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1967-68 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

AC Milan

46 points · 9th Title

Last Title: 1961-62

Relegated

Mantova

17 pts

SPAL · 22 pts

Brescia · 22 pts

Biggest Overachiever

AC Milan

10.46 points above expected

46 points · 35.54 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mantova

8.02 points below expected

17 points · 25.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 AC Milan Champion 30 18 10 2 46 53 24 +29 35.54 +10.46
2 Napoli 30 13 11 6 37 34 24 +10 33.71 +3.29
3 Juventus 30 13 10 7 36 33 29 +4 32.26 +3.74
4 Fiorentina 30 13 9 8 35 35 23 +12 34.92 +0.08
5 Inter Milan 30 13 7 10 33 46 34 +12 35.97 -2.97
6 Bologna 30 11 11 8 33 30 23 +7 32.90 +0.10
7 Torino 30 12 8 10 32 44 31 +13 33.37 -1.37
8 Varese 30 12 8 10 32 28 27 +1 25.50 +6.50
9 Cagliari 30 12 7 11 31 44 38 +6 32.26 -1.26
10 Sampdoria 30 6 15 9 27 27 34 -7 25.04 +1.96
11 Roma 30 7 13 10 27 25 35 -10 28.21 -1.21
12 Lanerossi Vicenza 30 8 9 13 25 22 30 -8 27.32 -2.32
13 Atalanta 30 10 5 15 25 26 42 -16 26.20 -1.20
14 SPAL Relegated 30 10 2 18 22 24 38 -14 25.46 -3.46
15 Brescia Relegated 30 8 6 16 22 20 35 -15 26.33 -4.33
16 Mantova Relegated 30 3 11 16 17 13 37 -24 25.02 -8.02

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
AC Milan 1941 46 35.54 +10.46 99.8% 21 29 33 36 38 42 51
Inter Milan 1879 33 35.97 -2.97 27.1% 18 29 33 36 39 43 53
Fiorentina 1878 35 34.92 +0.08 55.4% 21 28 32 35 38 42 50
Napoli 1867 37 33.71 +3.29 82.2% 18 27 31 34 36 40 47
Bologna 1836 33 32.90 +0.10 55.3% 14 26 30 33 36 40 47
Torino 1835 32 33.37 -1.37 41.6% 16 27 31 33 36 40 48
Juventus 1831 36 32.26 +3.74 84.8% 14 26 29 32 35 39 50
Cagliari 1826 31 32.26 -1.26 42.9% 17 26 30 32 35 39 48
Varese 1738 32 25.50 +6.50 95.3% 12 19 23 25 28 32 43
Lanerossi Vicenza 1724 25 27.32 -2.32 32.8% 13 21 25 27 30 34 41
Roma 1717 27 28.21 -1.21 42.8% 14 22 25 28 31 35 46
Sampdoria 1699 27 25.04 +1.96 72.8% 9 18 22 25 28 32 44
Brescia 1693 22 26.33 -4.33 17.3% 12 20 24 26 29 33 41
SPAL 1687 22 25.46 -3.46 23.7% 9 19 23 25 28 32 44
Atalanta 1672 25 26.20 -1.20 43.4% 10 20 23 26 29 33 42
Mantova 1652 17 25.02 -8.02 3.1% 10 18 22 25 28 32 43

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ATA BOL BRE CAG FIO IM JUV LV MAN NAP ROM SPA SAM TOR VAR
AC Milan —
1-1-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.43
0-1-1
3.09
1-1-0
2.65
0-2-0
2.64
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.69
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.68
Atalanta
0-1-1
1.71
 —
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.01
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.07
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.83
Bologna
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
3.57
 —
0-1-1
3.43
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
2.39
0-2-0
2.66
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.54
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.55
2-0-0
2.46
1-1-0
3.23
Brescia
0-0-2
2.02
2-0-0
2.57
1-1-0
1.98
 —
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
1.79
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
2.22
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.81
0-2-0
2.02
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.85
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
2.73
Cagliari
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
3.25
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.13
 —
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.23
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.42
0-2-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.26
Fiorentina
0-1-1
2.73
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
2.77
0-1-1
3.63
1-0-1
2.87
 —
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
3.59
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
3.67
0-2-0
3.57
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
3.56
Inter Milan
0-2-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
3.63
0-0-2
3.02
1-1-0
2.81
 —
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.59
1-1-0
3.59
0-0-2
2.88
1-1-0
3.31
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.80
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.84
Juventus
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.40
0-2-0
2.73
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.36
 —
2-0-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.43
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
3.52
Lanerossi Vicenza
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.12
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
1.82
0-0-2
2.39
 —
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.04
0-2-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.98
Mantova
0-0-2
1.72
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
1.88
2-0-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
1.83
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.50
 —
0-1-1
1.85
0-2-0
2.39
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-2
2.90
0-1-1
1.89
0-2-0
2.49
Napoli
0-1-1
2.60
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
2.78
0-2-0
3.41
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.57
 —
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.37
0-2-0
3.43
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
3.41
Roma
0-1-1
1.69
0-1-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.17
0-1-1
2.10
1-1-0
2.34
0-2-0
2.80
0-2-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.22
 —
1-1-0
2.90
0-2-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.94
SPAL
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.09
2-0-0
2.54
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
1.76
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
1.99
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.04
0-1-1
2.49
 —
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
2.65
Sampdoria
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
2.71
0-1-1
1.87
2-0-0
2.63
0-2-0
2.04
0-2-0
1.85
0-1-1
1.63
0-1-1
1.97
1-1-0
2.53
2-0-0
2.48
0-2-0
1.98
0-2-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.73
 —
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.74
Torino
0-0-2
2.48
1-1-0
3.36
0-0-2
2.93
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.51
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.54
0-1-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.51
 —
0-2-0
3.44
Varese
1-0-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
1.58
1-0-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.40
0-2-0
2.92
1-0-1
1.98
1-0-1
2.44
2-0-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.64
0-2-0
1.98
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +5.5
Allowed 0.52 -8.5
Differential 0.90 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.17%12.71%6.04%2.71%0.42%0.83%36.88%
112.71%12.08%6.88%2.71%0.83%—35.21%
26.04%6.88%2.92%1.46%0.42%0.21%17.92%
32.71%2.71%1.46%0.42%——7.29%
40.42%0.83%0.42%———1.67%
5+0.83%—0.21%———1.04%
Total36.88%35.21%17.92%7.29%1.67%1.04%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.05 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.08 1.55
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%————13.33%
110.00%16.67%3.33%———30.00%
210.00%13.33%6.67%———30.00%
310.00%3.33%6.67%———20.00%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total40.00%40.00%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.80 +0.97
SD 1.14 0.76 1.16
CV 0.64 0.95 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%3.33%10.00%—3.33%40.00%
116.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%—43.33%
23.33%6.67%————10.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%30.00%13.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.40 -0.53
SD 0.97 1.43 1.93
CV 1.12 1.02 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%13.33%—3.33%——43.33%
113.33%10.00%3.33%———26.67%
26.67%10.00%—3.33%3.33%—23.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total50.00%36.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.77 +0.23
SD 1.17 1.04 1.45
CV 1.17 1.36 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%23.33%6.67%6.67%—3.33%56.67%
110.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%——26.67%
23.33%6.67%————10.00%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%16.67%10.00%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.17 -0.50
SD 0.92 1.21 1.66
CV 1.38 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%3.33%———13.33%
16.67%13.33%20.00%3.33%——43.33%
213.33%6.67%6.67%———26.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%33.33%36.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.27 +0.20
SD 0.94 0.91 1.32
CV 0.64 0.72 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%3.33%———30.00%
113.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%——36.67%
213.33%3.33%3.33%———20.00%
36.67%6.67%————13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%36.67%10.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.77 +0.40
SD 1.02 0.90 1.43
CV 0.87 1.17 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%6.67%———16.67%
113.33%13.33%13.33%3.33%——43.33%
26.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%——20.00%
310.00%3.33%3.33%———16.67%
4———————
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total36.67%23.33%30.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.13 +0.40
SD 1.28 1.04 1.61
CV 0.83 0.92 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%3.33%6.67%—3.33%3.33%40.00%
110.00%6.67%6.67%———23.33%
210.00%10.00%3.33%———23.33%
33.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%26.67%20.00%—3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 0.97 +0.13
SD 1.09 1.25 1.74
CV 0.99 1.29 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%23.33%13.33%3.33%——53.33%
113.33%13.33%—3.33%——30.00%
23.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%46.67%16.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.00 -0.27
SD 1.01 0.87 1.39
CV 1.38 0.87 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%23.33%10.00%6.67%——63.33%
110.00%6.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%—30.00%
2——6.67%———6.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%30.00%20.00%13.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.43 1.23 -0.80
SD 0.63 1.17 1.16
CV 1.44 0.94 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%—3.33%——23.33%
120.00%20.00%10.00%———50.00%
23.33%16.67%3.33%———23.33%
3———————
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total40.00%43.33%13.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.80 +0.33
SD 1.01 0.81 1.32
CV 0.89 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%10.00%3.33%——40.00%
110.00%20.00%6.67%———36.67%
23.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%—3.33%23.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%20.00%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.17 -0.33
SD 0.79 1.29 1.30
CV 0.95 1.10 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%23.33%16.67%———43.33%
123.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%—43.33%
2———3.33%——3.33%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%30.00%26.67%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.27 -0.47
SD 0.92 1.11 1.46
CV 1.16 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%——33.33%
113.33%30.00%3.33%3.33%——50.00%
2—3.33%3.33%—3.33%—10.00%
33.33%——3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%43.33%13.33%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.13 -0.23
SD 0.84 1.07 1.19
CV 0.94 0.95 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%10.00%———33.33%
16.67%10.00%6.67%———23.33%
26.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%——26.67%
3———————
43.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total33.33%36.67%23.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.03 +0.43
SD 1.48 0.93 1.76
CV 1.01 0.90 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%16.67%—3.33%3.33%3.33%46.67%
113.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
213.33%6.67%————20.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total50.00%33.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 0.90 +0.03
SD 1.17 1.30 1.96
CV 1.26 1.44 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AC Milan 46 35.54 +10.46
2 Varese 32 25.50 +6.50
3 Juventus 36 32.26 +3.74
4 Napoli 37 33.71 +3.29
5 Sampdoria 27 25.04 +1.96

