1937-38 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Inter Milan

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Inter Milan

5.99 points above expected

41 points · 35.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fiorentina

10.43 points below expected

15 points · 25.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Inter Milan	30	16	9	5	41	57	28	+29	35.0	+5.99
2	Juventus	30	14	11	5	39	43	22	+21	33.8	+5.23
3	AC Milan	30	13	12	5	38	43	27	+16	32.6	+5.44
4	Genova 1893	30	15	8	7	38	50	35	+15	32.6	+5.40
5	Bologna	30	14	9	7	37	46	34	+12	32.9	+4.12
6	Roma	30	14	8	8	36	44	31	+13	32.0	+3.96
7	Triestina	30	12	12	6	36	35	22	+13	32.0	+3.95
8	Lazio Roma	30	11	10	9	32	48	30	+18	33.0	-1.01
9	Torino	30	12	8	10	32	39	37	+2	32.4	-0.42
10	Napoli	30	8	12	10	28	37	39	-2	27.9	+0.09
11	Sampdoria	30	8	8	14	24	33	42	-9	26.4	-2.41
12	Livorno	30	8	8	14	24	29	45	-16	25.6	-1.55
13	Bari	30	8	7	15	23	35	60	-25	27.0	-4.03
14	Lucchese	30	5	11	14	21	28	55	-27	25.7	-4.74
15	Atalanta	30	4	8	18	16	22	50	-28	25.6	-9.59
16	Fiorentina	30	3	9	18	15	28	60	-32	25.4	-10.43

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Inter Milan	1891	41	35.01	+5.99	96.0%	26	28	32	35	38	41	43
Juventus	1870	39	33.77	+5.23	94.0%	25	27	31	34	36	40	44
Bologna	1849	37	32.88	+4.12	89.0%	23	26	30	33	36	38	40
Genova 1893	1838	38	32.60	+5.40	92.0%	22	26	29	33	35	40	42
AC Milan	1837	38	32.56	+5.44	95.0%	22	27	30	32	35	38	42
Lazio Roma	1825	32	33.01	-1.01	42.0%	24	25	30	33	37	39	43
Roma	1813	36	32.04	+3.96	85.0%	20	24	30	33	34	38	41
Triestina	1812	36	32.05	+3.95	89.0%	24	26	29	32	34	38	42
Torino	1803	32	32.42	-0.42	52.0%	25	26	29	32	35	38	43
Napoli	1750	28	27.91	+0.09	55.0%	19	22	25	27	30	33	38
Livorno	1718	24	25.55	-1.55	41.0%	17	19	22	26	28	32	37
Sampdoria	1705	24	26.41	-2.41	30.0%	16	19	24	27	29	33	40
Bari	1686	23	27.03	-4.03	19.0%	16	19	24	27	30	33	38
Lucchese	1665	21	25.74	-4.74	15.0%	17	19	23	26	28	32	35
Atalanta	1628	16	25.59	-9.59	1.0%	14	19	23	26	28	32	38
Fiorentina	1621	15	25.43	-10.43	2.0%	15	17	23	26	29	32	36

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ATA	BAR	BOL	FIO	G1	IM	JUV	LR	LIV	LUC	NAP	ROM	SAM	TOR	TRI
AC Milan	—	1-1-0 3.62	2-0-0 3.07	0-1-1 2.71	2-0-0 3.71	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.58	0-2-0 2.64	2-0-0 3.20	1-1-0 3.34	1-1-0 3.03	1-0-1 2.79	1-1-0 3.11	0-1-1 2.75	0-2-0 2.75
Atalanta	0-1-1 1.84	—	0-1-1 2.49	0-0-2 2.07	0-1-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.13	0-1-1 1.83	0-0-2 2.27	0-1-1 1.89	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.39	0-0-2 2.16	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 1.89	0-1-1 2.49
Bari	0-0-2 2.38	1-1-0 2.93	—	0-0-2 2.19	1-1-0 2.84	1-0-1 2.26	0-0-2 1.85	0-1-1 1.99	1-0-1 2.03	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.21	0-1-1 2.78	1-1-0 2.28	0-1-1 2.30
Bologna	1-1-0 2.74	2-0-0 3.36	2-0-0 3.26	—	0-1-1 3.23	1-1-0 2.71	1-0-1 2.60	0-2-0 2.62	0-0-2 2.73	1-0-1 3.51	1-1-0 3.44	1-1-0 3.15	2-0-0 2.64	1-1-0 3.20	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.81
Fiorentina	0-0-2 1.75	1-1-0 2.61	0-1-1 2.61	1-1-0 2.25	—	0-0-2 2.03	0-0-2 1.93	0-1-1 1.93	0-1-1 1.90	0-1-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.47	0-0-2 2.41	1-1-0 2.60	0-0-2 1.87	0-1-1 2.17
Genova 1893	0-1-1 2.67	1-1-0 3.30	1-0-1 3.22	0-1-1 2.73	2-0-0 3.40	—	0-2-0 2.53	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.71	2-0-0 3.41	2-0-0 3.34	1-1-0 3.07	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.22	2-0-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.83
Inter Milan	1-0-1 2.96	1-1-0 3.67	2-0-0 3.62	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 3.52	0-2-0 2.90	—	1-0-1 2.67	2-0-0 2.84	1-1-0 3.63	1-1-0 3.27	1-1-0 3.34	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.73	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-1 3.09
Juventus	1-1-0 2.86	2-0-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.47	0-2-0 2.81	1-1-0 3.58	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.76	—	0-2-0 2.89	2-0-0 3.49	1-1-0 3.50	1-1-0 3.44	0-1-1 2.98	1-0-1 3.39	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.91
Lazio Roma	0-2-0 2.79	1-1-0 3.58	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 2.70	1-1-0 3.59	1-0-1 2.74	0-0-2 2.61	0-2-0 2.54	—	1-0-1 3.40	1-1-0 3.25	0-1-1 3.12	0-1-1 2.81	1-0-1 3.37	1-0-1 2.63	1-1-0 2.95
Livorno	0-0-2 2.27	1-1-0 2.73	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 1.96	1-1-0 2.83	0-0-2 2.04	0-1-1 1.82	0-0-2 1.96	1-0-1 2.06	—	1-1-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.49	0-0-2 2.14	0-1-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.12	1-0-1 2.11
Lucchese	0-1-1 2.13	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.01	1-1-0 2.78	0-0-2 2.15	0-1-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.76	—	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 1.98	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.18	1-1-0 1.90
Napoli	0-1-1 2.42	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.94	0-1-1 2.28	2-0-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.39	0-1-1 2.10	0-1-1 2.01	1-1-0 2.33	0-1-1 2.95	1-1-0 2.99	—	0-1-1 2.33	1-1-0 2.86	0-2-0 2.38	1-0-1 2.57
Roma	1-0-1 2.64	2-0-0 3.32	1-0-1 3.23	0-0-2 2.79	2-0-0 3.01	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.52	1-1-0 2.48	1-1-0 2.63	2-0-0 3.32	1-0-1 3.46	1-1-0 3.10	—	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 2.70	0-2-0 2.71
Sampdoria	0-1-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.27	1-0-1 1.75	1-0-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.08	1-1-0 2.83	1-1-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.35	—	0-0-2 2.41	0-0-2 2.31
Torino	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-1 3.57	0-1-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.69	2-0-0 3.59	0-0-2 2.57	0-1-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 3.33	1-1-0 3.26	0-2-0 3.06	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 3.05	—	1-0-1 2.71
Triestina	0-2-0 2.68	1-1-0 3.00	1-1-0 3.14	1-1-0 2.62	1-1-0 3.33	1-1-0 2.60	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 3.37	0-1-1 3.57	1-0-1 2.88	0-2-0 2.71	2-0-0 3.12	1-0-1 2.75	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	7.71%	4.17%	2.92%	1.25%	1.25%	29.79%
1	7.71%	13.75%	8.54%	3.96%	1.04%	0.83%	35.83%
2	4.17%	8.54%	4.17%	1.88%	0.21%	0.42%	19.38%
3	2.92%	3.96%	1.88%	0.83%	0.21%	—	9.79%
4	1.25%	1.04%	0.21%	0.21%	—	—	2.71%
5+	1.25%	0.83%	0.42%	—	—	—	2.50%
Total	29.79%	35.83%	19.38%	9.79%	2.71%	2.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.29
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.021
