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1942-43 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Torino

44 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1927-28

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Livorno

10.90 points above expected

43 points · 32.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Liguria

4.76 points below expected

21 points · 25.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Torino Champion 30 20 4 6 44 68 31 +37 37.46 +6.54
2 Livorno 30 18 7 5 43 52 34 +18 32.10 +10.90
3 Juventus 30 16 5 9 37 75 55 +20 32.95 +4.05
4 Inter Milan 30 15 4 11 34 53 38 +15 31.85 +2.15
5 Genova 1893 30 14 5 11 33 59 53 +6 31.79 +1.21
6 Bologna 30 12 5 13 29 53 39 +14 33.10 -4.10
7 AC Milan 30 10 9 11 29 39 44 -5 29.06 -0.06
8 Fiorentina 30 12 5 13 29 55 61 -6 29.21 -0.21
9 Lazio Roma 30 10 8 12 28 56 59 -3 31.79 -3.79
10 Atalanta 30 11 6 13 28 34 44 -10 27.72 +0.28
11 Roma 30 12 4 14 28 36 50 -14 29.75 -1.75
12 Vicenza Virtus 30 8 9 13 25 36 44 -8 27.39 -2.39
13 Triestina 30 5 14 11 24 32 40 -8 27.91 -3.91
14 Venezia 30 8 8 14 24 34 46 -12 27.72 -3.72
15 Bari 30 7 10 13 24 24 38 -14 24.43 -0.43
16 Liguria 30 7 7 16 21 36 66 -30 25.76 -4.76

Notes

  • No teams were relegated as the 1943-44 season was cancelled.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Torino 2002 44 37.46 +6.54 95.6% 20 30 35 38 40 44 51
Livorno 1913 43 32.10 +10.90 99.7% 15 25 29 32 35 39 48
Juventus 1900 37 32.95 +4.05 85.7% 17 26 30 33 36 40 49
Bologna 1883 29 33.10 -4.10 19.6% 19 26 30 33 36 40 50
Inter Milan 1875 34 31.85 +2.15 73.1% 15 25 29 32 35 39 47
Genova 1893 1846 33 31.79 +1.21 65.4% 13 25 29 32 35 39 48
Lazio Roma 1834 28 31.79 -3.79 22.4% 15 25 29 32 35 39 47
Vicenza Virtus 1833 25 27.39 -2.39 32.8% 12 20 25 27 30 34 42
Fiorentina 1831 29 29.21 -0.21 51.9% 14 22 26 29 32 36 48
Venezia 1830 24 27.72 -3.72 22.5% 11 21 25 28 31 35 43
Roma 1826 28 29.75 -1.75 38.2% 14 23 27 30 33 37 45
Triestina 1806 24 27.91 -3.91 21.2% 10 21 25 28 31 35 43
AC Milan 1804 29 29.06 -0.06 53.8% 13 22 26 29 32 36 45
Atalanta 1786 28 27.72 +0.28 57.3% 14 21 25 28 31 35 43
Bari 1747 24 24.43 -0.43 51.2% 8 17 22 24 27 31 42
Liguria 1724 21 25.76 -4.76 15.7% 9 19 23 26 29 33 44

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ATA BAR BOL FIO G1 IM JUV LR LIG LIV ROM TOR TRI VEN VV
AC Milan —
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.83
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.50
1-1-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.51
0-2-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.66
2-0-0
1.63
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.96
0-2-0
2.89
Atalanta
1-1-0
2.55
 —
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.44
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
1.72
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.74
Bari
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.38
 —
0-0-2
1.89
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.10
1-1-0
2.16
0-0-2
2.23
1-1-0
2.07
1-0-1
2.55
0-2-0
1.98
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
2.32
1-1-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.54
Bologna
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
3.64
 —
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
3.36
0-0-2
2.91
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.22
0-2-0
3.12
0-0-2
3.38
1-0-1
3.34
Fiorentina
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
2.34
 —
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.22
0-2-0
2.56
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.04
0-1-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.99
Genova 1893
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
3.00
 —
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.53
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.03
Inter Milan
2-0-0
3.02
2-0-0
3.08
0-1-1
3.38
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.79
 —
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
2.35
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
3.23
Juventus
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.16
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
2.61
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.78
 —
0-0-2
2.87
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.28
0-0-2
2.60
1-1-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.05
0-1-1
3.51
Lazio Roma
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.11
0-1-1
3.46
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.67
 —
1-0-1
3.45
0-0-2
2.75
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.03
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.19
Liguria
0-2-0
2.25
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.08
 —
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.43
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.43
Livorno
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.03
0-2-0
3.55
2-0-0
2.61
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.83
2-0-0
2.77
2-0-0
3.23
 —
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.34
0-2-0
3.23
2-0-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.15
Roma
0-1-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.48
 —
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.96
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.04
Torino
0-0-2
3.91
1-0-1
3.83
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.14
0-0-2
3.18
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.50
2-0-0
4.12
0-1-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.11
 —
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.59
Triestina
0-0-2
2.76
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
3.20
0-2-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.60
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.44
1-1-0
2.96
0-2-0
2.30
2-0-0
2.56
0-0-2
1.76
 —
0-2-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.90
Venezia
1-0-1
2.55
1-1-0
2.63
0-1-1
3.06
2-0-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.25
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.64
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.96
0-2-0
2.88
 —
0-0-2
2.83
Vicenza Virtus
0-2-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.49
1-1-0
2.30
1-1-0
2.02
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
3.10
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
1.95
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
2.69
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +3.5
