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2024 Besta deild karla Season

162 games

Final

Champion

Breidablik

62 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 2022.0

Relegated

Fylkir Reykjavik

21 pts

HK Kopavogur · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

KR Reykjavik

5.75 points above expected

34 points · 28.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fram Reykjavik

5.04 points below expected

30 points · 35.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 15 4 3 49 56 23 +33 46.06 +2.94
2 Breidablik 22 15 4 3 49 53 28 +25 36.83 +12.17
3 Valur Reykjavik 22 11 5 6 38 53 33 +20 38.12 -0.12
4 IA Akranes 22 10 4 8 34 41 31 +10 31.45 +2.55
5 Stjarnan 22 10 4 8 34 40 35 +5 36.80 -2.80
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 9 6 7 33 39 38 +1 30.91 +2.09
7 Fram Reykjavik 22 7 6 9 27 31 32 -1 26.62 +0.38
8 KA Akureyri 22 7 6 9 27 32 38 -6 27.61 -0.61
9 KR Reykjavik 22 5 6 11 21 35 46 -11 27.78 -6.78
10 HK Kopavogur 22 6 2 14 20 26 56 -30 20.28 -0.28
11 IF Vestri 22 4 6 12 18 22 43 -21 21.36 -3.36
12 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 4 5 13 17 26 51 -25 21.93 -4.93
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Breidablik Champion 27 19 5 3 62 63 31 +32 57.10 +4.90
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 27 18 5 4 59 68 33 +35 58.90 +0.10
3 Valur Reykjavik 27 12 8 7 44 66 42 +24 45.15 -1.15
4 Stjarnan 27 12 6 9 42 51 43 +8 40.82 +1.18
5 IA Akranes 27 11 4 12 37 49 47 +2 39.15 -2.15
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 27 9 7 11 34 43 50 -7 37.51 -3.51
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 27 10 7 10 37 44 48 -4 35.80 +1.20
2 KR Reykjavik 27 9 7 11 34 56 49 +7 28.25 +5.75
3 Fram Reykjavik 27 8 6 13 30 38 49 -11 35.04 -5.04
4 IF Vestri 27 6 7 14 25 32 53 -21 23.99 +1.01
5 HK Kopavogur Relegated 27 7 4 16 25 34 71 -37 25.08 -0.08
6 Fylkir Reykjavik Relegated 27 5 6 16 21 32 60 -28 23.37 -2.37

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 34 28.25 +5.75
2 Breidablik 62 57.10 +4.90
3 KA Akureyri 37 35.80 +1.20
4 Stjarnan 42 40.82 +1.18
5 IF Vestri 25 23.99 +1.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 30 35.04 -5.04
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 34 37.51 -3.51
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 21 23.37 -2.37
4 IA Akranes 37 39.15 -2.15
5 Valur Reykjavik 44 45.15 -1.15

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 7 Aug 15 – Sep 29 1 in 97
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 Apr 13 – May 4 1 in 53
3 HK Kopavogur 2 May 5 – May 12 1 in 44
4 KR Reykjavik 4 Sep 29 – Oct 26 1 in 28
5 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jul 11 – Jul 28 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 4 Aug 12 – Sep 1 1 in 40
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 Apr 21 – May 20 1 in 27
3 KA Akureyri 3 Apr 13 – Apr 28 1 in 21
4 Valur Reykjavik 2 Jul 28 – Aug 6 1 in 21
5 KR Reykjavik 2 Apr 20 – Apr 28 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KA Akureyri 10 Jun 23 – Aug 25 1 in 354
2 Breidablik 14 Jul 6 – Oct 27 1 in 87
3 Fram Reykjavik 5 Apr 20 – May 21 1 in 34
4 Stjarnan 8 Aug 11 – Oct 6 1 in 32
5 IF Vestri 3 Aug 7 – Aug 17 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 9 May 25 – Jul 29 1 in 50
2 KA Akureyri 6 Apr 7 – May 11 1 in 21
3 IF Vestri 9 Jun 18 – Aug 11 1 in 18
4 IA Akranes 4 Jul 15 – Aug 7 1 in 13
5 Fram Reykjavik 6 May 10 – Jun 23 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Breidablik 1590 62 +62 13 8.5 +4.5
Vikingur Reykjavik 1594 59 -22 10 10.1 -0.1
Valur Reykjavik 1499 44 +15 6 7.3 -1.3
Stjarnan 1489 42 +18 8 6.8 +1.2
KA Akureyri 1356 37 -5 10 8.8 +1.2
IA Akranes 1355 37 -36 3 4.8 -1.8
KR Reykjavik 1417 34 +125 13 8.2 +4.8
FH Hafnarfjordur 1324 34 -38 1 4.2 -3.2
Fram Reykjavik 1239 30 -86 3 7.8 -4.8
IF Vestri 1239 25 +0 7 6.4 +0.6
HK Kopavogur 1178 25 -21 5 5.0 -0.0
Fylkir Reykjavik 1244 21 -13 4 5.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR FR HK IA IV KA KR STJ VR VR
Breidablik —
2-0-1
5.15
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.39
2-1-0
5.52
1-1-0
3.83
2-0-0
3.88
2-0-0
3.33
2-1-0
4.49
1-1-1
4.30
1-1-1
2.71
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-0-2
3.16
—
0-2-0
3.11
2-0-0
3.49
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-1
3.70
2-0-0
3.64
1-1-0
2.92
0-0-2
3.20
0-0-3
2.97
0-3-0
2.97
0-0-3
2.03
Fram Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.90
0-2-0
2.42
—
2-1-0
5.09
0-0-3
5.14
0-1-1
2.49
2-0-1
4.49
0-0-3
4.03
2-0-1
3.75
1-1-0
1.92
1-1-0
1.49
0-0-2
1.17
Fylkir Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
2.05
0-1-2
3.22
—
2-1-0
4.24
1-0-1
1.81
2-1-0
3.78
0-1-2
3.24
0-1-2
3.37
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-2
0.96
HK Kopavogur
0-0-2
1.22
0-0-2
1.90
3-0-0
3.17
0-1-2
4.05
—
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-2
3.51
0-2-1
3.06
2-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
1.35
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
0.85
IA Akranes
0-1-2
2.80
1-1-1
4.60
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.74
2-0-0
3.39
—
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.36
0-0-3
3.23
1-0-2
2.61
1-0-2
2.21
IF Vestri
0-1-1
1.72
0-0-2
1.90
1-0-2
3.81
0-1-2
4.52
2-1-0
4.80
0-1-1
1.88
—
1-0-2
3.23
1-2-0
3.01
1-0-1
1.39
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
0.98
KA Akureyri
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
2.62
3-0-0
4.26
2-1-0
5.07
1-2-0
5.27
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-1
5.08
—
0-2-1
4.52
0-1-1
2.03
1-0-1
1.70
1-0-1
1.19
KR Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.22
2-0-0
2.34
1-0-2
4.55
2-1-0
4.94
1-0-2
5.80
1-0-1
2.18
0-2-1
5.30
1-2-0
3.78
—
1-1-0
2.04
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
1.18
Stjarnan
0-1-2
3.81
3-0-0
5.36
0-1-1
3.64
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
