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2024 Besta deild karla Season

162 games

Final

Champion

Breidablik

62 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 2022.0

Relegated

Fylkir Reykjavik

21 pts

HK Kopavogur · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

KR Reykjavik

15.25 points above expected

34 points · 49.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vikingur Reykjavik

48.90 points below expected

59 points · 107.90 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 15 4 3 49 56 23 +33 45.95 +3.05
2 Breidablik 22 15 4 3 49 53 28 +25 36.69 +12.31
3 Valur Reykjavik 22 11 5 6 38 53 33 +20 40.18 -2.18
4 IA Akranes 22 10 4 8 34 41 31 +10 30.90 +3.10
5 Stjarnan 22 10 4 8 34 40 35 +5 37.04 -3.04
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 9 6 7 33 39 38 +1 30.68 +2.32
7 Fram Reykjavik 22 7 6 9 27 31 32 -1 26.21 +0.79
8 KA Akureyri 22 7 6 9 27 32 38 -6 27.01 -0.01
9 KR Reykjavik 22 5 6 11 21 35 46 -11 27.67 -6.67
10 HK Kopavogur 22 6 2 14 20 26 56 -30 20.07 -0.07
11 IF Vestri 22 4 6 12 18 22 43 -21 22.05 -4.05
12 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 4 5 13 17 26 51 -25 22.04 -5.04
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Breidablik Champion 27 19 5 3 62 63 31 +32 57.10 +4.90
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 27 18 5 4 59 68 33 +35 58.90 +0.10
3 Valur Reykjavik 27 12 8 7 44 66 42 +24 45.15 -1.15
4 Stjarnan 27 12 6 9 42 51 43 +8 40.82 +1.18
5 IA Akranes 27 11 4 12 37 49 47 +2 39.15 -2.15
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 27 9 7 11 34 43 50 -7 37.51 -3.51
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 27 10 7 10 37 44 48 -4 35.80 +1.20
2 KR Reykjavik 27 9 7 11 34 56 49 +7 28.25 +5.75
3 Fram Reykjavik 27 8 6 13 30 38 49 -11 35.04 -5.04
4 IF Vestri 27 6 7 14 25 32 53 -21 23.99 +1.01
5 HK Kopavogur Relegated 27 7 4 16 25 34 71 -37 25.08 -0.08
6 Fylkir Reykjavik Relegated 27 5 6 16 21 32 60 -28 23.37 -2.37

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vikingur Reykjavik 1607 59 45.95 +13.05 73.8% 24 37 42 46 50 55 64
Breidablik 1604 62 36.69 +25.31 98.5% 16 27 33 37 41 46 59
Valur Reykjavik 1513 44 40.18 +3.82 38.6% 18 30 36 40 44 50 64
Stjarnan 1503 42 37.04 +4.96 33.1% 15 27 33 37 41 47 56
KR Reykjavik 1431 34 27.67 +6.33 14.7% 8 18 24 28 32 37 50
KA Akureyri 1369 37 27.01 +9.99 53.8% 7 17 23 27 31 37 51
IA Akranes 1369 37 30.90 +6.10 73.2% 12 21 27 31 35 41 55
FH Hafnarfjordur 1337 34 30.68 +3.32 68.0% 10 21 27 31 35 41 55
Fylkir Reykjavik 1258 21 22.04 -1.04 21.4% 4 13 18 22 26 31 47
Fram Reykjavik 1253 30 26.21 +3.79 59.0% 6 17 22 26 30 36 48
IF Vestri 1252 25 22.05 +2.95 27.0% 4 13 18 22 26 31 46
HK Kopavogur 1192 25 20.07 +4.93 54.1% 1 11 16 20 24 29 41

