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2014 League of Ireland First Division Season

112 games · 3 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Galway United

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shelbourne

15.68 points above expected

52 points · 36.32 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cobh Ramblers

11.10 points below expected

14 points · 25.10 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Longford Town 28 18 6 4 60 56 19 +37 50.87 +9.13
2 Shelbourne 28 14 10 4 52 46 30 +16 36.32 +15.68
3 Galway United 28 13 10 5 49 47 23 +24 39.29 +9.71
4 Wexford Youths 28 13 7 8 46 45 35 +10 34.68 +11.32
5 Finn Harps 28 7 11 10 32 26 28 -2 37.22 -5.22
6 Shamrock Rovers 28 7 5 16 26 25 50 -25 — —
7 Waterford United 28 6 7 15 25 25 43 -18 35.26 -10.26
8 Cobh Ramblers 28 2 8 18 14 24 66 -42 25.10 -11.10

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shelbourne 52 36.32 +15.68
2 Wexford Youths 46 34.68 +11.32
3 Galway United 49 39.29 +9.71
4 Longford Town 60 50.87 +9.13
5 Finn Harps 32 37.22 -5.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cobh Ramblers 14 25.10 -11.10
2 Waterford United 25 35.26 -10.26
3 Finn Harps 32 37.22 -5.22
4 Longford Town 60 50.87 +9.13
5 Galway United 49 39.29 +9.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Longford Town 8 Jun 13 – Aug 1 1 in 108
2 Galway United 5 Aug 16 – Sep 27 1 in 98
3 Shelbourne 3 Apr 4 – Apr 18 1 in 30
4 Finn Harps 2 Mar 16 – Mar 21 1 in 20
5 Waterford United 2 Apr 18 – Apr 25 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cobh Ramblers 7 Apr 18 – May 30 1 in 93
2 Waterford United 6 Aug 8 – Sep 26 1 in 66
3 Galway United 2 Aug 1 – Aug 8 1 in 12
4 Finn Harps 3 Apr 19 – May 2 1 in 10
5 Longford Town 1 Mar 15 – Mar 15 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wexford Youths 10 Jul 25 – Oct 12 1 in 151
2 Galway United 8 Apr 18 – Jun 13 1 in 66
3 Shelbourne 9 Jul 11 – Sep 19 1 in 63
4 Finn Harps 8 Jun 27 – Aug 15 1 in 55
5 Longford Town 13 May 17 – Aug 9 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford United 12 Jun 27 – Sep 26 1 in 89
2 Cobh Ramblers 14 Mar 8 – Jun 13 1 in 51
3 Longford Town 4 Aug 9 – Sep 6 1 in 37
4 Finn Harps 6 Mar 29 – May 2 1 in 24
5 Shelbourne 4 May 16 – Jun 13 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Longford Town 1257 60 +37 13 10.8 +2.2
Shelbourne 1091 52 +9 8 8.0 -0.0
Galway United 1157 49 +48 11 8.4 +2.6
Wexford Youths 1108 46 +64 11 6.4 +4.6
Finn Harps 1020 32 -51 3 6.0 -3.0
Shamrock Rovers 1070 26 -32 3 6.9 -3.9
Waterford United 914 25 -47 3 5.0 -2.0
Cobh Ramblers 869 14 +2 4 3.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CR FH GU LT SHE WU WY
Cobh Ramblers —
1-1-2
3.64
0-0-4
3.41
0-1-3
2.29
0-2-2
3.43
0-2-2
4.13
0-1-3
4.48
Finn Harps
2-1-1
7.35
—
0-3-1
5.42
0-1-3
3.72
1-2-1
5.83
2-1-1
5.77
0-3-1
5.80
Galway United
4-0-0
7.62
1-3-0
5.54
—
1-1-2
4.13
1-1-2
6.21
2-2-0
5.65
2-1-1
6.16
Longford Town
3-1-0
8.87
3-1-0
7.28
2-1-1
6.84
—
1-1-2
7.32
3-1-0
7.53
3-1-0
7.76
Shelbourne
2-2-0
7.59
1-2-1
5.11
2-1-1
4.73
2-1-1
3.68
—
3-1-0
5.45
2-1-1
5.40
Waterford United
2-2-0
6.84
1-1-2
5.16
0-2-2
5.31
0-1-3
3.52
0-1-3
5.49
—
1-0-3
5.60
Wexford Youths
3-1-0
6.48
1-3-0
5.15
1-1-2
4.79
0-1-3
3.28
1-1-2
5.53
3-0-1
5.37
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +11.8
Allowed 0.78 -9.1
Differential 0.96 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.82%8.93%7.59%5.36%1.34%2.23%35.27%
18.93%9.82%3.12%2.23%0.45%0.45%25.00%
27.59%3.12%7.14%3.12%0.89%—21.88%
35.36%2.23%3.12%1.79%——12.50%
41.34%0.45%0.89%———2.68%
5+2.23%0.45%————2.68%
Total35.27%25.00%21.88%12.50%2.68%2.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 2.03
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 112

