Home / Leagues / Italy / Serie A / 1941-42
‹ ›

1941-42 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Roma

42 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Modena

19 pts

Napoli · 23 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Roma

7.47 points above expected

42 points · 34.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Modena

5.60 points below expected

19 points · 24.60 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Roma Champion 30 16 10 4 42 55 21 +34 34.53 +7.47
2 Torino 30 16 7 7 39 60 39 +21 32.61 +6.39
3 Venezia 30 15 8 7 38 40 25 +15 31.89 +6.11
4 Lazio Roma 30 14 9 7 37 55 37 +18 30.95 +6.05
5 Genova 1893 30 13 11 6 37 53 35 +18 31.73 +5.27
6 Juventus 30 12 8 10 32 47 41 +6 31.37 +0.63
7 Bologna 30 12 5 13 29 50 37 +13 32.62 -3.62
8 Triestina 30 8 13 9 29 29 32 -3 29.83 -0.83
9 Fiorentina 30 11 5 14 27 51 50 +1 28.78 -1.78
10 AC Milan 30 10 7 13 27 53 53 0 31.37 -4.37
11 Liguria 30 10 7 13 27 39 56 -17 27.75 -0.75
12 Inter Milan 30 7 12 11 26 31 47 -16 29.40 -3.40
13 Atalanta 30 8 8 14 24 34 47 -13 28.87 -4.87
14 Livorno 30 9 6 15 24 35 57 -22 27.34 -3.34
15 Napoli Relegated 30 8 7 15 23 32 51 -19 26.37 -3.37
16 Modena Relegated 30 6 7 17 19 23 59 -36 24.60 -5.60

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Roma 1955 42 34.53 +7.47 98.1% 20 28 32 35 37 41 48
Lazio Roma 1927 37 30.95 +6.05 94.9% 17 24 28 31 34 38 46
Torino 1920 39 32.61 +6.39 95.9% 17 26 30 33 35 39 47
Genova 1893 1859 37 31.73 +5.27 92.7% 18 25 29 32 34 38 49
Venezia 1858 38 31.89 +6.11 95.0% 17 25 29 32 35 38 46
Bologna 1845 29 32.62 -3.62 21.5% 19 26 30 33 35 39 49
Juventus 1839 32 31.37 +0.63 61.1% 16 25 29 31 34 38 46
Fiorentina 1765 27 28.78 -1.78 37.5% 14 22 26 29 31 35 44
Triestina 1753 29 29.83 -0.83 46.8% 14 23 27 30 33 36 45
AC Milan 1726 27 31.37 -4.37 17.1% 16 25 29 31 34 38 46
Napoli 1725 23 26.37 -3.37 23.1% 11 20 24 26 29 33 41
Livorno 1702 24 27.34 -3.34 23.4% 13 21 25 27 30 34 42
Inter Milan 1698 26 29.40 -3.40 23.8% 16 23 27 29 32 36 43
Liguria 1686 27 27.75 -0.75 47.7% 13 21 25 28 30 34 43
Atalanta 1680 24 28.87 -4.87 13.4% 13 22 26 29 32 35 45
Modena 1627 19 24.60 -5.60 10.0% 12 18 22 25 27 31 41

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ATA BOL FIO G1 IM JUV LR LIG LIV MOD NAP ROM TOR TRI VEN
AC Milan —
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.62
0-2-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.71
Atalanta
1-0-1
2.33
 —
0-0-2
2.57
2-0-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.42
0-2-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.48
0-2-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.47
Bologna
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.86
 —
1-0-1
3.06
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
3.36
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.77
1-0-1
3.21
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.79
Fiorentina
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
2.40
 —
1-0-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.03
0-0-2
3.03
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.52
Genova 1893
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.01
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.90
 —
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.61
Inter Milan
0-1-1
2.52
0-2-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.81
0-1-1
2.48
 —
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.93
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.80
0-2-0
2.58
Juventus
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.91
 —
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.23
0-1-1
3.42
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.74
Lazio Roma
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
2.57
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.67
 —
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.52
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.69
2-0-0
2.45
Liguria
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.61
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.50
 —
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.46
0-0-2
1.96
Livorno
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.67
 —
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
1.58
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.48
Modena
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
1.68
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
1.83
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.39
 —
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.16
Napoli
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.26
2-0-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
2.02
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.76
 —
0-1-1
1.93
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
2.39
Roma
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.05
0-0-2
3.02
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.88
1-1-0
4.10
1-1-0
3.51
 —
0-2-0
2.87
0-2-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.85
Torino
2-0-0
2.82
2-0-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.54
0-1-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.17
0-2-0
2.58
 —
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.86
Triestina
0-2-0
2.63
0-2-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.61
0-2-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.92
0-2-0
2.49
0-0-2
2.44
 —
0-1-1
2.46
Venezia
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.82
0-2-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.98
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.97
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.55 +4.4
Allowed 0.72 -5.0
Differential 0.88 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%7.92%6.46%2.71%1.46%1.04%26.25%
17.92%15.00%6.67%2.71%1.67%1.88%35.83%
26.46%6.67%5.42%1.88%0.62%0.62%21.67%
32.71%2.71%1.88%—0.62%0.21%8.12%
41.46%1.67%0.62%0.62%——4.38%
5+1.04%1.88%0.62%0.21%——3.75%
Total26.25%35.83%21.67%8.12%4.38%3.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.10
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%10.00%———20.00%
1—10.00%3.33%6.67%——20.00%
210.00%6.67%13.33%3.33%—6.67%40.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%—3.33%—13.33%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total13.33%33.33%33.33%10.00%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.77 +0.00
