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2018 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Valur Reykjavik

46 points · 10th Title

Last Title: 2017.0

Relegated

Keflavik IF

4 pts

Fjolnir · 19 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Breidablik

6.13 points above expected

44 points · 37.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Keflavik IF

12.79 points below expected

4 points · 16.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valur Reykjavik Champion 22 13 7 2 46 50 24 +26 42.01 +3.99
2 Breidablik 22 13 5 4 44 39 17 +22 37.87 +6.13
3 Stjarnan 22 11 7 4 40 45 26 +19 41.05 -1.05
4 KR Reykjavik 22 10 7 5 37 36 25 +11 33.99 +3.01
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 10 7 5 37 36 28 +8 33.94 +3.06
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 8 5 9 29 29 31 -2 27.13 +1.87
7 KA Akureyri 22 7 7 8 28 36 34 +2 28.55 -0.55
8 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 7 5 10 26 31 37 -6 24.58 +1.42
9 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 6 7 9 25 29 38 -9 24.35 +0.65
10 Grindavik 22 7 4 11 25 26 37 -11 25.82 -0.82
11 Fjolnir Relegated 22 4 7 11 19 22 44 -22 24.13 -5.13
12 Keflavik IF Relegated 22 0 4 18 4 11 49 -38 16.79 -12.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Breidablik 44 37.87 +6.13
2 Valur Reykjavik 46 42.01 +3.99
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 37 33.94 +3.06
4 KR Reykjavik 37 33.99 +3.01
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 29 27.13 +1.87

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Keflavik IF 4 16.79 -12.79
2 Fjolnir 19 24.13 -5.13
3 Stjarnan 40 41.05 -1.05
4 Grindavik 25 25.82 -0.82
5 KA Akureyri 28 28.55 -0.55

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 6 May 27 – Jul 1 1 in 71
2 Stjarnan 6 Jun 3 – Jul 7 1 in 51
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 Jul 1 – Jul 13 1 in 36
4 Breidablik 5 Jul 16 – Aug 13 1 in 17
5 KR Reykjavik 3 Jul 16 – Jul 30 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 Jun 13 – Jul 22 1 in 72
2 Stjarnan 2 Sep 23 – Sep 29 1 in 33
3 Keflavik IF 7 Jun 8 – Jul 30 1 in 30
4 Grindavik 3 Jul 1 – Jul 12 1 in 17
5 Fjolnir 3 Jun 4 – Jun 14 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 15 May 27 – Sep 16 1 in 32
2 Grindavik 6 May 7 – Jun 4 1 in 22
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 Aug 20 – Sep 23 1 in 20
4 Stjarnan 10 May 14 – Jul 7 1 in 16
5 KR Reykjavik 5 May 6 – May 27 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Keflavik IF 22 Apr 27 – Sep 29 1 in 53
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 May 21 – Jun 10 1 in 19
3 Fjolnir 9 Jul 5 – Sep 2 1 in 14
4 Stjarnan 4 Apr 27 – May 18 1 in 12
5 Valur Reykjavik 4 May 7 – May 23 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Valur Reykjavik 1515 46 -3 8 9.9 -1.9
Breidablik 1490 44 +63 10 9.1 +0.9
Stjarnan 1455 40 -48 5 9.6 -4.6
FH Hafnarfjordur 1424 37 +139 13 6.9 +6.1
KR Reykjavik 1348 37 -37 10 9.5 +0.5
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1324 29 -3 7 5.9 +1.1
KA Akureyri 1287 28 -23 6 5.9 +0.1
Fylkir Reykjavik 1282 26 +114 10 6.3 +3.7
Vikingur Reykjavik 1207 25 +34 6 5.6 +0.4
Grindavik 1133 25 -82 1 5.3 -4.3
Fjolnir 1072 19 -105 3 3.8 -0.8
Keflavik IF 939 4 -66 0 2.7 -2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FJO FR GRI IV KA KR KI STJ VR VR
Breidablik —
2-0-0
2.81
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
4.42
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
2.72
1-1-0
4.04
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-0-2
2.62
—
2-0-0
3.35
0-2-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.46
0-1-1
3.54
1-1-0
2.98
1-1-0
2.43
1-1-0
4.27
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
1.90
1-1-0
3.87
Fjolnir
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
2.09
—
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.34
0-2-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.61
0-2-0
1.94
1-1-0
3.50
0-0-2
1.28
0-0-2
1.60
1-1-0
2.77
Fylkir Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.63
0-2-0
1.88
1-0-1
2.95
—
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
1.78
2-0-0
3.81
0-0-2
1.59
0-2-0
1.41
0-0-2
2.82
Grindavik
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.98
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
3.11
—
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
2.09
2-0-0
3.19
0-2-0
1.54
1-0-1
1.74
2-0-0
2.76
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-1-1
2.18
1-1-0
1.89
0-2-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.96
2-0-0
2.97
—
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.05
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
1.31
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
3.41
KA Akureyri
0-1-1
1.71
0-1-1
2.44
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.96
—
0-0-2
2.35
1-1-0
3.97
0-1-1
1.46
0-1-1
1.55
1-1-0
3.21
KR Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
3.00
0-2-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.39
2-0-0
3.08
—
2-0-0
4.26
2-0-0
1.94
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
3.66
Keflavik IF
0-0-2
1.10
0-1-1
1.21
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
1.49
0-0-2
1.25
—
0-1-1
1.20
0-0-2
0.69
0-0-2
1.44
Stjarnan
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
3.88
0-2-0
3.93
1-0-1
4.17
1-1-0
4.01
0-0-2
3.49
1-1-0
4.30
—
0-2-0
2.53
1-1-0
3.74
Valur Reykjavik
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.89
0-2-0
4.07
1-0-1
3.72
2-0-0
4.01
1-1-0
3.91
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
4.94
0-2-0
2.89
—
1-1-0
3.73
Vikingur Reykjavik
0-1-1
1.43
0-1-1
1.58
0-1-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.60
0-0-2
2.67
1-1-0
2.03
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
1.78
2-0-0
4.02
0-1-1
1.71
0-1-1
1.72
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.90 +10.8
Allowed 0.92 -12.4
Differential 0.98 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%6.44%5.68%2.27%2.27%0.38%23.86%
