2020 Úrvalsdeild Season

107 games

Final

Champion

Valur Reykjavik

44 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 2018.0

Relegated

Fjolnir

6 pts

Grotta · 8 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Valur Reykjavik

10.54 points above expected

44 points · 33.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fjolnir

9.38 points below expected

6 points · 15.38 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Valur Reykjavik Champion	18	14	2	2	44	50	17	+33	33.46	+10.54
2	FH Hafnarfjordur	18	11	3	4	36	37	23	+14	28.64	+7.36
3	Breidablik	18	9	4	5	31	37	27	+10	31.27	-0.27
4	Stjarnan	17	8	7	2	31	27	20	+7	29.86	+1.14
5	KR Reykjavik	17	8	4	5	28	30	21	+9	31.41	-3.41
6	Fylkir Reykjavik	18	9	1	8	28	27	30	-3	20.73	+7.27
7	KA Akureyri	18	3	12	3	21	20	21	-1	21.78	-0.78
8	IA Akranes	18	6	3	9	21	39	43	-4	20.94	+0.06
9	HK Kopavogur	18	5	5	8	20	29	36	-7	21.56	-1.56
10	Vikingur Reykjavik	18	3	8	7	17	25	30	-5	23.71	-6.71
11	Grotta Relegated	18	1	5	12	8	15	43	-28	12.64	-4.64
12	Fjolnir Relegated	18	0	6	12	6	15	40	-25	15.38	-9.38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Valur Reykjavik	44	33.46	+10.54
2	FH Hafnarfjordur	36	28.64	+7.36
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	28	20.73	+7.27
4	Stjarnan	31	29.86	+1.14
5	IA Akranes	21	20.94	+0.06

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fjolnir	6	15.38	-9.38
2	Vikingur Reykjavik	17	23.71	-6.71
3	Grotta	8	12.64	-4.64
4	KR Reykjavik	28	31.41	-3.41
5	HK Kopavogur	20	21.56	-1.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valur Reykjavik	10	Jul 19 – Sep 24	1 in 1,450
2	Fylkir Reykjavik	4	Jun 29 – Jul 13	1 in 62
3	KR Reykjavik	4	Jun 28 – Jul 19	1 in 32
4	FH Hafnarfjordur	4	Aug 22 – Sep 21	1 in 30
5	Breidablik	4	Jul 26 – Sep 5	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fjolnir	4	Jun 21 – Jul 8	1 in 61
2	Breidablik	3	Jul 13 – Jul 23	1 in 45
3	IA Akranes	3	Jul 19 – Jul 26	1 in 13
4	KR Reykjavik	2	Aug 14 – Aug 26	1 in 11
5	Grotta	3	Jun 14 – Jun 29	1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KA Akureyri	9	Aug 22 – Oct 4	1 in 61
2	Valur Reykjavik	14	Jul 8 – Oct 4	1 in 41
3	Stjarnan	12	Jun 15 – Sep 13	1 in 34
4	Fylkir Reykjavik	4	Jun 29 – Jul 13	1 in 5
5	KR Reykjavik	6	Jun 28 – Jul 26	1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fjolnir	18	Jun 15 – Oct 4	1 in 178
2	Vikingur Reykjavik	11	Jul 23 – Oct 4	1 in 127
3	Breidablik	5	Jul 5 – Jul 23	1 in 20
4	KR Reykjavik	4	Jul 22 – Aug 26	1 in 17
5	Grotta	13	Jul 12 – Oct 4	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Valur Reykjavik	1404	44	+63	13	9.6	+3.4
FH Hafnarfjordur	1312	36	+26	10	8.4	+1.6
Breidablik	1281	31	+11	8	6.8	+1.2
Stjarnan	1266	31	-26	7	7.7	-0.7
KR Reykjavik	1306	28	+12	8	9.5	-1.5
Fylkir Reykjavik	1152	28	-32	6	5.4	+0.6
IA Akranes	1135	21	-1	7	6.5	+0.5
KA Akureyri	1188	21	+6	7	7.9	-0.9
HK Kopavogur	1147	20	+7	6	5.5	+0.5
Vikingur Reykjavik	1156	17	-25	3	6.5	-3.5
Grotta	973	8	-34	2	3.7	-1.7
Fjolnir	1020	6	-19	2	4.5	-2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRE	FH	FJO	FR	GRO	HK	IA	KA	KR	STJ	VR	VR
Breidablik	—	0-1-1 3.19	2-0-0 3.92	2-0-0 3.58	2-0-0 4.05	0-0-1 1.84	1-0-0 1.69	0-2-0 3.46	0-0-2 2.68	1-0-0 1.29	0-1-1 2.25	1-0-0 1.52
FH Hafnarfjordur	1-1-0 2.22	—	2-0-0 3.88	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-0 1.96	2-0-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.48	0-1-0 1.59	1-0-0 1.01	0-1-1 2.63	0-0-1 1.06	1-0-1 3.22
Fjolnir	0-0-2 1.55	0-0-2 1.60	—	0-0-2 2.38	0-1-1 3.22	0-0-1 1.11	0-0-1 0.95	0-2-0 2.01	0-1-0 0.63	0-0-2 1.78	0-0-1 0.67	0-2-0 2.18
Fylkir Reykjavik	0-0-2 1.85	1-0-1 2.16	2-0-0 3.03	—	2-0-0 3.55	1-0-0 1.37	0-0-1 1.40	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 1.79	0-1-1 1.90	0-0-1 0.97	1-0-0 1.20
Grotta	0-0-2 1.43	0-0-1 0.78	1-1-0 2.19	0-0-2 1.89	—	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 1.93	0-0-2 1.71	0-1-0 0.46	0-1-0 0.62	0-0-2 1.21	0-1-0 0.76
HK Kopavogur	1-0-0 0.88	0-0-2 2.26	1-0-0 1.60	0-0-1 1.33	1-1-0 3.51	—	1-1-0 2.69	0-1-0 1.23	1-1-0 1.70	0-0-2 1.92	0-0-2 2.01	0-1-1 2.57
IA Akranes	0-0-1 1.02	0-0-2 1.95	1-0-0 1.77	1-0-0 1.31	2-0-0 3.50	0-1-1 2.72	—	1-1-0 2.46	0-0-2 1.84	0-0-1 0.96	1-0-1 1.55	0-1-1 2.70
KA Akureyri	0-2-0 1.96	0-1-0 1.11	0-2-0 3.42	1-0-1 2.68	2-0-0 3.74	0-1-0 1.47	0-1-1 2.95	—	0-1-0 0.81	0-2-0 1.77	0-0-1 0.84	0-2-0 2.77
KR Reykjavik	2-0-0 2.73	0-0-1 1.70	0-1-0 2.13	1-0-1 3.65	0-1-0 2.34	0-1-1 3.75	2-0-0 3.60	0-1-0 1.92	—	0-0-1 1.45	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 3.33
Stjarnan	0-0-1 1.41	1-1-0 2.77	2-0-0 3.68	1-1-0 3.53	0-1-0 2.14	2-0-0 3.51	1-0-0 1.76	0-2-0 3.67	1-0-0 1.25	—	0-1-1 2.44	0-1-0 1.61
Valur Reykjavik	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-0 1.65	1-0-0 2.08	1-0-0 1.74	2-0-0 4.34	2-0-0 3.43	1-0-1 3.92	1-0-0 1.89	1-0-1 2.54	1-1-0 2.97	—	2-0-0 3.32
Vikingur Reykjavik	0-0-1 1.19	1-0-1 2.19	0-2-0 3.25	0-0-1 1.51	0-1-0 1.98	1-1-0 2.83	1-1-0 2.71	0-2-0 2.63	0-0-2 2.09	0-1-0 1.10	0-0-2 2.11	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.71	+9.0
Allowed	0.62	-9.3
Differential	0.94	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.67%	4.67%	4.21%	4.21%	1.87%	0.47%	20.09%
1	4.67%	14.95%	6.54%	3.27%	4.67%	0.93%	35.05%
2	4.21%	6.54%	6.54%	2.34%	1.40%	0.47%	21.50%
3	4.21%	3.27%	2.34%	0.93%	—	0.47%	11.21%
4	1.87%	4.67%	1.40%	—	0.93%	0.47%	9.35%
5+	0.47%	0.93%	0.47%	0.47%	0.47%	—	2.80%
Total	20.09%	35.05%	21.50%	11.21%	9.35%	2.80%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.64	+0.00
SD	1.36	1.36	2.01
CV	0.83	0.83	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 107

