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2019 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

KR Reykjavik

52 points · 13th Title

Last Title: 2013.0

Relegated

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

10 pts

Grindavik · 20 pts

Biggest Overachiever

KR Reykjavik

14.50 points above expected

52 points · 37.50 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

7.93 points below expected

10 points · 17.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik Champion 22 16 4 2 52 44 23 +21 37.50 +14.50
2 Breidablik 22 11 5 6 38 45 31 +14 40.04 -2.04
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 11 4 7 37 40 36 +4 32.50 +4.50
4 Stjarnan 22 9 8 5 35 40 34 +6 34.65 +0.35
5 KA Akureyri 22 9 4 9 31 34 34 0 28.31 +2.69
6 Valur Reykjavik 22 8 5 9 29 38 34 +4 35.71 -6.71
7 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 7 7 8 28 37 35 +2 24.80 +3.20
8 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 28 38 44 -6 28.03 -0.03
9 HK Kopavogur 22 7 6 9 27 29 29 0 29.75 -2.75
10 IA Akranes 22 7 6 9 27 27 32 -5 31.20 -4.20
11 Grindavik Relegated 22 3 11 8 20 17 28 -11 21.07 -1.07
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Relegated 22 2 4 16 10 23 52 -29 17.93 -7.93

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 52 37.50 +14.50
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 37 32.50 +4.50
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 28 24.80 +3.20
4 KA Akureyri 31 28.31 +2.69
5 Stjarnan 35 34.65 +0.35

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 10 17.93 -7.93
2 Valur Reykjavik 29 35.71 -6.71
3 IA Akranes 27 31.20 -4.20
4 HK Kopavogur 27 29.75 -2.75
5 Breidablik 38 40.04 -2.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 8 May 20 – Jul 6 1 in 960
2 IA Akranes 4 May 11 – May 26 1 in 134
3 HK Kopavogur 3 Jul 7 – Jul 22 1 in 47
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 Aug 6 – Aug 18 1 in 24
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Jun 14 – Jun 23 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 9 Jun 15 – Aug 11 1 in 124
2 KA Akureyri 4 Jun 23 – Jul 14 1 in 47
3 IA Akranes 4 Jul 28 – Aug 18 1 in 29
4 Breidablik 2 Jul 1 – Jul 7 1 in 22
5 Valur Reykjavik 3 May 20 – Jun 2 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grindavik 6 May 5 – Jun 1 1 in 39
2 KR Reykjavik 11 May 20 – Aug 6 1 in 33
3 HK Kopavogur 7 Jul 7 – Aug 18 1 in 27
4 IA Akranes 6 Apr 27 – May 26 1 in 24
5 KA Akureyri 7 Aug 11 – Sep 28 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 6 Aug 11 – Sep 22 1 in 47
2 HK Kopavogur 6 Aug 18 – Sep 28 1 in 29
3 Breidablik 4 Jul 1 – Jul 29 1 in 26
4 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 May 5 – May 26 1 in 13
5 IA Akranes 6 Jul 15 – Aug 18 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KR Reykjavik 1452 52 +48 13 8.5 +4.5
Breidablik 1391 38 +1 8 9.4 -1.4
FH Hafnarfjordur 1329 37 +26 9 7.5 +1.5
Stjarnan 1341 35 +14 8 7.1 +0.9
KA Akureyri 1291 31 +60 11 7.0 +4.0
Valur Reykjavik 1327 29 -21 5 8.7 -3.7
Vikingur Reykjavik 1276 28 +67 9 6.3 +2.7
Fylkir Reykjavik 1201 28 -22 6 5.8 +0.2
IA Akranes 1167 27 -64 5 7.3 -2.3
HK Kopavogur 1255 27 -74 2 7.4 -5.4
Grindavik 1117 20 -50 2 4.6 -2.6
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1065 10 +14 4 2.7 +1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR GRI HK IA IV KA KR STJ VR VR
Breidablik —
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.79
1-1-0
4.08
0-1-1
3.91
1-0-1
3.46
1-1-0
4.59
2-0-0
3.71
0-0-2
2.83
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.93
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-0-2
2.16
 —
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
4.10
1-0-1
3.24
0-0-2
2.18
1-1-0
2.59
2-0-0
2.33
1-1-0
3.53
Fylkir Reykjavik
1-0-1
1.70
0-1-1
2.26
 —
1-0-1
3.36
2-0-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.78
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.61
0-0-2
2.23
1-1-0
2.82
Grindavik
0-1-1
1.43
0-1-1
1.75
1-0-1
2.10
 —
0-2-0
1.94
0-2-0
1.94
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.14
1-0-1
1.50
0-2-0
1.51
0-1-1
1.63
0-1-1
2.63
HK Kopavogur
1-1-0
1.59
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.99
0-2-0
3.53
 —
1-1-0
2.56
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
1.93
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
3.14
IA Akranes
1-0-1
2.01
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.68
0-2-0
3.53
0-1-1
2.93
 —
1-0-1
4.08
1-1-0
3.05
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
3.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-1-1
0.97
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
2.41
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
1.85
1-0-1
1.42
 —
0-1-1
1.69
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
1.31
0-1-1
2.24
KA Akureyri
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.33
0-1-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.41
1-1-0
3.79
 —
0-1-1
1.96
2-0-0
1.83
1-0-1
1.89
1-0-1
3.13
KR Reykjavik
2-0-0
2.63
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
4.01
1-0-1
3.54
2-0-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.99
1-1-0
3.51
 —
0-2-0
2.79
2-0-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.69
Stjarnan
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.85
0-2-0
3.99
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
4.11
0-0-2
3.65
0-2-0
2.69
 —
1-1-0
2.55
2-0-0
3.69
Valur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
3.14
2-0-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
4.20
1-0-1
3.58
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
2.91
 —
0-2-0
3.83
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
1.57
0-1-1
1.94
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.84
2-0-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.46
1-1-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
1.79
0-2-0
1.66
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +9.6
Allowed 0.43 -8.9
Differential 0.90 +7.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%6.82%5.68%1.52%0.38%—19.70%
16.82%12.12%7.95%4.17%1.52%1.14%33.71%
25.68%7.95%6.82%4.55%1.14%0.38%26.52%
31.52%4.17%4.55%1.52%1.52%—13.26%
40.38%1.52%1.14%1.52%—0.38%4.92%
5+—1.14%0.38%—0.38%—1.89%
Total19.70%33.71%26.52%13.26%4.92%1.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.56 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.56
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
19.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3—13.64%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
44.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.41 +0.64
SD 1.36 1.14 1.53
CV 0.67 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
19.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
24.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
34.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
4———————
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%36.36%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.64 +0.18
SD 1.40 1.29 1.56
CV 0.77 0.79 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
1—9.09%4.55%—9.09%4.55%27.27%
2—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
39.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%27.27%4.55%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.00 -0.27
SD 1.20 1.41 1.86
CV 0.70 0.71 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%9.09%9.09%4.55%——45.45%
14.55%18.18%9.09%———31.82%
2—9.09%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%27.27%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.27 -0.50
SD 0.81 1.20 1.14
CV 1.05 0.94 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
14.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
213.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%——36.36%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%27.27%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 0.95 0.99 1.41
CV 0.72 0.75 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
14.55%18.18%9.09%9.09%—4.55%45.45%
213.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.45 -0.23
SD 0.81 1.26 1.60
CV 0.66 0.87 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%13.64%——31.82%
1—13.64%18.18%9.09%—4.55%45.45%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+———————
Total—22.73%40.91%27.27%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.36 -1.32
SD 1.05 1.26 1.32
CV 1.00 0.53 —
Max 4 6 +1
Min 0 1 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
19.09%13.64%4.55%9.09%——36.36%
213.64%4.55%—9.09%——27.27%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%18.18%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.55 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.34 1.60
CV 0.77 0.86 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
118.18%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
29.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
34.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total36.36%31.82%27.27%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.05 +0.95
SD 1.20 1.05 1.36
CV 0.60 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%———13.64%
14.55%18.18%—9.09%——31.82%
24.55%9.09%13.64%—4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%27.27%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.55 +0.27
SD 1.33 1.06 1.64
CV 0.73 0.68 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%————13.64%
113.64%—13.64%———27.27%
24.55%9.09%13.64%13.64%——40.91%
3—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%22.73%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.55 +0.18
SD 1.16 1.06 1.33
CV 0.67 0.68 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%————22.73%
14.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%45.45%13.64%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.59 +0.09
SD 1.43 1.14 1.41
CV 0.85 0.72 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KR Reykjavik 1452 52 37.50 +14.50 100.0% 26 29 34 37 41 46 49
Breidablik 1391 38 40.04 -2.04 37.0% 27 30 36 40 44 50 55
Stjarnan 1341 35 34.65 +0.35 54.0% 12 24 31 35 39 44 51
FH Hafnarfjordur 1329 37 32.50 +4.50 79.0% 22 23 28 32 37 42 44
Valur Reykjavik 1327 29 35.71 -6.71 14.0% 22 26 31 35 40 45 53
KA Akureyri 1291 31 28.31 +2.69 74.0% 12 20 25 28 32 38 45
Vikingur Reykjavik 1276 28 24.80 +3.20 77.0% 8 15 21 25 28 35 39
HK Kopavogur 1255 27 29.75 -2.75 36.0% 16 18 25 29 33 41 45
Fylkir Reykjavik 1201 28 28.03 -0.03 56.0% 15 19 23 28 33 37 39
IA Akranes 1167 27 31.20 -4.20 26.0% 14 20 27 31 35 41 48
Grindavik 1117 20 21.07 -1.07 45.0% 10 12 17 21 25 29 32
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1065 10 17.93 -7.93 7.0% 6 10 14 18 21 26 34

