1968-69 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fiorentina

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fiorentina

10.36 points above expected

45 points · 34.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pisa

6.61 points below expected

20 points · 26.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Fiorentina	30	16	13	1	45	38	18	+20	34.6	+10.36
2	Cagliari	30	14	13	3	41	41	18	+23	35.3	+5.72
3	AC Milan	30	14	13	3	41	31	12	+19	36.9	+4.11
4	Inter Milan	30	14	8	8	36	55	26	+29	36.3	-0.31
5	Juventus	30	12	11	7	35	32	24	+8	32.8	+2.17
6	Torino	30	11	11	8	33	33	24	+9	31.8	+1.19
7	Napoli	30	10	12	8	32	26	25	+1	30.5	+1.52
8	Roma	30	10	10	10	30	35	35	0	27.8	+2.24
9	Bologna	30	10	9	11	29	27	36	-9	30.9	-1.89
10	Hellas Verona	30	9	8	13	26	40	49	-9	27.3	-1.34
11	Palermo	30	7	11	12	25	21	32	-11	25.8	-0.76
12	Sampdoria	30	5	13	12	23	21	27	-6	26.9	-3.89
13	Lanerossi Vicenza	30	8	7	15	23	26	39	-13	26.6	-3.63
14	Varese	30	5	12	13	22	20	43	-23	25.6	-3.60
15	Pisa	30	6	8	16	20	26	44	-18	26.6	-6.61
16	Atalanta	30	4	11	15	19	25	45	-20	24.3	-5.28

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Inter Milan	1887	36	36.31	-0.31	47.0%	26	29	33	37	39	42	44
Fiorentina	1879	45	34.64	+10.36	100.0%	27	29	32	34	37	40	43
AC Milan	1868	41	36.89	+4.11	91.0%	27	32	34	36	39	42	46
Cagliari	1853	41	35.28	+5.72	92.0%	26	28	32	35	38	42	46
Juventus	1799	35	32.83	+2.17	79.0%	24	27	30	33	35	38	42
Torino	1797	33	31.81	+1.19	65.0%	24	26	29	32	35	38	39
Napoli	1786	32	30.48	+1.52	67.0%	22	25	28	30	33	36	39
Bologna	1752	29	30.89	-1.89	32.0%	22	24	28	31	34	37	39
Roma	1723	30	27.76	+2.24	75.0%	17	21	25	28	30	34	37
Sampdoria	1691	23	26.89	-3.89	20.0%	18	20	24	27	29	34	36
Lanerossi Vicenza	1687	23	26.63	-3.63	23.0%	16	19	24	26	30	33	37
Hellas Verona	1673	26	27.34	-1.34	43.0%	18	21	25	27	30	34	37
Pisa	1664	20	26.61	-6.61	7.0%	18	19	23	27	29	33	37
Varese	1649	22	25.60	-3.60	24.0%	16	18	23	26	28	32	36
Palermo	1640	25	25.76	-0.76	48.0%	17	18	23	26	28	32	36
Atalanta	1616	19	24.28	-5.28	11.0%	14	18	21	24	27	31	36

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ATA	BOL	CAG	FIO	HV	IM	JUV	LV	NAP	PAL	PIS	ROM	SAM	TOR	VAR
AC Milan	—	0-2-0 3.83	1-0-1 3.18	0-1-1 2.79	0-2-0 2.85	2-0-0 3.51	1-1-0 2.81	2-0-0 2.98	1-1-0 3.67	0-2-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.95	2-0-0 3.64	1-1-0 3.62	1-1-0 3.63	1-0-1 3.17	1-1-0 3.90
Atalanta	0-2-0 1.64	—	1-0-1 2.08	0-0-2 1.50	0-0-2 1.83	1-1-0 2.44	0-1-1 1.60	0-1-1 2.14	0-0-2 2.56	0-1-1 1.98	0-1-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.54	0-0-2 2.42	0-2-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.12	1-1-0 2.64
Bologna	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 3.29	—	0-1-1 2.17	1-1-0 2.28	0-1-1 3.09	0-0-2 2.16	0-1-1 2.54	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 2.67	1-0-1 3.24	2-0-0 3.05	0-1-1 3.12	0-2-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.59	1-1-0 3.09
Cagliari	1-1-0 2.54	2-0-0 3.97	1-1-0 3.18	—	0-2-0 2.71	1-1-0 3.55	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.87	1-1-0 3.45	0-1-1 3.15	1-1-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.65	1-1-0 3.36	1-1-0 3.63	1-1-0 3.02	1-1-0 3.33
Fiorentina	0-2-0 2.50	2-0-0 3.57	0-1-1 3.06	0-2-0 2.62	—	1-1-0 3.34	2-0-0 2.54	2-0-0 2.89	1-1-0 3.29	2-0-0 3.00	1-1-0 3.70	2-0-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.27	1-1-0 3.52	0-2-0 3.04	1-1-0 3.80
Hellas Verona	0-0-2 1.91	0-1-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.29	0-1-1 1.88	0-1-1 2.03	—	0-0-2 1.71	1-0-1 2.18	1-0-1 2.66	1-1-0 2.30	1-1-0 2.78	1-1-0 2.76	2-0-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 2.22	0-1-1 2.95
Inter Milan	0-1-1 2.53	1-1-0 3.84	2-0-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.80	2-0-0 3.71	—	0-0-2 3.04	2-0-0 3.36	0-1-1 3.06	0-2-0 3.59	1-1-0 3.56	2-0-0 3.32	1-1-0 3.49	0-1-1 3.05	2-0-0 3.76
Juventus	0-0-2 2.38	1-1-0 3.25	1-1-0 2.78	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.45	1-0-1 3.21	2-0-0 2.31	—	1-1-0 3.29	1-0-1 2.83	0-2-0 3.29	1-1-0 3.35	0-2-0 3.03	0-2-0 3.29	1-1-0 2.76	2-0-0 3.26
Lanerossi Vicenza	0-1-1 1.75	2-0-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.29	0-1-1 1.92	0-1-1 2.11	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.05	0-1-1 2.07	—	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.76	0-0-2 2.70	1-0-1 2.66	0-2-0 2.19	1-0-1 2.87
Napoli	0-2-0 2.16	1-1-0 3.38	0-1-1 2.70	1-1-0 2.22	0-0-2 2.35	0-1-1 3.08	1-1-0 2.27	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 3.09	—	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 3.16	0-2-0 2.96	1-0-1 3.16	0-2-0 2.62	1-1-0 3.29
Palermo	0-1-1 1.51	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.14	0-1-1 1.84	0-1-1 1.72	0-1-1 2.56	0-2-0 1.83	0-2-0 2.09	1-0-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.20	—	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.54	2-0-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.15	0-2-0 2.71
Pisa	0-0-2 1.77	1-1-0 2.80	0-0-2 2.31	0-1-1 1.77	0-0-2 1.89	0-1-1 2.57	0-1-1 1.87	0-1-1 2.02	1-1-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.24	1-0-1 2.73	—	0-0-2 2.66	2-0-0 2.61	0-1-1 2.30	0-1-1 2.78
Roma	0-1-1 1.81	2-0-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.23	0-1-1 2.05	0-1-1 2.12	0-0-2 2.62	0-0-2 2.06	0-2-0 2.33	2-0-0 2.65	0-2-0 2.38	2-0-0 2.80	2-0-0 2.68	—	1-1-0 2.83	0-0-2 2.43	0-1-1 2.93
Sampdoria	0-1-1 1.78	0-2-0 2.81	0-2-0 2.36	0-1-1 1.79	0-1-1 1.86	2-0-0 2.54	0-1-1 1.95	0-2-0 2.09	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.21	0-0-2 2.78	0-0-2 2.71	0-1-1 2.49	—	0-1-1 2.20	1-1-0 2.77
Torino	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.35	0-2-0 2.31	1-0-1 3.13	1-1-0 2.30	0-1-1 2.57	0-2-0 3.16	0-2-0 2.72	1-0-1 3.23	1-1-0 3.05	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.17	—	1-0-1 3.43
Varese	0-1-1 1.58	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.11	0-1-1 1.67	1-1-0 2.41	0-0-2 1.67	0-0-2 2.13	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.08	0-2-0 2.64	1-1-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.42	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 1.94	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.75%	11.25%	4.17%	2.92%	1.46%	0.21%	38.75%
1	11.25%	13.33%	6.46%	3.12%	1.04%	0.62%	35.83%
2	4.17%	6.46%	2.92%	0.42%	—	0.42%	14.38%
3	2.92%	3.12%	0.42%	0.42%	—	0.21%	7.08%
4	1.46%	1.04%	—	—	—	—	2.50%
5+	0.21%	0.62%	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	1.46%
Total	38.75%	35.83%	14.38%	7.08%	2.50%	1.46%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.062
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	36.67%
1	26.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	66.67%	30.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	0.40
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	0.67
Mean total goals/game	1.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.159
