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1945-46 League of Ireland Season

56 games

Final

Champion

Cork United

21 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Drumconda

4.43 points above expected

19 points · 14.57 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shelbourne

4.55 points below expected

8 points · 12.55 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Cork United 14 9 3 2 21 46 20 +26 17.91 +3.09
2 Drumconda 14 8 3 3 19 37 34 +3 14.57 +4.43
3 Waterford 14 7 2 5 16 29 28 +1 14.31 +1.69
4 Shamrock Rovers 14 6 2 6 14 40 31 +9 13.86 +0.14
5 Dundalk 14 4 5 5 13 36 37 -1 12.92 +0.08
6 Limerick 14 5 1 8 11 25 28 -3 14.21 -3.21
7 Bohemian 14 4 2 8 10 19 36 -17 11.67 -1.67
8 Shelbourne 14 3 2 9 8 26 44 -18 12.55 -4.55

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drumconda 19 14.57 +4.43
2 Cork United 21 17.91 +3.09
3 Waterford 16 14.31 +1.69
4 Shamrock Rovers 14 13.86 +0.14
5 Dundalk 13 12.92 +0.08

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shelbourne 8 12.55 -4.55
2 Limerick 11 14.21 -3.21
3 Bohemian 10 11.67 -1.67
4 Dundalk 13 12.92 +0.08
5 Shamrock Rovers 14 13.86 +0.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drumconda 4 Feb 3 – Feb 17 1 in 42
2 Cork United 4 Dec 9 – Dec 30 1 in 17
3 Waterford 3 Jan 20 – Feb 2 1 in 12
4 Bohemian 2 Dec 23 – Dec 29 1 in 11
5 Dundalk 2 Dec 16 – Dec 23 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 5 Dec 8 – Jan 6 1 in 189
2 Bohemian 4 Jan 13 – Feb 2 1 in 29
3 Shamrock Rovers 3 Dec 9 – Dec 23 1 in 11
4 Limerick 3 Dec 9 – Dec 23 1 in 11
5 Drumconda 2 Dec 23 – Dec 29 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drumconda 8 Jan 20 – Mar 24 1 in 43
2 Bohemian 5 Dec 8 – Jan 5 1 in 33
3 Cork United 6 Dec 9 – Jan 13 1 in 8
4 Dundalk 3 Dec 9 – Dec 23 1 in 5
5 Limerick 4 Dec 30 – Jan 20 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 5 Dec 8 – Jan 6 1 in 20
2 Dundalk 6 Jan 20 – Feb 17 1 in 16
3 Limerick 4 Jan 20 – Feb 10 1 in 13
4 Bohemian 5 Jan 5 – Feb 2 1 in 10
5 Cork United 2 Feb 24 – Mar 24 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Cork United 1789 21 +0 6 7.1 -1.1
Drumconda 1671 19 +30 8 5.4 +2.6
Waterford 1661 16 -7 6 5.2 +0.8
Shamrock Rovers 1669 14 +46 7 5.7 +1.3
Dundalk 1616 13 -3 4 4.2 -0.2
Limerick 1637 11 -15 4 5.1 -1.1
Bohemian 1509 10 -35 2 3.4 -1.4
Shelbourne 1588 8 -15 3 3.8 -0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CU DRU DUN LIM SR SHE WAT
Bohemian —
0-1-1
1.59
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.57
2-0-0
2.30
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.16
Cork United
1-1-0
4.05
 —
1-1-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.71
0-0-2
3.77
Drumconda
1-0-1
3.34
0-1-1
1.98
 —
2-0-0
2.97
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.66
Dundalk
2-0-0
3.05
0-1-1
1.72
0-0-2
2.66
 —
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.48
Limerick
0-0-2
3.33
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
2.94
1-1-0
2.98
 —
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.35
2-0-0
2.63
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
3.37
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
2.86
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.71
 —
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.70
Shelbourne
1-0-1
3.21
0-0-2
1.93
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.72
 —
1-0-1
2.47
Waterford
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
1.86
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.99
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.15
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +3.9
Allowed 0.52 -4.5
Differential 0.76 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.68%3.57%0.89%—2.68%9.82%
12.68%3.57%6.25%8.04%3.57%3.57%27.68%
23.57%6.25%8.93%0.89%2.68%2.68%25.00%
30.89%8.04%0.89%5.36%0.89%1.79%17.86%
4—3.57%2.68%0.89%—0.89%8.04%
5+2.68%3.57%2.68%1.79%0.89%—11.61%
Total9.82%27.68%25.00%17.86%8.04%11.61%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.30 2.30 +0.00
SD 1.70 1.70 2.66
CV 0.74 0.74 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
17.14%7.14%—14.29%14.29%7.14%50.00%
2—7.14%7.14%——7.14%21.43%
