1969-70 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Cagliari

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Cagliari

8.56 points above expected

45 points · 36.44 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bari

6.34 points below expected

19 points · 25.34 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Cagliari	30	17	11	2	45	42	11	+31	36.4	+8.56
2	Inter Milan	30	16	9	5	41	41	19	+22	36.2	+4.81
3	Juventus	30	15	8	7	38	43	20	+23	34.0	+3.98
4	AC Milan	30	13	10	7	36	38	24	+14	34.9	+1.07
5	Fiorentina	30	15	6	9	36	40	33	+7	34.0	+2.01
6	Napoli	30	10	11	9	31	24	21	+3	31.7	-0.71
7	Torino	30	11	8	11	30	20	31	-11	31.4	-1.36
8	Lazio Roma	30	11	7	12	29	33	32	+1	27.4	+1.56
9	Lanerossi Vicenza	30	11	7	12	29	32	31	+1	28.8	+0.23
10	Bologna	30	6	16	8	28	22	24	-2	29.9	-1.85
11	Roma	30	8	12	10	28	27	36	-9	28.1	-0.06
12	Hellas Verona	30	8	10	12	26	26	30	-4	26.8	-0.77
13	Sampdoria	30	6	12	12	24	22	37	-15	26.1	-2.06
14	Brescia	30	5	10	15	20	20	35	-15	25.2	-5.23
15	Palermo	30	5	10	15	20	23	45	-22	23.8	-3.84
16	Bari	30	5	9	16	19	11	35	-24	25.3	-6.34

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cagliari	1918	45	36.44	+8.56	98.0%	25	30	33	36	39	43	46
Inter Milan	1906	41	36.19	+4.81	92.0%	28	30	33	36	39	42	45
Juventus	1861	38	34.02	+3.98	89.0%	24	26	31	34	36	42	45
AC Milan	1860	36	34.93	+1.07	65.0%	25	27	32	35	38	42	45
Fiorentina	1833	36	33.99	+2.01	73.0%	22	27	32	34	37	40	43
Napoli	1785	31	31.71	-0.71	48.0%	22	25	28	32	35	38	39
Lazio Roma	1747	29	27.44	+1.56	71.0%	17	21	24	28	30	35	41
Bologna	1742	28	29.85	-1.85	38.0%	19	24	27	30	32	37	41
Lanerossi Vicenza	1737	29	28.77	+0.23	52.0%	19	21	25	29	32	35	39
Torino	1735	30	31.36	-1.36	45.0%	25	26	28	31	34	37	40
Hellas Verona	1714	26	26.77	-0.77	42.0%	18	20	24	27	29	32	41
Roma	1711	28	28.06	-0.06	54.0%	20	22	25	28	31	34	37
Brescia	1696	20	25.23	-5.23	12.0%	17	19	22	25	28	31	40
Sampdoria	1681	24	26.06	-2.06	35.0%	16	20	24	26	29	34	37
Palermo	1645	20	23.84	-3.84	17.0%	15	17	21	24	26	30	34
Bari	1638	19	25.34	-6.34	11.0%	11	17	22	26	29	31	34

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	BAR	BOL	BRE	CAG	FIO	HV	IM	JUV	LV	LR	NAP	PAL	ROM	SAM	TOR
AC Milan	—	2-0-0 3.45	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.44	0-2-0 2.49	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 3.57	0-1-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.83	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 3.58	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.94	1-0-1 3.48	0-2-0 3.58	2-0-0 3.08
Bari	0-0-2 1.94	—	0-1-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.77	0-1-1 1.65	0-1-1 1.79	0-0-2 2.55	0-0-2 1.55	1-0-1 1.53	0-1-1 2.53	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.25	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.23
Bologna	0-1-1 2.05	1-1-0 2.99	—	0-1-1 3.14	0-1-1 1.84	1-1-0 2.25	0-2-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.07	0-2-0 2.22	0-2-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 3.28	1-1-0 2.81	0-2-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.56
Brescia	0-1-1 1.97	0-1-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.23	—	0-0-2 1.84	1-0-1 1.86	0-2-0 2.46	0-1-1 1.62	0-0-2 1.87	1-1-0 2.33	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.16	2-0-0 2.78	0-0-2 2.50	0-1-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.26
Cagliari	0-2-0 2.84	1-1-0 3.85	1-1-0 3.55	2-0-0 3.60	—	1-1-0 2.78	1-1-0 3.72	0-1-1 2.73	0-2-0 2.95	2-0-0 3.37	2-0-0 3.66	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 4.11	1-1-0 3.60	1-1-0 3.46	2-0-0 3.41
Fiorentina	1-0-1 2.58	1-1-0 3.61	0-1-1 3.13	1-0-1 3.57	0-1-1 2.59	—	2-0-0 3.38	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.68	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 3.85	1-1-0 3.33	2-0-0 3.54	0-1-1 3.19
Hellas Verona	0-1-1 1.83	2-0-0 2.77	0-2-0 2.44	0-2-0 2.89	0-1-1 1.72	0-0-2 2.01	—	0-1-1 1.79	1-0-1 2.09	1-0-1 2.56	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 3.06	1-1-0 2.54	0-1-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.41
Inter Milan	1-1-0 2.67	2-0-0 3.89	1-0-1 3.31	1-1-0 3.83	1-1-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.83	1-1-0 3.61	—	0-1-1 2.89	0-2-0 3.45	1-0-1 3.56	1-1-0 3.09	2-0-0 3.83	1-0-1 3.49	2-0-0 3.77	1-1-0 3.09
Juventus	2-0-0 2.54	1-0-1 3.91	0-2-0 3.12	2-0-0 3.58	0-2-0 2.44	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 3.31	1-1-0 2.43	—	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.54	0-1-1 2.96	2-0-0 3.61	1-1-0 3.36	1-1-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.02
Lanerossi Vicenza	1-0-1 2.08	1-1-0 2.84	0-2-0 2.62	0-1-1 3.04	0-0-2 2.01	0-0-2 2.03	1-0-1 2.79	0-2-0 1.96	1-0-1 2.21	—	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.36	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.52
Lazio Roma	1-0-1 1.84	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.89	0-0-2 1.75	1-0-1 1.93	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 1.84	1-0-1 1.85	1-0-1 2.58	—	0-1-1 2.37	1-1-0 3.13	0-1-1 2.59	2-0-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.29
Napoli	0-1-1 2.24	1-1-0 3.15	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.20	0-0-2 2.25	1-0-1 2.36	1-0-1 3.13	0-1-1 2.28	1-1-0 2.42	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 2.99	—	0-2-0 3.55	0-1-1 3.15	0-1-1 3.33	2-0-0 2.71
Palermo	0-1-1 1.54	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.10	0-0-2 2.55	1-0-1 1.41	0-1-1 1.60	1-0-1 2.29	0-0-2 1.63	0-0-2 1.78	0-1-1 2.30	0-1-1 2.21	0-2-0 1.87	—	0-2-0 2.23	1-0-1 2.26	1-1-0 2.07
Roma	1-0-1 1.91	1-0-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.54	2-0-0 2.84	0-1-1 1.80	0-1-1 2.05	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 1.91	0-1-1 2.06	1-0-1 2.63	1-1-0 2.75	1-1-0 2.20	0-2-0 3.13	—	0-1-1 2.88	0-2-0 2.48
Sampdoria	0-2-0 1.86	1-1-0 2.68	0-2-0 2.43	1-1-0 2.73	0-1-1 1.96	0-0-2 1.86	1-1-0 2.51	0-0-2 1.66	0-1-1 2.06	0-0-2 2.44	0-0-2 2.61	1-1-0 2.09	1-0-1 3.09	1-1-0 2.47	—	0-1-1 2.18
Torino	0-0-2 2.29	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 2.79	2-0-0 3.11	0-0-2 1.96	1-1-0 2.16	2-0-0 2.95	0-1-1 2.27	1-0-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.82	1-1-0 3.07	0-0-2 2.65	0-1-1 3.32	0-2-0 2.88	1-1-0 3.17	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.25%	13.54%	6.25%	2.92%	1.25%	0.42%	40.62%
1	13.54%	13.75%	5.00%	2.08%	0.83%	0.21%	35.42%
2	6.25%	5.00%	2.08%	0.62%	0.62%	—	14.58%
3	2.92%	2.08%	0.62%	0.42%	—	—	6.04%
4	1.25%	0.83%	0.62%	—	—	—	2.71%
5+	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	—	—	0.62%
Total	40.62%	35.42%	14.58%	6.04%	2.71%	0.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.045
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	23.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	53.33%	26.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.083
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	26.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	70.00%
1	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Bari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.37