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	16.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	—	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	40.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	0.84
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.137
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	46.67%
1	3.33%	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	23.33%	23.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Atalanta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.038
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%	36.67%
1	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	30.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	30.00%	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	13.33%	100%

Bari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	2.17
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.038
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	20.00%	26.67%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.184
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	33.33%
1	—	20.00%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	50.00%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	36.67%	23.33%	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.150
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	36.67%	30.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Genova 1893 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.051
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	30.00%	53.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	1.81
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.203
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	43.33%	40.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	0.74
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.086
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
1	—	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	36.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	40.00%	36.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.289
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	50.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Livorno — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	0.85
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.016
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	—	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	46.67%
1	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	20.00%	23.33%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Lucchese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.015
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	20.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	30.00%	30.00%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.032
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	16.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	50.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.227
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	36.67%
1	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	10.00%	—	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	36.67%	16.67%	23.33%	—	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.085
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	30.00%
1	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.134
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	50.00%	30.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Triestina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.076
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Inter Milan	41	35.0	+5.99
2	AC Milan	38	32.6	+5.44
3	Genova 1893	38	32.6	+5.40
4	Juventus	39	33.8	+5.23
5	Bologna	37	32.9	+4.12

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fiorentina	15	25.4	-10.43
2	Atalanta	16	25.6	-9.59
3	Lucchese	21	25.7	-4.74
4	Bari	23	27.0	-4.03
5	Sampdoria	24	26.4	-2.41

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Genova 1893	7	Jan 2 – Feb 13	1 in 2,208
2	Juventus	4	Jan 2 – Jan 23	1 in 28
3	Livorno	3	Feb 6 – Feb 20	1 in 20
4	Inter Milan	3	Nov 14 – Nov 28	1 in 18
5	Triestina	3	Feb 13 – Feb 27	1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fiorentina	5	Jan 30 – Feb 27	1 in 73
2	Atalanta	3	Sep 19 – Oct 3	1 in 62
3	Triestina	2	Apr 17 – Apr 24	1 in 37
4	Genova 1893	2	Feb 20 – Feb 27	1 in 28
5	Juventus	3	Nov 14 – Nov 28	1 in 28

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Triestina	12	Jan 23 – Apr 10	1 in 231
2	Juventus	15	Dec 12 – Mar 27	1 in 96
3	Inter Milan	12	Oct 17 – Jan 23	1 in 57
4	Genova 1893	8	Oct 10 – Dec 12	1 in 54
5	Lazio Roma	9	Sep 12 – Nov 14	1 in 42

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fiorentina	21	Nov 14 – Apr 17	1 in 1,016
2	Atalanta	13	Nov 28 – Mar 6	1 in 64
3	Lucchese	10	Nov 21 – Feb 6	1 in 27
4	Torino	7	Jan 9 – Feb 20	1 in 26
5	Bari	8	Mar 6 – Apr 24	1 in 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Inter Milan	25.00%	21.00%	9.00%	9.00%	14.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Juventus	12.00%	13.00%	13.00%	15.00%	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	—	1.00%
AC Milan	13.00%	11.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	12.00%	14.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	2.00%	1.00%
Genova 1893	7.00%	10.00%	12.00%	11.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	6.00%	3.00%	8.00%	2.00%	6.00%	1.00%	6.00%	—	—
Bologna	7.00%	13.00%	9.00%	13.00%	14.00%	10.00%	4.00%	8.00%	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Roma	4.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	12.00%	12.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Triestina	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	12.00%	10.00%	12.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—
Lazio Roma	16.00%	8.00%	16.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—
Torino	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	6.00%	15.00%	9.00%	11.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—
Napoli	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%	9.00%	11.00%	9.00%	9.00%	8.00%	14.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Sampdoria	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	10.00%	5.00%	12.00%	17.00%	9.00%	7.00%	15.00%	10.00%
Livorno	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	8.00%	11.00%	7.00%	10.00%	10.00%	20.00%	18.00%
Bari	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%	10.00%	8.00%	13.00%	11.00%	10.00%
Lucchese	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	12.00%	21.00%	13.00%	15.00%