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR FR HK IA IV KA KR STJ VR VR
Breidablik —
2-0-1
5.15
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.39
2-1-0
5.52
1-1-0
3.84
2-0-0
3.88
2-0-0
3.33
2-1-0
4.49
1-1-1
4.30
1-1-1
2.71
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-0-2
3.16
 —
0-2-0
3.11
2-0-0
3.49
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-1
3.70
2-0-0
3.64
1-1-0
2.92
0-0-2
3.20
0-0-3
2.97
0-3-0
2.97
0-0-3
2.03
Fram Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.90
0-2-0
2.43
 —
2-1-0
5.09
0-0-3
5.14
0-1-1
2.49
2-0-1
4.49
0-0-3
4.03
2-0-1
3.76
1-1-0
1.92
1-1-0
1.50
0-0-2
1.17
Fylkir Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
2.05
0-1-2
3.22
 —
2-1-0
4.24
1-0-1
1.81
2-1-0
3.78
0-1-2
3.24
0-1-2
3.37
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-2
0.96
HK Kopavogur
0-0-2
1.22
0-0-2
1.91
3-0-0
3.17
0-1-2
4.05
 —
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-2
3.51
0-2-1
3.06
2-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
1.35
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
0.85
IA Akranes
0-1-2
2.80
1-1-1
4.60
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.74
2-0-0
3.39
 —
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.36
0-0-3
3.23
1-0-2
2.61
1-0-2
2.21
IF Vestri
0-1-1
1.72
0-0-2
1.90
1-0-2
3.81
0-1-2
4.52
2-1-0
4.80
0-1-1
1.88
 —
1-0-2
3.23
1-2-0
3.01
1-0-1
1.39
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
0.98
KA Akureyri
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
2.62
3-0-0
4.26
2-1-0
5.06
1-2-0
5.27
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-1
5.08
 —
0-2-1
4.52
0-1-1
2.03
1-0-1
1.70
1-0-1
1.19
KR Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.22
2-0-0
2.34
1-0-2
4.55
2-1-0
4.94
1-0-2
5.80
1-0-1
2.18
0-2-1
5.30
1-2-0
3.78
 —
1-1-0
2.04
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
1.18
Stjarnan
0-1-2
3.81
3-0-0
5.36
0-1-1
3.63
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
4.23
3-0-0
5.09
1-0-1
4.19
1-1-0
3.52
0-1-1
3.50
 —
1-1-1
3.83
0-1-2
2.82
Valur Reykjavik
1-1-1
4.00
0-3-0
5.34
0-1-1
4.07
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-1
5.72
2-0-0
4.32
1-0-1
3.85
2-0-0
3.95
1-1-1
4.47
 —
0-1-2
3.26
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-1-1
5.61
3-0-0
6.35
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
4.67
1-0-1
4.80
2-0-1
6.15
1-1-0
4.66
1-0-1
4.41
1-1-0
4.42
2-1-0
5.51
2-1-0
5.05
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +8.7
Allowed 0.81 -10.7
Differential 0.88 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.47%5.56%4.94%2.78%1.54%1.23%18.52%
15.56%9.88%5.86%3.70%2.47%2.16%29.63%
24.94%5.86%8.02%4.63%2.16%0.31%25.93%
32.78%3.70%4.63%1.85%0.93%0.62%14.51%
41.54%2.47%2.16%0.93%——7.10%
5+1.23%2.16%0.31%0.62%——4.32%
Total18.52%29.63%25.93%14.51%7.10%4.32%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.78 +0.00
SD 1.43 1.43 2.17
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%————3.70%
13.70%7.41%——3.70%—14.81%
214.81%14.81%11.11%3.70%——44.44%
311.11%3.70%7.41%———22.22%
43.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
5+———3.70%——3.70%
Total33.33%33.33%22.22%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 1.15 +1.19
SD 1.11 1.10 1.52
CV 0.48 0.96 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
13.70%11.11%3.70%—3.70%—22.22%
27.41%3.70%7.41%7.41%3.70%—29.63%
3—7.41%11.11%7.41%——25.93%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%29.63%29.63%22.22%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.85 -0.26
SD 1.12 1.13 1.56
CV 0.70 0.61 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%————14.81%
17.41%11.11%14.81%3.70%7.41%3.70%48.15%
27.41%7.41%—3.70%3.70%—22.22%
3—3.70%—7.41%——11.11%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total18.52%37.04%14.81%14.81%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.81 -0.41
SD 1.01 1.64 1.87
CV 0.72 0.90 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%7.41%7.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%40.74%
1—3.70%3.70%7.41%—3.70%18.52%
23.70%—7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%22.22%
33.70%7.41%3.70%—3.70%—18.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.52%18.52%22.22%18.52%11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 2.22 -1.04
SD 1.18 1.69 2.08
CV 0.99 0.76 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%14.81%—3.70%7.41%29.63%
13.70%7.41%11.11%7.41%—7.41%37.04%
2—11.11%3.70%———14.81%
3—3.70%3.70%3.70%—3.70%14.81%
4———3.70%——3.70%
5+———————
Total3.70%25.93%33.33%14.81%3.70%18.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 2.63 -1.37
SD 1.16 1.92 2.42
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
17.41%11.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%37.04%
2—7.41%——3.70%—11.11%
33.70%—7.41%—3.70%—14.81%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total22.22%29.63%22.22%11.11%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.74 +0.07
SD 1.86 1.53 2.72
CV 1.03 0.88 —
Max 8 6 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%11.11%3.70%3.70%—29.63%
17.41%7.41%3.70%11.11%3.70%3.70%37.04%
23.70%3.70%11.11%7.41%——25.93%
3———————
4——7.41%———7.41%
5+———————
Total18.52%14.81%33.33%22.22%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.96 -0.78
SD 1.11 1.34 1.72
CV 0.94 0.68 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%——3.70%3.70%14.81%
17.41%18.52%3.70%3.70%——33.33%
23.70%11.11%3.70%11.11%3.70%—33.33%
3—3.70%3.70%3.70%——11.11%
4—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
5+———————
Total11.11%44.44%14.81%18.52%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.78 -0.15
SD 1.11 1.31 1.77
CV 0.68 0.74 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
17.41%11.11%7.41%—3.70%—29.63%
2—3.70%14.81%7.41%3.70%—29.63%
3—3.70%———3.70%7.41%
43.70%—3.70%3.70%——11.11%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total14.81%29.63%29.63%14.81%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 1.81 +0.26
SD 1.84 1.30 2.38
CV 0.89 0.72 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.70%—3.70%—7.41%
111.11%11.11%11.11%3.70%—3.70%40.74%
27.41%—11.11%—3.70%—22.22%
37.41%3.70%3.70%—3.70%—18.52%
4—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total29.63%18.52%33.33%3.70%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.59 +0.30
SD 1.25 1.45 2.13
CV 0.66 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%3.70%———14.81%
1—7.41%——3.70%—11.11%
23.70%3.70%18.52%11.11%——37.04%
3—7.41%3.70%———11.11%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+—14.81%—3.70%——18.52%
Total11.11%44.44%25.93%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.44 1.56 +0.89
SD 1.72 1.01 2.08
CV 0.70 0.65 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%—3.70%——7.41%
17.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
27.41%3.70%7.41%———18.52%
37.41%—11.11%———18.52%
43.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
5+3.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
Total29.63%29.63%29.63%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.52 1.22 +1.30
SD 1.60 1.01 1.98
CV 0.64 0.83 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 34 49.25 -15.25
2 IF Vestri 25 41.99 -16.99
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 21 40.37 -19.37
4 HK Kopavogur 25 45.08 -20.08
5 KA Akureyri 37 62.80 -25.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 59 107.90 -48.90
2 Breidablik 62 106.10 -44.10
3 Valur Reykjavik 44 83.15 -39.15
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 34 70.51 -36.51
5 IA Akranes 37 73.15 -36.15

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 7 Aug 15 – Sep 29 1 in 97
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 Apr 13 – May 4 1 in 53
3 HK Kopavogur 2 May 5 – May 12 1 in 44
4 KR Reykjavik 4 Sep 29 – Oct 26 1 in 28
5 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jul 11 – Jul 28 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 4 Aug 12 – Sep 1 1 in 40
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 Apr 21 – May 20 1 in 27
3 KA Akureyri 3 Apr 13 – Apr 28 1 in 21
4 Valur Reykjavik 2 Jul 28 – Aug 6 1 in 21
5 KR Reykjavik 2 Apr 20 – Apr 28 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KA Akureyri 10 Jun 23 – Aug 25 1 in 354
2 Breidablik 14 Jul 6 – Oct 27 1 in 87
3 Fram Reykjavik 5 Apr 20 – May 21 1 in 34
4 Stjarnan 8 Aug 11 – Oct 6 1 in 32
5 IF Vestri 3 Aug 7 – Aug 17 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 9 May 25 – Jul 29 1 in 50
2 KA Akureyri 6 Apr 7 – May 11 1 in 21
3 IF Vestri 9 Jun 18 – Aug 11 1 in 18
4 IA Akranes 4 Jul 15 – Aug 7 1 in 13
5 Fram Reykjavik 6 May 10 – Jun 23 1 in 12