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.21%
Strong Edge
47.73%25.76%26.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 74.83 Elo pts.
243 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
KR Reykjavik, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.64/gm
Runaway
00.181/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.64 * Some Luck: 4.64 to 6.96 * Lucky: 6.96 to 9.27 * Wild Swing: 9.27 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.51 * Close: 1.51 to 2.26 * Off: 2.26 to 3.02 * Way Off: 3.02 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.65 * A Surprise: 0.65 to 1.04 * Several Surprises: 1.04 to 1.43 * Many Surprises: 1.43 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.68 points
Some Luck
05.8014
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.894
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
KR Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.62

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 113.32
1.66
Strong Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Notable Separation
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.61
Strong Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.69
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.86
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.083
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
KR Reykjavik22.00%20.00%19.00%17.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%—2.00%———
Breidablik39.00%18.00%14.00%13.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%———
FH Hafnarfjordur5.00%13.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%10.00%15.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%—1.00%
Stjarnan8.00%15.00%16.00%9.00%18.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
KA Akureyri1.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%15.00%15.00%3.00%4.00%
Valur Reykjavik14.00%18.00%13.00%17.00%11.00%12.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%——
Vikingur Reykjavik——6.00%3.00%7.00%3.00%9.00%14.00%17.00%13.00%20.00%8.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik1.00%3.00%7.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%23.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%
HK Kopavogur3.00%8.00%2.00%6.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%15.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%1.00%
IA Akranes7.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%15.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%
Grindavik————1.00%2.00%3.00%11.00%7.00%19.00%36.00%21.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar———1.00%—2.00%—2.00%3.00%14.00%20.00%58.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Breidablik 100% —
KR Reykjavik 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
FH Hafnarfjordur 99.00% 1.00%
Stjarnan 98.00% 2.00%
IA Akranes 95.00% 5.00%
KA Akureyri 93.00% 7.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 90.00% 10.00%
HK Kopavogur 88.00% 12.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik 72.00% 28.00%
Grindavik 43.00% 57.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22.00% 78.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-04-26 Vikingur Reykjavik D 3-363.2 1365 1196 64.20% 23.84% 11.96%+1.00 -3.0 1
2019-04-26 @ Valur Reykjavik D 3-363.2 1196 1365 11.96% 23.84% 64.20%-1.00 +3.0 1
2019-04-27 Breidablik L 0-231.1 1155 1357 21.25% 26.39% 52.36%-0.52 -19.3 0
2019-04-27 @ Grindavik W 2-031.1 1357 1155 52.36% 26.39% 21.25%+0.52 +19.3 3
2019-04-27 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-337.3 1260 1236 49.79% 26.69% 23.52%+0.40 -54.6 0
2019-04-27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-037.3 1236 1260 23.52% 26.69% 49.79%-0.40 +54.6 3
2019-04-27 HK Kopavogur W 2-029.9 1315 1227 56.88% 25.67% 17.45%+0.67 +16.2 3
2019-04-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-229.9 1227 1315 17.45% 25.67% 56.88%-0.67 -16.2 0
2019-04-27 KA Akureyri W 3-137.4 1253 1239 48.67% 26.80% 24.53%+0.37 +18.8 3
2019-04-27 @ IA Akranes L 1-337.4 1239 1253 24.53% 26.80% 48.67%-0.37 -18.8 0
2019-04-27 KR Reykjavik D 1-153.3 1336 1274 54.16% 26.14% 19.71%+0.56 -3.1 1
2019-04-27 @ Stjarnan D 1-153.3 1274 1336 19.71% 26.14% 54.16%-0.56 +3.1 1
2019-05-04 Breidablik D 2-258.2 1211 1376 25.10% 26.86% 48.05%-0.37 +1.5 1
2019-05-04 @ HK Kopavogur D 2-258.2 1376 1211 48.05% 26.86% 25.10%+0.37 -1.5 4
2019-05-05 IA Akranes D 2-258.1 1291 1272 49.26% 26.74% 23.99%+0.39 -1.6 4
2019-05-05 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-258.1 1272 1291 23.99% 26.74% 49.26%-0.39 +1.6 4
2019-05-05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-027.7 1277 1205 55.20% 25.97% 18.83%+0.60 +25.2 4
2019-05-05 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-327.7 1205 1277 18.83% 25.97% 55.20%-0.60 -25.2 0
2019-05-05 Stjarnan D 1-152.5 1135 1332 21.74% 26.46% 51.80%-0.50 +2.6 1
2019-05-05 @ Grindavik D 1-152.5 1332 1135 51.80% 26.46% 21.74%+0.50 -2.6 2
2019-05-05 Valur Reykjavik W 1-043.8 1220 1362 27.91% 27.08% 45.01%-0.27 +18.3 3
2019-05-05 @ KA Akureyri L 0-143.8 1362 1220 45.01% 27.08% 27.91%+0.27 -18.3 1
2019-05-06 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.6 1199 1331 29.03% 27.14% 43.83%-0.24 +1.2 2
2019-05-06 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-152.6 1331 1199 43.83% 27.14% 29.03%+0.24 -1.2 4
2019-05-10 HK Kopavogur W 1-034.0 1330 1212 59.74% 25.06% 15.19%+0.79 +7.6 5
2019-05-10 @ Stjarnan L 0-134.0 1212 1330 15.19% 25.06% 59.74%-0.79 -7.6 1
