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2021 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Vikingur Reykjavik

48 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1991.0

Relegated

Fylkir Reykjavik

16 pts

HK Kopavogur · 20 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Vikingur Reykjavik

14.53 points above expected

48 points · 33.47 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fylkir Reykjavik

8.54 points below expected

16 points · 24.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik Champion 22 14 6 2 48 38 21 +17 33.47 +14.53
2 Breidablik 22 15 2 5 47 55 21 +34 39.13 +7.87
3 KR Reykjavik 22 12 5 5 41 35 19 +16 38.14 +2.86
4 KA Akureyri 22 12 4 6 40 36 20 +16 35.28 +4.72
5 Valur Reykjavik 22 12 3 7 39 37 26 +11 41.41 -2.41
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 9 6 7 33 39 26 +13 35.00 -2.00
7 Stjarnan 22 6 4 12 22 24 36 -12 26.14 -4.14
8 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 6 4 12 22 18 32 -14 26.69 -4.69
9 Keflavik IF 22 6 3 13 21 23 38 -15 23.33 -2.33
10 IA Akranes 22 6 3 13 21 29 44 -15 21.94 -0.94
11 HK Kopavogur Relegated 22 5 5 12 20 21 39 -18 23.01 -3.01
12 Fylkir Reykjavik Relegated 22 3 7 12 16 18 51 -33 24.54 -8.54

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 48 33.47 +14.53
2 Breidablik 47 39.13 +7.87
3 KA Akureyri 40 35.28 +4.72
4 KR Reykjavik 41 38.14 +2.86
5 IA Akranes 21 21.94 -0.94

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 16 24.54 -8.54
2 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 26.69 -4.69
3 Stjarnan 22 26.14 -4.14
4 HK Kopavogur 20 23.01 -3.01
5 Valur Reykjavik 39 41.41 -2.41

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Aug 16 – Sep 25 1 in 131
2 Breidablik 7 Aug 2 – Sep 11 1 in 48
3 KA Akureyri 3 May 7 – May 17 1 in 19
4 IA Akranes 3 Sep 11 – Sep 25 1 in 18
5 Stjarnan 2 Jun 20 – Jun 28 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 4 Aug 22 – Sep 19 1 in 109
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 May 22 – Jun 12 1 in 28
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 6 Aug 16 – Sep 25 1 in 22
4 Leiknir Reykjavik 4 Aug 29 – Sep 25 1 in 21
5 Keflavik IF 4 May 13 – May 24 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 9 May 2 – Jun 21 1 in 112
2 Stjarnan 5 May 30 – Jun 28 1 in 41
3 Keflavik IF 4 Jun 16 – Jul 3 1 in 9
4 KR Reykjavik 5 May 22 – Jun 21 1 in 9
5 Valur Reykjavik 7 Apr 30 – Jun 7 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 7 May 22 – Jul 1 1 in 39
2 Stjarnan 7 May 1 – May 30 1 in 33
3 Leiknir Reykjavik 6 Aug 15 – Sep 25 1 in 15
4 Fylkir Reykjavik 10 Jul 18 – Sep 25 1 in 14
5 HK Kopavogur 6 May 1 – May 25 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vikingur Reykjavik 1292 48 +69 15 8.1 +6.9
Breidablik 1388 47 +65 12 10.0 +2.0
KR Reykjavik 1300 41 +30 12 10.2 +1.8
KA Akureyri 1261 40 +41 10 8.3 +1.7
Valur Reykjavik 1237 39 -67 3 8.4 -5.4
FH Hafnarfjordur 1297 33 +41 8 7.9 +0.1
Stjarnan 1059 22 -36 6 6.0 +0.0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1025 22 -60 1 6.2 -5.2
IA Akranes 1068 21 +63 9 5.4 +3.6
Keflavik IF 1031 21 -19 4 5.3 -1.3
HK Kopavogur 1026 20 +11 7 4.6 +2.4
Fylkir Reykjavik 894 16 -138 0 3.7 -3.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR HK IA KA KR KI LR STJ VR VR
Breidablik —
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
4.32
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.46
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
3.61
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.57
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
3.01
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-0-1
2.22
 —
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
3.65
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
3.52
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
2.85
Fylkir Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
2.33
 —
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
1.59
0-1-1
1.84
1-1-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
1.20
0-1-1
1.85
HK Kopavogur
0-0-2
1.20
1-0-1
1.76
1-1-0
2.68
 —
0-0-2
3.22
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
1.41
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
1.45
0-1-1
1.50
IA Akranes
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.37
 —
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
1.35
0-1-1
2.11
KA Akureyri
0-0-2
2.13
0-2-0
3.01
1-0-1
4.02
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
4.00
 —
1-0-1
2.46
2-0-0
3.58
2-0-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
3.11
KR Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
3.76
1-1-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
3.13
 —
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
4.07
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
3.01
Keflavik IF
1-0-1
1.98
0-1-1
1.80
0-1-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.42
 —
2-0-0
2.55
2-0-0
2.37
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
2.30
Leiknir Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.36
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
3.38
1-0-1
3.40
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
1.79
0-0-2
3.03
 —
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
1.57
1-0-1
1.55
Stjarnan
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
2.07
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.27
1-1-0
3.31
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
1.53
0-0-2
3.21
0-1-1
2.98
 —
2-0-0
1.46
0-0-2
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
3.43
1-1-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.16
1-0-1
4.25
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
3.19
2-0-0
4.24
1-0-1
4.03
0-0-2
4.15
 —
0-1-1
3.44
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.75
1-1-0
4.10
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
2.47
1-1-0
2.57
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
4.06
2-0-0
3.21
1-1-0
2.15
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +9.4
Allowed 0.84 -10.1
Differential 0.92 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%6.44%8.71%3.79%3.03%1.89%29.17%