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Breidablik7.67%18.14%22.58%18.92%12.53%8.45%5.45%3.21%1.70%0.82%0.46%0.07%
Vikingur Reykjavik63.53%21.74%8.74%3.69%1.43%0.48%0.28%0.08%0.02%0.01%——
Valur Reykjavik18.12%30.86%21.59%13.37%7.78%4.31%2.14%0.94%0.50%0.24%0.14%0.01%
Stjarnan7.80%17.50%22.36%19.62%13.64%8.19%5.05%3.07%1.55%0.87%0.27%0.08%
IA Akranes1.12%4.53%8.08%12.63%16.60%16.24%12.92%10.70%7.37%5.57%3.03%1.21%
FH Hafnarfjordur1.06%3.64%7.91%12.08%15.60%15.78%14.24%10.72%8.42%5.62%3.16%1.77%
KA Akureyri0.22%1.12%2.42%5.83%8.93%12.11%13.93%15.37%14.10%12.07%8.76%5.14%
KR Reykjavik0.28%1.38%3.01%6.37%9.78%12.99%14.44%15.01%13.75%10.71%7.78%4.50%
Fram Reykjavik0.16%0.85%2.27%4.73%7.86%10.92%14.02%14.54%15.01%12.79%10.09%6.76%
IF Vestri0.02%0.09%0.44%1.10%2.25%4.12%6.75%10.15%14.01%18.11%21.59%21.37%
HK Kopavogur—0.03%0.13%0.55%1.28%2.15%4.34%6.14%10.32%15.32%22.83%36.91%
Fylkir Reykjavik0.02%0.12%0.47%1.11%2.32%4.26%6.44%10.07%13.25%17.87%21.89%22.18%
Team123456789101112
Breidablik31.29%68.41%0.30%—————————
Vikingur Reykjavik68.70%31.20%0.10%—————————
Valur Reykjavik0.01%0.39%75.86%17.71%5.19%0.84%——————
Stjarnan——14.59%41.44%29.21%14.76%——————
IA Akranes——6.86%28.63%38.20%26.31%——————
FH Hafnarfjordur——2.29%12.22%27.40%58.09%——————
KA Akureyri——————51.96%41.99%5.30%0.70%0.05%—
KR Reykjavik——————1.51%9.39%52.86%21.99%10.28%3.97%
Fram Reykjavik——————46.28%45.26%7.23%1.16%0.05%0.02%
IF Vestri——————0.02%0.99%10.51%23.65%32.60%32.23%
HK Kopavogur——————0.21%1.87%16.34%33.68%28.49%19.41%
Fylkir Reykjavik——————0.02%0.50%7.76%18.82%28.53%44.37%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.81%
Slight Edge
46.30%22.22%31.48%
Elo Value
Home Edge
146 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
051.85400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
8%
Breidablik, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Photo Finish
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.63 * Some Luck: 4.63 to 6.95 * Lucky: 6.95 to 9.26 * Wild Swing: 9.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 2 * Off: 2 to 2.67 * Way Off: 2.67 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.9 * A Surprise: 0.9 to 1.44 * Several Surprises: 1.44 to 1.98 * Many Surprises: 1.98 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.80 points
Some Luck
05.7914
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.674
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.47%
Breidablik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
14.72%
KR Reykjavik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.64
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Strong Edge
50%93%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Very Frequent
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.67
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Near-Lock
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.03
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.046
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Vikingur Reykjavik 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 99.96% 0.04%
Breidablik 99.92% 0.08%
Stjarnan 99.88% 0.12%
IA Akranes 96.94% 3.06%
FH Hafnarfjordur 95.65% 4.35%
KA Akureyri 89.87% 10.13%
KR Reykjavik 87.40% 12.60%
Fram Reykjavik 84.49% 15.51%
Fylkir Reykjavik 56.06% 43.94%
IF Vestri 54.40% 45.60%
HK Kopavogur 35.43% 64.57%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Breidablik 100% —
FH Hafnarfjordur 100% —
IA Akranes 100% —
Stjarnan 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
Vikingur Reykjavik 100% —
KA Akureyri 99.95% 0.05%
Fram Reykjavik 99.93% 0.07%
KR Reykjavik 85.75% 14.25%
HK Kopavogur 52.10% 47.90%
IF Vestri 35.17% 64.83%
Fylkir Reykjavik 27.10% 72.90%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2024-04-06 Stjarnan W 2-0 1549 1509 50.7% 23.1% 26.2% +14.8 3
2024-04-06 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1509 1549 26.2% 23.1% 50.7% -14.8 0
2024-04-07 HK Kopavogur D 1-1 1377 1311 53.7% 22.8% 23.5% -1.8 1
2024-04-07 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1311 1377 23.5% 22.8% 53.7% +1.8 1
2024-04-07 IA Akranes W 2-0 1482 1356 60.3% 21.8% 17.9% +10.6 3
2024-04-07 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1356 1482 17.9% 21.8% 60.3% -10.6 0
2024-04-07 IF Vestri W 2-0 1309 1344 40.6% 23.5% 35.8% +19.0 3
2024-04-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1344 1309 35.8% 23.5% 40.6% -19.0 0
2024-04-07 KR Reykjavik L 3-4 1337 1359 42.4% 23.5% 34.1% -10.1 0
2024-04-07 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-3 1359 1337 34.1% 23.5% 42.4% +10.1 3
2024-04-08 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1385 1369 47.5% 23.3% 29.2% +16.2 3
2024-04-08 @ Breidablik L 0-2 1369 1385 29.2% 23.3% 47.5% -16.2 0
2024-04-12 KR Reykjavik L 1-3 1494 1369 60.1% 21.8% 18.1% -25.4 0
2024-04-12 @ Stjarnan W 3-1 1369 1494 18.1% 21.8% 60.1% +25.4 6
2024-04-13 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-3 1375 1353 48.3% 23.2% 28.4% -11.5 1
2024-04-13 @ KA Akureyri W 3-2 1353 1375 28.4% 23.2% 48.3% +11.5 3
2024-04-13 IF Vestri W 4-0 1401 1325 54.9% 22.6% 22.5% +24.6 6
2024-04-13 @ Breidablik L 0-4 1325 1401 22.5% 22.6% 54.9% -24.6 0
2024-04-14 IA Akranes L 0-4 1313 1346 40.9% 23.5% 35.5% -40.1 1
2024-04-14 @ HK Kopavogur W 4-0 1346 1313 35.5% 23.5% 40.9% +40.0 3
2024-04-14 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1327 1493 23.9% 22.8% 53.3% +1.9 1
2024-04-14 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-0 1493 1327 53.3% 22.8% 23.9% -1.9 4
2024-04-15 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1328 1564 17.4% 21.7% 60.9% -5.5 3
2024-04-15 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1564 1328 60.9% 21.7% 17.4% +5.5 6
2024-04-19 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1468 1491 42.3% 23.5% 34.1% +9.7 3
2024-04-19 @ Stjarnan L 0-1 1491 1468 34.1% 23.5% 42.3% -9.7 4
2024-04-20 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1273 1364 32.7% 23.5% 43.8% -17.7 1
2024-04-20 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-0 1364 1273 43.8% 23.5% 32.7% +17.7 6
2024-04-20 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1395 1323 54.4% 22.7% 22.9% -14.2 6
2024-04-20 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1323 1395 22.9% 22.7% 54.4% +14.2 6
2024-04-21 Breidablik W 4-1 1570 1426 62.0% 21.4% 16.5% +12.0 9
2024-04-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-4 1426 1570 16.5% 21.4% 62.0% -12.0 6
2024-04-21 Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-1 1386 1329 52.6% 22.9% 24.5% +22.1 6
2024-04-21 @ IA Akranes L 1-5 1329 1386 24.5% 22.9% 52.6% -22.1 1