4.23
3-0-0
5.09
1-0-1
4.19
1-1-0
3.52
0-1-1
3.50
—
1-1-1
3.83
0-1-2
2.82
Valur Reykjavik
1-1-1
4.00
0-3-0
5.34
0-1-1
4.07
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-1
5.72
2-0-0
4.32
1-0-1
3.85
2-0-0
3.95
1-1-1
4.46
—
0-1-2
3.26
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-1-1
5.61
3-0-0
6.35
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
4.67
1-0-1
4.80
2-0-1
6.15
1-1-0
4.66
1-0-1
4.41
1-1-0
4.42
2-1-0
5.50
2-1-0
5.05
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +8.7
Allowed 0.81 -10.7
Differential 0.88 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.47%5.56%4.94%2.78%1.54%1.23%18.52%
15.56%9.88%5.86%3.70%2.47%2.16%29.63%
24.94%5.86%8.02%4.63%2.16%0.31%25.93%
32.78%3.70%4.63%1.85%0.93%0.62%14.51%
41.54%2.47%2.16%0.93%——7.10%
5+1.23%2.16%0.31%0.62%——4.32%
Total18.52%29.63%25.93%14.51%7.10%4.32%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.78 +0.00
SD 1.43 1.43 2.17
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%————3.70%
13.70%7.41%——3.70%—14.81%
214.81%14.81%11.11%3.70%——44.44%
311.11%3.70%7.41%———22.22%
43.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
5+———3.70%——3.70%
Total33.33%33.33%22.22%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 1.15 +1.19
SD 1.11 1.10 1.52
CV 0.48 0.96 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
13.70%11.11%3.70%—3.70%—22.22%
27.41%3.70%7.41%7.41%3.70%—29.63%
3—7.41%11.11%7.41%——25.93%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%29.63%29.63%22.22%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.85 -0.26
SD 1.12 1.13 1.56
CV 0.70 0.61 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%————14.81%
17.41%11.11%14.81%3.70%7.41%3.70%48.15%
27.41%7.41%—3.70%3.70%—22.22%
3—3.70%—7.41%——11.11%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total18.52%37.04%14.81%14.81%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.81 -0.41
SD 1.01 1.64 1.87
CV 0.72 0.90 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%7.41%7.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%40.74%
1—3.70%3.70%7.41%—3.70%18.52%
23.70%—7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%22.22%
33.70%7.41%3.70%—3.70%—18.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.52%18.52%22.22%18.52%11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 2.22 -1.04
SD 1.18 1.69 2.08
CV 0.99 0.76 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%14.81%—3.70%7.41%29.63%
13.70%7.41%11.11%7.41%—7.41%37.04%
2—11.11%3.70%———14.81%
3—3.70%3.70%3.70%—3.70%14.81%
4———3.70%——3.70%
5+———————
Total3.70%25.93%33.33%14.81%3.70%18.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 2.63 -1.37
SD 1.16 1.92 2.42
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
17.41%11.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%37.04%
2—7.41%——3.70%—11.11%
33.70%—7.41%—3.70%—14.81%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total22.22%29.63%22.22%11.11%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.74 +0.07
SD 1.86 1.53 2.72
CV 1.03 0.88 —
Max 8 6 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%11.11%3.70%3.70%—29.63%
17.41%7.41%3.70%11.11%3.70%3.70%37.04%
23.70%3.70%11.11%7.41%——25.93%
3———————
4——7.41%———7.41%
5+———————
Total18.52%14.81%33.33%22.22%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.96 -0.78
SD 1.11 1.34 1.72
CV 0.94 0.68 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%——3.70%3.70%14.81%
17.41%18.52%3.70%3.70%——33.33%
23.70%11.11%3.70%11.11%3.70%—33.33%
3—3.70%3.70%3.70%——11.11%
4—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
5+———————
Total11.11%44.44%14.81%18.52%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.78 -0.15
SD 1.11 1.31 1.77
CV 0.68 0.74 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
17.41%11.11%7.41%—3.70%—29.63%
2—3.70%14.81%7.41%3.70%—29.63%
3—3.70%———3.70%7.41%
43.70%—3.70%3.70%——11.11%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total14.81%29.63%29.63%14.81%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 1.81 +0.26
SD 1.84 1.30 2.38
CV 0.89 0.72 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.70%—3.70%—7.41%
111.11%11.11%11.11%3.70%—3.70%40.74%
27.41%—11.11%—3.70%—22.22%
37.41%3.70%3.70%—3.70%—18.52%
4—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total29.63%18.52%33.33%3.70%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.59 +0.30
SD 1.25 1.45 2.13
CV 0.66 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%3.70%———14.81%
1—7.41%——3.70%—11.11%
23.70%3.70%18.52%11.11%——37.04%
3—7.41%3.70%———11.11%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+—14.81%—3.70%——18.52%
Total11.11%44.44%25.93%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.44 1.56 +0.89
SD 1.72 1.01 2.08
CV 0.70 0.65 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%—3.70%——7.41%
17.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
27.41%3.70%7.41%———18.52%
37.41%—11.11%———18.52%
43.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
5+3.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
Total29.63%29.63%29.63%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.52 1.22 +1.30
SD 1.60 1.01 1.98
CV 0.64 0.83 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vikingur Reykjavik 1594 59 46.06 +12.94 71.0% 30 35 42 46 50 56 60
Breidablik 1590 62 36.83 +25.17 99.0% 25 27 34 37 40 44 51
Valur Reykjavik 1499 44 38.12 +5.88 54.0% 26 30 35 38 41 46 54
Stjarnan 1489 42 36.80 +5.20 32.0% 21 26 33 37 41 46 50
KR Reykjavik 1417 34 27.78 +6.22 13.0% 11 17 25 28 31 35 39
KA Akureyri 1356 37 27.61 +9.39 52.0% 14 17 23 27 32 38 44
IA Akranes 1355 37 31.45 +5.55 70.0% 13 20 28 32 35 41 46
FH Hafnarfjordur 1324 34 30.91 +3.09 72.0% 14 21 28 31 34 41 48
Fylkir Reykjavik 1244 21 21.93 -0.93 20.0% 9 12 18 21 26 31 35
Fram Reykjavik 1239 30 26.62 +3.38 55.0% 10 15 24 26 31 34 38
IF Vestri 1239 25 21.36 +3.64 34.0% 9 13 17 21 25 30 38
HK Kopavogur 1178 25 20.28 +4.72 48.0% 8 11 17 21 24 28 31