SD 1.45 1.30 1.97
CV 0.82 0.74 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%—40.00%
16.67%13.33%3.33%6.67%—3.33%33.33%
2—3.33%3.33%3.33%——10.00%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total26.67%33.33%20.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.57 -0.43
SD 1.33 1.79 2.42
CV 1.18 1.15 —
Max 5 9 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%3.33%———23.33%
16.67%10.00%10.00%——3.33%30.00%
213.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%——30.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
Total26.67%40.00%23.33%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.23 +0.43
SD 1.63 1.14 2.08
CV 0.98 0.92 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.33%3.33%—3.33%—20.00%
13.33%13.33%10.00%10.00%——36.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%—3.33%3.33%23.33%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4—6.67%—3.33%——10.00%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total13.33%43.33%20.00%13.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.67 +0.03
SD 1.68 1.27 2.28
CV 0.99 0.76 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%—3.33%3.33%——20.00%
16.67%23.33%10.00%—3.33%—43.33%
23.33%3.33%————6.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
43.33%——6.67%——10.00%
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total33.33%33.33%20.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.17 +0.60
SD 1.70 1.12 1.99
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%33.33%
113.33%23.33%3.33%—3.33%3.33%46.67%
2—3.33%6.67%3.33%——13.33%
3———————
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total23.33%43.33%13.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.57 -0.53
SD 1.16 1.63 2.08
CV 1.12 1.04 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%—10.00%3.33%——16.67%
13.33%23.33%10.00%—6.67%—43.33%
210.00%3.33%—3.33%——16.67%
36.67%—6.67%———13.33%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+———————
Total26.67%30.00%30.00%6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.37 +0.20
SD 1.22 1.16 1.90
CV 0.78 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
16.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
23.33%16.67%10.00%———30.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
Total23.33%43.33%23.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.23 +0.60
SD 1.46 1.01 1.98
CV 0.80 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
113.33%16.67%6.67%—3.33%—40.00%
2—13.33%6.67%6.67%——26.67%
3————3.33%—3.33%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total13.33%36.67%23.33%13.33%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.87 -0.57
SD 1.09 1.53 2.01
CV 0.84 0.82 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%—30.00%
13.33%13.33%10.00%3.33%—6.67%36.67%
210.00%3.33%3.33%—3.33%—20.00%
33.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%26.67%26.67%10.00%10.00%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.90 -0.73
SD 1.02 1.67 2.21
CV 0.87 0.88 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%6.67%40.00%
113.33%16.67%10.00%3.33%—3.33%46.67%
23.33%—3.33%3.33%——10.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%26.67%23.33%13.33%3.33%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.97 -1.20
SD 0.77 2.04 2.40
CV 1.01 1.04 —
Max 3 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
16.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%10.00%46.67%
2—13.33%————13.33%
33.33%————3.33%6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%50.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.70 -0.63
SD 1.01 1.60 1.83
CV 0.95 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—6.67%———23.33%
110.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
220.00%6.67%10.00%—3.33%—40.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+6.67%3.33%————10.00%
Total60.00%16.67%20.00%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 0.70 +1.13
SD 1.74 1.02 2.11
CV 0.95 1.46 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%—3.33%——16.67%
110.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
26.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
33.33%10.00%6.67%—3.33%—23.33%
4———————
5+—3.33%3.33%3.33%——10.00%
Total26.67%40.00%16.67%10.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.30 +0.70
SD 1.89 1.18 2.07
CV 0.95 0.91 —
Max 9 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%10.00%——3.33%43.33%
113.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
23.33%3.33%13.33%———20.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total40.00%26.67%26.67%3.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.07 -0.10
SD 1.16 1.17 1.65
CV 1.20 1.10 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%6.67%———26.67%
110.00%13.33%6.67%———30.00%
213.33%13.33%3.33%———30.00%
3—10.00%————10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%50.00%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.83 +0.50
SD 1.09 0.70 1.31
CV 0.82 0.84 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Roma 42 34.53 +7.47
2 Torino 39 32.61 +6.39
3 Venezia 38 31.89 +6.11
4 Lazio Roma 37 30.95 +6.05
5 Genova 1893 37 31.73 +5.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Modena 19 24.60 -5.60
2 Atalanta 24 28.87 -4.87
3 AC Milan 27 31.37 -4.37
4 Bologna 29 32.62 -3.62
5 Inter Milan 26 29.40 -3.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Napoli 4 May 17 – Jun 7 1 in 970
2 Torino 5 Jan 4 – Feb 1 1 in 271
3 Atalanta 3 Dec 14 – Dec 28 1 in 143
4 Bologna 4 Jan 11 – Feb 1 1 in 84
5 Roma 4 Jan 4 – Jan 25 1 in 69

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Milan 4 Nov 30 – Dec 21 1 in 54
2 Liguria 4 Feb 22 – Mar 15 1 in 31
3 Roma 2 Mar 1 – Mar 8 1 in 25
4 Atalanta 3 Nov 16 – Nov 30 1 in 21
5 Triestina 3 Jan 11 – Jan 25 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Roma 13 Nov 23 – Feb 22 1 in 201
2 Genova 1893 9 Dec 14 – Feb 15 1 in 96
3 Venezia 9 Oct 26 – Dec 21 1 in 68
4 Lazio Roma 8 Apr 26 – Jun 14 1 in 57
5 Torino 7 Dec 21 – Feb 1 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Triestina 12 Dec 14 – Mar 8 1 in 299
2 AC Milan 7 May 3 – Jun 14 1 in 74
3 Modena 8 Nov 9 – Dec 28 1 in 39
4 Inter Milan 7 Jan 11 – Mar 1 1 in 31
5 Napoli 7 Nov 9 – Dec 21 1 in 16

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Roma27.73%17.08%13.14%9.11%7.32%6.44%4.68%3.72%2.93%2.59%1.65%1.43%0.88%0.74%0.36%0.20%
