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1968-69 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Fiorentina

45 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1955-56

Relegated

Atalanta

19 pts

Pisa · 20 pts

Varese · 22 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Fiorentina

9.85 points above expected

45 points · 35.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pisa

6.44 points below expected

20 points · 26.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fiorentina Champion 30 16 13 1 45 38 18 +20 35.15 +9.85
2 Cagliari 30 14 13 3 41 41 18 +23 35.92 +5.08
3 AC Milan 30 14 13 3 41 31 12 +19 37.24 +3.76
4 Inter Milan 30 14 8 8 36 55 26 +29 35.73 +0.27
5 Juventus 30 12 11 7 35 32 24 +8 32.57 +2.43
6 Torino 30 11 11 8 33 33 24 +9 31.53 +1.47
7 Napoli 30 10 12 8 32 26 25 +1 31.13 +0.87
8 Roma 30 10 10 10 30 35 35 0 27.73 +2.27
9 Bologna 30 10 9 11 29 27 36 -9 30.71 -1.71
10 Hellas Verona 30 9 8 13 26 40 49 -9 26.82 -0.82
11 Palermo 30 7 11 12 25 21 32 -11 25.76 -0.76
12 Sampdoria 30 5 13 12 23 21 27 -6 26.42 -3.42
13 Lanerossi Vicenza 30 8 7 15 23 26 39 -13 27.08 -4.08
14 Varese Relegated 30 5 12 13 22 20 43 -23 25.13 -3.13
15 Pisa Relegated 30 6 8 16 20 26 44 -18 26.44 -6.44
16 Atalanta Relegated 30 4 11 15 19 25 45 -20 24.64 -5.64

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Inter Milan 1900 36 35.73 +0.27 57.7% 19 29 33 36 38 42 52
Fiorentina 1897 45 35.15 +9.85 99.7% 20 29 33 35 38 42 51
AC Milan 1880 41 37.24 +3.76 86.3% 24 31 35 37 40 44 54
Cagliari 1865 41 35.92 +5.08 92.6% 21 30 33 36 39 42 53
Juventus 1804 35 32.57 +2.43 77.3% 18 26 30 33 35 39 49
Torino 1801 33 31.53 +1.47 69.2% 16 25 29 32 34 38 45
Napoli 1790 32 31.13 +0.87 63.6% 16 25 28 31 34 38 46
Bologna 1749 29 30.71 -1.71 38.0% 16 24 28 31 33 37 46
Roma 1723 30 27.73 +2.27 76.0% 15 21 25 28 30 34 42
Sampdoria 1688 23 26.42 -3.42 22.8% 12 20 24 26 29 33 40
Lanerossi Vicenza 1682 23 27.08 -4.08 18.5% 13 21 24 27 30 34 42
Hellas Verona 1660 26 26.82 -0.82 47.0% 12 20 24 27 29 33 40
Pisa 1656 20 26.44 -6.44 6.0% 12 20 24 26 29 33 40
Varese 1639 22 25.13 -3.13 25.1% 12 19 22 25 28 31 38
Palermo 1630 25 25.76 -0.76 47.7% 12 19 23 26 28 32 40
Atalanta 1599 19 24.64 -5.64 9.5% 12 18 22 25 27 31 40

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ATA BOL CAG FIO HV IM JUV LV NAP PAL PIS ROM SAM TOR VAR
AC Milan —
0-2-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.55
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.68
0-2-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.65
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.89
Atalanta
0-2-0
1.55
 —
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
1.74
1-1-0
2.41
0-1-1
1.51
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.37
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.08
1-1-0
2.60
Bologna
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
3.27
 —
0-1-1
2.04
1-1-0
2.18
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
2.99
0-1-1
3.11
0-2-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.55
1-1-0
3.04
Cagliari
1-1-0
2.51
2-0-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.24
 —
0-2-0
2.70
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.48
0-1-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.26
Fiorentina
0-2-0
2.44
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
3.10
0-2-0
2.57
 —
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
2.51
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.53
0-2-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.78
Hellas Verona
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.23
0-1-1
1.76
0-1-1
1.95
 —
0-0-2
1.60
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.24
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.91
Inter Milan
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
3.83
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.77
2-0-0
3.73
 —
0-0-2
3.02
2-0-0
3.29
0-1-1
3.06
0-2-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.52
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.40
0-1-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.75
Juventus
0-0-2
2.32
1-1-0
3.22
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
2.27
 —
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.83
0-2-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.35
0-2-0
3.00
0-2-0
3.26
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
3.22
Lanerossi Vicenza
0-1-1
1.65
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
1.81
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
2.00
 —
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.86
Napoli
0-2-0
2.07
1-1-0
3.39
0-1-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.14
0-0-2
2.29
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
3.04
 —
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.10
0-2-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.12
0-2-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.28
Palermo
0-1-1
1.43
1-1-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.12
0-1-1
1.76
0-1-1
1.64
0-1-1
2.57
0-2-0
1.80
0-2-0
2.07
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.18
 —
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.52
2-0-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.14
0-2-0
2.70
Pisa
0-0-2
1.68
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
1.67
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.82
0-1-1
1.95
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.68
 —
0-0-2
2.65
2-0-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.76
Roma
0-1-1
1.72
2-0-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-2
2.02
0-2-0
2.29
2-0-0
2.60
0-2-0
2.35
2-0-0
2.75
2-0-0
2.63
 —
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.41
0-1-1
2.91
Sampdoria
0-1-1
1.68
0-2-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.36
0-1-1
1.70
0-1-1
1.76
2-0-0
2.52
0-1-1
1.95
0-2-0
2.04
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-2
2.70
0-1-1
2.45
 —
0-1-1
2.16
1-1-0
2.74
Torino
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.28
0-2-0
2.23
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.24
0-1-1
2.52
0-2-0
3.15
0-2-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.13
 —
1-0-1
3.44
Varese
0-1-1
1.49
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
1.60
1-1-0
2.37
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.02
0-2-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
1.86
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.38 +5.4
Allowed 0.74 -6.3
Differential 0.86 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%11.25%4.17%2.92%1.46%0.21%38.75%
111.25%13.33%6.46%3.12%1.04%0.62%35.83%
24.17%6.46%2.92%0.42%—0.42%14.38%
32.92%3.12%0.42%0.42%—0.21%7.08%
41.46%1.04%————2.50%
5+0.21%0.62%0.42%0.21%——1.46%
Total38.75%35.83%14.38%7.08%2.50%1.46%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.04 +0.00
SD 1.15 1.15 1.62
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%6.67%————36.67%
126.67%13.33%—3.33%——43.33%
23.33%3.33%————6.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total66.67%30.00%—3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.40 +0.63
SD 1.16 0.67 1.25
CV 1.12 1.69 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%20.00%6.67%—3.33%—50.00%
13.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%33.33%
2—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
3—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total23.33%36.67%20.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.50 -0.67
SD 1.18 1.33 1.52
CV 1.41 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%6.67%—36.67%
116.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%—3.33%43.33%
26.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%30.00%13.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.20 -0.30
SD 0.88 1.40 1.80
CV 0.98 1.17 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%3.33%——3.33%—36.67%
113.33%10.00%3.33%———26.67%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
310.00%6.67%————16.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total56.67%33.33%6.67%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 0.60 +0.77
SD 1.50 0.89 1.65
CV 1.10 1.49 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%—————26.67%
120.00%10.00%—3.33%——33.33%
23.33%16.67%6.67%———26.67%
33.33%10.00%————13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total53.33%36.67%6.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.60 +0.67
SD 1.01 0.77 0.96
CV 0.80 1.28 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%—30.00%
13.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
26.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%—3.33%30.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
Total20.00%40.00%10.00%20.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.63 -0.30
SD 1.32 1.38 1.90
CV 0.99 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%————16.67%
110.00%20.00%10.00%3.33%——43.33%
2—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
413.33%3.33%————16.67%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total36.67%43.33%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 0.87 +0.97
SD 1.58 0.82 2.03
CV 0.86 0.95 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%3.33%———23.33%
120.00%16.67%13.33%———50.00%
213.33%6.67%3.33%———23.33%
3———3.33%——3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%30.00%20.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 0.80 +0.27
SD 0.78 0.89 1.05
CV 0.74 1.11 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%20.00%—10.00%——40.00%
113.33%10.00%13.33%—3.33%—40.00%
23.33%3.33%3.33%——3.33%13.33%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%36.67%16.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.30 -0.43
SD 0.90 1.29 1.57
CV 1.04 0.99 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%——43.33%
16.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
210.00%13.33%————23.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%36.67%13.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.83 +0.03
SD 0.90 0.91 1.27
CV 1.04 1.10 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%10.00%6.67%——53.33%
113.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total40.00%30.00%16.67%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.07 -0.37
SD 1.06 1.14 1.54
CV 1.51 1.07 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%—40.00%
110.00%16.67%10.00%6.67%——43.33%
2—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
3—————3.33%3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%46.67%20.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.47 -0.60
SD 0.97 1.20 1.40
CV 1.12 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%——36.67%
13.33%6.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%—30.00%
26.67%13.33%3.33%———23.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total36.67%26.67%23.33%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.15 1.64
CV 1.08 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%23.33%6.67%6.67%——60.00%
13.33%20.00%3.33%———26.67%
2———————
36.67%—3.33%———10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total36.67%43.33%13.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 0.90 -0.20
SD 1.12 0.88 1.54
CV 1.60 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%——43.33%
16.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
26.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
33.33%10.00%————13.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total43.33%40.00%10.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 0.80 +0.30
SD 1.21 0.89 1.53
CV 1.10 1.11 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%10.00%—3.33%3.33%46.67%
110.00%16.67%10.00%3.33%—3.33%43.33%
2—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%33.33%23.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.43 -0.77
SD 0.76 1.59 1.76
CV 1.14 1.11 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fiorentina 45 35.15 +9.85
2 Cagliari 41 35.92 +5.08
3 AC Milan 41 37.24 +3.76
4 Juventus 35 32.57 +2.43
5 Roma 30 27.73 +2.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pisa 20 26.44 -6.44
2 Atalanta 19 24.64 -5.64
3 Lanerossi Vicenza 23 27.08 -4.08
4 Sampdoria 23 26.42 -3.42
5 Varese 22 25.13 -3.13