2019-05-10 KA Akureyri W 3-244.8 1330 1239 57.20% 25.61% 17.19%+0.68 +7.6 7
2019-05-10 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-344.8 1239 1330 17.19% 25.61% 57.20%-0.68 -7.6 3
2019-05-10 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-133.0 1374 1200 64.64% 23.70% 11.66%+1.03 +9.6 7
2019-05-10 @ Breidablik L 1-333.0 1200 1374 11.66% 23.70% 64.64%-1.03 -9.6 2
2019-05-11 Grindavik D 2-257.6 1180 1138 51.91% 26.45% 21.64%+0.48 -2.0 1
2019-05-11 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-257.6 1138 1180 21.64% 26.45% 51.91%-0.48 +2.0 2
2019-05-11 IA Akranes L 1-251.5 1343 1274 55.00% 26.00% 19.00%+0.60 -20.5 1
2019-05-11 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-151.5 1274 1343 19.00% 26.00% 55.00%-0.60 +20.5 7
2019-05-12 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-153.0 1302 1289 48.50% 26.82% 24.68%+0.36 -2.1 5
2019-05-12 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-153.0 1289 1302 24.68% 26.82% 48.50%-0.36 +2.0 5
2019-05-15 Breidablik L 0-138.4 1231 1384 26.51% 26.98% 46.51%-0.32 -12.2 3
2019-05-15 @ KA Akureyri W 1-038.4 1384 1231 46.51% 26.98% 26.51%+0.32 +12.2 10
2019-05-15 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-035.1 1294 1338 41.22% 27.25% 31.53%+0.13 +26.4 10
2019-05-15 @ IA Akranes L 0-235.1 1338 1294 31.53% 27.25% 41.22%-0.13 -26.4 7
2019-05-15 Stjarnan L 3-451.1 1191 1337 27.24% 27.03% 45.72%-0.30 -10.9 2
2019-05-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-351.1 1337 1191 45.72% 27.03% 27.24%+0.30 +10.9 8
2019-05-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-031.4 1204 1178 50.19% 26.65% 23.16%+0.42 +20.7 4
2019-05-16 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-231.4 1178 1204 23.16% 26.65% 50.19%-0.42 -20.7 1
2019-05-16 KR Reykjavik W 2-148.7 1140 1300 25.73% 26.91% 47.36%-0.35 +18.0 5
2019-05-16 @ Grindavik L 1-248.7 1300 1140 47.36% 26.91% 25.73%+0.35 -18.0 5
2019-05-16 Valur Reykjavik L 0-143.3 1291 1323 42.83% 27.19% 29.98%+0.18 -17.6 5
2019-05-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-043.3 1323 1291 29.98% 27.19% 42.83%-0.18 +17.6 4
2019-05-19 IA Akranes L 0-147.9 1396 1320 55.64% 25.89% 18.47%+0.62 -22.0 10
2019-05-19 @ Breidablik W 1-047.9 1320 1396 18.47% 25.89% 55.64%-0.62 +22.0 13
2019-05-19 KA Akureyri L 0-242.7 1348 1219 60.82% 24.80% 14.38%+0.84 -45.0 8
2019-05-19 @ Stjarnan W 2-042.7 1219 1348 14.38% 24.80% 60.82%-0.84 +45.0 6
2019-05-19 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1157 1180 44.03% 27.13% 28.84%+0.22 -1.3 2
2019-05-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-152.1 1180 1157 28.84% 27.13% 44.03%-0.22 +1.3 3
2019-05-20 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-042.2 1158 1274 31.18% 27.24% 41.59%-0.17 +17.2 8
2019-05-20 @ Grindavik L 0-142.2 1274 1158 41.59% 27.24% 31.18%+0.17 -17.2 5
2019-05-20 HK Kopavogur W 3-245.6 1282 1225 53.59% 26.22% 20.19%+0.54 +8.8 8
2019-05-20 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-345.6 1225 1282 20.19% 26.22% 53.59%-0.54 -8.8 4
2019-05-20 Valur Reykjavik W 3-249.6 1311 1340 43.15% 27.18% 29.68%+0.19 +11.9 10
2019-05-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-349.6 1340 1311 29.68% 27.18% 43.15%-0.19 -11.9 4
2019-05-25 Grindavik D 0-048.5 1216 1175 51.86% 26.45% 21.69%+0.48 -3.0 5
2019-05-25 @ HK Kopavogur D 0-048.5 1175 1216 21.69% 26.45% 51.86%-0.48 +3.0 9
2019-05-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-028.9 1264 1156 58.83% 25.27% 15.90%+0.75 +14.9 9
2019-05-25 @ KA Akureyri L 0-228.9 1156 1264 15.90% 25.27% 58.83%-0.75 -14.9 2
2019-05-25 KR Reykjavik L 0-139.4 1181 1291 31.96% 27.26% 40.78%-0.14 -14.1 3
2019-05-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-039.4 1291 1181 40.78% 27.26% 31.96%+0.14 +14.1 11
2019-05-26 Breidablik L 0-143.7 1329 1374 40.90% 27.26% 31.84%+0.12 -17.0 4
2019-05-26 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-043.7 1374 1329 31.84% 27.26% 40.90%-0.12 +17.0 13
2019-05-26 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.0 1256 1323 37.98% 27.32% 34.70%+0.03 -0.2 6
2019-05-26 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-258.0 1323 1256 34.70% 27.32% 37.98%-0.03 +0.2 11
2019-05-26 Stjarnan W 2-032.1 1342 1303 51.62% 26.48% 21.89%+0.47 +19.8 16
2019-05-26 @ IA Akranes L 0-232.1 1303 1342 21.89% 26.48% 51.62%-0.47 -19.8 8
2019-06-01 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-048.3 1178 1167 48.36% 26.83% 24.81%+0.36 -2.3 10
2019-06-01 @ Grindavik D 0-048.3 1167 1178 24.81% 26.83% 48.36%-0.36 +2.3 4
2019-06-02 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-134.6 1391 1323 54.80% 26.03% 19.16%+0.59 +21.6 16
2019-06-02 @ Breidablik L 1-434.6 1323 1391 19.16% 26.03% 54.80%-0.59 -21.6 11
2019-06-02 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-247.1 1213 1256 41.31% 27.25% 31.44%+0.13 -16.1 5
2019-06-02 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-147.1 1256 1213 31.44% 27.25% 41.31%-0.13 +16.1 9
2019-06-02 IA Akranes W 3-255.8 1141 1362 19.43% 26.08% 54.48%-0.60 +19.3 5
2019-06-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-355.8 1362 1141 54.48% 26.08% 19.43%+0.60 -19.3 16
2019-06-02 KA Akureyri W 1-037.1 1305 1279 50.10% 26.66% 23.24%+0.42 +11.0 14
2019-06-02 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-137.1 1279 1305 23.24% 26.66% 50.10%-0.42 -11.0 9
2019-06-02 Valur Reykjavik W 2-144.1 1284 1312 43.32% 27.17% 29.51%+0.19 +12.5 11
2019-06-02 @ Stjarnan L 1-244.1 1312 1284 29.51% 27.17% 43.32%-0.19 -12.5 4
2019-06-14 Breidablik W 4-357.6 1272 1413 28.01% 27.08% 44.90%-0.27 +16.0 12
