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1983-84 League of Ireland Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

UC Dublin

7.01 points above expected

28 points · 20.99 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sligo Rovers

8.96 points below expected

8 points · 16.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 26 19 4 3 42 64 15 +49 35.29 +6.71
2 Bohemian 26 13 10 3 36 39 20 +19 32.31 +3.69
3 Athlone Town 26 15 4 7 34 44 28 +16 32.57 +1.43
4 Limerick 26 13 7 6 33 38 26 +12 29.92 +3.08
5 Shelbourne 26 9 10 7 28 41 34 +7 28.74 -0.74
6 UC Dublin 26 9 10 7 28 24 23 +1 20.99 +7.01
7 Dundalk 26 9 9 8 27 38 31 +7 29.57 -2.57
8 Waterford 26 10 6 10 26 34 34 0 24.18 +1.82
9 Finn Harps 26 8 8 10 24 36 46 -10 25.94 -1.94
10 St Patrick's Athletic 26 8 7 11 23 36 37 -1 25.10 -2.10
11 Drogheda United 26 10 2 14 22 37 54 -17 26.37 -4.37
12 Galway United (old) 26 6 9 11 21 26 33 -7 22.16 -1.16
13 Home Farm 26 4 4 18 12 16 54 -38 13.90 -1.90
14 Sligo Rovers 26 2 4 20 8 20 58 -38 16.96 -8.96

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 UC Dublin 28 20.99 +7.01
2 Shamrock Rovers 42 35.29 +6.71
3 Bohemian 36 32.31 +3.69
4 Limerick 33 29.92 +3.08
5 Waterford 26 24.18 +1.82

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 8 16.96 -8.96
2 Drogheda United 22 26.37 -4.37
3 Dundalk 27 29.57 -2.57
4 St Patrick's Athletic 23 25.10 -2.10
5 Finn Harps 24 25.94 -1.94

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Finn Harps 4 Oct 16 – Nov 6 1 in 202
2 Waterford 4 Mar 18 – Apr 11 1 in 49
3 UC Dublin 2 Oct 16 – Oct 23 1 in 23
4 Sligo Rovers 2 Nov 6 – Nov 13 1 in 21
5 Galway United (old) 2 Jan 1 – Jan 8 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sligo Rovers 11 Feb 12 – Apr 15 1 in 404
2 Dundalk 3 Dec 18 – Jan 8 1 in 51
3 Limerick 2 Apr 1 – Apr 8 1 in 38
4 Athlone Town 2 Oct 9 – Oct 16 1 in 30
5 Drogheda United 4 Mar 4 – Apr 1 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Finn Harps 11 Oct 2 – Dec 11 1 in 117
2 UC Dublin 5 Oct 16 – Nov 13 1 in 36
3 Bohemian 12 Jan 22 – Apr 15 1 in 21
4 Galway United (old) 5 Jan 29 – Mar 4 1 in 16
5 Waterford 6 Mar 18 – Apr 20 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Finn Harps 12 Nov 13 – Feb 19 1 in 293
2 Shelbourne 8 Oct 16 – Dec 4 1 in 163
3 Sligo Rovers 20 Nov 20 – Apr 15 1 in 116
4 Dundalk 6 Oct 16 – Nov 20 1 in 24
5 Bohemian 4 Oct 30 – Nov 20 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers 1508 42 +41 9 7.6 +1.4
Bohemian 1377 36 +2 7 6.8 +0.2
Athlone Town 1387 34 +16 7 6.6 +0.4
Limerick 1279 33 -58 4 5.8 -1.8
UC Dublin 1203 28 +5 5 4.0 +1.0
Shelbourne 1280 28 +19 4 4.4 -0.4
Dundalk 1270 27 +5 6 5.8 +0.2
Waterford 1218 26 +40 8 5.4 +2.6
Finn Harps 1172 24 -13 4 4.6 -0.6
St Patrick's Athletic 1223 23 +27 5 4.8 +0.2
Drogheda United 1156 22 -40 4 4.3 -0.3
Galway United (old) 1166 21 +2 3 4.5 -1.5
Home Farm 954 12 -10 2 2.6 -0.6
Sligo Rovers 967 8 -46 0 2.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BOH DU DUN FH GU( HF LIM SR SHE SR SPA UD WAT
Athlone Town —
0-1-1
2.68
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
4.02
2-0-0
4.59
2-0-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
3.66
0-0-2
4.06
1-0-1
3.71
Bohemian
1-1-0
2.78
—
2-0-0
3.16
0-2-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.58
1-1-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.55
0-1-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.16
1-1-0
3.29
2-0-0
4.30
0-2-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.99
1-0-1
3.84
Drogheda United
0-0-2
2.09
0-0-2
2.30
—
0-0-2
2.36
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.88
2-0-0
4.02
0-0-2
2.14
0-0-2
2.35
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
3.70
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.14
Dundalk
0-0-2
2.41
0-2-0
2.25
2-0-0
3.10
—
0-1-1
3.25
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
4.52
0-2-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.08
1-1-0
2.67
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
3.38
0-1-1
3.69
1-0-1
3.41
Finn Harps
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
2.86
1-1-0
2.21
—
1-1-0
2.89
1-1-0
4.17
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.73
0-1-1
2.87
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.96
Galway United (old)
0-1-1
1.46
0-1-1
1.51
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
1.81
0-1-1
2.56
—
0-1-1
3.86
1-0-1
1.61
0-0-2
1.26
0-1-1
2.12
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.43
0-2-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.30
Home Farm
0-0-2
0.95
0-0-2
0.99
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
1.00
0-1-1
1.32
1-1-0
1.61
—
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-2
0.75
0-0-2
1.47
2-0-0
2.24
0-1-1
1.66
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
1.39
Limerick
0-0-2
2.69
1-1-0
2.29
2-0-0
3.32
0-2-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
3.86
2-0-0
4.31
—
0-1-1
1.87
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
4.40
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.28
Shamrock Rovers
1-1-0
3.25
0-1-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.82
2-0-0
4.23
2-0-0
4.81
1-1-0
3.61
—
1-0-1
3.76
2-0-0
4.65
2-0-0
3.64
2-0-0
4.32
2-0-0
3.93
Shelbourne
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
4.01
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
1.72
—
1-1-0
3.99
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.67
1-1-0
3.24
Sligo Rovers
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
1.22
1-0-1
1.77
0-0-2
1.50
0-1-1
1.74
0-0-2
2.34
0-0-2
3.22
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
0.89
0-1-1
1.49
—
1-0-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
1.63
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0-1
1.81
0-2-0
1.82
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.08
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.82
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
3.45
—
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.77
UC Dublin
2-0-0
1.42
0-1-1
1.49
1-0-1
2.30
1-1-0
1.77
1-1-0
2.41
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.36
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.18
1-1-0
1.80
1-1-0
3.07
1-1-0
2.46
—
0-1-1
2.28
Waterford
1-0-1
1.75
1-0-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
3.16
2-0-0
4.09
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.56
0-1-1
2.22
1-1-0
3.84
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
3.17
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +6.5
Allowed 0.80 -6.1
Differential 0.94 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.34%6.59%7.14%3.02%1.65%1.37%29.12%
16.59%10.44%8.24%4.12%0.82%0.55%30.77%
27.14%8.24%4.95%3.02%——23.35%
33.02%4.12%3.02%1.10%0.27%0.27%11.81%
41.65%0.82%—0.27%——2.75%