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.81%
Clear Edge
46.30%22.22%31.48%
Elo Value
Home Edge
146 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
051.85400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
4%
Breidablik, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Tight Race
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.51 * Some Luck: 4.51 to 6.77 * Lucky: 6.77 to 9.02 * Wild Swing: 9.02 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 2 * Off: 2 to 2.66 * Way Off: 2.66 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.85 * A Surprise: 0.85 to 1.36 * Several Surprises: 1.36 to 1.87 * Many Surprises: 1.87 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.63 points
Some Luck
05.6414
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.664
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Breidablik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
13.00%
KR Reykjavik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 126.44
1.83
Strong Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Strong Edge
50%93%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Some Drama
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Notable Separation
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.76
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Near-Lock
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.03
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.046
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Breidablik4.00%23.00%28.00%18.00%6.00%11.00%3.00%5.00%—2.00%——
Vikingur Reykjavik71.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%——————
Valur Reykjavik14.00%20.00%31.00%17.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%————
Stjarnan10.00%22.00%14.00%20.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%—1.00%1.00%—
IA Akranes1.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%18.00%17.00%13.00%6.00%9.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur—8.00%4.00%11.00%14.00%19.00%15.00%15.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%
KA Akureyri—5.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%12.00%15.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%
KR Reykjavik——3.00%6.00%10.00%17.00%17.00%16.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%3.00%
Fram Reykjavik——2.00%3.00%14.00%7.00%11.00%21.00%18.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%
IF Vestri———2.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%19.00%23.00%18.00%25.00%
HK Kopavogur—————1.00%5.00%4.00%12.00%21.00%22.00%35.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik————4.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%18.00%24.00%22.00%
Team123456789101112
Breidablik31.29%68.41%0.30%—————————
Vikingur Reykjavik68.70%31.20%0.10%—————————
Valur Reykjavik0.01%0.39%75.86%17.71%5.19%0.84%——————
Stjarnan——14.59%41.44%29.21%14.76%——————
IA Akranes——6.86%28.63%38.20%26.31%——————
FH Hafnarfjordur——2.29%12.22%27.40%58.09%——————
KA Akureyri——————51.96%41.99%5.30%0.70%0.05%—
KR Reykjavik——————1.51%9.39%52.86%21.99%10.28%3.97%
Fram Reykjavik——————46.28%45.26%7.23%1.16%0.05%0.02%
IF Vestri——————0.02%0.99%10.51%23.65%32.60%32.23%
HK Kopavogur——————0.21%1.87%16.34%33.68%28.49%19.41%
Fylkir Reykjavik——————0.02%0.50%7.76%18.82%28.53%44.37%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
Breidablik 100% —
Stjarnan 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
Vikingur Reykjavik 100% —
IA Akranes 96.00% 4.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur 95.00% 5.00%
KR Reykjavik 94.00% 6.00%
KA Akureyri 90.00% 10.00%
Fram Reykjavik 81.00% 19.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 59.00% 41.00%
IF Vestri 50.00% 50.00%
HK Kopavogur 35.00% 65.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
Breidablik 100% —
FH Hafnarfjordur 100% —
IA Akranes 100% —
Stjarnan 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
Vikingur Reykjavik 100% —
KA Akureyri 99.95% 0.05%
Fram Reykjavik 99.93% 0.07%
KR Reykjavik 85.75% 14.25%
HK Kopavogur 52.10% 47.90%
IF Vestri 35.17% 64.83%
Fylkir Reykjavik 27.10% 72.90%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-04-06 Stjarnan W 2-044.8 1536 1495 50.65% 23.07% 26.28%+0.63 +14.8 3
2024-04-06 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-244.8 1495 1536 26.28% 23.07% 50.65%-0.63 -14.8 0
2024-04-07 HK Kopavogur D 1-153.6 1363 1297 53.71% 22.77% 23.52%+0.81 -1.8 1
2024-04-07 @ KA Akureyri D 1-153.6 1297 1363 23.52% 22.77% 53.71%-0.81 +1.8 1
2024-04-07 IA Akranes W 2-034.6 1469 1342 60.29% 21.80% 17.92%+1.22 +10.6 3
2024-04-07 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-234.6 1342 1469 17.92% 21.80% 60.29%-1.22 -10.6 0
2024-04-07 IF Vestri W 2-037.8 1295 1330 40.62% 23.55% 35.83%+0.12 +19.0 3
2024-04-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-237.8 1330 1295 35.83% 23.55% 40.62%-0.12 -19.0 0
2024-04-07 KR Reykjavik L 3-456.7 1323 1346 42.40% 23.51% 34.09%+0.20 -10.1 0
2024-04-07 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-356.7 1346 1323 34.09% 23.51% 42.40%-0.20 +10.0 3
2024-04-08 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-036.8 1371 1355 47.51% 23.30% 29.19%+0.46 +16.2 3
2024-04-08 @ Breidablik L 0-236.8 1355 1371 29.19% 23.30% 47.51%-0.46 -16.2 0
2024-04-12 KR Reykjavik L 1-353.1 1480 1356 60.11% 21.83% 18.06%+1.21 -25.5 0
2024-04-12 @ Stjarnan W 3-153.1 1356 1480 18.06% 21.83% 60.11%-1.21 +25.4 6
2024-04-13 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-355.3 1361 1339 48.32% 23.25% 28.43%+0.51 -11.5 1
2024-04-13 @ KA Akureyri W 3-255.3 1339 1361 28.43% 23.25% 48.32%-0.51 +11.5 3
2024-04-13 IF Vestri W 4-031.2 1387 1311 54.90% 22.63% 22.47%+0.88 +24.6 6
2024-04-13 @ Breidablik L 0-431.2 1311 1387 22.47% 22.63% 54.90%-0.88 -24.6 0
2024-04-14 IA Akranes L 0-436.3 1299 1332 40.91% 23.54% 35.54%+0.13 -40.0 1
2024-04-14 @ HK Kopavogur W 4-036.3 1332 1299 35.54% 23.54% 40.91%-0.13 +40.0 3
2024-04-14 Valur Reykjavik D 0-052.1 1313 1479 23.88% 22.82% 53.31%-0.78 +2.0 1
2024-04-14 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-052.1 1479 1313 53.31% 22.82% 23.88%+0.78 -1.9 4
2024-04-15 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-139.3 1314 1550 17.43% 21.68% 60.89%-1.26 -5.5 3
2024-04-15 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-039.3 1550 1314 60.89% 21.68% 17.43%+1.26 +5.5 6
2024-04-19 Valur Reykjavik W 1-047.0 1455 1477 42.38% 23.51% 34.10%+0.20 +9.7 3
2024-04-19 @ Stjarnan L 0-147.0 1477 1455 34.10% 23.51% 42.38%-0.20 -9.7 4
2024-04-20 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-236.7 1259 1351 32.69% 23.47% 43.83%-0.27 -17.7 1
2024-04-20 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-036.7 1351 1259 43.83% 23.47% 32.69%+0.27 +17.7 6
2024-04-20 Fram Reykjavik L 0-147.1 1381 1309 54.48% 22.68% 22.84%+0.85 -14.2 6
2024-04-20 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-047.1 1309 1381 22.84% 22.68% 54.48%-0.85 +14.2 6
2024-04-21 Breidablik W 4-141.8 1556 1412 62.02% 21.45% 16.53%+1.34 +12.0 9
2024-04-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-441.8 1412 1556 16.53% 21.45% 62.02%-1.34 -12.0 6