Torino12.91%12.07%11.05%10.98%8.54%7.48%6.72%6.57%5.42%4.88%3.94%3.30%2.43%1.83%1.29%0.59%
Venezia8.97%9.56%9.66%8.81%9.28%8.16%8.11%7.25%6.23%6.07%5.00%4.02%3.40%2.53%1.98%0.97%
Lazio Roma6.57%7.30%7.71%8.06%8.30%8.21%7.85%7.80%7.03%6.50%5.85%5.46%4.71%4.14%3.02%1.49%
Genova 18938.73%9.91%9.65%9.34%8.25%7.56%7.87%6.79%7.08%5.73%5.35%4.49%3.26%2.73%2.02%1.24%
Juventus6.42%7.60%8.50%8.27%8.77%8.50%8.11%7.78%7.10%6.45%6.07%4.75%4.12%3.68%2.43%1.45%
Bologna11.89%11.87%10.13%10.14%9.15%8.54%7.37%6.28%5.91%4.64%4.33%3.02%2.63%1.98%1.42%0.70%
Triestina2.83%4.30%5.30%5.85%7.02%7.21%6.97%7.64%7.69%7.69%7.84%7.54%7.47%6.38%5.13%3.14%
Fiorentina1.60%2.55%3.67%4.64%4.88%6.12%6.76%7.00%7.71%8.23%8.77%9.19%8.58%7.79%7.32%5.19%
AC Milan6.18%7.71%8.44%8.43%8.50%8.21%7.60%7.21%7.37%6.39%6.16%5.06%4.72%3.88%2.64%1.50%
Liguria0.90%1.74%2.04%2.91%3.56%3.85%4.98%6.18%6.68%7.23%8.07%9.27%11.00%10.80%11.40%9.39%
Inter Milan2.30%3.44%4.20%5.04%5.52%6.19%6.71%7.20%7.39%8.03%8.43%8.23%8.04%7.73%6.72%4.83%
Atalanta1.86%2.68%3.33%4.09%4.91%5.86%6.29%7.12%7.59%8.24%8.56%8.62%8.70%8.95%7.16%6.04%
Livorno0.72%1.25%1.78%2.10%3.02%3.84%4.84%5.25%6.02%6.83%7.59%9.70%10.51%11.69%12.86%12.00%
Napoli0.32%0.67%0.97%1.55%2.09%2.63%3.40%4.21%4.83%6.38%7.35%9.12%11.15%13.01%16.07%16.25%
Modena0.07%0.27%0.43%0.68%0.89%1.20%1.74%2.00%3.02%4.12%5.04%6.80%8.40%12.14%18.18%35.02%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+36.25%
Strong Edge
54.58%27.08%18.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
146 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0131.94400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.90 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.90+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.3
Wide Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
28%
Roma, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Photo Finish
00.070.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.18 * Some Luck: 3.18 to 4.76 * Lucky: 4.76 to 6.35 * Wild Swing: 6.35 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.79 * Close: 2.79 to 4.18 * Off: 4.18 to 5.57 * Way Off: 5.57 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.14 * A Surprise: 1.14 to 1.83 * Several Surprises: 1.83 to 2.52 * Many Surprises: 2.52 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.50 points
Some Luck
03.9710
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.56
Pinpoint
03.488
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
98.14%
Roma
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
10.00%
Modena
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.23
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.58
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.29
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.01
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.17 * Well Above Noise: 0.17 and up.
Probability calibration
0.07
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.76
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.0870.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Roma 99.44% 0.56%
Torino 98.12% 1.88%
Bologna 97.88% 2.12%
Venezia 97.05% 2.95%
Genova 1893 96.74% 3.26%
Juventus 96.12% 3.88%
AC Milan 95.86% 4.14%
Lazio Roma 95.49% 4.51%
Triestina 91.73% 8.27%
Inter Milan 88.45% 11.55%
Fiorentina 87.49% 12.51%
Atalanta 86.80% 13.20%
Liguria 79.21% 20.79%
Livorno 75.14% 24.86%
Napoli 67.68% 32.32%
Modena 46.80% 53.20%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1941-10-26 Modena W 7-1 1806 1795 58.8% 28.0% 13.2% +26.3 2
1941-10-26 @ AC Milan L 1-7 1795 1806 13.2% 28.0% 58.8% -26.4 0
1941-10-26 Livorno W 4-0 1778 1775 58.2% 28.0% 13.7% +22.5 2
1941-10-26 @ Atalanta L 0-4 1775 1778 13.7% 28.0% 58.2% -22.5 0
1941-10-26 Juventus D 1-1 1783 1781 58.1% 28.1% 13.8% -3.5 1
1941-10-26 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1781 1783 13.8% 28.1% 58.1% +3.5 1
1941-10-26 Bologna W 3-2 1792 1810 56.5% 28.2% 15.3% +6.2 2
1941-10-26 @ Genova 1893 L 2-3 1810 1792 15.3% 28.2% 56.5% -6.2 0
1941-10-26 Napoli W 5-1 1783 1769 59.1% 27.9% 13.0% +17.9 2
1941-10-26 @ Roma L 1-5 1769 1783 13.0% 27.9% 59.1% -17.9 0
1941-10-26 Liguria W 3-2 1781 1773 58.6% 28.0% 13.4% +5.5 2
1941-10-26 @ Torino L 2-3 1773 1781 13.4% 28.0% 58.6% -5.5 0
1941-10-26 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1786 1782 58.3% 28.0% 13.7% -4.0 1
1941-10-26 @ Triestina D 0-0 1782 1786 13.7% 28.0% 58.3% +4.0 1
1941-10-26 Inter Milan D 0-0 1770 1799 55.5% 28.3% 16.2% -3.4 1
1941-10-26 @ Venezia D 0-0 1799 1770 16.2% 28.3% 55.5% +3.4 1
1941-11-02 Roma L 1-2 1804 1801 58.2% 28.0% 13.7% -18.9 0
1941-11-02 @ Bologna W 2-1 1801 1804 13.7% 28.0% 58.2% +18.9 4
1941-11-02 Triestina D 1-1 1802 1782 59.6% 27.9% 12.6% -3.8 2
1941-11-02 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1782 1802 12.6% 27.9% 59.6% +3.8 2
1941-11-02 Genova 1893 D 1-1 1785 1798 56.9% 28.2% 14.9% -3.3 2
1941-11-02 @ Juventus D 1-1 1798 1785 14.9% 28.2% 56.9% +3.3 3
1941-11-02 Torino W 4-1 1786 1786 58.0% 28.1% 13.9% +14.7 3
1941-11-02 @ Lazio Roma L 1-4 1786 1786 13.9% 28.1% 58.0% -14.7 2
1941-11-02 Venezia D 1-1 1753 1767 56.8% 28.2% 15.0% -3.3 1
1941-11-02 @ Livorno D 1-1 1767 1753 15.0% 28.2% 56.8% +3.3 2
1941-11-02 Atalanta W 2-0 1769 1801 55.3% 28.3% 16.4% +13.8 2
1941-11-02 @ Modena L 0-2 1801 1769 16.4% 28.3% 55.3% -13.8 2
1941-11-02 AC Milan W 2-1 1751 1832 50.4% 28.6% 21.0% +8.4 2
1941-11-02 @ Napoli L 1-2 1832 1751 21.0% 28.6% 50.4% -8.4 2
1941-11-02 Fiorentina D 1-1 1768 1780 57.0% 28.2% 14.8% -3.3 1
1941-11-02 @ Liguria D 1-1 1780 1768 14.8% 28.2% 57.0% +3.3 2
1941-11-09 Bologna W 2-0 1824 1785 60.9% 27.6% 11.4% +10.1 4
1941-11-09 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1785 1824 11.4% 27.6% 60.9% -10.1 0
1941-11-09 Napoli W 5-1 1787 1759 60.1% 27.8% 12.1% +16.8 4
1941-11-09 @ Atalanta L 1-5 1759 1787 12.1% 27.8% 60.1% -16.8 2
1941-11-09 Genova 1893 W 2-0 1783 1802 56.4% 28.2% 15.3% +13.0 4
1941-11-09 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1802 1783 15.3% 28.2% 56.4% -13.0 3
1941-11-09 Juventus W 2-0 1820 1782 60.9% 27.7% 11.5% +10.1 6
1941-11-09 @ Roma L 0-2 1782 1820 11.5% 27.7% 60.9% -10.1 2
1941-11-09 Lazio Roma W 4-1 1764 1801 54.8% 28.4% 16.8% +17.2 3
1941-11-09 @ Liguria L 1-4 1801 1764 16.8% 28.4% 54.8% -17.2 3
1941-11-09 Inter Milan D 1-1 1771 1799 55.7% 28.3% 16.0% -3.1 3
1941-11-09 @ Torino D 1-1 1799 1771 16.0% 28.3% 55.7% +3.1 3
1941-11-09 Livorno W 5-1 1786 1749 60.8% 27.7% 11.5% +16.2 4