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.61
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	1.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.035
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	20.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
1	6.67%	26.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	56.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	0.71
Mean total goals/game	1.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.198
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	23.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	56.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Brescia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.080
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
1	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
2	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	66.67%	30.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	0.37
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	0.56
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.128
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	30.00%
2	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.025
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.070
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	60.00%	20.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	0.63
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.001
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	33.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	0.76
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.237
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	20.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	13.33%	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	46.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Lanerossi Vicenza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.148
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	36.67%
1	16.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	36.67%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.32
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.325
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	53.33%
1	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	33.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.80
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	0.84
Mean total goals/game	1.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.048
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	36.67%
1	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	53.33%
2	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	26.67%	16.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	100%

Palermo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	0.73
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.122
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	40.00%
1	13.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	43.33%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.186
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	50.00%
1	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	26.67%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.87
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.025
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	50.00%
1	23.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	36.67%
2	—	10.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	36.67%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.80
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	1.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.386
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Cagliari	45	36.4	+8.56
2	Inter Milan	41	36.2	+4.81
3	Juventus	38	34.0	+3.98
4	Fiorentina	36	34.0	+2.01
5	Lazio Roma	29	27.4	+1.56

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Bari	19	25.3	-6.34
2	Brescia	20	25.2	-5.23
3	Palermo	20	23.8	-3.84
4	Sampdoria	24	26.1	-2.06
5	Bologna	28	29.9	-1.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Juventus	8	Nov 30 – Jan 18	1 in 2,134
2	Napoli	5	Jan 3 – Feb 1	1 in 67
3	Inter Milan	5	Mar 29 – Apr 26	1 in 47
4	Torino	3	Mar 1 – Mar 15	1 in 46
5	Fiorentina	4	Sep 14 – Oct 5	1 in 34

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lazio Roma	4	Nov 30 – Dec 21	1 in 69
2	Napoli	3	Feb 8 – Mar 1	1 in 46
3	Bologna	3	Dec 7 – Dec 21	1 in 43
4	Palermo	4	Sep 14 – Oct 5	1 in 31
5	Sampdoria	3	Jan 25 – Feb 8	1 in 21

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Juventus	16	Nov 16 – Mar 15	1 in 292
2	Bologna	9	Sep 21 – Nov 30	1 in 36
3	Sampdoria	6	Feb 15 – Mar 29	1 in 32
4	Napoli	10	Nov 30 – Feb 1	1 in 31
5	Cagliari	11	Sep 14 – Dec 7	1 in 28

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bologna	11	Oct 12 – Jan 3	1 in 169
2	Sampdoria	12	Nov 16 – Feb 8	1 in 54
3	Roma	8	Nov 9 – Jan 3	1 in 28
4	Hellas Verona	9	Dec 21 – Feb 15	1 in 22
5	Palermo	10	Sep 14 – Nov 30	1 in 19

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Cagliari	37.00%	15.00%	11.00%	14.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Inter Milan	16.00%	29.00%	13.00%	13.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Juventus	8.00%	18.00%	15.00%	12.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
AC Milan	19.00%	11.00%	17.00%	15.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Fiorentina	12.00%	10.00%	15.00%	11.00%	12.00%	12.00%	11.00%	3.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%
Napoli	2.00%	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	18.00%	10.00%	2.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Torino	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%	14.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	—
Lazio Roma	2.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	11.00%	8.00%	18.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	11.00%	6.00%
Lanerossi Vicenza	—	1.00%	6.00%	2.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	11.00%	7.00%	8.00%	—	11.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Bologna	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	11.00%	18.00%	5.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Roma	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	12.00%	7.00%	11.00%	6.00%	9.00%	13.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Hellas Verona	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	12.00%	5.00%	7.00%	13.00%	15.00%	7.00%	14.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Sampdoria	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	6.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	11.00%	17.00%	12.00%	13.00%
Brescia	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	10.00%	4.00%	11.00%	23.00%	16.00%
Palermo	—	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	22.00%	11.00%	21.00%	26.00%
Bari	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	13.00%	4.00%	9.00%	12.00%	9.00%	9.00%	23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AC Milan	100%	—
Cagliari	100%	—
Inter Milan	100%	—