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	20.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	50.00%
1	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	33.33%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	36.67%	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Atalanta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.275
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	36.67%
1	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	43.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	30.00%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.206
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	36.67%
1	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	56.67%	33.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	0.60
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.113
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	—	—	—	—	—	26.67%
1	20.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.33%	36.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	0.60
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	0.77
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.450
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
Total	20.00%	40.00%	10.00%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	1.32
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.013
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	43.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.58
StdDev allowed	0.82
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.365
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	20.00%	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	30.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	0.78
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.218
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	20.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	40.00%
1	13.33%	10.00%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	13.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	36.67%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Lanerossi Vicenza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	0.90
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.006
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	36.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	0.90
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	1.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.014
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	53.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	30.00%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Palermo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.017
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	46.67%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Pisa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.174
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	26.67%	23.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.075
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	23.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	60.00%
1	3.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	43.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	1.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.171
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	40.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.045
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	46.67%
1	10.00%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	43.33%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	33.33%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Varese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	0.76
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.010
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fiorentina	45	34.6	+10.36
2	Cagliari	41	35.3	+5.72
3	AC Milan	41	36.9	+4.11
4	Roma	30	27.8	+2.24
5	Juventus	35	32.8	+2.17

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Pisa	20	26.6	-6.61
2	Atalanta	19	24.3	-5.28
3	Sampdoria	23	26.9	-3.89
4	Lanerossi Vicenza	23	26.6	-3.63
5	Varese	22	25.6	-3.60

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cagliari	4	Nov 3 – Nov 24	1 in 67
2	Fiorentina	4	Nov 17 – Dec 8	1 in 34
3	Torino	3	Jan 12 – Jan 26	1 in 19
4	Bologna	3	Apr 27 – May 11	1 in 17
5	Roma	2	Dec 1 – Dec 8	1 in 17

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lanerossi Vicenza	4	Dec 1 – Dec 22	1 in 49
2	Atalanta	4	Jan 19 – Feb 9	1 in 38
3	Juventus	3	Dec 1 – Dec 15	1 in 26
4	Torino	3	Nov 10 – Nov 24	1 in 23
5	Sampdoria	3	Dec 22 – Jan 19	1 in 23

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fiorentina	25	Nov 10 – May 18	1 in 3,825
2	Torino	15	Jan 12 – Apr 27	1 in 466
3	Cagliari	16	Nov 3 – Mar 2	1 in 167
4	AC Milan	15	Dec 1 – Mar 23	1 in 76
5	Sampdoria	6	Apr 13 – May 18	1 in 57

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sampdoria	14	Dec 15 – Apr 6	1 in 86
2	Atalanta	12	Feb 23 – May 18	1 in 69
3	Torino	7	Oct 6 – Nov 24	1 in 26
4	Napoli	6	Sep 29 – Nov 10	1 in 26
5	Hellas Verona	7	Apr 6 – May 18	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Fiorentina	11.00%	18.00%	14.00%	8.00%	14.00%	11.00%	13.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Cagliari	20.00%	18.00%	12.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	—	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
AC Milan	27.00%	22.00%	23.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Inter Milan	32.00%	21.00%	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—
Juventus	5.00%	4.00%	11.00%	22.00%	14.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	9.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Torino	1.00%	8.00%	15.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	7.00%	13.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Napoli	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	13.00%	11.00%	8.00%	5.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Roma	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	4.00%	14.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	6.00%	13.00%	11.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Bologna	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	9.00%	17.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Hellas Verona	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	12.00%	12.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	14.00%	4.00%
Palermo	—	—	—	—	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	10.00%	13.00%	13.00%	14.00%	12.00%	14.00%
Sampdoria	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	15.00%	4.00%	6.00%	16.00%	12.00%	12.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Lanerossi Vicenza	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	10.00%	12.00%	7.00%	13.00%	11.00%
Varese	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	—	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	16.00%	15.00%	16.00%