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mantova 17 25.02 -8.02
2 Brescia 22 26.33 -4.33
3 SPAL 22 25.46 -3.46
4 Inter Milan 33 35.97 -2.97
5 Lanerossi Vicenza 25 27.32 -2.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brescia 3 Nov 5 – Nov 26 1 in 247
2 Inter Milan 5 Feb 25 – Mar 31 1 in 57
3 Torino 4 Jan 7 – Jan 28 1 in 46
4 AC Milan 5 Feb 25 – Mar 31 1 in 45
5 Varese 2 Oct 29 – Nov 5 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bologna 4 Oct 29 – Nov 26 1 in 834
2 Atalanta 6 Mar 17 – Apr 28 1 in 72
3 Torino 3 Dec 3 – Dec 17 1 in 71
4 Roma 4 Jan 7 – Jan 28 1 in 46
5 Brescia 4 Feb 11 – Mar 10 1 in 42

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Milan 14 Sep 24 – Jan 7 1 in 330
2 Roma 8 Sep 24 – Nov 12 1 in 50
3 Napoli 9 Oct 8 – Dec 9 1 in 39
4 Sampdoria 6 Jan 21 – Feb 25 1 in 31
5 Varese 7 Dec 17 – Feb 4 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mantova 11 Nov 26 – Feb 11 1 in 76
2 Bologna 7 Oct 8 – Nov 26 1 in 62
3 Lanerossi Vicenza 10 Nov 12 – Jan 28 1 in 44
4 Cagliari 5 Feb 25 – Mar 31 1 in 39
5 Torino 7 Nov 5 – Dec 31 1 in 38

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
AC Milan23.47%18.15%14.40%11.26%9.03%7.16%5.40%3.90%2.77%1.80%1.11%0.71%0.49%0.24%0.07%0.04%
Napoli10.16%11.36%11.66%11.76%11.43%10.55%8.57%7.67%5.83%4.11%2.63%1.78%1.10%0.81%0.39%0.19%
Juventus5.18%6.92%8.36%9.74%9.93%11.44%10.76%9.90%7.85%6.28%5.05%3.29%2.59%1.45%0.97%0.29%
Fiorentina16.12%15.29%14.35%12.41%10.30%8.90%6.61%5.32%4.10%2.38%1.69%1.28%0.59%0.44%0.14%0.08%
Inter Milan23.78%17.56%14.70%11.38%9.33%7.26%5.45%3.84%2.46%1.69%0.95%0.72%0.42%0.32%0.10%0.04%
Bologna6.72%8.77%9.97%10.97%11.15%11.35%10.27%8.71%6.82%5.06%4.06%2.51%1.69%1.05%0.65%0.25%
Torino8.50%10.85%11.35%11.96%11.63%10.40%9.72%7.95%5.66%4.21%3.01%2.06%1.27%0.83%0.46%0.14%
Varese0.11%0.27%0.61%1.13%1.70%2.40%3.79%4.66%6.60%8.52%9.95%11.35%11.01%12.15%12.92%12.83%
Cagliari4.69%7.48%8.74%9.76%11.17%10.26%10.58%9.81%8.18%6.03%4.62%3.27%2.31%1.62%0.98%0.50%
Sampdoria0.06%0.24%0.39%0.69%1.17%1.57%3.20%4.05%5.64%7.06%8.98%10.53%12.27%13.18%15.25%15.72%
Roma0.49%1.12%1.72%2.75%3.98%5.57%6.93%8.57%9.94%10.94%10.73%9.98%8.84%7.64%6.13%4.67%
Lanerossi Vicenza0.28%0.78%1.32%2.10%3.14%4.22%5.50%6.91%8.99%10.58%10.78%10.33%10.60%9.35%8.35%6.77%
Atalanta0.15%0.27%0.91%1.25%1.76%2.77%3.87%5.20%6.66%8.63%9.76%10.53%11.94%12.47%12.30%11.53%
SPAL0.07%0.27%0.54%0.80%1.26%1.95%3.18%4.36%6.11%7.43%9.20%10.68%11.86%12.66%14.17%15.46%
Brescia0.13%0.43%0.64%1.31%2.02%2.74%3.95%5.44%7.41%8.47%9.87%11.02%11.60%12.29%11.47%11.21%
Mantova0.09%0.24%0.34%0.73%1.00%1.46%2.22%3.71%4.98%6.81%7.61%9.96%11.42%13.50%15.65%20.28%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.75%
Strong Edge
49.58%29.58%20.83%
Elo Value
Home Edge
235 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0102.78600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.1
Wide Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
AC Milan, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.30/gm
Tight Race
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.26 * Some Luck: 3.26 to 4.9 * Lucky: 4.9 to 6.53 * Wild Swing: 6.53 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.21 * Close: 2.21 to 3.32 * Off: 3.32 to 4.43 * Way Off: 4.43 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.64 * A Surprise: 1.64 to 2.63 * Several Surprises: 2.63 to 3.61 * Many Surprises: 3.61 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.30 points
Some Luck
04.0810
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.19
Pinpoint
02.776
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.83%
AC Milan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
3.08%
Mantova
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.63

