1941-42 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Roma

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Roma

9.32 points above expected

42 points · 32.68 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Modena

6.92 points below expected

19 points · 25.92 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Roma	30	16	10	4	42	55	21	+34	32.7	+9.32
2	Torino	30	16	7	7	39	60	39	+21	31.7	+7.27
3	Venezia	30	15	8	7	38	40	25	+15	31.3	+6.70
4	Lazio Roma	30	14	9	7	37	55	37	+18	29.4	+7.61
5	Genova 1893	30	13	11	6	37	53	35	+18	31.0	+5.96
6	Juventus	30	12	8	10	32	47	41	+6	30.9	+1.07
7	Bologna	30	12	5	13	29	50	37	+13	32.0	-3.02
8	Triestina	30	8	13	9	29	29	32	-3	29.4	-0.40
9	Fiorentina	30	11	5	14	27	51	50	+1	29.5	-2.50
10	AC Milan	30	10	7	13	27	53	53	0	31.2	-4.22
11	Sampdoria	30	10	7	13	27	39	56	-17	28.3	-1.32
12	Inter Milan	30	7	12	11	26	31	47	-16	30.7	-4.71
13	Atalanta	30	8	8	14	24	34	47	-13	30.2	-6.24
14	Livorno	30	9	6	15	24	35	57	-22	28.1	-4.13
15	Napoli	30	8	7	15	23	32	51	-19	27.5	-4.47
16	Modena	30	6	7	17	19	23	59	-36	25.9	-6.92

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Roma	1904	42	32.68	+9.32	100.0%	21	25	30	32	35	40	42
Torino	1877	39	31.73	+7.27	99.0%	23	25	28	32	34	37	43
Lazio Roma	1870	37	29.39	+7.61	97.0%	20	22	27	29	32	36	41
Genova 1893	1836	37	31.04	+5.96	93.0%	17	25	29	31	33	38	40
Bologna	1836	29	32.02	-3.02	29.0%	23	26	29	32	35	39	40
Venezia	1830	38	31.30	+6.70	96.0%	19	25	29	31	34	38	40
Juventus	1822	32	30.93	+1.07	67.0%	20	25	28	31	34	37	39
Fiorentina	1768	27	29.50	-2.50	35.0%	23	24	27	29	32	35	37
Triestina	1766	29	29.40	-0.40	54.0%	21	23	27	29	32	36	39
AC Milan	1761	27	31.22	-4.22	23.0%	20	24	28	31	35	39	44
Inter Milan	1733	26	30.71	-4.71	17.0%	18	24	28	31	33	37	44
Napoli	1732	23	27.47	-4.47	16.0%	20	21	25	27	31	33	36
Livorno	1723	24	28.13	-4.13	16.0%	17	19	25	29	31	35	37
Atalanta	1721	24	30.24	-6.24	4.0%	20	25	28	30	33	37	42
Sampdoria	1713	27	28.32	-1.32	43.0%	17	21	26	28	31	34	42
Modena	1672	19	25.92	-6.92	8.0%	12	19	24	26	28	33	34

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ATA	BOL	FIO	G1	IM	JUV	LR	LIV	MOD	NAP	ROM	SAM	TOR	TRI	VEN
AC Milan	—	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.94	1-1-0 2.78	1-1-0 2.90	0-1-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.10	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-2 2.73	0-2-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.82
Atalanta	1-0-1 2.51	—	0-0-2 2.65	2-0-0 2.69	0-1-1 2.59	0-2-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.86	0-0-2 2.56	0-2-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.61
Bologna	1-0-1 2.75	2-0-0 2.87	—	1-0-1 3.05	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.96	1-1-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.90	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 3.46	1-0-1 3.20	0-0-2 2.70	0-1-1 3.17	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.86
Fiorentina	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.83	1-0-1 2.49	—	1-0-1 2.62	2-0-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.67	1-1-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.97	0-0-2 3.01	0-1-1 2.52	1-1-0 2.71	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.64
Genova 1893	0-1-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.94	1-1-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.91	—	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.87	0-1-1 2.79	1-1-0 3.09	2-0-0 3.37	1-1-0 3.21	2-0-0 2.58	1-1-0 3.01	1-1-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.74
Inter Milan	0-1-1 2.62	0-2-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.87	0-1-1 2.64	—	1-0-1 2.67	0-1-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 3.00	2-0-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.41	2-0-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.71	0-2-0 2.84	0-2-0 2.75
Juventus	1-1-0 2.70	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.67	1-1-0 2.87	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.88	—	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 3.15	1-1-0 3.16	0-1-1 3.25	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 2.78
Lazio Roma	1-1-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.02	1-1-0 2.64	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.75	—	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.22	1-1-0 3.06	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.69	1-1-0 2.74	2-0-0 2.63
Livorno	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.45	1-1-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.54	—	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.89	0-0-2 1.99	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.60
Modena	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.06	0-1-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.16	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.30	1-1-0 2.59	—	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 1.89	0-1-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.35	0-1-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.49
Napoli	1-0-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.36	2-0-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.32	0-0-2 2.55	1-1-0 2.29	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.78	—	0-1-1 2.28	0-1-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.42	0-0-2 2.58	0-1-1 2.53
Roma	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 3.07	2-0-0 2.85	1-1-0 3.03	0-0-2 2.96	2-0-0 3.14	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.56	1-1-0 3.69	1-1-0 3.24	—	2-0-0 3.10	0-2-0 2.87	0-2-0 2.96	1-1-0 2.89
Sampdoria	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.35	0-1-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.51	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.88	0-0-2 2.46	—	1-0-1 2.56	1-1-0 2.55	0-0-2 2.30
Torino	2-0-0 2.80	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 3.30	0-1-1 2.86	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 2.84	1-1-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.17	1-1-0 3.14	0-2-0 2.67	1-0-1 2.96	—	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.88
Triestina	0-2-0 2.67	0-2-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.68	0-2-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.89	1-1-0 2.93	2-0-0 2.95	0-2-0 2.59	0-1-1 2.99	0-0-2 2.56	—	0-1-1 2.63
Venezia	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.66	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.79	0-2-0 2.77	1-1-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.89	1-1-0 2.95	2-0-0 3.02	1-1-0 3.02	0-1-1 2.64	2-0-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.89	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	7.92%	6.46%	2.71%	1.46%	1.04%	26.25%
1	7.92%	15.00%	6.67%	2.71%	1.67%	1.88%	35.83%
2	6.46%	6.67%	5.42%	1.88%	0.62%	0.62%	21.67%
3	2.71%	2.71%	1.88%	—	0.62%	0.21%	8.12%
4	1.46%	1.67%	0.62%	0.62%	—	—	4.38%
5+	1.04%	1.88%	0.62%	0.21%	—	—	3.75%
Total	26.25%	35.83%	21.67%	8.12%	4.38%	3.75%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.40
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	2.86
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.017
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	—	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
2	10.00%	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	6.67%	40.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	13.33%	33.33%	33.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	3.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.012
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	40.00%
1	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	33.33%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	33.33%	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Atalanta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.79
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.177
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	30.00%
2	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	26.67%	40.00%	23.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.63
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.106
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	13.33%	43.33%	20.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.177
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	23.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	6.67%	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Genova 1893 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.039
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	33.33%
1	13.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	46.67%
2	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	43.33%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.63
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.083
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
1	3.33%	23.33%	10.00%	—	6.67%	—	43.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	30.00%	30.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.273
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	23.33%	43.33%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.254
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	6.67%	36.67%
2	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	26.67%	26.67%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	100%

Livorno — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.90
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.314
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	40.00%
1	13.33%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	46.67%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	26.67%	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	100%

Modena — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	0.77
StdDev allowed	2.04
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.311
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	46.67%
2	—	13.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.70
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.076
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	20.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	40.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	60.00%	16.67%	20.00%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	1.74
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.106
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	23.33%
1	13.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	—	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
3	—	—	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	36.67%	23.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.162
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
1	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	23.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
Total	26.67%	40.00%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.89
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	3.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.154
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	43.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	26.67%	26.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Triestina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.002
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	—	10.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	50.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Venezia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	0.70
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.015
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Roma	42	32.7	+9.32
2	Lazio Roma	37	29.4	+7.61
3	Torino	39	31.7	+7.27
4	Venezia	38	31.3	+6.70
5	Genova 1893	37	31.0	+5.96

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Modena	19	25.9	-6.92
2	Atalanta	24	30.2	-6.24
3	Inter Milan	26	30.7	-4.71
4	Napoli	23	27.5	-4.47
5	AC Milan	27	31.2	-4.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Napoli	4	May 17 – Jun 7	1 in 359
2	Torino	5	Jan 4 – Feb 1	1 in 184
3	Atalanta	3	Dec 14 – Dec 28	1 in 87
4	Roma	4	Jan 4 – Jan 25	1 in 70
5	Bologna	4	Jan 11 – Feb 1	1 in 70