Pisa	—	—	—	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	16.00%	12.00%	14.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	15.00%
Atalanta	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	20.00%	27.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AC Milan	100%	—
Cagliari	100%	—
Fiorentina	100%	—
Juventus	100%	—
Inter Milan	99.0%	1.0%
Torino	98.0%	2.0%
Napoli	95.0%	5.0%
Bologna	91.0%	9.0%
Roma	79.0%	21.0%
Sampdoria	73.0%	27.0%
Hellas Verona	72.0%	28.0%
Pisa	70.0%	30.0%
Lanerossi Vicenza	69.0%	31.0%
Palermo	60.0%	40.0%
Varese	53.0%	47.0%
Atalanta	41.0%	59.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1968-09-29	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1828	1700	65.2%	25.3%	9.5%	+2.2	3
1968-09-29	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1700	1828	9.5%	25.3%	65.2%	-2.2	0
1968-09-29	Juventus	D 3-3	1687	1775	41.1%	35.1%	23.7%	-0.4	1
1968-09-29	@ Atalanta	D 3-3	1775	1687	23.7%	35.1%	41.1%	+0.4	1
1968-09-29	Varese	W 1-0	1781	1721	58.1%	29.8%	12.1%	+3.1	3
1968-09-29	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1721	1781	12.1%	29.8%	58.1%	-3.1	0
1968-09-29	Palermo	W 3-0	1775	1669	62.9%	26.9%	10.3%	+6.8	3
1968-09-29	@ Cagliari	L 0-3	1669	1775	10.3%	26.9%	62.9%	-6.8	0
1968-09-29	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1794	1695	62.1%	27.4%	10.5%	-2.2	1
1968-09-29	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1695	1794	10.5%	27.4%	62.1%	+2.2	1
1968-09-29	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1713	1805	40.8%	35.1%	24.0%	-7.6	0
1968-09-29	@ Roma	W 2-1	1805	1713	24.0%	35.1%	40.8%	+7.6	3
1968-09-29	Pisa	W 1-0	1781	1713	58.9%	29.4%	11.8%	+3.0	3
1968-09-29	@ Torino	L 0-1	1713	1781	11.8%	29.4%	58.9%	-3.0	0
1968-09-29	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1715	1810	40.4%	35.2%	24.4%	-8.0	0
1968-09-29	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1810	1715	24.4%	35.2%	40.4%	+8.0	3
1968-10-06	Atalanta	W 2-1	1812	1686	65.0%	25.5%	9.6%	+2.1	6
1968-10-06	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1686	1812	9.6%	25.5%	65.0%	-2.2	1
1968-10-06	AC Milan	L 1-3	1697	1830	35.5%	35.0%	29.5%	-11.8	1
1968-10-06	@ Hellas Verona	W 3-1	1830	1697	29.5%	35.0%	35.5%	+11.8	6
1968-10-06	Napoli	D 1-1	1818	1792	54.3%	31.8%	13.9%	-1.7	4
1968-10-06	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1792	1818	13.9%	31.8%	54.3%	+1.7	2
1968-10-06	Palermo	D 0-0	1776	1662	63.7%	26.3%	10.0%	-2.5	2
1968-10-06	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1662	1776	10.0%	26.3%	63.7%	+2.5	1
1968-10-06	Roma	L 1-2	1710	1706	52.0%	32.8%	15.2%	-9.2	0
1968-10-06	@ Pisa	W 2-1	1706	1710	15.2%	32.8%	52.0%	+9.2	3
1968-10-06	Torino	D 1-1	1698	1784	41.4%	35.1%	23.5%	-0.7	1
1968-10-06	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1784	1698	23.5%	35.1%	41.4%	+0.7	4
1968-10-06	Cagliari	L 1-6	1718	1782	44.1%	34.9%	21.1%	-31.2	0
1968-10-06	@ Varese	W 6-1	1782	1718	21.1%	34.9%	44.1%	+31.2	6
1968-10-06	Bologna	W 1-0	1707	1784	42.5%	35.0%	22.4%	+5.3	3
1968-10-06	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1784	1707	22.4%	35.0%	42.5%	-5.3	3
1968-10-13	Pisa	W 2-1	1842	1701	66.5%	24.4%	9.1%	+2.0	9
1968-10-13	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1701	1842	9.1%	24.4%	66.5%	-2.0	0
1968-10-13	Varese	D 0-0	1684	1686	51.3%	33.0%	15.7%	-1.6	2
1968-10-13	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1686	1684	15.7%	33.0%	51.3%	+1.6	1
1968-10-13	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1779	1686	61.6%	27.7%	10.7%	-2.2	4
1968-10-13	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1686	1779	10.7%	27.7%	61.6%	+2.2	2
1968-10-13	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1813	1814	51.4%	33.0%	15.6%	-1.5	7
1968-10-13	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1814	1813	15.6%	33.0%	51.4%	+1.5	7
1968-10-13	Sampdoria	L 0-3	1793	1697	61.9%	27.5%	10.6%	-30.2	2
1968-10-13	@ Napoli	W 3-0	1697	1793	10.6%	27.5%	61.9%	+30.2	4
1968-10-13	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1665	1816	33.1%	34.7%	32.2%	-0.0	2
1968-10-13	@ Palermo	D 1-1	1816	1665	32.2%	34.7%	33.1%	+0.0	5
1968-10-13	Juventus	D 1-1	1715	1773	44.8%	34.8%	20.4%	-1.0	4
1968-10-13	@ Roma	D 1-1	1773	1715	20.4%	34.8%	44.8%	+1.0	3
1968-10-13	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1785	1712	59.4%	29.1%	11.6%	-2.3	5
1968-10-13	@ Torino	D 0-0	1712	1785	11.6%	29.1%	59.4%	+2.3	4
1968-10-27	AC Milan	D 0-0	1816	1844	48.3%	34.0%	17.7%	-1.4	8
1968-10-27	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1844	1816	17.7%	34.0%	48.3%	+1.4	10
1968-10-27	Torino	W 3-0	1688	1783	40.4%	35.2%	24.5%	+15.5	5
1968-10-27	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-3	1783	1688	24.5%	35.2%	40.4%	-15.6	5
1968-10-27	Cagliari	W 4-0	1816	1812	51.9%	32.8%	15.3%	+14.0	8
1968-10-27	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1812	1816	15.3%	32.8%	51.9%	-14.0	7
1968-10-27	Bologna	W 1-0	1774	1777	51.2%	33.1%	15.7%	+4.0	6
1968-10-27	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1777	1774	15.7%	33.1%	51.2%	-4.0	4
1968-10-27	Roma	D 0-0	1763	1714	56.9%	30.5%	12.7%	-2.1	3
1968-10-27	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1714	1763	12.7%	30.5%	56.9%	+2.1	5
1968-10-27	Varese	D 1-1	1699	1688	52.7%	32.5%	14.8%	-1.6	1
1968-10-27	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1688	1699	14.8%	32.5%	52.7%	+1.6	2
1968-10-27	Palermo	L 0-1	1727	1665	58.3%	29.7%	12.0%	-10.6	4
1968-10-27	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1665	1727	12.0%	29.7%	58.3%	+10.6	5
1968-10-27	Atalanta	W 1-0	1715	1683	55.0%	31.4%	13.6%	+3.5	7
1968-10-27	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1683	1715	13.6%	31.4%	55.0%	-3.5	2
1968-11-03	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1845	1830	53.2%	32.3%	14.5%	+3.7	13
1968-11-03	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1830	1845	14.5%	32.3%	53.2%	-3.7	8
1968-11-03	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-0	1798	1718	60.1%	28.6%	11.3%	+7.7	10
1968-11-03	@ Cagliari	L 0-3	1718	1798	11.3%	28.6%	60.1%	-7.7	7
1968-11-03	Bologna	L 1-3	1814	1773	56.1%	30.9%	13.0%	-16.8	8
1968-11-03	@ Fiorentina	W 3-1	1773	1814	13.0%	30.9%	56.1%	+16.9	7
1968-11-03	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1676	1703	48.4%	34.0%	17.6%	-1.4	6
1968-11-03	@ Palermo	D 0-0	1703	1676	17.6%	34.0%	48.4%	+1.4	6
1968-11-03	Atalanta	W 1-0	1698	1679	53.5%	32.1%	14.4%	+3.7	4
1968-11-03	@ Pisa	L 0-1	1679	1698	14.4%	32.1%	53.5%	-3.7	2
1968-11-03	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1716	1717	51.4%	33.0%	15.6%	+4.0	8
1968-11-03	@ Roma	L 0-1	1717	1716	15.6%	33.0%	51.4%	-4.0	4
1968-11-03	Napoli	D 0-0	1767	1761	52.2%	32.7%	15.1%	-1.7	6
1968-11-03	@ Torino	D 0-0	1761	1767	15.1%	32.7%	52.2%	+1.7	4
1968-11-03	Juventus	L 0-2	1690	1778	41.1%	35.1%	23.7%	-15.3	2
1968-11-03	@ Varese	W 2-0	1778	1690	23.7%	35.1%	41.1%	+15.3	9
1968-11-10	AC Milan	D 0-0	1676	1849	30.2%	34.1%	35.7%	+0.2	3