3—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%28.57%21.43%14.29%14.29%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.57 -1.21
SD 0.93 1.91 2.12
CV 0.68 0.74 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%————7.14%
1—14.29%—7.14%——21.43%
2—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%7.14%—7.14%—28.57%
Total14.29%50.00%21.43%7.14%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.29 1.43 +1.86
SD 2.58 1.09 2.71
CV 0.79 0.76 —
Max 9 4 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
27.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%—42.86%
3—14.29%—7.14%——21.43%
4———7.14%——7.14%
5+——7.14%7.14%——14.29%
Total7.14%35.71%14.29%28.57%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 2.43 +0.21
SD 1.28 2.21 2.72
CV 0.48 0.91 —
Max 5 9 +3
Min 1 0 -8

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1——14.29%7.14%——21.43%
2——21.43%——7.14%28.57%
3—7.14%—14.29%—7.14%28.57%
4—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total—14.29%42.86%28.57%—14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.57 2.64 -0.07
SD 1.22 1.39 1.90
CV 0.48 0.53 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 1 1 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%——7.14%21.43%
1——21.43%7.14%——28.57%
214.29%7.14%7.14%———28.57%
3———————
4—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total14.29%28.57%35.71%7.14%—14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 2.00 -0.21
SD 1.58 1.71 2.39
CV 0.88 0.85 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%———7.14%
1——7.14%7.14%——14.29%
27.14%7.14%7.14%—7.14%7.14%35.71%
3———7.14%—7.14%14.29%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
Total14.29%21.43%28.57%14.29%7.14%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.86 2.21 +0.64
SD 1.99 1.63 2.92
CV 0.70 0.73 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%—14.29%21.43%
1——7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
2——7.14%—7.14%—14.29%
3—7.14%—7.14%7.14%—21.43%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total7.14%14.29%14.29%21.43%21.43%21.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 3.14 -1.29
SD 1.56 1.83 3.17
CV 0.84 0.58 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%———7.14%
114.29%——14.29%7.14%7.14%42.86%
2——7.14%———7.14%
3—21.43%—7.14%——28.57%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total14.29%28.57%21.43%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 2.00 +0.07
SD 1.44 1.47 2.34
CV 0.69 0.73 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cork United 1789 21 17.91 +3.09 90.0% 11 12 16 18 20 22 25
Drumconda 1671 19 14.57 +4.43 97.0% 8 9 13 15 16 19 24
Shamrock Rovers 1669 14 13.86 +0.14 63.0% 7 10 12 14 15 18 21
Waterford 1661 16 14.31 +1.69 73.0% 6 9 12 14 17 19 21
Limerick 1637 11 14.21 -3.21 17.0% 7 9 12 14 16 19 22
Dundalk 1616 13 12.92 +0.08 57.0% 4 8 11 13 15 18 22
Shelbourne 1588 8 12.55 -4.55 12.0% 3 6 10 12 15 19 22
Bohemian 1509 10 11.67 -1.67 33.0% 6 7 10 12 14 16 18

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.00%
Strong Edge
53.57%17.86%28.57%
Elo Value
Home Edge
103 Elo
0.010 goals per Elo point
088.74300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.89 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.86+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
Cork United, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.41 * Some Luck: 2.41 to 3.61 * Lucky: 3.61 to 4.81 * Wild Swing: 4.81 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.46 * Close: 1.46 to 2.19 * Off: 2.19 to 2.92 * Way Off: 2.92 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.87 points
Some Luck
03.018
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.75
Pinpoint
01.824
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
97.00%
Drumconda
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
12.00%
Shelbourne
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 79.96
1.32
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Even
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
39%
Few
0%43%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.86
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.17 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.17 to 0.26 * Above Noise: 0.26 to 0.35 * Well Above Noise: 0.35 and up.
