2022 Besta deild karla Season

162 games

Final

Champion

Breidablik

63 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 2010.0

Relegated

Leiknir Reykjavik

21 pts

IA Akranes · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

9.73 points above expected

25 points · 34.73 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Breidablik

48.47 points below expected

63 points · 111.47 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Breidablik 22 16 3 3 51 55 23 +32 44.46 +6.54
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 12 7 3 43 58 32 +26 36.63 +6.37
3 KA Akureyri 22 13 4 5 43 45 26 +19 36.58 +6.42
4 Valur Reykjavik 22 9 5 8 32 38 32 +6 33.18 -1.18
5 KR Reykjavik 22 7 10 5 31 37 34 +3 35.89 -4.89
6 Stjarnan 22 8 7 7 31 40 42 -2 26.45 +4.55
7 Keflavik IF 22 8 4 10 28 39 40 -1 23.79 +4.21
8 Fram Reykjavik 22 5 10 7 25 44 51 -7 29.61 -4.61
9 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 8 10 20 33 44 -11 24.08 -4.08
10 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 5 5 12 20 21 49 -28 19.02 +0.98
11 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 4 7 11 19 27 35 -8 32.53 -13.53
12 IA Akranes 22 3 6 13 15 24 53 -29 21.09 -6.09
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Breidablik Champion 27 20 3 4 63 66 27 +39 60.47 +2.53
2 KA Akureyri 27 16 5 6 53 54 30 +24 50.74 +2.26
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 27 13 9 5 48 66 41 +25 51.35 -3.35
4 KR Reykjavik 27 9 11 7 38 42 40 +2 37.36 +0.64
5 Stjarnan 27 10 7 10 37 44 52 -8 34.84 +2.16
6 Valur Reykjavik 27 10 5 12 35 46 44 +2 37.52 -2.52
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Keflavik IF 27 11 4 12 37 56 48 +8 35.74 +1.26
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 27 8 8 11 32 43 50 -7 27.06 +4.94
3 Fram Reykjavik 27 7 10 10 31 53 63 -10 33.26 -2.26
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 27 6 7 14 25 36 46 -10 27.24 -2.24
5 IA Akranes Relegated 27 6 7 14 25 36 63 -27 19.73 +5.27
6 Leiknir Reykjavik Relegated 27 5 6 16 21 28 66 -38 25.12 -4.12

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Breidablik 1402 63 44.46 +18.54 89.5% 23 35 41 45 48 53 63
KA Akureyri 1326 53 36.58 +16.42 88.3% 12 27 33 37 41 46 58
Vikingur Reykjavik 1320 48 36.63 +11.37 88.4% 15 27 33 37 41 46 57
KR Reykjavik 1232 38 35.89 +2.11 22.6% 16 26 32 36 40 45 57
Valur Reykjavik 1191 35 33.18 +1.82 45.5% 11 23 29 33 37 43 55
Keflavik IF 1183 37 23.79 +13.21 79.9% 3 15 20 24 28 33 46
Fram Reykjavik 1138 31 29.61 +1.39 24.5% 8 20 26 30 34 39 52
FH Hafnarfjordur 1138 25 32.53 -7.53 1.4% 11 23 28 33 37 42 56
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1137 32 24.08 +7.92 27.8% 6 15 20 24 28 34 47
Stjarnan 1120 37 26.45 +10.55 80.9% 6 17 22 26 30 36 50
IA Akranes 1030 25 21.09 +3.91 15.8% 3 12 17 21 25 30 45
Leiknir Reykjavik 979 21 19.02 +1.98 62.1% 3 11 15 19 23 28 42

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR IA IV KA KR KI LR STJ VR VR
Breidablik
1-1-0
3.77
2-0-0
4.04
2-0-0
4.47
1-1-0
4.57
2-0-1
5.06
2-0-1
5.39
2-0-0
4.31
2-0-0
4.82
2-0-1
6.62
2-0-1
5.75
2-1-0
5.33
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-1-1
1.74
1-0-2
4.48
1-1-1
5.78
1-0-2
4.81
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
2.34
2-0-1
4.64
1-2-0
5.96
0-1-1
3.17
0-1-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.49
Fram Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.50
2-0-1
3.73
1-1-1
5.23
0-2-1
5.08
0-2-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-3
4.49
3-0-0
5.87
0-2-0
3.02
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.14
IA Akranes
0-0-2
1.15
1-1-1
2.49
1-1-1
2.99
2-1-0
3.29
0-0-2
1.43
0-2-0
1.41
1-0-2
3.14
0-1-2
4.08
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
1.59
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-1-1
1.04
2-0-1
3.42
1-2-0
3.15
0-1-2
4.91
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
1.79
1-2-0
4.33
2-1-0
5.24
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
1.62
KA Akureyri
1-0-2
3.17
2-0-0
3.15
0-2-0
3.41
2-0-0
4.14
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-1
4.73
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-1
5.62
2-1-0
5.11
0-1-2
3.89
KR Reykjavik
1-0-2
2.87
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.13
0-2-0
4.14
2-0-0
3.72
1-1-1
3.50
1-1-0
3.76
0-1-1
4.32
1-1-1
5.63
1-1-1
4.75
0-2-1
3.31
Keflavik IF
0-0-2
1.26
1-0-2
3.57
3-0-0
3.73
2-0-1
5.12
0-2-1
3.86
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
1.76
3-0-0
4.85
1-1-0
2.35
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.55
Leiknir Reykjavik
0-0-2
0.84
0-2-1
2.34
0-0-3
2.42
2-1-0
4.12
0-1-2
3.01
0-0-2
1.62
1-1-0
1.25
0-0-3
3.36
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
1.37
0-1-1
1.36
Stjarnan
1-0-2
1.77
1-1-0
2.31
0-2-0
2.45
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-2
2.64
1-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-2
3.12
2-1-0
2.59
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.45
0-1-2
3.12
1-1-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.67
1-0-1
4.18
2-0-1
5.10
0-1-2
3.32
Vikingur Reykjavik
0-1-2
2.90
2-0-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.95
1-1-0
3.91
2-1-0
4.31
1-2-0
4.92
2-0-0
3.97
1-1-0
4.22
0-1-2
5.67
2-1-0
4.93