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cagliari 4 Nov 3 – Nov 24 1 in 77
2 Fiorentina 4 Nov 17 – Dec 8 1 in 45
3 Torino 3 Jan 12 – Jan 26 1 in 24
4 Roma 2 Dec 1 – Dec 8 1 in 21
5 Bologna 3 Apr 27 – May 11 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lanerossi Vicenza 4 Dec 1 – Dec 22 1 in 65
2 Atalanta 4 Jan 19 – Feb 9 1 in 45
3 Juventus 3 Dec 1 – Dec 15 1 in 29
4 Torino 3 Nov 10 – Nov 24 1 in 26
5 Hellas Verona 3 Apr 13 – Apr 27 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fiorentina 25 Nov 10 – May 18 1 in 1,620
2 Torino 15 Jan 12 – Apr 27 1 in 308
3 Cagliari 16 Nov 3 – Mar 2 1 in 91
4 AC Milan 15 Dec 1 – Mar 23 1 in 42
5 Sampdoria 6 Apr 13 – May 18 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sampdoria 14 Dec 15 – Apr 6 1 in 55
2 Atalanta 12 Feb 23 – May 18 1 in 44
3 Torino 7 Oct 6 – Nov 24 1 in 21
4 Napoli 6 Sep 29 – Nov 10 1 in 20
5 AC Milan 4 Feb 23 – Mar 16 1 in 14

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Fiorentina14.67%17.02%17.07%14.47%11.88%8.47%5.50%4.14%2.51%1.66%1.13%0.65%0.40%0.28%0.10%0.05%
Cagliari20.84%19.39%16.65%13.77%10.07%6.71%4.85%3.09%1.80%1.21%0.82%0.36%0.19%0.16%0.09%—
AC Milan32.03%21.66%15.58%10.92%7.44%4.63%3.35%1.80%1.17%0.64%0.48%0.11%0.10%0.07%0.01%0.01%
Inter Milan21.23%19.28%15.87%12.93%9.74%7.37%4.91%3.48%1.99%1.25%0.69%0.51%0.37%0.21%0.10%0.07%
Juventus4.11%7.38%10.43%12.17%12.90%12.30%11.09%8.28%6.54%4.21%3.45%3.00%1.85%1.41%0.65%0.23%
Torino2.56%5.35%7.61%9.72%11.66%12.12%11.40%9.50%7.78%6.69%5.07%3.74%2.92%2.03%1.26%0.59%
Napoli2.21%4.26%5.93%8.32%10.31%12.07%10.91%10.81%9.11%7.42%5.82%4.77%3.52%2.18%1.60%0.76%
Roma0.28%0.70%1.40%2.75%3.99%5.69%7.30%9.49%10.22%10.20%10.06%9.87%8.75%7.56%6.61%5.13%
Bologna1.61%3.30%5.18%6.95%9.08%10.14%12.04%10.37%9.52%8.45%7.02%5.52%4.17%3.02%2.20%1.43%
Hellas Verona0.08%0.26%0.92%1.54%2.70%4.00%5.34%7.33%8.37%9.60%10.00%10.00%11.24%10.47%10.11%8.04%
Palermo0.06%0.26%0.40%0.94%1.52%2.72%3.48%5.52%6.77%7.64%9.00%11.09%11.82%12.32%13.07%13.39%
Sampdoria0.07%0.28%0.67%1.36%2.27%3.18%4.93%6.55%8.35%9.28%10.36%10.98%11.07%10.91%10.53%9.21%
Lanerossi Vicenza0.13%0.40%0.98%1.97%2.54%4.43%5.34%6.90%8.71%10.22%10.81%9.55%10.56%9.77%9.48%8.21%
Varese0.02%0.11%0.28%0.54%0.92%1.88%2.66%3.57%5.28%6.57%8.27%10.26%10.94%13.75%15.68%19.27%
Pisa0.07%0.27%0.77%1.10%2.18%2.97%4.58%5.71%7.15%8.98%9.57%10.65%11.23%12.30%11.58%10.89%
Atalanta0.03%0.08%0.26%0.55%0.80%1.32%2.32%3.46%4.73%5.98%7.45%8.94%10.87%13.56%16.93%22.72%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.75%
Strong Edge
46.67%35.42%17.92%
Elo Value
Home Edge
194 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0102.78500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.52 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.53+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.6
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
15%
Fiorentina, 4th of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.12 * Some Luck: 3.12 to 4.69 * Lucky: 4.69 to 6.25 * Wild Swing: 6.25 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.11 * Close: 2.11 to 3.17 * Off: 3.17 to 4.23 * Way Off: 4.23 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.59 * A Surprise: 1.59 to 2.55 * Several Surprises: 2.55 to 3.5 * Many Surprises: 3.5 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.08 points
Some Luck
03.9110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.25
Pinpoint
02.646
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.69%
Fiorentina
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
5.96%
Pisa
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.63