1968-11-10	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1849	1676	35.7%	34.1%	30.2%	-0.2	14
1968-11-10	Napoli	W 2-1	1789	1763	54.4%	31.7%	13.9%	+3.4	10
1968-11-10	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1763	1789	13.9%	31.7%	54.4%	-3.4	4
1968-11-10	Pisa	W 5-3	1705	1701	51.9%	32.8%	15.3%	+5.4	9
1968-11-10	@ Hellas Verona	L 3-5	1701	1705	15.3%	32.8%	51.9%	-5.4	4
1968-11-10	Roma	W 3-1	1826	1720	62.9%	26.9%	10.3%	+4.1	11
1968-11-10	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1720	1826	10.3%	26.9%	62.9%	-4.1	8
1968-11-10	Cagliari	L 1-2	1794	1806	50.2%	33.4%	16.4%	-8.9	9
1968-11-10	@ Juventus	W 2-1	1806	1794	16.4%	33.4%	50.2%	+8.9	13
1968-11-10	Torino	W 1-0	1674	1765	40.8%	35.1%	24.0%	+5.6	9
1968-11-10	@ Palermo	L 0-1	1765	1674	24.0%	35.1%	40.8%	-5.6	6
1968-11-10	Varese	W 4-0	1713	1674	55.7%	31.1%	13.2%	+12.1	7
1968-11-10	@ Sampdoria	L 0-4	1674	1713	13.2%	31.1%	55.7%	-12.1	2
1968-11-10	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1710	1797	41.3%	35.1%	23.5%	-0.8	8
1968-11-10	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1797	1710	23.5%	35.1%	41.3%	+0.8	9
1968-11-17	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 4-1	1849	1710	66.4%	24.5%	9.2%	+4.9	17
1968-11-17	@ AC Milan	L 1-4	1710	1849	9.2%	24.5%	66.4%	-4.9	8
1968-11-17	Bologna	W 1-0	1676	1793	37.5%	35.1%	27.3%	+6.1	6
1968-11-17	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1793	1676	27.3%	35.1%	37.5%	-6.1	10
1968-11-17	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1798	1725	59.4%	29.0%	11.5%	+2.9	12
1968-11-17	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1725	1798	11.5%	29.0%	59.4%	-2.9	7
1968-11-17	Palermo	W 1-0	1759	1680	60.1%	28.6%	11.3%	+2.8	7
1968-11-17	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1680	1759	11.3%	28.6%	60.1%	-2.8	9
1968-11-17	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1696	1830	35.3%	35.0%	29.7%	-0.2	5
1968-11-17	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1830	1696	29.7%	35.0%	35.3%	+0.2	12
1968-11-17	Cagliari	L 1-4	1716	1815	39.9%	35.2%	24.9%	-18.3	8
1968-11-17	@ Roma	W 4-1	1815	1716	24.9%	35.2%	39.9%	+18.3	16
1968-11-17	Juventus	L 1-2	1760	1785	48.7%	33.9%	17.4%	-8.7	6
1968-11-17	@ Torino	W 2-1	1785	1760	17.4%	33.9%	48.7%	+8.7	12
1968-11-17	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1662	1710	46.1%	34.5%	19.4%	+4.8	5
1968-11-17	@ Varese	L 0-1	1710	1662	19.4%	34.5%	46.1%	-4.8	9
1968-11-24	AC Milan	W 1-0	1787	1854	43.8%	34.9%	21.3%	+5.1	13
1968-11-24	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1854	1787	21.3%	34.9%	43.8%	-5.1	17
1968-11-24	Torino	W 1-0	1833	1751	60.3%	28.5%	11.2%	+2.8	19
1968-11-24	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1751	1833	11.2%	28.5%	60.3%	-2.8	6
1968-11-24	Roma	W 2-0	1705	1698	52.3%	32.6%	15.0%	+7.3	12
1968-11-24	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1698	1705	15.0%	32.6%	52.3%	-7.3	8
1968-11-24	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1830	1801	54.7%	31.6%	13.7%	-9.5	12
1968-11-24	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1801	1830	13.7%	31.6%	54.7%	+9.5	15
1968-11-24	Pisa	W 2-0	1793	1696	62.0%	27.4%	10.6%	+4.9	15
1968-11-24	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1696	1793	10.6%	27.4%	62.0%	-4.9	5
1968-11-24	Varese	D 1-1	1677	1667	52.6%	32.5%	14.9%	-1.6	10
1968-11-24	@ Palermo	D 1-1	1667	1677	14.9%	32.5%	52.6%	+1.5	6
1968-11-24	Atalanta	D 0-0	1722	1682	55.9%	31.0%	13.1%	-2.0	8
1968-11-24	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1682	1722	13.1%	31.0%	55.9%	+2.0	7
1968-11-24	Napoli	W 2-0	1705	1762	44.9%	34.7%	20.4%	+9.4	11
1968-11-24	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-2	1762	1705	20.4%	34.7%	44.9%	-9.4	7
1968-12-01	Cagliari	D 0-0	1848	1836	52.9%	32.4%	14.7%	-1.8	18
1968-12-01	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1836	1848	14.7%	32.4%	52.9%	+1.8	20
1968-12-01	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1811	1713	62.1%	27.4%	10.5%	+2.6	18
1968-12-01	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1713	1811	10.5%	27.4%	62.1%	-2.6	12
1968-12-01	Juventus	W 2-1	1753	1798	46.4%	34.5%	19.2%	+4.5	10
1968-12-01	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1798	1753	19.2%	34.5%	46.4%	-4.5	15
1968-12-01	Atalanta	W 5-1	1675	1684	50.6%	33.3%	16.2%	+12.3	13
1968-12-01	@ Palermo	L 1-5	1684	1675	16.2%	33.3%	50.6%	-12.3	7
1968-12-01	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1691	1720	48.2%	34.0%	17.8%	+4.5	8
1968-12-01	@ Pisa	L 0-1	1720	1691	17.8%	34.0%	48.2%	-4.5	8
1968-12-01	Bologna	W 2-1	1691	1792	39.6%	35.2%	25.3%	+5.5	11
1968-12-01	@ Roma	L 1-2	1792	1691	25.3%	35.2%	39.6%	-5.5	13
1968-12-01	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1748	1821	43.1%	35.0%	21.9%	+5.0	9
1968-12-01	@ Torino	L 1-2	1821	1748	21.9%	35.0%	43.1%	-5.0	12
1968-12-01	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1668	1714	46.3%	34.5%	19.2%	+4.8	9
1968-12-01	@ Varese	L 0-1	1714	1668	19.2%	34.5%	46.3%	-4.8	11
1968-12-08	Torino	W 3-1	1672	1753	42.0%	35.1%	22.9%	+8.9	10
1968-12-08	@ Atalanta	L 1-3	1753	1672	22.9%	35.1%	42.0%	-8.9	9
1968-12-08	Bologna	W 3-1	1837	1786	57.0%	30.4%	12.6%	+5.2	23
1968-12-08	@ Cagliari	L 1-3	1786	1837	12.6%	30.4%	57.0%	-5.2	13
1968-12-08	Napoli	W 2-1	1813	1757	57.6%	30.1%	12.3%	+3.0	21
1968-12-08	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1757	1813	12.3%	30.1%	57.6%	-3.0	10
1968-12-08	Varese	W 6-0	1816	1673	66.7%	24.2%	9.0%	+11.0	15
1968-12-08	@ Inter Milan	L 0-6	1673	1816	9.0%	24.2%	66.7%	-11.0	9
1968-12-08	AC Milan	L 0-1	1794	1847	45.5%	34.6%	19.9%	-8.8	15
1968-12-08	@ Juventus	W 1-0	1847	1794	19.9%	34.6%	45.5%	+8.8	21
1968-12-08	Palermo	W 4-1	1695	1688	52.3%	32.6%	15.0%	+8.9	11
1968-12-08	@ Pisa	L 1-4	1688	1695	15.0%	32.6%	52.3%	-8.9	13
1968-12-08	Hellas Verona	W 3-2	1715	1710	52.1%	32.7%	15.2%	+3.5	11
1968-12-08	@ Sampdoria	L 2-3	1710	1715	15.2%	32.7%	52.1%	-3.5	12
1968-12-08	Roma	L 1-2	1709	1696	53.0%	32.4%	14.7%	-9.3	11
1968-12-08	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1696	1709	14.7%	32.4%	53.0%	+9.3	14
1968-12-15	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1781	1719	58.2%	29.7%	12.0%	-2.2	14
1968-12-15	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1719	1781	12.0%	29.7%	58.2%	+2.2	12
1968-12-15	Pisa	W 3-0	1843	1704	66.3%	24.5%	9.2%	+5.9	26
1968-12-15	@ Cagliari	L 0-3	1704	1843	9.2%	24.5%	66.3%	-5.8	11
1968-12-15	Juventus	W 2-1	1706	1785	42.4%	35.0%	22.6%	+5.1	15
1968-12-15	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1785	1706	22.6%	35.0%	42.4%	-5.0	15
1968-12-15	Atalanta	D 1-1	1827	1680	67.1%	23.9%	8.9%	-2.5	16
1968-12-15	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1680	1827	8.9%	23.9%	67.1%	+2.5	11
1968-12-15	Varese	D 1-1	1754	1662	61.4%	27.8%	10.8%	-2.2	11
1968-12-15	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1662	1754	10.8%	27.8%	61.4%	+2.2	10