Probability calibration
0.50
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.94
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1750.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Cork United53.00%24.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%
Drumconda10.00%16.00%15.00%17.00%16.00%14.00%6.00%6.00%
Waterford10.00%17.00%16.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%
Shamrock Rovers6.00%11.00%20.00%18.00%18.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%
Dundalk5.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%17.00%19.00%12.00%
Limerick8.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%15.00%18.00%13.00%5.00%
Bohemian2.00%3.00%3.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%25.00%34.00%
Shelbourne6.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%18.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork United 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1945-12-08 Shelbourne W 3-156.3 1569 1652 47.48% 18.94% 33.58%+0.05 +10.5 2
1945-12-08 @ Bohemian L 1-356.3 1652 1569 33.58% 18.94% 47.48%-0.05 -10.5 0
1945-12-09 Waterford D 3-378.2 1598 1669 49.14% 18.94% 31.93%+0.18 -0.4 1
1945-12-09 @ Dundalk D 3-378.2 1669 1598 31.93% 18.94% 49.14%-0.18 +0.4 1
1945-12-09 Cork United L 4-673.3 1664 1731 49.50% 18.93% 31.56%+0.20 -11.8 0
1945-12-09 @ Limerick W 6-473.3 1731 1664 31.56% 18.93% 49.50%-0.20 +11.8 2
1945-12-09 Drumconda L 2-566.8 1636 1621 59.23% 18.74% 22.03%+1.01 -21.0 0
1945-12-09 @ Shamrock Rovers W 5-266.8 1621 1636 22.03% 18.74% 59.23%-1.01 +21.0 2
1945-12-15 Limerick W 3-154.8 1642 1652 56.56% 18.82% 24.62%+0.77 +8.1 4
1945-12-15 @ Drumconda L 1-354.8 1652 1642 24.62% 18.82% 56.56%-0.77 -8.0 0
1945-12-16 Shamrock Rovers W 2-153.8 1743 1615 69.11% 18.07% 12.82%+2.11 +2.6 4
1945-12-16 @ Cork United L 1-253.8 1615 1743 12.82% 18.07% 69.11%-2.11 -2.6 0
1945-12-16 Dundalk L 2-469.7 1642 1598 62.15% 18.61% 19.24%+1.29 -16.1 0
1945-12-16 @ Shelbourne W 4-269.7 1598 1642 19.24% 18.61% 62.15%-1.29 +16.1 3
1945-12-16 Bohemian D 2-273.5 1669 1580 66.16% 18.35% 15.49%+1.73 -1.6 2
1945-12-16 @ Waterford D 2-273.5 1580 1669 15.49% 18.35% 66.16%-1.73 +1.6 3
1945-12-22 Cork United L 0-354.5 1626 1746 42.42% 18.92% 38.65%-0.30 -21.3 0
1945-12-22 @ Shelbourne W 3-054.5 1746 1626 38.65% 18.92% 42.42%+0.30 +21.3 6
1945-12-23 Limerick W 2-157.7 1581 1644 50.19% 18.93% 30.88%+0.26 +5.6 5
1945-12-23 @ Bohemian L 1-257.7 1644 1581 30.88% 18.93% 50.19%-0.26 -5.6 0
1945-12-23 Shamrock Rovers W 5-361.4 1614 1613 57.74% 18.79% 23.47%+0.87 +6.5 5
1945-12-23 @ Dundalk L 3-561.4 1613 1614 23.47% 18.79% 57.74%-0.87 -6.5 0
1945-12-23 Drumconda W 4-258.8 1667 1650 59.46% 18.73% 21.81%+1.03 +6.5 4
1945-12-23 @ Waterford L 2-458.8 1650 1667 21.81% 18.73% 59.46%-1.03 -6.5 4
1945-12-29 Bohemian L 2-371.9 1644 1587 63.33% 18.54% 18.13%+1.42 -10.0 4