2019-06-14 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 3-457.6 1413 1272 44.90% 27.08% 28.01%+0.27 -16.0 16
2019-06-14 HK Kopavogur W 2-143.3 1169 1197 43.27% 27.17% 29.56%+0.19 +12.5 7
2019-06-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-243.3 1197 1169 29.56% 27.17% 43.27%-0.19 -12.5 5
2019-06-14 Stjarnan D 2-258.3 1302 1296 47.64% 26.89% 25.47%+0.33 -1.4 12
2019-06-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.3 1296 1302 25.47% 26.89% 47.64%-0.33 +1.4 12
2019-06-15 Grindavik W 2-139.3 1268 1176 57.25% 25.60% 17.16%+0.69 +8.0 12
2019-06-15 @ KA Akureyri L 1-239.3 1176 1268 17.16% 25.60% 57.25%-0.69 -8.0 10
2019-06-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-130.1 1299 1160 61.65% 24.58% 13.76%+0.88 +20.6 7
2019-06-15 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-530.1 1160 1299 13.76% 24.58% 61.65%-0.88 -20.6 5
2019-06-15 KR Reykjavik L 1-346.1 1343 1316 50.24% 26.64% 23.12%+0.42 -32.8 16
2019-06-15 @ IA Akranes W 3-146.1 1316 1343 23.12% 26.64% 50.24%-0.42 +32.8 17
2019-06-18 Breidablik L 1-341.6 1298 1397 33.35% 27.30% 39.35%-0.10 -23.8 12
2019-06-18 @ Stjarnan W 3-141.6 1397 1298 39.35% 27.30% 33.35%+0.10 +23.8 19
2019-06-19 Valur Reykjavik W 3-247.6 1349 1320 50.44% 26.62% 22.93%+0.43 +9.7 20
2019-06-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-347.6 1320 1349 22.93% 26.62% 50.44%-0.43 -9.7 7
2019-06-22 HK Kopavogur L 0-242.4 1310 1185 60.44% 24.90% 14.67%+0.82 -44.7 16
2019-06-22 @ IA Akranes W 2-042.4 1185 1310 14.67% 24.90% 60.44%-0.82 +44.7 8
2019-06-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-130.6 1421 1140 72.28% 20.62% 7.11%+1.47 +5.7 22
2019-06-22 @ Breidablik L 1-330.6 1140 1421 7.11% 20.62% 72.28%-1.47 -5.7 5
2019-06-23 Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-135.4 1274 1288 45.07% 27.07% 27.86%+0.25 +37.9 15
2019-06-23 @ Stjarnan L 1-535.4 1288 1274 27.86% 27.07% 45.07%-0.25 -37.9 12
2019-06-23 Grindavik W 1-033.1 1310 1168 61.92% 24.51% 13.57%+0.89 +6.8 10
2019-06-23 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-133.1 1168 1310 13.57% 24.51% 61.92%-0.89 -6.8 10
2019-06-23 KR Reykjavik L 1-247.5 1300 1358 39.22% 27.30% 33.48%+0.07 -15.5 12
2019-06-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-147.5 1358 1300 33.48% 27.30% 39.22%-0.07 +15.5 23
2019-06-23 Vikingur Reykjavik L 3-459.5 1276 1182 57.48% 25.55% 16.96%+0.70 -19.8 12
2019-06-23 @ KA Akureyri W 4-359.5 1182 1276 16.96% 25.55% 57.48%-0.70 +19.8 10
2019-06-30 KA Akureyri W 3-247.8 1250 1256 46.24% 27.00% 26.76%+0.29 +11.0 15
2019-06-30 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-347.8 1256 1250 26.76% 27.00% 46.24%-0.29 -11.0 12
2019-06-30 Stjarnan L 0-231.8 1134 1312 23.73% 26.71% 49.56%-0.42 -21.1 5
2019-06-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-031.8 1312 1134 49.56% 26.71% 23.73%+0.42 +21.1 18
2019-06-30 Valur Reykjavik L 1-245.5 1229 1317 35.05% 27.32% 37.63%-0.05 -14.3 8
2019-06-30 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-145.5 1317 1229 37.63% 27.32% 35.05%+0.05 +14.3 13
2019-07-01 Breidablik W 2-038.0 1374 1426 39.95% 27.28% 32.76%+0.09 +27.1 26
2019-07-01 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-238.0 1426 1374 32.76% 27.28% 39.95%-0.09 -27.1 22
2019-07-01 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-048.3 1161 1285 30.12% 27.20% 42.68%-0.20 +1.2 11
2019-07-01 @ Grindavik D 0-048.3 1285 1161 42.68% 27.20% 30.12%+0.20 -1.2 13
2019-07-01 IA Akranes D 0-048.3 1201 1265 38.37% 27.31% 34.32%+0.04 -0.4 11
2019-07-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-048.3 1265 1201 34.32% 27.31% 38.37%-0.04 +0.4 17
2019-07-04 KA Akureyri W 3-135.4 1331 1245 56.68% 25.71% 17.62%+0.66 +14.2 16
2019-07-04 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-335.4 1245 1331 17.62% 25.71% 56.68%-0.66 -14.2 12
2019-07-05 Grindavik D 0-049.5 1333 1162 64.32% 23.80% 11.88%+1.01 -5.5 19
2019-07-05 @ Stjarnan D 0-049.5 1162 1333 11.88% 23.80% 64.32%-1.01 +5.5 12
2019-07-06 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-032.6 1266 1261 47.47% 26.90% 25.63%+0.33 +22.5 20
2019-07-06 @ IA Akranes L 0-232.6 1261 1266 25.63% 26.90% 47.47%-0.33 -22.5 15
2019-07-06 KR Reykjavik L 1-238.4 1113 1401 14.23% 24.75% 61.02%-0.88 -6.7 5
2019-07-06 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-138.4 1401 1113 61.02% 24.75% 14.23%+0.88 +6.7 29
2019-07-07 HK Kopavogur L 1-253.9 1399 1215 65.41% 23.44% 11.15%+1.07 -24.0 22
2019-07-07 @ Breidablik W 2-153.9 1215 1399 11.15% 23.44% 65.41%-1.07 +24.0 11
2019-07-08 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-034.8 1284 1201 56.33% 25.77% 17.90%+0.65 +8.8 16
2019-07-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-134.8 1201 1284 17.90% 25.77% 56.33%-0.65 -8.8 11
2019-07-13 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-241.2 1106 1292 22.81% 26.61% 50.58%-0.46 -10.2 5
2019-07-13 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-141.2 1292 1106 50.58% 26.61% 22.81%+0.46 +10.2 19
2019-07-14 KA Akureyri W 2-142.1 1239 1231 47.99% 26.86% 25.15%+0.34 +11.1 14
2019-07-14 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-242.1 1231 1239 25.15% 26.86% 47.99%-0.34 -11.1 12
2019-07-15 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1192 1239 40.76% 27.26% 31.98%+0.12 -0.7 12
2019-07-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1239 1192 31.98% 27.26% 40.76%-0.12 +0.7 16
2019-07-15 IA Akranes D 1-152.3 1168 1288 30.55% 27.21% 42.23%-0.19 +1.0 13
2019-07-15 @ Grindavik D 1-152.3 1288 1168 42.23% 27.21% 30.55%+0.19 -1.0 21