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.30
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Strong Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
72%
Very Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Occasional
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.67
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.40
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.79
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.085
Well Within Noise
00.0980.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AC Milan 99.65% 0.35%
Inter Milan 99.54% 0.46%
Fiorentina 99.34% 0.66%
Napoli 98.61% 1.39%
Torino 98.57% 1.43%
Bologna 98.05% 1.95%
Juventus 97.29% 2.71%
Cagliari 96.90% 3.10%
Roma 81.56% 18.44%
Lanerossi Vicenza 75.53% 24.47%
Brescia 65.03% 34.97%
Atalanta 63.70% 36.30%
Varese 62.10% 37.90%
SPAL 57.71% 42.29%
Sampdoria 55.85% 44.15%
Mantova 50.57% 49.43%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1967-09-24 Cagliari W 2-1 1735 1804 45.5% 31.3% 23.2% +6.1 2
1967-09-24 @ Brescia L 1-2 1804 1735 23.2% 31.3% 45.5% -6.1 0
1967-09-24 Varese W 3-1 1852 1646 68.7% 25.1% 6.2% +3.1 2
1967-09-24 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1646 1852 6.2% 25.1% 68.7% -3.1 0
1967-09-24 Roma D 1-1 1901 1756 64.6% 27.1% 8.2% -3.1 1
1967-09-24 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1756 1901 8.2% 27.1% 64.6% +3.1 1
1967-09-24 Mantova W 3-1 1852 1748 61.7% 28.3% 10.0% +5.2 2
1967-09-24 @ Juventus L 1-3 1748 1852 10.0% 28.3% 61.7% -5.2 0
1967-09-24 Atalanta W 1-0 1829 1727 61.7% 28.4% 10.0% +3.2 2
1967-09-24 @ Napoli L 0-1 1727 1829 10.0% 28.4% 61.7% -3.2 0
1967-09-24 Bologna L 1-2 1695 1845 35.0% 31.2% 33.8% -8.1 0
1967-09-24 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1845 1695 33.8% 31.2% 35.0% +8.1 2
1967-09-24 AC Milan L 1-4 1736 1800 46.1% 31.3% 22.6% -24.8 0
1967-09-24 @ SPAL W 4-1 1800 1736 22.6% 31.3% 46.1% +24.8 2
1967-09-24 Torino W 1-0 1760 1789 49.9% 31.0% 19.1% +5.6 2
1967-09-24 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1789 1760 19.1% 31.0% 49.9% -5.6 0
1967-10-01 Fiorentina D 0-0 1825 1855 49.8% 31.0% 19.2% -1.7 3
1967-10-01 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1855 1825 19.2% 31.0% 49.8% +1.7 3
1967-10-01 Juventus D 0-0 1724 1857 37.3% 31.3% 31.4% -0.3 1
1967-10-01 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1857 1724 31.4% 31.3% 37.3% +0.3 3
1967-10-01 Cagliari W 2-1 1853 1798 57.9% 29.6% 12.6% +3.7 4
1967-10-01 @ Bologna L 1-2 1798 1853 12.6% 29.6% 57.9% -3.7 0
1967-10-01 Inter Milan D 0-0 1743 1898 34.3% 31.2% 34.5% +0.0 1
1967-10-01 @ Mantova D 0-0 1898 1743 34.5% 31.2% 34.3% -0.0 2
1967-10-01 Napoli W 2-1 1759 1833 45.0% 31.3% 23.7% +6.2 3
1967-10-01 @ Roma L 1-2 1833 1759 23.7% 31.3% 45.0% -6.2 2
1967-10-01 Brescia W 2-0 1784 1741 56.8% 29.8% 13.4% +7.9 2
1967-10-01 @ Torino L 0-2 1741 1784 13.4% 29.8% 56.8% -7.8 2
1967-10-01 Sampdoria W 1-0 1643 1686 48.4% 31.1% 20.5% +5.9 2
1967-10-01 @ Varese L 0-1 1686 1643 20.5% 31.1% 48.4% -5.9 0
1967-10-01 SPAL W 1-0 1766 1711 57.8% 29.6% 12.6% +4.0 4
1967-10-01 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1711 1766 12.6% 29.6% 57.8% -4.0 0
1967-10-08 Bologna D 0-0 1733 1857 38.6% 31.4% 30.0% -0.4 3
1967-10-08 @ Brescia D 0-0 1857 1733 30.0% 31.4% 38.6% +0.4 5
1967-10-08 Atalanta W 2-1 1794 1723 59.2% 29.2% 11.6% +3.5 2
1967-10-08 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1723 1794 11.6% 29.2% 59.2% -3.5 1
1967-10-08 Torino D 1-1 1857 1792 58.7% 29.3% 12.0% -2.5 4
1967-10-08 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1792 1857 12.0% 29.3% 58.7% +2.5 3
1967-10-08 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1898 1770 63.5% 27.7% 8.9% +2.8 4
1967-10-08 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1770 1898 8.9% 27.7% 63.5% -2.8 4
1967-10-08 Varese W 3-0 1857 1649 68.8% 25.0% 6.1% +5.2 5
1967-10-08 @ Juventus L 0-3 1649 1857 6.1% 25.0% 68.8% -5.2 2
1967-10-08 AC Milan D 1-1 1826 1823 53.2% 30.5% 16.2% -1.9 3
1967-10-08 @ Napoli D 1-1 1823 1826 16.2% 30.5% 53.2% +1.9 4
1967-10-08 Mantova W 3-0 1680 1743 46.2% 31.3% 22.5% +17.4 2
1967-10-08 @ Sampdoria L 0-3 1743 1680 22.5% 31.3% 46.2% -17.4 1
1967-10-08 Roma L 0-1 1707 1766 46.7% 31.2% 22.0% -10.8 0
1967-10-08 @ SPAL W 1-0 1766 1707 22.0% 31.2% 46.7% +10.8 5
1967-10-15 Mantova W 3-1 1825 1726 61.4% 28.5% 10.2% +5.3 6
1967-10-15 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1726 1825 10.2% 28.5% 61.4% -5.3 1
1967-10-15 Inter Milan W 3-1 1720 1901 30.8% 30.9% 38.3% +15.0 3
1967-10-15 @ Atalanta L 1-3 1901 1720 38.3% 30.9% 30.8% -15.0 4
1967-10-15 Juventus D 0-0 1857 1862 52.4% 30.7% 17.0% -2.0 6
1967-10-15 @ Bologna D 0-0 1862 1857 17.0% 30.7% 52.4% +2.0 6
1967-10-15 SPAL L 0-1 1733 1697 56.2% 29.9% 13.8% -12.8 3
1967-10-15 @ Brescia W 1-0 1697 1733 13.8% 29.9% 56.2% +12.8 2
1967-10-15 Napoli D 1-1 1798 1825 50.1% 30.9% 18.9% -1.5 3
1967-10-15 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1825 1798 18.9% 30.9% 50.1% +1.5 4
1967-10-15 Fiorentina W 2-1 1776 1854 44.4% 31.3% 24.3% +6.3 7
1967-10-15 @ Roma L 1-2 1854 1776 24.3% 31.3% 44.4% -6.3 4
1967-10-15 Sampdoria W 4-2 1794 1698 61.2% 28.5% 10.3% +4.8 5
1967-10-15 @ Torino L 2-4 1698 1794 10.3% 28.5% 61.2% -4.8 2
1967-10-15 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-0 1644 1767 38.6% 31.4% 30.0% +14.7 4
1967-10-15 @ Varese L 0-2 1767 1644 30.0% 31.4% 38.6% -14.7 4
1967-10-22 Varese W 4-0 1735 1658 59.6% 29.1% 11.3% +12.8 5
1967-10-22 @ Atalanta L 0-4 1658 1735 11.3% 29.1% 59.6% -12.8 4
1967-10-22 Cagliari W 1-0 1848 1796 57.6% 29.6% 12.8% +4.0 6
1967-10-22 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1796 1848 12.8% 29.6% 57.6% -4.0 3
1967-10-22 AC Milan D 1-1 1886 1830 57.9% 29.5% 12.6% -2.4 5
1967-10-22 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1830 1886 12.6% 29.5% 57.9% +2.4 7
1967-10-22 Torino L 0-4 1864 1799 58.7% 29.3% 12.0% -47.7 6
1967-10-22 @ Juventus W 4-0 1799 1864 12.0% 29.3% 58.7% +47.7 7
1967-10-22 Brescia W 1-0 1720 1720 52.9% 30.6% 16.5% +5.0 3
1967-10-22 @ Mantova L 0-1 1720 1720 16.5% 30.6% 52.9% -5.0 3
1967-10-22 Roma D 1-1 1693 1783 43.0% 31.4% 25.7% -0.8 3
1967-10-22 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1783 1693 25.7% 31.4% 43.0% +0.8 8
1967-10-22 Napoli L 1-2 1709 1826 39.5% 31.4% 29.1% -8.9 2