16.44%9.85%7.95%3.03%1.14%0.38%28.79%
28.71%7.95%3.79%3.03%0.76%—24.24%
33.79%3.03%3.03%0.76%——10.61%
43.03%1.14%0.76%———4.92%
5+1.89%0.38%————2.27%
Total29.17%28.79%24.24%10.61%4.92%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.31 1.31 2.13
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
1—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
213.64%4.55%————18.18%
39.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
422.73%—————22.73%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total50.00%18.18%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.95 +1.55
SD 1.74 1.13 2.54
CV 0.70 1.19 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—13.64%—4.55%—22.73%
19.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
24.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total36.36%27.27%27.27%—9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.18 +0.59
SD 1.69 1.22 2.46
CV 0.95 1.03 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%18.18%9.09%4.55%13.64%54.55%
1—18.18%4.55%———22.73%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%31.82%36.36%9.09%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.32 -1.50
SD 1.14 1.76 2.41
CV 1.39 0.76 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%9.09%13.64%——40.91%
19.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
3———————
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%18.18%22.73%31.82%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.77 -0.82
SD 1.05 1.27 1.53
CV 1.10 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%18.18%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%31.82%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.00 -0.68
SD 1.49 1.23 2.30
CV 1.13 0.62 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
19.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
213.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%27.27%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.91 +0.73
SD 1.26 0.81 1.64
CV 0.77 0.89 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
19.09%22.73%9.09%4.55%——45.45%
227.27%9.09%—4.55%——40.91%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%40.91%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 0.86 +0.73
SD 0.85 0.94 1.45
CV 0.54 1.09 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
19.09%4.55%18.18%—4.55%—36.36%
213.64%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%18.18%31.82%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.73 -0.68
SD 0.90 1.52 1.84
CV 0.86 0.88 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%54.55%
14.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%27.27%18.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.45 -0.64
SD 1.05 1.44 1.94
CV 1.29 0.99 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%—9.09%—40.91%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
24.55%18.18%—13.64%——36.36%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%18.18%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.64 -0.55
SD 1.11 1.26 1.84
CV 1.02 0.77 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
113.64%13.64%18.18%—4.55%—50.00%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%31.82%27.27%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.18 +0.50
SD 1.32 1.10 1.97
CV 0.79 0.93 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%———4.55%—9.09%
113.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
29.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
313.64%—9.09%———22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%31.82%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.95 +0.77
SD 0.94 1.05 1.51
CV 0.54 1.10 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Breidablik 1388 47 39.13 +7.87 92.0% 23 27 35 39 43 50 54
KR Reykjavik 1300 41 38.14 +2.86 71.0% 24 28 34 38 43 48 55
FH Hafnarfjordur 1297 33 35.00 -2.00 42.0% 20 27 31 35 40 43 52
Vikingur Reykjavik 1292 48 33.47 +14.53 98.0% 16 23 30 34 37 43 49
KA Akureyri 1261 40 35.28 +4.72 83.0% 23 26 31 36 39 44 48
Valur Reykjavik 1237 39 41.41 -2.41 35.0% 30 32 38 42 45 49 53
IA Akranes 1068 21 21.94 -0.94 52.0% 10 13 17 21 26 34 39
Stjarnan 1059 22 26.14 -4.14 23.0% 11 16 23 27 30 35 43
Keflavik IF 1031 21 23.33 -2.33 35.0% 11 14 20 23 27 33 38
HK Kopavogur 1026 20 23.01 -3.01 29.0% 10 15 20 22 27 31 42
Leiknir Reykjavik 1025 22 26.69 -4.69 22.0% 11 18 23 26 30 35 42
Fylkir Reykjavik 894 16 24.54 -8.54 6.0% 11 15 20 24 28 35 40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.15%
Clear Edge
47.73%19.70%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
137 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
053.05400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.39+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
7%
Vikingur Reykjavik, 5th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.61 * Some Luck: 4.61 to 6.92 * Lucky: 6.92 to 9.23 * Wild Swing: 9.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.46 * Close: 1.46 to 2.19 * Off: 2.19 to 2.92 * Way Off: 2.92 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.09 * A Surprise: 1.09 to 1.74 * Several Surprises: 1.74 to 2.4 * Many Surprises: 2.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.06 points
Some Luck
05.7714
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.824
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 155.63
1.83
Strong Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Few
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Slight Separation
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.03
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Some Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.84
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.08
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.040
Well Within Noise
00.1440.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Vikingur Reykjavik7.00%8.00%6.00%18.00%18.00%11.00%16.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%—
Breidablik26.00%15.00%22.00%15.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
KR Reykjavik19.00%22.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