2019-07-21 IA Akranes D 1-152.4 1220 1287 37.86% 27.32% 34.82%+0.03 -0.2 13
2019-07-21 @ KA Akureyri D 1-152.4 1287 1220 34.82% 27.32% 37.86%-0.03 +0.2 22
2019-07-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-025.4 1240 1096 62.10% 24.46% 13.44%+0.90 +18.5 19
2019-07-21 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-325.4 1096 1240 13.44% 24.46% 62.10%-0.90 -18.5 5
2019-07-21 Stjarnan D 2-260.1 1408 1327 56.10% 25.81% 18.09%+0.64 -2.6 30
2019-07-21 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-260.1 1327 1408 18.09% 25.81% 56.10%-0.64 +2.6 20
2019-07-21 Valur Reykjavik D 2-257.9 1191 1345 26.43% 26.97% 46.60%-0.33 +1.3 13
2019-07-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-257.9 1345 1191 46.60% 26.97% 26.43%+0.33 -1.3 17
2019-07-22 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-035.0 1250 1303 39.98% 27.28% 32.73%+0.09 +27.1 17
2019-07-22 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-235.0 1303 1250 32.73% 27.28% 39.98%-0.09 -27.1 19
2019-07-22 Grindavik D 0-050.0 1375 1169 67.13% 22.83% 10.04%+1.16 -6.0 23
2019-07-22 @ Breidablik D 0-050.0 1169 1375 10.04% 22.83% 67.13%-1.16 +6.0 14
2019-07-28 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-039.9 1219 1276 39.46% 27.29% 33.24%+0.08 +14.5 16
2019-07-28 @ KA Akureyri L 0-139.9 1276 1219 33.24% 27.29% 39.46%-0.08 -14.5 19
2019-07-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-138.9 1175 1077 57.82% 25.48% 16.69%+0.71 +7.8 17
2019-07-28 @ Grindavik L 1-238.9 1077 1175 16.69% 25.48% 57.82%-0.71 -7.8 5
2019-07-28 KR Reykjavik L 1-436.7 1258 1405 27.25% 27.03% 45.72%-0.30 -28.9 19
2019-07-28 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-136.7 1405 1258 45.72% 27.03% 27.25%+0.30 +28.9 33
2019-07-28 Valur Reykjavik L 1-247.4 1287 1344 39.43% 27.30% 33.28%+0.08 -15.6 22
2019-07-28 @ IA Akranes W 2-147.4 1344 1287 33.28% 27.30% 39.43%-0.08 +15.6 20
2019-07-29 Breidablik W 3-254.7 1193 1369 23.86% 26.73% 49.41%-0.42 +17.7 16
2019-07-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-354.7 1369 1193 49.41% 26.73% 23.86%+0.42 -17.7 23
2019-07-29 Stjarnan D 1-152.9 1277 1330 39.99% 27.28% 32.73%+0.09 -0.6 18
2019-07-29 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-152.9 1330 1277 32.73% 27.28% 39.99%-0.09 +0.6 21
2019-08-03 HK Kopavogur L 0-135.6 1069 1277 20.73% 26.31% 52.96%-0.55 -10.0 5
2019-08-03 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-035.6 1277 1069 52.96% 26.31% 20.73%+0.55 +10.0 21
2019-08-06 Grindavik W 5-232.0 1434 1183 70.31% 21.53% 8.16%+1.34 +8.1 36
2019-08-06 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-532.0 1183 1434 8.16% 21.53% 70.31%-1.34 -8.1 17
2019-08-06 IA Akranes W 1-038.2 1261 1272 45.56% 27.04% 27.40%+0.26 +12.5 22
2019-08-06 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-138.2 1272 1261 27.40% 27.04% 45.56%-0.26 -12.6 22
2019-08-07 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-033.9 1359 1229 60.87% 24.79% 14.34%+0.84 +7.2 23
2019-08-07 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-133.9 1229 1359 14.34% 24.79% 60.87%-0.84 -7.2 19
2019-08-07 KA Akureyri W 4-027.0 1352 1234 59.73% 25.07% 15.20%+0.79 +27.2 26
2019-08-07 @ Breidablik L 0-427.0 1234 1352 15.20% 25.07% 59.73%-0.79 -27.2 16
2019-08-07 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-138.8 1330 1210 59.95% 25.01% 15.04%+0.80 +7.1 24
2019-08-07 @ Stjarnan L 1-238.8 1210 1330 15.04% 25.01% 59.95%-0.80 -7.1 16
2019-08-11 Breidablik L 1-244.8 1259 1379 30.68% 27.22% 42.10%-0.18 -12.9 22
2019-08-11 @ IA Akranes W 2-144.8 1379 1259 42.10% 27.22% 30.68%+0.18 +12.9 29
2019-08-11 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-357.3 1367 1274 57.37% 25.57% 17.05%+0.69 -20.2 23
2019-08-11 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-257.3 1274 1367 17.05% 25.57% 57.37%-0.69 +20.2 25
2019-08-11 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-133.0 1203 1059 62.10% 24.46% 13.44%+0.90 +11.0 19
2019-08-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-333.0 1059 1203 13.44% 24.46% 62.10%-0.90 -11.0 5
2019-08-11 KR Reykjavik W 4-143.3 1287 1442 26.25% 26.96% 46.79%-0.33 +43.7 24
2019-08-11 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-443.3 1442 1287 46.79% 26.96% 26.25%+0.33 -43.7 36
2019-08-11 Stjarnan W 4-247.6 1207 1338 29.23% 27.15% 43.62%-0.23 +26.1 19
2019-08-11 @ KA Akureyri L 2-447.6 1338 1207 43.62% 27.15% 29.23%+0.23 -26.1 24
2019-08-12 Grindavik W 2-140.6 1222 1175 52.59% 26.36% 21.05%+0.50 +9.6 22
2019-08-12 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-240.6 1175 1222 21.05% 26.36% 52.59%-0.50 -9.6 17
2019-08-18 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-140.5 1294 1232 54.18% 26.13% 19.69%+0.56 +9.0 28
2019-08-18 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-240.5 1232 1294 19.69% 26.13% 54.18%-0.56 -9.0 22
2019-08-18 HK Kopavogur D 1-152.5 1165 1330 25.08% 26.85% 48.06%-0.37 +2.0 18
2019-08-18 @ Grindavik D 1-152.5 1330 1165 48.06% 26.85% 25.08%+0.37 -2.0 25
2019-08-18 IA Akranes W 3-135.9 1311 1246 54.49% 26.08% 19.43%+0.58 +15.5 27
2019-08-18 @ Stjarnan L 1-335.9 1246 1311 19.43% 26.08% 54.49%-0.58 -15.5 22
2019-08-18 KA Akureyri D 1-152.2 1048 1233 23.02% 26.63% 50.35%-0.45 +2.4 6
2019-08-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-152.2 1233 1048 50.35% 26.63% 23.02%+0.45 -2.4 20
2019-08-19 Valur Reykjavik D 3-364.1 1392 1346 52.32% 26.40% 21.28%+0.49 -1.7 30
2019-08-19 @ Breidablik D 3-364.1 1346 1392 21.28% 26.40% 52.32%-0.49 +1.7 24