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%3.57%14.29%3.57%7.14%7.14%46.43%
13.57%3.57%10.71%3.57%3.57%3.57%28.57%
2——10.71%3.57%3.57%—17.86%
33.57%——3.57%——7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.86%7.14%35.71%14.29%14.29%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.36 -1.50
SD 0.97 1.64 1.95
CV 1.13 0.69 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%17.86%10.71%7.14%——50.00%
17.14%17.86%————25.00%
27.14%—7.14%———14.29%
33.57%—3.57%———7.14%
4———————
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total35.71%35.71%21.43%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.00 -0.07
SD 1.25 0.94 1.72
CV 1.34 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%10.71%—3.57%——25.00%
110.71%17.86%3.57%———32.14%
23.57%7.14%7.14%———17.86%
37.14%—————7.14%
43.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
5+3.57%3.57%————7.14%
Total39.29%42.86%14.29%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 0.82 +0.86
SD 1.56 0.82 1.82
CV 0.93 1.00 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%3.57%————17.86%
114.29%—7.14%———21.43%
214.29%—7.14%3.57%——25.00%
314.29%3.57%7.14%———25.00%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total64.29%7.14%25.00%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.68 +1.32
SD 1.52 0.98 1.74
CV 0.76 1.45 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%10.71%14.29%14.29%—10.71%57.14%
17.14%10.71%————17.86%
23.57%3.57%—7.14%——14.29%
33.57%3.57%————7.14%
4———————
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total25.00%28.57%14.29%21.43%—10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.79 -0.89
SD 1.40 1.66 2.56
CV 1.56 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%—3.57%——14.29%
114.29%17.86%————32.14%
217.86%—3.57%3.57%3.57%—28.57%
33.57%7.14%7.14%7.14%——25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.86%28.57%10.71%14.29%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.07 +0.57
SD 1.03 1.21 1.35
CV 0.62 1.13 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%10.71%14.29%7.14%3.57%—50.00%
17.14%3.57%3.57%10.71%——25.00%
23.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%——14.29%
3—3.57%—3.57%——7.14%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total28.57%21.43%21.43%25.00%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.54 -0.64
SD 1.13 1.26 1.75
CV 1.27 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.71%7.14%3.57%——21.43%
17.14%7.14%—3.57%——17.86%
210.71%10.71%17.86%3.57%——42.86%
37.14%—7.14%———14.29%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%32.14%10.71%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.25 +0.36
SD 1.10 1.00 1.66
CV 0.68 0.80 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Longford Town 1257 60 50.87 +9.13 94.0% 36 39 46 51 55 61 66
Galway United 1192 49 39.29 +9.71 95.0% 25 27 35 39 43 49 54
Wexford Youths 1108 46 34.68 +11.32 97.0% 17 24 31 34 38 45 59
Shelbourne 1070 52 36.32 +15.68 98.0% 12 23 32 36 41 49 55
Finn Harps 1020 32 37.22 -5.22 29.0% 22 27 32 36 43 50 61
Waterford United 914 25 35.26 -10.26 5.0% 17 24 31 36 40 45 51
Cobh Ramblers 869 14 25.10 -11.10 8.0% 10 13 21 25 29 35 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.14%
No Edge
39.29%28.57%32.14%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 24.86 Elo pts.
254 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
77%
Longford Town, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
0.29/gm
Runaway
00.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.31 * Some Luck: 5.31 to 7.97 * Lucky: 7.97 to 10.63 * Wild Swing: 10.63 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
10.38 points
Lucky
06.6417
Average Finish Error
1.43
Close
02.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
98.00%
Shelbourne
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
5.00%
Waterford United
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 136.06
2.35
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.29
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.20
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.17 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.17 to 0.25 * Above Noise: 0.25 to 0.34 * Well Above Noise: 0.34 and up.
Probability calibration
0.76
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.58
Overconfident
0.4585551.001.54144
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.077
Well Within Noise
00.1680.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Galway United 4
Shelbourne 1

