2023 Besta deild karla Season

162 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Vikingur Reykjavik

66 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 2021.0

Relegated

Keflavik IF

16 pts

IBV Vestmannaeyjar · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Keflavik IF

13.47 points above expected

16 points · 29.47 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vikingur Reykjavik

62.97 points below expected

66 points · 128.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 19 2 1 59 65 20 +45 43.20 +15.80
2 Valur Reykjavik 22 14 3 5 45 53 25 +28 40.13 +4.87
3 Breidablik 22 11 5 6 38 44 36 +8 39.78 -1.78
4 Stjarnan 22 10 4 8 34 45 25 +20 31.96 +2.04
5 FH Hafnarfjrur 22 10 4 8 34 41 44 -3 29.07 +4.93
6 KR Reykjavik 22 9 5 8 32 29 36 -7 28.54 +3.46
7 KA Akureyri 22 8 5 9 29 31 39 -8 28.70 +0.30
8 HK Kopavogur 22 6 7 9 25 37 48 -11 27.02 -2.02
9 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 5 6 11 21 29 45 -16 24.49 -3.49
10 Fram Reykjavik 22 5 4 13 19 32 47 -15 25.89 -6.89
11 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 5 4 13 19 24 43 -19 25.00 -6.00
12 Keflavik IF 22 1 9 12 12 20 42 -22 22.55 -10.55
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik Champion 27 21 3 3 66 76 30 +46 69.97 -3.97
2 Valur Reykjavik 27 17 4 6 55 66 35 +31 53.05 +1.95
3 Stjarnan 27 14 4 9 46 55 29 +26 41.76 +4.24
4 Breidablik 27 12 5 10 41 52 49 +3 44.05 -3.05
5 FH Hafnarfjrur 27 12 4 11 40 49 54 -5 38.21 +1.79
6 KR Reykjavik 27 10 7 10 37 38 48 -10 36.64 +0.36
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 27 12 5 10 41 42 45 -3 37.78 +3.22
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 27 7 8 12 29 43 55 -12 27.67 +1.33
3 HK Kopavogur 27 6 9 12 27 41 55 -14 32.61 -5.61
4 Fram Reykjavik 27 7 6 14 27 40 56 -16 25.58 +1.42
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Relegated 27 6 7 14 25 31 50 -19 25.42 -0.42
6 Keflavik IF Relegated 27 2 10 15 16 27 54 -27 17.47 -1.47

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Afturelding 5
Leiknir Reykjavik 1

Leg 1: Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 Afturelding

Leg 2: Afturelding 3-0 Leiknir Reykjavik

IF Vestri 2
Fjolnir 1

Leg 1: IF Vestri 1-0 Fjolnir

Leg 2: Fjolnir 1-1 IF Vestri

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vikingur Reykjavik 1569 66 43.20 +22.80 99.9% 21 34 39 43 47 52 64
Stjarnan 1488 46 31.96 +14.04 66.4% 12 22 28 32 36 42 56
Valur Reykjavik 1455 55 40.13 +14.87 82.7% 17 31 36 40 44 50 59
Breidablik 1297 41 39.78 +1.22 40.7% 17 30 36 40 44 49 64
KA Akureyri 1288 41 28.70 +12.30 55.9% 7 19 25 29 33 38 52
FH Hafnarfjrur 1276 40 29.07 +10.93 82.7% 8 20 25 29 33 39 49
KR Reykjavik 1261 37 28.54 +8.46 75.2% 10 19 24 28 32 38 53
Fylkir Reykjavik 1214 29 24.49 +4.51 31.0% 6 15 20 24 28 34 48
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1171 25 25.00 +0.00 16.8% 7 16 21 25 29 35 45
HK Kopavogur 1168 27 27.02 -0.02 40.1% 7 17 23 27 31 37 47
Fram Reykjavik 1167 27 25.89 +1.11 13.2% 8 17 22 26 30 35 48
Keflavik IF 1087 16 22.55 -6.55 3.2% 4 14 19 23 26 32 43

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR FR HK IV KA KR KI STJ VR VR
Breidablik
0-1-2
5.75
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
4.05
0-0-2
4.01
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-0
3.83
1-0-2
5.22
1-1-0
4.30
1-1-1
4.57
2-0-1
3.52
1-1-1
2.70
FH Hafnarfjrur
2-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.05
0-0-2
3.24
1-1-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.26
0-0-2
2.81
2-0-1
4.22
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-2
4.44
1-1-1
2.08
0-0-3
1.77
Fram Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-2
4.10
1-2-0
3.58
1-1-1
3.63
2-0-1
3.76
0-0-2
2.57
2-1-0
4.84
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
0.89
Fylkir Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.51
2-0-0
2.31
2-1-0
4.20
0-2-1
3.53
2-1-0
4.55
0-1-2
3.68
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-1
4.02
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
1.43
HK Kopavogur
2-0-0
1.55
0-1-1
2.65
0-2-1
4.72
1-2-0
4.77
0-1-2
5.20
0-1-2
3.26
1-1-0
2.51
2-0-1
4.66
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
1.50
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
1.75
0-0-2
2.28
1-1-1
4.67
0-1-2
3.75
2-1-0
3.10
1-0-2
3.17
0-2-0
2.23
1-2-0
4.93
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
1.48
KA Akureyri
0-1-1
1.72
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-2
4.54
2-1-0
4.62
2-1-0
5.05
2-0-1
5.15
0-1-1
2.86
2-1-0
5.28
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
1.97
KR Reykjavik
2-0-1
3.10
1-0-2
4.08
2-0-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
3.03
0-2-0
3.31
1-1-0
2.68
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-2
2.92
0-1-2
2.67
0-1-2
2.18
Keflavik IF
0-1-1
1.28
0-0-2
2.25
0-1-2
3.47
1-1-1
4.27
1-0-2
3.64
0-2-1
3.39
0-1-2
3.05
0-0-2
2.50
0-1-1
1.72
0-2-0
0.94
0-1-1
1.18
Stjarnan
1-1-1
3.73
2-0-1
3.86
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.54
2-0-1
5.43
1-1-0
3.86
1-0-2
2.84
1-0-2
3.12
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-2
4.79
1-1-1
6.27
2-0-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
3.58
2-1-0
5.65
0-2-0
4.67
2-0-1
5.47
1-0-2
3.28
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-1-1
5.65
3-0-0
6.61
2-0-0
4.73
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.10
2-0-0
3.57
2-1-0
6.19
1-1-0
4.40
2-0-1
5.21
2-0-1
5.03