1967-10-22 @ SPAL W 2-1 1826 1709 29.1% 31.4% 39.5% +8.9 6
1967-10-22 Bologna D 1-1 1752 1855 41.3% 31.4% 27.3% -0.6 5
1967-10-22 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1855 1752 27.3% 31.4% 41.3% +0.7 7
1967-10-29 Juventus D 0-0 1832 1817 54.4% 30.3% 15.3% -2.2 8
1967-10-29 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1817 1832 15.3% 30.3% 54.4% +2.2 7
1967-10-29 Fiorentina L 0-1 1856 1852 53.2% 30.5% 16.2% -12.2 7
1967-10-29 @ Bologna W 1-0 1852 1856 16.2% 30.5% 53.2% +12.2 8
1967-10-29 Sampdoria L 1-2 1715 1692 55.0% 30.2% 14.7% -11.8 3
1967-10-29 @ Brescia W 2-1 1692 1715 14.7% 30.2% 55.0% +11.8 5
1967-10-29 Cagliari L 0-1 1725 1792 45.8% 31.3% 23.0% -10.7 3
1967-10-29 @ Mantova W 1-0 1792 1725 23.0% 31.3% 45.8% +10.7 5
1967-10-29 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1835 1752 60.2% 28.9% 11.0% -2.6 7
1967-10-29 @ Napoli D 1-1 1752 1835 11.0% 28.9% 60.2% +2.6 6
1967-10-29 Atalanta D 1-1 1784 1748 56.2% 30.0% 13.8% -2.2 9
1967-10-29 @ Roma D 1-1 1748 1784 13.8% 30.0% 56.2% +2.2 6
1967-10-29 SPAL W 1-0 1847 1701 64.8% 27.1% 8.1% +2.6 9
1967-10-29 @ Torino L 0-1 1701 1847 8.1% 27.1% 64.8% -2.6 2
1967-10-29 Inter Milan W 1-0 1646 1883 24.0% 30.0% 45.9% +10.6 6
1967-10-29 @ Varese L 0-1 1883 1646 45.9% 30.0% 24.0% -10.6 5
1967-11-05 Torino D 1-1 1750 1849 41.7% 31.4% 26.9% -0.7 7
1967-11-05 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1849 1750 26.9% 31.4% 41.7% +0.7 10
1967-11-05 AC Milan D 2-2 1803 1830 50.1% 31.0% 18.9% -1.2 6
1967-11-05 @ Cagliari D 2-2 1830 1803 18.9% 31.0% 50.1% +1.1 9
1967-11-05 Brescia L 0-1 1864 1703 65.8% 26.6% 7.6% -14.7 8
1967-11-05 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1703 1864 7.6% 26.6% 65.8% +14.7 5
1967-11-05 Bologna W 1-0 1873 1843 55.6% 30.1% 14.3% +4.4 7
1967-11-05 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1843 1873 14.3% 30.1% 55.6% -4.4 7
1967-11-05 Roma L 0-1 1819 1781 56.4% 29.9% 13.7% -12.8 7
1967-11-05 @ Juventus W 1-0 1781 1819 13.7% 29.9% 56.4% +12.8 11
1967-11-05 Napoli D 1-1 1704 1832 38.0% 31.3% 30.7% -0.3 6
1967-11-05 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1832 1704 30.7% 31.3% 38.0% +0.3 8
1967-11-05 Varese L 1-3 1698 1656 56.7% 29.8% 13.4% -21.1 2
1967-11-05 @ SPAL W 3-1 1656 1698 13.4% 29.8% 56.7% +21.1 8
1967-11-05 Mantova W 2-0 1754 1715 56.5% 29.9% 13.6% +8.0 8
1967-11-05 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-2 1715 1754 13.6% 29.9% 56.5% -8.0 3
1967-11-12 Sampdoria W 2-0 1831 1704 63.5% 27.7% 8.9% +5.3 11
1967-11-12 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1704 1831 8.9% 27.7% 63.5% -5.3 6
1967-11-12 SPAL L 2-3 1839 1677 65.9% 26.6% 7.6% -13.1 7
1967-11-12 @ Bologna W 3-2 1677 1839 7.6% 26.6% 65.9% +13.2 4
1967-11-12 Inter Milan W 2-0 1718 1877 33.7% 31.1% 35.1% +16.3 7
1967-11-12 @ Brescia L 0-2 1877 1718 35.1% 31.1% 33.7% -16.3 7
1967-11-12 Juventus W 2-0 1802 1806 52.4% 30.7% 16.9% +9.6 8
1967-11-12 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1806 1802 16.9% 30.7% 52.4% -9.6 7
1967-11-12 Atalanta W 1-0 1707 1749 48.5% 31.1% 20.4% +5.9 5
1967-11-12 @ Mantova L 0-1 1749 1707 20.4% 31.1% 48.5% -5.9 7
1967-11-12 Fiorentina W 1-0 1833 1850 51.2% 30.8% 18.0% +5.3 10
1967-11-12 @ Napoli L 0-1 1850 1833 18.0% 30.8% 51.2% -5.3 8
1967-11-12 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1794 1762 55.9% 30.0% 14.1% -2.4 12
1967-11-12 @ Roma D 0-0 1762 1794 14.1% 30.0% 55.9% +2.4 9
1967-11-12 Varese D 0-0 1850 1677 66.6% 26.2% 7.2% -3.6 11
1967-11-12 @ Torino D 0-0 1677 1850 7.2% 26.2% 66.6% +3.6 9
1967-11-26 Brescia L 1-3 1743 1734 53.7% 30.4% 15.8% -20.0 7
1967-11-26 @ Atalanta W 3-1 1734 1743 15.8% 30.4% 53.7% +20.1 9
1967-11-26 Napoli L 1-2 1826 1838 51.7% 30.8% 17.6% -11.2 7
1967-11-26 @ Bologna W 2-1 1838 1826 17.6% 30.8% 51.7% +11.2 12
1967-11-26 SPAL W 2-0 1861 1690 66.4% 26.3% 7.3% +4.3 9
1967-11-26 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1690 1861 7.3% 26.3% 66.4% -4.3 4
1967-11-26 Fiorentina D 2-2 1796 1844 47.9% 31.2% 20.9% -1.0 8
1967-11-26 @ Juventus D 2-2 1844 1796 20.9% 31.2% 47.9% +1.0 9
1967-11-26 Torino D 0-0 1713 1846 37.2% 31.3% 31.4% -0.3 6
1967-11-26 @ Mantova D 0-0 1846 1713 31.4% 31.3% 37.2% +0.3 12
1967-11-26 Cagliari D 1-1 1698 1811 40.0% 31.4% 28.6% -0.5 7
1967-11-26 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1811 1698 28.6% 31.4% 40.0% +0.5 9
1967-11-26 Roma W 2-0 1681 1792 40.3% 31.4% 28.4% +14.1 11
1967-11-26 @ Varese L 0-2 1792 1681 28.4% 31.4% 40.3% -14.1 12
1967-11-26 AC Milan D 2-2 1765 1837 45.1% 31.3% 23.6% -0.8 10
1967-11-26 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 2-2 1837 1765 23.6% 31.3% 45.1% +0.8 12
1967-12-03 Atalanta D 0-0 1837 1723 62.5% 28.1% 9.4% -3.2 13
1967-12-03 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1723 1837 9.4% 28.1% 62.5% +3.2 8
1967-12-03 Inter Milan D 1-1 1845 1865 50.9% 30.9% 18.2% -1.6 10
1967-12-03 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1865 1845 18.2% 30.9% 50.9% +1.6 10
1967-12-03 Mantova D 0-0 1849 1712 64.1% 27.4% 8.5% -3.4 13
1967-12-03 @ Napoli D 0-0 1712 1849 8.5% 27.4% 64.1% +3.4 7
1967-12-03 Cagliari L 2-3 1778 1812 49.4% 31.0% 19.6% -10.2 12
1967-12-03 @ Roma W 3-2 1812 1778 19.6% 31.0% 49.4% +10.2 11
1967-12-03 Sampdoria W 1-0 1686 1698 51.7% 30.8% 17.6% +5.2 6
1967-12-03 @ SPAL L 0-1 1698 1686 17.6% 30.8% 51.7% -5.2 7
1967-12-03 Bologna L 0-1 1847 1815 55.9% 30.0% 14.1% -12.7 12
1967-12-03 @ Torino W 1-0 1815 1847 14.1% 30.0% 55.9% +12.7 9
1967-12-03 Brescia D 0-0 1695 1754 46.6% 31.2% 22.2% -1.3 12
1967-12-03 @ Varese D 0-0 1754 1695 22.2% 31.2% 46.6% +1.3 10
1967-12-03 Juventus L 0-2 1764 1796 49.7% 31.0% 19.3% -21.6 10
1967-12-03 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-0 1796 1764 19.3% 31.0% 49.7% +21.6 10
1967-12-09 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1726 1742 51.3% 30.8% 17.9% +5.3 10
1967-12-09 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1742 1726 17.9% 30.8% 51.3% -5.3 10
1967-12-09 Varese W 1-0 1827 1694 63.9% 27.5% 8.6% +2.7 11
1967-12-09 @ Bologna L 0-1 1694 1827 8.6% 27.5% 63.9% -2.7 12
1967-12-09 AC Milan L 1-2 1756 1834 44.3% 31.3% 24.3% -9.8 10
1967-12-09 @ Brescia W 2-1 1834 1756 24.3% 31.3% 44.3% +9.8 15
1967-12-09 SPAL W 2-0 1822 1691 63.7% 27.6% 8.7% +5.2 13