Juventus	99.0%	1.0%
Fiorentina	98.0%	2.0%
Torino	98.0%	2.0%
Napoli	96.0%	4.0%
Bologna	92.0%	8.0%
Roma	82.0%	18.0%
Lanerossi Vicenza	80.0%	20.0%
Lazio Roma	75.0%	25.0%
Hellas Verona	71.0%	29.0%
Bari	59.0%	41.0%
Sampdoria	58.0%	42.0%
Brescia	50.0%	50.0%
Palermo	42.0%	58.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1969-09-14	Roma	W 1-0	1724	1742	46.7%	33.4%	19.9%	+4.4	3
1969-09-14	@ Bari	L 0-1	1742	1724	19.9%	33.4%	46.7%	-4.4	0
1969-09-14	AC Milan	L 1-4	1728	1832	35.6%	34.2%	30.2%	-15.2	0
1969-09-14	@ Brescia	W 4-1	1832	1728	30.2%	34.2%	35.6%	+15.2	3
1969-09-14	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1833	1712	62.5%	26.2%	11.3%	+2.4	3
1969-09-14	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1712	1833	11.3%	26.2%	62.5%	-2.4	0
1969-09-14	Bologna	W 1-0	1847	1759	58.8%	28.4%	12.8%	+2.8	3
1969-09-14	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1759	1847	12.8%	28.4%	58.8%	-2.8	0
1969-09-14	Palermo	W 4-1	1788	1689	60.0%	27.8%	12.3%	+6.2	3
1969-09-14	@ Juventus	L 1-4	1689	1788	12.3%	27.8%	60.0%	-6.2	0
1969-09-14	Torino	D 1-1	1720	1787	40.4%	34.3%	25.3%	-0.5	1
1969-09-14	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1787	1720	25.3%	34.3%	40.4%	+0.5	1
1969-09-14	Cagliari	D 0-0	1724	1822	36.4%	34.3%	29.2%	-0.3	1
1969-09-14	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1822	1724	29.2%	34.3%	36.4%	+0.3	1
1969-09-14	Napoli	W 3-2	1720	1780	41.4%	34.2%	24.3%	+4.5	3
1969-09-14	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 2-3	1780	1720	24.3%	34.2%	41.4%	-4.5	0
1969-09-21	Bari	W 1-0	1848	1729	62.2%	26.4%	11.4%	+2.5	6
1969-09-21	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1729	1848	11.4%	26.4%	62.2%	-2.5	3
1969-09-21	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1756	1719	53.1%	31.3%	15.6%	+3.5	3
1969-09-21	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1719	1756	15.6%	31.3%	53.1%	-3.5	1
1969-09-21	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1822	1725	59.8%	27.9%	12.4%	+2.6	4
1969-09-21	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1725	1822	12.4%	27.9%	59.8%	-2.6	3
1969-09-21	Juventus	W 1-0	1709	1794	38.2%	34.4%	27.5%	+5.5	3
1969-09-21	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1794	1709	27.5%	34.4%	38.2%	-5.5	3
1969-09-21	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1776	1836	41.4%	34.2%	24.3%	-7.4	0
1969-09-21	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1836	1776	24.3%	34.2%	41.4%	+7.4	6
1969-09-21	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1683	1850	27.7%	32.8%	39.5%	-5.1	0
1969-09-21	@ Palermo	W 2-1	1850	1683	39.5%	32.8%	27.7%	+5.1	6
1969-09-21	Brescia	W 1-0	1737	1713	51.6%	31.9%	16.5%	+3.7	3
1969-09-21	@ Roma	L 0-1	1713	1737	16.5%	31.9%	51.6%	-3.7	0
1969-09-21	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1788	1723	56.2%	29.8%	14.0%	+3.0	4
1969-09-21	@ Torino	L 1-2	1723	1788	14.0%	29.8%	56.2%	-3.0	1
1969-09-28	Napoli	D 0-0	1726	1768	43.6%	34.0%	22.4%	-0.8	4
1969-09-28	@ Bari	D 0-0	1768	1726	22.4%	34.0%	43.6%	+0.8	1
1969-09-28	Cagliari	L 0-2	1709	1825	34.1%	34.1%	31.8%	-12.0	0
1969-09-28	@ Brescia	W 2-0	1825	1709	31.8%	34.1%	34.1%	+12.0	7
1969-09-28	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1843	1720	62.6%	26.1%	11.3%	+2.4	9
1969-09-28	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1720	1843	11.3%	26.1%	62.6%	-2.4	1
1969-09-28	Roma	W 2-0	1715	1741	45.6%	33.7%	20.7%	+8.5	6
1969-09-28	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1741	1715	20.7%	33.7%	45.6%	-8.5	3
1969-09-28	Torino	W 2-0	1855	1791	56.1%	29.9%	14.0%	+5.9	9
1969-09-28	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1791	1855	14.0%	29.9%	56.1%	-5.9	4
1969-09-28	Bologna	D 1-1	1789	1760	52.1%	31.7%	16.2%	-1.3	4
1969-09-28	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1760	1789	16.2%	31.7%	52.1%	+1.3	4
1969-09-28	AC Milan	W 1-0	1716	1850	31.6%	33.8%	34.6%	+6.4	4
1969-09-28	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1850	1716	34.6%	33.8%	31.6%	-6.4	6
1969-09-28	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-3	1678	1722	43.4%	34.0%	22.6%	-12.5	0
1969-09-28	@ Palermo	W 3-1	1722	1678	22.6%	34.0%	43.4%	+12.4	6
1969-10-05	Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1844	1723	62.3%	26.3%	11.4%	+4.6	9
1969-10-05	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1723	1844	11.4%	26.3%	62.3%	-4.6	6
1969-10-05	Palermo	W 3-1	1761	1666	59.6%	28.0%	12.4%	+4.5	7
1969-10-05	@ Bologna	L 1-3	1666	1761	12.4%	28.0%	59.6%	-4.5	0
1969-10-05	Bari	D 0-0	1697	1725	45.3%	33.7%	20.9%	-1.0	1
1969-10-05	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1725	1697	20.9%	33.7%	45.3%	+1.0	5
1969-10-05	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1837	1722	61.7%	26.7%	11.6%	+2.5	10
1969-10-05	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1722	1837	11.6%	26.7%	61.7%	-2.5	4
1969-10-05	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1732	1861	32.3%	33.9%	33.8%	+5.9	6
1969-10-05	@ Roma	L 1-2	1861	1732	33.8%	33.9%	32.3%	-6.0	9
1969-10-05	Juventus	D 0-0	1718	1788	40.2%	34.3%	25.5%	-0.6	2
1969-10-05	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1788	1718	25.5%	34.3%	40.2%	+0.6	5
1969-10-05	Napoli	L 0-2	1785	1769	50.6%	32.3%	17.1%	-16.2	4
1969-10-05	@ Torino	W 2-0	1769	1785	17.1%	32.3%	50.6%	+16.2	4
1969-10-05	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1735	1845	34.8%	34.2%	31.0%	-6.1	6
1969-10-05	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1845	1735	31.0%	34.2%	34.8%	+6.1	12
1969-10-12	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1726	1729	48.4%	33.0%	18.6%	-1.2	6
1969-10-12	@ Bari	D 0-0	1729	1726	18.6%	33.0%	48.4%	+1.2	7
1969-10-12	Cagliari	L 0-1	1852	1839	50.2%	32.4%	17.4%	-8.5	12
1969-10-12	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1839	1852	17.4%	32.4%	50.2%	+8.5	13
1969-10-12	Bologna	D 0-0	1719	1766	43.0%	34.1%	22.9%	-0.8	7
1969-10-12	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1766	1719	22.9%	34.1%	43.0%	+0.8	8
1969-10-12	Brescia	W 3-1	1855	1696	66.6%	23.5%	9.9%	+3.3	12
1969-10-12	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1696	1855	9.9%	23.5%	66.6%	-3.3	1
1969-10-12	Torino	L 1-2	1788	1769	51.0%	32.1%	16.9%	-8.2	5
1969-10-12	@ Juventus	W 2-1	1769	1788	16.9%	32.1%	51.0%	+8.2	7
1969-10-12	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1720	1717	49.0%	32.8%	18.2%	+4.1	7
1969-10-12	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1717	1720	18.2%	32.8%	49.0%	-4.1	2
1969-10-12	Roma	D 0-0	1785	1738	54.2%	30.8%	15.0%	-1.6	5
1969-10-12	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1738	1785	15.0%	30.8%	54.2%	+1.6	7
1969-10-12	AC Milan	D 0-0	1661	1848	25.5%	32.0%	42.5%	+0.6	1
1969-10-12	@ Palermo	D 0-0	1848	1661	42.5%	32.0%	25.5%	-0.6	10
1969-10-19	Roma	L 2-3	1848	1740	60.9%	27.2%	11.9%	-8.8	10
1969-10-19	@ AC Milan	W 3-2	1740	1848	11.9%	27.2%	60.9%	+8.8	10
1969-10-19	Bari	D 1-1	1767	1725	53.6%	31.1%	15.3%	-1.4	9
1969-10-19	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1725	1767	15.3%	31.1%	53.6%	+1.4	7
1969-10-19	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1693	1718	45.7%	33.6%	20.7%	-1.0	2