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.73 +8.9
Allowed 0.75 -8.6
Differential 0.90 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.94%5.56%2.47%6.79%1.85%0.62%22.22%
15.56%6.79%6.48%2.16%2.47%1.23%24.69%
22.47%6.48%9.88%4.63%0.93%0.62%25.00%
36.79%2.16%4.63%3.09%0.93%17.59%
41.85%2.47%0.93%0.93%0.62%0.62%7.41%
5+0.62%1.23%0.62%0.62%3.09%
Total22.22%24.69%25.00%17.59%7.41%3.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.76 +0.00
SD 1.46 1.46 2.14
CV 0.83 0.83
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%11.11%
111.11%3.70%3.70%18.52%
23.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%18.52%
314.81%3.70%7.41%25.93%
47.41%7.41%3.70%18.52%
5+3.70%3.70%7.41%
Total44.44%29.63%14.81%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.44 1.00 +1.44
SD 1.48 1.24 1.78
CV 0.60 1.24
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%7.41%3.70%14.81%37.04%
17.41%18.52%3.70%29.63%
23.70%7.41%3.70%14.81%
33.70%3.70%7.41%
47.41%7.41%
5+3.70%3.70%
Total18.52%18.52%40.74%18.52%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.70 -0.37
SD 1.54 1.10 1.96
CV 1.16 0.65
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%7.41%
13.70%14.81%7.41%7.41%33.33%
23.70%14.81%3.70%3.70%25.93%
33.70%7.41%7.41%3.70%22.22%
43.70%3.70%3.70%11.11%
5+
Total11.11%22.22%25.93%18.52%18.52%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 2.33 -0.37
SD 1.16 1.71 1.98
CV 0.59 0.73
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%3.70%11.11%7.41%29.63%
13.70%7.41%7.41%3.70%7.41%29.63%
27.41%7.41%7.41%22.22%
33.70%7.41%3.70%14.81%
43.70%3.70%
5+
Total11.11%18.52%25.93%25.93%11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 2.33 -1.00
SD 1.18 1.49 1.96
CV 0.88 0.64
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%3.70%11.11%3.70%29.63%
13.70%3.70%11.11%18.52%
27.41%11.11%3.70%22.22%
37.41%3.70%7.41%3.70%22.22%
47.41%7.41%
5+
Total11.11%29.63%29.63%22.22%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.85 -0.26
SD 1.34 1.13 1.77
CV 0.84 0.61
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%3.70%11.11%
114.81%3.70%7.41%3.70%29.63%
23.70%3.70%11.11%3.70%22.22%
318.52%3.70%3.70%25.93%
43.70%3.70%7.41%
5+3.70%3.70%
Total44.44%14.81%29.63%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.11 +0.89
SD 1.30 1.19 1.80
CV 0.65 1.07
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%29.63%
111.11%11.11%3.70%25.93%
27.41%7.41%14.81%
33.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%18.52%
43.70%3.70%3.70%11.11%
5+
Total25.93%33.33%18.52%11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.48 +0.07
SD 1.40 1.31 1.62
CV 0.90 0.89
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%7.41%22.22%
13.70%3.70%7.41%14.81%
27.41%7.41%7.41%11.11%33.33%
37.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%18.52%
43.70%3.70%
5+3.70%3.70%7.41%
Total22.22%25.93%14.81%25.93%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 1.78 +0.30
SD 1.94 1.37 2.37
CV 0.94 0.77
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.41%7.41%3.70%7.41%33.33%
17.41%7.41%14.81%7.41%3.70%40.74%
23.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%18.52%
33.70%3.70%
43.70%3.70%
5+
Total18.52%18.52%22.22%14.81%14.81%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 2.44 -1.41
SD 1.02 2.17 2.52
CV 0.98 0.89
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%14.81%18.52%
17.41%11.11%7.41%3.70%29.63%
27.41%7.41%14.81%3.70%3.70%37.04%
37.41%7.41%
4
5+3.70%3.70%7.41%
Total22.22%18.52%22.22%25.93%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.93 -0.30
SD 1.31 1.52 2.11
CV 0.80 0.79
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%3.70%3.70%22.22%
13.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%18.52%
23.70%14.81%7.41%11.11%3.70%40.74%
33.70%3.70%3.70%11.11%
43.70%3.70%
5+3.70%3.70%
Total14.81%40.74%18.52%22.22%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.63 +0.07
SD 1.38 1.21 1.90
CV 0.81 0.74
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%7.41%14.81%
13.70%3.70%7.41%
27.41%22.22%29.63%
314.81%3.70%11.11%3.70%33.33%
47.41%3.70%11.11%
5+3.70%3.70%
Total22.22%25.93%37.04%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.44 1.52 +0.93
SD 1.78 1.19 2.34
CV 0.73 0.78
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 25 34.73 -9.73
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 32 47.06 -15.06
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 25 46.24 -21.24
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 21 45.12 -24.12
5 Keflavik IF 37 63.74 -26.74

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Breidablik 63 111.47 -48.47
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 48 94.35 -46.35
3 KA Akureyri 53 93.74 -40.74
4 Valur Reykjavik 35 69.52 -34.52
5 KR Reykjavik 38 68.36 -30.36

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 May 22 – Jul 16 1 in 233
2 Breidablik 8 Apr 19 – May 29 1 in 94
3 Stjarnan 3 May 15 – May 29 1 in 41
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Oct 5 – Oct 16 1 in 27
5 IA Akranes 2 Aug 21 – Aug 28 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stjarnan 5 Aug 14 – Sep 11 1 in 82
2 Valur Reykjavik 5 Sep 5 – Oct 8 1 in 77
3 IA Akranes 7 Jul 4 – Aug 14 1 in 68
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 4 Jul 17 – Aug 15 1 in 19
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 Aug 3 – Aug 14 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 16 May 22 – Oct 5 1 in 236
2 Stjarnan 6 May 15 – Jul 4 1 in 31
3 Keflavik IF 5 May 22 – Jul 11 1 in 24
4 IA Akranes 4 Oct 8 – Oct 29 1 in 18
5 Valur Reykjavik 6 Jul 25 – Aug 29 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 11 May 22 – Aug 14 1 in 413
2 IA Akranes 15 May 2 – Aug 14 1 in 55
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 12 Apr 19 – Jul 9 1 in 54
4 KR Reykjavik 6 Jun 15 – Jul 25 1 in 44
5 KA Akureyri 5 May 21 – Jul 4 1 in 17