2024-04-21 IF Vestri L 0-1 1363 1300 53.4% 22.8% 23.8% -14.0 1
2024-04-21 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1300 1363 23.8% 22.8% 53.4% +14.0 3
2024-04-28 Breidablik L 2-3 1381 1414 40.9% 23.5% 35.6% -10.0 6
2024-04-28 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1414 1381 35.6% 23.5% 40.9% +10.0 9
2024-04-28 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1408 1382 48.8% 23.2% 28.0% -12.2 6
2024-04-28 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 1382 1408 28.0% 23.2% 48.8% +12.2 9
2024-04-28 HK Kopavogur W 1-0 1314 1255 52.9% 22.9% 24.2% +7.3 6
2024-04-28 @ IF Vestri L 0-1 1255 1314 24.2% 22.9% 52.9% -7.3 1
2024-04-28 KA Akureyri W 4-2 1582 1349 69.6% 19.4% 11.0% +5.0 12
2024-04-28 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-4 1349 1582 11.0% 19.4% 69.6% -5.0 1
2024-04-29 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1481 1337 62.1% 21.4% 16.5% -2.8 5
2024-04-29 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1337 1481 16.5% 21.4% 62.1% +2.8 7
2024-04-29 Stjarnan L 0-1 1307 1478 23.4% 22.8% 53.9% -7.1 1
2024-04-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-0 1478 1307 53.9% 22.8% 23.4% +7.1 6
2024-05-04 IF Vestri W 3-2 1394 1322 54.5% 22.7% 22.8% +6.2 12
2024-05-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-3 1322 1394 22.8% 22.7% 54.5% -6.2 6
2024-05-05 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1340 1300 50.6% 23.1% 26.4% +7.4 10
2024-05-05 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1300 1340 26.4% 23.1% 50.6% -7.4 1
2024-05-05 IA Akranes W 4-1 1485 1396 56.4% 22.4% 21.1% +15.0 9
2024-05-05 @ Stjarnan L 1-4 1396 1485 21.1% 22.4% 56.4% -15.0 6
2024-05-05 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1344 1371 41.8% 23.5% 34.6% -0.4 2
2024-05-05 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1371 1344 34.6% 23.5% 41.8% +0.4 7
2024-05-05 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 1248 1587 10.9% 19.3% 69.8% +29.1 4
2024-05-05 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-3 1587 1248 69.8% 19.3% 10.9% -29.1 12
2024-05-06 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1424 1479 37.8% 23.6% 38.7% -9.4 9
2024-05-06 @ Breidablik W 3-2 1479 1424 38.7% 23.6% 37.8% +9.4 8
2024-05-10 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1500 1347 62.9% 21.3% 15.9% -2.9 10
2024-05-10 @ Stjarnan D 1-1 1347 1500 15.9% 21.3% 62.9% +2.9 11
2024-05-11 IF Vestri W 3-0 1381 1315 53.6% 22.8% 23.6% +19.6 9
2024-05-11 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1315 1381 23.6% 22.8% 53.6% -19.6 6
2024-05-11 KA Akureyri W 3-1 1488 1344 62.0% 21.4% 16.5% +8.5 11
2024-05-11 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1344 1488 16.5% 21.4% 62.0% -8.5 2
2024-05-12 Breidablik L 0-3 1293 1414 28.9% 23.3% 47.8% -23.3 1
2024-05-12 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-0 1414 1293 47.8% 23.3% 28.9% +23.3 12
2024-05-12 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1558 1401 63.2% 21.2% 15.6% +9.2 15
2024-05-12 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1401 1558 15.6% 21.2% 63.2% -9.2 12
2024-05-12 HK Kopavogur L 1-2 1371 1277 56.9% 22.4% 20.7% -14.0 7
2024-05-12 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1277 1371 20.7% 22.4% 56.9% +14.0 7
2024-05-20 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-2 1335 1269 53.8% 22.8% 23.5% +10.4 5
2024-05-20 @ KA Akureyri L 2-4 1269 1335 23.5% 22.8% 53.8% -10.4 1
2024-05-20 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1391 1357 49.9% 23.1% 27.0% -12.4 12
2024-05-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1357 1391 27.0% 23.1% 49.9% +12.4 10
2024-05-20 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-4 1296 1567 14.9% 21.0% 64.2% -10.8 6
2024-05-20 @ IF Vestri W 4-1 1567 1296 64.2% 21.0% 14.9% +10.8 18
2024-05-21 IA Akranes D 1-1 1350 1400 38.5% 23.6% 38.0% -0.0 12
2024-05-21 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1400 1350 38.0% 23.6% 38.5% +0.0 10
2024-05-21 Stjarnan W 2-1 1438 1497 37.1% 23.6% 39.4% +10.2 15
2024-05-21 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1497 1438 39.4% 23.6% 37.1% -10.2 10
2024-05-21 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1291 1496 20.0% 22.2% 57.8% -5.8 7
2024-05-21 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-1 1496 1291 57.8% 22.2% 20.0% +5.8 14
2024-05-25 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1502 1379 60.0% 21.9% 18.2% -1.9 15
2024-05-25 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1379 1502 18.2% 21.9% 60.0% +1.9 13
2024-05-25 IF Vestri D 2-2 1369 1285 55.9% 22.5% 21.6% -1.5 11
2024-05-25 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1285 1369 21.6% 22.5% 55.9% +1.5 7
2024-05-25 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1400 1578 22.7% 22.7% 54.6% -6.9 10
2024-05-25 @ IA Akranes W 1-0 1578 1400 54.6% 22.7% 22.7% +6.9 21
2024-05-26 Breidablik L 1-4 1350 1448 31.9% 23.4% 44.6% -21.3 12
2024-05-26 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 1448 1350 44.6% 23.4% 31.9% +21.3 18
2024-05-26 KA Akureyri W 5-0 1487 1346 61.8% 21.5% 16.7% +23.2 13
2024-05-26 @ Stjarnan L 0-5 1346 1487 16.7% 21.5% 61.8% -23.2 5
2024-05-27 HK Kopavogur W 3-1 1259 1285 41.9% 23.5% 34.6% +16.1 4
2024-05-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-3 1285 1259 34.6% 23.5% 41.9% -16.0 7
2024-05-30 Stjarnan W 5-1 1500 1510 44.1% 23.5% 32.4% +27.8 18
2024-05-30 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-5 1510 1500 32.4% 23.5% 44.1% -27.8 13
2024-05-30 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1469 1585 29.6% 23.3% 47.0% +1.0 19
2024-05-30 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1585 1469 47.0% 23.3% 29.6% -1.0 22
2024-05-31 Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1381 1329 52.1% 22.9% 25.0% -1.0 14
2024-05-31 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 3-3 1329 1381 25.0% 22.9% 52.1% +1.0 13
2024-06-01 IA Akranes L 2-3 1323 1393 35.6% 23.5% 40.9% -9.0 5
2024-06-01 @ KA Akureyri W 3-2 1393 1323 40.9% 23.5% 35.6% +9.0 13
2024-06-02 Breidablik L 0-2 1269 1470 20.4% 22.3% 57.3% -11.9 7
2024-06-02 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-0 1470 1269 57.3% 22.3% 20.4% +11.9 22
2024-06-02 Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-2 1584 1275 75.0% 17.3% 7.7% +4.7 25
2024-06-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-5 1275 1584 7.7% 17.3% 75.0% -4.7 4
2024-06-02 Stjarnan W 4-2 1287 1482 20.9% 22.4% 56.7% +21.6 10
2024-06-02 @ IF Vestri L 2-4 1482 1287 56.7% 22.4% 20.9% -21.6 13
2024-06-03 Valur Reykjavik L 3-5 1368 1528 24.5% 22.9% 52.6% -10.2 11