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.90 +9.4
Allowed 0.69 -11.7
Differential 0.92 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.09%4.94%6.17%2.16%2.78%1.23%20.37%
14.94%10.49%6.17%4.94%1.23%1.54%29.32%
26.17%6.17%7.41%2.47%2.47%0.31%25.00%
32.16%4.94%2.47%1.23%1.54%0.31%12.65%
42.78%1.23%2.47%1.54%0.62%8.64%
5+1.23%1.54%0.31%0.31%0.62%4.01%
Total20.37%29.32%25.00%12.65%8.64%4.01%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.73 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.39 2.07
CV 0.81 0.81
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%14.81%
111.11%7.41%3.70%22.22%
211.11%7.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%33.33%
37.41%11.11%3.70%22.22%
4
5+3.70%3.70%7.41%
Total25.93%25.93%22.22%18.52%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.81 +0.11
SD 1.33 1.66 1.69
CV 0.69 0.92
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%14.81%
13.70%3.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%22.22%
27.41%7.41%11.11%11.11%37.04%
33.70%3.70%11.11%18.52%
43.70%3.70%7.41%
5+
Total18.52%18.52%29.63%14.81%14.81%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.00 -0.19
SD 1.14 1.44 2.08
CV 0.63 0.72
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%7.41%22.22%
13.70%11.11%3.70%11.11%3.70%33.33%
27.41%7.41%7.41%3.70%25.93%
37.41%3.70%11.11%
43.70%3.70%7.41%
5+
Total7.41%40.74%14.81%18.52%11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 2.07 -0.59
SD 1.19 1.44 1.78
CV 0.80 0.69
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%18.52%
13.70%11.11%14.81%3.70%7.41%40.74%
23.70%11.11%3.70%18.52%
37.41%3.70%11.11%
47.41%7.41%
5+3.70%3.70%
Total7.41%29.63%40.74%7.41%7.41%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.04 -0.44
SD 1.34 1.40 2.03
CV 0.84 0.69
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%18.52%
17.41%18.52%11.11%3.70%3.70%44.44%
23.70%11.11%3.70%18.52%
33.70%3.70%7.41%
43.70%3.70%7.41%
5+3.70%3.70%
Total14.81%29.63%25.93%11.11%7.41%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 2.04 -0.52
SD 1.31 1.63 1.85
CV 0.86 0.80
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%25.93%
17.41%11.11%14.81%7.41%40.74%
23.70%3.70%14.81%3.70%25.93%
33.70%3.70%7.41%
4
5+
Total14.81%25.93%33.33%18.52%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.85 -0.70
SD 0.91 1.35 1.92
CV 0.79 0.73
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%11.11%11.11%33.33%
13.70%14.81%3.70%22.22%
214.81%3.70%18.52%
37.41%7.41%
414.81%3.70%18.52%
5+
Total14.81%37.04%29.63%3.70%14.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.67 -0.11
SD 1.50 1.24 2.03
CV 0.97 0.74
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%25.93%
17.41%11.11%3.70%7.41%29.63%
214.81%3.70%11.11%29.63%
33.70%3.70%7.41%
47.41%7.41%
5+
Total22.22%22.22%22.22%25.93%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.78 -0.37
SD 1.19 1.37 1.88
CV 0.84 0.77
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%11.11%3.70%29.63%
118.52%7.41%14.81%7.41%48.15%
27.41%3.70%3.70%14.81%
33.70%3.70%7.41%
4
5+
Total14.81%25.93%18.52%25.93%14.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.00 -1.00
SD 0.88 1.33 1.21
CV 0.88 0.67
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%14.81%22.22%
111.11%7.41%18.52%
214.81%3.70%3.70%22.22%
33.70%11.11%14.81%
414.81%14.81%
5+3.70%3.70%7.41%
Total37.04%29.63%25.93%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.07 +0.96
SD 1.60 1.07 2.17
CV 0.79 1.00
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%18.52%
13.70%7.41%3.70%14.81%
23.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%18.52%
33.70%3.70%7.41%14.81%
47.41%7.41%7.41%22.22%
5+7.41%3.70%11.11%
Total29.63%33.33%25.93%3.70%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.44 1.30 +1.15
SD 1.76 1.27 2.49
CV 0.72 0.98
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
17.41%7.41%14.81%
214.81%11.11%7.41%3.70%37.04%
33.70%11.11%3.70%3.70%22.22%
47.41%3.70%11.11%
5+3.70%7.41%3.70%14.81%
Total37.04%33.33%11.11%18.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.81 1.11 +1.70
SD 1.44 1.12 1.92
CV 0.51 1.01
Max 6 3 +6
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 27

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Keflavik IF 16 29.47 -13.47
2 Fram Reykjavik 27 44.58 -17.58
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 25 44.42 -19.42
4 Fylkir Reykjavik 29 48.67 -19.67
5 KA Akureyri 41 66.78 -25.78

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 66 128.97 -62.97
2 Valur Reykjavik 55 98.05 -43.05
3 Breidablik 41 82.05 -41.05
4 FH Hafnarfjrur 40 72.21 -32.21
5 KR Reykjavik 37 68.64 -31.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 9 Apr 10 – May 25 1 in 322
2 Valur Reykjavik 5 Apr 23 – May 13 1 in 101
3 Breidablik 6 Apr 28 – May 25 1 in 50
4 Stjarnan 4 Sep 24 – Oct 8 1 in 24
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 Apr 23 – Apr 29 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 3 Aug 27 – Sep 17 1 in 66
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 May 3 – May 28 1 in 59
3 KR Reykjavik 5 Apr 24 – May 13 1 in 55
4 Keflavik IF 4 Apr 29 – May 14 1 in 33
5 FH Hafnarfjrur 3 Jun 29 – Jul 24 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 8 May 22 – Jul 18 1 in 29
2 Stjarnan 8 Jun 29 – Aug 21 1 in 25
3 KA Akureyri 6 Aug 26 – Sep 28 1 in 19
4 Breidablik 9 Apr 28 – Jun 10 1 in 16
5 FH Hafnarfjrur 5 May 22 – Jun 23 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Keflavik IF 22 Apr 15 – Sep 20 1 in 1,235
2 HK Kopavogur 9 Aug 13 – Oct 7 1 in 111
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 11 Jul 16 – Sep 28 1 in 59
4 Breidablik 4 May 29 – Jun 23 1 in 16
5 Valur Reykjavik 3 Aug 13 – Aug 26 1 in 13