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Breidablik63.55%18.85%8.50%4.71%2.45%1.10%0.48%0.25%0.09%0.01%0.01%
KA Akureyri9.83%20.82%19.43%15.55%12.49%9.26%5.96%3.37%1.94%0.82%0.41%0.12%
Vikingur Reykjavik10.71%20.92%19.06%16.28%12.01%8.94%5.59%3.54%1.80%0.81%0.32%0.02%
KR Reykjavik7.78%16.17%18.10%17.42%13.77%11.07%7.09%4.52%2.32%1.18%0.47%0.11%
Stjarnan0.36%1.29%2.58%4.33%7.00%10.55%13.82%16.11%15.66%13.16%9.64%5.50%
Valur Reykjavik3.69%9.73%13.16%14.94%15.45%13.84%11.42%7.78%5.03%3.01%1.49%0.46%
Keflavik IF0.06%0.46%1.06%2.19%3.73%6.21%10.11%13.52%17.24%17.78%16.43%11.21%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.03%0.51%1.03%2.09%4.31%5.98%9.42%13.78%16.71%18.54%16.28%11.32%
Fram Reykjavik0.98%3.50%5.78%8.35%12.00%14.25%15.46%14.28%10.77%7.94%4.47%2.22%
FH Hafnarfjordur2.98%7.55%10.90%13.19%14.89%15.12%12.48%9.54%6.61%4.04%1.91%0.79%
IA Akranes0.02%0.17%0.33%0.69%1.40%2.42%5.11%8.10%12.87%17.86%24.60%26.43%
Leiknir Reykjavik0.01%0.03%0.07%0.26%0.50%1.26%3.06%5.21%8.96%14.85%23.97%41.82%
Team123456789101112
Breidablik97.04%2.72%0.24%
KA Akureyri1.20%39.52%59.13%0.15%
Vikingur Reykjavik1.76%57.76%40.33%0.15%
KR Reykjavik0.12%39.97%41.08%18.83%
Stjarnan11.18%23.93%64.89%
Valur Reykjavik0.18%48.55%34.99%16.28%
Keflavik IF71.17%25.18%3.18%0.45%0.02%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.98%7.49%36.72%32.06%19.82%2.93%
Fram Reykjavik26.78%57.16%12.22%3.34%0.50%
FH Hafnarfjordur0.81%7.42%31.83%33.12%23.31%3.51%
IA Akranes0.02%0.79%2.98%10.80%85.41%
Leiknir Reykjavik0.26%2.73%15.26%28.05%45.55%8.15%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.20%
Slight Edge
44.44%25.31%30.25%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 49.66 Elo pts.
167 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.22 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
64%
Breidablik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.37/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.59 * Some Luck: 4.59 to 6.89 * Lucky: 6.89 to 9.19 * Wild Swing: 9.19 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.36 * Close: 1.36 to 2.04 * Off: 2.04 to 2.72 * Way Off: 2.72 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.74 * A Surprise: 0.74 to 1.18 * Several Surprises: 1.18 to 1.62 * Many Surprises: 1.62 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.09 points
Some Luck
05.7414
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
01.704
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
89.53%
Breidablik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.43%
FH Hafnarfjordur
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.72