1967-12-09 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1691 1822 8.7% 27.6% 63.7% -5.2 6
1967-12-09 Torino W 1-0 1867 1834 55.9% 30.0% 14.0% +4.3 12
1967-12-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1834 1867 14.0% 30.0% 55.9% -4.3 12
1967-12-09 Napoli D 1-1 1817 1846 50.0% 31.0% 19.1% -1.5 11
1967-12-09 @ Juventus D 1-1 1846 1817 19.1% 31.0% 50.0% +1.5 14
1967-12-09 Roma D 0-0 1716 1768 47.4% 31.2% 21.4% -1.4 8
1967-12-09 @ Mantova D 0-0 1768 1716 21.4% 31.2% 47.4% +1.4 13
1967-12-09 Fiorentina D 1-1 1693 1844 34.9% 31.2% 33.9% -0.0 8
1967-12-09 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1844 1693 33.9% 31.2% 34.9% +0.0 11
1967-12-17 Juventus L 0-1 1746 1816 45.4% 31.3% 23.3% -10.6 10
1967-12-17 @ Brescia W 1-0 1816 1746 23.3% 31.3% 45.4% +10.6 13
1967-12-17 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1827 1737 60.7% 28.7% 10.6% -2.7 14
1967-12-17 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1737 1827 10.6% 28.7% 60.7% +2.7 11
1967-12-17 Atalanta W 1-0 1844 1732 62.3% 28.1% 9.6% +3.0 13
1967-12-17 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1732 1844 9.6% 28.1% 62.3% -3.0 10
1967-12-17 Sampdoria W 2-0 1871 1693 66.9% 26.1% 7.0% +4.1 14
1967-12-17 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1693 1871 7.0% 26.1% 66.9% -4.2 8
1967-12-17 Bologna D 0-0 1769 1830 46.4% 31.3% 22.4% -1.3 14
1967-12-17 @ Roma D 0-0 1830 1769 22.4% 31.3% 46.4% +1.3 12
1967-12-17 Mantova W 1-0 1686 1714 50.0% 31.0% 19.1% +5.6 8
1967-12-17 @ SPAL L 0-1 1714 1686 19.1% 31.0% 50.0% -5.6 8
1967-12-17 AC Milan L 2-3 1829 1844 51.4% 30.8% 17.8% -10.6 12
1967-12-17 @ Torino W 3-2 1844 1829 17.8% 30.8% 51.4% +10.5 17
1967-12-17 Napoli W 1-0 1691 1847 34.1% 31.2% 34.7% +8.6 14
1967-12-17 @ Varese L 0-1 1847 1691 34.7% 31.2% 34.1% -8.6 14
1967-12-31 Bologna W 4-2 1855 1831 55.1% 30.2% 14.7% +6.6 19
1967-12-31 @ AC Milan L 2-4 1831 1855 14.7% 30.2% 55.1% -6.6 12
1967-12-31 SPAL W 1-0 1729 1691 56.3% 29.9% 13.7% +4.3 12
1967-12-31 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1691 1729 13.7% 29.9% 56.3% -4.3 8
1967-12-31 Mantova W 2-0 1847 1709 64.2% 27.4% 8.5% +5.1 15
1967-12-31 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1709 1847 8.5% 27.4% 64.2% -5.0 8
1967-12-31 Inter Milan W 3-2 1826 1875 47.8% 31.2% 21.1% +5.4 15
1967-12-31 @ Juventus L 2-3 1875 1826 21.1% 31.2% 47.8% -5.4 14
1967-12-31 Torino D 2-2 1839 1819 54.8% 30.3% 15.0% -1.5 15
1967-12-31 @ Napoli D 2-2 1819 1839 15.0% 30.3% 54.8% +1.5 13
1967-12-31 Brescia W 2-0 1768 1735 55.9% 30.0% 14.1% +8.2 16
1967-12-31 @ Roma L 0-2 1735 1768 14.1% 30.0% 55.9% -8.2 10
1967-12-31 Cagliari W 2-1 1700 1824 38.4% 31.4% 30.2% +7.4 16
1967-12-31 @ Varese L 1-2 1824 1700 30.2% 31.4% 38.4% -7.4 14
1967-12-31 Sampdoria D 0-0 1740 1689 57.5% 29.6% 12.8% -2.6 12
1967-12-31 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1689 1740 12.8% 29.6% 57.5% +2.6 9
1968-01-07 Roma W 3-0 1861 1776 60.3% 28.8% 10.9% +9.4 21
1968-01-07 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1776 1861 10.9% 28.8% 60.3% -9.4 16
1968-01-07 Atalanta W 5-0 1825 1733 60.8% 28.7% 10.5% +14.7 14
1968-01-07 @ Bologna L 0-5 1733 1825 10.5% 28.7% 60.8% -14.7 12
1968-01-07 Varese D 0-0 1704 1707 52.6% 30.6% 16.8% -2.0 9
1968-01-07 @ Mantova D 0-0 1707 1704 16.8% 30.6% 52.6% +2.0 17
1968-01-07 Inter Milan W 2-1 1837 1870 49.6% 31.0% 19.4% +5.3 17
1968-01-07 @ Napoli L 1-2 1870 1837 19.4% 31.0% 49.6% -5.4 14
1968-01-07 Juventus D 1-1 1691 1832 36.3% 31.3% 32.4% -0.2 10
1968-01-07 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1832 1691 32.4% 31.3% 36.3% +0.2 16
1968-01-07 Fiorentina W 1-0 1687 1852 33.0% 31.1% 35.9% +8.8 10
1968-01-07 @ SPAL L 0-1 1852 1687 35.9% 31.1% 33.0% -8.8 15
1968-01-07 Cagliari W 2-1 1820 1817 53.2% 30.5% 16.2% +4.6 15
1968-01-07 @ Torino L 1-2 1817 1820 16.2% 30.5% 53.2% -4.6 14
1968-01-07 Brescia L 0-1 1737 1727 53.8% 30.4% 15.7% -12.3 12
1968-01-07 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1727 1737 15.7% 30.4% 53.8% +12.3 12
1968-01-14 Sampdoria W 1-0 1718 1691 55.4% 30.1% 14.4% +4.5 14
1968-01-14 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1691 1718 14.4% 30.1% 55.4% -4.5 10
1968-01-14 Napoli D 0-0 1739 1843 41.3% 31.4% 27.4% -0.7 13
1968-01-14 @ Brescia D 0-0 1843 1739 27.4% 31.4% 41.3% +0.7 18
1968-01-14 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-1 1843 1725 62.8% 27.9% 9.3% +4.8 17
1968-01-14 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1725 1843 9.3% 27.9% 62.8% -4.8 12
1968-01-14 Cagliari L 0-2 1864 1812 57.6% 29.6% 12.8% -24.7 14
1968-01-14 @ Inter Milan W 2-0 1812 1864 12.8% 29.6% 57.6% +24.7 16
1968-01-14 SPAL W 2-0 1832 1696 64.0% 27.4% 8.5% +5.1 18
1968-01-14 @ Juventus L 0-2 1696 1832 8.5% 27.4% 64.0% -5.1 10
1968-01-14 Bologna D 0-0 1702 1840 36.7% 31.3% 32.0% -0.2 10
1968-01-14 @ Mantova D 0-0 1840 1702 32.0% 31.3% 36.7% +0.2 15
1968-01-14 Torino L 0-2 1766 1825 46.7% 31.2% 22.1% -20.4 16
1968-01-14 @ Roma W 2-0 1825 1766 22.1% 31.2% 46.7% +20.4 17
1968-01-14 AC Milan W 2-1 1709 1871 33.4% 31.1% 35.5% +8.2 19
1968-01-14 @ Varese L 1-2 1871 1709 35.5% 31.1% 33.4% -8.2 21
1968-01-21 SPAL W 3-2 1862 1691 66.5% 26.3% 7.2% +2.0 23
1968-01-21 @ AC Milan L 2-3 1691 1862 7.2% 26.3% 66.5% -2.0 10
1968-01-21 Napoli W 1-0 1723 1843 39.0% 31.4% 29.7% +7.7 16
1968-01-21 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1843 1723 29.7% 31.4% 39.0% -7.7 18
1968-01-21 Sampdoria D 0-0 1840 1687 65.3% 26.9% 7.9% -3.5 16
1968-01-21 @ Bologna D 0-0 1687 1840 7.9% 26.9% 65.3% +3.5 11
1968-01-21 Brescia W 3-0 1837 1739 61.3% 28.5% 10.2% +8.9 18
1968-01-21 @ Cagliari L 0-3 1739 1837 10.2% 28.5% 61.3% -8.9 13
1968-01-21 Juventus D 0-0 1702 1837 37.0% 31.3% 31.7% -0.3 11
1968-01-21 @ Mantova D 0-0 1837 1702 31.7% 31.3% 37.0% +0.3 19
1968-01-21 Inter Milan L 2-6 1746 1840 42.5% 31.4% 26.2% -25.3 16
1968-01-21 @ Roma W 6-2 1840 1746 26.2% 31.4% 42.5% +25.3 16
1968-01-21 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1846 1720 63.3% 27.7% 9.0% +2.8 19
1968-01-21 @ Torino L 0-1 1720 1846 9.0% 27.7% 63.3% -2.9 12
1968-01-21 Fiorentina D 0-0 1717 1848 37.6% 31.3% 31.0% -0.3 20
1968-01-21 @ Varese D 0-0 1848 1717 31.0% 31.3% 37.6% +0.3 18
1968-01-28 Torino L 0-5 1730 1848 39.3% 31.4% 29.4% -41.5 13
