% 15.22% 11.41%+1.33 +1.5 30
2025-07-19 @ Breidablik L 0-136.5 1349 1550 11.41% 15.22% 73.37%-1.33 -1.5 19
2025-07-20 Valur Reykjavik L 1-264.1 1570 1532 55.28% 22.86% 21.87%+0.59 -6.2 30
2025-07-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-164.1 1532 1570 21.87% 22.86% 55.28%-0.59 +6.2 30
2025-07-26 Breidablik D 1-161.2 1431 1552 33.62% 25.43% 40.95%-0.12 +0.2 17
2025-07-26 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-161.2 1552 1431 40.95% 25.43% 33.62%+0.12 -0.2 31
2025-07-27 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-142.7 1538 1415 65.22% 19.14% 15.64%+0.97 +3.5 33
2025-07-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-342.7 1415 1538 15.64% 19.14% 65.22%-0.97 -3.5 18
2025-07-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-037.5 1347 1390 44.60% 25.10% 30.30%+0.23 +7.8 22
2025-07-27 @ IF Vestri L 0-237.5 1390 1347 30.30% 25.10% 44.60%-0.23 -7.8 18
2025-07-27 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-265.4 1371 1564 25.10% 24.01% 50.89%-0.44 +0.5 24
2025-07-27 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-265.4 1564 1371 50.89% 24.01% 25.10%+0.44 -0.5 31
2025-07-28 Afturelding W 4-136.9 1471 1363 63.52% 19.87% 16.61%+0.91 +5.3 24
2025-07-28 @ Stjarnan L 1-436.9 1363 1471 16.61% 19.87% 63.52%-0.91 -5.3 19
2025-08-02 KR Reykjavik W 2-147.9 1382 1432 43.59% 25.21% 31.20%+0.20 +4.0 21
2025-08-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-247.9 1432 1382 31.20% 25.21% 43.59%-0.20 -4.0 17
2025-08-03 KA Akureyri D 1-161.8 1552 1373 71.10% 16.37% 12.53%+1.22 -1.6 32
2025-08-03 @ Breidablik D 1-161.8 1373 1552 12.53% 16.37% 71.10%-1.22 +1.6 19
2025-08-03 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-266.6 1412 1563 29.69% 25.01% 45.30%-0.26 +0.3 19
2025-08-03 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-266.6 1563 1412 45.30% 25.01% 29.69%+0.26 -0.3 32
2025-08-05 Valur Reykjavik D 2-264.1 1358 1542 26.08% 24.28% 49.64%-0.40 +0.5 16
2025-08-05 @ IA Akranes D 2-264.1 1542 1358 49.64% 24.28% 26.08%+0.40 -0.5 34
2025-08-06 IF Vestri D 1-154.3 1358 1355 50.79% 24.03% 25.18%+0.44 -0.7 20
2025-08-06 @ Afturelding D 1-154.3 1355 1358 25.18% 24.03% 50.79%-0.44 +0.7 23
2025-08-06 Stjarnan D 1-156.7 1371 1476 35.76% 25.52% 38.72%-0.05 +0.1 25
2025-08-06 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-156.7 1476 1371 38.72% 25.52% 35.76%+0.05 -0.1 25
2025-08-10 Breidablik W 2-155.6 1541 1550 49.17% 24.38% 26.46%+0.38 +3.5 37
2025-08-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-255.6 1550 1541 26.46% 24.38% 49.17%-0.38 -3.4 32
2025-08-10 Fram Reykjavik W 3-250.1 1356 1371 48.23% 24.56% 27.22%+0.35 +3.4 26
2025-08-10 @ IF Vestri L 2-350.1 1371 1356 27.22% 24.56% 48.23%-0.35 -3.4 25
2025-08-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-040.3 1375 1386 48.88% 24.43% 26.69%+0.37 +3.7 22
2025-08-10 @ KA Akureyri L 0-140.3 1386 1375 26.69% 24.43% 48.88%-0.37 -3.7 21
2025-08-10 Stjarnan L 2-464.4 1563 1476 61.16% 20.82% 18.01%+0.81 -10.4 32
2025-08-10 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-264.4 1476 1563 18.01% 20.82% 61.16%-0.81 +10.4 28
2025-08-11 Afturelding W 2-142.6 1428 1357 59.19% 21.56% 19.25%+0.74 +2.5 20
2025-08-11 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-242.6 1357 1428 19.25% 21.56% 59.19%-0.74 -2.5 20