Atalanta	—	—	2.00%	—	—	—	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	8.00%	14.00%	18.00%	15.00%	17.00%
Fiorentina	—	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	13.00%	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%	12.00%	21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Genova 1893	100%	—
Inter Milan	100%	—
Lazio Roma	100%	—
Torino	100%	—
Triestina	100%	—
Juventus	99.0%	1.0%
AC Milan	97.0%	3.0%
Bologna	97.0%	3.0%
Roma	96.0%	4.0%
Napoli	88.0%	12.0%
Bari	79.0%	21.0%
Sampdoria	75.0%	25.0%
Lucchese	72.0%	28.0%
Atalanta	68.0%	32.0%
Fiorentina	67.0%	33.0%
Livorno	62.0%	38.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1937-09-12	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1783	1729	61.3%	26.7%	12.0%	+3.5	3
1937-09-12	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1729	1783	12.0%	26.7%	61.3%	-3.5	0
1937-09-12	Torino	D 0-0	1735	1807	48.8%	29.4%	21.8%	-1.5	1
1937-09-12	@ Bari	D 0-0	1807	1735	21.8%	29.4%	48.8%	+1.5	1
1937-09-12	Napoli	W 3-2	1804	1742	61.9%	26.5%	11.6%	+3.2	3
1937-09-12	@ Bologna	L 2-3	1742	1804	11.6%	26.5%	61.9%	-3.2	0
1937-09-12	Atalanta	D 0-0	1778	1768	57.3%	28.0%	14.8%	-2.5	1
1937-09-12	@ Genova 1893	D 0-0	1768	1778	14.8%	28.0%	57.3%	+2.5	1
1937-09-12	Livorno	W 2-0	1811	1738	62.8%	26.2%	11.0%	+6.4	3
1937-09-12	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1738	1811	11.0%	26.2%	62.8%	-6.4	0
1937-09-12	Inter Milan	D 3-3	1749	1799	51.3%	29.1%	19.6%	-1.0	1
1937-09-12	@ Lucchese	D 3-3	1799	1749	19.6%	29.1%	51.3%	+1.0	1
1937-09-12	Fiorentina	W 4-0	1758	1762	56.0%	28.3%	15.7%	+16.9	3
1937-09-12	@ Roma	L 0-4	1762	1758	15.7%	28.3%	56.0%	-16.9	0
1937-09-12	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1748	1800	51.1%	29.1%	19.7%	-1.8	1
1937-09-12	@ Triestina	D 0-0	1800	1748	19.7%	29.1%	51.1%	+1.8	1
1937-09-19	Juventus	L 0-1	1771	1817	51.7%	29.1%	19.2%	-12.0	1
1937-09-19	@ Atalanta	W 1-0	1817	1771	19.2%	29.1%	51.7%	+12.0	6
1937-09-19	AC Milan	L 2-3	1733	1787	50.9%	29.2%	20.0%	-10.6	1
1937-09-19	@ Bari	W 3-2	1787	1733	20.0%	29.2%	50.9%	+10.6	6
1937-09-19	Bologna	W 2-1	1745	1807	49.9%	29.3%	20.8%	+5.7	3
1937-09-19	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1807	1745	20.8%	29.3%	49.9%	-5.7	3
1937-09-19	Livorno	W 3-1	1800	1732	62.5%	26.3%	11.2%	+5.6	4
1937-09-19	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1732	1800	11.2%	26.3%	62.5%	-5.6	0
1937-09-19	Genova 1893	W 2-1	1802	1775	58.8%	27.6%	13.6%	+3.9	4
1937-09-19	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1775	1802	13.6%	27.6%	58.8%	-3.9	1
1937-09-19	Triestina	W 3-0	1739	1747	55.6%	28.4%	16.0%	+13.2	3
1937-09-19	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1747	1739	16.0%	28.4%	55.6%	-13.2	1
1937-09-19	Roma	D 1-1	1725	1775	51.3%	29.1%	19.5%	-1.6	1
1937-09-19	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1775	1725	19.5%	29.1%	51.3%	+1.6	4
1937-09-19	Lucchese	W 3-2	1809	1748	61.8%	26.6%	11.7%	+3.2	4
1937-09-19	@ Torino	L 2-3	1748	1809	11.7%	26.6%	61.8%	-3.2	1
1937-09-26	Torino	L 0-1	1797	1812	55.0%	28.5%	16.5%	-12.7	6
1937-09-26	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1812	1797	16.5%	28.5%	55.0%	+12.7	7
1937-09-26	Atalanta	W 2-1	1801	1759	60.3%	27.1%	12.6%	+3.7	6
1937-09-26	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1759	1801	12.6%	27.1%	60.3%	-3.7	1
1937-09-26	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1771	1750	58.3%	27.7%	14.0%	+4.3	4
1937-09-26	@ Genova 1893	L 0-1	1750	1771	14.0%	27.7%	58.3%	-4.3	3
1937-09-26	Bari	W 3-1	1829	1723	65.6%	24.9%	9.5%	+4.7	9
1937-09-26	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1723	1829	9.5%	24.9%	65.6%	-4.7	1
1937-09-26	Sampdoria	L 2-3	1726	1724	56.6%	28.2%	15.2%	-11.7	0
1937-09-26	@ Livorno	W 3-2	1724	1726	15.2%	28.2%	56.6%	+11.7	4
1937-09-26	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1745	1805	50.1%	29.2%	20.6%	-1.7	2
1937-09-26	@ Lucchese	D 0-0	1805	1745	20.6%	29.2%	50.1%	+1.7	5
1937-09-26	Napoli	W 2-1	1776	1752	58.6%	27.6%	13.8%	+4.0	7
1937-09-26	@ Roma	L 1-2	1752	1776	13.8%	27.6%	58.6%	-4.0	3
1937-09-26	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1733	1806	48.8%	29.4%	21.8%	-1.4	2
1937-09-26	@ Triestina	D 1-1	1806	1733	21.8%	29.4%	48.8%	+1.4	5
1937-10-03	Triestina	L 0-3	1755	1732	58.5%	27.7%	13.9%	-36.8	1
1937-10-03	@ Atalanta	W 3-0	1732	1755	13.9%	27.7%	58.5%	+36.8	5
1937-10-03	Genova 1893	W 2-0	1718	1776	50.4%	29.2%	20.3%	+11.1	4
1937-10-03	@ Bari	L 0-2	1776	1718	20.3%	29.2%	50.4%	-11.1	4
1937-10-03	Fiorentina	W 5-1	1807	1746	61.9%	26.5%	11.6%	+10.6	8
1937-10-03	@ Inter Milan	L 1-5	1746	1807	11.6%	26.5%	61.9%	-10.6	3
1937-10-03	Roma	D 1-1	1807	1780	58.9%	27.5%	13.6%	-2.4	6
1937-10-03	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1780	1807	13.6%	27.5%	58.9%	+2.4	8
1937-10-03	Livorno	D 1-1	1743	1715	59.0%	27.5%	13.5%	-2.4	3
1937-10-03	@ Lucchese	D 1-1	1715	1743	13.5%	27.5%	59.0%	+2.4	1
1937-10-03	AC Milan	D 1-1	1748	1785	52.7%	28.9%	18.4%	-1.8	4
1937-10-03	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1785	1748	18.4%	28.9%	52.7%	+1.8	7
1937-10-03	Bologna	D 0-0	1736	1805	49.1%	29.3%	21.5%	-1.5	5
1937-10-03	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1805	1736	21.5%	29.3%	49.1%	+1.5	7
1937-10-03	Juventus	D 1-1	1824	1834	55.5%	28.4%	16.1%	-2.1	8
1937-10-03	@ Torino	D 1-1	1834	1824	16.1%	28.4%	55.5%	+2.1	10
1937-10-10	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1786	1805	54.6%	28.6%	16.8%	-1.5	8
1937-10-10	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1805	1786	16.8%	28.6%	54.6%	+1.5	7
1937-10-10	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1807	1818	55.3%	28.4%	16.3%	+4.9	10
1937-10-10	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1818	1807	16.3%	28.4%	55.3%	-4.9	8
1937-10-10	Bari	D 1-1	1735	1729	57.0%	28.1%	15.0%	-2.2	4
1937-10-10	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1729	1735	15.0%	28.1%	57.0%	+2.2	5
1937-10-10	Torino	W 2-1	1764	1822	50.4%	29.2%	20.4%	+5.6	7
1937-10-10	@ Genova 1893	L 1-2	1822	1764	20.4%	29.2%	50.4%	-5.6	8
1937-10-10	Napoli	W 2-1	1836	1746	64.2%	25.6%	10.2%	+2.9	13
1937-10-10	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1746	1836	10.2%	25.6%	64.2%	-2.9	4
1937-10-10	Atalanta	D 1-1	1717	1718	56.2%	28.2%	15.5%	-2.1	2
1937-10-10	@ Livorno	D 1-1	1718	1717	15.5%	28.2%	56.2%	+2.1	2
1937-10-10	Lucchese	W 5-0	1783	1741	60.2%	27.1%	12.7%	+17.1	11
1937-10-10	@ Roma	L 0-5	1741	1783	12.7%	27.1%	60.2%	-17.1	3
1937-10-10	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1769	1734	59.6%	27.3%	13.1%	+4.0	8
1937-10-10	@ Triestina	L 0-1	1734	1769	13.1%	27.3%	59.6%	-4.0	5