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
1	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	38.89%	22.22%	22.22%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	1.50	+0.56
SD	1.51	1.04	1.72
CV	0.74	0.70	—
Max	5	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	11.11%	—	38.89%
2	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
4	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	1.28	+0.78
SD	1.26	1.32	2.02
CV	0.61	1.03	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	27.78%
1	—	22.22%	5.56%	22.22%	11.11%	—	61.11%
2	—	—	11.11%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	33.33%	22.22%	33.33%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	2.22	-1.39
SD	0.62	1.06	1.20
CV	0.74	0.48	—
Max	2	4	+0
Min	0	1	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
1	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	22.22%
2	16.67%	22.22%	—	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	38.89%	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.67	-0.17
SD	1.10	1.28	2.01
CV	0.73	0.77	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	11.11%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	55.56%
1	—	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	27.78%	22.22%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	2.39	-1.56
SD	1.20	1.50	2.01
CV	1.44	0.63	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	—	—	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	22.22%
3	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	—	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	27.78%	16.67%	16.67%	22.22%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	2.00	-0.39
SD	1.24	1.46	2.03
CV	0.77	0.73	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%
1	—	—	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
2	—	—	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	33.33%
3	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	27.78%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	16.67%	38.89%	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.17	2.39	-0.22
SD	1.10	1.65	2.37
CV	0.51	0.69	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	27.78%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.17	-0.06
SD	1.02	1.15	1.16
CV	0.92	0.99	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
1	5.88%	11.76%	17.65%	—	—	—	35.29%
2	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	29.41%
3	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
4	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%	11.76%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.29%	29.41%	23.53%	5.88%	—	5.88%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.24	+0.53
SD	1.20	1.35	1.66
CV	0.68	1.09	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.76%	—	—	—	—	—	11.76%
1	5.88%	29.41%	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	47.06%
2	—	23.53%	—	—	—	—	23.53%
3	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
4	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.65%	64.71%	11.76%	—	—	5.88%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.18	+0.41
SD	1.18	1.13	1.54
CV	0.74	0.96	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
Total	44.44%	38.89%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.78	0.94	+1.83
SD	1.86	1.26	2.12
CV	0.67	1.33	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	—	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	38.89%
2	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	38.89%	38.89%	—	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.67	-0.28
SD	1.54	1.24	1.90
CV	1.11	0.74	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Valur Reykjavik	1404	44	38.91	+5.09	84.0%	25	30	36	38	42	48	50
FH Hafnarfjordur	1312	36	34.09	+1.91	63.0%	21	25	30	34	38	44	49
KR Reykjavik	1306	28	38.22	-10.22	5.0%	26	28	34	37	43	46	58
Breidablik	1281	31	36.72	-5.72	18.0%	25	27	32	37	40	46	51
Stjarnan	1266	31	36.67	-5.67	22.0%	22	26	32	37	40	46	51
KA Akureyri	1188	21	27.23	-6.23	18.0%	16	19	24	28	30	35	41
Vikingur Reykjavik	1156	17	29.16	-12.16	2.0%	15	20	26	29	33	39	43
Fylkir Reykjavik	1152	28	26.18	+1.82	70.0%	15	18	22	26	29	35	38
HK Kopavogur	1147	20	27.01	-7.01	13.0%	15	18	23	27	31	35	37
IA Akranes	1135	21	26.39	-5.39	23.0%	11	16	22	27	30	36	39
Fjolnir	1020	6	20.83	-14.83	0.0%	9	12	17	20	25	30	35
Grotta	973	8	18.09	-10.09	1.0%	6	10	14	18	21	27	37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-0.93%

No Edge

35.51%28.04%36.45%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -3.25 Elo pts.

126 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.05 goals

Neutral

-2-0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.0

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

28%

Valur Reykjavik, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.44/gm

Runaway

00.180.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.97 * Some Luck: 3.97 to 5.95 * Lucky: 5.95 to 7.93 * Wild Swing: 7.93 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.59 * Close: 1.59 to 2.39 * Off: 2.39 to 3.18 * Way Off: 3.18 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.62 * A Surprise: 0.62 to 0.99 * Several Surprises: 0.99 to 1.36 * Many Surprises: 1.36 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.38 points

Lucky

04.9612

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

Pinpoint

01.994

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.64%

Valur Reykjavik

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.42%

Fjolnir

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 2

As Expected

00.62

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Lopsided

00.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 124.80

2.01

Wide Separation

0.71.351.652.5

Interquartile Edge

70%

Clear Edge

50%63%69%75.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

92%

Strong Edge

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Some Drama

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

25%

Very Frequent

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Slight Separation

00.280.360.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.74

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.64

Strong Carryover

00.330.590.751

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Chalky

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

10%

Solid Favorites

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.33 * Well Above Noise: 0.33 and up.