2025-08-11 IA Akranes W 3-248.2 1412 1358 57.19% 22.25% 20.56%+0.66 +2.6 22
2025-08-11 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-348.2 1358 1412 20.56% 22.25% 57.19%-0.66 -2.6 16
2025-08-17 FH Hafnarfjordur L 4-571.0 1547 1415 66.23% 18.69% 15.09%+1.01 -6.5 32
2025-08-17 @ Breidablik W 5-471.0 1415 1547 15.09% 18.69% 66.23%-1.01 +6.5 25
2025-08-17 IF Vestri W 2-142.1 1487 1359 65.77% 18.89% 15.34%+1.00 +2.0 31
2025-08-17 @ Stjarnan L 1-242.1 1359 1487 15.34% 18.89% 65.77%-1.00 -2.0 26
2025-08-17 KA Akureyri D 3-364.4 1355 1378 47.21% 24.73% 28.06%+0.32 -0.3 21
2025-08-17 @ Afturelding D 3-364.4 1378 1355 28.06% 24.73% 47.21%-0.32 +0.3 23
2025-08-17 Valur Reykjavik W 4-150.2 1382 1545 28.41% 24.80% 46.79%-0.30 +13.3 24
2025-08-17 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-450.2 1545 1382 46.79% 24.80% 28.41%+0.30 -13.3 37
2025-08-17 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-143.4 1356 1553 24.72% 23.90% 51.38%-0.46 -3.4 16
2025-08-17 @ IA Akranes W 1-043.4 1553 1356 51.38% 23.90% 24.72%+0.46 +3.4 35
2025-08-18 KR Reykjavik L 0-145.9 1368 1430 41.86% 25.37% 32.77%+0.15 -5.3 25
2025-08-18 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-045.9 1430 1368 32.77% 25.37% 41.86%-0.15 +5.3 23
2025-08-24 Fram Reykjavik W 2-035.2 1379 1363 52.43% 23.64% 23.93%+0.49 +6.3 26
2025-08-24 @ KA Akureyri L 0-235.2 1363 1379 23.93% 23.64% 52.43%-0.49 -6.3 25
2025-08-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-156.5 1421 1395 53.71% 23.31% 22.98%+0.54 -0.8 26
2025-08-24 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-156.5 1395 1421 22.98% 23.31% 53.71%-0.54 +0.8 25
2025-08-25 Stjarnan L 1-254.8 1435 1489 43.12% 25.26% 31.62%+0.19 -5.1 23
2025-08-25 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-154.8 1489 1435 31.62% 25.26% 43.12%-0.19 +5.1 34
2025-08-26 Afturelding W 4-350.3 1531 1355 70.91% 16.46% 12.63%+1.22 +1.5 40
2025-08-26 @ Valur Reykjavik L 3-450.3 1355 1531 12.63% 16.46% 70.91%-1.22 -1.5 21
2025-08-26 IF Vestri W 4-136.4 1556 1357 73.12% 15.35% 11.53%+1.32 +3.5 38
2025-08-26 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-436.4 1357 1556 11.53% 15.35% 73.12%-1.32 -3.5 26
2025-08-31 Breidablik D 2-271.5 1560 1540 52.89% 23.52% 23.58%+0.51 -0.6 39
2025-08-31 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-271.5 1540 1560 23.58% 23.52% 52.89%-0.51 +0.6 33
2025-08-31 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-250.1 1353 1420 41.12% 25.42% 33.46%+0.12 -4.9 21
2025-08-31 @ Afturelding W 2-150.1 1420 1353 33.46% 25.42% 41.12%-0.12 +4.9 29
2025-08-31 IA Akranes W 2-034.3 1396 1352 55.97% 22.64% 21.38%+0.62 +5.7 28
2025-08-31 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-234.3 1352 1396 21.38% 22.64% 55.97%-0.62 -5.7 16
2025-08-31 KA Akureyri W 3-249.0 1494 1385 63.65% 19.81% 16.54%+0.91 +2.0 37
2025-08-31 @ Stjarnan L 2-349.0 1385 1494 16.54% 19.81% 63.65%-0.91 -2.0 26
2025-08-31 KR Reykjavik D 1-155.1 1353 1430 39.75% 25.49% 34.76%+0.08 -0.1 27
2025-08-31 @ IF Vestri D 1-155.1 1430 1353 34.76% 25.49% 39.75%-0.08 +0.1 24
2025-08-31 Valur Reykjavik W 2-155.0 1357 1533 26.87% 24.48% 48.65%-0.37 +5.6 28
2025-08-31 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-255.0 1533 1357 48.65% 24.48% 26.87%+0.37 -5.6 40
2025-09-11 Breidablik W 3-044.7 1347 1541 25.01% 23.99% 51.01%-0.45 +16.9 19