5+1.37%0.55%—0.27%——2.20%
Total29.12%30.77%23.35%11.81%2.75%2.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.87
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
1—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
27.69%23.08%—3.85%——34.62%
311.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%57.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.08 +0.62
SD 1.19 0.93 1.72
CV 0.70 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%—3.85%———19.23%
119.23%23.08%7.69%———50.00%
2—3.85%————3.85%
37.69%11.54%————19.23%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total42.31%42.31%11.54%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.77 +0.73
SD 1.33 0.82 1.34
CV 0.89 1.06 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%11.54%—3.85%30.77%
13.85%—11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
2—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
3—15.38%7.69%———23.08%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%30.77%34.62%15.38%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.08 -0.65
SD 1.27 1.52 2.40
CV 0.89 0.73 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%11.54%———23.08%
17.69%19.23%11.54%3.85%——42.31%
23.85%—7.69%———11.54%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total30.77%26.92%34.62%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.19 +0.27
SD 1.33 0.98 1.64
CV 0.91 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
1—11.54%11.54%——3.85%26.92%
23.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
33.85%—11.54%3.85%——19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%26.92%38.46%11.54%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.77 -0.38
SD 1.10 1.31 1.77
CV 0.79 0.74 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%——38.46%
13.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%——3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%26.92%19.23%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.27 -0.27
SD 0.98 1.22 1.43
CV 0.98 0.96 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%7.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%57.69%
1—7.69%3.85%11.54%——23.08%
23.85%11.54%—3.85%——19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%34.62%11.54%26.92%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 2.08 -1.46
SD 0.80 1.47 1.86
CV 1.31 0.71 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
111.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
219.23%7.69%11.54%———38.46%
3——3.85%———3.85%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total38.46%30.77%23.08%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.00 +0.46
SD 1.14 0.98 1.68
CV 0.78 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
115.38%15.38%7.69%———38.46%
219.23%3.85%—3.85%——26.92%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+11.54%3.85%————15.38%
Total57.69%30.77%7.69%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.46 0.58 +1.88
SD 1.68 0.81 2.05
CV 0.68 1.40 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
17.69%15.38%3.85%11.54%——38.46%
27.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
3——3.85%3.85%—3.85%11.54%
4———————
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total34.62%26.92%19.23%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.31 +0.27
SD 1.36 1.32 1.82
CV 0.86 1.01 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%23.08%3.85%7.69%3.85%53.85%
1——15.38%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
2—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
3—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%11.54%42.31%15.38%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.23 -1.46
SD 0.99 1.31 1.56
CV 1.29 0.59 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
13.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
27.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%30.77%19.23%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.42 -0.04
SD 1.17 1.21 1.73
CV 0.84 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.92%7.69%7.69%———42.31%
17.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
27.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.31%30.77%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 0.88 +0.04
SD 0.93 0.91 1.11
CV 1.01 1.03 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%11.54%———23.08%
111.54%3.85%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
211.54%7.69%11.54%7.69%——38.46%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%23.08%30.77%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 0.93 1.09 1.41
CV 0.71 0.83 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1508 42 35.29 +6.71 94.0% 23 28 32 36 38 43 44
Athlone Town 1387 34 32.57 +1.43 72.0% 25 26 30 32 35 39 42
Bohemian 1377 36 32.31 +3.69 84.0% 23 25 29 33 35 38 42
Shelbourne 1280 28 28.74 -0.74 51.0% 20 21 26 28 31 35 39
Limerick 1279 33 29.92 +3.08 84.0% 18 23 27 30 33 36 38
Dundalk 1270 27 29.57 -2.57 29.0% 20 23 27 29 33 36 40
St Patrick's Athletic 1223 23 25.10 -2.10 37.0% 15 18 22 25 28 31 37
Waterford 1218 26 24.18 +1.82 71.0% 15 18 21 24 27 31 33
UC Dublin 1203 28 20.99 +7.01 98.0% 11 15 18 21 23 26 32
Finn Harps 1172 24 25.94 -1.94 32.0% 15 18 23 26 28 32 37
Galway United (old) 1166 21 22.16 -1.16 44.0% 8 13 19 22 26 29 31
Drogheda United 1156 22 26.37 -4.37 17.0% 15 19 24 26 29 33 36
Sligo Rovers 967 8 16.96 -8.96 0.0% 9 11 14 17 19 23 25
Home Farm 954 12 13.90 -1.90 37.0% 7 8 12 13 16 20 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.64%
Clear Edge
43.41%25.82%30.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 44.14 Elo pts.
173 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.16 goals
Neutral
-2+0.25+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
Shamrock Rovers, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Runaway
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.21 * Some Luck: 3.21 to 4.81 * Lucky: 4.81 to 6.42 * Wild Swing: 6.42 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.45 * Close: 1.45 to 2.18 * Off: 2.18 to 2.91 * Way Off: 2.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.16 points
Some Luck
04.0110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.57
Close
01.824
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.00%
UC Dublin
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.00%
Sligo Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 149.01
2.05
Strong Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
66%
Even
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.16
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Strong Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.28
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.118
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Shamrock Rovers53.00%19.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%—3.00%1.00%———1.00%——