Leg 1: Galway United 2-0 Shelbourne

Leg 2: Shelbourne 1-2 Galway United

Sim: 6.0%

Finals

Galway United 5
UC Dublin 1

Leg 1: UC Dublin 1-2 Galway United

Leg 2: Galway United 3-0 UC Dublin

Sim: 3.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567
Longford Town77.00%14.00%4.00%5.00%———
Shelbourne4.00%22.00%12.00%20.00%20.00%15.00%7.00%
Galway United4.00%30.00%25.00%18.00%12.00%9.00%2.00%
Wexford Youths1.00%9.00%22.00%17.00%28.00%15.00%8.00%
Finn Harps11.00%14.00%17.00%16.00%17.00%21.00%4.00%
Shamrock Rovers———————
Waterford United3.00%10.00%18.00%19.00%19.00%20.00%11.00%
Cobh Ramblers—1.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%20.00%68.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level
Longford Town 77.00% 18.00% 5.00%
Finn Harps 11.00% 31.00% 58.00%
Waterford United 3.00% 28.00% 69.00%
Wexford Youths 1.00% 31.00% 68.00%
Cobh Ramblers — 3.00% 97.00%
Galway United — 100% —
Shelbourne — 100% —
Loser →
↓ Winner
Athlone TownBohemianBray WanderersCobh RamblersDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLimerickLongford TownShelbourneUC DublinWaterford UnitedWexford Youths
Athlone Town
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cobh Ramblers0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Drogheda United
Finn Harps100.0%2.00%28.6%14.00%20.0%5.00%61.5%13.00%20.0%5.00%27.3%11.00%
Galway United71.4%14.00%28.6%7.00%46.2%13.00%100.0%5.00%83.3%6.00%
Limerick
Longford Town100.0%1.00%80.0%5.00%71.4%7.00%100.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%
Shelbourne38.5%13.00%53.8%13.00%100.0%3.00%40.0%5.00%
UC Dublin
Waterford United80.0%5.00%0.0%5.00%0.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%4.00%
Wexford Youths72.7%11.00%16.7%6.00%0.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%4.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Athlone TownBohemianBray WanderersDerry CityDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLimerickLongford TownShelbourneUC DublinWaterford UnitedWexford Youths
Athlone Town100.0%4.00%57.1%7.00%50.0%8.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
Bohemian100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Bray Wanderers50.0%6.00%33.3%6.00%0.0%3.00%25.0%8.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%
Derry City0.0%1.00%
Drogheda United0.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Finn Harps0.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%
Galway United42.9%7.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%6.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%42.9%7.00%
Limerick100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Longford Town50.0%8.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%
Shelbourne50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%75.0%8.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%
UC Dublin66.7%3.00%57.1%7.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%6.00%
Waterford United0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Wexford Youths50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%6.00%66.7%6.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Galway United 60.45% 47.20%
Shelbourne 39.55% 27.62%
UC Dublin — 25.18%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Galway UnitedShelbourneUC Dublin
Galway United60.5%100.00%
Shelbourne39.6%100.00%
UC Dublin
Loser →
↓ Winner
Galway UnitedShelbourneUC Dublin
Galway United78.1%60.45%
Shelbourne69.8%39.55%
UC Dublin21.9%60.45%30.2%39.55%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2014-03-07 Longford Town L 0-140.4 995 1080 31.23% 26.65% 42.12%-0.24 -8.4 0
2014-03-07 @ Galway United W 1-040.4 1080 995 42.12% 26.65% 31.23%+0.24 +8.4 3
2014-03-07 Waterford United D 0-047.7 1019 1034 40.94% 26.70% 32.35%+0.04 -0.5 1
2014-03-07 @ Finn Harps D 0-047.7 1034 1019 32.35% 26.70% 40.94%-0.04 +0.5 1
2014-03-07 Wexford Youths W 2-040.2 929 995 33.79% 26.75% 39.46%-0.16 +18.9 3
2014-03-07 @ Shelbourne L 0-240.2 995 929 39.46% 26.75% 33.79%+0.16 -18.9 0
2014-03-08 Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.3 1025 1256 16.62% 23.76% 59.62%-0.81 +2.4 1
2014-03-08 @ Cobh Ramblers D 1-153.3 1256 1025 59.62% 23.76% 16.62%+0.81 -2.4 1
2014-03-14 Cobh Ramblers W 3-252.8 976 1028 35.82% 26.79% 37.39%-0.10 +8.6 3
2014-03-14 @ Wexford Youths L 2-352.8 1028 976 37.39% 26.79% 35.82%+0.10 -8.6 1
2014-03-14 Galway United D 0-047.9 1035 987 49.29% 25.96% 24.74%+0.29 -1.4 2
2014-03-14 @ Waterford United D 0-047.9 987 1035 24.74% 25.96% 49.29%-0.29 +1.4 1
2014-03-15 Shelbourne L 0-148.0 1089 948 59.82% 23.70% 16.48%+0.65 -14.1 3
2014-03-15 @ Longford Town W 1-048.0 948 1089 16.48% 23.70% 59.82%-0.65 +14.1 6
2014-03-16 Finn Harps L 0-345.6 1270 1019 70.04% 19.79% 10.17%+1.09 -43.9 1
2014-03-16 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-045.6 1019 1270 10.17% 19.79% 70.04%-1.09 +43.9 4
2014-03-21 Cobh Ramblers W 5-033.7 1062 1019 48.72% 26.04% 25.24%+0.27 +31.2 7
2014-03-21 @ Finn Harps L 0-533.7 1019 1062 25.24% 26.04% 48.72%-0.27 -31.2 1
2014-03-21 Longford Town L 0-140.2 985 1075 30.64% 26.61% 42.75%-0.26 -8.3 3
2014-03-21 @ Wexford Youths W 1-040.2 1075 985 42.75% 26.61% 30.64%+0.26 +8.3 6
2014-03-21 Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.8 988 1241 15.07% 23.05% 61.87%-0.90 +2.9 2
2014-03-21 @ Galway United D 0-048.8 1241 988 61.87% 23.05% 15.07%+0.90 -2.9 2
2014-03-21 Waterford United D 3-361.9 962 1033 33.10% 26.73% 40.17%-0.18 +0.2 7
2014-03-21 @ Shelbourne D 3-361.9 1033 962 40.17% 26.73% 33.10%+0.18 -0.2 3