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.47
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
72%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Occasional
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.11
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.74
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.69
Very Underconfident
0.1092381.001.89076
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.0960.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AC Milan 99.91% 0.09%
Cagliari 99.75% 0.25%
Inter Milan 99.62% 0.38%
Fiorentina 99.57% 0.43%
Juventus 97.71% 2.29%
Torino 96.12% 3.88%
Napoli 95.46% 4.54%
Bologna 93.35% 6.65%
Roma 80.70% 19.30%
Lanerossi Vicenza 72.54% 27.46%
Hellas Verona 71.38% 28.62%
Sampdoria 69.35% 30.65%
Pisa 65.23% 34.77%
Palermo 61.22% 38.78%
Varese 51.30% 48.70%
Atalanta 46.79% 53.21%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1968-09-29 Sampdoria W 1-0 1839 1699 61.5% 31.2% 7.3% +2.6 2
1968-09-29 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1699 1839 7.3% 31.2% 61.5% -2.6 0
1968-09-29 Juventus D 3-3 1681 1776 39.1% 37.6% 23.3% -0.5 1
1968-09-29 @ Atalanta D 3-3 1776 1681 23.3% 37.6% 39.1% +0.5 1
1968-09-29 Varese W 1-0 1783 1723 55.0% 34.5% 10.5% +3.8 2
1968-09-29 @ Bologna L 0-1 1723 1783 10.5% 34.5% 55.0% -3.8 0
1968-09-29 Palermo W 3-0 1777 1665 59.2% 32.5% 8.3% +8.3 2
1968-09-29 @ Cagliari L 0-3 1665 1777 8.3% 32.5% 59.2% -8.3 0
1968-09-29 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1799 1680 59.8% 32.1% 8.0% -2.9 1
1968-09-29 @ Napoli D 1-1 1680 1799 8.0% 32.1% 59.8% +2.9 1
1968-09-29 Fiorentina L 1-2 1709 1809 38.5% 37.6% 23.9% -9.2 0
1968-09-29 @ Roma W 2-1 1809 1709 23.9% 37.6% 38.5% +9.2 2
1968-09-29 Pisa W 1-0 1784 1713 55.9% 34.1% 10.0% +3.6 2
1968-09-29 @ Torino L 0-1 1713 1784 10.0% 34.1% 55.9% -3.6 0
1968-09-29 Inter Milan L 0-1 1714 1810 38.9% 37.6% 23.5% -9.9 0
1968-09-29 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1810 1714 23.5% 37.6% 38.9% +9.9 2
1968-10-06 Atalanta W 2-1 1818 1681 61.3% 31.3% 7.4% +2.5 4
1968-10-06 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1681 1818 7.4% 31.3% 61.3% -2.5 1
1968-10-06 AC Milan L 1-3 1683 1841 30.8% 37.2% 32.0% -13.7 1
1968-10-06 @ Hellas Verona W 3-1 1841 1683 32.0% 37.2% 30.8% +13.7 4
1968-10-06 Napoli D 1-1 1820 1797 51.8% 35.7% 12.6% -2.1 3
1968-10-06 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1797 1820 12.6% 35.7% 51.8% +2.1 2
1968-10-06 Palermo D 0-0 1777 1657 59.9% 32.1% 8.0% -3.2 2
1968-10-06 @ Juventus D 0-0 1657 1777 8.0% 32.1% 59.9% +3.2 1
1968-10-06 Roma L 1-2 1710 1700 50.5% 36.1% 13.5% -11.5 0
1968-10-06 @ Pisa W 2-1 1700 1710 13.5% 36.1% 50.5% +11.5 2
1968-10-06 Torino D 1-1 1696 1788 39.5% 37.5% 22.9% -0.8 1
1968-10-06 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1788 1696 22.9% 37.5% 39.5% +0.8 3
1968-10-06 Cagliari L 1-6 1719 1785 42.5% 37.4% 20.1% -38.6 0
1968-10-06 @ Varese W 6-1 1785 1719 20.1% 37.4% 42.5% +38.6 4
1968-10-06 Bologna W 1-0 1704 1786 40.6% 37.5% 21.9% +6.8 2
1968-10-06 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1786 1704 21.9% 37.5% 40.6% -6.8 2
1968-10-13 Pisa W 2-1 1855 1698 62.7% 30.4% 6.9% +2.3 6
1968-10-13 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1698 1855 6.9% 30.4% 62.7% -2.3 0
1968-10-13 Varese D 0-0 1678 1680 49.3% 36.4% 14.3% -2.0 2
1968-10-13 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1680 1678 14.3% 36.4% 49.3% +2.0 1
1968-10-13 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1780 1669 59.1% 32.5% 8.3% -2.8 3
1968-10-13 @ Bologna D 1-1 1669 1780 8.3% 32.5% 59.1% +2.8 2
1968-10-13 Fiorentina D 1-1 1824 1821 49.8% 36.2% 14.0% -1.9 5
1968-10-13 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1821 1824 14.0% 36.2% 49.8% +1.8 5
1968-10-13 Sampdoria L 0-3 1799 1695 58.6% 32.8% 8.6% -37.8 2
1968-10-13 @ Napoli W 3-0 1695 1799 8.6% 32.8% 58.6% +37.8 3
1968-10-13 Inter Milan D 1-1 1660 1818 30.9% 37.2% 31.9% +0.0 2
1968-10-13 @ Palermo D 1-1 1818 1660 31.9% 37.2% 30.9% -0.0 4
1968-10-13 Juventus D 1-1 1712 1774 43.0% 37.4% 19.6% -1.1 3
1968-10-13 @ Roma D 1-1 1774 1712 19.6% 37.4% 43.0% +1.1 3
1968-10-13 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1788 1711 56.5% 33.9% 9.7% -2.8 4
1968-10-13 @ Torino D 0-0 1711 1788 9.7% 33.9% 56.5% +2.8 3
1968-10-27 AC Milan D 0-0 1823 1857 46.1% 37.0% 17.0% -1.6 6
1968-10-27 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1857 1823 17.0% 37.0% 46.1% +1.6 7
1968-10-27 Torino W 3-0 1672 1785 36.8% 37.5% 25.6% +20.5 4
1968-10-27 @ Hellas Verona L 0-3 1785 1672 25.6% 37.5% 36.8% -20.5 4
1968-10-27 Cagliari W 4-0 1818 1822 49.1% 36.4% 14.4% +17.9 6
1968-10-27 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1822 1818 14.4% 36.4% 49.1% -18.0 5
1968-10-27 Bologna W 1-0 1775 1777 49.3% 36.4% 14.3% +5.0 5
1968-10-27 @ Juventus L 0-1 1777 1775 14.3% 36.4% 49.3% -5.0 3
1968-10-27 Roma D 0-0 1761 1710 54.2% 34.8% 11.0% -2.6 3
1968-10-27 @ Napoli D 0-0 1710 1761 11.0% 34.8% 54.2% +2.6 4
1968-10-27 Varese D 1-1 1696 1682 50.8% 36.0% 13.2% -2.0 1
1968-10-27 @ Pisa D 1-1 1682 1696 13.2% 36.0% 50.8% +2.0 2
1968-10-27 Palermo L 0-1 1733 1660 56.0% 34.1% 9.9% -13.3 3
1968-10-27 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1660 1733 9.9% 34.1% 56.0% +13.3 4
1968-10-27 Atalanta W 1-0 1714 1676 53.0% 35.3% 11.7% +4.2 5
1968-10-27 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1676 1714 11.7% 35.3% 53.0% -4.2 2
1968-11-03 Inter Milan W 1-0 1859 1836 51.7% 35.7% 12.6% +4.5 9
1968-11-03 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1836 1859 12.6% 35.7% 51.7% -4.5 6
1968-11-03 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-0 1804 1718 57.2% 33.5% 9.3% +9.3 7
1968-11-03 @ Cagliari L 0-3 1718 1804 9.3% 33.5% 57.2% -9.3 5
1968-11-03 Bologna L 1-3 1821 1772 54.0% 34.9% 11.1% -21.1 6
1968-11-03 @ Fiorentina W 3-1 1772 1821 11.1% 34.9% 54.0% +21.1 5
1968-11-03 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1674 1693 47.6% 36.7% 15.6% -1.8 5
1968-11-03 @ Palermo D 0-0 1693 1674 15.6% 36.7% 47.6% +1.8 5
1968-11-03 Atalanta W 1-0 1694 1672 51.6% 35.7% 12.7% +4.5 3
1968-11-03 @ Pisa L 0-1 1672 1694 12.7% 35.7% 51.6% -4.5 2
1968-11-03 Sampdoria W 1-0 1713 1720 48.9% 36.5% 14.7% +5.1 6
1968-11-03 @ Roma L 0-1 1720 1713 14.7% 36.5% 48.9% -5.1 3
1968-11-03 Napoli D 0-0 1765 1758 50.2% 36.1% 13.7% -2.1 5