1945-12-29 @ Drumconda W 3-271.9 1587 1644 18.13% 18.54% 63.33%-1.42 +10.0 7
1945-12-30 Dundalk W 6-251.6 1767 1620 70.41% 17.92% 11.67%+2.29 +6.3 8
1945-12-30 @ Cork United L 2-651.6 1620 1767 11.67% 17.92% 70.41%-2.29 -6.3 5
1945-12-30 Waterford W 2-051.9 1638 1674 53.49% 18.89% 27.62%+0.51 +10.3 2
1945-12-30 @ Limerick L 0-251.9 1674 1638 27.62% 18.89% 53.49%-0.51 -10.3 4
1945-12-30 Shamrock Rovers L 1-265.3 1604 1606 57.45% 18.80% 23.76%+0.85 -9.6 0
1945-12-30 @ Shelbourne W 2-165.3 1606 1604 23.76% 18.80% 57.45%-0.85 +9.6 2
1946-01-05 Cork United D 1-170.8 1597 1773 34.56% 18.80% 46.65%-0.85 +0.5 8
1946-01-05 @ Bohemian D 1-170.8 1773 1597 46.65% 18.80% 34.56%+0.85 -0.5 9
1946-01-06 Drumconda L 1-265.4 1614 1634 55.40% 18.85% 25.75%+0.67 -9.3 5
1946-01-06 @ Dundalk W 2-165.4 1634 1614 25.75% 18.85% 55.40%-0.67 +9.3 6
1946-01-06 Shelbourne W 4-150.1 1648 1595 63.01% 18.56% 18.43%+1.38 +8.8 4
1946-01-06 @ Limerick L 1-450.1 1595 1648 18.43% 18.56% 63.01%-1.38 -8.8 0
1946-01-06 Waterford W 4-154.0 1616 1664 52.01% 18.91% 29.08%+0.40 +13.1 4
1946-01-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-454.0 1664 1616 29.08% 18.91% 52.01%-0.40 -13.1 4
1946-01-12 Waterford W 3-155.9 1586 1651 49.93% 18.93% 31.14%+0.24 +9.8 2
1946-01-12 @ Shelbourne L 1-355.9 1651 1586 31.14% 18.93% 49.93%-0.24 -9.8 4
1946-01-13 Dundalk L 1-460.8 1597 1605 56.82% 18.82% 24.37%+0.79 -23.3 8
1946-01-13 @ Bohemian W 4-160.8 1605 1597 24.37% 18.82% 56.82%-0.79 +23.3 7
1946-01-13 Drumconda W 9-147.8 1773 1643 69.24% 18.06% 12.70%+2.13 +15.3 11
1946-01-13 @ Cork United L 1-947.8 1643 1773 12.70% 18.06% 69.24%-2.13 -15.3 6
1946-01-13 Shamrock Rovers W 2-049.4 1657 1629 60.59% 18.68% 20.73%+1.14 +8.0 6
1946-01-13 @ Limerick L 0-249.4 1629 1657 20.73% 18.68% 60.59%-1.14 -8.0 4
1946-01-19 Bohemian W 7-249.7 1621 1574 62.39% 18.60% 19.02%+1.32 +12.0 6
1946-01-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-749.7 1574 1621 19.02% 18.60% 62.39%-1.32 -12.0 8
1946-01-20 Limerick D 2-274.0 1628 1665 53.34% 18.89% 27.77%+0.50 -0.8 8
1946-01-20 @ Dundalk D 2-274.0 1665 1628 27.77% 18.89% 53.34%-0.50 +0.8 7
1946-01-20 Shelbourne W 4-363.1 1628 1596 60.94% 18.67% 20.40%+1.17 +3.6 8
1946-01-20 @ Drumconda L 3-463.1 1596 1628 20.40% 18.67% 60.94%-1.17 -3.7 2
1946-01-20 Cork United W 3-161.4 1641 1788 38.53% 18.88% 42.60%-0.57 +12.7 6
1946-01-20 @ Waterford L 1-361.4 1788 1641 42.60% 18.88% 38.53%+0.57 -12.7 11
1946-01-26 Bohemian W 4-148.7 1592 1562 60.77% 18.67% 20.55%+1.16 +9.7 4
1946-01-26 @ Shelbourne L 1-448.7 1562 1592 20.55% 18.67% 60.77%-1.16 -9.7 8
1946-01-27 Limerick W 2-154.8 1775 1666 67.75% 18.21% 14.05%+1.93 +2.8 13
1946-01-27 @ Cork United L 1-254.8 1666 1775 14.05% 18.21% 67.75%-1.93 -2.8 7
1946-01-27 Shamrock Rovers D 2-273.6 1631 1633 57.46% 18.80% 23.75%+0.85 -1.0 9