1969-10-19	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1718	1693	20.7%	33.6%	45.7%	+1.0	8
1969-10-19	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1848	1859	47.4%	33.2%	19.3%	-1.0	14
1969-10-19	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1859	1848	19.3%	33.2%	47.4%	+1.0	13
1969-10-19	Fiorentina	W 5-1	1724	1843	33.6%	34.1%	32.3%	+18.3	10
1969-10-19	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-5	1843	1724	32.3%	34.1%	33.6%	-18.3	12
1969-10-19	Napoli	D 0-0	1713	1784	40.1%	34.3%	25.6%	-0.5	3
1969-10-19	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1784	1713	25.6%	34.3%	40.1%	+0.5	6
1969-10-19	Palermo	D 1-1	1777	1662	61.8%	26.7%	11.6%	-1.9	8
1969-10-19	@ Torino	D 1-1	1662	1777	11.6%	26.7%	61.8%	+1.9	2
1969-10-19	Juventus	W 1-0	1730	1780	42.7%	34.1%	23.2%	+4.9	10
1969-10-19	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1780	1730	23.2%	34.1%	42.7%	-4.9	5
1969-10-26	Bologna	D 0-0	1839	1765	57.2%	29.3%	13.5%	-1.8	11
1969-10-26	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1765	1839	13.5%	29.3%	57.2%	+1.9	10
1969-10-26	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1726	1713	50.3%	32.4%	17.3%	-1.4	8
1969-10-26	@ Bari	D 0-0	1713	1726	17.3%	32.4%	50.3%	+1.4	4
1969-10-26	Torino	D 0-0	1825	1775	54.5%	30.7%	14.8%	-1.7	13
1969-10-26	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1775	1825	14.8%	30.7%	54.5%	+1.7	9
1969-10-26	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1775	1860	38.2%	34.4%	27.4%	+5.2	8
1969-10-26	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1860	1775	27.4%	34.4%	38.2%	-5.2	13
1969-10-26	Cagliari	L 0-2	1784	1847	41.1%	34.3%	24.6%	-13.8	6
1969-10-26	@ Napoli	W 2-0	1847	1784	24.6%	34.3%	41.1%	+13.8	17
1969-10-26	Brescia	L 1-3	1664	1692	45.4%	33.7%	20.9%	-12.9	2
1969-10-26	@ Palermo	W 3-1	1692	1664	20.9%	33.7%	45.4%	+12.9	5
1969-10-26	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1749	1742	49.5%	32.6%	17.8%	+3.8	13
1969-10-26	@ Roma	L 1-2	1742	1749	17.8%	32.6%	49.5%	-3.8	10
1969-10-26	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1735	1719	50.6%	32.3%	17.1%	+10.5	13
1969-10-26	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-3	1719	1735	17.1%	32.3%	50.6%	-10.5	8
1969-11-09	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1767	1823	41.9%	34.2%	23.9%	-0.5	11
1969-11-09	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1823	1767	23.9%	34.2%	41.9%	+0.5	14
1969-11-09	Roma	W 1-0	1860	1753	61.0%	27.2%	11.9%	+2.6	20
1969-11-09	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1753	1860	11.9%	27.2%	61.0%	-2.6	13
1969-11-09	Palermo	W 2-0	1708	1651	55.4%	30.2%	14.4%	+6.1	11
1969-11-09	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1651	1708	14.4%	30.2%	55.4%	-6.1	2
1969-11-09	AC Milan	D 0-0	1854	1837	50.8%	32.2%	17.0%	-1.4	14
1969-11-09	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1837	1854	17.0%	32.2%	50.8%	+1.4	12
1969-11-09	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1738	1745	47.9%	33.1%	19.0%	+4.2	13
1969-11-09	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1745	1738	19.0%	33.1%	47.9%	-4.2	13
1969-11-09	Juventus	W 1-0	1770	1780	47.6%	33.2%	19.2%	+4.2	9
1969-11-09	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1780	1770	19.2%	33.2%	47.6%	-4.2	8
1969-11-09	Brescia	W 2-0	1714	1704	49.9%	32.5%	17.6%	+7.4	7
1969-11-09	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1704	1714	17.6%	32.5%	49.9%	-7.4	5
1969-11-09	Bari	L 0-1	1777	1725	54.7%	30.6%	14.7%	-9.1	9
1969-11-09	@ Torino	W 1-0	1725	1777	14.7%	30.6%	54.7%	+9.1	11
1969-11-16	Napoli	W 1-0	1838	1775	56.1%	29.9%	14.0%	+3.2	15
1969-11-16	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1775	1838	14.0%	29.9%	56.1%	-3.2	9
1969-11-16	Bologna	D 1-1	1697	1766	40.2%	34.3%	25.5%	-0.5	6
1969-11-16	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1766	1697	25.5%	34.3%	40.2%	+0.5	12
1969-11-16	Juventus	D 1-1	1863	1776	58.7%	28.5%	12.8%	-1.7	21
1969-11-16	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1776	1863	12.8%	28.5%	58.7%	+1.7	9
1969-11-16	Bari	W 3-0	1824	1734	58.9%	28.4%	12.7%	+7.7	17
1969-11-16	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1734	1824	12.7%	28.4%	58.9%	-7.7	11
1969-11-16	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1645	1742	36.5%	34.3%	29.2%	-0.2	3
1969-11-16	@ Palermo	D 1-1	1742	1645	29.2%	34.3%	36.5%	+0.2	14
1969-11-16	Sampdoria	D 3-3	1750	1722	52.0%	31.7%	16.2%	-0.8	14
1969-11-16	@ Roma	D 3-3	1722	1750	16.2%	31.7%	52.0%	+0.8	8
1969-11-16	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1768	1715	54.9%	30.5%	14.6%	+3.1	12
1969-11-16	@ Torino	L 1-2	1715	1768	14.6%	30.5%	54.9%	-3.1	11
1969-11-16	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1741	1853	34.6%	34.2%	31.2%	-0.1	14
1969-11-16	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1853	1741	31.2%	34.2%	34.6%	+0.1	15
1969-11-30	Palermo	W 1-0	1726	1644	58.1%	28.8%	13.1%	+2.9	14
1969-11-30	@ Bari	L 0-1	1644	1726	13.1%	28.8%	58.1%	-2.9	3
1969-11-30	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1767	1741	51.8%	31.8%	16.4%	-1.3	13
1969-11-30	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1741	1767	16.4%	31.8%	51.8%	+1.3	15
1969-11-30	Cagliari	D 1-1	1711	1861	29.7%	33.4%	37.0%	+0.2	12
1969-11-30	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1861	1711	37.0%	33.4%	29.7%	-0.2	22
1969-11-30	Lazio Roma	W 3-0	1853	1743	61.3%	27.0%	11.8%	+7.0	18
1969-11-30	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1743	1853	11.8%	27.0%	61.3%	-7.0	14
1969-11-30	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1778	1831	42.2%	34.2%	23.6%	+9.4	12
1969-11-30	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1831	1778	23.6%	34.2%	42.2%	-9.4	17
1969-11-30	Brescia	D 0-0	1772	1697	57.3%	29.2%	13.4%	-1.9	10
1969-11-30	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1697	1772	13.4%	29.2%	57.3%	+1.9	7
1969-11-30	Torino	D 0-0	1749	1771	46.2%	33.5%	20.3%	-1.0	15
1969-11-30	@ Roma	D 0-0	1771	1749	20.3%	33.5%	46.2%	+1.0	13
1969-11-30	AC Milan	D 1-1	1722	1842	33.7%	34.1%	32.3%	-0.1	9
1969-11-30	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1842	1722	32.3%	34.1%	33.7%	+0.0	16
1969-12-07	Juventus	L 0-2	1842	1787	55.0%	30.4%	14.6%	-17.3	16
1969-12-07	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1787	1842	14.6%	30.4%	55.0%	+17.3	15
1969-12-07	Bologna	W 1-0	1861	1766	59.6%	28.0%	12.4%	+2.8	25
1969-12-07	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1766	1861	12.4%	28.0%	59.6%	-2.8	13
1969-12-07	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1822	1860	44.1%	33.9%	22.0%	+8.9	20
1969-12-07	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1860	1822	22.0%	33.9%	44.1%	-8.9	18
1969-12-07	Bari	W 4-1	1712	1729	46.6%	33.4%	19.9%	+10.1	15
1969-12-07	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-4	1729	1712	19.9%	33.4%	46.6%	-10.1	14
1969-12-07	Napoli	L 0-2	1736	1770	44.6%	33.8%	21.5%	-14.7	14
1969-12-07	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1770	1736	21.5%	33.8%	44.6%	+14.7	13