1968-11-03 @ Torino D 0-0 1758 1765 13.7% 36.1% 50.2% +2.1 4
1968-11-03 Juventus L 0-2 1684 1780 39.1% 37.6% 23.4% -18.6 2
1968-11-03 @ Varese W 2-0 1780 1684 23.4% 37.6% 39.1% +18.6 7
1968-11-10 AC Milan D 0-0 1668 1863 26.0% 36.5% 37.4% +0.6 3
1968-11-10 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1863 1668 37.4% 36.5% 26.0% -0.6 10
1968-11-10 Napoli W 2-1 1793 1760 52.6% 35.4% 12.0% +4.1 7
1968-11-10 @ Bologna L 1-2 1760 1793 12.0% 35.4% 52.6% -4.1 4
1968-11-10 Pisa W 5-3 1695 1699 49.1% 36.4% 14.5% +6.9 7
1968-11-10 @ Hellas Verona L 3-5 1699 1695 14.5% 36.4% 49.1% -6.9 3
1968-11-10 Roma W 3-1 1832 1718 59.4% 32.4% 8.2% +4.9 8
1968-11-10 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1718 1832 8.2% 32.4% 59.4% -4.9 6
1968-11-10 Cagliari L 1-2 1798 1813 48.1% 36.6% 15.3% -11.0 7
1968-11-10 @ Juventus W 2-1 1813 1798 15.3% 36.6% 48.1% +11.0 9
1968-11-10 Torino W 1-0 1672 1763 39.6% 37.5% 22.8% +6.9 7
1968-11-10 @ Palermo L 0-1 1763 1672 22.8% 37.5% 39.6% -7.0 5
1968-11-10 Varese W 4-0 1715 1666 54.0% 34.9% 11.1% +14.4 5
1968-11-10 @ Sampdoria L 0-4 1666 1715 11.1% 34.9% 54.0% -14.4 2
1968-11-10 Fiorentina D 0-0 1708 1800 39.5% 37.5% 22.9% -0.9 6
1968-11-10 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1800 1708 22.9% 37.5% 39.5% +0.9 7
1968-11-17 Lanerossi Vicenza W 4-1 1863 1708 62.6% 30.5% 6.9% +5.6 12
1968-11-17 @ AC Milan L 1-4 1708 1863 6.9% 30.5% 62.6% -5.6 6
1968-11-17 Bologna W 1-0 1668 1797 34.8% 37.5% 27.7% +7.9 5
1968-11-17 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1797 1668 27.7% 37.5% 34.8% -7.9 7
1968-11-17 Sampdoria W 1-0 1801 1729 56.0% 34.1% 9.9% +3.6 9
1968-11-17 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1729 1801 9.9% 34.1% 56.0% -3.6 5
1968-11-17 Palermo W 1-0 1756 1679 56.5% 33.9% 9.7% +3.5 6
1968-11-17 @ Napoli L 0-1 1679 1756 9.7% 33.9% 56.5% -3.5 7
1968-11-17 Inter Milan D 1-1 1692 1836 32.6% 37.4% 30.0% -0.1 4
1968-11-17 @ Pisa D 1-1 1836 1692 30.0% 37.4% 32.6% +0.1 9
1968-11-17 Cagliari L 1-4 1713 1824 37.1% 37.6% 25.4% -22.0 6
1968-11-17 @ Roma W 4-1 1824 1713 25.4% 37.6% 37.1% +22.0 11
1968-11-17 Juventus L 1-2 1756 1787 46.4% 37.0% 16.7% -10.7 5
1968-11-17 @ Torino W 2-1 1787 1756 16.7% 37.0% 46.4% +10.7 9
1968-11-17 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1651 1702 44.3% 37.2% 18.4% +6.0 4
1968-11-17 @ Varese L 0-1 1702 1651 18.4% 37.2% 44.3% -6.0 7
1968-11-24 AC Milan W 1-0 1789 1868 41.0% 37.5% 21.5% +6.7 9
1968-11-24 @ Bologna L 0-1 1868 1789 21.5% 37.5% 41.0% -6.7 12
1968-11-24 Torino W 1-0 1846 1745 58.4% 32.9% 8.7% +3.2 13
1968-11-24 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1745 1846 8.7% 32.9% 58.4% -3.2 5
1968-11-24 Roma W 2-0 1695 1691 50.0% 36.2% 13.9% +9.2 9
1968-11-24 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1691 1695 13.9% 36.2% 50.0% -9.2 6
1968-11-24 Fiorentina L 1-2 1837 1805 52.5% 35.4% 12.0% -11.9 9
1968-11-24 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1805 1837 12.0% 35.4% 52.5% +11.9 11
1968-11-24 Pisa W 2-0 1798 1691 58.8% 32.7% 8.5% +5.8 11
1968-11-24 @ Juventus L 0-2 1691 1798 8.5% 32.7% 58.8% -5.8 4
1968-11-24 Varese D 1-1 1675 1657 51.2% 35.8% 12.9% -2.0 8
1968-11-24 @ Palermo D 1-1 1657 1675 12.9% 35.8% 51.2% +2.0 5
1968-11-24 Atalanta D 0-0 1725 1676 54.1% 34.9% 11.1% -2.6 6
1968-11-24 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1676 1725 11.1% 34.9% 54.1% +2.6 6
1968-11-24 Napoli W 2-0 1702 1760 43.5% 37.3% 19.2% +11.7 8
1968-11-24 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-2 1760 1702 19.2% 37.3% 43.5% -11.7 6
1968-12-01 Cagliari D 0-0 1862 1850 50.7% 36.0% 13.3% -2.2 13
1968-12-01 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1850 1862 13.3% 36.0% 50.7% +2.2 14
1968-12-01 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1816 1705 59.2% 32.5% 8.3% +3.0 13
1968-12-01 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1705 1816 8.3% 32.5% 59.2% -3.0 9
1968-12-01 Juventus W 2-1 1748 1804 43.7% 37.3% 19.0% +5.8 8
1968-12-01 @ Napoli L 1-2 1804 1748 19.0% 37.3% 43.7% -5.8 11
1968-12-01 Atalanta W 5-1 1673 1679 49.0% 36.4% 14.5% +15.0 10
1968-12-01 @ Palermo L 1-5 1679 1673 14.5% 36.4% 49.0% -15.0 6
1968-12-01 Sampdoria W 1-0 1686 1723 45.8% 37.0% 17.2% +5.7 6
1968-12-01 @ Pisa L 0-1 1723 1686 17.2% 37.0% 45.8% -5.7 6
1968-12-01 Bologna W 2-1 1682 1796 36.7% 37.5% 25.7% +7.1 8
1968-12-01 @ Roma L 1-2 1796 1682 25.7% 37.5% 36.7% -7.1 9
1968-12-01 Inter Milan W 2-1 1742 1825 40.6% 37.5% 21.9% +6.4 7
1968-12-01 @ Torino L 1-2 1825 1742 21.9% 37.5% 40.6% -6.4 9
1968-12-01 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1659 1714 43.9% 37.3% 18.8% +6.1 7
1968-12-01 @ Varese L 0-1 1714 1659 18.8% 37.3% 43.9% -6.1 8
1968-12-08 Torino W 3-1 1664 1748 40.4% 37.5% 22.1% +11.1 8
1968-12-08 @ Atalanta L 1-3 1748 1664 22.1% 37.5% 40.4% -11.1 7
1968-12-08 Bologna W 3-1 1852 1789 55.2% 34.4% 10.4% +6.2 16
1968-12-08 @ Cagliari L 1-3 1789 1852 10.4% 34.4% 55.2% -6.2 9
1968-12-08 Napoli W 2-1 1820 1754 55.5% 34.3% 10.2% +3.5 15
1968-12-08 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1754 1820 10.2% 34.3% 55.5% -3.5 8
1968-12-08 Varese W 6-0 1818 1665 62.5% 30.6% 7.0% +12.9 11
1968-12-08 @ Inter Milan L 0-6 1665 1818 7.0% 30.6% 62.5% -12.9 7
1968-12-08 AC Milan L 0-1 1798 1860 43.1% 37.4% 19.6% -10.7 11
1968-12-08 @ Juventus W 1-0 1860 1798 19.6% 37.4% 43.1% +10.7 15
1968-12-08 Palermo W 4-1 1691 1688 49.8% 36.2% 13.9% +11.3 8
1968-12-08 @ Pisa L 1-4 1688 1691 13.9% 36.2% 49.8% -11.3 10
1968-12-08 Hellas Verona W 3-2 1717 1702 51.0% 35.9% 13.1% +4.1 8
1968-12-08 @ Sampdoria L 2-3 1702 1717 13.1% 35.9% 51.0% -4.1 9
1968-12-08 Roma L 1-2 1708 1689 51.3% 35.8% 12.9% -11.7 8
1968-12-08 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1689 1708 12.9% 35.8% 51.3% +11.7 10
1968-12-15 Sampdoria D 0-0 1783 1721 55.1% 34.5% 10.4% -2.7 10
1968-12-15 @ Bologna D 0-0 1721 1783 10.4% 34.5% 55.1% +2.7 9
1968-12-15 Pisa W 3-0 1858 1703 62.6% 30.5% 6.9% +6.7 18
1968-12-15 @ Cagliari L 0-3 1703 1858 6.9% 30.5% 62.6% -6.7 8
1968-12-15 Juventus W 2-1 1697 1787 39.7% 37.5% 22.7% +6.5 11
1968-12-15 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1787 1697 22.7% 37.5% 39.7% -6.5 11
1968-12-15 Atalanta D 1-1 1831 1675 62.7% 30.4% 6.9% -3.1 12
1968-12-15 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1675 1831 6.9% 30.4% 62.7% +3.1 9
1968-12-15 Varese D 1-1 1750 1652 58.1% 33.1% 8.8% -2.7 9