1941-11-09 @ Triestina L 1-5 1749 1786 11.5% 27.7% 60.8% -16.1 1
1941-11-09 Modena W 3-1 1770 1783 56.9% 28.2% 14.9% +11.0 4
1941-11-09 @ Venezia L 1-3 1783 1770 14.9% 28.2% 56.9% -11.0 2
1941-11-16 Atalanta W 4-0 1775 1804 55.5% 28.3% 16.2% +25.8 2
1941-11-16 @ Bologna L 0-4 1804 1775 16.2% 28.3% 55.5% -25.8 4
1941-11-16 Roma W 2-0 1789 1830 54.4% 28.4% 17.2% +14.3 5
1941-11-16 @ Genova 1893 L 0-2 1830 1789 17.2% 28.4% 54.4% -14.3 6
1941-11-16 Liguria W 2-1 1802 1782 59.6% 27.9% 12.6% +5.5 5
1941-11-16 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1782 1802 12.6% 27.9% 59.6% -5.5 3
1941-11-16 AC Milan W 3-2 1771 1834 52.3% 28.5% 19.1% +7.4 4
1941-11-16 @ Juventus L 2-3 1834 1771 19.1% 28.5% 52.3% -7.4 4
1941-11-16 Fiorentina D 1-1 1784 1796 57.0% 28.2% 14.8% -3.3 4
1941-11-16 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1796 1784 14.8% 28.2% 57.0% +3.3 5
1941-11-16 Torino D 1-1 1733 1768 55.0% 28.4% 16.7% -3.0 2
1941-11-16 @ Livorno D 1-1 1768 1733 16.7% 28.4% 55.0% +3.0 4
1941-11-16 Triestina L 0-1 1772 1802 55.4% 28.3% 16.3% -19.1 2
1941-11-16 @ Modena W 1-0 1802 1772 16.3% 28.3% 55.4% +19.0 6
1941-11-16 Venezia D 1-1 1743 1781 54.7% 28.4% 16.9% -2.9 3
1941-11-16 @ Napoli D 1-1 1781 1743 16.9% 28.4% 54.7% +2.9 5
1941-11-23 Genova 1893 W 3-0 1826 1803 59.8% 27.8% 12.3% +15.8 6
1941-11-23 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1803 1826 12.3% 27.8% 59.8% -15.8 5
1941-11-23 Juventus L 2-3 1778 1779 57.9% 28.1% 14.0% -17.8 4
1941-11-23 @ Atalanta W 3-2 1779 1778 14.0% 28.1% 57.9% +17.8 6
1941-11-23 Roma D 2-2 1799 1815 56.6% 28.2% 15.1% -2.4 6
1941-11-23 @ Fiorentina D 2-2 1815 1799 15.1% 28.2% 56.6% +2.4 7
1941-11-23 Inter Milan D 2-2 1780 1807 55.7% 28.3% 16.0% -2.3 5
1941-11-23 @ Lazio Roma D 2-2 1807 1780 16.0% 28.3% 55.7% +2.3 6
1941-11-23 Livorno W 4-2 1776 1730 61.5% 27.6% 11.0% +7.6 5
1941-11-23 @ Liguria L 2-4 1730 1776 11.0% 27.6% 61.5% -7.6 2
1941-11-23 Modena W 2-0 1771 1753 59.5% 27.9% 12.7% +11.1 6
1941-11-23 @ Torino L 0-2 1753 1771 12.7% 27.9% 59.5% -11.1 2
1941-11-23 Napoli W 1-0 1821 1740 63.8% 27.1% 9.2% +4.4 8
1941-11-23 @ Triestina L 0-1 1740 1821 9.2% 27.1% 63.8% -4.4 3
1941-11-23 Bologna W 1-0 1784 1801 56.6% 28.2% 15.2% +6.9 7
1941-11-23 @ Venezia L 0-1 1801 1784 15.2% 28.2% 56.6% -6.9 2
1941-11-30 Triestina W 2-0 1794 1826 55.3% 28.3% 16.4% +13.8 4
1941-11-30 @ Bologna L 0-2 1826 1794 16.4% 28.3% 55.3% -13.8 8
1941-11-30 Atalanta W 1-0 1787 1760 60.1% 27.8% 12.1% +5.7 7
1941-11-30 @ Genova 1893 L 0-1 1760 1787 12.1% 27.8% 60.1% -5.7 4
1941-11-30 Fiorentina L 0-1 1810 1797 59.0% 27.9% 13.1% -20.3 6
1941-11-30 @ Inter Milan W 1-0 1797 1810 13.1% 27.9% 59.0% +20.3 8
1941-11-30 Venezia D 0-0 1797 1791 58.5% 28.0% 13.5% -4.0 7
1941-11-30 @ Juventus D 0-0 1791 1797 13.5% 28.0% 58.5% +4.0 8
1941-11-30 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1723 1778 53.0% 28.5% 18.5% +7.6 4
1941-11-30 @ Livorno L 1-2 1778 1723 18.5% 28.5% 53.0% -7.6 5
1941-11-30 Liguria D 1-1 1742 1784 54.3% 28.4% 17.3% -2.9 3
1941-11-30 @ Modena D 1-1 1784 1742 17.3% 28.4% 54.3% +2.8 6
1941-11-30 Torino D 0-0 1735 1782 53.8% 28.4% 17.7% -3.1 4
1941-11-30 @ Napoli D 0-0 1782 1735 17.7% 28.4% 53.8% +3.1 7
1941-11-30 AC Milan W 2-0 1818 1842 55.9% 28.3% 15.8% +13.3 9
1941-11-30 @ Roma L 0-2 1842 1818 15.8% 28.3% 55.9% -13.4 6
1941-12-07 Roma D 2-2 1755 1831 50.9% 28.6% 20.5% -1.7 5
1941-12-07 @ Atalanta D 2-2 1831 1755 20.5% 28.6% 50.9% +1.7 10
1941-12-07 AC Milan W 4-3 1817 1829 57.0% 28.2% 14.8% +5.8 10
1941-12-07 @ Fiorentina L 3-4 1829 1817 14.8% 28.2% 57.0% -5.9 6
1941-12-07 Livorno D 1-1 1789 1730 62.3% 27.4% 10.3% -4.3 7
1941-12-07 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1730 1789 10.3% 27.4% 62.3% +4.3 5
1941-12-07 Modena W 2-1 1771 1739 60.4% 27.7% 11.8% +5.2 7
1941-12-07 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1739 1771 11.8% 27.7% 60.4% -5.2 3
1941-12-07 Napoli W 2-1 1787 1732 62.0% 27.4% 10.5% +4.7 8
1941-12-07 @ Liguria L 1-2 1732 1787 10.5% 27.4% 62.0% -4.7 4
1941-12-07 Bologna W 1-0 1785 1808 56.1% 28.3% 15.6% +7.0 9
1941-12-07 @ Torino L 0-1 1808 1785 15.6% 28.3% 56.1% -7.0 4
1941-12-07 Juventus W 3-0 1812 1793 59.5% 27.9% 12.6% +16.0 10
1941-12-07 @ Triestina L 0-3 1793 1812 12.6% 27.9% 59.5% -16.1 7
1941-12-07 Genova 1893 W 2-1 1795 1793 58.1% 28.1% 13.8% +6.0 10
1941-12-07 @ Venezia L 1-2 1793 1795 13.8% 28.1% 58.1% -6.0 7
1941-12-14 Atalanta L 1-3 1823 1753 63.1% 27.2% 9.7% -35.4 6
1941-12-14 @ AC Milan W 3-1 1753 1823 9.7% 27.2% 63.1% +35.4 7
1941-12-14 Liguria D 2-2 1801 1791 58.7% 28.0% 13.3% -2.7 5
1941-12-14 @ Bologna D 2-2 1791 1801 13.3% 28.0% 58.7% +2.7 9
1941-12-14 Triestina D 0-0 1787 1828 54.4% 28.4% 17.2% -3.2 8
1941-12-14 @ Genova 1893 D 0-0 1828 1787 17.2% 28.4% 54.4% +3.2 11
1941-12-14 Torino W 3-0 1777 1792 56.7% 28.2% 15.1% +18.7 9
1941-12-14 @ Juventus L 0-3 1792 1777 15.1% 28.2% 56.7% -18.7 9
1941-12-14 Fiorentina W 3-1 1735 1823 49.6% 28.6% 21.8% +14.9 7
1941-12-14 @ Livorno L 1-3 1823 1735 21.8% 28.6% 49.6% -14.9 10
1941-12-14 Inter Milan D 1-1 1734 1785 53.4% 28.5% 18.1% -2.7 4
1941-12-14 @ Modena D 1-1 1785 1734 18.1% 28.5% 53.4% +2.7 8
1941-12-14 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1727 1776 53.7% 28.5% 17.8% -2.8 5
1941-12-14 @ Napoli D 1-1 1776 1727 17.8% 28.5% 53.7% +2.8 8
1941-12-14 Venezia D 0-0 1833 1801 60.5% 27.7% 11.8% -4.4 11
1941-12-14 @ Roma D 0-0 1801 1833 11.8% 27.7% 60.5% +4.4 11
1941-12-21 Atalanta L 0-1 1808 1788 59.6% 27.9% 12.6% -20.5 10
1941-12-21 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1788 1808 12.6% 27.9% 59.6% +20.5 9
1941-12-21 Napoli W 5-1 1788 1725 62.6% 27.3% 10.1% +14.3 10
1941-12-21 @ Inter Milan L 1-5 1725 1788 10.1% 27.3% 62.6% -14.3 5
1941-12-21 Bologna W 5-1 1779 1798 56.4% 28.2% 15.4% +20.7 10
1941-12-21 @ Lazio Roma L 1-5 1798 1779 15.4% 28.2% 56.4% -20.7 5
1941-12-21 Modena D 2-2 1749 1731 59.5% 27.9% 12.7% -2.8 8
1941-12-21 @ Livorno D 2-2 1731 1749 12.7% 27.9% 59.5% +2.8 5
1941-12-21 Juventus W 2-1 1794 1795 57.9% 28.1% 14.0% +6.0 11
1941-12-21 @ Liguria L 1-2 1795 1794 14.0% 28.1% 57.9% -6.0 9
1941-12-21 Genova 1893 D 1-1 1774 1784 57.2% 28.2% 14.7% -3.4 10
1941-12-21 @ Torino D 1-1 1784 1774 14.7% 28.2% 57.2% +3.4 9
1941-12-21 Roma D 0-0 1831 1829 58.2% 28.1% 13.8% -3.9 12
1941-12-21 @ Triestina D 0-0 1829 1831 13.8% 28.1% 58.2% +4.0 12
1941-12-21 AC Milan W 2-0 1805 1788 59.4% 27.9% 12.7% +11.1 13