1968-01-28 @ Brescia W 5-0 1848 1730 29.4% 31.4% 39.3% +41.5 21
1968-01-28 Bologna D 1-1 1846 1836 53.8% 30.4% 15.8% -1.9 19
1968-01-28 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1836 1846 15.8% 30.4% 53.8% +1.9 17
1968-01-28 AC Milan L 0-2 1848 1864 51.3% 30.8% 17.9% -22.2 18
1968-01-28 @ Fiorentina W 2-0 1864 1848 17.9% 30.8% 51.3% +22.2 25
1968-01-28 Mantova W 3-0 1865 1701 66.0% 26.5% 7.5% +6.5 18
1968-01-28 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1701 1865 7.5% 26.5% 66.0% -6.5 11
1968-01-28 Atalanta W 2-1 1837 1730 61.9% 28.3% 9.8% +2.9 21
1968-01-28 @ Juventus L 1-2 1730 1837 9.8% 28.3% 61.9% -2.9 16
1968-01-28 Roma W 2-0 1836 1721 62.5% 28.0% 9.4% +5.7 20
1968-01-28 @ Napoli L 0-2 1721 1836 9.4% 28.0% 62.5% -5.6 16
1968-01-28 Varese D 1-1 1690 1717 50.2% 30.9% 18.9% -1.5 12
1968-01-28 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1717 1690 18.9% 30.9% 50.2% +1.6 21
1968-01-28 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-0 1689 1717 50.0% 31.0% 19.0% +15.3 12
1968-01-28 @ SPAL L 0-3 1717 1689 19.0% 31.0% 50.0% -15.3 12
1968-02-04 Napoli W 2-1 1887 1841 57.0% 29.8% 13.2% +3.9 27
1968-02-04 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1841 1887 13.2% 29.8% 57.0% -3.9 20
1968-02-04 Cagliari W 2-1 1727 1844 39.5% 31.4% 29.1% +7.2 18
1968-02-04 @ Atalanta L 1-2 1844 1727 29.1% 31.4% 39.5% -7.2 19
1968-02-04 Brescia L 0-3 1838 1688 65.0% 27.0% 8.0% -39.9 17
1968-02-04 @ Bologna W 3-0 1688 1838 8.0% 27.0% 65.0% +39.9 15
1968-02-04 Sampdoria L 0-1 1695 1688 53.5% 30.5% 16.0% -12.2 11
1968-02-04 @ Mantova W 1-0 1688 1695 16.0% 30.5% 53.5% +12.2 14
1968-02-04 SPAL D 1-1 1715 1704 53.9% 30.4% 15.6% -2.0 17
1968-02-04 @ Roma D 1-1 1704 1715 15.6% 30.4% 53.9% +2.0 13
1968-02-04 Fiorentina L 0-2 1890 1826 58.6% 29.4% 12.0% -25.1 21
1968-02-04 @ Torino W 2-0 1826 1890 12.0% 29.4% 58.6% +25.1 20
1968-02-04 Juventus W 5-0 1718 1840 38.9% 31.4% 29.8% +34.1 23
1968-02-04 @ Varese L 0-5 1840 1718 29.8% 31.4% 38.9% -34.2 21
1968-02-04 Inter Milan W 2-1 1702 1871 32.3% 31.1% 36.7% +8.4 14
1968-02-04 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-2 1871 1702 36.7% 31.1% 32.3% -8.4 18
1968-02-11 Roma D 0-0 1851 1713 64.2% 27.4% 8.5% -3.4 21
1968-02-11 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1713 1851 8.5% 27.4% 64.2% +3.4 18
1968-02-11 Atalanta W 3-0 1863 1735 63.5% 27.6% 8.8% +7.7 20
1968-02-11 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1735 1863 8.8% 27.6% 63.5% -7.7 18
1968-02-11 Bologna D 0-0 1806 1798 53.6% 30.5% 15.9% -2.1 22
1968-02-11 @ Juventus D 0-0 1798 1806 15.9% 30.5% 53.6% +2.1 18
1968-02-11 AC Milan L 0-1 1683 1890 27.4% 30.6% 42.0% -7.2 11
1968-02-11 @ Mantova W 1-0 1890 1683 42.0% 30.6% 27.4% +7.2 29
1968-02-11 Cagliari W 1-0 1837 1837 52.9% 30.6% 16.5% +5.0 22
1968-02-11 @ Napoli L 0-1 1837 1837 16.5% 30.6% 52.9% -5.0 19
1968-02-11 Torino D 1-1 1701 1865 33.0% 31.1% 35.9% +0.1 15
1968-02-11 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1865 1701 35.9% 31.1% 33.0% -0.1 22
1968-02-11 Brescia W 3-1 1706 1728 50.6% 30.9% 18.5% +8.9 15
1968-02-11 @ SPAL L 1-3 1728 1706 18.5% 30.9% 50.6% -8.9 15
1968-02-11 Varese W 1-0 1710 1753 48.5% 31.1% 20.4% +5.9 16
1968-02-11 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1753 1710 20.4% 31.1% 48.5% -5.9 23
1968-02-18 Inter Milan D 1-1 1898 1871 55.4% 30.1% 14.4% -2.1 30
1968-02-18 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1871 1898 14.4% 30.1% 55.4% +2.1 21
1968-02-18 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-0 1801 1716 60.2% 28.9% 10.9% +6.5 20
1968-02-18 @ Bologna L 0-2 1716 1801 10.9% 28.9% 60.2% -6.5 16
1968-02-18 Mantova L 0-1 1719 1675 56.9% 29.8% 13.3% -13.0 15
1968-02-18 @ Brescia W 1-0 1675 1719 13.3% 29.8% 56.9% +13.0 13
1968-02-18 Fiorentina W 3-1 1832 1848 51.3% 30.8% 17.9% +8.7 21
1968-02-18 @ Cagliari L 1-3 1848 1832 17.9% 30.8% 51.3% -8.7 21
1968-02-18 SPAL W 1-0 1842 1715 63.5% 27.7% 8.9% +2.8 24
1968-02-18 @ Napoli L 0-1 1715 1842 8.9% 27.7% 63.5% -2.8 15
1968-02-18 Sampdoria D 1-1 1716 1701 54.4% 30.3% 15.3% -2.0 19
1968-02-18 @ Roma D 1-1 1701 1716 15.3% 30.3% 54.4% +2.0 16
1968-02-18 Juventus W 2-1 1865 1804 58.4% 29.4% 12.2% +3.6 24
1968-02-18 @ Torino L 1-2 1804 1865 12.2% 29.4% 58.4% -3.6 22
1968-02-18 Atalanta W 2-0 1747 1727 54.8% 30.3% 15.0% +8.7 25
1968-02-18 @ Varese L 0-2 1727 1747 15.0% 30.3% 54.8% -8.7 18
1968-02-25 Roma W 2-1 1718 1714 53.2% 30.5% 16.2% +4.6 20
1968-02-25 @ Atalanta L 1-2 1714 1718 16.2% 30.5% 53.2% -4.6 19
1968-02-25 Mantova D 2-2 1840 1688 65.2% 26.9% 7.9% -2.3 22
1968-02-25 @ Cagliari D 2-2 1688 1840 7.9% 26.9% 65.2% +2.3 14
1968-02-25 Bologna W 1-0 1839 1807 55.9% 30.0% 14.1% +4.4 23
1968-02-25 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1807 1839 14.1% 30.0% 55.9% -4.4 20
1968-02-25 Varese W 1-0 1873 1755 62.7% 28.0% 9.3% +3.0 23
1968-02-25 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1755 1873 9.3% 28.0% 62.7% -3.0 25
1968-02-25 AC Milan L 1-2 1800 1896 42.2% 31.4% 26.4% -9.4 22
1968-02-25 @ Juventus W 2-1 1896 1800 26.4% 31.4% 42.2% +9.4 32
1968-02-25 Brescia W 1-0 1703 1706 52.5% 30.6% 16.8% +5.1 18
1968-02-25 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1706 1703 16.8% 30.6% 52.5% -5.1 15
1968-02-25 Torino D 0-0 1712 1868 34.1% 31.2% 34.7% +0.0 16
1968-02-25 @ SPAL D 0-0 1868 1712 34.7% 31.2% 34.1% -0.0 25
1968-02-25 Napoli L 0-1 1710 1845 37.0% 31.3% 31.7% -9.0 16
1968-02-25 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1845 1710 31.7% 31.3% 37.0% +9.0 26
1968-03-10 Mantova W 2-0 1723 1691 55.9% 30.0% 14.1% +8.2 22
1968-03-10 @ Atalanta L 0-2 1691 1723 14.1% 30.0% 55.9% -8.2 14
1968-03-10 Napoli W 3-0 1843 1854 51.8% 30.8% 17.4% +14.2 25
1968-03-10 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1854 1843 17.4% 30.8% 51.8% -14.3 26
1968-03-10 Brescia W 3-0 1876 1701 66.7% 26.2% 7.1% +6.1 25
1968-03-10 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1701 1876 7.1% 26.2% 66.7% -6.1 15
1968-03-10 Cagliari W 2-0 1791 1838 47.9% 31.2% 20.9% +11.3 24
1968-03-10 @ Juventus L 0-2 1838 1791 20.9% 31.2% 47.9% -11.3 22
1968-03-10 AC Milan L 0-3 1708 1905 28.7% 30.7% 40.6% -20.5 18
1968-03-10 @ Sampdoria W 3-0 1905 1708 40.6% 30.7% 28.7% +20.5 34
1968-03-10 Bologna L 1-3 1712 1803 42.8% 31.4% 25.8% -16.5 16
1968-03-10 @ SPAL W 3-1 1803 1712 25.8% 31.4% 42.8% +16.5 22