2014-03-28 Wexford Youths L 1-251.4 1033 977 50.35% 25.81% 23.85%+0.32 -11.5 3
2014-03-28 @ Waterford United W 2-151.4 977 1033 23.85% 25.81% 50.35%-0.32 +11.5 6
2014-03-29 Galway United D 1-153.0 1094 991 55.74% 24.77% 19.48%+0.50 -2.0 8
2014-03-29 @ Finn Harps D 1-153.0 991 1094 19.48% 24.77% 55.74%-0.50 +2.0 3
2014-03-30 Shelbourne D 1-154.9 1248 963 72.75% 18.47% 8.78%+1.22 -3.6 3
2014-03-30 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.9 963 1248 8.78% 18.47% 72.75%-1.22 +3.6 8
2014-04-04 Cobh Ramblers W 4-035.0 993 988 43.76% 26.54% 29.70%+0.12 +28.9 6
2014-04-04 @ Galway United L 0-435.0 988 993 29.70% 26.54% 43.76%-0.12 -28.9 1
2014-04-04 Finn Harps W 2-042.4 966 1092 26.30% 26.19% 47.51%-0.40 +21.9 11
2014-04-04 @ Shelbourne L 0-242.4 1092 966 47.51% 26.19% 26.30%+0.40 -21.9 8
2014-04-04 Shamrock Rovers W 3-258.7 988 1222 16.35% 23.64% 60.01%-0.83 +12.6 9
2014-04-04 @ Wexford Youths L 2-358.7 1222 988 60.01% 23.64% 16.35%+0.83 -12.6 3
2014-04-05 Waterford United D 0-048.0 1083 1022 50.94% 25.71% 23.34%+0.34 -1.6 7
2014-04-05 @ Longford Town D 0-048.0 1022 1083 23.34% 25.71% 50.94%-0.34 +1.6 4
2014-04-11 Shelbourne L 0-145.1 1022 988 47.55% 26.18% 26.27%+0.23 -11.6 6
2014-04-11 @ Galway United W 1-045.1 988 1022 26.27% 26.18% 47.55%-0.23 +11.6 14
2014-04-11 Wexford Youths D 1-152.7 1070 1001 51.88% 25.56% 22.56%+0.37 -1.6 9
2014-04-11 @ Finn Harps D 1-152.7 1001 1070 22.56% 25.56% 51.88%-0.37 +1.6 10
2014-04-12 Waterford United D 0-047.7 959 1023 34.02% 26.76% 39.22%-0.16 +0.3 2
2014-04-12 @ Cobh Ramblers D 0-047.7 1023 959 39.22% 26.76% 34.02%+0.16 -0.3 5
2014-04-13 Longford Town W 2-140.9 1215 1081 59.16% 23.89% 16.95%+0.63 +4.7 6
2014-04-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-240.9 1081 1215 16.95% 23.89% 59.16%-0.63 -4.7 7
2014-04-18 Cobh Ramblers W 2-035.8 1000 959 48.34% 26.09% 25.57%+0.26 +13.5 17
2014-04-18 @ Shelbourne L 0-235.8 959 1000 25.57% 26.09% 48.34%-0.26 -13.5 2
2014-04-18 Galway United L 0-143.6 1002 1011 41.93% 26.66% 31.41%+0.07 -10.5 10
2014-04-18 @ Wexford Youths W 1-043.6 1011 1002 31.41% 26.66% 41.93%-0.07 +10.5 9
2014-04-18 Shamrock Rovers W 1-047.3 1023 1222 19.10% 24.66% 56.24%-0.69 +13.4 8
2014-04-18 @ Waterford United L 0-147.3 1222 1023 56.24% 24.66% 19.10%+0.69 -13.4 6
2014-04-19 Finn Harps W 1-039.8 1077 1068 44.16% 26.51% 29.33%+0.13 +8.0 10
2014-04-19 @ Longford Town L 0-139.8 1068 1077 29.33% 26.51% 44.16%-0.13 -8.0 9
2014-04-25 Finn Harps W 2-038.4 1036 1060 39.73% 26.75% 33.53%+0.00 +16.7 11
2014-04-25 @ Waterford United L 0-238.4 1060 1036 33.53% 26.75% 39.73%+0.00 -16.7 9
2014-04-25 Shelbourne W 1-040.9 992 1013 40.11% 26.73% 33.16%+0.01 +8.8 13
2014-04-25 @ Wexford Youths L 0-140.9 1013 992 33.16% 26.73% 40.11%-0.01 -8.8 17
2014-04-26 Galway United D 2-258.4 1085 1021 51.23% 25.67% 23.10%+0.35 -1.1 11
2014-04-26 @ Longford Town D 2-258.4 1021 1085 23.10% 25.67% 51.23%-0.35 +1.1 10
2014-04-27 Cobh Ramblers W 3-134.5 1223 946 72.09% 18.80% 9.10%+1.19 +4.2 9
2014-04-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-334.5 946 1223 9.10% 18.80% 72.09%-1.19 -4.2 2
2014-05-02 Longford Town W 3-254.0 1004 1084 32.01% 26.69% 41.31%-0.21 +9.3 20
2014-05-02 @ Shelbourne L 2-354.0 1084 1004 41.31% 26.69% 32.01%+0.21 -9.3 11
2014-05-02 Shamrock Rovers L 0-136.8 1044 1225 20.61% 25.09% 54.30%-0.62 -5.9 9
2014-05-02 @ Finn Harps W 1-036.8 1225 1044 54.30% 25.09% 20.61%+0.62 +6.0 12
2014-05-02 Waterford United W 2-038.7 1022 1053 38.74% 26.77% 34.49%-0.02 +17.1 13
2014-05-02 @ Galway United L 0-238.7 1053 1022 34.49% 26.77% 38.74%+0.02 -17.1 11
2014-05-03 Wexford Youths L 0-141.4 942 1001 34.73% 26.78% 38.49%-0.13 -9.1 2
2014-05-03 @ Cobh Ramblers W 1-041.4 1001 942 38.49% 26.78% 34.73%+0.13 +9.1 16
2014-05-09 Shelbourne L 0-144.7 1036 1014 46.03% 26.35% 27.62%+0.19 -11.3 11
2014-05-09 @ Waterford United W 1-044.7 1014 1036 27.62% 26.35% 46.03%-0.19 +11.3 23
2014-05-10 Finn Harps L 0-236.9 933 1038 28.71% 26.46% 44.84%-0.32 -14.8 2
2014-05-10 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-036.9 1038 933 44.84% 26.46% 28.71%+0.32 +14.8 12
2014-05-11 Galway United D 1-154.0 1242 1039 65.79% 21.62% 12.58%+0.90 -3.0 13
2014-05-11 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.0 1039 1242 12.58% 21.62% 65.79%-0.90 +3.0 14
2014-05-16 Finn Harps D 1-152.4 1042 1052 41.63% 26.67% 31.70%+0.06 -0.5 15
2014-05-16 @ Galway United D 1-152.4 1052 1042 31.70% 26.67% 41.63%-0.06 +0.5 13
2014-05-16 Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.5 1025 1239 17.89% 24.25% 57.86%-0.74 +2.4 24
2014-05-16 @ Shelbourne D 0-048.5 1239 1025 57.86% 24.25% 17.89%+0.74 -2.5 14
2014-05-16 Waterford United L 1-346.4 1010 1025 40.99% 26.70% 32.31%+0.04 -16.8 16
2014-05-16 @ Wexford Youths W 3-146.4 1025 1010 32.31% 26.70% 40.99%-0.04 +16.8 14
2014-05-17 Cobh Ramblers W 2-031.9 1074 918 61.44% 23.20% 15.37%+0.72 +8.5 14
2014-05-17 @ Longford Town L 0-231.9 918 1074 15.37% 23.20% 61.44%-0.72 -8.5 2
2014-05-23 Galway United L 1-537.3 909 1042 25.53% 26.08% 48.39%-0.42 -21.3 2
2014-05-23 @ Cobh Ramblers W 5-137.3 1042 909 48.39% 26.08% 25.53%+0.42 +21.3 18
2014-05-23 Longford Town L 2-352.8 1042 1083 37.28% 26.79% 35.93%-0.06 -8.6 14
2014-05-23 @ Waterford United W 3-252.8 1083 1042 35.93% 26.79% 37.28%+0.06 +8.6 17
2014-05-23 Shelbourne D 1-152.5 1053 1027 46.45% 26.30% 27.24%+0.20 -1.0 14
2014-05-23 @ Finn Harps D 1-152.5 1027 1053 27.24% 26.30% 46.45%-0.20 +1.0 25
2014-05-25 Wexford Youths L 0-247.2 1238 993 69.48% 20.05% 10.47%+1.06 -30.0 14