2024-04-21 Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-136.2 1372 1315 52.63% 22.89% 24.48%+0.74 +22.1 6
2024-04-21 @ IA Akranes L 1-536.2 1315 1372 24.48% 22.89% 52.63%-0.74 -22.1 1
2024-04-21 IF Vestri L 0-146.3 1350 1287 53.39% 22.81% 23.80%+0.79 -14.0 1
2024-04-21 @ KA Akureyri W 1-046.3 1287 1350 23.80% 22.81% 53.39%-0.79 +14.0 3
2024-04-28 Breidablik L 2-354.2 1367 1400 40.93% 23.54% 35.53%+0.13 -10.0 6
2024-04-28 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-254.2 1400 1367 35.53% 23.54% 40.93%-0.13 +10.0 9
2024-04-28 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-251.3 1394 1368 48.79% 23.22% 27.99%+0.53 -12.2 6
2024-04-28 @ IA Akranes W 2-151.3 1368 1394 27.99% 23.22% 48.79%-0.53 +12.2 9
2024-04-28 HK Kopavogur W 1-036.9 1301 1241 52.96% 22.85% 24.19%+0.76 +7.3 6
2024-04-28 @ IF Vestri L 0-136.9 1241 1301 24.19% 22.85% 52.96%-0.76 -7.3 1
2024-04-28 KA Akureyri W 4-244.2 1568 1336 69.58% 19.40% 11.01%+1.95 +5.1 12
2024-04-28 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-444.2 1336 1568 11.01% 19.40% 69.58%-1.95 -5.0 1
2024-04-29 Fram Reykjavik D 1-156.0 1468 1323 62.08% 21.44% 16.48%+1.35 -2.8 5
2024-04-29 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-156.0 1323 1468 16.48% 21.44% 62.08%-1.35 +2.8 7
2024-04-29 Stjarnan L 0-138.8 1293 1465 23.31% 22.75% 53.95%-0.82 -7.1 1
2024-04-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-038.8 1465 1293 53.95% 22.75% 23.31%+0.82 +7.1 6
2024-05-04 IF Vestri W 3-247.3 1381 1308 54.52% 22.68% 22.80%+0.85 +6.2 12
2024-05-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-347.3 1308 1381 22.80% 22.68% 54.52%-0.85 -6.2 6
2024-05-05 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-142.6 1326 1286 50.58% 23.08% 26.34%+0.63 +7.4 10
2024-05-05 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-242.6 1286 1326 26.34% 23.08% 50.58%-0.63 -7.4 1
2024-05-05 IA Akranes W 4-139.7 1472 1382 56.46% 22.42% 21.11%+0.97 +15.0 9
2024-05-05 @ Stjarnan L 1-439.7 1382 1472 21.11% 22.42% 56.46%-0.97 -15.0 6
2024-05-05 KR Reykjavik D 1-153.7 1331 1357 41.83% 23.53% 34.64%+0.17 -0.4 2
2024-05-05 @ KA Akureyri D 1-153.7 1357 1331 34.64% 23.53% 41.83%-0.17 +0.4 7
2024-05-05 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-154.6 1234 1573 10.86% 19.32% 69.82%-1.97 +29.1 4
2024-05-05 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-354.6 1573 1234 69.82% 19.32% 10.86%+1.97 -29.1 12
2024-05-06 Valur Reykjavik L 2-356.0 1410 1465 37.75% 23.56% 38.68%-0.02 -9.4 9
2024-05-06 @ Breidablik W 3-256.0 1465 1410 38.68% 23.56% 37.75%+0.02 +9.4 8
2024-05-10 Fram Reykjavik D 1-156.7 1487 1333 62.92% 21.26% 15.83%+1.41 -2.9 10
2024-05-10 @ Stjarnan D 1-156.7 1333 1487 15.83% 21.26% 62.92%-1.41 +2.9 11
2024-05-11 IF Vestri W 3-031.9 1367 1302 53.63% 22.78% 23.59%+0.80 +19.6 9
2024-05-11 @ IA Akranes L 0-331.9 1302 1367 23.59% 22.78% 53.63%-0.80 -19.6 6
2024-05-11 KA Akureyri W 3-139.2 1474 1330 62.03% 21.45% 16.52%+1.34 +8.5 11
2024-05-11 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-339.2 1330 1474 16.52% 21.45% 62.03%-1.34 -8.5 2
2024-05-12 Breidablik L 0-333.8 1279 1400 28.90% 23.28% 47.82%-0.48 -23.3 1
2024-05-12 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-033.8 1400 1279 47.82% 23.28% 28.90%+0.48 +23.3 12
2024-05-12 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-037.3 1544 1387 63.23% 21.18% 15.58%+1.43 +9.2 15
2024-05-12 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-237.3 1387 1544 15.58% 21.18% 63.23%-1.43 -9.2 12
2024-05-12 HK Kopavogur L 1-251.7 1357 1263 56.94% 22.35% 20.70%+1.00 -14.0 7
2024-05-12 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-151.7 1263 1357 20.70% 22.35% 56.94%-1.00 +14.0 7
2024-05-20 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-243.2 1322 1255 53.77% 22.77% 23.46%+0.81 +10.4 5
2024-05-20 @ KA Akureyri L 2-443.2 1255 1322 23.46% 22.77% 53.77%-0.81 -10.4 1
2024-05-20 KR Reykjavik L 1-250.9 1378 1343 49.89% 23.14% 26.97%+0.59 -12.4 12
2024-05-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-150.9 1343 1378 26.97% 23.14% 49.89%-0.59 +12.4 10
2024-05-20 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-436.9 1282 1553 14.86% 20.96% 64.18%-1.50 -10.8 6
2024-05-20 @ IF Vestri W 4-136.9 1553 1282 64.18% 20.96% 14.86%+1.50 +10.8 18
2024-05-21 IA Akranes D 1-154.2 1336 1386 38.46% 23.56% 37.98%+0.01 -0.0 12
2024-05-21 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-154.2 1386 1336 37.98% 23.56% 38.46%-0.01 +0.0 10
2024-05-21 Stjarnan W 2-152.3 1424 1484 37.02% 23.56% 39.42%-0.06 +10.2 15
2024-05-21 @ Breidablik L 1-252.3 1484 1424 39.42% 23.56% 37.02%+0.06 -10.2 10
2024-05-21 Valur Reykjavik L 1-242.3 1277 1483 20.00% 22.23% 57.78%-1.06 -5.8 7
2024-05-21 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-142.3 1483 1277 57.78% 22.23% 20.00%+1.06 +5.8 14
2024-05-25 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-262.7 1489 1365 59.99% 21.85% 18.16%+1.20 -1.9 15
2024-05-25 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-262.7 1365 1489 18.16% 21.85% 59.99%-1.20 +1.9 13
2024-05-25 IF Vestri D 2-258.6 1356 1271 55.86% 22.51% 21.63%+0.94 -1.5 11
2024-05-25 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-258.6 1271 1356 21.63% 22.51% 55.86%-0.94 +1.5 7
2024-05-25 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-144.0 1386 1564 22.70% 22.66% 54.64%-0.86 -6.9 10
2024-05-25 @ IA Akranes W 1-044.0 1564 1386 54.64% 22.66% 22.70%+0.86 +6.9 21
2024-05-26 Breidablik L 1-441.3 1336 1434 31.91% 23.44% 44.65%-0.32 -21.3 12
2024-05-26 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-141.3 1434 1336 44.65% 23.44% 31.91%+0.32 +21.3 18
2024-05-26 KA Akureyri W 5-031.4 1474 1332 61.78% 21.50% 16.72%+1.33 +23.1 13
2024-05-26 @ Stjarnan L 0-531.4 1332 1474 16.72% 21.50% 61.78%-1.33 -23.1 5
2024-05-27 HK Kopavogur W 3-142.0 1245 1271 41.87% 23.53% 34.61%+0.18 +16.0 4
2024-05-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-342.0 1271 1245 34.61% 23.53% 41.87%-0.18 -16.0 7
2024-05-30 Stjarnan W 5-146.4 1487 1497 44.08% 23.46% 32.46%+0.29 +27.9 18
2024-05-30 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-546.4 1497 1487 32.46% 23.46% 44.08%-0.29 -27.9 13
2024-05-30 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-163.0 1455 1571 29.65% 23.33% 47.02%-0.44 +1.0 19
2024-05-30 @ Breidablik D 1-163.0 1571 1455 47.02% 23.33% 29.65%+0.44 -1.0 22
2024-05-31 Fram Reykjavik D 3-363.5 1367 1315 52.10% 22.94% 24.96%+0.71 -1.0 14
2024-05-31 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 3-363.5 1315 1367 24.96% 22.94% 52.10%-0.71 +1.0 13
2024-06-01 IA Akranes L 2-351.4 1309 1379 35.58% 23.54% 40.88%-0.13 -9.0 5
2024-06-01 @ KA Akureyri W 3-251.4 1379 1309 40.88% 23.54% 35.58%+0.13 +9.0 13
2024-06-02 Breidablik L 0-233.7 1255 1456 20.42% 22.30% 57.28%-1.02 -11.9 7
2024-06-02 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-033.7 1456 1255 57.28% 22.30% 20.42%+1.02 +11.9 22
2024-06-02 Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-237.0 1570 1261 74.96% 17.33% 7.71%+2.47 +4.7 25
2024-06-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-537.0 1261 1570 7.71% 17.33% 74.96%-2.47 -4.7 4
2024-06-02 Stjarnan W 4-254.8 1273 1469 20.88% 22.38% 56.74%-0.99 +21.6 10