2024-06-03 @ KR Reykjavik W 5-3 1528 1368 52.6% 22.9% 24.5% +10.2 21
2024-06-18 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-2 1461 1380 55.5% 22.6% 22.0% +9.9 16
2024-06-18 @ Stjarnan L 2-4 1380 1461 22.0% 22.6% 55.5% -9.8 14
2024-06-18 HK Kopavogur L 1-2 1330 1257 54.5% 22.7% 22.8% -13.5 13
2024-06-18 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1257 1330 22.8% 22.7% 54.5% +13.4 10
2024-06-18 IF Vestri W 3-2 1270 1308 40.2% 23.5% 36.2% +9.1 7
2024-06-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-3 1308 1270 36.2% 23.5% 40.2% -9.1 10
2024-06-18 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1402 1358 51.2% 23.0% 25.8% +7.3 16
2024-06-18 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 1358 1402 25.8% 23.0% 51.2% -7.3 11
2024-06-18 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1538 1588 38.5% 23.6% 37.9% -0.0 22
2024-06-18 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1588 1538 37.9% 23.6% 38.5% +0.0 26
2024-06-19 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1482 1314 64.3% 20.9% 14.8% +4.4 25
2024-06-19 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1314 1482 14.8% 20.9% 64.3% -4.4 5
2024-06-22 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1588 1350 70.0% 19.3% 10.7% -3.7 27
2024-06-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1350 1588 10.7% 19.3% 70.0% +3.7 12
2024-06-22 Stjarnan W 4-3 1270 1471 20.5% 22.3% 57.2% +13.0 13
2024-06-22 @ HK Kopavogur L 3-4 1471 1270 57.2% 22.3% 20.5% -13.0 16
2024-06-22 Valur Reykjavik L 1-5 1299 1538 17.2% 21.6% 61.2% -16.0 10
2024-06-22 @ IF Vestri W 5-1 1538 1299 61.2% 21.6% 17.2% +16.0 25
2024-06-23 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1309 1316 44.5% 23.4% 32.0% +8.3 8
2024-06-23 @ KA Akureyri L 2-3 1316 1309 32.0% 23.4% 44.5% -8.3 13
2024-06-23 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-1 1370 1279 56.5% 22.4% 21.1% +10.6 17
2024-06-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-3 1279 1370 21.1% 22.4% 56.5% -10.6 7
2024-06-23 IA Akranes D 1-1 1486 1410 55.0% 22.6% 22.4% -1.9 26
2024-06-23 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1410 1486 22.4% 22.6% 55.0% +2.0 17
2024-06-27 Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1283 1308 42.0% 23.5% 34.5% -18.7 10
2024-06-27 @ IF Vestri W 3-1 1308 1283 34.5% 23.5% 42.0% +18.7 16
2024-06-27 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-2 1354 1269 56.0% 22.5% 21.6% -1.5 13
2024-06-27 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1269 1354 21.6% 22.5% 56.0% +1.5 8
2024-06-27 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-4 1458 1585 28.3% 23.2% 48.5% -29.9 16
2024-06-27 @ Stjarnan W 4-0 1585 1458 48.5% 23.2% 28.3% +29.9 30
2024-06-28 Breidablik W 1-0 1381 1484 31.1% 23.4% 45.5% +12.2 20
2024-06-28 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1484 1381 45.5% 23.4% 31.1% -12.2 26
2024-06-28 KA Akureyri L 1-2 1283 1318 40.8% 23.5% 35.7% -10.5 13
2024-06-28 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-1 1318 1283 35.7% 23.5% 40.8% +10.5 11
2024-06-28 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1411 1554 26.4% 23.1% 50.5% +11.9 20
2024-06-28 @ IA Akranes L 2-3 1554 1411 50.5% 23.1% 26.4% -11.9 25
2024-06-30 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1615 1327 73.6% 17.9% 8.5% +2.5 33
2024-06-30 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1327 1615 8.5% 17.9% 73.6% -2.5 16
2024-07-06 Breidablik D 2-2 1264 1472 19.8% 22.2% 58.0% +1.7 11
2024-07-06 @ IF Vestri D 2-2 1472 1264 58.0% 22.2% 19.8% -1.7 27
2024-07-06 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-0 1543 1270 72.5% 18.3% 9.1% +10.2 28
2024-07-06 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-4 1270 1543 9.1% 18.3% 72.5% -10.2 8
2024-07-06 HK Kopavogur W 8-0 1423 1273 62.6% 21.3% 16.1% +34.8 23
2024-07-06 @ IA Akranes L 0-8 1273 1423 16.1% 21.3% 62.6% -34.8 13
2024-07-06 Stjarnan D 1-1 1353 1428 34.9% 23.5% 41.5% +0.4 14
2024-07-06 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1428 1353 41.5% 23.5% 34.9% -0.4 17
2024-07-08 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1393 1328 53.6% 22.8% 23.6% -1.8 21
2024-07-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1328 1393 23.6% 22.8% 53.6% +1.8 12
2024-07-11 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1324 1353 41.5% 23.5% 35.0% +9.9 19
2024-07-11 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1353 1324 35.0% 23.5% 41.5% -9.9 14
2024-07-14 KA Akureyri L 0-2 1266 1330 36.5% 23.6% 39.9% -19.3 11
2024-07-14 @ IF Vestri W 2-0 1330 1266 39.9% 23.6% 36.5% +19.3 15
2024-07-15 HK Kopavogur W 3-1 1391 1238 62.8% 21.3% 15.9% +8.2 24
2024-07-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-3 1238 1391 15.9% 21.3% 62.8% -8.2 13
2024-07-15 IA Akranes W 3-0 1260 1458 20.7% 22.4% 56.9% +40.6 11
2024-07-15 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-3 1458 1260 56.9% 22.4% 20.7% -40.6 23
2024-07-20 IF Vestri D 1-1 1230 1247 43.2% 23.5% 33.3% -0.6 14
2024-07-20 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-1 1247 1230 33.3% 23.5% 43.2% +0.5 12
2024-07-20 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1349 1617 15.1% 21.0% 63.9% +16.5 18
2024-07-20 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1617 1349 63.9% 21.0% 15.1% -16.5 33
2024-07-21 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-0 1427 1301 60.3% 21.8% 17.9% +10.5 20
2024-07-21 @ Stjarnan L 0-2 1301 1427 17.9% 21.8% 60.3% -10.5 11
2024-07-21 KR Reykjavik W 4-2 1470 1343 60.4% 21.8% 17.8% +8.2 30
2024-07-21 @ Breidablik L 2-4 1343 1470 17.8% 21.8% 60.4% -8.1 14
2024-07-22 IA Akranes D 1-1 1399 1418 42.9% 23.5% 33.6% -0.5 25
2024-07-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1418 1399 33.6% 23.5% 42.9% +0.5 24
2024-07-28 Valur Reykjavik W 4-1 1334 1553 18.9% 22.0% 59.1% +35.5 22
2024-07-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-4 1553 1334 59.1% 22.0% 18.9% -35.5 28
2024-07-29 KA Akureyri D 2-2 1335 1366 41.2% 23.5% 35.2% -0.2 15
2024-07-29 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1366 1335 35.2% 23.5% 41.2% +0.2 19
2024-07-31 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1247 1399 25.5% 23.0% 51.5% -14.4 12
2024-07-31 @ IF Vestri W 2-0 1399 1247 51.5% 23.0% 25.5% +14.4 28
2024-07-31 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1290 1370 34.4% 23.5% 42.1% +0.5 12
2024-07-31 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-0 1370 1290 42.1% 23.5% 34.4% -0.5 23
2024-07-31 HK Kopavogur W 5-1 1601 1229 78.7% 15.6% 5.8% +5.1 36
2024-07-31 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-5 1229 1601 5.8% 15.6% 78.7% -5.1 14