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AC Milan	4	Nov 30 – Dec 21	1 in 38
2	Sampdoria	4	Feb 22 – Mar 15	1 in 25
3	Livorno	4	May 17 – Jun 7	1 in 24
4	Bologna	3	Oct 26 – Nov 9	1 in 18
5	Triestina	3	Jan 11 – Jan 25	1 in 18

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Roma	13	Nov 23 – Feb 22	1 in 642
2	Genova 1893	9	Dec 14 – Feb 15	1 in 159
3	Venezia	9	Oct 26 – Dec 21	1 in 109
4	Lazio Roma	8	Apr 26 – Jun 14	1 in 83
5	Torino	7	Dec 21 – Feb 1	1 in 36

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Triestina	12	Dec 14 – Mar 8	1 in 454
2	AC Milan	7	May 3 – Jun 14	1 in 101
3	Modena	8	Nov 9 – Dec 28	1 in 68
4	Inter Milan	7	Jan 11 – Mar 1	1 in 55
5	Napoli	7	Nov 9 – Dec 21	1 in 23

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Roma	19.00%	12.00%	10.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%	7.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Torino	8.00%	17.00%	12.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%	6.00%	—
Venezia	6.00%	13.00%	9.00%	11.00%	6.00%	11.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	4.00%
Lazio Roma	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%
Genova 1893	6.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	11.00%	6.00%	6.00%	12.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%
Juventus	6.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Bologna	16.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%	10.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—
Triestina	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Fiorentina	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	6.00%	3.00%	9.00%	3.00%	10.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%
AC Milan	12.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Sampdoria	3.00%	—	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	3.00%	12.00%	9.00%	7.00%	13.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Inter Milan	7.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%
Atalanta	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	13.00%	8.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Livorno	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	7.00%	4.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	14.00%
Napoli	—	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	14.00%	13.00%	13.00%
Modena	—	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	11.00%	20.00%	27.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Bologna	98.0%	2.0%
Roma	97.0%	3.0%
Venezia	95.0%	5.0%
Atalanta	94.0%	6.0%
Genova 1893	94.0%	6.0%
Torino	94.0%	6.0%
AC Milan	93.0%	7.0%
Juventus	93.0%	7.0%
Inter Milan	90.0%	10.0%
Fiorentina	89.0%	11.0%
Triestina	88.0%	12.0%
Lazio Roma	87.0%	13.0%
Sampdoria	84.0%	16.0%
Livorno	77.0%	23.0%
Napoli	74.0%	26.0%
Modena	53.0%	47.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1941-10-26	Modena	W 7-1	1803	1796	61.5%	23.4%	15.1%	+15.1	3
1941-10-26	@ AC Milan	L 1-7	1796	1803	15.1%	23.4%	61.5%	-15.1	0
1941-10-26	Livorno	W 4-0	1781	1776	61.3%	23.4%	15.2%	+12.6	3
1941-10-26	@ Atalanta	L 0-4	1776	1781	15.2%	23.4%	61.3%	-12.6	0
1941-10-26	Juventus	D 1-1	1782	1782	60.9%	23.5%	15.6%	-2.0	1
1941-10-26	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1782	1782	15.6%	23.5%	60.9%	+2.0	1
1941-10-26	Bologna	W 3-2	1792	1809	59.3%	23.8%	16.9%	+3.5	3
1941-10-26	@ Genova 1893	L 2-3	1809	1792	16.9%	23.8%	59.3%	-3.5	0
1941-10-26	Napoli	W 5-1	1783	1769	62.1%	23.3%	14.6%	+10.1	3
1941-10-26	@ Roma	L 1-5	1769	1783	14.6%	23.3%	62.1%	-10.1	0
1941-10-26	Sampdoria	W 3-2	1782	1776	61.4%	23.4%	15.2%	+3.1	3
1941-10-26	@ Torino	L 2-3	1776	1782	15.2%	23.4%	61.4%	-3.1	0
1941-10-26	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1785	1782	61.1%	23.5%	15.4%	-2.2	1
1941-10-26	@ Triestina	D 0-0	1782	1785	15.4%	23.5%	61.1%	+2.2	1
1941-10-26	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1769	1799	58.1%	24.0%	17.9%	-1.9	1
1941-10-26	@ Venezia	D 0-0	1799	1769	17.9%	24.0%	58.1%	+1.9	1
1941-11-02	Roma	L 1-2	1805	1793	62.0%	23.3%	14.7%	-10.8	0
1941-11-02	@ Bologna	W 2-1	1793	1805	14.7%	23.3%	62.0%	+10.8	6
1941-11-02	Triestina	D 1-1	1801	1783	62.5%	23.2%	14.3%	-2.1	2
1941-11-02	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1783	1801	14.3%	23.2%	62.5%	+2.1	2
1941-11-02	Genova 1893	D 1-1	1784	1795	59.8%	23.7%	16.5%	-1.9	2
1941-11-02	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1795	1784	16.5%	23.7%	59.8%	+1.9	4
1941-11-02	Torino	W 4-1	1784	1785	60.8%	23.5%	15.6%	+8.3	4
1941-11-02	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-4	1785	1784	15.6%	23.5%	60.8%	-8.3	3
1941-11-02	Venezia	D 1-1	1763	1767	60.5%	23.6%	15.9%	-1.9	1
1941-11-02	@ Livorno	D 1-1	1767	1763	15.9%	23.6%	60.5%	+2.0	2
1941-11-02	Atalanta	W 2-0	1781	1794	59.7%	23.8%	16.6%	+7.2	3
1941-11-02	@ Modena	L 0-2	1794	1781	16.6%	23.8%	59.7%	-7.2	3
1941-11-02	AC Milan	W 2-1	1759	1818	55.0%	24.4%	20.6%	+4.4	3
1941-11-02	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1818	1759	20.6%	24.4%	55.0%	-4.4	3
1941-11-02	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1773	1780	60.2%	23.6%	16.1%	-1.9	1
1941-11-02	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1780	1773	16.1%	23.6%	60.2%	+1.9	2
1941-11-09	Bologna	W 2-0	1814	1795	62.6%	23.2%	14.2%	+6.2	6
1941-11-09	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1795	1814	14.2%	23.2%	62.6%	-6.2	0
1941-11-09	Napoli	W 5-1	1787	1763	62.9%	23.1%	14.0%	+9.7	6
1941-11-09	@ Atalanta	L 1-5	1763	1787	14.0%	23.1%	62.9%	-9.7	3
1941-11-09	Genova 1893	W 2-0	1781	1797	59.4%	23.8%	16.8%	+7.3	5
1941-11-09	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1797	1781	16.8%	23.8%	59.4%	-7.3	4
1941-11-09	Juventus	W 2-0	1804	1782	62.8%	23.1%	14.1%	+6.2	9
1941-11-09	@ Roma	L 0-2	1782	1804	14.1%	23.1%	62.8%	-6.2	2
1941-11-09	Lazio Roma	W 4-1	1771	1793	58.8%	23.9%	17.3%	+9.2	4
1941-11-09	@ Sampdoria	L 1-4	1793	1771	17.3%	23.9%	58.8%	-9.2	4
1941-11-09	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1776	1799	58.8%	23.9%	17.3%	-1.8	4
1941-11-09	@ Torino	D 1-1	1799	1776	17.3%	23.9%	58.8%	+1.8	3
1941-11-09	Livorno	W 5-1	1785	1761	62.9%	23.1%	14.0%	+9.7	5
1941-11-09	@ Triestina	L 1-5	1761	1785	14.0%	23.1%	62.9%	-9.7	1
1941-11-09	Modena	W 3-1	1769	1788	59.1%	23.8%	17.1%	+6.4	5
1941-11-09	@ Venezia	L 1-3	1788	1769	17.1%	23.8%	59.1%	-6.4	3
1941-11-16	Atalanta	W 4-0	1788	1796	60.1%	23.7%	16.2%	+13.4	3