1937-10-17	Roma	L 0-2	1720	1800	48.0%	29.4%	22.6%	-21.3	2
1937-10-17	@ Atalanta	W 2-0	1800	1720	22.6%	29.4%	48.0%	+21.3	14
1937-10-17	Livorno	D 1-1	1731	1715	57.9%	27.8%	14.3%	-2.3	6
1937-10-17	@ Bari	D 1-1	1715	1731	14.3%	27.8%	57.9%	+2.3	3
1937-10-17	AC Milan	W 2-1	1813	1785	58.9%	27.5%	13.6%	+3.9	11
1937-10-17	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1785	1813	13.6%	27.5%	58.9%	-3.9	8
1937-10-17	Bologna	W 2-0	1806	1811	55.9%	28.3%	15.8%	+9.0	10
1937-10-17	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1811	1806	15.8%	28.3%	55.9%	-9.0	10
1937-10-17	Juventus	D 0-0	1724	1839	43.7%	29.6%	26.7%	-0.9	4
1937-10-17	@ Lucchese	D 0-0	1839	1724	26.7%	29.6%	43.7%	+0.9	14
1937-10-17	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1743	1733	57.3%	28.0%	14.7%	+12.2	7
1937-10-17	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1733	1743	14.7%	28.0%	57.3%	-12.2	4
1937-10-17	Genova 1893	L 0-1	1730	1770	52.3%	29.0%	18.7%	-12.2	5
1937-10-17	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1770	1730	18.7%	29.0%	52.3%	+12.2	10
1937-10-17	Triestina	W 1-0	1817	1773	60.4%	27.1%	12.6%	+3.9	11
1937-10-17	@ Torino	L 0-1	1773	1817	12.6%	27.1%	60.4%	-3.9	8
1937-10-24	Lucchese	W 1-0	1699	1723	54.0%	28.7%	17.3%	+5.2	5
1937-10-24	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1723	1699	17.3%	28.7%	54.0%	-5.2	4
1937-10-24	Roma	W 2-0	1802	1821	54.5%	28.6%	16.9%	+9.5	13
1937-10-24	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1821	1802	16.9%	28.6%	54.5%	-9.5	14
1937-10-24	Juventus	D 1-1	1721	1840	43.2%	29.6%	27.2%	-0.8	5
1937-10-24	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1840	1721	27.2%	29.6%	43.2%	+0.8	15
1937-10-24	Triestina	D 2-2	1782	1769	57.6%	27.9%	14.5%	-1.7	11
1937-10-24	@ Genova 1893	D 2-2	1769	1782	14.5%	27.9%	57.6%	+1.7	9
1937-10-24	Napoli	W 2-1	1817	1756	61.9%	26.5%	11.6%	+3.4	14
1937-10-24	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1756	1817	11.6%	26.5%	61.9%	-3.4	7
1937-10-24	Bari	W 3-1	1815	1729	64.0%	25.7%	10.4%	+5.2	13
1937-10-24	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-3	1729	1815	10.4%	25.7%	64.0%	-5.2	6
1937-10-24	AC Milan	L 1-2	1717	1781	49.8%	29.3%	20.9%	-11.0	3
1937-10-24	@ Livorno	W 2-1	1781	1717	20.9%	29.3%	49.8%	+11.0	11
1937-10-24	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1821	1718	65.3%	25.1%	9.6%	+8.0	14
1937-10-24	@ Torino	L 0-3	1718	1821	9.6%	25.1%	65.3%	-8.0	5
1937-11-07	Atalanta	W 3-0	1792	1704	64.1%	25.6%	10.3%	+8.6	14
1937-11-07	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1704	1792	10.3%	25.6%	64.1%	-8.6	5
1937-11-07	Lucchese	W 3-0	1812	1718	64.6%	25.4%	10.0%	+8.3	16
1937-11-07	@ Bologna	L 0-3	1718	1812	10.0%	25.4%	64.6%	-8.4	4
1937-11-07	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1720	1710	57.3%	28.0%	14.7%	+7.3	8
1937-11-07	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1710	1720	14.7%	28.0%	57.3%	-7.3	5
1937-11-07	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1781	1820	52.4%	29.0%	18.6%	-1.7	12
1937-11-07	@ Genova 1893	D 1-1	1820	1781	18.6%	29.0%	52.4%	+1.7	15
1937-11-07	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1840	1820	58.2%	27.7%	14.0%	-2.4	16
1937-11-07	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1820	1840	14.0%	27.7%	58.2%	+2.4	14
1937-11-07	Napoli	W 1-0	1706	1752	51.7%	29.1%	19.2%	+5.6	6
1937-11-07	@ Livorno	L 0-1	1752	1706	19.2%	29.1%	51.7%	-5.6	7
1937-11-07	Torino	W 2-1	1812	1829	54.7%	28.6%	16.7%	+4.7	17
1937-11-07	@ Roma	L 1-2	1829	1812	16.7%	28.6%	54.7%	-4.7	14
1937-11-07	Bari	W 6-0	1771	1724	60.7%	27.0%	12.4%	+19.9	12
1937-11-07	@ Triestina	L 0-6	1724	1771	12.4%	27.0%	60.7%	-19.9	6
1937-11-14	Roma	W 2-0	1704	1816	44.0%	29.6%	26.4%	+13.6	9
1937-11-14	@ Bari	L 0-2	1816	1704	26.4%	29.6%	44.0%	-13.5	17
1937-11-14	Juventus	W 2-1	1822	1838	54.8%	28.6%	16.7%	+4.7	18
1937-11-14	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1838	1822	16.7%	28.6%	54.8%	-4.7	16
1937-11-14	Livorno	W 3-0	1823	1712	66.0%	24.8%	9.3%	+7.7	17
1937-11-14	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1712	1823	9.3%	24.8%	66.0%	-7.7	6
1937-11-14	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1709	1727	54.6%	28.6%	16.8%	+4.7	7
1937-11-14	@ Lucchese	L 1-2	1727	1709	16.8%	28.6%	54.6%	-4.7	8
1937-11-14	Genova 1893	D 2-2	1747	1779	53.1%	28.8%	18.0%	-1.3	8
1937-11-14	@ Napoli	D 2-2	1779	1747	18.0%	28.8%	53.1%	+1.4	13
1937-11-14	Atalanta	W 2-1	1703	1696	57.0%	28.1%	14.9%	+4.3	8
1937-11-14	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1696	1703	14.9%	28.1%	57.0%	-4.3	5
1937-11-14	Bologna	W 3-1	1824	1820	56.7%	28.1%	15.2%	+7.5	17
1937-11-14	@ Torino	L 1-3	1820	1824	15.2%	28.1%	56.7%	-7.5	16
1937-11-14	AC Milan	D 0-0	1791	1801	55.4%	28.4%	16.2%	-2.3	13
1937-11-14	@ Triestina	D 0-0	1801	1791	16.2%	28.4%	55.4%	+2.3	15
1937-11-21	Roma	W 1-0	1803	1803	56.4%	28.2%	15.4%	+4.7	18
1937-11-21	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1803	1803	15.4%	28.2%	56.4%	-4.7	17
1937-11-21	Napoli	W 2-0	1691	1745	50.9%	29.2%	20.0%	+10.9	8
1937-11-21	@ Atalanta	L 0-2	1745	1691	20.0%	29.2%	50.9%	-11.0	8
1937-11-21	Bari	W 4-1	1813	1717	64.7%	25.3%	10.0%	+7.0	19
1937-11-21	@ Bologna	L 1-4	1717	1813	10.0%	25.3%	64.7%	-7.0	9
1937-11-21	Triestina	D 2-2	1723	1788	49.6%	29.3%	21.1%	-1.1	9
1937-11-21	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1788	1723	21.1%	29.3%	49.6%	+1.1	14
1937-11-21	Genova 1893	L 1-2	1833	1780	61.2%	26.8%	12.0%	-13.2	16
1937-11-21	@ Juventus	W 2-1	1780	1833	12.0%	26.8%	61.2%	+13.2	16
1937-11-21	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1830	1826	56.8%	28.1%	15.1%	-21.4	17
1937-11-21	@ Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1826	1830	15.1%	28.1%	56.8%	+21.4	21
1937-11-21	Torino	D 1-1	1704	1831	42.2%	29.6%	28.2%	-0.7	7
1937-11-21	@ Livorno	D 1-1	1831	1704	28.2%	29.6%	42.2%	+0.7	18
1937-11-21	Lucchese	W 2-1	1707	1714	55.6%	28.4%	16.0%	+4.5	11
1937-11-21	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1714	1707	16.0%	28.4%	55.6%	-4.5	7
1937-11-28	Atalanta	W 2-1	1710	1702	57.1%	28.0%	14.8%	+4.2	12
1937-11-28	@ Bari	L 1-2	1702	1710	14.8%	28.0%	57.1%	-4.2	8
1937-11-28	Livorno	W 4-1	1793	1704	64.3%	25.5%	10.2%	+7.2	19
1937-11-28	@ Genova 1893	L 1-4	1704	1793	10.2%	25.5%	64.3%	-7.2	7
1937-11-28	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1848	1711	68.0%	23.7%	8.3%	+2.3	24
1937-11-28	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1711	1848	8.3%	23.7%	68.0%	-2.3	11
1937-11-28	AC Milan	D 1-1	1710	1808	45.8%	29.5%	24.6%	-1.0	8
1937-11-28	@ Lucchese	D 1-1	1808	1710	24.6%	29.5%	45.8%	+1.0	19