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.58
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
28%
Very Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.10
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.51
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.07
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.86
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.047
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Breidablik 100%
Vikingur Reykjavik 99.93% 0.07%
KA Akureyri 99.80% 0.20%
KR Reykjavik 99.65% 0.35%
Valur Reykjavik 98.42% 1.58%
FH Hafnarfjordur 97.70% 2.30%
Fram Reykjavik 94.42% 5.58%
Stjarnan 85.13% 14.87%
Keflavik IF 76.75% 23.25%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 74.47% 25.53%
IA Akranes 42.11% 57.89%
Leiknir Reykjavik 31.62% 68.38%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Breidablik 100%
KA Akureyri 100%
KR Reykjavik 100%
Stjarnan 100%
Valur Reykjavik 100%
Vikingur Reykjavik 100%
Keflavik IF 99.98% 0.02%
Fram Reykjavik 99.50% 0.50%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 77.25% 22.75%
FH Hafnarfjordur 73.18% 26.82%
Leiknir Reykjavik 46.30% 53.70%
IA Akranes 3.79% 96.21%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2022-04-18 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1239 1253 41.6% 26.7% 31.6% +7.0 3
2022-04-18 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1253 1239 31.6% 26.7% 41.6% -7.0 0
2022-04-19 IA Akranes D 2-2 1101 1106 42.8% 26.6% 30.6% -0.4 1
2022-04-19 @ Stjarnan D 2-2 1106 1101 30.6% 26.6% 42.8% +0.4 1
2022-04-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1209 1142 52.1% 25.4% 22.5% +5.2 3
2022-04-19 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1142 1209 22.5% 25.4% 52.1% -5.2 0
2022-04-19 Keflavik IF W 4-1 1306 1083 68.5% 20.0% 11.5% +6.5 3
2022-04-19 @ Breidablik L 1-4 1083 1306 11.5% 20.0% 68.5% -6.5 0
2022-04-20 KR Reykjavik L 1-4 1204 1250 37.1% 26.9% 36.1% -19.2 0
2022-04-20 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 1250 1204 36.1% 26.9% 37.1% +19.2 3
2022-04-20 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-0 1226 1077 61.3% 22.9% 15.8% +4.0 3
2022-04-20 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1077 1226 15.8% 22.9% 61.3% -4.0 0
2022-04-24 KA Akureyri L 0-3 1137 1230 30.7% 26.6% 42.7% -19.7 0
2022-04-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1230 1137 42.7% 26.6% 30.7% +19.7 6
2022-04-24 Stjarnan L 0-3 1073 1100 39.8% 26.8% 33.5% -24.0 0
2022-04-24 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-0 1100 1073 33.5% 26.8% 39.8% +24.0 4
2022-04-24 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1077 1214 25.5% 26.0% 48.5% -6.2 0
2022-04-24 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1214 1077 48.5% 26.0% 25.5% +6.2 6
2022-04-24 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1107 1246 25.3% 26.0% 48.7% +28.1 4
2022-04-24 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1246 1107 48.7% 26.0% 25.3% -28.2 3
2022-04-25 Breidablik L 0-1 1270 1313 37.5% 26.8% 35.6% -8.4 3
2022-04-25 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1313 1270 35.6% 26.8% 37.5% +8.4 6
2022-04-25 Fram Reykjavik W 4-2 1246 1185 51.4% 25.5% 23.1% +8.3 3
2022-04-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-4 1185 1246 23.1% 25.5% 51.4% -8.3 0
2022-04-28 Keflavik IF W 4-1 1218 1071 61.1% 22.9% 15.9% +9.3 6
2022-04-28 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-4 1071 1218 15.9% 22.9% 61.1% -9.2 0
2022-04-30 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1220 1261 37.8% 26.8% 35.4% +7.6 9
2022-04-30 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1261 1220 35.4% 26.8% 37.8% -7.6 3
2022-05-01 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1321 1254 52.2% 25.4% 22.4% +15.2 9
2022-05-01 @ Breidablik L 0-3 1254 1321 22.4% 25.4% 52.2% -15.2 3
2022-05-01 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-1 1117 1049 52.3% 25.4% 22.3% -1.4 1
2022-05-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1049 1117 22.3% 25.4% 52.3% +1.4 1
2022-05-02 IA Akranes D 1-1 1177 1135 49.0% 25.9% 25.1% -1.1 1
2022-05-02 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1135 1177 25.1% 25.9% 49.0% +1.1 5
2022-05-02 Keflavik IF W 3-2 1250 1061 65.2% 21.4% 13.4% +3.0 9
2022-05-02 @ KA Akureyri L 2-3 1061 1250 13.4% 21.4% 65.2% -3.0 0
2022-05-02 Stjarnan L 4-5 1227 1124 56.3% 24.4% 19.3% -10.0 6
2022-05-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 5-4 1124 1227 19.3% 24.4% 56.3% +10.0 7
2022-05-06 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1239 1228 45.1% 26.4% 28.5% -0.5 4
2022-05-06 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1228 1239 28.5% 26.4% 45.1% +0.5 10
2022-05-07 Breidablik L 1-5 1136 1336 19.4% 24.5% 56.1% -14.5 5
2022-05-07 @ IA Akranes W 5-1 1336 1136 56.1% 24.5% 19.4% +14.5 12
2022-05-07 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1134 1176 37.8% 26.8% 35.4% -0.1 8
2022-05-07 @ Stjarnan D 1-1 1176 1134 35.4% 26.8% 37.8% +0.1 2
2022-05-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 3-3 1058 1116 35.5% 26.8% 37.7% +0.1 1
2022-05-07 @ Keflavik IF D 3-3 1116 1058 37.7% 26.8% 35.5% -0.1 2
2022-05-07 KA Akureyri D 0-0 1254 1253 43.7% 26.6% 29.8% -0.7 4
2022-05-07 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1253 1254 29.8% 26.6% 43.7% +0.7 10
2022-05-08 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1050 1217 22.4% 25.4% 52.2% +1.5 2
2022-05-08 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-0 1217 1050 52.2% 25.4% 22.4% -1.5 7
2022-05-11 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1253 1238 45.6% 26.4% 28.1% +6.7 13
2022-05-11 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1238 1253 28.1% 26.4% 45.6% -6.7 4
2022-05-11 IA Akranes W 4-0 1228 1122 56.8% 24.3% 18.9% +17.0 13
2022-05-11 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-4 1122 1228 18.9% 24.3% 56.8% -17.0 5
2022-05-11 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1116 1253 25.5% 26.0% 48.5% -5.8 2