KA Akureyri9.00%12.00%18.00%15.00%17.00%12.00%4.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Valur Reykjavik36.00%27.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%—————
FH Hafnarfjordur3.00%12.00%17.00%16.00%16.00%21.00%5.00%6.00%—3.00%1.00%—
Stjarnan—1.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%16.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik—1.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%19.00%16.00%14.00%7.00%6.00%
Keflavik IF——1.00%2.00%3.00%—9.00%15.00%20.00%15.00%19.00%16.00%
IA Akranes——1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%16.00%10.00%9.00%19.00%33.00%
HK Kopavogur—1.00%—1.00%2.00%5.00%11.00%3.00%19.00%19.00%18.00%21.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik—1.00%2.00%—6.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%18.00%21.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
KR Reykjavik 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
Breidablik 99.00% 1.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur 99.00% 1.00%
KA Akureyri 99.00% 1.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik 98.00% 2.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik 87.00% 13.00%
Stjarnan 79.00% 21.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 65.00% 35.00%
Keflavik IF 65.00% 35.00%
HK Kopavogur 61.00% 39.00%
IA Akranes 48.00% 52.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-04-30 IA Akranes W 2-031.9 1244 1114 61.86% 19.91% 18.23%+1.34 +14.1 3
2021-04-30 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-231.9 1114 1244 18.23% 19.91% 61.86%-1.34 -14.1 0
2021-05-01 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-237.6 1121 1197 36.23% 20.87% 42.90%-0.17 -25.4 0
2021-05-01 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-037.6 1197 1121 42.90% 20.87% 36.23%+0.17 +25.4 3
2021-05-01 KA Akureyri D 0-049.5 1119 1140 44.10% 20.86% 35.04%+0.23 -0.8 1
2021-05-01 @ HK Kopavogur D 0-049.5 1140 1119 35.04% 20.86% 44.10%-0.23 +0.8 1
2021-05-01 Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-049.6 1175 1135 52.03% 20.63% 27.34%+0.68 -2.2 1
2021-05-01 @ Stjarnan D 0-049.6 1135 1175 27.34% 20.63% 52.03%-0.68 +2.2 1
2021-05-02 Keflavik IF W 1-039.1 1123 1126 46.50% 20.81% 32.69%+0.36 +12.4 3
2021-05-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-139.1 1126 1123 32.69% 20.81% 46.50%-0.36 -12.4 0
2021-05-02 KR Reykjavik L 0-240.2 1185 1200 44.89% 20.84% 34.27%+0.28 -30.2 0
2021-05-02 @ Breidablik W 2-040.2 1200 1185 34.27% 20.84% 44.89%-0.28 +30.2 3
2021-05-07 KA Akureyri L 1-350.3 1230 1140 57.79% 20.29% 21.92%+1.04 -32.8 3
2021-05-07 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-150.3 1140 1230 21.92% 20.29% 57.79%-1.04 +32.8 4
2021-05-08 Breidablik D 3-364.6 1137 1155 44.59% 20.85% 34.56%+0.26 -0.5 2
2021-05-08 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 3-364.6 1155 1137 34.56% 20.85% 44.59%-0.26 +0.5 1
2021-05-08 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-260.5 1118 1095 49.89% 20.72% 29.39%+0.55 -1.2 2
2021-05-08 @ HK Kopavogur D 2-260.5 1095 1118 29.39% 20.72% 49.89%-0.55 +1.2 1
2021-05-08 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-154.1 1100 1135 42.07% 20.88% 37.05%+0.13 -0.4 1
2021-05-08 @ IA Akranes D 1-154.1 1135 1100 37.05% 20.88% 42.07%-0.13 +0.4 4
2021-05-09 Stjarnan W 2-038.8 1114 1173 38.70% 20.89% 40.41%-0.04 +27.7 3
2021-05-09 @ Keflavik IF L 0-238.8 1173 1114 40.41% 20.89% 38.70%+0.04 -27.7 1
2021-05-09 Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.4 1223 1258 42.09% 20.88% 37.03%+0.13 -0.4 4
2021-05-09 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-154.4 1258 1223 37.03% 20.88% 42.09%-0.13 +0.4 4
2021-05-12 KR Reykjavik D 1-154.2 1097 1198 32.93% 20.82% 46.25%-0.35 +1.0 2
2021-05-12 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-154.2 1198 1097 46.25% 20.82% 32.93%+0.35 -1.0 4
2021-05-12 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-033.3 1173 1137 51.59% 20.65% 27.76%+0.65 +29.6 7
2021-05-12 @ KA Akureyri L 0-333.3 1137 1173 27.76% 20.65% 51.59%-0.65 -29.6 2
2021-05-13 HK Kopavogur W 3-245.8 1258 1117 62.95% 19.79% 17.26%+1.42 +6.4 7
2021-05-13 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-345.8 1117 1258 17.26% 19.79% 62.95%-1.42 -6.3 2
2021-05-13 IA Akranes W 5-134.1 1222 1100 61.17% 19.99% 18.84%+1.28 +23.0 7
2021-05-13 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-534.1 1100 1222 18.84% 19.99% 61.17%-1.28 -22.9 1
2021-05-13 Keflavik IF W 4-033.7 1155 1142 48.74% 20.75% 30.51%+0.49 +41.8 4
2021-05-13 @ Breidablik L 0-433.7 1142 1155 30.51% 20.75% 48.74%-0.49 -41.8 3
2021-05-13 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-355.3 1145 1136 48.19% 20.77% 31.04%+0.46 -15.2 1
2021-05-13 @ Stjarnan W 3-255.3 1136 1145 31.04% 20.77% 48.19%-0.46 +15.2 7
2021-05-16 Breidablik W 3-036.6 1151 1197 40.55% 20.89% 38.56%+0.05 +38.7 10
2021-05-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-336.6 1197 1151 38.56% 20.89% 40.55%-0.05 -38.7 4
2021-05-16 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-034.2 1107 1098 48.23% 20.77% 31.00%+0.46 +32.4 5
2021-05-16 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-334.2 1098 1107 31.00% 20.77% 48.23%-0.46 -32.5 2
2021-05-17 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-341.6 1110 1245 28.66% 20.69% 50.66%-0.60 -18.1 2
2021-05-17 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-141.6 1245 1110 50.66% 20.69% 28.66%+0.60 +18.1 10
2021-05-17 KA Akureyri L 1-440.4 1100 1203 32.66% 20.81% 46.53%-0.37 -28.6 3
2021-05-17 @ Keflavik IF W 4-140.4 1203 1100 46.53% 20.81% 32.66%+0.37 +28.6 10
2021-05-17 Stjarnan D 0-049.4 1077 1130 39.51% 20.89% 39.60%+0.00 +0.0 2
2021-05-17 @ IA Akranes D 0-049.4 1130 1077 39.60% 20.89% 39.51%+0.00 +0.0 2
2021-05-17 Valur Reykjavik L 2-352.4 1196 1265 37.40% 20.88% 41.72%-0.11 -12.3 4
2021-05-17 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-252.4 1265 1196 41.72% 20.88% 37.40%+0.11 +12.3 10
2021-05-21 IA Akranes L 1-347.7 1092 1077 49.00% 20.75% 30.25%+0.50 -28.2 2
2021-05-21 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-147.7 1077 1092 30.25% 20.75% 49.00%-0.50 +28.2 5