1937-11-28	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1734	1809	48.5%	29.4%	22.1%	+6.3	11
1937-11-28	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1809	1734	22.1%	29.4%	48.5%	-6.3	17
1937-11-28	Juventus	W 2-1	1798	1820	54.2%	28.7%	17.1%	+4.8	20
1937-11-28	@ Roma	L 1-2	1820	1798	17.1%	28.7%	54.2%	-4.8	16
1937-11-28	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1832	1722	65.9%	24.8%	9.3%	+5.3	21
1937-11-28	@ Torino	L 0-2	1722	1832	9.3%	24.8%	65.9%	-5.3	9
1937-11-28	Bologna	W 3-1	1789	1820	53.3%	28.8%	17.8%	+8.6	17
1937-11-28	@ Triestina	L 1-3	1820	1789	17.8%	28.8%	53.3%	-8.6	19
1937-12-12	Fiorentina	W 3-1	1809	1716	64.5%	25.4%	10.1%	+5.0	22
1937-12-12	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1716	1809	10.1%	25.4%	64.5%	-5.0	9
1937-12-12	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1698	1850	38.9%	29.5%	31.6%	-0.3	9
1937-12-12	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1850	1698	31.6%	29.5%	38.9%	+0.4	25
1937-12-12	Genova 1893	D 2-2	1811	1801	57.4%	28.0%	14.7%	-1.7	20
1937-12-12	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1801	1811	14.7%	28.0%	57.4%	+1.7	20
1937-12-12	Triestina	W 2-0	1815	1798	58.0%	27.8%	14.2%	+8.2	19
1937-12-12	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1798	1815	14.2%	27.8%	58.0%	-8.2	17
1937-12-12	Torino	W 6-0	1803	1837	52.9%	28.9%	18.2%	+28.2	20
1937-12-12	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-6	1837	1803	18.2%	28.9%	52.9%	-28.2	21
1937-12-12	Roma	L 0-2	1696	1803	44.7%	29.6%	25.7%	-20.0	7
1937-12-12	@ Livorno	W 2-0	1803	1696	25.7%	29.6%	44.7%	+20.0	23
1937-12-12	Napoli	D 2-2	1709	1741	53.2%	28.8%	18.0%	-1.4	9
1937-12-12	@ Lucchese	D 2-2	1741	1709	18.0%	28.8%	53.2%	+1.4	12
1937-12-12	Bari	W 5-0	1709	1715	55.8%	28.3%	15.8%	+21.1	14
1937-12-12	@ Sampdoria	L 0-5	1715	1709	15.8%	28.3%	55.8%	-21.1	12
1937-12-19	Lucchese	W 2-1	1694	1707	55.0%	28.5%	16.5%	+4.7	15
1937-12-19	@ Bari	L 1-2	1707	1694	16.5%	28.5%	55.0%	-4.7	9
1937-12-19	Livorno	L 1-2	1711	1676	59.6%	27.3%	13.1%	-12.9	9
1937-12-19	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1676	1711	13.1%	27.3%	59.6%	+12.9	10
1937-12-19	AC Milan	L 0-1	1802	1814	55.2%	28.5%	16.3%	-12.8	20
1937-12-19	@ Genova 1893	W 1-0	1814	1802	16.3%	28.5%	55.2%	+12.8	25
1937-12-19	Torino	W 1-0	1850	1809	60.1%	27.1%	12.7%	+3.9	28
1937-12-19	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1809	1850	12.7%	27.1%	60.1%	-3.9	21
1937-12-19	Bologna	D 0-0	1824	1809	57.7%	27.9%	14.4%	-2.6	20
1937-12-19	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1809	1824	14.4%	27.9%	57.7%	+2.6	21
1937-12-19	Atalanta	W 4-0	1831	1698	67.7%	23.9%	8.4%	+9.0	23
1937-12-19	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-4	1698	1831	8.4%	23.9%	67.7%	-9.0	9
1937-12-19	Sampdoria	W 3-2	1742	1730	57.5%	27.9%	14.6%	+4.0	15
1937-12-19	@ Napoli	L 2-3	1730	1742	14.6%	27.9%	57.5%	-4.0	14
1937-12-19	Roma	D 0-0	1790	1823	53.0%	28.9%	18.1%	-2.0	18
1937-12-19	@ Triestina	D 0-0	1823	1790	18.1%	28.9%	53.0%	+2.0	24
1938-01-02	Bologna	L 0-1	1826	1812	57.7%	27.9%	14.4%	-13.3	25
1938-01-02	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1812	1826	14.4%	27.9%	57.7%	+13.3	24
1938-01-02	Napoli	W 3-1	1698	1746	51.5%	29.1%	19.4%	+9.2	18
1938-01-02	@ Bari	L 1-3	1746	1698	19.4%	29.1%	51.5%	-9.2	15
1938-01-02	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1698	1840	40.3%	29.5%	30.1%	-0.5	10
1938-01-02	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1840	1698	30.1%	29.5%	40.3%	+0.5	24
1938-01-02	Triestina	L 0-1	1689	1788	45.7%	29.5%	24.7%	-10.8	10
1938-01-02	@ Livorno	W 1-0	1788	1689	24.7%	29.5%	45.7%	+10.8	21
1938-01-02	Genova 1893	L 0-4	1703	1789	47.1%	29.5%	23.4%	-39.8	9
1938-01-02	@ Lucchese	W 4-0	1789	1703	23.4%	29.5%	47.1%	+39.8	23
1938-01-02	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1825	1854	53.5%	28.8%	17.7%	-1.8	25
1938-01-02	@ Roma	D 1-1	1854	1825	17.7%	28.8%	53.5%	+1.9	29
1938-01-02	Juventus	L 1-3	1726	1821	46.2%	29.5%	24.3%	-17.8	14
1938-01-02	@ Sampdoria	W 3-1	1821	1726	24.3%	29.5%	46.2%	+17.8	23
1938-01-02	Atalanta	W 2-1	1805	1689	66.4%	24.5%	9.1%	+2.6	24
1938-01-02	@ Torino	L 1-2	1689	1805	9.1%	24.5%	66.4%	-2.6	9
1938-01-09	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1686	1698	55.2%	28.5%	16.3%	-2.0	10
1938-01-09	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1698	1686	16.3%	28.5%	55.2%	+2.0	11
1938-01-09	Livorno	W 5-1	1825	1678	68.8%	23.3%	8.0%	+7.0	27
1938-01-09	@ Bologna	L 1-5	1678	1825	8.0%	23.3%	68.8%	-7.0	10
1938-01-09	Bari	W 9-2	1856	1707	68.9%	23.2%	7.9%	+9.6	32
1938-01-09	@ Inter Milan	L 2-9	1707	1856	7.9%	23.2%	68.9%	-9.6	18
1938-01-09	AC Milan	W 2-0	1839	1813	58.8%	27.6%	13.7%	+7.9	26
1938-01-09	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1813	1839	13.7%	27.6%	58.8%	-7.9	25
1938-01-09	Torino	D 1-1	1737	1808	48.9%	29.4%	21.7%	-1.4	16
1938-01-09	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1808	1737	21.7%	29.4%	48.9%	+1.4	25
1938-01-09	Genova 1893	L 1-3	1823	1829	55.8%	28.3%	15.9%	-21.0	25
1938-01-09	@ Roma	W 3-1	1829	1823	15.9%	28.3%	55.8%	+21.0	26
1938-01-09	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1708	1840	41.5%	29.6%	28.9%	+7.2	17
1938-01-09	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1840	1708	28.9%	29.6%	41.5%	-7.2	24
1938-01-09	Lucchese	D 0-0	1799	1663	67.9%	23.8%	8.3%	-3.7	22
1938-01-09	@ Triestina	D 0-0	1663	1799	8.3%	23.8%	67.9%	+3.7	10
1938-01-16	Genova 1893	L 3-4	1684	1850	37.0%	29.4%	33.6%	-8.0	10
1938-01-16	@ Atalanta	W 4-3	1850	1684	33.6%	29.4%	37.0%	+8.0	29
1938-01-16	Roma	L 1-4	1700	1802	45.3%	29.6%	25.1%	-24.8	11
1938-01-16	@ Fiorentina	W 4-1	1802	1700	25.1%	29.6%	45.3%	+24.8	28
1938-01-16	Lucchese	W 4-0	1866	1667	72.6%	21.0%	6.4%	+6.5	35
1938-01-16	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1667	1866	6.4%	21.0%	72.6%	-6.5	10
1938-01-16	Triestina	W 2-1	1833	1795	59.9%	27.2%	12.9%	+3.7	27
1938-01-16	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1795	1833	12.9%	27.2%	59.9%	-3.7	22
1938-01-16	Juventus	L 0-1	1671	1847	35.8%	29.3%	34.9%	-8.9	10
1938-01-16	@ Livorno	W 1-0	1847	1671	34.9%	29.3%	35.8%	+8.9	29
1938-01-16	Bologna	D 1-1	1735	1832	45.9%	29.5%	24.5%	-1.0	17
1938-01-16	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1832	1735	24.5%	29.5%	45.9%	+1.0	28
1938-01-16	AC Milan	D 1-1	1715	1805	46.8%	29.5%	23.7%	-1.1	18
1938-01-16	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1805	1715	23.7%	29.5%	46.8%	+1.1	26
1938-01-16	Bari	L 2-4	1809	1698	66.0%	24.7%	9.3%	-21.7	25
1938-01-16	@ Torino	W 4-2	1698	1809	9.3%	24.7%	66.0%	+21.7	21
1938-01-23	Bari	W 5-1	1806	1720	64.0%	25.6%	10.3%	+9.4	29