1941-11-16	@ Bologna	L 0-4	1796	1788	16.2%	23.7%	60.1%	-13.4	6
1941-11-16	Roma	W 2-0	1790	1810	59.0%	23.9%	17.2%	+7.4	7
1941-11-16	@ Genova 1893	L 0-2	1810	1790	17.2%	23.9%	59.0%	-7.4	9
1941-11-16	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1800	1780	62.7%	23.2%	14.2%	+3.1	6
1941-11-16	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1780	1800	14.2%	23.2%	62.7%	-3.1	4
1941-11-16	AC Milan	W 3-2	1776	1820	56.5%	24.2%	19.3%	+3.9	5
1941-11-16	@ Juventus	L 2-3	1820	1776	19.3%	24.2%	56.5%	-3.9	6
1941-11-16	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1784	1789	60.4%	23.6%	16.0%	-1.9	5
1941-11-16	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1789	1784	16.0%	23.6%	60.4%	+1.9	6
1941-11-16	Torino	D 1-1	1752	1775	58.7%	23.9%	17.4%	-1.8	2
1941-11-16	@ Livorno	D 1-1	1775	1752	17.4%	23.9%	58.7%	+1.8	5
1941-11-16	Triestina	L 0-1	1782	1795	59.7%	23.8%	16.6%	-11.1	3
1941-11-16	@ Modena	W 1-0	1795	1782	16.6%	23.8%	59.7%	+11.1	8
1941-11-16	Venezia	D 1-1	1753	1776	58.8%	23.9%	17.3%	-1.8	4
1941-11-16	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1776	1753	17.3%	23.9%	58.8%	+1.8	6
1941-11-23	Genova 1893	W 3-0	1816	1797	62.6%	23.2%	14.2%	+9.1	9
1941-11-23	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1797	1816	14.2%	23.2%	62.6%	-9.1	7
1941-11-23	Juventus	L 2-3	1783	1779	61.2%	23.5%	15.3%	-10.1	6
1941-11-23	@ Atalanta	W 3-2	1779	1783	15.3%	23.5%	61.2%	+10.1	8
1941-11-23	Roma	D 2-2	1791	1802	59.8%	23.7%	16.5%	-1.4	7
1941-11-23	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1802	1791	16.5%	23.7%	59.8%	+1.4	10
1941-11-23	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1782	1804	58.8%	23.9%	17.3%	-1.3	6
1941-11-23	@ Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1804	1782	17.3%	23.9%	58.8%	+1.3	7
1941-11-23	Livorno	W 4-2	1777	1750	63.2%	23.0%	13.7%	+4.7	7
1941-11-23	@ Sampdoria	L 2-4	1750	1777	13.7%	23.0%	63.2%	-4.7	2
1941-11-23	Modena	W 2-0	1776	1771	61.4%	23.4%	15.2%	+6.6	8
1941-11-23	@ Torino	L 0-2	1771	1776	15.2%	23.4%	61.4%	-6.6	3
1941-11-23	Napoli	W 1-0	1806	1752	65.5%	22.4%	12.1%	+2.8	11
1941-11-23	@ Triestina	L 0-1	1752	1806	12.1%	22.4%	65.5%	-2.8	4
1941-11-23	Bologna	W 1-0	1778	1802	58.6%	23.9%	17.5%	+4.0	9
1941-11-23	@ Venezia	L 0-1	1802	1778	17.5%	23.9%	58.6%	-4.0	3
1941-11-30	Triestina	W 2-0	1798	1808	59.9%	23.7%	16.4%	+7.1	6
1941-11-30	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1808	1798	16.4%	23.7%	59.9%	-7.1	11
1941-11-30	Atalanta	W 1-0	1788	1773	62.2%	23.3%	14.5%	+3.4	10
1941-11-30	@ Genova 1893	L 0-1	1773	1788	14.5%	23.3%	62.2%	-3.4	6
1941-11-30	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1805	1789	62.3%	23.2%	14.5%	-11.5	7
1941-11-30	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1789	1805	14.5%	23.2%	62.3%	+11.5	10
1941-11-30	Venezia	D 0-0	1790	1782	61.6%	23.4%	15.0%	-2.3	9
1941-11-30	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1782	1790	15.0%	23.4%	61.6%	+2.3	10
1941-11-30	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1745	1780	57.5%	24.1%	18.4%	+4.0	5
1941-11-30	@ Livorno	L 1-2	1780	1745	18.4%	24.1%	57.5%	-3.9	6
1941-11-30	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1764	1782	59.2%	23.8%	16.9%	-1.8	4
1941-11-30	@ Modena	D 1-1	1782	1764	16.9%	23.8%	59.2%	+1.8	8
1941-11-30	Torino	D 0-0	1749	1783	57.6%	24.1%	18.4%	-1.9	5
1941-11-30	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1783	1749	18.4%	24.1%	57.6%	+1.9	9
1941-11-30	AC Milan	W 2-0	1804	1825	58.8%	23.9%	17.3%	+7.5	13
1941-11-30	@ Roma	L 0-2	1825	1804	17.3%	23.9%	58.8%	-7.5	9
1941-12-07	Roma	D 2-2	1769	1811	56.8%	24.2%	19.0%	-1.2	7
1941-12-07	@ Atalanta	D 2-2	1811	1769	19.0%	24.2%	56.8%	+1.2	14
1941-12-07	AC Milan	W 4-3	1801	1818	59.3%	23.8%	16.9%	+3.4	13
1941-12-07	@ Fiorentina	L 3-4	1818	1801	16.9%	23.8%	59.3%	-3.4	9
1941-12-07	Livorno	D 1-1	1793	1749	64.7%	22.7%	12.7%	-2.3	8
1941-12-07	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1749	1793	12.7%	22.7%	64.7%	+2.3	6
1941-12-07	Modena	W 2-1	1776	1762	62.1%	23.3%	14.6%	+3.2	9
1941-12-07	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1762	1776	14.6%	23.3%	62.1%	-3.2	4
1941-12-07	Napoli	W 2-1	1783	1747	64.0%	22.8%	13.1%	+2.9	11
1941-12-07	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1747	1783	13.1%	22.8%	64.0%	-2.9	5
1941-12-07	Bologna	W 1-0	1785	1805	59.0%	23.9%	17.1%	+3.9	12
1941-12-07	@ Torino	L 0-1	1805	1785	17.1%	23.9%	59.0%	-3.9	6
1941-12-07	Juventus	W 3-0	1801	1787	62.1%	23.3%	14.6%	+9.3	14
1941-12-07	@ Triestina	L 0-3	1787	1801	14.6%	23.3%	62.1%	-9.3	9
1941-12-07	Genova 1893	W 2-1	1784	1791	60.2%	23.7%	16.2%	+3.5	13
1941-12-07	@ Venezia	L 1-2	1791	1784	16.2%	23.7%	60.2%	-3.5	10
1941-12-14	Atalanta	L 1-3	1815	1768	64.8%	22.6%	12.5%	-19.5	9
1941-12-14	@ AC Milan	W 3-1	1768	1815	12.5%	22.6%	64.8%	+19.5	10
1941-12-14	Sampdoria	D 2-2	1801	1786	62.2%	23.3%	14.6%	-1.6	7
1941-12-14	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1786	1801	14.6%	23.3%	62.2%	+1.6	12
1941-12-14	Triestina	D 0-0	1788	1811	58.7%	23.9%	17.4%	-2.0	11
1941-12-14	@ Genova 1893	D 0-0	1811	1788	17.4%	23.9%	58.7%	+2.0	15
1941-12-14	Torino	W 3-0	1778	1789	59.9%	23.7%	16.4%	+10.4	12
1941-12-14	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1789	1778	16.4%	23.7%	59.9%	-10.4	12
1941-12-14	Fiorentina	W 3-1	1751	1804	55.7%	24.3%	20.0%	+7.3	9
1941-12-14	@ Livorno	L 1-3	1804	1751	20.0%	24.3%	55.7%	-7.4	13
1941-12-14	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1759	1791	57.8%	24.0%	18.1%	-1.7	5
1941-12-14	@ Modena	D 1-1	1791	1759	18.1%	24.0%	57.8%	+1.7	9
1941-12-14	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1744	1780	57.5%	24.1%	18.5%	-1.7	6
1941-12-14	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1780	1744	18.5%	24.1%	57.5%	+1.7	10
1941-12-14	Venezia	D 0-0	1812	1787	63.1%	23.1%	13.9%	-2.4	15
1941-12-14	@ Roma	D 0-0	1787	1812	13.9%	23.1%	63.1%	+2.4	14
1941-12-21	Atalanta	L 0-1	1797	1788	61.7%	23.4%	14.9%	-11.4	13
1941-12-21	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1788	1797	14.9%	23.4%	61.7%	+11.4	13
1941-12-21	Napoli	W 5-1	1793	1742	65.2%	22.5%	12.3%	+8.6	12
1941-12-21	@ Inter Milan	L 1-5	1742	1793	12.3%	22.5%	65.2%	-8.6	6
1941-12-21	Bologna	W 5-1	1781	1799	59.2%	23.8%	17.0%	+11.6	13
1941-12-21	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-5	1799	1781	17.0%	23.8%	59.2%	-11.6	7