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Vikingur Reykjavik49.68%25.83%13.77%5.85%2.50%1.28%0.62%0.24%0.14%0.06%0.03%
Valur Reykjavik24.03%29.00%23.41%11.63%5.78%2.97%1.70%0.75%0.40%0.21%0.10%0.02%
Stjarnan2.32%6.83%12.54%18.41%15.45%12.76%10.24%7.45%5.62%4.09%2.69%1.60%
Breidablik21.03%27.84%23.95%12.77%6.74%3.27%1.99%1.20%0.76%0.31%0.10%0.04%
FH Hafnarfjrur0.81%2.66%6.12%11.16%13.35%13.50%12.26%11.73%9.58%8.18%6.45%4.20%
KR Reykjavik0.61%2.27%5.17%9.92%12.33%12.99%12.15%11.96%10.56%9.20%7.58%5.26%
KA Akureyri0.74%2.20%5.36%9.99%12.69%13.08%12.83%11.73%10.56%8.71%7.41%4.70%
Fylkir Reykjavik0.10%0.55%1.52%3.54%5.56%6.85%9.16%10.88%12.18%14.73%16.88%18.05%
HK Kopavogur0.26%1.15%3.74%6.98%9.42%11.36%11.95%11.82%12.59%10.89%10.91%8.93%
Fram Reykjavik0.19%0.84%2.14%4.72%7.30%9.44%10.73%12.61%13.10%13.41%13.39%12.13%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.19%0.66%1.74%3.48%6.17%7.82%9.57%11.07%13.20%15.06%15.20%15.84%
Keflavik IF0.04%0.17%0.54%1.55%2.71%4.68%6.80%8.56%11.31%15.15%19.26%29.23%
Team123456789101112
Vikingur Reykjavik100.00%
Valur Reykjavik97.08%2.77%0.15%
Stjarnan0.29%27.53%48.81%17.66%5.71%
Breidablik2.61%62.77%27.09%6.55%0.98%
FH Hafnarfjrur0.01%4.72%15.27%47.99%32.01%
KR Reykjavik0.01%2.21%8.68%27.80%61.30%
KA Akureyri84.92%13.36%1.54%0.18%
Fylkir Reykjavik1.07%12.85%41.81%27.51%15.80%0.96%
HK Kopavogur13.61%64.61%16.02%4.91%0.85%
Fram Reykjavik0.27%4.83%21.55%35.11%34.68%3.56%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.13%4.34%18.89%30.50%42.09%4.05%
Keflavik IF0.01%0.19%1.79%6.58%91.43%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.22%
Clear Edge
50.00%22.22%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
172 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
078.52500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
Vikingur Reykjavik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.41/gm
Comfortable
00.180.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.6 * Some Luck: 4.6 to 6.9 * Lucky: 6.9 to 9.21 * Wild Swing: 9.21 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 * Close: 1.6 to 2.4 * Off: 2.4 to 3.2 * Way Off: 3.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.1 * A Surprise: 1.1 to 1.77 * Several Surprises: 1.77 to 2.43 * Many Surprises: 2.43 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.63 points
Some Luck
05.7514
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
02.005
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.89%
Vikingur Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.15%
Keflavik IF
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.79
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Very Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.38
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.45
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
1.00
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.081
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Vikingur Reykjavik 100%
Valur Reykjavik 99.93% 0.07%
Breidablik 99.85% 0.15%
Stjarnan 98.34% 1.66%
FH Hafnarfjrur 90.60% 9.40%
KR Reykjavik 90.54% 9.46%
KA Akureyri 90.08% 9.92%
HK Kopavogur 81.09% 18.91%
Fram Reykjavik 72.66% 27.34%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 66.47% 33.53%
Fylkir Reykjavik 64.43% 35.57%
Keflavik IF 46.01% 53.99%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
HK Kopavogur 99.15% 0.85%
Fylkir Reykjavik 83.24% 16.76%
Fram Reykjavik 61.76% 38.24%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 53.86% 46.14%
Keflavik IF 1.99% 98.01%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2023-04-10 FH Hafnarfjrur D 2-2 1267 1271 48.8% 23.3% 27.9% -1.2 1
2023-04-10 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1271 1267 27.9% 23.3% 48.8% +1.2 1
2023-04-10 HK Kopavogur L 3-4 1355 1239 61.8% 21.9% 16.3% -18.5 0
2023-04-10 @ Breidablik W 4-3 1239 1355 16.3% 21.9% 61.8% +18.5 3
2023-04-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1285 1266 51.5% 23.1% 25.4% +9.5 3
2023-04-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1266 1285 25.4% 23.1% 51.5% -9.5 0
2023-04-10 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1264 1283 46.7% 23.4% 29.9% -15.5 0
2023-04-10 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1283 1264 29.9% 23.4% 46.7% +15.5 3
2023-04-10 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1329 1297 53.2% 23.0% 23.8% -2.3 1
2023-04-10 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1297 1329 23.8% 23.0% 53.2% +2.3 1
2023-04-10 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1255 1328 39.5% 23.6% 37.0% -27.1 0
2023-04-10 @ Stjarnan W 2-0 1328 1255 37.0% 23.6% 39.5% +27.1 3
2023-04-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1327 1257 57.3% 22.6% 20.1% +22.6 4
2023-04-15 @ KA Akureyri L 0-3 1257 1327 20.1% 22.6% 57.3% -22.6 0
2023-04-15 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1299 1299 49.2% 23.3% 27.6% -32.4 3
2023-04-15 @ Keflavik IF W 2-0 1299 1299 27.6% 23.3% 49.2% +32.4 4
2023-04-15 Stjarnan W 1-0 1272 1228 54.5% 22.9% 22.6% +9.2 4
2023-04-15 @ FH Hafnarfjrur L 0-1 1228 1272 22.6% 22.9% 54.5% -9.2 0
2023-04-16 Breidablik L 0-2 1294 1336 43.8% 23.5% 32.7% -29.4 3
2023-04-16 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1336 1294 32.7% 23.5% 43.8% +29.4 3
2023-04-16 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1258 1266 48.2% 23.3% 28.5% -1.5 4
2023-04-16 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-1 1266 1258 28.5% 23.3% 48.2% +1.5 2
2023-04-16 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-0 1355 1248 61.0% 22.1% 17.0% +13.4 6
2023-04-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1248 1355 17.0% 22.1% 61.0% -13.4 0
2023-04-23 Breidablik W 2-1 1234 1366 31.4% 23.4% 45.2% +15.1 3
2023-04-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1366 1234 45.2% 23.4% 31.4% -15.1 3
2023-04-23 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1350 1266 58.7% 22.4% 18.9% -3.6 5
2023-04-23 @ KA Akureyri D 0-0 1266 1350 18.9% 22.4% 58.7% +3.6 4
2023-04-23 Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1267 1265 49.5% 23.3% 27.2% -28.3 2
2023-04-23 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1265 1267 27.2% 23.3% 49.5% +28.3 6
2023-04-24 FH Hafnarfjrur W 4-2 1235 1281 43.1% 23.5% 33.4% +18.4 3
2023-04-24 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-4 1281 1235 33.4% 23.5% 43.1% -18.4 4
2023-04-24 HK Kopavogur W 5-4 1219 1256 44.4% 23.5% 32.2% +10.5 3
2023-04-24 @ Stjarnan L 4-5 1256 1219 32.2% 23.5% 44.4% -10.5 4