1946-01-27 @ Drumconda D 2-273.6 1633 1631 23.75% 18.80% 57.46%-0.85 +1.0 7
1946-01-27 Dundalk W 3-153.4 1653 1627 60.38% 18.69% 20.92%+1.12 +7.0 8
1946-01-27 @ Waterford L 1-353.4 1627 1653 20.92% 18.69% 60.38%-1.12 -7.0 8
1946-02-02 Waterford L 0-158.1 1552 1660 44.10% 18.94% 36.97%-0.19 -8.0 8
1946-02-02 @ Bohemian W 1-058.1 1660 1552 36.97% 18.94% 44.10%+0.19 +8.0 10
1946-02-03 Shelbourne D 2-272.9 1620 1602 59.56% 18.73% 21.71%+1.04 -1.2 9
1946-02-03 @ Dundalk D 2-272.9 1602 1620 21.71% 18.73% 59.56%-1.04 +1.2 5
1946-02-03 Drumconda L 1-267.8 1663 1630 61.04% 18.66% 20.30%+1.18 -10.2 7
1946-02-03 @ Limerick W 2-167.8 1630 1663 20.30% 18.66% 61.04%-1.18 +10.2 11
1946-02-03 Cork United L 2-464.8 1634 1778 38.96% 18.88% 42.16%-0.54 -10.6 7
1946-02-03 @ Shamrock Rovers W 4-264.8 1778 1634 42.16% 18.88% 38.96%+0.54 +10.6 15
1946-02-09 Waterford W 3-155.6 1640 1668 54.44% 18.87% 26.69%+0.59 +8.6 13
1946-02-09 @ Drumconda L 1-355.6 1668 1640 26.69% 18.87% 54.44%-0.59 -8.6 10
1946-02-10 Shelbourne W 6-042.9 1789 1603 72.83% 17.57% 9.60%+2.67 +10.8 17
1946-02-10 @ Cork United L 0-642.9 1603 1789 9.60% 17.57% 72.83%-2.67 -10.8 5
1946-02-10 Bohemian L 0-164.6 1653 1544 67.67% 18.22% 14.12%+1.92 -12.0 7
1946-02-10 @ Limerick W 1-064.6 1544 1653 14.12% 18.22% 67.67%-1.92 +12.0 10
1946-02-10 Dundalk D 3-377.8 1623 1619 58.08% 18.78% 23.14%+0.91 -0.9 8
1946-02-10 @ Shamrock Rovers D 3-377.8 1619 1623 23.14% 18.78% 58.08%-0.91 +0.9 10
1946-02-16 Dundalk W 5-361.3 1649 1620 60.68% 18.68% 20.64%+1.15 +5.8 15
1946-02-16 @ Drumconda L 3-561.3 1620 1649 20.64% 18.68% 60.68%-1.15 -5.8 10
1946-02-17 Drumconda L 0-255.6 1556 1655 45.39% 18.94% 35.66%-0.10 -15.5 10
1946-02-17 @ Bohemian W 2-055.6 1655 1556 35.66% 18.94% 45.39%+0.10 +15.5 17
1946-02-17 Cork United D 2-275.2 1614 1800 33.35% 18.76% 47.88%-0.94 +0.4 11
1946-02-17 @ Dundalk D 2-275.2 1800 1614 47.88% 18.76% 33.35%+0.94 -0.4 18
1946-02-17 Limerick L 1-561.9 1660 1641 59.63% 18.72% 21.64%+1.05 -31.5 10
1946-02-17 @ Waterford W 5-161.9 1641 1660 21.64% 18.72% 59.63%-1.05 +31.5 9
1946-02-17 Bohemian W 3-149.3 1799 1541 76.57% 16.81% 6.62%+3.38 +2.3 20
1946-02-17 @ Cork United L 1-349.3 1541 1799 6.62% 16.81% 76.57%-3.38 -2.3 10
1946-02-18 Shelbourne W 6-044.2 1622 1592 60.76% 18.68% 20.56%+1.16 +22.0 10
1946-02-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-644.2 1592 1622 20.56% 18.68% 60.76%-1.16 -22.0 5
1946-02-23 Limerick W 5-049.1 1570 1672 44.92% 18.94% 36.14%-0.13 +30.1 7
1946-02-23 @ Shelbourne L 0-549.1 1672 1570 36.14% 18.94% 44.92%+0.13 -30.0 9
1946-02-24 Shamrock Rovers W 3-154.7 1628 1644 55.81% 18.84% 25.34%+0.71 +8.2 12
1946-02-24 @ Waterford L 1-354.7 1644 1628 25.34% 18.84% 55.81%-0.71 -8.3 10
1946-02-24 Bohemian W 3-149.4 1615 1539 65.03% 18.43% 16.54%+1.60 +5.6 13