2024-07-31 Stjarnan L 1-3 1418 1438 42.7% 23.5% 33.8% -18.9 24
2024-07-31 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 1438 1418 33.8% 23.5% 42.7% +18.9 23
2024-08-05 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1413 1606 21.2% 22.4% 56.3% -5.8 28
2024-08-05 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 1606 1413 56.3% 22.4% 21.2% +5.8 39
2024-08-06 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-0 1479 1291 66.0% 20.5% 13.5% +11.7 33
2024-08-06 @ Breidablik L 0-3 1291 1479 13.5% 20.5% 66.0% -11.7 12
2024-08-06 Stjarnan W 2-1 1369 1457 33.2% 23.5% 43.3% +11.0 26
2024-08-06 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1457 1369 43.3% 23.5% 33.2% -11.0 23
2024-08-06 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1366 1517 25.4% 23.0% 51.6% +13.6 22
2024-08-06 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1517 1366 51.6% 23.0% 25.4% -13.6 28
2024-08-07 IA Akranes D 0-0 1233 1399 23.8% 22.8% 53.3% +2.0 13
2024-08-07 @ IF Vestri D 0-0 1399 1233 53.3% 22.8% 23.8% -2.0 25
2024-08-11 Breidablik D 2-2 1446 1490 39.3% 23.6% 37.2% -0.1 24
2024-08-11 @ Stjarnan D 2-2 1490 1446 37.2% 23.6% 39.3% +0.1 34
2024-08-11 HK Kopavogur W 5-1 1504 1224 73.0% 18.1% 8.8% +8.2 31
2024-08-11 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-5 1224 1504 8.8% 18.1% 73.0% -8.2 14
2024-08-11 IF Vestri D 1-1 1611 1235 79.0% 15.4% 5.6% -4.6 40
2024-08-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1235 1611 5.6% 15.4% 79.0% +4.6 14
2024-08-11 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1279 1379 31.6% 23.4% 45.0% +0.8 13
2024-08-11 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-1 1379 1279 45.0% 23.4% 31.6% -0.8 23
2024-08-12 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1335 1407 35.3% 23.5% 41.2% +11.2 18
2024-08-12 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1407 1335 41.2% 23.5% 35.3% -11.2 28
2024-08-12 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1397 1380 47.7% 23.3% 29.0% +8.5 28
2024-08-12 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1380 1397 29.0% 23.3% 47.7% -8.5 26
2024-08-15 Breidablik L 0-2 1512 1490 48.3% 23.2% 28.5% -24.2 31
2024-08-15 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1490 1512 28.5% 23.2% 48.3% +24.2 37
2024-08-17 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1239 1346 30.8% 23.4% 45.8% +23.1 17
2024-08-17 @ IF Vestri L 0-2 1346 1239 45.8% 23.4% 30.8% -23.1 18
2024-08-18 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-2 1216 1280 36.6% 23.6% 39.9% -19.3 14
2024-08-18 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-0 1280 1216 39.9% 23.6% 36.6% +19.3 16
2024-08-18 Stjarnan D 1-1 1379 1446 36.0% 23.5% 40.4% +0.2 24
2024-08-18 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1446 1379 40.4% 23.5% 36.0% -0.2 25
2024-08-19 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1515 1372 61.9% 21.5% 16.6% +8.5 40
2024-08-19 @ Breidablik L 1-3 1372 1515 16.6% 21.5% 61.9% -8.5 26
2024-08-19 IA Akranes L 1-2 1607 1406 67.1% 20.2% 12.7% -16.2 40
2024-08-19 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1406 1607 12.7% 20.2% 67.1% +16.2 31
2024-08-19 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1396 1488 32.7% 23.5% 43.8% +0.5 29
2024-08-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1488 1396 43.8% 23.5% 32.7% -0.5 32
2024-08-22 KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1197 1323 28.4% 23.2% 48.4% +11.5 17
2024-08-22 @ HK Kopavogur L 2-3 1323 1197 48.4% 23.2% 28.4% -11.5 18
2024-08-25 Breidablik L 1-2 1422 1523 31.5% 23.4% 45.1% -8.6 31
2024-08-25 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 1523 1422 45.1% 23.4% 31.5% +8.6 43
2024-08-25 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-3 1299 1396 32.0% 23.4% 44.6% -8.2 16
2024-08-25 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-2 1396 1299 44.6% 23.4% 32.0% +8.3 32
2024-08-25 IF Vestri W 3-1 1487 1263 69.0% 19.6% 11.4% +5.9 35
2024-08-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1263 1487 11.4% 19.6% 69.0% -5.9 17
2024-08-25 KA Akureyri L 1-2 1363 1379 43.3% 23.5% 33.2% -11.0 26
2024-08-25 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1379 1363 33.2% 23.5% 43.3% +11.0 27
2024-08-26 HK Kopavogur W 2-0 1446 1208 70.0% 19.3% 10.8% +6.4 28
2024-08-26 @ Stjarnan L 0-2 1208 1446 10.8% 19.3% 70.0% -6.4 17
2024-09-01 Breidablik L 2-3 1390 1532 26.5% 23.1% 50.4% -7.1 27
2024-09-01 @ KA Akureyri W 3-2 1532 1390 50.4% 23.1% 26.5% +7.1 46
2024-09-01 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1202 1352 25.6% 23.0% 51.4% +13.5 20
2024-09-01 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-1 1352 1202 51.4% 23.0% 25.6% -13.5 26
2024-09-01 Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-0 1257 1291 40.7% 23.5% 35.7% -0.3 18
2024-09-01 @ IF Vestri D 0-0 1291 1257 35.7% 23.5% 40.7% +0.3 17
2024-09-01 IA Akranes W 4-2 1311 1413 31.4% 23.4% 45.2% +17.7 21
2024-09-01 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-4 1413 1311 45.2% 23.4% 31.4% -17.7 31
2024-09-01 Stjarnan L 0-3 1405 1452 38.9% 23.6% 37.6% -29.5 32
2024-09-01 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1452 1405 37.6% 23.6% 38.9% +29.4 31
2024-09-01 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1591 1493 57.3% 22.3% 20.4% +5.6 43
2024-09-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1493 1591 20.4% 22.3% 57.3% -5.6 35
2024-09-13 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 1329 1596 15.1% 21.0% 63.8% -13.0 21
2024-09-13 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-0 1596 1329 63.8% 21.0% 15.1% +13.0 46
2024-09-15 FH Hafnarfjordur D 3-3 1338 1375 40.4% 23.5% 36.1% -0.2 27
2024-09-15 @ Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1375 1338 36.1% 23.5% 40.4% +0.1 33
2024-09-15 HK Kopavogur W 5-3 1539 1216 75.9% 16.9% 7.2% +3.0 49
2024-09-15 @ Breidablik L 3-5 1216 1539 7.2% 16.9% 75.9% -3.0 20
2024-09-15 IF Vestri W 1-0 1481 1256 69.0% 19.6% 11.4% +3.6 34
2024-09-15 @ Stjarnan L 0-1 1256 1481 11.4% 19.6% 69.0% -3.6 18
2024-09-15 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1396 1383 47.1% 23.3% 29.5% +8.7 34
2024-09-15 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1383 1396 29.5% 23.3% 47.1% -8.7 27
2024-09-16 KR Reykjavik W 4-1 1487 1316 64.5% 20.9% 14.6% +10.6 38
2024-09-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-4 1316 1487 14.6% 20.9% 64.5% -10.6 21
2024-09-16 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-6 1291 1609 11.9% 19.9% 68.2% -19.7 17
2024-09-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 6-0 1609 1291 68.2% 19.9% 11.9% +19.7 49