2023-04-24 KR Reykjavik W 3-0 1368 1332 53.6% 23.0% 23.4% +25.8 9
2023-04-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 1332 1368 23.4% 23.0% 53.6% -25.8 4
2023-04-28 Fram Reykjavik W 5-4 1350 1239 61.4% 22.0% 16.6% +6.0 6
2023-04-28 @ Breidablik L 4-5 1239 1350 16.6% 22.0% 61.4% -6.0 2
2023-04-29 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-0 1246 1253 48.3% 23.3% 28.3% +11.1 7
2023-04-29 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-1 1253 1246 28.3% 23.3% 48.3% -11.1 3
2023-04-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1270 1249 51.7% 23.1% 25.2% -29.4 4
2023-04-29 @ Keflavik IF W 3-1 1249 1270 25.2% 23.1% 51.7% +29.4 6
2023-04-29 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1394 1346 54.9% 22.8% 22.3% +9.0 12
2023-04-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1346 1394 22.3% 22.8% 54.9% -9.0 5
2023-04-29 KR Reykjavik W 3-0 1263 1306 43.6% 23.5% 32.9% +34.1 7
2023-04-29 @ FH Hafnarfjrur L 0-3 1306 1263 32.9% 23.5% 43.6% -34.1 4
2023-04-29 Stjarnan W 3-2 1293 1229 56.7% 22.7% 20.7% +7.6 9
2023-04-29 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1229 1293 20.7% 22.7% 56.7% -7.6 3
2023-05-03 FH Hafnarfjrur W 4-2 1337 1297 54.0% 22.9% 23.0% +13.6 8
2023-05-03 @ KA Akureyri L 2-4 1297 1337 23.0% 22.9% 54.0% -13.6 7
2023-05-03 HK Kopavogur L 0-1 1272 1257 51.1% 23.2% 25.8% -17.8 4
2023-05-03 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1257 1272 25.8% 23.2% 51.1% +17.8 10
2023-05-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1233 1279 43.2% 23.5% 33.2% +20.5 5
2023-05-03 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1279 1233 33.2% 23.5% 43.2% -20.5 6
2023-05-03 Valur Reykjavik L 1-6 1242 1301 41.4% 23.5% 35.1% -54.4 3
2023-05-03 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 6-1 1301 1242 35.1% 23.5% 41.4% +54.4 12
2023-05-04 Breidablik L 0-2 1222 1356 30.9% 23.4% 45.6% -22.4 3
2023-05-04 @ Stjarnan W 2-0 1356 1222 45.6% 23.4% 30.9% +22.4 9
2023-05-04 Keflavik IF W 4-1 1403 1240 65.8% 21.1% 13.0% +12.8 15
2023-05-04 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-4 1240 1403 13.0% 21.1% 65.8% -12.8 4
2023-05-07 KA Akureyri L 1-2 1275 1351 39.0% 23.6% 37.5% -13.4 10
2023-05-07 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-1 1351 1275 37.5% 23.6% 39.0% +13.4 11
2023-05-07 KR Reykjavik W 5-0 1355 1254 60.5% 22.1% 17.4% +32.0 15
2023-05-07 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-5 1254 1355 17.4% 22.1% 60.5% -32.0 4
2023-05-08 Breidablik L 1-2 1188 1379 24.2% 23.0% 52.7% -9.2 3
2023-05-08 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1379 1188 52.7% 23.0% 24.2% +9.2 12
2023-05-08 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1283 1228 55.8% 22.8% 21.5% +8.2 10
2023-05-08 @ FH Hafnarfjrur L 1-2 1228 1283 21.5% 22.8% 55.8% -8.2 4
2023-05-08 Stjarnan W 2-1 1254 1199 55.6% 22.8% 21.6% +8.3 8
2023-05-08 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1199 1254 21.6% 22.8% 55.6% -8.3 3
2023-05-08 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1258 1416 28.1% 23.3% 48.6% -11.0 6
2023-05-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1416 1258 48.6% 23.3% 28.1% +11.0 18
2023-05-13 Breidablik L 0-1 1222 1388 27.1% 23.2% 49.7% -10.7 4
2023-05-13 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1388 1222 49.7% 23.2% 27.1% +10.7 15
2023-05-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-0 1191 1247 41.8% 23.5% 34.7% +46.5 6
2023-05-13 @ Stjarnan L 0-4 1247 1191 34.7% 23.5% 41.8% -46.5 6
2023-05-13 Valur Reykjavik L 0-4 1364 1387 46.2% 23.4% 30.3% -58.4 11
2023-05-13 @ KA Akureyri W 4-0 1387 1364 30.3% 23.4% 46.2% +58.4 18
2023-05-14 FH Hafnarfjrur W 2-0 1427 1292 63.5% 21.6% 14.8% +11.8 21
2023-05-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1292 1427 14.8% 21.6% 63.5% -11.8 10
2023-05-14 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1178 1262 37.9% 23.6% 38.6% +23.0 6
2023-05-14 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-3 1262 1178 38.6% 23.6% 37.9% -23.0 8
2023-05-14 HK Kopavogur L 0-2 1219 1261 43.7% 23.5% 32.8% -29.4 4
2023-05-14 @ Keflavik IF W 2-0 1261 1219 32.8% 23.5% 43.7% +29.4 13
2023-05-21 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1399 1306 59.7% 22.3% 18.1% +14.2 18
2023-05-21 @ Breidablik L 0-2 1306 1399 18.1% 22.3% 59.7% -14.2 11
2023-05-21 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1446 1190 72.5% 19.2% 8.3% -6.0 19
2023-05-21 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1190 1446 8.3% 19.2% 72.5% +6.1 5
2023-05-21 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1291 1438 29.3% 23.4% 47.3% -10.7 13
2023-05-21 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-1 1438 1291 47.3% 23.4% 29.3% +10.7 24
2023-05-22 FH Hafnarfjrur L 2-3 1201 1280 38.6% 23.6% 37.9% -12.6 6
2023-05-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-2 1280 1201 37.9% 23.6% 38.6% +12.6 13
2023-05-22 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-2 1238 1201 53.6% 23.0% 23.4% -1.8 7
2023-05-22 @ Stjarnan D 2-2 1201 1238 23.4% 23.0% 53.6% +1.8 7
2023-05-22 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1239 1211 52.6% 23.0% 24.3% -17.2 8
2023-05-22 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1211 1239 24.3% 23.0% 52.6% +17.2 7
2023-05-25 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1413 1440 45.8% 23.4% 30.8% +11.8 21
2023-05-25 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1440 1413 30.8% 23.4% 45.8% -11.8 19
2023-05-25 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-4 1292 1449 28.1% 23.3% 48.6% -39.3 11
2023-05-25 @ KA Akureyri W 4-0 1449 1292 48.6% 23.3% 28.1% +39.3 27
2023-05-28 HK Kopavogur W 4-3 1292 1280 50.8% 23.2% 26.0% +9.0 16
2023-05-28 @ FH Hafnarfjrur L 3-4 1280 1292 26.0% 23.2% 50.8% -9.0 13
2023-05-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1203 1188 51.1% 23.2% 25.8% +9.6 10
2023-05-28 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-2 1188 1203 25.8% 23.2% 51.1% -9.6 6
2023-05-28 Stjarnan W 1-0 1228 1236 48.3% 23.3% 28.4% +11.1 10
2023-05-28 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1236 1228 28.4% 23.3% 48.3% -11.1 7
2023-05-29 Breidablik D 0-0 1196 1425 20.5% 22.6% 56.9% +3.2 6
2023-05-29 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 1425 1196 56.9% 22.6% 20.5% -3.2 22
2023-05-29 Fram Reykjavik W 4-2 1252 1222 52.9% 23.0% 24.1% +14.1 14
2023-05-29 @ KA Akureyri L 2-4 1222 1252 24.1% 23.0% 52.9% -14.1 8
2023-05-29 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1488 1428 56.3% 22.7% 21.0% -17.4 27