2019-08-19 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-032.7 1398 1214 65.40% 23.45% 11.15%+1.07 +5.6 39
2019-08-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-132.7 1214 1398 11.15% 23.45% 65.40%-1.07 -5.6 19
2019-08-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-136.7 1231 1051 65.10% 23.55% 11.35%+1.05 +5.4 25
2019-08-24 @ IA Akranes L 1-236.7 1051 1231 11.35% 23.55% 65.10%-1.05 -5.4 6
2019-08-25 Grindavik W 1-035.9 1209 1167 51.94% 26.44% 21.62%+0.48 +10.4 22
2019-08-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-135.9 1167 1209 21.62% 26.44% 51.94%-0.48 -10.4 18
2019-08-25 KR Reykjavik D 0-049.4 1230 1404 24.19% 26.77% 49.04%-0.41 +2.4 21
2019-08-25 @ KA Akureyri D 0-049.4 1404 1230 49.04% 26.77% 24.19%+0.41 -2.4 40
2019-08-26 Breidablik L 2-446.3 1303 1390 35.07% 27.32% 37.61%-0.05 -22.1 28
2019-08-26 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-246.3 1390 1303 37.61% 27.32% 35.07%+0.05 +22.1 33
2019-08-26 HK Kopavogur W 3-252.1 1223 1329 32.48% 27.28% 40.24%-0.13 +15.0 25
2019-08-26 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-352.1 1329 1223 40.24% 27.28% 32.48%+0.13 -15.0 25
2019-08-26 Stjarnan D 2-259.0 1348 1327 49.54% 26.72% 23.75%+0.40 -1.7 25
2019-08-26 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-259.0 1327 1348 23.75% 26.72% 49.54%-0.40 +1.7 28
2019-08-31 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-346.3 1329 1281 52.61% 26.36% 21.04%+0.51 -34.2 28
2019-08-31 @ Stjarnan W 3-146.3 1281 1329 21.04% 26.36% 52.61%-0.51 +34.2 31
2019-08-31 KA Akureyri L 0-235.7 1157 1233 36.61% 27.32% 36.06%-0.01 -29.4 18
2019-08-31 @ Grindavik W 2-035.7 1233 1157 36.06% 27.32% 36.61%+0.01 +29.4 24
2019-09-01 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-346.3 1412 1238 64.64% 23.70% 11.66%+1.03 +5.1 36
2019-09-01 @ Breidablik L 3-446.3 1238 1412 11.66% 23.70% 64.64%-1.03 -5.1 25
2019-09-01 IA Akranes W 2-028.4 1402 1236 63.89% 23.94% 12.17%+0.99 +11.6 43
2019-09-01 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-228.4 1236 1402 12.17% 23.94% 63.89%-0.99 -11.6 25
2019-09-01 Valur Reykjavik W 2-152.3 1045 1346 13.40% 24.45% 62.16%-0.93 +22.9 9
2019-09-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-252.3 1346 1045 62.16% 24.45% 13.40%+0.93 -22.9 25
2019-09-01 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-347.1 1314 1219 57.51% 25.55% 16.95%+0.70 -37.0 25
2019-09-01 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-147.1 1219 1314 16.95% 25.55% 57.51%-0.70 +37.0 25
2019-09-15 HK Kopavogur D 1-152.6 1262 1277 45.13% 27.07% 27.80%+0.25 -1.5 25
2019-09-15 @ KA Akureyri D 1-152.6 1277 1262 27.80% 27.07% 45.13%-0.25 +1.5 26
2019-09-16 Grindavik D 1-152.6 1225 1127 57.83% 25.48% 16.69%+0.71 -3.8 26
2019-09-16 @ IA Akranes D 1-152.6 1127 1225 16.69% 25.48% 57.83%-0.71 +3.7 19
2019-09-16 KR Reykjavik L 0-142.3 1324 1413 34.71% 27.32% 37.97%-0.06 -15.0 25
2019-09-16 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-042.3 1413 1324 37.97% 27.32% 34.71%+0.06 +15.0 46
2019-09-16 Stjarnan D 1-154.7 1417 1294 60.22% 24.95% 14.84%+0.81 -4.2 37
2019-09-16 @ Breidablik D 1-154.7 1294 1417 14.84% 24.95% 60.22%-0.81 +4.2 29
2019-09-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 6-438.0 1315 1068 69.99% 21.67% 8.34%+1.32 +5.5 34
2019-09-18 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 4-638.0 1068 1315 8.34% 21.67% 69.99%-1.32 -5.5 9
2019-09-18 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-138.8 1233 1256 43.90% 27.14% 28.96%+0.21 +21.4 28
2019-09-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-338.8 1256 1233 28.96% 27.14% 43.90%-0.21 -21.4 25
2019-09-22 Breidablik D 1-153.6 1063 1413 10.65% 23.18% 66.17%-1.14 +5.2 10
2019-09-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-153.6 1413 1063 66.17% 23.18% 10.65%+1.14 -5.2 38
2019-09-22 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-246.2 1428 1320 58.80% 25.28% 15.92%+0.75 +7.1 49
2019-09-22 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-346.2 1320 1428 15.92% 25.28% 58.80%-0.75 -7.1 34
2019-09-22 IA Akranes D 1-152.7 1278 1221 53.62% 26.22% 20.17%+0.54 -3.0 27
2019-09-22 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-152.7 1221 1278 20.17% 26.22% 53.62%-0.54 +3.0 27
2019-09-22 KA Akureyri L 2-352.8 1235 1261 43.56% 27.16% 29.28%+0.20 -16.0 25
2019-09-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-252.8 1261 1235 29.28% 27.16% 43.56%-0.20 +16.0 28
2019-09-22 Stjarnan L 1-440.1 1254 1299 41.07% 27.25% 31.67%+0.12 -39.3 28
2019-09-22 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-140.1 1299 1254 31.67% 27.25% 41.07%-0.12 +39.3 32
2019-09-22 Valur Reykjavik D 2-257.7 1131 1309 23.75% 26.72% 49.53%-0.42 +1.7 20
2019-09-22 @ Grindavik D 2-257.7 1309 1131 49.53% 26.72% 23.75%+0.42 -1.7 26
2019-09-28 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-240.0 1277 1215 54.18% 26.13% 19.68%+0.56 +14.0 31
2019-09-28 @ KA Akureyri L 2-440.0 1215 1277 19.68% 26.13% 54.18%-0.56 -14.0 28
2019-09-28 Grindavik W 3-024.7 1313 1133 65.15% 23.53% 11.32%+1.05 +15.6 37
2019-09-28 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-324.7 1133 1313 11.32% 23.53% 65.15%-1.05 -15.6 20
2019-09-28 HK Kopavogur W 2-031.9 1307 1275 50.79% 26.58% 22.63%+0.44 +20.3 29
2019-09-28 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-231.9 1275 1307 22.63% 26.58% 50.79%-0.44 -20.3 27
2019-09-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-239.9 1338 1068 71.54% 20.97% 7.49%+1.42 +3.3 35
2019-09-28 @ Stjarnan L 2-339.9 1068 1338 7.49% 20.97% 71.54%-1.42 -3.3 10