1968-12-15	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1679	1700	49.1%	33.8%	17.1%	+4.1	16
1968-12-15	@ Palermo	L 1-2	1700	1679	17.1%	33.8%	49.1%	-4.1	11
1968-12-15	AC Milan	D 1-1	1705	1855	33.2%	34.7%	32.1%	-0.0	15
1968-12-15	@ Roma	D 1-1	1855	1705	32.1%	34.7%	33.2%	+0.0	22
1968-12-15	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1744	1816	43.2%	35.0%	21.8%	-0.9	10
1968-12-15	@ Torino	D 0-0	1816	1744	21.8%	35.0%	43.2%	+0.9	22
1968-12-22	Torino	W 1-0	1856	1743	63.5%	26.4%	10.0%	+2.4	25
1968-12-22	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1743	1856	10.0%	26.4%	63.5%	-2.4	10
1968-12-22	Pisa	W 1-0	1779	1698	60.2%	28.5%	11.2%	+2.8	17
1968-12-22	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1698	1779	11.2%	28.5%	60.2%	-2.8	11
1968-12-22	Palermo	W 1-0	1817	1683	65.9%	24.8%	9.3%	+2.2	25
1968-12-22	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1683	1817	9.3%	24.8%	65.9%	-2.2	16
1968-12-22	Cagliari	D 0-0	1712	1848	35.0%	34.9%	30.1%	-0.2	16
1968-12-22	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1848	1712	30.1%	34.9%	35.0%	+0.2	27
1968-12-22	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1780	1696	60.6%	28.3%	11.1%	+2.8	18
1968-12-22	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1696	1780	11.1%	28.3%	60.6%	-2.8	11
1968-12-22	Atalanta	W 2-0	1752	1683	59.0%	29.3%	11.7%	+5.6	14
1968-12-22	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1683	1752	11.7%	29.3%	59.0%	-5.6	11
1968-12-22	Inter Milan	L 0-3	1721	1824	39.3%	35.2%	25.5%	-21.4	12
1968-12-22	@ Sampdoria	W 3-0	1824	1721	25.5%	35.2%	39.3%	+21.4	19
1968-12-22	Roma	W 2-1	1664	1705	46.9%	34.4%	18.8%	+4.4	13
1968-12-22	@ Varese	L 1-2	1705	1664	18.8%	34.4%	46.9%	-4.4	15
1969-01-12	Hellas Verona	W 5-2	1677	1711	47.7%	34.2%	18.2%	+9.1	14
1969-01-12	@ Atalanta	L 2-5	1711	1677	18.2%	34.2%	47.7%	-9.1	16
1969-01-12	Napoli	D 0-0	1849	1758	61.3%	27.9%	10.8%	-2.4	28
1969-01-12	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1758	1849	10.8%	27.9%	61.3%	+2.4	15
1969-01-12	Juventus	L 1-2	1846	1783	58.4%	29.7%	12.0%	-10.0	19
1969-01-12	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1783	1846	12.0%	29.7%	58.4%	+10.0	21
1969-01-12	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1695	1819	36.7%	35.1%	28.2%	-7.4	11
1969-01-12	@ Pisa	W 1-0	1819	1695	28.2%	35.1%	36.7%	+7.4	28
1969-01-12	Palermo	W 2-1	1701	1681	53.7%	32.0%	14.2%	+3.5	18
1969-01-12	@ Roma	L 1-2	1681	1701	14.2%	32.0%	53.7%	-3.5	16
1969-01-12	Bologna	W 3-0	1741	1782	46.9%	34.4%	18.8%	+12.8	13
1969-01-12	@ Torino	L 0-3	1782	1741	18.8%	34.4%	46.9%	-12.8	17
1969-01-12	AC Milan	D 0-0	1669	1858	28.4%	33.6%	38.0%	+0.4	14
1969-01-12	@ Varese	D 0-0	1858	1669	38.0%	33.6%	28.4%	-0.4	26
1969-01-12	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1693	1700	50.8%	33.2%	16.0%	+11.2	14
1969-01-12	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-3	1700	1693	16.0%	33.2%	50.8%	-11.2	12
1969-01-19	Roma	L 0-2	1686	1704	49.5%	33.6%	16.9%	-17.7	14
1969-01-19	@ Atalanta	W 2-0	1704	1686	16.9%	33.6%	49.5%	+17.7	21
1969-01-19	Juventus	W 2-1	1827	1793	55.2%	31.3%	13.5%	+3.3	31
1969-01-19	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1793	1827	13.5%	31.3%	55.2%	-3.3	21
1969-01-19	Hellas Verona	W 4-1	1836	1702	65.8%	24.9%	9.3%	+5.1	22
1969-01-19	@ Inter Milan	L 1-4	1702	1836	9.3%	24.9%	65.8%	-5.0	16
1969-01-19	AC Milan	D 0-0	1760	1858	40.1%	35.2%	24.8%	-0.6	16
1969-01-19	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1858	1760	24.8%	35.2%	40.1%	+0.6	27
1969-01-19	Bologna	W 2-0	1677	1769	40.8%	35.1%	24.1%	+10.6	19
1969-01-19	@ Palermo	L 0-2	1769	1677	24.1%	35.1%	40.8%	-10.6	17
1969-01-19	Cagliari	L 0-1	1688	1846	32.2%	34.5%	33.2%	-6.8	12
1969-01-19	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1846	1688	33.2%	34.5%	32.2%	+6.8	31
1969-01-19	Varese	W 2-1	1754	1669	60.6%	28.3%	11.1%	+2.6	16
1969-01-19	@ Torino	L 1-2	1669	1754	11.1%	28.3%	60.6%	-2.6	14
1969-01-19	Pisa	L 1-2	1704	1688	53.3%	32.2%	14.5%	-9.4	14
1969-01-19	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1688	1704	14.5%	32.2%	53.3%	+9.4	14
1969-01-26	Palermo	W 1-0	1858	1688	69.6%	22.1%	8.2%	+1.8	30
1969-01-26	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1688	1858	8.2%	22.1%	69.6%	-1.8	19
1969-01-26	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1758	1841	41.9%	35.1%	23.0%	-7.8	17
1969-01-26	@ Bologna	W 2-1	1841	1758	23.0%	35.1%	41.9%	+7.7	25
1969-01-26	Atalanta	W 1-0	1853	1669	71.0%	21.1%	7.9%	+1.7	34
1969-01-26	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1669	1853	7.9%	21.1%	71.0%	-1.7	14
1969-01-26	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1697	1695	51.7%	32.9%	15.4%	+3.7	19
1969-01-26	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1695	1697	15.4%	32.9%	51.7%	-3.7	14
1969-01-26	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1789	1682	63.1%	26.7%	10.2%	-2.2	22
1969-01-26	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1682	1789	10.2%	26.7%	63.1%	+2.2	13
1969-01-26	Napoli	W 1-0	1697	1760	44.4%	34.8%	20.8%	+5.1	17
1969-01-26	@ Pisa	L 0-1	1760	1697	20.8%	34.8%	44.4%	-5.1	16
1969-01-26	Torino	L 1-3	1722	1756	47.6%	34.2%	18.2%	-14.8	21
1969-01-26	@ Roma	W 3-1	1756	1722	18.2%	34.2%	47.6%	+14.8	19
1969-01-26	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1667	1830	31.5%	34.4%	34.1%	+0.1	15
1969-01-26	@ Varese	D 2-2	1830	1667	34.1%	34.4%	31.5%	-0.1	32
1969-02-02	Roma	D 0-0	1830	1707	64.7%	25.7%	9.7%	-2.6	33
1969-02-02	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1707	1830	9.7%	25.7%	64.7%	+2.6	22
1969-02-02	Napoli	W 1-0	1701	1755	45.4%	34.7%	20.0%	+4.9	22
1969-02-02	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1755	1701	20.0%	34.7%	45.4%	-4.9	16
1969-02-02	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1849	1691	68.3%	23.1%	8.6%	+1.9	28
1969-02-02	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1691	1849	8.6%	23.1%	68.3%	-2.0	14
1969-02-02	Atalanta	W 1-0	1787	1667	64.4%	25.9%	9.8%	+2.3	25
1969-02-02	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1667	1787	9.8%	25.9%	64.4%	-2.3	14
1969-02-02	Cagliari	D 0-0	1686	1855	30.8%	34.2%	34.9%	+0.2	20
1969-02-02	@ Palermo	D 0-0	1855	1686	34.9%	34.2%	30.8%	-0.2	35
1969-02-02	Torino	D 1-1	1702	1771	43.6%	34.9%	21.5%	-0.9	18
1969-02-02	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1771	1702	21.5%	34.9%	43.6%	+0.9	20
1969-02-02	AC Milan	D 1-1	1684	1860	29.9%	34.0%	36.1%	+0.2	14
1969-02-02	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1860	1684	36.1%	34.0%	29.9%	-0.2	31
1969-02-02	Bologna	D 1-1	1667	1751	41.7%	35.1%	23.2%	-0.7	16
1969-02-02	@ Varese	D 1-1	1751	1667	23.2%	35.1%	41.7%	+0.7	18
1969-02-09	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1860	1706	67.9%	23.4%	8.7%	+5.4	34
1969-02-09	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1706	1860	8.7%	23.4%	67.9%	-5.4	22
1969-02-09	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1665	1827	31.6%	34.4%	34.0%	-6.7	14