2021-05-21 Keflavik IF W 4-247.0 1065 1071 46.13% 20.82% 33.05%+0.34 +18.2 5
2021-05-21 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-447.0 1071 1065 33.05% 20.82% 46.13%-0.34 -18.2 3
2021-05-21 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-034.5 1277 1140 62.55% 19.84% 17.61%+1.39 +7.2 13
2021-05-21 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-134.5 1140 1277 17.61% 19.84% 62.55%-1.39 -7.2 5
2021-05-21 Stjarnan W 4-033.1 1158 1130 50.61% 20.69% 28.70%+0.59 +39.8 7
2021-05-21 @ Breidablik L 0-433.1 1130 1158 28.70% 20.69% 50.61%-0.59 -39.8 2
2021-05-21 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-145.1 1231 1190 52.26% 20.62% 27.12%+0.69 -18.3 10
2021-05-21 @ KA Akureyri W 1-045.1 1190 1231 27.12% 20.62% 52.26%-0.69 +18.3 13
2021-05-22 KR Reykjavik L 0-243.7 1263 1184 56.64% 20.37% 22.99%+0.97 -37.1 10
2021-05-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-043.7 1184 1263 22.99% 20.37% 56.64%-0.97 +37.1 7
2021-05-24 Breidablik L 2-351.1 1105 1198 33.96% 20.84% 45.21%-0.29 -11.4 5
2021-05-24 @ IA Akranes W 3-251.1 1198 1105 45.21% 20.84% 33.96%+0.29 +11.4 10
2021-05-24 KA Akureyri L 0-138.3 1090 1213 30.13% 20.74% 49.13%-0.51 -11.6 2
2021-05-24 @ Stjarnan W 1-038.3 1213 1090 49.13% 20.74% 30.13%+0.51 +11.6 13
2021-05-24 Valur Reykjavik L 1-240.7 1053 1284 18.62% 19.96% 61.42%-1.30 -7.2 3
2021-05-24 @ Keflavik IF W 2-140.7 1284 1053 61.42% 19.96% 18.62%+1.30 +7.2 16
2021-05-25 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-148.9 1133 1226 33.90% 20.84% 45.26%-0.30 +15.2 8
2021-05-25 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-248.9 1226 1133 45.26% 20.84% 33.90%+0.30 -15.2 10
2021-05-25 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-260.8 1208 1083 61.35% 19.97% 18.68%+1.30 -2.6 14
2021-05-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-260.8 1083 1208 18.68% 19.97% 61.35%-1.30 +2.6 6
2021-05-25 HK Kopavogur D 1-154.5 1221 1064 64.35% 19.62% 16.03%+1.53 -4.0 8
2021-05-25 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.5 1064 1221 16.03% 19.62% 64.35%-1.53 +4.0 3
2021-05-30 IA Akranes W 3-138.4 1217 1093 61.27% 19.98% 18.75%+1.29 +12.5 11
2021-05-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-338.4 1093 1217 18.75% 19.98% 61.27%-1.29 -12.5 5
2021-05-30 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-148.3 1068 1148 35.82% 20.87% 43.32%-0.19 +14.6 6
2021-05-30 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-248.3 1148 1068 43.32% 20.87% 35.82%+0.19 -14.6 8
2021-05-30 Stjarnan D 1-154.1 1086 1079 47.90% 20.78% 31.32%+0.44 -1.3 7
2021-05-30 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-154.1 1079 1086 31.32% 20.78% 47.90%-0.44 +1.3 3
2021-06-07 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-154.7 1291 1205 57.39% 20.32% 22.29%+1.02 -2.8 17
2021-06-07 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.7 1205 1291 22.29% 20.32% 57.39%-1.02 +2.8 15
2021-06-12 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-036.6 1208 1211 46.55% 20.81% 32.64%+0.37 +23.3 18
2021-06-12 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-236.6 1211 1208 32.64% 20.81% 46.55%-0.37 -23.3 10
2021-06-12 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-032.0 1210 1085 61.37% 19.97% 18.66%+1.30 +14.4 13
2021-06-12 @ Breidablik L 0-232.0 1085 1210 18.66% 19.97% 61.37%-1.30 -14.4 7
2021-06-12 Valur Reykjavik W 2-152.9 1080 1289 20.68% 20.18% 59.14%-1.14 +19.3 6
2021-06-12 @ Stjarnan L 1-252.9 1289 1080 59.14% 20.18% 20.68%+1.14 -19.3 17
2021-06-14 KR Reykjavik L 0-236.8 1133 1230 33.52% 20.83% 45.65%-0.32 -23.8 8
2021-06-14 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-036.8 1230 1133 45.65% 20.83% 33.52%+0.32 +23.8 14
2021-06-16 Breidablik W 3-141.3 1269 1224 52.72% 20.60% 26.68%+0.72 +17.1 20
2021-06-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-341.3 1224 1269 26.68% 20.60% 52.72%-0.72 -17.1 13
2021-06-16 HK Kopavogur W 2-037.8 1046 1083 41.83% 20.88% 37.29%+0.12 +26.0 6
2021-06-16 @ Keflavik IF L 0-237.8 1083 1046 37.29% 20.88% 41.83%-0.12 -26.0 6
2021-06-16 KA Akureyri L 0-234.9 1081 1225 27.59% 20.64% 51.77%-0.66 -20.3 5
2021-06-16 @ IA Akranes W 2-034.9 1225 1081 51.77% 20.64% 27.59%+0.66 +20.3 16
2021-06-16 Stjarnan D 1-154.3 1188 1099 57.65% 20.30% 22.05%+1.03 -2.9 11
2021-06-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-154.3 1099 1188 22.05% 20.30% 57.65%-1.03 +2.9 7
2021-06-20 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-033.5 1207 1185 49.80% 20.72% 29.48%+0.55 +40.7 16
2021-06-20 @ Breidablik L 0-433.5 1185 1207 29.48% 20.72% 49.80%-0.55 -40.7 11
2021-06-20 HK Kopavogur W 2-143.2 1102 1057 52.70% 20.60% 26.70%+0.72 +9.9 10
2021-06-20 @ Stjarnan L 1-243.2 1057 1102 26.70% 20.60% 52.70%-0.72 -9.9 6
2021-06-20 IA Akranes W 3-142.3 1070 1061 48.22% 20.77% 31.01%+0.46 +19.4 10
2021-06-20 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-342.3 1061 1070 31.01% 20.77% 48.22%-0.46 -19.4 5
2021-06-20 Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-040.5 1072 1109 41.76% 20.88% 37.36%+0.11 +13.8 9
2021-06-20 @ Keflavik IF L 0-140.5 1109 1072 37.36% 20.88% 41.76%-0.11 -13.8 8
2021-06-20 Valur Reykjavik L 0-142.2 1245 1286 41.21% 20.88% 37.90%+0.08 -14.9 16
2021-06-20 @ KA Akureyri W 1-042.2 1286 1245 37.90% 20.88% 41.21%-0.08 +14.9 23
2021-06-21 KR Reykjavik D 1-154.5 1232 1254 43.94% 20.86% 35.20%+0.23 -0.7 19
2021-06-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-154.5 1254 1232 35.20% 20.86% 43.94%-0.23 +0.7 15
2021-06-27 Breidablik L 2-347.2 1047 1248 21.47% 20.25% 58.28%-1.08 -7.7 6
2021-06-27 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-247.2 1248 1047 58.28% 20.25% 21.47%+1.08 +7.7 19
2021-06-27 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-154.8 1301 1090 68.75% 18.92% 12.33%+1.93 -4.8 24
2021-06-27 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.8 1090 1301 12.33% 18.92% 68.75%-1.93 +4.8 11
2021-06-27 KA Akureyri D 1-154.2 1144 1230 34.97% 20.85% 44.17%-0.24 +0.7 12
2021-06-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-154.2 1230 1144 44.17% 20.85% 34.97%+0.24 -0.7 17