Bohemian17.00%23.00%16.00%14.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%————
Athlone Town13.00%21.00%23.00%19.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%——————
Limerick5.00%10.00%17.00%21.00%8.00%17.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Shelbourne3.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%——
UC Dublin——1.00%—1.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%11.00%11.00%25.00%25.00%12.00%3.00%
Dundalk4.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%18.00%13.00%6.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%—1.00%——
Waterford——1.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%12.00%9.00%21.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%2.00%—
Finn Harps3.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%12.00%6.00%13.00%13.00%20.00%10.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%
St Patrick's Athletic1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%8.00%19.00%9.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%
Drogheda United1.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%14.00%7.00%16.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%2.00%4.00%—
Galway United (old)——1.00%—6.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%10.00%18.00%16.00%13.00%13.00%4.00%
Home Farm——————————1.00%8.00%29.00%62.00%
Sligo Rovers——————1.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%9.00%22.00%34.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Athlone Town 100%
Bohemian 100%
Drogheda United 100%
Dundalk 100%
Finn Harps 100%
Galway United (old) 100%
Home Farm 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
UC Dublin 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1983-09-30 Shelbourne L 0-532.9 1073 1242 23.35% 26.83% 49.82%-0.72 -36.6 0
1983-09-30 @ Home Farm W 5-032.9 1242 1073 49.82% 26.83% 23.35%+0.72 +36.6 2
1983-10-02 Sligo Rovers W 3-136.2 1341 1136 64.64% 25.22% 10.14%+1.43 +6.6 2
1983-10-02 @ Athlone Town L 1-336.2 1136 1341 10.14% 25.22% 64.64%-1.43 -6.6 0
1983-10-02 Galway United (old) W 1-035.1 1292 1164 58.79% 26.33% 14.89%+0.99 +5.8 2
1983-10-02 @ Dundalk L 0-135.1 1164 1292 14.89% 26.33% 58.79%-0.99 -5.7 0
1983-10-02 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-258.4 1221 1226 44.60% 27.34% 28.06%+0.22 -0.8 1
1983-10-02 @ Finn Harps D 2-258.4 1226 1221 28.06% 27.34% 44.60%-0.22 +0.8 1
1983-10-02 Drogheda United W 2-038.2 1275 1317 39.65% 27.40% 32.95%+0.01 +20.4 2
1983-10-02 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-238.2 1317 1275 32.95% 27.40% 39.65%-0.01 -20.4 0
1983-10-02 UC Dublin D 2-258.3 1179 1118 52.32% 27.00% 20.69%+0.60 -1.6 1
1983-10-02 @ Waterford D 2-258.3 1118 1179 20.69% 27.00% 52.32%-0.60 +1.6 1
1983-10-09 Bohemian L 0-144.6 1297 1311 43.42% 27.37% 29.21%+0.17 -13.4 0
1983-10-09 @ Drogheda United W 1-044.6 1311 1297 29.21% 27.37% 43.42%-0.17 +13.4 2
1983-10-09 Finn Harps D 3-362.1 1159 1220 37.03% 27.39% 35.58%-0.10 -0.1 1
1983-10-09 @ Galway United (old) D 3-362.1 1220 1159 35.58% 27.39% 37.03%+0.10 +0.1 2
1983-10-09 Athlone Town W 2-039.6 1278 1347 35.91% 27.38% 36.72%-0.14 +22.1 4
1983-10-09 @ Shelbourne L 0-239.6 1347 1278 36.72% 27.38% 35.91%+0.14 -22.1 2
1983-10-09 Dundalk L 0-234.6 1130 1298 23.39% 26.83% 49.78%-0.72 -15.7 0
1983-10-09 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-034.6 1298 1130 49.78% 26.83% 23.39%+0.72 +15.7 4
1983-10-09 Shamrock Rovers L 0-436.7 1227 1295 35.95% 27.38% 36.67%-0.14 -41.3 1
1983-10-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-036.7 1295 1227 36.67% 27.38% 35.95%+0.14 +41.3 4
1983-10-09 Home Farm L 1-252.6 1120 1036 54.69% 26.80% 18.51%+0.74 -15.4 1
1983-10-09 @ UC Dublin W 2-152.6 1036 1120 18.51% 26.80% 54.69%-0.74 +15.4 2
1983-10-14 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.2 1325 1185 59.77% 26.18% 14.05%+1.06 -3.6 3
1983-10-14 @ Bohemian D 0-048.2 1185 1325 14.05% 26.18% 59.77%-1.06 +3.6 2
1983-10-16 UC Dublin L 0-149.8 1325 1104 65.71% 24.94% 9.35%+1.53 -19.5 2
1983-10-16 @ Athlone Town W 1-049.8 1104 1325 9.35% 24.94% 65.71%-1.53 +19.5 3
1983-10-16 Finn Harps L 1-253.4 1314 1220 55.68% 26.70% 17.61%+0.79 -15.7 4
1983-10-16 @ Dundalk W 2-153.4 1220 1314 17.61% 26.70% 55.68%-0.79 +15.7 4
1983-10-16 Galway United (old) W 4-134.2 1337 1159 62.79% 25.64% 11.58%+1.28 +10.6 6
1983-10-16 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-434.2 1159 1337 11.58% 25.64% 62.79%-1.28 -10.6 1
1983-10-16 Shelbourne D 0-047.8 1114 1300 21.50% 26.66% 51.85%-0.82 +2.2 1
1983-10-16 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-047.8 1300 1114 51.85% 26.66% 21.50%+0.82 -2.2 5
1983-10-16 Drogheda United W 2-040.3 1177 1284 30.78% 27.26% 41.96%-0.36 +24.5 3
1983-10-16 @ Waterford L 0-240.3 1284 1177 41.96% 27.26% 30.78%+0.36 -24.5 0
1983-10-23 Home Farm W 3-135.9 1259 1052 64.83% 25.17% 10.00%+1.45 +6.5 2
1983-10-23 @ Drogheda United L 1-335.9 1052 1259 10.00% 25.17% 64.83%-1.45 -6.5 2
1983-10-23 Shamrock Rovers W 2-149.9 1236 1347 30.11% 27.23% 42.66%-0.39 +12.4 6
1983-10-23 @ Finn Harps L 1-249.9 1347 1236 42.66% 27.23% 30.11%+0.39 -12.4 6
1983-10-23 Bohemian L 0-137.6 1148 1321 22.88% 26.79% 50.33%-0.74 -8.2 1
1983-10-23 @ Galway United (old) W 1-037.6 1321 1148 50.33% 26.79% 22.88%+0.74 +8.2 5
1983-10-23 Dundalk D 0-048.3 1298 1298 45.30% 27.33% 27.37%+0.26 -1.3 6
1983-10-23 @ Shelbourne D 0-048.3 1298 1298 27.37% 27.33% 45.30%-0.26 +1.3 5
1983-10-23 Waterford L 0-240.7 1189 1202 43.64% 27.36% 29.00%+0.18 -25.3 2
1983-10-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-040.7 1202 1189 29.00% 27.36% 43.64%-0.18 +25.3 5
1983-10-23 Sligo Rovers W 2-144.3 1124 1116 46.24% 27.30% 26.46%+0.30 +8.7 5
1983-10-23 @ UC Dublin L 1-244.3 1116 1124 26.46% 27.30% 46.24%-0.30 -8.7 1
1983-10-28 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-434.1 1045 1164 29.26% 27.20% 43.55%-0.43 -35.4 2
1983-10-28 @ Home Farm W 4-034.1 1164 1045 43.55% 27.20% 29.26%+0.43 +35.4 4
1983-10-30 Drogheda United W 2-143.9 1306 1266 50.06% 27.14% 22.80%+0.49 +7.7 4
1983-10-30 @ Athlone Town L 1-243.9 1266 1306 22.80% 27.14% 50.06%-0.49 -7.7 2
1983-10-30 Finn Harps L 1-253.3 1329 1248 54.47% 26.82% 18.70%+0.72 -15.4 5
1983-10-30 @ Bohemian W 2-153.3 1248 1329 18.70% 26.82% 54.47%-0.72 +15.4 8
1983-10-30 Shamrock Rovers L 0-144.0 1299 1335 40.57% 27.40% 32.03%+0.05 -12.7 5
1983-10-30 @ Dundalk W 1-044.0 1335 1299 32.03% 27.40% 40.57%-0.05 +12.7 8
1983-10-30 UC Dublin D 0-048.1 1297 1133 61.76% 25.84% 12.40%+1.20 -3.9 7
1983-10-30 @ Shelbourne D 0-048.1 1133 1297 12.40% 25.84% 61.76%-1.20 +3.9 6
1983-10-30 Galway United (old) D 0-047.7 1227 1140 55.04% 26.77% 18.19%+0.76 -2.8 6
1983-10-30 @ Waterford D 0-047.7 1140 1227 18.19% 26.77% 55.04%-0.76 +2.8 2