1969-12-07	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1642	1722	38.7%	34.4%	26.9%	+14.9	6
1969-12-07	@ Palermo	L 0-3	1722	1642	26.9%	34.4%	38.7%	-14.9	9
1969-12-07	Brescia	W 1-0	1772	1698	57.1%	29.3%	13.5%	+3.0	16
1969-12-07	@ Torino	L 0-1	1698	1772	13.5%	29.3%	57.1%	-3.0	7
1969-12-07	Roma	W 3-0	1742	1748	48.1%	33.1%	18.9%	+11.4	18
1969-12-07	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-3	1748	1742	18.9%	33.1%	48.1%	-11.5	15
1969-12-14	Napoli	L 1-2	1763	1784	46.2%	33.5%	20.3%	-7.5	13
1969-12-14	@ Bologna	W 2-1	1784	1763	20.3%	33.5%	46.2%	+7.5	16
1969-12-14	Juventus	L 0-1	1695	1804	35.0%	34.2%	30.8%	-6.5	7
1969-12-14	@ Brescia	W 1-0	1804	1695	30.8%	34.2%	35.0%	+6.5	18
1969-12-14	Roma	D 2-2	1831	1737	59.4%	28.1%	12.5%	-1.3	21
1969-12-14	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1737	1831	12.5%	28.1%	59.4%	+1.3	16
1969-12-14	Bari	W 1-0	1851	1719	63.6%	25.5%	10.9%	+2.3	21
1969-12-14	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1719	1851	10.9%	25.5%	63.6%	-2.3	14
1969-12-14	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1721	1722	48.6%	32.9%	18.4%	-8.3	14
1969-12-14	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1722	1721	18.4%	32.9%	48.6%	+8.3	18
1969-12-14	Cagliari	W 1-0	1656	1864	23.5%	31.1%	45.4%	+7.7	9
1969-12-14	@ Palermo	L 0-1	1864	1656	45.4%	31.1%	23.5%	-7.7	25
1969-12-14	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1707	1754	43.1%	34.1%	22.8%	-7.6	9
1969-12-14	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1754	1707	22.8%	34.1%	43.1%	+7.6	21
1969-12-14	AC Milan	L 0-1	1775	1824	42.7%	34.1%	23.2%	-7.5	16
1969-12-14	@ Torino	W 1-0	1824	1775	23.2%	34.1%	42.7%	+7.5	19
1969-12-21	Fiorentina	W 4-2	1832	1829	49.0%	32.8%	18.2%	+5.9	22
1969-12-21	@ AC Milan	L 2-4	1829	1832	18.2%	32.8%	49.0%	-5.9	21
1969-12-21	Cagliari	D 0-0	1717	1856	31.0%	33.7%	35.3%	+0.2	15
1969-12-21	@ Bari	D 0-0	1856	1717	35.3%	33.7%	31.0%	-0.2	26
1969-12-21	Torino	L 0-1	1755	1767	47.3%	33.3%	19.4%	-8.2	13
1969-12-21	@ Bologna	W 1-0	1767	1755	19.4%	33.3%	47.3%	+8.2	19
1969-12-21	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1730	1700	52.3%	31.6%	16.1%	-1.3	19
1969-12-21	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1700	1730	16.1%	31.6%	52.3%	+1.3	10
1969-12-21	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1811	1713	59.9%	27.8%	12.3%	+2.6	21
1969-12-21	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1713	1811	12.3%	27.8%	59.9%	-2.6	14
1969-12-21	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1792	1854	41.2%	34.3%	24.6%	-0.6	17
1969-12-21	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1854	1792	24.6%	34.3%	41.2%	+0.6	22
1969-12-21	Palermo	D 1-1	1738	1664	57.2%	29.3%	13.5%	-1.7	17
1969-12-21	@ Roma	D 1-1	1664	1738	13.5%	29.3%	57.2%	+1.7	10
1969-12-21	Brescia	L 0-1	1761	1689	57.0%	29.4%	13.6%	-9.4	21
1969-12-21	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1689	1761	13.6%	29.4%	57.0%	+9.4	10
1969-12-28	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1717	1710	49.6%	32.6%	17.8%	-1.3	16
1969-12-28	@ Bari	D 0-0	1710	1717	17.8%	32.6%	49.6%	+1.3	15
1969-12-28	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1698	1823	32.8%	34.0%	33.2%	-5.8	10
1969-12-28	@ Brescia	W 2-1	1823	1698	33.2%	34.0%	32.8%	+5.8	24
1969-12-28	AC Milan	D 1-1	1856	1838	50.9%	32.2%	17.0%	-1.2	27
1969-12-28	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1838	1856	17.0%	32.2%	50.9%	+1.2	23
1969-12-28	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1854	1729	62.9%	25.9%	11.2%	-2.2	23
1969-12-28	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1729	1854	11.2%	25.9%	62.9%	+2.2	20
1969-12-28	Napoli	D 0-0	1666	1791	32.8%	34.0%	33.3%	+0.0	11
1969-12-28	@ Palermo	D 0-0	1791	1666	33.3%	34.0%	32.8%	-0.0	18
1969-12-28	Juventus	L 0-3	1736	1813	39.2%	34.4%	26.4%	-19.3	17
1969-12-28	@ Roma	W 3-0	1813	1736	26.4%	34.4%	39.2%	+19.3	24
1969-12-28	Bologna	D 0-0	1701	1747	43.2%	34.1%	22.8%	-0.8	11
1969-12-28	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1747	1701	22.8%	34.1%	43.2%	+0.8	14
1969-12-28	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1775	1752	51.5%	31.9%	16.6%	+3.7	22
1969-12-28	@ Torino	L 0-1	1752	1775	16.6%	31.9%	51.5%	-3.7	21
1970-01-03	Roma	D 1-1	1748	1717	52.4%	31.6%	16.0%	-1.3	15
1970-01-03	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1717	1748	16.0%	31.6%	52.4%	+1.3	18
1970-01-03	Torino	W 2-0	1855	1779	57.4%	29.2%	13.4%	+5.7	30
1970-01-03	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1779	1855	13.4%	29.2%	57.4%	-5.6	22
1970-01-03	Palermo	W 3-1	1829	1666	67.0%	23.2%	9.8%	+3.3	27
1970-01-03	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1666	1829	9.8%	23.2%	67.0%	-3.3	11
1970-01-03	Sampdoria	W 3-2	1852	1700	65.7%	24.1%	10.2%	+1.9	26
1970-01-03	@ Inter Milan	L 2-3	1700	1852	10.2%	24.1%	65.7%	-1.9	11
1970-01-03	Bari	W 1-0	1833	1716	62.0%	26.5%	11.5%	+2.5	27
1970-01-03	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1716	1833	11.5%	26.5%	62.0%	-2.5	16
1970-01-03	Brescia	W 1-0	1711	1692	51.0%	32.1%	16.9%	+3.8	18
1970-01-03	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1692	1711	16.9%	32.1%	51.0%	-3.8	10
1970-01-03	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1791	1731	55.7%	30.1%	14.2%	+3.0	21
1970-01-03	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1731	1791	14.2%	30.1%	55.7%	-3.0	20
1970-01-03	AC Milan	W 1-0	1748	1839	37.4%	34.4%	28.2%	+5.6	24
1970-01-03	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1839	1748	28.2%	34.4%	37.4%	-5.6	23
1970-01-11	Brescia	D 1-1	1833	1689	65.0%	24.6%	10.4%	-2.1	24
1970-01-11	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1689	1833	10.4%	24.6%	65.0%	+2.1	11
1970-01-11	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1747	1854	35.2%	34.2%	30.5%	+5.6	18
1970-01-11	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1854	1747	30.5%	34.2%	35.2%	-5.6	26
1970-01-11	Sampdoria	W 4-0	1860	1699	66.8%	23.3%	9.8%	+7.2	33
1970-01-11	@ Cagliari	L 0-4	1699	1860	9.8%	23.3%	66.8%	-7.2	11
1970-01-11	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1728	1833	35.6%	34.2%	30.2%	-6.6	20
1970-01-11	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1833	1728	30.2%	34.2%	35.6%	+6.6	30
1970-01-11	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1794	1754	53.4%	31.1%	15.4%	+3.5	24
1970-01-11	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1754	1794	15.4%	31.1%	53.4%	-3.5	24
1970-01-11	Juventus	L 1-3	1663	1835	27.1%	32.6%	40.4%	-8.7	11
1970-01-11	@ Palermo	W 3-1	1835	1663	40.4%	32.6%	27.1%	+8.7	30
1970-01-11	Bari	W 1-0	1718	1713	49.3%	32.7%	18.0%	+4.0	21
1970-01-11	@ Roma	L 0-1	1713	1718	18.0%	32.7%	49.3%	-4.0	16
1970-01-11	Lazio Roma	W 3-0	1773	1715	55.5%	30.2%	14.3%	+8.8	25
1970-01-11	@ Torino	L 0-3	1715	1773	14.3%	30.2%	55.5%	-8.9	18
1970-01-18	AC Milan	L 0-5	1709	1831	33.3%	34.0%	32.7%	-27.6	16
1970-01-18	@ Bari	W 5-0	1831	1709	32.7%	34.0%	33.3%	+27.6	27
1970-01-18	Roma	L 0-1	1691	1722	44.9%	33.8%	21.3%	-7.8	11
1970-01-18	@ Brescia	W 1-0	1722	1691	21.3%	33.8%	44.9%	+7.8	24
1970-01-18	Napoli	L 1-2	1839	1798	53.5%	31.1%	15.4%	-8.5	30