Probability calibration

0.28

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.97

Very Underconfident

01.002.26358

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.154

Well Within Noise

00.1630.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Valur Reykjavik	28.00%	24.00%	22.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—
FH Hafnarfjordur	11.00%	16.00%	10.00%	10.00%	18.00%	9.00%	13.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	—
Breidablik	18.00%	16.00%	15.00%	23.00%	11.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Stjarnan	16.00%	15.00%	19.00%	15.00%	12.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—
KR Reykjavik	23.00%	21.00%	18.00%	14.00%	10.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Fylkir Reykjavik	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	14.00%	15.00%	20.00%	17.00%	12.00%	3.00%
KA Akureyri	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	17.00%	11.00%	15.00%	13.00%	17.00%	11.00%	1.00%
IA Akranes	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	16.00%	14.00%	14.00%	8.00%	9.00%
HK Kopavogur	—	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	9.00%	10.00%	15.00%	16.00%	14.00%	14.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	11.00%	18.00%	11.00%	15.00%	10.00%	13.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Grotta	—	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	12.00%	23.00%	53.00%
Fjolnir	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	16.00%	7.00%	34.00%	28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Breidablik	100%	—
FH Hafnarfjordur	100%	—
KR Reykjavik	100%	—
Stjarnan	100%	—
Valur Reykjavik	100%	—
Vikingur Reykjavik	96.00%	4.00%
KA Akureyri	88.00%	12.00%
HK Kopavogur	86.00%	14.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik	85.00%	15.00%
IA Akranes	83.00%	17.00%
Fjolnir	38.00%	62.00%
Grotta	24.00%	76.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2020-06-13	KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	39.8	1224	1280	27.65%	29.37%	42.98%	-0.47	-9.3	0
2020-06-13	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	39.8	1280	1224	42.98%	29.37%	27.65%	+0.47	+9.3	3
2020-06-14	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-3	50.4	1180	1216	30.09%	29.57%	40.33%	-0.32	-8.8	0
2020-06-14	@ HK Kopavogur	W 3-2	50.4	1216	1180	40.33%	29.57%	30.09%	+0.32	+8.8	3
2020-06-14	Grotta	W 3-0	30.0	1259	1099	55.56%	27.00%	17.44%	+1.24	+17.2	3
2020-06-14	@ Breidablik	L 0-3	30.0	1099	1259	17.44%	27.00%	55.56%	-1.24	-17.2	0
2020-06-14	KA Akureyri	W 3-1	46.5	1129	1198	26.16%	29.20%	44.64%	-0.57	+21.6	3
2020-06-14	@ IA Akranes	L 1-3	46.5	1198	1129	44.64%	29.20%	26.16%	+0.57	-21.6	0
2020-06-15	Fjolnir	D 1-1	50.6	1192	1190	35.54%	29.73%	34.73%	+0.00	-0.0	1
2020-06-15	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	50.6	1190	1192	34.73%	29.73%	35.54%	+0.00	+0.0	1
2020-06-15	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	43.4	1227	1147	46.01%	29.02%	24.96%	+0.60	+8.1	3
2020-06-15	@ Stjarnan	L 1-2	43.4	1147	1227	24.96%	29.02%	46.01%	-0.60	-8.1	0
2020-06-20	HK Kopavogur	L 0-3	40.6	1289	1171	50.80%	28.19%	21.00%	+0.91	-40.2	3
2020-06-20	@ KR Reykjavik	W 3-0	40.6	1171	1289	21.00%	28.19%	50.80%	-0.91	+40.2	3
2020-06-20	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-3	30.9	1081	1214	19.70%	27.82%	52.49%	-1.08	-19.2	0
2020-06-20	@ Grotta	W 3-0	30.9	1214	1081	52.49%	27.82%	19.70%	+1.08	+19.2	3
2020-06-20	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	46.8	1176	1192	32.88%	29.70%	37.42%	-0.15	+0.3	1
2020-06-20	@ KA Akureyri	D 0-0	46.8	1192	1176	37.42%	29.70%	32.88%	+0.15	-0.3	2
2020-06-21	Breidablik	L 0-1	36.6	1139	1276	19.35%	27.71%	52.94%	-1.11	-6.9	0
2020-06-21	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	36.6	1276	1139	52.94%	27.71%	19.35%	+1.11	+6.9	6
2020-06-21	IA Akranes	W 2-1	43.6	1225	1151	45.38%	29.11%	25.52%	+0.56	+8.2	6
2020-06-21	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	43.6	1151	1225	25.52%	29.11%	45.38%	-0.56	-8.2	3
2020-06-21	Stjarnan	L 1-4	39.5	1190	1235	29.02%	29.50%	41.48%	-0.38	-22.2	1
2020-06-21	@ Fjolnir	W 4-1	39.5	1235	1190	41.48%	29.50%	29.02%	+0.38	+22.2	6
2020-06-28	KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	42.5	1142	1249	22.14%	28.48%	49.39%	-0.87	-7.3	3
2020-06-28	@ IA Akranes	W 2-1	42.5	1249	1142	49.39%	28.48%	22.14%	+0.87	+7.3	6
2020-06-28	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-4	34.7	1211	1233	31.98%	29.67%	38.35%	-0.20	-36.9	3
2020-06-28	@ HK Kopavogur	W 4-0	34.7	1233	1211	38.35%	29.67%	31.98%	+0.20	+36.9	6
2020-06-29	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 4-1	43.1	1192	1233	29.53%	29.54%	40.94%	-0.35	+28.5	5
2020-06-29	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-4	43.1	1233	1192	40.94%	29.54%	29.53%	+0.35	-28.5	6
2020-06-29	Fjolnir	W 3-1	39.4	1283	1168	50.45%	28.27%	21.28%	+0.89	+12.2	9
2020-06-29	@ Breidablik	L 1-3	39.4	1168	1283	21.28%	28.27%	50.45%	-0.89	-12.2	1
2020-06-29	Grotta	W 2-0	35.4	1132	1062	44.79%	29.18%	26.03%	+0.53	+16.7	3
2020-06-29	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-2	35.4	1062	1132	26.03%	29.18%	44.79%	-0.53	-16.7	0
2020-07-03	IA Akranes	L 1-4	46.1	1270	1135	52.77%	27.75%	19.48%	+1.04	-35.0	6