1983-11-06 Sligo Rovers L 1-351.4 1258 1107 60.68% 26.03% 13.29%+1.12 -29.5 2
1983-11-06 @ Drogheda United W 3-151.4 1107 1258 13.29% 26.03% 60.68%-1.12 +29.5 3
1983-11-06 Waterford W 3-248.8 1263 1224 49.98% 27.14% 22.88%+0.48 +7.3 10
1983-11-06 @ Finn Harps L 2-348.8 1224 1263 22.88% 27.14% 49.98%-0.48 -7.3 6
1983-11-06 Home Farm L 1-253.8 1143 1010 59.22% 26.26% 14.51%+1.02 -16.6 2
1983-11-06 @ Galway United (old) W 2-153.8 1010 1143 14.51% 26.26% 59.22%-1.02 +16.6 4
1983-11-06 Shelbourne D 1-152.8 1265 1293 41.62% 27.39% 30.99%+0.09 -0.7 1
1983-11-06 @ Limerick D 1-152.8 1293 1265 30.99% 27.39% 41.62%-0.09 +0.7 8
1983-11-06 Bohemian D 1-153.6 1348 1314 49.33% 27.18% 23.49%+0.45 -1.7 9
1983-11-06 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.6 1314 1348 23.49% 27.18% 49.33%-0.45 +1.7 6
1983-11-06 Athlone Town W 3-254.9 1199 1313 29.77% 27.22% 43.01%-0.40 +11.8 6
1983-11-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-354.9 1313 1199 43.01% 27.22% 29.77%+0.40 -11.8 4
1983-11-06 Dundalk D 1-152.5 1136 1286 25.43% 26.99% 47.58%-0.61 +1.4 7
1983-11-06 @ UC Dublin D 1-152.5 1286 1136 47.58% 26.99% 25.43%+0.61 -1.4 6
1983-11-13 Galway United (old) W 2-139.6 1302 1126 62.60% 25.68% 11.73%+1.27 +4.4 6
1983-11-13 @ Athlone Town L 1-239.6 1126 1302 11.73% 25.68% 62.60%-1.27 -4.4 2
1983-11-13 Bohemian D 1-153.0 1285 1316 41.27% 27.39% 31.33%+0.08 -0.6 7
1983-11-13 @ Dundalk D 1-153.0 1316 1285 31.33% 27.39% 41.27%-0.08 +0.6 7
1983-11-13 Finn Harps D 0-047.9 1027 1271 16.32% 25.96% 57.72%-1.15 +3.2 5
1983-11-13 @ Home Farm D 0-047.9 1271 1027 57.72% 25.96% 16.32%+1.15 -3.2 11
1983-11-13 Drogheda United L 1-349.7 1294 1228 52.82% 26.96% 20.22%+0.63 -25.9 8
1983-11-13 @ Shelbourne W 3-149.7 1228 1294 20.22% 26.96% 52.82%-0.63 +25.9 4
1983-11-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-147.7 1137 1211 35.21% 27.37% 37.42%-0.17 +11.2 5
1983-11-13 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-247.7 1211 1137 37.42% 27.37% 35.21%+0.17 -11.2 6
1983-11-13 Limerick D 0-047.7 1138 1264 28.25% 27.15% 44.61%-0.47 +1.2 8
1983-11-13 @ UC Dublin D 0-047.7 1264 1138 44.61% 27.15% 28.25%+0.47 -1.1 2
1983-11-13 Shamrock Rovers L 0-236.5 1217 1346 27.92% 27.13% 44.95%-0.49 -18.0 6
1983-11-13 @ Waterford W 2-036.5 1346 1217 44.95% 27.13% 27.92%+0.49 +18.0 11
1983-11-20 Waterford L 1-253.9 1316 1199 57.89% 26.45% 15.66%+0.93 -16.3 7
1983-11-20 @ Bohemian W 2-153.9 1199 1316 15.66% 26.45% 57.89%-0.93 +16.3 8
1983-11-20 UC Dublin W 1-035.3 1254 1139 57.69% 26.47% 15.84%+0.92 +6.1 6
1983-11-20 @ Drogheda United L 0-135.3 1139 1254 15.84% 26.47% 57.69%-0.92 -6.1 8
1983-11-20 Athlone Town D 1-152.9 1268 1306 40.21% 27.40% 32.39%+0.03 -0.5 12
1983-11-20 @ Finn Harps D 1-152.9 1306 1268 32.39% 27.40% 40.21%-0.03 +0.5 7
1983-11-20 Sligo Rovers W 1-039.9 1122 1148 41.82% 27.39% 30.79%+0.10 +10.3 4
1983-11-20 @ Galway United (old) L 0-139.9 1148 1122 30.79% 27.39% 41.82%-0.10 -10.3 5
1983-11-20 Dundalk D 2-258.7 1263 1284 42.52% 27.38% 30.10%+0.13 -0.6 3
1983-11-20 @ Limerick D 2-258.7 1284 1263 30.10% 27.38% 42.52%-0.13 +0.6 8
1983-11-20 Home Farm W 1-031.0 1364 1030 71.99% 22.68% 5.33%+2.18 +2.1 13
1983-11-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-131.0 1030 1364 5.33% 22.68% 71.99%-2.18 -2.1 5
1983-11-20 Shelbourne D 3-362.3 1200 1268 36.04% 27.38% 36.58%-0.14 +0.0 7
1983-11-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 3-362.3 1268 1200 36.58% 27.38% 36.04%+0.14 -0.0 9
1983-11-24 Limerick L 1-241.2 1028 1263 17.06% 26.08% 56.86%-1.10 -6.0 5
1983-11-24 @ Home Farm W 2-141.2 1263 1028 56.86% 26.08% 17.06%+1.10 +6.0 5
1983-11-27 Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.7 1306 1366 37.25% 27.39% 35.36%-0.09 -0.1 8
1983-11-27 @ Athlone Town D 1-153.7 1366 1306 35.36% 27.39% 37.25%+0.09 +0.1 14
1983-11-27 Waterford W 3-247.8 1285 1215 53.32% 26.92% 19.76%+0.66 +6.5 10
1983-11-27 @ Dundalk L 2-347.8 1215 1285 19.76% 26.92% 53.32%-0.66 -6.5 8
1983-11-27 Bohemian L 0-329.3 1022 1300 13.82% 25.45% 60.73%-1.35 -14.5 5
1983-11-27 @ Home Farm W 3-029.3 1300 1022 60.73% 25.45% 13.82%+1.35 +14.5 9
1983-11-27 Drogheda United W 2-144.8 1269 1260 46.30% 27.30% 26.40%+0.30 +8.7 7
1983-11-27 @ Limerick L 1-244.8 1260 1269 26.40% 27.30% 46.30%-0.30 -8.6 6
1983-11-27 Galway United (old) D 1-152.6 1268 1132 59.47% 26.23% 14.30%+1.04 -3.1 10
1983-11-27 @ Shelbourne D 1-152.6 1132 1268 14.30% 26.23% 59.47%-1.04 +3.2 5
1983-11-27 Finn Harps D 2-258.3 1138 1267 27.90% 27.13% 44.96%-0.49 +0.8 6
1983-11-27 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-258.3 1267 1138 44.96% 27.13% 27.90%+0.49 -0.8 13
1983-11-27 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-252.6 1133 1200 36.24% 27.38% 36.38%-0.13 +10.4 10
1983-11-27 @ UC Dublin L 2-352.6 1200 1133 36.38% 27.38% 36.24%+0.13 -10.4 7
1983-12-04 Athlone Town W 1-039.6 1314 1306 46.29% 27.30% 26.41%+0.30 +9.2 11
1983-12-04 @ Bohemian L 0-139.6 1306 1314 26.41% 27.30% 46.29%-0.30 -9.2 8
1983-12-04 Drogheda United W 3-033.0 1292 1252 50.05% 27.14% 22.81%+0.48 +22.4 12
1983-12-04 @ Dundalk L 0-333.0 1252 1292 22.81% 27.14% 50.05%-0.48 -22.4 6
1983-12-04 Shelbourne D 1-152.7 1266 1265 45.47% 27.32% 27.20%+0.26 -1.2 14
1983-12-04 @ Finn Harps D 1-152.7 1265 1266 27.20% 27.32% 45.47%-0.26 +1.2 11
1983-12-04 UC Dublin D 0-047.5 1135 1143 44.21% 27.35% 28.44%+0.21 -1.1 6
1983-12-04 @ Galway United (old) D 0-047.5 1143 1135 28.44% 27.35% 44.21%-0.21 +1.1 11
1983-12-04 Sligo Rovers W 5-028.4 1366 1139 66.13% 24.82% 9.05%+1.57 +16.0 16
1983-12-04 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-528.4 1139 1366 9.05% 24.82% 66.13%-1.57 -16.0 6
1983-12-04 Limerick W 1-042.8 1189 1277 33.26% 27.33% 39.42%-0.25 +12.4 9
1983-12-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-142.8 1277 1189 39.42% 27.33% 33.26%+0.25 -12.4 7
1983-12-04 Home Farm W 1-033.1 1209 1007 64.44% 25.27% 10.30%+1.42 +4.1 10
1983-12-04 @ Waterford L 0-133.1 1007 1209 10.30% 25.27% 64.44%-1.42 -4.1 5
1983-12-08 Limerick D 1-153.1 1324 1265 52.13% 27.01% 20.86%+0.59 -2.1 12
1983-12-08 @ Bohemian D 1-153.1 1265 1324 20.86% 27.01% 52.13%-0.59 +2.1 8
1983-12-11 Waterford W 2-142.2 1297 1213 54.79% 26.79% 18.42%+0.74 +6.5 10
1983-12-11 @ Athlone Town L 1-242.2 1213 1297 18.42% 26.79% 54.79%-0.74 -6.5 10
1983-12-11 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-140.9 1229 1202 48.63% 27.21% 24.16%+0.41 +14.0 8
1983-12-11 @ Drogheda United L 1-340.9 1202 1229 24.16% 27.21% 48.63%-0.41 -14.0 9
1983-12-11 Dundalk D 1-152.9 1003 1314 11.77% 24.90% 63.32%-1.54 +3.6 6
1983-12-11 @ Home Farm D 1-152.9 1314 1003 63.32% 24.90% 11.77%+1.54 -3.7 13
1983-12-11 Galway United (old) W 1-034.8 1267 1134 59.24% 26.26% 14.50%+1.02 +5.6 10
1983-12-11 @ Limerick L 0-134.8 1134 1267 14.50% 26.26% 59.24%-1.02 -5.6 6