2024-06-02 @ IF Vestri L 2-454.8 1469 1273 56.74% 22.38% 20.88%+0.99 -21.6 13
2024-06-03 Valur Reykjavik L 3-550.6 1354 1515 24.48% 22.89% 52.63%-0.74 -10.2 11
2024-06-03 @ KR Reykjavik W 5-350.6 1515 1354 52.63% 22.89% 24.48%+0.74 +10.2 21
2024-06-18 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-245.8 1447 1366 55.49% 22.56% 21.95%+0.91 +9.8 16
2024-06-18 @ Stjarnan L 2-445.8 1366 1447 21.95% 22.56% 55.49%-0.91 -9.8 14
2024-06-18 HK Kopavogur L 1-250.6 1316 1243 54.52% 22.68% 22.81%+0.85 -13.4 13
2024-06-18 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-150.6 1243 1316 22.81% 22.68% 54.52%-0.85 +13.4 10
2024-06-18 IF Vestri W 3-250.5 1256 1294 40.19% 23.55% 36.26%+0.09 +9.1 7
2024-06-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-350.5 1294 1256 36.26% 23.55% 40.19%-0.09 -9.1 10
2024-06-18 KR Reykjavik W 2-143.8 1388 1344 51.15% 23.03% 25.82%+0.66 +7.3 16
2024-06-18 @ IA Akranes L 1-243.8 1344 1388 25.82% 23.03% 51.15%-0.66 -7.3 11
2024-06-18 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-270.7 1525 1575 38.52% 23.56% 37.92%+0.01 -0.0 22
2024-06-18 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-270.7 1575 1525 37.92% 23.56% 38.52%-0.01 +0.0 26
2024-06-19 KA Akureyri W 2-140.5 1468 1300 64.26% 20.94% 14.80%+1.51 +4.4 25
2024-06-19 @ Breidablik L 1-240.5 1300 1468 14.80% 20.94% 64.26%-1.51 -4.4 5
2024-06-22 KR Reykjavik D 1-160.0 1575 1337 70.01% 19.26% 10.73%+1.99 -3.7 27
2024-06-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-160.0 1337 1575 10.73% 19.26% 70.01%-1.99 +3.7 12
2024-06-22 Stjarnan W 4-361.4 1257 1457 20.47% 22.31% 57.21%-1.02 +13.0 13
2024-06-22 @ HK Kopavogur L 3-461.4 1457 1257 57.21% 22.31% 20.47%+1.02 -13.0 16
2024-06-22 Valur Reykjavik L 1-535.7 1285 1525 17.16% 21.62% 61.22%-1.29 -16.0 10
2024-06-22 @ IF Vestri W 5-135.7 1525 1285 61.22% 21.62% 17.16%+1.29 +16.0 25
2024-06-23 Fram Reykjavik W 3-249.5 1296 1302 44.53% 23.45% 32.03%+0.31 +8.3 8
2024-06-23 @ KA Akureyri L 2-349.5 1302 1296 32.03% 23.45% 44.53%-0.31 -8.3 13
2024-06-23 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-138.2 1356 1265 56.55% 22.41% 21.04%+0.98 +10.6 17
2024-06-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-338.2 1265 1356 21.04% 22.41% 56.55%-0.98 -10.6 7
2024-06-23 IA Akranes D 1-157.6 1473 1396 54.98% 22.62% 22.40%+0.88 -1.9 26
2024-06-23 @ Breidablik D 1-157.6 1396 1473 22.40% 22.62% 54.98%-0.88 +1.9 17
2024-06-27 Fram Reykjavik L 1-344.4 1269 1294 42.03% 23.52% 34.45%+0.18 -18.7 10
2024-06-27 @ IF Vestri W 3-144.4 1294 1269 34.45% 23.52% 42.03%-0.18 +18.7 16
2024-06-27 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-258.4 1340 1255 55.98% 22.49% 21.53%+0.94 -1.5 13
2024-06-27 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-258.4 1255 1340 21.53% 22.49% 55.98%-0.94 +1.5 8
2024-06-27 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-441.8 1444 1571 28.30% 23.24% 48.46%-0.51 -29.9 16
2024-06-27 @ Stjarnan W 4-041.8 1571 1444 48.46% 23.24% 28.30%+0.51 +29.9 30
2024-06-28 Breidablik W 1-047.4 1367 1471 31.14% 23.41% 45.46%-0.36 +12.2 20
2024-06-28 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-147.4 1471 1367 45.46% 23.41% 31.14%+0.36 -12.2 26
2024-06-28 KA Akureyri L 1-246.9 1270 1304 40.73% 23.55% 35.73%+0.12 -10.5 13
2024-06-28 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-146.9 1304 1270 35.73% 23.55% 40.73%-0.12 +10.5 11
2024-06-28 Valur Reykjavik W 3-261.8 1398 1541 26.38% 23.08% 50.54%-0.63 +11.9 20
2024-06-28 @ IA Akranes L 2-361.8 1541 1398 50.54% 23.08% 26.38%+0.63 -11.9 25
2024-06-30 Fram Reykjavik W 2-141.6 1601 1313 73.59% 17.91% 8.50%+2.33 +2.5 33
2024-06-30 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-241.6 1313 1601 8.50% 17.91% 73.59%-2.33 -2.5 16
2024-07-06 Breidablik D 2-259.6 1250 1458 19.81% 22.19% 57.99%-1.07 +1.7 11
2024-07-06 @ IF Vestri D 2-259.6 1458 1250 57.99% 22.19% 19.81%+1.07 -1.7 27
2024-07-06 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-027.3 1529 1256 72.53% 18.34% 9.13%+2.23 +10.2 28
2024-07-06 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-427.3 1256 1529 9.13% 18.34% 72.53%-2.23 -10.2 8
2024-07-06 HK Kopavogur W 8-031.4 1410 1259 62.63% 21.32% 16.05%+1.39 +34.7 23
2024-07-06 @ IA Akranes L 0-831.4 1259 1410 16.05% 21.32% 62.63%-1.39 -34.7 13
2024-07-06 Stjarnan D 1-154.7 1339 1414 34.91% 23.53% 41.55%-0.16 +0.4 14
2024-07-06 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.7 1414 1339 41.55% 23.53% 34.91%+0.16 -0.4 17
2024-07-08 KA Akureyri D 1-154.0 1379 1314 53.58% 22.79% 23.63%+0.80 -1.8 21
2024-07-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-154.0 1314 1379 23.63% 22.79% 53.58%-0.80 +1.8 12
2024-07-11 KR Reykjavik W 1-041.1 1310 1339 41.47% 23.53% 35.00%+0.16 +9.9 19
2024-07-11 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-141.1 1339 1310 35.00% 23.53% 41.47%-0.16 -9.9 14
2024-07-14 KA Akureyri L 0-237.6 1252 1316 36.50% 23.56% 39.94%-0.08 -19.3 11
2024-07-14 @ IF Vestri W 2-037.6 1316 1252 39.94% 23.56% 36.50%+0.08 +19.3 15
2024-07-15 HK Kopavogur W 3-136.1 1377 1224 62.86% 21.27% 15.87%+1.40 +8.2 24
2024-07-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-336.1 1224 1377 15.87% 21.27% 62.86%-1.40 -8.2 13
2024-07-15 IA Akranes W 3-042.1 1246 1444 20.70% 22.35% 56.95%-1.00 +40.6 11
2024-07-15 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-342.1 1444 1246 56.95% 22.35% 20.70%+1.00 -40.6 23
2024-07-20 IF Vestri D 1-152.3 1216 1233 43.17% 23.49% 33.34%+0.24 -0.6 14
2024-07-20 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-152.3 1233 1216 33.34% 23.49% 43.17%-0.24 +0.6 12
2024-07-20 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-055.4 1335 1603 15.08% 21.03% 63.89%-1.48 +16.5 18
2024-07-20 @ KA Akureyri L 0-155.4 1603 1335 63.89% 21.03% 15.08%+1.48 -16.5 33
2024-07-21 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-032.6 1414 1287 60.36% 21.78% 17.86%+1.23 +10.5 20
2024-07-21 @ Stjarnan L 0-232.6 1287 1414 17.86% 21.78% 60.36%-1.23 -10.5 11
2024-07-21 KR Reykjavik W 4-243.7 1457 1329 60.37% 21.78% 17.85%+1.23 +8.1 30
2024-07-21 @ Breidablik L 2-443.7 1329 1457 17.85% 21.78% 60.37%-1.23 -8.2 14
2024-07-22 IA Akranes D 1-155.4 1385 1404 42.95% 23.50% 33.55%+0.23 -0.5 25
2024-07-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-155.4 1404 1385 33.55% 23.50% 42.95%-0.23 +0.5 24
2024-07-28 Valur Reykjavik W 4-151.2 1320 1539 18.86% 22.00% 59.14%-1.15 +35.5 22
2024-07-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-451.2 1539 1320 59.14% 22.00% 18.86%+1.15 -35.5 28
2024-07-29 KA Akureyri D 2-258.7 1321 1352 41.23% 23.54% 35.23%+0.15 -0.2 15
2024-07-29 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-258.7 1352 1321 35.23% 23.54% 41.23%-0.15 +0.2 19
2024-07-31 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-234.4 1233 1385 25.45% 22.99% 51.56%-0.68 -14.4 12
2024-07-31 @ IF Vestri W 2-034.4 1385 1233 51.56% 22.99% 25.45%+0.68 +14.4 28
2024-07-31 Fram Reykjavik D 0-049.5 1276 1356 34.36% 23.52% 42.13%-0.19 +0.5 12
2024-07-31 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-049.5 1356 1276 42.13% 23.52% 34.36%+0.19 -0.5 23