16.44%12.12%8.33%3.79%2.27%1.14%34.09%
25.68%8.33%6.82%2.27%—0.76%23.86%
32.27%3.79%2.27%1.52%0.38%0.38%10.61%
42.27%2.27%—0.38%——4.92%
5+0.38%1.14%0.76%0.38%——2.65%
Total23.86%34.09%23.86%10.61%4.92%2.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.48 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.91
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%————18.18%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
213.64%4.55%————18.18%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+———————
Total45.45%36.36%13.64%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.77 +1.00
SD 1.34 0.87 1.57
CV 0.76 1.12 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
113.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.27 +0.36
SD 1.05 1.12 1.62
CV 0.64 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%——4.55%36.36%
14.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
2—13.64%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%27.27%9.09%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.00 -1.00
SD 0.93 1.85 1.95
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
14.55%13.64%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%22.73%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.68 -0.27
SD 1.53 1.43 2.33
CV 1.09 0.85 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
19.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%13.64%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
34.55%———4.55%—9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%22.73%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.68 -0.50
SD 0.96 1.39 1.74
CV 0.81 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%13.64%13.64%—9.09%4.55%45.45%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total27.27%36.36%22.73%—9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.41 -0.09
SD 1.21 1.40 1.90
CV 0.92 1.00 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
1—9.09%13.64%9.09%——31.82%
29.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%27.27%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.55 +0.09
SD 1.43 1.18 1.90
CV 0.88 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
19.09%22.73%4.55%———36.36%
29.09%—4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total27.27%40.91%27.27%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.14 +0.50
SD 1.47 0.99 1.79
CV 0.90 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%18.18%9.09%9.09%—59.09%
1——9.09%18.18%4.55%—31.82%
2——9.09%———9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%13.64%36.36%27.27%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 2.23 -1.73
SD 0.67 1.15 1.20
CV 1.35 0.52 —
Max 2 4 +0
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
29.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
34.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%45.45%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.18 +0.86
SD 1.33 0.91 1.61
CV 0.65 0.77 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
29.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total27.27%45.45%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.09 +1.18
SD 1.45 0.92 1.47
CV 0.64 0.84 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
113.64%9.09%9.09%—9.09%—40.91%
2—4.55%9.09%9.09%——22.73%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%18.18%22.73%18.18%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.73 -0.41
SD 1.09 1.42 1.76
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valur Reykjavik 1515 46 42.01 +3.99 79.0% 25 32 38 42 45 51 55
Breidablik 1490 44 37.87 +6.13 90.0% 23 29 35 38 41 46 50
Stjarnan 1455 40 41.05 -1.05 46.0% 26 31 37 41 44 49 56
FH Hafnarfjordur 1424 37 33.94 +3.06 72.0% 18 25 29 34 38 44 50
KR Reykjavik 1348 37 33.99 +3.01 70.0% 17 24 29 34 38 44 57
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1324 29 27.13 +1.87 68.0% 13 18 23 27 31 37 43
KA Akureyri 1287 28 28.55 -0.55 47.0% 14 18 23 30 33 39 41
Fylkir Reykjavik 1282 26 24.58 +1.42 64.0% 10 15 21 25 29 33 41
Vikingur Reykjavik 1207 25 24.35 +0.65 65.0% 12 16 21 24 28 34 37
Grindavik 1133 25 25.82 -0.82 54.0% 17 18 22 25 30 34 38
Fjolnir 1072 19 24.13 -5.13 24.0% 12 15 20 23 28 33 40
Keflavik IF 939 4 16.79 -12.79 0.0% 5 10 13 17 20 25 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.09%
Slight Edge
40.91%27.27%31.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 31.67 Elo pts.
163 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Valur Reykjavik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.58 * Some Luck: 4.58 to 6.87 * Lucky: 6.87 to 9.16 * Wild Swing: 9.16 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.36 * Close: 1.36 to 2.05 * Off: 2.05 to 2.73 * Way Off: 2.73 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.89 * A Surprise: 0.89 to 1.42 * Several Surprises: 1.42 to 1.96 * Many Surprises: 1.96 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.74 points
Some Luck
05.7214
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
01.714
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
90.00%
Breidablik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Keflavik IF
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 176.55
1.93
Wide Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
80%
Wide Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Notable Separation
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.86
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Near-Lock
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.47
Very Underconfident
0.3915041.001.6085
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.114
Well Within Noise
00.1520.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Valur Reykjavik39.00%33.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%———
Breidablik13.00%19.00%28.00%19.00%10.00%2.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Stjarnan33.00%24.00%21.00%14.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
KR Reykjavik6.00%7.00%13.00%16.00%26.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%—