Allowed 0.19 -2.8
Differential 0.82 +3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.08%8.33%5.00%3.12%1.04%0.42%25.00%
18.33%10.00%5.42%5.00%1.67%1.67%32.08%
25.00%5.42%4.58%2.50%2.08%1.46%21.04%
33.12%5.00%2.50%1.25%0.42%0.21%12.50%
41.04%1.67%2.08%0.42%——5.21%
5+0.42%1.67%1.46%0.21%—0.42%4.17%
Total25.00%32.08%21.04%12.50%5.21%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.55 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.39 1.93
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%3.33%10.00%——26.67%
110.00%16.67%3.33%10.00%——40.00%
26.67%—3.33%—6.67%—16.67%
3—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%33.33%13.33%20.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.47 -0.17
SD 1.18 1.28 1.76
CV 0.91 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%13.33%3.33%——30.00%
116.67%6.67%6.67%——3.33%33.33%
210.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%20.00%30.00%6.67%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.47 -0.33
SD 0.94 1.46 1.65
CV 0.83 0.99 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%20.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%53.33%
16.67%10.00%—3.33%——20.00%
26.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%——23.33%
3———————
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.27 -0.47
SD 1.03 1.34 1.61
CV 1.29 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%3.33%———20.00%
110.00%3.33%16.67%6.67%——36.67%
23.33%—6.67%3.33%——13.33%
33.33%10.00%—3.33%——16.67%
46.67%—3.33%———10.00%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total26.67%30.00%30.00%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.30 +0.47
SD 1.61 1.02 2.00
CV 0.91 0.79 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%—6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
13.33%3.33%—3.33%3.33%—13.33%
210.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%33.33%
36.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—20.00%
4——3.33%3.33%——6.67%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total20.00%23.33%16.67%20.00%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 2.03 -0.20
SD 1.37 1.56 2.25
CV 0.75 0.77 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%—6.67%3.33%——16.67%
113.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%3.33%—40.00%
2—3.33%—6.67%——10.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%——16.67%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+—6.67%3.33%——3.33%13.33%
Total23.33%20.00%23.33%26.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.77 +0.20
SD 1.77 1.36 2.02
CV 0.90 0.77 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%6.67%———23.33%
113.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%—30.00%
23.33%—3.33%—6.67%—13.33%
36.67%13.33%————20.00%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
Total33.33%33.33%16.67%6.67%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.27 +0.50
SD 1.52 1.28 2.05
CV 0.86 1.01 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
1—10.00%3.33%3.33%——16.67%
23.33%6.67%3.33%—3.33%6.67%23.33%
36.67%3.33%6.67%——3.33%20.00%
4—3.33%3.33%3.33%——10.00%
5+3.33%3.33%10.00%———16.67%
Total16.67%30.00%33.33%6.67%3.33%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.83 +0.67
SD 1.70 1.53 2.29
CV 0.68 0.84 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%6.67%—3.33%—23.33%
1—13.33%6.67%—6.67%—26.67%
2—6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—16.67%
3—10.00%3.33%3.33%——16.67%
4——6.67%———6.67%
5+—3.33%—3.33%—3.33%10.00%
Total6.67%40.00%26.67%10.00%13.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 1.97 -0.10
SD 1.61 1.38 1.81
CV 0.86 0.70 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%——20.00%
110.00%10.00%6.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%53.33%
23.33%—6.67%3.33%——13.33%
36.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%16.67%20.00%20.00%3.33%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 2.20 -1.00
SD 0.92 1.88 2.24
CV 0.77 0.86 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%—6.67%——16.67%
113.33%16.67%————30.00%
210.00%13.33%———3.33%26.67%
3—13.33%——3.33%—16.67%
4—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
5+———————
Total30.00%50.00%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.13 +0.60
SD 1.23 1.22 1.57
CV 0.71 1.08 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%—6.67%6.67%6.67%—23.33%
116.67%6.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%—43.33%
26.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total26.67%23.33%20.00%16.67%13.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.67 -0.47
SD 1.03 1.40 1.94
CV 0.86 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%————20.00%
16.67%—3.33%3.33%——13.33%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
310.00%6.67%13.33%3.33%——33.33%
46.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
5+3.33%—3.33%———6.67%
Total36.67%30.00%26.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.03 +1.23
SD 1.55 0.96 1.76
CV 0.68 0.93 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%3.33%———33.33%
1—23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
26.67%3.33%10.00%3.33%—3.33%26.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%46.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.33 -0.27
SD 0.94 1.32 1.44
CV 0.89 0.99 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%——26.67%
16.67%16.67%13.33%6.67%—3.33%46.67%
23.33%10.00%3.33%——3.33%20.00%
3———————
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total16.67%43.33%23.33%10.00%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.53 -0.40
SD 1.04 1.28 1.65
CV 0.92 0.83 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%6.67%———30.00%
16.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%—3.33%36.67%
23.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total23.33%36.67%23.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.47 -0.27
SD 1.24 1.36 1.70
CV 1.04 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Livorno 43 32.10 +10.90
2 Torino 44 37.46 +6.54
3 Juventus 37 32.95 +4.05
4 Inter Milan 34 31.85 +2.15
5 Genova 1893 33 31.79 +1.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Liguria 21 25.76 -4.76
2 Bologna 29 33.10 -4.10
3 Triestina 24 27.91 -3.91
4 Lazio Roma 28 31.79 -3.79
5 Venezia 24 27.72 -3.72

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Livorno 6 Oct 4 – Nov 8 1 in 811
2 Inter Milan 6 Jan 3 – Feb 7 1 in 405
3 Roma 4 Mar 21 – Apr 11 1 in 263
4 Venezia 4 Mar 21 – Apr 11 1 in 252
5 Vicenza Virtus 3 Mar 28 – Apr 11 1 in 137