2022-05-11 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1253 1116 48.5% 26.0% 25.5% +5.8 7
2022-05-11 Stjarnan W 3-2 1351 1134 67.9% 20.3% 11.8% +2.6 15
2022-05-11 @ Breidablik L 2-3 1134 1351 11.8% 20.3% 67.9% -2.6 8
2022-05-12 Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 1215 1176 48.8% 26.0% 25.3% +14.2 10
2022-05-12 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-4 1176 1215 25.3% 26.0% 48.8% -14.2 2
2022-05-12 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-0 1058 1052 44.4% 26.5% 29.1% +18.9 4
2022-05-12 @ Keflavik IF L 0-3 1052 1058 29.1% 26.5% 44.4% -18.9 2
2022-05-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1231 1110 58.4% 23.8% 17.8% +8.4 7
2022-05-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1110 1231 17.8% 23.8% 58.4% -8.4 2
2022-05-15 KA Akureyri L 0-3 1105 1260 23.5% 25.6% 50.8% -15.9 5
2022-05-15 @ IA Akranes W 3-0 1260 1105 50.8% 25.6% 23.5% +15.9 16
2022-05-15 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1132 1245 28.1% 26.4% 45.5% +9.7 11
2022-05-15 @ Stjarnan L 0-1 1245 1132 45.5% 26.4% 28.1% -9.7 13
2022-05-16 Breidablik L 0-3 1229 1353 26.9% 26.2% 46.8% -17.8 10
2022-05-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1353 1229 46.8% 26.2% 26.9% +17.8 18
2022-05-16 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1033 1161 26.4% 26.2% 47.4% -6.0 2
2022-05-16 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-1 1161 1033 47.4% 26.2% 26.4% +6.0 5
2022-05-16 Keflavik IF W 1-0 1259 1077 64.6% 21.7% 13.8% +3.4 10
2022-05-16 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1077 1259 13.8% 21.7% 64.6% -3.4 4
2022-05-21 IA Akranes D 0-0 1102 1089 45.3% 26.4% 28.3% -0.8 3
2022-05-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1089 1102 28.3% 26.4% 45.3% +0.8 6
2022-05-21 Leiknir Reykjavik D 1-1 1262 1027 69.6% 19.5% 10.9% -2.9 11
2022-05-21 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1027 1262 10.9% 19.5% 69.6% +2.9 3
2022-05-21 Stjarnan L 0-2 1276 1141 59.8% 23.4% 16.8% -23.0 16
2022-05-21 @ KA Akureyri W 2-0 1141 1276 16.8% 23.4% 59.8% +23.0 14
2022-05-22 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1074 1240 22.5% 25.4% 52.1% +10.2 7
2022-05-22 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1240 1074 52.1% 25.4% 22.5% -10.2 7
2022-05-22 Fram Reykjavik W 4-3 1371 1167 66.7% 20.8% 12.5% +2.7 21
2022-05-22 @ Breidablik L 3-4 1167 1371 12.5% 20.8% 66.7% -2.7 5
2022-05-22 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1235 1212 46.7% 26.2% 27.0% -16.2 13
2022-05-22 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 1212 1235 27.0% 26.2% 46.7% +16.2 13
2022-05-29 Breidablik L 1-2 1030 1374 10.5% 19.1% 70.4% -2.4 3
2022-05-29 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-1 1374 1030 70.4% 19.1% 10.5% +2.4 24
2022-05-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1164 1101 51.8% 25.5% 22.8% +5.6 17
2022-05-29 @ Stjarnan L 0-1 1101 1164 22.8% 25.5% 51.8% -5.6 3
2022-05-29 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1228 1253 40.1% 26.8% 33.1% +7.2 16
2022-05-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1253 1228 33.1% 26.8% 40.1% -7.2 16
2022-05-29 Keflavik IF L 0-2 1090 1084 44.3% 26.5% 29.2% -17.9 6
2022-05-29 @ IA Akranes W 2-0 1084 1090 29.2% 26.5% 44.3% +17.9 10
2022-05-29 KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1230 1259 39.4% 26.8% 33.8% -7.8 7
2022-05-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 1259 1230 33.8% 26.8% 39.4% +7.8 14
2022-05-29 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1165 1219 35.9% 26.8% 37.3% +7.5 8
2022-05-29 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1219 1165 37.3% 26.8% 35.9% -7.5 13
2022-06-15 IA Akranes D 3-3 1267 1072 65.9% 21.1% 13.0% -1.6 15
2022-06-15 @ KR Reykjavik D 3-3 1072 1267 13.0% 21.1% 65.9% +1.6 7
2022-06-15 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 1095 1235 25.1% 25.9% 48.9% -16.8 3
2022-06-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1235 1095 48.9% 25.9% 25.1% +16.8 19
2022-06-16 Breidablik W 3-2 1212 1376 22.6% 25.4% 51.9% +9.7 16
2022-06-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1376 1212 51.9% 25.4% 22.6% -9.7 24
2022-06-16 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1246 1172 52.9% 25.2% 21.9% -1.1 17
2022-06-16 @ KA Akureyri D 2-2 1172 1246 21.9% 25.2% 52.9% +1.1 9
2022-06-16 Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-2 1222 1028 65.8% 21.1% 13.0% -1.9 8
2022-06-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1028 1222 13.0% 21.1% 65.8% +1.9 4
2022-06-16 Stjarnan D 2-2 1102 1170 34.0% 26.8% 39.2% +0.2 11
2022-06-16 @ Keflavik IF D 2-2 1170 1102 39.2% 26.8% 34.0% -0.2 18
2022-06-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 3-3 1173 1078 55.5% 24.6% 19.9% -1.0 10
2022-06-20 @ Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1078 1173 19.9% 24.6% 55.5% +1.0 4
2022-06-20 KA Akureyri W 4-1 1367 1244 58.5% 23.8% 17.7% +10.3 27
2022-06-20 @ Breidablik L 1-4 1244 1367 17.7% 23.8% 58.5% -10.3 17
2022-06-20 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1170 1266 30.3% 26.6% 43.0% +0.6 19
2022-06-20 @ Stjarnan D 1-1 1266 1170 43.0% 26.6% 30.3% -0.6 16
2022-06-21 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1073 1220 24.4% 25.8% 49.7% +1.2 8
2022-06-21 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 1220 1073 49.7% 25.8% 24.4% -1.2 9
2022-06-21 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-1 1221 1029 65.6% 21.2% 13.1% +3.1 19
2022-06-21 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1029 1221 13.1% 21.2% 65.6% -3.1 4
2022-06-23 KR Reykjavik W 4-0 1377 1265 57.4% 24.1% 18.5% +16.6 30
2022-06-23 @ Breidablik L 0-4 1265 1377 18.5% 24.1% 57.4% -16.6 16
2022-07-01 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 1248 1252 43.1% 26.6% 30.3% -25.5 16
2022-07-01 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-0 1252 1248 30.3% 26.6% 43.1% +25.5 22
2022-07-02 Breidablik D 0-0 1079 1393 11.9% 20.3% 67.7% +3.0 5
2022-07-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1393 1079 67.7% 20.3% 11.9% -3.0 31