FH Hafnarfjordur8.00%11.00%10.00%26.00%10.00%14.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%——
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%14.00%20.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%2.00%
KA Akureyri—3.00%8.00%4.00%15.00%16.00%10.00%12.00%8.00%14.00%7.00%3.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik——2.00%1.00%5.00%13.00%9.00%13.00%21.00%14.00%13.00%9.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik——1.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%23.00%10.00%21.00%7.00%
Grindavik—1.00%1.00%2.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%18.00%11.00%19.00%12.00%3.00%
Fjolnir——2.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%12.00%16.00%8.00%17.00%18.00%12.00%
Keflavik IF—————1.00%—2.00%6.00%10.00%17.00%64.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Breidablik 100% —
FH Hafnarfjordur 100% —
Stjarnan 100% —
Valur Reykjavik 100% —
KR Reykjavik 98.00% 2.00%
KA Akureyri 90.00% 10.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 88.00% 12.00%
Grindavik 85.00% 15.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 78.00% 22.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik 72.00% 28.00%
Fjolnir 70.00% 30.00%
Keflavik IF 19.00% 81.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-04-27 Keflavik IF D 2-258.1 1365 1232 56.02% 27.27% 16.71%+1.01 -3.2 1
2018-04-27 @ Stjarnan D 2-258.1 1232 1365 16.71% 27.27% 56.02%-1.01 +3.2 1
2018-04-27 KR Reykjavik W 2-144.6 1360 1304 47.60% 28.43% 23.97%+0.54 +13.1 3
2018-04-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-244.6 1304 1360 23.97% 28.43% 47.60%-0.54 -13.1 0
2018-04-28 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-139.8 1238 1333 27.50% 28.71% 43.79%-0.39 -15.5 0
2018-04-28 @ Grindavik W 1-039.8 1333 1238 43.79% 28.71% 27.50%+0.39 +15.5 3
2018-04-28 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-041.5 1256 1277 37.53% 28.92% 33.55%+0.07 +18.0 3
2018-04-28 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-141.5 1277 1256 33.55% 28.92% 37.53%-0.07 -18.0 0
2018-04-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-139.5 1298 1269 44.31% 28.68% 27.01%+0.38 +35.3 3
2018-04-28 @ Breidablik L 1-439.5 1269 1298 27.01% 28.68% 44.31%-0.38 -35.3 0
2018-04-28 KA Akureyri D 2-257.3 1271 1271 40.33% 28.86% 30.81%+0.19 -0.7 1
2018-04-28 @ Fjolnir D 2-257.3 1271 1271 30.81% 28.86% 40.33%-0.19 +0.7 1
2018-05-06 Fjolnir D 1-151.5 1233 1270 35.23% 28.93% 35.84%-0.03 +0.0 1
2018-05-06 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-151.5 1270 1233 35.84% 28.93% 35.23%+0.03 -0.1 2
2018-05-06 KA Akureyri W 2-146.4 1259 1272 38.59% 28.90% 32.51%+0.11 +16.5 3
2018-05-06 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-246.4 1272 1259 32.51% 28.90% 38.59%-0.11 -16.5 1
2018-05-06 KR Reykjavik L 2-357.2 1361 1291 49.33% 28.26% 22.41%+0.63 -21.6 1
2018-05-06 @ Stjarnan W 3-257.2 1291 1361 22.41% 28.26% 49.33%-0.63 +21.6 3
2018-05-07 Breidablik L 1-347.5 1349 1334 42.41% 28.78% 28.82%+0.29 -34.9 3
2018-05-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-147.5 1334 1349 28.82% 28.78% 42.41%-0.29 +34.9 6
2018-05-07 Grindavik L 0-240.4 1235 1223 42.00% 28.80% 29.20%+0.27 -40.0 1
2018-05-07 @ Keflavik IF W 2-040.4 1223 1235 29.20% 28.80% 42.00%-0.27 +40.0 3
2018-05-07 Valur Reykjavik D 0-048.2 1274 1373 27.01% 28.68% 44.31%-0.41 +2.0 4
2018-05-07 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-048.2 1373 1274 44.31% 28.68% 27.01%+0.41 -2.0 4
2018-05-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-036.3 1256 1234 43.33% 28.73% 27.94%+0.33 +29.6 4
2018-05-12 @ KA Akureyri L 0-236.3 1234 1256 27.94% 28.73% 43.33%-0.33 -29.6 1
2018-05-12 Keflavik IF W 1-034.9 1369 1195 59.81% 26.42% 13.77%+1.26 +8.7 9
2018-05-12 @ Breidablik L 0-134.9 1195 1369 13.77% 26.42% 59.81%-1.26 -8.7 1
2018-05-12 KR Reykjavik D 1-151.8 1263 1312 33.41% 28.92% 37.67%-0.11 +0.4 4
2018-05-12 @ Grindavik D 1-151.8 1312 1263 37.67% 28.92% 33.41%+0.11 -0.4 4
2018-05-13 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-352.4 1270 1314 34.25% 28.92% 36.83%-0.07 -16.3 2
2018-05-13 @ Fjolnir W 3-252.4 1314 1270 36.83% 28.92% 34.25%+0.07 +16.3 6
2018-05-13 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-258.3 1371 1276 52.15% 27.91% 19.93%+0.78 -2.6 5
2018-05-13 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-258.3 1276 1371 19.93% 27.91% 52.15%-0.78 +2.6 4
2018-05-14 Vikingur Reykjavik D 3-362.0 1340 1276 48.50% 28.35% 23.15%+0.59 -1.7 2
2018-05-14 @ Stjarnan D 3-362.0 1276 1340 23.15% 28.35% 48.50%-0.59 +1.7 5
2018-05-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-142.9 1278 1204 49.75% 28.21% 22.03%+0.65 +12.3 7
2018-05-17 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-242.9 1204 1278 22.03% 28.21% 49.75%-0.65 -12.3 1
2018-05-17 KA Akureyri W 3-141.7 1330 1285 46.26% 28.54% 25.20%+0.47 +23.7 9
2018-05-17 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-341.7 1285 1330 25.20% 28.54% 46.26%-0.47 -23.7 4
2018-05-18 Breidablik D 1-152.8 1312 1377 31.29% 28.87% 39.84%-0.21 +0.8 5
2018-05-18 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-152.8 1377 1312 39.84% 28.87% 31.29%+0.21 -0.9 10
2018-05-18 Fjolnir L 1-245.6 1186 1254 30.97% 28.86% 40.17%-0.22 -16.0 1
2018-05-18 @ Keflavik IF W 2-145.6 1254 1186 40.17% 28.86% 30.97%+0.22 +16.0 5
2018-05-18 Grindavik L 0-144.1 1278 1263 42.35% 28.78% 28.87%+0.28 -21.3 5
2018-05-18 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-044.1 1263 1278 28.87% 28.78% 42.35%-0.28 +21.3 7
2018-05-18 Stjarnan D 2-258.7 1369 1338 44.43% 28.67% 26.90%+0.38 -1.3 6
2018-05-18 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-258.7 1338 1369 26.90% 28.67% 44.43%-0.38 +1.3 3
2018-05-21 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-047.7 1192 1354 20.19% 27.95% 51.86%-0.80 +3.8 2
2018-05-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-047.7 1354 1192 51.86% 27.95% 20.19%+0.80 -3.8 10
2018-05-21 KR Reykjavik D 1-151.8 1270 1313 34.32% 28.93% 36.75%-0.07 +0.2 6