2024-07-31 HK Kopavogur W 5-130.3 1587 1216 78.69% 15.56% 5.75%+2.90 +5.1 36
2024-07-31 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-530.3 1216 1587 5.75% 15.56% 78.69%-2.90 -5.1 14
2024-07-31 Stjarnan L 1-348.2 1404 1424 42.70% 23.51% 33.80%+0.22 -18.9 24
2024-07-31 @ IA Akranes W 3-148.2 1424 1404 33.80% 23.51% 42.70%-0.22 +18.9 23
2024-08-05 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-354.7 1399 1592 21.23% 22.44% 56.33%-0.97 -5.8 28
2024-08-05 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-254.7 1592 1399 56.33% 22.44% 21.23%+0.97 +5.9 39
2024-08-06 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-029.2 1465 1277 66.00% 20.49% 13.51%+1.65 +11.7 33
2024-08-06 @ Breidablik L 0-329.2 1277 1465 13.51% 20.49% 66.00%-1.65 -11.7 12
2024-08-06 Stjarnan W 2-150.4 1355 1443 33.18% 23.49% 43.33%-0.25 +11.0 26
2024-08-06 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-250.4 1443 1355 43.33% 23.49% 33.18%+0.25 -11.0 23
2024-08-06 Valur Reykjavik W 1-049.6 1352 1504 25.45% 22.99% 51.56%-0.68 +13.6 22
2024-08-06 @ KA Akureyri L 0-149.6 1504 1352 51.56% 22.99% 25.45%+0.68 -13.6 28
2024-08-07 IA Akranes D 0-049.5 1219 1385 23.84% 22.81% 53.34%-0.79 +2.0 13
2024-08-07 @ IF Vestri D 0-049.5 1385 1219 53.34% 22.81% 23.84%+0.79 -1.9 25
2024-08-11 Breidablik D 2-263.8 1432 1476 39.31% 23.56% 37.13%+0.05 -0.1 24
2024-08-11 @ Stjarnan D 2-263.8 1476 1432 37.13% 23.56% 39.31%-0.05 +0.1 34
2024-08-11 HK Kopavogur W 5-130.2 1490 1211 73.01% 18.15% 8.84%+2.27 +8.2 31
2024-08-11 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-530.2 1211 1490 8.84% 18.15% 73.01%-2.27 -8.2 14
2024-08-11 IF Vestri D 1-158.5 1598 1221 79.00% 15.40% 5.60%+2.94 -4.6 40
2024-08-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-158.5 1221 1598 5.60% 15.40% 79.00%-2.94 +4.6 14
2024-08-11 KA Akureyri D 1-153.2 1265 1366 31.54% 23.43% 45.04%-0.33 +0.8 13
2024-08-11 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-153.2 1366 1265 45.04% 23.43% 31.54%+0.33 -0.8 23
2024-08-12 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-043.7 1321 1393 35.31% 23.54% 41.15%-0.14 +11.2 18
2024-08-12 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-143.7 1393 1321 41.15% 23.54% 35.31%+0.14 -11.2 28
2024-08-12 Fram Reykjavik W 1-040.5 1383 1366 47.71% 23.29% 29.00%+0.47 +8.5 28
2024-08-12 @ IA Akranes L 0-140.5 1366 1383 29.00% 23.29% 47.71%-0.47 -8.5 26
2024-08-15 Breidablik L 0-249.3 1498 1477 48.28% 23.25% 28.46%+0.50 -24.2 31
2024-08-15 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-049.3 1477 1498 28.46% 23.25% 48.28%-0.50 +24.2 37
2024-08-17 KR Reykjavik W 2-040.3 1226 1332 30.77% 23.39% 45.84%-0.38 +23.1 17
2024-08-17 @ IF Vestri L 0-240.3 1332 1226 45.84% 23.39% 30.77%+0.38 -23.1 18
2024-08-18 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-237.2 1202 1266 36.56% 23.56% 39.89%-0.08 -19.3 14
2024-08-18 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-037.2 1266 1202 39.89% 23.56% 36.56%+0.08 +19.3 16
2024-08-18 Stjarnan D 1-155.5 1365 1432 36.04% 23.55% 40.41%-0.11 +0.2 24
2024-08-18 @ KA Akureyri D 1-155.5 1432 1365 40.41% 23.55% 36.04%+0.11 -0.2 25
2024-08-19 Fram Reykjavik W 3-140.6 1501 1358 61.92% 21.47% 16.61%+1.34 +8.5 40
2024-08-19 @ Breidablik L 1-340.6 1358 1501 16.61% 21.47% 61.92%-1.34 -8.5 26
2024-08-19 IA Akranes L 1-262.4 1593 1392 67.10% 20.18% 12.72%+1.74 -16.2 40
2024-08-19 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-162.4 1392 1593 12.72% 20.18% 67.10%-1.74 +16.2 31
2024-08-19 Valur Reykjavik D 2-262.2 1382 1474 32.69% 23.47% 43.83%-0.27 +0.5 29
2024-08-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-262.2 1474 1382 43.83% 23.47% 32.69%+0.27 -0.5 32
2024-08-22 KR Reykjavik W 3-253.9 1183 1309 28.37% 23.24% 48.39%-0.51 +11.5 17
2024-08-22 @ HK Kopavogur L 2-353.9 1309 1183 48.39% 23.24% 28.37%+0.51 -11.5 18
2024-08-25 Breidablik L 1-250.3 1408 1509 31.48% 23.42% 45.10%-0.34 -8.6 31
2024-08-25 @ IA Akranes W 2-150.3 1509 1408 45.10% 23.42% 31.48%+0.34 +8.6 43
2024-08-25 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-350.1 1285 1383 31.95% 23.44% 44.61%-0.31 -8.2 16
2024-08-25 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-250.1 1383 1285 44.61% 23.44% 31.95%+0.31 +8.3 32
2024-08-25 IF Vestri W 3-135.5 1474 1249 69.01% 19.59% 11.40%+1.90 +5.9 35
2024-08-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-335.5 1249 1474 11.40% 19.59% 69.01%-1.90 -5.9 17
2024-08-25 KA Akureyri L 1-248.9 1349 1365 43.27% 23.49% 33.24%+0.25 -11.0 26
2024-08-25 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-148.9 1365 1349 33.24% 23.49% 43.27%-0.25 +11.0 27
2024-08-26 HK Kopavogur W 2-029.0 1432 1194 69.98% 19.27% 10.75%+1.98 +6.4 28
2024-08-26 @ Stjarnan L 0-229.0 1194 1432 10.75% 19.27% 69.98%-1.98 -6.4 17
2024-09-01 Breidablik L 2-353.1 1376 1518 26.55% 23.10% 50.35%-0.62 -7.1 27
2024-09-01 @ KA Akureyri W 3-253.1 1518 1376 50.35% 23.10% 26.55%+0.62 +7.1 46
2024-09-01 Fram Reykjavik W 1-045.1 1188 1338 25.60% 23.01% 51.39%-0.67 +13.5 20
2024-09-01 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-145.1 1338 1188 51.39% 23.01% 25.60%+0.67 -13.5 26
2024-09-01 Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-048.9 1243 1277 40.75% 23.55% 35.70%+0.12 -0.3 18
2024-09-01 @ IF Vestri D 0-048.9 1277 1243 35.70% 23.55% 40.75%-0.12 +0.3 17
2024-09-01 IA Akranes W 4-251.0 1298 1400 31.37% 23.42% 45.21%-0.34 +17.7 21
2024-09-01 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-451.0 1400 1298 45.21% 23.42% 31.37%+0.34 -17.7 31
2024-09-01 Stjarnan L 0-339.6 1391 1438 38.86% 23.56% 37.58%+0.03 -29.4 32
2024-09-01 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-039.6 1438 1391 37.58% 23.56% 38.86%-0.03 +29.4 31
2024-09-01 Valur Reykjavik W 3-256.8 1577 1479 57.27% 22.31% 20.42%+1.02 +5.7 43
2024-09-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-356.8 1479 1577 20.42% 22.31% 57.27%-1.02 -5.7 35
2024-09-13 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-333.7 1315 1582 15.13% 21.05% 63.83%-1.48 -13.0 21
2024-09-13 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-033.7 1582 1315 63.83% 21.05% 15.13%+1.48 +13.0 46
2024-09-15 FH Hafnarfjordur D 3-363.4 1325 1361 40.36% 23.55% 36.09%+0.10 -0.2 27
2024-09-15 @ Fram Reykjavik D 3-363.4 1361 1325 36.09% 23.55% 40.36%-0.10 +0.2 33
2024-09-15 HK Kopavogur W 5-340.5 1525 1202 75.87% 16.92% 7.21%+2.57 +3.0 49
2024-09-15 @ Breidablik L 3-540.5 1202 1525 7.21% 16.92% 75.87%-2.57 -3.0 20
2024-09-15 IF Vestri W 1-033.5 1468 1243 69.04% 19.58% 11.38%+1.90 +3.6 34
2024-09-15 @ Stjarnan L 0-133.5 1243 1468 11.38% 19.58% 69.04%-1.90 -3.6 18
2024-09-15 KA Akureyri W 1-040.7 1382 1369 47.13% 23.32% 29.55%+0.44 +8.7 34
2024-09-15 @ IA Akranes L 0-140.7 1369 1382 29.55% 23.32% 47.13%-0.44 -8.7 27
2024-09-16 KR Reykjavik W 4-135.4 1474 1302 64.55% 20.87% 14.58%+1.53 +10.6 38
2024-09-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-435.4 1302 1474 14.58% 20.87% 64.55%-1.53 -10.6 21
2024-09-16 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-632.2 1277 1596 11.95% 19.85% 68.20%-1.83 -19.7 17
2024-09-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 6-032.2 1596 1277 68.20% 19.85% 11.95%+1.83 +19.7 49