2023-05-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 1428 1488 21.0% 22.7% 56.3% +17.4 22
2023-06-01 HK Kopavogur W 3-0 1179 1271 36.6% 23.6% 39.8% +39.6 9
2023-06-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1271 1179 39.8% 23.6% 36.6% -39.6 13
2023-06-01 KR Reykjavik D 3-3 1213 1240 45.8% 23.4% 30.8% -0.7 11
2023-06-01 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 3-3 1240 1213 30.8% 23.4% 45.8% +0.7 11
2023-06-02 FH Hafnarfjrur D 1-1 1445 1301 64.3% 21.4% 14.2% -4.1 23
2023-06-02 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1301 1445 14.2% 21.4% 64.3% +4.1 17
2023-06-02 KA Akureyri W 4-0 1225 1266 43.8% 23.5% 32.7% +44.4 10
2023-06-02 @ Stjarnan L 0-4 1266 1225 32.7% 23.5% 43.8% -44.4 14
2023-06-02 Keflavik IF W 4-1 1208 1199 50.3% 23.2% 26.5% +24.2 11
2023-06-02 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-4 1199 1208 26.5% 23.2% 50.3% -24.2 6
2023-06-02 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1421 1471 42.7% 23.5% 33.8% -0.5 23
2023-06-02 @ Breidablik D 2-2 1471 1421 33.8% 23.5% 42.7% +0.5 28
2023-06-10 Breidablik D 2-2 1306 1421 33.5% 23.5% 43.0% +0.5 18
2023-06-10 @ FH Hafnarfjrur D 2-2 1421 1306 43.0% 23.5% 33.5% -0.5 24
2023-06-10 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1222 1212 50.5% 23.2% 26.3% +9.8 17
2023-06-10 @ KA Akureyri L 1-2 1212 1222 26.3% 23.2% 50.5% -9.8 11
2023-06-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1240 1218 51.9% 23.1% 25.0% -2.1 12
2023-06-10 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1218 1240 25.0% 23.1% 51.9% +2.1 10
2023-06-11 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1472 1232 71.5% 19.5% 9.0% +6.2 31
2023-06-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1232 1472 9.0% 19.5% 71.5% -6.2 11
2023-06-11 Stjarnan D 1-1 1175 1269 36.4% 23.6% 40.1% +0.3 7
2023-06-11 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1269 1175 40.1% 23.6% 36.4% -0.3 11
2023-06-11 Valur Reykjavik L 0-5 1231 1441 22.3% 22.9% 54.8% -39.9 13
2023-06-11 @ HK Kopavogur W 5-0 1441 1231 54.8% 22.9% 22.3% +39.9 26
2023-06-23 Breidablik W 5-2 1191 1420 20.4% 22.6% 56.9% +39.2 16
2023-06-23 @ HK Kopavogur L 2-5 1420 1191 56.9% 22.6% 20.4% -39.2 24
2023-06-23 Fram Reykjavik W 4-0 1306 1226 58.4% 22.4% 19.2% +28.3 21
2023-06-23 @ FH Hafnarfjrur L 0-4 1226 1306 19.2% 22.4% 58.4% -28.3 11
2023-06-23 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-1 1175 1202 45.8% 23.4% 30.8% -1.1 8
2023-06-23 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1202 1175 30.8% 23.4% 45.8% +1.1 12
2023-06-24 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1238 1232 50.0% 23.2% 26.7% +19.9 15
2023-06-24 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1232 1238 26.7% 23.2% 50.0% -19.9 17
2023-06-24 Stjarnan W 2-0 1478 1269 69.3% 20.2% 10.5% +8.4 34
2023-06-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1269 1478 10.5% 20.2% 69.3% -8.4 11
2023-06-24 Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1220 1481 17.7% 22.2% 60.2% -20.1 10
2023-06-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1481 1220 60.2% 22.2% 17.7% +20.1 29
2023-06-28 HK Kopavogur W 3-2 1197 1231 44.9% 23.5% 31.6% +10.8 14
2023-06-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1231 1197 31.6% 23.5% 44.9% -10.8 16
2023-06-28 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1200 1212 47.7% 23.4% 28.9% +21.2 13
2023-06-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1212 1200 28.9% 23.4% 47.7% -21.2 17
2023-06-28 Keflavik IF W 2-0 1258 1174 58.7% 22.4% 18.9% +14.7 18
2023-06-28 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1174 1258 18.9% 22.4% 58.7% -14.7 8
2023-06-29 FH Hafnarfjrur W 5-0 1261 1334 39.3% 23.6% 37.1% +60.4 14
2023-06-29 @ Stjarnan L 0-5 1334 1261 37.1% 23.6% 39.3% -60.4 21
2023-06-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1203 1486 15.9% 21.9% 62.2% -10.9 12
2023-06-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-1 1486 1203 62.2% 21.9% 15.9% +10.9 37
2023-07-07 Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-1 1381 1192 67.9% 20.6% 11.5% +14.6 27
2023-07-07 @ Breidablik L 1-5 1192 1381 11.5% 20.6% 67.9% -14.6 12
2023-07-08 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1221 1208 50.9% 23.2% 26.0% +10.3 16
2023-07-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1208 1221 26.0% 23.2% 50.9% -10.3 14
2023-07-08 Vikingur Reykjavik D 3-3 1160 1497 12.3% 20.9% 66.8% +2.8 9
2023-07-08 @ Keflavik IF D 3-3 1497 1160 66.8% 20.9% 12.3% -2.8 38
2023-07-12 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1501 1178 76.4% 17.6% 6.0% +2.3 32
2023-07-12 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1178 1501 6.0% 17.6% 76.4% -2.4 12
2023-07-13 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1220 1273 42.2% 23.5% 34.2% -0.6 17
2023-07-13 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-1 1273 1220 34.2% 23.5% 42.2% +0.6 19
2023-07-14 Breidablik L 0-1 1198 1396 23.5% 23.0% 53.5% -9.5 14
2023-07-14 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1396 1198 53.5% 23.0% 23.5% +9.5 30
2023-07-16 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1232 1162 57.2% 22.6% 20.2% -2.9 17
2023-07-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1162 1232 20.2% 22.6% 57.2% +3.0 10
2023-07-17 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1321 1503 25.2% 23.1% 51.7% +33.9 17
2023-07-17 @ Stjarnan L 0-2 1503 1321 51.7% 23.1% 25.2% -33.9 32
2023-07-18 FH Hafnarfjrur W 1-0 1273 1274 49.2% 23.3% 27.6% +10.8 22
2023-07-18 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1274 1273 27.6% 23.3% 49.2% -10.8 21
2023-07-18 HK Kopavogur D 0-0 1176 1219 43.5% 23.5% 33.0% -0.9 13
2023-07-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-0 1219 1176 33.0% 23.5% 43.5% +0.9 18
2023-07-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1405 1229 67.0% 20.8% 12.2% +8.5 33
2023-07-21 @ Breidablik L 1-3 1229 1405 12.2% 20.8% 67.0% -8.5 17
2023-07-23 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1470 1188 74.0% 18.6% 7.4% +3.1 35
2023-07-23 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1188 1470 7.4% 18.6% 74.0% -3.1 14
2023-07-23 Stjarnan D 1-1 1220 1355 30.9% 23.4% 45.6% +1.1 19
2023-07-23 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-1 1355 1220 45.6% 23.4% 30.9% -1.1 18
2023-07-23 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1284 1494 22.3% 22.8% 54.9% -8.5 22
2023-07-23 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1494 1284 54.9% 22.8% 22.3% +8.5 41
2023-07-24 Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-4 1263 1175 59.2% 22.3% 18.5% -29.7 21
