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2018 League of Ireland First Division Season

135 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Finn Harps

8.24 points above expected

54 points · 45.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Galway United

8.29 points below expected

37 points · 45.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 UC Dublin 27 17 6 4 57 59 29 +30 50.17 +6.83
2 Finn Harps 27 16 6 5 54 46 22 +24 45.76 +8.24
3 Shelbourne 27 13 11 3 50 52 21 +31 45.67 +4.33
4 Drogheda United 27 14 7 6 49 50 27 +23 51.44 -2.44
5 Longford Town 27 13 6 8 45 54 36 +18 44.86 +0.14
6 Galway United 27 10 7 10 37 41 36 +5 45.29 -8.29
7 Cabinteely 27 9 3 15 30 32 45 -13 30.31 -0.31
8 Cobh Ramblers 27 8 5 14 29 24 41 -17 32.95 -3.95
9 Wexford 27 4 5 18 17 23 59 -36 21.79 -4.79
10 Athlone Town 27 1 4 22 7 16 81 -65 14.71 -7.71

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Finn Harps 54 45.76 +8.24
2 UC Dublin 57 50.17 +6.83
3 Shelbourne 50 45.67 +4.33
4 Longford Town 45 44.86 +0.14
5 Cabinteely 30 30.31 -0.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Galway United 37 45.29 -8.29
2 Athlone Town 7 14.71 -7.71
3 Wexford 17 21.79 -4.79
4 Cobh Ramblers 29 32.95 -3.95
5 Drogheda United 49 51.44 -2.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Finn Harps 4 Apr 20 – May 7 1 in 32
2 Cobh Ramblers 2 May 12 – May 18 1 in 14
3 Shelbourne 4 Mar 16 – Apr 6 1 in 12
4 Drogheda United 4 May 11 – Jun 1 1 in 6
5 Longford Town 3 Aug 4 – Sep 1 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wexford 5 Apr 27 – May 18 1 in 11
2 Cabinteely 3 Feb 23 – Mar 16 1 in 9
3 Cobh Ramblers 4 Jul 14 – Aug 3 1 in 8
4 Galway United 2 May 25 – Jun 1 1 in 7
5 Longford Town 2 Apr 21 – Apr 28 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 12 Apr 20 – Jul 6 1 in 381
2 Finn Harps 10 Jun 29 – Sep 22 1 in 50
3 Athlone Town 2 Aug 24 – Aug 31 1 in 18
4 UC Dublin 9 Jul 6 – Sep 22 1 in 15
5 Longford Town 6 May 5 – Jun 4 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Galway United 6 May 25 – Jun 29 1 in 113
2 Drogheda United 4 Jul 27 – Aug 31 1 in 40
3 Wexford 10 Apr 27 – Jun 29 1 in 16
4 Athlone Town 17 Feb 23 – Jun 15 1 in 12
5 Cobh Ramblers 6 Jul 14 – Aug 24 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
UC Dublin 1319 57 +55 9 9.2 -0.2
Finn Harps 1303 54 +56 13 10.4 +2.6
Shelbourne 1299 50 +22 11 11.7 -0.7
Drogheda United 1229 49 -16 8 8.6 -0.6
Longford Town 1217 45 +57 10 8.3 +1.7
Galway United 1096 37 -86 2 6.5 -4.5
Cabinteely 1040 30 -57 2 3.8 -1.8
Cobh Ramblers 998 29 -16 5 5.9 -0.9
Wexford 871 17 +6 4 4.0 +0.0
Athlone Town 762 7 -22 2 2.6 -0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT CAB CR DU FH GU LT SHE UD WEX
Athlone Town —
0-0-3
2.22
0-1-2
1.98
0-0-3
1.30
0-1-2
1.27
0-0-3
1.32
0-1-2
1.29
0-1-2
1.05
0-0-3
1.26
1-0-2
2.74
Cabinteely
3-0-0
6.30
 —
1-0-2
4.41
1-1-1
2.35
0-0-3
2.91
0-0-3
2.53
1-0-2
2.75
1-2-0
2.55
1-0-2
2.14
1-0-2
5.35
Cobh Ramblers
2-1-0
6.55
2-0-1
4.10
 —
0-0-3
2.43
1-0-2
3.17
0-1-2
2.71
1-1-1
3.05
0-0-3
2.85
0-1-2
2.43
2-1-0
5.52
Drogheda United
3-0-0
7.27
1-1-1
6.17
3-0-0
6.09
 —
1-0-2
5.39
1-2-0
4.82
1-1-1
4.89
1-2-0
4.72
1-0-2
4.51
2-1-0
6.63
Finn Harps
2-1-0
7.29
3-0-0
5.60
2-0-1
5.35
2-0-1
3.12
 —
3-0-0
4.52
2-0-1
4.30
0-3-0
4.74
0-1-2
3.33
2-1-0
6.91
Galway United
3-0-0
7.23
3-0-0
5.98
2-1-0
5.80
0-2-1
3.69
0-0-3
3.99
 —
0-1-2
5.06
0-0-3
3.73
1-1-1
3.60
1-2-0
6.98
Longford Town
2-1-0
7.27
2-0-1
5.76
1-1-1
5.47
1-1-1
3.62
1-0-2
4.20
2-1-0
3.45
 —
0-1-2
4.14
1-1-1
3.56
3-0-0
6.22
Shelbourne
2-1-0
7.52
0-2-1
5.96
3-0-0
5.67
0-2-1
3.79
0-3-0
3.77
3-0-0
4.78
2-1-0
4.36
 —
0-2-1
3.62
3-0-0
6.74
UC Dublin
3-0-0
7.30
2-0-1
6.38
2-1-0
6.09
2-0-1
4.00
2-1-0
5.18
1-1-1
4.91
1-1-1
4.95
1-2-0
4.89
 —
3-0-0
6.83
Wexford
2-0-1
5.77
2-0-1
3.16
0-1-2
2.99
0-1-2
1.91
0-1-2
1.63
0-2-1
1.56
0-0-3
2.30
0-0-3
1.80
0-0-3
1.70
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +10.5
Allowed 0.90 -8.5
Differential 0.97 +5.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.93%7.78%6.30%5.19%0.74%1.85%27.78%
17.78%11.11%6.30%2.96%2.96%2.22%33.33%
26.30%6.30%5.19%2.22%0.37%—20.37%
35.19%2.96%2.22%———10.37%
40.74%2.96%0.37%———4.07%
5+1.85%2.22%————4.07%
Total27.78%33.33%20.37%10.37%4.07%4.07%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.50 1.50 2.38
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%3.70%11.11%7.41%14.81%51.85%
1—7.41%7.41%11.11%11.11%3.70%40.74%
2——3.70%———3.70%
33.70%—————3.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.41%18.52%14.81%22.22%18.52%18.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.59 3.00 -2.41
SD 0.75 1.92 2.27
CV 1.26 0.64 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%18.52%3.70%3.70%——29.63%
17.41%3.70%7.41%7.41%7.41%3.70%37.04%
211.11%3.70%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
3—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+———————
Total25.93%29.63%18.52%14.81%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.67 -0.48
SD 1.08 1.64 2.08
CV 0.91 0.98 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%14.81%7.41%——40.74%