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-09-22 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-033.5 1324 1258 53.85% 22.76% 23.39%+0.82 +13.4 3
2024-09-22 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-233.5 1258 1324 23.39% 22.76% 53.85%-0.82 -13.4 0
2024-09-22 IF Vestri D 2-257.9 1292 1239 52.16% 22.94% 24.91%+0.72 -1.2 1
2024-09-22 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-257.9 1239 1292 24.91% 22.94% 52.16%-0.72 +1.2 1
2024-09-23 IA Akranes W 2-037.4 1528 1391 61.38% 21.58% 17.03%+1.30 +10.1 3
2024-09-23 @ Breidablik L 0-237.4 1391 1528 17.03% 21.58% 61.38%-1.30 -10.1 0
2024-09-23 Stjarnan D 2-265.6 1484 1471 47.17% 23.32% 29.51%+0.45 -0.8 1
2024-09-23 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-265.6 1471 1484 29.51% 23.32% 47.17%-0.45 +0.8 1
2024-09-25 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-034.3 1615 1362 71.18% 18.85% 9.97%+2.10 +8.5 3
2024-09-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-334.3 1362 1615 9.97% 18.85% 71.18%-2.10 -8.6 0
2024-09-25 HK Kopavogur D 3-363.1 1360 1199 63.68% 21.08% 15.24%+1.47 -1.9 1
2024-09-25 @ KA Akureyri D 3-363.1 1199 1360 15.24% 21.08% 63.68%-1.47 +1.9 1
2024-09-29 Breidablik L 0-141.7 1353 1538 21.95% 22.56% 55.49%-0.91 -6.7 0
2024-09-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-041.7 1538 1353 55.49% 22.56% 21.95%+0.91 +6.7 6
2024-09-29 Fram Reykjavik W 7-139.0 1290 1338 38.85% 23.56% 37.59%+0.03 +45.3 4
2024-09-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-739.0 1338 1290 37.59% 23.56% 38.85%-0.03 -45.3 3
2024-09-29 HK Kopavogur W 2-141.9 1240 1200 50.57% 23.08% 26.35%+0.63 +7.4 4
2024-09-29 @ IF Vestri L 1-241.9 1200 1240 26.35% 23.08% 50.57%-0.63 -7.4 1
2024-09-29 KA Akureyri L 1-340.9 1244 1359 29.78% 23.34% 46.88%-0.43 -14.2 0
2024-09-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-140.9 1359 1244 46.88% 23.34% 29.78%+0.43 +14.2 4
2024-09-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-360.7 1484 1624 26.71% 23.11% 50.17%-0.61 -7.1 1
2024-09-29 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-260.7 1624 1484 50.17% 23.11% 26.71%+0.61 +7.1 6
2024-09-30 IA Akranes W 3-034.5 1472 1380 56.64% 22.40% 20.96%+0.98 +17.7 4
2024-09-30 @ Stjarnan L 0-334.5 1380 1472 20.96% 22.40% 56.64%-0.98 -17.7 0
2024-10-05 IF Vestri L 2-451.4 1293 1248 51.23% 23.02% 25.75%+0.66 -19.7 3
2024-10-05 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-251.4 1248 1293 25.75% 23.02% 51.23%-0.66 +19.7 7
2024-10-06 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-139.4 1363 1346 47.61% 23.29% 29.10%+0.47 +19.8 3
2024-10-06 @ IA Akranes L 1-439.4 1346 1363 29.10% 23.29% 47.61%-0.47 -19.8 0
2024-10-06 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-257.4 1193 1230 40.37% 23.55% 36.08%+0.10 -0.2 2
2024-10-06 @ HK Kopavogur D 2-257.4 1230 1193 36.08% 23.55% 40.37%-0.10 +0.2 1
2024-10-06 KR Reykjavik L 0-439.8 1373 1336 50.25% 23.11% 26.64%+0.61 -47.5 4
2024-10-06 @ KA Akureyri W 4-039.8 1336 1373 26.64% 23.11% 50.25%-0.61 +47.5 7
2024-10-06 Stjarnan D 2-272.0 1631 1490 61.74% 21.51% 16.75%+1.32 -2.1 7
2024-10-06 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-272.0 1490 1631 16.75% 21.51% 61.74%-1.32 +2.1 5
2024-10-06 Valur Reykjavik D 2-268.2 1545 1476 54.01% 22.74% 23.25%+0.82 -1.4 7
2024-10-06 @ Breidablik D 2-268.2 1476 1545 23.25% 22.74% 54.01%-0.82 +1.4 2
2024-10-19 IF Vestri W 2-141.8 1325 1267 52.80% 22.87% 24.33%+0.75 +6.9 7
2024-10-19 @ KA Akureyri L 1-241.8 1267 1325 24.33% 22.87% 52.80%-0.75 -6.9 7
2024-10-19 Stjarnan W 2-152.5 1543 1492 52.03% 22.95% 25.02%+0.71 +7.1 10
2024-10-19 @ Breidablik L 1-252.5 1492 1543 25.02% 22.95% 52.03%-0.71 -7.1 5
2024-10-19 Valur Reykjavik D 1-155.9 1327 1478 25.47% 23.00% 51.54%-0.68 +1.5 1
2024-10-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-155.9 1478 1327 51.54% 23.00% 25.47%+0.68 -1.5 3
2024-10-19 Vikingur Reykjavik L 3-457.3 1382 1629 16.64% 21.48% 61.88%-1.33 -4.6 3
2024-10-19 @ IA Akranes W 4-357.3 1629 1382 61.88% 21.48% 16.64%+1.33 +4.6 10
2024-10-20 Fram Reykjavik W 2-146.9 1193 1273 34.27% 23.52% 42.21%-0.19 +10.8 5
2024-10-20 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-246.9 1273 1193 42.21% 23.52% 34.27%+0.19 -10.8 3
2024-10-20 KR Reykjavik L 0-137.7 1230 1383 25.26% 22.97% 51.77%-0.70 -7.6 1
2024-10-20 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-037.7 1383 1230 51.77% 22.97% 25.26%+0.70 +7.6 10
2024-10-26 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-246.9 1485 1328 63.20% 21.19% 15.61%+1.43 +4.4 8
2024-10-26 @ Stjarnan L 2-346.9 1328 1485 15.61% 21.19% 63.20%-1.43 -4.4 1
2024-10-26 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-346.5 1260 1222 50.35% 23.10% 26.55%+0.62 -21.7 7
2024-10-26 @ IF Vestri W 3-146.5 1222 1260 26.55% 23.10% 50.35%-0.62 +21.7 4
2024-10-26 HK Kopavogur W 7-029.1 1391 1204 65.92% 20.51% 13.57%+1.64 +26.0 13
2024-10-26 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-729.1 1204 1391 13.57% 20.51% 65.92%-1.64 -26.0 5
2024-10-26 IA Akranes W 6-137.4 1476 1378 57.37% 22.29% 20.34%+1.03 +23.0 6
2024-10-26 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-637.4 1378 1476 20.34% 22.29% 57.37%-1.03 -23.0 3
2024-10-26 KA Akureyri L 1-440.3 1262 1332 35.62% 23.54% 40.83%-0.13 -23.2 3
2024-10-26 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-140.3 1332 1262 40.83% 23.54% 35.62%+0.13 +23.2 10
2024-10-27 Breidablik L 0-355.9 1633 1551 55.67% 22.53% 21.80%+0.92 -39.8 10
2024-10-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-055.9 1551 1633 21.80% 22.53% 55.67%-0.92 +39.8 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-05-05 10.86% @ HK Kopavogur 1234 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1573 1
2 2024-08-19 12.72% IA Akranes 1392 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1593 1
3 2024-07-20 15.08% @ KA Akureyri 1335 1 Vikingur Reykjavik 1603 0
4 2024-04-12 18.06% KR Reykjavik 1356 3 @ Stjarnan 1480 1
5 2024-07-28 18.86% @ Fram Reykjavik 1320 4 Valur Reykjavik 1539 1
6 2024-06-22 20.47% @ HK Kopavogur 1257 4 Stjarnan 1457 3
7 2024-05-12 20.70% HK Kopavogur 1263 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1357 1
8 2024-07-15 20.70% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1246 3 IA Akranes 1444 0
9 2024-06-02 20.88% @ IF Vestri 1273 4 Stjarnan 1469 2
10 2024-10-27 21.80% Breidablik 1551 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1633 0
11 2024-06-18 22.81% HK Kopavogur 1243 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1316 1
12 2024-04-20 22.84% Fram Reykjavik 1309 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1381 0
13 2024-04-21 23.80% IF Vestri 1287 1 @ KA Akureyri 1350 0
14 2024-08-06 25.45% @ KA Akureyri 1352 1 Valur Reykjavik 1504 0
15 2024-09-01 25.60% @ HK Kopavogur 1188 1 Fram Reykjavik 1338 0
16 2024-10-05 25.75% IF Vestri 1248 4 @ Fram Reykjavik 1293 2
17 2024-06-28 26.38% @ IA Akranes 1398 3 Valur Reykjavik 1541 2
18 2024-10-26 26.55% Fylkir Reykjavik 1222 3 @ IF Vestri 1260 1
19 2024-10-06 26.64% KR Reykjavik 1336 4 @ KA Akureyri 1373 0
20 2024-05-20 26.97% KR Reykjavik 1343 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1378 1
21 2024-04-28 27.99% FH Hafnarfjordur 1368 2 @ IA Akranes 1394 1
22 2024-08-22 28.37% @ HK Kopavogur 1183 3 KR Reykjavik 1309 2
23 2024-04-13 28.43% FH Hafnarfjordur 1339 3 @ KA Akureyri 1361 2
24 2024-08-15 28.46% Breidablik 1477 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1498 0
25 2024-08-17 30.77% @ IF Vestri 1226 2 KR Reykjavik 1332 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-10-06 47.49 KR Reykjavik 4 1336 26.64% @ KA Akureyri 0 1373 50.25% 23.11%
2 2024-09-29 45.27 @ KR Reykjavik 7 1290 38.85% Fram Reykjavik 1 1338 37.59% 23.56%
3 2024-07-15 40.63 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1246 20.70% IA Akranes 0 1444 56.95% 22.35%
4 2024-04-14 40.04 IA Akranes 4 1332 35.54% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1299 40.91% 23.54%