1968-03-10 Torino D 0-0 1752 1868 39.6% 31.4% 29.0% -0.5 26
1968-03-10 @ Varese D 0-0 1868 1752 29.0% 31.4% 39.6% +0.5 26
1968-03-10 Roma D 0-0 1701 1710 52.0% 30.7% 17.3% -1.9 17
1968-03-10 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1710 1701 17.3% 30.7% 52.0% +1.9 20
1968-03-17 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-0 1925 1699 70.0% 24.4% 5.6% +3.2 36
1968-03-17 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1699 1925 5.6% 24.4% 70.0% -3.2 17
1968-03-17 Atalanta W 2-1 1695 1731 49.2% 31.1% 19.8% +5.4 17
1968-03-17 @ Brescia L 1-2 1731 1695 19.8% 31.1% 49.2% -5.4 22
1968-03-17 Sampdoria D 3-3 1827 1687 64.3% 27.3% 8.4% -1.9 23
1968-03-17 @ Cagliari D 3-3 1687 1827 8.4% 27.3% 64.3% +1.9 19
1968-03-17 Juventus W 2-0 1858 1802 57.9% 29.5% 12.6% +7.4 27
1968-03-17 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1802 1858 12.6% 29.5% 57.9% -7.4 24
1968-03-17 Bologna D 0-0 1840 1819 54.9% 30.2% 14.9% -2.3 27
1968-03-17 @ Napoli D 0-0 1819 1840 14.9% 30.2% 54.9% +2.3 23
1968-03-17 Varese W 1-0 1712 1752 48.8% 31.1% 20.2% +5.8 22
1968-03-17 @ Roma L 0-1 1752 1712 20.2% 31.1% 48.8% -5.8 26
1968-03-17 Inter Milan L 1-2 1696 1882 30.1% 30.9% 39.1% -7.3 16
1968-03-17 @ SPAL W 2-1 1882 1696 39.1% 30.9% 30.1% +7.3 27
1968-03-17 Mantova W 4-1 1869 1682 67.5% 25.8% 6.8% +4.9 28
1968-03-17 @ Torino L 1-4 1682 1869 6.8% 25.8% 67.5% -4.9 14
1968-03-24 AC Milan L 0-3 1726 1929 28.0% 30.6% 41.4% -20.1 22
1968-03-24 @ Atalanta W 3-0 1929 1726 41.4% 30.6% 28.0% +20.1 38
1968-03-24 Torino W 2-0 1821 1874 47.4% 31.2% 21.4% +11.5 25
1968-03-24 @ Bologna L 0-2 1874 1821 21.4% 31.2% 47.4% -11.5 28
1968-03-24 Varese L 0-1 1701 1746 48.2% 31.1% 20.7% -11.1 17
1968-03-24 @ Brescia W 1-0 1746 1701 20.7% 31.1% 48.2% +11.1 28
1968-03-24 Roma L 1-2 1825 1718 62.0% 28.2% 9.8% -13.2 23
1968-03-24 @ Cagliari W 2-1 1718 1825 9.8% 28.2% 62.0% +13.2 24
1968-03-24 Fiorentina W 3-1 1889 1865 55.2% 30.2% 14.6% +7.3 29
1968-03-24 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1865 1889 14.6% 30.2% 55.2% -7.4 27
1968-03-24 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1795 1695 61.4% 28.5% 10.2% +3.2 26
1968-03-24 @ Juventus L 0-1 1695 1795 10.2% 28.5% 61.4% -3.2 17
1968-03-24 Napoli L 0-1 1678 1838 33.6% 31.1% 35.3% -8.4 14
1968-03-24 @ Mantova W 1-0 1838 1678 35.3% 31.1% 33.6% +8.4 29
1968-03-24 SPAL W 1-0 1689 1688 53.0% 30.6% 16.4% +5.0 21
1968-03-24 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1688 1689 16.4% 30.6% 53.0% -5.0 16
1968-03-31 Brescia W 1-0 1949 1689 72.0% 23.2% 4.9% +1.4 40
1968-03-31 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1689 1949 4.9% 23.2% 72.0% -1.4 17
1968-03-31 Sampdoria D 0-0 1858 1694 66.0% 26.5% 7.5% -3.6 28
1968-03-31 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1694 1858 7.5% 26.5% 66.0% +3.6 22
1968-03-31 Juventus L 1-2 1846 1798 57.3% 29.7% 13.0% -12.3 29
1968-03-31 @ Napoli W 2-1 1798 1846 13.0% 29.7% 57.3% +12.3 28
1968-03-31 Mantova D 2-2 1731 1669 58.4% 29.4% 12.2% -1.8 25
1968-03-31 @ Roma D 2-2 1669 1731 12.2% 29.4% 58.4% +1.8 15
1968-03-31 Cagliari W 1-0 1683 1812 37.9% 31.3% 30.7% +7.9 18
1968-03-31 @ SPAL L 0-1 1812 1683 30.7% 31.3% 37.9% -7.9 23
1968-03-31 Inter Milan L 2-3 1862 1897 49.4% 31.0% 19.6% -10.2 28
1968-03-31 @ Torino W 3-2 1897 1862 19.6% 31.0% 49.4% +10.2 31
1968-03-31 Bologna D 0-0 1757 1833 44.6% 31.3% 24.0% -1.1 29
1968-03-31 @ Varese D 0-0 1833 1757 24.0% 31.3% 44.6% +1.1 26
1968-03-31 Atalanta W 4-1 1692 1706 51.6% 30.8% 17.7% +12.1 19
1968-03-31 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-4 1706 1692 17.7% 30.8% 51.6% -12.1 22
1968-04-03 Cagliari L 0-1 1950 1804 64.8% 27.1% 8.1% -14.5 40
1968-04-03 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1804 1950 8.1% 27.1% 64.8% +14.5 25
1968-04-03 Inter Milan W 2-1 1834 1907 45.0% 31.3% 23.7% +6.2 28
1968-04-03 @ Bologna L 1-2 1907 1834 23.7% 31.3% 45.0% -6.2 31
1968-04-03 Fiorentina D 1-1 1688 1854 32.8% 31.1% 36.1% +0.2 18
1968-04-03 @ Brescia D 1-1 1854 1688 36.1% 31.1% 32.8% -0.1 29
1968-04-03 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1671 1704 49.5% 31.0% 19.5% -1.5 16
1968-04-03 @ Mantova D 1-1 1704 1671 19.5% 31.0% 49.5% +1.5 20
1968-04-03 Sampdoria D 1-1 1834 1698 64.1% 27.4% 8.5% -3.0 30
1968-04-03 @ Napoli D 1-1 1698 1834 8.5% 27.4% 64.1% +3.0 23
1968-04-03 Juventus D 0-0 1729 1810 44.0% 31.4% 24.6% -1.0 26
1968-04-03 @ Roma D 0-0 1810 1729 24.6% 31.4% 44.0% +1.0 29
1968-04-03 Atalanta W 4-1 1852 1693 65.6% 26.7% 7.7% +5.6 30
1968-04-03 @ Torino L 1-4 1693 1852 7.7% 26.7% 65.6% -5.6 22
1968-04-03 SPAL W 2-0 1756 1691 58.7% 29.3% 12.0% +7.1 31
1968-04-03 @ Varese L 0-2 1691 1756 12.0% 29.3% 58.7% -7.1 18
1968-04-14 Torino W 2-1 1936 1858 59.8% 29.0% 11.2% +3.3 42
1968-04-14 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1858 1936 11.2% 29.0% 59.8% -3.3 30
1968-04-14 Fiorentina L 0-3 1688 1854 32.8% 31.1% 36.1% -22.6 22
1968-04-14 @ Atalanta W 3-0 1854 1688 36.1% 31.1% 32.8% +22.6 31
1968-04-14 Roma W 1-0 1840 1728 62.4% 28.1% 9.5% +3.0 30
1968-04-14 @ Bologna L 0-1 1728 1840 9.5% 28.1% 62.4% -3.0 26
1968-04-14 Brescia W 2-1 1811 1688 63.1% 27.8% 9.1% +2.7 31
1968-04-14 @ Juventus L 1-2 1688 1811 9.1% 27.8% 63.1% -2.7 18
1968-04-14 SPAL L 0-1 1669 1684 51.4% 30.8% 17.8% -11.8 16
1968-04-14 @ Mantova W 1-0 1684 1669 17.8% 30.8% 51.4% +11.8 20
1968-04-14 Varese W 5-0 1831 1763 58.9% 29.3% 11.8% +16.4 32
1968-04-14 @ Napoli L 0-5 1763 1831 11.8% 29.3% 58.9% -16.4 31
1968-04-14 Inter Milan D 2-2 1701 1901 28.4% 30.7% 40.9% +0.4 24
1968-04-14 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1901 1701 40.9% 30.7% 28.4% -0.4 32
1968-04-14 Cagliari W 3-1 1706 1818 40.1% 31.4% 28.6% +12.3 22
1968-04-14 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-3 1818 1706 28.6% 31.4% 40.1% -12.3 25
1968-04-28 AC Milan D 1-1 1843 1939 42.2% 31.4% 26.4% -0.7 31
1968-04-28 @ Bologna D 1-1 1939 1843 26.4% 31.4% 42.2% +0.7 43
1968-04-28 Roma W 1-0 1685 1725 48.8% 31.1% 20.1% +5.8 20
1968-04-28 @ Brescia L 0-1 1725 1685 20.1% 31.1% 48.8% -5.8 26
1968-04-28 Varese W 2-1 1806 1747 58.2% 29.5% 12.3% +3.6 27
1968-04-28 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1747 1806 12.3% 29.5% 58.2% -3.7 31
1968-04-28 Juventus D 0-0 1900 1814 60.4% 28.8% 10.8% -3.0 33