2019-09-28 KR Reykjavik L 1-252.0 1408 1435 43.38% 27.16% 29.46%+0.20 -16.8 38
2019-09-28 @ Breidablik W 2-152.0 1435 1408 29.46% 27.16% 43.38%-0.20 +16.8 52
2019-09-28 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-540.9 1224 1219 47.59% 26.90% 25.52%+0.33 -57.2 27
2019-09-28 @ IA Akranes W 5-140.9 1219 1224 25.52% 26.90% 47.59%-0.33 +57.2 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-07-07 11.15% HK Kopavogur 1215 2 @ Breidablik 1399 1
2 2019-09-01 13.40% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1045 2 Valur Reykjavik 1346 1
3 2019-05-19 14.38% KA Akureyri 1219 2 @ Stjarnan 1348 0
4 2019-06-22 14.67% HK Kopavogur 1185 2 @ IA Akranes 1310 0
5 2019-09-01 16.95% Vikingur Reykjavik 1219 3 @ HK Kopavogur 1314 1
6 2019-06-23 16.96% Vikingur Reykjavik 1182 4 @ KA Akureyri 1276 3
7 2019-08-11 17.05% FH Hafnarfjordur 1274 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1367 2
8 2019-05-19 18.47% IA Akranes 1320 1 @ Breidablik 1396 0
9 2019-05-11 19.00% IA Akranes 1274 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1343 1
10 2019-06-02 19.43% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1141 3 IA Akranes 1362 2
11 2019-08-31 21.04% FH Hafnarfjordur 1281 3 @ Stjarnan 1329 1
12 2019-06-15 23.12% KR Reykjavik 1316 3 @ IA Akranes 1343 1
13 2019-04-27 23.52% Fylkir Reykjavik 1236 3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1260 0
14 2019-07-29 23.86% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1193 3 Breidablik 1369 2
15 2019-09-28 25.52% Vikingur Reykjavik 1219 5 @ IA Akranes 1224 1
16 2019-05-16 25.73% @ Grindavik 1140 2 KR Reykjavik 1300 1
17 2019-08-11 26.25% @ HK Kopavogur 1287 4 KR Reykjavik 1442 1
18 2019-05-05 27.91% @ KA Akureyri 1220 1 Valur Reykjavik 1362 0
19 2019-06-14 28.01% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1272 4 Breidablik 1413 3
20 2019-08-11 29.23% @ KA Akureyri 1207 4 Stjarnan 1338 2
21 2019-09-22 29.28% KA Akureyri 1261 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1235 2
22 2019-09-28 29.46% KR Reykjavik 1435 2 @ Breidablik 1408 1
23 2019-05-16 29.98% Valur Reykjavik 1323 1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1291 0
24 2019-05-20 31.18% @ Grindavik 1158 1 Fylkir Reykjavik 1274 0
25 2019-06-02 31.44% Fylkir Reykjavik 1256 2 @ HK Kopavogur 1213 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-09-28 57.21 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 1219 25.52% @ IA Akranes 1 1224 47.59% 26.90%
2 2019-04-27 54.62 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1236 23.52% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1260 49.79% 26.69%
3 2019-05-19 44.97 KA Akureyri 2 1219 14.38% @ Stjarnan 0 1348 60.82% 24.80%
4 2019-06-22 44.71 HK Kopavogur 2 1185 14.67% @ IA Akranes 0 1310 60.44% 24.90%
5 2019-08-11 43.69 @ HK Kopavogur 4 1287 26.25% KR Reykjavik 1 1442 46.79% 26.96%
6 2019-09-22 39.32 Stjarnan 4 1299 31.67% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1254 41.07% 27.25%
7 2019-06-23 37.92 @ Stjarnan 5 1274 45.07% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1288 27.86% 27.07%
8 2019-09-01 37.01 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1219 16.95% @ HK Kopavogur 1 1314 57.51% 25.55%
9 2019-08-31 34.18 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1281 21.04% @ Stjarnan 1 1329 52.61% 26.36%
10 2019-06-15 32.82 KR Reykjavik 3 1316 23.12% @ IA Akranes 1 1343 50.24% 26.64%
11 2019-08-31 29.44 KA Akureyri 2 1233 36.06% @ Grindavik 0 1157 36.61% 27.32%
12 2019-07-28 28.87 KR Reykjavik 4 1405 45.72% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1258 27.25% 27.03%
13 2019-08-07 27.19 @ Breidablik 4 1352 59.73% KA Akureyri 0 1234 15.20% 25.07%
14 2019-07-01 27.14 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1374 39.95% Breidablik 0 1426 32.76% 27.28%
15 2019-07-22 27.12 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1250 39.98% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1303 32.73% 27.28%
16 2019-05-15 26.37 @ IA Akranes 2 1294 41.22% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1338 31.53% 27.25%
17 2019-08-11 26.09 @ KA Akureyri 4 1207 29.23% Stjarnan 2 1338 43.62% 27.15%
18 2019-05-05 25.24 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1277 55.20% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1205 18.83% 25.97%
19 2019-07-07 23.98 HK Kopavogur 2 1215 11.15% @ Breidablik 1 1399 65.41% 23.44%
20 2019-06-18 23.81 Breidablik 3 1397 39.35% @ Stjarnan 1 1298 33.35% 27.30%
21 2019-09-01 22.92 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1045 13.40% Valur Reykjavik 1 1346 62.16% 24.45%
22 2019-07-06 22.46 @ IA Akranes 2 1266 47.47% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1261 25.63% 26.90%
23 2019-08-26 22.10 Breidablik 4 1390 37.61% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1303 35.07% 27.32%
24 2019-05-19 22.00 IA Akranes 1 1320 18.47% @ Breidablik 0 1396 55.64% 25.89%
25 2019-06-02 21.61 @ Breidablik 4 1391 54.80% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1323 19.16% 26.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-08-19 64.1 @ Breidablik 3 1392 52.32% Valur Reykjavik 3 1346 21.28% 26.40%
2 2019-04-26 63.2 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1365 64.20% Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1196 11.96% 23.84%
3 2019-07-21 60.1 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1408 56.10% Stjarnan 2 1327 18.09% 25.81%
4 2019-06-23 59.5 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1182 16.96% @ KA Akureyri 3 1276 57.48% 25.55%