2025-09-11 @ IA Akranes L 0-344.7 1541 1347 51.01% 23.99% 25.01%+0.45 -16.9 33
2025-09-14 Fram Reykjavik D 2-261.8 1425 1362 58.35% 21.86% 19.79%+0.71 -0.8 30
2025-09-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-261.8 1362 1425 19.79% 21.86% 58.35%-0.71 +0.8 29
2025-09-14 IF Vestri W 4-137.6 1383 1353 54.20% 23.17% 22.63%+0.56 +7.3 29
2025-09-14 @ KA Akureyri L 1-437.6 1353 1383 22.63% 23.17% 54.20%-0.56 -7.3 27
2025-09-14 Stjarnan L 1-261.2 1527 1496 54.42% 23.11% 22.47%+0.56 -6.1 40
2025-09-14 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-161.2 1496 1527 22.47% 23.11% 54.42%-0.56 +6.1 40
2025-09-14 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-745.2 1430 1559 32.56% 25.35% 42.08%-0.15 -26.4 24
2025-09-14 @ KR Reykjavik W 7-045.2 1559 1430 42.08% 25.35% 32.56%+0.15 +26.4 42
2025-09-15 Afturelding W 3-140.3 1364 1348 52.37% 23.66% 23.97%+0.49 +5.5 22
2025-09-15 @ IA Akranes L 1-340.3 1348 1364 23.97% 23.66% 52.37%-0.49 -5.5 21
2025-09-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-161.0 1524 1402 65.13% 19.18% 15.69%+0.97 -1.4 34
2025-09-15 @ Breidablik D 1-161.0 1402 1524 15.69% 19.18% 65.13%-0.97 +1.4 29

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-09-20 IA Akranes L 0-439.4 1346 1369 47.25% 24.72% 28.02%+0.32 -20.8 0
2025-09-20 @ IF Vestri W 4-039.4 1369 1346 28.02% 24.72% 47.25%-0.32 +20.8 3
2025-09-21 Afturelding D 1-155.5 1403 1343 58.02% 21.97% 20.00%+0.69 -1.0 1
2025-09-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-155.5 1343 1403 20.00% 21.97% 58.02%-0.69 +1.0 1
2025-09-21 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-056.5 1502 1425 60.03% 21.25% 18.72%+0.77 -1.3 1
2025-09-21 @ Stjarnan D 0-056.5 1425 1502 18.72% 21.25% 60.03%-0.77 +1.3 1
2025-09-21 Fram Reykjavik W 2-142.5 1585 1363 75.29% 14.22% 10.49%+1.42 +1.3 3
2025-09-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-242.5 1363 1585 10.49% 14.22% 75.29%-1.42 -1.3 0
2025-09-21 KR Reykjavik W 4-247.3 1390 1404 48.52% 24.50% 26.98%+0.36 +5.4 3
2025-09-21 @ KA Akureyri L 2-447.3 1404 1390 26.98% 24.50% 48.52%-0.36 -5.4 0
2025-09-22 Breidablik D 1-163.8 1521 1522 50.17% 24.17% 25.66%+0.42 -0.7 1
2025-09-22 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-163.8 1522 1521 25.66% 24.17% 50.17%-0.42 +0.6 1
2025-09-27 Breidablik D 1-159.9 1426 1523 36.84% 25.54% 37.62%-0.01 +0.0 2
2025-09-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-159.9 1523 1426 37.62% 25.54% 36.84%+0.01 -0.0 2
2025-09-27 KR Reykjavik W 3-251.0 1390 1399 49.20% 24.37% 26.43%+0.38 +3.3 6
2025-09-27 @ IA Akranes L 2-351.0 1399 1390 26.43% 24.37% 49.20%-0.38 -3.3 0
2025-09-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-538.2 1325 1402 39.73% 25.49% 34.78%+0.08 -22.3 0
2025-09-28 @ IF Vestri W 5-038.2 1402 1325 34.78% 25.49% 39.73%-0.08 +22.3 4
2025-09-28 KA Akureyri W 3-251.8 1344 1396 43.28% 25.25% 31.47%+0.19 +3.8 4
2025-09-28 @ Afturelding L 2-351.8 1396 1344 31.47% 25.25% 43.28%-0.19 -3.8 3
2025-09-28 Valur Reykjavik W 2-045.6 1362 1520 28.84% 24.88% 46.28%-0.29 +10.8 3
2025-09-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-245.6 1520 1362 46.28% 24.88% 28.84%+0.29 -10.8 1
2025-09-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-364.7 1501 1587 38.44% 25.53% 36.04%+0.04 -4.4 1
2025-09-29 @ Stjarnan W 3-264.7 1587 1501 36.04% 25.53% 38.44%-0.04 +4.4 6