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bologna 4 Mar 28 – Apr 18 1 in 377
2 Inter Milan 4 Mar 21 – Apr 11 1 in 367
3 Vicenza Virtus 5 Nov 15 – Dec 13 1 in 174
4 Venezia 4 Jan 3 – Jan 24 1 in 41
5 Liguria 5 Jan 24 – Feb 21 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vicenza Virtus 8 Feb 14 – Apr 11 1 in 375
2 Inter Milan 10 Dec 6 – Feb 7 1 in 125
3 Venezia 7 Mar 21 – May 7 1 in 108
4 Livorno 10 Jan 3 – Mar 14 1 in 77
5 Juventus 9 Nov 15 – Jan 10 1 in 63

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Triestina 14 Oct 4 – Jan 3 1 in 1,508
2 Vicenza Virtus 11 Nov 15 – Jan 24 1 in 136
3 Bologna 6 Mar 28 – May 7 1 in 73
4 Liguria 11 Jan 24 – Apr 11 1 in 31
5 Venezia 6 Oct 4 – Nov 8 1 in 22

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Torino47.82%18.63%10.37%6.93%5.01%3.51%2.26%1.67%1.42%1.01%0.61%0.35%0.21%0.08%0.11%0.01%
Livorno7.41%10.27%10.92%10.14%9.68%8.68%7.35%7.12%6.17%5.47%4.42%3.95%3.34%2.63%1.59%0.86%
Juventus9.44%13.47%12.96%10.96%9.15%8.84%7.22%6.06%5.38%4.62%3.49%2.89%2.36%1.62%0.98%0.56%
Inter Milan6.01%9.92%10.21%9.96%9.47%8.48%8.67%7.12%6.61%5.56%4.87%3.91%3.81%2.65%1.79%0.96%
Genova 18935.62%9.25%9.33%9.67%9.97%8.60%8.05%7.41%6.74%5.97%5.15%4.59%3.64%2.83%1.93%1.25%
Bologna9.93%13.32%12.73%10.80%9.53%8.77%7.69%6.41%4.88%4.14%3.80%2.99%2.02%1.43%1.20%0.36%
AC Milan1.56%2.90%4.18%5.17%5.81%6.96%7.47%7.85%8.08%8.44%8.30%7.68%7.60%6.95%6.23%4.82%
Fiorentina1.68%3.15%4.28%5.40%6.18%6.73%7.52%8.35%7.71%8.58%8.06%7.75%6.90%7.03%6.25%4.43%
Lazio Roma5.28%8.05%9.40%9.82%9.53%8.69%8.32%7.58%6.87%5.97%5.55%4.88%3.84%2.89%2.04%1.29%
Atalanta0.75%1.74%2.35%3.48%3.85%5.01%6.12%6.00%6.95%7.80%8.93%9.56%9.58%9.66%9.65%8.57%
Roma1.95%3.71%4.85%5.74%6.47%7.21%7.42%8.36%8.57%7.93%7.41%7.55%7.15%6.46%5.50%3.72%
Vicenza Virtus0.57%1.46%2.04%2.92%3.89%4.16%5.35%6.33%7.52%8.11%8.40%9.08%10.29%10.50%9.87%9.51%
Triestina0.87%1.59%2.64%3.46%4.33%5.26%5.91%6.42%7.75%7.96%9.37%9.05%9.55%9.46%9.03%7.35%
Venezia0.79%1.73%2.37%3.30%4.04%5.06%5.14%6.56%6.84%8.01%8.79%9.04%9.76%10.29%9.63%8.65%
Bari0.12%0.24%0.54%0.96%1.13%1.51%2.32%2.81%3.62%4.74%6.14%7.53%9.80%12.93%17.88%27.73%
Liguria0.20%0.57%0.83%1.29%1.96%2.53%3.19%3.95%4.89%5.69%6.71%9.20%10.15%12.59%16.32%19.93%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.92%
Strong Edge
52.50%22.92%24.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
166 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
099.64500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.69 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.60+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
48%
Torino, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.44 * Some Luck: 3.44 to 5.17 * Lucky: 5.17 to 6.89 * Wild Swing: 6.89 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.64 * Close: 2.64 to 3.97 * Off: 3.97 to 5.29 * Way Off: 5.29 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.15 points
Some Luck
04.3111
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.75
Pinpoint
03.308
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.66%
Livorno
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
15.69%
Liguria
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.22
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
60%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Strong Edge
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.26
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Probability calibration
0.64
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.86
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.0890.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Torino 99.88% 0.12%
Juventus 98.46% 1.54%
Bologna 98.44% 1.56%
Livorno 97.55% 2.45%
Inter Milan 97.25% 2.75%
Genova 1893 96.82% 3.18%
Lazio Roma 96.67% 3.33%
Roma 90.78% 9.22%
Fiorentina 89.32% 10.68%
AC Milan 88.95% 11.05%
Triestina 83.62% 16.38%
Atalanta 81.78% 18.22%
Venezia 81.72% 18.28%
Vicenza Virtus 80.62% 19.38%
Liguria 63.75% 36.25%
Bari 54.39% 45.61%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1942-10-04 Liguria W 2-0 1762 1814 50.6% 24.2% 25.2% +10.9 2
1942-10-04 @ Bari L 0-2 1814 1762 25.2% 24.2% 50.6% -10.9 0
1942-10-04 Atalanta W 2-0 1857 1816 60.3% 23.6% 16.2% +7.5 2
1942-10-04 @ Bologna L 0-2 1816 1857 16.2% 23.6% 60.3% -7.5 0
1942-10-04 Vicenza Virtus W 6-1 1860 1844 57.9% 23.8% 18.2% +16.1 2
1942-10-04 @ Genova 1893 L 1-6 1844 1860 18.2% 23.8% 57.9% -16.1 0
1942-10-04 Torino W 1-0 1818 1876 50.0% 24.2% 25.8% +5.9 2
1942-10-04 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1876 1818 25.8% 24.2% 50.0% -5.9 0
1942-10-04 AC Milan D 1-1 1855 1827 59.1% 23.7% 17.2% -1.9 1
1942-10-04 @ Juventus D 1-1 1827 1855 17.2% 23.7% 59.1% +1.9 1
1942-10-04 Venezia W 2-1 1820 1860 52.0% 24.2% 23.8% +5.2 2
1942-10-04 @ Livorno L 1-2 1860 1820 23.8% 24.2% 52.0% -5.2 0
1942-10-04 Fiorentina W 1-0 1885 1837 60.9% 23.5% 15.6% +3.8 2
1942-10-04 @ Roma L 0-1 1837 1885 15.6% 23.5% 60.9% -3.9 0
1942-10-04 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1833 1877 51.6% 24.2% 24.2% -1.3 1
1942-10-04 @ Triestina D 0-0 1877 1833 24.2% 24.2% 51.6% +1.3 1
1942-10-11 Genova 1893 D 0-0 1829 1876 51.2% 24.2% 24.6% -1.3 2
1942-10-11 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1876 1829 24.6% 24.2% 51.2% +1.3 3
1942-10-11 Bari W 2-0 1808 1772 59.8% 23.6% 16.6% +7.7 2
1942-10-11 @ Atalanta L 0-2 1772 1808 16.6% 23.6% 59.8% -7.7 2
1942-10-11 Triestina D 2-2 1833 1832 56.4% 23.9% 19.6% -1.2 1
1942-10-11 @ Fiorentina D 2-2 1832 1833 19.6% 23.9% 56.4% +1.2 2
1942-10-11 Bologna W 2-1 1879 1864 57.8% 23.8% 18.4% +4.2 3
1942-10-11 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1864 1879 18.4% 23.8% 57.8% -4.2 2
1942-10-11 Inter Milan D 1-1 1803 1824 54.2% 24.1% 21.7% -1.5 1
1942-10-11 @ Liguria D 1-1 1824 1803 21.7% 24.1% 54.2% +1.5 3
1942-10-11 Livorno L 1-2 1870 1825 60.5% 23.5% 15.9% -11.3 0
1942-10-11 @ Torino W 2-1 1825 1870 15.9% 23.5% 60.5% +11.3 4
1942-10-11 Juventus D 1-1 1855 1853 56.5% 23.9% 19.6% -1.7 1
1942-10-11 @ Venezia D 1-1 1853 1855 19.6% 23.9% 56.5% +1.7 2
1942-10-11 Roma L 1-2 1828 1889 49.6% 24.2% 26.2% -9.4 0
1942-10-11 @ Vicenza Virtus W 2-1 1889 1828 26.2% 24.2% 49.6% +9.4 4
1942-10-18 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1765 1883 42.3% 24.3% 33.4% +6.8 4
1942-10-18 @ Bari L 1-2 1883 1765 33.4% 24.3% 42.3% -6.8 3
1942-10-18 Vicenza Virtus W 4-2 1832 1818 57.6% 23.8% 18.5% +6.5 3
1942-10-18 @ Fiorentina L 2-4 1818 1832 18.5% 23.8% 57.6% -6.5 0
1942-10-18 Venezia W 5-1 1878 1853 58.7% 23.7% 17.5% +12.7 5
1942-10-18 @ Genova 1893 L 1-5 1853 1878 17.5% 23.7% 58.7% -12.7 1