1941-12-21	Modena	D 2-2	1759	1757	61.0%	23.5%	15.5%	-1.5	10
1941-12-21	@ Livorno	D 2-2	1757	1759	15.5%	23.5%	61.0%	+1.5	6
1941-12-21	Juventus	W 2-1	1788	1788	60.8%	23.5%	15.6%	+3.4	15
1941-12-21	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1788	1788	15.6%	23.5%	60.8%	-3.4	12
1941-12-21	Genova 1893	D 1-1	1779	1786	60.2%	23.7%	16.2%	-1.9	13
1941-12-21	@ Torino	D 1-1	1786	1779	16.2%	23.7%	60.2%	+1.9	12
1941-12-21	Roma	D 0-0	1813	1810	61.1%	23.5%	15.4%	-2.2	16
1941-12-21	@ Triestina	D 0-0	1810	1813	15.4%	23.5%	61.1%	+2.2	16
1941-12-21	AC Milan	W 2-0	1790	1795	60.4%	23.6%	16.0%	+7.0	17
1941-12-21	@ Venezia	L 0-2	1795	1790	16.0%	23.6%	60.4%	-7.0	9
1941-12-28	Triestina	D 2-2	1788	1810	58.8%	23.9%	17.3%	-1.3	10
1941-12-28	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1810	1788	17.3%	23.9%	58.8%	+1.3	17
1941-12-28	Venezia	W 1-0	1799	1797	61.1%	23.5%	15.4%	+3.6	16
1941-12-28	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1797	1799	15.4%	23.5%	61.1%	-3.6	17
1941-12-28	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1788	1801	59.6%	23.8%	16.6%	-11.1	7
1941-12-28	@ Bologna	W 1-0	1801	1788	16.6%	23.8%	59.6%	+11.1	15
1941-12-28	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1788	1791	60.6%	23.6%	15.8%	-2.0	13
1941-12-28	@ Genova 1893	D 1-1	1791	1788	15.8%	23.6%	60.6%	+2.0	16
1941-12-28	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1785	1793	60.1%	23.7%	16.2%	+7.0	15
1941-12-28	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1793	1785	16.2%	23.7%	60.1%	-7.1	13
1941-12-28	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1759	1785	58.4%	24.0%	17.7%	-1.8	7
1941-12-28	@ Modena	D 1-1	1785	1759	17.7%	24.0%	58.4%	+1.8	14
1941-12-28	Livorno	W 2-1	1734	1757	58.6%	23.9%	17.4%	+3.8	9
1941-12-28	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1757	1734	17.4%	23.9%	58.6%	-3.8	10
1941-12-28	Torino	D 0-0	1812	1777	64.0%	22.8%	13.2%	-2.5	17
1941-12-28	@ Roma	D 0-0	1777	1812	13.2%	22.8%	64.0%	+2.5	14
1942-01-04	Venezia	L 1-3	1787	1793	60.3%	23.6%	16.1%	-18.2	14
1942-01-04	@ Fiorentina	W 3-1	1793	1787	16.1%	23.6%	60.3%	+18.2	20
1942-01-04	Juventus	W 4-1	1812	1792	62.7%	23.2%	14.2%	+7.6	18
1942-01-04	@ Inter Milan	L 1-4	1792	1812	14.2%	23.2%	62.7%	-7.6	15
1942-01-04	Genova 1893	D 1-1	1786	1786	60.9%	23.5%	15.6%	-2.0	14
1942-01-04	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1786	1786	15.6%	23.5%	60.9%	+2.0	14
1942-01-04	Bologna	D 1-1	1754	1777	58.7%	23.9%	17.4%	-1.8	11
1942-01-04	@ Livorno	D 1-1	1777	1754	17.4%	23.9%	58.7%	+1.8	8
1942-01-04	Napoli	W 1-0	1757	1737	62.6%	23.2%	14.2%	+3.3	10
1942-01-04	@ Modena	L 0-1	1737	1757	14.2%	23.2%	62.6%	-3.3	9
1942-01-04	Roma	L 0-3	1793	1810	59.3%	23.8%	16.9%	-30.1	16
1942-01-04	@ Sampdoria	W 3-0	1810	1793	16.9%	23.8%	59.3%	+30.1	20
1942-01-04	AC Milan	W 1-0	1779	1787	60.2%	23.7%	16.2%	+3.7	17
1942-01-04	@ Torino	L 0-1	1787	1779	16.2%	23.7%	60.2%	-3.7	10
1942-01-04	Atalanta	D 0-0	1812	1803	61.7%	23.4%	14.9%	-2.3	18
1942-01-04	@ Triestina	D 0-0	1803	1812	14.9%	23.4%	61.7%	+2.3	17
1942-01-11	Sampdoria	W 3-2	1783	1763	62.6%	23.2%	14.2%	+3.0	13
1942-01-11	@ AC Milan	L 2-3	1763	1783	14.2%	23.2%	62.6%	-3.0	16
1942-01-11	Torino	L 1-3	1805	1783	62.8%	23.1%	14.1%	-19.0	17
1942-01-11	@ Atalanta	W 3-1	1783	1805	14.1%	23.1%	62.8%	+19.0	20
1942-01-11	Modena	W 4-0	1778	1760	62.5%	23.2%	14.3%	+11.9	11
1942-01-11	@ Bologna	L 0-4	1760	1778	14.3%	23.2%	62.5%	-11.9	10
1942-01-11	Inter Milan	W 6-1	1788	1820	57.8%	24.0%	18.1%	+15.1	17
1942-01-11	@ Genova 1893	L 1-6	1820	1788	18.1%	24.0%	57.8%	-15.1	18
1942-01-11	Livorno	L 2-3	1784	1752	63.7%	22.9%	13.4%	-10.5	15
1942-01-11	@ Juventus	W 3-2	1752	1784	13.4%	22.9%	63.7%	+10.5	14
1942-01-11	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1734	1769	57.6%	24.1%	18.4%	+4.2	12
1942-01-11	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1769	1734	18.4%	24.1%	57.6%	-4.2	14
1942-01-11	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1840	1784	65.6%	22.4%	12.0%	+2.6	23
1942-01-11	@ Roma	L 1-2	1784	1840	12.0%	22.4%	65.6%	-2.6	14
1942-01-11	Triestina	W 2-0	1811	1809	61.0%	23.5%	15.4%	+6.8	23
1942-01-11	@ Venezia	L 0-2	1809	1811	15.4%	23.5%	61.0%	-6.7	18
1942-01-18	Triestina	W 2-1	1765	1803	57.2%	24.1%	18.7%	+4.0	17
1942-01-18	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1803	1765	18.7%	24.1%	57.2%	-4.0	18
1942-01-18	Roma	L 0-2	1805	1842	57.3%	24.1%	18.6%	-20.1	18
1942-01-18	@ Inter Milan	W 2-0	1842	1805	18.6%	24.1%	57.3%	+20.1	26
1942-01-18	AC Milan	D 2-2	1781	1786	60.4%	23.6%	16.0%	-1.4	15
1942-01-18	@ Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1786	1781	16.0%	23.6%	60.4%	+1.5	14
1942-01-18	Genova 1893	D 0-0	1762	1803	57.0%	24.1%	18.9%	-1.8	15
1942-01-18	@ Livorno	D 0-0	1803	1762	18.9%	24.1%	57.0%	+1.8	18
1942-01-18	Juventus	L 0-2	1748	1774	58.5%	23.9%	17.6%	-20.5	10
1942-01-18	@ Modena	W 2-0	1774	1748	17.6%	23.9%	58.5%	+20.5	18
1942-01-18	Bologna	L 1-2	1738	1790	55.8%	24.3%	19.9%	-9.8	12
1942-01-18	@ Napoli	W 2-1	1790	1738	19.9%	24.3%	55.8%	+9.8	14
1942-01-18	Atalanta	W 1-0	1760	1786	58.4%	23.9%	17.6%	+4.0	19
1942-01-18	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1786	1760	17.6%	23.9%	58.4%	-4.0	17
1942-01-18	Venezia	W 2-1	1802	1818	59.3%	23.8%	16.9%	+3.7	23
1942-01-18	@ Torino	L 1-2	1818	1802	16.9%	23.8%	59.3%	-3.7	23
1942-01-25	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1787	1785	61.1%	23.5%	15.4%	+3.4	17
1942-01-25	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1785	1787	15.4%	23.5%	61.1%	-3.4	18
1942-01-25	Lazio Roma	W 3-0	1782	1780	61.1%	23.5%	15.4%	+9.8	20
1942-01-25	@ Atalanta	L 0-3	1780	1782	15.4%	23.5%	61.1%	-9.8	15
1942-01-25	Bologna	L 2-5	1769	1800	57.9%	24.0%	18.1%	-21.5	17
1942-01-25	@ Fiorentina	W 5-2	1800	1769	18.1%	24.0%	57.9%	+21.5	17
1942-01-25	Modena	W 6-0	1805	1728	67.3%	21.9%	10.9%	+13.3	21
1942-01-25	@ Genova 1893	L 0-6	1728	1805	10.9%	21.9%	67.3%	-13.3	10
1942-01-25	Napoli	D 1-1	1794	1729	66.4%	22.1%	11.5%	-2.5	19
1942-01-25	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1729	1794	11.5%	22.1%	66.4%	+2.5	13
1942-01-25	Livorno	W 4-0	1863	1760	69.1%	21.2%	9.7%	+8.0	29
1942-01-25	@ Roma	L 0-4	1760	1863	9.7%	21.2%	69.1%	-8.0	15
1942-01-25	Torino	L 1-3	1799	1805	60.2%	23.6%	16.1%	-18.2	18
1942-01-25	@ Triestina	W 3-1	1805	1799	16.1%	23.6%	60.2%	+18.2	26
1942-01-25	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1815	1764	65.2%	22.5%	12.3%	+2.7	26