2018-05-21 @ Fjolnir D 1-151.8 1313 1270 36.75% 28.93% 34.32%+0.07 -0.2 6
2018-05-22 Keflavik IF D 0-047.3 1261 1170 51.67% 27.98% 20.35%+0.76 -3.8 5
2018-05-22 @ KA Akureyri D 0-047.3 1170 1261 20.35% 27.98% 51.67%-0.76 +3.7 2
2018-05-23 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-034.0 1339 1290 46.76% 28.50% 24.74%+0.50 +39.1 6
2018-05-23 @ Stjarnan L 0-334.0 1290 1339 24.74% 28.50% 46.76%-0.50 -39.1 7
2018-05-23 Valur Reykjavik W 2-150.1 1285 1367 29.02% 28.79% 42.19%-0.31 +20.0 10
2018-05-23 @ Grindavik L 1-250.1 1367 1285 42.19% 28.79% 29.02%+0.31 -20.0 6
2018-05-23 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-048.4 1376 1257 54.71% 27.51% 17.78%+0.93 -4.5 11
2018-05-23 @ Breidablik D 0-048.4 1257 1376 17.78% 27.51% 54.71%-0.93 +4.5 6
2018-05-27 Breidablik W 2-148.5 1347 1372 36.95% 28.92% 34.13%+0.04 +17.1 9
2018-05-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-248.5 1372 1347 34.13% 28.92% 36.95%-0.04 -17.1 11
2018-05-27 Fjolnir L 1-248.4 1261 1270 39.16% 28.89% 31.95%+0.14 -18.9 6
2018-05-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-148.4 1270 1261 31.95% 28.89% 39.16%-0.14 +18.9 9
2018-05-27 Grindavik D 1-152.9 1379 1305 49.71% 28.22% 22.07%+0.65 -2.9 7
2018-05-27 @ Stjarnan D 1-152.9 1305 1379 22.07% 28.22% 49.71%-0.65 +2.9 11
2018-05-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-344.6 1174 1195 37.41% 28.92% 33.67%+0.06 -31.7 2
2018-05-27 @ Keflavik IF W 3-144.6 1195 1174 33.67% 28.92% 37.41%-0.06 +31.7 5
2018-05-27 KA Akureyri W 2-035.4 1313 1258 47.49% 28.44% 24.07%+0.53 +26.4 9
2018-05-27 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-235.4 1258 1313 24.07% 28.44% 47.49%-0.53 -26.4 5
2018-05-28 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.3 1350 1251 52.49% 27.86% 19.64%+0.80 -3.5 11
2018-05-28 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.3 1251 1350 19.64% 27.86% 52.49%-0.80 +3.5 8
2018-06-03 KR Reykjavik W 2-042.0 1227 1339 25.46% 28.57% 45.98%-0.49 +43.0 8
2018-06-03 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-242.0 1339 1227 45.98% 28.57% 25.46%+0.49 -43.0 9
2018-06-03 Stjarnan L 0-144.4 1355 1376 37.49% 28.92% 33.59%+0.07 -19.4 11
2018-06-03 @ Breidablik W 1-044.4 1376 1355 33.59% 28.92% 37.49%-0.07 +19.4 10
2018-06-03 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-140.8 1231 1242 38.90% 28.90% 32.21%+0.13 +40.2 8
2018-06-03 @ KA Akureyri L 1-440.8 1242 1231 32.21% 28.90% 38.90%-0.13 -40.2 6
2018-06-04 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-144.0 1308 1255 47.23% 28.46% 24.31%+0.52 +13.3 14
2018-06-04 @ Grindavik L 1-244.0 1255 1308 24.31% 28.46% 47.23%-0.52 -13.3 8
2018-06-04 Keflavik IF D 2-258.0 1346 1142 62.39% 25.69% 11.92%+1.45 -4.3 12
2018-06-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.0 1142 1346 11.92% 25.69% 62.39%-1.45 +4.3 3
2018-06-04 Valur Reykjavik L 0-237.9 1289 1364 29.95% 28.83% 41.22%-0.27 -31.2 9
2018-06-04 @ Fjolnir W 2-037.9 1364 1289 41.22% 28.83% 29.95%+0.27 +31.2 12
2018-06-08 Keflavik IF W 2-033.4 1242 1147 52.08% 27.92% 20.00%+0.78 +22.7 11
2018-06-08 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-233.4 1147 1242 20.00% 27.92% 52.08%-0.78 -22.7 3
2018-06-09 Breidablik L 0-240.5 1321 1335 38.41% 28.90% 32.69%+0.11 -37.3 14
2018-06-09 @ Grindavik W 2-040.5 1335 1321 32.69% 28.90% 38.41%-0.11 +37.3 14
2018-06-09 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-148.5 1202 1270 30.88% 28.86% 40.26%-0.22 +19.3 9
2018-06-09 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-248.5 1270 1202 40.26% 28.86% 30.88%+0.22 -19.3 8
2018-06-09 KA Akureyri W 3-139.5 1395 1272 55.12% 27.44% 17.44%+0.96 +17.5 15
2018-06-09 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-339.5 1272 1395 17.44% 27.44% 55.12%-0.96 -17.5 8
2018-06-10 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-257.9 1296 1342 33.91% 28.92% 37.17%-0.09 +0.2 10
2018-06-10 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-257.9 1342 1296 37.17% 28.92% 33.91%+0.09 -0.2 13
2018-06-10 Fjolnir W 6-134.4 1395 1258 56.45% 27.19% 16.37%+1.04 +37.0 13
2018-06-10 @ Stjarnan L 1-634.4 1258 1395 16.37% 27.19% 56.45%-1.04 -37.0 9
2018-06-13 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-034.0 1373 1264 53.53% 27.71% 18.76%+0.86 +21.5 17
2018-06-13 @ Breidablik L 0-234.0 1264 1373 18.76% 27.71% 53.53%-0.86 -21.5 11
2018-06-13 Valur Reykjavik L 0-138.1 1251 1413 20.18% 27.95% 51.87%-0.80 -12.1 8
2018-06-13 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-038.1 1413 1251 51.87% 27.95% 20.18%+0.80 +12.1 18
2018-06-14 Grindavik L 0-140.8 1221 1284 31.60% 28.88% 39.52%-0.19 -17.2 9
2018-06-14 @ Fjolnir W 1-040.8 1284 1221 39.52% 28.88% 31.60%+0.19 +17.2 17
2018-06-14 KR Reykjavik L 0-430.8 1124 1296 19.23% 27.79% 52.98%-0.87 -41.7 3
2018-06-14 @ Keflavik IF W 4-030.8 1296 1124 52.98% 27.79% 19.23%+0.87 +41.7 13
2018-06-14 Stjarnan L 1-243.1 1254 1432 18.72% 27.70% 53.58%-0.90 -10.7 8
2018-06-14 @ KA Akureyri W 2-143.1 1432 1254 53.58% 27.70% 18.72%+0.90 +10.7 16
2018-06-14 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-031.2 1342 1221 54.80% 27.50% 17.71%+0.94 +29.7 16
2018-06-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-331.2 1221 1342 17.71% 27.50% 54.80%-0.94 -29.8 9
2018-06-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-140.4 1443 1239 62.40% 25.69% 11.91%+1.45 +7.1 19
2018-06-19 @ Stjarnan L 1-240.4 1239 1443 11.91% 25.69% 62.40%-1.45 -7.1 8
2018-06-20 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-146.8 1425 1372 47.30% 28.46% 24.24%+0.52 +13.3 21
2018-06-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-246.8 1372 1425 24.24% 28.46% 47.30%-0.52 -13.2 16
2018-07-01 Breidablik D 0-048.2 1243 1394 21.28% 28.11% 50.61%-0.73 +3.5 9
2018-07-01 @ KA Akureyri D 0-048.2 1394 1243 50.61% 28.11% 21.28%+0.73 -3.5 18
2018-07-01 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-147.2 1204 1243 34.89% 28.93% 36.18%-0.05 +17.9 12
2018-07-01 @ Fjolnir L 1-247.2 1243 1204 36.18% 28.93% 34.89%+0.05 -17.9 11
2018-07-01 Grindavik W 3-038.2 1232 1301 30.75% 28.86% 40.40%-0.23 +56.3 11