2014-05-25 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-047.2 993 1238 10.47% 20.05% 69.48%-1.06 +30.0 19
2014-05-30 Cobh Ramblers W 4-030.0 1033 888 60.28% 23.56% 16.16%+0.67 +16.9 17
2014-05-30 @ Waterford United L 0-430.0 888 1033 16.16% 23.56% 60.28%-0.67 -16.9 2
2014-05-30 Finn Harps D 2-258.1 1023 1052 39.02% 26.76% 34.21%-0.02 -0.2 20
2014-05-30 @ Wexford Youths D 2-258.1 1052 1023 34.21% 26.76% 39.02%+0.02 +0.2 15
2014-05-30 Galway United L 2-449.3 1028 1063 38.21% 26.78% 35.00%-0.04 -14.3 25
2014-05-30 @ Shelbourne W 4-249.3 1063 1028 35.00% 26.78% 38.21%+0.04 +14.3 21
2014-05-30 Shamrock Rovers W 6-040.7 1091 1208 27.36% 26.32% 46.32%-0.36 +59.5 20
2014-05-30 @ Longford Town L 0-640.7 1208 1091 46.32% 26.32% 27.36%+0.36 -59.5 14
2014-06-02 Longford Town D 0-049.0 871 1151 13.39% 22.13% 64.47%-1.01 +3.2 3
2014-06-02 @ Cobh Ramblers D 0-049.0 1151 871 64.47% 22.13% 13.39%+1.01 -3.2 21
2014-06-03 Waterford United L 0-147.4 1163 1050 56.91% 24.49% 18.59%+0.54 -13.5 14
2014-06-03 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-047.4 1050 1163 18.59% 24.49% 56.91%-0.54 +13.5 20
2014-06-13 Longford Town L 0-140.0 1052 1148 29.91% 26.56% 43.53%-0.28 -8.1 15
2014-06-13 @ Finn Harps W 1-040.0 1148 1052 43.53% 26.56% 29.91%+0.28 +8.1 24
2014-06-13 Shelbourne D 2-258.3 874 1014 24.72% 25.96% 49.32%-0.45 +1.0 4
2014-06-13 @ Cobh Ramblers D 2-258.3 1014 874 49.32% 25.96% 24.72%+0.45 -1.0 26
2014-06-13 Wexford Youths W 1-038.0 1077 1023 50.10% 25.84% 24.05%+0.31 +6.8 24
2014-06-13 @ Galway United L 0-138.0 1023 1077 24.05% 25.84% 50.10%-0.31 -6.8 20
2014-06-27 Longford Town L 0-336.6 1084 1156 33.02% 26.73% 40.26%-0.18 -24.0 24
2014-06-27 @ Galway United W 3-036.6 1156 1084 40.26% 26.73% 33.02%+0.18 +24.0 27
2014-06-27 Waterford United W 1-040.9 1044 1063 40.37% 26.72% 32.90%+0.02 +8.7 18
2014-06-27 @ Finn Harps L 0-140.9 1063 1044 32.90% 26.72% 40.37%-0.02 -8.7 20
2014-06-27 Wexford Youths W 3-035.8 1013 1016 42.64% 26.62% 30.74%+0.09 +22.7 29
2014-06-27 @ Shelbourne L 0-335.8 1016 1013 30.74% 26.62% 42.64%-0.09 -22.7 20
2014-06-28 Shamrock Rovers W 3-044.6 875 1153 13.50% 22.20% 64.30%-1.00 +41.0 7
2014-06-28 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-344.6 1153 875 64.30% 22.20% 13.50%+1.00 -41.0 14
2014-07-04 Cobh Ramblers W 2-142.7 993 916 52.84% 25.38% 21.77%+0.40 +5.9 23
2014-07-04 @ Wexford Youths L 1-242.7 916 993 21.77% 25.38% 52.84%-0.40 -5.9 7
2014-07-04 Galway United D 1-152.4 1055 1060 42.30% 26.64% 31.06%+0.08 -0.6 21
2014-07-04 @ Waterford United D 1-152.4 1060 1055 31.06% 26.64% 42.30%-0.08 +0.6 25
2014-07-05 Shelbourne W 3-030.6 1180 1036 60.16% 23.60% 16.25%+0.67 +13.0 30
2014-07-05 @ Longford Town L 0-330.6 1036 1180 16.25% 23.60% 60.16%-0.67 -13.0 29
2014-07-06 Finn Harps L 0-146.4 1126 1053 52.36% 25.47% 22.17%+0.39 -12.6 14
2014-07-06 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-046.4 1053 1126 22.17% 25.47% 52.36%-0.39 +12.6 21
2014-07-11 Cobh Ramblers D 0-048.7 1065 910 61.29% 23.24% 15.46%+0.71 -2.8 22
2014-07-11 @ Finn Harps D 0-048.7 910 1065 15.46% 23.24% 61.29%-0.71 +2.9 8
2014-07-11 Longford Town L 0-233.7 999 1193 19.55% 24.79% 55.66%-0.66 -10.7 23
2014-07-11 @ Wexford Youths W 2-033.7 1193 999 55.66% 24.79% 19.55%+0.66 +10.7 33
2014-07-11 Shamrock Rovers W 5-037.7 1061 1113 35.64% 26.79% 37.57%-0.11 +42.5 28
2014-07-11 @ Galway United L 0-537.7 1113 1061 37.57% 26.79% 35.64%+0.11 -42.5 14
2014-07-11 Waterford United W 3-144.5 1023 1054 38.70% 26.77% 34.53%-0.03 +14.8 32
2014-07-11 @ Shelbourne L 1-344.5 1054 1023 34.53% 26.77% 38.70%+0.03 -14.8 21
2014-07-18 Galway United D 0-047.7 1063 1103 37.36% 26.79% 35.85%-0.06 -0.1 23
2014-07-18 @ Finn Harps D 0-047.7 1103 1063 35.85% 26.79% 37.36%+0.06 +0.1 29
2014-07-18 Wexford Youths L 0-341.3 1039 989 49.65% 25.91% 24.44%+0.30 -32.9 21
2014-07-18 @ Waterford United W 3-041.3 989 1039 24.44% 25.91% 49.65%-0.30 +32.9 26
2014-07-19 Longford Town L 0-329.0 913 1203 12.80% 21.76% 65.44%-1.05 -10.2 8
2014-07-19 @ Cobh Ramblers W 3-029.0 1203 913 65.44% 21.76% 12.80%+1.05 +10.2 36
2014-07-20 Shelbourne L 0-243.2 1094 1038 50.33% 25.81% 23.86%+0.32 -22.9 14
2014-07-20 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-043.2 1038 1094 23.86% 25.81% 50.33%-0.32 +22.9 35
2014-07-22 Wexford Youths W 3-244.2 1214 1021 64.85% 21.99% 13.16%+0.86 +3.4 39
2014-07-22 @ Longford Town L 2-344.2 1021 1214 13.16% 21.99% 64.85%-0.86 -3.4 26
2014-07-25 Cobh Ramblers W 4-133.9 1103 903 65.61% 21.70% 12.70%+0.89 +8.5 32
2014-07-25 @ Galway United L 1-433.9 903 1103 12.70% 21.70% 65.61%-0.89 -8.5 8
2014-07-25 Finn Harps D 1-152.4 1061 1062 42.79% 26.61% 30.61%+0.09 -0.6 36
2014-07-25 @ Shelbourne D 1-152.4 1062 1061 30.61% 26.61% 42.79%-0.09 +0.6 24
2014-07-25 Shamrock Rovers W 2-039.2 1018 1060 37.19% 26.79% 36.02%-0.07 +17.6 29
2014-07-25 @ Wexford Youths L 0-239.2 1060 1018 36.02% 26.79% 37.19%+0.07 -17.6 14
2014-07-26 Waterford United W 3-136.1 1217 1006 66.54% 21.32% 12.14%+0.93 +5.8 42
2014-07-26 @ Longford Town L 1-336.1 1006 1217 12.14% 21.32% 66.54%-0.93 -5.7 21
2014-08-01 Longford Town L 0-331.9 1028 1223 19.43% 24.76% 55.82%-0.67 -15.4 14
2014-08-01 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-031.9 1223 1028 55.82% 24.76% 19.43%+0.67 +15.4 45
2014-08-01 Shelbourne L 0-145.7 1112 1060 49.78% 25.89% 24.32%+0.30 -12.0 32
2014-08-01 @ Galway United W 1-045.7 1060 1112 24.32% 25.89% 49.78%-0.30 +12.1 39
2014-08-01 Wexford Youths D 2-258.3 1063 1036 46.68% 26.28% 27.04%+0.21 -0.8 25
2014-08-01 @ Finn Harps D 2-258.3 1036 1063 27.04% 26.28% 46.68%-0.21 +0.8 30
