‹ ›

2017 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Valur Reykjavik

50 points · 9th Title

Last Title: 2007.0

Relegated

IA Akranes

17 pts

Vikingur Olafsvik · 22 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Valur Reykjavik

14.20 points above expected

50 points · 35.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IA Akranes

9.49 points below expected

17 points · 26.49 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valur Reykjavik Champion 22 15 5 2 50 43 20 +23 35.80 +14.20
2 Stjarnan 22 10 8 4 38 46 25 +21 38.15 -0.15
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 9 8 5 35 33 25 +8 36.97 -1.97
4 KR Reykjavik 22 8 7 7 31 31 29 +2 32.51 -1.51
5 Grindavik 22 9 4 9 31 31 39 -8 24.77 +6.23
6 Breidablik 22 9 3 10 30 34 35 -1 30.94 -0.94
7 KA Akureyri 22 7 8 7 29 37 31 +6 28.51 +0.49
8 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 7 6 9 27 32 36 -4 27.53 -0.53
9 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 7 4 11 25 32 38 -6 23.89 +1.11
10 Fjolnir 22 6 7 9 25 32 40 -8 29.83 -4.83
11 Vikingur Olafsvik Relegated 22 6 4 12 22 24 44 -20 23.07 -1.07
12 IA Akranes Relegated 22 3 8 11 17 28 41 -13 26.49 -9.49

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Valur Reykjavik 50 35.80 +14.20
2 Grindavik 31 24.77 +6.23
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 25 23.89 +1.11
4 KA Akureyri 29 28.51 +0.49
5 Stjarnan 38 38.15 -0.15

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 17 26.49 -9.49
2 Fjolnir 25 29.83 -4.83
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 35 36.97 -1.97
4 KR Reykjavik 31 32.51 -1.51
5 Vikingur Olafsvik 22 23.07 -1.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grindavik 3 May 22 – Jun 5 1 in 51
2 Stjarnan 4 May 7 – May 28 1 in 27
3 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 Jul 7 – Jul 17 1 in 21
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Jun 5 – Jun 15 1 in 15
5 Breidablik 3 May 21 – Jun 5 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stjarnan 3 Jun 4 – Jun 19 1 in 62
2 IA Akranes 4 Apr 30 – May 22 1 in 39
3 Grindavik 4 Jul 17 – Aug 9 1 in 38
4 Breidablik 3 May 1 – May 14 1 in 31
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 May 8 – May 21 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grindavik 7 May 22 – Jul 9 1 in 40
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 May 27 – Jul 10 1 in 28
3 Stjarnan 12 Jun 24 – Sep 17 1 in 26
4 IA Akranes 5 Sep 10 – Sep 30 1 in 20
5 KR Reykjavik 7 Jul 23 – Aug 31 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 9 Jun 24 – Aug 27 1 in 21
2 Stjarnan 5 Jun 4 – Jul 9 1 in 19
3 KR Reykjavik 5 May 22 – Jun 19 1 in 13
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 8 Jun 18 – Aug 16 1 in 13
5 Fjolnir 5 May 28 – Jun 24 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Valur Reykjavik 1458 50 +29 13 8.6 +4.4
Stjarnan 1447 38 +5 8 9.0 -1.0
FH Hafnarfjordur 1404 35 -9 7 9.2 -2.2
Grindavik 1257 31 +1 6 5.1 +0.9
KR Reykjavik 1359 31 -27 5 7.4 -2.4
Breidablik 1351 30 -13 6 6.8 -0.8
KA Akureyri 1311 29 -37 5 7.1 -2.1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1285 27 +0 5 5.7 -0.7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1304 25 +54 9 5.5 +3.5
Fjolnir 1308 25 -11 5 6.4 -1.4
Vikingur Olafsvik 1209 22 -18 3 4.7 -1.7
IA Akranes 1256 17 +22 7 5.6 +1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FJO GRI IA IV KA KR STJ VR VO VR
Breidablik —
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
3.22
2-0-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
2.76
0-0-2
2.31
0-0-2
2.40
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.05
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-0-1
3.32
—
0-0-2
3.44
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.73
0-2-0
3.50
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.82
0-1-1
4.12
1-1-0
3.62
Fjolnir
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
2.00
—
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.14
0-1-1
2.03
0-2-0
3.43
1-0-1
2.96
Grindavik
1-1-0
2.21
0-1-1
1.77
1-0-1
2.47
—
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
1.98
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
2.52
IA Akranes
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
1.99
1-1-0
2.31
0-0-2
2.75
—
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
1.96
0-2-0
1.75
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
3.08
0-2-0
2.52
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.79
—
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
1.93
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.38
KA Akureyri
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
1.95
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.11
—
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.12
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
2.85
KR Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.66
1-1-0
2.42
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
3.47
1-1-0
3.49
0-0-2
3.53
1-1-0
2.91
—
0-0-2
2.29
0-1-1
2.56
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.04
Stjarnan
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.39
0-2-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.14
—
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.98
0-1-1
3.69
Valur Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.61
2-0-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.69
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.73
—
2-0-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.54
Vikingur Olafsvik
0-0-2
2.19
1-1-0
1.40
0-2-0
2.01
2-0-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.35
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.21
0-0-2
2.03
1-0-1
1.53
0-0-2
2.05
—
0-0-2
2.25
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.91
0-2-0
2.91
0-1-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
1.77
0-0-2
1.93
2-0-0
3.19
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.64 +11.2
Allowed 0.79 -10.0