1942-10-18 Atalanta W 1-0 1825 1816 57.3% 23.9% 18.9% +4.5 5
1942-10-18 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1816 1825 18.9% 23.9% 57.3% -4.5 2
1942-10-18 Torino L 2-5 1855 1858 56.0% 24.0% 20.1% -22.2 2
1942-10-18 @ Juventus W 5-2 1858 1855 20.1% 24.0% 56.0% +22.2 2
1942-10-18 Liguria W 3-1 1837 1802 59.7% 23.6% 16.7% +6.7 6
1942-10-18 @ Livorno L 1-3 1802 1837 16.7% 23.6% 59.7% -6.7 1
1942-10-18 AC Milan D 1-1 1898 1828 62.7% 23.2% 14.0% -2.3 5
1942-10-18 @ Roma D 1-1 1828 1898 14.0% 23.2% 62.7% +2.3 3
1942-10-18 Bologna D 0-0 1833 1860 53.5% 24.1% 22.4% -1.5 3
1942-10-18 @ Triestina D 0-0 1860 1833 22.4% 24.1% 53.5% +1.6 3
1942-10-25 Fiorentina L 1-3 1830 1838 55.5% 24.0% 20.5% -18.0 3
1942-10-25 @ AC Milan W 3-1 1838 1830 20.5% 24.0% 55.5% +18.0 5
1942-10-25 Livorno L 0-2 1811 1843 52.9% 24.1% 22.9% -19.9 2
1942-10-25 @ Atalanta W 2-0 1843 1811 22.9% 24.1% 52.9% +19.8 8
1942-10-25 Bari W 4-0 1862 1772 64.3% 23.0% 12.7% +11.4 5
1942-10-25 @ Bologna L 0-4 1772 1862 12.7% 23.0% 64.3% -11.4 4
1942-10-25 Inter Milan W 3-1 1876 1830 60.7% 23.5% 15.8% +6.3 5
1942-10-25 @ Lazio Roma L 1-3 1830 1876 15.8% 23.5% 60.7% -6.3 5
1942-10-25 Juventus W 1-0 1795 1833 52.3% 24.2% 23.5% +5.5 3
1942-10-25 @ Liguria L 0-1 1833 1795 23.5% 24.2% 52.3% -5.5 2
1942-10-25 Genova 1893 W 3-1 1881 1890 55.3% 24.0% 20.7% +8.0 4
1942-10-25 @ Torino L 1-3 1890 1881 20.7% 24.0% 55.3% -8.0 5
1942-10-25 Roma D 0-0 1840 1896 50.2% 24.2% 25.5% -1.2 2
1942-10-25 @ Venezia D 0-0 1896 1840 25.5% 24.2% 50.2% +1.2 6
1942-10-25 Triestina W 2-1 1812 1832 54.3% 24.1% 21.6% +4.8 2
1942-10-25 @ Vicenza Virtus L 1-2 1832 1812 21.6% 24.1% 54.3% -4.8 3
1942-11-01 Venezia W 2-1 1856 1839 58.0% 23.8% 18.2% +4.2 7
1942-11-01 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1839 1856 18.2% 23.8% 58.0% -4.2 2
1942-11-01 Liguria W 3-0 1882 1800 63.6% 23.1% 13.3% +9.1 7
1942-11-01 @ Genova 1893 L 0-3 1800 1882 13.3% 23.1% 63.6% -9.1 3
1942-11-01 Bologna W 1-0 1823 1873 50.9% 24.2% 24.9% +5.7 7
1942-11-01 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1873 1823 24.9% 24.2% 50.9% -5.7 5
1942-11-01 Atalanta W 5-1 1827 1791 59.8% 23.6% 16.6% +12.1 4
1942-11-01 @ Juventus L 1-5 1791 1827 16.6% 23.6% 59.8% -12.1 2
1942-11-01 Lazio Roma W 4-2 1863 1882 54.3% 24.1% 21.6% +7.5 10
1942-11-01 @ Livorno L 2-4 1882 1863 21.6% 24.1% 54.3% -7.4 5
1942-11-01 Torino L 0-4 1897 1889 57.2% 23.9% 18.9% -40.5 6
1942-11-01 @ Roma W 4-0 1889 1897 18.9% 23.9% 57.2% +40.5 6
1942-11-01 Bari D 1-1 1827 1760 62.4% 23.3% 14.3% -2.3 4
1942-11-01 @ Triestina D 1-1 1760 1827 14.3% 23.3% 62.4% +2.3 5
1942-11-01 AC Milan D 1-1 1817 1812 56.8% 23.9% 19.3% -1.7 3
1942-11-01 @ Vicenza Virtus D 1-1 1812 1817 19.3% 23.9% 56.8% +1.7 4
1942-11-08 Triestina W 2-0 1814 1825 55.2% 24.0% 20.8% +9.3 6
1942-11-08 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1825 1814 20.8% 24.0% 55.2% -9.3 4
1942-11-08 Genova 1893 W 3-1 1779 1891 43.0% 24.3% 32.6% +11.6 4
1942-11-08 @ Atalanta L 1-3 1891 1779 32.6% 24.3% 43.0% -11.6 7
1942-11-08 Inter Milan W 1-0 1762 1829 48.9% 24.3% 26.8% +6.1 7
1942-11-08 @ Bari L 0-1 1829 1762 26.8% 24.3% 48.9% -6.1 7
1942-11-08 Livorno L 1-2 1867 1870 56.0% 24.0% 20.0% -10.5 5
1942-11-08 @ Bologna W 2-1 1870 1867 20.0% 24.0% 56.0% +10.5 12
1942-11-08 Juventus W 5-3 1875 1839 59.7% 23.6% 16.6% +5.6 7
1942-11-08 @ Lazio Roma L 3-5 1839 1875 16.6% 23.6% 59.7% -5.6 4
1942-11-08 Roma W 3-0 1791 1857 49.1% 24.3% 26.7% +16.6 5
1942-11-08 @ Liguria L 0-3 1857 1791 26.7% 24.3% 49.1% -16.6 6
1942-11-08 Fiorentina W 5-0 1929 1860 62.6% 23.3% 14.1% +15.5 8
1942-11-08 @ Torino L 0-5 1860 1929 14.1% 23.3% 62.6% -15.5 7
1942-11-08 Vicenza Virtus L 0-1 1835 1815 58.3% 23.8% 17.9% -11.5 2
1942-11-08 @ Venezia W 1-0 1815 1835 17.9% 23.8% 58.3% +11.5 5
1942-11-15 Venezia L 1-2 1823 1823 56.3% 23.9% 19.8% -10.5 6
1942-11-15 @ AC Milan W 2-1 1823 1823 19.8% 23.9% 56.3% +10.5 4
1942-11-15 Liguria W 5-1 1845 1808 59.9% 23.6% 16.5% +12.1 9
1942-11-15 @ Fiorentina L 1-5 1808 1845 16.5% 23.6% 59.9% -12.1 5
1942-11-15 Lazio Roma W 6-5 1880 1880 56.3% 23.9% 19.8% +4.0 9
1942-11-15 @ Genova 1893 L 5-6 1880 1880 19.8% 23.9% 56.3% -4.0 7
1942-11-15 Bologna W 3-1 1834 1857 53.9% 24.1% 22.0% +8.5 6
1942-11-15 @ Juventus L 1-3 1857 1834 22.0% 24.1% 53.9% -8.5 5
1942-11-15 Bari D 1-1 1881 1769 65.9% 22.7% 11.4% -2.6 13
1942-11-15 @ Livorno D 1-1 1769 1881 11.4% 22.7% 65.9% +2.6 8
1942-11-15 Atalanta W 2-1 1840 1791 61.0% 23.5% 15.6% +3.6 8
1942-11-15 @ Roma L 1-2 1791 1840 15.6% 23.5% 61.0% -3.6 4
1942-11-15 Inter Milan D 0-0 1815 1823 55.6% 24.0% 20.4% -1.8 5
1942-11-15 @ Triestina D 0-0 1823 1815 20.4% 24.0% 55.6% +1.8 8
1942-11-15 Torino L 0-1 1827 1945 42.3% 24.3% 33.4% -8.6 5
1942-11-15 @ Vicenza Virtus W 1-0 1945 1827 33.4% 24.3% 42.3% +8.7 10
1942-11-22 Fiorentina W 1-0 1787 1857 48.5% 24.3% 27.2% +6.1 6
1942-11-22 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1857 1787 27.2% 24.3% 48.5% -6.1 9
1942-11-22 Juventus L 2-3 1771 1842 48.4% 24.3% 27.4% -8.7 8
1942-11-22 @ Bari W 3-2 1842 1771 27.4% 24.3% 48.4% +8.7 8
1942-11-22 Genova 1893 W 3-1 1848 1884 52.5% 24.1% 23.3% +8.9 7
1942-11-22 @ Bologna L 1-3 1884 1848 23.3% 24.1% 52.5% -8.9 9
1942-11-22 Livorno L 0-1 1825 1878 50.4% 24.2% 25.3% -10.1 8
1942-11-22 @ Inter Milan W 1-0 1878 1825 25.3% 24.2% 50.4% +10.1 15
1942-11-22 Roma W 3-1 1876 1844 59.5% 23.6% 16.9% +6.7 9
1942-11-22 @ Lazio Roma L 1-3 1844 1876 16.9% 23.6% 59.5% -6.7 8
1942-11-22 Vicenza Virtus W 3-1 1796 1818 54.0% 24.1% 21.9% +8.4 7
1942-11-22 @ Liguria L 1-3 1818 1796 21.9% 24.1% 54.0% -8.4 5
1942-11-22 AC Milan L 0-1 1953 1812 67.9% 22.2% 9.9% -13.4 10
1942-11-22 @ Torino W 1-0 1812 1953 9.9% 22.2% 67.9% +13.4 8
1942-11-22 Triestina D 1-1 1834 1813 58.4% 23.8% 17.9% -1.9 5
1942-11-22 @ Venezia D 1-1 1813 1834 17.9% 23.8% 58.4% +1.9 6
1942-11-29 Liguria D 0-0 1826 1804 58.4% 23.8% 17.8% -2.1 9
1942-11-29 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1804 1826 17.8% 23.8% 58.4% +2.1 8
1942-11-29 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1851 1883 52.9% 24.1% 23.0% -1.3 10
1942-11-29 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1883 1851 23.0% 24.1% 52.9% +1.3 10
1942-11-29 Bari W 3-2 1875 1762 65.9% 22.7% 11.4% +2.6 11
1942-11-29 @ Genova 1893 L 2-3 1762 1875 11.4% 22.7% 65.9% -2.6 8
1942-11-29 Inter Milan W 4-2 1851 1815 59.8% 23.6% 16.6% +5.9 10
1942-11-29 @ Juventus L 2-4 1815 1851 16.6% 23.6% 59.8% -5.9 8
1942-11-29 Bologna D 1-1 1837 1857 54.2% 24.1% 21.7% -1.5 9
1942-11-29 @ Roma D 1-1 1857 1837 21.7% 24.1% 54.2% +1.5 8