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2024-09-22 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-0 1338 1271 53.8% 22.8% 23.4% +13.4 3
2024-09-22 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1271 1338 23.4% 22.8% 53.8% -13.4 0
2024-09-22 IF Vestri D 2-2 1305 1253 52.1% 22.9% 24.9% -1.2 1
2024-09-22 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1253 1305 24.9% 22.9% 52.1% +1.2 1
2024-09-23 IA Akranes W 2-0 1542 1404 61.4% 21.6% 17.0% +10.1 3
2024-09-23 @ Breidablik L 0-2 1404 1542 17.0% 21.6% 61.4% -10.1 0
2024-09-23 Stjarnan D 2-2 1498 1485 47.2% 23.3% 29.5% -0.8 1
2024-09-23 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1485 1498 29.5% 23.3% 47.2% +0.8 1
2024-09-25 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1629 1375 71.2% 18.8% 10.0% +8.5 3
2024-09-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 1375 1629 10.0% 18.8% 71.2% -8.5 0
2024-09-25 HK Kopavogur D 3-3 1374 1212 63.7% 21.1% 15.2% -1.9 1
2024-09-25 @ KA Akureyri D 3-3 1212 1374 15.2% 21.1% 63.7% +1.9 1
2024-09-29 Breidablik L 0-1 1367 1552 21.9% 22.6% 55.5% -6.7 0
2024-09-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1552 1367 55.5% 22.6% 21.9% +6.7 6
2024-09-29 Fram Reykjavik W 7-1 1304 1352 38.8% 23.6% 37.6% +45.3 4
2024-09-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-7 1352 1304 37.6% 23.6% 38.8% -45.3 3
2024-09-29 HK Kopavogur W 2-1 1254 1214 50.6% 23.1% 26.4% +7.4 4
2024-09-29 @ IF Vestri L 1-2 1214 1254 26.4% 23.1% 50.6% -7.4 1
2024-09-29 KA Akureyri L 1-3 1258 1372 29.8% 23.3% 46.9% -14.2 0
2024-09-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-1 1372 1258 46.9% 23.3% 29.8% +14.2 4
2024-09-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1497 1638 26.7% 23.1% 50.2% -7.1 1
2024-09-29 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1638 1497 50.2% 23.1% 26.7% +7.1 6
2024-09-30 IA Akranes W 3-0 1486 1394 56.6% 22.4% 21.0% +17.7 4
2024-09-30 @ Stjarnan L 0-3 1394 1486 21.0% 22.4% 56.6% -17.7 0
2024-10-05 IF Vestri L 2-4 1306 1261 51.2% 23.0% 25.7% -19.7 3
2024-10-05 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-2 1261 1306 25.7% 23.0% 51.2% +19.7 7
2024-10-06 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-1 1377 1360 47.6% 23.3% 29.1% +19.8 3
2024-10-06 @ IA Akranes L 1-4 1360 1377 29.1% 23.3% 47.6% -19.8 0
2024-10-06 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-2 1207 1244 40.4% 23.5% 36.1% -0.2 2
2024-10-06 @ HK Kopavogur D 2-2 1244 1207 36.1% 23.5% 40.4% +0.2 1
2024-10-06 KR Reykjavik L 0-4 1387 1349 50.2% 23.1% 26.6% -47.5 4
2024-10-06 @ KA Akureyri W 4-0 1349 1387 26.6% 23.1% 50.2% +47.5 7
2024-10-06 Stjarnan D 2-2 1645 1503 61.8% 21.5% 16.7% -2.1 7
2024-10-06 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1503 1645 16.7% 21.5% 61.8% +2.1 5
2024-10-06 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1559 1490 54.0% 22.7% 23.2% -1.4 7
2024-10-06 @ Breidablik D 2-2 1490 1559 23.2% 22.7% 54.0% +1.4 2
2024-10-19 IF Vestri W 2-1 1339 1281 52.8% 22.9% 24.3% +6.9 7
2024-10-19 @ KA Akureyri L 1-2 1281 1339 24.3% 22.9% 52.8% -6.9 7
2024-10-19 Stjarnan W 2-1 1557 1505 52.0% 22.9% 25.0% +7.1 10
2024-10-19 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1505 1557 25.0% 22.9% 52.0% -7.1 5
2024-10-19 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1340 1492 25.5% 23.0% 51.5% +1.5 1
2024-10-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1492 1340 51.5% 23.0% 25.5% -1.5 3
2024-10-19 Vikingur Reykjavik L 3-4 1396 1643 16.6% 21.5% 61.9% -4.6 3
2024-10-19 @ IA Akranes W 4-3 1643 1396 61.9% 21.5% 16.6% +4.5 10
2024-10-20 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1207 1287 34.3% 23.5% 42.2% +10.8 5
2024-10-20 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-2 1287 1207 42.2% 23.5% 34.3% -10.8 3
2024-10-20 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1244 1397 25.3% 23.0% 51.8% -7.6 1
2024-10-20 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-0 1397 1244 51.8% 23.0% 25.3% +7.6 10
2024-10-26 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 1498 1342 63.2% 21.2% 15.6% +4.4 8
2024-10-26 @ Stjarnan L 2-3 1342 1498 15.6% 21.2% 63.2% -4.4 1
2024-10-26 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-3 1274 1236 50.3% 23.1% 26.6% -21.7 7
2024-10-26 @ IF Vestri W 3-1 1236 1274 26.6% 23.1% 50.3% +21.7 4
2024-10-26 HK Kopavogur W 7-0 1405 1218 65.9% 20.5% 13.6% +26.0 13
2024-10-26 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-7 1218 1405 13.6% 20.5% 65.9% -26.0 5
2024-10-26 IA Akranes W 6-1 1490 1392 57.4% 22.3% 20.3% +23.0 6
2024-10-26 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-6 1392 1490 20.3% 22.3% 57.4% -23.0 3
2024-10-26 KA Akureyri L 1-4 1276 1346 35.6% 23.5% 40.8% -23.2 3
2024-10-26 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 1346 1276 40.8% 23.5% 35.6% +23.2 10