1968-12-15 @ Napoli D 1-1 1652 1750 8.8% 33.1% 58.1% +2.7 8
1968-12-15 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1677 1696 47.7% 36.7% 15.6% +5.0 12
1968-12-15 @ Palermo L 1-2 1696 1677 15.6% 36.7% 47.7% -5.0 8
1968-12-15 AC Milan D 1-1 1701 1870 29.3% 37.0% 33.7% +0.2 11
1968-12-15 @ Roma D 1-1 1870 1701 33.7% 37.0% 29.3% -0.2 16
1968-12-15 Fiorentina D 0-0 1737 1823 40.2% 37.5% 22.2% -0.9 8
1968-12-15 @ Torino D 0-0 1823 1737 22.2% 37.5% 40.2% +1.0 16
1968-12-22 Torino W 1-0 1870 1736 61.0% 31.5% 7.5% +2.7 18
1968-12-22 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1736 1870 7.5% 31.5% 61.0% -2.7 8
1968-12-22 Pisa W 1-0 1780 1696 57.0% 33.6% 9.4% +3.4 12
1968-12-22 @ Bologna L 0-1 1696 1780 9.4% 33.6% 57.0% -3.4 8
1968-12-22 Palermo W 1-0 1824 1682 61.6% 31.1% 7.3% +2.6 18
1968-12-22 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1682 1824 7.3% 31.1% 61.6% -2.6 12
1968-12-22 Cagliari D 0-0 1704 1865 30.5% 37.2% 32.3% +0.1 12
1968-12-22 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1865 1704 32.3% 37.2% 30.5% -0.1 19
1968-12-22 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1781 1691 57.5% 33.4% 9.1% +3.3 13
1968-12-22 @ Juventus L 0-1 1691 1781 9.1% 33.4% 57.5% -3.3 8
1968-12-22 Atalanta W 2-0 1748 1678 55.8% 34.2% 10.0% +6.9 11
1968-12-22 @ Napoli L 0-2 1678 1748 10.0% 34.2% 55.8% -6.9 9
1968-12-22 Inter Milan L 0-3 1724 1828 38.0% 37.6% 24.5% -26.5 9
1968-12-22 @ Sampdoria W 3-0 1828 1724 24.5% 37.6% 38.0% +26.5 14
1968-12-22 Roma W 2-1 1655 1701 44.8% 37.2% 18.0% +5.6 10
1968-12-22 @ Varese L 1-2 1701 1655 18.0% 37.2% 44.8% -5.6 11
1969-01-12 Hellas Verona W 5-2 1671 1704 46.2% 37.0% 16.9% +11.3 11
1969-01-12 @ Atalanta L 2-5 1704 1671 16.9% 37.0% 46.2% -11.3 12
1969-01-12 Napoli D 0-0 1864 1755 59.1% 32.6% 8.4% -3.1 20
1969-01-12 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1755 1864 8.4% 32.6% 59.1% +3.1 12
1969-01-12 Juventus L 1-2 1855 1784 55.9% 34.1% 10.0% -12.5 14
1969-01-12 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1784 1855 10.0% 34.1% 55.9% +12.5 15
1969-01-12 Fiorentina L 0-1 1693 1827 34.1% 37.5% 28.4% -9.0 8
1969-01-12 @ Pisa W 1-0 1827 1693 28.4% 37.5% 34.1% +9.0 20
1969-01-12 Palermo W 2-1 1695 1679 51.0% 35.9% 13.1% +4.4 13
1969-01-12 @ Roma L 1-2 1679 1695 13.1% 35.9% 51.0% -4.4 12
1969-01-12 Bologna W 3-0 1734 1783 44.4% 37.2% 18.4% +16.4 10
1969-01-12 @ Torino L 0-3 1783 1734 18.4% 37.2% 44.4% -16.4 12
1969-01-12 AC Milan D 0-0 1661 1873 24.2% 36.1% 39.7% +0.8 11
1969-01-12 @ Varese D 0-0 1873 1661 39.7% 36.1% 24.2% -0.8 19
1969-01-12 Sampdoria W 3-0 1687 1697 48.6% 36.5% 14.9% +14.1 10
1969-01-12 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-3 1697 1687 14.9% 36.5% 48.6% -14.1 9
1969-01-19 Roma L 0-2 1682 1700 47.8% 36.7% 15.5% -21.9 11
1969-01-19 @ Atalanta W 2-0 1700 1682 15.5% 36.7% 47.8% +21.9 15
1969-01-19 Juventus W 2-1 1836 1797 53.1% 35.2% 11.7% +4.0 22
1969-01-19 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1797 1836 11.7% 35.2% 53.1% -4.0 15
1969-01-19 Hellas Verona W 4-1 1842 1693 62.2% 30.8% 7.1% +5.8 16
1969-01-19 @ Inter Milan L 1-4 1693 1842 7.1% 30.8% 62.2% -5.8 12
1969-01-19 AC Milan D 0-0 1758 1872 36.7% 37.5% 25.8% -0.6 13
1969-01-19 @ Napoli D 0-0 1872 1758 25.8% 37.5% 36.7% +0.6 20
1969-01-19 Bologna W 2-0 1675 1767 39.5% 37.5% 22.9% +13.1 14
1969-01-19 @ Palermo L 0-2 1767 1675 22.9% 37.5% 39.5% -13.1 12
1969-01-19 Cagliari L 0-1 1683 1861 28.2% 36.9% 34.9% -7.9 9
1969-01-19 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1861 1683 34.9% 36.9% 28.2% +7.9 22
1969-01-19 Varese W 2-1 1750 1662 57.4% 33.4% 9.2% +3.2 12
1969-01-19 @ Torino L 1-2 1662 1750 9.2% 33.4% 57.4% -3.2 11
1969-01-19 Pisa L 1-2 1702 1684 51.2% 35.8% 12.9% -11.6 10
1969-01-19 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1684 1702 12.9% 35.8% 51.2% +11.6 10
1969-01-26 Palermo W 1-0 1873 1688 64.8% 29.1% 6.1% +2.1 22
1969-01-26 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1688 1873 6.1% 29.1% 64.8% -2.1 14
1969-01-26 Inter Milan L 1-2 1754 1848 39.2% 37.6% 23.2% -9.4 12
1969-01-26 @ Bologna W 2-1 1848 1754 23.2% 37.6% 39.2% +9.3 18
1969-01-26 Atalanta W 1-0 1869 1660 66.6% 27.8% 5.5% +1.9 24
1969-01-26 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1660 1869 5.5% 27.8% 66.6% -1.9 11
1969-01-26 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1687 1690 49.2% 36.4% 14.4% +4.7 14
1969-01-26 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1690 1687 14.4% 36.4% 49.2% -4.7 10
1969-01-26 Sampdoria D 1-1 1793 1675 59.7% 32.2% 8.1% -2.9 16
1969-01-26 @ Juventus D 1-1 1675 1793 8.1% 32.2% 59.7% +2.9 10
1969-01-26 Napoli W 1-0 1695 1757 43.0% 37.4% 19.6% +6.3 12
1969-01-26 @ Pisa L 0-1 1757 1695 19.6% 37.4% 43.0% -6.3 13
1969-01-26 Torino L 1-3 1722 1753 46.4% 37.0% 16.7% -18.5 15
1969-01-26 @ Roma W 3-1 1753 1722 16.7% 37.0% 46.4% +18.5 14
1969-01-26 Fiorentina D 2-2 1658 1840 27.8% 36.8% 35.4% +0.3 12
1969-01-26 @ Varese D 2-2 1840 1658 35.4% 36.8% 27.8% -0.3 23
1969-02-02 Roma D 0-0 1839 1703 61.2% 31.4% 7.5% -3.3 24
1969-02-02 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1703 1839 7.5% 31.4% 61.2% +3.3 16
1969-02-02 Napoli W 1-0 1692 1751 43.3% 37.3% 19.3% +6.2 16
1969-02-02 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1751 1692 19.3% 37.3% 43.3% -6.2 13
1969-02-02 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1857 1685 63.9% 29.7% 6.4% +2.2 20
1969-02-02 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1685 1857 6.4% 29.7% 63.9% -2.2 10
1969-02-02 Atalanta W 1-0 1790 1658 60.8% 31.6% 7.6% +2.7 18
1969-02-02 @ Juventus L 0-1 1658 1790 7.6% 31.6% 60.8% -2.7 11
1969-02-02 Cagliari D 0-0 1686 1871 27.4% 36.8% 35.9% +0.4 15
1969-02-02 @ Palermo D 0-0 1871 1686 35.9% 36.8% 27.4% -0.4 25
1969-02-02 Torino D 1-1 1702 1772 42.1% 37.4% 20.5% -1.0 13
1969-02-02 @ Pisa D 1-1 1772 1702 20.5% 37.4% 42.1% +1.0 15
1969-02-02 AC Milan D 1-1 1678 1875 26.0% 36.5% 37.5% +0.5 11
1969-02-02 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1875 1678 37.5% 36.5% 26.0% -0.5 23
1969-02-02 Bologna D 1-1 1659 1745 40.2% 37.5% 22.2% -0.8 13
1969-02-02 @ Varese D 1-1 1745 1659 22.2% 37.5% 40.2% +0.9 13
1969-02-09 Hellas Verona W 3-0 1874 1698 64.2% 29.5% 6.3% +6.0 25
1969-02-09 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1698 1874 6.3% 29.5% 64.2% -6.0 16
1969-02-09 Fiorentina L 0-1 1656 1836 27.9% 36.8% 35.2% -7.8 11