114.81%3.70%7.41%7.41%—3.70%37.04%
2—11.11%7.41%———18.52%
3———————
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total22.22%29.63%29.63%14.81%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.52 -0.63
SD 0.97 1.22 1.62
CV 1.10 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
111.11%11.11%3.70%———25.93%
214.81%14.81%11.11%3.70%——44.44%
3———————
4———————
5+3.70%7.41%————11.11%
Total33.33%40.74%18.52%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.00 +0.85
SD 1.83 0.92 2.16
CV 0.99 0.92 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%————11.11%
122.22%14.81%3.70%3.70%——44.44%
27.41%11.11%—3.70%3.70%—25.93%
37.41%3.70%————11.11%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total48.15%37.04%3.70%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.81 +0.89
SD 1.44 1.08 1.76
CV 0.84 1.32 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%7.41%11.11%3.70%——33.33%
1—7.41%7.41%—3.70%—18.52%
23.70%7.41%7.41%3.70%——22.22%
37.41%3.70%3.70%———14.81%
4—11.11%————11.11%
5+———————
Total22.22%37.04%29.63%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.33 +0.19
SD 1.40 1.04 1.86
CV 0.92 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
17.41%11.11%11.11%——3.70%33.33%
23.70%—7.41%3.70%——14.81%
314.81%—3.70%———18.52%
4—7.41%3.70%———11.11%
5+—7.41%————7.41%
Total29.63%29.63%29.63%7.41%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.33 +0.67
SD 1.52 1.33 2.22
CV 0.76 1.00 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%3.70%———18.52%
17.41%25.93%3.70%———37.04%
23.70%7.41%3.70%———14.81%
37.41%3.70%3.70%———14.81%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+7.41%3.70%————11.11%
Total37.04%48.15%14.81%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 0.78 +1.15
SD 1.84 0.70 2.05
CV 0.95 0.90 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——11.11%———11.11%
13.70%14.81%———3.70%22.22%
214.81%3.70%7.41%———25.93%
311.11%14.81%7.41%———33.33%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total33.33%37.04%25.93%——3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 1.07 +1.11
SD 1.59 1.11 2.24
CV 0.73 1.03 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%7.41%18.52%—3.70%48.15%
13.70%11.11%11.11%—7.41%3.70%37.04%
23.70%3.70%—3.70%——11.11%
3———————
4———————
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total18.52%25.93%18.52%22.22%7.41%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 2.19 -1.33
SD 1.41 2.08 2.76
CV 1.65 0.95 —
Max 7 8 +7
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Finn Harps 1341 54 45.76 +8.24 93.0% 29 33 42 46 51 55 67
UC Dublin 1319 57 50.17 +6.83 87.0% 29 38 46 50 54 61 72
Shelbourne 1281 50 45.67 +4.33 79.0% 29 32 41 46 50 56 65
Drogheda United 1225 49 51.44 -2.44 46.0% 36 40 46 50 58 62 68
Longford Town 1217 45 44.86 +0.14 50.0% 25 36 41 45 49 55 59
Galway United 1096 37 45.29 -8.29 12.0% 25 33 41 45 49 55 62
Cabinteely 1040 30 30.31 -0.31 49.0% 17 20 26 31 34 40 47
Cobh Ramblers 998 29 32.95 -3.95 28.0% 21 23 29 32 37 42 50
Wexford 871 17 21.79 -4.79 22.0% 6 9 18 22 26 31 39
Athlone Town 762 7 14.71 -7.71 8.0% 5 7 10 15 18 23 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.59%
Slight Edge
45.19%22.22%32.59%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 43.98 Elo pts.
162 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.41 goals
Neutral
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.1
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
28%
UC Dublin, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.21 * Some Luck: 5.21 to 7.82 * Lucky: 7.82 to 10.43 * Wild Swing: 10.43 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.45 * Off: 1.45 to 1.94 * Way Off: 1.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.48 points
Some Luck
06.5216
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.212.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
Finn Harps
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
8.00%
Athlone Town
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 193.97
2.38
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
83%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Very Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Notable Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.74
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.30
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.27
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.091
Well Within Noise
00.1440.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
UC Dublin28.00%22.00%20.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%——
Finn Harps7.00%22.00%14.00%16.00%20.00%15.00%4.00%2.00%——
Shelbourne10.00%19.00%16.00%20.00%18.00%8.00%8.00%1.00%——
Drogheda United36.00%14.00%17.00%16.00%7.00%9.00%1.00%———
Longford Town6.00%10.00%16.00%20.00%23.00%23.00%1.00%1.00%——
Galway United13.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%16.00%20.00%7.00%3.00%——
Cabinteely———2.00%4.00%7.00%26.00%44.00%16.00%1.00%
Cobh Ramblers——1.00%3.00%1.00%10.00%47.00%28.00%10.00%—
Wexford————1.00%1.00%5.00%18.00%52.00%23.00%