Differential 0.80 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%4.17%2.65%0.76%1.52%21.21%
16.06%10.61%10.61%3.79%1.14%—32.20%
24.17%10.61%9.85%2.65%1.89%—29.17%
32.65%3.79%2.65%—0.76%0.38%10.23%
40.76%1.14%1.89%0.76%0.76%—5.30%
5+1.52%——0.38%——1.89%
Total21.21%32.20%29.17%10.23%5.30%1.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.74
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%9.09%13.64%13.64%——40.91%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
34.55%—13.64%—4.55%—22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%36.36%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.59 -0.05
SD 1.18 1.10 1.46
CV 0.77 0.69 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
19.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
24.55%13.64%13.64%———31.82%
34.55%—————4.55%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%36.36%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.14 +0.36
SD 1.14 0.77 1.22
CV 0.76 0.68 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
14.55%9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
2—13.64%13.64%———27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%———4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%36.36%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.82 -0.36
SD 1.14 1.22 1.76
CV 0.79 0.67 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
19.09%4.55%18.18%4.55%——36.36%
2—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%40.91%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.77 -0.36
SD 1.14 1.23 1.73
CV 0.81 0.69 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%9.09%——4.55%36.36%
1—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
24.55%—13.64%13.64%9.09%—40.91%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%27.27%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.86 -0.59
SD 1.16 1.52 1.79
CV 0.91 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
19.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%
313.64%4.55%———4.55%22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%18.18%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.73 -0.27
SD 1.06 1.70 2.03
CV 0.73 0.98 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.41 +0.27
SD 1.64 1.18 1.86
CV 0.98 0.84 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%36.36%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.32 +0.09
SD 1.18 0.95 1.48
CV 0.84 0.72 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
14.55%13.64%13.64%———31.82%
29.09%4.55%22.73%———36.36%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total31.82%27.27%36.36%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.14 +0.95
SD 1.31 0.94 2.01
CV 0.62 0.83 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
113.64%18.18%4.55%———36.36%
29.09%22.73%————31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%50.00%13.64%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 0.91 +1.05
SD 1.46 0.81 1.46
CV 0.75 0.89 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%13.64%—4.55%31.82%
19.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
24.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%22.73%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 2.00 -0.91
SD 1.06 1.48 1.87
CV 0.98 0.74 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
24.55%22.73%13.64%4.55%4.55%—50.00%
3—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%50.00%18.18%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.64 -0.18
SD 0.96 1.14 1.30
CV 0.66 0.69 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valur Reykjavik 1458 50 35.80 +14.20 97.0% 20 26 30 35 40 47 54
Stjarnan 1447 38 38.15 -0.15 48.0% 21 27 34 39 43 48 51
FH Hafnarfjordur 1404 35 36.97 -1.97 40.0% 19 26 33 37 41 49 56
KR Reykjavik 1359 31 32.51 -1.51 41.0% 19 22 29 33 37 41 45
Breidablik 1351 30 30.94 -0.94 45.0% 16 20 28 31 35 40 42
KA Akureyri 1311 29 28.51 +0.49 60.0% 16 20 25 28 32 37 42
Fjolnir 1308 25 29.83 -4.83 23.0% 16 19 26 30 33 41 45
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1304 25 23.89 +1.11 63.0% 10 15 21 24 27 32 35
Vikingur Reykjavik 1285 27 27.53 -0.53 52.0% 17 19 24 27 31 37 41
Grindavik 1257 31 24.77 +6.23 86.0% 12 15 21 25 29 34 36
IA Akranes 1256 17 26.49 -9.49 6.0% 14 17 22 27 30 37 43
Vikingur Olafsvik 1209 22 23.07 -1.07 48.0% 13 14 19 23 26 32 40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.09%
Slight Edge
40.91%27.27%31.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 31.67 Elo pts.
171 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
25%
Valur Reykjavik, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.55/gm
Runaway
00.200.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.66 * Some Luck: 4.66 to 6.99 * Lucky: 6.99 to 9.32 * Wild Swing: 9.32 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.77 * Close: 1.77 to 2.66 * Off: 2.66 to 3.55 * Way Off: 3.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.17 * A Surprise: 1.17 to 1.87 * Several Surprises: 1.87 to 2.57 * Many Surprises: 2.57 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.50 points
Some Luck
05.8315
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Pinpoint
02.225
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Valur Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
IA Akranes
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.22

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 77.28
1.39
Moderate Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
63%
Even
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Clear Edge
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Very Even
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.77
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.40
Some Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.19
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Valur Reykjavik25.00%9.00%20.00%15.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Stjarnan37.00%20.00%16.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%—
FH Hafnarfjordur21.00%26.00%15.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%