1969-02-09	@ Atalanta	W 1-0	1827	1665	34.0%	34.4%	31.6%	+6.7	36
1969-02-09	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-0	1751	1689	58.2%	29.7%	12.0%	+8.4	21
1969-02-09	@ Bologna	L 0-3	1689	1751	12.0%	29.7%	58.2%	-8.4	14
1969-02-09	Varese	D 0-0	1855	1666	71.5%	20.8%	7.8%	-3.0	36
1969-02-09	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1666	1855	7.8%	20.8%	71.5%	+3.0	17
1969-02-09	Inter Milan	W 3-1	1750	1851	39.6%	35.2%	25.2%	+9.4	19
1969-02-09	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1851	1750	25.2%	35.2%	39.6%	-9.5	28
1969-02-09	Juventus	D 1-1	1686	1790	39.3%	35.2%	25.5%	-0.5	21
1969-02-09	@ Palermo	D 1-1	1790	1686	25.5%	35.2%	39.3%	+0.5	26
1969-02-09	Pisa	W 2-0	1710	1702	52.4%	32.6%	15.0%	+7.3	25
1969-02-09	@ Roma	L 0-2	1702	1710	15.0%	32.6%	52.4%	-7.3	18
1969-02-09	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1772	1684	61.0%	28.1%	10.9%	+5.1	23
1969-02-09	@ Torino	L 0-2	1684	1772	10.9%	28.1%	61.0%	-5.1	14
1969-02-16	Cagliari	D 1-1	1834	1852	49.5%	33.6%	16.8%	-1.3	37
1969-02-16	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1852	1834	16.8%	33.6%	49.5%	+1.3	37
1969-02-16	Bologna	W 5-1	1700	1760	44.7%	34.8%	20.5%	+14.9	25
1969-02-16	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-5	1760	1700	20.5%	34.8%	44.7%	-14.9	21
1969-02-16	Palermo	D 0-0	1841	1686	68.1%	23.3%	8.7%	-2.8	29
1969-02-16	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1686	1841	8.7%	23.3%	68.1%	+2.8	22
1969-02-16	Roma	D 2-2	1790	1717	59.4%	29.0%	11.6%	-1.5	27
1969-02-16	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1717	1790	11.6%	29.0%	59.4%	+1.5	26
1969-02-16	AC Milan	L 0-1	1694	1865	30.5%	34.2%	35.3%	-6.5	18
1969-02-16	@ Pisa	W 1-0	1865	1694	35.3%	34.2%	30.5%	+6.5	37
1969-02-16	Napoli	L 0-2	1679	1759	42.2%	35.1%	22.7%	-15.6	14
1969-02-16	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1759	1679	22.7%	35.1%	42.2%	+15.6	22
1969-02-16	Atalanta	L 1-2	1669	1658	52.7%	32.5%	14.8%	-9.3	17
1969-02-16	@ Varese	W 2-1	1658	1669	14.8%	32.5%	52.7%	+9.3	17
1969-02-16	Torino	D 1-1	1681	1777	40.2%	35.2%	24.6%	-0.6	15
1969-02-16	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1777	1681	24.6%	35.2%	40.2%	+0.6	24
1969-02-23	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1872	1833	55.8%	31.1%	13.2%	-2.0	38
1969-02-23	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1833	1872	13.2%	31.1%	55.8%	+2.0	38
1969-02-23	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-3	1667	1680	50.0%	33.5%	16.5%	-15.4	17
1969-02-23	@ Atalanta	W 3-1	1680	1667	16.5%	33.5%	50.0%	+15.4	18
1969-02-23	Juventus	D 1-1	1745	1789	46.5%	34.4%	19.0%	-1.1	22
1969-02-23	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1789	1745	19.0%	34.4%	46.5%	+1.1	28
1969-02-23	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1853	1838	53.1%	32.3%	14.6%	+3.8	40
1969-02-23	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1838	1853	14.6%	32.3%	53.1%	-3.8	29
1969-02-23	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1688	1664	54.2%	31.8%	14.0%	+3.6	25
1969-02-23	@ Palermo	L 0-1	1664	1688	14.0%	31.8%	54.2%	-3.6	14
1969-02-23	Napoli	D 0-0	1719	1775	45.1%	34.7%	20.2%	-1.1	27
1969-02-23	@ Roma	D 0-0	1775	1719	20.2%	34.7%	45.1%	+1.1	23
1969-02-23	Hellas Verona	W 4-0	1778	1715	58.3%	29.7%	12.0%	+10.9	27
1969-02-23	@ Torino	L 0-4	1715	1778	12.0%	29.7%	58.3%	-10.9	25
1969-02-23	Pisa	W 3-1	1660	1688	48.3%	34.0%	17.7%	+7.3	20
1969-02-23	@ Varese	L 1-3	1688	1660	17.7%	34.0%	48.3%	-7.3	18
1969-03-02	Pisa	D 1-1	1652	1681	48.3%	34.0%	17.7%	-1.2	18
1969-03-02	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1681	1652	17.7%	34.0%	48.3%	+1.2	19
1969-03-02	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1744	1835	40.8%	35.1%	24.0%	-0.7	23
1969-03-02	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1835	1744	24.0%	35.1%	40.8%	+0.7	39
1969-03-02	Palermo	W 2-0	1704	1692	52.9%	32.4%	14.7%	+7.1	28
1969-03-02	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1692	1704	14.7%	32.4%	52.9%	-7.1	25
1969-03-02	AC Milan	D 1-1	1835	1870	47.5%	34.2%	18.3%	-1.2	30
1969-03-02	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1870	1835	18.3%	34.2%	47.5%	+1.2	39
1969-03-02	Varese	W 2-0	1790	1667	64.6%	25.7%	9.7%	+4.3	31
1969-03-02	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1667	1790	9.7%	25.7%	64.6%	-4.4	20
1969-03-02	Torino	D 0-0	1776	1789	50.0%	33.5%	16.5%	-1.5	24
1969-03-02	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1789	1776	16.5%	33.5%	50.0%	+1.5	28
1969-03-02	Roma	D 0-0	1660	1717	44.9%	34.7%	20.3%	-1.1	15
1969-03-02	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1717	1660	20.3%	34.7%	44.9%	+1.1	28
1969-03-02	Cagliari	D 1-1	1696	1857	31.8%	34.4%	33.7%	+0.1	19
1969-03-02	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1857	1696	33.7%	34.4%	31.8%	-0.1	41
1969-03-09	Atalanta	D 0-0	1871	1651	74.6%	18.4%	7.0%	-3.1	40
1969-03-09	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1651	1871	7.0%	18.4%	74.6%	+3.1	19
1969-03-09	Juventus	L 0-1	1857	1794	58.3%	29.7%	12.0%	-10.6	41
1969-03-09	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1794	1857	12.0%	29.7%	58.3%	+10.6	34
1969-03-09	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-0	1835	1696	66.4%	24.4%	9.1%	+5.8	42
1969-03-09	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1696	1835	9.1%	24.4%	66.4%	-5.8	19
1969-03-09	Bologna	D 1-1	1774	1743	54.9%	31.5%	13.6%	-1.7	25
1969-03-09	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1743	1774	13.6%	31.5%	54.9%	+1.7	24
1969-03-09	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1682	1712	48.1%	34.0%	17.8%	-1.2	20
1969-03-09	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1712	1682	17.8%	34.0%	48.1%	+1.2	29
1969-03-09	Inter Milan	L 0-3	1719	1833	37.8%	35.1%	27.0%	-20.8	28
1969-03-09	@ Roma	W 3-0	1833	1719	27.0%	35.1%	37.8%	+20.8	33
1969-03-09	Palermo	W 3-1	1790	1685	62.8%	26.9%	10.3%	+4.1	31
1969-03-09	@ Torino	L 1-3	1685	1790	10.3%	26.9%	62.8%	-4.1	25
1969-03-09	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1663	1659	51.9%	32.8%	15.3%	-1.7	21
1969-03-09	@ Varese	D 0-0	1659	1663	15.3%	32.8%	51.9%	+1.7	16
1969-03-16	Atalanta	W 1-0	1745	1654	61.3%	27.9%	10.8%	+2.7	27
1969-03-16	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1654	1745	10.8%	27.9%	61.3%	-2.7	19
1969-03-16	Roma	D 0-0	1846	1698	67.3%	23.8%	8.9%	-2.8	42
1969-03-16	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1698	1846	8.9%	23.8%	67.3%	+2.8	29
1969-03-16	Varese	D 1-1	1713	1661	57.1%	30.3%	12.5%	-1.9	30
1969-03-16	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1661	1713	12.5%	30.3%	57.1%	+1.9	22
1969-03-16	Pisa	W 4-0	1854	1681	69.9%	21.9%	8.2%	+6.4	36
1969-03-16	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1681	1854	8.2%	21.9%	69.9%	-6.4	20
1969-03-16	Torino	D 0-0	1805	1794	52.6%	32.5%	14.9%	-1.7	35
1969-03-16	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1794	1805	14.9%	32.5%	52.6%	+1.7	32