Athlone Town———————2.00%22.00%76.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level
UC Dublin 28.00% 53.00% 19.00%
Galway United 13.00% 41.00% 46.00%
Longford Town 6.00% 46.00% 48.00%
Athlone Town — — 100%
Cabinteely — 2.00% 98.00%
Cobh Ramblers — 4.00% 96.00%
Drogheda United — 100% —
Finn Harps — 100% —
Shelbourne — 100% —
Wexford — — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-02-23 Athlone Town W 4-133.9 1189 997 68.93% 15.78% 15.29%+1.45 +15.2 3
2018-02-23 @ Galway United L 1-433.9 997 1189 15.29% 15.78% 68.93%-1.45 -15.2 0
2018-02-23 Shelbourne W 2-142.0 1170 1116 55.06% 16.37% 28.57%+0.60 +11.0 3
2018-02-23 @ UC Dublin L 1-242.0 1116 1170 28.57% 16.37% 55.06%-0.60 -11.0 0
2018-02-23 Wexford L 0-142.9 1074 1071 48.43% 16.47% 35.11%+0.29 -18.3 0
2018-02-23 @ Cabinteely W 1-042.9 1071 1074 35.11% 16.47% 48.43%-0.29 +18.3 3
2018-02-24 Cobh Ramblers D 2-260.3 1118 1141 44.91% 16.49% 38.60%+0.13 -0.4 1
2018-02-24 @ Longford Town D 2-260.3 1141 1118 38.60% 16.49% 44.91%-0.13 +0.4 1
2018-03-09 Cobh Ramblers L 0-139.2 1055 1141 36.02% 16.48% 47.51%-0.26 -14.2 0
2018-03-09 @ Cabinteely W 1-039.2 1141 1055 47.51% 16.48% 36.02%+0.26 +14.2 4
2018-03-09 Galway United D 1-155.0 1181 1204 44.86% 16.49% 38.65%+0.13 -0.5 4
2018-03-09 @ UC Dublin D 1-155.0 1204 1181 38.65% 16.49% 44.86%-0.13 +0.5 4
2018-03-09 Shelbourne D 1-154.9 1133 1105 51.80% 16.43% 31.77%+0.44 -1.7 1
2018-03-09 @ Finn Harps D 1-154.9 1105 1133 31.77% 16.43% 51.80%-0.44 +1.7 1
2018-03-10 Wexford W 3-034.1 1118 1089 51.82% 16.43% 31.75%+0.45 +35.0 4
2018-03-10 @ Longford Town L 0-334.1 1089 1118 31.75% 16.43% 51.82%-0.45 -35.0 3
2018-03-11 Athlone Town W 6-029.5 1126 982 64.83% 16.03% 19.13%+1.16 +42.5 3
2018-03-11 @ Drogheda United L 0-629.5 982 1126 19.13% 16.03% 64.83%-1.16 -42.6 0
2018-03-16 Cabinteely W 3-136.7 1204 1041 66.55% 15.94% 17.51%+1.28 +12.2 7
2018-03-16 @ Galway United L 1-336.7 1041 1204 17.51% 15.94% 66.55%-1.28 -12.2 0
2018-03-16 Drogheda United L 1-835.1 1054 1169 32.22% 16.43% 51.34%-0.43 -64.6 3
2018-03-16 @ Wexford W 8-135.1 1169 1054 51.34% 16.43% 32.22%+0.43 +64.6 6
2018-03-16 Longford Town W 3-251.0 1106 1153 41.54% 16.50% 41.96%-0.01 +14.5 4
2018-03-16 @ Shelbourne L 2-351.0 1153 1106 41.96% 16.50% 41.54%+0.01 -14.5 4
2018-03-16 UC Dublin L 1-337.0 939 1180 18.54% 16.00% 65.46%-1.21 -12.9 0
2018-03-16 @ Athlone Town W 3-137.0 1180 939 65.46% 16.00% 18.54%+1.21 +12.9 7
2018-03-17 Finn Harps L 0-241.6 1155 1131 51.29% 16.44% 32.27%+0.42 -36.4 4
2018-03-17 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-041.6 1131 1155 32.27% 16.44% 51.29%-0.42 +36.4 4
2018-03-19 Cabinteely L 1-243.5 926 1029 33.78% 16.46% 49.76%-0.36 -12.7 0
2018-03-19 @ Athlone Town W 2-143.5 1029 926 49.76% 16.46% 33.78%+0.36 +12.7 3
2018-03-23 Cabinteely W 3-137.0 1193 1042 65.49% 16.00% 18.51%+1.20 +12.9 10
2018-03-23 @ UC Dublin L 1-337.0 1042 1193 18.51% 16.00% 65.49%-1.20 -12.9 3
2018-03-23 Cobh Ramblers W 1-039.0 1121 1119 48.30% 16.47% 35.23%+0.28 +14.0 7
2018-03-23 @ Shelbourne L 0-139.0 1119 1121 35.23% 16.47% 48.30%-0.28 -14.0 4
2018-03-23 Galway United D 2-260.5 1233 1216 50.31% 16.45% 33.24%+0.37 -1.1 7
2018-03-23 @ Drogheda United D 2-260.5 1216 1233 33.24% 16.45% 50.31%-0.37 +1.1 8
2018-03-23 Wexford W 1-033.1 1167 990 67.81% 15.86% 16.33%+1.37 +7.0 7
2018-03-23 @ Finn Harps L 0-133.1 990 1167 16.33% 15.86% 67.81%-1.37 -7.0 3
2018-03-24 Athlone Town W 5-131.4 1138 914 71.42% 15.58% 13.00%+1.65 +16.8 7
2018-03-24 @ Longford Town L 1-531.4 914 1138 13.00% 15.58% 71.42%-1.65 -16.8 0
2018-03-26 Finn Harps W 2-142.0 1232 1174 55.50% 16.36% 28.14%+0.63 +10.8 10
2018-03-26 @ Drogheda United L 1-242.0 1174 1232 28.14% 16.36% 55.50%-0.63 -10.8 7
2018-03-30 Drogheda United W 3-257.2 1029 1243 20.97% 16.12% 62.91%-1.05 +21.0 6
2018-03-30 @ Cabinteely L 2-357.2 1243 1029 62.91% 16.12% 20.97%+1.05 -21.0 10
2018-03-30 Finn Harps D 1-155.0 897 1164 16.39% 15.86% 67.74%-1.37 +4.7 1
2018-03-30 @ Athlone Town D 1-155.0 1164 897 67.74% 15.86% 16.39%+1.37 -4.7 8
2018-03-30 Longford Town D 0-050.9 1218 1155 56.08% 16.35% 27.57%+0.66 -2.8 9
2018-03-30 @ Galway United D 0-050.9 1155 1218 27.57% 16.35% 56.08%-0.66 +2.8 8
2018-03-30 Shelbourne L 0-136.6 983 1135 27.60% 16.35% 56.05%-0.67 -11.3 3
2018-03-30 @ Wexford W 1-036.6 1135 983 56.05% 16.35% 27.60%+0.67 +11.3 10
2018-03-30 UC Dublin L 0-236.4 1105 1206 33.99% 16.46% 49.55%-0.35 -25.6 4
2018-03-30 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-036.4 1206 1105 49.55% 16.46% 33.99%+0.35 +25.6 13
2018-04-06 Athlone Town W 7-027.4 1146 902 72.79% 15.44% 11.77%+1.78 +31.1 13
2018-04-06 @ Shelbourne L 0-727.4 902 1146 11.77% 15.44% 72.79%-1.78 -31.1 1
2018-04-06 Cobh Ramblers D 1-154.8 971 1079 33.05% 16.45% 50.50%-0.39 +1.5 4
2018-04-06 @ Wexford D 1-154.8 1079 971 50.50% 16.45% 33.05%+0.39 -1.5 5
2018-04-06 UC Dublin W 2-037.5 1222 1231 46.77% 16.48% 36.75%+0.21 +27.3 13
2018-04-06 @ Drogheda United L 0-237.5 1231 1222 36.75% 16.48% 46.77%-0.21 -27.3 13
2018-04-07 Cabinteely W 3-031.3 1158 1050 61.21% 16.19% 22.60%+0.94 +25.9 11