KR Reykjavik4.00%20.00%12.00%13.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%—
Grindavik—1.00%1.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%13.00%14.00%6.00%14.00%13.00%21.00%
Breidablik6.00%8.00%7.00%16.00%13.00%15.00%8.00%10.00%3.00%7.00%2.00%5.00%
KA Akureyri2.00%1.00%10.00%6.00%11.00%8.00%17.00%14.00%15.00%7.00%8.00%1.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik—5.00%6.00%4.00%13.00%6.00%8.00%14.00%14.00%11.00%14.00%5.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar——1.00%3.00%3.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%18.00%15.00%19.00%
Fjolnir4.00%6.00%10.00%5.00%15.00%15.00%10.00%4.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik1.00%1.00%—3.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%12.00%16.00%19.00%30.00%
IA Akranes—3.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%14.00%15.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
FH Hafnarfjordur 99.00% 1.00%
Stjarnan 99.00% 1.00%
Valur Reykjavik 98.00% 2.00%
Breidablik 93.00% 7.00%
KR Reykjavik 93.00% 7.00%
KA Akureyri 91.00% 9.00%
Fjolnir 89.00% 11.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik 81.00% 19.00%
IA Akranes 74.00% 26.00%
Grindavik 66.00% 34.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 66.00% 34.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik 51.00% 49.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-04-30 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-446.5 1309 1395 28.30% 28.53% 43.17%-0.32 -10.3 0
2017-04-30 @ IA Akranes W 4-246.5 1395 1309 43.17% 28.53% 28.30%+0.32 +10.3 3
2017-04-30 Fjolnir D 0-047.8 1291 1350 31.75% 28.83% 39.42%-0.16 +0.4 1
2017-04-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-047.8 1350 1291 39.42% 28.83% 31.75%+0.16 -0.4 1
2017-04-30 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-034.6 1343 1291 46.95% 28.01% 25.04%+0.49 +12.1 3
2017-04-30 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-234.6 1291 1343 25.04% 28.01% 46.95%-0.49 -12.1 0
2017-05-01 KA Akureyri L 1-348.1 1370 1286 51.16% 27.15% 21.69%+0.68 -18.1 0
2017-05-01 @ Breidablik W 3-148.1 1286 1370 21.69% 27.15% 51.16%-0.68 +18.1 3
2017-05-01 Stjarnan D 2-257.7 1281 1363 28.86% 28.59% 42.55%-0.29 +0.5 1
2017-05-01 @ Grindavik D 2-257.7 1363 1281 42.55% 28.59% 28.86%+0.29 -0.5 1
2017-05-01 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-251.0 1369 1303 48.77% 27.67% 23.56%+0.57 -10.1 0
2017-05-01 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-151.0 1303 1369 23.56% 27.67% 48.77%-0.57 +10.1 3
2017-05-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-033.0 1362 1292 49.42% 27.54% 23.04%+0.60 +26.4 4
2017-05-07 @ Stjarnan L 0-533.0 1292 1362 23.04% 27.54% 49.42%-0.60 -26.4 1
2017-05-07 KR Reykjavik L 1-245.1 1279 1358 29.13% 28.62% 42.25%-0.28 -6.8 0
2017-05-07 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-145.1 1358 1279 42.25% 28.62% 29.13%+0.28 +6.8 3
2017-05-08 Breidablik W 1-041.3 1350 1352 39.71% 28.81% 31.48%+0.17 +7.7 4
2017-05-08 @ Fjolnir L 0-141.3 1352 1350 31.48% 28.81% 39.71%-0.17 -7.7 0
2017-05-08 Grindavik L 1-249.2 1313 1282 44.34% 28.39% 27.27%+0.37 -9.3 3
2017-05-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-149.2 1282 1313 27.27% 28.39% 44.34%-0.37 +9.3 4
2017-05-08 KA Akureyri D 2-259.0 1405 1304 53.18% 26.63% 20.19%+0.78 -1.2 4
2017-05-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-259.0 1304 1405 20.19% 26.63% 53.18%-0.78 +1.2 4
2017-05-08 Valur Reykjavik L 2-447.2 1298 1355 32.10% 28.85% 39.05%-0.14 -11.4 0
2017-05-08 @ IA Akranes W 4-247.2 1355 1298 39.05% 28.85% 32.10%+0.14 +11.4 6
2017-05-14 Fjolnir W 2-039.2 1305 1358 32.60% 28.87% 38.53%-0.12 +16.8 7
2017-05-14 @ KA Akureyri L 0-239.2 1358 1305 38.53% 28.87% 32.60%+0.12 -16.8 4
2017-05-14 IA Akranes W 2-142.8 1365 1287 50.39% 27.33% 22.28%+0.64 +5.5 6
2017-05-14 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-242.8 1287 1365 22.28% 27.33% 50.39%-0.64 -5.5 0
2017-05-14 Stjarnan L 1-344.4 1344 1389 33.76% 28.91% 37.33%-0.07 -13.2 0
2017-05-14 @ Breidablik W 3-144.4 1389 1344 37.33% 28.91% 33.76%+0.07 +13.2 7
2017-05-14 Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-345.3 1291 1272 42.61% 28.58% 28.81%+0.29 -15.7 4
2017-05-14 @ Grindavik W 3-145.3 1272 1291 28.81% 28.58% 42.61%-0.29 +15.7 3
2017-05-14 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-041.7 1265 1304 34.55% 28.92% 36.52%-0.04 +8.5 4
2017-05-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-141.7 1304 1265 36.52% 28.92% 34.55%+0.04 -8.6 3
2017-05-15 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.6 1366 1404 34.64% 28.92% 36.43%-0.04 +0.1 7
2017-05-15 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-153.6 1404 1366 36.43% 28.92% 34.64%+0.04 -0.1 5
2017-05-21 Breidablik L 2-352.1 1295 1331 34.91% 28.93% 36.16%-0.03 -7.4 3
2017-05-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-252.1 1331 1295 36.16% 28.93% 34.91%+0.03 +7.4 3
2017-05-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-337.4 1288 1274 41.99% 28.64% 29.37%+0.27 -26.0 3
2017-05-21 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-037.4 1274 1288 29.37% 28.64% 41.99%-0.27 +26.0 7
2017-05-21 KA Akureyri W 2-143.6 1402 1322 50.61% 27.28% 22.11%+0.66 +5.4 10
2017-05-21 @ Stjarnan L 1-243.6 1322 1402 22.11% 27.28% 50.61%-0.66 -5.4 7
2017-05-22 Fjolnir L 1-251.9 1404 1341 48.47% 27.73% 23.80%+0.56 -10.0 5
2017-05-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-151.9 1341 1404 23.80% 27.73% 48.47%-0.56 +10.0 7
2017-05-22 Grindavik L 2-353.4 1281 1275 40.88% 28.73% 30.38%+0.22 -8.3 0
2017-05-22 @ IA Akranes W 3-253.4 1275 1281 30.38% 28.73% 40.88%-0.22 +8.3 7
2017-05-22 KR Reykjavik W 2-147.1 1366 1371 39.37% 28.83% 31.80%+0.16 +7.3 10
2017-05-22 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-247.1 1371 1366 31.80% 28.83% 39.37%-0.16 -7.3 6
2017-05-27 IA Akranes L 1-443.3 1300 1273 43.69% 28.47% 27.84%+0.34 -22.6 7