1946-02-24 @ Dundalk L 1-349.4 1539 1615 16.54% 18.43% 65.03%-1.60 -5.6 10
1946-02-24 Cork United D 1-171.4 1670 1801 40.85% 18.91% 40.24%-0.41 -0.0 18
1946-02-24 @ Drumconda D 1-171.4 1801 1670 40.24% 18.91% 40.85%+0.41 +0.0 21
1946-02-24 Shelbourne W 5-149.0 1637 1600 61.37% 18.65% 19.98%+1.22 +12.2 14
1946-02-24 @ Waterford L 1-549.0 1600 1637 19.98% 18.65% 61.37%-1.22 -12.2 7
1946-03-17 Limerick W 2-050.4 1636 1642 56.94% 18.81% 24.25%+0.80 +9.2 12
1946-03-17 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-250.4 1642 1636 24.25% 18.81% 56.94%-0.80 -9.2 9
1946-03-23 Shamrock Rovers L 1-554.9 1533 1645 43.48% 18.93% 37.59%-0.23 -23.6 10
1946-03-23 @ Bohemian W 5-154.9 1645 1533 37.59% 18.93% 43.48%+0.23 +23.6 14
1946-03-24 Waterford L 0-168.5 1801 1649 70.80% 17.87% 11.33%+2.35 -12.6 21
1946-03-24 @ Cork United W 1-068.5 1649 1801 11.33% 17.87% 70.80%-2.35 +12.5 16
1946-03-24 Dundalk W 2-155.5 1633 1620 59.01% 18.75% 22.24%+0.99 +4.2 11
1946-03-24 @ Limerick L 1-255.5 1620 1633 22.24% 18.75% 59.01%-0.99 -4.2 13
1946-03-24 Drumconda D 3-378.1 1588 1670 47.60% 18.94% 33.46%+0.06 -0.4 8
1946-03-24 @ Shelbourne D 3-378.1 1670 1588 33.46% 18.94% 47.60%-0.06 +0.3 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1946-03-24 11.33% Waterford 1649 1 @ Cork United 1801 0
2 1946-02-10 14.12% Bohemian 1544 1 @ Limerick 1653 0
3 1945-12-29 18.13% Bohemian 1587 3 @ Drumconda 1644 2
4 1945-12-16 19.24% Dundalk 1598 4 @ Shelbourne 1642 2
5 1946-02-03 20.30% Drumconda 1630 2 @ Limerick 1663 1
6 1946-02-17 21.64% Limerick 1641 5 @ Waterford 1660 1
7 1945-12-09 22.03% Drumconda 1621 5 @ Shamrock Rovers 1636 2
8 1945-12-30 23.76% Shamrock Rovers 1606 2 @ Shelbourne 1604 1
9 1946-01-13 24.37% Dundalk 1605 4 @ Bohemian 1597 1
10 1946-01-06 25.75% Drumconda 1634 2 @ Dundalk 1614 1
11 1945-12-09 31.56% Cork United 1731 6 @ Limerick 1664 4
12 1946-02-17 35.66% Drumconda 1655 2 @ Bohemian 1556 0
13 1946-02-02 36.97% Waterford 1660 1 @ Bohemian 1552 0
14 1946-03-23 37.59% Shamrock Rovers 1645 5 @ Bohemian 1533 1
15 1946-01-20 38.53% @ Waterford 1641 3 Cork United 1788 1
16 1945-12-22 38.65% Cork United 1746 3 @ Shelbourne 1626 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1946-02-17 31.49 Limerick 5 1641 21.64% @ Waterford 1 1660 59.63% 18.72%
2 1946-02-23 30.05 @ Shelbourne 5 1570 44.92% Limerick 0 1672 36.14% 18.94%
3 1946-03-23 23.64 Shamrock Rovers 5 1645 37.59% @ Bohemian 1 1533 43.48% 18.93%
4 1946-01-13 23.28 Dundalk 4 1605 24.37% @ Bohemian 1 1597 56.82% 18.82%
5 1946-02-18 22.04 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1622 60.76% Shelbourne 0 1592 20.56% 18.68%
6 1945-12-22 21.27 Cork United 3 1746 38.65% @ Shelbourne 0 1626 42.42% 18.92%
7 1945-12-09 20.99 Drumconda 5 1621 22.03% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1636 59.23% 18.74%