2021-06-28 Keflavik IF D 2-260.5 1041 1085 40.82% 20.88% 38.30%+0.06 -0.1 6
2021-06-28 @ IA Akranes D 2-260.5 1085 1041 38.30% 20.88% 40.82%-0.06 +0.2 10
2021-06-28 Stjarnan L 1-254.0 1254 1112 63.01% 19.78% 17.20%+1.43 -20.5 15
2021-06-28 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-154.0 1112 1254 17.20% 19.78% 63.01%-1.43 +20.5 13
2021-06-28 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-150.5 1096 1231 28.59% 20.69% 50.72%-0.60 +16.8 11
2021-06-28 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 1-250.5 1231 1096 50.72% 20.69% 28.59%+0.60 -16.8 19
2021-07-01 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-031.5 1297 1145 63.86% 19.68% 16.46%+1.49 +12.8 27
2021-07-01 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-231.5 1145 1297 16.46% 19.68% 63.86%-1.49 -12.8 12
2021-07-03 Keflavik IF L 2-356.6 1133 1086 52.90% 20.59% 26.51%+0.73 -16.5 13
2021-07-03 @ Stjarnan W 3-256.6 1086 1133 26.51% 20.59% 52.90%-0.73 +16.5 13
2021-07-03 Leiknir Reykjavik W 4-029.5 1255 1112 63.08% 19.78% 17.14%+1.43 +25.2 22
2021-07-03 @ Breidablik L 0-429.5 1112 1255 17.14% 19.78% 63.08%-1.43 -25.3 11
2021-07-05 IA Akranes W 1-033.3 1214 1041 65.71% 19.43% 14.86%+1.65 +6.2 22
2021-07-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-133.3 1041 1214 14.86% 19.43% 65.71%-1.65 -6.2 6
2021-07-05 KR Reykjavik L 1-249.5 1229 1234 46.35% 20.82% 32.83%+0.36 -15.5 17
2021-07-05 @ KA Akureyri W 2-149.5 1234 1229 32.83% 20.82% 46.35%-0.36 +15.5 18
2021-07-09 HK Kopavogur L 1-251.3 1094 1039 53.88% 20.54% 25.58%+0.79 -17.7 11
2021-07-09 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-151.3 1039 1094 25.58% 20.54% 53.88%-0.79 +17.7 9
2021-07-12 IA Akranes W 2-034.3 1087 1035 53.52% 20.56% 25.92%+0.77 +19.2 14
2021-07-12 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-234.3 1035 1087 25.92% 20.56% 53.52%-0.77 -19.2 6
2021-07-12 Keflavik IF W 1-034.1 1249 1102 63.45% 19.73% 16.82%+1.46 +6.9 21
2021-07-12 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-134.1 1102 1249 16.82% 19.73% 63.45%-1.46 -6.9 13
2021-07-13 KA Akureyri W 2-150.5 1077 1214 28.38% 20.68% 50.94%-0.61 +16.8 14
2021-07-13 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-250.5 1214 1077 50.94% 20.68% 28.38%+0.61 -16.8 17
2021-07-13 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-049.6 1057 1220 25.36% 20.53% 54.12%-0.80 +2.6 10
2021-07-13 @ HK Kopavogur D 0-049.6 1220 1057 54.12% 20.53% 25.36%+0.80 -2.5 23
2021-07-17 Valur Reykjavik W 2-154.9 1016 1309 13.86% 19.24% 66.90%-1.76 +21.8 9
2021-07-17 @ IA Akranes L 1-254.9 1309 1016 66.90% 19.24% 13.86%+1.76 -21.8 27
2021-07-18 Breidablik D 1-154.7 1256 1280 43.61% 20.86% 35.52%+0.21 -0.6 22
2021-07-18 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.7 1280 1256 35.52% 20.86% 43.61%-0.21 +0.6 23
2021-07-18 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-037.5 1132 1094 51.88% 20.64% 27.48%+0.67 +10.7 15
2021-07-18 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-137.5 1094 1132 27.48% 20.64% 51.88%-0.67 -10.7 14
2021-07-18 HK Kopavogur W 2-031.6 1197 1060 62.57% 19.84% 17.60%+1.39 +13.6 20
2021-07-18 @ KA Akureyri L 0-231.6 1060 1197 17.60% 19.84% 62.57%-1.39 -13.6 10
2021-07-19 Stjarnan W 2-036.7 1106 1116 45.62% 20.83% 33.55%+0.32 +23.8 17
2021-07-19 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-236.7 1116 1106 33.55% 20.83% 45.62%-0.32 -23.8 13
2021-07-19 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-244.3 1095 1218 30.17% 20.74% 49.09%-0.51 -10.9 13
2021-07-19 @ Keflavik IF W 2-144.3 1218 1095 49.09% 20.74% 30.17%+0.51 +10.9 26
2021-07-25 Breidablik W 2-043.9 1084 1281 21.83% 20.28% 57.89%-1.05 +37.9 16
2021-07-25 @ Keflavik IF L 0-243.9 1281 1084 57.89% 20.28% 21.83%+1.05 -37.9 23
2021-07-25 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-334.6 1037 1143 32.36% 20.81% 46.84%-0.38 -33.6 9
2021-07-25 @ IA Akranes W 3-034.6 1143 1037 46.84% 20.81% 32.36%+0.38 +33.6 18
2021-07-25 KA Akureyri L 0-140.1 1130 1211 35.69% 20.86% 43.44%-0.20 -13.3 17
2021-07-25 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-040.1 1211 1130 43.44% 20.86% 35.69%+0.20 +13.3 23
2021-07-25 Stjarnan W 3-245.9 1229 1092 62.48% 19.85% 17.68%+1.38 +6.5 29
2021-07-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-345.9 1092 1229 17.68% 19.85% 62.48%-1.38 -6.5 13
2021-07-25 Valur Reykjavik L 0-330.1 1046 1288 17.75% 19.86% 62.39%-1.38 -20.0 10
2021-07-25 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-030.1 1288 1046 62.39% 19.86% 17.75%+1.38 +20.0 30
2021-07-26 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-028.7 1256 1083 65.68% 19.43% 14.89%+1.65 +22.1 25
2021-07-26 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-428.7 1083 1256 14.89% 19.43% 65.68%-1.65 -22.1 14
2021-08-02 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-034.2 1243 1235 48.01% 20.78% 31.22%+0.45 +42.6 26
2021-08-02 @ Breidablik L 0-434.2 1235 1243 31.22% 20.78% 48.01%-0.45 -42.6 29
2021-08-03 Keflavik IF W 2-141.4 1224 1122 59.05% 20.18% 20.76%+1.13 +7.9 26
2021-08-03 @ KA Akureyri L 1-241.4 1122 1224 20.76% 20.18% 59.05%-1.13 -7.9 16
2021-08-03 Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-049.4 1061 1117 39.12% 20.89% 39.99%-0.02 +0.1 15
2021-08-03 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-049.4 1117 1061 39.99% 20.89% 39.12%+0.02 -0.1 18
2021-08-04 HK Kopavogur L 2-455.9 1176 1026 63.77% 19.69% 16.54%+1.49 -32.2 18
2021-08-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-255.9 1026 1176 16.54% 19.69% 63.77%-1.49 +32.2 13
2021-08-04 IA Akranes W 4-031.2 1086 1004 56.92% 20.35% 22.73%+0.98 +32.5 16
2021-08-04 @ Stjarnan L 0-431.2 1004 1086 22.73% 20.35% 56.92%-0.98 -32.5 9
2021-08-04 KR Reykjavik W 1-038.6 1308 1278 50.81% 20.68% 28.51%+0.61 +11.0 33
2021-08-04 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-138.6 1278 1308 28.51% 20.68% 50.81%-0.61 -11.1 25
2021-08-08 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-154.6 1267 1144 61.13% 19.99% 18.88%+1.28 -3.5 26
2021-08-08 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.6 1144 1267 18.88% 19.99% 61.13%-1.28 +3.5 19