2017-05-27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-143.3 1273 1300 27.84% 28.47% 43.69%-0.34 +22.6 3
2017-05-27 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-257.4 1316 1288 43.92% 28.44% 27.64%+0.35 -0.6 8
2017-05-27 @ KA Akureyri D 2-257.4 1288 1316 27.64% 28.44% 43.92%-0.35 +0.5 4
2017-05-28 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-259.1 1364 1394 35.73% 28.93% 35.34%+0.01 -0.0 7
2017-05-28 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-259.1 1394 1364 35.34% 28.93% 35.73%-0.01 +0.0 6
2017-05-28 Stjarnan L 1-344.3 1351 1407 32.08% 28.85% 39.08%-0.15 -12.7 7
2017-05-28 @ Fjolnir W 3-144.3 1407 1351 39.08% 28.85% 32.08%+0.15 +12.7 13
2017-05-28 Valur Reykjavik W 1-044.3 1284 1373 27.86% 28.47% 43.66%-0.34 +9.8 10
2017-05-28 @ Grindavik L 0-144.3 1373 1284 43.66% 28.47% 27.86%+0.34 -9.8 10
2017-05-28 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-142.4 1339 1262 50.17% 27.38% 22.45%+0.63 +5.5 6
2017-05-28 @ Breidablik L 1-242.4 1262 1339 22.45% 27.38% 50.17%-0.63 -5.5 3
2017-06-04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-142.4 1364 1277 51.37% 27.10% 21.53%+0.69 +5.3 13
2017-06-04 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-242.4 1277 1364 21.53% 27.10% 51.37%-0.69 -5.3 7
2017-06-04 Stjarnan W 3-038.6 1394 1420 36.33% 28.93% 34.75%+0.03 +22.6 9
2017-06-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-338.6 1420 1394 34.75% 28.93% 36.33%-0.03 -22.6 13
2017-06-05 Breidablik L 2-351.7 1296 1344 33.17% 28.89% 37.94%-0.10 -7.2 3
2017-06-05 @ IA Akranes W 3-251.7 1344 1296 37.94% 28.89% 33.17%+0.10 +7.1 9
2017-06-05 Fjolnir W 2-147.7 1288 1338 33.01% 28.89% 38.11%-0.11 +8.3 7
2017-06-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-247.7 1338 1288 38.11% 28.89% 33.01%+0.11 -8.3 7
2017-06-05 Grindavik L 0-145.8 1364 1293 49.35% 27.55% 23.10%+0.60 -10.8 7
2017-06-05 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-045.8 1293 1364 23.10% 27.55% 49.35%-0.60 +10.8 13
2017-06-05 KA Akureyri L 1-439.8 1256 1316 31.72% 28.83% 39.45%-0.16 -17.8 3
2017-06-05 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 4-139.8 1316 1256 39.45% 28.83% 31.72%+0.16 +17.8 11
2017-06-14 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.1 1304 1416 25.30% 28.06% 46.65%-0.47 +1.0 14
2017-06-14 @ Grindavik D 1-153.1 1416 1304 46.65% 28.06% 25.30%+0.47 -1.0 10
2017-06-14 IA Akranes D 0-047.8 1333 1289 46.11% 28.14% 25.75%+0.45 -1.0 12
2017-06-14 @ KA Akureyri D 0-047.8 1289 1333 25.75% 28.14% 46.11%-0.45 +1.1 4
2017-06-14 Valur Reykjavik L 1-248.6 1351 1369 37.54% 28.90% 33.55%+0.08 -8.2 9
2017-06-14 @ Breidablik W 2-148.6 1369 1351 33.55% 28.90% 37.54%-0.08 +8.2 16
2017-06-15 KR Reykjavik W 3-145.7 1272 1353 28.95% 28.60% 42.45%-0.29 +15.6 10
2017-06-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-345.7 1353 1272 42.45% 28.60% 28.95%+0.29 -15.6 7
2017-06-15 Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-152.0 1330 1239 51.94% 26.96% 21.10%+0.72 -1.5 8
2017-06-15 @ Fjolnir D 1-152.0 1239 1330 21.10% 26.96% 51.94%-0.72 +1.5 4
2017-06-15 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-252.3 1397 1297 53.10% 26.65% 20.25%+0.78 -10.8 13
2017-06-15 @ Stjarnan W 2-152.3 1297 1397 20.25% 26.65% 53.10%-0.78 +10.8 10
2017-06-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-141.4 1305 1287 42.47% 28.60% 28.93%+0.29 +11.8 17
2017-06-18 @ Grindavik L 1-341.4 1287 1305 28.93% 28.60% 42.47%-0.29 -11.8 10
2017-06-18 KA Akureyri W 1-039.5 1377 1332 46.10% 28.14% 25.76%+0.45 +6.6 19
2017-06-18 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-139.5 1332 1377 25.76% 28.14% 46.10%-0.45 -6.6 12
2017-06-19 Breidablik D 1-152.3 1337 1343 39.19% 28.84% 31.97%+0.15 -0.3 8
2017-06-19 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-152.3 1343 1337 31.97% 28.84% 39.19%-0.15 +0.3 10
2017-06-19 Fjolnir W 3-143.9 1290 1328 34.54% 28.92% 36.54%-0.04 +14.0 7
2017-06-19 @ IA Akranes L 1-343.9 1328 1290 36.54% 28.92% 34.54%+0.04 -14.0 8
2017-06-19 Stjarnan W 2-151.1 1240 1387 21.83% 27.19% 50.98%-0.67 +10.4 7
2017-06-19 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-251.1 1387 1240 50.98% 27.19% 21.83%+0.67 -10.4 13
2017-06-19 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-259.3 1415 1307 53.96% 26.41% 19.63%+0.82 -1.2 11
2017-06-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-259.3 1307 1415 19.63% 26.41% 53.96%-0.82 +1.2 11
2017-06-24 IA Akranes D 2-258.4 1376 1304 49.66% 27.49% 22.85%+0.61 -0.9 14
2017-06-24 @ Stjarnan D 2-258.4 1304 1376 22.85% 27.49% 49.66%-0.61 +0.9 8
2017-06-24 KR Reykjavik L 2-353.5 1326 1337 38.49% 28.87% 32.64%+0.12 -8.0 12
2017-06-24 @ KA Akureyri W 3-253.5 1337 1326 32.64% 28.87% 38.49%-0.12 +8.0 11
2017-06-24 Valur Reykjavik D 1-152.6 1314 1384 30.38% 28.73% 40.88%-0.22 +0.5 9
2017-06-24 @ Fjolnir D 1-152.6 1384 1314 40.88% 28.73% 30.38%+0.22 -0.5 20
2017-06-25 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-138.1 1276 1414 22.59% 27.42% 49.99%-0.63 -5.9 10
2017-06-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-038.1 1414 1276 49.99% 27.42% 22.59%+0.63 +5.9 14
2017-06-26 Grindavik D 0-048.1 1343 1317 43.67% 28.47% 27.86%+0.34 -0.8 11
2017-06-26 @ Breidablik D 0-048.1 1317 1343 27.86% 28.47% 43.67%-0.34 +0.8 18
2017-06-26 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-033.9 1309 1250 47.84% 27.85% 24.31%+0.53 +11.8 14
2017-06-26 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-233.9 1250 1309 24.31% 27.85% 47.84%-0.53 -11.8 7
2017-07-03 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-246.8 1343 1420 29.36% 28.64% 41.99%-0.27 -6.9 11
2017-07-03 @ Breidablik W 2-146.8 1420 1343 41.99% 28.64% 29.36%+0.27 +6.9 17
2017-07-07 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-244.8 1427 1239 62.78% 23.19% 14.03%+1.29 -24.7 17
2017-07-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-044.8 1239 1427 14.03% 23.19% 62.78%-1.29 +24.7 10
2017-07-09 Breidablik D 1-151.7 1270 1336 30.84% 28.77% 40.39%-0.20 +0.4 11
2017-07-09 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-151.7 1336 1270 40.39% 28.77% 30.84%+0.20 -0.4 12