2020-07-03	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 4-1	46.1	1135	1270	19.48%	27.75%	52.77%	-1.04	+35.0	6
2020-07-04	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	46.9	1155	1149	36.03%	29.72%	34.24%	+0.02	-10.6	1
2020-07-04	@ Fjolnir	W 2-1	46.9	1149	1155	34.24%	29.72%	36.03%	-0.02	+10.6	6
2020-07-04	HK Kopavogur	D 4-4	63.0	1045	1174	20.09%	27.94%	51.97%	-1.04	+1.1	1
2020-07-04	@ Grotta	D 4-4	63.0	1174	1045	51.97%	27.94%	20.09%	+1.04	-1.1	4
2020-07-04	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-0	37.2	1256	1221	40.17%	29.58%	30.25%	+0.26	+18.7	9
2020-07-04	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	37.2	1221	1256	30.25%	29.58%	40.17%	-0.26	-18.7	5
2020-07-05	Breidablik	D 2-2	56.6	1177	1295	21.00%	28.19%	50.81%	-0.96	+1.4	2
2020-07-05	@ KA Akureyri	D 2-2	56.6	1295	1177	50.81%	28.19%	21.00%	+0.96	-1.4	10
2020-07-08	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 3-3	60.9	1294	1205	47.20%	28.85%	23.95%	+0.68	-0.9	11
2020-07-08	@ Breidablik	D 3-3	60.9	1205	1294	23.95%	28.85%	47.20%	-0.68	+0.9	7
2020-07-08	Grotta	L 0-3	39.7	1145	1047	48.33%	28.67%	23.00%	+0.75	-38.6	1
2020-07-08	@ Fjolnir	W 3-0	39.7	1047	1145	23.00%	28.67%	48.33%	-0.75	+38.6	4
2020-07-08	HK Kopavogur	D 2-2	55.9	1170	1173	34.73%	29.73%	35.54%	-0.05	+0.0	7
2020-07-08	@ IA Akranes	D 2-2	55.9	1173	1170	35.54%	29.73%	34.73%	+0.05	-0.0	5
2020-07-08	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-5	38.6	1202	1235	30.53%	29.60%	39.87%	-0.29	-29.8	5
2020-07-08	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 5-1	38.6	1235	1202	39.87%	29.60%	30.53%	+0.29	+29.8	9
2020-07-09	KA Akureyri	W 4-1	42.1	1160	1178	32.53%	29.69%	37.78%	-0.17	+26.9	9
2020-07-09	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-4	42.1	1178	1160	37.78%	29.69%	32.53%	+0.17	-26.9	2
2020-07-12	IA Akranes	L 0-4	32.0	1085	1170	24.39%	28.93%	46.69%	-0.70	-30.0	4
2020-07-12	@ Grotta	W 4-0	32.0	1170	1085	46.69%	28.93%	24.39%	+0.70	+30.0	10
2020-07-12	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-2	38.5	1173	1172	35.22%	29.73%	35.05%	-0.02	-20.9	5
2020-07-12	@ HK Kopavogur	W 2-0	38.5	1172	1173	35.05%	29.73%	35.22%	+0.02	+20.8	8
2020-07-13	Breidablik	W 3-1	45.1	1275	1293	32.61%	29.69%	37.70%	-0.17	+19.0	12
2020-07-13	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	45.1	1293	1275	37.70%	29.69%	32.61%	+0.17	-19.0	11
2020-07-13	Fjolnir	D 1-1	50.6	1151	1106	41.47%	29.50%	29.03%	+0.33	-0.7	3
2020-07-13	@ KA Akureyri	D 1-1	50.6	1106	1151	29.03%	29.50%	41.47%	-0.33	+0.7	2
2020-07-13	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	47.5	1206	1186	37.89%	29.69%	32.42%	+0.13	-11.0	7
2020-07-13	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-1	47.5	1186	1206	32.42%	29.69%	37.89%	-0.13	+11.0	12
2020-07-13	Stjarnan	D 0-0	47.2	1265	1257	36.29%	29.72%	33.99%	+0.04	-0.2	10
2020-07-13	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 0-0	47.2	1257	1265	33.99%	29.72%	36.29%	-0.04	+0.1	7
2020-07-17	HK Kopavogur	W 4-1	37.2	1257	1152	49.23%	28.51%	22.27%	+0.81	+18.0	10
2020-07-17	@ Stjarnan	L 1-4	37.2	1152	1257	22.27%	28.51%	49.23%	-0.81	-18.0	5
2020-07-18	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-3	32.5	1107	1195	24.06%	28.87%	47.07%	-0.72	-22.7	2
2020-07-18	@ Fjolnir	W 3-0	32.5	1195	1107	47.07%	28.87%	24.06%	+0.72	+22.8	10
2020-07-18	Grotta	W 1-0	37.9	1151	1055	48.01%	28.72%	23.27%	+0.73	+8.1	6
2020-07-18	@ KA Akureyri	L 0-1	37.9	1055	1151	23.27%	28.72%	48.01%	-0.73	-8.1	4
2020-07-19	IA Akranes	W 6-2	42.5	1193	1200	34.14%	29.72%	36.14%	-0.08	+28.5	11
2020-07-19	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 2-6	42.5	1200	1193	36.14%	29.72%	34.14%	+0.08	-28.5	10
2020-07-19	KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	32.5	1197	1294	23.16%	28.70%	48.15%	-0.79	-22.0	12
2020-07-19	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-0	32.5	1294	1197	48.15%	28.70%	23.16%	+0.79	+22.0	15
2020-07-19	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	47.5	1274	1265	36.42%	29.72%	33.86%	+0.05	-10.7	11
2020-07-19	@ Breidablik	W 2-1	47.5	1265	1274	33.86%	29.72%	36.42%	-0.05	+10.7	13
2020-07-22	Fjolnir	D 2-2	57.6	1316	1084	62.82%	24.39%	12.79%	+1.81	-2.5	16
2020-07-22	@ KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	57.6	1084	1316	12.79%	24.39%	62.82%	-1.81	+2.5	3
2020-07-22	KA Akureyri	D 0-0	46.9	1218	1159	43.32%	29.34%	27.35%	+0.44	-1.1	11
2020-07-22	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 0-0	46.9	1159	1218	27.35%	29.34%	43.32%	-0.44	+1.1	7
2020-07-23	Breidablik	W 1-0	46.5	1134	1263	20.01%	27.91%	52.08%	-1.05	+15.0	8
2020-07-23	@ HK Kopavogur	L 0-1	46.5	1263	1134	52.08%	27.91%	20.01%	+1.05	-15.0	11
2020-07-23	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-0	32.3	1276	1175	48.61%	28.62%	22.77%	+0.77	+21.7	16
2020-07-23	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-3	32.3	1175	1276	22.77%	28.62%	48.61%	-0.77	-21.7	12
2020-07-23	Stjarnan	L 1-2	42.7	1172	1275	22.43%	28.54%	49.03%	-0.85	-7.4	10
2020-07-23	@ IA Akranes	W 2-1	42.7	1275	1172	49.03%	28.54%	22.43%	+0.85	+7.4	13
2020-07-23	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	51.5	1047	1222	16.39%	26.53%	57.08%	-1.41	+2.6	5
2020-07-23	@ Grotta	D 1-1	51.5	1222	1047	57.08%	26.53%	16.39%	+1.41	-2.6	12