1942-11-29 Livorno D 1-1 1815 1888 48.1% 24.3% 27.6% -0.9 7
1942-11-29 @ Triestina D 1-1 1888 1815 27.6% 24.3% 48.1% +0.9 16
1942-11-29 Torino L 0-3 1832 1940 43.6% 24.3% 32.0% -24.3 5
1942-11-29 @ Venezia W 3-0 1940 1832 32.0% 24.3% 43.6% +24.3 12
1942-11-29 Atalanta L 2-3 1810 1793 57.9% 23.8% 18.3% -10.2 5
1942-11-29 @ Vicenza Virtus W 3-2 1793 1810 18.3% 23.8% 57.9% +10.3 8
1942-12-06 AC Milan D 0-0 1804 1824 54.2% 24.1% 21.7% -1.6 9
1942-12-06 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1824 1804 21.7% 24.1% 54.2% +1.6 10
1942-12-06 Roma D 2-2 1760 1835 47.8% 24.3% 27.9% -0.6 9
1942-12-06 @ Bari D 2-2 1835 1760 27.9% 24.3% 47.8% +0.6 10
1942-12-06 Fiorentina W 3-1 1859 1849 57.3% 23.9% 18.9% +7.4 10
1942-12-06 @ Bologna L 1-3 1849 1859 18.9% 23.9% 57.3% -7.4 10
1942-12-06 Genova 1893 W 3-0 1809 1878 48.6% 24.3% 27.1% +16.8 10
1942-12-06 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1878 1809 27.1% 24.3% 48.6% -16.8 11
1942-12-06 Vicenza Virtus W 2-1 1884 1799 63.9% 23.1% 13.0% +3.1 12
1942-12-06 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1799 1884 13.0% 23.1% 63.9% -3.1 5
1942-12-06 Juventus L 0-3 1889 1857 59.5% 23.7% 16.9% -32.2 16
1942-12-06 @ Livorno W 3-0 1857 1889 16.9% 23.7% 59.5% +32.2 12
1942-12-06 Venezia W 1-0 1806 1808 56.2% 23.9% 19.9% +4.7 10
1942-12-06 @ Liguria L 0-1 1808 1806 19.9% 23.9% 56.2% -4.8 5
1942-12-06 Triestina W 4-1 1964 1814 68.4% 22.1% 9.5% +5.6 14
1942-12-06 @ Torino L 1-4 1814 1964 9.5% 22.1% 68.4% -5.6 7
1942-12-13 Lazio Roma W 4-1 1825 1888 49.4% 24.3% 26.3% +13.8 12
1942-12-13 @ AC Milan L 1-4 1888 1825 26.3% 24.3% 49.4% -13.8 12
1942-12-13 Bari W 1-0 1842 1759 63.7% 23.1% 13.2% +3.3 12
1942-12-13 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1759 1842 13.2% 23.1% 63.7% -3.3 9
1942-12-13 Livorno W 5-2 1861 1857 56.7% 23.9% 19.4% +9.3 13
1942-12-13 @ Genova 1893 L 2-5 1857 1861 19.4% 23.9% 56.7% -9.3 16
1942-12-13 Inter Milan L 1-3 1836 1825 57.4% 23.8% 18.8% -18.6 10
1942-12-13 @ Roma W 3-1 1825 1836 18.8% 23.8% 57.4% +18.6 12
1942-12-13 Liguria W 3-0 1970 1811 69.0% 21.9% 9.1% +6.3 16
1942-12-13 @ Torino L 0-3 1811 1970 9.1% 21.9% 69.0% -6.3 10
1942-12-13 Juventus D 1-1 1809 1889 47.2% 24.3% 28.5% -0.8 8
1942-12-13 @ Triestina D 1-1 1889 1809 28.5% 24.3% 47.2% +0.8 13
1942-12-13 Atalanta D 1-1 1803 1802 56.4% 23.9% 19.6% -1.7 6
1942-12-13 @ Venezia D 1-1 1802 1803 19.6% 23.9% 56.4% +1.7 10
1942-12-13 Bologna L 0-1 1796 1866 48.5% 24.3% 27.2% -9.7 5
1942-12-13 @ Vicenza Virtus W 1-0 1866 1796 27.2% 24.3% 48.5% +9.7 12
1942-12-20 Torino W 1-0 1804 1976 34.7% 24.1% 41.2% +8.5 12
1942-12-20 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1976 1804 41.2% 24.1% 34.7% -8.5 16
1942-12-20 Vicenza Virtus D 0-0 1756 1786 53.1% 24.1% 22.8% -1.5 10
1942-12-20 @ Bari D 0-0 1786 1756 22.8% 24.1% 53.1% +1.5 6
1942-12-20 AC Milan W 3-0 1876 1839 59.9% 23.6% 16.5% +11.1 14
1942-12-20 @ Bologna L 0-3 1839 1876 16.5% 23.6% 59.9% -11.1 12
1942-12-20 Fiorentina W 4-0 1844 1845 56.2% 23.9% 19.8% +17.0 14
1942-12-20 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1845 1844 19.8% 23.9% 56.2% -17.0 12
1942-12-20 Genova 1893 W 3-2 1890 1870 58.3% 23.8% 17.9% +3.9 15
1942-12-20 @ Juventus L 2-3 1870 1890 17.9% 23.8% 58.3% -3.9 13
1942-12-20 Venezia D 1-1 1874 1801 62.9% 23.2% 13.9% -2.3 13
1942-12-20 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1801 1874 13.9% 23.2% 62.9% +2.3 7
1942-12-20 Roma W 2-0 1848 1817 59.3% 23.7% 17.1% +7.9 18
1942-12-20 @ Livorno L 0-2 1817 1848 17.1% 23.7% 59.3% -7.8 10
1942-12-20 Triestina D 1-1 1805 1808 56.0% 24.0% 20.0% -1.6 11
1942-12-20 @ Liguria D 1-1 1808 1805 20.0% 24.0% 56.0% +1.6 9
1942-12-27 Bari W 3-1 1828 1754 63.0% 23.2% 13.8% +5.6 14
1942-12-27 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1754 1828 13.8% 23.2% 63.0% -5.6 10
1942-12-27 Livorno W 4-3 1828 1856 53.4% 24.1% 22.4% +4.6 14
1942-12-27 @ Fiorentina L 3-4 1856 1828 22.4% 24.1% 53.4% -4.6 18
1942-12-27 Juventus L 1-2 1810 1894 46.7% 24.3% 29.0% -8.9 10
1942-12-27 @ Roma W 2-1 1894 1810 29.0% 24.3% 46.7% +8.9 17
1942-12-27 Atalanta W 3-0 1803 1812 55.4% 24.0% 20.6% +13.4 13
1942-12-27 @ Liguria L 0-3 1812 1803 20.6% 24.0% 55.4% -13.4 12
1942-12-27 Lazio Roma D 2-2 1968 1871 64.8% 22.9% 12.3% -1.9 17
1942-12-27 @ Torino D 2-2 1871 1968 12.3% 22.9% 64.8% +1.9 14
1942-12-27 Genova 1893 L 0-1 1810 1866 50.1% 24.2% 25.6% -10.0 9
1942-12-27 @ Triestina W 1-0 1866 1810 25.6% 24.2% 50.1% +10.0 15
1942-12-27 Bologna W 1-0 1804 1887 46.8% 24.3% 28.9% +6.4 9
1942-12-27 @ Venezia L 0-1 1887 1804 28.9% 24.3% 46.8% -6.5 14
1942-12-27 Inter Milan D 2-2 1788 1861 48.1% 24.3% 27.6% -0.7 7
1942-12-27 @ Vicenza Virtus D 2-2 1861 1788 27.6% 24.3% 48.1% +0.7 15
1943-01-03 Venezia W 2-1 1749 1810 49.5% 24.2% 26.2% +5.6 12
1943-01-03 @ Bari L 1-2 1810 1749 26.2% 24.2% 49.5% -5.6 9
1943-01-03 Torino L 1-2 1881 1966 46.6% 24.3% 29.1% -8.9 14
1943-01-03 @ Bologna W 2-1 1966 1881 29.1% 24.3% 46.6% +8.9 19
1943-01-03 Roma L 0-2 1876 1801 63.1% 23.2% 13.7% -23.5 15
1943-01-03 @ Genova 1893 W 2-0 1801 1876 13.7% 23.2% 63.1% +23.5 12
1943-01-03 AC Milan W 3-1 1862 1834 59.1% 23.7% 17.2% +6.9 17
1943-01-03 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1834 1862 17.2% 23.7% 59.1% -6.9 14
1943-01-03 Fiorentina W 5-2 1903 1833 62.7% 23.2% 14.1% +7.0 19
1943-01-03 @ Juventus L 2-5 1833 1903 14.1% 23.2% 62.7% -7.0 14
1943-01-03 Liguria W 5-1 1873 1817 61.6% 23.4% 15.0% +11.1 16
1943-01-03 @ Lazio Roma L 1-5 1817 1873 15.0% 23.4% 61.6% -11.1 13
1943-01-03 Vicenza Virtus W 2-0 1851 1787 62.2% 23.3% 14.5% +6.8 20
1943-01-03 @ Livorno L 0-2 1787 1851 14.5% 23.3% 62.2% -6.8 7
1943-01-03 Atalanta L 0-1 1800 1799 56.4% 23.9% 19.6% -11.2 9
1943-01-03 @ Triestina W 1-0 1799 1800 19.6% 23.9% 56.4% +11.2 14
1943-01-10 Livorno D 1-1 1827 1858 53.0% 24.1% 22.8% -1.3 15
1943-01-10 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1858 1827 22.8% 24.1% 53.0% +1.3 21
1943-01-10 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1810 1884 47.9% 24.3% 27.8% +11.8 16
1943-01-10 @ Atalanta L 0-2 1884 1810 27.8% 24.3% 47.9% -11.8 16
1943-01-10 Genova 1893 W 3-2 1826 1853 53.5% 24.1% 22.4% +4.7 16
1943-01-10 @ Fiorentina L 2-3 1853 1826 22.4% 24.1% 53.5% -4.7 15
1943-01-10 Triestina L 1-2 1824 1789 59.8% 23.6% 16.6% -11.1 12
1943-01-10 @ Roma W 2-1 1789 1824 16.6% 23.6% 59.8% +11.1 11
1943-01-10 Bologna L 1-7 1806 1872 49.0% 24.3% 26.8% -42.4 13
1943-01-10 @ Liguria W 7-1 1872 1806 26.8% 24.3% 49.0% +42.4 16
1943-01-10 Bari W 3-0 1975 1754 72.5% 20.8% 6.7% +4.6 21