2018-07-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-338.2 1301 1232 40.40% 28.86% 30.75%+0.23 -56.3 17
2018-07-01 Valur Reykjavik L 0-228.8 1082 1438 8.09% 23.40% 68.51%-2.00 -9.6 3
2018-07-01 @ Keflavik IF W 2-028.8 1438 1082 68.51% 23.40% 8.09%+2.00 +9.6 24
2018-07-01 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-148.0 1338 1192 57.34% 27.00% 15.66%+1.10 -27.7 13
2018-07-01 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-048.0 1192 1338 15.66% 27.00% 57.34%-1.10 +27.7 12
2018-07-02 Stjarnan L 2-353.4 1358 1450 27.89% 28.73% 43.38%-0.37 -14.0 16
2018-07-02 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-253.4 1450 1358 43.38% 28.73% 27.89%+0.37 +14.0 22
2018-07-05 Fjolnir W 2-036.1 1247 1221 43.77% 28.71% 27.52%+0.35 +29.2 12
2018-07-05 @ KA Akureyri L 0-236.1 1221 1247 27.52% 28.71% 43.77%-0.35 -29.2 12
2018-07-05 Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.0 1310 1448 22.63% 28.29% 49.08%-0.65 +2.8 14
2018-07-05 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.0 1448 1310 49.08% 28.29% 22.63%+0.65 -2.8 25
2018-07-07 Breidablik D 0-048.5 1288 1391 26.53% 28.65% 44.83%-0.44 +2.1 12
2018-07-07 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-048.5 1391 1288 44.83% 28.65% 26.53%+0.44 -2.1 19
2018-07-07 Grindavik W 2-142.5 1344 1244 52.62% 27.85% 19.53%+0.81 +11.1 19
2018-07-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-242.5 1244 1344 19.53% 27.85% 52.62%-0.81 -11.1 17
2018-07-07 Stjarnan L 0-228.2 1073 1464 6.87% 22.33% 70.80%-2.21 -8.0 3
2018-07-07 @ Keflavik IF W 2-028.2 1464 1073 70.80% 22.33% 6.87%+2.21 +8.0 25
2018-07-09 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-353.9 1225 1219 41.16% 28.83% 30.01%+0.23 -18.7 11
2018-07-09 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-253.9 1219 1225 30.01% 28.83% 41.16%-0.23 +18.7 15
2018-07-12 KA Akureyri L 1-246.9 1233 1276 34.38% 28.93% 36.69%-0.07 -17.2 17
2018-07-12 @ Grindavik W 2-146.9 1276 1233 36.69% 28.93% 34.38%+0.07 +17.2 15
2018-07-13 Keflavik IF W 1-034.3 1238 1065 59.77% 26.43% 13.80%+1.26 +8.7 18
2018-07-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-134.3 1065 1238 13.80% 26.43% 59.77%-1.26 -8.7 3
2018-07-16 Fjolnir W 2-139.7 1389 1192 61.75% 25.88% 12.36%+1.40 +7.4 22
2018-07-16 @ Breidablik L 1-239.7 1192 1389 12.36% 25.88% 61.75%-1.40 -7.4 12
2018-07-16 KR Reykjavik L 2-541.9 1206 1313 26.03% 28.61% 45.36%-0.46 -29.7 11
2018-07-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-241.9 1313 1206 45.36% 28.61% 26.03%+0.46 +29.7 17
2018-07-22 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-141.0 1396 1355 45.69% 28.59% 25.72%+0.44 +34.0 25
2018-07-22 @ Breidablik L 1-441.0 1355 1396 25.72% 28.59% 45.69%-0.44 -34.0 19
2018-07-22 Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-134.7 1293 1176 54.41% 27.56% 18.03%+0.91 +32.9 18
2018-07-22 @ KA Akureyri L 1-534.7 1176 1293 18.03% 27.56% 54.41%-0.91 -32.9 11
2018-07-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-151.5 1185 1290 26.25% 28.63% 45.13%-0.45 +1.9 13
2018-07-22 @ Fjolnir D 1-151.5 1290 1185 45.13% 28.63% 26.25%+0.45 -1.9 13
2018-07-22 Stjarnan W 1-049.1 1343 1472 23.53% 28.39% 48.08%-0.60 +23.7 20
2018-07-22 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-149.1 1472 1343 48.08% 28.39% 23.53%+0.60 -23.7 25
2018-07-22 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-135.3 1445 1246 61.94% 25.83% 12.23%+1.42 +17.9 28
2018-07-22 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-435.3 1246 1445 12.23% 25.83% 61.94%-1.42 -17.9 18
2018-07-23 Keflavik IF W 3-029.4 1216 1056 58.61% 26.72% 14.67%+1.18 +25.2 20
2018-07-23 @ Grindavik L 0-329.4 1056 1216 14.67% 26.72% 58.61%-1.18 -25.2 3
2018-07-29 KA Akureyri W 2-147.9 1288 1326 35.03% 28.93% 36.04%-0.04 +17.8 16
2018-07-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-247.9 1326 1288 36.04% 28.93% 35.03%+0.04 -17.8 18
2018-07-29 Stjarnan L 0-430.8 1229 1448 15.36% 26.92% 57.71%-1.16 -34.3 18
2018-07-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-030.8 1448 1229 57.71% 26.92% 15.36%+1.16 +34.3 28
2018-07-30 Breidablik L 1-333.4 1031 1430 6.63% 22.08% 71.29%-2.26 -6.7 3
2018-07-30 @ Keflavik IF W 3-133.4 1430 1031 71.29% 22.08% 6.63%+2.26 +6.7 28
2018-07-30 Fjolnir W 1-035.8 1321 1187 56.20% 27.24% 16.56%+1.02 +10.2 22
2018-07-30 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-135.8 1187 1321 16.56% 27.24% 56.20%-1.02 -10.2 13
2018-07-30 Grindavik W 2-033.3 1367 1241 55.26% 27.41% 17.33%+0.96 +20.1 23
2018-07-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-233.3 1241 1367 17.33% 27.41% 55.26%-0.96 -20.1 20
2018-07-30 Valur Reykjavik D 0-049.1 1144 1463 9.59% 24.46% 65.95%-1.77 +7.3 12
2018-07-30 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-049.1 1463 1144 65.95% 24.46% 9.59%+1.77 -7.3 29
2018-08-04 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-148.0 1306 1151 58.13% 26.83% 15.04%+1.15 -28.0 16
2018-08-04 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-048.0 1151 1306 15.04% 26.83% 58.13%-1.15 +28.0 15
2018-08-07 KR Reykjavik W 1-042.3 1437 1387 46.88% 28.49% 24.63%+0.50 +14.2 31
2018-08-07 @ Breidablik L 0-142.3 1387 1437 24.63% 28.49% 46.88%-0.50 -14.2 23
2018-08-08 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.3 1308 1332 37.14% 28.92% 33.94%+0.05 -0.3 19
2018-08-08 @ KA Akureyri D 1-152.3 1332 1308 33.94% 28.92% 37.14%-0.05 +0.3 23
2018-08-08 Keflavik IF D 0-047.4 1177 1024 57.89% 26.88% 15.23%+1.13 -5.3 14
2018-08-08 @ Fjolnir D 0-047.4 1024 1177 15.23% 26.88% 57.89%-1.13 +5.3 4
2018-08-08 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-144.5 1221 1194 43.97% 28.70% 27.33%+0.36 +14.5 23
2018-08-08 @ Grindavik L 1-244.5 1194 1221 27.33% 28.70% 43.97%-0.36 -14.5 18
2018-08-12 Fjolnir D 0-048.3 1372 1171 62.15% 25.76% 12.08%+1.43 -6.4 24
2018-08-12 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-048.3 1171 1372 12.08% 25.76% 62.15%-1.43 +6.4 15
2018-08-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-242.6 1332 1278 47.39% 28.45% 24.16%+0.53 -44.1 23