1970-01-18	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1798	1839	15.4%	31.1%	53.5%	+8.5	27
1970-01-18	Palermo	W 2-0	1848	1654	70.3%	20.9%	8.8%	+3.2	29
1970-01-18	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1654	1848	8.8%	20.9%	70.3%	-3.2	11
1970-01-18	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1844	1721	62.6%	26.2%	11.3%	+6.6	33
1970-01-18	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1721	1844	11.3%	26.2%	62.6%	-6.6	20
1970-01-18	Bologna	W 1-0	1706	1752	43.2%	34.1%	22.8%	+4.9	21
1970-01-18	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1752	1706	22.8%	34.1%	43.2%	-4.8	18
1970-01-18	Torino	D 1-1	1691	1782	37.4%	34.4%	28.3%	-0.3	12
1970-01-18	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1782	1691	28.3%	34.4%	37.4%	+0.3	26
1970-01-18	Cagliari	L 1-2	1750	1868	33.9%	34.1%	32.0%	-6.0	24
1970-01-18	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1868	1750	32.0%	34.1%	33.9%	+6.0	36
1970-01-25	Lazio Roma	W 3-0	1859	1711	65.3%	24.3%	10.3%	+5.9	30
1970-01-25	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1711	1859	10.3%	24.3%	65.3%	-5.9	21
1970-01-25	Juventus	D 0-0	1747	1851	35.8%	34.3%	29.9%	-0.2	19
1970-01-25	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1851	1747	29.9%	34.3%	35.8%	+0.2	34
1970-01-25	Brescia	W 4-0	1874	1683	69.9%	21.2%	8.9%	+6.3	39
1970-01-25	@ Cagliari	L 0-4	1683	1874	8.9%	21.2%	69.9%	-6.3	11
1970-01-25	Bari	W 1-0	1806	1682	62.8%	26.0%	11.2%	+2.4	30
1970-01-25	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1682	1806	11.2%	26.0%	62.8%	-2.4	16
1970-01-25	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1730	1715	50.6%	32.3%	17.2%	-1.2	25
1970-01-25	@ Roma	D 1-1	1715	1730	17.2%	32.3%	50.6%	+1.2	21
1970-01-25	Fiorentina	L 1-3	1691	1831	30.9%	33.6%	35.4%	-9.7	12
1970-01-25	@ Sampdoria	W 3-1	1831	1691	35.4%	33.6%	30.9%	+9.7	33
1970-01-25	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1783	1852	40.2%	34.3%	25.4%	-0.6	27
1970-01-25	@ Torino	D 0-0	1852	1783	25.4%	34.3%	40.2%	+0.6	30
1970-01-25	Palermo	D 1-1	1744	1651	59.4%	28.1%	12.5%	-1.8	25
1970-01-25	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1651	1744	12.5%	28.1%	59.4%	+1.8	12
1970-02-01	Brescia	W 2-0	1679	1677	49.1%	32.8%	18.2%	+7.6	19
1970-02-01	@ Bari	L 0-2	1677	1679	18.2%	32.8%	49.1%	-7.6	11
1970-02-01	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1840	1743	59.8%	27.8%	12.3%	+2.6	36
1970-02-01	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1743	1840	12.3%	27.8%	59.8%	-2.6	25
1970-02-01	AC Milan	D 2-2	1716	1865	29.8%	33.4%	36.8%	+0.2	22
1970-02-01	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1865	1716	36.8%	33.4%	29.8%	-0.2	31
1970-02-01	Roma	W 2-0	1852	1729	62.6%	26.1%	11.3%	+4.6	33
1970-02-01	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1729	1852	11.3%	26.1%	62.6%	-4.6	25
1970-02-01	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1851	1681	67.7%	22.8%	9.6%	+3.7	37
1970-02-01	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1681	1851	9.6%	22.8%	67.7%	-3.7	12
1970-02-01	Cagliari	L 0-2	1705	1880	26.8%	32.5%	40.6%	-10.0	21
1970-02-01	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1880	1705	40.6%	32.5%	26.8%	+10.0	42
1970-02-01	Torino	W 4-0	1809	1782	51.8%	31.8%	16.4%	+13.2	33
1970-02-01	@ Napoli	L 0-4	1782	1809	16.4%	31.8%	51.8%	-13.2	27
1970-02-01	Bologna	W 1-0	1652	1747	36.9%	34.3%	28.8%	+5.7	15
1970-02-01	@ Palermo	L 0-1	1747	1652	28.8%	34.3%	36.9%	-5.7	19
1970-02-08	Palermo	W 1-0	1865	1658	71.5%	20.0%	8.5%	+1.6	34
1970-02-08	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1658	1865	8.5%	20.0%	71.5%	-1.6	15
1970-02-08	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1742	1716	51.7%	31.9%	16.4%	-1.5	20
1970-02-08	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1716	1742	16.4%	31.9%	51.7%	+1.5	23
1970-02-08	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1669	1857	25.4%	32.0%	42.6%	+0.6	12
1970-02-08	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1857	1669	42.6%	32.0%	25.4%	-0.6	34
1970-02-08	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1890	1843	54.2%	30.8%	15.0%	-1.6	43
1970-02-08	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1843	1890	15.0%	30.8%	54.2%	+1.6	37
1970-02-08	Napoli	W 2-1	1724	1822	36.5%	34.3%	29.1%	+5.4	28
1970-02-08	@ Roma	L 1-2	1822	1724	29.1%	34.3%	36.5%	-5.4	33
1970-02-08	Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1678	1695	46.7%	33.4%	19.9%	-15.2	12
1970-02-08	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1695	1678	19.9%	33.4%	46.7%	+15.2	24
1970-02-08	Juventus	L 0-3	1769	1854	38.1%	34.4%	27.5%	-18.9	27
1970-02-08	@ Torino	W 3-0	1854	1769	27.5%	34.4%	38.1%	+18.9	40
1970-02-08	Bari	W 2-0	1740	1687	54.9%	30.5%	14.6%	+6.2	28
1970-02-08	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-2	1687	1740	14.6%	30.5%	54.9%	-6.2	19
1970-02-15	Bologna	L 0-2	1681	1740	41.5%	34.2%	24.3%	-13.9	19
1970-02-15	@ Bari	W 2-0	1740	1681	24.3%	34.2%	41.5%	+13.9	23
1970-02-15	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1845	1710	63.8%	25.3%	10.8%	+4.3	40
1970-02-15	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1710	1845	10.8%	25.3%	63.8%	-4.3	24
1970-02-15	Brescia	D 0-0	1718	1670	54.3%	30.8%	14.9%	-1.7	24
1970-02-15	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1670	1718	14.9%	30.8%	54.3%	+1.7	13
1970-02-15	Cagliari	W 1-0	1856	1888	44.9%	33.8%	21.3%	+4.6	37
1970-02-15	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1888	1856	21.3%	33.8%	44.9%	-4.6	43
1970-02-15	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 4-0	1873	1746	63.1%	25.8%	11.1%	+8.5	43
1970-02-15	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1746	1873	11.1%	25.8%	63.1%	-8.5	28
1970-02-15	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1816	1662	66.0%	23.9%	10.1%	-19.5	33
1970-02-15	@ Napoli	W 2-0	1662	1816	10.1%	23.9%	66.0%	+19.5	15
1970-02-15	Torino	W 1-0	1656	1750	37.1%	34.3%	28.6%	+5.7	18
1970-02-15	@ Palermo	L 0-1	1750	1656	28.6%	34.3%	37.1%	-5.7	27
1970-02-15	AC Milan	L 0-1	1730	1866	31.4%	33.7%	34.9%	-6.0	28
1970-02-15	@ Roma	W 1-0	1866	1730	34.9%	33.7%	31.4%	+6.0	37
1970-03-01	AC Milan	L 0-1	1754	1872	33.8%	34.1%	32.2%	-6.3	23
1970-03-01	@ Bologna	W 1-0	1872	1754	32.2%	34.1%	33.8%	+6.3	40
1970-03-01	Palermo	W 4-2	1671	1662	49.8%	32.5%	17.6%	+5.8	16
1970-03-01	@ Brescia	L 2-4	1662	1671	17.6%	32.5%	49.8%	-5.8	18
1970-03-01	Napoli	W 2-0	1884	1797	58.6%	28.5%	12.8%	+5.4	46
1970-03-01	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1797	1884	12.8%	28.5%	58.6%	-5.4	33
1970-03-01	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-1	1716	1738	46.1%	33.6%	20.3%	+7.3	27
1970-03-01	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-3	1738	1716	20.3%	33.6%	46.1%	-7.3	28
1970-03-01	Juventus	D 0-0	1861	1882	46.2%	33.5%	20.2%	-1.0	38
1970-03-01	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1882	1861	20.2%	33.5%	46.2%	+1.0	44
1970-03-01	Roma	D 1-1	1706	1724	46.6%	33.4%	19.9%	-0.9	25
1970-03-01	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1724	1706	19.9%	33.4%	46.6%	+1.0	29