2021-08-08 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-154.2 1114 1061 53.68% 20.55% 25.77%+0.78 -2.2 17
2021-08-08 @ Keflavik IF D 1-154.2 1061 1114 25.77% 20.55% 53.68%-0.78 +2.2 16
2021-08-08 HK Kopavogur W 4-143.8 971 1058 34.82% 20.85% 44.32%-0.25 +36.6 12
2021-08-08 @ IA Akranes L 1-443.8 1058 971 44.32% 20.85% 34.82%+0.25 -36.6 13
2021-08-08 KA Akureyri D 2-260.7 1192 1232 41.52% 20.88% 37.60%+0.10 -0.2 30
2021-08-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-260.7 1232 1192 37.60% 20.88% 41.52%-0.10 +0.2 27
2021-08-08 Valur Reykjavik W 1-046.9 1117 1319 21.34% 20.24% 58.42%-1.09 +20.3 21
2021-08-08 @ Leiknir Reykjavik L 0-146.9 1319 1117 58.42% 20.24% 21.34%+1.09 -20.3 33
2021-08-09 Breidablik L 1-340.5 1118 1286 24.87% 20.50% 54.63%-0.84 -16.1 16
2021-08-09 @ Stjarnan W 3-140.5 1286 1118 54.63% 20.50% 24.87%+0.84 +16.1 29
2021-08-15 Keflavik IF W 2-139.1 1298 1112 66.80% 19.26% 13.94%+1.75 +5.5 36
2021-08-15 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-239.1 1112 1298 13.94% 19.26% 66.80%-1.75 -5.5 17
2021-08-15 Leiknir Reykjavik W 5-034.1 1148 1137 48.35% 20.77% 30.88%+0.47 +52.1 22
2021-08-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-534.1 1137 1148 30.88% 20.77% 48.35%-0.47 -52.1 21
2021-08-15 Stjarnan W 2-140.5 1232 1102 61.86% 19.91% 18.23%+1.34 +7.0 30
2021-08-15 @ KA Akureyri L 1-240.5 1102 1232 18.23% 19.91% 61.86%-1.34 -7.0 16
2021-08-16 IA Akranes W 2-136.8 1302 1008 74.12% 17.65% 8.23%+2.53 +3.2 32
2021-08-16 @ Breidablik L 1-236.8 1008 1302 8.23% 17.65% 74.12%-2.53 -3.2 12
2021-08-16 KR Reykjavik L 0-134.4 1022 1263 17.76% 19.86% 62.38%-1.38 -7.3 13
2021-08-16 @ HK Kopavogur W 1-034.4 1263 1022 62.38% 19.86% 17.76%+1.38 +7.3 29
2021-08-16 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-333.7 1063 1192 29.33% 20.71% 49.95%-0.56 -31.0 16
2021-08-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-033.7 1192 1063 49.95% 20.71% 29.33%+0.56 +31.0 33
2021-08-21 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-535.1 1107 1200 33.96% 20.84% 45.21%-0.29 -56.3 17
2021-08-21 @ Keflavik IF W 5-035.1 1200 1107 45.21% 20.84% 33.96%+0.29 +56.3 25
2021-08-21 KA Akureyri W 2-034.4 1305 1239 55.16% 20.47% 24.37%+0.87 +18.2 35
2021-08-21 @ Breidablik L 0-234.4 1239 1305 24.37% 20.47% 55.16%-0.87 -18.2 30
2021-08-22 Valur Reykjavik W 2-148.8 1223 1304 35.69% 20.86% 43.45%-0.20 +14.7 36
2021-08-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-248.8 1304 1223 43.45% 20.86% 35.69%+0.20 -14.7 36
2021-08-23 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-033.9 1095 1032 54.81% 20.49% 24.70%+0.85 +18.4 19
2021-08-23 @ Stjarnan L 0-233.9 1032 1095 24.70% 20.49% 54.81%-0.85 -18.4 16
2021-08-23 HK Kopavogur D 0-049.5 1085 1014 55.67% 20.44% 23.89%+0.90 -2.9 22
2021-08-23 @ Leiknir Reykjavik D 0-049.5 1014 1085 23.89% 20.44% 55.67%-0.90 +2.9 14
2021-08-25 Breidablik L 0-237.0 1221 1323 32.72% 20.81% 46.46%-0.36 -23.4 30
2021-08-25 @ KA Akureyri W 2-037.0 1323 1221 46.46% 20.81% 32.72%+0.36 +23.4 38
2021-08-25 Keflavik IF D 0-050.1 1256 1050 68.32% 19.00% 12.68%+1.89 -5.3 26
2021-08-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-050.1 1050 1256 12.68% 19.00% 68.32%-1.89 +5.3 18
2021-08-25 KR Reykjavik L 0-231.0 1005 1270 15.84% 19.59% 64.58%-1.55 -12.4 12
2021-08-25 @ IA Akranes W 2-031.0 1270 1005 64.58% 19.59% 15.84%+1.55 +12.4 32
2021-08-28 Stjarnan L 1-254.8 1289 1114 65.92% 19.40% 14.68%+1.67 -21.5 36
2021-08-28 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-154.8 1114 1289 14.68% 19.40% 65.92%-1.67 +21.5 22
2021-08-29 Breidablik L 0-728.6 1014 1347 11.44% 18.70% 69.86%-2.05 -29.1 16
2021-08-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 7-028.6 1347 1014 69.86% 18.70% 11.44%+2.05 +29.1 41
2021-08-29 IA Akranes W 3-028.2 1197 992 68.27% 19.01% 12.72%+1.89 +14.6 33
2021-08-29 @ KA Akureyri L 0-328.2 992 1197 12.72% 19.01% 68.27%-1.89 -14.6 12
2021-08-29 Keflavik IF W 1-040.5 1017 1056 41.65% 20.88% 37.47%+0.11 +13.8 17
2021-08-29 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-140.5 1056 1017 37.47% 20.88% 41.65%-0.11 -13.8 18
2021-08-29 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-138.7 1283 1082 67.92% 19.07% 13.01%+1.85 +5.1 35
2021-08-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-238.7 1082 1283 13.01% 19.07% 67.92%-1.85 -5.1 22
2021-08-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-250.2 1251 1238 48.64% 20.76% 30.60%+0.48 -16.2 26
2021-08-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-150.2 1238 1251 30.60% 20.76% 48.64%-0.48 +16.2 39
2021-09-11 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-029.4 1212 984 69.89% 18.69% 11.41%+2.05 +9.0 36
2021-09-11 @ KA Akureyri L 0-229.4 984 1212 11.41% 18.69% 69.89%-2.05 -9.0 16
2021-09-11 HK Kopavogur W 3-027.9 1254 1031 69.58% 18.76% 11.66%+2.02 +13.4 42
2021-09-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-327.9 1031 1254 11.66% 18.76% 69.58%-2.02 -13.4 17
2021-09-11 KR Reykjavik L 0-231.6 1042 1288 17.37% 19.81% 62.82%-1.41 -13.5 18
2021-09-11 @ Keflavik IF W 2-031.6 1288 1042 62.82% 19.81% 17.37%+1.41 +13.5 38
2021-09-11 Leiknir Reykjavik W 3-146.8 978 1077 33.16% 20.82% 46.02%-0.34 +26.7 15
2021-09-11 @ IA Akranes L 1-346.8 1077 978 46.02% 20.82% 33.16%+0.34 -26.7 22
2021-09-11 Valur Reykjavik W 3-032.0 1376 1268 59.72% 20.13% 20.15%+1.18 +22.4 44
2021-09-11 @ Breidablik L 0-332.0 1268 1376 20.15% 20.13% 59.72%-1.18 -22.4 36
2021-09-13 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-434.6 1135 1235 33.10% 20.82% 46.08%-0.34 -44.8 22
2021-09-13 @ Stjarnan W 4-034.6 1235 1135 46.08% 20.82% 33.10%+0.34 +44.8 29
2021-09-19 Breidablik W 1-045.4 1279 1398 30.63% 20.76% 48.61%-0.48 +17.1 32
2021-09-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-145.4 1398 1279 48.61% 20.76% 30.63%+0.48 -17.1 44
2021-09-19 Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-033.3 1004 975 50.68% 20.69% 28.63%+0.60 +48.9 18
2021-09-19 @ IA Akranes L 0-533.3 975 1004 28.63% 20.69% 50.68%-0.60 -48.9 16
2021-09-19 KA Akureyri L 1-445.8 1245 1221 50.08% 20.71% 29.21%+0.56 -40.6 36
2021-09-19 @ Valur Reykjavik W 4-145.8 1221 1245 29.21% 20.71% 50.08%-0.56 +40.6 39