2022-07-03 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1102 1172 33.7% 26.8% 39.5% +14.2 14
2022-07-03 @ Keflavik IF L 1-3 1172 1102 39.5% 26.8% 33.7% -14.2 10
2022-07-04 IA Akranes W 1-0 1026 1074 36.8% 26.9% 36.4% +8.2 7
2022-07-04 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-1 1074 1026 36.4% 26.9% 36.8% -8.2 8
2022-07-04 Stjarnan D 1-1 1219 1170 49.9% 25.8% 24.3% -1.2 10
2022-07-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1170 1219 24.3% 25.8% 49.9% +1.2 20
2022-07-04 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1234 1225 44.9% 26.5% 28.7% -0.7 18
2022-07-04 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1225 1234 28.7% 26.5% 44.9% +0.7 20
2022-07-09 IA Akranes W 3-2 1277 1066 67.4% 20.5% 12.1% +2.7 25
2022-07-09 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1066 1277 12.1% 20.5% 67.4% -2.7 8
2022-07-09 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-3 1233 1082 61.6% 22.8% 15.6% +3.4 21
2022-07-09 @ KA Akureyri L 3-4 1082 1233 15.6% 22.8% 61.6% -3.4 5
2022-07-11 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1158 1218 35.2% 26.8% 38.0% +8.5 13
2022-07-11 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1218 1158 38.0% 26.8% 35.2% -8.5 10
2022-07-11 Keflavik IF L 0-3 1225 1116 57.0% 24.2% 18.8% -32.1 20
2022-07-11 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1116 1225 18.8% 24.2% 57.0% +32.1 17
2022-07-11 Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-3 1172 1035 60.1% 23.3% 16.6% -33.5 20
2022-07-11 @ Stjarnan W 3-0 1035 1172 16.6% 23.3% 60.1% +33.5 10
2022-07-16 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 1209 1280 33.6% 26.8% 39.6% -21.1 10
2022-07-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1280 1209 39.6% 26.8% 33.6% +21.1 28
2022-07-17 Breidablik L 2-3 1149 1390 16.2% 23.1% 60.7% -3.6 17
2022-07-17 @ Keflavik IF W 3-2 1390 1149 60.7% 23.1% 16.2% +3.6 34
2022-07-17 KA Akureyri L 0-5 1068 1237 22.2% 25.3% 52.5% -24.3 10
2022-07-17 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 5-0 1237 1068 52.5% 25.3% 22.2% +24.3 24
2022-07-17 Stjarnan L 0-3 1064 1138 33.1% 26.8% 40.1% -20.9 8
2022-07-17 @ IA Akranes W 3-0 1138 1064 40.1% 26.8% 33.1% +20.9 23
2022-07-17 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1079 1193 28.1% 26.4% 45.6% +8.7 8
2022-07-17 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1193 1079 45.6% 26.4% 28.1% -8.7 20
2022-07-19 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1223 1166 50.9% 25.6% 23.5% -1.3 17
2022-07-19 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1166 1223 23.5% 25.6% 50.9% +1.2 14
2022-07-24 Breidablik D 0-0 1188 1394 18.9% 24.3% 56.8% +2.0 11
2022-07-24 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1394 1188 56.8% 24.3% 18.9% -2.0 35
2022-07-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 1044 1088 37.4% 26.8% 35.7% -19.3 10
2022-07-24 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-1 1088 1044 35.7% 26.8% 37.4% +19.3 11
2022-07-24 KA Akureyri L 1-3 1145 1261 27.8% 26.4% 45.8% -10.9 17
2022-07-24 @ Keflavik IF W 3-1 1261 1145 45.8% 26.4% 27.8% +10.9 27
2022-07-25 Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 1043 1168 26.8% 26.2% 47.0% -23.1 8
2022-07-25 @ IA Akranes W 4-0 1168 1043 47.0% 26.2% 26.8% +23.1 17
2022-07-25 Valur Reykjavik D 3-3 1222 1184 48.4% 26.0% 25.5% -0.6 18
2022-07-25 @ KR Reykjavik D 3-3 1184 1222 25.5% 26.0% 48.4% +0.6 21
2022-07-30 Keflavik IF D 2-2 1107 1134 39.8% 26.8% 33.4% -0.2 12
2022-07-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1134 1107 33.4% 26.8% 39.8% +0.2 18
2022-07-30 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1159 1301 24.9% 25.9% 49.2% +0.8 24
2022-07-30 @ Stjarnan D 2-2 1301 1159 49.2% 25.9% 24.9% -0.8 29
2022-08-01 IA Akranes W 3-1 1392 1020 80.2% 13.8% 6.0% +2.2 38
2022-08-01 @ Breidablik L 1-3 1020 1392 6.0% 13.8% 80.2% -2.2 8
2022-08-02 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1272 1221 50.2% 25.7% 24.0% -10.5 27
2022-08-02 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1221 1272 24.0% 25.7% 50.2% +10.5 21
2022-08-03 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1185 1190 42.9% 26.6% 30.5% +13.5 24
2022-08-03 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1190 1185 30.5% 26.6% 42.9% -13.5 11
2022-08-03 Stjarnan D 2-2 1191 1160 47.7% 26.1% 26.2% -0.7 18
2022-08-03 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1160 1191 26.2% 26.1% 47.7% +0.7 25
2022-08-07 Breidablik W 5-2 1160 1394 16.8% 23.4% 59.8% +24.4 28
2022-08-07 @ Stjarnan L 2-5 1394 1160 59.8% 23.4% 16.8% -24.4 38
2022-08-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-0 1231 1107 58.8% 23.7% 17.5% +15.8 24
2022-08-07 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-4 1107 1231 17.5% 23.7% 58.8% -15.8 12
2022-08-07 KA Akureyri L 0-3 1177 1262 31.7% 26.7% 41.6% -20.2 11
2022-08-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1262 1177 41.6% 26.7% 31.7% +20.2 30
2022-08-07 Vikingur Reykjavik D 3-3 1190 1300 28.5% 26.4% 45.0% +0.4 19
2022-08-07 @ Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1300 1190 45.0% 26.4% 28.5% -0.4 30
2022-08-08 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1024 1134 28.6% 26.5% 44.9% -6.4 10
2022-08-08 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-1 1134 1024 44.9% 26.5% 28.6% +6.4 21
2022-08-08 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1017 1199 21.1% 25.0% 53.9% -4.9 8
2022-08-08 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 1199 1017 53.9% 25.0% 21.1% +5.0 27
2022-08-14 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-1 1091 1156 34.4% 26.8% 38.8% +19.8 15
2022-08-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 1156 1091 38.8% 26.8% 34.4% -19.8 11
2022-08-14 IA Akranes W 3-0 1282 1012 72.5% 18.1% 9.5% +6.2 33
2022-08-14 @ KA Akureyri L 0-3 1012 1282 9.5% 18.1% 72.5% -6.2 8
2022-08-14 Stjarnan W 6-1 1204 1185 46.1% 26.3% 27.6% +24.2 30
2022-08-14 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-6 1185 1204 27.6% 26.3% 46.1% -24.2 28