2017-07-09 KA Akureyri W 2-145.7 1318 1318 40.01% 28.79% 31.20%+0.18 +7.2 21
2017-07-09 @ Grindavik L 1-245.7 1318 1318 31.20% 28.79% 40.01%-0.18 -7.2 12
2017-07-09 Stjarnan D 1-153.5 1383 1375 41.14% 28.71% 30.14%+0.23 -0.5 21
2017-07-09 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-153.5 1375 1383 30.14% 28.71% 41.14%-0.23 +0.5 15
2017-07-10 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-151.8 1304 1320 37.78% 28.90% 33.33%+0.09 -0.2 9
2017-07-10 @ IA Akranes D 1-151.8 1320 1304 33.33% 28.90% 37.78%-0.09 +0.2 15
2017-07-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 6-342.3 1311 1270 45.53% 28.23% 26.24%+0.42 +12.3 15
2017-07-16 @ KA Akureyri L 3-642.3 1270 1311 26.24% 28.23% 45.53%-0.42 -12.4 11
2017-07-16 Valur Reykjavik L 0-141.3 1321 1383 31.34% 28.80% 39.85%-0.18 -7.7 15
2017-07-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-041.3 1383 1321 39.85% 28.80% 31.34%+0.18 +7.7 24
2017-07-17 Grindavik W 4-035.1 1315 1325 38.60% 28.87% 32.53%+0.13 +28.2 12
2017-07-17 @ Fjolnir L 0-435.1 1325 1315 32.53% 28.87% 38.60%-0.13 -28.2 21
2017-07-17 IA Akranes W 1-041.8 1263 1304 34.21% 28.92% 36.87%-0.05 +8.6 13
2017-07-17 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-141.8 1304 1263 36.87% 28.92% 34.21%+0.05 -8.6 9
2017-07-17 KR Reykjavik W 2-036.4 1376 1345 44.27% 28.40% 27.33%+0.37 +13.0 18
2017-07-17 @ Stjarnan L 0-236.4 1345 1376 27.33% 28.40% 44.27%-0.37 -13.0 11
2017-07-22 IA Akranes W 2-033.3 1402 1296 53.79% 26.46% 19.75%+0.81 +9.8 20
2017-07-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-233.3 1296 1402 19.75% 26.46% 53.79%-0.81 -9.8 9
2017-07-23 Breidablik L 2-449.1 1323 1335 38.30% 28.88% 32.82%+0.11 -12.9 15
2017-07-23 @ KA Akureyri W 4-249.1 1335 1323 32.82% 28.88% 38.30%-0.11 +12.9 15
2017-07-23 Grindavik W 5-032.5 1389 1297 52.05% 26.93% 21.02%+0.72 +24.3 21
2017-07-23 @ Stjarnan L 0-532.5 1297 1389 21.02% 26.93% 52.05%-0.72 -24.4 21
2017-07-23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-142.1 1343 1258 51.20% 27.14% 21.66%+0.68 +5.3 15
2017-07-23 @ Fjolnir L 1-242.1 1258 1343 21.66% 27.14% 51.20%-0.68 -5.3 11
2017-07-23 KR Reykjavik L 0-336.7 1313 1332 37.39% 28.91% 33.70%+0.08 -23.8 15
2017-07-23 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-036.7 1332 1313 33.70% 28.91% 37.39%-0.08 +23.8 14
2017-07-25 Valur Reykjavik L 1-243.7 1272 1390 24.64% 27.92% 47.44%-0.51 -6.0 13
2017-07-25 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-143.7 1390 1272 47.44% 27.92% 24.64%+0.51 +6.0 27
2017-07-27 Fjolnir W 2-037.2 1356 1348 41.05% 28.72% 30.23%+0.23 +14.0 17
2017-07-27 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-237.2 1348 1356 30.23% 28.72% 41.05%-0.23 -14.0 15
2017-07-30 Stjarnan D 2-258.5 1253 1413 20.56% 26.77% 52.68%-0.75 +1.2 12
2017-07-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-258.5 1413 1253 52.68% 26.77% 20.56%+0.75 -1.1 22
2017-07-31 Fjolnir W 2-145.6 1348 1334 41.97% 28.65% 29.38%+0.27 +6.9 18
2017-07-31 @ Breidablik L 1-245.6 1334 1348 29.38% 28.65% 41.97%-0.27 -6.9 15
2017-07-31 IA Akranes W 6-032.9 1396 1286 54.25% 26.32% 19.42%+0.83 +26.9 30
2017-07-31 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-632.9 1286 1396 19.42% 26.32% 54.25%-0.83 -26.9 9
2017-07-31 Vikingur Olafsvik W 4-242.7 1370 1266 53.44% 26.56% 20.00%+0.79 +7.7 20
2017-07-31 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-442.7 1266 1370 20.00% 26.56% 53.44%-0.79 -7.7 13
2017-07-31 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-247.2 1272 1289 37.66% 28.90% 33.44%+0.09 -8.2 21
2017-07-31 @ Grindavik W 2-147.2 1289 1272 33.44% 28.90% 37.66%-0.09 +8.2 18
2017-08-05 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-048.9 1310 1412 26.44% 28.26% 45.30%-0.41 +1.0 16
2017-08-05 @ KA Akureyri D 0-048.9 1412 1310 45.30% 28.26% 26.44%+0.41 -1.0 21
2017-08-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-151.5 1297 1254 45.97% 28.16% 25.87%+0.44 -0.9 19
2017-08-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-151.5 1254 1297 25.87% 28.16% 45.97%-0.44 +0.9 13
2017-08-08 KR Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1259 1377 24.65% 27.92% 47.43%-0.51 +1.1 10
2017-08-08 @ IA Akranes D 1-152.1 1377 1259 47.43% 27.92% 24.65%+0.51 -1.1 21
2017-08-08 Valur Reykjavik W 2-149.5 1411 1423 38.33% 28.88% 32.80%+0.11 +7.5 24
2017-08-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-249.5 1423 1411 32.80% 28.88% 38.33%-0.11 -7.5 30
2017-08-09 Breidablik W 2-036.2 1412 1355 47.66% 27.88% 24.46%+0.52 +11.9 25
2017-08-09 @ Stjarnan L 0-236.2 1355 1412 24.46% 27.88% 47.66%-0.52 -11.9 18
2017-08-09 Grindavik W 2-145.3 1258 1264 39.21% 28.84% 31.95%+0.15 +7.3 16
2017-08-09 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 1-245.3 1264 1258 31.95% 28.84% 39.21%-0.15 -7.3 21
2017-08-09 KA Akureyri D 2-257.6 1327 1311 42.28% 28.62% 29.11%+0.28 -0.4 16
2017-08-09 @ Fjolnir D 2-257.6 1311 1327 29.11% 28.62% 42.28%-0.28 +0.5 17
2017-08-14 IA Akranes W 3-250.5 1257 1260 39.58% 28.82% 31.60%+0.17 +6.9 24
2017-08-14 @ Grindavik L 2-350.5 1260 1257 31.60% 28.82% 39.58%-0.17 -6.9 10
2017-08-14 Stjarnan D 1-153.3 1312 1424 25.30% 28.06% 46.65%-0.47 +1.0 18
2017-08-14 @ KA Akureyri D 1-153.3 1424 1312 46.65% 28.06% 25.30%+0.47 -1.0 26
2017-08-14 Valur Reykjavik D 0-049.9 1376 1416 34.41% 28.92% 36.67%-0.05 +0.1 22
2017-08-14 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-049.9 1416 1376 36.67% 28.92% 34.41%+0.05 -0.1 31
2017-08-14 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-250.1 1343 1297 46.35% 28.10% 25.55%+0.46 -9.7 18
2017-08-14 @ Breidablik W 2-150.1 1297 1343 25.55% 28.10% 46.35%-0.46 +9.7 22
2017-08-16 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-142.0 1255 1266 38.48% 28.87% 32.64%+0.12 -8.9 13
2017-08-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-042.0 1266 1255 32.64% 28.87% 38.48%-0.12 +8.9 19
2017-08-20 Breidablik L 0-334.7 1274 1334 31.74% 28.83% 39.44%-0.16 -21.2 19