2025-10-04 Afturelding D 2-260.8 1395 1348 56.46% 22.49% 21.05%+0.64 -0.7 1
2025-10-04 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-260.8 1348 1395 21.05% 22.49% 56.46%-0.64 +0.7 5
2025-10-04 IA Akranes L 0-245.8 1425 1393 54.42% 23.11% 22.47%+0.56 -12.3 4
2025-10-04 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-045.8 1393 1425 22.47% 23.11% 54.42%-0.56 +12.3 9
2025-10-04 Stjarnan W 3-256.9 1510 1496 52.12% 23.72% 24.16%+0.48 +3.0 4
2025-10-04 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-356.9 1496 1510 24.16% 23.72% 52.12%-0.48 -3.0 1
2025-10-05 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-038.2 1591 1426 69.74% 17.04% 13.22%+1.16 +3.3 9
2025-10-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-238.2 1426 1591 13.22% 17.04% 69.74%-1.16 -3.3 2
2025-10-05 Fram Reykjavik W 3-139.8 1523 1372 68.23% 17.76% 14.01%+1.10 +3.1 5
2025-10-05 @ Breidablik L 1-339.8 1372 1523 14.01% 17.76% 68.23%-1.10 -3.1 3
2025-10-05 IF Vestri D 1-155.1 1392 1303 61.41% 20.72% 17.86%+0.82 -1.2 4
2025-10-05 @ KA Akureyri D 1-155.1 1303 1392 17.86% 20.72% 61.41%-0.82 +1.2 1
2025-10-18 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-261.2 1526 1594 40.98% 25.43% 33.59%+0.12 -4.9 5
2025-10-18 @ Breidablik W 2-161.2 1594 1526 33.59% 25.43% 40.98%-0.12 +4.9 12
2025-10-19 FH Hafnarfjordur D 4-473.0 1513 1423 61.53% 20.68% 17.79%+0.83 -0.7 5
2025-10-19 @ Valur Reykjavik D 4-473.0 1423 1513 17.79% 20.68% 61.53%-0.83 +0.7 3
2025-10-19 IA Akranes W 5-139.1 1391 1405 48.40% 24.52% 27.08%+0.36 +11.1 7
2025-10-19 @ KA Akureyri L 1-539.1 1405 1391 27.08% 24.52% 48.40%-0.36 -11.1 9
2025-10-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-146.4 1395 1412 47.99% 24.60% 27.41%+0.34 +3.6 4
2025-10-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-246.4 1412 1395 27.41% 24.60% 47.99%-0.34 -3.6 4
2025-10-19 IF Vestri D 1-154.1 1348 1304 56.02% 22.63% 21.35%+0.62 -0.9 6
2025-10-19 @ Afturelding D 1-154.1 1304 1348 21.35% 22.63% 56.02%-0.62 +0.9 2
2025-10-20 Stjarnan D 1-157.1 1369 1493 33.18% 25.40% 41.42%-0.13 +0.2 4
2025-10-20 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-157.1 1493 1369 41.42% 25.40% 33.18%+0.13 -0.2 2
2025-10-25 Afturelding W 1-037.7 1394 1347 56.36% 22.52% 21.12%+0.63 +3.0 12
2025-10-25 @ IA Akranes L 0-137.7 1347 1394 21.12% 22.52% 56.36%-0.63 -3.0 6
2025-10-25 Fram Reykjavik D 3-366.2 1423 1370 57.18% 22.26% 20.56%+0.66 -0.6 4
2025-10-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 3-366.2 1370 1423 20.56% 22.26% 57.18%-0.66 +0.6 5
2025-10-25 KA Akureyri L 3-462.0 1409 1402 51.26% 23.93% 24.81%+0.45 -5.4 4
2025-10-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-362.0 1402 1409 24.81% 23.93% 51.26%-0.45 +5.4 10
2025-10-25 KR Reykjavik L 1-540.9 1305 1398 37.42% 25.54% 37.04%+0.01 -14.4 2
2025-10-25 @ IF Vestri W 5-140.9 1398 1305 37.04% 25.54% 37.42%-0.01 +14.4 7
2025-10-25 Valur Reykjavik W 2-044.0 1599 1512 61.21% 20.80% 17.98%+0.81 +4.7 15
2025-10-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-244.0 1512 1599 17.98% 20.80% 61.21%-0.81 -4.7 5
2025-10-26 Breidablik L 2-364.3 1493 1521 46.55% 24.84% 28.61%+0.30 -5.1 2
2025-10-26 @ Stjarnan W 3-264.3 1521 1493 28.61% 24.84% 46.55%-0.30 +5.1 8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-05-29 13.04% IA Akranes 1375 4 @ Breidablik 1543 1