2018-04-07 @ Longford Town L 0-331.3 1050 1158 22.60% 16.19% 61.21%-0.94 -25.9 6
2018-04-13 Cobh Ramblers L 1-435.9 870 1078 21.64% 16.15% 62.21%-1.01 -21.0 1
2018-04-13 @ Athlone Town W 4-135.9 1078 870 62.21% 16.15% 21.64%+1.01 +21.0 8
2018-04-13 Finn Harps W 3-247.4 1204 1159 53.96% 16.39% 29.65%+0.55 +10.8 16
2018-04-13 @ UC Dublin L 2-347.4 1159 1204 29.65% 16.39% 53.96%-0.55 -10.8 8
2018-04-13 Longford Town D 1-155.1 1249 1184 56.46% 16.34% 27.20%+0.68 -2.6 14
2018-04-13 @ Drogheda United D 1-155.1 1184 1249 27.20% 16.34% 56.46%-0.68 +2.6 12
2018-04-13 Shelbourne W 2-043.0 1024 1177 27.45% 16.34% 56.21%-0.67 +39.6 9
2018-04-13 @ Cabinteely L 0-243.0 1177 1024 56.21% 16.34% 27.45%+0.67 -39.6 13
2018-04-13 Wexford W 4-132.8 1215 973 72.62% 15.46% 11.92%+1.76 +12.0 12
2018-04-13 @ Galway United L 1-432.8 973 1215 11.92% 15.46% 72.62%-1.76 -12.0 4
2018-04-20 Athlone Town W 7-030.7 961 849 61.56% 16.18% 22.26%+0.96 +56.6 7
2018-04-20 @ Wexford L 0-730.7 849 961 22.26% 16.18% 61.56%-0.96 -56.6 1
2018-04-20 Cabinteely W 1-035.9 1148 1063 58.66% 16.28% 25.06%+0.79 +10.4 11
2018-04-20 @ Finn Harps L 0-135.9 1063 1148 25.06% 16.28% 58.66%-0.79 -10.4 9
2018-04-20 Galway United W 2-040.7 1138 1227 35.55% 16.47% 47.98%-0.28 +34.3 16
2018-04-20 @ Shelbourne L 0-240.7 1227 1138 47.98% 16.47% 35.55%+0.28 -34.3 12
2018-04-21 Drogheda United L 1-536.3 1099 1247 28.09% 16.36% 55.55%-0.64 -34.2 8
2018-04-21 @ Cobh Ramblers W 5-136.3 1247 1099 55.55% 16.36% 28.09%+0.64 +34.2 17
2018-04-21 UC Dublin L 0-239.6 1186 1215 44.07% 16.50% 39.44%+0.09 -31.8 12
2018-04-21 @ Longford Town W 2-039.6 1215 1186 39.44% 16.50% 44.07%-0.09 +31.8 19
2018-04-27 Cobh Ramblers W 3-030.7 1193 1065 63.23% 16.11% 20.66%+1.06 +23.9 15
2018-04-27 @ Galway United L 0-330.7 1065 1193 20.66% 16.11% 63.23%-1.06 -23.9 8
2018-04-27 Shelbourne D 1-155.2 1281 1172 61.34% 16.19% 22.47%+0.94 -3.5 18
2018-04-27 @ Drogheda United D 1-155.2 1172 1281 22.47% 16.19% 61.34%-0.94 +3.5 17
2018-04-27 Wexford W 3-242.0 1247 1017 71.76% 15.54% 12.69%+1.68 +4.9 22
2018-04-27 @ UC Dublin L 2-342.0 1017 1247 12.69% 15.54% 71.76%-1.68 -4.9 7
2018-04-28 Finn Harps L 1-247.8 1154 1159 47.49% 16.48% 36.04%+0.25 -17.0 12
2018-04-28 @ Longford Town W 2-147.8 1159 1154 36.04% 16.48% 47.49%-0.25 +17.0 14
2018-05-04 Cabinteely L 0-141.1 1013 1053 42.37% 16.50% 41.13%+0.02 -16.3 7
2018-05-04 @ Wexford W 1-041.1 1053 1013 41.13% 16.50% 42.37%-0.02 +16.3 12
2018-05-04 Drogheda United W 2-148.6 1176 1278 33.83% 16.46% 49.71%-0.36 +17.7 17
2018-05-04 @ Finn Harps L 1-248.6 1278 1176 49.71% 16.46% 33.83%+0.36 -17.7 18
2018-05-04 Galway United L 0-326.2 793 1216 7.47% 14.74% 77.79%-2.34 -9.0 1
2018-05-04 @ Athlone Town W 3-026.2 1216 793 77.79% 14.74% 7.47%+2.34 +9.0 18
2018-05-04 UC Dublin D 1-155.1 1175 1252 37.31% 16.49% 46.21%-0.20 +0.8 18
2018-05-04 @ Shelbourne D 1-155.1 1252 1175 46.21% 16.49% 37.31%+0.20 -0.8 23
2018-05-05 Longford Town L 0-138.7 1041 1137 34.56% 16.46% 48.98%-0.32 -13.8 8
2018-05-05 @ Cobh Ramblers W 1-038.7 1137 1041 48.98% 16.46% 34.56%+0.32 +13.8 15
2018-05-07 Galway United W 1-040.6 1193 1225 43.58% 16.50% 39.92%+0.07 +15.5 20
2018-05-07 @ Finn Harps L 0-140.6 1225 1193 39.92% 16.50% 43.58%-0.07 -15.5 18
2018-05-07 UC Dublin L 0-829.5 996 1251 17.36% 15.93% 66.71%-1.30 -51.1 7
2018-05-07 @ Wexford W 8-029.5 1251 996 66.71% 15.93% 17.36%+1.30 +51.1 26
2018-05-11 Drogheda United L 0-129.4 784 1260 5.68% 14.27% 80.05%-2.66 -2.5 1
2018-05-11 @ Athlone Town W 1-029.4 1260 784 80.05% 14.27% 5.68%+2.66 +2.5 21
2018-05-11 Finn Harps D 0-050.8 1176 1209 43.49% 16.50% 40.01%+0.07 -0.3 19
2018-05-11 @ Shelbourne D 0-050.8 1209 1176 40.01% 16.50% 43.49%-0.07 +0.3 21
2018-05-11 Longford Town L 0-232.6 945 1151 21.77% 16.16% 62.07%-1.00 -17.2 7
2018-05-11 @ Wexford W 2-032.6 1151 945 62.07% 16.16% 21.77%+1.00 +17.2 18
2018-05-11 UC Dublin W 2-041.2 1210 1302 35.14% 16.47% 48.39%-0.30 +34.5 21
2018-05-11 @ Galway United L 0-241.2 1302 1210 48.39% 16.47% 35.14%+0.30 -34.5 26
2018-05-12 Cabinteely W 1-040.8 1027 1069 42.12% 16.50% 41.38%+0.01 +16.0 11
2018-05-12 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-140.8 1069 1027 41.38% 16.50% 42.12%-0.01 -16.0 12
2018-05-18 Athlone Town W 3-024.6 1268 781 83.38% 13.27% 3.36%+3.26 +4.0 29
2018-05-18 @ UC Dublin L 0-324.6 781 1268 3.36% 13.27% 83.38%-3.26 -4.0 1
2018-05-18 Cobh Ramblers L 0-148.3 1209 1043 66.80% 15.92% 17.27%+1.29 -24.9 21
2018-05-18 @ Finn Harps W 1-048.3 1043 1209 17.27% 15.92% 66.80%-1.29 +24.9 14
2018-05-18 Wexford W 2-027.9 1262 928 77.83% 14.73% 7.43%+2.33 +6.1 24
2018-05-18 @ Drogheda United L 0-227.9 928 1262 7.43% 14.73% 77.83%-2.33 -6.2 7
2018-05-19 Shelbourne D 1-155.0 1168 1176 47.05% 16.48% 36.47%+0.23 -0.9 19
2018-05-19 @ Longford Town D 1-155.0 1176 1168 36.47% 16.48% 47.05%-0.23 +0.9 20
2018-05-20 Galway United L 1-240.4 1053 1244 23.30% 16.22% 60.48%-0.91 -9.2 12
2018-05-20 @ Cabinteely W 2-140.4 1244 1053 60.48% 16.22% 23.30%+0.91 +9.2 24
2018-05-25 Drogheda United L 0-142.7 1254 1269 45.98% 16.49% 37.54%+0.18 -17.5 24
2018-05-25 @ Galway United W 1-042.7 1269 1254 37.54% 16.49% 45.98%-0.18 +17.5 27