1941-12-21 @ Venezia L 0-2 1788 1805 12.7% 27.9% 59.4% -11.1 6
1941-12-28 Triestina D 2-2 1776 1827 53.5% 28.5% 18.0% -2.0 7
1941-12-28 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1827 1776 18.0% 28.5% 53.5% +2.0 13
1941-12-28 Venezia W 1-0 1809 1816 57.4% 28.1% 14.5% +6.6 11
1941-12-28 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1816 1809 14.5% 28.1% 57.4% -6.6 13
1941-12-28 Inter Milan L 0-1 1777 1802 55.9% 28.3% 15.8% -19.2 5
1941-12-28 @ Bologna W 1-0 1802 1777 15.8% 28.3% 55.9% +19.2 12
1941-12-28 Liguria D 1-1 1787 1800 56.9% 28.2% 14.9% -3.3 10
1941-12-28 @ Genova 1893 D 1-1 1800 1787 14.9% 28.2% 56.9% +3.3 12
1941-12-28 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1789 1799 57.2% 28.2% 14.7% +12.6 11
1941-12-28 @ Juventus L 0-2 1799 1789 14.7% 28.2% 57.2% -12.6 10
1941-12-28 Fiorentina D 1-1 1734 1788 53.2% 28.5% 18.3% -2.7 6
1941-12-28 @ Modena D 1-1 1788 1734 18.3% 28.5% 53.2% +2.7 11
1941-12-28 Livorno W 2-1 1710 1747 54.9% 28.4% 16.8% +7.0 7
1941-12-28 @ Napoli L 1-2 1747 1710 16.8% 28.4% 54.9% -7.0 8
1941-12-28 Torino D 0-0 1833 1770 62.5% 27.3% 10.1% -4.8 13
1941-12-28 @ Roma D 0-0 1770 1833 10.1% 27.3% 62.5% +4.8 11
1942-01-04 Venezia L 1-3 1790 1810 56.4% 28.2% 15.4% -31.7 11
1942-01-04 @ Fiorentina W 3-1 1810 1790 15.4% 28.2% 56.4% +31.7 15
1942-01-04 Juventus W 4-1 1821 1802 59.5% 27.9% 12.6% +13.5 14
1942-01-04 @ Inter Milan L 1-4 1802 1821 12.6% 27.9% 59.5% -13.5 11
1942-01-04 Genova 1893 D 1-1 1787 1784 58.2% 28.0% 13.7% -3.6 11
1942-01-04 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1784 1787 13.7% 28.0% 58.2% +3.5 11
1942-01-04 Bologna D 1-1 1740 1758 56.5% 28.2% 15.3% -3.2 9
1942-01-04 @ Livorno D 1-1 1758 1740 15.3% 28.2% 56.5% +3.2 6
1942-01-04 Napoli W 1-0 1731 1717 59.1% 27.9% 13.0% +6.0 8
1942-01-04 @ Modena L 0-1 1717 1731 13.0% 27.9% 59.1% -6.0 7
1942-01-04 Roma L 0-3 1803 1828 55.9% 28.3% 15.8% -52.7 12
1942-01-04 @ Liguria W 3-0 1828 1803 15.8% 28.3% 55.9% +52.7 15
1942-01-04 AC Milan W 1-0 1775 1774 58.1% 28.1% 13.9% +6.4 13
1942-01-04 @ Torino L 0-1 1774 1775 13.9% 28.1% 58.1% -6.3 7
1942-01-04 Atalanta D 0-0 1829 1815 59.1% 27.9% 13.0% -4.1 14
1942-01-04 @ Triestina D 0-0 1815 1829 13.0% 27.9% 59.1% +4.1 12
1942-01-11 Liguria W 3-2 1768 1751 59.4% 27.9% 12.8% +5.3 9
1942-01-11 @ AC Milan L 2-3 1751 1768 12.8% 27.9% 59.4% -5.3 12
1942-01-11 Torino L 1-3 1819 1782 60.9% 27.7% 11.5% -34.2 12
1942-01-11 @ Atalanta W 3-1 1782 1819 11.5% 27.7% 60.9% +34.2 15
1942-01-11 Modena W 4-0 1761 1737 59.9% 27.8% 12.3% +20.5 8
1942-01-11 @ Bologna L 0-4 1737 1761 12.3% 27.8% 59.9% -20.5 8
1942-01-11 Inter Milan W 6-1 1787 1835 53.8% 28.4% 17.8% +28.5 13
1942-01-11 @ Genova 1893 L 1-6 1835 1787 17.8% 28.4% 53.8% -28.5 14
1942-01-11 Livorno L 2-3 1788 1736 61.9% 27.5% 10.7% -19.0 11
1942-01-11 @ Juventus W 3-2 1736 1788 10.7% 27.5% 61.9% +19.0 11
1942-01-11 Fiorentina W 1-0 1711 1759 53.8% 28.4% 17.7% +7.8 9
1942-01-11 @ Napoli L 0-1 1759 1711 17.7% 28.4% 53.8% -7.8 11
1942-01-11 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1880 1783 64.7% 26.8% 8.5% +3.8 17
1942-01-11 @ Roma L 1-2 1783 1880 8.5% 26.8% 64.7% -3.8 11
1942-01-11 Triestina W 2-0 1841 1825 59.3% 27.9% 12.8% +11.2 17
1942-01-11 @ Venezia L 0-2 1825 1841 12.8% 27.9% 59.3% -11.2 14
1942-01-18 Triestina W 2-1 1751 1814 52.3% 28.5% 19.2% +7.8 13
1942-01-18 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1814 1751 19.2% 28.5% 52.3% -7.8 14
1942-01-18 Roma L 0-2 1806 1884 50.7% 28.6% 20.7% -33.0 14
1942-01-18 @ Inter Milan W 2-0 1884 1806 20.7% 28.6% 50.7% +33.0 19
1942-01-18 AC Milan D 2-2 1779 1773 58.5% 28.0% 13.5% -2.7 12
1942-01-18 @ Lazio Roma D 2-2 1773 1779 13.5% 28.0% 58.5% +2.7 10
1942-01-18 Genova 1893 D 0-0 1755 1816 52.5% 28.5% 18.9% -2.9 12
1942-01-18 @ Livorno D 0-0 1816 1755 18.9% 28.5% 52.5% +2.9 14
1942-01-18 Juventus L 0-2 1716 1769 53.3% 28.5% 18.2% -34.6 8
1942-01-18 @ Modena W 2-0 1769 1716 18.2% 28.5% 53.3% +34.6 13
1942-01-18 Bologna L 1-2 1719 1782 52.3% 28.5% 19.1% -17.0 9
1942-01-18 @ Napoli W 2-1 1782 1719 19.1% 28.5% 52.3% +17.0 10
1942-01-18 Atalanta W 1-0 1745 1785 54.5% 28.4% 17.1% +7.6 14
1942-01-18 @ Liguria L 0-1 1785 1745 17.1% 28.4% 54.5% -7.6 12
1942-01-18 Venezia W 2-1 1816 1852 54.8% 28.4% 16.8% +7.0 17
1942-01-18 @ Torino L 1-2 1852 1816 16.8% 28.4% 54.8% -7.0 17
1942-01-25 Inter Milan W 2-1 1776 1773 58.2% 28.0% 13.7% +5.9 12
1942-01-25 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1773 1776 13.7% 28.0% 58.2% -6.0 14
1942-01-25 Lazio Roma W 3-0 1778 1777 58.1% 28.1% 13.9% +17.4 14
1942-01-25 @ Atalanta L 0-3 1777 1778 13.9% 28.1% 58.1% -17.4 12
1942-01-25 Bologna L 2-5 1759 1799 54.5% 28.4% 17.1% -37.5 13
1942-01-25 @ Fiorentina W 5-2 1799 1759 17.1% 28.4% 54.5% +37.5 12
1942-01-25 Modena W 6-0 1819 1682 66.9% 26.1% 6.9% +17.5 16
1942-01-25 @ Genova 1893 L 0-6 1682 1819 6.9% 26.1% 66.9% -17.5 8
1942-01-25 Napoli D 1-1 1804 1702 65.0% 26.7% 8.3% -4.7 14
1942-01-25 @ Juventus D 1-1 1702 1804 8.3% 26.7% 65.0% +4.7 10
1942-01-25 Livorno W 4-0 1917 1753 68.4% 25.6% 6.0% +10.4 21
1942-01-25 @ Roma L 0-4 1753 1917 6.0% 25.6% 68.4% -10.4 12
1942-01-25 Torino L 1-3 1806 1823 56.6% 28.2% 15.2% -31.8 14
1942-01-25 @ Triestina W 3-1 1823 1806 15.2% 28.2% 56.6% +31.8 19
1942-01-25 Liguria W 2-1 1845 1753 64.5% 26.9% 8.7% +3.9 19
1942-01-25 @ Venezia L 1-2 1753 1845 8.7% 26.9% 64.5% -3.9 14
1942-02-01 Juventus W 2-0 1836 1799 60.8% 27.7% 11.5% +10.2 14
1942-02-01 @ Bologna L 0-2 1799 1836 11.5% 27.7% 60.8% -10.2 14
1942-02-01 Atalanta D 0-0 1767 1795 55.6% 28.3% 16.1% -3.4 15
1942-02-01 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1795 1767 16.1% 28.3% 55.6% +3.4 15
1942-02-01 Venezia W 2-1 1759 1849 49.4% 28.7% 21.9% +8.7 14
1942-02-01 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1849 1759 21.9% 28.7% 49.4% -8.7 19
1942-02-01 AC Milan L 0-2 1742 1782 54.5% 28.4% 17.1% -35.4 12
1942-02-01 @ Livorno W 2-0 1782 1742 17.1% 28.4% 54.5% +35.4 14
1942-02-01 Roma D 0-0 1664 1928 27.2% 28.1% 44.8% +1.4 9
1942-02-01 @ Modena D 0-0 1928 1664 44.8% 28.1% 27.2% -1.4 22
1942-02-01 Genova 1893 D 0-0 1707 1836 44.9% 28.7% 26.4% -1.5 11
1942-02-01 @ Napoli D 0-0 1836 1707 26.4% 28.7% 44.9% +1.5 17
1942-02-01 Triestina D 2-2 1749 1774 55.9% 28.3% 15.8% -2.3 15
1942-02-01 @ Liguria D 2-2 1774 1749 15.8% 28.3% 55.9% +2.3 15
1942-02-01 Fiorentina W 3-1 1855 1721 66.8% 26.2% 7.0% +5.5 21
1942-02-01 @ Torino L 1-3 1721 1855 7.0% 26.2% 66.8% -5.5 13