1938-01-23	@ AC Milan	L 1-5	1720	1806	10.3%	25.6%	64.0%	-9.4	21
1938-01-23	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1833	1675	69.6%	22.8%	7.6%	-3.8	29
1938-01-23	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1675	1833	7.6%	22.8%	69.6%	+3.8	12
1938-01-23	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1858	1837	58.4%	27.7%	14.0%	+4.0	32
1938-01-23	@ Genova 1893	L 1-2	1837	1858	14.0%	27.7%	58.4%	-4.0	27
1938-01-23	Atalanta	W 5-0	1856	1676	71.2%	21.9%	6.9%	+8.8	32
1938-01-23	@ Juventus	L 0-5	1676	1856	6.9%	21.9%	71.2%	-8.8	10
1938-01-23	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1662	1872	31.2%	28.8%	40.0%	+0.5	11
1938-01-23	@ Livorno	D 0-0	1872	1662	40.0%	28.8%	31.2%	-0.5	36
1938-01-23	Torino	D 2-2	1660	1788	42.1%	29.6%	28.3%	-0.5	11
1938-01-23	@ Lucchese	D 2-2	1788	1660	28.3%	29.6%	42.1%	+0.5	26
1938-01-23	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1827	1714	66.1%	24.7%	9.2%	+2.8	31
1938-01-23	@ Roma	L 0-1	1714	1827	9.2%	24.7%	66.1%	-2.8	18
1938-01-23	Napoli	W 3-0	1791	1734	61.5%	26.7%	11.8%	+9.9	25
1938-01-23	@ Triestina	L 0-3	1734	1791	11.8%	26.7%	61.5%	-9.9	17
1938-01-30	Bologna	L 1-2	1667	1830	37.5%	29.4%	33.1%	-8.7	10
1938-01-30	@ Atalanta	W 2-1	1830	1667	33.1%	29.4%	37.5%	+8.7	32
1938-01-30	Juventus	D 0-0	1710	1864	38.6%	29.5%	31.9%	-0.4	22
1938-01-30	@ Bari	D 0-0	1864	1710	31.9%	29.5%	38.6%	+0.3	33
1938-01-30	Genova 1893	L 1-2	1679	1862	34.7%	29.2%	36.1%	-8.2	12
1938-01-30	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1862	1679	36.1%	29.2%	34.7%	+8.2	35
1938-01-30	Triestina	L 1-2	1872	1801	62.7%	26.2%	11.1%	-13.5	36
1938-01-30	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1801	1872	11.1%	26.2%	62.7%	+13.5	28
1938-01-30	Lucchese	W 3-0	1833	1660	70.7%	22.2%	7.1%	+5.6	30
1938-01-30	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1660	1833	7.1%	22.2%	70.7%	-5.6	11
1938-01-30	Roma	D 2-2	1724	1830	44.9%	29.6%	25.5%	-0.7	18
1938-01-30	@ Napoli	D 2-2	1830	1724	25.5%	29.6%	44.9%	+0.7	32
1938-01-30	Livorno	D 1-1	1712	1663	60.8%	26.9%	12.3%	-2.6	19
1938-01-30	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1663	1712	12.3%	26.9%	60.8%	+2.6	12
1938-01-30	AC Milan	D 0-0	1788	1816	53.6%	28.8%	17.6%	-2.1	27
1938-01-30	@ Torino	D 0-0	1816	1788	17.6%	28.8%	53.6%	+2.1	30
1938-02-06	Napoli	W 3-1	1818	1724	64.6%	25.4%	10.0%	+5.0	33
1938-02-06	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1724	1818	10.0%	25.4%	64.6%	-5.0	18
1938-02-06	Sampdoria	W 3-2	1838	1709	67.4%	24.0%	8.6%	+2.3	35
1938-02-06	@ Bologna	L 2-3	1709	1838	8.6%	24.0%	67.4%	-2.3	19
1938-02-06	Inter Milan	L 0-3	1671	1858	34.1%	29.1%	36.8%	-23.5	12
1938-02-06	@ Fiorentina	W 3-0	1858	1671	36.8%	29.1%	34.1%	+23.5	39
1938-02-06	Bari	W 4-1	1870	1710	69.8%	22.7%	7.5%	+5.1	38
1938-02-06	@ Genova 1893	L 1-4	1710	1870	7.5%	22.7%	69.8%	-5.1	22
1938-02-06	Torino	W 3-0	1865	1786	63.3%	25.9%	10.7%	+9.0	36
1938-02-06	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1786	1865	10.7%	25.9%	63.3%	-9.0	27
1938-02-06	Lucchese	W 2-1	1666	1654	57.5%	27.9%	14.6%	+4.2	15
1938-02-06	@ Livorno	L 1-2	1654	1666	14.6%	27.9%	57.5%	-4.2	11
1938-02-06	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1830	1839	55.6%	28.4%	16.0%	+4.5	35
1938-02-06	@ Roma	L 1-2	1839	1830	16.0%	28.4%	55.6%	-4.5	30
1938-02-06	Atalanta	D 0-0	1815	1659	69.5%	22.9%	7.6%	-3.8	29
1938-02-06	@ Triestina	D 0-0	1659	1815	7.6%	22.9%	69.5%	+3.8	11
1938-02-13	Livorno	L 1-3	1662	1670	55.6%	28.4%	16.0%	-21.0	11
1938-02-13	@ Atalanta	W 3-1	1670	1662	16.0%	28.4%	55.6%	+21.0	18
1938-02-13	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1705	1647	61.6%	26.6%	11.8%	+3.6	25
1938-02-13	@ Bari	L 0-1	1647	1705	11.8%	26.6%	61.6%	-3.6	12
1938-02-13	Bologna	W 2-0	1882	1841	60.2%	27.1%	12.7%	+7.4	42
1938-02-13	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1841	1882	12.7%	27.1%	60.2%	-7.3	35
1938-02-13	AC Milan	D 1-1	1834	1823	57.4%	28.0%	14.6%	-2.3	31
1938-02-13	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1823	1834	14.6%	28.0%	57.4%	+2.3	34
1938-02-13	Roma	W 2-0	1650	1835	34.4%	29.1%	36.4%	+17.0	14
1938-02-13	@ Lucchese	L 0-2	1835	1650	36.4%	29.1%	34.4%	-17.0	35
1938-02-13	Juventus	D 1-1	1719	1874	38.5%	29.5%	32.0%	-0.3	19
1938-02-13	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1874	1719	32.0%	29.5%	38.5%	+0.3	37
1938-02-13	Triestina	L 1-2	1707	1811	45.1%	29.6%	25.4%	-10.1	19
1938-02-13	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1811	1707	25.4%	29.6%	45.1%	+10.1	32
1938-02-13	Genova 1893	L 0-1	1777	1876	45.7%	29.5%	24.7%	-10.8	27
1938-02-13	@ Torino	W 1-0	1876	1777	24.7%	29.5%	45.7%	+10.8	41
1938-02-20	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1825	1889	49.7%	29.3%	21.0%	+6.0	37
1938-02-20	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1889	1825	21.0%	29.3%	49.7%	-6.0	42
1938-02-20	Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1833	1832	56.5%	28.2%	15.3%	-24.6	35
1938-02-20	@ Bologna	W 2-0	1832	1833	15.3%	28.2%	56.5%	+24.6	34
1938-02-20	Napoli	L 1-3	1644	1718	48.5%	29.4%	22.1%	-18.6	12
1938-02-20	@ Fiorentina	W 3-1	1718	1644	22.1%	29.4%	48.5%	+18.6	22
1938-02-20	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1886	1697	71.9%	21.4%	6.6%	-29.7	41
1938-02-20	@ Genova 1893	W 2-0	1697	1886	6.6%	21.4%	71.9%	+29.7	22
1938-02-20	Lucchese	W 1-0	1874	1667	73.2%	20.6%	6.2%	+1.7	40
1938-02-20	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1667	1874	6.2%	20.6%	73.2%	-1.7	14
1938-02-20	Bari	W 1-0	1691	1708	54.6%	28.6%	16.8%	+5.0	21
1938-02-20	@ Livorno	L 0-1	1708	1691	16.8%	28.6%	54.6%	-5.0	25
1938-02-20	Atalanta	W 2-1	1818	1641	71.0%	22.0%	7.0%	+1.9	38
1938-02-20	@ Roma	L 1-2	1641	1818	7.0%	22.0%	71.0%	-1.9	11
1938-02-20	Torino	W 1-0	1821	1766	61.3%	26.7%	11.9%	+3.7	35
1938-02-20	@ Triestina	L 0-1	1766	1821	11.9%	26.7%	61.3%	-3.7	27
1938-02-27	Livorno	W 1-0	1831	1696	67.9%	23.8%	8.3%	+2.5	40
1938-02-27	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1696	1831	8.3%	23.8%	67.9%	-2.5	21
1938-02-27	Lazio Roma	W 5-1	1703	1856	38.8%	29.5%	31.7%	+24.4	28
1938-02-27	@ Bari	L 1-5	1856	1703	31.7%	29.5%	38.8%	-24.4	34
1938-02-27	Fiorentina	W 5-2	1876	1625	76.2%	18.6%	5.1%	+2.8	43
1938-02-27	@ Juventus	L 2-5	1625	1876	5.1%	18.6%	76.2%	-2.8	12
1938-02-27	Atalanta	W 3-2	1665	1639	58.8%	27.6%	13.7%	+3.7	17
1938-02-27	@ Lucchese	L 2-3	1639	1665	13.7%	27.6%	58.8%	-3.7	11
1938-02-27	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1737	1883	39.7%	29.5%	30.8%	-0.4	23
1938-02-27	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1883	1737	30.8%	29.5%	39.7%	+0.4	43
1938-02-27	Bologna	L 0-1	1820	1809	57.4%	28.0%	14.6%	-13.2	38