2018-05-25 Finn Harps D 1-155.0 922 1184 16.73% 15.89% 67.39%-1.35 +4.6 8
2018-05-25 @ Wexford D 1-155.0 1184 922 67.39% 15.89% 16.73%+1.35 -4.6 22
2018-05-25 Longford Town D 1-155.3 777 1168 8.87% 15.02% 76.11%-2.13 +6.3 2
2018-05-25 @ Athlone Town D 1-155.3 1168 777 76.11% 15.02% 8.87%+2.13 -6.3 20
2018-05-25 Shelbourne L 0-334.5 1068 1177 32.97% 16.45% 50.58%-0.40 -36.2 14
2018-05-25 @ Cobh Ramblers W 3-034.5 1177 1068 50.58% 16.45% 32.97%+0.40 +36.2 23
2018-05-25 UC Dublin W 2-045.4 1044 1271 19.75% 16.07% 64.18%-1.13 +45.1 15
2018-05-25 @ Cabinteely L 0-245.4 1271 1044 64.18% 16.07% 19.75%+1.13 -45.1 29
2018-06-01 Athlone Town W 4-024.7 1180 784 80.42% 14.18% 5.41%+2.71 +8.5 25
2018-06-01 @ Finn Harps L 0-424.7 784 1180 5.41% 14.18% 80.42%-2.71 -8.5 2
2018-06-01 Cabinteely W 2-030.6 1286 1089 69.36% 15.75% 14.89%+1.48 +12.1 30
2018-06-01 @ Drogheda United L 0-230.6 1089 1286 14.89% 15.75% 69.36%-1.48 -12.1 15
2018-06-01 Cobh Ramblers W 3-135.9 1226 1032 69.18% 15.76% 15.06%+1.47 +10.6 32
2018-06-01 @ UC Dublin L 1-335.9 1032 1226 15.06% 15.76% 69.18%-1.47 -10.6 14
2018-06-01 Galway United W 3-252.4 1161 1236 37.52% 16.49% 45.99%-0.19 +15.7 23
2018-06-01 @ Longford Town L 2-352.4 1236 1161 45.99% 16.49% 37.52%+0.19 -15.7 24
2018-06-01 Wexford W 4-132.0 1213 926 75.35% 15.13% 9.52%+2.04 +9.6 26
2018-06-01 @ Shelbourne L 1-432.0 926 1213 9.52% 15.13% 75.35%-2.04 -9.6 8
2018-06-04 Athlone Town W 4-025.9 1077 775 76.19% 15.01% 8.80%+2.13 +13.8 18
2018-06-04 @ Cabinteely L 0-425.9 775 1077 8.80% 15.01% 76.19%-2.13 -13.8 2
2018-06-04 Drogheda United D 1-155.3 1222 1298 37.39% 16.49% 46.13%-0.20 +0.7 27
2018-06-04 @ Shelbourne D 1-155.3 1298 1222 46.13% 16.49% 37.39%+0.20 -0.7 31
2018-06-04 Galway United D 0-050.8 1021 1220 22.47% 16.19% 61.35%-0.96 +3.9 15
2018-06-04 @ Cobh Ramblers D 0-050.8 1220 1021 61.35% 16.19% 22.47%+0.96 -3.9 25
2018-06-04 Longford Town L 2-450.6 1188 1177 49.56% 16.46% 33.98%+0.34 -27.3 25
2018-06-04 @ Finn Harps W 4-250.6 1177 1188 33.98% 16.46% 49.56%-0.34 +27.3 26
2018-06-08 Drogheda United W 2-039.9 1237 1298 39.52% 16.50% 43.98%-0.10 +31.8 35
2018-06-08 @ UC Dublin L 0-239.9 1298 1237 43.98% 16.50% 39.52%+0.10 -31.8 31
2018-06-08 Finn Harps L 1-250.1 1216 1161 55.26% 16.37% 28.38%+0.61 -19.5 25
2018-06-08 @ Galway United W 2-150.1 1161 1216 28.38% 16.37% 55.26%-0.61 +19.5 28
2018-06-08 Longford Town W 1-043.8 1091 1204 32.38% 16.44% 51.18%-0.43 +19.3 21
2018-06-08 @ Cabinteely L 0-143.8 1204 1091 51.18% 16.44% 32.38%+0.43 -19.3 26
2018-06-08 Shelbourne L 0-524.8 762 1223 6.13% 14.40% 79.47%-2.57 -11.8 2
2018-06-08 @ Athlone Town W 5-024.8 1223 762 79.47% 14.40% 6.13%+2.57 +11.8 30
2018-06-09 Wexford W 2-140.1 1025 917 61.25% 16.19% 22.56%+0.94 +8.9 18
2018-06-09 @ Cobh Ramblers L 1-240.1 917 1025 22.56% 16.19% 61.25%-0.94 -8.9 8
2018-06-15 Athlone Town W 1-030.8 1034 750 75.23% 15.15% 9.63%+2.02 +4.2 21
2018-06-15 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-130.8 750 1034 9.63% 15.15% 75.23%-2.02 -4.2 2
2018-06-15 Cabinteely D 0-050.9 1235 1110 62.93% 16.12% 20.95%+1.04 -4.2 31
2018-06-15 @ Shelbourne D 0-050.9 1110 1235 20.95% 16.12% 62.93%-1.04 +4.2 22
2018-06-15 Drogheda United W 1-042.7 1185 1266 36.70% 16.48% 46.82%-0.23 +17.8 29
2018-06-15 @ Longford Town L 0-142.7 1266 1185 46.82% 16.48% 36.70%+0.23 -17.8 31
2018-06-15 Galway United D 0-050.9 908 1197 14.71% 15.73% 69.56%-1.51 +5.6 9
2018-06-15 @ Wexford D 0-050.9 1197 908 69.56% 15.73% 14.71%+1.51 -5.7 26
2018-06-15 UC Dublin L 1-342.5 1180 1269 35.64% 16.47% 47.89%-0.27 -23.0 28
2018-06-15 @ Finn Harps W 3-142.5 1269 1180 47.89% 16.47% 35.64%+0.27 +23.0 38
2018-06-29 Cobh Ramblers W 2-137.4 1248 1038 70.34% 15.67% 13.98%+1.56 +5.7 34
2018-06-29 @ Drogheda United L 1-237.4 1038 1248 13.98% 15.67% 70.34%-1.56 -5.7 21
2018-06-29 Finn Harps L 0-141.1 1114 1157 42.07% 16.50% 41.44%+0.01 -16.2 22
2018-06-29 @ Cabinteely W 1-041.1 1157 1114 41.44% 16.50% 42.07%-0.01 +16.2 31
2018-06-29 Longford Town L 1-545.9 1292 1203 59.15% 16.26% 24.58%+0.82 -65.8 38
2018-06-29 @ UC Dublin W 5-145.9 1203 1292 24.58% 16.26% 59.15%-0.82 +65.8 32
2018-06-29 Shelbourne L 1-246.4 1191 1231 42.52% 16.50% 40.98%+0.03 -15.5 26
2018-06-29 @ Galway United W 2-146.4 1231 1191 40.98% 16.50% 42.52%-0.03 +15.5 34
2018-06-29 Wexford W 3-041.8 745 913 25.79% 16.30% 57.91%-0.76 +59.2 5
2018-06-29 @ Athlone Town L 0-341.8 913 745 57.91% 16.30% 25.79%+0.76 -59.2 9
2018-07-06 Athlone Town W 4-130.7 1176 805 79.45% 14.41% 6.15%+2.56 +6.2 29
2018-07-06 @ Galway United L 1-430.7 805 1176 6.15% 14.41% 79.45%-2.56 -6.2 5
2018-07-06 Finn Harps L 0-146.0 1254 1173 58.15% 16.29% 25.56%+0.76 -21.7 34
2018-07-06 @ Drogheda United W 1-046.0 1173 1254 25.56% 16.29% 58.15%-0.76 +21.7 34
2018-07-06 Shelbourne D 1-155.2 1226 1246 45.26% 16.49% 38.25%+0.15 -0.6 39
2018-07-06 @ UC Dublin D 1-155.2 1246 1226 38.25% 16.49% 45.26%-0.15 +0.6 35
2018-07-06 Wexford L 1-254.9 1098 854 72.76% 15.44% 11.80%+1.77 -25.6 22
2018-07-06 @ Cabinteely W 2-154.9 854 1098 11.80% 15.44% 72.76%-1.77 +25.6 12