1969-02-09 @ Atalanta W 1-0 1836 1656 35.2% 36.8% 27.9% +7.8 26
1969-02-09 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-0 1745 1683 55.2% 34.4% 10.4% +10.4 15
1969-02-09 @ Bologna L 0-3 1683 1745 10.4% 34.4% 55.2% -10.4 10
1969-02-09 Varese D 0-0 1871 1658 66.9% 27.6% 5.5% -3.8 26
1969-02-09 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1658 1871 5.5% 27.6% 66.9% +3.8 14
1969-02-09 Inter Milan W 3-1 1745 1860 36.6% 37.5% 25.8% +12.3 15
1969-02-09 @ Napoli L 1-3 1860 1745 25.8% 37.5% 36.6% -12.3 20
1969-02-09 Juventus D 1-1 1687 1793 37.7% 37.6% 24.7% -0.6 16
1969-02-09 @ Palermo D 1-1 1793 1687 24.7% 37.6% 37.7% +0.6 19
1969-02-09 Pisa W 2-0 1707 1700 50.1% 36.2% 13.7% +9.1 18
1969-02-09 @ Roma L 0-2 1700 1707 13.7% 36.2% 50.1% -9.1 13
1969-02-09 Sampdoria W 2-0 1773 1679 57.8% 33.2% 9.0% +6.2 17
1969-02-09 @ Torino L 0-2 1679 1773 9.0% 33.2% 57.8% -6.2 11
1969-02-16 Cagliari D 1-1 1844 1867 47.2% 36.8% 16.0% -1.6 27
1969-02-16 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1867 1844 16.0% 36.8% 47.2% +1.6 27
1969-02-16 Bologna W 5-1 1692 1756 42.8% 37.4% 19.8% +18.8 18
1969-02-16 @ Hellas Verona L 1-5 1756 1692 19.8% 37.4% 42.8% -18.8 15
1969-02-16 Palermo D 0-0 1847 1686 63.1% 30.2% 6.7% -3.5 21
1969-02-16 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1686 1847 6.7% 30.2% 63.1% +3.5 17
1969-02-16 Roma D 2-2 1793 1716 56.5% 33.9% 9.7% -1.9 20
1969-02-16 @ Juventus D 2-2 1716 1793 9.7% 33.9% 56.5% +1.9 19
1969-02-16 AC Milan L 0-1 1691 1880 26.9% 36.7% 36.4% -7.6 13
1969-02-16 @ Pisa W 1-0 1880 1691 36.4% 36.7% 26.9% +7.6 27
1969-02-16 Napoli L 0-2 1673 1757 40.4% 37.5% 22.1% -19.1 11
1969-02-16 @ Sampdoria W 2-0 1757 1673 22.1% 37.5% 40.4% +19.1 17
1969-02-16 Atalanta L 1-2 1662 1648 50.8% 35.9% 13.2% -11.6 14
1969-02-16 @ Varese W 2-1 1648 1662 13.2% 35.9% 50.8% +11.6 13
1969-02-16 Torino D 1-1 1673 1779 37.7% 37.6% 24.7% -0.6 11
1969-02-16 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1779 1673 24.7% 37.6% 37.7% +0.6 18
1969-02-23 Fiorentina D 0-0 1888 1842 53.7% 35.0% 11.3% -2.5 28
1969-02-23 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1842 1888 11.3% 35.0% 53.7% +2.5 28
1969-02-23 Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-3 1659 1672 48.3% 36.6% 15.1% -19.2 13
1969-02-23 @ Atalanta W 3-1 1672 1659 15.1% 36.6% 48.3% +19.2 13
1969-02-23 Juventus D 1-1 1737 1791 43.9% 37.3% 18.9% -1.2 16
1969-02-23 @ Bologna D 1-1 1791 1737 18.9% 37.3% 43.9% +1.2 21
1969-02-23 Inter Milan W 1-0 1868 1844 51.9% 35.6% 12.5% +4.5 29
1969-02-23 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1844 1868 12.5% 35.6% 51.9% -4.5 21
1969-02-23 Sampdoria W 1-0 1690 1654 52.9% 35.3% 11.8% +4.2 19
1969-02-23 @ Palermo L 0-1 1654 1690 11.8% 35.3% 52.9% -4.2 11
1969-02-23 Napoli D 0-0 1718 1776 43.4% 37.3% 19.3% -1.3 20
1969-02-23 @ Roma D 0-0 1776 1718 19.3% 37.3% 43.4% +1.3 18
1969-02-23 Hellas Verona W 4-0 1780 1711 55.7% 34.2% 10.1% +13.1 20
1969-02-23 @ Torino L 0-4 1711 1780 10.1% 34.2% 55.7% -13.2 18
1969-02-23 Pisa W 3-1 1650 1684 46.1% 37.0% 16.9% +9.2 16
1969-02-23 @ Varese L 1-3 1684 1650 16.9% 37.0% 46.1% -9.2 13
1969-03-02 Pisa D 1-1 1640 1675 46.1% 37.0% 17.0% -1.5 14
1969-03-02 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1675 1640 17.0% 37.0% 46.1% +1.5 14
1969-03-02 Fiorentina D 0-0 1736 1845 37.4% 37.6% 25.1% -0.6 17
1969-03-02 @ Bologna D 0-0 1845 1736 25.1% 37.6% 37.4% +0.6 29
1969-03-02 Palermo W 2-0 1698 1694 49.9% 36.2% 13.9% +9.2 20
1969-03-02 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1694 1698 13.9% 36.2% 49.9% -9.2 19
1969-03-02 AC Milan D 1-1 1839 1885 44.8% 37.2% 18.0% -1.3 22
1969-03-02 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1885 1839 18.0% 37.2% 44.8% +1.3 29
1969-03-02 Varese W 2-0 1793 1659 60.9% 31.5% 7.5% +5.1 23
1969-03-02 @ Juventus L 0-2 1659 1793 7.5% 31.5% 60.9% -5.1 16
1969-03-02 Torino D 0-0 1777 1793 48.0% 36.6% 15.3% -1.9 19
1969-03-02 @ Napoli D 0-0 1793 1777 15.3% 36.6% 48.0% +1.9 21
1969-03-02 Roma D 0-0 1649 1716 42.5% 37.4% 20.1% -1.2 12
1969-03-02 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1716 1649 20.1% 37.4% 42.5% +1.2 21
1969-03-02 Cagliari D 1-1 1691 1873 27.8% 36.8% 35.4% +0.3 14
1969-03-02 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1873 1691 35.4% 36.8% 27.8% -0.3 30
1969-03-09 Atalanta D 0-0 1887 1639 69.4% 25.8% 4.8% -4.0 30
1969-03-09 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1639 1887 4.8% 25.8% 69.4% +4.0 15
1969-03-09 Juventus L 0-1 1872 1798 56.2% 34.0% 9.8% -13.4 30
1969-03-09 @ Cagliari W 1-0 1798 1872 9.8% 34.0% 56.2% +13.4 25
1969-03-09 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-0 1845 1692 62.5% 30.6% 6.9% +6.7 31
1969-03-09 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1692 1845 6.9% 30.6% 62.5% -6.7 14
1969-03-09 Bologna D 1-1 1776 1735 53.3% 35.2% 11.6% -2.2 20
1969-03-09 @ Napoli D 1-1 1735 1776 11.6% 35.2% 53.3% +2.2 18
1969-03-09 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1676 1707 46.4% 36.9% 16.6% -1.5 15
1969-03-09 @ Pisa D 1-1 1707 1676 16.6% 36.9% 46.4% +1.5 21
1969-03-09 Inter Milan L 0-3 1717 1838 35.9% 37.5% 26.6% -25.4 21
1969-03-09 @ Roma W 3-0 1838 1717 26.6% 37.5% 35.9% +25.4 24
1969-03-09 Palermo W 3-1 1795 1685 59.1% 32.5% 8.4% +5.0 23
1969-03-09 @ Torino L 1-3 1685 1795 8.4% 32.5% 59.1% -5.0 19
1969-03-09 Sampdoria D 0-0 1654 1648 50.1% 36.2% 13.7% -2.1 17
1969-03-09 @ Varese D 0-0 1648 1654 13.7% 36.2% 50.1% +2.1 13
1969-03-16 Atalanta W 1-0 1737 1643 57.9% 33.2% 8.9% +3.3 20
1969-03-16 @ Bologna L 0-1 1643 1737 8.9% 33.2% 57.9% -3.3 15
1969-03-16 Roma D 0-0 1859 1692 63.5% 29.9% 6.6% -3.6 31
1969-03-16 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1692 1859 6.6% 29.9% 63.5% +3.6 22
1969-03-16 Varese D 1-1 1708 1652 54.7% 34.6% 10.7% -2.4 22
1969-03-16 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1652 1708 10.7% 34.6% 54.7% +2.4 18
1969-03-16 Pisa W 4-0 1863 1674 65.1% 28.8% 6.0% +7.4 26
1969-03-16 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1674 1863 6.0% 28.8% 65.1% -7.4 15
1969-03-16 Torino D 0-0 1811 1800 50.6% 36.0% 13.4% -2.2 26
1969-03-16 @ Juventus D 0-0 1800 1811 13.4% 36.0% 50.6% +2.2 24
1969-03-16 Napoli L 0-2 1680 1773 39.3% 37.6% 23.2% -18.7 19
1969-03-16 @ Palermo W 2-0 1773 1680 23.2% 37.6% 39.3% +18.7 22
1969-03-16 Fiorentina D 1-1 1650 1852 25.3% 36.4% 38.3% +0.6 14