8 1945-12-16 16.07 Dundalk 4 1598 19.24% @ Shelbourne 2 1642 62.15% 18.61%
9 1946-02-17 15.51 Drumconda 2 1655 35.66% @ Bohemian 0 1556 45.39% 18.94%
10 1946-01-13 15.28 @ Cork United 9 1773 69.24% Drumconda 1 1643 12.70% 18.06%
11 1946-01-06 13.13 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1616 52.01% Waterford 1 1664 29.08% 18.91%
12 1946-01-20 12.72 @ Waterford 3 1641 38.53% Cork United 1 1788 42.60% 18.88%
13 1946-03-24 12.55 Waterford 1 1649 11.33% @ Cork United 0 1801 70.80% 17.87%
14 1946-02-24 12.23 @ Waterford 5 1637 61.37% Shelbourne 1 1600 19.98% 18.65%
15 1946-01-19 11.99 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1621 62.39% Bohemian 2 1574 19.02% 18.60%
16 1946-02-10 11.98 Bohemian 1 1544 14.12% @ Limerick 0 1653 67.67% 18.22%
17 1945-12-09 11.84 Cork United 6 1731 31.56% @ Limerick 4 1664 49.50% 18.93%
18 1946-02-10 10.79 @ Cork United 6 1789 72.83% Shelbourne 0 1603 9.60% 17.57%
19 1946-02-03 10.58 Cork United 4 1778 42.16% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1634 38.96% 18.88%
20 1945-12-08 10.48 @ Bohemian 3 1569 47.48% Shelbourne 1 1652 33.58% 18.94%
21 1945-12-30 10.26 @ Limerick 2 1638 53.49% Waterford 0 1674 27.62% 18.89%
22 1946-02-03 10.19 Drumconda 2 1630 20.30% @ Limerick 1 1663 61.04% 18.66%
23 1945-12-29 10.02 Bohemian 3 1587 18.13% @ Drumconda 2 1644 63.33% 18.54%
24 1946-01-12 9.84 @ Shelbourne 3 1586 49.93% Waterford 1 1651 31.14% 18.93%
25 1946-01-26 9.71 @ Shelbourne 4 1592 60.77% Bohemian 1 1562 20.55% 18.67%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1945-12-09 78.2 @ Dundalk 3 1598 49.14% Waterford 3 1669 31.93% 18.94%
2 1946-03-24 78.1 @ Shelbourne 3 1588 47.60% Drumconda 3 1670 33.46% 18.94%
3 1946-02-10 77.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1623 58.08% Dundalk 3 1619 23.14% 18.78%
4 1946-02-17 75.2 @ Dundalk 2 1614 33.35% Cork United 2 1800 47.88% 18.76%
5 1946-01-20 74.0 @ Dundalk 2 1628 53.34% Limerick 2 1665 27.77% 18.89%
6 1946-01-27 73.6 @ Drumconda 2 1631 57.46% Shamrock Rovers 2 1633 23.75% 18.80%
7 1945-12-16 73.5 @ Waterford 2 1669 66.16% Bohemian 2 1580 15.49% 18.35%
8 1945-12-09 73.3 Cork United 6 1731 31.56% @ Limerick 4 1664 49.50% 18.93%
9 1946-02-03 72.9 @ Dundalk 2 1620 59.56% Shelbourne 2 1602 21.71% 18.73%
10 1945-12-29 71.9 Bohemian 3 1587 18.13% @ Drumconda 2 1644 63.33% 18.54%
11 1946-02-24 71.4 @ Drumconda 1 1670 40.85% Cork United 1 1801 40.24% 18.91%
12 1946-01-05 70.8 @ Bohemian 1 1597 34.56% Cork United 1 1773 46.65% 18.80%
13 1945-12-16 69.7 Dundalk 4 1598 19.24% @ Shelbourne 2 1642 62.15% 18.61%
14 1946-03-24 68.5 Waterford 1 1649 11.33% @ Cork United 0 1801 70.80% 17.87%
15 1946-02-03 67.8 Drumconda 2 1630 20.30% @ Limerick 1 1663 61.04% 18.66%
16 1945-12-09 66.8 Drumconda 5 1621 22.03% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1636 59.23% 18.74%