2018-07-07 Cobh Ramblers L 1-254.9 1269 1032 72.22% 15.50% 12.28%+1.72 -25.4 32
2018-07-07 @ Longford Town W 2-154.9 1032 1269 12.28% 15.50% 72.22%-1.72 +25.4 24
2018-07-13 Cabinteely L 1-336.1 798 1073 15.82% 15.82% 68.36%-1.42 -11.1 5
2018-07-13 @ Athlone Town W 3-136.1 1073 798 68.36% 15.82% 15.82%+1.42 +11.1 25
2018-07-13 Drogheda United L 0-143.7 1247 1232 50.06% 16.45% 33.49%+0.36 -18.9 35
2018-07-13 @ Shelbourne W 1-043.7 1232 1247 33.49% 16.45% 50.06%-0.36 +18.9 37
2018-07-13 Longford Town W 3-037.5 1195 1243 41.30% 16.50% 42.20%-0.02 +44.6 37
2018-07-13 @ Finn Harps L 0-337.5 1243 1195 42.20% 16.50% 41.30%+0.02 -44.6 32
2018-07-13 UC Dublin L 0-327.5 880 1225 11.11% 15.36% 73.53%-1.86 -13.3 12
2018-07-13 @ Wexford W 3-027.5 1225 880 73.53% 15.36% 11.11%+1.86 +13.3 42
2018-07-14 Galway United L 1-242.7 1058 1182 30.99% 16.42% 52.60%-0.49 -11.8 24
2018-07-14 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-142.7 1182 1058 52.60% 16.42% 30.99%+0.49 +11.8 32
2018-07-20 Athlone Town W 2-133.7 1251 787 82.71% 13.50% 3.78%+3.12 +1.5 40
2018-07-20 @ Drogheda United L 1-233.7 787 1251 3.78% 13.50% 82.71%-3.12 -1.5 5
2018-07-20 Cobh Ramblers W 2-035.3 1084 1046 53.01% 16.41% 30.58%+0.50 +23.3 28
2018-07-20 @ Cabinteely L 0-235.3 1046 1084 30.58% 16.41% 53.01%-0.50 -23.3 24
2018-07-20 Galway United W 2-035.3 1239 1194 53.92% 16.39% 29.69%+0.55 +22.7 45
2018-07-20 @ UC Dublin L 0-235.3 1194 1239 29.69% 16.39% 53.92%-0.55 -22.7 32
2018-07-20 Shelbourne D 0-051.0 1240 1228 49.64% 16.46% 33.91%+0.34 -1.5 38
2018-07-20 @ Finn Harps D 0-051.0 1228 1240 33.91% 16.46% 49.64%-0.34 +1.5 36
2018-07-21 Wexford W 3-026.3 1199 866 77.71% 14.75% 7.53%+2.32 +9.1 35
2018-07-21 @ Longford Town L 0-326.3 866 1199 7.53% 14.75% 77.71%-2.32 -9.1 12
2018-07-27 Cabinteely W 3-246.6 1171 1107 56.26% 16.34% 27.40%+0.67 +10.0 35
2018-07-27 @ Galway United L 2-346.6 1107 1171 27.40% 16.34% 56.26%-0.67 -10.0 28
2018-07-27 Drogheda United D 0-051.1 857 1252 8.65% 14.98% 76.37%-2.16 +7.1 13
2018-07-27 @ Wexford D 0-051.1 1252 857 76.37% 14.98% 8.65%+2.16 -7.1 41
2018-07-27 Longford Town W 6-136.6 1229 1208 50.97% 16.44% 32.59%+0.41 +47.7 39
2018-07-27 @ Shelbourne L 1-636.6 1208 1229 32.59% 16.44% 50.97%-0.41 -47.7 35
2018-07-27 UC Dublin L 0-129.4 786 1262 5.69% 14.27% 80.04%-2.66 -2.5 5
2018-07-27 @ Athlone Town W 1-029.4 1262 786 80.04% 14.27% 5.69%+2.66 +2.5 48
2018-07-28 Finn Harps L 0-134.6 1023 1238 20.86% 16.12% 63.02%-1.06 -8.8 24
2018-07-28 @ Cobh Ramblers W 1-034.6 1238 1023 63.02% 16.12% 20.86%+1.06 +8.8 41
2018-08-03 Cabinteely W 4-134.6 1264 1097 66.88% 15.92% 17.20%+1.30 +17.0 51
2018-08-03 @ UC Dublin L 1-434.6 1097 1264 17.20% 15.92% 66.88%-1.30 -17.0 28
2018-08-03 Cobh Ramblers W 3-134.5 1277 1014 73.98% 15.30% 10.71%+1.89 +7.6 42
2018-08-03 @ Shelbourne L 1-334.5 1014 1277 10.71% 15.30% 73.98%-1.89 -7.6 24
2018-08-03 Galway United D 2-260.5 1245 1181 56.26% 16.34% 27.40%+0.67 -1.9 42
2018-08-03 @ Drogheda United D 2-260.5 1181 1245 27.40% 16.34% 56.26%-0.67 +1.9 36
2018-08-03 Wexford W 3-025.6 1247 865 79.90% 14.30% 5.80%+2.63 +7.0 44
2018-08-03 @ Finn Harps L 0-325.6 865 1247 5.80% 14.30% 79.90%-2.63 -7.0 13
2018-08-04 Athlone Town W 3-025.7 1160 783 79.67% 14.36% 5.98%+2.59 +7.2 38
2018-08-04 @ Longford Town L 0-325.7 783 1160 5.98% 14.36% 79.67%-2.59 -7.2 5
2018-08-17 Drogheda United D 2-260.4 1080 1243 26.31% 16.31% 57.37%-0.73 +2.0 29
2018-08-17 @ Cabinteely D 2-260.4 1243 1080 57.37% 16.31% 26.31%+0.73 -2.0 43
2018-08-17 Finn Harps L 1-332.6 776 1254 5.63% 14.25% 80.12%-2.67 -4.0 5
2018-08-17 @ Athlone Town W 3-132.6 1254 776 80.12% 14.25% 5.63%+2.67 +4.0 47
2018-08-17 Longford Town L 1-444.7 1183 1167 50.21% 16.45% 33.34%+0.37 -43.7 36
2018-08-17 @ Galway United W 4-144.7 1167 1183 33.34% 16.45% 50.21%-0.37 +43.7 41
2018-08-17 Shelbourne L 1-235.1 858 1285 7.33% 14.71% 77.97%-2.36 -3.0 13
2018-08-17 @ Wexford W 2-135.1 1285 858 77.97% 14.71% 7.33%+2.36 +3.0 45
2018-08-18 UC Dublin D 2-260.5 1006 1281 15.78% 15.82% 68.40%-1.42 +3.6 25
2018-08-18 @ Cobh Ramblers D 2-260.5 1281 1006 68.40% 15.82% 15.78%+1.42 -3.6 52
2018-08-24 Cobh Ramblers D 0-050.8 772 1010 18.81% 16.02% 65.18%-1.19 +4.7 6
2018-08-24 @ Athlone Town D 0-050.8 1010 772 65.18% 16.02% 18.81%+1.19 -4.7 26
2018-08-31 Athlone Town D 2-261.2 1288 777 84.06% 13.00% 2.94%+3.42 -5.7 46
2018-08-31 @ Shelbourne D 2-261.2 777 1288 2.94% 13.00% 84.06%-3.42 +5.7 7
2018-08-31 Cobh Ramblers L 1-241.7 855 1005 27.77% 16.35% 55.88%-0.66 -10.7 13
2018-08-31 @ Wexford W 2-141.7 1005 855 55.88% 16.35% 27.77%+0.66 +10.7 29
2018-08-31 Galway United W 2-032.7 1258 1139 62.31% 16.15% 21.54%+1.00 +17.1 50
2018-08-31 @ Finn Harps L 0-232.7 1139 1258 21.54% 16.15% 62.31%-1.00 -17.1 36
2018-08-31 UC Dublin L 0-337.9 1241 1277 43.01% 16.50% 40.49%+0.05 -45.3 43
2018-08-31 @ Drogheda United W 3-037.9 1277 1241 40.49% 16.50% 43.01%-0.05 +45.3 55
2018-09-01 Cabinteely W 4-135.6 1211 1082 63.32% 16.11% 20.57%+1.06 +20.0 44
2018-09-01 @ Longford Town L 1-435.6 1082 1211 20.57% 16.11% 63.32%-1.06 -20.0 29
2018-09-14 Finn Harps D 1-155.8 1323 1275 54.26% 16.39% 29.35%+0.56 -2.2 56