1969-03-16 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1852 1650 38.3% 36.4% 25.3% -0.6 32
1969-03-16 AC Milan D 1-1 1685 1883 25.8% 36.5% 37.7% +0.5 15
1969-03-16 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1883 1685 37.7% 36.5% 25.8% -0.5 31
1969-03-23 Bologna W 4-0 1882 1741 61.6% 31.1% 7.3% +9.3 33
1969-03-23 @ AC Milan L 0-4 1741 1882 7.3% 31.1% 61.6% -9.3 20
1969-03-23 Sampdoria D 0-0 1639 1651 48.4% 36.6% 15.0% -1.9 16
1969-03-23 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1651 1639 15.0% 36.6% 48.4% +1.9 15
1969-03-23 Inter Milan W 1-0 1851 1871 47.6% 36.7% 15.7% +5.3 34
1969-03-23 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1871 1851 15.7% 36.7% 47.6% -5.3 26
1969-03-23 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1792 1685 58.8% 32.7% 8.5% +3.1 24
1969-03-23 @ Napoli L 0-1 1685 1792 8.5% 32.7% 58.8% -3.1 15
1969-03-23 Juventus D 0-0 1667 1809 33.1% 37.4% 29.6% -0.2 16
1969-03-23 @ Pisa D 0-0 1809 1667 29.6% 37.4% 33.1% +0.2 27
1969-03-23 Hellas Verona L 1-2 1696 1706 48.5% 36.5% 14.9% -11.1 22
1969-03-23 @ Roma W 2-1 1706 1696 14.9% 36.5% 48.5% +11.1 24
1969-03-23 Cagliari D 0-0 1802 1856 43.9% 37.3% 18.8% -1.4 25
1969-03-23 @ Torino D 0-0 1856 1802 18.8% 37.3% 43.9% +1.4 32
1969-03-23 Palermo D 0-0 1654 1661 48.9% 36.5% 14.6% -2.0 19
1969-03-23 @ Varese D 0-0 1661 1654 14.6% 36.5% 48.9% +2.0 20
1969-04-06 Palermo D 2-2 1638 1663 47.0% 36.8% 16.2% -1.2 17
1969-04-06 @ Atalanta D 2-2 1663 1638 16.2% 36.8% 47.0% +1.2 21
1969-04-06 Roma D 0-0 1731 1684 53.8% 35.0% 11.2% -2.5 21
1969-04-06 @ Bologna D 0-0 1684 1731 11.2% 35.0% 53.8% +2.5 23
1969-04-06 AC Milan W 3-1 1857 1891 46.1% 37.0% 17.0% +9.2 34
1969-04-06 @ Cagliari L 1-3 1891 1857 17.0% 37.0% 46.1% -9.2 33
1969-04-06 Fiorentina D 2-2 1717 1857 33.3% 37.4% 29.3% -0.1 25
1969-04-06 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1857 1717 29.3% 37.4% 33.3% +0.1 35
1969-04-06 Torino D 2-2 1865 1800 55.4% 34.3% 10.3% -1.8 27
1969-04-06 @ Inter Milan D 2-2 1800 1865 10.3% 34.3% 55.4% +1.8 26
1969-04-06 Napoli W 2-0 1809 1795 50.9% 35.9% 13.2% +8.8 29
1969-04-06 @ Juventus L 0-2 1795 1809 13.2% 35.9% 50.9% -8.8 24
1969-04-06 Pisa L 1-2 1653 1667 48.1% 36.6% 15.2% -11.0 15
1969-04-06 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1667 1653 15.2% 36.6% 48.1% +11.0 18
1969-04-06 Varese W 1-0 1682 1652 52.3% 35.5% 12.2% +4.4 17
1969-04-06 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1652 1682 12.2% 35.5% 52.3% -4.4 19
1969-04-13 Juventus W 1-0 1882 1818 55.3% 34.4% 10.3% +3.8 35
1969-04-13 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1818 1882 10.3% 34.4% 55.3% -3.8 29
1969-04-13 Cagliari D 2-2 1729 1866 33.6% 37.4% 28.9% -0.2 22
1969-04-13 @ Bologna D 2-2 1866 1729 28.9% 37.4% 33.6% +0.1 35
1969-04-13 Sampdoria L 0-3 1717 1642 56.3% 34.0% 9.8% -36.6 25
1969-04-13 @ Hellas Verona W 3-0 1642 1717 9.8% 34.0% 56.3% +36.6 17
1969-04-13 Fiorentina L 1-3 1786 1857 42.0% 37.4% 20.5% -17.1 24
1969-04-13 @ Napoli W 3-1 1857 1786 20.5% 37.4% 42.0% +17.1 37
1969-04-13 Pisa W 1-0 1664 1678 48.2% 36.6% 15.2% +5.2 23
1969-04-13 @ Palermo L 0-1 1678 1664 15.2% 36.6% 48.2% -5.2 18
1969-04-13 Lanerossi Vicenza W 5-2 1687 1687 49.6% 36.3% 14.1% +9.9 25
1969-04-13 @ Roma L 2-5 1687 1687 14.1% 36.3% 49.6% -9.9 17
1969-04-13 Atalanta W 3-1 1802 1636 63.4% 30.0% 6.6% +3.8 28
1969-04-13 @ Torino L 1-3 1636 1802 6.6% 30.0% 63.4% -3.8 17
1969-04-13 Inter Milan L 0-1 1648 1864 23.8% 36.1% 40.2% -7.0 19
1969-04-13 @ Varese W 1-0 1864 1648 40.2% 36.1% 23.8% +7.0 29
1969-04-20 Roma W 1-0 1886 1697 65.2% 28.8% 6.0% +2.1 37
1969-04-20 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1697 1886 6.0% 28.8% 65.2% -2.1 25
1969-04-20 Inter Milan L 0-4 1633 1871 21.4% 35.4% 43.1% -23.1 17
1969-04-20 @ Atalanta W 4-0 1871 1633 43.1% 35.4% 21.4% +23.1 31
1969-04-20 Torino D 0-0 1874 1806 55.7% 34.2% 10.1% -2.8 38
1969-04-20 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1806 1874 10.1% 34.2% 55.7% +2.8 29
1969-04-20 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1814 1680 61.0% 31.5% 7.5% +2.7 31
1969-04-20 @ Juventus L 0-1 1680 1814 7.5% 31.5% 61.0% -2.7 25
1969-04-20 Cagliari D 0-0 1673 1866 26.3% 36.6% 37.1% +0.5 19
1969-04-20 @ Pisa D 0-0 1866 1673 37.1% 36.6% 26.3% -0.5 36
1969-04-20 Bologna D 0-0 1678 1728 44.3% 37.2% 18.4% -1.4 18
1969-04-20 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1728 1678 18.4% 37.2% 44.3% +1.4 23
1969-04-20 Napoli L 1-2 1641 1769 34.9% 37.5% 27.6% -8.6 19
1969-04-20 @ Varese W 2-1 1769 1641 27.6% 37.5% 34.9% +8.6 26
1969-04-20 Palermo W 1-0 1677 1669 50.2% 36.1% 13.6% +4.8 19
1969-04-20 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1669 1677 13.6% 36.1% 50.2% -4.8 23
1969-04-27 Napoli D 0-0 1609 1778 29.5% 37.0% 33.5% +0.2 18
1969-04-27 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1778 1609 33.5% 37.0% 29.5% -0.2 27
1969-04-27 Hellas Verona W 2-0 1866 1678 65.1% 28.9% 6.0% +3.9 38
1969-04-27 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1678 1866 6.0% 28.9% 65.1% -3.9 25
1969-04-27 Sampdoria D 1-1 1894 1677 67.2% 27.4% 5.4% -3.5 32
1969-04-27 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1677 1894 5.4% 27.4% 67.2% +3.5 19
1969-04-27 Fiorentina D 0-0 1664 1871 24.8% 36.3% 39.0% +0.7 24
1969-04-27 @ Palermo D 0-0 1871 1664 39.0% 36.3% 24.8% -0.7 39
1969-04-27 Bologna L 0-1 1673 1730 43.6% 37.3% 19.1% -10.8 19
1969-04-27 @ Pisa W 1-0 1730 1673 19.1% 37.3% 43.6% +10.8 25
1969-04-27 Varese D 0-0 1695 1632 55.2% 34.4% 10.4% -2.7 26
1969-04-27 @ Roma D 0-0 1632 1695 10.4% 34.4% 55.2% +2.7 20
1969-04-27 AC Milan W 1-0 1809 1888 41.0% 37.5% 21.5% +6.7 31
1969-04-27 @ Torino L 0-1 1888 1809 21.5% 37.5% 41.0% -6.7 37
1969-04-27 Juventus D 0-0 1682 1817 33.9% 37.4% 28.6% -0.3 20
1969-04-27 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1817 1682 28.6% 37.4% 33.9% +0.3 32
1969-05-04 Varese W 2-0 1881 1635 69.3% 25.9% 4.8% +2.9 39
1969-05-04 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1635 1881 4.8% 25.9% 69.3% -2.9 20
1969-05-04 Torino W 2-0 1741 1815 41.6% 37.5% 21.0% +12.4 27
1969-05-04 @ Bologna L 0-2 1815 1741 21.0% 37.5% 41.6% -12.4 31
1969-05-04 Pisa W 3-1 1871 1662 66.5% 27.9% 5.6% +3.1 41
1969-05-04 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1662 1871 5.6% 27.9% 66.5% -3.0 19
1969-05-04 Atalanta D 1-1 1674 1610 55.3% 34.4% 10.3% -2.4 26