1943-01-10 @ Torino L 0-3 1754 1975 6.7% 20.8% 72.5% -4.6 12
1943-01-10 Inter Milan L 0-2 1804 1869 49.2% 24.3% 26.5% -18.6 9
1943-01-10 @ Venezia W 2-0 1869 1804 26.5% 24.3% 49.2% +18.6 19
1943-01-10 Juventus D 0-0 1781 1910 40.8% 24.3% 35.0% -0.3 8
1943-01-10 @ Vicenza Virtus D 0-0 1910 1781 35.0% 24.3% 40.8% +0.3 20
1943-01-17 Juventus W 2-0 1826 1910 46.7% 24.3% 29.0% +12.2 17
1943-01-17 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1910 1826 29.0% 24.3% 46.7% -12.2 20
1943-01-17 Bologna W 1-0 1822 1914 45.7% 24.3% 30.0% +6.6 18
1943-01-17 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1914 1822 30.0% 24.3% 45.7% -6.6 16
1943-01-17 Roma W 3-0 1831 1813 58.1% 23.8% 18.1% +12.0 18
1943-01-17 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1813 1831 18.1% 23.8% 58.1% -12.0 12
1943-01-17 Triestina W 3-1 1873 1800 62.9% 23.2% 13.9% +5.7 18
1943-01-17 @ Lazio Roma L 1-3 1800 1873 13.9% 23.2% 62.9% -5.6 11
1943-01-17 Bari W 1-0 1763 1750 57.7% 23.8% 18.5% +4.5 15
1943-01-17 @ Liguria L 0-1 1750 1763 18.5% 23.8% 57.7% -4.5 12
1943-01-17 Inter Milan L 1-3 1979 1887 64.4% 23.0% 12.6% -20.8 21
1943-01-17 @ Torino W 3-1 1887 1979 12.6% 23.0% 64.4% +20.8 21
1943-01-17 Livorno L 0-1 1786 1859 48.1% 24.3% 27.6% -9.7 9
1943-01-17 @ Venezia W 1-0 1859 1786 27.6% 24.3% 48.1% +9.7 23
1943-01-17 Genova 1893 L 0-1 1780 1848 48.8% 24.3% 27.0% -9.8 8
1943-01-17 @ Vicenza Virtus W 1-0 1848 1780 27.0% 24.3% 48.8% +9.8 17
1943-01-24 Atalanta D 0-0 1745 1828 46.9% 24.3% 28.8% -0.9 13
1943-01-24 @ Bari D 0-0 1828 1745 28.8% 24.3% 46.9% +0.9 19
1943-01-24 Lazio Roma W 4-0 1907 1878 59.2% 23.7% 17.1% +15.0 18
1943-01-24 @ Bologna L 0-4 1878 1907 17.1% 23.7% 59.2% -15.0 18
1943-01-24 AC Milan W 4-2 1858 1838 58.3% 23.8% 17.9% +6.4 19
1943-01-24 @ Genova 1893 L 2-4 1838 1858 17.9% 23.8% 58.3% -6.4 17
1943-01-24 Liguria W 5-1 1908 1768 67.8% 22.2% 9.9% +7.5 23
1943-01-24 @ Inter Milan L 1-5 1768 1908 9.9% 22.2% 67.8% -7.5 15
1943-01-24 Venezia W 5-2 1898 1776 66.6% 22.5% 10.9% +5.5 22
1943-01-24 @ Juventus L 2-5 1776 1898 10.9% 22.5% 66.6% -5.5 9
1943-01-24 Torino D 0-0 1869 1958 46.0% 24.3% 29.7% -0.8 24
1943-01-24 @ Livorno D 0-0 1958 1869 29.7% 24.3% 46.0% +0.8 22
1943-01-24 Vicenza Virtus W 1-0 1801 1770 59.3% 23.7% 17.0% +4.2 14
1943-01-24 @ Roma L 0-1 1770 1801 17.0% 23.7% 59.3% -4.2 8
1943-01-24 Fiorentina W 3-0 1794 1843 51.0% 24.2% 24.7% +15.6 13
1943-01-24 @ Triestina L 0-3 1843 1794 24.7% 24.2% 51.0% -15.6 18
1943-01-31 Roma W 4-1 1831 1805 58.9% 23.7% 17.4% +9.8 19
1943-01-31 @ AC Milan L 1-4 1805 1831 17.4% 23.7% 58.9% -9.8 14
1943-01-31 Inter Milan L 2-5 1829 1915 46.5% 24.3% 29.2% -18.7 19
1943-01-31 @ Atalanta W 5-2 1915 1829 29.2% 24.3% 46.5% +18.8 25
1943-01-31 Triestina D 2-2 1922 1810 66.0% 22.7% 11.4% -2.0 19
1943-01-31 @ Bologna D 2-2 1810 1922 11.4% 22.7% 66.0% +2.0 14
1943-01-31 Bari D 0-0 1863 1744 66.4% 22.6% 11.1% -3.0 19
1943-01-31 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1744 1863 11.1% 22.6% 66.4% +3.0 14
1943-01-31 Livorno L 1-2 1760 1868 43.6% 24.3% 32.1% -8.4 15
1943-01-31 @ Liguria W 2-1 1868 1760 32.1% 24.3% 43.6% +8.4 26
1943-01-31 Juventus W 2-0 1959 1903 61.6% 23.4% 15.0% +7.0 24
1943-01-31 @ Torino L 0-2 1903 1959 15.0% 23.4% 61.6% -7.0 22
1943-01-31 Genova 1893 W 4-1 1771 1864 45.5% 24.3% 30.2% +15.4 11
1943-01-31 @ Venezia L 1-4 1864 1771 30.2% 24.3% 45.5% -15.4 19
1943-01-31 Fiorentina W 3-0 1766 1827 49.6% 24.2% 26.1% +16.3 10
1943-01-31 @ Vicenza Virtus L 0-3 1827 1766 26.1% 24.2% 49.6% -16.3 18
1943-02-07 Bologna L 0-1 1747 1920 34.6% 24.1% 41.3% -7.4 14
1943-02-07 @ Bari W 1-0 1920 1747 41.3% 24.1% 34.6% +7.4 21
1943-02-07 AC Milan W 3-0 1811 1841 53.1% 24.1% 22.8% +14.6 20
1943-02-07 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1841 1811 22.8% 24.1% 53.1% -14.6 19
1943-02-07 Torino D 3-3 1849 1966 42.3% 24.3% 33.4% -0.2 20
1943-02-07 @ Genova 1893 D 3-3 1966 1849 33.4% 24.3% 42.3% +0.2 25
1943-02-07 Lazio Roma W 4-1 1934 1860 63.0% 23.2% 13.8% +7.9 27
1943-02-07 @ Inter Milan L 1-4 1860 1934 13.8% 23.2% 63.0% -8.0 19
1943-02-07 Liguria W 4-1 1896 1752 68.1% 22.2% 9.7% +5.7 24
1943-02-07 @ Juventus L 1-4 1752 1896 9.7% 22.2% 68.1% -5.7 15
1943-02-07 Atalanta D 1-1 1876 1810 62.4% 23.3% 14.3% -2.3 27
1943-02-07 @ Livorno D 1-1 1810 1876 14.3% 23.3% 62.4% +2.3 20
1943-02-07 Venezia W 2-1 1795 1786 57.3% 23.9% 18.9% +4.3 16
1943-02-07 @ Roma L 1-2 1786 1795 18.9% 23.9% 57.3% -4.3 11
1943-02-07 Vicenza Virtus W 2-0 1812 1783 59.1% 23.7% 17.2% +7.9 16
1943-02-07 @ Triestina L 0-2 1783 1812 17.2% 23.7% 59.1% -7.9 10
1943-02-14 Vicenza Virtus D 1-1 1827 1775 61.2% 23.5% 15.4% -2.1 20
1943-02-14 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1775 1827 15.4% 23.5% 61.2% +2.1 11
1943-02-14 Juventus L 0-2 1813 1902 46.1% 24.3% 29.6% -17.5 20
1943-02-14 @ Atalanta W 2-0 1902 1813 29.6% 24.3% 46.1% +17.6 26
1943-02-14 Triestina W 1-0 1740 1819 47.3% 24.3% 28.4% +6.4 16
1943-02-14 @ Bari L 0-1 1819 1740 28.4% 24.3% 47.3% -6.4 16
1943-02-14 Inter Milan W 3-1 1928 1942 54.9% 24.0% 21.1% +8.2 23
1943-02-14 @ Bologna L 1-3 1942 1928 21.1% 24.0% 54.9% -8.2 27
1943-02-14 Livorno L 0-1 1852 1874 54.0% 24.1% 21.9% -10.7 19
1943-02-14 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1874 1852 21.9% 24.1% 54.0% +10.7 29
1943-02-14 Genova 1893 L 1-2 1746 1849 44.3% 24.3% 31.4% -8.5 15
1943-02-14 @ Liguria W 2-1 1849 1746 31.4% 24.3% 44.3% +8.5 22
1943-02-14 Roma W 4-0 1967 1800 69.5% 21.8% 8.7% +7.9 27
1943-02-14 @ Torino L 0-4 1800 1967 8.7% 21.8% 69.5% -7.9 16
1943-02-14 Fiorentina D 2-2 1782 1825 51.6% 24.2% 24.2% -0.9 12
1943-02-14 @ Venezia D 2-2 1825 1782 24.2% 24.2% 51.6% +0.9 21
1943-02-21 Torino L 2-3 1826 1974 38.1% 24.2% 37.7% -7.1 21
1943-02-21 @ Fiorentina W 3-2 1974 1826 37.7% 24.2% 38.1% +7.1 29
1943-02-21 Atalanta W 1-0 1857 1795 62.0% 23.3% 14.6% +3.6 24
1943-02-21 @ Genova 1893 L 0-1 1795 1857 14.6% 23.3% 62.0% -3.6 20
1943-02-21 Bari D 0-0 1934 1746 70.7% 21.4% 7.9% -3.4 28
1943-02-21 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1746 1934 7.9% 21.4% 70.7% +3.4 17
1943-02-21 Lazio Roma L 2-4 1919 1842 63.3% 23.2% 13.5% -18.3 26
1943-02-21 @ Juventus W 4-2 1842 1919 13.5% 23.2% 63.3% +18.3 21
1943-02-21 Bologna W 1-0 1885 1936 50.8% 24.2% 25.0% +5.8 31
1943-02-21 @ Livorno L 0-1 1936 1885 25.0% 24.2% 50.8% -5.8 23
1943-02-21 Liguria W 5-1 1792 1738 61.4% 23.4% 15.2% +11.2 18
1943-02-21 @ Roma L 1-5 1738 1792 15.2% 23.4% 61.4% -11.2 15
1943-02-21 AC Milan L 0-1 1813 1824 55.2% 24.0% 20.8% -10.9 16
1943-02-21 @ Triestina W 1-0 1824 1813 20.8% 24.0% 55.2% +10.9 22