1942-01-25	@ Venezia	L 1-2	1764	1815	12.3%	22.5%	65.2%	-2.7	19
1942-02-01	Juventus	W 2-0	1822	1792	63.5%	23.0%	13.6%	+6.0	20
1942-02-01	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1792	1822	13.6%	23.0%	63.5%	-6.0	19
1942-02-01	Atalanta	D 0-0	1781	1792	59.9%	23.7%	16.4%	-2.1	19
1942-02-01	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1792	1781	16.4%	23.7%	59.9%	+2.1	21
1942-02-01	Venezia	W 2-1	1770	1817	56.3%	24.2%	19.5%	+4.2	18
1942-02-01	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1817	1770	19.5%	24.2%	56.3%	-4.2	26
1942-02-01	AC Milan	L 0-2	1752	1791	57.2%	24.1%	18.7%	-20.1	15
1942-02-01	@ Livorno	W 2-0	1791	1752	18.7%	24.1%	57.2%	+20.1	20
1942-02-01	Roma	D 0-0	1715	1871	43.5%	24.7%	31.8%	-0.5	11
1942-02-01	@ Modena	D 0-0	1871	1715	31.8%	24.7%	43.5%	+0.5	30
1942-02-01	Genova 1893	D 0-0	1731	1818	52.0%	24.6%	23.4%	-1.3	14
1942-02-01	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1818	1731	23.4%	24.6%	52.0%	+1.3	22
1942-02-01	Triestina	D 2-2	1761	1780	59.1%	23.8%	17.1%	-1.4	20
1942-02-01	@ Sampdoria	D 2-2	1780	1761	17.1%	23.8%	59.1%	+1.3	19
1942-02-01	Fiorentina	W 3-1	1824	1747	67.2%	21.9%	10.9%	+4.1	29
1942-02-01	@ Torino	L 1-3	1747	1824	10.9%	21.9%	67.2%	-4.2	17
1942-02-15	Genova 1893	D 1-1	1828	1819	61.6%	23.4%	15.0%	-2.0	21
1942-02-15	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1819	1828	15.0%	23.4%	61.6%	+2.0	23
1942-02-15	Venezia	D 1-1	1779	1813	57.6%	24.1%	18.3%	-1.7	20
1942-02-15	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1813	1779	18.3%	24.1%	57.6%	+1.7	27
1942-02-15	Fiorentina	W 4-2	1786	1743	64.6%	22.7%	12.8%	+4.3	22
1942-02-15	@ Juventus	L 2-4	1743	1786	12.8%	22.7%	64.6%	-4.3	17
1942-02-15	Triestina	W 5-0	1774	1782	60.2%	23.7%	16.2%	+16.4	21
1942-02-15	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-5	1782	1774	16.2%	23.7%	60.2%	-16.4	19
1942-02-15	Atalanta	W 3-1	1732	1794	54.8%	24.4%	20.8%	+7.6	18
1942-02-15	@ Livorno	L 1-3	1794	1732	20.8%	24.4%	54.8%	-7.6	21
1942-02-15	AC Milan	W 1-0	1714	1811	50.9%	24.6%	24.5%	+5.3	14
1942-02-15	@ Modena	L 0-1	1811	1714	24.5%	24.6%	50.9%	-5.3	20
1942-02-15	Roma	D 1-1	1730	1871	45.4%	24.7%	29.9%	-0.6	15
1942-02-15	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1871	1730	29.9%	24.7%	45.4%	+0.6	31
1942-02-15	Torino	W 1-0	1760	1828	54.1%	24.4%	21.4%	+4.8	23
1942-02-15	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1828	1760	21.4%	24.4%	54.1%	-4.8	29
1942-02-22	Napoli	W 3-1	1805	1729	67.2%	21.9%	10.9%	+4.1	23
1942-02-22	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1729	1805	10.9%	21.9%	67.2%	-4.1	15
1942-02-22	Modena	W 3-0	1786	1720	66.5%	22.1%	11.4%	+7.3	24
1942-02-22	@ Atalanta	L 0-3	1720	1786	11.4%	22.1%	66.5%	-7.3	14
1942-02-22	Sampdoria	W 4-1	1739	1765	58.4%	23.9%	17.6%	+9.3	20
1942-02-22	@ Fiorentina	L 1-4	1765	1739	17.6%	23.9%	58.4%	-9.3	23
1942-02-22	Juventus	L 1-4	1821	1790	63.6%	22.9%	13.5%	-27.1	23
1942-02-22	@ Genova 1893	W 4-1	1790	1821	13.5%	22.9%	63.6%	+27.1	25
1942-02-22	Bologna	W 1-0	1872	1826	64.8%	22.6%	12.6%	+2.9	34
1942-02-22	@ Roma	L 0-1	1826	1872	12.6%	22.6%	64.8%	-2.9	21
1942-02-22	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1823	1791	63.7%	22.9%	13.4%	-2.2	30
1942-02-22	@ Torino	D 1-1	1791	1823	13.4%	22.9%	63.7%	+2.2	22
1942-02-22	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1765	1778	59.7%	23.7%	16.5%	-2.1	20
1942-02-22	@ Triestina	D 0-0	1778	1765	16.5%	23.7%	59.7%	+2.1	21
1942-02-22	Livorno	W 2-1	1815	1740	67.1%	21.9%	11.0%	+2.4	30
1942-02-22	@ Venezia	L 1-2	1740	1815	11.0%	21.9%	67.1%	-2.4	18
1942-03-01	AC Milan	W 3-1	1823	1810	62.0%	23.3%	14.7%	+5.6	24
1942-03-01	@ Bologna	L 1-3	1810	1823	14.7%	23.3%	62.0%	-5.6	23
1942-03-01	Fiorentina	W 4-0	1794	1748	64.8%	22.6%	12.5%	+10.5	26
1942-03-01	@ Genova 1893	L 0-4	1748	1794	12.5%	22.6%	64.8%	-10.5	20
1942-03-01	Torino	L 2-3	1780	1821	56.9%	24.1%	18.9%	-9.5	21
1942-03-01	@ Inter Milan	W 3-2	1821	1780	18.9%	24.1%	56.9%	+9.5	33
1942-03-01	Roma	W 2-0	1817	1875	55.2%	24.3%	20.4%	+8.7	28
1942-03-01	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1875	1817	20.4%	24.3%	55.2%	-8.6	34
1942-03-01	Sampdoria	W 4-0	1793	1756	64.1%	22.8%	13.1%	+10.9	25
1942-03-01	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-4	1756	1793	13.1%	22.8%	64.1%	-10.9	23
1942-03-01	Triestina	W 1-0	1738	1763	58.4%	23.9%	17.6%	+4.0	21
1942-03-01	@ Livorno	L 0-1	1763	1738	17.6%	23.9%	58.4%	-4.0	20
1942-03-01	Venezia	L 0-1	1712	1817	49.9%	24.7%	25.4%	-9.4	14
1942-03-01	@ Modena	W 1-0	1817	1712	25.4%	24.7%	49.9%	+9.4	33
1942-03-01	Atalanta	W 3-0	1725	1794	54.0%	24.4%	21.5%	+13.1	18
1942-03-01	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1794	1725	21.5%	24.4%	54.0%	-13.1	24
1942-03-08	Juventus	D 1-1	1804	1826	58.8%	23.9%	17.3%	-1.8	24
1942-03-08	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1826	1804	17.3%	23.9%	58.8%	+1.8	29
1942-03-08	Bologna	L 0-2	1780	1828	56.2%	24.2%	19.5%	-19.8	24
1942-03-08	@ Atalanta	W 2-0	1828	1780	19.5%	24.2%	56.2%	+19.7	27
1942-03-08	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1738	1804	54.3%	24.4%	21.3%	+7.8	23
1942-03-08	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1804	1738	21.3%	24.4%	54.3%	-7.8	25
1942-03-08	Genova 1893	L 1-2	1866	1805	66.0%	22.3%	11.7%	-11.5	34
1942-03-08	@ Roma	W 2-1	1805	1866	11.7%	22.3%	66.0%	+11.5	29
1942-03-08	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1745	1770	58.5%	23.9%	17.6%	-10.9	23
1942-03-08	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1770	1745	17.6%	23.9%	58.5%	+10.9	24
1942-03-08	Livorno	W 1-0	1830	1742	68.2%	21.6%	10.3%	+2.4	36
1942-03-08	@ Torino	L 0-1	1742	1830	10.3%	21.6%	68.2%	-2.4	21
1942-03-08	Modena	D 1-1	1759	1703	65.7%	22.4%	12.0%	-2.4	21
1942-03-08	@ Triestina	D 1-1	1703	1759	12.0%	22.4%	65.7%	+2.4	15
1942-03-08	Napoli	W 4-1	1827	1738	68.2%	21.6%	10.3%	+5.5	36
1942-03-08	@ Venezia	L 1-4	1738	1827	10.3%	21.6%	68.2%	-5.5	18
1942-03-15	Venezia	W 2-0	1848	1832	62.3%	23.2%	14.5%	+6.3	30
1942-03-15	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1832	1848	14.5%	23.2%	62.3%	-6.3	36
1942-03-15	AC Milan	D 1-1	1816	1802	62.1%	23.3%	14.6%	-2.1	30
1942-03-15	@ Genova 1893	D 1-1	1802	1816	14.6%	23.3%	62.1%	+2.1	25
1942-03-15	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1781	1796	59.5%	23.8%	16.7%	-11.0	24