1970-03-01	Bari	W 1-0	1682	1667	50.5%	32.3%	17.2%	+3.9	18
1970-03-01	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1667	1682	17.2%	32.3%	50.5%	-3.9	19
1970-03-01	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1744	1849	35.6%	34.2%	30.2%	+5.9	30
1970-03-01	@ Torino	L 0-1	1849	1744	30.2%	34.2%	35.6%	-5.9	40
1970-03-08	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1879	1860	50.9%	32.1%	16.9%	-8.6	40
1970-03-08	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1860	1879	16.9%	32.1%	50.9%	+8.6	41
1970-03-08	Torino	L 0-1	1663	1750	37.9%	34.4%	27.7%	-6.9	19
1970-03-08	@ Bari	W 1-0	1750	1663	27.7%	34.4%	37.9%	+6.9	33
1970-03-08	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1677	1686	47.7%	33.2%	19.1%	-1.2	17
1970-03-08	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1686	1677	19.1%	33.2%	47.7%	+1.2	19
1970-03-08	Bologna	L 0-1	1843	1748	59.6%	28.0%	12.4%	-9.7	40
1970-03-08	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1748	1843	12.4%	28.0%	59.6%	+9.7	26
1970-03-08	Napoli	D 0-0	1883	1792	59.1%	28.2%	12.6%	-2.0	45
1970-03-08	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1792	1883	12.6%	28.2%	59.1%	+2.0	34
1970-03-08	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1656	1723	40.5%	34.3%	25.2%	+5.2	21
1970-03-08	@ Palermo	L 0-1	1723	1656	25.2%	34.3%	40.5%	-5.2	27
1970-03-08	Cagliari	D 1-1	1725	1889	28.0%	32.9%	39.1%	+0.4	30
1970-03-08	@ Roma	D 1-1	1889	1725	39.1%	32.9%	28.0%	-0.4	47
1970-03-08	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1731	1705	51.7%	31.9%	16.4%	+3.5	31
1970-03-08	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1705	1731	16.4%	31.9%	51.7%	-3.5	25
1970-03-15	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1656	1833	26.6%	32.4%	41.0%	+0.5	20
1970-03-15	@ Bari	D 1-1	1833	1656	41.0%	32.4%	26.6%	-0.5	41
1970-03-15	Brescia	L 0-3	1757	1676	58.0%	28.8%	13.1%	-26.1	26
1970-03-15	@ Bologna	W 3-0	1676	1757	13.1%	28.8%	58.0%	+26.1	20
1970-03-15	Torino	L 0-1	1718	1757	44.0%	33.9%	22.0%	-7.7	27
1970-03-15	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1757	1718	22.0%	33.9%	44.0%	+7.7	36
1970-03-15	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1868	1734	63.8%	25.3%	10.8%	-2.3	42
1970-03-15	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1734	1868	10.8%	25.3%	63.8%	+2.3	32
1970-03-15	Cagliari	D 2-2	1881	1889	47.8%	33.1%	19.0%	-0.8	46
1970-03-15	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1889	1881	19.0%	33.1%	47.8%	+0.8	48
1970-03-15	Palermo	W 4-0	1702	1662	53.4%	31.2%	15.4%	+12.5	28
1970-03-15	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-4	1662	1702	15.4%	31.2%	53.4%	-12.5	21
1970-03-15	AC Milan	D 1-1	1794	1870	39.3%	34.4%	26.4%	-0.4	35
1970-03-15	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1870	1794	26.4%	34.4%	39.3%	+0.4	41
1970-03-15	Roma	W 2-0	1687	1725	44.1%	33.9%	21.9%	+8.9	22
1970-03-15	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1725	1687	21.9%	33.9%	44.1%	-8.9	30
1970-03-22	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1870	1696	68.2%	22.4%	9.4%	-2.5	42
1970-03-22	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1696	1870	9.4%	22.4%	68.2%	+2.5	23
1970-03-22	Napoli	L 1-2	1702	1793	37.4%	34.4%	28.3%	-6.4	20
1970-03-22	@ Brescia	W 2-1	1793	1702	28.3%	34.4%	37.4%	+6.4	38
1970-03-22	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1889	1710	68.7%	22.0%	9.3%	+1.8	51
1970-03-22	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1710	1889	9.3%	22.0%	68.7%	-1.8	27
1970-03-22	Juventus	W 2-0	1833	1880	43.0%	34.1%	22.9%	+9.2	44
1970-03-22	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1880	1833	22.9%	34.1%	43.0%	-9.2	46
1970-03-22	Inter Milan	W 3-1	1714	1866	29.4%	33.3%	37.3%	+11.0	31
1970-03-22	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-3	1866	1714	37.3%	33.3%	29.4%	-11.0	42
1970-03-22	Bari	D 0-0	1649	1657	47.9%	33.1%	19.0%	-1.2	22
1970-03-22	@ Palermo	D 0-0	1657	1649	19.0%	33.1%	47.9%	+1.2	21
1970-03-22	Roma	D 0-0	1765	1716	54.3%	30.7%	14.9%	-1.7	37
1970-03-22	@ Torino	D 0-0	1716	1765	14.9%	30.7%	54.3%	+1.7	31
1970-03-22	Bologna	D 1-1	1736	1731	49.4%	32.7%	18.0%	-1.1	33
1970-03-22	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1731	1736	18.0%	32.7%	49.4%	+1.1	27
1970-03-29	Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1658	1708	42.6%	34.1%	23.3%	-14.2	21
1970-03-29	@ Bari	W 2-0	1708	1658	23.3%	34.1%	42.6%	+14.2	30
1970-03-29	Cagliari	D 0-0	1732	1891	28.6%	33.1%	38.3%	+0.4	28
1970-03-29	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1891	1732	38.3%	33.1%	28.6%	-0.4	52
1970-03-29	Torino	L 0-1	1696	1763	40.4%	34.3%	25.2%	-7.2	20
1970-03-29	@ Brescia	W 1-0	1763	1696	25.2%	34.3%	40.4%	+7.2	40
1970-03-29	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1855	1842	50.3%	32.4%	17.3%	+10.7	45
1970-03-29	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1842	1855	17.3%	32.4%	50.3%	-10.6	44
1970-03-29	AC Milan	W 3-0	1871	1868	49.1%	32.8%	18.1%	+11.1	49
1970-03-29	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1868	1871	18.1%	32.8%	49.1%	-11.1	42
1970-03-29	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1799	1725	57.2%	29.3%	13.5%	-1.7	39
1970-03-29	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1725	1799	13.5%	29.3%	57.2%	+1.7	32
1970-03-29	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1718	1735	46.7%	33.4%	19.9%	+4.4	34
1970-03-29	@ Roma	L 0-1	1735	1718	19.9%	33.4%	46.7%	-4.4	33
1970-03-29	Palermo	W 1-0	1698	1648	54.6%	30.6%	14.8%	+3.3	26
1970-03-29	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1648	1698	14.8%	30.6%	54.6%	-3.3	22
1970-04-05	Torino	W 3-0	1857	1770	58.6%	28.5%	12.9%	+7.8	45
1970-04-05	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1770	1857	12.9%	28.5%	58.6%	-7.8	40
1970-04-05	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1644	1866	22.2%	30.3%	47.5%	-4.5	21
1970-04-05	@ Bari	W 1-0	1866	1644	47.5%	30.3%	22.2%	+4.5	48
1970-04-05	Palermo	W 2-0	1891	1645	75.6%	17.0%	7.4%	+2.5	55
1970-04-05	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1645	1891	7.4%	17.0%	75.6%	-2.5	22
1970-04-05	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1723	1727	48.3%	33.0%	18.7%	-1.1	31
1970-04-05	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1727	1723	18.7%	33.0%	48.3%	+1.1	33
1970-04-05	Brescia	W 1-0	1882	1688	70.2%	20.9%	8.8%	+1.7	52
1970-04-05	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1688	1882	8.8%	20.9%	70.2%	-1.7	20
1970-04-05	Bologna	D 0-0	1798	1733	56.2%	29.8%	14.0%	-1.8	40
1970-04-05	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1733	1798	14.0%	29.8%	56.2%	+1.8	29
1970-04-05	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1722	1831	35.0%	34.2%	30.8%	-6.5	34
1970-04-05	@ Roma	W 1-0	1831	1722	30.8%	34.2%	35.0%	+6.5	47
1970-04-05	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1731	1702	52.1%	31.7%	16.2%	+3.4	36
1970-04-05	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1702	1731	16.2%	31.7%	52.1%	-3.4	26
1970-04-12	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1687	1734	43.0%	34.1%	23.0%	-0.7	21