1938-02-27	@ Roma	W 1-0	1809	1820	14.6%	28.0%	57.4%	+13.2	38
1938-02-27	Torino	L 0-3	1726	1763	52.7%	28.9%	18.3%	-33.6	22
1938-02-27	@ Sampdoria	W 3-0	1763	1726	18.3%	28.9%	52.7%	+33.6	30
1938-02-27	Genova 1893	W 2-1	1825	1857	53.2%	28.8%	18.0%	+5.0	38
1938-02-27	@ Triestina	L 1-2	1857	1825	18.0%	28.8%	53.2%	-5.0	41
1938-03-06	AC Milan	D 0-0	1636	1834	32.7%	29.0%	38.3%	+0.3	12
1938-03-06	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1834	1636	38.3%	29.0%	32.7%	-0.3	41
1938-03-06	Triestina	D 0-0	1728	1830	45.3%	29.6%	25.1%	-1.1	29
1938-03-06	@ Bari	D 0-0	1830	1728	25.1%	29.6%	45.3%	+1.1	39
1938-03-06	Genova 1893	D 0-0	1884	1852	59.3%	27.4%	13.3%	-2.8	44
1938-03-06	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1852	1884	13.3%	27.4%	59.3%	+2.8	42
1938-03-06	Juventus	D 1-1	1832	1879	51.6%	29.1%	19.3%	-1.7	35
1938-03-06	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1879	1832	19.3%	29.1%	51.6%	+1.7	44
1938-03-06	Bologna	D 3-3	1669	1822	38.8%	29.5%	31.7%	-0.2	18
1938-03-06	@ Lucchese	D 3-3	1822	1669	31.7%	29.5%	38.8%	+0.2	39
1938-03-06	Livorno	D 1-1	1737	1693	60.3%	27.1%	12.6%	-2.6	24
1938-03-06	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1693	1737	12.6%	27.1%	60.3%	+2.6	22
1938-03-06	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1693	1622	62.7%	26.2%	11.1%	-2.8	23
1938-03-06	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1622	1693	11.1%	26.2%	62.7%	+2.8	13
1938-03-06	Roma	W 3-1	1796	1807	55.3%	28.4%	16.2%	+8.0	33
1938-03-06	@ Torino	L 1-3	1807	1796	16.2%	28.4%	55.3%	-8.0	38
1938-03-13	Triestina	D 0-0	1833	1831	56.6%	28.1%	15.2%	-2.4	42
1938-03-13	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1831	1833	15.2%	28.1%	56.6%	+2.4	40
1938-03-13	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1636	1690	50.8%	29.2%	20.0%	+11.0	15
1938-03-13	@ Atalanta	L 0-2	1690	1636	20.0%	29.2%	50.8%	-11.0	23
1938-03-13	Torino	W 2-0	1822	1804	58.1%	27.8%	14.2%	+8.1	42
1938-03-13	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1804	1822	14.2%	27.8%	58.1%	-8.1	33
1938-03-13	Lucchese	D 0-0	1625	1669	52.0%	29.0%	19.0%	-1.9	14
1938-03-13	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1669	1625	19.0%	29.0%	52.0%	+1.9	19
1938-03-13	Napoli	W 2-1	1854	1734	66.7%	24.4%	8.9%	+2.5	45
1938-03-13	@ Genova 1893	L 1-2	1734	1854	8.9%	24.4%	66.7%	-2.5	24
1938-03-13	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1880	1881	56.3%	28.2%	15.5%	+4.4	47
1938-03-13	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1881	1880	15.5%	28.2%	56.3%	-4.4	44
1938-03-13	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1696	1830	41.2%	29.6%	29.2%	+7.7	25
1938-03-13	@ Livorno	L 0-1	1830	1696	29.2%	29.6%	41.2%	-7.7	35
1938-03-13	Bari	W 3-2	1799	1727	62.8%	26.2%	11.1%	+3.0	41
1938-03-13	@ Roma	L 2-3	1727	1799	11.1%	26.2%	62.8%	-3.0	29
1938-03-20	Bologna	L 0-1	1724	1830	44.8%	29.6%	25.7%	-10.6	29
1938-03-20	@ Bari	W 1-0	1830	1724	25.7%	29.6%	44.8%	+10.6	45
1938-03-20	Juventus	L 1-2	1857	1885	53.6%	28.8%	17.6%	-11.7	45
1938-03-20	@ Genova 1893	W 2-1	1885	1857	17.6%	28.8%	53.6%	+11.7	50
1938-03-20	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1876	1823	61.3%	26.8%	12.0%	+6.0	47
1938-03-20	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1823	1876	12.0%	26.8%	61.3%	-6.0	35
1938-03-20	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1670	1679	55.5%	28.4%	16.1%	-2.3	20
1938-03-20	@ Lucchese	D 0-0	1679	1670	16.1%	28.4%	55.5%	+2.3	24
1938-03-20	Atalanta	W 1-0	1731	1647	63.8%	25.7%	10.4%	+3.2	27
1938-03-20	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1647	1731	10.4%	25.7%	63.8%	-3.2	15
1938-03-20	AC Milan	W 3-1	1802	1831	53.5%	28.8%	17.7%	+8.6	44
1938-03-20	@ Roma	L 1-3	1831	1802	17.7%	28.8%	53.5%	-8.6	42
1938-03-20	Livorno	W 4-1	1796	1704	64.5%	25.4%	10.1%	+7.1	36
1938-03-20	@ Torino	L 1-4	1704	1796	10.1%	25.4%	64.5%	-7.1	25
1938-03-20	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1833	1623	73.4%	20.5%	6.1%	+1.6	43
1938-03-20	@ Triestina	L 1-2	1623	1833	6.1%	20.5%	73.4%	-1.6	14
1938-03-27	Lucchese	W 4-0	1822	1668	69.3%	23.0%	7.7%	+8.1	45
1938-03-27	@ AC Milan	L 0-4	1668	1822	7.7%	23.0%	69.3%	-8.1	20
1938-03-27	Bari	D 0-0	1644	1713	49.1%	29.3%	21.5%	-1.5	16
1938-03-27	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1713	1644	21.5%	29.3%	49.1%	+1.5	30
1938-03-27	Triestina	D 0-0	1841	1835	56.9%	28.1%	15.0%	-2.5	46
1938-03-27	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1835	1841	15.0%	28.1%	56.9%	+2.5	44
1938-03-27	Torino	L 1-2	1622	1803	34.9%	29.2%	35.9%	-8.3	14
1938-03-27	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1803	1622	35.9%	29.2%	34.9%	+8.3	39
1938-03-27	Roma	D 0-0	1896	1810	63.9%	25.7%	10.4%	-3.3	51
1938-03-27	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1810	1896	10.4%	25.7%	63.9%	+3.3	45
1938-03-27	Napoli	D 0-0	1817	1735	63.6%	25.8%	10.6%	-3.2	36
1938-03-27	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1735	1817	10.6%	25.8%	63.6%	+3.2	28
1938-03-27	Genova 1893	L 0-1	1696	1845	39.4%	29.5%	31.1%	-9.6	25
1938-03-27	@ Livorno	W 1-0	1845	1696	31.1%	29.5%	39.4%	+9.6	48
1938-03-27	Inter Milan	W 3-1	1681	1882	32.3%	28.9%	38.8%	+15.4	27
1938-03-27	@ Sampdoria	L 1-3	1882	1681	38.8%	28.9%	32.3%	-15.4	47
1938-04-03	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1715	1697	58.0%	27.8%	14.2%	-2.6	31
1938-04-03	@ Bari	D 0-0	1697	1715	14.2%	27.8%	58.0%	+2.6	28
1938-04-03	AC Milan	L 0-1	1613	1831	30.3%	28.6%	41.1%	-7.8	14
1938-04-03	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1831	1613	41.1%	28.6%	30.3%	+7.9	48
1938-04-03	Bologna	L 1-3	1855	1838	57.9%	27.8%	14.3%	-21.8	48
1938-04-03	@ Genova 1893	W 3-1	1838	1855	14.3%	27.8%	57.9%	+21.8	49
1938-04-03	Atalanta	W 1-0	1867	1642	74.5%	19.8%	5.7%	+1.6	50
1938-04-03	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1642	1867	5.7%	19.8%	74.5%	-1.6	16
1938-04-03	Lucchese	W 2-1	1738	1660	63.3%	26.0%	10.8%	+3.1	31
1938-04-03	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1660	1738	10.8%	26.0%	63.3%	-3.1	20
1938-04-03	Livorno	W 1-0	1814	1687	67.2%	24.1%	8.7%	+2.6	48
1938-04-03	@ Roma	L 0-1	1687	1814	8.7%	24.1%	67.2%	-2.6	25
1938-04-03	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1811	1813	56.2%	28.3%	15.6%	+4.7	42
1938-04-03	@ Torino	L 0-1	1813	1811	15.6%	28.3%	56.2%	-4.7	36
1938-04-03	Juventus	W 2-0	1837	1893	50.6%	29.2%	20.2%	+11.0	47
1938-04-03	@ Triestina	L 0-2	1893	1837	20.2%	29.2%	50.6%	-11.0	51
1938-04-10	Genova 1893	D 2-2	1838	1833	56.9%	28.1%	15.0%	-1.6	49
1938-04-10	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1833	1838	15.0%	28.1%	56.9%	+1.6	49