1983-12-11 Shamrock Rovers W 3-255.8 1266 1382 29.52% 27.21% 43.28%-0.42 +11.9 13
1983-12-11 @ Shelbourne L 2-355.8 1382 1266 43.28% 27.21% 29.52%+0.42 -11.9 16
1983-12-11 Bohemian L 3-450.3 1123 1322 20.28% 26.53% 53.19%-0.89 -6.5 6
1983-12-11 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-350.3 1322 1123 53.19% 26.53% 20.28%+0.89 +6.5 14
1983-12-11 Finn Harps D 0-047.7 1145 1265 28.98% 27.18% 43.84%-0.44 +1.0 12
1983-12-11 @ UC Dublin D 0-047.7 1265 1145 43.84% 27.18% 28.98%+0.44 -1.0 15
1983-12-18 Shelbourne W 3-140.8 1328 1278 51.22% 27.07% 21.71%+0.55 +12.9 16
1983-12-18 @ Bohemian L 1-340.8 1278 1328 21.71% 27.07% 51.22%-0.55 -12.9 13
1983-12-18 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-254.0 1310 1188 58.35% 26.39% 15.26%+0.96 -16.4 13
1983-12-18 @ Dundalk W 2-154.0 1188 1310 15.26% 26.39% 58.35%-0.96 +16.4 11
1983-12-18 Limerick L 0-241.3 1264 1273 44.18% 27.35% 28.47%+0.21 -25.5 15
1983-12-18 @ Finn Harps W 2-041.3 1273 1264 28.47% 27.35% 44.18%-0.21 +25.6 12
1983-12-18 Drogheda United D 2-258.3 1128 1243 29.70% 27.21% 43.08%-0.41 +0.6 7
1983-12-18 @ Galway United (old) D 2-258.3 1243 1128 43.08% 27.21% 29.70%+0.41 -0.6 9
1983-12-18 Athlone Town L 2-344.8 1007 1304 12.61% 25.15% 62.24%-1.46 -4.4 6
1983-12-18 @ Home Farm W 3-244.8 1304 1007 62.24% 25.15% 12.61%+1.46 +4.4 12
1983-12-18 UC Dublin W 2-138.9 1370 1146 65.95% 24.87% 9.18%+1.55 +3.5 18
1983-12-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-238.9 1146 1370 9.18% 24.87% 65.95%-1.55 -3.5 12
1983-12-18 Sligo Rovers D 0-047.7 1206 1116 55.32% 26.74% 17.94%+0.77 -2.8 11
1983-12-18 @ Waterford D 0-047.7 1116 1206 17.94% 26.74% 55.32%-0.77 +2.8 7
1983-12-28 Waterford W 1-036.1 1298 1203 55.80% 26.69% 17.51%+0.80 +6.6 14
1983-12-28 @ Limerick L 0-136.1 1203 1298 17.51% 26.69% 55.80%-0.80 -6.6 11
1984-01-01 Dundalk W 2-036.1 1308 1294 47.01% 27.27% 25.72%+0.34 +17.0 14
1984-01-01 @ Athlone Town L 0-236.1 1294 1308 25.72% 27.27% 47.01%-0.34 -17.0 13
1984-01-01 Finn Harps W 2-144.8 1243 1239 45.78% 27.31% 26.90%+0.28 +8.8 11
1984-01-01 @ Drogheda United L 1-244.8 1239 1243 26.90% 27.31% 45.78%-0.28 -8.8 15
1984-01-01 Shamrock Rovers L 0-143.0 1305 1374 35.93% 27.38% 36.70%-0.14 -11.5 14
1984-01-01 @ Limerick W 1-043.0 1374 1305 36.70% 27.38% 35.93%+0.14 +11.5 20
1984-01-01 Home Farm L 0-244.5 1119 1002 57.84% 26.46% 15.71%+0.93 -32.5 7
1984-01-01 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-044.5 1002 1119 15.71% 26.46% 57.84%-0.93 +32.5 8
1984-01-01 Galway United (old) L 1-252.5 1204 1129 53.84% 26.88% 19.28%+0.69 -15.2 11
1984-01-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-152.5 1129 1204 19.28% 26.88% 53.84%-0.69 +15.2 9
1984-01-01 Bohemian L 1-339.6 1142 1341 20.29% 26.53% 53.18%-0.89 -12.1 12
1984-01-01 @ UC Dublin W 3-139.6 1341 1142 53.18% 26.53% 20.29%+0.89 +12.1 18
1984-01-02 Waterford W 2-142.5 1265 1197 53.13% 26.93% 19.94%+0.65 +6.9 15
1984-01-02 @ Shelbourne L 1-242.5 1197 1265 19.94% 26.93% 53.13%-0.65 -6.9 11
1984-01-08 Shamrock Rovers L 0-736.6 1251 1385 27.35% 27.10% 45.55%-0.52 -57.0 11
1984-01-08 @ Drogheda United W 7-036.6 1385 1251 45.55% 27.10% 27.35%+0.52 +57.0 22
1984-01-08 Dundalk W 2-150.1 1144 1277 27.47% 27.11% 45.42%-0.51 +13.0 11
1984-01-08 @ Galway United (old) L 1-250.1 1277 1144 45.42% 27.11% 27.47%+0.51 -13.0 13
1984-01-08 Bohemian W 2-039.4 1293 1353 37.23% 27.39% 35.38%-0.09 +21.5 16
1984-01-08 @ Limerick L 0-239.4 1353 1293 35.38% 27.39% 37.23%+0.09 -21.5 18
1984-01-08 Home Farm W 1-032.5 1272 1035 66.73% 24.65% 8.63%+1.62 +3.5 17
1984-01-08 @ Shelbourne L 0-132.5 1035 1272 8.63% 24.65% 66.73%-1.62 -3.5 8
1984-01-08 Athlone Town L 1-241.2 1087 1325 16.79% 26.04% 57.17%-1.12 -5.9 7
1984-01-08 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-141.2 1325 1087 57.17% 26.04% 16.79%+1.12 +5.9 16
1984-01-08 Finn Harps W 2-037.5 1189 1230 39.87% 27.40% 32.73%+0.02 +20.3 13
1984-01-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-237.5 1230 1189 32.73% 27.40% 39.87%-0.02 -20.3 15
1984-01-08 Waterford L 0-141.9 1130 1190 37.23% 27.39% 35.38%-0.09 -11.8 12
1984-01-08 @ UC Dublin W 1-041.9 1190 1130 35.38% 27.39% 37.23%+0.09 +11.9 13
1984-01-12 UC Dublin L 0-237.5 1031 1118 33.41% 27.33% 39.26%-0.25 -20.6 8
1984-01-12 @ Home Farm W 2-037.5 1118 1031 39.26% 27.33% 33.41%+0.25 +20.6 14
1984-01-22 Waterford W 3-142.1 1194 1202 44.35% 27.35% 28.30%+0.21 +15.8 13
1984-01-22 @ Drogheda United L 1-342.1 1202 1194 28.30% 27.35% 44.35%-0.21 -15.8 13
1984-01-22 Dundalk D 1-152.5 1209 1264 37.97% 27.40% 34.64%-0.06 -0.2 16
1984-01-22 @ Finn Harps D 1-152.5 1264 1209 34.64% 27.40% 37.97%+0.06 +0.2 14
1984-01-22 Shamrock Rovers L 0-330.0 1157 1442 13.38% 25.35% 61.27%-1.39 -14.1 11
1984-01-22 @ Galway United (old) W 3-030.0 1442 1157 61.27% 25.35% 13.38%+1.39 +14.1 24
1984-01-22 Home Farm W 2-028.2 1315 1011 70.49% 23.33% 6.18%+2.01 +4.7 18
1984-01-22 @ Limerick L 0-228.2 1011 1315 6.18% 23.33% 70.49%-2.01 -4.6 8
1984-01-22 Sligo Rovers W 2-139.1 1275 1081 63.96% 25.38% 10.66%+1.38 +4.0 19
1984-01-22 @ Shelbourne L 1-239.1 1081 1275 10.66% 25.38% 63.96%-1.38 -4.0 7
1984-01-22 Bohemian D 1-152.8 1209 1331 28.77% 27.17% 44.06%-0.45 +1.0 14
1984-01-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.8 1331 1209 44.06% 27.17% 28.77%+0.45 -1.0 19
1984-01-22 Athlone Town W 2-152.2 1139 1331 20.95% 26.60% 52.45%-0.85 +14.8 16
1984-01-22 @ UC Dublin L 1-252.2 1331 1139 52.45% 26.60% 20.95%+0.85 -14.8 16
1984-01-25 Drogheda United W 5-134.2 1330 1210 58.14% 26.42% 15.45%+0.95 +17.7 21
1984-01-25 @ Bohemian L 1-534.2 1210 1330 15.45% 26.42% 58.14%-0.95 -17.7 13
1984-01-28 Drogheda United L 0-431.6 1006 1193 21.49% 26.66% 51.85%-0.82 -27.8 8
1984-01-28 @ Home Farm W 4-031.6 1193 1006 51.85% 26.66% 21.49%+0.82 +27.8 15
1984-01-29 Limerick W 3-035.2 1316 1319 44.84% 27.34% 27.82%+0.24 +26.2 18
1984-01-29 @ Athlone Town L 0-335.2 1319 1316 27.82% 27.34% 44.84%-0.24 -26.2 18
1984-01-29 Galway United (old) D 0-048.5 1348 1143 64.67% 25.21% 10.12%+1.44 -4.4 22
1984-01-29 @ Bohemian D 0-048.5 1143 1348 10.12% 25.21% 64.67%-1.44 +4.4 12
1984-01-29 Shelbourne W 5-348.3 1264 1279 43.33% 27.37% 29.30%+0.17 +13.7 16
1984-01-29 @ Dundalk L 3-548.3 1279 1264 29.30% 27.37% 43.33%-0.17 -13.7 19
1984-01-29 Finn Harps W 5-132.4 1456 1209 67.33% 24.46% 8.20%+1.68 +9.8 26
1984-01-29 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-532.4 1209 1456 8.20% 24.46% 67.33%-1.68 -9.8 16
1984-01-29 UC Dublin D 0-047.5 1077 1154 34.78% 27.36% 37.86%-0.19 +0.2 8
1984-01-29 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-047.5 1154 1077 37.86% 27.36% 34.78%+0.19 -0.2 17
1984-01-29 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.3 1186 1210 42.11% 27.39% 30.51%+0.11 -0.7 14
1984-01-29 @ Waterford D 1-152.3 1210 1186 30.51% 27.39% 42.11%-0.11 +0.7 15