2014-08-02 Waterford United D 2-258.2 894 1001 28.58% 26.44% 44.98%-0.32 +0.6 9
2014-08-02 @ Cobh Ramblers D 2-258.2 1001 894 44.98% 26.44% 28.58%+0.32 -0.6 22
2014-08-08 Cobh Ramblers W 2-031.3 1072 895 63.43% 22.52% 14.05%+0.80 +7.7 42
2014-08-08 @ Shelbourne L 0-231.3 895 1072 14.05% 22.52% 63.43%-0.80 -7.7 9
2014-08-08 Galway United W 2-148.4 1036 1100 34.15% 26.76% 39.09%-0.15 +9.4 33
2014-08-08 @ Wexford Youths L 1-248.4 1100 1036 39.09% 26.76% 34.15%+0.15 -9.4 32
2014-08-08 Shamrock Rovers L 0-239.6 1000 1040 37.40% 26.79% 35.81%-0.06 -18.1 22
2014-08-08 @ Waterford United W 2-039.6 1040 1000 35.81% 26.79% 37.40%+0.06 +18.1 17
2014-08-09 Finn Harps D 0-049.0 1238 1062 63.33% 22.55% 14.12%+0.79 -3.1 46
2014-08-09 @ Longford Town D 0-049.0 1062 1238 14.12% 22.55% 63.33%-0.79 +3.1 26
2014-08-15 Finn Harps L 0-237.8 982 1065 31.43% 26.66% 41.91%-0.23 -15.9 22
2014-08-15 @ Waterford United W 2-037.8 1065 982 41.91% 26.66% 31.43%+0.23 +15.9 29
2014-08-15 Shelbourne D 1-152.4 1046 1080 38.31% 26.78% 34.91%-0.04 -0.2 34
2014-08-15 @ Wexford Youths D 1-152.4 1080 1046 34.91% 26.78% 38.31%+0.04 +0.2 43
2014-08-16 Galway United L 1-253.9 1235 1090 60.25% 23.57% 16.18%+0.67 -13.4 46
2014-08-16 @ Longford Town W 2-153.9 1090 1235 16.18% 23.57% 60.25%-0.67 +13.4 35
2014-08-17 Cobh Ramblers W 6-029.9 1060 887 62.99% 22.67% 14.34%+0.78 +22.0 20
2014-08-17 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-629.9 887 1060 14.34% 22.67% 62.99%-0.78 -22.0 9
2014-08-29 Longford Town D 0-048.0 1080 1222 24.52% 25.92% 49.56%-0.46 +1.5 44
2014-08-29 @ Shelbourne D 0-048.0 1222 1080 49.56% 25.92% 24.52%+0.46 -1.5 47
2014-08-29 Shamrock Rovers L 0-143.3 1081 1096 41.08% 26.70% 32.23%+0.04 -10.3 29
2014-08-29 @ Finn Harps W 1-043.3 1096 1081 32.23% 26.70% 41.08%-0.04 +10.3 23
2014-08-29 Waterford United W 1-035.1 1104 966 59.54% 23.78% 16.68%+0.64 +4.9 38
2014-08-29 @ Galway United L 0-135.1 966 1104 16.68% 23.78% 59.54%-0.64 -4.9 22
2014-08-30 Wexford Youths D 2-258.6 865 1046 20.72% 25.12% 54.16%-0.61 +1.4 10
2014-08-30 @ Cobh Ramblers D 2-258.6 1046 865 54.16% 25.12% 20.72%+0.61 -1.3 35
2014-09-05 Shelbourne L 1-342.0 961 1081 26.90% 26.26% 46.84%-0.38 -12.2 22
2014-09-05 @ Waterford United W 3-142.0 1081 961 46.84% 26.26% 26.90%+0.38 +12.2 47
2014-09-06 Finn Harps W 1-047.4 867 1071 18.64% 24.51% 56.85%-0.71 +13.5 13
2014-09-06 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-147.4 1071 867 56.85% 24.51% 18.64%+0.71 -13.5 29
2014-09-06 Wexford Youths D 2-259.4 1220 1044 63.34% 22.55% 14.11%+0.79 -2.0 48
2014-09-06 @ Longford Town D 2-259.4 1044 1220 14.11% 22.55% 63.34%-0.79 +2.0 36
2014-09-07 Galway United L 0-339.3 1102 1109 42.18% 26.64% 31.18%+0.07 -28.8 23
2014-09-07 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-039.3 1109 1102 31.18% 26.64% 42.18%-0.07 +28.8 41
2014-09-19 Shamrock Rovers W 3-249.9 1094 1073 45.74% 26.38% 27.89%+0.18 +6.9 50
2014-09-19 @ Shelbourne L 2-349.9 1073 1094 27.89% 26.38% 45.74%-0.18 -6.9 23
2014-09-19 Waterford United W 4-031.5 1046 949 55.18% 24.90% 19.91%+0.48 +20.6 39
2014-09-19 @ Wexford Youths L 0-431.5 949 1046 19.91% 24.90% 55.18%-0.48 -20.6 22
2014-09-20 Cobh Ramblers W 4-236.8 1218 880 76.62% 16.42% 6.96%+1.43 +2.7 51
2014-09-20 @ Longford Town L 2-436.8 880 1218 6.96% 16.42% 76.62%-1.43 -2.7 13
2014-09-20 Finn Harps W 3-032.7 1137 1057 53.18% 25.32% 21.50%+0.41 +16.9 44
2014-09-20 @ Galway United L 0-332.7 1057 1137 21.50% 25.32% 53.18%-0.41 -16.9 29
2014-09-26 Longford Town L 0-230.6 928 1221 12.66% 21.68% 65.66%-1.06 -6.9 22
2014-09-26 @ Waterford United W 2-030.6 1221 928 65.66% 21.68% 12.66%+1.06 +7.0 54
2014-09-26 Shelbourne W 3-253.2 1041 1100 34.62% 26.77% 38.61%-0.14 +8.8 32
2014-09-26 @ Finn Harps L 2-353.2 1100 1041 38.61% 26.77% 34.62%+0.14 -8.8 50
2014-09-26 Wexford Youths L 0-241.4 1072 1067 43.77% 26.54% 29.69%+0.12 -20.5 23
2014-09-26 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-041.4 1067 1072 29.69% 26.54% 43.77%-0.12 +20.5 42
2014-09-27 Galway United L 1-239.3 877 1154 13.56% 22.23% 64.20%-0.99 -3.7 13
2014-09-27 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-139.3 1154 877 64.20% 22.23% 13.56%+0.99 +3.7 47
2014-09-30 Finn Harps W 3-034.2 1087 1049 48.06% 26.12% 25.82%+0.25 +19.8 45
2014-09-30 @ Wexford Youths L 0-334.2 1049 1087 25.82% 26.12% 48.06%-0.25 -19.8 32
2014-10-03 Cobh Ramblers W 2-143.8 921 874 49.26% 25.97% 24.78%+0.29 +6.6 25
2014-10-03 @ Waterford United L 1-243.8 874 921 24.78% 25.97% 49.26%-0.29 -6.6 13
2014-10-03 Galway United D 1-152.4 1092 1158 33.72% 26.75% 39.53%-0.16 +0.3 51
2014-10-03 @ Shelbourne D 1-152.4 1158 1092 39.53% 26.75% 33.72%+0.16 -0.3 48
2014-10-03 Shamrock Rovers W 5-029.9 1228 1069 61.64% 23.13% 15.23%+0.72 +19.7 57
2014-10-03 @ Longford Town L 0-529.9 1069 1228 15.23% 23.13% 61.64%-0.72 -19.7 23
2014-10-12 Longford Town L 0-232.9 1030 1248 17.55% 24.13% 58.32%-0.76 -9.7 32
2014-10-12 @ Finn Harps W 2-032.9 1248 1030 58.32% 24.13% 17.55%+0.76 +9.7 60
2014-10-12 Shelbourne D 3-362.7 867 1092 17.03% 23.92% 59.04%-0.79 +1.4 14
2014-10-12 @ Cobh Ramblers D 3-362.7 1092 867 59.04% 23.92% 17.03%+0.79 -1.4 52
2014-10-12 Waterford United W 3-031.0 1057 928 58.59% 24.05% 17.36%+0.61 +13.9 26
2014-10-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-331.0 928 1057 17.36% 24.05% 58.59%-0.61 -13.9 25
2014-10-12 Wexford Youths D 2-258.4 1158 1107 49.64% 25.91% 24.45%+0.30 -1.0 49
2014-10-12 @ Galway United D 2-258.4 1107 1158 24.45% 25.91% 49.64%-0.30 +1.0 46