1942-03-15	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1796	1781	16.7%	23.8%	59.5%	+11.0	28
1942-03-15	Atalanta	D 1-1	1828	1761	66.5%	22.1%	11.4%	-2.5	30
1942-03-15	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1761	1828	11.4%	22.1%	66.5%	+2.5	25
1942-03-15	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1739	1734	61.4%	23.4%	15.2%	+6.6	24
1942-03-15	@ Livorno	L 0-2	1734	1739	15.2%	23.4%	61.4%	-6.6	23
1942-03-15	Torino	L 0-3	1705	1833	47.1%	24.7%	28.1%	-24.5	15
1942-03-15	@ Modena	W 3-0	1833	1705	28.1%	24.7%	47.1%	+24.5	39
1942-03-15	Triestina	L 0-1	1732	1757	58.6%	23.9%	17.5%	-10.9	18
1942-03-15	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1757	1732	17.5%	23.9%	58.6%	+10.9	24
1942-03-15	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1855	1745	69.7%	21.0%	9.3%	+2.2	37
1942-03-15	@ Roma	L 0-1	1745	1855	9.3%	21.0%	69.7%	-2.2	23
1942-03-22	Roma	W 4-2	1804	1857	55.8%	24.3%	20.0%	+6.6	28
1942-03-22	@ AC Milan	L 2-4	1857	1804	20.0%	24.3%	55.8%	-6.6	37
1942-03-22	Genova 1893	D 0-0	1763	1814	55.9%	24.3%	19.8%	-1.7	26
1942-03-22	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1814	1763	19.8%	24.3%	55.9%	+1.7	31
1942-03-22	Inter Milan	W 4-1	1743	1770	58.3%	24.0%	17.7%	+9.3	26
1942-03-22	@ Fiorentina	L 1-4	1770	1743	17.7%	24.0%	58.3%	-9.3	24
1942-03-22	Livorno	W 3-0	1807	1746	66.0%	22.3%	11.7%	+7.5	31
1942-03-22	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1746	1807	11.7%	22.3%	66.0%	-7.5	24
1942-03-22	Modena	W 2-1	1727	1681	64.8%	22.6%	12.5%	+2.8	26
1942-03-22	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1681	1727	12.5%	22.6%	64.8%	-2.8	15
1942-03-22	Napoli	W 5-3	1857	1722	71.5%	20.2%	8.3%	+2.6	42
1942-03-22	@ Torino	L 3-5	1722	1857	8.3%	20.2%	71.5%	-2.6	18
1942-03-22	Bologna	W 1-0	1768	1854	52.0%	24.6%	23.4%	+5.1	27
1942-03-22	@ Triestina	L 0-1	1854	1768	23.4%	24.6%	52.0%	-5.1	30
1942-03-22	Juventus	W 2-0	1826	1825	60.9%	23.5%	15.6%	+6.8	39
1942-03-22	@ Venezia	L 0-2	1825	1826	15.6%	23.5%	60.9%	-6.8	30
1942-03-29	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1811	1752	65.8%	22.3%	11.8%	+2.6	31
1942-03-29	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1752	1811	11.8%	22.3%	65.8%	-2.6	26
1942-03-29	Torino	W 1-0	1849	1860	59.9%	23.7%	16.4%	+3.8	33
1942-03-29	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1860	1849	16.4%	23.7%	59.9%	-3.8	42
1942-03-29	Venezia	W 1-0	1816	1833	59.3%	23.8%	16.9%	+3.9	34
1942-03-29	@ Genova 1893	L 0-1	1833	1816	16.9%	23.8%	59.3%	-3.9	39
1942-03-29	Triestina	W 1-0	1819	1773	64.8%	22.6%	12.6%	+2.9	33
1942-03-29	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1773	1819	12.6%	22.6%	64.8%	-2.9	27
1942-03-29	Inter Milan	W 3-0	1738	1761	58.8%	23.9%	17.3%	+10.9	27
1942-03-29	@ Livorno	L 0-3	1761	1738	17.3%	23.9%	58.8%	-10.9	24
1942-03-29	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1678	1815	46.0%	24.7%	29.3%	+6.1	18
1942-03-29	@ Modena	L 0-1	1815	1678	29.3%	24.7%	46.0%	-6.1	31
1942-03-29	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1719	1730	59.9%	23.7%	16.4%	-1.9	19
1942-03-29	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1730	1719	16.4%	23.7%	59.9%	+1.9	27
1942-03-29	Atalanta	W 2-0	1850	1761	68.2%	21.6%	10.3%	+4.5	40
1942-03-29	@ Roma	L 0-2	1761	1850	10.3%	21.6%	68.2%	-4.5	26
1942-04-26	AC Milan	L 0-2	1757	1814	55.3%	24.3%	20.4%	-19.4	26
1942-04-26	@ Atalanta	W 2-0	1814	1757	20.4%	24.3%	55.3%	+19.5	34
1942-04-26	Livorno	W 2-0	1750	1749	60.9%	23.5%	15.6%	+6.8	29
1942-04-26	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1749	1750	15.6%	23.5%	60.9%	-6.8	27
1942-04-26	Modena	W 1-0	1750	1684	66.4%	22.1%	11.5%	+2.7	27
1942-04-26	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1684	1750	11.5%	22.1%	66.4%	-2.7	18
1942-04-26	Napoli	W 1-0	1808	1717	68.3%	21.5%	10.2%	+2.4	34
1942-04-26	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1717	1808	10.2%	21.5%	68.3%	-2.4	19
1942-04-26	Bologna	W 2-1	1732	1853	47.9%	24.7%	27.4%	+5.5	30
1942-04-26	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1853	1732	27.4%	24.7%	47.9%	-5.5	33
1942-04-26	Juventus	W 2-1	1856	1821	63.9%	22.9%	13.2%	+2.9	45
1942-04-26	@ Torino	L 1-2	1821	1856	13.2%	22.9%	63.9%	-2.9	33
1942-04-26	Genova 1893	W 2-1	1770	1820	56.0%	24.2%	19.7%	+4.2	30
1942-04-26	@ Triestina	L 1-2	1820	1770	19.7%	24.2%	56.0%	-4.2	34
1942-04-26	Roma	L 0-1	1829	1855	58.4%	23.9%	17.6%	-10.9	39
1942-04-26	@ Venezia	W 1-0	1855	1829	17.6%	23.9%	58.4%	+10.8	43
1942-05-03	Venezia	D 1-1	1833	1818	62.2%	23.3%	14.5%	-2.1	35
1942-05-03	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1818	1833	14.5%	23.3%	62.2%	+2.1	40
1942-05-03	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1738	1757	59.1%	23.8%	17.1%	+3.7	29
1942-05-03	@ Atalanta	L 1-2	1757	1738	17.1%	23.8%	59.1%	-3.7	29
1942-05-03	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1847	1811	64.1%	22.8%	13.1%	-1.7	34
1942-05-03	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1811	1847	13.1%	22.8%	64.1%	+1.7	35
1942-05-03	Torino	W 4-3	1816	1859	56.7%	24.2%	19.1%	+3.8	37
1942-05-03	@ Genova 1893	L 3-4	1859	1816	19.1%	24.2%	56.7%	-3.8	45
1942-05-03	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1819	1737	67.6%	21.8%	10.6%	+6.8	36
1942-05-03	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1737	1819	10.6%	21.8%	67.6%	-6.8	30
1942-05-03	Livorno	W 3-0	1681	1742	54.9%	24.4%	20.8%	+12.7	21
1942-05-03	@ Modena	L 0-3	1742	1681	20.8%	24.4%	54.9%	-12.7	27
1942-05-03	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1715	1753	57.2%	24.1%	18.6%	-10.6	19
1942-05-03	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1753	1715	18.6%	24.1%	57.2%	+10.6	30
1942-05-03	Triestina	D 0-0	1866	1774	68.4%	21.5%	10.2%	-2.9	44
1942-05-03	@ Roma	D 0-0	1774	1866	10.2%	21.5%	68.4%	+2.9	31
1942-05-10	Modena	W 8-0	1753	1694	65.8%	22.3%	11.8%	+19.0	32
1942-05-10	@ Fiorentina	L 0-8	1694	1753	11.8%	22.3%	65.8%	-19.0	21
1942-05-10	Bologna	L 0-1	1763	1846	52.5%	24.6%	23.0%	-9.8	30
1942-05-10	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1846	1763	23.0%	24.6%	52.5%	+9.8	37
1942-05-10	Juventus	W 2-1	1812	1825	59.7%	23.8%	16.6%	+3.6	38
1942-05-10	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1825	1812	16.6%	23.8%	59.7%	-3.6	36
1942-05-10	Napoli	W 2-0	1730	1704	63.1%	23.1%	13.8%	+6.1	30
1942-05-10	@ Livorno	L 0-2	1704	1730	13.8%	23.1%	63.1%	-6.1	19
1942-05-10	Genova 1893	L 3-4	1730	1819	51.8%	24.6%	23.6%	-8.5	30