2024-10-27 Breidablik L 0-3 1647 1564 55.7% 22.5% 21.8% -39.8 10
2024-10-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1564 1647 21.8% 22.5% 55.7% +39.8 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-05-05 10.86% @ HK Kopavogur 1248 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1587 1
2 2024-08-19 12.72% IA Akranes 1406 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1607 1
3 2024-07-20 15.08% @ KA Akureyri 1349 1 Vikingur Reykjavik 1617 0
4 2024-04-12 18.08% KR Reykjavik 1369 3 @ Stjarnan 1494 1
5 2024-07-28 18.88% @ Fram Reykjavik 1334 4 Valur Reykjavik 1553 1
6 2024-06-22 20.51% @ HK Kopavogur 1270 4 Stjarnan 1471 3
7 2024-07-15 20.70% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1260 3 IA Akranes 1458 0
8 2024-05-12 20.73% HK Kopavogur 1277 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1371 1
9 2024-06-02 20.91% @ IF Vestri 1287 4 Stjarnan 1482 2
10 2024-10-27 21.80% Breidablik 1564 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1647 0
11 2024-06-18 22.81% HK Kopavogur 1257 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1330 1
12 2024-04-20 22.86% Fram Reykjavik 1323 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1395 0
13 2024-04-21 23.81% IF Vestri 1300 1 @ KA Akureyri 1363 0
14 2024-08-06 25.45% @ KA Akureyri 1366 1 Valur Reykjavik 1517 0
15 2024-09-01 25.60% @ HK Kopavogur 1202 1 Fram Reykjavik 1352 0
16 2024-10-05 25.74% IF Vestri 1261 4 @ Fram Reykjavik 1306 2
17 2024-06-28 26.39% @ IA Akranes 1411 3 Valur Reykjavik 1554 2
18 2024-10-26 26.55% Fylkir Reykjavik 1236 3 @ IF Vestri 1274 1
19 2024-10-06 26.64% KR Reykjavik 1349 4 @ KA Akureyri 1387 0
20 2024-05-20 26.97% KR Reykjavik 1357 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1391 1
21 2024-04-28 27.98% FH Hafnarfjordur 1382 2 @ IA Akranes 1408 1
22 2024-08-22 28.39% @ HK Kopavogur 1197 3 KR Reykjavik 1323 2
23 2024-04-13 28.43% FH Hafnarfjordur 1353 3 @ KA Akureyri 1375 2
24 2024-08-15 28.48% Breidablik 1490 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1512 0
25 2024-08-17 30.78% @ IF Vestri 1239 2 KR Reykjavik 1346 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-10-06 47.48 KR Reykjavik 4 1349 26.64% @ KA Akureyri 0 1387 50.25% 23.11%
2 2024-09-29 45.29 @ KR Reykjavik 7 1304 38.83% Fram Reykjavik 1 1352 37.61% 23.56%
3 2024-07-15 40.63 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1260 20.70% IA Akranes 0 1458 56.94% 22.35%
4 2024-04-14 40.06 IA Akranes 4 1346 35.52% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1313 40.94% 23.54%
5 2024-10-27 39.80 Breidablik 3 1564 21.80% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1647 55.67% 22.53%
6 2024-07-28 35.45 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1334 18.88% Valur Reykjavik 1 1553 59.12% 22.01%
7 2024-07-06 34.76 @ IA Akranes 8 1423 62.62% HK Kopavogur 0 1273 16.06% 21.32%
8 2024-06-27 29.89 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1585 48.50% @ Stjarnan 0 1458 28.27% 23.24%
9 2024-09-01 29.45 Stjarnan 3 1452 37.56% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1405 38.88% 23.56%
10 2024-05-05 29.09 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1248 10.86% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1587 69.81% 19.33%
11 2024-05-30 27.84 @ Valur Reykjavik 5 1500 44.11% Stjarnan 1 1510 32.43% 23.46%
12 2024-10-26 25.97 @ KR Reykjavik 7 1405 65.91% HK Kopavogur 0 1218 13.57% 20.52%
13 2024-04-12 25.44 KR Reykjavik 3 1369 18.08% @ Stjarnan 1 1494 60.08% 21.83%
14 2024-04-13 24.59 @ Breidablik 4 1401 54.90% IF Vestri 0 1325 22.47% 22.63%
15 2024-08-15 24.17 Breidablik 2 1490 28.48% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1512 48.27% 23.25%
16 2024-05-12 23.31 Breidablik 3 1414 47.81% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1293 28.91% 23.28%
17 2024-10-26 23.22 KA Akureyri 4 1346 40.82% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1276 35.63% 23.54%
18 2024-05-26 23.17 @ Stjarnan 5 1487 61.75% KA Akureyri 0 1346 16.74% 21.51%
19 2024-08-17 23.14 @ IF Vestri 2 1239 30.78% KR Reykjavik 0 1346 45.83% 23.39%
20 2024-10-26 22.97 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1490 57.37% IA Akranes 1 1392 20.34% 22.29%
21 2024-04-21 22.08 @ IA Akranes 5 1386 52.61% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1329 24.50% 22.89%
22 2024-10-26 21.71 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1236 26.55% @ IF Vestri 1 1274 50.35% 23.10%
23 2024-06-02 21.59 @ IF Vestri 4 1287 20.91% Stjarnan 2 1482 56.70% 22.39%
24 2024-05-26 21.29 Breidablik 4 1448 44.64% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1350 31.92% 23.44%
25 2024-10-06 19.75 @ IA Akranes 4 1377 47.62% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1360 29.09% 23.29%