2 2025-08-17 15.09% FH Hafnarfjordur 1415 5 @ Breidablik 1547 4
3 2025-05-23 16.17% Fram Reykjavik 1347 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1461 2
4 2025-08-10 18.01% Stjarnan 1476 4 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1563 2
5 2025-04-28 18.06% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1406 3 @ Stjarnan 1492 2
6 2025-04-23 19.39% IF Vestri 1343 2 @ IA Akranes 1411 0
7 2025-07-06 19.41% KA Akureyri 1374 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1443 1
8 2025-05-04 20.03% IF Vestri 1352 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1412 0
9 2025-06-23 21.79% Afturelding 1359 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1398 1
10 2025-07-20 21.87% Valur Reykjavik 1532 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1570 1
11 2025-09-14 22.47% Stjarnan 1496 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1527 1
12 2025-10-04 22.47% IA Akranes 1393 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1425 0
13 2025-04-13 22.71% @ Fram Reykjavik 1333 4 Breidablik 1551 2
14 2025-04-24 23.16% @ Afturelding 1351 1 Vikingur Reykjavik 1564 0
15 2025-06-29 24.18% IA Akranes 1354 2 @ IF Vestri 1368 0
16 2025-10-25 24.81% KA Akureyri 1402 4 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1409 3
17 2025-09-11 25.01% @ IA Akranes 1347 3 Breidablik 1541 0
18 2025-06-01 25.15% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1389 3 @ IA Akranes 1393 0
19 2025-07-05 25.30% Fram Reykjavik 1364 1 @ IA Akranes 1366 0
20 2025-05-19 25.94% FH Hafnarfjordur 1390 3 @ IA Akranes 1386 1
21 2025-08-31 26.87% @ Fram Reykjavik 1357 2 Valur Reykjavik 1533 1
22 2025-09-20 28.02% IA Akranes 1369 4 @ IF Vestri 1346 0
23 2025-08-17 28.41% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1382 4 Valur Reykjavik 1545 1
24 2025-10-26 28.61% Breidablik 1521 3 @ Stjarnan 1493 2
25 2025-09-28 28.84% @ Fram Reykjavik 1362 2 Valur Reykjavik 1520 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-09-14 26.40 Vikingur Reykjavik 7 1559 42.08% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1430 32.56% 25.35%
2 2025-09-28 22.35 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1402 34.78% @ IF Vestri 0 1325 39.73% 25.49%
3 2025-09-20 20.76 IA Akranes 4 1369 28.02% @ IF Vestri 0 1346 47.25% 24.72%
4 2025-05-29 18.28 IA Akranes 4 1375 13.04% @ Breidablik 1 1543 70.10% 16.86%
5 2025-09-11 16.90 @ IA Akranes 3 1347 25.01% Breidablik 0 1541 51.01% 23.99%
6 2025-06-01 16.85 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1389 25.15% @ IA Akranes 0 1393 50.83% 24.03%
7 2025-05-05 14.90 @ Afturelding 3 1347 31.24% Stjarnan 0 1486 43.54% 25.22%
8 2025-07-13 14.52 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1401 52.95% KA Akureyri 0 1381 23.54% 23.51%
9 2025-10-25 14.44 KR Reykjavik 5 1398 37.04% @ IF Vestri 1 1305 37.42% 25.54%
10 2025-05-04 14.28 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1379 33.35% Valur Reykjavik 0 1501 41.24% 25.41%
11 2025-08-17 13.30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1382 28.41% Valur Reykjavik 1 1545 46.79% 24.80%
12 2025-04-23 13.07 IF Vestri 2 1343 19.39% @ IA Akranes 0 1411 58.96% 21.64%
13 2025-04-27 13.03 @ KR Reykjavik 5 1446 56.45% IA Akranes 0 1398 21.05% 22.49%
14 2025-05-04 12.91 IF Vestri 2 1352 20.03% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1412 57.99% 21.98%