1984-02-12 Athlone Town L 1-440.1 1220 1342 28.81% 27.18% 44.02%-0.45 -22.6 15
1984-02-12 @ Drogheda United W 4-140.1 1342 1220 44.02% 27.18% 28.81%+0.45 +22.6 20
1984-02-12 Bohemian L 0-138.9 1199 1344 26.08% 27.03% 46.89%-0.58 -9.1 16
1984-02-12 @ Finn Harps W 1-038.9 1344 1199 46.89% 27.03% 26.08%+0.58 +9.1 24
1984-02-12 Waterford W 2-037.3 1148 1185 40.32% 27.40% 32.28%+0.04 +20.1 14
1984-02-12 @ Galway United (old) L 0-237.3 1185 1148 32.28% 27.40% 40.32%-0.04 -20.1 14
1984-02-12 Sligo Rovers W 4-133.2 1293 1077 65.43% 25.01% 9.56%+1.50 +8.8 20
1984-02-12 @ Limerick L 1-433.2 1077 1293 9.56% 25.01% 65.43%-1.50 -8.8 8
1984-02-12 Dundalk D 1-155.2 1466 1278 63.52% 25.48% 11.00%+1.34 -3.8 27
1984-02-12 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.2 1278 1466 11.00% 25.48% 63.52%-1.34 +3.8 17
1984-02-12 Home Farm D 0-048.2 1211 978 66.46% 24.73% 8.81%+1.60 -4.7 16
1984-02-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.2 978 1211 8.81% 24.73% 66.46%-1.60 +4.7 9
1984-02-12 Shelbourne W 1-043.6 1153 1265 30.06% 27.23% 42.72%-0.39 +13.2 19
1984-02-12 @ UC Dublin L 0-143.6 1265 1153 42.72% 27.23% 30.06%+0.39 -13.2 19
1984-02-19 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-137.6 1365 1206 61.32% 25.92% 12.76%+1.17 +8.2 22
1984-02-19 @ Athlone Town L 1-337.6 1206 1365 12.76% 25.92% 61.32%-1.17 -8.2 16
1984-02-19 Shamrock Rovers W 2-153.0 1353 1462 30.39% 27.24% 42.37%-0.38 +12.3 26
1984-02-19 @ Bohemian L 1-253.0 1462 1353 42.37% 27.24% 30.39%+0.38 -12.3 27
1984-02-19 UC Dublin L 0-244.8 1282 1167 57.67% 26.48% 15.85%+0.92 -32.4 17
1984-02-19 @ Dundalk W 2-044.8 1167 1282 15.85% 26.48% 57.67%-0.92 +32.4 21
1984-02-19 Galway United (old) D 1-152.3 983 1168 21.67% 26.67% 51.65%-0.81 +2.0 10
1984-02-19 @ Home Farm D 1-152.3 1168 983 51.65% 26.67% 21.67%+0.81 -2.0 15
1984-02-19 Limerick L 0-239.7 1252 1302 38.64% 27.40% 33.96%-0.03 -23.0 19
1984-02-19 @ Shelbourne W 2-039.7 1302 1252 33.96% 27.40% 38.64%+0.03 +23.0 22
1984-02-19 Drogheda United L 2-349.9 1068 1198 27.84% 27.13% 45.03%-0.49 -8.5 8
1984-02-19 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-249.9 1198 1068 45.03% 27.13% 27.84%+0.49 +8.5 17
1984-02-19 Finn Harps W 2-145.7 1165 1190 41.97% 27.39% 30.64%+0.11 +9.7 16
1984-02-19 @ Waterford L 1-245.7 1190 1165 30.64% 27.39% 41.97%-0.11 -9.7 16
1984-02-24 Dundalk D 0-048.7 1365 1249 57.76% 26.46% 15.77%+0.92 -3.2 27
1984-02-24 @ Bohemian D 0-048.7 1249 1365 15.77% 26.46% 57.76%-0.92 +3.2 18
1984-02-26 Shelbourne D 2-258.3 1206 1229 42.27% 27.38% 30.35%+0.12 -0.5 18
1984-02-26 @ Drogheda United D 2-258.3 1229 1206 30.35% 27.38% 42.27%-0.12 +0.6 20
1984-02-26 Home Farm W 3-028.2 1181 985 64.04% 25.36% 10.60%+1.38 +11.6 18
1984-02-26 @ Finn Harps L 0-328.2 985 1181 10.60% 25.36% 64.04%-1.38 -11.5 10
1984-02-26 Athlone Town D 0-048.3 1166 1373 19.49% 26.43% 54.08%-0.94 +2.6 16
1984-02-26 @ Galway United (old) D 0-048.3 1373 1166 54.08% 26.43% 19.49%+0.94 -2.6 23
1984-02-26 UC Dublin W 2-032.2 1325 1199 58.64% 26.35% 15.01%+0.98 +10.9 24
1984-02-26 @ Limerick L 0-232.2 1199 1325 15.01% 26.35% 58.64%-0.98 -10.9 21
1984-02-26 Waterford W 2-029.7 1450 1175 68.96% 23.92% 7.13%+1.84 +5.4 29
1984-02-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-229.7 1175 1450 7.13% 23.92% 68.96%-1.84 -5.4 16
1984-02-26 Sligo Rovers W 2-031.4 1198 1059 59.71% 26.19% 14.10%+1.05 +10.3 18
1984-02-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-231.4 1059 1198 14.10% 26.19% 59.71%-1.05 -10.3 8
1984-03-01 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-033.7 1455 1208 67.33% 24.46% 8.20%+1.68 +3.3 31
1984-03-01 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-133.7 1208 1455 8.20% 24.46% 67.33%-1.68 -3.3 18
1984-03-04 Finn Harps W 3-029.3 1370 1192 62.80% 25.63% 11.57%+1.28 +12.5 25
1984-03-04 @ Athlone Town L 0-329.3 1192 1370 11.57% 25.63% 62.80%-1.28 -12.5 18
1984-03-04 Limerick D 2-258.9 1252 1336 33.87% 27.34% 38.79%-0.23 +0.2 19
1984-03-04 @ Dundalk D 2-258.9 1336 1252 38.79% 27.34% 33.87%+0.23 -0.2 25
1984-03-04 Shamrock Rovers L 0-525.9 973 1459 5.01% 21.25% 73.74%-2.55 -8.4 10
1984-03-04 @ Home Farm W 5-025.9 1459 973 73.74% 21.25% 5.01%+2.55 +8.4 33
1984-03-04 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-038.2 1230 1205 48.31% 27.22% 24.47%+0.40 +8.7 22
1984-03-04 @ Shelbourne L 0-138.2 1205 1230 24.47% 27.22% 48.31%-0.40 -8.6 18
1984-03-04 Galway United (old) L 0-236.2 1049 1168 29.15% 27.19% 43.66%-0.43 -18.6 8
1984-03-04 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-036.2 1168 1049 43.66% 27.19% 29.15%+0.43 +18.6 18
1984-03-04 Drogheda United W 2-145.4 1188 1206 43.00% 27.37% 29.63%+0.15 +9.5 23
1984-03-04 @ UC Dublin L 1-245.4 1206 1188 29.63% 27.37% 43.00%-0.15 -9.4 18
1984-03-04 Bohemian L 1-340.0 1169 1362 20.89% 26.59% 52.52%-0.86 -12.4 16
1984-03-04 @ Waterford W 3-140.0 1362 1169 52.52% 26.59% 20.89%+0.86 +12.4 29
1984-03-11 Sligo Rovers W 4-027.5 1253 1031 65.79% 24.92% 9.29%+1.54 +13.3 21
1984-03-11 @ Dundalk L 0-427.5 1031 1253 9.29% 24.92% 65.79%-1.54 -13.3 8
1984-03-17 Home Farm W 1-029.9 1374 965 75.36% 20.96% 3.69%+2.62 +1.4 31
1984-03-17 @ Bohemian L 0-129.9 965 1374 3.69% 20.96% 75.36%-2.62 -1.4 10
1984-03-17 UC Dublin D 1-152.3 1196 1198 45.12% 27.33% 27.55%+0.25 -1.1 19
1984-03-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.3 1198 1196 27.55% 27.33% 45.12%-0.25 +1.1 24
1984-03-18 Limerick L 0-139.1 1196 1336 26.66% 27.06% 46.27%-0.55 -9.2 18
1984-03-18 @ Drogheda United W 1-039.1 1336 1196 46.27% 27.06% 26.66%+0.55 +9.2 27
1984-03-18 Sligo Rovers W 3-244.9 1180 1017 61.61% 25.87% 12.52%+1.19 +4.4 20
1984-03-18 @ Finn Harps L 2-344.9 1017 1180 12.52% 25.87% 61.61%-1.19 -4.4 8
1984-03-18 Shelbourne L 0-239.2 1187 1239 38.37% 27.40% 34.23%-0.04 -22.9 18
1984-03-18 @ Galway United (old) W 2-039.2 1239 1187 34.23% 27.40% 38.37%+0.04 +22.9 24
1984-03-18 Athlone Town W 4-035.6 1467 1383 54.76% 26.79% 18.44%+0.74 +24.7 35
1984-03-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-435.6 1383 1467 18.44% 26.79% 54.76%-0.74 -24.7 25
1984-03-18 Dundalk W 3-146.3 1157 1266 30.46% 27.24% 42.30%-0.37 +21.3 18
1984-03-18 @ Waterford L 1-346.3 1266 1157 42.30% 27.24% 30.46%+0.37 -21.3 21
1984-03-19 Athlone Town L 1-251.4 1345 1358 43.55% 27.36% 29.08%+0.18 -12.6 27
1984-03-19 @ Limerick W 2-151.4 1358 1345 29.08% 27.36% 43.55%-0.18 +12.6 27
1984-03-25 Bohemian D 1-154.7 1371 1376 44.66% 27.34% 28.00%+0.23 -1.1 28
1984-03-25 @ Athlone Town D 1-154.7 1376 1371 28.00% 27.34% 44.66%-0.23 +1.1 32
1984-03-25 Dundalk L 0-337.2 1187 1245 37.54% 27.39% 35.06%-0.08 -32.7 18
1984-03-25 @ Drogheda United W 3-037.2 1245 1187 35.06% 27.39% 37.54%+0.08 +32.7 23
1984-03-25 Waterford L 1-338.8 964 1178 18.81% 26.34% 54.85%-0.98 -11.3 10
1984-03-25 @ Home Farm W 3-138.8 1178 964 54.85% 26.34% 18.81%+0.98 +11.3 20