2023-07-24 @ FH Hafnarfjrur W 4-2 1175 1263 18.5% 22.3% 59.2% +29.7 16
2023-07-24 KA Akureyri L 3-4 1165 1191 46.0% 23.4% 30.6% -14.2 10
2023-07-24 @ Keflavik IF W 4-3 1191 1165 30.6% 23.4% 46.0% +14.2 20
2023-07-26 Fram Reykjavik W 4-0 1354 1185 66.3% 21.0% 12.7% +19.2 21
2023-07-26 @ Stjarnan L 0-4 1185 1354 12.7% 21.0% 66.3% -19.2 14
2023-07-29 Stjarnan D 1-1 1414 1373 54.1% 22.9% 23.0% -2.4 34
2023-07-29 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1373 1414 23.0% 22.9% 54.1% +2.4 22
2023-07-30 HK Kopavogur D 1-1 1205 1221 47.1% 23.4% 29.5% -1.3 21
2023-07-30 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1221 1205 29.5% 23.4% 47.1% +1.3 20
2023-07-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 6-0 1503 1220 74.1% 18.5% 7.3% +16.1 44
2023-07-30 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-6 1220 1503 7.3% 18.5% 74.1% -16.1 17
2023-07-31 FH Hafnarfjrur L 2-3 1151 1233 38.1% 23.6% 38.4% -12.5 10
2023-07-31 @ Keflavik IF W 3-2 1233 1151 38.4% 23.6% 38.1% +12.5 24
2023-07-31 Valur Reykjavik L 0-4 1276 1473 23.6% 23.0% 53.4% -34.0 22
2023-07-31 @ KR Reykjavik W 4-0 1473 1276 53.4% 23.0% 23.6% +34.0 38
2023-08-05 Stjarnan L 0-2 1204 1375 26.5% 23.2% 50.3% -19.7 17
2023-08-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1375 1204 50.3% 23.2% 26.5% +19.7 25
2023-08-06 KR Reykjavik L 3-4 1411 1242 66.4% 21.0% 12.6% -19.8 34
2023-08-06 @ Breidablik W 4-3 1242 1411 12.6% 21.0% 66.4% +19.8 25
2023-08-07 KA Akureyri W 4-2 1507 1204 75.3% 18.1% 6.7% +4.0 41
2023-08-07 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 1204 1507 6.7% 18.1% 75.3% -4.0 21
2023-08-08 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-1 1166 1204 44.2% 23.5% 32.3% -0.9 15
2023-08-08 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1204 1166 32.3% 23.5% 44.2% +0.9 17
2023-08-08 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1246 1519 16.7% 22.0% 61.3% -11.4 24
2023-08-08 @ FH Hafnarfjrur W 3-1 1519 1246 61.3% 22.0% 16.7% +11.4 47
2023-08-09 Keflavik IF W 3-1 1223 1139 58.8% 22.4% 18.9% +12.7 23
2023-08-09 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-3 1139 1223 18.9% 22.4% 58.8% -12.7 10
2023-08-13 Breidablik D 1-1 1199 1391 24.2% 23.0% 52.8% +2.2 22
2023-08-13 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1391 1199 52.8% 23.0% 24.2% -2.2 35
2023-08-13 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1261 1165 60.0% 22.2% 17.8% +6.6 28
2023-08-13 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1165 1261 17.8% 22.2% 60.0% -6.6 15
2023-08-13 HK Kopavogur W 6-1 1530 1235 74.8% 18.2% 6.9% +10.5 50
2023-08-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-6 1235 1530 6.9% 18.2% 74.8% -10.5 23
2023-08-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1235 1184 55.2% 22.8% 22.0% +8.4 27
2023-08-13 @ FH Hafnarfjrur L 1-2 1184 1235 22.0% 22.8% 55.2% -8.4 17
2023-08-13 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1126 1511 9.8% 19.9% 70.3% +5.1 11
2023-08-13 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1511 1126 70.3% 19.9% 9.8% -5.1 42
2023-08-14 Stjarnan L 0-4 1205 1395 24.4% 23.1% 52.5% -34.9 17
2023-08-14 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-0 1395 1205 52.5% 23.1% 24.4% +34.9 28
2023-08-20 FH Hafnarfjrur D 2-2 1225 1243 46.9% 23.4% 29.7% -1.0 24
2023-08-20 @ HK Kopavogur D 2-2 1243 1225 29.7% 23.4% 46.9% +1.0 28
2023-08-20 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-1 1176 1170 49.9% 23.2% 26.8% -17.4 17
2023-08-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1170 1176 26.8% 23.2% 49.9% +17.4 20
2023-08-20 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1159 1202 43.6% 23.5% 32.9% +11.8 18
2023-08-20 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1202 1159 32.9% 23.5% 43.6% -11.8 22
2023-08-20 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1389 1131 72.6% 19.1% 8.2% +3.3 38
2023-08-20 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1131 1389 8.2% 19.1% 72.6% -3.3 11
2023-08-20 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-4 1506 1541 44.7% 23.5% 31.9% -56.7 42
2023-08-20 @ Valur Reykjavik W 4-0 1541 1506 31.9% 23.5% 44.7% +56.7 53
2023-08-21 KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1430 1268 65.8% 21.1% 13.1% +9.0 31
2023-08-21 @ Stjarnan L 1-3 1268 1430 13.1% 21.1% 65.8% -9.0 28
2023-08-26 Stjarnan W 2-1 1190 1439 18.6% 22.4% 59.0% +19.1 25
2023-08-26 @ KA Akureyri L 1-2 1439 1190 59.0% 22.4% 18.6% -19.1 31
2023-08-26 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1244 1449 22.8% 22.9% 54.3% +16.8 31
2023-08-26 @ FH Hafnarfjrur L 2-3 1449 1244 54.3% 22.9% 22.8% -16.8 42
2023-08-27 Breidablik W 5-3 1598 1392 69.1% 20.3% 10.7% +6.2 56
2023-08-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 3-5 1392 1598 10.7% 20.3% 69.1% -6.2 38
2023-08-27 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1128 1170 43.6% 23.5% 32.9% -0.9 12
2023-08-27 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 1170 1128 32.9% 23.5% 43.6% +0.9 19
2023-08-27 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-0 1259 1188 57.4% 22.6% 20.0% +15.5 31
2023-08-27 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1188 1259 20.0% 22.6% 57.4% -15.5 20
2023-08-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1224 1159 56.8% 22.6% 20.5% -2.1 25
2023-08-28 @ HK Kopavogur D 2-2 1159 1224 20.5% 22.6% 56.8% +2.2 18
2023-08-30 KA Akureyri L 0-3 1261 1209 55.3% 22.8% 21.9% -52.3 31
2023-08-30 @ FH Hafnarfjrur W 3-0 1209 1261 21.9% 22.8% 55.3% +52.4 28
2023-09-03 FH Hafnarfjrur L 0-2 1386 1208 67.1% 20.8% 12.1% -43.1 38
2023-09-03 @ Breidablik W 2-0 1208 1386 12.1% 20.8% 67.1% +43.1 34
2023-09-03 HK Kopavogur W 4-1 1432 1222 69.5% 20.2% 10.4% +10.2 45
2023-09-03 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-4 1222 1432 10.4% 20.2% 69.5% -10.2 25
2023-09-03 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1172 1261 37.1% 23.6% 39.3% +0.2 21
2023-09-03 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-1 1261 1172 39.3% 23.6% 37.1% -0.2 29
2023-09-03 Keflavik IF W 3-0 1420 1127 74.7% 18.3% 7.0% +8.0 34
2023-09-03 @ Stjarnan L 0-3 1127 1420 7.0% 18.3% 74.7% -8.0 12
2023-09-03 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1161 1274 33.7% 23.5% 42.8% +0.5 19
2023-09-03 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1274 1161 42.8% 23.5% 33.7% -0.5 32
2023-09-03 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1171 1604 7.8% 18.8% 73.4% -2.9 19
2023-09-03 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1604 1171 73.4% 18.8% 7.8% +2.9 59