1942-02-15 Genova 1893 D 1-1 1846 1838 58.7% 28.0% 13.3% -3.6 15
1942-02-15 @ Bologna D 1-1 1838 1846 13.3% 28.0% 58.7% +3.6 18
1942-02-15 Venezia D 1-1 1764 1841 50.8% 28.6% 20.5% -2.3 16
1942-02-15 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1841 1764 20.5% 28.6% 50.8% +2.3 20
1942-02-15 Fiorentina W 4-2 1789 1716 63.3% 27.2% 9.6% +6.7 16
1942-02-15 @ Juventus L 2-4 1716 1789 9.6% 27.2% 63.3% -6.7 13
1942-02-15 Triestina W 5-0 1768 1777 57.3% 28.1% 14.6% +29.2 16
1942-02-15 @ Lazio Roma L 0-5 1777 1768 14.6% 28.1% 57.3% -29.2 15
1942-02-15 Atalanta W 3-1 1707 1799 49.2% 28.7% 22.1% +15.1 14
1942-02-15 @ Livorno L 1-3 1799 1707 22.1% 28.7% 49.2% -15.1 15
1942-02-15 AC Milan W 1-0 1666 1817 42.0% 28.7% 29.3% +11.4 11
1942-02-15 @ Modena L 0-1 1817 1666 29.3% 28.7% 42.0% -11.4 14
1942-02-15 Roma D 1-1 1705 1926 32.6% 28.4% 39.0% +0.5 12
1942-02-15 @ Napoli D 1-1 1926 1705 39.0% 28.4% 32.6% -0.5 23
1942-02-15 Torino W 1-0 1747 1860 46.8% 28.7% 24.5% +10.0 17
1942-02-15 @ Liguria L 0-1 1860 1747 24.5% 28.7% 46.8% -10.0 21
1942-02-22 Napoli W 3-1 1806 1706 64.9% 26.8% 8.3% +6.6 16
1942-02-22 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1706 1806 8.3% 26.8% 64.9% -6.6 12
1942-02-22 Modena W 3-0 1783 1677 65.3% 26.7% 8.1% +10.7 17
1942-02-22 @ Atalanta L 0-3 1677 1783 8.1% 26.7% 65.3% -10.7 11
1942-02-22 Liguria W 4-1 1709 1757 53.8% 28.4% 17.8% +18.0 15
1942-02-22 @ Fiorentina L 1-4 1757 1709 17.8% 28.4% 53.8% -18.0 17
1942-02-22 Juventus L 1-4 1841 1796 61.4% 27.6% 11.0% -48.8 18
1942-02-22 @ Genova 1893 W 4-1 1796 1841 11.0% 27.6% 61.4% +48.8 18
1942-02-22 Bologna W 1-0 1926 1843 63.9% 27.0% 9.1% +4.4 25
1942-02-22 @ Roma L 0-1 1843 1926 9.1% 27.0% 63.9% -4.4 15
1942-02-22 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1850 1797 61.9% 27.5% 10.6% -4.2 22
1942-02-22 @ Torino D 1-1 1797 1850 10.6% 27.5% 61.9% +4.2 17
1942-02-22 Inter Milan D 0-0 1747 1762 56.8% 28.2% 15.0% -3.7 16
1942-02-22 @ Triestina D 0-0 1762 1747 15.0% 28.2% 56.8% +3.7 17
1942-02-22 Livorno W 2-1 1843 1722 66.1% 26.4% 7.5% +3.4 22
1942-02-22 @ Venezia L 1-2 1722 1843 7.5% 26.4% 66.1% -3.4 14
1942-03-01 AC Milan W 3-1 1838 1812 60.0% 27.8% 12.2% +9.3 17
1942-03-01 @ Bologna L 1-3 1812 1838 12.2% 27.8% 60.0% -9.3 16
1942-03-01 Fiorentina W 4-0 1792 1727 62.8% 27.3% 9.9% +16.9 20
1942-03-01 @ Genova 1893 L 0-4 1727 1792 9.9% 27.3% 62.8% -17.0 15
1942-03-01 Torino L 2-3 1765 1846 50.4% 28.6% 20.9% -15.6 17
1942-03-01 @ Inter Milan W 3-2 1846 1765 20.9% 28.6% 50.4% +15.6 24
1942-03-01 Roma W 2-0 1844 1930 49.9% 28.6% 21.5% +17.1 20
1942-03-01 @ Juventus L 0-2 1930 1844 21.5% 28.6% 49.9% -17.1 25
1942-03-01 Liguria W 4-0 1801 1739 62.6% 27.3% 10.1% +17.2 19
1942-03-01 @ Lazio Roma L 0-4 1739 1801 10.1% 27.3% 62.6% -17.2 17
1942-03-01 Triestina W 1-0 1718 1744 55.9% 28.3% 15.8% +7.1 16
1942-03-01 @ Livorno L 0-1 1744 1718 15.8% 28.3% 55.9% -7.1 16
1942-03-01 Venezia L 0-1 1667 1846 38.2% 28.6% 33.1% -13.8 11
1942-03-01 @ Modena W 1-0 1846 1667 33.1% 28.6% 38.2% +13.8 24
1942-03-01 Atalanta W 3-0 1699 1794 48.9% 28.7% 22.4% +25.7 14
1942-03-01 @ Napoli L 0-3 1794 1699 22.4% 28.7% 48.9% -25.6 17
1942-03-08 Juventus D 1-1 1803 1861 52.7% 28.5% 18.7% -2.6 17
1942-03-08 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1861 1803 18.7% 28.5% 52.7% +2.6 21
1942-03-08 Bologna L 0-2 1768 1848 50.6% 28.6% 20.8% -33.0 17
1942-03-08 @ Atalanta W 2-0 1848 1768 20.8% 28.6% 50.6% +33.0 19
1942-03-08 Lazio Roma W 3-1 1710 1818 47.3% 28.7% 24.0% +16.1 17
1942-03-08 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1818 1710 24.0% 28.7% 47.3% -16.1 19
1942-03-08 Genova 1893 L 1-2 1913 1809 65.1% 26.7% 8.2% -21.1 25
1942-03-08 @ Roma W 2-1 1809 1913 8.2% 26.7% 65.1% +21.1 22
1942-03-08 Inter Milan L 0-1 1722 1750 55.6% 28.3% 16.1% -19.1 17
1942-03-08 @ Liguria W 1-0 1750 1722 16.1% 28.3% 55.6% +19.1 19
1942-03-08 Livorno W 1-0 1861 1726 66.9% 26.2% 6.9% +3.4 26
1942-03-08 @ Torino L 0-1 1726 1861 6.9% 26.2% 66.9% -3.4 16
1942-03-08 Modena D 1-1 1737 1653 63.9% 27.0% 9.0% -4.5 17
1942-03-08 @ Triestina D 1-1 1653 1737 9.0% 27.0% 63.9% +4.5 12
1942-03-08 Napoli W 4-1 1860 1725 66.9% 26.2% 7.0% +7.8 26
1942-03-08 @ Venezia L 1-4 1725 1860 7.0% 26.2% 66.9% -7.8 14
1942-03-15 Venezia W 2-0 1881 1868 59.0% 27.9% 13.1% +11.4 21
1942-03-15 @ Bologna L 0-2 1868 1881 13.1% 27.9% 59.0% -11.4 26
1942-03-15 AC Milan D 1-1 1830 1801 60.3% 27.8% 11.9% -3.9 23
1942-03-15 @ Genova 1893 D 1-1 1801 1830 11.9% 27.8% 60.3% +3.9 18
1942-03-15 Lazio Roma L 0-1 1769 1802 55.1% 28.4% 16.6% -19.0 19
1942-03-15 @ Inter Milan W 1-0 1802 1769 16.6% 28.4% 55.1% +19.0 21
1942-03-15 Atalanta D 1-1 1864 1736 66.5% 26.3% 7.2% -5.0 22
1942-03-15 @ Juventus D 1-1 1736 1864 7.2% 26.3% 66.5% +5.0 18
1942-03-15 Liguria W 2-0 1722 1702 59.6% 27.9% 12.6% +11.0 18
1942-03-15 @ Livorno L 0-2 1702 1722 12.6% 27.9% 59.6% -11.0 17
1942-03-15 Torino L 0-3 1657 1865 34.4% 28.5% 37.1% -35.0 12
1942-03-15 @ Modena W 3-0 1865 1657 37.1% 28.5% 34.4% +35.0 28
1942-03-15 Triestina L 0-1 1717 1732 56.8% 28.2% 15.0% -19.5 14
1942-03-15 @ Napoli W 1-0 1732 1717 15.0% 28.2% 56.8% +19.5 19
1942-03-15 Fiorentina W 1-0 1892 1726 68.4% 25.6% 6.0% +2.9 27
1942-03-15 @ Roma L 0-1 1726 1892 6.0% 25.6% 68.4% -2.9 17
1942-03-22 Roma W 4-2 1804 1895 49.4% 28.7% 22.0% +13.5 20
1942-03-22 @ AC Milan L 2-4 1895 1804 22.0% 28.7% 49.4% -13.4 27
1942-03-22 Genova 1893 D 0-0 1740 1827 49.9% 28.6% 21.5% -2.4 19
1942-03-22 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1827 1740 21.5% 28.6% 49.9% +2.4 24
1942-03-22 Inter Milan W 4-1 1723 1750 55.7% 28.3% 16.0% +16.5 19
1942-03-22 @ Fiorentina L 1-4 1750 1723 16.0% 28.3% 55.7% -16.5 19
1942-03-22 Livorno W 3-0 1821 1733 64.2% 27.0% 8.9% +11.7 23
1942-03-22 @ Lazio Roma L 0-3 1733 1821 8.9% 27.0% 64.2% -11.6 18
1942-03-22 Modena W 2-1 1691 1622 63.0% 27.2% 9.8% +4.4 19
1942-03-22 @ Liguria L 1-2 1622 1691 9.8% 27.2% 63.0% -4.4 12
1942-03-22 Napoli W 5-3 1900 1698 70.2% 24.9% 5.0% +3.3 30
1942-03-22 @ Torino L 3-5 1698 1900 5.0% 24.9% 70.2% -3.3 14
1942-03-22 Bologna W 1-0 1752 1892 43.4% 28.7% 27.9% +11.0 21
1942-03-22 @ Triestina L 0-1 1892 1752 27.9% 28.7% 43.4% -11.0 21
1942-03-22 Juventus W 2-0 1857 1859 57.8% 28.1% 14.1% +12.2 28
1942-03-22 @ Venezia L 0-2 1859 1857 14.1% 28.1% 57.8% -12.2 22
1942-03-29 Fiorentina W 2-1 1818 1740 63.6% 27.1% 9.3% +4.2 22