1942-05-10	@ Sampdoria	W 4-3	1819	1730	23.6%	24.6%	51.8%	+8.5	40
1942-05-10	Roma	D 2-2	1855	1863	60.2%	23.7%	16.2%	-1.4	46
1942-05-10	@ Torino	D 2-2	1863	1855	16.2%	23.7%	60.2%	+1.4	45
1942-05-10	AC Milan	D 2-2	1777	1831	55.6%	24.3%	20.1%	-1.1	32
1942-05-10	@ Triestina	D 2-2	1831	1777	20.1%	24.3%	55.6%	+1.1	36
1942-05-10	Atalanta	W 1-0	1820	1741	67.4%	21.8%	10.8%	+2.5	43
1942-05-10	@ Venezia	L 0-1	1741	1820	10.8%	21.8%	67.4%	-2.5	29
1942-05-17	Torino	L 2-5	1832	1854	58.8%	23.9%	17.3%	-21.8	36
1942-05-17	@ AC Milan	W 5-2	1854	1832	17.3%	23.9%	58.8%	+21.8	49
1942-05-17	Triestina	D 1-1	1739	1776	57.3%	24.1%	18.6%	-1.7	30
1942-05-17	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1776	1739	18.6%	24.1%	57.3%	+1.7	33
1942-05-17	Livorno	W 7-1	1856	1736	70.4%	20.7%	8.9%	+8.9	40
1942-05-17	@ Bologna	L 1-7	1736	1856	8.9%	20.7%	70.4%	-8.9	30
1942-05-17	Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1828	1816	61.9%	23.3%	14.8%	-10.8	40
1942-05-17	@ Genova 1893	W 2-1	1816	1828	14.8%	23.3%	61.9%	+10.8	41
1942-05-17	Inter Milan	W 4-0	1822	1753	66.6%	22.1%	11.3%	+9.5	39
1942-05-17	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1753	1822	11.3%	22.1%	66.6%	-9.4	30
1942-05-17	Modena	W 2-1	1698	1675	62.9%	23.1%	14.0%	+3.1	22
1942-05-17	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1675	1698	14.0%	23.1%	62.9%	-3.1	21
1942-05-17	Sampdoria	W 7-0	1864	1722	72.0%	20.0%	8.0%	+11.2	48
1942-05-17	@ Roma	L 0-7	1722	1864	8.0%	20.0%	72.0%	-11.2	30
1942-05-17	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1822	1772	65.2%	22.5%	12.3%	+2.7	46
1942-05-17	@ Venezia	L 1-2	1772	1822	12.3%	22.5%	65.2%	-2.7	32
1942-05-24	Napoli	L 0-1	1769	1701	66.6%	22.1%	11.3%	-12.2	32
1942-05-24	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1701	1769	11.3%	22.1%	66.6%	+12.2	25
1942-05-24	Genova 1893	D 1-1	1744	1817	53.5%	24.5%	22.0%	-1.3	31
1942-05-24	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1817	1744	22.0%	24.5%	53.5%	+1.3	41
1942-05-24	Roma	D 1-1	1827	1875	56.2%	24.2%	19.6%	-1.6	42
1942-05-24	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1875	1827	19.6%	24.2%	56.2%	+1.5	49
1942-05-24	Juventus	L 1-2	1727	1831	50.0%	24.7%	25.4%	-8.9	30
1942-05-24	@ Livorno	W 2-1	1831	1727	25.4%	24.7%	50.0%	+8.9	42
1942-05-24	Bologna	W 1-0	1672	1864	38.6%	24.5%	37.0%	+7.3	24
1942-05-24	@ Modena	L 0-1	1864	1672	37.0%	24.5%	38.6%	-7.3	40
1942-05-24	AC Milan	W 1-0	1711	1810	50.5%	24.6%	24.8%	+5.4	33
1942-05-24	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1810	1711	24.8%	24.6%	50.5%	-5.4	36
1942-05-24	Atalanta	W 9-1	1876	1737	71.7%	20.1%	8.2%	+10.6	52
1942-05-24	@ Torino	L 1-9	1737	1876	8.2%	20.1%	71.7%	-10.6	30
1942-05-24	Venezia	D 2-2	1778	1825	56.2%	24.2%	19.5%	-1.2	34
1942-05-24	@ Triestina	D 2-2	1825	1778	19.5%	24.2%	56.2%	+1.2	47
1942-05-31	Lazio Roma	L 2-5	1805	1825	58.9%	23.9%	17.2%	-21.9	36
1942-05-31	@ AC Milan	W 5-2	1825	1805	17.2%	23.9%	58.9%	+21.9	45
1942-05-31	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1726	1716	61.8%	23.4%	14.9%	-2.1	31
1942-05-31	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1716	1726	14.9%	23.4%	61.8%	+2.1	34
1942-05-31	Napoli	L 1-2	1857	1713	72.1%	20.0%	8.0%	-12.3	40
1942-05-31	@ Bologna	W 2-1	1713	1857	8.0%	20.0%	72.1%	+12.3	28
1942-05-31	Livorno	W 3-1	1818	1718	69.0%	21.2%	9.7%	+3.7	44
1942-05-31	@ Genova 1893	L 1-3	1718	1818	9.7%	21.2%	69.0%	-3.7	30
1942-05-31	Modena	D 1-1	1840	1679	73.2%	19.4%	7.4%	-3.0	43
1942-05-31	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1679	1840	7.4%	19.4%	73.2%	+3.0	25
1942-05-31	Inter Milan	W 6-0	1877	1743	71.4%	20.3%	8.3%	+10.0	52
1942-05-31	@ Roma	L 0-6	1743	1877	8.3%	20.3%	71.4%	-10.0	31
1942-05-31	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1776	1757	62.6%	23.2%	14.2%	+6.2	37
1942-05-31	@ Triestina	L 0-2	1757	1776	14.2%	23.2%	62.6%	-6.2	32
1942-05-31	Torino	W 3-1	1826	1886	55.0%	24.4%	20.7%	+7.6	50
1942-05-31	@ Venezia	L 1-3	1886	1826	20.7%	24.4%	55.0%	-7.6	52
1942-06-07	Fiorentina	L 2-3	1845	1751	68.5%	21.4%	10.0%	-11.2	40
1942-06-07	@ Bologna	W 3-2	1751	1845	10.0%	21.4%	68.5%	+11.2	35
1942-06-07	AC Milan	D 2-2	1733	1783	56.0%	24.3%	19.8%	-1.1	32
1942-06-07	@ Inter Milan	D 2-2	1783	1733	19.8%	24.3%	56.0%	+1.1	37
1942-06-07	Atalanta	W 2-1	1847	1724	70.6%	20.6%	8.8%	+1.9	48
1942-06-07	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1724	1847	8.8%	20.6%	70.6%	-1.9	31
1942-06-07	Roma	L 0-2	1714	1887	41.3%	24.6%	34.1%	-15.1	30
1942-06-07	@ Livorno	W 2-0	1887	1714	34.1%	24.6%	41.3%	+15.0	55
1942-06-07	Genova 1893	L 2-3	1682	1822	45.6%	24.7%	29.7%	-7.8	25
1942-06-07	@ Modena	W 3-2	1822	1682	29.7%	24.7%	45.6%	+7.8	47
1942-06-07	Juventus	W 4-1	1726	1837	49.1%	24.7%	26.2%	+13.0	31
1942-06-07	@ Napoli	L 1-4	1837	1726	26.2%	24.7%	49.1%	-13.0	43
1942-06-07	Venezia	L 0-2	1718	1834	48.6%	24.7%	26.7%	-17.3	34
1942-06-07	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1834	1718	26.7%	24.7%	48.6%	+17.3	53
1942-06-07	Triestina	W 2-0	1879	1783	68.7%	21.4%	10.0%	+4.4	55
1942-06-07	@ Torino	L 0-2	1783	1879	10.0%	21.4%	68.7%	-4.4	37
1942-06-14	Livorno	L 0-2	1784	1699	67.9%	21.7%	10.5%	-23.5	37
1942-06-14	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1699	1784	10.5%	21.7%	67.9%	+23.5	33
1942-06-14	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1722	1731	60.0%	23.7%	16.3%	-1.9	32
1942-06-14	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1731	1722	16.3%	23.7%	60.0%	+1.9	33
1942-06-14	Torino	W 2-1	1762	1883	48.0%	24.7%	27.3%	+5.5	38
1942-06-14	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1883	1762	27.3%	24.7%	48.0%	-5.5	55
1942-06-14	Napoli	W 3-0	1830	1739	68.3%	21.5%	10.2%	+6.5	50
1942-06-14	@ Genova 1893	L 0-3	1739	1830	10.2%	21.5%	68.3%	-6.5	31
1942-06-14	Bologna	D 1-1	1824	1834	60.0%	23.7%	16.3%	-1.9	44
1942-06-14	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1834	1824	16.3%	23.7%	60.0%	+1.9	41
1942-06-14	Modena	W 2-0	1902	1675	77.3%	17.2%	5.4%	+2.2	58
1942-06-14	@ Roma	L 0-2	1675	1902	5.4%	17.2%	77.3%	-2.2	25
1942-06-14	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1778	1701	67.3%	21.9%	10.8%	-12.3	37
1942-06-14	@ Triestina	W 1-0	1701	1778	10.8%	21.9%	67.3%	+12.3	37
1942-06-14	Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1851	1849	61.1%	23.5%	15.4%	-21.3	53
1942-06-14	@ Venezia	W 2-0	1849	1851	15.4%	23.5%	61.1%	+21.3	51