1969-03-16	Napoli	L 0-2	1681	1773	40.8%	35.1%	24.1%	-15.2	25
1969-03-16	@ Palermo	W 2-0	1773	1681	24.1%	35.1%	40.8%	+15.2	28
1969-03-16	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1661	1841	29.3%	33.9%	36.8%	+0.3	17
1969-03-16	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1841	1661	36.8%	33.9%	29.3%	-0.3	43
1969-03-16	AC Milan	D 1-1	1690	1868	29.7%	34.0%	36.3%	+0.2	20
1969-03-16	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1868	1690	36.3%	34.0%	29.7%	-0.2	41
1969-03-23	Bologna	W 4-0	1868	1747	64.4%	25.9%	9.8%	+8.4	44
1969-03-23	@ AC Milan	L 0-4	1747	1868	9.8%	25.9%	64.4%	-8.4	27
1969-03-23	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1651	1661	50.4%	33.3%	16.2%	-1.5	20
1969-03-23	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1661	1651	16.2%	33.3%	50.4%	+1.5	18
1969-03-23	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1841	1861	49.3%	33.7%	17.0%	+4.3	46
1969-03-23	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1861	1841	17.0%	33.7%	49.3%	-4.3	36
1969-03-23	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1788	1690	62.0%	27.4%	10.6%	+2.6	31
1969-03-23	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1690	1788	10.6%	27.4%	62.0%	-2.6	20
1969-03-23	Juventus	D 0-0	1674	1803	36.0%	35.0%	28.9%	-0.3	21
1969-03-23	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1803	1674	28.9%	35.0%	36.0%	+0.3	36
1969-03-23	Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1700	1711	50.3%	33.4%	16.3%	-9.0	29
1969-03-23	@ Roma	W 2-1	1711	1700	16.3%	33.4%	50.3%	+9.0	33
1969-03-23	Cagliari	D 0-0	1796	1843	46.1%	34.5%	19.4%	-1.2	33
1969-03-23	@ Torino	D 0-0	1843	1796	19.4%	34.5%	46.1%	+1.2	43
1969-03-23	Palermo	D 0-0	1663	1666	51.2%	33.1%	15.8%	-1.6	23
1969-03-23	@ Varese	D 0-0	1666	1663	15.8%	33.1%	51.2%	+1.6	26
1969-04-06	Palermo	D 2-2	1650	1667	49.5%	33.6%	16.8%	-1.0	21
1969-04-06	@ Atalanta	D 2-2	1667	1650	16.8%	33.6%	49.5%	+1.0	27
1969-04-06	Roma	D 0-0	1739	1692	56.7%	30.6%	12.7%	-2.1	28
1969-04-06	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1692	1739	12.7%	30.6%	56.7%	+2.1	30
1969-04-06	AC Milan	W 3-1	1844	1876	47.9%	34.1%	18.0%	+7.4	46
1969-04-06	@ Cagliari	L 1-3	1876	1844	18.0%	34.1%	47.9%	-7.4	44
1969-04-06	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1720	1845	36.5%	35.1%	28.5%	-0.2	34
1969-04-06	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1845	1720	28.5%	35.1%	36.5%	+0.2	47
1969-04-06	Torino	D 2-2	1856	1795	58.2%	29.8%	12.1%	-1.4	37
1969-04-06	@ Inter Milan	D 2-2	1795	1856	12.1%	29.8%	58.2%	+1.4	34
1969-04-06	Napoli	W 2-0	1803	1790	52.9%	32.4%	14.7%	+7.1	39
1969-04-06	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1790	1803	14.7%	32.4%	52.9%	-7.1	31
1969-04-06	Pisa	L 1-2	1662	1674	50.2%	33.4%	16.4%	-8.9	18
1969-04-06	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1674	1662	16.4%	33.4%	50.2%	+8.9	24
1969-04-06	Varese	W 1-0	1688	1661	54.4%	31.7%	13.9%	+3.6	23
1969-04-06	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1661	1688	13.9%	31.7%	54.4%	-3.6	23
1969-04-13	Juventus	W 1-0	1869	1810	57.8%	30.0%	12.2%	+3.1	47
1969-04-13	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1810	1869	12.2%	30.0%	57.8%	-3.1	39
1969-04-13	Cagliari	D 2-2	1737	1852	37.9%	35.1%	27.0%	-0.3	29
1969-04-13	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1852	1737	27.0%	35.1%	37.9%	+0.3	47
1969-04-13	Sampdoria	L 0-3	1720	1653	58.7%	29.5%	11.8%	-29.2	34
1969-04-13	@ Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1653	1720	11.8%	29.5%	58.7%	+29.2	21
1969-04-13	Fiorentina	L 1-3	1783	1845	44.4%	34.8%	20.8%	-14.0	31
1969-04-13	@ Napoli	W 3-1	1845	1783	20.8%	34.8%	44.4%	+14.0	50
1969-04-13	Pisa	W 1-0	1668	1683	49.9%	33.5%	16.6%	+4.2	30
1969-04-13	@ Palermo	L 0-1	1683	1668	16.6%	33.5%	49.9%	-4.2	24
1969-04-13	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 5-2	1694	1691	51.8%	32.9%	15.4%	+7.9	33
1969-04-13	@ Roma	L 2-5	1691	1694	15.4%	32.9%	51.8%	-7.9	23
1969-04-13	Atalanta	W 3-1	1796	1649	67.3%	23.8%	8.9%	+3.3	37
1969-04-13	@ Torino	L 1-3	1649	1796	8.9%	23.8%	67.3%	-3.3	21
1969-04-13	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1658	1855	27.4%	33.3%	39.3%	-6.0	23
1969-04-13	@ Varese	W 1-0	1855	1658	39.3%	33.3%	27.4%	+6.0	40
1969-04-20	Roma	W 1-0	1872	1701	69.6%	22.2%	8.2%	+1.8	50
1969-04-20	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1701	1872	8.2%	22.2%	69.6%	-1.8	33
1969-04-20	Inter Milan	L 0-4	1645	1861	25.5%	32.5%	42.0%	-20.2	21
1969-04-20	@ Atalanta	W 4-0	1861	1645	42.0%	32.5%	25.5%	+20.2	43
1969-04-20	Torino	D 0-0	1859	1800	58.0%	29.9%	12.1%	-2.2	51
1969-04-20	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1800	1859	12.1%	29.9%	58.0%	+2.2	38
1969-04-20	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1807	1690	64.0%	26.1%	9.9%	+2.4	42
1969-04-20	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1690	1807	9.9%	26.1%	64.0%	-2.4	34
1969-04-20	Cagliari	D 0-0	1679	1852	30.2%	34.1%	35.7%	+0.2	25
1969-04-20	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1852	1679	35.7%	34.1%	30.2%	-0.2	48
1969-04-20	Bologna	D 0-0	1683	1737	45.3%	34.7%	20.0%	-1.1	22
1969-04-20	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1737	1683	20.0%	34.7%	45.3%	+1.1	30
1969-04-20	Napoli	L 1-2	1652	1769	37.5%	35.1%	27.4%	-7.1	23
1969-04-20	@ Varese	W 2-1	1769	1652	27.4%	35.1%	37.5%	+7.1	34
1969-04-20	Palermo	W 1-0	1683	1672	52.7%	32.5%	14.8%	+3.8	26
1969-04-20	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1672	1683	14.8%	32.5%	52.7%	-3.8	30
1969-04-27	Napoli	D 0-0	1625	1776	33.1%	34.7%	32.2%	-0.0	22
1969-04-27	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1776	1625	32.2%	34.7%	33.1%	+0.0	35
1969-04-27	Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1852	1688	68.9%	22.7%	8.4%	+3.6	51
1969-04-27	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1688	1852	8.4%	22.7%	68.9%	-3.6	34
1969-04-27	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1881	1681	72.6%	20.0%	7.5%	-2.7	44
1969-04-27	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1681	1881	7.5%	20.0%	72.6%	+2.7	23
1969-04-27	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1669	1857	28.4%	33.6%	38.0%	+0.4	31
1969-04-27	@ Palermo	D 0-0	1857	1669	38.0%	33.6%	28.4%	-0.4	52
1969-04-27	Bologna	L 0-1	1679	1738	44.7%	34.8%	20.5%	-8.6	25
1969-04-27	@ Pisa	W 1-0	1738	1679	20.5%	34.8%	44.7%	+8.7	33
1969-04-27	Varese	D 0-0	1700	1645	57.5%	30.1%	12.4%	-2.1	34
1969-04-27	@ Roma	D 0-0	1645	1700	12.4%	30.1%	57.5%	+2.1	24
1969-04-27	AC Milan	W 1-0	1802	1873	43.2%	35.0%	21.8%	+5.2	41
1969-04-27	@ Torino	L 0-1	1873	1802	21.8%	35.0%	43.2%	-5.2	50
1969-04-27	Juventus	D 0-0	1687	1810	36.9%	35.1%	28.0%	-0.4	27
1969-04-27	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1810	1687	28.0%	35.1%	36.9%	+0.4	43
1969-05-04	Varese	W 2-0	1868	1647	74.8%	18.3%	6.9%	+2.7	53
1969-05-04	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1647	1868	6.9%	18.3%	74.8%	-2.7	24