1984-03-25 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-246.0 1332 1195 59.58% 26.21% 14.21%+1.05 +4.9 29
1984-03-25 @ Limerick L 2-346.0 1195 1332 14.21% 26.21% 59.58%-1.05 -4.9 19
1984-03-25 Finn Harps W 5-031.8 1261 1184 54.08% 26.86% 19.07%+0.70 +31.2 26
1984-03-25 @ Shelbourne L 0-531.8 1184 1261 19.07% 26.86% 54.08%-0.70 -31.2 20
1984-03-25 Shamrock Rovers L 0-227.7 1013 1492 5.17% 21.40% 73.43%-2.51 -3.7 8
1984-03-25 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-027.7 1492 1013 73.43% 21.40% 5.17%+2.51 +3.7 37
1984-03-25 Galway United (old) D 0-047.6 1199 1164 49.44% 27.17% 23.39%+0.45 -1.9 25
1984-03-25 @ UC Dublin D 0-047.6 1164 1199 23.39% 27.17% 49.44%-0.45 +1.9 19
1984-03-28 Limerick L 0-427.9 1009 1337 10.82% 24.60% 64.58%-1.64 -15.1 8
1984-03-28 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-027.9 1337 1009 64.58% 24.60% 10.82%+1.64 +15.1 31
1984-04-01 Sligo Rovers W 3-025.3 1377 994 74.22% 21.58% 4.20%+2.46 +4.5 34
1984-04-01 @ Bohemian L 0-325.3 994 1377 4.20% 21.58% 74.22%-2.46 -4.5 8
1984-04-01 Home Farm W 3-133.8 1277 952 71.54% 22.88% 5.57%+2.13 +3.6 25
1984-04-01 @ Dundalk L 1-333.8 952 1277 5.57% 22.88% 71.54%-2.13 -3.6 10
1984-04-01 UC Dublin L 1-248.3 1153 1197 39.44% 27.40% 33.16%+0.00 -11.7 20
1984-04-01 @ Finn Harps W 2-148.3 1197 1153 33.16% 27.40% 39.44%+0.00 +11.7 27
1984-04-01 Limerick W 3-041.5 1166 1352 21.51% 26.66% 51.83%-0.82 +42.5 21
1984-04-01 @ Galway United (old) L 0-341.5 1352 1166 51.83% 26.66% 21.51%+0.82 -42.5 31
1984-04-01 Shelbourne W 3-139.2 1496 1293 64.53% 25.24% 10.23%+1.42 +6.7 39
1984-04-01 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-339.2 1293 1496 10.23% 25.24% 64.53%-1.42 -6.7 26
1984-04-01 Drogheda United W 3-032.7 1190 1154 49.61% 27.16% 23.23%+0.46 +22.8 21
1984-04-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-332.7 1154 1190 23.23% 27.16% 49.61%-0.46 -22.8 18
1984-04-01 Athlone Town W 1-046.5 1190 1370 22.13% 26.72% 51.15%-0.79 +15.3 22
1984-04-01 @ Waterford L 0-146.5 1370 1190 51.15% 26.72% 22.13%+0.79 -15.3 28
1984-04-08 Home Farm W 3-025.0 1355 949 75.21% 21.04% 3.75%+2.60 +4.0 30
1984-04-08 @ Athlone Town L 0-325.0 949 1355 3.75% 21.04% 75.21%-2.60 -3.9 10
1984-04-08 Galway United (old) W 2-147.8 1132 1208 34.81% 27.36% 37.83%-0.19 +11.3 20
1984-04-08 @ Drogheda United L 1-247.8 1208 1132 37.83% 27.36% 34.81%+0.19 -11.3 21
1984-04-08 Finn Harps L 0-245.9 1310 1141 62.09% 25.78% 12.13%+1.23 -34.9 31
1984-04-08 @ Limerick W 2-045.9 1141 1310 12.13% 25.78% 62.09%-1.23 +34.9 22
1984-04-08 Dundalk L 0-141.9 1213 1281 36.09% 27.38% 36.53%-0.14 -11.6 21
1984-04-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-041.9 1281 1213 36.53% 27.38% 36.09%+0.14 +11.6 27
1984-04-11 Waterford L 0-232.8 990 1205 18.75% 26.33% 54.91%-0.99 -13.1 8
1984-04-11 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-032.8 1205 990 54.91% 26.33% 18.75%+0.99 +13.1 24
1984-04-13 Bohemian D 1-153.6 1286 1381 32.27% 27.30% 40.42%-0.29 +0.5 27
1984-04-13 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.6 1381 1286 40.42% 27.30% 32.27%+0.29 -0.5 35
1984-04-14 Galway United (old) W 3-250.8 1176 1197 42.53% 27.38% 30.09%+0.13 +9.1 24
1984-04-14 @ Finn Harps L 2-350.8 1197 1176 30.09% 27.38% 42.53%-0.13 -9.1 21
1984-04-15 UC Dublin D 0-048.8 1381 1208 62.36% 25.72% 11.92%+1.25 -4.0 36
1984-04-15 @ Bohemian D 0-048.8 1208 1381 11.92% 25.72% 62.36%-1.25 +4.0 28
1984-04-15 Athlone Town L 0-239.7 1292 1358 36.33% 27.38% 36.29%-0.13 -22.0 27
1984-04-15 @ Dundalk W 2-039.7 1358 1292 36.29% 27.38% 36.33%+0.13 +22.0 32
1984-04-15 Drogheda United L 2-356.7 1185 1143 50.31% 27.12% 22.57%+0.50 -13.5 24
1984-04-15 @ Finn Harps W 3-256.7 1143 1185 22.57% 27.12% 50.31%-0.50 +13.5 22
1984-04-15 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-346.7 1188 1202 43.54% 27.36% 29.10%+0.18 -21.9 21
1984-04-15 @ Galway United (old) W 3-146.7 1202 1188 29.10% 27.36% 43.54%-0.18 +21.9 23
1984-04-15 Sligo Rovers W 2-145.8 945 976 41.10% 27.39% 31.51%+0.07 +9.9 12
1984-04-15 @ Home Farm L 1-245.8 976 945 31.51% 27.39% 41.10%-0.07 -9.9 8
1984-04-15 Limerick D 1-156.0 1502 1275 66.12% 24.83% 9.06%+1.57 -4.1 40
1984-04-15 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-156.0 1275 1502 9.06% 24.83% 66.12%-1.57 +4.1 32
1984-04-15 Shelbourne D 2-258.5 1218 1286 35.98% 27.38% 36.65%-0.14 +0.0 25
1984-04-15 @ Waterford D 2-258.5 1286 1218 36.65% 27.38% 35.98%+0.14 -0.0 28
1984-04-17 Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.9 1212 1498 13.34% 25.33% 61.33%-1.39 -9.7 28
1984-04-17 @ UC Dublin W 2-032.9 1498 1212 61.33% 25.33% 13.34%+1.39 +9.7 42
1984-04-19 Shelbourne W 2-142.9 1380 1286 55.72% 26.70% 17.58%+0.80 +6.2 34
1984-04-19 @ Athlone Town L 1-242.9 1286 1380 17.58% 26.70% 55.72%-0.80 -6.2 28
1984-04-20 Limerick D 2-258.5 1218 1279 37.03% 27.39% 35.58%-0.10 -0.1 26
1984-04-20 @ Waterford D 2-258.5 1279 1218 35.58% 27.39% 37.03%+0.10 +0.1 33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1983-10-16 9.35% UC Dublin 1104 1 @ Athlone Town 1325 0
2 1984-04-08 12.13% Finn Harps 1141 2 @ Limerick 1310 0
3 1983-11-06 13.29% Sligo Rovers 1107 3 @ Drogheda United 1258 1
4 1983-11-06 14.51% Home Farm 1010 2 @ Galway United (old) 1143 1
5 1983-12-18 15.26% St Patrick's Athletic 1188 2 @ Dundalk 1310 1
6 1983-11-20 15.66% Waterford 1199 2 @ Bohemian 1316 1
7 1984-01-01 15.71% Home Farm 1002 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1119 0
8 1984-02-19 15.85% UC Dublin 1167 2 @ Dundalk 1282 0
9 1983-10-16 17.61% Finn Harps 1220 2 @ Dundalk 1314 1
10 1983-10-09 18.51% Home Farm 1036 2 @ UC Dublin 1120 1
11 1983-10-30 18.70% Finn Harps 1248 2 @ Bohemian 1329 1
12 1984-01-01 19.28% Galway United (old) 1129 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1204 1
13 1983-11-13 20.22% Drogheda United 1228 3 @ Shelbourne 1294 1
14 1984-01-22 20.95% @ UC Dublin 1139 2 Athlone Town 1331 1
15 1984-04-01 21.51% @ Galway United (old) 1166 3 Limerick 1352 0
16 1984-04-01 22.13% @ Waterford 1190 1 Athlone Town 1370 0
17 1984-04-15 22.57% Drogheda United 1143 3 @ Finn Harps 1185 2
18 1984-01-08 27.47% @ Galway United (old) 1144 2 Dundalk 1277 1
19 1983-12-18 28.47% Limerick 1273 2 @ Finn Harps 1264 0
20 1983-10-23 29.00% Waterford 1202 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1189 0
21 1984-03-19 29.08% Athlone Town 1358 2 @ Limerick 1345 1
22 1984-04-15 29.10% St Patrick's Athletic 1202 3 @ Galway United (old) 1188 1
23 1983-10-09 29.21% Bohemian 1311 1 @ Drogheda United 1297 0
24 1983-12-11 29.52% @ Shelbourne 1266 3 Shamrock Rovers 1382 2
25 1983-11-06 29.77% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1199 3 Athlone Town 1313 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-01-08 56.99 Shamrock Rovers 7 1385 45.55% @ Drogheda United 0 1251 27.35% 27.10%