1942-03-29 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1740 1818 9.3% 27.1% 63.6% -4.2 19
1942-03-29 Torino W 1-0 1881 1903 56.1% 28.3% 15.6% +7.0 23
1942-03-29 @ Bologna L 0-1 1903 1881 15.6% 28.3% 56.1% -7.0 30
1942-03-29 Venezia W 1-0 1829 1869 54.5% 28.4% 17.1% +7.6 26
1942-03-29 @ Genova 1893 L 0-1 1869 1829 17.1% 28.4% 54.5% -7.5 28
1942-03-29 Triestina W 1-0 1847 1763 64.0% 27.0% 9.0% +4.3 24
1942-03-29 @ Juventus L 0-1 1763 1847 9.0% 27.0% 64.0% -4.3 21
1942-03-29 Inter Milan W 3-0 1722 1733 57.0% 28.2% 14.8% +18.4 20
1942-03-29 @ Livorno L 0-3 1733 1722 14.8% 28.2% 57.0% -18.4 19
1942-03-29 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1618 1833 33.3% 28.5% 38.2% +13.8 14
1942-03-29 @ Modena L 0-1 1833 1618 38.2% 28.5% 33.3% -13.8 23
1942-03-29 Liguria D 1-1 1694 1696 57.9% 28.1% 14.0% -3.5 15
1942-03-29 @ Napoli D 1-1 1696 1694 14.0% 28.1% 57.9% +3.5 20
1942-03-29 Atalanta W 2-0 1881 1738 67.3% 26.0% 6.7% +6.1 29
1942-03-29 @ Roma L 0-2 1738 1881 6.7% 26.0% 67.3% -6.1 19
1942-04-26 AC Milan L 0-2 1732 1822 49.4% 28.7% 21.9% -32.3 19
1942-04-26 @ Atalanta W 2-0 1822 1732 21.9% 28.7% 49.4% +32.3 24
1942-04-26 Livorno W 2-0 1735 1740 57.6% 28.1% 14.3% +12.3 21
1942-04-26 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1740 1735 14.3% 28.1% 57.6% -12.3 20
1942-04-26 Modena W 1-0 1715 1632 63.9% 27.0% 9.1% +4.3 21
1942-04-26 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1632 1715 9.1% 27.0% 63.9% -4.3 14
1942-04-26 Napoli W 1-0 1819 1691 66.5% 26.3% 7.2% +3.5 25
1942-04-26 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1691 1819 7.2% 26.3% 66.5% -3.5 15
1942-04-26 Bologna W 2-1 1699 1888 37.0% 28.6% 34.4% +12.1 22
1942-04-26 @ Liguria L 1-2 1888 1699 34.4% 28.6% 37.0% -12.1 23
1942-04-26 Juventus W 2-1 1896 1851 61.4% 27.6% 11.1% +4.9 32
1942-04-26 @ Torino L 1-2 1851 1896 11.1% 27.6% 61.4% -4.9 24
1942-04-26 Genova 1893 W 2-1 1758 1836 50.7% 28.6% 20.7% +8.3 23
1942-04-26 @ Triestina L 1-2 1836 1758 20.7% 28.6% 50.7% -8.3 26
1942-04-26 Roma L 0-1 1861 1888 55.8% 28.3% 15.9% -19.2 28
1942-04-26 @ Venezia W 1-0 1888 1861 15.9% 28.3% 55.8% +19.2 31
1942-05-03 Venezia D 1-1 1854 1842 59.0% 27.9% 13.1% -3.7 25
1942-05-03 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1842 1854 13.1% 27.9% 59.0% +3.7 29
1942-05-03 Fiorentina W 2-1 1700 1748 53.8% 28.5% 17.8% +7.4 21
1942-05-03 @ Atalanta L 1-2 1748 1700 17.8% 28.5% 53.8% -7.4 21
1942-05-03 Lazio Roma D 2-2 1876 1823 62.0% 27.5% 10.6% -3.1 24
1942-05-03 @ Bologna D 2-2 1823 1876 10.6% 27.5% 62.0% +3.1 26
1942-05-03 Torino W 4-3 1828 1901 51.3% 28.6% 20.2% +7.5 28
1942-05-03 @ Genova 1893 L 3-4 1901 1828 20.2% 28.6% 51.3% -7.5 32
1942-05-03 Liguria W 3-0 1846 1711 66.8% 26.2% 7.0% +9.2 26
1942-05-03 @ Juventus L 0-3 1711 1846 7.0% 26.2% 66.8% -9.2 22
1942-05-03 Livorno W 3-0 1627 1728 48.2% 28.7% 23.1% +26.2 16
1942-05-03 @ Modena L 0-3 1728 1627 23.1% 28.7% 48.2% -26.2 20
1942-05-03 Inter Milan L 0-1 1687 1719 55.3% 28.3% 16.4% -19.0 15
1942-05-03 @ Napoli W 1-0 1719 1687 16.4% 28.3% 55.3% +19.0 23
1942-05-03 Triestina D 0-0 1907 1766 67.1% 26.1% 6.8% -5.7 32
1942-05-03 @ Roma D 0-0 1766 1907 6.8% 26.1% 67.1% +5.7 24
1942-05-10 Modena W 8-0 1740 1653 64.1% 27.0% 8.9% +29.4 23
1942-05-10 @ Fiorentina L 0-8 1653 1740 8.9% 27.0% 64.1% -29.5 16
1942-05-10 Bologna L 0-1 1738 1873 44.2% 28.7% 27.1% -15.5 23
1942-05-10 @ Inter Milan W 1-0 1873 1738 27.1% 28.7% 44.2% +15.5 26
1942-05-10 Juventus W 2-1 1826 1856 55.5% 28.3% 16.2% +6.8 28
1942-05-10 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1856 1826 16.2% 28.3% 55.5% -6.8 26
1942-05-10 Napoli W 2-0 1702 1668 60.5% 27.7% 11.8% +10.4 22
1942-05-10 @ Livorno L 0-2 1668 1702 11.8% 27.7% 60.5% -10.4 15
1942-05-10 Genova 1893 L 3-4 1702 1836 44.3% 28.7% 27.0% -13.6 22
1942-05-10 @ Liguria W 4-3 1836 1702 27.0% 28.7% 44.3% +13.6 30
1942-05-10 Roma D 2-2 1894 1901 57.4% 28.1% 14.5% -2.5 33
1942-05-10 @ Torino D 2-2 1901 1894 14.5% 28.1% 57.4% +2.5 33
1942-05-10 AC Milan D 2-2 1772 1851 50.7% 28.6% 20.7% -1.7 25
1942-05-10 @ Triestina D 2-2 1851 1772 20.7% 28.6% 50.7% +1.7 26
1942-05-10 Atalanta W 1-0 1846 1707 67.0% 26.1% 6.9% +3.3 31
1942-05-10 @ Venezia L 0-1 1707 1846 6.9% 26.1% 67.0% -3.3 21
1942-05-17 Torino L 2-5 1852 1891 54.6% 28.4% 17.0% -37.6 26
1942-05-17 @ AC Milan W 5-2 1891 1852 17.0% 28.4% 54.6% +37.6 35
1942-05-17 Triestina D 1-1 1704 1771 51.9% 28.6% 19.5% -2.5 22
1942-05-17 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1771 1704 19.5% 28.6% 51.9% +2.5 26
1942-05-17 Livorno W 7-1 1888 1712 69.0% 25.4% 5.7% +11.8 28
1942-05-17 @ Bologna L 1-7 1712 1888 5.7% 25.4% 69.0% -11.8 22
1942-05-17 Lazio Roma L 1-2 1849 1833 59.3% 27.9% 12.8% -19.2 30
1942-05-17 @ Genova 1893 W 2-1 1833 1849 12.8% 27.9% 59.3% +19.2 30
1942-05-17 Inter Milan W 4-0 1849 1723 66.4% 26.3% 7.3% +12.6 28
1942-05-17 @ Juventus L 0-4 1723 1849 7.3% 26.3% 66.4% -12.6 23
1942-05-17 Modena W 2-1 1658 1624 60.6% 27.7% 11.7% +5.2 17
1942-05-17 @ Napoli L 1-2 1624 1658 11.7% 27.7% 60.6% -5.2 16
1942-05-17 Liguria W 7-0 1904 1688 70.7% 24.6% 4.7% +13.5 35
1942-05-17 @ Roma L 0-7 1688 1904 4.7% 24.6% 70.7% -13.5 22
1942-05-17 Fiorentina W 2-1 1849 1770 63.6% 27.1% 9.3% +4.2 33
1942-05-17 @ Venezia L 1-2 1770 1849 9.3% 27.1% 63.6% -4.2 23
1942-05-24 Napoli L 0-1 1766 1663 65.0% 26.7% 8.2% -22.4 23
1942-05-24 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1663 1766 8.2% 26.7% 65.0% +22.4 19
1942-05-24 Genova 1893 D 1-1 1710 1830 46.0% 28.7% 25.3% -1.5 24
1942-05-24 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1830 1710 25.3% 28.7% 46.0% +1.5 31
1942-05-24 Roma D 1-1 1852 1917 52.0% 28.5% 19.4% -2.5 31
1942-05-24 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1917 1852 19.4% 28.5% 52.0% +2.5 36
1942-05-24 Juventus L 1-2 1700 1861 40.8% 28.7% 30.6% -13.7 22
1942-05-24 @ Livorno W 2-1 1861 1700 30.6% 28.7% 40.8% +13.7 30
1942-05-24 Bologna W 1-0 1619 1900 25.0% 27.9% 47.1% +16.3 18
1942-05-24 @ Modena L 0-1 1900 1619 47.1% 27.9% 25.0% -16.3 28
1942-05-24 AC Milan W 1-0 1675 1815 43.5% 28.7% 27.8% +11.0 24
1942-05-24 @ Liguria L 0-1 1815 1675 27.8% 28.7% 43.5% -11.0 26
1942-05-24 Atalanta W 9-1 1929 1701 71.3% 24.3% 4.4% +11.9 37
1942-05-24 @ Torino L 1-9 1701 1929 4.4% 24.3% 71.3% -11.9 22
1942-05-24 Venezia D 2-2 1773 1853 50.5% 28.6% 20.9% -1.7 27
1942-05-24 @ Triestina D 2-2 1853 1773 20.9% 28.6% 50.5% +1.6 34
1942-05-31 Lazio Roma L 2-5 1804 1849 54.0% 28.4% 17.6% -37.2 26