2020-07-26	IA Akranes	W 5-3	47.1	1248	1164	46.60%	28.94%	24.46%	+0.64	+11.6	14
2020-07-26	@ Breidablik	L 3-5	47.1	1164	1248	24.46%	28.94%	46.60%	-0.64	-11.6	10
2020-07-26	KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	47.8	1160	1314	17.95%	27.20%	54.84%	-1.24	+2.6	8
2020-07-26	@ KA Akureyri	D 0-0	47.8	1314	1160	54.84%	27.20%	17.95%	+1.24	-2.6	17
2020-07-27	Grotta	W 2-1	40.3	1216	1050	56.25%	26.79%	16.96%	+1.29	+5.8	14
2020-07-27	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	40.3	1050	1216	16.96%	26.79%	56.25%	-1.29	-5.8	5
2020-07-27	HK Kopavogur	W 3-2	51.6	1154	1149	35.82%	29.72%	34.46%	+0.01	+9.7	15
2020-07-27	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 2-3	51.6	1149	1154	34.46%	29.72%	35.82%	-0.01	-9.7	8
2020-07-27	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	36.1	1087	1297	13.99%	25.22%	60.79%	-1.69	-8.3	3
2020-07-27	@ Fjolnir	W 3-1	36.1	1297	1087	60.79%	25.22%	13.99%	+1.69	+8.3	19
2020-07-27	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	51.0	1283	1219	43.96%	29.27%	26.77%	+0.48	-1.0	14
2020-07-27	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	51.0	1219	1283	26.77%	29.27%	43.96%	-0.48	+1.0	13
2020-08-14	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	50.5	1311	1222	47.16%	28.86%	23.98%	+0.68	-13.0	17
2020-08-14	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	50.5	1222	1311	23.98%	28.86%	47.16%	-0.68	+13.0	17
2020-08-14	Grotta	D 1-1	52.2	1282	1044	63.37%	24.15%	12.47%	+1.85	-3.4	15
2020-08-14	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	52.2	1044	1282	12.47%	24.15%	63.37%	-1.85	+3.4	6
2020-08-15	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-2	52.3	1153	1163	33.60%	29.71%	36.69%	-0.11	+10.2	13
2020-08-15	@ IA Akranes	L 2-3	52.3	1163	1153	36.69%	29.71%	33.60%	+0.11	-10.2	15
2020-08-15	KA Akureyri	W 1-0	36.5	1306	1162	53.68%	27.52%	18.80%	+1.11	+6.7	22
2020-08-15	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	36.5	1162	1306	18.80%	27.52%	53.68%	-1.11	-6.7	8
2020-08-16	Breidablik	L 2-4	46.7	1220	1260	29.68%	29.55%	40.77%	-0.34	-14.3	13
2020-08-16	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 4-2	46.7	1260	1220	40.77%	29.55%	29.68%	+0.34	+14.3	17
2020-08-16	Fjolnir	W 3-1	41.2	1139	1078	43.57%	29.31%	27.11%	+0.46	+14.9	11
2020-08-16	@ HK Kopavogur	L 1-3	41.2	1078	1139	27.11%	29.31%	43.57%	-0.46	-14.9	3
2020-08-17	Stjarnan	L 1-2	45.2	1235	1278	29.30%	29.52%	41.18%	-0.37	-9.1	17
2020-08-17	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-1	45.2	1278	1235	41.18%	29.52%	29.30%	+0.37	+9.1	18
2020-08-20	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	51.2	1063	1206	18.90%	27.55%	53.55%	-1.15	+2.2	4
2020-08-20	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	51.2	1206	1063	53.55%	27.55%	18.90%	+1.15	-2.2	14
2020-08-21	Breidablik	L 0-1	33.7	1047	1274	13.06%	24.59%	62.35%	-1.82	-4.7	6
2020-08-21	@ Grotta	W 1-0	33.7	1274	1047	62.35%	24.59%	13.06%	+1.82	+4.7	20
2020-08-21	Stjarnan	D 1-1	51.3	1153	1287	19.59%	27.78%	52.63%	-1.09	+2.1	16
2020-08-21	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	51.3	1287	1153	52.63%	27.78%	19.59%	+1.09	-2.1	19
2020-08-22	HK Kopavogur	W 4-0	32.6	1226	1154	45.04%	29.15%	25.81%	+0.54	+31.4	20
2020-08-22	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-4	32.6	1154	1226	25.81%	29.15%	45.04%	-0.54	-31.4	11
2020-08-22	IA Akranes	D 2-2	55.9	1156	1163	34.12%	29.72%	36.16%	-0.08	+0.1	9
2020-08-22	@ KA Akureyri	D 2-2	55.9	1163	1156	36.16%	29.72%	34.12%	+0.08	-0.1	14
2020-08-25	Fjolnir	W 2-0	34.7	1155	1066	47.29%	28.84%	23.87%	+0.68	+15.6	19
2020-08-25	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-2	34.7	1066	1155	23.87%	28.84%	47.29%	-0.68	-15.6	4
2020-08-26	Grotta	W 3-0	32.8	1123	1043	46.07%	29.01%	24.91%	+0.61	+23.4	14
2020-08-26	@ HK Kopavogur	L 0-3	32.8	1043	1123	24.91%	29.01%	46.07%	-0.61	-23.4	6
2020-08-26	KA Akureyri	D 1-1	51.3	1285	1156	52.10%	27.91%	19.99%	+1.00	-2.0	20
2020-08-26	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	51.3	1156	1285	19.99%	27.91%	52.10%	-1.00	+2.0	10
2020-08-26	Valur Reykjavik	L 4-5	56.9	1298	1312	33.08%	29.70%	37.22%	-0.14	-9.1	17
2020-08-26	@ KR Reykjavik	W 5-4	56.9	1312	1298	37.22%	29.70%	33.08%	+0.14	+9.1	25
2020-08-30	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-2	32.5	1019	1171	18.13%	27.27%	54.60%	-1.23	-12.3	6
2020-08-30	@ Grotta	W 2-0	32.5	1171	1019	54.60%	27.27%	18.13%	+1.23	+12.3	22
2020-08-30	HK Kopavogur	W 1-0	35.5	1322	1146	57.18%	26.50%	16.32%	+1.36	+5.9	28
2020-08-30	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	35.5	1146	1322	16.32%	26.50%	57.18%	-1.36	-5.9	14
2020-08-30	IA Akranes	W 4-1	36.5	1289	1163	51.70%	28.00%	20.30%	+0.97	+16.6	20
2020-08-30	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-4	36.5	1163	1289	20.30%	28.00%	51.70%	-0.97	-16.6	14
2020-08-30	Stjarnan	D 0-0	47.4	1158	1283	20.35%	28.02%	51.63%	-1.02	+2.2	11
2020-08-30	@ KA Akureyri	D 0-0	47.4	1283	1158	51.63%	28.02%	20.35%	+1.02	-2.2	21
2020-09-05	Breidablik	L 1-4	33.1	1050	1279	12.95%	24.51%	62.54%	-1.84	-10.8	4
2020-09-05	@ Fjolnir	W 4-1	33.1	1279	1050	62.54%	24.51%	12.95%	+1.84	+10.8	23
2020-09-13	Breidablik	W 3-1	45.6	1258	1290	30.70%	29.61%	39.69%	-0.28	+19.7	23