2018-08-12 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-042.6 1278 1332 24.16% 28.45% 47.39%-0.53 +44.1 19
2018-08-12 KA Akureyri L 0-328.2 1029 1308 11.62% 25.56% 62.82%-1.52 -20.2 4
2018-08-12 @ Keflavik IF W 3-028.2 1308 1029 62.82% 25.56% 11.62%+1.52 +20.2 22
2018-08-12 Stjarnan L 0-230.9 1179 1483 10.32% 24.90% 64.78%-1.67 -12.4 15
2018-08-12 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-030.9 1483 1179 64.78% 24.90% 10.32%+1.67 +12.4 31
2018-08-13 Breidablik L 2-345.1 1180 1451 12.04% 25.75% 62.21%-1.47 -6.8 18
2018-08-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-245.1 1451 1180 62.21% 25.75% 12.04%+1.47 +6.8 34
2018-08-13 Grindavik W 4-029.2 1456 1236 63.66% 25.28% 11.06%+1.55 +25.1 32
2018-08-13 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-429.2 1236 1456 11.06% 25.28% 63.66%-1.55 -25.1 23
2018-08-18 Keflavik IF W 1-031.2 1322 1009 70.20% 22.62% 7.18%+2.12 +4.5 22
2018-08-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-131.2 1009 1322 7.18% 22.62% 70.20%-2.12 -4.5 4
2018-08-19 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-151.5 1166 1288 24.37% 28.47% 47.16%-0.55 +2.4 16
2018-08-19 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-151.5 1288 1166 47.16% 28.47% 24.37%+0.55 -2.4 24
2018-08-19 KR Reykjavik L 0-143.2 1328 1366 35.08% 28.93% 35.99%-0.04 -18.5 22
2018-08-19 @ KA Akureyri W 1-043.2 1366 1328 35.99% 28.93% 35.08%+0.04 +18.5 27
2018-08-19 Stjarnan D 2-259.7 1211 1495 11.31% 25.41% 63.28%-1.55 +4.4 24
2018-08-19 @ Grindavik D 2-259.7 1495 1211 63.28% 25.41% 11.31%+1.55 -4.4 32
2018-08-20 Valur Reykjavik L 1-352.1 1458 1481 37.17% 28.92% 33.91%+0.05 -31.6 34
2018-08-20 @ Breidablik W 3-152.1 1481 1458 33.91% 28.92% 37.17%-0.05 +31.5 35
2018-08-20 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-256.8 1178 1173 41.02% 28.84% 30.14%+0.22 -0.8 16
2018-08-20 @ Fjolnir D 2-256.8 1173 1178 30.14% 28.84% 41.02%-0.22 +0.8 19
2018-08-25 Breidablik W 2-149.8 1491 1426 48.61% 28.34% 23.05%+0.59 +12.7 35
2018-08-25 @ Stjarnan L 1-249.8 1426 1491 23.05% 28.34% 48.61%-0.59 -12.7 34
2018-08-25 Fjolnir W 5-340.8 1512 1177 71.64% 21.91% 6.46%+2.26 +5.5 38
2018-08-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 3-540.8 1177 1512 6.46% 21.91% 71.64%-2.26 -5.5 16
2018-08-25 KA Akureyri D 2-257.2 1174 1310 22.80% 28.31% 48.89%-0.64 +2.0 20
2018-08-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-257.2 1310 1174 48.89% 28.31% 22.80%+0.64 -2.0 23
2018-08-26 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-335.7 1005 1286 11.50% 25.50% 63.00%-1.53 -11.9 4
2018-08-26 @ Keflavik IF W 3-135.7 1286 1005 63.00% 25.50% 11.50%+1.53 +11.9 27
2018-08-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-139.7 1385 1326 47.87% 28.41% 23.72%+0.55 +31.9 30
2018-08-26 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-439.7 1326 1385 23.72% 28.41% 47.87%-0.55 -31.9 22
2018-08-27 Grindavik W 3-144.5 1169 1215 33.88% 28.92% 37.20%-0.09 +31.6 19
2018-08-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-344.5 1215 1169 37.20% 28.92% 33.88%+0.09 -31.6 24
2018-08-29 Valur Reykjavik D 1-161.8 1503 1518 38.37% 28.91% 32.72%+0.11 -0.6 36
2018-08-29 @ Stjarnan D 1-161.8 1518 1503 32.72% 28.91% 38.37%-0.11 +0.6 39
2018-08-31 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-240.5 993 1200 16.28% 27.17% 56.56%-1.08 -9.5 4
2018-08-31 @ Keflavik IF W 2-140.5 1200 993 56.56% 27.17% 16.28%+1.08 +9.5 22
2018-09-02 Grindavik D 1-153.1 1413 1184 64.42% 25.02% 10.55%+1.61 -6.2 35
2018-09-02 @ Breidablik D 1-153.1 1184 1413 10.55% 25.02% 64.42%-1.61 +6.2 25
2018-09-02 KR Reykjavik W 4-041.2 1298 1416 24.65% 28.50% 46.85%-0.54 +82.8 30
2018-09-02 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-441.2 1416 1298 46.85% 28.50% 24.65%+0.54 -82.8 30
2018-09-02 Stjarnan L 1-336.0 1171 1503 9.07% 24.12% 66.80%-1.84 -9.4 16
2018-09-02 @ Fjolnir W 3-136.0 1503 1171 66.80% 24.12% 9.07%+1.84 +9.4 39
2018-09-02 Valur Reykjavik D 3-365.6 1308 1518 16.03% 27.10% 56.87%-1.10 +2.8 24
2018-09-02 @ KA Akureyri D 3-365.6 1518 1308 56.87% 27.10% 16.03%+1.10 -2.8 40
2018-09-02 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-151.8 1294 1176 54.60% 27.53% 17.87%+0.92 -4.0 23
2018-09-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-151.8 1176 1294 17.87% 27.53% 54.60%-0.92 +4.0 21
2018-09-16 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.2 1180 1380 16.83% 27.30% 55.87%-1.04 +4.3 22
2018-09-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1380 1180 55.87% 27.30% 16.83%+1.04 -4.3 31
2018-09-16 Fjolnir L 0-144.1 1190 1162 44.08% 28.69% 27.23%+0.37 -22.0 25
2018-09-16 @ Grindavik W 1-044.1 1162 1190 27.23% 28.69% 44.08%-0.37 +22.0 19
2018-09-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-135.2 1516 1290 64.06% 25.15% 10.79%+1.58 +20.4 43
2018-09-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-535.2 1290 1516 10.79% 25.15% 64.06%-1.58 -20.4 23
2018-09-16 Keflavik IF W 3-132.9 1334 983 72.53% 21.44% 6.03%+2.35 +6.0 33
2018-09-16 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-332.9 983 1334 6.03% 21.44% 72.53%-2.35 -6.0 4
2018-09-19 Breidablik L 0-331.3 1210 1407 17.09% 27.36% 55.55%-1.02 -28.9 22
2018-09-19 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-031.3 1407 1210 55.55% 27.36% 17.09%+1.02 +28.8 38
2018-09-19 KA Akureyri D 1-156.1 1512 1310 62.19% 25.75% 12.06%+1.43 -5.7 40
2018-09-19 @ Stjarnan D 1-156.1 1310 1512 12.06% 25.75% 62.19%-1.43 +5.7 25
2018-09-23 Breidablik L 0-231.8 1184 1436 13.17% 26.21% 60.62%-1.36 -15.7 19
2018-09-23 @ Fjolnir W 2-031.8 1436 1184 60.62% 26.21% 13.17%+1.36 +15.7 41
2018-09-23 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1340 1181 58.46% 26.75% 14.79%+1.17 -4.9 34
2018-09-23 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1181 1340 14.79% 26.75% 58.46%-1.17 +4.9 23
2018-09-23 Grindavik W 4-348.7 1316 1168 57.52% 26.96% 15.51%+1.11 +8.4 28
2018-09-23 @ KA Akureyri L 3-448.7 1168 1316 15.51% 26.96% 57.52%-1.11 -8.4 25
2018-09-23 Stjarnan W 2-156.3 1270 1506 14.20% 26.56% 59.24%-1.26 +26.9 26