1968-04-28 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1814 1900 10.8% 28.8% 60.4% +3.0 32
1968-04-28 Fiorentina L 1-2 1658 1876 26.1% 30.4% 43.5% -6.6 16
1968-04-28 @ Mantova W 2-1 1876 1658 43.5% 30.4% 26.1% +6.6 33
1968-04-28 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1701 1718 51.2% 30.8% 18.0% +5.3 26
1968-04-28 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1718 1701 18.0% 30.8% 51.2% -5.3 22
1968-04-28 Atalanta W 1-0 1696 1665 55.8% 30.1% 14.2% +4.4 22
1968-04-28 @ SPAL L 0-1 1665 1696 14.2% 30.1% 55.8% -4.4 22
1968-04-28 Napoli L 1-2 1854 1847 53.6% 30.5% 16.0% -11.5 30
1968-04-28 @ Torino W 2-1 1847 1854 16.0% 30.5% 53.6% +11.5 34
1968-05-05 Bologna W 1-0 1661 1843 30.7% 30.9% 38.4% +9.2 24
1968-05-05 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1843 1661 38.4% 30.9% 30.7% -9.2 31
1968-05-05 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1691 1713 50.7% 30.9% 18.4% -1.8 21
1968-05-05 @ Brescia D 0-0 1713 1691 18.4% 30.9% 50.7% +1.8 23
1968-05-05 Torino W 2-0 1810 1843 49.5% 31.0% 19.5% +10.7 29
1968-05-05 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1843 1810 19.5% 31.0% 49.5% -10.7 30
1968-05-05 SPAL W 2-0 1883 1700 67.2% 25.9% 6.9% +4.0 35
1968-05-05 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1700 1883 6.9% 25.9% 67.2% -4.0 22
1968-05-05 Napoli L 1-2 1897 1859 56.4% 29.9% 13.7% -12.1 33
1968-05-05 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1859 1897 13.7% 29.9% 56.4% +12.1 36
1968-05-05 Sampdoria W 3-1 1817 1707 62.2% 28.2% 9.6% +5.0 34
1968-05-05 @ Juventus L 1-3 1707 1817 9.6% 28.2% 62.2% -5.0 26
1968-05-05 AC Milan D 1-1 1719 1940 25.9% 30.3% 43.8% +0.8 27
1968-05-05 @ Roma D 1-1 1940 1719 43.8% 30.3% 25.9% -0.8 44
1968-05-05 Mantova D 1-1 1743 1651 60.8% 28.7% 10.5% -2.7 32
1968-05-05 @ Varese D 1-1 1651 1743 10.5% 28.7% 60.8% +2.7 17
1968-05-12 Varese W 1-0 1939 1740 68.2% 25.4% 6.4% +2.0 46
1968-05-12 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1740 1939 6.4% 25.4% 68.2% -2.0 32
1968-05-12 Mantova W 1-0 1833 1654 67.0% 26.0% 7.0% +2.2 33
1968-05-12 @ Bologna L 0-1 1654 1833 7.0% 26.0% 67.0% -2.2 17
1968-05-12 Inter Milan W 3-2 1820 1885 46.0% 31.3% 22.8% +5.7 31
1968-05-12 @ Cagliari L 2-3 1885 1820 22.8% 31.3% 46.0% -5.7 33
1968-05-12 Brescia D 0-0 1871 1689 67.1% 25.9% 6.9% -3.7 37
1968-05-12 @ Napoli D 0-0 1689 1871 6.9% 25.9% 67.1% +3.7 22
1968-05-12 Atalanta D 0-0 1702 1670 55.8% 30.0% 14.1% -2.4 27
1968-05-12 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1670 1702 14.1% 30.0% 55.8% +2.4 25
1968-05-12 Juventus L 0-1 1696 1822 38.3% 31.4% 30.3% -9.2 22
1968-05-12 @ SPAL W 1-0 1822 1696 30.3% 31.4% 38.3% +9.2 36
1968-05-12 Roma W 2-1 1832 1720 62.3% 28.1% 9.6% +2.9 32
1968-05-12 @ Torino L 1-2 1720 1832 9.6% 28.1% 62.3% -2.9 27
1968-05-12 Fiorentina W 1-0 1715 1887 31.9% 31.0% 37.1% +9.0 25
1968-05-12 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1887 1715 37.1% 31.0% 31.9% -9.0 35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1967-11-12 7.56% SPAL 1677 3 @ Bologna 1839 2
2 1967-11-05 7.60% Brescia 1703 1 @ Fiorentina 1864 0
3 1968-02-04 8.00% Brescia 1688 3 @ Bologna 1838 0
4 1968-04-03 8.13% Cagliari 1804 1 @ AC Milan 1950 0
5 1968-03-24 9.77% Roma 1718 2 @ Cagliari 1825 1
6 1967-10-22 11.96% Torino 1799 4 @ Juventus 1864 0
7 1968-02-04 12.04% Fiorentina 1826 2 @ Torino 1890 0
8 1968-01-14 12.77% Cagliari 1812 2 @ Inter Milan 1864 0
9 1968-03-31 13.01% Juventus 1798 2 @ Napoli 1846 1
10 1968-02-18 13.28% Mantova 1675 1 @ Brescia 1719 0
11 1967-11-05 13.43% Varese 1656 3 @ SPAL 1698 1
12 1968-05-05 13.65% Napoli 1859 2 @ Inter Milan 1897 1
13 1967-11-05 13.72% Roma 1781 1 @ Juventus 1819 0
14 1967-10-15 13.79% SPAL 1697 1 @ Brescia 1733 0
15 1967-12-03 14.10% Bologna 1815 1 @ Torino 1847 0
16 1967-10-29 14.74% Sampdoria 1692 2 @ Brescia 1715 1
17 1968-01-07 15.73% Brescia 1727 1 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 1737 0
18 1967-11-26 15.81% Brescia 1734 3 @ Atalanta 1743 1
19 1968-04-28 15.95% Napoli 1847 2 @ Torino 1854 1
20 1968-02-04 16.01% Sampdoria 1688 1 @ Mantova 1695 0
21 1967-10-29 16.24% Fiorentina 1852 1 @ Bologna 1856 0
22 1967-11-26 17.56% Napoli 1838 2 @ Bologna 1826 1
23 1967-12-17 17.76% AC Milan 1844 3 @ Torino 1829 2
24 1968-04-14 17.77% SPAL 1684 1 @ Mantova 1669 0
25 1968-01-28 17.92% AC Milan 1864 2 @ Fiorentina 1848 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-10-22 47.66 Torino 4 1799 11.96% @ Juventus 0 1864 58.72% 29.32%
2 1968-01-28 41.53 Torino 5 1848 29.36% @ Brescia 0 1730 39.27% 31.37%
3 1968-02-04 39.87 Brescia 3 1688 8.00% @ Bologna 0 1838 65.03% 26.97%
4 1968-02-04 34.15 @ Varese 5 1718 38.85% Juventus 0 1840 29.79% 31.36%
5 1968-01-21 25.34 Inter Milan 6 1840 26.15% @ Roma 2 1746 42.46% 31.38%
6 1968-02-04 25.08 Fiorentina 2 1826 12.04% @ Torino 0 1890 58.60% 29.36%
7 1967-09-24 24.76 AC Milan 4 1800 22.64% @ SPAL 1 1736 46.09% 31.27%
8 1968-01-14 24.68 Cagliari 2 1812 12.77% @ Inter Milan 0 1864 57.61% 29.63%
9 1968-04-14 22.60 Fiorentina 3 1854 36.15% @ Atalanta 0 1688 32.76% 31.08%
10 1968-01-28 22.18 AC Milan 2 1864 17.92% @ Fiorentina 0 1848 51.26% 30.82%
11 1967-12-03 21.57 Juventus 2 1796 19.34% @ Lanerossi Vicenza 0 1764 49.66% 31.00%
12 1967-11-05 21.08 Varese 3 1656 13.43% @ SPAL 1 1698 56.73% 29.84%
13 1968-03-10 20.53 AC Milan 3 1905 40.55% @ Sampdoria 0 1708 28.73% 30.72%
14 1968-01-14 20.43 Torino 2 1825 22.09% @ Roma 0 1766 46.67% 31.24%
15 1968-03-24 20.13 AC Milan 3 1929 41.37% @ Atalanta 0 1726 28.00% 30.63%
16 1967-11-26 20.06 Brescia 3 1734 15.81% @ Atalanta 1 1743 53.73% 30.45%
17 1967-10-08 17.37 @ Sampdoria 3 1680 46.21% Mantova 0 1743 22.52% 31.27%
18 1968-03-10 16.48 Bologna 3 1803 25.78% @ SPAL 1 1712 42.84% 31.38%
19 1968-04-14 16.43 @ Napoli 5 1831 58.90% Varese 0 1763 11.83% 29.27%
20 1967-11-12 16.33 @ Brescia 2 1718 33.74% Inter Milan 0 1877 35.11% 31.15%
21 1968-01-28 15.28 @ SPAL 3 1689 50.00% Lanerossi Vicenza 0 1717 19.03% 30.97%
22 1967-10-15 15.02 @ Atalanta 3 1720 30.80% Inter Milan 1 1901 38.27% 30.93%
23 1968-01-07 14.71 @ Bologna 5 1825 60.83% Atalanta 0 1733 10.51% 28.66%
24 1967-11-05 14.69 Brescia 1 1703 7.60% @ Fiorentina 0 1864 65.78% 26.62%
25 1967-10-15 14.67 @ Varese 2 1644 38.64% Lanerossi Vicenza 0 1767 30.00% 31.36%