2 1984-04-01 42.46 @ Galway United (old) 3 1166 21.51% Limerick 0 1352 51.83% 26.66%
3 1983-10-09 41.33 Shamrock Rovers 4 1295 36.67% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1227 35.95% 27.38%
4 1983-09-30 36.60 Shelbourne 5 1242 49.82% @ Home Farm 0 1073 23.35% 26.83%
5 1983-10-28 35.43 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1164 43.55% @ Home Farm 0 1045 29.26% 27.20%
6 1984-04-08 34.86 Finn Harps 2 1141 12.13% @ Limerick 0 1310 62.09% 25.78%
7 1984-03-25 32.66 Dundalk 3 1245 35.06% @ Drogheda United 0 1187 37.54% 27.39%
8 1984-01-01 32.54 Home Farm 2 1002 15.71% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1119 57.84% 26.46%
9 1984-02-19 32.45 UC Dublin 2 1167 15.85% @ Dundalk 0 1282 57.67% 26.48%
10 1984-03-25 31.23 @ Shelbourne 5 1261 54.08% Finn Harps 0 1184 19.07% 26.86%
11 1983-11-06 29.52 Sligo Rovers 3 1107 13.29% @ Drogheda United 1 1258 60.68% 26.03%
12 1984-01-28 27.76 Drogheda United 4 1193 51.85% @ Home Farm 0 1006 21.49% 26.66%
13 1984-01-29 26.16 @ Athlone Town 3 1316 44.84% Limerick 0 1319 27.82% 27.34%
14 1983-11-13 25.87 Drogheda United 3 1228 20.22% @ Shelbourne 1 1294 52.82% 26.96%
15 1983-12-18 25.55 Limerick 2 1273 28.47% @ Finn Harps 0 1264 44.18% 27.35%
16 1983-10-23 25.30 Waterford 2 1202 29.00% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1189 43.64% 27.36%
17 1984-03-18 24.66 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1467 54.76% Athlone Town 0 1383 18.44% 26.79%
18 1983-10-16 24.47 @ Waterford 2 1177 30.78% Drogheda United 0 1284 41.96% 27.26%
19 1984-02-19 22.98 Limerick 2 1302 33.96% @ Shelbourne 0 1252 38.64% 27.40%
20 1984-03-18 22.86 Shelbourne 2 1239 34.23% @ Galway United (old) 0 1187 38.37% 27.40%
21 1984-04-01 22.75 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1190 49.61% Drogheda United 0 1154 23.23% 27.16%
22 1984-02-12 22.60 Athlone Town 4 1342 44.02% @ Drogheda United 1 1220 28.81% 27.18%
23 1983-12-04 22.43 @ Dundalk 3 1292 50.05% Drogheda United 0 1252 22.81% 27.14%
24 1983-10-09 22.12 @ Shelbourne 2 1278 35.91% Athlone Town 0 1347 36.72% 27.38%
25 1984-04-15 21.95 Athlone Town 2 1358 36.29% @ Dundalk 0 1292 36.33% 27.38%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-11-20 62.3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1200 36.04% Shelbourne 3 1268 36.58% 27.38%
2 1983-10-09 62.1 @ Galway United (old) 3 1159 37.03% Finn Harps 3 1220 35.58% 27.39%
3 1984-03-04 58.9 @ Dundalk 2 1252 33.87% Limerick 2 1336 38.79% 27.34%
4 1983-11-20 58.7 @ Limerick 2 1263 42.52% Dundalk 2 1284 30.10% 27.38%
5 1984-04-15 58.5 @ Waterford 2 1218 35.98% Shelbourne 2 1286 36.65% 27.38%
6 1984-04-20 58.5 @ Waterford 2 1218 37.03% Limerick 2 1279 35.58% 27.39%
7 1983-10-02 58.4 @ Finn Harps 2 1221 44.60% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1226 28.06% 27.34%
8 1983-10-02 58.3 @ Waterford 2 1179 52.32% UC Dublin 2 1118 20.69% 27.00%
9 1983-11-27 58.3 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1138 27.90% Finn Harps 2 1267 44.96% 27.13%
10 1983-12-18 58.3 @ Galway United (old) 2 1128 29.70% Drogheda United 2 1243 43.08% 27.21%
11 1984-02-26 58.3 @ Drogheda United 2 1206 42.27% Shelbourne 2 1229 30.35% 27.38%
12 1984-04-15 56.7 Drogheda United 3 1143 22.57% @ Finn Harps 2 1185 50.31% 27.12%
13 1984-04-15 56.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1502 66.12% Limerick 1 1275 9.06% 24.83%
14 1983-12-11 55.8 @ Shelbourne 3 1266 29.52% Shamrock Rovers 2 1382 43.28% 27.21%
15 1984-02-12 55.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1466 63.52% Dundalk 1 1278 11.00% 25.48%
16 1983-11-06 54.9 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1199 29.77% Athlone Town 2 1313 43.01% 27.22%
17 1984-03-25 54.7 @ Athlone Town 1 1371 44.66% Bohemian 1 1376 28.00% 27.34%
18 1983-12-18 54.0 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1188 15.26% @ Dundalk 1 1310 58.35% 26.39%
19 1983-11-20 53.9 Waterford 2 1199 15.66% @ Bohemian 1 1316 57.89% 26.45%
20 1983-11-06 53.8 Home Farm 2 1010 14.51% @ Galway United (old) 1 1143 59.22% 26.26%
21 1983-11-27 53.7 @ Athlone Town 1 1306 37.25% Shamrock Rovers 1 1366 35.36% 27.39%
22 1983-11-06 53.6 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1348 49.33% Bohemian 1 1314 23.49% 27.18%
23 1984-04-13 53.6 @ Shelbourne 1 1286 32.27% Bohemian 1 1381 40.42% 27.30%
24 1983-10-16 53.4 Finn Harps 2 1220 17.61% @ Dundalk 1 1314 55.68% 26.70%
25 1983-10-30 53.3 Finn Harps 2 1248 18.70% @ Bohemian 1 1329 54.47% 26.82%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-04-08 25.0 @ Athlone Town 3 1355 75.21% Home Farm 0 949 3.75% 21.04%
2 1984-04-01 25.3 @ Bohemian 3 1377 74.22% Sligo Rovers 0 994 4.20% 21.58%
3 1984-03-04 25.9 Shamrock Rovers 5 1459 73.74% @ Home Farm 0 973 5.01% 21.25%
4 1984-03-11 27.5 @ Dundalk 4 1253 65.79% Sligo Rovers 0 1031 9.29% 24.92%
5 1984-03-25 27.7 Shamrock Rovers 2 1492 73.43% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1013 5.17% 21.40%
6 1984-03-28 27.9 Limerick 4 1337 64.58% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1009 10.82% 24.60%
7 1984-01-22 28.2 @ Limerick 2 1315 70.49% Home Farm 0 1011 6.18% 23.33%
8 1984-02-26 28.2 @ Finn Harps 3 1181 64.04% Home Farm 0 985 10.60% 25.36%
9 1983-12-04 28.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1366 66.13% Sligo Rovers 0 1139 9.05% 24.82%
10 1983-11-27 29.3 Bohemian 3 1300 60.73% @ Home Farm 0 1022 13.82% 25.45%
11 1984-03-04 29.3 @ Athlone Town 3 1370 62.80% Finn Harps 0 1192 11.57% 25.63%
12 1984-02-26 29.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1450 68.96% Waterford 0 1175 7.13% 23.92%
13 1984-03-17 29.9 @ Bohemian 1 1374 75.36% Home Farm 0 965 3.69% 20.96%
14 1984-01-22 30.0 Shamrock Rovers 3 1442 61.27% @ Galway United (old) 0 1157 13.38% 25.35%
15 1983-11-20 31.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1364 71.99% Home Farm 0 1030 5.33% 22.68%
16 1984-02-26 31.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1198 59.71% Sligo Rovers 0 1059 14.10% 26.19%
17 1984-01-28 31.6 Drogheda United 4 1193 51.85% @ Home Farm 0 1006 21.49% 26.66%
18 1984-03-25 31.8 @ Shelbourne 5 1261 54.08% Finn Harps 0 1184 19.07% 26.86%
19 1984-02-26 32.2 @ Limerick 2 1325 58.64% UC Dublin 0 1199 15.01% 26.35%
20 1984-01-29 32.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1456 67.33% Finn Harps 1 1209 8.20% 24.46%
21 1984-01-08 32.5 @ Shelbourne 1 1272 66.73% Home Farm 0 1035 8.63% 24.65%
22 1984-04-01 32.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1190 49.61% Drogheda United 0 1154 23.23% 27.16%
23 1984-04-11 32.8 Waterford 2 1205 54.91% @ Sligo Rovers 0 990 18.75% 26.33%
24 1983-09-30 32.9 Shelbourne 5 1242 49.82% @ Home Farm 0 1073 23.35% 26.83%
25 1984-04-17 32.9 Shamrock Rovers 2 1498 61.33% @ UC Dublin 0 1212 13.34% 25.33%