1943-02-21 Venezia W 2-0 1777 1781 55.9% 24.0% 20.1% +9.1 13
1943-02-21 @ Vicenza Virtus L 0-2 1781 1777 20.1% 24.0% 55.9% -9.1 12
1943-02-28 Roma W 2-1 1792 1803 55.2% 24.0% 20.8% +4.7 22
1943-02-28 @ Atalanta L 1-2 1803 1792 20.8% 24.0% 55.2% -4.7 18
1943-02-28 Livorno D 1-1 1750 1891 39.1% 24.2% 36.6% -0.1 18
1943-02-28 @ Bari D 1-1 1891 1750 36.6% 24.2% 39.1% +0.1 32
1943-02-28 Juventus D 2-2 1930 1901 59.2% 23.7% 17.2% -1.5 24
1943-02-28 @ Bologna D 2-2 1901 1930 17.2% 23.7% 59.2% +1.4 27
1943-02-28 Triestina W 1-0 1930 1802 67.0% 22.4% 10.5% +2.7 30
1943-02-28 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1802 1930 10.5% 22.4% 67.0% -2.7 16
1943-02-28 Genova 1893 D 1-1 1860 1861 56.3% 23.9% 19.8% -1.6 22
1943-02-28 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1861 1860 19.8% 23.9% 56.3% +1.7 25
1943-02-28 Fiorentina D 2-2 1726 1819 45.6% 24.3% 30.1% -0.5 16
1943-02-28 @ Liguria D 2-2 1819 1726 30.1% 24.3% 45.6% +0.5 22
1943-02-28 Vicenza Virtus D 0-0 1982 1786 71.2% 21.3% 7.5% -3.5 30
1943-02-28 @ Torino D 0-0 1786 1982 7.5% 21.3% 71.2% +3.5 14
1943-02-28 AC Milan L 1-3 1772 1835 49.3% 24.3% 26.5% -16.1 12
1943-02-28 @ Venezia W 3-1 1835 1772 26.5% 24.3% 49.3% +16.1 24
1943-03-14 Vicenza Virtus D 2-2 1796 1789 57.0% 23.9% 19.1% -1.3 23
1943-03-14 @ Atalanta D 2-2 1789 1796 19.1% 23.9% 57.0% +1.3 15
1943-03-14 Genova 1893 D 0-0 1750 1862 43.0% 24.3% 32.7% -0.5 19
1943-03-14 @ Bari D 0-0 1862 1750 32.7% 24.3% 43.0% +0.5 26
1943-03-14 Roma W 4-2 1929 1798 67.2% 22.4% 10.4% +3.9 26
1943-03-14 @ Bologna L 2-4 1798 1929 10.4% 22.4% 67.2% -3.9 18
1943-03-14 Juventus W 3-1 1933 1903 59.3% 23.7% 17.0% +6.8 32
1943-03-14 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1903 1933 17.0% 23.7% 59.3% -6.8 27
1943-03-14 Fiorentina D 3-3 1858 1820 60.0% 23.6% 16.4% -1.3 23
1943-03-14 @ Lazio Roma D 3-3 1820 1858 16.4% 23.6% 60.0% +1.2 23
1943-03-14 Triestina D 0-0 1891 1799 64.4% 23.0% 12.7% -2.8 33
1943-03-14 @ Livorno D 0-0 1799 1891 12.7% 23.0% 64.4% +2.8 17
1943-03-14 AC Milan D 2-2 1726 1851 41.2% 24.3% 34.5% -0.2 17
1943-03-14 @ Liguria D 2-2 1851 1726 34.5% 24.3% 41.2% +0.2 25
1943-03-14 Venezia W 3-1 1978 1756 72.6% 20.7% 6.6% +2.7 32
1943-03-14 @ Torino L 1-3 1756 1978 6.6% 20.7% 72.6% -2.7 12
1943-03-21 Atalanta L 0-1 1852 1795 61.6% 23.4% 15.0% -12.2 25
1943-03-21 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1795 1852 15.0% 23.4% 61.6% +12.2 25
1943-03-21 Bologna L 0-1 1821 1933 43.1% 24.3% 32.6% -8.8 23
1943-03-21 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1933 1821 32.6% 24.3% 43.1% +8.8 28
1943-03-21 Inter Milan W 1-0 1863 1940 47.6% 24.3% 28.1% +6.3 28
1943-03-21 @ Genova 1893 L 0-1 1940 1863 28.1% 24.3% 47.6% -6.3 32
1943-03-21 Livorno W 3-0 1896 1888 57.1% 23.9% 19.0% +12.5 29
1943-03-21 @ Juventus L 0-3 1888 1896 19.0% 23.9% 57.1% -12.5 33
1943-03-21 Bari W 1-0 1794 1749 60.6% 23.5% 15.9% +3.9 20
1943-03-21 @ Roma L 0-1 1749 1794 15.9% 23.5% 60.6% -3.9 19
1943-03-21 Torino L 2-3 1802 1981 33.9% 24.1% 42.1% -6.5 17
1943-03-21 @ Triestina W 3-2 1981 1802 42.1% 24.1% 33.9% +6.5 34
1943-03-21 Liguria W 1-0 1753 1726 59.0% 23.7% 17.3% +4.2 14
1943-03-21 @ Venezia L 0-1 1726 1753 17.3% 23.7% 59.0% -4.2 17
1943-03-21 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1791 1857 48.9% 24.3% 26.8% -1.0 16
1943-03-21 @ Vicenza Virtus D 1-1 1857 1791 26.8% 24.3% 48.9% +1.0 24
1943-03-28 Venezia L 1-2 1807 1757 61.0% 23.5% 15.5% -11.4 25
1943-03-28 @ Atalanta W 2-1 1757 1807 15.5% 23.5% 61.0% +11.4 16
1943-03-28 Fiorentina W 4-2 1745 1812 48.9% 24.3% 26.8% +8.9 21
1943-03-28 @ Bari L 2-4 1812 1745 26.8% 24.3% 48.9% -8.9 23
1943-03-28 Vicenza Virtus L 1-2 1942 1790 68.6% 22.1% 9.4% -12.7 28
1943-03-28 @ Bologna W 2-1 1790 1942 9.4% 22.1% 68.6% +12.7 18
1943-03-28 Roma L 0-2 1934 1798 67.5% 22.3% 10.2% -25.1 32
1943-03-28 @ Inter Milan W 2-0 1798 1934 10.2% 22.3% 67.5% +25.1 22
1943-03-28 Triestina W 6-2 1908 1796 65.9% 22.7% 11.4% +7.3 31
1943-03-28 @ Juventus L 2-6 1796 1908 11.4% 22.7% 65.9% -7.3 17
1943-03-28 AC Milan W 4-2 1858 1840 58.1% 23.8% 18.1% +6.4 26
1943-03-28 @ Lazio Roma L 2-4 1840 1858 18.1% 23.8% 58.1% -6.4 25
1943-03-28 Genova 1893 W 3-1 1876 1869 57.0% 23.9% 19.1% +7.5 35
1943-03-28 @ Livorno L 1-3 1869 1876 19.1% 23.9% 57.0% -7.5 28
1943-03-28 Torino L 2-3 1721 1987 23.4% 23.3% 53.3% -4.8 17
1943-03-28 @ Liguria W 3-2 1987 1721 53.3% 23.3% 23.4% +4.8 36
1943-04-04 Bologna W 3-2 1833 1929 45.2% 24.3% 30.4% +6.0 27
1943-04-04 @ AC Milan L 2-3 1929 1833 30.4% 24.3% 45.2% -6.0 28
1943-04-04 Inter Milan W 2-0 1803 1909 44.0% 24.3% 31.7% +13.1 25
1943-04-04 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1909 1803 31.7% 24.3% 44.0% -13.1 32
1943-04-04 Juventus L 1-2 1862 1916 50.4% 24.2% 25.4% -9.5 28
1943-04-04 @ Genova 1893 W 2-1 1916 1862 25.4% 24.2% 50.4% +9.5 33
1943-04-04 Livorno W 1-0 1823 1883 49.8% 24.2% 26.0% +5.9 24
1943-04-04 @ Roma L 0-1 1883 1823 26.0% 24.2% 49.8% -5.9 35
1943-04-04 Atalanta W 4-2 1992 1796 71.2% 21.2% 7.5% +2.8 38
1943-04-04 @ Torino L 2-4 1796 1992 7.5% 21.2% 71.2% -2.8 25
1943-04-04 Liguria W 3-1 1788 1717 62.8% 23.2% 13.9% +5.7 19
1943-04-04 @ Triestina L 1-3 1717 1788 13.9% 23.2% 62.8% -5.7 17
1943-04-04 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1769 1864 45.2% 24.3% 30.4% +6.3 18
1943-04-04 @ Venezia L 1-2 1864 1769 30.4% 24.3% 45.2% -6.3 26
1943-04-04 Bari W 1-0 1802 1754 60.9% 23.5% 15.6% +3.9 20
1943-04-04 @ Vicenza Virtus L 0-1 1754 1802 15.6% 23.5% 60.9% -3.9 21
1943-04-11 Liguria W 2-0 1793 1711 63.7% 23.1% 13.2% +6.3 27
1943-04-11 @ Atalanta L 0-2 1711 1793 13.2% 23.1% 63.7% -6.2 17
1943-04-11 AC Milan W 2-0 1750 1839 46.1% 24.3% 29.6% +12.4 23
1943-04-11 @ Bari L 0-2 1839 1750 29.6% 24.3% 46.1% -12.4 27
1943-04-11 Venezia L 0-2 1923 1775 68.3% 22.1% 9.6% -25.4 28
1943-04-11 @ Bologna W 2-0 1775 1923 9.6% 22.1% 68.3% +25.4 20
1943-04-11 Triestina D 1-1 1852 1794 61.7% 23.4% 14.9% -2.2 29
1943-04-11 @ Genova 1893 D 1-1 1794 1852 14.9% 23.4% 61.7% +2.2 20
1943-04-11 Vicenza Virtus L 1-2 1895 1806 64.2% 23.0% 12.8% -12.0 32
1943-04-11 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1806 1895 12.8% 23.0% 64.2% +12.0 22
1943-04-11 Roma L 1-2 1925 1829 64.7% 22.9% 12.4% -12.0 33
1943-04-11 @ Juventus W 2-1 1829 1925 12.4% 22.9% 64.7% +12.0 26
1943-04-11 Torino L 2-3 1858 1995 39.6% 24.3% 36.1% -7.4 26
1943-04-11 @ Lazio Roma W 3-2 1995 1858 36.1% 24.3% 39.6% +7.4 40
1943-04-11 Fiorentina W 4-1 1877 1816 62.0% 23.4% 14.7% +8.4 37
1943-04-11 @ Livorno L 1-4 1816 1877 14.7% 23.4% 62.0% -8.4 25