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2023-09-17 FH Hafnarfjrur L 0-2 1343 1252 59.5% 22.3% 18.2% -38.6 0
2023-09-17 @ Breidablik W 2-0 1252 1343 18.2% 22.3% 59.5% +38.6 3
2023-09-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1172 1161 50.6% 23.2% 26.2% -1.4 1
2023-09-17 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-2 1161 1172 26.2% 23.2% 50.6% +1.4 1
2023-09-17 Stjarnan W 2-0 1442 1428 51.0% 23.2% 25.8% +19.3 3
2023-09-17 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1428 1442 25.8% 23.2% 51.0% -19.3 0
2023-09-18 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1212 1168 54.4% 22.9% 22.7% -2.5 1
2023-09-18 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-1 1168 1212 22.7% 22.9% 54.4% +2.5 1
2023-09-20 Keflavik IF W 4-2 1261 1119 64.2% 21.5% 14.3% +8.8 3
2023-09-20 @ KA Akureyri L 2-4 1119 1261 14.3% 21.5% 64.2% -8.8 0
2023-09-20 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1607 1274 76.9% 17.3% 5.8% -4.5 1
2023-09-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1274 1607 5.8% 17.3% 76.9% +4.5 1
2023-09-23 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1163 1171 48.2% 23.3% 28.5% -1.1 2
2023-09-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1171 1163 28.5% 23.3% 48.2% +1.1 2
2023-09-24 HK Kopavogur W 2-1 1110 1209 35.7% 23.5% 40.8% +13.9 3
2023-09-24 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1209 1110 40.8% 23.5% 35.7% -13.9 1
2023-09-24 KA Akureyri L 2-4 1171 1270 35.7% 23.5% 40.8% -19.4 1
2023-09-24 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-2 1270 1171 40.8% 23.5% 35.7% +19.4 6
2023-09-24 Stjarnan L 1-3 1290 1409 33.0% 23.5% 43.5% -20.4 3
2023-09-24 @ FH Hafnarfjrur W 3-1 1409 1290 43.5% 23.5% 33.0% +20.4 3
2023-09-24 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1278 1462 25.1% 23.1% 51.7% +1.5 2
2023-09-24 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1462 1278 51.7% 23.1% 25.1% -1.5 4
2023-09-25 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 1305 1602 14.8% 21.6% 63.5% +35.5 3
2023-09-25 @ Breidablik L 1-3 1602 1305 63.5% 21.6% 14.8% -35.5 1
2023-09-28 Breidablik W 4-2 1460 1340 62.2% 21.9% 15.9% +9.8 7
2023-09-28 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 1340 1460 15.9% 21.9% 62.2% -9.8 3
2023-09-28 FH Hafnarfjrur W 2-1 1567 1270 75.0% 18.2% 6.9% +2.7 4
2023-09-28 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1270 1567 6.9% 18.2% 75.0% -2.7 3
2023-09-28 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-2 1195 1152 54.4% 22.9% 22.7% -1.9 2
2023-09-28 @ HK Kopavogur D 2-2 1152 1195 22.7% 22.9% 54.4% +1.9 2
2023-09-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1290 1161 62.9% 21.7% 15.3% +6.1 9
2023-09-28 @ KA Akureyri L 1-2 1161 1290 15.3% 21.7% 62.9% -6.1 2
2023-09-28 Keflavik IF W 3-1 1172 1124 54.9% 22.8% 22.2% +14.7 5
2023-09-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1124 1172 22.2% 22.8% 54.9% -14.7 3
2023-09-28 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1429 1280 64.7% 21.4% 13.9% +11.1 6
2023-09-28 @ Stjarnan L 0-2 1280 1429 13.9% 21.4% 64.7% -11.1 2
2023-10-01 Breidablik W 4-3 1269 1330 41.0% 23.5% 35.4% +11.5 5
2023-10-01 @ KR Reykjavik L 3-4 1330 1269 35.4% 23.5% 41.0% -11.5 3
2023-10-01 FH Hafnarfjrur W 4-1 1470 1267 68.9% 20.3% 10.8% +10.6 10
2023-10-01 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-4 1267 1470 10.8% 20.3% 68.9% -10.5 3
2023-10-01 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-3 1109 1154 43.4% 23.5% 33.1% -25.3 3
2023-10-01 @ Keflavik IF W 3-1 1154 1109 33.1% 23.5% 43.4% +25.3 5
2023-10-01 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1193 1155 53.8% 22.9% 23.3% -18.6 2
2023-10-01 @ HK Kopavogur W 1-0 1155 1193 23.3% 22.9% 53.8% +18.6 5
2023-10-01 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1187 1296 34.3% 23.5% 42.1% +15.1 8
2023-10-01 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1296 1187 42.1% 23.5% 34.3% -15.1 9
2023-10-02 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 1440 1569 31.6% 23.5% 44.9% +26.0 9
2023-10-02 @ Stjarnan L 1-3 1569 1440 44.9% 23.5% 31.6% -26.0 4
2023-10-07 Fram Reykjavik W 5-1 1179 1202 46.3% 23.4% 30.3% +34.8 8
2023-10-07 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-5 1202 1179 30.3% 23.4% 46.3% -34.8 8
2023-10-07 HK Kopavogur W 1-0 1280 1175 60.9% 22.1% 17.0% +7.1 12
2023-10-07 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1175 1280 17.0% 22.1% 60.9% -7.1 2
2023-10-07 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1174 1084 59.4% 22.3% 18.3% -3.3 6
2023-10-07 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1084 1174 18.3% 22.3% 59.4% +3.3 4
2023-10-07 KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1256 1280 46.1% 23.4% 30.4% +19.1 6
2023-10-07 @ FH Hafnarfjrur L 1-3 1280 1256 30.4% 23.4% 46.1% -19.1 5
2023-10-07 Valur Reykjavik W 5-1 1543 1480 56.6% 22.7% 20.8% +25.4 7
2023-10-07 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-5 1480 1543 20.8% 22.7% 56.6% -25.4 10
2023-10-08 Stjarnan L 0-2 1319 1466 29.3% 23.4% 47.3% -21.5 3
2023-10-08 @ Breidablik W 2-0 1466 1319 47.3% 23.4% 29.3% +21.4 12