1969-05-04 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1610 1674 10.3% 34.4% 55.3% +2.4 19
1969-05-04 Inter Milan W 1-0 1817 1890 41.7% 37.5% 20.8% +6.5 34
1969-05-04 @ Juventus L 0-1 1890 1817 20.8% 37.5% 41.7% -6.5 32
1969-05-04 Cagliari W 2-1 1778 1870 39.5% 37.5% 23.0% +6.6 29
1969-05-04 @ Napoli L 1-2 1870 1778 23.0% 37.5% 39.5% -6.6 38
1969-05-04 Roma L 0-3 1665 1692 46.8% 36.9% 16.3% -31.3 24
1969-05-04 @ Palermo W 3-0 1692 1665 16.3% 36.9% 46.8% +31.3 28
1969-05-04 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1680 1681 49.4% 36.3% 14.2% +5.0 21
1969-05-04 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1681 1680 14.2% 36.3% 49.4% -5.0 20
1969-05-11 Napoli D 0-0 1884 1784 58.3% 33.0% 8.7% -3.1 40
1969-05-11 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1784 1884 8.7% 33.0% 58.3% +3.0 30
1969-05-11 Palermo W 2-0 1753 1634 59.8% 32.1% 8.0% +5.5 29
1969-05-11 @ Bologna L 0-2 1634 1753 8.0% 32.1% 59.8% -5.5 24
1969-05-11 Sampdoria D 0-0 1863 1685 64.3% 29.4% 6.3% -3.6 39
1969-05-11 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1685 1863 6.3% 29.4% 64.3% +3.6 22
1969-05-11 Inter Milan L 2-3 1671 1884 24.1% 36.1% 39.8% -6.3 26
1969-05-11 @ Hellas Verona W 3-2 1884 1671 39.8% 36.1% 24.1% +6.3 34
1969-05-11 Fiorentina L 0-2 1824 1874 44.4% 37.2% 18.4% -20.6 34
1969-05-11 @ Juventus W 2-0 1874 1824 18.4% 37.2% 44.4% +20.6 43
1969-05-11 Lanerossi Vicenza D 2-2 1659 1676 47.9% 36.7% 15.5% -1.2 20
1969-05-11 @ Pisa D 2-2 1676 1659 15.5% 36.7% 47.9% +1.2 21
1969-05-11 Atalanta W 4-1 1723 1612 59.2% 32.5% 8.3% +7.0 30
1969-05-11 @ Roma L 1-4 1612 1723 8.3% 32.5% 59.2% -7.0 19
1969-05-11 Torino W 1-0 1632 1803 29.2% 37.0% 33.8% +8.9 22
1969-05-11 @ Varese L 0-1 1803 1632 33.8% 37.0% 29.2% -8.9 31
1969-05-18 Cagliari L 1-2 1605 1860 19.9% 34.9% 45.2% -5.7 19
1969-05-18 @ Atalanta W 2-1 1860 1605 45.2% 34.9% 19.9% +5.8 41
1969-05-18 Varese W 3-1 1894 1641 69.8% 25.5% 4.7% +2.4 45
1969-05-18 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1641 1894 4.7% 25.5% 69.8% -2.4 22
1969-05-18 Bologna W 4-0 1890 1759 60.8% 31.6% 7.6% +9.8 36
1969-05-18 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1759 1890 7.6% 31.6% 60.8% -9.8 29
1969-05-18 Pisa W 2-1 1787 1658 60.6% 31.7% 7.7% +2.6 32
1969-05-18 @ Napoli L 1-2 1658 1787 7.7% 31.7% 60.6% -2.6 20
1969-05-18 AC Milan D 0-0 1628 1881 20.0% 34.9% 45.0% +1.4 25
1969-05-18 @ Palermo D 0-0 1881 1628 45.0% 34.9% 20.0% -1.3 41
1969-05-18 Juventus D 1-1 1689 1803 36.7% 37.5% 25.7% -0.5 23
1969-05-18 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1803 1689 25.7% 37.5% 36.7% +0.5 35
1969-05-18 Roma W 2-0 1794 1730 55.3% 34.4% 10.3% +7.1 33
1969-05-18 @ Torino L 0-2 1730 1794 10.3% 34.4% 55.3% -7.1 30
1969-05-18 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1678 1665 50.7% 36.0% 13.3% +4.4 23
1969-05-18 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-2 1665 1678 13.3% 36.0% 50.7% -4.4 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1968-10-13 8.60% Sampdoria 1695 3 @ Napoli 1799 0
2 1969-04-13 9.78% Sampdoria 1642 3 @ Hellas Verona 1717 0
3 1969-03-09 9.80% Juventus 1798 1 @ Cagliari 1872 0
4 1968-10-27 9.90% Palermo 1660 1 @ Sampdoria 1733 0
5 1969-01-12 10.00% Juventus 1784 2 @ Inter Milan 1855 1
6 1968-11-03 11.06% Bologna 1772 3 @ Fiorentina 1821 1
7 1968-11-24 12.04% Fiorentina 1805 2 @ Inter Milan 1837 1
8 1968-12-08 12.89% Roma 1689 2 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 1708 1
9 1969-01-19 12.92% Pisa 1684 2 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 1702 1
10 1969-02-16 13.19% Atalanta 1648 2 @ Varese 1662 1
11 1968-10-06 13.47% Roma 1700 2 @ Pisa 1710 1
12 1969-03-23 14.94% Hellas Verona 1706 2 @ Roma 1696 1
13 1969-02-23 15.13% Lanerossi Vicenza 1672 3 @ Atalanta 1659 1
14 1969-04-06 15.25% Pisa 1667 2 @ Sampdoria 1653 1
15 1968-11-10 15.30% Cagliari 1813 2 @ Juventus 1798 1
16 1969-01-19 15.52% Roma 1700 2 @ Atalanta 1682 0
17 1969-05-04 16.29% Roma 1692 3 @ Palermo 1665 0
18 1968-11-17 16.69% Juventus 1787 2 @ Torino 1756 1
19 1969-01-26 16.70% Torino 1753 3 @ Roma 1722 1
20 1969-05-11 18.40% Fiorentina 1874 2 @ Juventus 1824 0
21 1969-04-27 19.06% Bologna 1730 1 @ Pisa 1673 0
22 1968-12-08 19.56% AC Milan 1860 1 @ Juventus 1798 0
23 1968-10-06 20.09% Cagliari 1785 6 @ Varese 1719 1
24 1969-04-13 20.52% Fiorentina 1857 3 @ Napoli 1786 1
25 1969-02-16 22.06% Napoli 1757 2 @ Sampdoria 1673 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1968-10-06 38.56 Cagliari 6 1785 20.09% @ Varese 1 1719 42.51% 37.41%
2 1968-10-13 37.81 Sampdoria 3 1695 8.60% @ Napoli 0 1799 58.57% 32.82%
3 1969-04-13 36.62 Sampdoria 3 1642 9.78% @ Hellas Verona 0 1717 56.27% 33.95%
4 1969-05-04 31.33 Roma 3 1692 16.29% @ Palermo 0 1665 46.84% 36.87%
5 1968-12-22 26.51 Inter Milan 3 1828 24.46% @ Sampdoria 0 1724 37.97% 37.56%
6 1969-03-09 25.43 Inter Milan 3 1838 26.59% @ Roma 0 1717 35.88% 37.53%
7 1969-04-20 23.13 Inter Milan 4 1871 43.13% @ Atalanta 0 1633 21.45% 35.42%
8 1968-11-17 21.97 Cagliari 4 1824 25.36% @ Roma 1 1713 37.09% 37.56%
9 1969-01-19 21.94 Roma 2 1700 15.52% @ Atalanta 0 1682 47.78% 36.69%
10 1968-11-03 21.12 Bologna 3 1772 11.06% @ Fiorentina 1 1821 54.05% 34.88%
11 1969-05-11 20.62 Fiorentina 2 1874 18.40% @ Juventus 0 1824 44.37% 37.23%
12 1968-10-27 20.47 @ Hellas Verona 3 1672 36.84% Torino 0 1785 25.61% 37.55%
13 1969-02-23 19.17 Lanerossi Vicenza 3 1672 15.13% @ Atalanta 1 1659 48.28% 36.59%
14 1969-02-16 19.14 Napoli 2 1757 22.06% @ Sampdoria 0 1673 40.42% 37.52%
15 1969-02-16 18.83 @ Hellas Verona 5 1692 42.82% Bologna 1 1756 19.80% 37.38%
16 1969-03-16 18.72 Napoli 2 1773 23.17% @ Palermo 0 1680 39.28% 37.56%
17 1968-11-03 18.63 Juventus 2 1780 23.39% @ Varese 0 1684 39.05% 37.56%
18 1969-01-26 18.52 Torino 3 1753 16.70% @ Roma 1 1722 46.35% 36.95%
19 1968-10-27 17.96 @ Inter Milan 4 1818 49.15% Cagliari 0 1822 14.45% 36.40%
20 1969-04-13 17.10 Fiorentina 3 1857 20.52% @ Napoli 1 1786 42.04% 37.44%
21 1969-01-12 16.43 @ Torino 3 1734 44.39% Bologna 0 1783 18.39% 37.22%
22 1968-12-01 15.04 @ Palermo 5 1673 49.02% Atalanta 1 1679 14.55% 36.43%
23 1968-11-10 14.36 @ Sampdoria 4 1715 54.04% Varese 0 1666 11.08% 34.89%
24 1969-01-12 14.08 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 3 1687 48.56% Sampdoria 0 1697 14.91% 36.53%
25 1968-10-06 13.68 AC Milan 3 1841 31.97% @ Hellas Verona 1 1683 30.83% 37.19%