1943-04-18 Inter Milan L 0-3 1827 1884 50.1% 24.2% 25.7% -27.4 27
1943-04-18 @ AC Milan W 3-0 1884 1827 25.7% 24.2% 50.1% +27.4 34
1943-04-18 Triestina D 2-2 1799 1796 56.6% 23.9% 19.5% -1.3 28
1943-04-18 @ Atalanta D 2-2 1796 1799 19.5% 23.9% 56.6% +1.3 21
1943-04-18 Juventus L 3-4 1808 1913 44.0% 24.3% 31.7% -7.8 25
1943-04-18 @ Fiorentina W 4-3 1913 1808 31.7% 24.3% 44.0% +7.8 35
1943-04-18 Genova 1893 L 2-3 1841 1850 55.5% 24.0% 20.5% -9.8 26
1943-04-18 @ Roma W 3-2 1850 1841 20.5% 24.0% 55.5% +9.8 31
1943-04-18 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1705 1851 38.4% 24.2% 37.4% +14.8 19
1943-04-18 @ Liguria L 0-2 1851 1705 37.4% 24.2% 38.4% -14.8 26
1943-04-18 Bologna W 2-1 2002 1897 65.4% 22.8% 11.8% +2.8 42
1943-04-18 @ Torino L 1-2 1897 2002 11.8% 22.8% 65.4% -2.8 28
1943-04-18 Bari D 0-0 1800 1763 59.9% 23.6% 16.5% -2.3 21
1943-04-18 @ Venezia D 0-0 1763 1800 16.5% 23.6% 59.9% +2.2 24
1943-04-18 Livorno L 1-3 1818 1886 48.8% 24.3% 26.9% -16.0 22
1943-04-18 @ Vicenza Virtus W 3-1 1886 1818 26.9% 24.3% 48.8% +16.0 39
1943-04-25 Torino L 0-1 1765 2005 26.2% 23.6% 50.2% -5.9 24
1943-04-25 @ Bari W 1-0 2005 1765 50.2% 23.6% 26.2% +5.9 44
1943-04-25 Liguria D 3-3 1895 1720 70.0% 21.6% 8.4% -1.9 29
1943-04-25 @ Bologna D 3-3 1720 1895 8.4% 21.6% 70.0% +1.9 20
1943-04-25 Fiorentina L 0-2 1860 1800 61.9% 23.4% 14.8% -23.0 31
1943-04-25 @ Genova 1893 W 2-0 1800 1860 14.8% 23.4% 61.9% +23.0 27
1943-04-25 Venezia L 1-4 1911 1798 66.0% 22.7% 11.4% -30.0 34
1943-04-25 @ Inter Milan W 4-1 1798 1911 11.4% 22.7% 66.0% +30.0 23
1943-04-25 Vicenza Virtus L 2-6 1921 1802 66.4% 22.6% 11.1% -33.1 35
1943-04-25 @ Juventus W 6-2 1802 1921 11.1% 22.6% 66.4% +33.1 24
1943-04-25 Atalanta W 3-2 1836 1798 60.0% 23.6% 16.4% +3.6 28
1943-04-25 @ Lazio Roma L 2-3 1798 1836 16.4% 23.6% 60.0% -3.6 28
1943-04-25 AC Milan W 3-1 1901 1799 65.2% 22.8% 12.0% +4.9 41
1943-04-25 @ Livorno L 1-3 1799 1901 12.0% 22.8% 65.2% -4.9 27
1943-04-25 Roma W 2-0 1798 1832 52.7% 24.1% 23.1% +10.2 23
1943-04-25 @ Triestina L 0-2 1832 1798 23.1% 24.1% 52.7% -10.2 26
1943-05-07 Torino W 1-0 1794 2011 29.0% 23.8% 47.2% +9.5 29
1943-05-07 @ AC Milan L 0-1 2011 1794 47.2% 23.8% 29.0% -9.5 44
1943-05-07 Atalanta W 2-0 1823 1794 59.1% 23.7% 17.2% +7.9 29
1943-05-07 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1794 1823 17.2% 23.7% 59.1% -7.9 28
1943-05-07 Bologna W 3-1 1837 1893 50.2% 24.2% 25.6% +9.6 33
1943-05-07 @ Genova 1893 L 1-3 1893 1837 25.6% 24.2% 50.2% -9.6 29
1943-05-07 Bari W 5-0 1888 1759 67.1% 22.4% 10.5% +11.8 37
1943-05-07 @ Juventus L 0-5 1759 1888 10.5% 22.4% 67.1% -11.8 24
1943-05-07 Inter Milan W 4-2 1906 1881 58.8% 23.7% 17.4% +6.2 43
1943-05-07 @ Livorno L 2-4 1881 1906 17.4% 23.7% 58.8% -6.2 34
1943-05-07 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1821 1839 54.5% 24.1% 21.5% +5.1 28
1943-05-07 @ Roma L 0-1 1839 1821 21.5% 24.1% 54.5% -5.1 28
1943-05-07 Venezia D 1-1 1808 1828 54.2% 24.1% 21.7% -1.5 24
1943-05-07 @ Triestina D 1-1 1828 1808 21.7% 24.1% 54.2% +1.5 24
1943-05-07 Liguria D 1-1 1835 1721 66.0% 22.7% 11.3% -2.6 25
1943-05-07 @ Vicenza Virtus D 1-1 1721 1835 11.3% 22.7% 66.0% +2.6 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1943-03-28 9.38% Vicenza Virtus 1790 2 @ Bologna 1942 1
2 1943-04-11 9.57% Venezia 1775 2 @ Bologna 1923 0
3 1942-11-22 9.91% AC Milan 1812 1 @ Torino 1953 0
4 1943-03-28 10.18% Roma 1798 2 @ Inter Milan 1934 0
5 1943-04-25 11.06% Vicenza Virtus 1802 6 @ Juventus 1921 2
6 1943-04-25 11.38% Venezia 1798 4 @ Inter Milan 1911 1
7 1943-04-11 12.38% Roma 1829 2 @ Juventus 1925 1
8 1943-01-17 12.60% Inter Milan 1887 3 @ Torino 1979 1
9 1943-04-11 12.79% Vicenza Virtus 1806 2 @ Inter Milan 1895 1
10 1943-02-21 13.52% Lazio Roma 1842 4 @ Juventus 1919 2
11 1943-01-03 13.68% Roma 1801 2 @ Genova 1893 1876 0
12 1943-04-25 14.77% Fiorentina 1800 2 @ Genova 1893 1860 0
13 1943-03-21 14.99% Atalanta 1795 1 @ AC Milan 1852 0
14 1943-03-28 15.51% Venezia 1757 2 @ Atalanta 1807 1
15 1942-10-11 15.93% Livorno 1825 2 @ Torino 1870 1
16 1943-01-10 16.61% Triestina 1789 2 @ Roma 1824 1
17 1942-12-06 16.87% Juventus 1857 3 @ Livorno 1889 0
18 1942-11-08 17.93% Vicenza Virtus 1815 1 @ Venezia 1835 0
19 1942-11-29 18.26% Atalanta 1793 3 @ Vicenza Virtus 1810 2
20 1942-12-13 18.75% Inter Milan 1825 3 @ Roma 1836 1
21 1942-11-01 18.94% Torino 1889 4 @ Roma 1897 0
22 1943-01-03 19.63% Atalanta 1799 1 @ Triestina 1800 0
23 1942-11-15 19.77% Venezia 1823 2 @ AC Milan 1823 1
24 1942-11-08 20.02% Livorno 1870 2 @ Bologna 1867 1
25 1942-10-18 20.05% Torino 1858 5 @ Juventus 1855 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1943-01-10 42.39 Bologna 7 1872 26.78% @ Liguria 1 1806 48.96% 24.27%
2 1942-11-01 40.51 Torino 4 1889 18.94% @ Roma 0 1897 57.19% 23.87%
3 1943-04-25 33.11 Vicenza Virtus 6 1802 11.06% @ Juventus 2 1921 66.36% 22.58%
4 1942-12-06 32.21 Juventus 3 1857 16.87% @ Livorno 0 1889 59.47% 23.66%
5 1943-04-25 30.05 Venezia 4 1798 11.38% @ Inter Milan 1 1911 65.96% 22.66%
6 1943-04-18 27.42 Inter Milan 3 1884 25.67% @ AC Milan 0 1827 50.09% 24.24%
7 1943-04-11 25.37 Venezia 2 1775 9.57% @ Bologna 0 1923 68.32% 22.11%
8 1943-03-28 25.09 Roma 2 1798 10.18% @ Inter Milan 0 1934 67.50% 22.32%
9 1942-11-29 24.35 Torino 3 1940 32.05% @ Venezia 0 1832 43.64% 24.31%
10 1943-01-03 23.52 Roma 2 1801 13.68% @ Genova 1893 0 1876 63.15% 23.18%
11 1943-04-25 23.04 Fiorentina 2 1800 14.77% @ Genova 1893 0 1860 61.86% 23.37%
12 1942-10-18 22.19 Torino 5 1858 20.05% @ Juventus 2 1855 55.99% 23.96%
13 1943-01-17 20.77 Inter Milan 3 1887 12.60% @ Torino 1 1979 64.44% 22.96%
14 1942-10-25 19.86 Livorno 2 1843 22.92% @ Atalanta 0 1811 52.94% 24.14%
15 1943-01-31 18.75 Inter Milan 5 1915 29.24% @ Atalanta 2 1829 46.46% 24.30%
16 1943-01-10 18.59 Inter Milan 2 1869 26.52% @ Venezia 0 1804 49.21% 24.26%
17 1942-12-13 18.56 Inter Milan 3 1825 18.75% @ Roma 1 1836 57.39% 23.85%
18 1943-02-21 18.27 Lazio Roma 4 1842 13.52% @ Juventus 2 1919 63.33% 23.15%
19 1942-10-25 17.98 Fiorentina 3 1838 20.51% @ AC Milan 1 1830 55.50% 23.99%
20 1943-02-14 17.56 Juventus 2 1902 29.61% @ Atalanta 0 1813 46.08% 24.31%
21 1942-12-20 16.97 @ Inter Milan 4 1844 56.21% Fiorentina 0 1845 19.84% 23.94%
22 1942-12-06 16.80 @ Inter Milan 3 1809 48.61% Genova 1893 0 1878 27.11% 24.28%
23 1942-11-08 16.57 @ Liguria 3 1791 49.08% Roma 0 1857 26.65% 24.27%
24 1943-01-31 16.31 @ Vicenza Virtus 3 1766 49.62% Fiorentina 0 1827 26.12% 24.25%
25 1942-10-04 16.13 @ Genova 1893 6 1860 57.94% Vicenza Virtus 1 1844 18.25% 23.80%