2018-09-14 @ UC Dublin D 1-155.8 1275 1323 29.35% 16.39% 54.26%-0.56 +2.2 51
2018-09-14 Longford Town W 2-145.8 1196 1231 43.19% 16.50% 40.31%+0.06 +14.8 46
2018-09-14 @ Drogheda United L 1-245.8 1231 1196 40.31% 16.50% 43.19%-0.06 -14.8 44
2018-09-14 Shelbourne D 1-155.1 1062 1282 20.42% 16.10% 63.48%-1.08 +3.9 30
2018-09-14 @ Cabinteely D 1-155.1 1282 1062 63.48% 16.10% 20.42%+1.08 -3.9 47
2018-09-14 Wexford D 1-155.2 1122 844 74.89% 15.19% 9.92%+1.99 -6.1 37
2018-09-14 @ Galway United D 1-155.2 844 1122 9.92% 15.19% 74.89%-1.99 +6.1 14
2018-09-21 Athlone Town W 2-034.2 850 783 56.66% 16.33% 27.01%+0.69 +20.9 17
2018-09-21 @ Wexford L 0-234.2 783 850 27.01% 16.33% 56.66%-0.69 -20.9 7
2018-09-22 Cabinteely W 7-129.9 1277 1066 70.46% 15.66% 13.87%+1.57 +26.0 54
2018-09-22 @ Finn Harps L 1-729.9 1066 1277 13.87% 15.66% 70.46%-1.57 -26.0 30
2018-09-22 Drogheda United L 0-233.0 1016 1211 22.91% 16.21% 60.89%-0.93 -18.1 29
2018-09-22 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-033.0 1211 1016 60.89% 16.21% 22.91%+0.93 +18.1 49
2018-09-22 Galway United W 3-029.8 1278 1116 66.46% 15.95% 17.60%+1.27 +20.6 50
2018-09-22 @ Shelbourne L 0-329.8 1116 1278 17.60% 15.95% 66.46%-1.27 -20.6 37
2018-09-22 UC Dublin D 2-260.8 1216 1321 33.52% 16.45% 50.03%-0.37 +1.1 45
2018-09-22 @ Longford Town D 2-260.8 1321 1216 50.03% 16.45% 33.52%+0.37 -1.1 57

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2018-10-05 Shelbourne L 0-1 1229 1299 38.18% 16.49% 45.33%-0.16 -15.0 0-1
2018-10-05 @ Drogheda United W 1-0 1299 1229 45.33% 16.49% 38.18%+0.16 +15.0 1-0
2018-10-08 Drogheda United L 2-4 1314 1214 60.35% 16.22% 23.43%+0.89 -32.9 1-1
2018-10-08 @ Shelbourne W 4-2 1214 1314 23.43% 16.22% 60.35%-0.89 +32.9 1-1
2018-10-12 Finn Harps D 1-1 1247 1303 40.09% 16.50% 43.41%-0.08 +0.3 1-1-1
2018-10-12 @ Drogheda United D 1-1 1303 1247 43.41% 16.50% 40.09%+0.08 -0.3 0-0-1
2018-10-19 Drogheda United W 2-0 1303 1247 55.28% 16.37% 28.36%+0.62 +21.8 1-0-1
2018-10-19 @ Finn Harps L 0-2 1247 1303 28.36% 16.37% 55.28%-0.62 -21.8 1-2-1
2018-10-29 Limerick W 1-0 1325 1039 75.33% 15.13% 9.54%+2.03 +4.2 2-0-1
2018-10-29 @ Finn Harps L 0-1 1039 1325 9.54% 15.13% 75.33%-2.03 -4.2 0-1
2018-11-02 Finn Harps L 0-2 1034 1329 14.33% 15.70% 69.97%-1.54 -11.7 0-2
2018-11-02 @ Limerick W 2-0 1329 1034 69.97% 15.70% 14.33%+1.54 +11.7 3-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-07-06 11.80% Wexford 854 2 @ Cabinteely 1098 1
2 2018-07-07 12.28% Cobh Ramblers 1032 2 @ Longford Town 1269 1
3 2018-05-18 17.27% Cobh Ramblers 1043 1 @ Finn Harps 1209 0
4 2018-05-25 19.75% @ Cabinteely 1044 2 UC Dublin 1271 0
5 2018-03-30 20.97% @ Cabinteely 1029 3 Drogheda United 1243 2
6 2018-06-29 24.58% Longford Town 1203 5 @ UC Dublin 1292 1
7 2018-07-06 25.56% Finn Harps 1173 1 @ Drogheda United 1254 0
8 2018-06-29 25.79% @ Athlone Town 745 3 Wexford 913 0
9 2018-04-13 27.45% @ Cabinteely 1024 2 Shelbourne 1177 0
10 2018-06-08 28.38% Finn Harps 1161 2 @ Galway United 1216 1
11 2018-03-17 32.27% Finn Harps 1131 2 @ Cobh Ramblers 1155 0
12 2018-06-08 32.38% @ Cabinteely 1091 1 Longford Town 1204 0
13 2018-08-17 33.34% Longford Town 1167 4 @ Galway United 1183 1
14 2018-07-13 33.49% Drogheda United 1232 1 @ Shelbourne 1247 0
15 2018-05-04 33.83% @ Finn Harps 1176 2 Drogheda United 1278 1
16 2018-06-04 33.98% Longford Town 1177 4 @ Finn Harps 1188 2
17 2018-02-23 35.11% Wexford 1071 1 @ Cabinteely 1074 0
18 2018-05-11 35.14% @ Galway United 1210 2 UC Dublin 1302 0
19 2018-04-20 35.55% @ Shelbourne 1138 2 Galway United 1227 0
20 2018-04-28 36.04% Finn Harps 1159 2 @ Longford Town 1154 1
21 2018-06-15 36.70% @ Longford Town 1185 1 Drogheda United 1266 0
22 2018-06-01 37.52% @ Longford Town 1161 3 Galway United 1236 2
23 2018-05-25 37.54% Drogheda United 1269 1 @ Galway United 1254 0
24 2018-04-21 39.44% UC Dublin 1215 2 @ Longford Town 1186 0
25 2018-06-08 39.52% @ UC Dublin 1237 2 Drogheda United 1298 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-06-29 65.80 Longford Town 5 1203 24.58% @ UC Dublin 1 1292 59.15% 16.26%
2 2018-03-16 64.59 Drogheda United 8 1169 51.34% @ Wexford 1 1054 32.22% 16.43%
3 2018-06-29 59.22 @ Athlone Town 3 745 25.79% Wexford 0 913 57.91% 16.30%
4 2018-04-20 56.57 @ Wexford 7 961 61.56% Athlone Town 0 849 22.26% 16.18%
5 2018-05-07 51.11 UC Dublin 8 1251 66.71% @ Wexford 0 996 17.36% 15.93%
6 2018-07-27 47.74 @ Shelbourne 6 1229 50.97% Longford Town 1 1208 32.59% 16.44%
7 2018-08-31 45.31 UC Dublin 3 1277 40.49% @ Drogheda United 0 1241 43.01% 16.50%
8 2018-05-25 45.08 @ Cabinteely 2 1044 19.75% UC Dublin 0 1271 64.18% 16.07%
9 2018-07-13 44.59 @ Finn Harps 3 1195 41.30% Longford Town 0 1243 42.20% 16.50%
10 2018-08-17 43.73 Longford Town 4 1167 33.34% @ Galway United 1 1183 50.21% 16.45%
11 2018-03-11 42.56 @ Drogheda United 6 1126 64.83% Athlone Town 0 982 19.13% 16.03%
12 2018-04-13 39.63 @ Cabinteely 2 1024 27.45% Shelbourne 0 1177 56.21% 16.34%
13 2018-03-17 36.41 Finn Harps 2 1131 32.27% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 1155 51.29% 16.44%