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2014-10-17 Shelbourne W 2-034.9 1157 1091 51.56% 25.61% 22.83%+0.36 +12.3 1-0
2014-10-17 @ Galway United L 0-234.9 1091 1157 22.83% 25.61% 51.56%-0.36 -12.3 0-1
2014-10-24 Galway United L 1-245.8 1078 1169 30.49% 26.60% 42.92%-0.26 -7.8 0-2
2014-10-24 @ Shelbourne W 2-145.8 1169 1078 42.92% 26.60% 30.49%+0.26 +7.8 2-0
2014-10-27 Galway United L 1-241.6 974 1177 18.76% 24.55% 56.69%-0.70 -5.1 0-1
2014-10-27 @ UC Dublin W 2-141.6 1177 974 56.69% 24.55% 18.76%+0.70 +5.1 3-0
2014-10-31 UC Dublin W 3-028.6 1182 969 66.76% 21.23% 12.01%+0.94 +9.5 4-0
2014-10-31 @ Galway United L 0-328.6 969 1182 12.01% 21.23% 66.76%-0.94 -9.5 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-03-16 10.17% Finn Harps 1019 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1270 0
2 2014-05-25 10.47% Wexford Youths 993 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1238 0
3 2014-06-28 13.50% @ Cobh Ramblers 875 3 Shamrock Rovers 1153 0
4 2014-08-16 16.18% Galway United 1090 2 @ Longford Town 1235 1
5 2014-04-04 16.35% @ Wexford Youths 988 3 Shamrock Rovers 1222 2
6 2014-03-15 16.48% Shelbourne 948 1 @ Longford Town 1089 0
7 2014-06-03 18.59% Waterford United 1050 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1163 0
8 2014-09-06 18.64% @ Cobh Ramblers 867 1 Finn Harps 1071 0
9 2014-04-18 19.10% @ Waterford United 1023 1 Shamrock Rovers 1222 0
10 2014-07-06 22.17% Finn Harps 1053 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1126 0
11 2014-03-28 23.85% Wexford Youths 977 2 @ Waterford United 1033 1
12 2014-07-20 23.86% Shelbourne 1038 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1094 0
13 2014-08-01 24.32% Shelbourne 1060 1 @ Galway United 1112 0
14 2014-07-18 24.44% Wexford Youths 989 3 @ Waterford United 1039 0
15 2014-04-11 26.27% Shelbourne 988 1 @ Galway United 1022 0
16 2014-04-04 26.30% @ Shelbourne 966 2 Finn Harps 1092 0
17 2014-05-30 27.36% @ Longford Town 1091 6 Shamrock Rovers 1208 0
18 2014-05-09 27.62% Shelbourne 1014 1 @ Waterford United 1036 0
19 2014-09-26 29.69% Wexford Youths 1067 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1072 0
20 2014-09-07 31.18% Galway United 1109 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1102 0
21 2014-04-18 31.41% Galway United 1011 1 @ Wexford Youths 1002 0
22 2014-05-02 32.01% @ Shelbourne 1004 3 Longford Town 1084 2
23 2014-08-29 32.23% Shamrock Rovers 1096 1 @ Finn Harps 1081 0
24 2014-05-16 32.31% Waterford United 1025 3 @ Wexford Youths 1010 1
25 2014-03-07 33.79% @ Shelbourne 929 2 Wexford Youths 995 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-05-30 59.47 @ Longford Town 6 1091 27.36% Shamrock Rovers 0 1208 46.32% 26.32%
2 2014-03-16 43.90 Finn Harps 3 1019 10.17% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1270 70.04% 19.79%
3 2014-07-11 42.53 @ Galway United 5 1061 35.64% Shamrock Rovers 0 1113 37.57% 26.79%
4 2014-06-28 41.03 @ Cobh Ramblers 3 875 13.50% Shamrock Rovers 0 1153 64.30% 22.20%
5 2014-07-18 32.94 Wexford Youths 3 989 24.44% @ Waterford United 0 1039 49.65% 25.91%
6 2014-03-21 31.23 @ Finn Harps 5 1062 48.72% Cobh Ramblers 0 1019 25.24% 26.04%
7 2014-05-25 30.04 Wexford Youths 2 993 10.47% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1238 69.48% 20.05%
8 2014-04-04 28.90 @ Galway United 4 993 43.76% Cobh Ramblers 0 988 29.70% 26.54%
9 2014-09-07 28.84 Galway United 3 1109 31.18% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1102 42.18% 26.64%
10 2014-06-27 24.00 Longford Town 3 1156 40.26% @ Galway United 0 1084 33.02% 26.73%
11 2014-07-20 22.94 Shelbourne 2 1038 23.86% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1094 50.33% 25.81%
12 2014-06-27 22.72 @ Shelbourne 3 1013 42.64% Wexford Youths 0 1016 30.74% 26.62%
13 2014-08-17 21.97 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1060 62.99% Cobh Ramblers 0 887 14.34% 22.67%
14 2014-04-04 21.86 @ Shelbourne 2 966 26.30% Finn Harps 0 1092 47.51% 26.19%
15 2014-05-23 21.32 Galway United 5 1042 48.39% @ Cobh Ramblers 1 909 25.53% 26.08%
16 2014-09-19 20.63 @ Wexford Youths 4 1046 55.18% Waterford United 0 949 19.91% 24.90%
17 2014-09-26 20.46 Wexford Youths 2 1067 29.69% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1072 43.77% 26.54%
18 2014-09-30 19.77 @ Wexford Youths 3 1087 48.06% Finn Harps 0 1049 25.82% 26.12%
19 2014-10-03 19.66 @ Longford Town 5 1228 61.64% Shamrock Rovers 0 1069 15.23% 23.13%
20 2014-03-07 18.87 @ Shelbourne 2 929 33.79% Wexford Youths 0 995 39.46% 26.75%
21 2014-08-08 18.12 Shamrock Rovers 2 1040 35.81% @ Waterford United 0 1000 37.40% 26.79%
22 2014-07-25 17.64 @ Wexford Youths 2 1018 37.19% Shamrock Rovers 0 1060 36.02% 26.79%