1942-05-31 @ AC Milan W 5-2 1849 1804 17.6% 28.4% 54.0% +37.2 33
1942-05-31 Liguria D 1-1 1689 1686 58.3% 28.0% 13.7% -3.5 23
1942-05-31 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1686 1689 13.7% 28.0% 58.3% +3.6 25
1942-05-31 Napoli L 1-2 1884 1686 70.0% 24.9% 5.1% -22.5 28
1942-05-31 @ Bologna W 2-1 1686 1884 5.1% 24.9% 70.0% +22.5 21
1942-05-31 Livorno W 3-1 1832 1686 67.4% 26.0% 6.6% +5.2 33
1942-05-31 @ Genova 1893 L 1-3 1686 1832 6.6% 26.0% 67.4% -5.2 22
1942-05-31 Modena D 1-1 1875 1635 71.8% 24.1% 4.1% -5.8 31
1942-05-31 @ Juventus D 1-1 1635 1875 4.1% 24.1% 71.8% +5.8 19
1942-05-31 Inter Milan W 6-0 1920 1709 70.6% 24.7% 4.8% +12.0 38
1942-05-31 @ Roma L 0-6 1709 1920 4.8% 24.7% 70.6% -12.0 24
1942-05-31 Fiorentina W 2-0 1771 1743 60.2% 27.8% 12.1% +10.6 29
1942-05-31 @ Triestina L 0-2 1743 1771 12.1% 27.8% 60.2% -10.6 23
1942-05-31 Torino W 3-1 1855 1940 49.9% 28.6% 21.5% +14.8 36
1942-05-31 @ Venezia L 1-3 1940 1855 21.5% 28.6% 49.9% -14.8 37
1942-06-07 Fiorentina L 2-3 1861 1733 66.5% 26.3% 7.2% -20.4 28
1942-06-07 @ Bologna W 3-2 1733 1861 7.2% 26.3% 66.5% +20.4 25
1942-06-07 AC Milan D 2-2 1697 1767 51.5% 28.6% 19.9% -1.8 25
1942-06-07 @ Inter Milan D 2-2 1767 1697 19.9% 28.6% 51.5% +1.8 27
1942-06-07 Atalanta W 2-1 1887 1686 70.1% 24.9% 5.0% +2.3 35
1942-06-07 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1686 1887 5.0% 24.9% 70.1% -2.3 23
1942-06-07 Roma L 0-2 1681 1932 28.7% 28.2% 43.1% -21.1 22
1942-06-07 @ Livorno W 2-0 1932 1681 43.1% 28.2% 28.7% +21.1 40
1942-06-07 Genova 1893 L 2-3 1641 1837 36.0% 28.6% 35.4% -11.8 19
1942-06-07 @ Modena W 3-2 1837 1641 35.4% 28.6% 36.0% +11.8 35
1942-06-07 Juventus W 4-1 1708 1869 40.8% 28.7% 30.6% +27.2 23
1942-06-07 @ Napoli L 1-4 1869 1708 30.6% 28.7% 40.8% -27.2 31
1942-06-07 Venezia L 0-2 1689 1870 38.2% 28.6% 33.2% -26.1 25
1942-06-07 @ Liguria W 2-0 1870 1689 33.2% 28.6% 38.2% +26.1 38
1942-06-07 Triestina W 2-0 1926 1782 67.3% 26.0% 6.7% +6.1 39
1942-06-07 @ Torino L 0-2 1782 1926 6.7% 26.0% 67.3% -6.1 29
1942-06-14 Livorno L 0-2 1768 1660 65.4% 26.6% 8.0% -42.4 27
1942-06-14 @ AC Milan W 2-0 1660 1768 8.0% 26.6% 65.4% +42.4 24
1942-06-14 Inter Milan D 1-1 1684 1695 57.1% 28.2% 14.8% -3.3 24
1942-06-14 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1695 1684 14.8% 28.2% 57.1% +3.3 26
1942-06-14 Torino W 2-1 1753 1932 38.4% 28.6% 33.0% +11.7 27
1942-06-14 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1932 1753 33.0% 28.6% 38.4% -11.7 39
1942-06-14 Napoli W 3-0 1849 1735 65.7% 26.6% 7.8% +10.3 37
1942-06-14 @ Genova 1893 L 0-3 1735 1849 7.8% 26.6% 65.7% -10.3 23
1942-06-14 Bologna D 1-1 1842 1841 58.1% 28.1% 13.9% -3.5 32
1942-06-14 @ Juventus D 1-1 1841 1842 13.9% 28.1% 58.1% +3.5 29
1942-06-14 Modena W 2-0 1953 1629 75.2% 22.1% 2.7% +2.4 42
1942-06-14 @ Roma L 0-2 1629 1953 2.7% 22.1% 75.2% -2.3 19
1942-06-14 Liguria L 0-1 1776 1663 65.6% 26.6% 7.8% -22.5 29
1942-06-14 @ Triestina W 1-0 1663 1776 7.8% 26.6% 65.6% +22.5 27
1942-06-14 Lazio Roma L 0-2 1896 1889 58.6% 28.0% 13.5% -38.0 38
1942-06-14 @ Venezia W 2-0 1889 1896 13.5% 28.0% 58.6% +38.0 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1942-05-31 5.07% Napoli 1686 2 @ Bologna 1884 1
2 1942-06-07 7.20% Fiorentina 1733 3 @ Bologna 1861 2
3 1942-06-14 7.82% Liguria 1663 1 @ Triestina 1776 0
4 1942-06-14 7.98% Livorno 1660 2 @ AC Milan 1768 0
5 1942-03-08 8.18% Genova 1893 1809 2 @ Roma 1913 1
6 1942-05-24 8.23% Napoli 1663 1 @ Fiorentina 1766 0
7 1941-12-14 9.71% Atalanta 1753 3 @ AC Milan 1823 1
8 1942-01-11 10.67% Livorno 1736 3 @ Juventus 1788 2
9 1942-02-22 11.02% Juventus 1796 4 @ Genova 1893 1841 1
10 1942-01-11 11.46% Torino 1782 3 @ Atalanta 1819 1
11 1941-12-21 12.59% Atalanta 1788 1 @ Fiorentina 1808 0
12 1942-05-17 12.79% Lazio Roma 1833 2 @ Genova 1893 1849 1
13 1941-11-30 13.06% Fiorentina 1797 1 @ Inter Milan 1810 0
14 1942-06-14 13.45% Lazio Roma 1889 2 @ Venezia 1896 0
15 1941-11-02 13.71% Roma 1801 2 @ Bologna 1804 1
16 1941-11-23 13.99% Juventus 1779 3 @ Atalanta 1778 2
17 1942-03-15 15.03% Triestina 1732 1 @ Napoli 1717 0
18 1942-01-25 15.18% Torino 1823 3 @ Triestina 1806 1
19 1942-01-04 15.38% Venezia 1810 3 @ Fiorentina 1790 1
20 1942-01-04 15.78% Roma 1828 3 @ Liguria 1803 0
21 1941-12-28 15.81% Inter Milan 1802 1 @ Bologna 1777 0
22 1942-04-26 15.94% Roma 1888 1 @ Venezia 1861 0
23 1942-03-08 16.09% Inter Milan 1750 1 @ Liguria 1722 0
24 1941-11-16 16.27% Triestina 1802 1 @ Modena 1772 0
25 1942-05-03 16.40% Inter Milan 1719 1 @ Napoli 1687 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1942-01-04 52.68 Roma 3 1828 15.78% @ Liguria 0 1803 55.93% 28.29%
2 1942-02-22 48.78 Juventus 4 1796 11.02% @ Genova 1893 1 1841 61.43% 27.56%
3 1942-06-14 42.36 Livorno 2 1660 7.98% @ AC Milan 0 1768 65.38% 26.63%
4 1942-06-14 37.96 Lazio Roma 2 1889 13.45% @ Venezia 0 1896 58.55% 28.00%
5 1942-05-17 37.61 Torino 5 1891 16.97% @ AC Milan 2 1852 54.64% 28.39%
6 1942-01-25 37.52 Bologna 5 1799 17.10% @ Fiorentina 2 1759 54.50% 28.40%
7 1942-05-31 37.18 Lazio Roma 5 1849 17.58% @ AC Milan 2 1804 53.98% 28.44%
8 1941-12-14 35.41 Atalanta 3 1753 9.71% @ AC Milan 1 1823 63.06% 27.22%
9 1942-02-01 35.39 AC Milan 2 1782 17.07% @ Livorno 0 1742 54.53% 28.40%
10 1942-03-15 35.04 Torino 3 1865 37.13% @ Modena 0 1657 34.36% 28.51%
11 1942-01-18 34.62 Juventus 2 1769 18.23% @ Modena 0 1716 53.29% 28.48%
12 1942-01-11 34.19 Torino 3 1782 11.46% @ Atalanta 1 1819 60.89% 27.65%
13 1942-01-18 33.05 Roma 2 1884 20.67% @ Inter Milan 0 1806 50.72% 28.61%
14 1942-03-08 32.98 Bologna 2 1848 20.80% @ Atalanta 0 1768 50.58% 28.62%
15 1942-04-26 32.28 AC Milan 2 1822 21.93% @ Atalanta 0 1732 49.41% 28.66%
16 1942-01-25 31.78 Torino 3 1823 15.18% @ Triestina 1 1806 56.59% 28.22%
17 1942-01-04 31.66 Venezia 3 1810 15.38% @ Fiorentina 1 1790 56.37% 28.24%
18 1942-05-10 29.45 @ Fiorentina 8 1740 64.12% Modena 0 1653 8.91% 26.97%
19 1942-02-15 29.22 @ Lazio Roma 5 1768 57.28% Triestina 0 1777 14.57% 28.15%
20 1942-01-11 28.46 @ Genova 1893 6 1787 53.80% Inter Milan 1 1835 17.75% 28.45%
21 1942-06-07 27.20 @ Napoli 4 1708 40.76% Juventus 1 1869 30.56% 28.69%
22 1941-10-26 26.35 @ AC Milan 7 1806 58.82% Modena 1 1795 13.21% 27.97%
23 1942-05-03 26.19 @ Modena 3 1627 48.25% Livorno 0 1728 23.06% 28.68%
24 1942-06-07 26.09 Venezia 2 1870 33.17% @ Liguria 0 1689 38.20% 28.63%
25 1941-11-16 25.85 @ Bologna 4 1775 55.51% Atalanta 0 1804 16.17% 28.32%