2020-09-13	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-3	45.6	1290	1258	39.69%	29.61%	30.70%	+0.28	-19.7	23
2020-09-13	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-0	39.4	1160	1183	31.90%	29.67%	38.43%	-0.21	+22.2	14
2020-09-13	@ KA Akureyri	L 0-2	39.4	1183	1160	38.43%	29.67%	31.90%	+0.21	-22.2	22
2020-09-13	IA Akranes	W 3-2	52.0	1140	1146	34.29%	29.72%	35.98%	-0.07	+10.0	17
2020-09-13	@ HK Kopavogur	L 2-3	52.0	1146	1140	35.98%	29.72%	34.29%	+0.07	-10.0	14
2020-09-13	Stjarnan	L 1-2	48.4	1305	1281	38.60%	29.66%	31.74%	+0.17	-11.1	20
2020-09-13	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	48.4	1281	1305	31.74%	29.66%	38.60%	-0.17	+11.1	24
2020-09-13	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-0	34.0	1327	1203	51.45%	28.06%	20.49%	+0.95	+13.7	31
2020-09-13	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	34.0	1203	1327	20.49%	28.06%	51.45%	-0.95	-13.7	14
2020-09-14	Fjolnir	D 2-2	55.8	1007	1039	30.68%	29.61%	39.71%	-0.28	+0.4	7
2020-09-14	@ Grotta	D 2-2	55.8	1039	1007	39.71%	29.61%	30.68%	+0.28	-0.4	5
2020-09-17	Valur Reykjavik	L 2-4	40.9	1136	1341	14.35%	25.44%	60.22%	-1.65	-7.6	14
2020-09-17	@ IA Akranes	W 4-2	40.9	1341	1136	60.22%	25.44%	14.35%	+1.65	+7.6	34
2020-09-17	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	38.5	1277	1190	47.01%	28.88%	24.11%	+0.67	+8.3	26
2020-09-17	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	38.5	1190	1277	24.11%	28.88%	47.01%	-0.67	-8.3	14
2020-09-19	KA Akureyri	D 1-1	51.1	1039	1182	18.81%	27.52%	53.66%	-1.16	+2.2	6
2020-09-19	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	51.1	1182	1039	53.66%	27.52%	18.81%	+1.16	-2.2	15
2020-09-21	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	36.6	1161	1286	20.44%	28.04%	51.52%	-1.01	-16.7	22
2020-09-21	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-1	36.6	1286	1161	51.52%	28.04%	20.44%	+1.01	+16.7	29
2020-09-21	Grotta	W 3-0	31.2	1128	1007	51.11%	28.13%	20.76%	+0.93	+20.1	17
2020-09-21	@ IA Akranes	L 0-3	31.2	1007	1128	20.76%	28.13%	51.11%	-0.93	-20.1	7
2020-09-21	HK Kopavogur	D 1-1	50.6	1181	1150	39.56%	29.62%	30.82%	+0.22	-0.5	15
2020-09-21	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	50.6	1150	1181	30.82%	29.62%	39.56%	-0.22	+0.5	18
2020-09-21	KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	38.0	1270	1294	31.76%	29.66%	38.58%	-0.22	-19.4	23
2020-09-21	@ Breidablik	W 2-0	38.0	1294	1270	38.58%	29.66%	31.76%	+0.22	+19.4	23
2020-09-21	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-5	38.6	1292	1349	27.63%	29.37%	43.00%	-0.47	-27.6	24
2020-09-21	@ Stjarnan	W 5-1	38.6	1349	1292	43.00%	29.37%	27.63%	+0.47	+27.6	37
2020-09-24	Grotta	D 1-1	53.4	1314	987	71.10%	20.32%	8.58%	+2.56	-4.2	24
2020-09-24	@ KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	53.4	987	1314	8.58%	20.32%	71.10%	-2.56	+4.2	8
2020-09-24	HK Kopavogur	D 1-1	50.6	1180	1151	39.28%	29.63%	31.09%	+0.21	-0.5	16
2020-09-24	@ KA Akureyri	D 1-1	50.6	1151	1180	31.09%	29.63%	39.28%	-0.21	+0.5	19
2020-09-24	IA Akranes	L 1-3	39.4	1041	1149	22.07%	28.46%	49.47%	-0.88	-12.6	6
2020-09-24	@ Fjolnir	W 3-1	39.4	1149	1041	49.47%	28.46%	22.07%	+0.88	+12.6	20
2020-09-24	Stjarnan	W 2-1	47.6	1251	1265	33.17%	29.71%	37.12%	-0.14	+10.8	26
2020-09-24	@ Breidablik	L 1-2	47.6	1265	1251	37.12%	29.71%	33.17%	+0.14	-10.8	24
2020-09-24	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-4	39.8	1302	1376	25.59%	29.12%	45.30%	-0.61	-20.1	29
2020-09-24	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 4-1	39.8	1376	1302	45.30%	29.12%	25.59%	+0.61	+20.1	40
2020-09-24	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	48.2	1144	1181	30.11%	29.58%	40.32%	-0.32	+11.5	25
2020-09-24	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	48.2	1181	1144	40.32%	29.58%	30.11%	+0.32	-11.5	15
2020-09-27	Breidablik	D 1-1	52.4	1396	1262	52.72%	27.76%	19.52%	+1.04	-2.1	41
2020-09-27	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	52.4	1262	1396	19.52%	27.76%	52.72%	-1.04	+2.1	27
2020-09-27	Fjolnir	W 1-0	32.9	1282	1028	64.85%	23.50%	11.66%	+1.98	+4.2	32
2020-09-27	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	32.9	1028	1282	11.66%	23.50%	64.85%	-1.98	-4.2	6
2020-09-27	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	52.0	1309	1156	54.83%	27.21%	17.96%	+1.19	-14.7	24
2020-09-27	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	52.0	1156	1309	17.96%	27.21%	54.83%	-1.19	+14.7	28
2020-09-27	KA Akureyri	L 2-4	41.1	991	1179	15.45%	26.06%	58.49%	-1.51	-8.2	8
2020-09-27	@ Grotta	W 4-2	41.1	1179	991	58.49%	26.06%	15.45%	+1.51	+8.2	19
2020-09-27	Stjarnan	L 2-3	47.8	1151	1254	22.54%	28.57%	48.89%	-0.84	-7.0	19
2020-09-27	@ HK Kopavogur	W 3-2	47.8	1254	1151	48.89%	28.57%	22.54%	+0.84	+7.0	27
2020-09-27	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	55.9	1161	1169	33.96%	29.72%	36.32%	-0.09	+0.1	21
2020-09-27	@ IA Akranes	D 2-2	55.9	1169	1161	36.32%	29.72%	33.96%	+0.09	-0.1	16
2020-10-01	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	51.1	1261	1286	31.59%	29.65%	38.76%	-0.23	+0.4	28
2020-10-01	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	51.1	1286	1261	38.76%	29.65%	31.59%	+0.23	-0.4	33
2020-10-01	KA Akureyri	D 1-1	50.9	1264	1188	45.55%	29.08%	25.36%	+0.58	-1.2	28
2020-10-01	@ Breidablik	D 1-1	50.9	1188	1264	25.36%	29.08%	45.55%	-0.58	+1.2	20