2017-08-20 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-034.7 1334 1274 39.44% 28.83% 31.74%+0.16 +21.2 21
2017-08-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-142.7 1253 1246 41.06% 28.72% 30.22%+0.23 -9.3 10
2017-08-20 @ IA Akranes W 1-042.7 1246 1253 30.22% 28.72% 41.06%-0.23 +9.3 16
2017-08-20 KA Akureyri L 0-142.8 1306 1312 39.15% 28.84% 32.01%+0.15 -9.0 22
2017-08-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-042.8 1312 1306 32.01% 28.84% 39.15%-0.15 +9.0 21
2017-08-21 Fjolnir W 4-032.4 1423 1327 52.52% 26.81% 20.67%+0.75 +19.5 29
2017-08-21 @ Stjarnan L 0-432.4 1327 1423 20.67% 26.81% 52.52%-0.75 -19.5 16
2017-08-21 Grindavik W 2-031.5 1416 1264 58.94% 24.76% 16.31%+1.08 +8.2 34
2017-08-21 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-231.5 1264 1416 16.31% 24.76% 58.94%-1.08 -8.2 24
2017-08-27 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-156.0 1442 1419 43.28% 28.51% 28.21%+0.32 -0.7 30
2017-08-27 @ Stjarnan D 1-156.0 1419 1442 28.21% 28.51% 43.28%-0.32 +0.7 25
2017-08-27 IA Akranes W 2-032.2 1355 1244 54.30% 26.31% 19.39%+0.84 +9.7 24
2017-08-27 @ Breidablik L 0-232.2 1244 1355 19.39% 26.31% 54.30%-0.84 -9.7 10
2017-08-27 KR Reykjavik D 2-257.8 1256 1376 24.39% 27.87% 47.74%-0.52 +0.8 25
2017-08-27 @ Grindavik D 2-257.8 1376 1256 47.74% 27.87% 24.39%+0.52 -0.8 23
2017-08-27 Valur Reykjavik L 2-347.4 1255 1424 19.84% 26.50% 53.66%-0.80 -4.7 16
2017-08-27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-247.4 1424 1255 53.66% 26.50% 19.84%+0.80 +4.7 37
2017-08-27 Vikingur Olafsvik W 5-032.5 1321 1253 49.10% 27.61% 23.29%+0.58 +26.7 24
2017-08-27 @ KA Akureyri L 0-532.5 1253 1321 23.29% 27.61% 49.10%-0.58 -26.6 19
2017-08-27 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-141.8 1307 1297 41.45% 28.69% 29.86%+0.25 +12.0 19
2017-08-27 @ Fjolnir L 1-341.8 1297 1307 29.86% 28.69% 41.45%-0.25 -12.0 22
2017-08-31 KR Reykjavik L 0-147.1 1419 1376 45.97% 28.16% 25.87%+0.44 -10.2 25
2017-08-31 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-047.1 1376 1419 25.87% 28.16% 45.97%-0.44 +10.2 26
2017-09-09 Fjolnir D 4-463.4 1227 1319 27.51% 28.42% 44.07%-0.36 +0.4 20
2017-09-09 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 4-463.4 1319 1227 44.07% 28.42% 27.51%+0.36 -0.4 20
2017-09-09 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-341.5 1386 1250 57.10% 25.42% 17.48%+0.98 -33.2 26
2017-09-09 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-041.5 1250 1386 17.48% 25.42% 57.10%-0.98 +33.2 19
2017-09-10 Breidablik W 1-040.2 1429 1364 48.60% 27.71% 23.70%+0.56 +6.1 40
2017-09-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-140.2 1364 1429 23.70% 27.71% 48.60%-0.56 -6.1 24
2017-09-10 Grindavik W 1-035.1 1409 1256 59.02% 24.72% 16.25%+1.08 +4.3 28
2017-09-10 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-135.1 1256 1409 16.25% 24.72% 59.02%-1.08 -4.3 25
2017-09-10 KA Akureyri W 2-040.8 1234 1348 25.12% 28.02% 46.86%-0.48 +19.5 13
2017-09-10 @ IA Akranes L 0-240.8 1348 1234 46.86% 28.02% 25.12%+0.48 -19.5 24
2017-09-10 Stjarnan D 2-259.2 1285 1442 20.92% 26.90% 52.18%-0.73 +1.1 23
2017-09-10 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-259.2 1442 1285 52.18% 26.90% 20.92%+0.73 -1.1 31
2017-09-14 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-444.8 1286 1413 23.73% 27.71% 48.56%-0.56 -9.0 23
2017-09-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-244.8 1413 1286 48.56% 27.71% 23.73%+0.56 +9.0 31
2017-09-14 Grindavik W 2-143.8 1284 1252 44.34% 28.39% 27.27%+0.37 +6.5 22
2017-09-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-243.8 1252 1284 27.27% 28.39% 44.34%-0.37 -6.5 25
2017-09-14 IA Akranes D 2-257.5 1319 1254 48.76% 27.68% 23.57%+0.57 -0.9 21
2017-09-14 @ Fjolnir D 2-257.5 1254 1319 23.57% 27.68% 48.76%-0.57 +0.9 14
2017-09-14 KR Reykjavik L 1-346.1 1358 1352 40.83% 28.74% 30.43%+0.22 -15.2 24
2017-09-14 @ Breidablik W 3-146.1 1352 1358 30.43% 28.74% 40.83%-0.22 +15.2 29
2017-09-14 Valur Reykjavik D 1-153.7 1329 1435 25.99% 28.18% 45.83%-0.44 +0.9 25
2017-09-14 @ KA Akureyri D 1-153.7 1435 1329 45.83% 28.18% 25.99%+0.44 -0.9 41
2017-09-14 Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-027.5 1440 1227 65.30% 22.04% 12.66%+1.44 +9.0 34
2017-09-14 @ Stjarnan L 0-327.5 1227 1440 12.66% 22.04% 65.30%-1.44 -9.0 20
2017-09-17 Breidablik W 4-357.6 1246 1343 26.96% 28.34% 44.70%-0.39 +8.7 28
2017-09-17 @ Grindavik L 3-457.6 1343 1246 44.70% 28.34% 26.96%+0.39 -8.7 24
2017-09-17 Fjolnir W 4-137.1 1434 1318 54.84% 26.15% 19.01%+0.86 +11.6 44
2017-09-17 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-437.1 1318 1434 19.01% 26.15% 54.84%-0.86 -11.6 21
2017-09-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-141.6 1422 1290 56.76% 25.53% 17.71%+0.96 +4.4 34
2017-09-17 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-241.6 1290 1422 17.71% 25.53% 56.76%-0.96 -4.4 22
2017-09-17 KA Akureyri D 0-048.5 1368 1330 45.22% 28.27% 26.51%+0.41 -1.0 30
2017-09-17 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-048.5 1330 1368 26.51% 28.27% 45.22%-0.41 +1.0 26
2017-09-17 Stjarnan D 2-259.3 1255 1450 17.76% 25.56% 56.68%-0.96 +1.4 15
2017-09-17 @ IA Akranes D 2-259.3 1450 1255 56.68% 25.56% 17.76%+0.96 -1.4 35
2017-09-18 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-341.8 1218 1277 31.72% 28.83% 39.45%-0.16 -12.6 20
2017-09-18 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-141.8 1277 1218 39.45% 28.83% 31.72%+0.16 +12.6 26
2017-09-21 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-151.6 1307 1427 24.44% 27.88% 47.68%-0.52 +9.9 24
2017-09-21 @ Fjolnir L 1-251.6 1427 1307 47.68% 27.88% 24.44%+0.52 -9.9 34
2017-09-24 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.9 1205 1417 16.57% 24.91% 58.52%-1.05 +2.1 21
2017-09-24 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-152.9 1417 1205 58.52% 24.91% 16.57%+1.05 -2.1 35
2017-09-24 Grindavik W 2-142.3 1330 1254 50.12% 27.39% 22.49%+0.63 +5.5 29
2017-09-24 @ KA Akureyri L 1-242.3 1254 1330 22.49% 27.39% 50.12%-0.63 -5.5 28