2021-09-19 Keflavik IF L 0-144.2 1050 1028 49.81% 20.72% 29.47%+0.55 -17.5 22
2021-09-19 @ Leiknir Reykjavik W 1-044.2 1028 1050 29.47% 20.72% 49.81%-0.55 +17.5 21
2021-09-19 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-251.3 1301 1267 51.30% 20.66% 28.03%+0.63 -16.9 38
2021-09-19 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-151.3 1267 1301 28.03% 20.66% 51.30%-0.63 +16.9 45
2021-09-20 Stjarnan W 1-042.0 1018 1090 36.77% 20.88% 42.35%-0.14 +15.2 20
2021-09-20 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-142.0 1090 1018 42.35% 20.88% 36.77%+0.14 -15.2 22
2021-09-25 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-261.1 1262 1297 42.14% 20.88% 36.98%+0.13 -0.3 40
2021-09-25 @ KA Akureyri D 2-261.1 1297 1262 36.98% 20.88% 42.14%-0.13 +0.3 33
2021-09-25 HK Kopavogur W 3-025.8 1381 1033 77.00% 16.71% 6.28%+2.93 +7.1 47
2021-09-25 @ Breidablik L 0-325.8 1033 1381 6.28% 16.71% 77.00%-2.93 -7.1 20
2021-09-25 IA Akranes L 2-354.6 1046 1053 45.92% 20.83% 33.25%+0.33 -14.6 21
2021-09-25 @ Keflavik IF W 3-254.6 1053 1046 33.25% 20.83% 45.92%-0.33 +14.6 21
2021-09-25 KR Reykjavik L 0-232.7 1075 1284 20.62% 20.17% 59.21%-1.14 -15.7 22
2021-09-25 @ Stjarnan W 2-032.7 1284 1075 59.21% 20.17% 20.62%+1.14 +15.7 41
2021-09-25 Leiknir Reykjavik W 2-029.0 1284 1033 71.53% 18.33% 10.14%+2.22 +8.0 48
2021-09-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-229.0 1033 1284 10.14% 18.33% 71.53%-2.22 -8.0 22
2021-09-25 Valur Reykjavik L 0-629.4 927 1205 14.93% 19.44% 65.63%-1.64 -32.5 16
2021-09-25 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 6-029.4 1205 927 65.63% 19.44% 14.93%+1.64 +32.5 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-07-17 13.86% @ IA Akranes 1016 2 Valur Reykjavik 1309 1
2 2021-08-28 14.68% Stjarnan 1114 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1289 1
3 2021-08-04 16.54% HK Kopavogur 1026 4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1176 2
4 2021-06-28 17.20% Stjarnan 1112 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1254 1
5 2021-06-12 20.68% @ Stjarnan 1080 2 Valur Reykjavik 1289 1
6 2021-08-08 21.34% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1117 1 Valur Reykjavik 1319 0
7 2021-07-25 21.83% @ Keflavik IF 1084 2 Breidablik 1281 0
8 2021-05-07 21.92% KA Akureyri 1140 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1230 1
9 2021-05-22 22.99% KR Reykjavik 1184 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1263 0
10 2021-07-09 25.58% HK Kopavogur 1039 2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1094 1
11 2021-07-03 26.51% Keflavik IF 1086 3 @ Stjarnan 1133 2
12 2021-05-21 27.12% Vikingur Reykjavik 1190 1 @ KA Akureyri 1231 0
13 2021-09-19 28.03% Vikingur Reykjavik 1267 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1301 1
14 2021-07-13 28.38% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1077 2 KA Akureyri 1214 1
15 2021-06-28 28.59% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1096 2 Vikingur Reykjavik 1231 1
16 2021-09-19 29.21% KA Akureyri 1221 4 @ Valur Reykjavik 1245 1
17 2021-09-19 29.47% Keflavik IF 1028 1 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1050 0
18 2021-05-21 30.25% IA Akranes 1077 3 @ HK Kopavogur 1092 1
19 2021-08-29 30.60% Vikingur Reykjavik 1238 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1251 1
20 2021-09-19 30.63% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1279 1 Breidablik 1398 0
21 2021-05-13 31.04% Vikingur Reykjavik 1136 3 @ Stjarnan 1145 2
22 2021-07-05 32.83% KR Reykjavik 1234 2 @ KA Akureyri 1229 1
23 2021-09-11 33.16% @ IA Akranes 978 3 Leiknir Reykjavik 1077 1
24 2021-09-25 33.25% IA Akranes 1053 3 @ Keflavik IF 1046 2
25 2021-05-25 33.90% @ Leiknir Reykjavik 1133 2 FH Hafnarfjordur 1226 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-08-21 56.30 FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1200 45.21% @ Keflavik IF 0 1107 33.96% 20.84%
2 2021-08-15 52.10 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1148 48.35% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1137 30.88% 20.77%
3 2021-09-19 48.90 @ IA Akranes 5 1004 50.68% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 975 28.63% 20.69%
4 2021-09-13 44.75 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1235 46.08% @ Stjarnan 0 1135 33.10% 20.82%
5 2021-08-02 42.64 @ Breidablik 4 1243 48.01% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1235 31.22% 20.78%
6 2021-05-13 41.84 @ Breidablik 4 1155 48.74% Keflavik IF 0 1142 30.51% 20.75%
7 2021-06-20 40.67 @ Breidablik 4 1207 49.80% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1185 29.48% 20.72%
8 2021-09-19 40.62 KA Akureyri 4 1221 29.21% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1245 50.08% 20.71%
9 2021-05-21 39.76 @ Breidablik 4 1158 50.61% Stjarnan 0 1130 28.70% 20.69%
10 2021-05-16 38.73 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1151 40.55% Breidablik 0 1197 38.56% 20.89%
11 2021-07-25 37.88 @ Keflavik IF 2 1084 21.83% Breidablik 0 1281 57.89% 20.28%
12 2021-05-22 37.11 KR Reykjavik 2 1184 22.99% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1263 56.64% 20.37%
13 2021-08-08 36.56 @ IA Akranes 4 971 34.82% HK Kopavogur 1 1058 44.32% 20.85%
14 2021-07-25 33.62 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1143 46.84% @ IA Akranes 0 1037 32.36% 20.81%
15 2021-05-07 32.76 KA Akureyri 3 1140 21.92% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1230 57.79% 20.29%
16 2021-08-04 32.54 @ Stjarnan 4 1086 56.92% IA Akranes 0 1004 22.73% 20.35%
17 2021-09-25 32.50 Valur Reykjavik 6 1205 65.63% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 927 14.93% 19.44%
18 2021-05-16 32.45 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1107 48.23% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1098 31.00% 20.77%
19 2021-08-04 32.19 HK Kopavogur 4 1026 16.54% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1176 63.77% 19.69%
20 2021-08-16 31.00 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1192 49.95% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1063 29.33% 20.71%