2022-08-15 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1141 1247 29.0% 26.5% 44.5% +0.8 22
2022-08-15 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 1247 1141 44.5% 26.5% 29.0% -0.8 25
2022-08-15 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-1 1191 1018 63.7% 22.0% 14.3% +8.3 22
2022-08-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-4 1018 1191 14.3% 22.0% 63.7% -8.3 10
2022-08-15 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1370 1300 52.5% 25.3% 22.2% -1.4 39
2022-08-15 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1300 1370 22.2% 25.3% 52.5% +1.4 31
2022-08-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1006 1111 29.2% 26.5% 44.2% +9.0 11
2022-08-21 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 1111 1006 44.2% 26.5% 29.2% -9.0 15
2022-08-21 KA Akureyri L 2-4 1161 1288 26.6% 26.2% 47.3% -9.4 28
2022-08-21 @ Stjarnan W 4-2 1288 1161 47.3% 26.2% 26.6% +9.4 36
2022-08-22 Breidablik L 0-2 1199 1368 22.1% 25.3% 52.6% -10.3 22
2022-08-22 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1368 1199 52.6% 25.3% 22.1% +10.3 42
2022-08-22 Keflavik IF W 3-0 1136 1141 42.9% 26.6% 30.5% +19.6 14
2022-08-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-3 1141 1136 30.5% 26.6% 42.9% -19.6 22
2022-08-22 KR Reykjavik W 4-3 1010 1246 16.6% 23.3% 60.1% +10.7 13
2022-08-22 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 3-4 1246 1010 60.1% 23.3% 16.6% -10.7 25
2022-08-22 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1301 1228 53.0% 25.2% 21.8% -1.1 32
2022-08-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1228 1301 21.8% 25.2% 53.0% +1.1 31
2022-08-28 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1236 1156 53.7% 25.1% 21.3% -1.7 26
2022-08-28 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1156 1236 21.3% 25.1% 53.7% +1.7 15
2022-08-28 IA Akranes L 0-1 1122 1015 56.8% 24.3% 18.9% -11.7 22
2022-08-28 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1015 1122 18.9% 24.3% 56.8% +11.7 14
2022-08-28 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-0 1379 1021 79.2% 14.4% 6.4% +5.1 45
2022-08-28 @ Breidablik L 0-4 1021 1379 6.4% 14.4% 79.2% -5.1 13
2022-08-28 Stjarnan W 3-1 1102 1151 36.6% 26.9% 36.5% +13.4 18
2022-08-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1151 1102 36.5% 26.9% 36.6% -13.4 28
2022-08-28 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1297 1300 43.1% 26.6% 30.2% -8.3 36
2022-08-28 @ KA Akureyri W 3-2 1300 1297 30.2% 26.6% 43.1% +8.3 35
2022-08-29 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1229 1188 48.9% 26.0% 25.2% -1.1 32
2022-08-29 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1188 1229 25.2% 26.0% 48.9% +1.1 23
2022-09-04 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1015 1158 24.9% 25.9% 49.2% +1.2 14
2022-09-04 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-0 1158 1015 49.2% 25.9% 24.9% -1.2 16
2022-09-04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1309 1115 65.7% 21.2% 13.1% -1.9 36
2022-09-04 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1115 1309 13.1% 21.2% 65.7% +1.9 19
2022-09-04 KA Akureyri D 2-2 1190 1289 29.9% 26.6% 43.5% +0.5 24
2022-09-04 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1289 1190 43.5% 26.6% 29.9% -0.5 37
2022-09-04 Keflavik IF L 0-2 1138 1110 47.2% 26.2% 26.6% -18.9 28
2022-09-04 @ Stjarnan W 2-0 1110 1138 26.6% 26.2% 47.2% +18.9 25
2022-09-04 KR Reykjavik D 4-4 1027 1234 18.8% 24.2% 56.9% +1.0 15
2022-09-04 @ IA Akranes D 4-4 1234 1027 56.9% 24.2% 18.8% -1.0 27
2022-09-05 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1384 1228 62.1% 22.6% 15.3% +3.8 48
2022-09-05 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1228 1384 15.3% 22.6% 62.1% -3.9 32
2022-09-07 Leiknir Reykjavik W 9-0 1307 1017 74.2% 17.2% 8.7% +15.7 39
2022-09-07 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-9 1017 1307 8.7% 17.2% 74.2% -15.7 14
2022-09-11 Breidablik W 2-1 1289 1388 29.9% 26.6% 43.5% +8.8 40
2022-09-11 @ KA Akureyri L 1-2 1388 1289 43.5% 26.6% 29.9% -8.8 48
2022-09-11 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1117 1190 33.3% 26.8% 39.9% +0.2 20
2022-09-11 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1190 1117 39.9% 26.8% 33.3% -0.2 25
2022-09-11 IA Akranes W 6-1 1157 1028 59.2% 23.6% 17.2% +15.8 19
2022-09-11 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-6 1028 1157 17.2% 23.6% 59.2% -15.8 15
2022-09-11 Stjarnan W 3-1 1233 1119 57.6% 24.1% 18.3% +7.5 30
2022-09-11 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-3 1119 1233 18.3% 24.1% 57.6% -7.5 28
2022-09-11 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1001 1224 17.6% 23.8% 58.7% +12.0 17
2022-09-11 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-1 1224 1001 58.7% 23.8% 17.6% -12.0 32
2022-09-11 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 1129 1322 20.0% 24.7% 55.4% -13.7 25
2022-09-11 @ Keflavik IF W 3-0 1322 1129 55.4% 24.7% 20.0% +13.7 42
2022-09-17 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1111 1172 35.0% 26.8% 38.2% +8.0 31
2022-09-17 @ Stjarnan L 1-2 1172 1111 38.2% 26.8% 35.0% -8.0 19
2022-09-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1379 1117 71.8% 18.4% 9.8% +6.4 51
2022-09-17 @ Breidablik L 0-3 1117 1379 9.8% 18.4% 71.8% -6.4 20
2022-09-17 KA Akureyri L 0-1 1212 1297 31.6% 26.7% 41.6% -7.4 32
2022-09-17 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1297 1212 41.6% 26.7% 31.6% +7.4 43
2022-09-17 Keflavik IF L 4-8 1190 1115 53.1% 25.2% 21.7% -24.0 25
2022-09-17 @ Fram Reykjavik W 8-4 1115 1190 21.7% 25.2% 53.1% +24.0 28
2022-09-17 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1336 1241 55.5% 24.6% 19.9% -1.2 43
2022-09-17 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1241 1336 19.9% 24.6% 55.5% +1.2 31
2022-09-17 Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-2 1012 1013 43.4% 26.6% 30.0% -8.8 15
2022-09-17 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 1013 1012 30.0% 26.6% 43.4% +8.8 20