2018-09-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-256.3 1506 1270 59.24% 26.56% 14.20%+1.26 -26.9 40
2018-09-23 Valur Reykjavik W 2-158.1 1376 1536 20.38% 27.98% 51.63%-0.79 +23.7 34
2018-09-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-258.1 1536 1376 51.63% 27.98% 20.38%+0.79 -23.7 43
2018-09-23 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-429.6 977 1184 16.34% 27.18% 56.48%-1.08 -36.2 4
2018-09-23 @ Keflavik IF W 4-029.6 1184 977 56.48% 27.18% 16.34%+1.08 +36.2 25
2018-09-29 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-151.5 1479 1400 50.39% 28.14% 21.47%+0.69 -24.6 40
2018-09-29 @ Stjarnan W 1-051.5 1400 1479 21.47% 28.14% 50.39%-0.69 +24.6 37
2018-09-29 Fjolnir W 7-036.0 1186 1168 42.76% 28.76% 28.47%+0.30 +96.4 26
2018-09-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-736.0 1168 1186 28.47% 28.76% 42.76%-0.30 -96.5 19
2018-09-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-540.6 1159 1297 22.62% 28.29% 49.09%-0.65 -26.6 25
2018-09-29 @ Grindavik W 5-240.6 1297 1159 49.09% 28.29% 22.62%+0.65 +26.6 29
2018-09-29 KA Akureyri W 4-033.0 1452 1325 55.45% 27.38% 17.17%+0.98 +37.8 44
2018-09-29 @ Breidablik L 0-433.0 1325 1452 17.17% 27.38% 55.45%-0.98 -37.8 28
2018-09-29 Keflavik IF W 4-127.3 1512 941 83.44% 14.43% 2.14%+3.71 +2.6 46
2018-09-29 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-427.3 941 1512 2.14% 14.43% 83.44%-3.71 -2.6 4
2018-09-29 KR Reykjavik L 2-349.4 1220 1335 25.17% 28.54% 46.29%-0.51 -13.0 25
2018-09-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-249.4 1335 1220 46.29% 28.54% 25.17%+0.51 +13.0 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-09-23 14.20% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1270 2 Stjarnan 1506 1
2 2018-08-04 15.04% Fylkir Reykjavik 1151 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1306 0
3 2018-07-01 15.66% Vikingur Reykjavik 1192 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1338 0
4 2018-09-23 20.38% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1376 2 Valur Reykjavik 1536 1
5 2018-09-29 21.47% FH Hafnarfjordur 1400 1 @ Stjarnan 1479 0
6 2018-05-06 22.41% KR Reykjavik 1291 3 @ Stjarnan 1361 2
7 2018-07-22 23.53% @ KR Reykjavik 1343 1 Stjarnan 1472 0
8 2018-08-12 24.16% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1278 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1332 0
9 2018-09-02 24.65% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1298 4 KR Reykjavik 1416 0
10 2018-06-03 25.46% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1227 2 KR Reykjavik 1339 0
11 2018-09-16 27.23% Fjolnir 1162 1 @ Grindavik 1190 0
12 2018-05-07 28.82% Breidablik 1334 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1349 1
13 2018-05-18 28.87% Grindavik 1263 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1278 0
14 2018-05-23 29.02% @ Grindavik 1285 2 Valur Reykjavik 1367 1
15 2018-05-07 29.20% Grindavik 1223 2 @ Keflavik IF 1235 0
16 2018-07-09 30.01% Vikingur Reykjavik 1219 3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1225 2
17 2018-07-01 30.75% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1232 3 Grindavik 1301 0
18 2018-06-09 30.88% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1202 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1270 1
19 2018-05-27 31.95% Fjolnir 1270 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1261 1
20 2018-06-09 32.69% Breidablik 1335 2 @ Grindavik 1321 0
21 2018-06-03 33.59% Stjarnan 1376 1 @ Breidablik 1355 0
22 2018-05-27 33.67% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1195 3 @ Keflavik IF 1174 1
23 2018-08-27 33.88% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1169 3 Grindavik 1215 1
24 2018-08-20 33.91% Valur Reykjavik 1481 3 @ Breidablik 1458 1
25 2018-07-01 34.89% @ Fjolnir 1204 2 Fylkir Reykjavik 1243 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-09-29 96.45 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 7 1186 42.76% Fjolnir 0 1168 28.47% 28.76%
2 2018-09-02 82.84 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1298 24.65% KR Reykjavik 0 1416 46.85% 28.50%
3 2018-07-01 56.31 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1232 30.75% Grindavik 0 1301 40.40% 28.86%
4 2018-08-12 44.09 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1278 24.16% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1332 47.39% 28.45%
5 2018-06-03 42.99 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1227 25.46% KR Reykjavik 0 1339 45.98% 28.57%
6 2018-06-14 41.69 KR Reykjavik 4 1296 52.98% @ Keflavik IF 0 1124 19.23% 27.79%
7 2018-06-03 40.24 @ KA Akureyri 4 1231 38.90% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1242 32.21% 28.90%
8 2018-05-07 39.96 Grindavik 2 1223 29.20% @ Keflavik IF 0 1235 42.00% 28.80%
9 2018-05-23 39.13 @ Stjarnan 3 1339 46.76% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1290 24.74% 28.50%
10 2018-09-29 37.84 @ Breidablik 4 1452 55.45% KA Akureyri 0 1325 17.17% 27.38%
11 2018-06-09 37.32 Breidablik 2 1335 32.69% @ Grindavik 0 1321 38.41% 28.90%
12 2018-06-10 37.03 @ Stjarnan 6 1395 56.45% Fjolnir 1 1258 16.37% 27.19%
13 2018-09-23 36.23 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1184 56.48% @ Keflavik IF 0 977 16.34% 27.18%
14 2018-04-28 35.30 @ Breidablik 4 1298 44.31% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1269 27.01% 28.68%
15 2018-05-07 34.87 Breidablik 3 1334 28.82% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1349 42.41% 28.78%
16 2018-07-29 34.30 Stjarnan 4 1448 57.71% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1229 15.36% 26.92%
17 2018-07-22 34.01 @ Breidablik 4 1396 45.69% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1355 25.72% 28.59%
18 2018-07-22 32.89 @ KA Akureyri 5 1293 54.41% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1176 18.03% 27.56%
19 2018-08-26 31.93 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1385 47.87% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1326 23.72% 28.41%