2020-10-01	KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	33.7	1169	1295	20.37%	28.02%	51.61%	-1.02	-13.6	16
2020-10-01	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-0	33.7	1295	1169	51.61%	28.02%	20.37%	+1.02	+13.6	27
2020-10-04	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-4	30.8	1161	1286	20.44%	28.04%	51.52%	-1.01	-25.9	21
2020-10-04	@ IA Akranes	W 4-0	30.8	1286	1161	51.52%	28.04%	20.44%	+1.01	+25.9	36
2020-10-04	Fjolnir	W 1-0	33.4	1261	1024	63.29%	24.19%	12.52%	+1.85	+4.5	31
2020-10-04	@ Stjarnan	L 0-1	33.4	1024	1261	12.52%	24.19%	63.29%	-1.85	-4.5	6
2020-10-04	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-1	37.7	1262	1170	47.57%	28.79%	23.64%	+0.70	+18.9	31
2020-10-04	@ Breidablik	L 1-4	37.7	1170	1262	23.64%	28.79%	47.57%	-0.70	-18.9	28
2020-10-04	Grotta	W 6-0	24.3	1394	983	77.44%	16.58%	5.98%	+3.23	+9.9	44
2020-10-04	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-6	24.3	983	1394	5.98%	16.58%	77.44%	-3.23	-9.9	8
2020-10-04	KA Akureyri	D 2-2	55.9	1156	1189	30.58%	29.60%	39.82%	-0.29	+0.4	17
2020-10-04	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	55.9	1189	1156	39.82%	29.60%	30.58%	+0.29	-0.4	21
2020-10-04	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	51.6	1144	1308	17.15%	26.88%	55.97%	-1.32	+2.5	20
2020-10-04	@ HK Kopavogur	D 1-1	51.6	1308	1144	55.97%	26.88%	17.15%	+1.32	-2.5	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2020-09-27	17.96%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1156	2	@ KR Reykjavik	1309	1
2	2020-07-03	19.48%	IA Akranes	1135	4	@ Valur Reykjavik	1270	1
3	2020-07-23	20.01%	@ HK Kopavogur	1134	1	Breidablik	1263	0
4	2020-06-20	21.00%	HK Kopavogur	1171	3	@ KR Reykjavik	1289	0
5	2020-07-08	23.00%	Grotta	1047	3	@ Fjolnir	1145	0
6	2020-08-14	23.98%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1222	2	@ KR Reykjavik	1311	1
7	2020-06-14	26.16%	@ IA Akranes	1129	3	KA Akureyri	1198	1
8	2020-06-29	29.53%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1192	4	FH Hafnarfjordur	1233	1
9	2020-09-24	30.11%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1144	2	Vikingur Reykjavik	1181	1
10	2020-09-13	30.70%	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1258	3	Breidablik	1290	1
11	2020-09-13	31.74%	Stjarnan	1281	2	@ KR Reykjavik	1305	1
12	2020-09-13	31.90%	@ KA Akureyri	1160	2	Fylkir Reykjavik	1183	0
13	2020-07-13	32.42%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1186	2	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1206	1
14	2020-07-09	32.53%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1160	4	KA Akureyri	1178	1
15	2020-07-13	32.61%	@ KR Reykjavik	1275	3	Breidablik	1293	1
16	2020-09-24	33.17%	@ Breidablik	1251	2	Stjarnan	1265	1
17	2020-08-15	33.60%	@ IA Akranes	1153	3	Fylkir Reykjavik	1163	2
18	2020-07-19	33.86%	Valur Reykjavik	1265	2	@ Breidablik	1274	1
19	2020-07-19	34.14%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1193	6	IA Akranes	1200	2
20	2020-07-04	34.24%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1149	2	@ Fjolnir	1155	1
21	2020-09-13	34.29%	@ HK Kopavogur	1140	3	IA Akranes	1146	2
22	2020-07-12	35.05%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1172	2	@ HK Kopavogur	1173	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-06-20	40.17	HK Kopavogur	3	1171	21.00%	@ KR Reykjavik	0	1289	50.80%	28.19%
2	2020-07-08	38.56	Grotta	3	1047	23.00%	@ Fjolnir	0	1145	48.33%	28.67%
3	2020-06-28	36.93	Valur Reykjavik	4	1233	38.35%	@ HK Kopavogur	0	1211	31.98%	29.67%
4	2020-07-03	34.96	IA Akranes	4	1135	19.48%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1	1270	52.77%	27.75%
5	2020-08-22	31.43	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	4	1226	45.04%	HK Kopavogur	0	1154	25.81%	29.15%
6	2020-07-12	30.04	IA Akranes	4	1170	46.69%	@ Grotta	0	1085	24.39%	28.93%
7	2020-07-08	29.76	Valur Reykjavik	5	1235	39.87%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1	1202	30.53%	29.60%
8	2020-06-29	28.51	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	4	1192	29.53%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1233	40.94%	29.54%
9	2020-07-19	28.50	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	6	1193	34.14%	IA Akranes	2	1200	36.14%	29.72%
10	2020-09-21	27.61	Valur Reykjavik	5	1349	43.00%	@ Stjarnan	1	1292	27.63%	29.37%
11	2020-07-09	26.86	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	4	1160	32.53%	KA Akureyri	1	1178	37.78%	29.69%
12	2020-10-04	25.91	FH Hafnarfjordur	4	1286	51.52%	@ IA Akranes	0	1161	20.44%	28.04%
13	2020-08-26	23.39	@ HK Kopavogur	3	1123	46.07%	Grotta	0	1043	24.91%	29.01%
14	2020-07-18	22.75	FH Hafnarfjordur	3	1195	47.07%	@ Fjolnir	0	1107	24.06%	28.87%
15	2020-09-13	22.21	@ KA Akureyri	2	1160	31.90%	Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1183	38.43%	29.67%
16	2020-06-21	22.20	Stjarnan	4	1235	41.48%	@ Fjolnir	1	1190	29.02%	29.50%
17	2020-07-19	22.05	KR Reykjavik	3	1294	48.15%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1197	23.16%	28.70%
18	2020-07-23	21.73	@ Valur Reykjavik	3	1276	48.61%	Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1175	22.77%	28.62%
19	2020-06-14	21.57	@ IA Akranes	3	1129	26.16%	KA Akureyri	1	1198	44.64%	29.20%