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2022-10-02 IA Akranes W 3-2 1139 1003 60.0% 23.3% 16.7% +3.8 3
2022-10-02 @ Keflavik IF L 2-3 1003 1139 16.7% 23.3% 60.0% -3.8 0
2022-10-02 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1305 1242 51.7% 25.5% 22.9% +5.6 3
2022-10-02 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1242 1305 22.9% 25.5% 51.7% -5.6 0
2022-10-02 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-2 1166 1022 60.8% 23.1% 16.1% +3.6 3
2022-10-02 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1022 1166 16.1% 23.1% 60.8% -3.6 0
2022-10-03 Stjarnan W 3-0 1385 1119 72.2% 18.2% 9.6% +6.3 3
2022-10-03 @ Breidablik L 0-3 1119 1385 9.6% 18.2% 72.2% -6.3 0
2022-10-05 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1111 1164 36.0% 26.9% 37.1% +7.8 3
2022-10-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1164 1111 37.1% 26.9% 36.0% -7.8 0
2022-10-05 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1335 1204 59.4% 23.5% 17.1% +3.9 3
2022-10-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1204 1335 17.1% 23.5% 59.4% -3.8 0
2022-10-08 Breidablik L 1-2 1310 1392 32.2% 26.7% 41.1% -7.0 3
2022-10-08 @ KA Akureyri W 2-1 1392 1310 41.1% 26.7% 32.2% +7.0 6
2022-10-08 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 999 1169 22.1% 25.3% 52.6% +9.8 3
2022-10-08 @ IA Akranes L 2-3 1169 999 52.6% 25.3% 22.1% -9.8 3
2022-10-08 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1236 1201 48.2% 26.1% 25.7% +5.9 3
2022-10-08 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1201 1236 25.7% 26.1% 48.2% -5.9 0
2022-10-10 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1119 1143 40.2% 26.8% 33.0% +7.2 6
2022-10-10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1143 1119 33.0% 26.8% 40.2% -7.2 3
2022-10-10 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-2 1157 1018 60.2% 23.2% 16.5% +6.1 3
2022-10-10 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-4 1018 1157 16.5% 23.2% 60.2% -6.1 0
2022-10-10 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1113 1339 17.4% 23.7% 58.9% +11.4 3
2022-10-10 @ Stjarnan L 1-2 1339 1113 58.9% 23.7% 17.4% -11.4 3
2022-10-15 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-3 1136 1163 39.9% 26.8% 33.4% -7.8 3
2022-10-15 @ Keflavik IF W 3-2 1163 1136 33.4% 26.8% 39.9% +7.8 6
2022-10-15 IA Akranes D 2-2 1012 1009 43.9% 26.5% 29.5% -0.5 1
2022-10-15 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 2-2 1009 1012 29.5% 26.5% 43.9% +0.5 4
2022-10-15 KA Akureyri D 2-2 1327 1303 46.7% 26.2% 27.0% -0.7 4
2022-10-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1303 1327 27.0% 26.2% 46.7% +0.7 4
2022-10-15 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1399 1242 62.1% 22.6% 15.3% -12.6 6
2022-10-15 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1242 1399 15.3% 22.6% 62.1% +12.6 6
2022-10-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1160 1126 48.0% 26.1% 25.9% -16.6 3
2022-10-16 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1126 1160 25.9% 26.1% 48.0% +16.6 9
2022-10-16 Stjarnan W 3-0 1195 1125 52.6% 25.3% 22.1% +15.0 3
2022-10-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1125 1195 22.1% 25.3% 52.6% -15.0 3
2022-10-22 Breidablik L 2-5 1210 1386 21.5% 25.1% 53.4% -10.7 3
2022-10-22 @ Valur Reykjavik W 5-2 1386 1210 53.4% 25.1% 21.5% +10.7 9
2022-10-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-2 1010 1143 25.9% 26.1% 48.0% +9.1 7
2022-10-22 @ IA Akranes L 2-3 1143 1010 48.0% 26.1% 25.9% -9.1 9
2022-10-22 Keflavik IF L 1-7 1012 1128 27.8% 26.4% 45.9% -28.8 1
2022-10-22 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 7-1 1128 1012 45.9% 26.4% 27.8% +28.8 6
2022-10-23 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1143 1170 39.8% 26.8% 33.5% +21.1 6
2022-10-23 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1170 1143 33.5% 26.8% 39.8% -21.1 6
2022-10-23 KA Akureyri L 0-3 1109 1304 19.9% 24.6% 55.5% -13.6 3
2022-10-23 @ Stjarnan W 3-0 1304 1109 55.5% 24.6% 19.9% +13.6 7
2022-10-24 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1327 1255 52.8% 25.3% 22.0% -1.1 5
2022-10-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1255 1327 22.0% 25.3% 52.8% +1.1 7
2022-10-29 Fram Reykjavik W 4-0 1157 1164 42.5% 26.7% 30.8% +25.8 9
2022-10-29 @ Keflavik IF L 0-4 1164 1157 30.8% 26.7% 42.5% -25.8 6
2022-10-29 IA Akranes L 1-2 1149 1019 59.4% 23.5% 17.1% -11.4 6
2022-10-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1019 1149 17.1% 23.5% 59.4% +11.4 10
2022-10-29 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-0 1133 983 61.5% 22.8% 15.7% +4.0 12
2022-10-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 983 1133 15.7% 22.8% 61.5% -4.0 1
2022-10-29 Stjarnan L 0-2 1256 1096 62.5% 22.5% 15.1% -23.9 7
2022-10-29 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1096 1256 15.1% 22.5% 62.5% +23.9 6
2022-10-29 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1318 1199 58.1% 23.9% 18.0% +8.5 10
2022-10-29 @ KA Akureyri L 0-2 1199 1318 18.0% 23.9% 58.1% -8.5 3
2022-10-29 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1397 1326 52.7% 25.3% 22.1% +5.5 12
2022-10-29 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1326 1397 22.1% 25.3% 52.7% -5.5 5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-10-29 15.06% Stjarnan 1096 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1256 0
2 2022-10-15 15.28% KR Reykjavik 1242 1 @ Breidablik 1399 0
3 2022-08-22 16.59% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1010 4 KR Reykjavik 1246 3
4 2022-07-11 16.61% Leiknir Reykjavik 1035 3 @ Stjarnan 1172 0
5 2022-05-21 16.79% Stjarnan 1141 2 @ KA Akureyri 1276 0
6 2022-08-07 16.79% @ Stjarnan 1160 5 Breidablik 1394 2
7 2022-10-29 17.08% IA Akranes 1019 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1149 1
8 2022-10-10 17.40% @ Stjarnan 1113 2 Vikingur Reykjavik 1339 1
9 2022-09-11 17.59% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1001 1 Valur Reykjavik 1224 0
10 2022-07-11 18.75% Keflavik IF 1116 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1225 0
11 2022-08-28 18.93% IA Akranes 1015 1 @ Keflavik IF 1122 0
12 2022-05-02 19.27% Stjarnan 1124 5 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1227 4
13 2022-09-17 21.74% Keflavik IF 1115 8 @ Fram Reykjavik 1190 4
14 2022-10-08 22.10% @ IA Akranes 999 3 Fram Reykjavik 1169 2
15 2022-05-22 22.48% @ Keflavik IF 1074 2 FH Hafnarfjordur 1240 1
16 2022-06-16 22.63% @ Valur Reykjavik 1212 3 Breidablik 1376 2
17 2022-08-02 24.04% KR Reykjavik 1221 1 @ KA Akureyri 1272 0
18 2022-04-24 25.28% @ IA Akranes 1107 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1246 0
19 2022-10-16 25.91% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1126 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1160 1
20 2022-10-22 25.93% @ IA Akranes 1010 3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1143 2
21 2022-09-04 26.57% Keflavik IF 1110 2 @ Stjarnan 1138 0
22 2022-05-22 27.03% Vikingur Reykjavik 1212 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1235 1
23 2022-07-17 28.07% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1079 3 Valur Reykjavik 1193 2
24 2022-05-15 28.15% @ Stjarnan 1132 1 Valur Reykjavik 1245 0
25 2022-05-29 29.20% Keflavik IF 1084 2 @ IA Akranes 1090 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-07-11 33.55 Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1035 16.61% @ Stjarnan 0 1172 60.09% 23.30%
2 2022-07-11 32.12 Keflavik IF 3 1116 18.75% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1225 57.03% 24.22%
3 2022-10-22 28.76 Keflavik IF 7 1128 45.85% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1012 27.80% 26.35%
4 2022-04-24 28.16 @ IA Akranes 3 1107 25.28% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1246 48.74% 25.98%
5 2022-10-29 25.84 @ Keflavik IF 4 1157 42.55% Fram Reykjavik 0 1164 30.81% 26.65%
6 2022-07-01 25.47 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1252 30.33% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1248 43.06% 26.61%
7 2022-08-07 24.42 @ Stjarnan 5 1160 16.79% Breidablik 2 1394 59.83% 23.38%
8 2022-07-17 24.28 KA Akureyri 5 1237 52.47% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1068 22.21% 25.32%
9 2022-08-14 24.17 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1204 46.05% Stjarnan 1 1185 27.62% 26.33%
10 2022-09-17 24.03 Keflavik IF 8 1115 21.74% @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1190 53.07% 25.19%
11 2022-04-24 23.95 Stjarnan 3 1100 33.46% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1073 39.75% 26.79%
12 2022-10-29 23.86 Stjarnan 2 1096 15.06% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1256 62.46% 22.48%
13 2022-07-25 23.12 Fram Reykjavik 4 1168 46.98% @ IA Akranes 0 1043 26.80% 26.22%
14 2022-05-21 23.02 Stjarnan 2 1141 16.79% @ KA Akureyri 0 1276 59.82% 23.38%
15 2022-07-16 21.14 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1280 39.60% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1209 33.60% 26.80%
16 2022-10-23 21.07 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1143 39.75% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1170 33.46% 26.79%
17 2022-07-17 20.91 Stjarnan 3 1138 40.10% @ IA Akranes 0 1064 33.12% 26.78%
18 2022-08-07 20.23 KA Akureyri 3 1262 41.58% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1177 31.71% 26.71%
19 2022-08-14 19.83 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1091 34.36% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1156 38.82% 26.82%
20 2022-04-24 19.72 KA Akureyri 3 1230 42.66% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1137 30.70% 26.64%
21 2022-08-22 19.63 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1136 42.87% Keflavik IF 0 1141 30.51% 26.62%
22 2022-07-24 19.30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1088 35.74% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1 1044 37.42% 26.84%
23 2022-04-20 19.17 KR Reykjavik 4 1250 36.09% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1204 37.06% 26.85%
24 2022-05-12 18.91 @ Keflavik IF 3 1058 44.41% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1052 29.09% 26.50%
25 2022-09-04 18.90 Keflavik IF 2 1110 26.57% @ Stjarnan 0 1138 47.24% 26.19%