15 2025-06-22 12.69 Stjarnan 3 1475 39.22% @ IA Akranes 0 1367 35.27% 25.51%
16 2025-06-27 12.55 Breidablik 4 1538 31.26% @ Stjarnan 1 1488 43.52% 25.22%
17 2025-10-04 12.26 IA Akranes 2 1393 22.47% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1425 54.42% 23.11%
18 2025-06-29 11.83 IA Akranes 2 1354 24.18% @ IF Vestri 0 1368 52.09% 23.73%
19 2025-10-19 11.14 @ KA Akureyri 5 1391 48.40% IA Akranes 1 1405 27.08% 24.52%
20 2025-09-28 10.77 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1362 28.84% Valur Reykjavik 0 1520 46.28% 24.88%
21 2025-05-25 10.65 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1400 29.40% Breidablik 0 1554 45.63% 24.97%
22 2025-06-23 10.46 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1506 57.41% KR Reykjavik 1 1450 20.41% 22.18%
23 2025-08-10 10.43 Stjarnan 4 1476 18.01% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1563 61.16% 20.82%
24 2025-04-28 10.40 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1338 47.79% Afturelding 0 1357 27.58% 24.63%
25 2025-05-04 10.22 @ IA Akranes 3 1385 48.47% KA Akureyri 0 1399 27.02% 24.51%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-05-05 73.4 @ Breidablik 3 1548 61.46% KR Reykjavik 3 1459 17.83% 20.70%
2 2025-10-19 73.0 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1513 61.53% FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1423 17.79% 20.68%
3 2025-08-31 71.5 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1560 52.89% Breidablik 2 1540 23.58% 23.52%
4 2025-08-17 71.0 FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1415 15.09% @ Breidablik 4 1547 66.23% 18.69%
5 2025-04-14 69.7 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1446 43.29% Valur Reykjavik 3 1497 31.47% 25.25%
6 2025-05-19 68.7 @ Stjarnan 2 1475 38.31% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1562 36.15% 25.53%
7 2025-08-03 66.6 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1412 29.69% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1563 45.30% 25.01%
8 2025-10-25 66.2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1423 57.18% Fram Reykjavik 3 1370 20.56% 22.26%
9 2025-07-27 65.4 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1371 25.10% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1564 50.89% 24.01%
10 2025-09-29 64.7 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1587 36.04% @ Stjarnan 2 1501 38.44% 25.53%
11 2025-07-03 64.6 @ Afturelding 2 1364 25.68% Breidablik 2 1551 50.14% 24.18%
12 2025-08-10 64.4 Stjarnan 4 1476 18.01% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1563 61.16% 20.82%
13 2025-08-17 64.4 @ Afturelding 3 1355 47.21% KA Akureyri 3 1378 28.06% 24.73%
14 2025-10-26 64.3 Breidablik 3 1521 28.61% @ Stjarnan 2 1493 46.55% 24.84%
15 2025-04-28 64.1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1502 42.72% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1557 31.98% 25.30%
16 2025-07-20 64.1 Valur Reykjavik 2 1532 21.87% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1570 55.28% 22.86%
17 2025-08-05 64.1 @ IA Akranes 2 1358 26.08% Valur Reykjavik 2 1542 49.64% 24.28%
18 2025-09-22 63.8 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1521 50.17% Breidablik 1 1522 25.66% 24.17%