2017-09-24 IA Akranes D 0-047.3 1290 1256 44.67% 28.35% 26.99%+0.38 -0.9 27
2017-09-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-047.3 1256 1290 26.99% 28.35% 44.67%-0.38 +0.9 16
2017-09-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-248.9 1334 1286 46.62% 28.06% 25.32%+0.47 +5.8 27
2017-09-24 @ Breidablik L 2-348.9 1286 1334 25.32% 28.06% 46.62%-0.47 -5.8 22
2017-09-24 KR Reykjavik D 2-258.0 1316 1367 32.93% 28.88% 38.19%-0.11 +0.2 25
2017-09-24 @ Fjolnir D 2-258.0 1367 1316 38.19% 28.88% 32.93%+0.11 -0.2 31
2017-09-24 Valur Reykjavik L 1-253.5 1448 1445 40.40% 28.77% 30.83%+0.20 -8.7 35
2017-09-24 @ Stjarnan W 2-153.5 1445 1448 30.83% 28.77% 40.40%-0.20 +8.7 47
2017-09-30 Breidablik L 0-147.2 1415 1340 49.92% 27.43% 22.65%+0.62 -10.9 35
2017-09-30 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-047.2 1340 1415 22.65% 27.43% 49.92%-0.62 +10.9 30
2017-09-30 Fjolnir W 2-148.1 1249 1317 30.59% 28.75% 40.66%-0.21 +8.7 31
2017-09-30 @ Grindavik L 1-248.1 1317 1249 40.66% 28.75% 30.59%+0.21 -8.7 25
2017-09-30 KA Akureyri W 3-036.9 1280 1336 32.13% 28.85% 39.03%-0.14 +24.6 25
2017-09-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-336.9 1336 1280 39.03% 28.85% 32.13%+0.14 -24.6 29
2017-09-30 Stjarnan L 0-142.7 1367 1439 29.95% 28.70% 41.35%-0.24 -7.4 31
2017-09-30 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-042.7 1439 1367 41.35% 28.70% 29.95%+0.24 +7.4 38
2017-09-30 Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-047.1 1257 1208 46.69% 28.05% 25.26%+0.47 -1.1 17
2017-09-30 @ IA Akranes D 0-047.1 1208 1257 25.26% 28.05% 46.69%-0.47 +1.1 22
2017-09-30 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-349.3 1454 1289 60.35% 24.21% 15.44%+1.15 +3.6 50
2017-09-30 @ Valur Reykjavik L 3-449.3 1289 1454 15.44% 24.21% 60.35%-1.15 -3.6 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-07-07 14.03% Vikingur Olafsvik 1239 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1427 0
2 2017-09-09 17.48% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1250 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1386 0
3 2017-06-15 20.25% Vikingur Reykjavik 1297 2 @ Stjarnan 1397 1
4 2017-05-01 21.69% KA Akureyri 1286 3 @ Breidablik 1370 1
5 2017-06-19 21.83% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1240 2 Stjarnan 1387 1
6 2017-09-30 22.65% Breidablik 1340 1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1415 0
7 2017-06-05 23.10% Grindavik 1293 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1364 0
8 2017-05-01 23.56% Vikingur Reykjavik 1303 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1369 1
9 2017-05-22 23.80% Fjolnir 1341 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1404 1
10 2017-09-21 24.44% @ Fjolnir 1307 2 FH Hafnarfjordur 1427 1
11 2017-09-10 25.12% @ IA Akranes 1234 2 KA Akureyri 1348 0
12 2017-08-14 25.55% Vikingur Reykjavik 1297 2 @ Breidablik 1343 1
13 2017-08-31 25.87% KR Reykjavik 1376 1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1419 0
14 2017-09-17 26.96% @ Grindavik 1246 4 Breidablik 1343 3
15 2017-05-08 27.27% Grindavik 1282 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1313 1
16 2017-05-27 27.84% IA Akranes 1273 4 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1300 1
17 2017-05-28 27.86% @ Grindavik 1284 1 Valur Reykjavik 1373 0
18 2017-05-14 28.81% Vikingur Olafsvik 1272 3 @ Grindavik 1291 1
19 2017-06-15 28.95% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1272 3 KR Reykjavik 1353 1
20 2017-05-21 29.37% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1274 3 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1288 0
21 2017-08-20 30.22% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1246 1 @ IA Akranes 1253 0
22 2017-05-22 30.38% Grindavik 1275 3 @ IA Akranes 1281 2
23 2017-09-14 30.43% KR Reykjavik 1352 3 @ Breidablik 1358 1
24 2017-09-30 30.59% @ Grindavik 1249 2 Fjolnir 1317 1
25 2017-09-24 30.83% Valur Reykjavik 1445 2 @ Stjarnan 1448 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-09-09 33.25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1250 17.48% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1386 57.10% 25.42%
2 2017-07-17 28.16 @ Fjolnir 4 1315 38.60% Grindavik 0 1325 32.53% 28.87%
3 2017-07-31 26.90 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1396 54.25% IA Akranes 0 1286 19.42% 26.32%
4 2017-08-27 26.65 @ KA Akureyri 5 1321 49.10% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1253 23.29% 27.61%
5 2017-05-07 26.40 @ Stjarnan 5 1362 49.42% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1292 23.04% 27.54%
6 2017-05-21 25.99 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1274 29.37% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1288 41.99% 28.64%
7 2017-07-07 24.69 Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1239 14.03% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1427 62.78% 23.19%
8 2017-09-30 24.60 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1280 32.13% KA Akureyri 0 1336 39.03% 28.85%
9 2017-07-23 24.36 @ Stjarnan 5 1389 52.05% Grindavik 0 1297 21.02% 26.93%
10 2017-07-23 23.84 KR Reykjavik 3 1332 33.70% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1313 37.39% 28.91%
11 2017-06-04 22.61 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1394 36.33% Stjarnan 0 1420 34.75% 28.93%
12 2017-05-27 22.60 IA Akranes 4 1273 27.84% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1300 43.69% 28.47%
13 2017-08-20 21.17 Breidablik 3 1334 39.44% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1274 31.74% 28.83%
14 2017-09-10 19.50 @ IA Akranes 2 1234 25.12% KA Akureyri 0 1348 46.86% 28.02%
15 2017-08-21 19.46 @ Stjarnan 4 1423 52.52% Fjolnir 0 1327 20.67% 26.81%
16 2017-05-01 18.12 KA Akureyri 3 1286 21.69% @ Breidablik 1 1370 51.16% 27.15%
17 2017-06-05 17.84 KA Akureyri 4 1316 39.45% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1256 31.72% 28.83%
18 2017-05-14 16.78 @ KA Akureyri 2 1305 32.60% Fjolnir 0 1358 38.53% 28.87%