21 2021-05-02 30.17 KR Reykjavik 2 1200 34.27% @ Breidablik 0 1185 44.89% 20.84%
22 2021-05-12 29.59 @ KA Akureyri 3 1173 51.59% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1137 27.76% 20.65%
23 2021-08-29 29.09 Breidablik 7 1347 69.86% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1014 11.44% 18.70%
24 2021-05-17 28.57 KA Akureyri 4 1203 46.53% @ Keflavik IF 1 1100 32.66% 20.81%
25 2021-05-21 28.18 IA Akranes 3 1077 30.25% @ HK Kopavogur 1 1092 49.00% 20.75%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-05-08 64.6 @ Leiknir Reykjavik 3 1137 44.59% Breidablik 3 1155 34.56% 20.85%
2 2021-09-25 61.1 @ KA Akureyri 2 1262 42.14% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1297 36.98% 20.88%
3 2021-05-25 60.8 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1208 61.35% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1083 18.68% 19.97%
4 2021-08-08 60.7 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1192 41.52% KA Akureyri 2 1232 37.60% 20.88%
5 2021-05-08 60.5 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1118 49.89% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1095 29.39% 20.72%
6 2021-06-28 60.5 @ IA Akranes 2 1041 40.82% Keflavik IF 2 1085 38.30% 20.88%
7 2021-07-03 56.6 Keflavik IF 3 1086 26.51% @ Stjarnan 2 1133 52.90% 20.59%
8 2021-08-04 55.9 HK Kopavogur 4 1026 16.54% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1176 63.77% 19.69%
9 2021-05-13 55.3 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1136 31.04% @ Stjarnan 2 1145 48.19% 20.77%
10 2021-07-17 54.9 @ IA Akranes 2 1016 13.86% Valur Reykjavik 1 1309 66.90% 19.24%
11 2021-06-27 54.8 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1301 68.75% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1090 12.33% 18.92%
12 2021-08-28 54.8 Stjarnan 2 1114 14.68% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1289 65.92% 19.40%
13 2021-06-07 54.7 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1291 57.39% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1205 22.29% 20.32%
14 2021-07-18 54.7 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1256 43.61% Breidablik 1 1280 35.52% 20.86%
15 2021-08-08 54.6 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1267 61.13% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1144 18.88% 19.99%
16 2021-09-25 54.6 IA Akranes 3 1053 33.25% @ Keflavik IF 2 1046 45.92% 20.83%
17 2021-05-25 54.5 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1221 64.35% HK Kopavogur 1 1064 16.03% 19.62%
18 2021-06-21 54.5 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1232 43.94% KR Reykjavik 1 1254 35.20% 20.86%
19 2021-05-09 54.4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1223 42.09% Valur Reykjavik 1 1258 37.03% 20.88%
20 2021-06-16 54.3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1188 57.65% Stjarnan 1 1099 22.05% 20.30%
21 2021-05-12 54.2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1097 32.93% KR Reykjavik 1 1198 46.25% 20.82%
22 2021-06-27 54.2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1144 34.97% KA Akureyri 1 1230 44.17% 20.85%
23 2021-08-08 54.2 @ Keflavik IF 1 1114 53.68% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1061 25.77% 20.55%
24 2021-05-08 54.1 @ IA Akranes 1 1100 42.07% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1135 37.05% 20.88%
25 2021-05-30 54.1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1086 47.90% Stjarnan 1 1079 31.32% 20.78%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-09-25 25.8 @ Breidablik 3 1381 77.00% HK Kopavogur 0 1033 6.28% 16.71%
2 2021-09-11 27.9 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1254 69.58% HK Kopavogur 0 1031 11.66% 18.76%
3 2021-08-29 28.2 @ KA Akureyri 3 1197 68.27% IA Akranes 0 992 12.72% 19.01%
4 2021-08-29 28.6 Breidablik 7 1347 69.86% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1014 11.44% 18.70%
5 2021-07-26 28.7 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1256 65.68% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1083 14.89% 19.43%
6 2021-09-25 29.0 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1284 71.53% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1033 10.14% 18.33%
7 2021-09-11 29.4 @ KA Akureyri 2 1212 69.89% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 984 11.41% 18.69%
8 2021-09-25 29.4 Valur Reykjavik 6 1205 65.63% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 927 14.93% 19.44%
9 2021-07-03 29.5 @ Breidablik 4 1255 63.08% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1112 17.14% 19.78%
10 2021-07-25 30.1 Valur Reykjavik 3 1288 62.39% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1046 17.75% 19.86%
11 2021-08-25 31.0 KR Reykjavik 2 1270 64.58% @ IA Akranes 0 1005 15.84% 19.59%
12 2021-08-04 31.2 @ Stjarnan 4 1086 56.92% IA Akranes 0 1004 22.73% 20.35%
13 2021-07-01 31.5 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1297 63.86% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1145 16.46% 19.68%
14 2021-07-18 31.6 @ KA Akureyri 2 1197 62.57% HK Kopavogur 0 1060 17.60% 19.84%
15 2021-09-11 31.6 KR Reykjavik 2 1288 62.82% @ Keflavik IF 0 1042 17.37% 19.81%
16 2021-04-30 31.9 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1244 61.86% IA Akranes 0 1114 18.23% 19.91%
17 2021-06-12 32.0 @ Breidablik 2 1210 61.37% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1085 18.66% 19.97%
18 2021-09-11 32.0 @ Breidablik 3 1376 59.72% Valur Reykjavik 0 1268 20.15% 20.13%
19 2021-09-25 32.7 KR Reykjavik 2 1284 59.21% @ Stjarnan 0 1075 20.62% 20.17%
20 2021-05-21 33.1 @ Breidablik 4 1158 50.61% Stjarnan 0 1130 28.70% 20.69%
21 2021-05-12 33.3 @ KA Akureyri 3 1173 51.59% Leiknir Reykjavik 0 1137 27.76% 20.65%
22 2021-07-05 33.3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1214 65.71% IA Akranes 0 1041 14.86% 19.43%
23 2021-09-19 33.3 @ IA Akranes 5 1004 50.68% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 975 28.63% 20.69%
24 2021-06-20 33.5 @ Breidablik 4 1207 49.80% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1185 29.48% 20.72%
25 2021-05-13 33.7 @ Breidablik 4 1155 48.74% Keflavik IF 0 1142 30.51% 20.75%