19 2025-04-28 63.3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1406 18.06% @ Stjarnan 2 1492 61.08% 20.85%
20 2025-04-06 62.4 @ KA Akureyri 2 1407 45.17% KR Reykjavik 2 1445 29.80% 25.03%
21 2025-10-25 62.0 KA Akureyri 4 1402 24.81% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1409 51.26% 23.93%
22 2025-08-03 61.8 @ Breidablik 1 1552 71.10% KA Akureyri 1 1373 12.53% 16.37%
23 2025-09-14 61.8 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1425 58.35% Fram Reykjavik 2 1362 19.79% 21.86%
24 2025-04-23 61.7 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1382 41.66% KR Reykjavik 2 1445 32.96% 25.38%
25 2025-05-23 61.3 Fram Reykjavik 3 1347 16.17% @ KR Reykjavik 2 1461 64.28% 19.54%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-05-10 32.9 @ Stjarnan 2 1471 65.33% Fram Reykjavik 0 1347 15.58% 19.09%
2 2025-04-05 33.2 @ Breidablik 2 1548 72.62% Afturelding 0 1354 11.78% 15.60%
3 2025-05-24 33.3 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1493 62.80% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1392 17.03% 20.17%
4 2025-04-28 33.7 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1338 47.79% Afturelding 0 1357 27.58% 24.63%
5 2025-07-13 33.7 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1401 52.95% KA Akureyri 0 1381 23.54% 23.51%
6 2025-04-13 33.8 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1557 68.22% KA Akureyri 0 1407 14.02% 17.77%
7 2025-04-27 34.1 @ KR Reykjavik 5 1446 56.45% IA Akranes 0 1398 21.05% 22.49%
8 2025-08-31 34.3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1396 55.97% IA Akranes 0 1352 21.38% 22.64%
9 2025-05-04 34.9 @ IA Akranes 3 1385 48.47% KA Akureyri 0 1399 27.02% 24.51%
10 2025-08-24 35.2 @ KA Akureyri 2 1379 52.43% Fram Reykjavik 0 1363 23.93% 23.64%
11 2025-05-10 35.5 @ IF Vestri 2 1365 50.77% Afturelding 0 1362 25.19% 24.04%
12 2025-06-22 35.5 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1398 53.47% IF Vestri 0 1374 23.16% 23.37%
13 2025-07-19 35.6 @ KA Akureyri 2 1366 50.60% IA Akranes 0 1365 25.33% 24.08%
14 2025-08-26 36.4 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1556 73.12% IF Vestri 1 1357 11.53% 15.35%
15 2025-04-07 36.5 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1554 68.05% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1405 14.10% 17.85%
16 2025-07-19 36.5 @ Breidablik 1 1550 73.37% IF Vestri 0 1349 11.41% 15.22%
17 2025-05-10 36.9 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1487 61.75% IA Akranes 1 1395 17.66% 20.59%
18 2025-07-28 36.9 @ Stjarnan 4 1471 63.52% Afturelding 1 1363 16.61% 19.87%
19 2025-06-29 37.4 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1357 45.62% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1392 29.41% 24.97%
20 2025-07-27 37.5 @ IF Vestri 2 1347 44.60% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1390 30.30% 25.10%
21 2025-09-14 37.6 @ KA Akureyri 4 1383 54.20% IF Vestri 1 1353 22.63% 23.17%
22 2025-10-25 37.7 @ IA Akranes 1 1394 56.36% Afturelding 0 1347 21.12% 22.52%
23 2025-09-28 38.2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1402 34.78% @ IF Vestri 0 1325 39.73% 25.49%
24 2025-10-05 38.2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1591 69.74% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1426 13.22% 17.04%
25 2025-05-24 38.5 @ KA Akureyri 1 1386 53.72% Afturelding 0 1360 22.98% 23.30%