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2023-09-20 Afturelding L 1-2 1201 1168 53.2% 23.0% 23.8% -17.4 0-1
2023-09-20 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-1 1168 1201 23.8% 23.0% 53.2% +17.4 1-0
2023-09-20 Fjolnir W 1-0 1190 1230 44.0% 23.5% 32.5% +12.3 1-0
2023-09-20 @ IF Vestri L 0-1 1230 1190 32.5% 23.5% 44.0% -12.4 0-1
2023-09-24 IF Vestri D 1-1 1206 1214 48.3% 23.3% 28.4% -1.5 0-1-1
2023-09-24 @ Fjolnir D 1-1 1214 1206 28.4% 23.3% 48.3% +1.5 1-0-1
2023-09-24 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-0 1202 1167 53.4% 23.0% 23.6% +26.0 2-0
2023-09-24 @ Afturelding L 0-3 1167 1202 23.6% 23.0% 53.4% -26.0 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-09-03 12.12% FH Hafnarfjrur 1208 2 @ Breidablik 1386 0
2 2023-08-06 12.61% KR Reykjavik 1242 4 @ Breidablik 1411 3
3 2023-09-25 14.85% @ Breidablik 1305 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1602 1
4 2023-04-10 16.30% HK Kopavogur 1239 4 @ Breidablik 1355 3
5 2023-09-17 18.20% FH Hafnarfjrur 1252 2 @ Breidablik 1343 0
6 2023-07-24 18.47% Fylkir Reykjavik 1175 4 @ FH Hafnarfjrur 1263 2
7 2023-08-26 18.63% @ KA Akureyri 1190 2 Stjarnan 1439 1
8 2023-06-23 20.45% @ HK Kopavogur 1191 5 Breidablik 1420 2
9 2023-05-29 21.00% Valur Reykjavik 1428 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1488 2
10 2023-08-30 21.87% KA Akureyri 1209 3 @ FH Hafnarfjrur 1261 0
11 2023-08-26 22.80% @ FH Hafnarfjrur 1244 3 Valur Reykjavik 1449 2
12 2023-10-01 23.26% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1155 1 @ HK Kopavogur 1193 0
13 2023-09-20 * 23.84% Afturelding 1168 2 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1201 1
14 2023-05-22 24.34% KR Reykjavik 1211 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1239 1
15 2023-04-29 25.16% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1249 3 @ Keflavik IF 1270 1
16 2023-07-17 25.21% @ Stjarnan 1321 2 Valur Reykjavik 1503 0
17 2023-05-03 25.78% HK Kopavogur 1257 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1272 0
18 2023-08-20 26.83% Fylkir Reykjavik 1170 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1176 0
19 2023-04-23 27.20% Valur Reykjavik 1265 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1267 1
20 2023-04-15 27.56% KR Reykjavik 1299 2 @ Keflavik IF 1299 0
21 2023-04-10 29.87% Keflavik IF 1283 2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1264 1
22 2023-05-13 30.33% Valur Reykjavik 1387 4 @ KA Akureyri 1364 0
23 2023-07-24 30.61% KA Akureyri 1191 4 @ Keflavik IF 1165 3
24 2023-04-23 31.38% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1234 2 Breidablik 1366 1
25 2023-10-02 31.64% @ Stjarnan 1440 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1569 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-06-29 60.43 @ Stjarnan 5 1261 39.29% FH Hafnarfjrur 0 1334 37.15% 23.56%
2 2023-05-13 58.40 Valur Reykjavik 4 1387 30.33% @ KA Akureyri 0 1364 46.25% 23.42%
3 2023-08-20 56.73 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1541 31.87% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1506 44.66% 23.47%
4 2023-05-03 54.43 Valur Reykjavik 6 1301 35.07% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1242 41.39% 23.54%
5 2023-08-30 52.35 KA Akureyri 3 1209 21.87% @ FH Hafnarfjrur 0 1261 55.33% 22.80%
6 2023-05-13 46.48 @ Stjarnan 4 1191 41.79% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1247 34.67% 23.54%
7 2023-06-02 44.39 @ Stjarnan 4 1225 43.80% KA Akureyri 0 1266 32.70% 23.49%
8 2023-09-03 43.12 FH Hafnarfjrur 2 1208 12.12% @ Breidablik 0 1386 67.06% 20.82%
9 2023-06-11 39.92 Valur Reykjavik 5 1441 54.83% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1231 22.32% 22.85%
10 2023-06-01 39.58 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1179 36.64% HK Kopavogur 0 1271 39.80% 23.56%
11 2023-05-25 39.26 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1449 48.62% @ KA Akureyri 0 1292 28.07% 23.31%
12 2023-06-23 39.24 @ HK Kopavogur 5 1191 20.45% Breidablik 2 1420 56.92% 22.62%
13 2023-09-17 38.57 FH Hafnarfjrur 2 1252 18.20% @ Breidablik 0 1343 59.51% 22.29%
14 2023-09-25 35.52 @ Breidablik 3 1305 14.85% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1602 63.54% 21.60%
15 2023-08-14 34.94 Stjarnan 4 1395 52.55% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1205 24.40% 23.05%
16 2023-10-07 34.81 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 5 1179 46.29% Fram Reykjavik 1 1202 30.29% 23.41%
17 2023-04-29 34.14 @ FH Hafnarfjrur 3 1263 43.60% KR Reykjavik 0 1306 32.90% 23.50%
18 2023-07-31 34.00 Valur Reykjavik 4 1473 53.39% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1276 23.63% 22.98%
19 2023-07-17 33.89 @ Stjarnan 2 1321 25.21% Valur Reykjavik 0 1503 51.68% 23.12%
20 2023-04-15 32.44 KR Reykjavik 2 1299 27.56% @ Keflavik IF 0 1299 49.17% 23.28%
21 2023-05-07 31.97 @ Valur Reykjavik 5 1355 60.47% KR Reykjavik 0 1254 17.38% 22.14%
22 2023-07-24 29.73 Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1175 18.47% @ FH Hafnarfjrur 2 1263 59.20% 22.33%
23 2023-04-16 29.41 Breidablik 2 1336 32.72% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1294 43.78% 23.49%
24 2023-05-14 29.39 HK Kopavogur 2 1261 32.76% @ Keflavik IF 0 1219 43.74% 23.50%
25 2023-04-29 29.37 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1249 25.16% @ Keflavik IF 1 1270 51.73% 23.11%