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1942-05-31	7.97%	Napoli	1713	2	@ Bologna	1857	1
2	1942-06-07	10.03%	Fiorentina	1751	3	@ Bologna	1845	2
3	1942-06-14	10.48%	Livorno	1699	2	@ AC Milan	1784	0
4	1942-06-14	10.84%	Sampdoria	1701	1	@ Triestina	1778	0
5	1942-05-24	11.32%	Napoli	1701	1	@ Fiorentina	1769	0
6	1942-03-08	11.69%	Genova 1893	1805	2	@ Roma	1866	1
7	1941-12-14	12.54%	Atalanta	1768	3	@ AC Milan	1815	1
8	1942-01-11	13.38%	Livorno	1752	3	@ Juventus	1784	2
9	1942-02-22	13.46%	Juventus	1790	4	@ Genova 1893	1821	1
10	1942-01-11	14.05%	Torino	1783	3	@ Atalanta	1805	1
11	1941-11-30	14.49%	Fiorentina	1789	1	@ Inter Milan	1805	0
12	1941-11-02	14.70%	Roma	1793	2	@ Bologna	1805	1
13	1942-05-17	14.75%	Lazio Roma	1816	2	@ Genova 1893	1828	1
14	1941-12-21	14.94%	Atalanta	1788	1	@ Fiorentina	1797	0
15	1941-11-23	15.34%	Juventus	1779	3	@ Atalanta	1783	2
16	1942-06-14	15.44%	Lazio Roma	1849	2	@ Venezia	1851	0
17	1942-01-04	16.05%	Venezia	1793	3	@ Fiorentina	1787	1
18	1942-01-25	16.10%	Torino	1805	3	@ Triestina	1799	1
19	1941-11-16	16.57%	Triestina	1795	1	@ Modena	1782	0
20	1941-12-28	16.64%	Inter Milan	1801	1	@ Bologna	1788	0
21	1942-03-15	16.74%	Lazio Roma	1796	1	@ Inter Milan	1781	0
22	1942-01-04	16.87%	Roma	1810	3	@ Sampdoria	1793	0
23	1942-05-31	17.19%	Lazio Roma	1825	5	@ AC Milan	1805	2
24	1942-05-17	17.28%	Torino	1854	5	@ AC Milan	1832	2
25	1942-03-15	17.50%	Triestina	1757	1	@ Napoli	1732	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1942-01-04	30.14	Roma	3	1810	16.87%	@ Sampdoria	0	1793	59.32%
2	1942-02-22	27.11	Juventus	4	1790	13.46%	@ Genova 1893	1	1821	63.60%
3	1942-03-15	24.46	Torino	3	1833	28.14%	@ Modena	0	1705	47.15%
4	1942-06-14	23.45	Livorno	2	1699	10.48%	@ AC Milan	0	1784	67.86%
5	1942-05-31	21.88	Lazio Roma	5	1825	17.19%	@ AC Milan	2	1805	58.94%
6	1942-05-17	21.84	Torino	5	1854	17.28%	@ AC Milan	2	1832	58.83%
7	1942-01-25	21.51	Bologna	5	1800	18.09%	@ Fiorentina	2	1769	57.89%
8	1942-06-14	21.32	Lazio Roma	2	1849	15.44%	@ Venezia	0	1851	61.05%
9	1942-01-18	20.48	Juventus	2	1774	17.58%	@ Modena	0	1748	58.48%
10	1942-01-18	20.08	Roma	2	1842	18.63%	@ Inter Milan	0	1805	57.26%
11	1942-02-01	20.06	AC Milan	2	1791	18.69%	@ Livorno	0	1752	57.20%
12	1942-03-08	19.75	Bologna	2	1828	19.53%	@ Atalanta	0	1780	56.24%
13	1941-12-14	19.52	Atalanta	3	1768	12.54%	@ AC Milan	1	1815	64.85%
14	1942-04-26	19.45	AC Milan	2	1814	20.36%	@ Atalanta	0	1757	55.32%
15	1942-05-10	19.04	@ Fiorentina	8	1753	65.85%	Modena	0	1694	11.83%
16	1942-01-11	18.96	Torino	3	1783	14.05%	@ Atalanta	1	1805	62.83%
17	1942-01-04	18.25	Venezia	3	1793	16.05%	@ Fiorentina	1	1787	60.31%
18	1942-01-25	18.23	Torino	3	1805	16.10%	@ Triestina	1	1799	60.24%
19	1942-06-07	17.29	Venezia	2	1834	26.70%	@ Sampdoria	0	1718	48.60%
20	1942-02-15	16.45	@ Lazio Roma	5	1774	60.16%	Triestina	0	1782	16.18%
21	1942-01-11	15.11	@ Genova 1893	6	1788	57.81%	Inter Milan	1	1820	18.15%
22	1941-10-26	15.11	@ AC Milan	7	1803	61.50%	Modena	1	1796	15.09%
23	1942-06-07	15.06	Roma	2	1887	34.11%	@ Livorno	0	1714	41.29%
24	1941-11-16	13.36	@ Bologna	4	1788	60.12%	Atalanta	0	1796	16.20%
25	1942-01-25	13.30	@ Genova 1893	6	1805	67.26%	Modena	0	1728	10.87%