20	2020-07-12	20.86	Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1172	35.05%	@ HK Kopavogur	0	1173	35.22%	29.73%
21	2020-09-24	20.15	Valur Reykjavik	4	1376	45.30%	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1302	25.59%	29.12%
22	2020-09-21	20.10	@ IA Akranes	3	1128	51.11%	Grotta	0	1007	20.76%	28.13%
23	2020-09-13	19.70	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	3	1258	30.70%	Breidablik	1	1290	39.69%	29.61%
24	2020-09-21	19.37	KR Reykjavik	2	1294	38.58%	@ Breidablik	0	1270	31.76%	29.66%
25	2020-06-20	19.21	Valur Reykjavik	3	1214	52.49%	@ Grotta	0	1081	19.70%	27.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-07-04	63.0	@ Grotta	4	1045	20.09%	HK Kopavogur	4	1174	51.97%	27.94%
2	2020-07-08	60.9	@ Breidablik	3	1294	47.20%	FH Hafnarfjordur	3	1205	23.95%	28.85%
3	2020-07-22	57.6	@ KR Reykjavik	2	1316	62.82%	Fjolnir	2	1084	12.79%	24.39%
4	2020-08-26	56.9	Valur Reykjavik	5	1312	37.22%	@ KR Reykjavik	4	1298	33.08%	29.70%
5	2020-07-05	56.6	@ KA Akureyri	2	1177	21.00%	Breidablik	2	1295	50.81%	28.19%
6	2020-07-08	55.9	@ IA Akranes	2	1170	34.73%	HK Kopavogur	2	1173	35.54%	29.73%
7	2020-08-22	55.9	@ KA Akureyri	2	1156	34.12%	IA Akranes	2	1163	36.16%	29.72%
8	2020-09-27	55.9	@ IA Akranes	2	1161	33.96%	Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1169	36.32%	29.72%
9	2020-10-04	55.9	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1156	30.58%	KA Akureyri	2	1189	39.82%	29.60%
10	2020-09-14	55.8	@ Grotta	2	1007	30.68%	Fjolnir	2	1039	39.71%	29.61%
11	2020-09-24	53.4	@ KR Reykjavik	1	1314	71.10%	Grotta	1	987	8.58%	20.32%
12	2020-09-27	52.4	@ Valur Reykjavik	1	1396	52.72%	Breidablik	1	1262	19.52%	27.76%
13	2020-08-15	52.3	@ IA Akranes	3	1153	33.60%	Fylkir Reykjavik	2	1163	36.69%	29.71%
14	2020-08-14	52.2	@ Stjarnan	1	1282	63.37%	Grotta	1	1044	12.47%	24.15%
15	2020-09-13	52.0	@ HK Kopavogur	3	1140	34.29%	IA Akranes	2	1146	35.98%	29.72%
16	2020-09-27	52.0	Fylkir Reykjavik	2	1156	17.96%	@ KR Reykjavik	1	1309	54.83%	27.21%
17	2020-07-27	51.6	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	3	1154	35.82%	HK Kopavogur	2	1149	34.46%	29.72%
18	2020-10-04	51.6	@ HK Kopavogur	1	1144	17.15%	KR Reykjavik	1	1308	55.97%	26.88%
19	2020-07-23	51.5	@ Grotta	1	1047	16.39%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1	1222	57.08%	26.53%
20	2020-08-21	51.3	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1	1153	19.59%	Stjarnan	1	1287	52.63%	27.78%
21	2020-08-26	51.3	@ Stjarnan	1	1285	52.10%	KA Akureyri	1	1156	19.99%	27.91%
22	2020-08-20	51.2	@ Fjolnir	1	1063	18.90%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1	1206	53.55%	27.55%
23	2020-09-19	51.1	@ Fjolnir	1	1039	18.81%	KA Akureyri	1	1182	53.66%	27.52%
24	2020-10-01	51.1	@ Stjarnan	1	1261	31.59%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1286	38.76%	29.65%
25	2020-07-27	51.0	@ Stjarnan	1	1283	43.96%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1	1219	26.77%	29.27%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-10-04	24.3	@ Valur Reykjavik	6	1394	77.44%	Grotta	0	983	5.98%	16.58%
2	2020-06-14	30.0	@ Breidablik	3	1259	55.56%	Grotta	0	1099	17.44%	27.00%
3	2020-10-04	30.8	FH Hafnarfjordur	4	1286	51.52%	@ IA Akranes	0	1161	20.44%	28.04%
4	2020-06-20	30.9	Valur Reykjavik	3	1214	52.49%	@ Grotta	0	1081	19.70%	27.82%
5	2020-09-21	31.2	@ IA Akranes	3	1128	51.11%	Grotta	0	1007	20.76%	28.13%
6	2020-07-12	32.0	IA Akranes	4	1170	46.69%	@ Grotta	0	1085	24.39%	28.93%
7	2020-07-23	32.3	@ Valur Reykjavik	3	1276	48.61%	Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1175	22.77%	28.62%
8	2020-07-18	32.5	FH Hafnarfjordur	3	1195	47.07%	@ Fjolnir	0	1107	24.06%	28.87%
9	2020-07-19	32.5	KR Reykjavik	3	1294	48.15%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1197	23.16%	28.70%
10	2020-08-30	32.5	Fylkir Reykjavik	2	1171	54.60%	@ Grotta	0	1019	18.13%	27.27%
11	2020-08-22	32.6	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	4	1226	45.04%	HK Kopavogur	0	1154	25.81%	29.15%
12	2020-08-26	32.8	@ HK Kopavogur	3	1123	46.07%	Grotta	0	1043	24.91%	29.01%
13	2020-09-27	32.9	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1282	64.85%	Fjolnir	0	1028	11.66%	23.50%
14	2020-09-05	33.1	Breidablik	4	1279	62.54%	@ Fjolnir	1	1050	12.95%	24.51%
15	2020-10-04	33.4	@ Stjarnan	1	1261	63.29%	Fjolnir	0	1024	12.52%	24.19%
16	2020-08-21	33.7	Breidablik	1	1274	62.35%	@ Grotta	0	1047	13.06%	24.59%
17	2020-10-01	33.7	KR Reykjavik	2	1295	51.61%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	0	1169	20.37%	28.02%
18	2020-09-13	34.0	@ Valur Reykjavik	2	1327	51.45%	Vikingur Reykjavik	0	1203	20.49%	28.06%
19	2020-06-28	34.7	Valur Reykjavik	4	1233	38.35%	@ HK Kopavogur	0	1211	31.98%	29.67%
20	2020-08-25	34.7	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	2	1155	47.29%	Fjolnir	0	1066	23.87%	28.84%
21	2020-06-29	35.4	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	2	1132	44.79%	Grotta	0	1062	26.03%	29.18%
22	2020-08-30	35.5	@ Valur Reykjavik	1	1322	57.18%	HK Kopavogur	0	1146	16.32%	26.50%
23	2020-07-27	36.1	Valur Reykjavik	3	1297	60.79%	@ Fjolnir	1	1087	13.99%	25.22%
24	2020-08-15	36.5	@ Valur Reykjavik	1	1306	53.68%	KA Akureyri	0	1162	18.80%	27.52%
25	2020-08-30	36.5	@ KR Reykjavik	4	1289	51.70%	IA Akranes	1	1163	20.30%	28.00%