23 2014-05-02 17.08 @ Galway United 2 1022 38.74% Waterford United 0 1053 34.49% 26.77%
24 2014-09-20 16.92 @ Galway United 3 1137 53.18% Finn Harps 0 1057 21.50% 25.32%
25 2014-05-30 16.92 @ Waterford United 4 1033 60.28% Cobh Ramblers 0 888 16.16% 23.56%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-10-12 62.7 @ Cobh Ramblers 3 867 17.03% Shelbourne 3 1092 59.04% 23.92%
2 2014-03-21 61.9 @ Shelbourne 3 962 33.10% Waterford United 3 1033 40.17% 26.73%
3 2014-09-06 59.4 @ Longford Town 2 1220 63.34% Wexford Youths 2 1044 14.11% 22.55%
4 2014-04-04 58.7 @ Wexford Youths 3 988 16.35% Shamrock Rovers 2 1222 60.01% 23.64%
5 2014-08-30 58.6 @ Cobh Ramblers 2 865 20.72% Wexford Youths 2 1046 54.16% 25.12%
6 2014-04-26 58.4 @ Longford Town 2 1085 51.23% Galway United 2 1021 23.10% 25.67%
7 2014-10-12 58.4 @ Galway United 2 1158 49.64% Wexford Youths 2 1107 24.45% 25.91%
8 2014-06-13 58.3 @ Cobh Ramblers 2 874 24.72% Shelbourne 2 1014 49.32% 25.96%
9 2014-08-01 58.3 @ Finn Harps 2 1063 46.68% Wexford Youths 2 1036 27.04% 26.28%
10 2014-08-02 58.2 @ Cobh Ramblers 2 894 28.58% Waterford United 2 1001 44.98% 26.44%
11 2014-05-30 58.1 @ Wexford Youths 2 1023 39.02% Finn Harps 2 1052 34.21% 26.76%
12 2014-03-30 54.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1248 72.75% Shelbourne 1 963 8.78% 18.47%
13 2014-05-02 54.0 @ Shelbourne 3 1004 32.01% Longford Town 2 1084 41.31% 26.69%
14 2014-05-11 54.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1242 65.79% Galway United 1 1039 12.58% 21.62%
15 2014-08-16 53.9 Galway United 2 1090 16.18% @ Longford Town 1 1235 60.25% 23.57%
16 2014-03-08 53.3 @ Cobh Ramblers 1 1025 16.62% Shamrock Rovers 1 1256 59.62% 23.76%
17 2014-09-26 53.2 @ Finn Harps 3 1041 34.62% Shelbourne 2 1100 38.61% 26.77%
18 2014-03-29 53.0 @ Finn Harps 1 1094 55.74% Galway United 1 991 19.48% 24.77%
19 2014-03-14 52.8 @ Wexford Youths 3 976 35.82% Cobh Ramblers 2 1028 37.39% 26.79%
20 2014-05-23 52.8 Longford Town 3 1083 35.93% @ Waterford United 2 1042 37.28% 26.79%
21 2014-04-11 52.7 @ Finn Harps 1 1070 51.88% Wexford Youths 1 1001 22.56% 25.56%
22 2014-05-23 52.5 @ Finn Harps 1 1053 46.45% Shelbourne 1 1027 27.24% 26.30%
23 2014-05-16 52.4 @ Galway United 1 1042 41.63% Finn Harps 1 1052 31.70% 26.67%
24 2014-07-04 52.4 @ Waterford United 1 1055 42.30% Galway United 1 1060 31.06% 26.64%
25 2014-07-25 52.4 @ Shelbourne 1 1061 42.79% Finn Harps 1 1062 30.61% 26.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-10-31 * 28.6 @ Galway United 3 1182 66.76% UC Dublin 0 969 12.01% 21.23%
2 2014-07-19 29.0 Longford Town 3 1203 65.44% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 913 12.80% 21.76%
3 2014-08-17 29.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1060 62.99% Cobh Ramblers 0 887 14.34% 22.67%
4 2014-10-03 29.9 @ Longford Town 5 1228 61.64% Shamrock Rovers 0 1069 15.23% 23.13%
5 2014-05-30 30.0 @ Waterford United 4 1033 60.28% Cobh Ramblers 0 888 16.16% 23.56%
6 2014-07-05 30.6 @ Longford Town 3 1180 60.16% Shelbourne 0 1036 16.25% 23.60%
7 2014-09-26 30.6 Longford Town 2 1221 65.66% @ Waterford United 0 928 12.66% 21.68%
8 2014-10-12 31.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1057 58.59% Waterford United 0 928 17.36% 24.05%
9 2014-08-08 31.3 @ Shelbourne 2 1072 63.43% Cobh Ramblers 0 895 14.05% 22.52%
10 2014-09-19 31.5 @ Wexford Youths 4 1046 55.18% Waterford United 0 949 19.91% 24.90%
11 2014-05-17 31.9 @ Longford Town 2 1074 61.44% Cobh Ramblers 0 918 15.37% 23.20%
12 2014-08-01 31.9 Longford Town 3 1223 55.82% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1028 19.43% 24.76%
13 2014-09-20 32.7 @ Galway United 3 1137 53.18% Finn Harps 0 1057 21.50% 25.32%
14 2014-10-12 32.9 Longford Town 2 1248 58.32% @ Finn Harps 0 1030 17.55% 24.13%
15 2014-03-21 33.7 @ Finn Harps 5 1062 48.72% Cobh Ramblers 0 1019 25.24% 26.04%
16 2014-07-11 33.7 Longford Town 2 1193 55.66% @ Wexford Youths 0 999 19.55% 24.79%
17 2014-07-25 33.9 @ Galway United 4 1103 65.61% Cobh Ramblers 1 903 12.70% 21.70%
18 2014-09-30 34.2 @ Wexford Youths 3 1087 48.06% Finn Harps 0 1049 25.82% 26.12%
19 2014-04-27 34.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1223 72.09% Cobh Ramblers 1 946 9.10% 18.80%
20 2014-10-17 * 34.9 @ Galway United 2 1157 51.56% Shelbourne 0 1091 22.83% 25.61%
21 2014-04-04 35.0 @ Galway United 4 993 43.76% Cobh Ramblers 0 988 29.70% 26.54%
22 2014-08-29 35.1 @ Galway United 1 1104 59.54% Waterford United 0 966 16.68% 23.78%
23 2014-04-18 35.8 @ Shelbourne 2 1000 48.34% Cobh Ramblers 0 959 25.57% 26.09%
24 2014-06-27 35.8 @ Shelbourne 3 1013 42.64% Wexford Youths 0 1016 30.74% 26.62%
25 2014-07-26 36.1 @ Longford Town 3 1217 66.54% Waterford United 1 1006 12.14% 21.32%