5 2024-10-27 39.80 Breidablik 3 1551 21.80% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1633 55.67% 22.53%
6 2024-07-28 35.45 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1320 18.86% Valur Reykjavik 1 1539 59.14% 22.00%
7 2024-07-06 34.74 @ IA Akranes 8 1410 62.63% HK Kopavogur 0 1259 16.05% 21.32%
8 2024-06-27 29.93 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1571 48.46% @ Stjarnan 0 1444 28.30% 23.24%
9 2024-09-01 29.44 Stjarnan 3 1438 37.58% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1391 38.86% 23.56%
10 2024-05-05 29.09 @ HK Kopavogur 3 1234 10.86% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1573 69.82% 19.32%
11 2024-05-30 27.86 @ Valur Reykjavik 5 1487 44.08% Stjarnan 1 1497 32.46% 23.46%
12 2024-10-26 25.95 @ KR Reykjavik 7 1391 65.92% HK Kopavogur 0 1204 13.57% 20.51%
13 2024-04-12 25.45 KR Reykjavik 3 1356 18.06% @ Stjarnan 1 1480 60.11% 21.83%
14 2024-04-13 24.59 @ Breidablik 4 1387 54.90% IF Vestri 0 1311 22.47% 22.63%
15 2024-08-15 24.18 Breidablik 2 1477 28.46% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1498 48.28% 23.25%
16 2024-05-12 23.29 Breidablik 3 1400 47.82% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1279 28.90% 23.28%
17 2024-10-26 23.22 KA Akureyri 4 1332 40.83% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1262 35.62% 23.54%
18 2024-08-17 23.14 @ IF Vestri 2 1226 30.77% KR Reykjavik 0 1332 45.84% 23.39%
19 2024-05-26 23.14 @ Stjarnan 5 1474 61.78% KA Akureyri 0 1332 16.72% 21.50%
20 2024-10-26 22.97 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1476 57.37% IA Akranes 1 1378 20.34% 22.29%
21 2024-04-21 22.08 @ IA Akranes 5 1372 52.63% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1315 24.48% 22.89%
22 2024-10-26 21.72 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1222 26.55% @ IF Vestri 1 1260 50.35% 23.10%
23 2024-06-02 21.60 @ IF Vestri 4 1273 20.88% Stjarnan 2 1469 56.74% 22.38%
24 2024-05-26 21.29 Breidablik 4 1434 44.65% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1336 31.91% 23.44%
25 2024-10-06 19.76 @ IA Akranes 4 1363 47.61% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1346 29.10% 23.29%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-10-06 72.0 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1631 61.74% Stjarnan 2 1490 16.75% 21.51%
2 2024-06-18 70.7 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1525 38.52% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1575 37.92% 23.56%
3 2024-10-06 68.2 @ Breidablik 2 1545 54.01% Valur Reykjavik 2 1476 23.25% 22.74%
4 2024-09-23 65.6 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1484 47.17% Stjarnan 2 1471 29.51% 23.32%
5 2024-08-11 63.8 @ Stjarnan 2 1432 39.31% Breidablik 2 1476 37.13% 23.56%
6 2024-05-31 63.5 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1367 52.10% Fram Reykjavik 3 1315 24.96% 22.94%
7 2024-09-15 63.4 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1325 40.36% FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1361 36.09% 23.55%
8 2024-09-25 63.1 @ KA Akureyri 3 1360 63.68% HK Kopavogur 3 1199 15.24% 21.08%
9 2024-05-30 63.0 @ Breidablik 1 1455 29.65% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1571 47.02% 23.33%
10 2024-05-25 62.7 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1489 59.99% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1365 18.16% 21.85%
11 2024-08-19 62.4 IA Akranes 2 1392 12.72% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1593 67.10% 20.18%
12 2024-08-19 62.2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1382 32.69% Valur Reykjavik 2 1474 43.83% 23.47%
13 2024-06-28 61.8 @ IA Akranes 3 1398 26.38% Valur Reykjavik 2 1541 50.54% 23.08%
14 2024-06-22 61.4 @ HK Kopavogur 4 1257 20.47% Stjarnan 3 1457 57.21% 22.31%
15 2024-09-29 60.7 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1624 50.17% @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1484 26.71% 23.11%
16 2024-06-22 60.0 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1575 70.01% KR Reykjavik 1 1337 10.73% 19.26%
17 2024-07-06 59.6 @ IF Vestri 2 1250 19.81% Breidablik 2 1458 57.99% 22.19%
18 2024-07-29 58.7 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1321 41.23% KA Akureyri 2 1352 35.23% 23.54%
19 2024-05-25 58.6 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1356 55.86% IF Vestri 2 1271 21.63% 22.51%
20 2024-08-11 58.5 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1598 79.00% IF Vestri 1 1221 5.60% 15.40%
21 2024-06-27 58.4 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1340 55.98% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1255 21.53% 22.49%
22 2024-09-22 57.9 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1292 52.16% IF Vestri 2 1239 24.91% 22.94%
23 2024-06-23 57.6 @ Breidablik 1 1473 54.98% IA Akranes 1 1396 22.40% 22.62%
24 2024-10-06 57.4 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1193 40.37% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1230 36.08% 23.55%
25 2024-10-19 57.3 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1629 61.88% @ IA Akranes 3 1382 16.64% 21.48%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-07-06 27.3 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1529 72.53% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1256 9.13% 18.34%
2 2024-08-26 29.0 @ Stjarnan 2 1432 69.98% HK Kopavogur 0 1194 10.75% 19.27%
3 2024-10-26 29.1 @ KR Reykjavik 7 1391 65.92% HK Kopavogur 0 1204 13.57% 20.51%
4 2024-08-06 29.2 @ Breidablik 3 1465 66.00% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1277 13.51% 20.49%
5 2024-08-11 30.2 @ Valur Reykjavik 5 1490 73.01% HK Kopavogur 1 1211 8.84% 18.15%
6 2024-07-31 30.3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 5 1587 78.69% HK Kopavogur 1 1216 5.75% 15.56%
7 2024-04-13 31.2 @ Breidablik 4 1387 54.90% IF Vestri 0 1311 22.47% 22.63%
8 2024-05-26 31.4 @ Stjarnan 5 1474 61.78% KA Akureyri 0 1332 16.72% 21.50%
9 2024-07-06 31.4 @ IA Akranes 8 1410 62.63% HK Kopavogur 0 1259 16.05% 21.32%
10 2024-05-11 31.9 @ IA Akranes 3 1367 53.63% IF Vestri 0 1302 23.59% 22.78%
11 2024-09-16 32.2 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 1596 68.20% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1277 11.95% 19.85%
12 2024-07-21 32.6 @ Stjarnan 2 1414 60.36% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1287 17.86% 21.78%
13 2024-09-15 33.5 @ Stjarnan 1 1468 69.04% IF Vestri 0 1243 11.38% 19.58%
14 2024-09-22 33.5 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1324 53.85% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1258 23.39% 22.76%
15 2024-06-02 33.7 Breidablik 2 1456 57.28% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1255 20.42% 22.30%
16 2024-09-13 33.7 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1582 63.83% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1315 15.13% 21.05%
17 2024-05-12 33.8 Breidablik 3 1400 47.82% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1279 28.90% 23.28%
18 2024-09-25 34.3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1615 71.18% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1362 9.97% 18.85%
19 2024-07-31 34.4 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1385 51.56% @ IF Vestri 0 1233 25.45% 22.99%
20 2024-09-30 34.5 @ Stjarnan 3 1472 56.64% IA Akranes 0 1380 20.96% 22.40%
21 2024-04-07 34.6 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1469 60.29% IA Akranes 0 1342 17.92% 21.80%
22 2024-09-16 35.4 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1474 64.55% KR Reykjavik 1 1302 14.58% 20.87%
23 2024-08-25 35.5 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1474 69.01% IF Vestri 1 1249 11.40% 19.59%
24 2024-06-22 35.7 Valur Reykjavik 5 1525 61.22% @ IF Vestri 1 1285 17.16% 21.62%
25 2024-07-15 36.1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1377 62.86% HK Kopavogur 1 1224 15.87% 21.27%