20 2018-05-27 31.69 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1195 33.67% @ Keflavik IF 1 1174 37.41% 28.92%
21 2018-08-27 31.56 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1169 33.88% Grindavik 1 1215 37.20% 28.92%
22 2018-08-20 31.55 Valur Reykjavik 3 1481 33.91% @ Breidablik 1 1458 37.17% 28.92%
23 2018-06-04 31.15 Valur Reykjavik 2 1364 41.22% @ Fjolnir 0 1289 29.95% 28.83%
24 2018-06-14 29.75 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1342 54.80% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1221 17.71% 27.50%
25 2018-07-16 29.73 KR Reykjavik 5 1313 45.36% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1206 26.03% 28.61%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-09-02 65.6 @ KA Akureyri 3 1308 16.03% Valur Reykjavik 3 1518 56.87% 27.10%
2 2018-05-14 62.0 @ Stjarnan 3 1340 48.50% Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1276 23.15% 28.35%
3 2018-08-29 61.8 @ Stjarnan 1 1503 38.37% Valur Reykjavik 1 1518 32.72% 28.91%
4 2018-08-19 59.7 @ Grindavik 2 1211 11.31% Stjarnan 2 1495 63.28% 25.41%
5 2018-05-18 58.7 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1369 44.43% Stjarnan 2 1338 26.90% 28.67%
6 2018-05-13 58.3 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1371 52.15% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1276 19.93% 27.91%
7 2018-04-27 58.1 @ Stjarnan 2 1365 56.02% Keflavik IF 2 1232 16.71% 27.27%
8 2018-09-23 58.1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1376 20.38% Valur Reykjavik 1 1536 51.63% 27.98%
9 2018-06-04 58.0 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1346 62.39% Keflavik IF 2 1142 11.92% 25.69%
10 2018-06-10 57.9 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1296 33.91% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1342 37.17% 28.92%
11 2018-04-28 57.3 @ Fjolnir 2 1271 40.33% KA Akureyri 2 1271 30.81% 28.86%
12 2018-05-06 57.2 KR Reykjavik 3 1291 22.41% @ Stjarnan 2 1361 49.33% 28.26%
13 2018-08-25 57.2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1174 22.80% KA Akureyri 2 1310 48.89% 28.31%
14 2018-08-20 56.8 @ Fjolnir 2 1178 41.02% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1173 30.14% 28.84%
15 2018-09-23 56.3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1270 14.20% Stjarnan 1 1506 59.24% 26.56%
16 2018-09-19 56.1 @ Stjarnan 1 1512 62.19% KA Akureyri 1 1310 12.06% 25.75%
17 2018-07-05 54.0 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1310 22.63% Valur Reykjavik 1 1448 49.08% 28.29%
18 2018-07-09 53.9 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1219 30.01% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1225 41.16% 28.83%
19 2018-07-02 53.4 Stjarnan 3 1450 43.38% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1358 27.89% 28.73%
20 2018-09-02 53.1 @ Breidablik 1 1413 64.42% Grindavik 1 1184 10.55% 25.02%
21 2018-05-27 52.9 @ Stjarnan 1 1379 49.71% Grindavik 1 1305 22.07% 28.22%
22 2018-05-18 52.8 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1312 31.29% Breidablik 1 1377 39.84% 28.87%
23 2018-05-13 52.4 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1314 36.83% @ Fjolnir 2 1270 34.25% 28.92%
24 2018-05-28 52.3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1350 52.49% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1251 19.64% 27.86%
25 2018-08-08 52.3 @ KA Akureyri 1 1308 37.14% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1332 33.94% 28.92%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-09-29 27.3 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1512 83.44% Keflavik IF 1 941 2.14% 14.43%
2 2018-07-07 28.2 Stjarnan 2 1464 70.80% @ Keflavik IF 0 1073 6.87% 22.33%
3 2018-08-12 28.2 KA Akureyri 3 1308 62.82% @ Keflavik IF 0 1029 11.62% 25.56%
4 2018-07-01 28.8 Valur Reykjavik 2 1438 68.51% @ Keflavik IF 0 1082 8.09% 23.40%
5 2018-08-13 29.2 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1456 63.66% Grindavik 0 1236 11.06% 25.28%
6 2018-07-23 29.4 @ Grindavik 3 1216 58.61% Keflavik IF 0 1056 14.67% 26.72%
7 2018-09-23 29.6 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1184 56.48% @ Keflavik IF 0 977 16.34% 27.18%
8 2018-06-14 30.8 KR Reykjavik 4 1296 52.98% @ Keflavik IF 0 1124 19.23% 27.79%
9 2018-07-29 30.8 Stjarnan 4 1448 57.71% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1229 15.36% 26.92%
10 2018-08-12 30.9 Stjarnan 2 1483 64.78% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1179 10.32% 24.90%
11 2018-06-14 31.2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1342 54.80% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1221 17.71% 27.50%
12 2018-08-18 31.2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1322 70.20% Keflavik IF 0 1009 7.18% 22.62%
13 2018-09-19 31.3 Breidablik 3 1407 55.55% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1210 17.09% 27.36%
14 2018-09-23 31.8 Breidablik 2 1436 60.62% @ Fjolnir 0 1184 13.17% 26.21%
15 2018-09-16 32.9 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1334 72.53% Keflavik IF 1 983 6.03% 21.44%
16 2018-09-29 33.0 @ Breidablik 4 1452 55.45% KA Akureyri 0 1325 17.17% 27.38%
17 2018-07-30 33.3 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1367 55.26% Grindavik 0 1241 17.33% 27.41%
18 2018-06-08 33.4 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1242 52.08% Keflavik IF 0 1147 20.00% 27.92%
19 2018-07-30 33.4 Breidablik 3 1430 71.29% @ Keflavik IF 1 1031 6.63% 22.08%
20 2018-05-23 34.0 @ Stjarnan 3 1339 46.76% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1290 24.74% 28.50%
21 2018-06-13 34.0 @ Breidablik 2 1373 53.53% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1264 18.76% 27.71%
22 2018-07-13 34.3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1238 59.77% Keflavik IF 0 1065 13.80% 26.43%
23 2018-06-10 34.4 @ Stjarnan 6 1395 56.45% Fjolnir 1 1258 16.37% 27.19%
24 2018-07-22 34.7 @ KA Akureyri 5 1293 54.41% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1176 18.03% 27.56%
25 2018-05-12 34.9 @ Breidablik 1 1369 59.81% Keflavik IF 0 1195 13.77% 26.42%