19 2017-05-14 15.67 Vikingur Olafsvik 3 1272 28.81% @ Grindavik 1 1291 42.61% 28.58%
20 2017-06-15 15.63 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1272 28.95% KR Reykjavik 1 1353 42.45% 28.60%
21 2017-09-14 15.17 KR Reykjavik 3 1352 30.43% @ Breidablik 1 1358 40.83% 28.74%
22 2017-07-27 14.05 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1356 41.05% Fjolnir 0 1348 30.23% 28.72%
23 2017-06-19 13.97 @ IA Akranes 3 1290 34.54% Fjolnir 1 1328 36.54% 28.92%
24 2017-05-14 13.21 Stjarnan 3 1389 37.33% @ Breidablik 1 1344 33.76% 28.91%
25 2017-07-17 13.00 @ Stjarnan 2 1376 44.27% KR Reykjavik 0 1345 27.33% 28.40%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-09-09 63.4 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1227 27.51% Fjolnir 4 1319 44.07% 28.42%
2 2017-06-19 59.3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1415 53.96% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1307 19.63% 26.41%
3 2017-09-17 59.3 @ IA Akranes 2 1255 17.76% Stjarnan 2 1450 56.68% 25.56%
4 2017-09-10 59.2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1285 20.92% Stjarnan 2 1442 52.18% 26.90%
5 2017-05-28 59.1 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1364 35.73% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1394 35.34% 28.93%
6 2017-05-08 59.0 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1405 53.18% KA Akureyri 2 1304 20.19% 26.63%
7 2017-07-30 58.5 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1253 20.56% Stjarnan 2 1413 52.68% 26.77%
8 2017-06-24 58.4 @ Stjarnan 2 1376 49.66% IA Akranes 2 1304 22.85% 27.49%
9 2017-09-24 58.0 @ Fjolnir 2 1316 32.93% KR Reykjavik 2 1367 38.19% 28.88%
10 2017-08-27 57.8 @ Grindavik 2 1256 24.39% KR Reykjavik 2 1376 47.74% 27.87%
11 2017-05-01 57.7 @ Grindavik 2 1281 28.86% Stjarnan 2 1363 42.55% 28.59%
12 2017-08-09 57.6 @ Fjolnir 2 1327 42.28% KA Akureyri 2 1311 29.11% 28.62%
13 2017-09-17 57.6 @ Grindavik 4 1246 26.96% Breidablik 3 1343 44.70% 28.34%
14 2017-09-14 57.5 @ Fjolnir 2 1319 48.76% IA Akranes 2 1254 23.57% 27.68%
15 2017-05-27 57.4 @ KA Akureyri 2 1316 43.92% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1288 27.64% 28.44%
16 2017-08-27 56.0 @ Stjarnan 1 1442 43.28% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1419 28.21% 28.51%
17 2017-09-14 53.7 @ KA Akureyri 1 1329 25.99% Valur Reykjavik 1 1435 45.83% 28.18%
18 2017-05-15 53.6 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1366 34.64% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1404 36.43% 28.92%
19 2017-06-24 53.5 KR Reykjavik 3 1337 32.64% @ KA Akureyri 2 1326 38.49% 28.87%
20 2017-07-09 53.5 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1383 41.14% Stjarnan 1 1375 30.14% 28.71%
21 2017-09-24 53.5 Valur Reykjavik 2 1445 30.83% @ Stjarnan 1 1448 40.40% 28.77%
22 2017-05-22 53.4 Grindavik 3 1275 30.38% @ IA Akranes 2 1281 40.88% 28.73%
23 2017-08-14 53.3 @ KA Akureyri 1 1312 25.30% Stjarnan 1 1424 46.65% 28.06%
24 2017-06-14 53.1 @ Grindavik 1 1304 25.30% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1416 46.65% 28.06%
25 2017-09-24 52.9 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1205 16.57% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1417 58.52% 24.91%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-09-14 27.5 @ Stjarnan 3 1440 65.30% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1227 12.66% 22.04%
2 2017-08-21 31.5 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1416 58.94% Grindavik 0 1264 16.31% 24.76%
3 2017-08-27 32.2 @ Breidablik 2 1355 54.30% IA Akranes 0 1244 19.39% 26.31%
4 2017-08-21 32.4 @ Stjarnan 4 1423 52.52% Fjolnir 0 1327 20.67% 26.81%
5 2017-07-23 32.5 @ Stjarnan 5 1389 52.05% Grindavik 0 1297 21.02% 26.93%
6 2017-08-27 32.5 @ KA Akureyri 5 1321 49.10% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1253 23.29% 27.61%
7 2017-07-31 32.9 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1396 54.25% IA Akranes 0 1286 19.42% 26.32%
8 2017-05-07 33.0 @ Stjarnan 5 1362 49.42% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1292 23.04% 27.54%
9 2017-07-22 33.3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1402 53.79% IA Akranes 0 1296 19.75% 26.46%
10 2017-06-26 33.9 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1309 47.84% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1250 24.31% 27.85%
11 2017-04-30 34.6 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1343 46.95% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1291 25.04% 28.01%
12 2017-08-20 34.7 Breidablik 3 1334 39.44% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1274 31.74% 28.83%
13 2017-07-17 35.1 @ Fjolnir 4 1315 38.60% Grindavik 0 1325 32.53% 28.87%
14 2017-09-10 35.1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1409 59.02% Grindavik 0 1256 16.25% 24.72%
15 2017-08-09 36.2 @ Stjarnan 2 1412 47.66% Breidablik 0 1355 24.46% 27.88%
16 2017-07-17 36.4 @ Stjarnan 2 1376 44.27% KR Reykjavik 0 1345 27.33% 28.40%
17 2017-07-23 36.7 KR Reykjavik 3 1332 33.70% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1313 37.39% 28.91%
18 2017-09-30 36.9 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1280 32.13% KA Akureyri 0 1336 39.03% 28.85%
19 2017-09-17 37.1 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1434 54.84% Fjolnir 1 1318 19.01% 26.15%
20 2017-07-27 37.2 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1356 41.05% Fjolnir 0 1348 30.23% 28.72%
21 2017-05-21 37.4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1274 29.37% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1288 41.99% 28.64%
22 2017-06-25 38.1 FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1414 49.99% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1276 22.59% 27.42%
23 2017-06-04 38.6 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1394 36.33% Stjarnan 0 1420 34.75% 28.93%
24 2017-05-14 39.2 @ KA Akureyri 2 1305 32.60% Fjolnir 0 1358 38.53% 28.87%
25 2017-06-18 39.5 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1377 46.10% KA Akureyri 0 1332 25.76% 28.14%