1970-04-12	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1734	1687	23.0%	34.1%	43.0%	+0.7	37
1970-04-12	Bari	W 2-0	1893	1639	76.4%	16.4%	7.2%	+2.4	58
1970-04-12	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1639	1893	7.2%	16.4%	76.4%	-2.4	21
1970-04-12	AC Milan	W 4-2	1838	1865	45.5%	33.7%	20.8%	+6.6	50
1970-04-12	@ Fiorentina	L 2-4	1865	1838	20.8%	33.7%	45.5%	-6.6	45
1970-04-12	Napoli	W 1-0	1870	1796	57.2%	29.3%	13.5%	+3.0	51
1970-04-12	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1796	1870	13.5%	29.3%	57.2%	-3.0	40
1970-04-12	Juventus	W 2-0	1728	1884	28.9%	33.2%	37.9%	+12.8	36
1970-04-12	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1884	1728	37.9%	33.2%	28.9%	-12.8	52
1970-04-12	Roma	D 2-2	1642	1716	39.6%	34.3%	26.0%	-0.3	23
1970-04-12	@ Palermo	D 2-2	1716	1642	26.0%	34.3%	39.6%	+0.3	35
1970-04-12	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1698	1722	46.0%	33.6%	20.5%	+4.2	29
1970-04-12	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1722	1698	20.5%	33.6%	46.0%	-4.2	31
1970-04-12	Bologna	D 1-1	1762	1735	52.0%	31.7%	16.2%	-1.3	41
1970-04-12	@ Torino	D 1-1	1735	1762	16.2%	31.7%	52.0%	+1.3	30
1970-04-19	Cagliari	D 0-0	1858	1896	44.2%	33.9%	21.9%	-0.9	46
1970-04-19	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1896	1858	21.9%	33.9%	44.2%	+0.9	59
1970-04-19	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1736	1702	52.6%	31.5%	15.9%	-1.4	31
1970-04-19	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1702	1736	15.9%	31.5%	52.6%	+1.4	30
1970-04-19	Brescia	L 0-1	1844	1686	66.5%	23.5%	10.0%	-10.4	50
1970-04-19	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1686	1844	10.0%	23.5%	66.5%	+10.4	24
1970-04-19	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1717	1873	28.9%	33.2%	37.9%	-9.2	31
1970-04-19	@ Hellas Verona	W 3-1	1873	1717	37.9%	33.2%	28.9%	+9.2	54
1970-04-19	Roma	D 1-1	1871	1716	66.1%	23.8%	10.1%	-2.1	53
1970-04-19	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1716	1871	10.1%	23.8%	66.1%	+2.1	36
1970-04-19	Bari	W 4-1	1741	1637	60.5%	27.4%	12.1%	+6.1	39
1970-04-19	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-4	1637	1741	12.1%	27.4%	60.5%	-6.1	21
1970-04-19	Palermo	D 0-0	1793	1642	65.7%	24.1%	10.2%	-2.4	41
1970-04-19	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1642	1793	10.2%	24.1%	65.7%	+2.4	24
1970-04-19	Torino	W 1-0	1735	1761	45.6%	33.7%	20.7%	+4.5	40
1970-04-19	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1761	1735	20.7%	33.7%	45.6%	-4.5	41
1970-04-26	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1857	1739	62.0%	26.5%	11.5%	+2.5	49
1970-04-26	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1739	1857	11.5%	26.5%	62.0%	-2.5	40
1970-04-26	Juventus	W 2-1	1631	1869	20.9%	29.4%	49.7%	+7.7	24
1970-04-26	@ Bari	L 1-2	1869	1631	49.7%	29.4%	20.9%	-7.7	53
1970-04-26	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1696	1747	42.6%	34.1%	23.3%	-0.8	25
1970-04-26	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1747	1696	23.3%	34.1%	42.6%	+0.8	40
1970-04-26	Napoli	W 1-0	1708	1791	38.5%	34.4%	27.1%	+5.5	34
1970-04-26	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1791	1708	27.1%	34.4%	38.5%	-5.5	41
1970-04-26	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1644	1834	25.2%	31.9%	42.9%	+0.6	25
1970-04-26	@ Palermo	D 1-1	1834	1644	42.9%	31.9%	25.2%	-0.6	51
1970-04-26	Bologna	L 1-2	1718	1734	46.8%	33.4%	19.8%	-7.6	36
1970-04-26	@ Roma	W 2-1	1734	1718	19.8%	33.4%	46.8%	+7.6	34
1970-04-26	Inter Milan	L 0-5	1704	1883	26.4%	32.4%	41.2%	-23.1	30
1970-04-26	@ Sampdoria	W 5-0	1883	1704	41.2%	32.4%	26.4%	+23.2	57
1970-04-26	Cagliari	L 0-4	1757	1897	30.9%	33.6%	35.5%	-21.2	41
1970-04-26	@ Torino	W 4-0	1897	1757	35.5%	33.6%	30.9%	+21.2	62

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1970-04-19	9.97%	Brescia	1686	1	@ Fiorentina	1844	0
2	1970-02-15	10.12%	Sampdoria	1662	2	@ Napoli	1816	0
3	1969-10-19	11.90%	Roma	1740	3	@ AC Milan	1848	2
4	1970-03-08	12.44%	Bologna	1748	1	@ Fiorentina	1843	0
5	1970-03-15	13.10%	Brescia	1676	3	@ Bologna	1757	0
6	1969-12-21	13.56%	Brescia	1689	1	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	1761	0
7	1969-12-07	14.56%	Juventus	1787	2	@ AC Milan	1842	0
8	1969-11-09	14.73%	Bari	1725	1	@ Torino	1777	0
9	1970-01-18	15.36%	Napoli	1798	2	@ Fiorentina	1839	1
10	1969-10-12	16.87%	Torino	1769	2	@ Juventus	1788	1
11	1970-03-08	16.91%	Inter Milan	1860	1	@ AC Milan	1879	0
12	1969-10-05	17.13%	Napoli	1769	2	@ Torino	1785	0
13	1969-10-12	17.39%	Cagliari	1839	1	@ Fiorentina	1852	0
14	1969-12-14	18.45%	Hellas Verona	1722	1	@ Lazio Roma	1721	0
15	1969-12-21	19.39%	Torino	1767	1	@ Bologna	1755	0
16	1970-04-26	19.79%	Bologna	1734	2	@ Roma	1718	1
17	1970-02-08	19.92%	Lazio Roma	1695	2	@ Sampdoria	1678	0
18	1969-12-14	20.28%	Napoli	1784	2	@ Bologna	1763	1
19	1969-10-26	20.90%	Brescia	1692	3	@ Palermo	1664	1
20	1970-04-26	20.92%	@ Bari	1631	2	Juventus	1869	1
21	1970-01-18	21.27%	Roma	1722	1	@ Brescia	1691	0
22	1969-12-07	21.52%	Napoli	1770	2	@ Lazio Roma	1736	0
23	1970-03-15	22.02%	Torino	1757	1	@ Hellas Verona	1718	0
24	1969-09-28	22.59%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1722	3	@ Palermo	1678	1
25	1969-12-14	22.82%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1754	1	@ Sampdoria	1707	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1970-01-18	27.58	AC Milan	5	1831	32.72%	@ Bari	0	1709	33.27%
2	1970-03-15	26.08	Brescia	3	1676	13.10%	@ Bologna	0	1757	58.04%
3	1970-04-26	23.15	Inter Milan	5	1883	41.24%	@ Sampdoria	0	1704	26.39%
4	1970-04-26	21.22	Cagliari	4	1897	35.46%	@ Torino	0	1757	30.90%
5	1970-02-15	19.52	Sampdoria	2	1662	10.12%	@ Napoli	0	1816	65.98%
6	1969-12-28	19.33	Juventus	3	1813	26.43%	@ Roma	0	1736	39.21%
7	1970-02-08	18.91	Juventus	3	1854	27.54%	@ Torino	0	1769	38.10%
8	1969-10-19	18.31	@ Lazio Roma	5	1724	33.62%	Fiorentina	1	1843	32.32%
9	1969-12-07	17.28	Juventus	2	1787	14.56%	@ AC Milan	0	1842	55.03%
10	1969-10-05	16.21	Napoli	2	1769	17.13%	@ Torino	0	1785	50.61%
11	1970-02-08	15.21	Lazio Roma	2	1695	19.92%	@ Sampdoria	0	1678	46.65%
12	1969-09-14	15.16	AC Milan	4	1832	30.17%	@ Brescia	1	1728	35.58%
13	1969-12-07	14.94	@ Palermo	3	1642	38.72%	Sampdoria	0	1722	26.92%
14	1969-12-07	14.70	Napoli	2	1770	21.52%	@ Lazio Roma	0	1736	44.64%
15	1970-03-29	14.16	Hellas Verona	2	1708	23.29%	@ Bari	0	1658	42.58%
16	1970-02-15	13.89	Bologna	2	1740	24.27%	@ Bari	0	1681	41.49%
17	1969-10-26	13.78	Cagliari	2	1847	24.64%	@ Napoli	0	1784	41.09%
18	1970-02-01	13.18	@ Napoli	4	1809	51.85%	Torino	0	1782	16.35%
19	1969-10-26	12.90	Brescia	3	1692	20.90%	@ Palermo	1	1664	45.40%
20	1970-04-12	12.81	@ Lazio Roma	2	1728	28.95%	Juventus	0	1884	37.87%
21	1970-03-15	12.47	@ Lazio Roma	4	1702	53.39%	Palermo	0	1662	15.44%
22	1969-09-28	12.45	Lanerossi Vicenza	3	1722	22.59%	@ Palermo	1	1678	43.37%
23	1969-09-28	12.01	Cagliari	2	1825	31.78%	@ Brescia	0	1709	34.10%
24	1969-12-07	11.46	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	3	1742	48.07%	Roma	0	1748	18.86%
25	1970-03-29	11.08	@ Juventus	3	1871	49.12%	AC Milan	0	1868	18.12%