5 2019-08-26 59.0 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1348 49.54% Stjarnan 2 1327 23.75% 26.72%
6 2019-06-14 58.3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1302 47.64% Stjarnan 2 1296 25.47% 26.89%
7 2019-05-04 58.2 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1211 25.10% Breidablik 2 1376 48.05% 26.86%
8 2019-05-05 58.1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1291 49.26% IA Akranes 2 1272 23.99% 26.74%
9 2019-05-26 58.0 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1256 37.98% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1323 34.70% 27.32%
10 2019-07-21 57.9 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1191 26.43% Valur Reykjavik 2 1345 46.60% 26.97%
11 2019-09-22 57.7 @ Grindavik 2 1131 23.75% Valur Reykjavik 2 1309 49.53% 26.72%
12 2019-05-11 57.6 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1180 51.91% Grindavik 2 1138 21.64% 26.45%
13 2019-06-14 57.6 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1272 28.01% Breidablik 3 1413 44.90% 27.08%
14 2019-08-11 57.3 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1274 17.05% @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1367 57.37% 25.57%
15 2019-06-02 55.8 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1141 19.43% IA Akranes 2 1362 54.48% 26.08%
16 2019-07-29 54.7 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1193 23.86% Breidablik 2 1369 49.41% 26.73%
17 2019-09-16 54.7 @ Breidablik 1 1417 60.22% Stjarnan 1 1294 14.84% 24.95%
18 2019-07-07 53.9 HK Kopavogur 2 1215 11.15% @ Breidablik 1 1399 65.41% 23.44%
19 2019-09-22 53.6 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1063 10.65% Breidablik 1 1413 66.17% 23.18%
20 2019-04-27 53.3 @ Stjarnan 1 1336 54.16% KR Reykjavik 1 1274 19.71% 26.14%
21 2019-05-12 53.0 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1302 48.50% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1289 24.68% 26.82%
22 2019-07-29 52.9 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1277 39.99% Stjarnan 1 1330 32.73% 27.28%
23 2019-09-22 52.8 KA Akureyri 3 1261 29.28% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1235 43.56% 27.16%
24 2019-09-22 52.7 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1278 53.62% IA Akranes 1 1221 20.17% 26.22%
25 2019-05-06 52.6 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1199 29.03% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1331 43.83% 27.14%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-09-28 24.7 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1313 65.15% Grindavik 0 1133 11.32% 23.53%
2 2019-07-21 25.4 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1240 62.10% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1096 13.44% 24.46%
3 2019-08-07 27.0 @ Breidablik 4 1352 59.73% KA Akureyri 0 1234 15.20% 25.07%
4 2019-05-05 27.7 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1277 55.20% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1205 18.83% 25.97%
5 2019-09-01 28.4 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1402 63.89% IA Akranes 0 1236 12.17% 23.94%
6 2019-05-25 28.9 @ KA Akureyri 2 1264 58.83% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1156 15.90% 25.27%
7 2019-04-27 29.9 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1315 56.88% HK Kopavogur 0 1227 17.45% 25.67%
8 2019-06-15 30.1 @ Valur Reykjavik 5 1299 61.65% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1160 13.76% 24.58%
9 2019-06-22 30.6 @ Breidablik 3 1421 72.28% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1140 7.11% 20.62%
10 2019-04-27 31.1 Breidablik 2 1357 52.36% @ Grindavik 0 1155 21.25% 26.39%
11 2019-05-16 31.4 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1204 50.19% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1178 23.16% 26.65%
12 2019-06-30 31.8 Stjarnan 2 1312 49.56% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1134 23.73% 26.71%
13 2019-09-28 31.9 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1307 50.79% HK Kopavogur 0 1275 22.63% 26.58%
14 2019-08-06 32.0 @ KR Reykjavik 5 1434 70.31% Grindavik 2 1183 8.16% 21.53%
15 2019-05-26 32.1 @ IA Akranes 2 1342 51.62% Stjarnan 0 1303 21.89% 26.48%
16 2019-07-06 32.6 @ IA Akranes 2 1266 47.47% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1261 25.63% 26.90%
17 2019-08-19 32.7 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1398 65.40% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1214 11.15% 23.45%
18 2019-05-10 33.0 @ Breidablik 3 1374 64.64% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1200 11.66% 23.70%
19 2019-08-11 33.0 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1203 62.10% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1059 13.44% 24.46%
20 2019-06-23 33.1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1310 61.92% Grindavik 0 1168 13.57% 24.51%
21 2019-08-07 33.9 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1359 60.87% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1229 14.34% 24.79%
22 2019-05-10 34.0 @ Stjarnan 1 1330 59.74% HK Kopavogur 0 1212 15.19% 25.06%
23 2019-06-02 34.6 @ Breidablik 4 1391 54.80% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1323 19.16% 26.03%
24 2019-07-08 34.8 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1284 56.33% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1201 17.90% 25.77%
25 2019-07-22 35.0 @ HK Kopavogur 2 1250 39.98% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1303 32.73% 27.28%