1938-04-10	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1641	1809	36.8%	29.3%	33.9%	-0.2	17
1938-04-10	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1809	1641	33.9%	29.3%	36.8%	+0.2	37
1938-04-10	Juventus	D 0-0	1860	1882	54.2%	28.7%	17.1%	-2.2	50
1938-04-10	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1882	1860	17.1%	28.7%	54.2%	+2.2	52
1938-04-10	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1684	1605	63.3%	25.9%	10.7%	-2.9	26
1938-04-10	@ Livorno	D 1-1	1605	1684	10.7%	25.9%	63.3%	+2.9	15
1938-04-10	Bari	W 2-1	1657	1712	50.7%	29.2%	20.1%	+5.5	23
1938-04-10	@ Lucchese	L 1-2	1712	1657	20.1%	29.2%	50.7%	-5.5	31
1938-04-10	Triestina	D 1-1	1816	1848	53.2%	28.8%	18.0%	-1.8	49
1938-04-10	@ Roma	D 1-1	1848	1816	18.0%	28.8%	53.2%	+1.8	48
1938-04-10	Napoli	D 0-0	1699	1741	52.2%	29.0%	18.8%	-1.9	29
1938-04-10	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1741	1699	18.8%	29.0%	52.2%	+1.9	32
1938-04-10	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1816	1869	51.0%	29.2%	19.9%	-1.6	43
1938-04-10	@ Torino	D 1-1	1869	1816	19.9%	29.2%	51.0%	+1.6	51
1938-04-17	Torino	W 2-1	1640	1814	36.0%	29.3%	34.7%	+8.2	20
1938-04-17	@ Atalanta	L 1-2	1814	1640	34.7%	29.3%	36.0%	-8.2	43
1938-04-17	AC Milan	D 2-2	1858	1837	58.4%	27.7%	14.0%	-1.8	51
1938-04-17	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1837	1858	14.0%	27.7%	58.4%	+1.8	50
1938-04-17	Lucchese	W 3-0	1835	1662	70.7%	22.2%	7.1%	+5.7	52
1938-04-17	@ Genova 1893	L 0-3	1662	1835	7.1%	22.2%	70.7%	-5.7	23
1938-04-17	Roma	W 1-0	1870	1814	61.4%	26.7%	11.9%	+3.6	54
1938-04-17	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1814	1870	11.9%	26.7%	61.4%	-3.7	49
1938-04-17	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1884	1697	71.7%	21.6%	6.7%	-15.8	52
1938-04-17	@ Juventus	W 1-0	1697	1884	6.7%	21.6%	71.7%	+15.8	32
1938-04-17	Fiorentina	W 5-0	1809	1608	72.7%	20.9%	6.3%	+7.9	40
1938-04-17	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-5	1608	1809	6.3%	20.9%	72.7%	-7.9	15
1938-04-17	Bari	W 1-0	1743	1706	59.7%	27.3%	13.0%	+4.0	35
1938-04-17	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1706	1743	13.0%	27.3%	59.7%	-4.0	31
1938-04-17	Livorno	L 0-2	1850	1681	70.4%	22.4%	7.2%	-29.3	48
1938-04-17	@ Triestina	W 2-0	1681	1850	7.2%	22.4%	70.4%	+29.3	29
1938-04-24	Juventus	D 1-1	1838	1868	53.4%	28.8%	17.8%	-1.8	51
1938-04-24	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1868	1838	17.8%	28.8%	53.4%	+1.8	53
1938-04-24	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1702	1874	36.3%	29.3%	34.4%	-17.0	31
1938-04-24	@ Bari	W 2-0	1874	1702	34.4%	29.3%	36.3%	+17.0	57
1938-04-24	Atalanta	W 4-0	1600	1649	51.5%	29.1%	19.4%	+20.3	18
1938-04-24	@ Fiorentina	L 0-4	1649	1600	19.4%	29.1%	51.5%	-20.3	20
1938-04-24	Roma	D 1-1	1840	1811	59.1%	27.5%	13.4%	-2.5	53
1938-04-24	@ Genova 1893	D 1-1	1811	1840	13.4%	27.5%	59.1%	+2.5	50
1938-04-24	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1817	1713	65.4%	25.0%	9.6%	+8.0	43
1938-04-24	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1713	1817	9.6%	25.0%	65.4%	-8.0	32
1938-04-24	Bologna	W 3-2	1711	1856	39.8%	29.5%	30.7%	+7.2	32
1938-04-24	@ Livorno	L 2-3	1856	1711	30.7%	29.5%	39.8%	-7.2	51
1938-04-24	Triestina	W 1-0	1657	1821	37.3%	29.4%	33.3%	+8.5	26
1938-04-24	@ Lucchese	L 0-1	1821	1657	33.3%	29.4%	37.3%	-8.5	48
1938-04-24	Napoli	D 0-0	1806	1747	61.7%	26.6%	11.7%	-3.0	44
1938-04-24	@ Torino	D 0-0	1747	1806	11.7%	26.6%	61.7%	+3.0	36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1938-02-20	6.63%	Sampdoria	1697	2	@ Genova 1893	1886	0
2	1938-04-17	6.71%	Sampdoria	1697	1	@ Juventus	1884	0
3	1938-04-17	7.24%	Livorno	1681	2	@ Triestina	1850	0
4	1938-01-16	9.27%	Bari	1698	4	@ Torino	1809	2
5	1938-01-30	11.13%	Triestina	1801	2	@ Inter Milan	1872	1
6	1937-11-21	12.04%	Genova 1893	1780	2	@ Juventus	1833	1
7	1937-12-19	13.09%	Livorno	1676	2	@ Fiorentina	1711	1
8	1937-10-03	13.85%	Triestina	1732	3	@ Atalanta	1755	0
9	1938-04-03	14.29%	Bologna	1838	3	@ Genova 1893	1855	1
10	1938-01-02	14.41%	Bologna	1812	1	@ AC Milan	1826	0
11	1938-02-27	14.63%	Bologna	1809	1	@ Roma	1820	0
12	1937-11-21	15.14%	Inter Milan	1826	3	@ Lazio Roma	1830	1
13	1937-09-26	15.25%	Sampdoria	1724	3	@ Livorno	1726	2
14	1938-02-20	15.32%	Lazio Roma	1832	2	@ Bologna	1833	0
15	1938-01-09	15.87%	Genova 1893	1829	3	@ Roma	1823	1
16	1938-02-13	15.98%	Livorno	1670	3	@ Atalanta	1662	1
17	1937-12-19	16.30%	AC Milan	1814	1	@ Genova 1893	1802	0
18	1937-09-26	16.51%	Torino	1812	1	@ AC Milan	1797	0
19	1938-03-20	17.61%	Juventus	1885	2	@ Genova 1893	1857	1
20	1938-02-27	18.34%	Torino	1763	3	@ Sampdoria	1726	0
21	1937-10-17	18.69%	Genova 1893	1770	1	@ Sampdoria	1730	0
22	1937-09-19	19.25%	Juventus	1817	1	@ Atalanta	1771	0
23	1937-09-19	19.95%	AC Milan	1787	3	@ Bari	1733	2
24	1937-10-24	20.95%	AC Milan	1781	2	@ Livorno	1717	1
25	1938-02-20	22.06%	Napoli	1718	3	@ Fiorentina	1644	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1938-01-02	39.75	Genova 1893	4	1789	23.37%	@ Lucchese	0	1703	47.14%
2	1937-10-03	36.83	Triestina	3	1732	13.85%	@ Atalanta	0	1755	58.51%
3	1938-02-27	33.58	Torino	3	1763	18.34%	@ Sampdoria	0	1726	52.74%
4	1938-02-20	29.74	Sampdoria	2	1697	6.63%	@ Genova 1893	0	1886	71.94%
5	1938-04-17	29.34	Livorno	2	1681	7.24%	@ Triestina	0	1850	70.39%
6	1937-12-12	28.18	@ Lazio Roma	6	1803	52.90%	Torino	0	1837	18.21%
7	1938-01-16	24.80	Roma	4	1802	25.14%	@ Fiorentina	1	1700	45.29%
8	1938-02-20	24.58	Lazio Roma	2	1832	15.32%	@ Bologna	0	1833	56.50%
9	1938-02-27	24.44	@ Bari	5	1703	38.80%	Lazio Roma	1	1856	31.72%
10	1938-02-06	23.55	Inter Milan	3	1858	36.77%	@ Fiorentina	0	1671	34.11%
11	1938-04-03	21.76	Bologna	3	1838	14.29%	@ Genova 1893	1	1855	57.89%
12	1938-01-16	21.72	Bari	4	1698	9.27%	@ Torino	2	1809	66.00%
13	1937-11-21	21.37	Inter Milan	3	1826	15.14%	@ Lazio Roma	1	1830	56.75%
14	1937-10-17	21.27	Roma	2	1800	22.59%	@ Atalanta	0	1720	47.97%
15	1937-12-12	21.07	@ Sampdoria	5	1709	55.81%	Bari	0	1715	15.85%
16	1938-01-09	21.05	Genova 1893	3	1829	15.87%	@ Roma	1	1823	55.79%
17	1938-02-13	21.01	Livorno	3	1670	15.98%	@ Atalanta	1	1662	55.65%
18	1938-04-24	20.32	@ Fiorentina	4	1600	51.46%	Atalanta	0	1649	19.44%
19	1937-12-12	20.05	Roma	2	1803	25.68%	@ Livorno	0	1696	44.74%
20	1937-11-07	19.88	@ Triestina	6	1771	60.66%	Bari	0	1724	12.38%
21	1938-02-20	18.60	Napoli	3	1718	22.06%	@ Fiorentina	1	1644	48.54%
22	1938-01-02	17.83	Juventus	3	1821	24.29%	@ Sampdoria	1	1726	46.18%
23	1937-10-10	17.14	@ Roma	5	1783	60.20%	Lucchese	0	1741	12.69%
24	1938-02-13	17.00	@ Lucchese	2	1650	34.41%	Roma	0	1835	36.44%
25	1938-04-24	16.99	Inter Milan	2	1874	34.36%	@ Bari	0	1702	36.32%