17 1946-01-06 65.4 Drumconda 2 1634 25.75% @ Dundalk 1 1614 55.40% 18.85%
18 1945-12-30 65.3 Shamrock Rovers 2 1606 23.76% @ Shelbourne 1 1604 57.45% 18.80%
19 1946-02-03 64.8 Cork United 4 1778 42.16% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1634 38.96% 18.88%
20 1946-02-10 64.6 Bohemian 1 1544 14.12% @ Limerick 0 1653 67.67% 18.22%
21 1946-01-20 63.1 @ Drumconda 4 1628 60.94% Shelbourne 3 1596 20.40% 18.67%
22 1946-02-17 61.9 Limerick 5 1641 21.64% @ Waterford 1 1660 59.63% 18.72%
23 1945-12-23 61.4 @ Dundalk 5 1614 57.74% Shamrock Rovers 3 1613 23.47% 18.79%
24 1946-01-20 61.4 @ Waterford 3 1641 38.53% Cork United 1 1788 42.60% 18.88%
25 1946-02-16 61.3 @ Drumconda 5 1649 60.68% Dundalk 3 1620 20.64% 18.68%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1946-02-10 42.9 @ Cork United 6 1789 72.83% Shelbourne 0 1603 9.60% 17.57%
2 1946-02-18 44.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1622 60.76% Shelbourne 0 1592 20.56% 18.68%
3 1946-01-13 47.8 @ Cork United 9 1773 69.24% Drumconda 1 1643 12.70% 18.06%
4 1946-01-26 48.7 @ Shelbourne 4 1592 60.77% Bohemian 1 1562 20.55% 18.67%
5 1946-02-24 49.0 @ Waterford 5 1637 61.37% Shelbourne 1 1600 19.98% 18.65%
6 1946-02-23 49.1 @ Shelbourne 5 1570 44.92% Limerick 0 1672 36.14% 18.94%
7 1946-02-17 49.3 @ Cork United 3 1799 76.57% Bohemian 1 1541 6.62% 16.81%
8 1946-01-13 49.4 @ Limerick 2 1657 60.59% Shamrock Rovers 0 1629 20.73% 18.68%
9 1946-02-24 49.4 @ Dundalk 3 1615 65.03% Bohemian 1 1539 16.54% 18.43%
10 1946-01-19 49.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1621 62.39% Bohemian 2 1574 19.02% 18.60%
11 1946-01-06 50.1 @ Limerick 4 1648 63.01% Shelbourne 1 1595 18.43% 18.56%
12 1946-03-17 50.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1636 56.94% Limerick 0 1642 24.25% 18.81%
13 1945-12-30 51.6 @ Cork United 6 1767 70.41% Dundalk 2 1620 11.67% 17.92%
14 1945-12-30 51.9 @ Limerick 2 1638 53.49% Waterford 0 1674 27.62% 18.89%
15 1946-01-27 53.4 @ Waterford 3 1653 60.38% Dundalk 1 1627 20.92% 18.69%
16 1945-12-16 53.8 @ Cork United 2 1743 69.11% Shamrock Rovers 1 1615 12.82% 18.07%
17 1946-01-06 54.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1616 52.01% Waterford 1 1664 29.08% 18.91%
18 1945-12-22 54.5 Cork United 3 1746 38.65% @ Shelbourne 0 1626 42.42% 18.92%
19 1946-02-24 54.7 @ Waterford 3 1628 55.81% Shamrock Rovers 1 1644 25.34% 18.84%
20 1945-12-15 54.8 @ Drumconda 3 1642 56.56% Limerick 1 1652 24.62% 18.82%
21 1946-01-27 54.8 @ Cork United 2 1775 67.75% Limerick 1 1666 14.05% 18.21%
22 1946-03-23 54.9 Shamrock Rovers 5 1645 37.59% @ Bohemian 1 1533 43.48% 18.93%
23 1946-03-24 55.5 @ Limerick 2 1633 59.01% Dundalk 1 1620 22.24% 18.75%
24 1946-02-09 55.6 @ Drumconda 3 1640 54.44% Waterford 1 1668 26.69% 18.87%
25 1946-02-17 55.6 Drumconda 2 1655 35.66% @ Bohemian 0 1556 45.39% 18.94%