14 2018-05-25 36.17 Shelbourne 3 1177 50.58% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 1068 32.97% 16.45%
15 2018-03-10 35.01 @ Longford Town 3 1118 51.82% Wexford 0 1089 31.75% 16.43%
16 2018-05-11 34.55 @ Galway United 2 1210 35.14% UC Dublin 0 1302 48.39% 16.47%
17 2018-04-20 34.29 @ Shelbourne 2 1138 35.55% Galway United 0 1227 47.98% 16.47%
18 2018-04-21 34.25 Drogheda United 5 1247 55.55% @ Cobh Ramblers 1 1099 28.09% 16.36%
19 2018-04-21 31.85 UC Dublin 2 1215 39.44% @ Longford Town 0 1186 44.07% 16.50%
20 2018-06-08 31.79 @ UC Dublin 2 1237 39.52% Drogheda United 0 1298 43.98% 16.50%
21 2018-04-06 31.10 @ Shelbourne 7 1146 72.79% Athlone Town 0 902 11.77% 15.44%
22 2018-06-04 27.34 Longford Town 4 1177 33.98% @ Finn Harps 2 1188 49.56% 16.46%
23 2018-04-06 27.33 @ Drogheda United 2 1222 46.77% UC Dublin 0 1231 36.75% 16.48%
24 2018-09-22 25.97 @ Finn Harps 7 1277 70.46% Cabinteely 1 1066 13.87% 15.66%
25 2018-04-07 25.90 @ Longford Town 3 1158 61.21% Cabinteely 0 1050 22.60% 16.19%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-08-31 61.2 @ Shelbourne 2 1288 84.06% Athlone Town 2 777 2.94% 13.00%
2 2018-09-22 60.8 @ Longford Town 2 1216 33.52% UC Dublin 2 1321 50.03% 16.45%
3 2018-03-23 60.5 @ Drogheda United 2 1233 50.31% Galway United 2 1216 33.24% 16.45%
4 2018-08-03 60.5 @ Drogheda United 2 1245 56.26% Galway United 2 1181 27.40% 16.34%
5 2018-08-18 60.5 @ Cobh Ramblers 2 1006 15.78% UC Dublin 2 1281 68.40% 15.82%
6 2018-08-17 60.4 @ Cabinteely 2 1080 26.31% Drogheda United 2 1243 57.37% 16.31%
7 2018-02-24 60.3 @ Longford Town 2 1118 44.91% Cobh Ramblers 2 1141 38.60% 16.49%
8 2018-03-30 57.2 @ Cabinteely 3 1029 20.97% Drogheda United 2 1243 62.91% 16.12%
9 2018-09-14 55.8 @ UC Dublin 1 1323 54.26% Finn Harps 1 1275 29.35% 16.39%
10 2018-05-25 55.3 @ Athlone Town 1 777 8.87% Longford Town 1 1168 76.11% 15.02%
11 2018-06-04 55.3 @ Shelbourne 1 1222 37.39% Drogheda United 1 1298 46.13% 16.49%
12 2018-04-27 55.2 @ Drogheda United 1 1281 61.34% Shelbourne 1 1172 22.47% 16.19%
13 2018-07-06 55.2 @ UC Dublin 1 1226 45.26% Shelbourne 1 1246 38.25% 16.49%
14 2018-09-14 55.2 @ Galway United 1 1122 74.89% Wexford 1 844 9.92% 15.19%
15 2018-04-13 55.1 @ Drogheda United 1 1249 56.46% Longford Town 1 1184 27.20% 16.34%
16 2018-05-04 55.1 @ Shelbourne 1 1175 37.31% UC Dublin 1 1252 46.21% 16.49%
17 2018-09-14 55.1 @ Cabinteely 1 1062 20.42% Shelbourne 1 1282 63.48% 16.10%
18 2018-03-09 55.0 @ UC Dublin 1 1181 44.86% Galway United 1 1204 38.65% 16.49%
19 2018-03-30 55.0 @ Athlone Town 1 897 16.39% Finn Harps 1 1164 67.74% 15.86%
20 2018-05-19 55.0 @ Longford Town 1 1168 47.05% Shelbourne 1 1176 36.47% 16.48%
21 2018-05-25 55.0 @ Wexford 1 922 16.73% Finn Harps 1 1184 67.39% 15.89%
22 2018-03-09 54.9 @ Finn Harps 1 1133 51.80% Shelbourne 1 1105 31.77% 16.43%
23 2018-07-06 54.9 Wexford 2 854 11.80% @ Cabinteely 1 1098 72.76% 15.44%
24 2018-07-07 54.9 Cobh Ramblers 2 1032 12.28% @ Longford Town 1 1269 72.22% 15.50%
25 2018-04-06 54.8 @ Wexford 1 971 33.05% Cobh Ramblers 1 1079 50.50% 16.45%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-05-18 24.6 @ UC Dublin 3 1268 83.38% Athlone Town 0 781 3.36% 13.27%
2 2018-06-01 24.7 @ Finn Harps 4 1180 80.42% Athlone Town 0 784 5.41% 14.18%
3 2018-06-08 24.8 Shelbourne 5 1223 79.47% @ Athlone Town 0 762 6.13% 14.40%
4 2018-08-03 25.6 @ Finn Harps 3 1247 79.90% Wexford 0 865 5.80% 14.30%
5 2018-08-04 25.7 @ Longford Town 3 1160 79.67% Athlone Town 0 783 5.98% 14.36%
6 2018-06-04 25.9 @ Cabinteely 4 1077 76.19% Athlone Town 0 775 8.80% 15.01%
7 2018-05-04 26.2 Galway United 3 1216 77.79% @ Athlone Town 0 793 7.47% 14.74%
8 2018-07-21 26.3 @ Longford Town 3 1199 77.71% Wexford 0 866 7.53% 14.75%
9 2018-04-06 27.4 @ Shelbourne 7 1146 72.79% Athlone Town 0 902 11.77% 15.44%
10 2018-07-13 27.5 UC Dublin 3 1225 73.53% @ Wexford 0 880 11.11% 15.36%
11 2018-05-18 27.9 @ Drogheda United 2 1262 77.83% Wexford 0 928 7.43% 14.73%
12 2018-05-11 29.4 Drogheda United 1 1260 80.05% @ Athlone Town 0 784 5.68% 14.27%
13 2018-07-27 29.4 UC Dublin 1 1262 80.04% @ Athlone Town 0 786 5.69% 14.27%
14 2018-03-11 29.5 @ Drogheda United 6 1126 64.83% Athlone Town 0 982 19.13% 16.03%
15 2018-05-07 29.5 UC Dublin 8 1251 66.71% @ Wexford 0 996 17.36% 15.93%
16 2018-09-22 29.8 @ Shelbourne 3 1278 66.46% Galway United 0 1116 17.60% 15.95%
17 2018-09-22 29.9 @ Finn Harps 7 1277 70.46% Cabinteely 1 1066 13.87% 15.66%
18 2018-06-01 30.6 @ Drogheda United 2 1286 69.36% Cabinteely 0 1089 14.89% 15.75%
19 2018-04-20 30.7 @ Wexford 7 961 61.56% Athlone Town 0 849 22.26% 16.18%
20 2018-04-27 30.7 @ Galway United 3 1193 63.23% Cobh Ramblers 0 1065 20.66% 16.11%
21 2018-07-06 30.7 @ Galway United 4 1176 79.45% Athlone Town 1 805 6.15% 14.41%
22 2018-06-15 30.8 @ Cobh Ramblers 1 1034 75.23% Athlone Town 0 750 9.63% 15.15%
23 2018-04-07 31.3 @ Longford Town 3 1158 61.21% Cabinteely 0 1050 22.60% 16.19%
24 2018-03-24 31.4 @ Longford Town 5 1138 71.42% Athlone Town 1 914 13.00% 15.58%
25 2018-06-01 32.0 @ Shelbourne 4 1213 75.35% Wexford 1 926 9.52% 15.13%