1969-05-04	Torino	W 2-0	1746	1807	44.5%	34.8%	20.7%	+9.5	36
1969-05-04	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1807	1746	20.7%	34.8%	44.5%	-9.5	41
1969-05-04	Pisa	W 3-1	1857	1670	71.3%	20.9%	7.8%	+2.8	55
1969-05-04	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1670	1857	7.8%	20.9%	71.3%	-2.8	25
1969-05-04	Atalanta	D 1-1	1684	1625	58.0%	29.9%	12.2%	-1.9	35
1969-05-04	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1625	1684	12.2%	29.9%	58.0%	+1.9	23
1969-05-04	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1810	1878	43.6%	34.9%	21.5%	+5.2	46
1969-05-04	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1878	1810	21.5%	34.9%	43.6%	-5.2	44
1969-05-04	Cagliari	W 2-1	1776	1855	42.3%	35.1%	22.6%	+5.1	38
1969-05-04	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1855	1776	22.6%	35.1%	42.3%	-5.1	51
1969-05-04	Roma	L 0-3	1669	1698	48.3%	34.0%	17.7%	-25.2	31
1969-05-04	@ Palermo	W 3-0	1698	1669	17.7%	34.0%	48.3%	+25.2	37
1969-05-04	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1684	1687	51.2%	33.1%	15.7%	+4.0	26
1969-05-04	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1687	1684	15.7%	33.1%	51.2%	-4.0	27
1969-05-11	Napoli	D 0-0	1871	1781	61.2%	28.0%	10.9%	-2.4	54
1969-05-11	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1781	1871	10.9%	28.0%	61.2%	+2.4	39
1969-05-11	Palermo	W 2-0	1756	1644	63.5%	26.4%	10.0%	+4.6	39
1969-05-11	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1644	1756	10.0%	26.4%	63.5%	-4.6	31
1969-05-11	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1850	1688	68.8%	22.8%	8.5%	-2.8	52
1969-05-11	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1688	1850	8.5%	22.8%	68.8%	+2.8	27
1969-05-11	Inter Milan	L 2-3	1683	1873	28.2%	33.5%	38.3%	-5.5	35
1969-05-11	@ Hellas Verona	W 3-2	1873	1683	38.3%	33.5%	28.2%	+5.5	47
1969-05-11	Fiorentina	L 0-2	1815	1860	46.4%	34.4%	19.1%	-16.8	46
1969-05-11	@ Juventus	W 2-0	1860	1815	19.1%	34.4%	46.4%	+16.8	58
1969-05-11	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 2-2	1667	1683	49.8%	33.6%	16.7%	-1.0	26
1969-05-11	@ Pisa	D 2-2	1683	1667	16.7%	33.6%	49.8%	+1.0	28
1969-05-11	Atalanta	W 4-1	1723	1627	61.8%	27.6%	10.6%	+6.0	40
1969-05-11	@ Roma	L 1-4	1627	1723	10.6%	27.6%	61.8%	-6.0	23
1969-05-11	Torino	W 1-0	1644	1798	32.8%	34.6%	32.6%	+6.8	27
1969-05-11	@ Varese	L 0-1	1798	1644	32.6%	34.6%	32.8%	-6.8	41
1969-05-18	Cagliari	L 1-2	1621	1847	24.4%	32.0%	43.6%	-5.1	23
1969-05-18	@ Atalanta	W 2-1	1847	1621	43.6%	32.0%	24.4%	+5.1	55
1969-05-18	Varese	W 3-1	1876	1651	75.1%	18.0%	6.8%	+2.2	61
1969-05-18	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1651	1876	6.8%	18.0%	75.1%	-2.2	27
1969-05-18	Bologna	W 4-0	1879	1760	64.2%	26.0%	9.8%	+8.4	50
1969-05-18	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1760	1879	9.8%	26.0%	64.2%	-8.4	39
1969-05-18	Pisa	W 2-1	1784	1666	64.1%	26.1%	9.9%	+2.2	42
1969-05-18	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1666	1784	9.9%	26.1%	64.1%	-2.2	26
1969-05-18	AC Milan	D 0-0	1639	1868	24.2%	31.9%	44.0%	+0.8	32
1969-05-18	@ Palermo	D 0-0	1868	1639	44.0%	31.9%	24.2%	-0.8	55
1969-05-18	Juventus	D 1-1	1691	1798	38.8%	35.2%	26.0%	-0.5	28
1969-05-18	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1798	1691	26.0%	35.2%	38.8%	+0.5	47
1969-05-18	Roma	W 2-0	1791	1729	58.2%	29.7%	12.0%	+5.8	44
1969-05-18	@ Torino	L 0-2	1729	1791	12.0%	29.7%	58.2%	-5.8	40
1969-05-18	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1684	1677	52.2%	32.7%	15.1%	+3.7	31
1969-05-18	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1677	1684	15.1%	32.7%	52.2%	-3.6	35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1968-10-13	10.61%	Sampdoria	1697	3	@ Napoli	1793	0
2	1969-04-13	11.85%	Sampdoria	1653	3	@ Hellas Verona	1720	0
3	1969-01-12	11.99%	Juventus	1783	2	@ Inter Milan	1846	1
4	1969-03-09	12.02%	Juventus	1794	1	@ Cagliari	1857	0
5	1968-10-27	12.03%	Palermo	1665	1	@ Sampdoria	1727	0
6	1968-11-03	13.04%	Bologna	1773	3	@ Fiorentina	1814	1
7	1968-11-24	13.71%	Fiorentina	1801	2	@ Inter Milan	1830	1
8	1969-01-19	14.48%	Pisa	1688	2	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	1704	1
9	1968-12-08	14.67%	Roma	1696	2	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	1709	1
10	1969-02-16	14.82%	Atalanta	1658	2	@ Varese	1669	1
11	1968-10-06	15.25%	Roma	1706	2	@ Pisa	1710	1
12	1969-03-23	16.29%	Hellas Verona	1711	2	@ Roma	1700	1
13	1969-04-06	16.37%	Pisa	1674	2	@ Sampdoria	1662	1
14	1968-11-10	16.41%	Cagliari	1806	2	@ Juventus	1794	1
15	1969-02-23	16.48%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1680	3	@ Atalanta	1667	1
16	1969-01-19	16.86%	Roma	1704	2	@ Atalanta	1686	0
17	1968-11-17	17.41%	Juventus	1785	2	@ Torino	1760	1
18	1969-05-04	17.71%	Roma	1698	3	@ Palermo	1669	0
19	1969-01-26	18.21%	Torino	1756	3	@ Roma	1722	1
20	1969-05-11	19.12%	Fiorentina	1860	2	@ Juventus	1815	0
21	1968-12-08	19.90%	AC Milan	1847	1	@ Juventus	1794	0
22	1969-04-27	20.50%	Bologna	1738	1	@ Pisa	1679	0
23	1969-04-13	20.83%	Fiorentina	1845	3	@ Napoli	1783	1
24	1968-10-06	21.06%	Cagliari	1782	6	@ Varese	1718	1
25	1969-02-16	22.73%	Napoli	1759	2	@ Sampdoria	1679	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1968-10-06	31.23	Cagliari	6	1782	21.06%	@ Varese	1	1718	44.07%
2	1968-10-13	30.25	Sampdoria	3	1697	10.61%	@ Napoli	0	1793	61.88%
3	1969-04-13	29.19	Sampdoria	3	1653	11.85%	@ Hellas Verona	0	1720	58.68%
4	1969-05-04	25.19	Roma	3	1698	17.71%	@ Palermo	0	1669	48.30%
5	1968-12-22	21.42	Inter Milan	3	1824	25.52%	@ Sampdoria	0	1721	39.30%
6	1969-03-09	20.81	Inter Milan	3	1833	27.02%	@ Roma	0	1719	37.83%
7	1969-04-20	20.15	Inter Milan	4	1861	42.00%	@ Atalanta	0	1645	25.49%
8	1968-11-17	18.28	Cagliari	4	1815	24.91%	@ Roma	1	1716	39.92%
9	1969-01-19	17.68	Roma	2	1704	16.86%	@ Atalanta	0	1686	49.50%
10	1968-11-03	16.85	Bologna	3	1773	13.04%	@ Fiorentina	1	1814	56.06%
11	1969-05-11	16.80	Fiorentina	2	1860	19.12%	@ Juventus	0	1815	46.43%
12	1969-02-16	15.59	Napoli	2	1759	22.73%	@ Sampdoria	0	1679	42.21%
13	1968-10-27	15.55	@ Hellas Verona	3	1688	40.36%	Torino	0	1783	24.48%
14	1969-02-23	15.44	Lanerossi Vicenza	3	1680	16.48%	@ Atalanta	1	1667	50.05%
15	1968-11-03	15.27	Juventus	2	1778	23.74%	@ Varese	0	1690	41.13%
16	1969-03-16	15.17	Napoli	2	1773	24.08%	@ Palermo	0	1681	40.76%
17	1969-02-16	14.94	@ Hellas Verona	5	1700	44.70%	Bologna	1	1760	20.53%
18	1969-01-26	14.85	Torino	3	1756	18.21%	@ Roma	1	1722	47.61%
19	1969-04-13	14.03	Fiorentina	3	1845	20.83%	@ Napoli	1	1783	44.35%
20	1968-10-27	14.02	@ Inter Milan	4	1816	51.94%	Cagliari	0	1812	15.28%
21	1969-01-12	12.81	@ Torino	3	1741	46.88%	Bologna	0	1782	18.76%
22	1968-12-01	12.29	@ Palermo	5	1675	50.56%	Atalanta	1	1684	16.15%
23	1968-11-10	12.12	@ Sampdoria	4	1713	55.70%	Varese	0	1674	13.21%
24	1968-10-06	11.84	AC Milan	3	1830	29.47%	@ Hellas Verona	1	1697	35.54%
25	1969-01-12	11.20	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	3	1693	50.77%	Sampdoria	0	1700	16.01%